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Bad AI Predictions: Bard Upgrade, 2 Years to AI Auto-Money, OpenAI Investigation and more


Whisper Transcript | Transcript Only Page

00:00:00.000 | People are starting to get used to the breakneck pace of AI, so I wanted to show that developments
00:00:05.300 | in just the last few days fly in the face of what was predicted only a couple of years ago.
00:00:11.540 | Starting with the upgrades to BARD, then a snapshot of CLAW2, the all-encompassing
00:00:17.200 | OpenAI investigation, and Inflection AI's predictions of a self-guided,
00:00:22.480 | million-dollar-making AI coming in just two years.
00:00:26.060 | But I'm going to start with this page from a book released in 2021 called A Brief History of AI.
00:00:32.480 | Look at the tasks it says are nowhere near solved.
00:00:36.580 | And at the bottom it says, at present, we have no idea about how to get computers
00:00:41.600 | to do the tasks at the bottom of the list.
00:00:44.520 | I'm not arguing that these are solved, but this year we are getting pretty close.
00:00:49.320 | Check out the second one down, Human-Level Automated Translation.
00:00:53.160 | I asked the new BARD to write a poem about machine translation.
00:00:55.960 | And here it is. I'm not going to judge the poem.
00:00:58.660 | But then I asked, now translate it into Spanish.
00:01:01.860 | Of course, that's nothing new, but listen to the quality of the text-to-speech model
00:01:06.660 | used to read out this poem. Here's a snippet.
00:01:09.660 | Oh, automatic translation, you are an inconstant lover.
00:01:13.060 | One moment you are beautiful, the next you are a disaster.
00:01:15.860 | I don't know about you, but that is starting to sound awfully human-like.
00:01:19.460 | Now, yes, it could do this before for English, but now it can do it for even Swahili.
00:01:24.160 | And I know some people will say, don't we?
00:01:25.720 | Don't we already have Google Translate?
00:01:27.720 | But Palm 2, which is the model behind BARD, outperforms Google Translate.
00:01:32.720 | I covered this in the original Palm 2 video, but the conclusion was,
00:01:36.120 | we observe that Palm 2 improves quality both over the original Palm and Google Translate.
00:01:42.420 | OK, that is pretty insane.
00:01:43.820 | But what about the next one, interpreting what is going on in a photograph?
00:01:48.120 | Are we nowhere near solving that?
00:01:50.420 | Well, I gave BARD the meme that you can see and I said, interpret what's going on.
00:01:54.820 | And it said this.
00:01:55.480 | The image shows a pizza that has been shaped to look like the Death Star.
00:01:59.980 | Already, that is so savvy to me that it knows it's a pizza despite it being so strangely formed.
00:02:05.980 | And it can interpret that the toppings make it look like the Death Star.
00:02:09.580 | Of course, as a bonus, it can read the text and therefore understand the meme.
00:02:14.280 | It says it's humorous because the Death Star is a symbol of death and destruction compared to a pizza,
00:02:20.280 | which is about food and enjoyment.
00:02:22.180 | A quick bonus tip, by the way, is that you can scroll down.
00:02:25.240 | Scroll to the end of the response and click this modify response button.
00:02:30.240 | And then you can adjust the output.
00:02:32.240 | For example, I'm going to make it do something shorter.
00:02:34.940 | And you are going to see a shorter version of this interpretation.
00:02:39.240 | And here it is, apparently reduced by about 25%.
00:02:42.540 | Now that Google Lens is incorporated into BARD,
00:02:45.140 | I use it daily on my walks to answer questions about things around me.
00:02:49.440 | Like maybe I see a butterfly and I ask what type of butterfly is or a plant.
00:02:55.000 | And then I can just click this button and it will take me to the next step.
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