back to indexBogleheads® on Investing Podcast 061: Cody Garrett on Early Retirement, host Jon Luskin
00:00:00.000 |
Welcome to the 61st edition of the Bogleheads On Investing podcast. 00:00:17.800 |
I'm John Luskin and I normally host our Bogleheads live show for the folks of Twitter. 00:00:23.000 |
I'm taking over for the normal host Rick Ferry while he takes a summer sabbatical. 00:00:39.600 |
Cody is an advice only financial planner, passionate about helping families refine their 00:00:44.960 |
path to financial independence, as do it yourself investors. 00:00:50.120 |
Cody specializes in comprehensive financial plan development, topic research, and personalized 00:00:57.740 |
Some announcements before we get started on today's episode with Cody Garrett. 00:01:02.320 |
This episode of the Bogleheads On Investing podcast, as with all episodes, is brought 00:01:07.840 |
to you by the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy, a nonprofit organization that is 00:01:13.680 |
building a world of well-informed, capable, and empowered investors. 00:01:18.900 |
Visit boglecenter.net where you'll find valuable information, including transcripts 00:01:25.720 |
And at boglecenter.net/donate, you can make a tax-deductible donation to support the mission 00:01:34.740 |
And finally, a disclaimer, the following is for informational and entertainment purposes 00:01:39.220 |
only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment or personal financial advice. 00:01:45.520 |
And with that, let's get started on our interview with Cody Garrett. 00:01:49.980 |
Cody Garrett, welcome to the Bogleheads On Investing podcast. 00:01:56.380 |
I'm super excited to get to meet you in person for the first time at the 2023 Bogleheads 00:02:03.920 |
And folks, as of this recording, there are roughly 60 spots left. 00:02:08.020 |
So if you want to register for that conference, go to boglecenter.net/2023conference. 00:02:19.900 |
He writes, does Cody have a process he uses with his clients to ensure their non-financial 00:02:25.340 |
lives will be fulfilling in early retirement? 00:02:28.880 |
What I realized is a lot of people focusing on retirement, they're really focused on what 00:02:32.820 |
they're retiring from this emphasis on escaping something, right? 00:02:39.580 |
But it's really important that anytime I'm working with a financial planning client, 00:02:43.380 |
they're really focused on what they're retiring from. 00:02:45.580 |
But it's my job to help them understand what are they retiring to. 00:02:48.940 |
I recently asked over 40,000 retirees on a Facebook group, what's the thing that you 00:02:54.260 |
miss most about working besides the paycheck, besides the benefits? 00:02:58.700 |
They missed conversations with colleagues and clients, collaborations with team members, 00:03:03.720 |
challenges to solve and contributions to a greater purpose. 00:03:07.460 |
Now you asked me about this process that I use to ensure non-financial lives will be 00:03:12.060 |
I asked them, especially pre-retirees, hey, in which ways would you like to continue connecting 00:03:20.220 |
In which ways will you collaborate with other people? 00:03:23.580 |
Sometimes that means collaborations with other organizations, maybe a charity that they support. 00:03:27.720 |
Which types of challenges would you like to solve? 00:03:29.720 |
So some people retire and they really want to do maybe woodworking or they want to do 00:03:34.980 |
So they can be physical or mental challenges that they want to solve in retirement. 00:03:39.660 |
And then lastly, how are you going to contribute in retirement to a greater purpose? 00:03:45.660 |
That's a way that you can have conversations, you can collaborate with others, you can learn 00:03:51.940 |
Some of the mental challenges you have can be possibly solved at going to a conference 00:03:56.340 |
And then you can contribute to something bigger than yourself by just being surrounded by 00:04:01.540 |
So community, conversations, collaborations, challenges, and contributions. 00:04:05.860 |
So start asking yourself even now, if you're not retired or you are retired, how can I 00:04:09.300 |
do more of those things now that I'm retired? 00:04:12.020 |
And for folks who are looking to get some community, they should check out their local 00:04:17.160 |
We have a great chapter here in San Diego with a lot of retirees. 00:04:19.980 |
