back to indexCal Newport: Deep Work, Focus, Productivity, Email, and Social Media | Lex Fridman Podcast #166
Chapters
0:0 Introduction
2:15 Deep work
7:0 Focus
12:43 Time blocking
19:38 Deadlines
29:13 Do less, do better, know why
31:55 Clubhouse
45:58 Burnout
52:25 Boredom
60:10 Quit social media for 30 days
70:4 Social media
95:12 How email destroyed our productivity at work
104:57 How we fix email
111:59 Over-optimization
116:14 When to use email and when not to
123:57 Podcasting
128:33 Alan Turing proving the impossible
132:32 Fragility of math in the face of randomness
141:21 Neural networks
150:6 What will the P=NP proof look like?
153:46 Is math discovered or invented?
157:53 Book publishing
167:59 Love
171:21 Death
174:17 Meaning of life
00:00:00.000 |
"The following is a conversation with Cal Newport. 00:00:06.920 |
"has guided how I strive to approach productivity 00:00:15.640 |
"he encourages people to find the right amount 00:00:17.760 |
"of social media usage that provides value and joy. 00:00:21.120 |
"He has a new book out called 'A World Without Email', 00:00:27.240 |
"that email is destroying productivity in companies 00:00:35.500 |
"He is a computer scientist at Georgetown University 00:00:54.340 |
"called 'Deep Questions' that I highly recommend 00:00:57.600 |
"for anyone who wants to improve their productive life. 00:01:20.800 |
have been something I've been chasing more and more 00:01:24.560 |
Deep work is hard, but it's ultimately the thing 00:01:30.960 |
The ability to create things you're passionate about 00:01:43.520 |
is a source of joy for me in strict moderation. 00:01:57.000 |
If you enjoy this thing, subscribe on YouTube, 00:01:59.320 |
review it on Apple Podcast, follow on Spotify, 00:02:02.760 |
support on Patreon, or connect with me on Twitter 00:02:10.120 |
And now, here's my conversation with Cal Newport. 00:02:28.520 |
but we had never really given it a name, necessarily, 00:02:45.840 |
- What does it mean to work deeply on something? 00:02:55.720 |
I was in the theory group in CSAIL at MIT, right? 00:03:03.560 |
And that's like a murderer's row of thinkers there, right? 00:03:06.920 |
I mean, it's like Turing Award, Turing Award, 00:03:21.400 |
So I was in this milieu where I was being exposed to people 00:03:27.720 |
Like that's what you would talk about, right? 00:03:37.160 |
- So this is something that people were actually, 00:03:43.400 |
- Like they're openly discussing like, how do you focus? 00:03:46.040 |
I mean, I don't know if they would quantify it, 00:03:51.560 |
So you would come in, here'd be a typical day. 00:03:53.720 |
You'd come in and Eric Domain would be sitting 00:04:01.280 |
And maybe they projected like a grid on there 00:04:03.680 |
because they're working on some graph theory problem. 00:04:06.440 |
You go to lunch, you go to the gym, you come back, 00:04:10.040 |
they're sitting there staring at the same whiteboard, right? 00:04:14.240 |
- This is the difference between different disciplines. 00:04:16.120 |
Like I often feel for many reasons like a fraud, 00:04:20.640 |
but I definitely feel like a fraud when I hang out 00:04:22.760 |
with like either mathematicians or physicists. 00:04:25.440 |
It's like, it feels like they're doing the legit work 00:04:30.200 |
closer in computer science, you get to programming 00:04:44.560 |
from what's required to solve something fundamental 00:04:49.000 |
It feels like you're just like cheating your way 00:04:53.560 |
how to solve a problem in this one particular case. 00:04:57.400 |
I'd be interested to hear what you think about that 00:05:07.040 |
like you need to think deeply, to work deeply, 00:05:44.600 |
But coding, I think, is a classic example of deep work 00:05:52.160 |
and I have to combine them somehow creatively 00:05:58.880 |
So I was used to this notion when I was in grad school 00:06:00.800 |
and I was writing my blog, I'd write about hard focus. 00:06:05.000 |
Then I published this book, "So Good They Can't Ignore You," 00:06:13.480 |
of skill being really important for career satisfaction, 00:06:19.320 |
You have to actually really get good at something 00:06:22.480 |
And there was this big follow-up question to that book 00:06:24.360 |
of, okay, well, how do I get really good at this? 00:06:27.080 |
And then I look back to my grad school experience. 00:06:38.280 |
it became clear there's this interesting storyline 00:06:41.440 |
actually undistracted concentration is not just important 00:06:48.680 |
And that involved into the deep work hypothesis, 00:06:51.160 |
which is across the whole knowledge work sector, 00:07:00.440 |
- So focus is the sort of prerequisite for basically, 00:07:15.280 |
is not just that you're concentrating hard on something, 00:07:20.080 |
So a big theme of my work is that context shifting 00:07:32.000 |
and then try to bring it back to the main thing I'm doing, 00:07:38.120 |
So even if you think, okay, look, I'm writing this code 00:07:40.400 |
or I'm writing this essay and I'm not multitasking 00:07:43.640 |
and all my windows are closed and I have no notifications on 00:07:47.120 |
but every five or six minutes, you quickly check 00:07:51.920 |
that initiates a context shift in your brain, right? 00:07:54.240 |
We're gonna start to suppress some neural networks, 00:07:59.280 |
There's a sort of neurological cascade that happens. 00:08:02.280 |
You rip yourself away from that halfway through 00:08:05.520 |
And now it's trying to switch back to the original thing, 00:08:07.160 |
even though it's also in your brain's in the process 00:08:11.760 |
And as a result, your ability to think clearly 00:08:17.360 |
I mean, you do this long enough, you get midday 00:08:19.480 |
and you're like, okay, I can't think anymore. 00:08:23.280 |
- Is there some kind of perfect number of minutes, 00:08:28.880 |
So we're talking about focusing on a particular task 00:08:32.280 |
for one minute, five minutes, 10 minutes, 30 minutes. 00:08:40.120 |
while maintaining deep focus every 20 minutes or so? 00:08:46.560 |
again, maybe it's a selfish kind of perspective, 00:08:50.400 |
you're focused on a particular design of a little bit, 00:08:59.560 |
And then the shift of focus happens like this, 00:09:04.960 |
is there a library that can achieve this little task 00:09:13.040 |
And so you have to, now it is a kind of context switch 00:09:17.040 |
because as opposed to thinking about the particular problem, 00:09:20.000 |
you now have switched thinking about like consuming 00:09:27.920 |
that can plug into your solution to a particular problem. 00:09:38.560 |
and really trying to as much as possible go deep 00:09:42.160 |
and stay there for like a really long period of time? 00:09:45.960 |
- Well, I mean, I think if you're looking up a library 00:09:48.680 |
that's relevant to what you're doing, that's probably okay. 00:10:01.640 |
You're thinking about this type of functions. 00:10:04.620 |
is if you switch your context to something that's different 00:10:09.800 |
So really the worst possible thing you could do 00:10:11.720 |
would be to look at like an email inbox, right? 00:10:19.560 |
Like the context of these emails, like, okay, 00:10:21.440 |
there's a grant funding issue or something like this. 00:10:23.360 |
It's very different than the coding I'm doing. 00:10:27.200 |
So it's like, someone needs something from me 00:10:33.360 |
So if you're like, let me just glance over at Twitter. 00:10:35.180 |
I'm sure it's nice and calm and peaceful over there, right? 00:10:41.560 |
That's gonna completely mess up the cognitive plateau there. 00:10:45.040 |
okay, let me try to code again, it's really difficult. 00:10:47.840 |
- So it's both the information and the emotion. 00:10:50.100 |
Yeah, both can be killers if what you're trying to do. 00:10:53.420 |
So I would recommend at least an hour at a time 00:10:59.320 |
from whatever it was you were thinking about before. 00:11:05.700 |
of actual sort of peak lex going on there, right? 00:11:08.860 |
So an hour, at least you get a good 40, 45 minutes plus. 00:11:11.840 |
I'm partial to 90 minutes as a really good chunk. 00:11:15.540 |
We can get a lot done, but just before you get exhausted, 00:11:22.880 |
and people can read about it in your book, "Deep Work," 00:11:27.040 |
but, and I know this has been out for a long time 00:11:29.540 |
and people are probably familiar with many of the concepts, 00:11:35.880 |
There's something about adding the terms to it 00:11:48.600 |
there's, it's a struggle and it's very difficult 00:11:52.680 |
to maintain focus for a prolonged period of time, 00:11:59.360 |
several hours of that kind of work, I'm happy. 00:12:22.280 |
When I don't do that kind of thing, I'm much more irritable. 00:12:25.480 |
Like I feel like I didn't accomplish anything 00:12:29.160 |
the negative emotion builds up to where you're no longer 00:12:31.760 |
able to sort of enjoy a lot of this amazing life. 00:12:35.480 |
So in that sense, "Deep Work" has been a source 00:12:43.480 |
but how do you integrate "Deep Work" into your life? 00:12:48.560 |
that you would recommend just at a high level? 00:12:52.560 |
- Well, I mean, I'm a big fan of time blocking. 00:12:58.480 |
don't allow your inbox or to-do list to sort of drive you. 00:13:11.480 |
So I have a meeting here, I have an appointment here. 00:13:15.400 |
So in this half hour, I'm gonna work on this. 00:13:17.960 |
For this 90-minute block, I'm gonna work on that. 00:13:19.680 |
And during this hour, I'm gonna try to fit this in. 00:13:30.120 |
this is what I wanna do with the time available. 00:13:34.600 |
once you're in a discipline of time blocking, 00:13:37.800 |
this is where I want, for example, to deep work. 00:13:41.840 |
that need to happen and find better places to fit them 00:13:51.400 |
- And schedule every single day kind of thing. 00:13:57.000 |
- Yeah, so I do a quarterly, weekly, daily planning. 00:14:04.800 |
for what I'm trying to get done during the fall, let's say, 00:14:08.360 |
There's a deadline coming up for academic papers 00:14:28.200 |
Or how am I gonna make progress on these things? 00:14:32.640 |
or I see that Monday is my only really empty day. 00:14:34.640 |
So that's gonna be the day that I really need to nail 00:14:38.080 |
And then every day, you look at your weekly plan 00:14:47.840 |
- And we're talking about actual times of day versus, 00:14:50.800 |
so the alternative is what I end up doing a lot, 00:15:01.640 |
This is called the luxury when you don't have any meetings. 00:15:07.840 |
- All other academics are jealous of you, by the way. 00:15:13.440 |
I find those are, that's one of the worst tragedies 00:15:21.360 |
well, okay, the positive thing is to have more time 00:15:24.040 |
with your family, sort of reconnect in many ways, 00:15:28.960 |
Be able to remotely sort of not waste time on travel 00:15:49.920 |
intellectually, philosophically, just my spirit 00:15:54.240 |
is destroyed by even a 10-minute Zoom meeting. 00:16:02.720 |
- Every Zoom meeting, I have an existential crisis. 00:16:16.720 |
there's a luxury to really allow for certain things 00:16:30.840 |
I mean, that's my goal, is to try to schedule. 00:16:41.920 |
And do you find that this is at all an okay way to go? 00:16:46.920 |
And the time blocking is just something you have to do 00:16:51.800 |
to actually be an adult and operate in this real world? 00:16:57.960 |
- Well, I mean, there's magic to the intention. 00:17:00.520 |
There's magic to it if you have varied responsibilities. 00:17:05.040 |
So, I'm often juggling multiple jobs, essentially. 00:17:08.800 |
There's academic stuff, there's teaching stuff, 00:17:26.400 |
at least the way I do it, so I even sell this planner 00:17:29.280 |
to help people time block, it has many columns. 00:17:36.880 |
Next time you get a chance to move over one column, 00:17:38.960 |
and then you just fix it for the time that's remaining. 00:17:52.960 |
And if I have to change that plan, that's fine. 00:18:04.680 |
and other types of things I have to do in my various jobs. 00:18:20.720 |
writing's so hard in a certain way that it's, 00:18:22.920 |
you don't really get on a roll in some sense. 00:18:28.440 |
it's very hard to pull yourself away from a proof 00:18:37.800 |
starting to click together and progress is being made. 00:18:42.400 |
So I'm willing to get yelled at by almost everyone. 00:18:48.560 |
to pulling yourself out of it when things are going great. 00:18:53.200 |
Because then you're kind of excited to resume. 00:19:03.640 |
there's an extra force of procrastination that comes with 00:19:06.060 |
if you stop on a dead end to return to the task. 00:19:12.340 |
like I'm in a stage now, I submitted a few papers recently. 00:19:15.420 |
So now we're sort of starting something up from cold. 00:19:22.220 |
it's very hard to get the motivation to schedule a time 00:19:28.340 |
We're in the very early stages where it's just, 00:19:39.720 |
Can we, okay, so this is like a therapy session. 00:19:50.160 |
And so the, one of the implied powerful things 00:19:53.240 |
about time blocking is there's a kind of deadline 00:19:56.160 |
or there's a artificial or real sense of urgency. 00:19:59.920 |
Do you think it's possible to get anything done 00:20:06.160 |
- Well, I mean, it's a clear motivational signal, 00:20:10.900 |
you do get an effect like that in time blocking. 00:20:15.460 |
this is the exact time I'm gonna work on this, 00:20:18.140 |
is that you don't have the debate with yourself 00:20:20.020 |
every three minutes about, should I take a break now? 00:20:23.260 |
Right, like this is the big issue with just saying, 00:20:27.780 |
because your mind is saying, well, obviously, 00:20:37.300 |
Like we should probably look at the internet. 00:20:40.280 |
On the other hand, if you're in a time block schedule, 00:20:42.340 |
like I've got these two hours put aside for writing, 00:20:53.580 |
Is I know this is what I'm supposed to be working on 00:20:57.980 |
- Perhaps, but we are describing as much healthier 00:21:02.880 |
And you talk about this in the new email book, 00:21:07.200 |
you talk about it all over is creating a process 00:21:09.800 |
and then giving yourself over to the process. 00:21:13.420 |
But then you have to be strict with yourself. 00:21:17.600 |
- Yeah, but what are the deadlines you're talking about? 00:21:31.240 |
I have to publish this podcast early next week, 00:21:40.080 |
But the other is I have to fly to Vegas on Thursday 00:21:51.620 |
