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Bad AI Predictions: Bard Upgrade, 2 Years to AI Auto-Money, OpenAI Investigation and more


Transcript

People are starting to get used to the breakneck pace of AI, so I wanted to show that developments in just the last few days fly in the face of what was predicted only a couple of years ago. Starting with the upgrades to BARD, then a snapshot of CLAW2, the all-encompassing OpenAI investigation, and Inflection AI's predictions of a self-guided, million-dollar-making AI coming in just two years.

But I'm going to start with this page from a book released in 2021 called A Brief History of AI. Look at the tasks it says are nowhere near solved. And at the bottom it says, at present, we have no idea about how to get computers to do the tasks at the bottom of the list.

I'm not arguing that these are solved, but this year we are getting pretty close. Check out the second one down, Human-Level Automated Translation. I asked the new BARD to write a poem about machine translation. And here it is. I'm not going to judge the poem. But then I asked, now translate it into Spanish.

Of course, that's nothing new, but listen to the quality of the text-to-speech model used to read out this poem. Here's a snippet. Oh, automatic translation, you are an inconstant lover. One moment you are beautiful, the next you are a disaster. I don't know about you, but that is starting to sound awfully human-like.

Now, yes, it could do this before for English, but now it can do it for even Swahili. And I know some people will say, don't we? Don't we already have Google Translate? But Palm 2, which is the model behind BARD, outperforms Google Translate. I covered this in the original Palm 2 video, but the conclusion was, we observe that Palm 2 improves quality both over the original Palm and Google Translate.

OK, that is pretty insane. But what about the next one, interpreting what is going on in a photograph? Are we nowhere near solving that? Well, I gave BARD the meme that you can see and I said, interpret what's going on. And it said this. The image shows a pizza that has been shaped to look like the Death Star.

Already, that is so savvy to me that it knows it's a pizza despite it being so strangely formed. And it can interpret that the toppings make it look like the Death Star. Of course, as a bonus, it can read the text and therefore understand the meme. It says it's humorous because the Death Star is a symbol of death and destruction compared to a pizza, which is about food and enjoyment.

A quick bonus tip, by the way, is that you can scroll down. Scroll to the end of the response and click this modify response button. And then you can adjust the output. For example, I'm going to make it do something shorter. And you are going to see a shorter version of this interpretation.

And here it is, apparently reduced by about 25%. Now that Google Lens is incorporated into BARD, I use it daily on my walks to answer questions about things around me. Like maybe I see a butterfly and I ask what type of butterfly is or a plant. And then I can just click this button and it will take me to the next step.

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