And it's a great forum where folks can help each other make friends and talk about low 00:04:26.060 |
For folks who want to get involved with the Bogleheads community locally, check out the 00:04:29.680 |
Bogleheads forums, where we have a page that lists local chapters. 00:04:34.300 |
I'll link to that in the show notes for our listeners. 00:04:37.480 |
One thing I want to add to that is we think about FIRE as standing for Financial Independence 00:04:41.620 |
Retire Early, but I actually call it Financial Independence Recreational Employment. 00:04:46.780 |
Financial independence isn't necessarily about stopping work or escaping from work. 00:04:50.760 |
It's really about doing work because you want to, not because you have to. 00:04:54.180 |
A lot of people who assume they're going to retire early, they end up working once they're 00:04:59.180 |
So keep in mind that financial independence doesn't mean you have to leave the work that 00:05:04.340 |
It means that you can do work that's even more fulfilling moving forward. 00:05:07.460 |
Cody, can you talk about what some of the folks you've worked with have done in early 00:05:12.460 |
In terms of conversations, I think a lot of people in retirement, they talk about spending 00:05:17.300 |
And I think it's really important that when spending time with family, it's not just travel 00:05:22.020 |
But also being really intentional about the conversations you're having with your family. 00:05:25.460 |
So visualize, when we go on this trip as a family together, which type of topics do we 00:05:31.500 |
And people who go into retirement, some of the most valuable conversations they have 00:05:35.700 |
is about what I call the financial family tree. 00:05:38.820 |
Sometimes families don't talk about money ever, but going into retirement, when you're 00:05:42.260 |
talking with your family right after you retired, they're probably thinking about money. 00:05:47.100 |
This might be a good time to start talking about some estate planning. 00:05:51.080 |
So what are some of your expectations and their expectations financially in terms of 00:05:57.140 |
This can be a very difficult conversation to have, but I think this is the most fruitful 00:06:00.780 |
conversation when done with grace and compassion. 00:06:04.040 |
Instead of having them with colleagues and clients who are used to work, maybe you could 00:06:06.980 |
have those deeper conversations with your family and not necessarily your kids. 00:06:11.380 |
What are the conversations that you'd like to have with your spouse? 00:06:13.500 |
Now you're probably spending more time at home with your spouse, if you're married or 00:06:18.660 |
Maybe it's time you can actually start having conversations, you can start talking with 00:06:23.120 |
Your friends that you know that have been retired for a long time, and you can finally 00:06:26.700 |
A really good example is clients who every Wednesday, they have a morning breakfast with 00:06:30.900 |
all the friends they used to work with who are also retired. 00:06:33.620 |
So think to yourself, what type of conversations do I want to have that build me up, that are 00:06:37.460 |
energy giving, not energy draining conversations? 00:06:41.860 |
I think collaborations can happen a lot of different ways. 00:06:44.860 |
Sometimes you might have a work project that you want to spend some time with. 00:06:47.980 |
A client that I work with, a fascinating story about what he wanted to retire to. 00:06:52.380 |
He loves the Volkswagen vans, the big vans from the 60s, and he says, "I've never had 00:06:59.020 |
He said, "When I retire, I'm going to buy my first Volkswagen van, and I want to spend 00:07:05.540 |
I want to buy one that's torn up and that I can work on and tinker with." 00:07:09.980 |
That would be a challenge for me working on an old van from the 60s. 00:07:12.740 |
He said, "Okay, well, maybe I can invite my son to help me work on this van together. 00:07:20.180 |
We can have a father-son trip in this van that we've really tinkered with together." 00:07:24.900 |
That's a very powerful way to continue building relationships with your family. 00:07:29.300 |
We all know that you spend over 90% of the time with your kids during your lifetime before 00:07:35.820 |
If you're retiring, you do have kids, start thinking about what are some conversations 00:07:39.900 |
What are some ways we can collaborate on projects together? 00:07:42.460 |