this conversation we're doing now to be out of my life. 00:22:05.820 |
- But actually it's possible that I still will be doing that 00:22:20.580 |
But I am almost referring to like the pressure 00:22:26.020 |
Hey man, you said you're going to get this done 00:22:28.060 |
two months ago, why haven't you gotten it done? 00:22:32.500 |
- So maybe we, now, first of all, I think we can all-- 00:22:41.140 |
I think we'd all get a lot more done if he was yelling. 00:22:49.040 |
I also don't like the idea of this has to get done today. 00:22:55.060 |
and we've got a lot to do as the night before 00:22:57.180 |
because then I get in my head about what if I get sick? 00:23:09.820 |
is that there's something very human and deep 00:23:13.080 |
about just wrangling with the world of ideas. 00:23:18.380 |
he's trying to understand the meaning of life. 00:23:20.300 |
And he eventually ends up ultimately at the human capacity 00:23:29.520 |
and therefore it must be somehow connected to our ends. 00:23:31.720 |
And he said, ultimately, that's where he found his meaning. 00:23:34.280 |
But, you know, he's touching on some sort of intimation 00:23:39.640 |
is regularly thinking hard about stuff that's interesting. 00:23:54.300 |
I have my notebook in it because I was thinking 00:23:58.300 |
I could get some, I'm working on this new proof. 00:24:02.740 |
You train yourself to appreciate certain things. 00:24:04.700 |
And then over time, the hope is that it accretes. 00:24:09.740 |
because I wonder, so there's like "Deep Work" 00:24:19.260 |
that to me symbolize the life I want to live, okay? 00:24:24.100 |
And then there is, I'm like, despite appearances, 00:24:37.780 |
I hate it too, but it seems like I'm always in it. 00:24:42.980 |
It's like, it's almost like whenever I establish, 00:24:46.580 |
whenever I have successful processes for doing deep work, 00:24:49.340 |
I'll add stuff on top of it just to introduce the chaos. 00:24:55.660 |
you have to look in the mirror at a certain point 00:25:02.420 |
Is this something that's fundamental to who I am 00:25:07.500 |
Like I've seen your video about like your routine. 00:25:13.640 |
So like, what's the chaos now that's not in that video? 00:25:24.080 |
it's taking on too many things on the to-do list. 00:25:29.440 |
that everybody deals with, which is saying, not saying no. 00:25:36.880 |
It's that there's so much cool shit in my life. 00:25:39.280 |
Okay, listen, there's nothing I love more in this world 00:26:13.600 |
sources of stress, all those kinds of things. 00:26:16.520 |
But it does feel like if I'm just being introspective 00:26:22.380 |
I suppose a lot of people do this kind of thing 00:26:30.360 |
And I wonder if that's just a hack I've developed 00:26:45.800 |
Yeah, because these are all interesting things. 00:26:47.520 |
- Well, one of the things you talked about in "Deep Work," 00:26:50.840 |
is having an end to the day, putting it down. 00:26:55.060 |
I don't think I've ever done that in my life. 00:27:05.280 |
I was a grad student, but my wife had a real job. 00:27:07.680 |
And so I just figured I should do my work when she's at work 00:27:12.200 |
because, hey, when work's over, she'll be home 00:27:17.760 |
And so real early on, I just got in that habit 00:27:25.440 |
I put artificial, I was like, "I wanna train." 00:27:30.020 |
I was like, "When I'm a professor, it's gonna be busier 00:27:31.600 |
because there's demands that professors have beyond research." 00:27:35.560 |
I added artificial, large, time-consuming things 00:27:41.260 |
and do all this productive meditation and stuff like this 00:27:48.680 |
at putting artificial constraints on so that I stay, 00:27:51.600 |
I didn't wanna get flabby when my job was easy 00:28:01.760 |
That's what's probably keeping me away from cool things 00:28:06.280 |
And then after a while, people stop bothering. 00:28:37.400 |
And then it becomes like this self-fulfilling prophecy. 00:28:52.240 |
for productive people that I've met is to get married 00:29:00.840 |
but it's like the ultimate timetable enforcer. 00:29:08.840 |
though it has a huge, kids have a huge productivity hit. 00:29:13.320 |
But okay, here's the complicated thing, though. 00:29:17.120 |
starting the podcast as one of these just cool opportunities 00:29:22.080 |
Like I could have been talking to you at MIT four years ago 00:29:29.360 |
okay, this podcast is, the direction that's taking you 00:29:33.680 |
it's gonna, there'll be something really monumental 00:29:36.600 |
that you're probably, that's gonna probably lead to, right? 00:29:39.920 |
it just feels like your life is going somewhere. 00:29:44.600 |
- Yeah, so how do you balance those two things? 00:29:46.360 |
And so what I try to throw at it is this motto 00:29:55.600 |
It used to be the motto of my website years ago. 00:29:58.760 |
So do a few things, but like an interesting array, right? 00:30:01.920 |
So I was doing MIT stuff, but I was also writing, you know? 00:30:06.880 |
So a couple of things are, you know, they were interesting. 00:30:10.240 |
on a couple of different numbers on the roulette table, 00:30:14.120 |
And then really try to do those things really well 00:30:17.680 |
I just spent years and years and years just training. 00:30:21.240 |
I started writing student books when I was a student. 00:30:24.200 |
I really wanted to write hardcover idea books. 00:30:27.480 |
I would use like New Yorker articles to train myself. 00:30:30.320 |
I'd break them down and then I'd get commissions 00:30:32.000 |
with much smaller magazines and practice the skills. 00:30:34.360 |
And it took forever until, you know, but now today, 00:30:37.040 |
like I actually get to write for the New Yorker, 00:30:40.320 |
So a small number of things, try to do them really well. 00:30:50.640 |
- And so the choice of the few things is grounded 00:31:00.280 |
like a sense that you say you wanted to write, 00:31:04.320 |
You had that kind of introspective moment of thinking, 00:31:07.800 |
this actually brings me a lot of joy and fulfillment. 00:31:14.680 |
which is like the first thing I kind of got infamous for. 00:31:20.120 |
But the argument there is like passion cultivates, right? 00:31:26.120 |
that the passion for what you do exists full intensity 00:31:29.880 |
before you start, and then that's what propels you. 00:31:32.600 |
Where actually the reality is as you get better at something, 00:31:36.680 |
and more impact, the passion grows along with it. 00:31:42.080 |
oh, follow your passion, what they really mean is 00:31:47.080 |
But how you actually cultivate that is much more complicated 00:31:51.960 |
like for sure you should be a writer or something like this. 00:31:55.320 |
I was on a social network last night in a clubhouse. 00:32:07.160 |
A tech reporter has invited me to do a clubhouse 00:32:21.120 |
and I kept plugging exactly what you said about passion. 00:32:29.520 |
- But first, clubhouse is a kind of fascinating place 00:32:34.200 |
in terms of your mind would be very interesting 00:32:37.700 |
to analyze this place because we talk about email, 00:32:45.400 |
and I've encountered in other places, Discord and so on, 00:33:16.880 |
hundreds of people in a room together, right? 00:33:25.840 |
so it's just voices and you're able with hundreds of people 00:33:37.400 |
- You see icons, just like mics muted or not muted, 00:33:45.280 |
- So you're like, okay, let me get precedence. 00:33:52.360 |
and you sort of like kind of make some noises 00:34:01.520 |
- But in a faculty meeting, which is very interesting, 00:34:06.580 |
there's a visual element that seems to increase 00:34:13.700 |
you actually listen better and you don't interrupt. 00:35:07.560 |
different voices like low voices and like high voices. 00:35:14.360 |
In Discord, you couldn't even see the people. 00:35:18.560 |
It was a culture where you do funny profile pictures 00:35:24.960 |
So you can tell like as an older person, younger person. 00:35:35.000 |
and the intimacy of being surprised by different strangers. 00:35:47.300 |
Now, Clubhouse also has an interesting innovation 00:35:49.700 |
where there's a large crowd that just listens 00:35:59.220 |
And you can have like five, six, seven, eight, 00:36:12.280 |
It seems like it doesn't have, there's not social links. 00:36:14.200 |
There's not a feed that's trying to harvest attention. 00:36:19.160 |
- So the social network aspect is you follow people. 00:36:27.600 |
that's actually correct use of follow, I think. 00:36:30.460 |
You're more likely to see the rooms they're in. 00:36:54.380 |
There's practicing, but also just like talking politics 00:37:01.220 |
but it allows me to connect with that community. 00:37:03.340 |
And then there's a community of like, it's funny, 00:37:09.200 |
of all African-American people talking about race 00:37:14.300 |
- I've never had, like, I've literally never been 00:37:29.680 |
I suppose Twitter and Facebook allow for that culture, 00:37:39.200 |
It's probably just because it's iPhone people. 00:37:45.240 |
- Well, like less, listen, I'm an Android person, 00:37:47.300 |
so I got an iPhone just for this network, which is funny. 00:37:50.200 |
For now, it's all like, there's very few trolls. 00:38:00.920 |
Now, the downside, the reason you're going to hate it 00:38:04.760 |
is because it's so intimate, because it pulls you in 00:38:08.520 |
and pulls in very successful people like you, 00:38:11.320 |
just like really successful, productive, very busy people. 00:38:23.640 |
- Interesting, you mean once you're in a room? 00:38:25.080 |
- Well, no, leaving the room is actually easy. 00:38:27.760 |
The beautiful thing about a stage with multiple people, 00:38:30.480 |
there's actually a little button that says leave quietly. 00:38:33.600 |
So culture, no, etiquette-wise, it's okay to just leave. 00:38:38.520 |
So you and I in a room, when it's just you and I, 00:38:42.200 |
- If you're asking questions and I'm just gone. 00:38:44.240 |
- But, and actually, if you're being interviewed 00:38:46.360 |
for the book, that's weird because you're now in the event 00:38:51.040 |
and you're supposed to, but usually the person interviewing 00:38:54.000 |
would be like, okay, it's time for you to go. 00:38:55.920 |
It's more normal, but the normal way to use the room 00:39:02.820 |
and there'll be like, I don't know, Sam Harris, 00:39:05.480 |
Eric Weinstein, I think Joe Rogan showed up to the app, 00:39:11.840 |
Bill Gates, these people on stage just randomly 00:39:14.880 |
just plugged in, and then you'll step up on stage, 00:39:26.840 |
the reason it's a time sink is you don't wanna leave. 00:39:30.000 |
- What I've noticed about exceptionally busy people 00:39:33.420 |
that they love this, I think might have to do 00:39:36.500 |
with the pandemic. - Might be a little bit, yeah. 00:39:38.220 |
- There's a loneliness. - They're all starved. 00:39:47.020 |
Like think of anybody, Tyler, like any faculty. 00:39:52.020 |
- This is like what universities strive to create, 00:39:54.860 |
but it's taken hundreds of years of cultural evolution 00:39:57.700 |
to try to get a lot of interesting, smart people together 00:40:00.660 |
- We have really strong faculty in a room together 00:40:07.180 |
It's like you just show up, there's none of that baggage 00:40:10.140 |
of scheduling and so on, and there's no pressure to leave, 00:40:13.380 |
sorry, no pressure to stay, it's very easy for you to leave. 00:40:16.700 |
You realize that there's a lot of constraints on meetings 00:40:19.220 |
and like faculty, like even stopping by before the pandemic, 00:40:30.140 |
but here there's not a weirdness about leaving. 00:40:38.340 |
it's very fulfilling, I think it's very beneficial, 00:40:52.180 |
I mean, look, there's no, the things that make me suspicious 00:40:56.660 |
So the feed is not full of user generated content 00:41:00.500 |
that is going through some sort of algorithmic rating 00:41:02.340 |
process with all the weird incentives and nudging that does. 00:41:05.780 |
And you're not producing content that's being harvested 00:41:11.260 |
I mean, it seems like it's more ephemeral, right? 00:41:40.100 |
but it seems, why are reporters negative about this? 00:41:44.700 |
called "Unfettered Conversations Happening on Clubhouse." 00:41:52.020 |
that there's some negative vibes from the press. 00:41:58.500 |
well, I'll tell you what the article was saying, 00:42:00.980 |
which is they're having cancelable conversations, 00:42:13.500 |
by saying that you guys are looking for clickbait 00:42:19.260 |
And so I think, honestly, the press is just like, 00:42:25.500 |
We can't, first of all, it's a lot of work for the, 00:42:31.380 |
which is like, this is skipping the journalist. 00:42:39.740 |
would be with somebody who's like a journalist 00:42:45.140 |
It'd be a good introduction for you to try it, 00:42:47.280 |
but the way to use Clubhouse is you just show up 00:43:03.660 |
I don't know, Max Tegmark, just major faculty 00:43:10.940 |
oh, don't you have a book coming out or something? 00:43:15.700 |
'cause you have to go get coffee and go to the bathroom. 00:43:18.160 |
So like, that's the, it's not the journalistic, 00:43:21.000 |
you're not gonna actually enjoy the interview as much 00:43:31.160 |
- Like I'm doing an event next week for the book launch 00:43:33.800 |
where it's like Jason Fried and I are talking about email, 00:43:39.080 |
there'll be like a thousand people who are there 00:43:49.020 |
and then someone else jumps in and yeah, that's interesting. 00:44:05.940 |
like even the huge rooms are like just a few thousand. 00:44:17.120 |
And if you let one invite, be gets two invites, 00:44:19.480 |
be gets four invites, be pretty soon it'll be everyone. 00:44:22.200 |
And then the rooms in your feed are gonna be whatever, 00:44:38.560 |
because they just have a much larger user base 00:44:49.300 |
this particular implementation in its early stages 00:44:53.340 |
it doesn't have the context switching problem. 00:44:58.500 |
You'll just switch to it and you'll be stuck. 00:45:04.380 |
- But then I think the best way I've found to use it 00:45:07.660 |
is to acknowledge that these things pull you in. 00:45:24.360 |
I'll just like play a little bit of a podcast 00:45:32.840 |
And then the other problem that you'll experience 00:45:37.520 |
and then they'll be like, oh Lex, come on up. 00:45:43.440 |
And then it takes a lot for you to go like to ignore that. 00:45:49.280 |