Maybe we can have challenges to solve together, not just individually. 00:07:46.640 |
One thing that's really important for me to mention here is that your physical, mental, 00:07:50.080 |
spiritual, relational, and financial wellness are interrelated. 00:07:53.600 |
Going into retirement, we're usually primarily focused on the finances. 00:07:57.320 |
By the time we get to retirement, we realize that our physical health, our mental health, 00:08:01.640 |
our spiritual practices, our relationships have been kind of on the back burner for a 00:08:06.440 |
If you're listening to this and you haven't retired yet, how can you improve your physical, 00:08:10.600 |
mental, spiritual, relational health and not just be focusing on your financial spreadsheets? 00:08:16.300 |
Because when you get to retirement, sometimes you have all the money in the world that you 00:08:19.680 |
need to retire, but then you turn around and all your relationships are gone or they're 00:08:25.200 |
So building up those relationships, doing the exercise that you've always been wanting 00:08:28.800 |
to get into, maybe hiring a counselor or a therapist to talk about some of your mental 00:08:34.280 |
Start having those conversations when you get into retirement. 00:08:37.320 |
This one is from username John Arndt from Twitter who writes, "What's the best method 00:08:44.400 |
For instance, how do you adjust the 4% withdrawal rate for retirees in their 40s?" 00:08:50.840 |
The 4% rule or guideline, it's a decent rule of thumb. 00:08:54.700 |
People using the 4% rule, they're making an assumption that they're going to be living 00:08:57.540 |
in retirement solely off of their portfolio without other sources of retirement income, 00:09:01.780 |
such as private and public pensions, social security, real estate income. 00:09:06.100 |
But the best way to visualize variable sources of income and expenses in retirement is to 00:09:12.980 |
And now there are actually planning softwares even available to consumers, non-advisors. 00:09:18.560 |
I know there's a lot of other Excel or Google Sheet versions that people have made. 00:09:22.540 |
Keep in mind that financial planning software, the output is only as good as the input. 00:09:27.200 |
When you're making assumptions for rates of return, inflation, life expectancy, it's better 00:09:33.720 |
So conservative meaning that you're expecting to live a long time, maybe 95 plus in terms 00:09:38.720 |
of your age, testing out different levels of inflation, testing out really conservative 00:09:44.440 |
So with that said, use financial planning software, but understand that it's only going 00:09:49.160 |
to show you information based on a lot of user assumptions and historical performance, 00:09:53.960 |
which we know cannot guarantee future results. 00:09:56.720 |
Take it with a grain of salt, but at the same time, I think that using a financial planning 00:10:00.600 |
software for those variable sources of income and expenses could be a much better way than 00:10:05.240 |
just saying, I'm going to use the 4% rule just based on my portfolio. 00:10:09.240 |
And that 4% rule comes from Bill Bengen, who first looked at that question, how much can 00:10:14.480 |
I spend in retirement without running out of money? 00:10:16.920 |
We interviewed him on episode 35 of the Bogleheads live show. 00:10:20.680 |
We also interviewed Christine Benz on episode 37, who sought to answer that same question 00:10:27.680 |
And then lastly, in episode 41, we interviewed Derek Tharp of Team Kitsis, where he talks 00:10:32.420 |
about how to use retirement planning software. 00:10:35.000 |
I'll link to all those in the show notes for our listeners. 00:10:38.540 |
One of the big things that accumulators miss that aren't retired yet or about to retire, 00:10:43.960 |
they're thinking about the 4% rule in terms of multiplying their current expenses by 25. 00:10:49.000 |
But let's say you have 10 years until retirement, the 4% rule does include inflation assumptions, 00:10:54.560 |
but only once the distributions begin, not for the 10 years between now and when you 00:11:00.000 |
So make sure that you inflation adjust your expenses. 00:11:03.880 |
If you are going to be thinking about the 4% rule, even now, 10 years out from retirement. 00:11:08.380 |
This question is from Man of Clouds from Boglehead Reddit, who asks, what percent of bond/stable 00:11:14.640 |
value allocation does Cody recommend for someone five to 10 years from retirement? 00:11:20.380 |