- And then you pulled in and it's fascinating 00:45:58.160 |
The reason I brought it up is there's a room, 00:46:04.120 |
and I brought you up and I brought David Goggins 00:46:09.700 |
which is my passion goes up and down, it dips. 00:46:17.700 |
to tell me whether I'm getting close to burnout 00:46:24.820 |
I kind of go with the David Goggins model of, 00:46:28.260 |
I mean, he's probably more applying it to running, 00:46:30.260 |
but when it feels like your mind can't take any more, 00:46:44.620 |
but it is remarkable that if you just take it 00:46:53.380 |
If you just trust the process and you just keep following, 00:46:55.860 |
even if the passion goes up and down and so on, 00:47:14.220 |
Sometimes it's in-phase and that's a problem, 00:47:22.740 |
And so when you add those two waves together, 00:47:25.780 |
And then in other periods, like on my writing, 00:47:32.420 |
So having two things that can counteract each other. 00:47:35.980 |
Now, sometimes they fall into sync and then it gets rough. 00:47:41.780 |
good periods, bad periods with all this stuff. 00:47:43.300 |
So typically they don't coincide, so it helps compensate. 00:47:47.620 |
When they do coincide, you get really high highs, 00:47:56.420 |
you feel like you're nowhere with your writing, 00:48:00.740 |
- Is, do you think about the concept of burnout? 00:48:04.060 |
'Cause I, so I personally have never experienced burnout 00:48:08.300 |
which is like, it's not just the up and down, 00:48:11.740 |
it's like, you don't wanna do anything ever again. 00:48:15.620 |
- It's like, for some people it's like physical, 00:48:24.840 |
like writing about students and student advice, 00:48:27.460 |
it came up a lot with students at elite schools, 00:48:40.540 |
- Like, this is due, and the professor gives you an extension 00:48:44.340 |
and says, "You got it, you were gonna fail the course, 00:48:46.140 |
"you have to hand this in," and they can't do it. 00:48:52.460 |
And so I used to counsel students who had that issue, 00:48:58.700 |
is you have just the physical and cognitive difficulties 00:49:01.380 |
of they're usually under a very hard load, right? 00:49:03.700 |
They're doing too many majors, too many extracurriculars, 00:49:07.500 |
and the motivation is not sufficiently intrinsic. 00:49:14.460 |
so a lot of these kids, like when I'm dealing with MIT kids, 00:49:16.740 |
they would be, their whole town was shooting off fireworks 00:49:33.180 |
the extrinsic end of the spectrum, and you have hardship. 00:49:36.660 |
And you could just fritz out the whole system. 00:49:38.840 |
And so I would always be very worried about that, 00:49:41.900 |
I do a lot of multi-phase or multi-scale seasonality. 00:49:55.180 |
and in the day I'll go really hard on something, 00:49:57.900 |
So like every scale, it's all about rest and recovery. 00:50:01.900 |
'Cause I really wanna avoid that, and I do burn out. 00:50:03.620 |
I burnt out, pretty recently I get minor burnt outs. 00:50:06.620 |
I got a couple papers that I was trying to work through 00:50:17.500 |
and it just knocks out, and I get sick usually, 00:50:24.460 |
then after this book launch, I'm pulling it back again. 00:50:26.700 |
So seasonality for rest and recovery, I think is crucial. 00:50:48.800 |
I feel the right exact ways of seasonality is the, 00:50:55.180 |
but you always have multiple seasons operating. 00:51:00.140 |
'cause when you have a lot of cool shit going on, 00:51:02.820 |
there's always at least one thing that's a source of joy. 00:51:10.900 |
and I've known people that suffer from depression too, 00:51:29.940 |
If you don't have it, you have to contrive it. 00:51:37.300 |
I mean, look, I started a podcast during the pandemic. 00:52:10.780 |
Find something in your environment, in your surroundings, 00:52:22.980 |
It's like an uncomfortable meditation on boredom. 00:52:30.000 |
I just bought three books on boredom the other day. 00:52:41.120 |
I might do it as an article first, but as a book. 00:52:43.580 |
Like, okay, I need something cool to be thinking about. 00:52:46.760 |
Because I was worried about, like, I don't know. 00:52:56.040 |
and I'm beginning a whole sort of intellectual exploration. 00:53:00.200 |
- Well, I think that's one of the profound ideas 00:53:03.000 |
in deep work that you don't expand on too much is boredom. 00:53:08.360 |
- Yeah, well, so deep work had a superficial idea 00:53:19.720 |
you have to have some boredom in your regular schedule, 00:53:21.720 |
or your mind is gonna form a Pavlovian connection 00:53:24.960 |
between as soon as I feel boredom, I get stimuli. 00:53:30.800 |
So there's this very pragmatic treatment of boredom 00:53:37.880 |
because otherwise you can't write for three hours. 00:53:41.780 |
But more recently, what I'm really interested in boredom 00:53:50.960 |
that are incredibly uncomfortable, like hunger or thirst. 00:53:53.240 |
They serve a really important purpose for our species, right? 00:53:56.640 |
Like if something is really distressing, there's a reason. 00:53:59.960 |
because we need to worry about getting injured. 00:54:11.480 |
that boredom is about driving us towards productive action. 00:54:19.160 |
Like what got us to actually take advantage of these brains? 00:54:24.400 |
What got us to start shaping stones and the hand axes 00:54:27.660 |
and figuring out if we could actually sharpen a stick 00:54:29.680 |
sharp enough that we could throw it as a melee weapon 00:54:32.320 |
or a distance weapon for hunting mammoth, right? 00:54:37.960 |
So now I'm fascinated by this fundamental action instinct 00:54:41.480 |
because I have this theory that I'm working on 00:54:58.600 |
it's like a cognitive action obesity type things 00:55:05.720 |
And then we're really frustrated we can't do them. 00:55:11.560 |
well, what would be the ideal amount of stuff to do 00:55:26.520 |
to be as in touch with that as like paleo people 00:55:28.640 |
are trying to get their diets in touch with that. 00:55:37.560 |
I was talking about on the show and I was like, 00:55:39.320 |
well, I keep trying to learn about animals and boredom. 00:55:44.600 |
about what we know about human boredom versus animal boredom. 00:55:52.280 |
So I can get through the wave that's low of like, 00:55:54.160 |
I don't know about this pandemic book launch. 00:56:09.320 |
'cause I didn't even realize that it's so simple. 00:56:21.200 |
Like I probably have an unhealthy relationship with food. 00:56:24.680 |
I don't know, but there's probably a perfect, 00:56:28.480 |
that's a nice way to think about diet as action. 00:56:36.520 |
to the experience that our body's telling us, 00:56:40.340 |
the signal that our body's sending, which is hunger. 00:56:43.280 |
And in that same way, boredom is sending a signal. 00:56:46.840 |
And most of our intellectual activities in this world, 00:57:04.200 |
- Right, it's like, oh, we'll satisfy that hyper-palatably 00:57:29.620 |
Just eating one meal a day and primarily meat. 00:57:33.800 |
But it's very, fasting has been incredible for me, 00:57:42.680 |
Okay, we'll put on a chart what makes me feel good. 00:57:45.680 |
And that fasting and eating primarily a meat-based diet 00:57:52.500 |
And so, but that ultimately, what fasting did, 00:57:57.800 |
I haven't fasted super long yet, like a seven-day diet, 00:58:17.720 |
It's like a little signal that sends you stuff. 00:58:30.480 |
So like food is a thing that pacifies the signal. 00:58:44.140 |
it's similar to the deep work embrace boredom. 00:58:47.360 |
Fasting allowed me to go into mode of listening, 00:58:52.080 |
that I could say I have an unhealthy appreciation of fruit. 00:59:05.960 |
2000 calories of cherries versus 2000 calories of steak. 00:59:13.300 |
maybe just a little bit of like green beans or cauliflower, 00:59:17.180 |
I'm going to feel really good, fulfilled, focused, and happy. 00:59:24.460 |
I'm going to wake up behind a dumpster crying with like, 00:59:32.300 |
- And just like bloated, just not, and unhappy. 00:59:46.220 |
but when I introduce carbs into the system, too many carbs, 00:59:53.020 |
I go into this roller coaster as opposed to a calm boat ride 00:59:56.020 |
along the river in the Amazon or something like that. 01:00:05.940 |
I guess that's what meditation a little bit is. 01:00:11.020 |
I had a book out called "Digital Minimalism." 01:00:13.540 |
And one of the things I was recommending that people do 01:00:21.900 |
anything that captures your attention and dispels boredom. 01:00:26.420 |
And people were thinking like, oh, this is a detox. 01:00:32.780 |
but it really wasn't what I was interested in. 01:00:42.540 |
and revel in it a little bit and start to listen to it 01:00:45.140 |
and say, what is this really pushing me towards? 01:00:49.460 |
the new technology off the table and sort of ask, 01:00:53.220 |
Like, what's the activity equivalent of 2000 calories of meat 01:00:57.300 |
with a little bit of green beans on the side? 01:00:59.380 |
And I had 1700 people go through this experiment, 01:01:04.340 |
but then they get used to listening to themselves 01:01:09.740 |
And it was pushing people towards connection. 01:01:15.580 |
It was pushing people towards high quality leisure activities 01:01:19.340 |
like I want to go do something that's complicated. 01:01:25.140 |
but then it completely rewired how they thought about 01:01:28.780 |
what do I want to do with my time outside of work? 01:01:30.780 |
And then the idea is when you're done with that, 01:01:37.420 |
You're not just trying to abstain from things you don't like 01:01:39.860 |
but that's basically a listening to boredom experiment. 01:01:48.860 |
Okay, so if I can't do that, where is it gonna drive me? 01:01:52.020 |
Well, I guess I kind of want to go to the library, 01:01:58.300 |
- Physical books, so you can just go borrow them. 01:02:03.180 |
and you bring them home and then you read them 01:02:27.740 |
And it's working backwards from what's important. 01:02:30.700 |
So it's, you figure out what you're actually all about, 01:02:48.980 |
really figuring out what do I actually want to do? 01:02:55.540 |
you can bring back in tech very strategically 01:03:01.860 |
than when people take a abstention only approach. 01:03:16.260 |
I'm going to spend less time looking at Instagram, 01:03:20.580 |
So we're much less likely at trying to reduce 01:03:23.100 |
this sort of amorphous negative because in the moment, 01:03:27.220 |
And it would be kind of interesting to look at it now. 01:03:30.780 |
because you have a positive that you're aiming towards, 01:03:35.860 |
Here's the role that tech plays in that life. 01:03:39.140 |
The connection to wanting your life to be like that 01:03:43.700 |
yeah, like using Instagram is not part of my plan 01:03:49.060 |
So it turns out to be a much more sustainable way 01:04:08.940 |
how can I integrate them to maximize the thing 01:04:11.940 |
- Yeah, or what makes me happy unrelated to technology? 01:04:14.500 |
Like, what do I actually, what do I want my life to be like? 01:04:16.300 |
Well, maybe what I want to do is be outside of nature 01:04:23.180 |
and then have some sort of intellectually engaging 01:04:31.700 |
Like you create this picture and then you go back and say, 01:04:36.580 |
because that's how I keep up with my cycling group. 01:04:42.820 |
And well, I'm an artist, so I kind of need Instagram 01:04:46.260 |
But if I know that's why I'm using Instagram, 01:04:48.180 |
I don't need it on my phone, it's just on my computer. 01:04:49.980 |
And I just follow 10 artists and check it once a week. 01:04:54.060 |
It was the number one thing that differentiated 01:04:58.220 |
sustainably making changes and getting through the 30 days 01:05:04.580 |
Like, let me try to figure out what's positive. 01:05:07.500 |
They were much more successful than the people 01:05:09.180 |
that just said, I'm sick of using my phone so much. 01:05:14.100 |
I just gotta, I just gotta get away from it or something. 01:05:21.060 |
- Do you find that a lot of people going through this process 01:05:24.340 |
will seek to basically arrive at a similar place 01:05:32.460 |
So about half when they went through this exercise, 01:05:36.700 |
You know, this is just, they sent me reports and yeah. 01:05:43.380 |
So roughly half probably got rid of social media altogether. 01:05:50.140 |
I don't, social media is not the tools that's really helping. 01:05:53.580 |
The other half kept some, there were some things 01:05:56.060 |
in their life where some social media was useful. 01:05:59.060 |
But the key thing is, if they knew why they were deploying 01:06:01.180 |
social media, they could put fences around it. 01:06:04.380 |
So for example, of those half that kept some social media, 01:06:14.660 |
It's like, once you know this is why I'm using Twitter, 01:06:16.940 |
then you can have a lot of rules about how you use Twitter. 01:06:19.180 |
And suddenly you take this cost benefit ratio 01:06:21.660 |
and it goes like way from the company's advantage 01:06:25.820 |
- It's kind of fascinating 'cause I've been torn 01:06:28.700 |
with social media, but I did this kind of process. 01:06:33.740 |
I'll do it for like a week at a time and regularly 01:06:36.100 |
and thinking what kind of approach to Twitter works for me. 01:06:41.100 |
I'm distinctly aware of the fact that I really enjoy 01:06:51.160 |
And at that time checking from the previous post, 01:06:55.060 |
it makes me feel, even when there's negative comments, 01:07:01.340 |
And when there's positive comments, it makes you smile. 01:07:06.140 |
especially if people I know, but even just in general, 01:07:12.220 |
Okay, when you increase that from checking from two to, 01:07:15.380 |
like, I don't know what the threshold is for me, 01:07:21.940 |
like where negative comments will actually stick 01:07:25.620 |
to me mentally and positive comments will feel more shallow. 01:07:34.660 |
So I've been trying to, there's been long stretches 01:07:43.300 |
where I did just post and check, post and check. 01:07:49.020 |
Most of 2020 I did that, it made me really happy. 01:07:57.980 |
where you check it like, I don't know what that number is, 01:08:07.300 |
- And it's not even, 'cause I'm very fortunate 01:08:10.380 |
to have a lot of just like positivity in the Twitter, 01:08:16.180 |
I wouldn't even say, I wouldn't even say it's, 01:08:19.860 |
it's probably the thing that you're talking about 01:08:25.820 |
I wouldn't even say it's like a negative feeling. 01:08:27.900 |