To manage sequence of returns risk, I prefer either a barbell approach, which would be 00:11:24.760 |
really having equity on one side and laddered fixed income on the other side to set up typically 00:11:32.240 |
Another way to do it, especially popular within Boglehead's community, is to just use a total 00:11:35.400 |
portfolio approach, but then have maybe one to three years of short term liquidity, cash 00:11:41.360 |
So you're not chasing growth and income with that portion. 00:11:43.900 |
You're really focused on stability and liquidity with the three to five years of short term 00:11:49.400 |
And on the flip side, you're going growth with the equity side of that barbell. 00:11:53.080 |
Although the second bucketing approach that I mentioned is often said to be irrational, 00:11:57.360 |
especially people say that during bull markets, they're like, why would you hold on to so 00:12:02.560 |
It can be a reasonable way to sustain portfolio withdrawals while reducing that sequence of 00:12:07.840 |
And as important that most people don't think about is the reduction of investor anxiety. 00:12:12.840 |
So when I work with a retiree or somebody who's about to retire, they love knowing that 00:12:17.600 |
the stock market volatility will not affect whether or not they're going to order dessert 00:12:23.120 |
I always tell people we don't want to make long term financial decisions based on short 00:12:27.600 |
We also don't want short term volatility in our long term assets to affect how we spend 00:12:32.600 |
and enjoy retirement in the short term, having three to five years of short term liquidity 00:12:36.880 |
and stability can really give you permission to enjoy your lifestyle and retirement without 00:12:42.240 |
having to look at what the stock market does every day because what the stock market's 00:12:45.100 |
doing every day is for my six plus year money, not my money that I'm spending within the 00:12:51.200 |
And as we know, even the greatest recessions, depressions that we've seen have really not 00:12:56.720 |
I just say having three to five years of short term liquidity helps emotionally and also 00:13:01.100 |
helps hedge against that sequence of returns risk, especially in the first few years of 00:13:06.280 |
Certainly on average, if you hold a little bit more in cash or in short term, high quality 00:13:10.820 |
bonds, the smaller investment return that you're going to get from that is going to 00:13:14.680 |
drag on your portfolio, which means having a little bit less money that you'll be able 00:13:20.940 |
And if you can have that extra cash cushion to make you feel more comfortable with your 00:13:27.500 |
long term investing approach, generally, I think that can make some sense for those folks 00:13:32.300 |
who are nervous about their long term investments. 00:13:39.900 |
But again, if you can feel better about having that cash cushion that can make you stay the 00:13:45.360 |
course with a balance of your investments, that can often make a lot of sense. 00:13:50.400 |
People ask me all the time, "I'm scared about retiring, so I'm just going to work for one 00:13:54.380 |
I'm just going to work for a few more years." 00:13:55.880 |
So if taking some type of bucketing approach like this, having a few years of cash to make 00:13:59.440 |
you feel a little better and make you pull the trigger on retiring earlier, right, when 00:14:04.100 |
you can actually quantitatively, rationally afford it, I think it's a really good way 00:14:08.300 |
to keep people from just waiting a few more years to retire. 00:14:11.460 |
Each year you wait to retire, that's fewer years of retirement. 00:14:15.420 |
Again, you have to go beyond the numbers in these conversations. 00:14:18.860 |
This question is from the Bogleheads forums, "I'm looking at retiring soon in my late 40s. 00:14:25.880 |
I'm lucky enough to have a pension that is COLA protected from the military and very 00:14:33.240 |
How does Cody go about calculating how much pension/health care that is worth in the future?" 00:14:39.600 |
This question often comes up when you're going to choose a pension or take the lump sum. 00:14:44.120 |
But when calculating a lump sum versus taking a pension, there are really two steps to this. 00:14:49.100 |
The first thing that people make a mistake on when calculating whether they should take 00:14:52.660 |
the lump sum or the pension is they divide the annual pension amount, the income amount, 00:14:58.060 |
into the lump sum amount to figure out kind of what their "rate of return" would be. 00:15:04.220 |
You know, a few differences there is one, you're effectively looking at like annual 00:15:07.580 |
yield of something, but by the way, at the end of life, that pension's gone, right? 00:15:12.400 |
You don't have any more money at the end of that. 00:15:14.820 |
So a lump sum, right, you can take the same amount of income possibly, and actually at 00:15:18.460 |
the end of life, you still have money there that can be distributed to your heirs. 00:15:22.260 |
Instead of just dividing the pension amount into the lump sum option, you need to use 00:15:26.740 |
two time value of money calculations, TVM calculations, that require a few assumptions. 00:15:32.440 |
So life expectancy assumptions, those things that we talked about earlier with rates of 00:15:36.340 |
return inflation over time, you talked about COLA protection, you know, cost of living 00:15:43.540 |
So you have to figure out what is the value of that pension going to be if there isn't 00:15:47.620 |
There are two calculations that you would do. 00:15:49.820 |
One is a present value calculation, which is saying, what is the present value of those 00:15:54.060 |
future cash flows, assuming a certain life expectancy? 00:15:57.700 |
If I were to end that pension at 95, how much would I have received from that? 00:16:01.700 |
Effectively, you want to understand if I took the lump sum, what type of investment return, 00:16:07.220 |
inflation adjusted, if it's not inflation adjusted pension that you're receiving, what 00:16:10.660 |
would be the required rate of return needed to take that much out of the portfolio through 00:16:17.940 |
In terms of using your financial calculator, the number of periods would be the number 00:16:21.820 |
of years between taking the lump sum at the end of life. 00:16:25.100 |
The interest rate would be really typically your inflation adjusted return or your rate 00:16:31.140 |
The lump sum pension calculations are effectively saying, hey, if I were to take the lump sum, 00:16:36.020 |
would I be able to create effectively my own annuity that would quote unquote, outperform 00:16:44.300 |
When you're looking at the pension versus lump sum options, these weren't given to you 00:16:47.660 |
as a challenge to say, which one do you think is best? 00:16:51.700 |
These were all actuarially calculated by insurance companies that are way better at math than 00:16:56.140 |
So keep in mind that if you're comparing a lump sum versus a pension, they're actually 00:16:59.460 |
equal in a way to them based on their assumptions, but it's up to you to figure out which assumptions 00:17:04.660 |
do I have that would be different than the assumptions the insurance company is using. 00:17:08.820 |
If I know I have a chronic health condition, that probably would make the case for possibly 00:17:12.980 |
taking a lump sum because you're not going to live long enough to take advantage of the 00:17:16.500 |
longevity that the insurance company might be assuming for you. 00:17:20.500 |
Which assumptions might the insurance company be actuarially calculating and then which 00:17:25.300 |
of those assumptions might actually be different for me? 00:17:28.060 |
What are the things that I could plug into those assumptions? 00:17:30.140 |
For example, chronic health conditions, whether or not I'm married, whether or not I want 00:17:36.160 |
So those are the assumptions that can change whether or not you take a lump sum or a pension. 00:17:40.300 |
One thing I think about the annuitization versus lump sum distribution question, "Hey, 00:17:44.740 |
should I take the lump sum or should I take the annuitization?" 00:17:53.180 |
And for me, I think about how to best manage that worst case, which is you living forever 00:17:59.300 |
and that annuitization option is going to do that. 00:18:01.460 |
It's going to help manage that because as long as you're alive, you're going to get 00:18:06.220 |
Now, if you guess wrong and maybe you die the next day, that won't be great, but perhaps 00:18:12.260 |
that risk isn't as financially impactful as living forever and running out of money. 00:18:16.580 |
So my approach generally is to take that annuity option because it's a risk management approach, 00:18:22.180 |
not necessarily the way they're going to transfer the most amount of money to your heirs, but 00:18:26.460 |