It's almost just an exhaustion to where I'm not creating 01:08:30.740 |
anything beautiful in my life, just exhausted. 01:08:36.900 |
But I wonder, do you think it's possible to use, 01:08:42.580 |
to use social media in the way I'm describing, moderation, 01:08:52.340 |
So for people that have a public presence, for example, 01:08:58.820 |
Okay, I post one thing a day and my audience likes it 01:09:02.220 |
and that's kind of it, which, but you've thought through, 01:09:06.940 |
which is like having a sort of informal connection 01:09:16.860 |
- Okay, then you could say, if that's my goal, 01:09:19.740 |
Well, I don't need to be on Twitter on my phone all day. 01:09:32.540 |
He posts one quote every day, usually from a famous Stoic 01:09:38.940 |
He just posts it and it's a very positive thing. 01:09:43.000 |
because it's just like a dose of inspiration. 01:09:46.440 |
he's never interacting with anyone on social media, right? 01:09:52.260 |
what's the best way to use tools to amplify it, 01:09:54.460 |
and then you get advantages out of the tools. 01:09:57.980 |
I looked up your Twitter feed before I came over here. 01:10:09.540 |
And I mean it in a, have you read Neil Postman at all? 01:10:12.340 |
Have you read like "Amusing Ourselves to Death"? 01:10:16.520 |
and wrote a lot about sort of technological determinism. 01:10:20.140 |
So the ways, which is a really influential idea 01:10:22.840 |
to a lot of my work, which is actually a little out 01:10:25.960 |
but the ways that the properties and presence 01:10:43.700 |
what happened when the printed word was widespread 01:10:50.120 |
But this one of these ideas I'm having is like, 01:10:55.140 |
like the degree to which like Twitter in particular, 01:10:58.340 |
just changed the way that people conceptualized what, 01:11:04.180 |
Like it introduced a rhetorical dunk culture, 01:11:06.380 |
or it's sort of more about tribes not giving ground 01:11:15.060 |
when that type of discussion was thought of differently. 01:11:23.580 |
Like there's literally different features in Twitter 01:11:29.540 |
There's so much power in the different choices 01:11:40.580 |
- Yeah, so I'm trying to pull these two things apart. 01:11:49.460 |
One could be a little bit more economic, right? 01:11:53.700 |
The newspapers had to retreat to a paywall model 01:11:55.720 |
because it was the only way they were gonna survive. 01:11:58.580 |
then what you really wanna do is make your tribe, 01:12:01.740 |
which is within the paywall, very, very happy with you. 01:12:05.260 |
But then there's the sort of the determinist point of view, 01:12:07.860 |
which is the properties of Twitter, which were arbitrary. 01:12:10.660 |
Jack and Evan just, whatever, let's just do it this way, 01:12:14.220 |
influenced the very way that people now understand 01:12:19.060 |
I think they kind of started adjusting together. 01:12:22.100 |
I did this thing, I mean, I'm trying to understand this. 01:12:25.380 |
Part of the, I've been playing with the entrepreneurial idea 01:12:30.380 |
that's a very particular dream I've had of a startup 01:12:39.580 |
But more and more, it seems like there's some trajectory 01:12:43.020 |
through creating social media type of technologies, 01:12:47.420 |
very different than what people are thinking I'm doing. 01:12:49.540 |
But it's a kind of challenge to the way that Twitter is done. 01:12:54.540 |
But it's not obvious what the best mechanisms are 01:12:58.740 |
to still make an exceptionally engaging platform, 01:13:08.940 |
that allow you to turn off all likes and dislikes 01:13:26.940 |
I still need the likes to know what's a tweet worth reading. 01:13:34.020 |
It's like great Yelp reviews on tweets or something. 01:13:50.300 |
I don't know how many views a video gets and so on, 01:13:59.540 |
distraction for YouTube is a big one for people. 01:14:04.100 |
because I'm able to control myself on YouTube. 01:14:14.700 |
The negative feelings come from seeing the views 01:14:34.540 |
we need to create actually tooling for ourselves. 01:14:42.340 |
sort of control the experience that they have. 01:14:45.900 |
Well, so my big unified theory on social media 01:14:54.660 |
- I think the moment of three or four major platforms 01:15:01.020 |
Right, so I don't, okay, this is just perspective, right? 01:15:03.820 |
So you can start shorting these stocks on my, 01:15:07.020 |
don't tell Vlad. - It's not financial advice. 01:15:14.780 |
is when they took out the network effect advantage, right? 01:15:20.980 |
especially if something like Facebook or Instagram 01:15:27.740 |
is you can connect to people that you already know. 01:15:31.700 |
So therefore the value of our network grows quadratically 01:15:37.780 |
that there's no way that someone else can catch up. 01:15:40.340 |
But when they shifted and when Facebook took the lead 01:15:42.660 |
of say we're gonna shift towards a newsfeed model, 01:15:45.700 |
they basically said we're going to try to in the moment 01:15:58.260 |
to connect to people digitally to other tools, 01:16:06.460 |
Once it's just a feed that's kind of interesting, 01:16:10.780 |
that can produce interesting content that's diverting. 01:16:13.460 |
And I think that is a much fiercer competition 01:16:29.900 |
And so my sense is we're gonna see a fragmentation 01:16:34.740 |
where if I don't need everyone I know to be on a platform, 01:16:38.460 |
then why not have three or four bespoke platforms I use 01:16:46.500 |
AI or comedy and we've perfected this interface 01:16:50.060 |
and maybe it's like Clubhouse, it's audio or something. 01:16:55.780 |
And that's gonna be wildly more entertaining. 01:16:57.740 |
Like, I mean, I'm thinking about comedians on Twitter. 01:17:04.060 |
for them expressing themselves and being interesting 01:17:06.380 |
that you have all these comedians that are trying to like, 01:17:08.100 |
well, I can do like little clips and little whatever. 01:17:10.020 |
Like, I don't know if there was a long tail social media. 01:17:14.460 |
and there's podcasts and the comedians run podcasts now. 01:17:16.500 |
So this is my thought is that there's really no, 01:17:21.180 |
to having one large platform that everyone is on. 01:17:25.860 |
If all you're getting from it is I now have different 01:17:27.980 |
options for diversion and like uplifting aspirational 01:17:34.540 |
And I think the glue that was holding together 01:17:36.940 |
I don't think they realized that when network effects 01:17:40.020 |
they don't have the centrifugal force anymore 01:17:43.340 |
But is a Twitter feed really that much more interesting 01:17:48.060 |
Is it really that much more interesting than Clubhouse? 01:17:51.060 |
Is it that much more interesting than podcasts? 01:17:58.420 |
But the thing that makes Twitter and Facebook work, 01:18:08.780 |
Like if it's not the social network and it's the newsfeed, 01:18:15.220 |
that are more, that are better at satisfying you? 01:18:17.480 |
There's a dopamine gamification that they've figured out. 01:18:40.220 |
- Or people are turning on that gamification. 01:18:44.500 |
and are getting uncomfortable about it, right? 01:18:46.300 |
So if I'm offering something, these exist out here. 01:18:51.060 |
they're gonna stop eating it. - Yeah, sugar's great. 01:18:53.100 |
but also after a while you realize there's problems. 01:18:56.100 |
So some of the long tail social media networks 01:18:59.820 |
they offer usually like a deeper sense of connection. 01:19:08.180 |
I wrote this New Yorker piece a couple of years ago 01:19:11.580 |
that really got into some of these different technologies. 01:19:14.940 |
But I think the technologies are a distraction. 01:19:18.900 |
Macedon versus, you know, whatever, like forget, 01:19:26.060 |
and there's a lot of these long tail social media groups, 01:19:29.580 |
which I think can outweigh the dopamine gamification 01:19:47.500 |
- One interesting thing about scale of Twitter 01:19:49.860 |
is you have these viral spread of information. 01:19:53.260 |
So sort of Twitter has become a newsmaker in itself. 01:20:05.220 |
- Reporters would have to do some work again, I don't know. 01:20:07.140 |
- No, the problem with reporters and journalism 01:20:14.100 |
I mean, this is the problem in Russia currently 01:20:17.140 |
it creates a shield between the people and the news. 01:20:22.420 |
The interesting thing and the powerful thing about Twitter 01:20:25.100 |
is that the news originates from the individual 01:20:29.020 |
Like you have the president of the United States, 01:20:31.820 |
the former president of the United States on Twitter 01:20:53.020 |
You can just put that announcement on a YouTube type thing. 01:20:56.900 |
So this is my point about that because that's right. 01:20:59.620 |
The democratizing power of the internet is fantastic. 01:21:22.700 |
You have no, what I call distributed curation, right? 01:21:26.980 |
I was a little bit with likes and also the algorithm, 01:21:29.460 |
but if you look back to pre-Web 2.0 or early Web 2.0, 01:21:33.660 |
when a lot of this was happening, let's say on blogs, 01:21:39.180 |
there was this distributed curation that happened 01:21:41.340 |
where in order for your blog to get on people's radar, 01:21:45.340 |
and this had nothing to do with any gatekeepers 01:21:52.020 |
and you would hear about this blog over here. 01:21:56.740 |
So if you think like the 2004 presidential election, 01:22:00.020 |
most of the information people are getting from the internet 01:22:02.220 |
was when the first big internet news driven elections 01:22:05.740 |
was from, you had like the daily costs and drudge, 01:22:09.420 |
but there was like blogs that were out there. 01:22:11.020 |
And this was back, Ezra Klein was just running a blog 01:22:16.260 |
And you would in a distributed fashion gain credibility 01:22:22.580 |
it's very hard to get people to pay attention to your blog, 01:22:24.020 |
they're paying attention, I get linked to this kid Ezra 01:22:34.100 |
when you have a completely homogenized low friction 01:22:36.100 |
environment like friction where, I mean, Twitter, 01:22:38.260 |
where any random conspiracy theory or whatever 01:22:41.140 |
that people like can just shoot through and spread. 01:22:44.620 |
Whereas if you're starting a blog to try to push QAnon 01:22:49.500 |
it's probably gonna be a really weird looking blog. 01:22:52.420 |
like it's just never gonna show up on people's radar, right? 01:22:55.580 |
- So everything you've said up until the very last statement 01:22:59.940 |
- This is a topic I don't know a ton about, I guess. 01:23:17.220 |
You can have, I mean, Hitler could have a blog today 01:23:21.660 |
and he would have potentially a very large following 01:23:24.180 |
if he's charismatic, if he's good with words, 01:23:32.700 |
the anger that people have about a certain thing. 01:23:37.300 |
but it's also the limitation, but that doesn't, 01:23:50.980 |
that guarantees that they will keep existing. 01:23:54.940 |
for a lot of the older generation of internet activists, 01:23:58.180 |
so the people who were very pro-internet in the early days, 01:24:08.540 |
and then build your own version of the internet 01:24:19.980 |
It's the most democratic communication system 01:24:24.260 |
And then these companies came along and said, 01:24:33.780 |
It went completely against the entire motivation 01:24:37.900 |
of the internet, was like, "Yes, it's not gonna be 01:24:45.100 |
because we all agree on a standard set of protocols." 01:24:53.940 |
"Let's build private versions of the internet. 01:25:01.740 |
- Well, it's funny enough, I don't know if you follow, 01:25:07.580 |
and is helping to fund, create fully distributed versions 01:25:18.540 |
like business cases to be made there, I'm not sure. 01:25:23.660 |
as opposed to creating a bunch of, like the long tail, 01:25:33.220 |
- Yeah, which is-- - Which is what the internet is. 01:25:37.860 |
I'm thinking it's like the text's not so important. 01:25:42.660 |
I know where the tech they use to actually implement 01:25:47.620 |
they might use Slack, they might use some combination 01:26:00.700 |
because then the engineers need it all to make, 01:26:02.260 |
I get it because I'm a nerd like this, like, okay, 01:26:03.940 |
every standard has to fit with everything else 01:26:07.420 |
Meanwhile, you have this group of bike enthusiasts 01:26:10.540 |
that are like, yeah, we'll just jump on a Zoom 01:26:15.740 |
Like we built a world with our own curation, our own rules, 01:26:33.460 |
I mean, Facebook was savvy to buy other properties 01:26:40.780 |
Everyone under the age of something were using it 01:26:42.980 |
and no one under a certain age is using it now. 01:26:47.500 |
- I believe people can leave Facebook overnight. 01:26:51.820 |
- Like I think Facebook hasn't actually messed up 01:27:00.620 |
and there's no good alternative for them to leave. 01:27:07.620 |
This stuff is a lot more culturally fragile, I think. 01:27:14.260 |
that was in the sort of political sphere anyways 01:27:31.420 |
about the pandemic is all these weird arbitrary rules 01:27:34.100 |
where people are screenshotting pictures of articles 01:27:48.380 |
And I know it's 'cause it's the gamified dopamine hits, 01:27:52.300 |
There's no reason for us to have these threads 01:27:55.460 |
that you have to find and pin when you screenshot. 01:27:57.860 |
I mean, we have technology to communicate better 01:28:00.540 |
I mean, why are epidemiologists having to do tweet threads? 01:28:23.140 |
And so it's almost like the people are innovating 01:28:33.660 |
And so at the point the gap grows sufficiently, 01:28:39.540 |
a few innovative folks will just create an alternative 01:28:42.580 |
and perhaps distributed, perhaps just many little silos 01:28:49.020 |
and then we'll just continue in this kind of way. 01:28:50.660 |
- But see, I think like Substack, for example, 01:28:53.660 |
among other things, is the audience that was, 01:28:58.900 |
but slightly left of center, don't like Trump, 01:29:03.060 |
uncomfortable with like postmodern critical theories 01:29:12.380 |
because I was feeling a little bit like a nerd about it. 01:29:14.220 |
But honestly, I'd probably rather subscribe to four subs, 01:29:16.820 |
you know, I'm gonna have like Barry's and Andrew Sullivan's, 01:29:20.740 |
like I'll have a few Substacks I can subscribe to. 01:29:22.820 |
And honestly, I'm a knowledge worker who's 32 anyways, 01:29:28.100 |
And so like there's an innovation that's gonna, 01:29:30.180 |
that group, you know, it's gonna suck them off. 01:29:36.380 |
And then once Trump's gone, I guess that's probably gonna, 01:29:38.700 |
that drove a lot of more like Trump people off Twitter. 01:29:47.020 |
'cause I've hung out on Parler for a short amount enough 01:29:50.660 |
to know that the interface matters, it's so fascinating. 01:30:01.220 |
creating a pleasant experience, addicting experience. 01:30:06.620 |
And it's why the, this is one of the conclusions 01:30:18.860 |
the social media companies have spent a lot of money on this 01:30:21.060 |
and to some degree, it's a survivorship bias, right? 01:30:23.940 |
I think Twitter, every time I hear Jack talks about this, 01:30:26.860 |
it seems like he's as surprised as anyone else 01:30:31.100 |
I mean, it's basically the way they had it years ago. 01:30:36.100 |
And then it was a great, it'll be statuses, right? 01:30:53.460 |
like the crappy version of JavaScript in 10 days, 01:30:55.780 |
threw it out there and just changed it really quickly. 01:31:00.340 |
Evolved it really quickly and now has become, 01:31:04.220 |
the most popular programming language in the world. 01:31:06.140 |
It drives most of the internet and even the backend 01:31:10.980 |
And so that's an argument for the kind of thing 01:31:14.180 |
you're talking about where the bike club people 01:31:17.300 |
could literally create the thing that would run 01:31:48.740 |
- That's like the number one thing you could do 01:31:53.500 |
- So the thing you have to kind of think about 01:32:03.060 |
I mean, some people are saying clubhouse is that. 01:32:05.060 |
There's been a lot of stuff like clubhouse before, 01:32:29.100 |
Like, fear that you're missing something really profound 01:32:46.700 |
Like you literally can't do anything except unmute. 01:32:51.780 |
and there's a leave quietly button, and that's it. 01:32:59.580 |
- There's no like, there's no, it's just like trivial. 01:33:10.260 |
But they've evolved quickly to add all these features 01:33:21.100 |
so one of the issues with a lot of these platforms, 01:33:26.740 |
that we don't really need a unicorn investor model. 01:33:42.140 |
So because it was gonna require this much seed 01:33:45.740 |
and you're not gonna get this much seed angel investment 01:33:48.380 |
unless you can have a potential exit this wide, 01:33:57.420 |
and you don't need to satisfy that investor model, 01:34:04.300 |
You don't necessarily, so even like with clubhouse, 01:34:07.500 |
So this notion of like, this needs to be a major platform. 01:34:10.620 |
But the bike club doesn't necessarily need a major platform. 01:34:16.900 |
That's the only problem that bets against me, 01:34:27.980 |
where it even found that capital in the world 01:34:30.380 |
that it could concentrate and ossify in the stock price 01:34:32.540 |
that a very small number of people have access to, right? 01:34:37.260 |
So when there is a possibility to consolidate 01:34:45.860 |
- But there's a lot of money in the bike club, 01:35:00.620 |
Or we're gonna repurpose off the shelf stuff. 01:35:03.700 |
- That's not, yeah, we're gonna repurpose whatever. 01:35:07.780 |
and like the clubs using Slack just to build out these. 01:35:17.500 |
- You wrote yet another amazing book, "A World Without Email." 01:35:28.260 |
which is the concept you opened the book with. 01:35:35.060 |
So I think, so I called this book "A World Without Email." 01:35:40.980 |
"A World Without the Hyperactive Hive Mind Workflow," 01:35:47.740 |
I was trying to answer the question after Deep Work, 01:35:52.780 |
Like if this is so valuable, if we can produce much higher, 01:35:55.620 |
people are much happier, why do we check email a day? 01:36:04.220 |
And so my initial interviews were done in 2016. 01:36:06.780 |
So it took five years to pull the threads together. 01:36:14.420 |
to do this stuff that actually moves the needle. 01:36:19.940 |
that's why it took me so long to pull it together, 01:36:28.580 |
between like 1990 and 1995, it makes its move, right? 01:36:34.060 |
It was replacing existing communication technologies 01:36:37.660 |
It was mainly the fax machine, voicemail, and memos, right? 01:36:41.700 |
So it was a killer app because it was useful. 01:36:53.460 |
that went through Western Europe for the black pig. 01:36:57.840 |
in its wake came the hyperactive hive mind workflow, 01:37:07.300 |
Just boom, boom, boom, let's go back and forth. 01:37:18.140 |
And the need to keep up with all of these asynchronous 01:37:28.140 |
to check more and more and more and more, right? 01:37:30.340 |
And so by the time, and I go through the numbers, 01:37:34.940 |
has to check one of these channels once every six minutes. 01:37:37.420 |
Because every single thing you do in your organization, 01:37:51.300 |
and it has sort of devolved a lot of work in the office now 01:37:54.180 |
to all I do is constantly tend communication channels. 01:38:00.740 |
is nobody ever paused in this whole evolution 01:38:05.740 |
to try to create a system that actually works. 01:38:08.740 |
That it was kind of like a huge fan of cellular automata. 01:38:13.060 |
So it just kind of started a very simple mechanism, 01:38:20.540 |
all the fundamental communication of how we do business 01:38:29.740 |
So this goes back to technological determinism. 01:38:41.540 |
but I got real into this technological determinism, right? 01:38:44.780 |
This notion that just the presence of a technology 01:38:54.260 |
So I document this example in IBM 1987, maybe 85, 01:39:09.380 |
And so I talked to the engineer who ran the study, 01:39:14.800 |
because it was still an era where it's expensive, right? 01:39:20.880 |
Like we wanna know how much communication actually happens. 01:39:24.220 |
How many memos, how many calls, how many notes? 01:39:26.400 |
Great, we'll provision a mainframe to handle email 01:39:29.940 |
So if all of our communication moves to email, 01:39:36.060 |
People were communicating six times more than that estimate. 01:39:41.200 |
the presence of a low friction digital communication tool 01:39:44.420 |
drastically changed how everyone collaborated. 01:39:46.600 |
So that's not enough time for an all hands meeting. 01:39:51.140 |
This is what we need to communicate a lot more 01:39:57.540 |
- Isn't that just on the positive end, amazing to you? 01:40:09.620 |
Like, people say that there's a lot of problems with emails, 01:40:13.500 |
just like people say a lot of problems with Twitter 01:40:15.860 |
It's kinda cool that you can just send a little note. 01:40:19.940 |
So I wrote a, this originally was a New Yorker piece 01:40:23.820 |
from a year or two ago called "Was Email a Mistake?" 01:40:34.400 |
So it was the problem of fast asynchronous communication. 01:40:41.060 |
We got large offices, synchronous communication, 01:40:43.400 |
like let's get on the phone at the same time, 01:40:45.840 |
there's too many people you might have to talk to. 01:40:48.160 |
Asynchronous communication, like let me send you a memo 01:40:50.580 |
when I'm ready and you can read it when you're ready, 01:40:54.980 |
So one of the things I talked about is the way that 01:40:58.940 |
there was such a need for fast asynchronous communication 01:41:02.100 |
that they built a pneumatic powered email system. 01:41:05.100 |
They had these pneumatic tubes all throughout 01:41:07.020 |
the headquarters with electromagnetic routers. 01:41:09.660 |
So you would put your message in a plexiglass tube 01:41:12.700 |
and you would turn these brass dials about the location, 01:41:15.220 |
you would stick it in these things and pneumatic tubes 01:41:19.620 |
through these tubes to show up in just a minute or something 01:41:25.940 |
And my point is the fact that they spent so much money 01:41:31.060 |
fast asynchronous communication was to large offices. 01:41:37.900 |
I talked to the researchers who were working on 01:41:39.980 |
computer supported collaboration in the late 80s, 01:41:41.860 |
trying to figure out how are we gonna use computer networks 01:41:44.980 |
And they were building all these systems and tools. 01:41:47.180 |
Email showed up, it just wiped all that research 01:41:53.420 |
There was no need to build these communication platforms. 01:42:05.660 |
You had this miracle productivity silver bullet. 01:42:07.700 |
It spread everywhere, but it was so effective. 01:42:12.460 |
I'm sure there's some pandemic metaphor here, 01:42:15.360 |
analogy here of a drug that like is so effective 01:42:19.060 |
your whole immune system and then everyone gets sick. 01:42:21.020 |
- Well, ultimately it probably significantly increased 01:42:24.680 |
but there's a kind of hump that it now has plateaued. 01:42:28.060 |
And then the fundamental question you're asking is like, 01:42:47.000 |
I subscribe to the hypothesis that the hyperactive hive mind 01:42:51.520 |
So yeah, it helped productivity at first, right? 01:42:53.840 |
When you could do fast asynchronous communication, 01:42:56.480 |
but very quickly there was a sort of exponential rise 01:43:00.980 |
Once we got to the point where the hive mind meant 01:43:12.940 |
That metric has been stagnating for a long time now 01:43:19.180 |
is that we added these extra shifts off the books. 01:43:22.540 |
I'm gonna work for three hours in the morning, 01:43:27.460 |
to basically maintain a stagnated non-industrial growth. 01:43:37.000 |
these hundred billion dollar ubiquitous worldwide 01:43:44.820 |
Like, why did our productivity not shoot off the charts? 01:43:49.460 |
- So it's fundamentally back to the context switching. 01:43:54.740 |
What is it about email that forces context switching? 01:44:03.860 |
I think we've seen this through a personal will 01:44:19.100 |
I think I would rather use POP3 than a fax protocol. 01:44:24.980 |
The issue is the hyperactive hive mind workflow. 01:44:27.020 |
So if I am now collaborating with 20 or 30 different people 01:44:35.220 |
It's like you have 30 metaphorical ping pong tables. 01:44:45.580 |
It's not the tool, it's the fact that we use it 01:44:49.900 |
which means you can't be far from checking that 01:44:58.020 |
So my whole villain is this hyperactive hive mind workflow. 01:45:05.380 |
but I wanna replace the hyperactive hive mind workflow. 01:45:14.180 |
I quote an anonymous CEO who's pretty well-known 01:45:16.980 |
who says this is gonna be the moon shot of the 21st century. 01:45:20.980 |
There's so much latent productivity that's being suppressed 01:45:24.420 |
because we just figure things out on the fly in email 01:45:27.740 |
I think it's gonna be hundreds of billions of dollars. 01:45:35.480 |
The question is, what does a world without email look like? 01:45:46.900 |
there's these different processes that make up my workday. 01:45:53.460 |
that do useful things for my company or whatever. 01:45:57.980 |
are implicitly implemented with the hyperactive hive mind. 01:46:14.900 |
And by better, I mean a way that's gonna minimize 01:46:16.980 |
the need to have unscheduled back and forth messaging. 01:46:19.220 |
So we actually have to do process engineering. 01:46:22.020 |
This created a massive growth in productivity 01:46:24.300 |
in the industrial sector during the 20th century. 01:46:32.620 |
that doesn't require us to send messages back and forth. 01:46:38.540 |
I don't have to just send you a message on the fly. 01:46:45.180 |
And now you don't have to check it every six minutes. 01:46:50.380 |
but we're not coordinating or collaborating over email 01:46:52.700 |
or Slack, which is just a faster way of doing the hive mind. 01:46:57.860 |
You have better structured bespoke processes. 01:47:05.580 |
if for example, you and I exchanged some emails. 01:47:07.620 |
So obviously I, for, let's just say my particular case, 01:47:23.740 |
just like email was a protocol for helping us 01:47:31.020 |
- I mean, I think ultimately the whole organization, 01:47:35.380 |
I think ultimately there's certainly a lot of investor money 01:47:37.740 |
being spent right now to try to figure out those tools. 01:47:40.460 |
So I think Silicon Valley has figured this out 01:47:47.220 |
and now five years later is this scent is in the air. 01:47:59.620 |
use things like Trello or Basecamp or Asana or Flow 01:48:14.300 |
I have a pro, we're trying to come up with a process 01:48:24.020 |
In fact, some of these things are gonna take more time. 01:48:26.020 |
So writing a letter to someone is like a high value activity 01:48:30.940 |
The thing that's killer is the back and forth. 01:48:38.540 |
but like most of the interviews I was scheduling for this, 01:48:52.780 |
And it takes more time in the moment than just, 01:48:54.980 |
but it means that we have almost no back and forth messaging 01:49:11.740 |
- I suppose it is up to the individual people involved. 01:49:23.540 |
Like how, always asking the first principles question, 01:49:28.300 |
- Yeah, so you can start by doing this yourself, 01:49:32.700 |
I think ultimately once the teams are doing that, 01:49:36.460 |
If you try to do that at the organizational scale, 01:49:46.900 |
that's too much remove and you get bureaucracy. 01:49:50.980 |
that's working together on whatever powertrain software, 01:50:05.620 |
So you are being destructive to the productivity of the team 01:50:12.540 |
as opposed to helping develop a process and so on 01:50:20.780 |
- That's why I'm trying to spread this message 01:50:25.460 |
I think we underestimate how much it kills us 01:50:35.180 |
to have to take their attention off something 01:50:38.180 |
And if they have to do that for three or four times, 01:50:40.380 |
like we're just gonna figure this out on the fly 01:50:42.140 |
and every message is gonna require five checks 01:50:45.540 |
Now you've created whatever it is at this point, 01:50:50.220 |
Like you've just done a huge disservice to someone's day. 01:50:52.820 |
This would be like if I had a professional athlete, 01:50:57.060 |
But to get there, you're gonna have to carry this sandbag 01:51:04.660 |
to do like an incredibly physically demanding thing 01:51:08.660 |
but something as easy as thoughts, question mark, 01:51:13.260 |
and it's gonna be six back and forth messages 01:51:15.820 |
It's kind of the cognitive equivalent, right? 01:51:19.580 |
- Yeah, and by the way, for people who are listening, 01:51:26.500 |
And one of the things that people are surprised 01:51:29.700 |
is how many spreadsheets and processes are involved. 01:51:33.420 |
I talked about communication theory or information theory. 01:51:36.340 |
It takes time to come up with a clever code upfront. 01:51:46.260 |
So over time, you're using much less bandwidth, right? 01:51:52.300 |
It's quicker just right now to send an email. 01:51:56.140 |
over the next six months, I've saved myself 600 emails. 01:52:00.220 |
- Now, here's a tough question for, you know, 01:52:19.700 |
that sometimes you just enjoy that process in itself 01:52:27.280 |
like it has a negative effect on productivity long-term 01:52:31.060 |
because you're too obsessed with the processes. 01:52:41.220 |
that does do this, which is developers, right? 01:52:49.860 |
that are much better than the hyperactive hive mind. 01:52:52.360 |
But man, some of those programmers get pretty obsessive. 01:53:07.300 |
I'm hoping that's just because nerds like me, 01:53:14.220 |
We have to be careful because you can just go down 01:53:17.940 |
Like, so it needs to be, here's how we do it. 01:53:19.760 |
Let's reduce the messages and let's roll, you know? 01:53:26.120 |
if you can get the process just right, right? 01:53:30.580 |
called "The Rise and Fall of Getting Things Done." 01:53:32.820 |
And I profiled this productivity guru named Merlin Mann. 01:53:37.060 |
And I talked about this movement called productivity prong 01:53:44.540 |
that if they could combine their productivity systems 01:53:47.140 |
with software and they could find just the right software, 01:53:50.180 |
just the right configuration where they could offload 01:53:55.500 |
And then they could just sort of crank widgets 01:54:00.860 |
and making decisions about what to work on is hard 01:54:04.740 |
So you have to have this sort of balance between, 01:54:10.900 |
So we got to get rid of the context switches. 01:54:13.900 |
to get rid of the context switches, then get after it. 01:54:17.060 |
- Yeah, there's a psychological process there for me. 01:54:19.500 |
The OCD nature, like I've literally embarrassing enough 01:54:26.260 |
so in many of the processes that involve Python scripts, 01:54:42.100 |
when somebody had a space and maybe capital letters. 01:54:48.020 |
'Cause there's this feeling like something's not perfect. 01:54:56.660 |
you create this programmatic way that's flawless. 01:54:59.100 |
And when everything's working perfectly, it's perfect. 01:55:06.080 |
it has the same stress, like has a lot of the stress 01:55:10.100 |
that you were seeking to escape with the context switching. 01:55:12.940 |
Because you're almost stressing about errors. 01:55:26.820 |
- Yeah, no, I think some of that's just you and I probably. 01:55:34.500 |
And a lot of the processes end up working here 01:55:39.440 |
just email me all the time, we have a weekly call, 01:55:50.100 |
'cause I'm the JavaScript guy in the company. 01:55:51.940 |
Instead of doing it by email, I have office hours. 01:55:58.300 |
about this project, we'll have a Trello board, 01:56:02.040 |
and we'll do a weekly really structured status meeting 01:56:04.680 |
real quick, what's going on, who needs what, let's go. 01:56:07.020 |
And now everything's on there and on our inboxes, 01:56:24.660 |
And for those parts where email is still useful, 01:56:29.660 |
what do you recommend those emails look like? 01:56:35.820 |
- Yeah, I think email is good for delivering information. 01:56:40.780 |
Right, so I think about like a fax machine or something. 01:56:47.100 |
I need to broadcast a new policy or something, 01:56:55.660 |
like we're trying to reach a decision on something, 01:56:58.860 |
I'm trying to clarify what something, what this is, 01:57:01.220 |
that's more than just like a one answer type question, 01:57:04.820 |
then I think that you shouldn't be doing an email. 01:57:13.820 |
It's not, so sure, yeah, you have a book coming out, 01:57:25.340 |
- So you could, just for every novel experience, 01:57:27.780 |
it's okay to have a little bit of an exchange. 01:57:30.820 |
Like I think it's fine if stuff comes in over the transom 01:57:33.100 |
or you hear from someone you haven't heard from in a while. 01:57:39.700 |
where it starts to kill us is where all of our collaboration 01:57:43.460 |
So when you've moved the bulk of that out of your inbox, 01:57:56.900 |
- So you're talking about the bulk of the business world 01:58:00.060 |
where like email has replaced the actual communication, 01:58:06.780 |
- Everything is just happening with messages. 01:58:10.980 |
repeatable collaborations with other processes 01:58:14.060 |
that don't require you to check these inboxes, 01:58:17.860 |
which includes hearing from interesting people, right? 01:58:20.860 |
Or sending something, hey, I don't know if you saw this, 01:58:24.700 |
- So there's probably a bunch of people listening to this. 01:58:33.100 |
How do you start the revolution from like the ground up? 01:58:35.900 |
- Yeah, well, do it, do asymmetric optimization first. 01:58:48.260 |
You're just, hey, we gotta get this report ready. 01:58:52.700 |
Like I'll get a draft into our Dropbox folder 01:58:57.900 |
I won't touch it again until Tuesday morning. 01:59:01.540 |
I have this office hours always scheduled Tuesday afternoon. 01:59:03.860 |
So if there's anything that catches your attention, 01:59:09.180 |
that by COB Tuesday, the final version will be ready 01:59:14.900 |
Like the person on the other end is like, great, 01:59:19.260 |
I need to edit this tomorrow, whatever, right? 01:59:21.260 |
But you've actually pulled them into a process. 01:59:22.740 |
That means we're gonna get this report together 01:59:25.900 |
So you just asymmetrically optimize these things 01:59:31.340 |
And maybe that's where my book comes in place. 01:59:32.940 |
You just sort of slide it, slide it across the desk. 01:59:40.220 |
Okay, so we solved the bulk of the email problem with this. 01:59:42.940 |
Is there a case to be made that even for like communication 01:59:45.500 |
between you and I, we should move away from email? 01:59:57.900 |
And that guy, first of all, the sweetest human, 02:00:04.300 |
And he's a big proponent of just pick up the phone and call. 02:00:08.620 |
And it makes me so uncomfortable when people call me. 02:00:10.900 |
It's like, I don't know what to do with this thing. 02:00:14.080 |
But it kind of gets everything done quicker, I think, 02:00:21.220 |
Or is email could still be the most efficient way 02:00:25.100 |
- No, I mean, look, if you have to interact with someone, 02:00:27.620 |
there's a lot of efficiency in synchrony, right? 02:00:30.020 |
And this is something from distributed system theory 02:00:34.740 |
there's a huge amount of overhead to the asynchrony. 02:00:36.660 |
So actually the protocols required to solve things 02:00:39.060 |
in asynchronous networks are significantly more complicated 02:00:44.060 |
So if we can just do real time, it's usually better. 02:00:50.020 |
there's a lot more information in the human voice 02:00:53.820 |
Yeah, if you just call, so very generational, right? 02:00:56.500 |
Like our generation will be comfortable talking on the phone 02:00:59.460 |
in a way that like a younger generation isn't, 02:01:01.460 |
but an older generation is more comfortable with, 02:01:27.580 |
is you have like an interesting problem, right? 02:01:29.180 |
Like really interesting people you can talk to. 02:01:34.740 |
where I'm just afraid of people and get really stressed. 02:01:54.660 |
about the processes is it not only automates, 02:01:59.660 |
sort of automates away the context switching, 02:02:06.580 |
- It's like prioritize, so the thing is with email, 02:02:12.500 |
you can be lazy in the same way with like social networks 02:02:17.260 |
and do the easy things first that are not that important. 02:02:28.180 |
okay, this sounds weird, but like social connection. 02:02:30.380 |
- No, that's one of the most important things 02:02:40.340 |
the more you sacrifice on behalf of the connection, 02:02:44.460 |
So sacrificing non-trivial time and attention 02:02:47.180 |
on behalf of someone is what tells your brain 02:02:52.260 |
which is why social media had this paradoxical effect 02:02:59.860 |
yeah, you've been commenting on this person's whatever, 02:03:02.380 |
you've been retweeting them or sending them some texts, 02:03:11.100 |
where if you talk to them or go spend time with them 02:03:13.300 |
or whatever, you're gonna feel better about it. 02:03:20.700 |
we take a couple minutes to schedule the next. 02:03:23.940 |
it's like I do with haircuts or something, right? 02:03:29.100 |
And so it's like, okay, when do you wanna talk next? 02:03:34.180 |
I just don't call friends and like every 10 years, 02:03:40.980 |
Like I'd murder somebody that they really don't like. 02:03:46.780 |
- Yeah, that's why, oh, this is one of my favorite things. 02:04:01.500 |
I don't know if you listen to Joe Rogan, all those folks, 02:04:13.060 |
like podcasting, because comedians are paving the way 02:04:18.820 |
who's a neuroscientist at Stanford, a friend of mine now. 02:04:35.760 |
of the free spirit of the comedians implemented 02:04:51.340 |
but that results me being able to talk about robotics 02:04:58.680 |
And I, the world is, like, I've seen actually a shift 02:05:28.400 |
They respect, it's like, oh, okay, wait, this is the thing. 02:05:41.660 |
- And we don't, nobody actually knows what that is. 02:05:46.440 |
nobody's figured out, like, where does this medium take? 02:06:05.720 |
- You bring on all these MIT guys who I remember. 02:06:08.280 |
- Well, that's been the big challenge for me is, 02:06:17.680 |
of people like yourself that are really well, 02:06:22.680 |
like, so for example, you have a lot of excellent papers 02:06:25.920 |
on, you know, that has a lot of theory in it, right? 02:06:30.920 |
And there is some temptation to just go through papers. 02:06:35.440 |
And I think it's possible to actually do that. 02:06:37.080 |
I haven't done that much, but I think it's possible. 02:06:43.920 |
that I'm actually, like, in the field I'm aware of. 02:06:48.080 |
But there's a dance that I would love to be able 02:06:51.120 |
to try to hit right, where it's actually getting 02:06:56.960 |
At the same time, there's a large audience of people 02:07:16.680 |
about computer science, even if it's like theory. 02:07:19.320 |
- Yeah, but just like the idea that you can have big ideas, 02:07:27.720 |
Computerphile and Numberphile, these YouTube channels. 02:07:32.720 |
There's channels I watch on chess, exceptionally popular, 02:07:37.240 |
where I don't understand maybe 80% of the time 02:07:45.560 |
But I love the passion and the genius of those people 02:07:52.080 |
- Do you look at Scott Aronson's blog at all? 02:07:57.880 |
but it's just an enthusiasm or like Terry Tao's blog. 02:08:13.040 |
- Well, in the case of Scott Aronson, he's good. 02:08:20.600 |
He keeps the fun, which is the best of kinds of fun. 02:08:27.120 |
Yeah, so, you know, we're exploring these different ways 02:08:30.400 |
of communicating science and exciting the world. 02:08:33.480 |
Speaking of which, I gotta ask you about computer science. 02:08:39.320 |
- So, I mean, a lot of your work is what inspired 02:08:48.800 |
because some of the most rigorous work is mathematical work. 02:08:52.080 |
And in computer science, the theoretical computer science. 02:08:55.040 |
Let me ask the Scott Aronson question of like, 02:08:57.440 |
is there something to you that stands out in particular 02:09:03.440 |
or just really insightful about computer science 02:09:11.240 |
And in particular, what I've always liked in theory 02:09:16.600 |
So, within the context of distributed algorithms, 02:09:21.680 |
The idea that you can argue nothing exists that solves this 02:09:26.040 |
or nothing exists that can solve this faster than this. 02:09:46.280 |
so it's written in English, so it's a very accessible paper. 02:09:53.080 |
He's like, well, if we think about an algorithm, 02:09:55.120 |
I mean, he figures out all effective procedures 02:09:59.560 |
We could really describe a Turing machine with a number, 02:10:05.560 |
and just treat the binary version of the file 02:10:09.400 |
But he's like, every program is just a finite number. 02:10:14.000 |
And then he realized one way to think about a problem 02:10:16.520 |
is you have, and this is kind of the Mike Sipser approach, 02:10:23.440 |
some of them are in the language and some of them aren't, 02:10:31.040 |
that string is in the language and a zero means it isn't. 02:10:33.600 |
And then he applied Cantor from the 19th century and said, 02:10:39.720 |
so it's countably infinite, and infinite binary strings, 02:10:58.760 |
and he figured out the very first computability proof. 02:11:03.720 |
The halting problem can't be solved by an algorithm. 02:11:08.840 |
of some things can't be solved by algorithms, 02:11:21.120 |
is sort of a more, a stricter version of that. 02:11:29.360 |
So you say this algorithm does at least this well 02:11:33.760 |
but you're looking at a particular algorithm. 02:11:40.120 |
So no algorithm could ever solve the halting problem. 02:11:46.120 |
making a conclusive statement about the problem. 02:11:49.360 |
- And that's somehow satisfying 'cause it's-- 02:11:54.920 |
you get back to Plato, it's all reducto ad absurdum. 02:12:00.520 |
because there's an infinite number of solutions, 02:12:02.800 |
You say, let's assume for the sake of contradiction 02:12:06.320 |
that there existed something that solves this problem. 02:12:17.680 |
it's like a really exciting kind of beautiful thing. 02:12:19.760 |
It's what I specialize in within distributed algorithms 02:12:22.080 |
is more like time-bound impossibility results. 02:12:24.840 |
Like no algorithm can solve this problem faster than this 02:12:29.680 |
Of all the infinite number of ways you might ever do it. 02:12:42.720 |
"is that it often leads to extremely strong lower bounds. 02:12:45.540 |
"These strong results motivate a key question. 02:12:58.200 |
"depends on an exact sequence of adversarial changes? 02:13:01.980 |
"Fragile lower bounds leave open the possibility 02:13:05.120 |
"of algorithms that might still perform well in practice." 02:13:11.760 |
and the bounds discussion presents the interesting question. 02:13:15.280 |
I just like the idea of robust and fragile bounds, 02:13:18.440 |
but what do you make about this kind of tension 02:13:25.760 |
like what bounds you can prove that are like robust 02:13:38.120 |
can you say what the hell are dynamic networks? 02:13:47.000 |
So smooth analysis, it's, so it wasn't my idea. 02:13:54.360 |
So just like the normal world of an algorithm 02:13:59.920 |
there's a well-known algorithm called the simplex algorithm, 02:14:12.040 |
I can't guarantee it's gonna work well in practice 02:14:18.960 |
But in practice, it seemed to be really fast. 02:14:20.480 |
So smooth analysis is they came in and they said, 02:14:22.580 |
let's assume that a bad guy chooses the inputs. 02:14:27.880 |
And all we're gonna do, because in simplex, they're numbers. 02:14:30.880 |
We're gonna just randomly put a little bit of noise 02:14:34.640 |
And they showed if you put a little bit of noise 02:14:36.080 |
on the numbers, suddenly simplex algorithm goes really fast. 02:14:41.840 |
this idea that it could sometimes run really long 02:14:44.280 |
was a fragile bound because it could only run 02:14:49.800 |
So then my collaborators and I brought this over 02:14:53.580 |
We brought them over the general lower bounds, right? 02:14:58.160 |
so distributed algorithm is a bunch of algorithms 02:15:05.000 |
So you imagine them connected with network links. 02:15:07.460 |
And a dynamic network, those can change, right? 02:15:09.980 |
So I was talking to you, but now I can't talk to you anymore 02:15:14.020 |
It's a really hard environment, mathematically speaking. 02:15:16.420 |
And there's a lot of really strong lower bounds, 02:15:19.060 |
which you could imagine if the network can change 02:15:28.660 |
- And then you're trying to say something of any kind 02:15:34.780 |
- Yeah, so like, so I just submitted a new paper 02:15:38.340 |
and we were looking at a very simple problem. 02:15:44.220 |
If the network doesn't change, you can do this pretty well. 02:16:00.200 |
there's a way the network can change in such a way 02:16:02.140 |
that just really slows down your progress basically, right? 02:16:13.820 |
in the right way that you needed to screw your algorithm. 02:16:31.660 |
- An anonymous friend of yours submitted a paper. 02:16:37.780 |
Showed that even just adding like one random edge per round, 02:16:43.260 |
the simplest possible solution to this problem 02:16:46.020 |
blows away that lower bound and does really well. 02:16:55.340 |
- I wonder how many lower bounds you can smash open 02:16:59.900 |
with this kind of analysis and show that they're fragile. 02:17:05.660 |
there's a ton of really famous strong lower bounds, 02:17:08.300 |
but things have to go wrong, really, really wrong 02:17:15.660 |
So this whole notion of fragile versus robust, 02:17:22.980 |
then maybe that lower bound wasn't really something 02:17:28.580 |
That's really embarrassing to a lot of people. 02:17:31.500 |
'Cause okay, this is the OCD thing with the spaces 02:17:35.900 |
is it feels really good when you can prove a nice bound. 02:17:57.460 |
It's like, whatever, this was a hard bound to prove. 02:18:07.200 |
So do you think kind of theoretical computer science 02:18:10.740 |
is living in its own world, just like mathematics, 02:18:13.340 |
and their main effort, which I think is very valuable, 02:18:16.300 |
is to develop ideas that's not necessarily interesting, 02:18:21.060 |
- Yeah, we don't care about the applicability. 02:18:46.020 |
"Well, actually we can make this algorithm a lot better 02:18:47.700 |
because in practice, really these servers do XYZ 02:18:53.580 |
I teach theory to the PhD students at Georgetown. 02:19:00.060 |
but it eventually some of this stuff will percolate down 02:19:10.020 |
at the highest philosophical level is fascinating. 02:19:12.380 |
Like if you take a system, a distributed system 02:19:14.980 |
or a network and introduce a little bit of noise into it, 02:19:31.540 |
Like the way we work is we're incredibly precise 02:19:37.540 |
and it's a state machine, algorithms are state machines. 02:19:41.320 |
We're super precise, we can prove lower bounds. 02:19:45.060 |
those impossibility results really get at the hard edges 02:19:50.540 |
So we'll see if this, so we published a paper on this, 02:20:09.340 |
and this shows the mathematical machismo problem 02:20:15.020 |
because there wasn't enough mathematical self-flagellation. 02:20:24.380 |
can have a dramatic, make a dramatic statement 02:20:29.380 |
but once we figured out how to show it, it's not too hard. 02:20:48.780 |
and deep learning and all, like the impact of it, 02:20:52.720 |
in the real world, the main conferences on machine learning 02:20:59.240 |
- I'm not, sort of, and application papers broadly defined, 02:21:16.760 |
- Like those are some of the most popular blogs, 02:21:19.200 |
and yet as a paper, it's not really accepted. 02:21:21.320 |
I wonder what you think about this whole world 02:21:23.400 |
of deep learning from a perspective of theory. 02:21:37.960 |
of what we might discover about neural networks? 02:21:40.080 |
Do you think it's fundamental in engineering discipline, 02:21:47.480 |
in understanding something deep about how system, 02:21:52.160 |
- I am convinced by, is it Tagamart at MIT, who's-- 02:21:58.000 |
So his notion has always been convincing to me 02:22:00.240 |
that the fact that some of these models are inscrutable 02:22:06.880 |
and that we can, we're gonna get better and better, 02:22:09.920 |
the reason why practicing computer scientists 02:22:12.360 |
often who are doing AI, or working in AI industry, 02:22:15.560 |
aren't like worried about so much existential threats 02:22:27.800 |
for God's sakes, before the submission deadline 02:22:31.680 |
like it feels like it's linear algebra and TDM, right? 02:22:36.120 |
But anyways, I'm really convinced with his idea 02:22:42.240 |
it's gonna make it into an engineering discipline. 02:22:52.360 |
into these mathematical kind of elegant equations, 02:22:54.880 |
differentiable equations that just kind of work well. 02:22:57.640 |
And then it's gonna be when I need a little bit of AI 02:23:02.320 |
like let's get a little bit of a pattern recognizer 02:23:08.280 |
so I don't know if this is like a reasonable prediction, 02:23:11.240 |
but that we're gonna, it's gonna become less inscrutable, 02:23:14.120 |
and then it's gonna become more engineerable, 02:23:18.600 |
because we're gonna have a little bit more control 02:23:26.960 |
and there might be some interesting parallels 02:23:41.920 |
One of the problems with the analysis of neural networks 02:23:50.840 |
To be able to interpret and to control different things 02:23:58.120 |
like mathematically, how you form clean representations 02:24:03.120 |
that are like, like one node contains all the information 02:24:09.800 |
is correlated to it, so like it has unique knowledge. 02:24:20.600 |
which is like deeply connected and like dynamic 02:24:25.600 |
and just, you know, hundreds of millions, billions of nodes. 02:24:30.400 |
And in a distributed sense, like when you zoom out, 02:24:46.360 |
when you have a huge collection of distributed things, 02:24:50.440 |
And it's almost like, it feels like it's almost impossible 02:24:54.760 |
to do any kind of theoretical work in the traditional sense. 02:25:02.560 |
you become a biologist as opposed to a theoretician. 02:25:07.720 |
- Yeah, so I think that's the big question, I guess, right? 02:25:10.720 |
Yeah, so is the large size and interconnectedness 02:25:23.400 |
I mean, the human brain learns with much fewer examples 02:25:26.800 |
and with much less tuning of the whatever, whatever, 02:25:32.360 |
those like deep mind networks up and running. 02:25:54.600 |
- And there's a lot of open questions in between there. 02:26:14.120 |
It's possible that a very, what is it a toaster, 02:26:20.640 |
but used by individual humans and controlling their behavior 02:26:29.040 |
- We might have that now, we just don't know. 02:26:40.160 |
if it's a robot with tentacles or a bunch of servers that. 02:26:44.520 |
- Yeah, and the destructive effects could be, 02:26:52.640 |
that the virus, the coronavirus spread on Twitter too, 02:27:06.400 |
And maybe this pandemic wasn't sufficiently dangerous 02:27:08.960 |
to where that could have created a weird instability, 02:27:13.000 |
but maybe other things might create instability. 02:27:19.200 |
And then maybe the destructive aspect of that 02:27:24.920 |
but the way those news are spread on Twitter. 02:27:30.440 |
I mean, I think that's a great case study, right? 02:27:34.320 |
I'm not suggesting that Lexi got let off a nuclear bomb. 02:27:39.280 |
But yeah, I think that's a really interesting case study. 02:27:42.120 |
I'm interested in the counterfactual of 1995, 02:27:59.880 |
would probably necessarily be very sort of localized. 02:28:12.800 |
So even though they had sort of really bad viral numbers 02:28:16.120 |
there, my school I grew up in has been open since the fall 02:28:23.680 |
I live in a school district right now in Montgomery County 02:28:30.000 |
It just can't, it's closed, you know, because it's too. 02:28:33.960 |
Yes, you have all this information moving around. 02:28:40.520 |
that the Neil Postman style effects of Twitter, 02:28:43.520 |
which shifts people into a sort of a dunk culture mindset 02:28:49.880 |
And we're used to this and was fired up by politics 02:28:57.800 |
knowledge, a lot of which was honed during the HIV epidemic 02:29:02.320 |
because a lot of this was happening on Twitter. 02:29:06.200 |
using a don't give an inch to the other team mindset 02:29:10.600 |
that might validate something that was wrong over here. 02:29:14.240 |
then maybe like that'll stop them from doing this. 02:29:16.440 |
That's like very Twittery in a way that in 1995 02:29:19.760 |
is probably not the way public health officials 02:29:40.680 |
which is a dunking culture of don't give any inch 02:29:43.320 |
And it's all about slam dunks where you're completely right 02:29:46.480 |
It's as a rhetorical strategy is incredibly simplistic, 02:29:49.080 |
but it's also the way that we think right now 02:29:52.540 |
It combined terribly with a election year pandemic. 02:29:58.240 |
I wonder if we could do some smooth analysis. 02:30:28.380 |
and you'd be really surprised somebody proves it. 02:30:38.320 |
And what possible universe could P equals NP? 02:30:40.800 |
Is there something insightful you could say there? 02:30:57.800 |
Okay, so here's how I think the P not equals NP proof 02:31:11.640 |
computer science based on just some results I've done, 02:31:22.680 |
but it's happened to me a few times in my work 02:31:26.240 |
well, there's an algorithm and it has this much memory 02:31:31.760 |
And now we're trying to see how fast it can solve a problem. 02:31:37.040 |
that we were just obfuscating some underlying 02:31:44.360 |
I had this paper I was quite fond of a while ago. 02:31:47.400 |
It was looking at this problem called contention resolution 02:31:50.580 |
where you put an unknown set of people on a shared channel 02:31:59.760 |
There's all these bounds people have proven over the years 02:32:12.600 |
All of these lower bound proofs all come from this. 02:32:24.180 |
I found you could take some of these same lower bound proofs 02:32:28.040 |
You could reprove them using Shannon's source code theorem. 02:32:32.240 |
That actually when you're breaking contention, 02:32:34.040 |
what you're really doing is building a code over, 02:32:37.320 |
if you have a distribution on the network sizes, 02:32:41.700 |
And if you plug in a high entropy information source 02:32:44.400 |
and plug in from 1948, the source code theorem 02:32:52.400 |
the exact same lower bounds fall back out again. 02:32:55.800 |
there's some famous lower bounds and distributed algorithms 02:33:02.680 |
And they won the Girdle Prize for working on that. 02:33:05.480 |
So my sense is what's gonna happen is at some point, 02:33:08.360 |
someone really smart, it's gonna be very exciting, 02:33:10.960 |
is gonna realize there's some sort of other representation 02:33:14.720 |
of what's going on with these Turing machines 02:33:19.320 |
- And there'll be an existing mathematical result 02:33:25.360 |
It could be AI theorem provers kind of thing. 02:33:52.480 |
that ultimately leads back to some kind of ancestral, 02:33:55.400 |
few fundamental ideas that all are just like, 02:34:00.320 |
In that sense, do you think math is fundamental 02:34:26.800 |
I mean, I'm probably, I'm in the discovered camp, 02:34:34.240 |
they have a stronger claim to answering that question. 02:34:51.080 |
does this result describe the fundamental reality of nature? 02:34:55.680 |
- So the reason I hesitated, because it's something I'm, 02:35:09.360 |
so physicists use mathematics to explain the universe, 02:35:14.360 |
and it was unreasonable that mathematics works so well. 02:35:26.400 |
the intersection of computer science and biology. 02:35:28.640 |
It's just kind of Wolframium, I guess, really, 02:35:35.000 |
Like if you're trying to explain parsimoniously 02:35:39.400 |
something about like an ant colony or something like this, 02:35:53.220 |
So that's mathematical, but not quite mathematical, 02:35:57.620 |
like a lambda calculus, which brings you back 02:36:01.040 |
So I'm thinking out loud here, but basically, 02:36:04.880 |
abstract math is sort of like unreasonably effective 02:36:11.820 |
I'm not like a super well-known theoretician. 02:36:16.940 |
So even as a sort of middling career theoretician, 02:36:25.440 |
we're solving some problem about computers and algorithms, 02:36:33.200 |
but entropy was really, goes all the way back 02:36:36.800 |
to whatever it was, Boyle, or all the way back 02:36:40.600 |
And it's, anyways, to me, I think it's amazing. 02:36:44.920 |
- Yeah, but it could be the flip side of that 02:36:47.360 |
could be just our brains draw so much pleasure 02:36:53.200 |
and simplifying the universe that we just naturally see 02:36:58.640 |
- Yeah, so that's the whole Newton to Einstein, right? 02:37:10.720 |
And then you get Bohr, like, no, not Einstein. 02:37:16.600 |
- It's hard to also know where a smooth analysis 02:37:18.960 |
fits into all that, where a little bit of noise, 02:37:21.520 |
like you can say something very clean about a system 02:37:27.400 |
like the average case is actually very different. 02:37:29.840 |
And so, I mean, that's where the quantum mechanics comes in. 02:37:32.880 |
It's like, ugh, why does it have to be randomness in this? 02:37:36.160 |
- Yeah, it would have to do this complex statistics. 02:37:50.000 |
and some advice for being more productive at work. 02:37:53.720 |
- Can I ask you just if it's possible to do an overview 02:38:06.960 |
for somebody that wants to write a book like yours, 02:38:12.400 |
a nonfiction book that discovers something interesting 02:38:17.760 |
- So what I usually advise is follow the process as is. 02:38:27.280 |
I think that happens a lot where you'll try to reinvent 02:38:33.000 |
Like this is kind of not like in a business model ways, 02:38:38.200 |
I wanna write a thousand words a day and I wanna do this, 02:38:46.280 |
And so like when I got started writing books, 02:38:52.280 |
the way I did that is I found a family friend 02:38:57.920 |
And I said, "I'm not trying to make you be my agent. 02:39:03.240 |
"but give me the hard truth about how would a 21-year-old, 02:39:06.580 |
"under what conditions could a 21-year-old sell a book 02:39:11.400 |
and have to be a subject that it made sense for you to write. 02:39:14.000 |
And you would have to do this type of writing 02:39:15.320 |
for other publications, the validated and blah, blah, blah. 02:39:22.240 |
And so the rough game plan is with nonfiction, 02:39:26.440 |
and the agent's gonna sell it to the publishers. 02:39:31.040 |
In nonfiction, you're not writing the book first. 02:39:34.280 |
You're gonna get an advance from the publisher once sold. 02:39:37.260 |
And then you're gonna do the primary writing of the book. 02:39:48.000 |
and then the agent sells it to the publishers. 02:39:53.440 |
if you can't get an agent, then why would you? 02:39:56.200 |
and also, the way this works with a good agent is, 02:40:06.040 |
It's not, you're not emailing a manuscript to a slush pile. 02:40:11.120 |
the agent takes a percentage and then the publishers, 02:40:14.640 |
They take also a cut that's probably ridiculous. 02:40:20.980 |
you'll probably be frustrated by the percentage 02:40:43.660 |
like self-publish it or do something like that? 02:40:48.860 |
that wanna publish a book with a main publisher, 02:40:51.320 |
but they invent their own rules for how it works, right? 02:40:54.080 |
- So then the alternative though is self-publishing 02:40:56.400 |
and the downside, there's a lot of downsides. 02:41:00.440 |
It's like, it's almost like publishing an opinion piece 02:41:03.080 |
in the New York Times versus writing on a blog. 02:41:05.560 |
There's no reason why writing a blog post on Medium 02:41:13.560 |
and long-lasting prestige than a New York Times article. 02:41:29.060 |
So, you know, like I push you towards a big publisher 02:41:39.820 |
so there's different ways to measure impact, right? 02:41:51.160 |
the people in the audience are very interesting. 02:42:03.720 |
that are also then starting their own conversations 02:42:13.260 |
you have much better ways of getting to those goals 02:42:25.260 |
wanna get directly to certain audiences or crowds, 02:42:28.780 |
it might be harder through a traditional publisher. 02:42:34.660 |
self-published books not gonna be the most effective way 02:42:40.040 |
I wanna have a, leave a dent in the world of ideas, 02:42:55.660 |
There's so much involved in putting together a book. 02:42:59.980 |
- All this, and from an efficiency standpoint, 02:43:05.520 |
they know people do it. - They have a process, right? 02:43:10.960 |
He started his own imprint and I have a couple other, 02:43:14.960 |
I mean, if you like, if you run a business and you, 02:43:35.720 |
And so it's like, yeah, we can run businesses. 02:43:40.500 |
but for like you or I, we don't run businesses. 02:43:44.800 |
- Well, especially these kinds of businesses, right? 02:43:50.400 |
It's a very different space. - Very different. 02:43:51.240 |
- Very different space. - Very, very different. 02:43:53.400 |
I mean, this is like, okay, I need copy editors 02:44:02.760 |
- I get so, I need to shut this off in my brain, 02:44:12.440 |
Every time I go to the DMV or something like that, 02:44:15.640 |
you'd think like, ah, this could be done so much better. 02:44:18.780 |
- But, you know, and the same thing is the worry 02:44:22.600 |
with an editor, which I guess would come from the publisher, 02:44:26.080 |
like who would, how much supervision on your book 02:44:48.500 |
it depends on the editor and it depends on you. 02:44:51.620 |
So like at this point, I'm on my seventh book 02:44:56.860 |
And at this point I have what I feel like is a voice 02:45:03.860 |
So my editor is not gonna be, she kind of is gonna trust me 02:45:12.820 |
Whereas the first book I wrote when I was 21, 02:45:15.380 |
I had notes such as, you start a lot of sentences with so, 02:45:26.940 |
I had to go back and rewrite the whole thing, yeah. 02:45:37.940 |
and there's a kind of desire to go self-publishing, 02:45:42.060 |
- And the money can be good by the way, right? 02:45:43.380 |
I mean, it's very power law type distributed, right? 02:45:58.620 |
but I, for some reason, really don't like spending money 02:46:20.660 |
- Like the overheads, the number of people involved or- 02:46:26.120 |
the fact that they have this way of speaking, 02:46:34.640 |
Like you could tell they've been having Zoom meetings 02:46:37.780 |
It's like, as opposed to a sort of creative collaborators 02:46:46.540 |
- And I suppose some of that is finding the right people. 02:46:48.160 |
- Finding the right people, that's what I would say. 02:46:49.540 |
I say there's definitely, and maybe it's just good fortune, 02:46:55.980 |
there's really good people who see the vision, 02:47:05.180 |
- Yeah, I had a great editor when I was first moving 02:47:14.660 |
And he was like a senior editor and it was very useful. 02:47:19.180 |
He was like, we had a lot of long talks, right? 02:47:31.020 |
just let's talk about books and his philosophy. 02:47:38.420 |
- Yeah, but I mean, the other frustrating thing 02:47:44.220 |
- Yeah, I suppose that's, you just have to accept that. 02:47:50.380 |
like when this, I handed it in, I mean, over the summer, 02:48:05.560 |
How does love, friendship, and family fit into that? 02:48:11.200 |
Is there, do you find that there's a tension? 02:48:27.540 |
and ultimately we seek happiness, not productivity, 02:48:35.060 |
- Yeah, I mean, I think relationships is the, 02:48:46.180 |
like an advice speech, like a commencement address, 02:48:51.700 |
And like the big question I have for young people 02:48:55.260 |
is if they haven't already, bad things are gonna happen 02:48:58.600 |
that you don't control, so what's the plan, right? 02:49:16.020 |
like all sorts of bad stuff is gonna happen, right? 02:49:20.660 |
Like, how do we like live life when life is hard? 02:49:23.100 |
And in ways that is unfair and unpredictable. 02:49:31.540 |
I went down this rabbit hole with digital minimalism. 02:49:38.820 |
It's all rewired, it's like all of our brain is for this. 02:49:43.380 |
everything is made to service social connections 02:49:47.460 |
You know, I mean, you had your tribal connections 02:49:53.820 |
And so you can't neglect that, and it's like everything. 02:50:01.740 |
It's why it feels so terrible when you miss someone 02:50:10.520 |
like a lot of what the default mode network is doing. 02:50:12.580 |
So the sort of the default state our brain goes into 02:50:16.300 |
is practicing sociality, practicing interactions, 02:50:25.140 |
So I've, more recently, the way I think about it 02:50:28.860 |
Like, okay, given that foundation of putting like, 02:50:31.620 |
and I don't think we put nearly enough time into it. 02:50:33.220 |
I worry that social media is reducing relationships, 02:50:37.460 |
Strong relationships where you're sacrificing 02:50:42.140 |
resources, whatever, on behalf of other people. 02:50:53.580 |
May I wanna build some fire, build some tools? 02:51:08.700 |
assuming things kind of keep going as they were going. 02:51:10.780 |
- And you're neglecting the fundamental human drive. 02:51:13.420 |
Like we have this, we talk about the boredom instinct. 02:51:17.860 |
That's not nearly as clear cut of a drive of we need people. 02:51:21.460 |
- But if we look at the real worst case analysis here 02:51:48.700 |
so that when we really confront and think about it, 02:51:58.660 |
so that when it really comes time to confront that, 02:52:02.900 |
okay, I feel kind of good about the situation. 02:52:05.100 |
- So what, when you're laying in your deathbed, 02:52:15.900 |
- That's a good, I mean, it's a good question 02:52:28.900 |
and that's another interesting DC area person. 02:52:30.700 |
I keep thinking of interesting DC area people. 02:52:55.700 |
I don't know, maybe it's all mixed together, right? 02:52:57.260 |
You wanna, I think living by a code is important, right? 02:53:00.260 |
I mean, this is something that's not emphasized enough. 02:53:10.260 |
you know, trying to promote human flourishing 02:53:25.220 |
I think religion used to structure this for people, 02:53:28.540 |
but in its absence, you need some sort of replacement, 02:53:39.340 |
Like fewer things give humans more resiliency. 02:53:45.740 |
Many people coming to your funeral is a standard. 02:53:47.500 |
Like a lot of people are gonna come to your funeral, 02:53:48.900 |
like that means you matter to a lot of people. 02:54:14.740 |
when you come in and someone goes away with $10,000. 02:54:22.180 |
living a principle life, focusing on relationships 02:54:24.300 |
and kind of thinking of this life as this perfect thing 02:54:53.740 |
It's like everything I do, all of these productivity hacks, 02:54:57.820 |
all this life, all these efforts, all this creative efforts, 02:55:33.180 |
- So, I mean, I don't know, obviously, right? 02:55:38.900 |
- Yeah, I don't know, but going back to what you were saying 02:55:47.140 |
the one thing that there is are intimations, right? 02:55:53.700 |
of somehow this feels right and this feels wrong, 02:56:01.020 |
when I'm acting with courage to save whatever, right? 02:56:07.180 |
Like one of the ideas I'm really interested in is that 02:56:19.540 |
and I'm very interested in this type of stuff. 02:56:27.580 |
but it's Karen Armstrong wrote this great book 02:56:31.740 |
She was a Catholic nun who sort of left that religion, 02:56:36.780 |
in terms of like accessible theological thinking 02:56:43.020 |
Her whole argument is that the way to understand religion, 02:56:45.540 |
you first of all, you have to go way back pre-enlightenment 02:56:48.540 |
We got messed up thinking about religion post-enlightenment, 02:56:56.420 |
The one thing we had were these different intimations 02:57:00.340 |
of this feel like awe and mystical experience. 02:57:08.860 |
And it was like the scientists who were trying to study 02:57:26.340 |
They were using ritual, they were using belief, 02:57:39.300 |
- I mean, they wouldn't have called it that back then. 02:57:41.900 |
Yeah, I mean, they didn't have that as pre-enlightenment. 02:57:46.980 |
And the directive is to try to live in alignment with that. 02:57:50.940 |
- Well, then I wanna ask who wrote the original code. 02:57:54.980 |
- Yeah, so Armstrong lays out this good argument. 02:58:04.500 |
and this is like rich in Jewish tradition in particular 02:58:08.340 |
we can't comprehend and understand what's going on here. 02:58:11.540 |
And so the best we can do to approximate understanding 02:58:14.020 |
and live in alignment is we act as if this is true, 02:58:17.020 |
do these rituals, have these actions or whatever. 02:58:30.860 |
like Sam Harris's critique of religion makes no sense. 02:58:39.900 |
She's like, that's an enlightenment thing, right? 02:58:43.660 |
the religion is the Rutherford model of the atom. 02:58:46.740 |
Like it's not actually maybe what is underneath happening, 02:58:50.300 |
but this model explains why your chemical equations work. 02:58:54.980 |
There's a God, we'll call it this, this is how it works. 02:58:57.140 |
We do this ritual, we act in this way, it aligns with it. 02:58:59.500 |
Just like the model of the atom predicted why, 02:59:06.060 |
It's like this beautiful, sophisticated theory, 02:59:08.340 |
which actually matches how a lot of great theologians 02:59:15.820 |
I mean, this is like what Peterson hints at, right? 02:59:23.380 |
super pinned down on this, but it kind of seems where he-- 02:59:29.100 |
- He focuses more on like Jung and other people, 02:59:33.140 |
but that same type of analysis, I think, roughly speaking, 02:59:39.380 |
but she's looking more at the deep history of religion. 02:59:42.700 |
But yeah, he throws in an evolutionary aspect. 02:59:48.500 |
I wonder what the new home is if religion dissipates, 03:00:13.500 |
like maybe what replaces religion is a return to religion, 03:00:22.020 |
it's the issue with like a lot of the recent critiques, 03:00:24.860 |
I think it's a stronger critique in a complicated way, 03:00:33.260 |
if you're reading Paul Tillich, if you're reading Heschel, 03:00:42.020 |
and this is as deep, it connects us to these things 03:00:52.380 |
this notion of live as if is kind of how religions work. 03:00:57.620 |
It's like an OS for getting in alignment with, 03:01:02.780 |
like you behave in this way, do these ritual, 03:01:10.140 |
But that's a complicated thing, live as if this is true, 03:01:12.380 |
because if you, especially if you're not a theologian 03:01:15.020 |
to say, yeah, this is not true in an enlightenment sense, 03:01:18.620 |
but I'm living as if, it kind of takes the heat out of it. 03:01:22.820 |
because highly religious people still do bad things 03:01:25.660 |
where if you really were, there's absolutely a hell 03:01:28.380 |
and I'm definitely gonna go to it if I do this bad thing, 03:01:30.100 |
you would never have, no one would ever murder anyone 03:01:33.140 |
if they were an evangelical Christian, right? 03:01:39.540 |
but it's something I've been interested off and on a lot. 03:01:44.220 |
I mean, I think we're in some sense searching for, 03:01:46.620 |
'cause it does make for a good operating system. 03:01:48.660 |
We're searching for a good live as if X is true 03:01:54.260 |
And maybe artificial intelligence will be the very, 03:01:58.800 |
the new gods that we're so desperately looking for. 03:02:06.460 |
Cal, this is, as you know, I've been a huge fan. 03:02:09.800 |
So are a huge number of people that I've spoken with. 03:02:14.700 |
So they keep telling me, I absolutely have to talk to you. 03:02:44.460 |
And now let me leave you with some words from Cal himself. 03:02:52.960 |
Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.