certainly can help you have a higher quality of life during your lifetime. 00:18:30.620 |
When you talk about beneficiary designations, when choosing between a lump sum and a pension, 00:18:34.180 |
you also have to think, "Okay, is this money just for me or is this money that I want to 00:18:40.420 |
If I have a spouse, maybe I want to think about using the joint survivor pension option 00:18:46.140 |
Start to visualize what you want your retirement to look like and also what you want your generational 00:18:50.740 |
wealth transfers to look like because that can also change whether or not you choose 00:18:57.260 |
And to add emotionally, behaviorally there, sometimes taking a pension can actually give 00:19:03.100 |
So if your only source of income in retirement is from your portfolio, you're probably going 00:19:08.300 |
When the market goes down, you're going to be like, "I don't know if I can afford going 00:19:12.660 |
So the last thing you want is to let the short-term volatility of the portfolio really dictate 00:19:18.460 |
I know it's an important thing to consider, but the last thing you want is short-term 00:19:23.260 |
So yeah, sometimes taking the pension can provide that cushion behaviorally, emotionally 00:19:27.540 |
for you to spend the money that you actually can't afford to spend. 00:19:30.460 |
I always encourage folks to try and keep it simple as well. 00:19:34.020 |
And man, does that annuitization option keep it simple? 00:19:36.860 |
You get that deposit into your checking account monthly, every two weeks, whatever. 00:19:43.500 |
Another thing that I always encourage GIYers to think is not just about what investment 00:19:48.300 |
approach is most interesting and fun for them when putting it together, but what sort of 00:19:51.860 |
legacy plan you're going to be leaving your possibly less interested spouse. 00:19:56.860 |
That annuitization option, that's pretty great for that non-financially interested spouse, 00:20:01.380 |
because worst case, you pass, they're still going to get those regular deposits into that 00:20:07.620 |
That can really be a great way to plan for legacy investing. 00:20:13.780 |
This one is from Usain "WannaRetireEarly" from the MogulHeads forums who writes, "I'd 00:20:18.340 |
like to better understand planning for health care, managing income to maximize Affordable 00:20:24.220 |
Care Act subsidies, and also my kids will be in college, I want to be thinking about 00:20:28.500 |
managing income to maximize subsidies for higher education." 00:20:33.620 |
And for folks who want to learn more about how to manage the cost of health care in early 00:20:37.620 |
retirement, we have a great Boglehead chapter series video on that. 00:20:42.380 |
I'll link to that in the show notes for folks to check out. 00:20:46.580 |
So managing health care in early retirement before Medicare actually isn't as difficult 00:20:51.660 |
I know there's a lot of concern about the uncertainty of future health care costs. 00:20:55.580 |
There's like seven or eight different options for health care in early retirement. 00:20:58.300 |
But since you mentioned maximizing subsidies, you're talking about this premium tax credit. 00:21:02.200 |
So the premium tax credit for health coverage before Medicare and student financial aid 00:21:06.100 |
are two major forms of subsidies, which may be worth prioritizing in early retirement. 00:21:11.300 |
So if a family is able to maintain its desired lifestyle in early retirement, due to control 00:21:15.580 |
over sources of taxable income, this usually means having a pretty healthy balance between 00:21:22.780 |
People on the path to early retirement, they'd be much better off creating some diversification 00:21:28.680 |
If a family is able to maintain that desired lifestyle and have control over sources of 00:21:32.820 |
taxable income in early retirement, it's definitely worth running those scenarios against the 00:21:36.620 |
opportunity cost of implementing other early retirement strategies, such as Roth conversions 00:21:44.460 |
Don't let your health care subsidies or the financial aid for a kid completely run your 00:21:50.700 |
They are important variables to consider and to plug into the numbers, but don't let that 00:21:56.460 |
So your ability to maintain your desired lifestyle in retirement, I think that should be a prioritization. 00:22:00.980 |
And then secondary to that should be any type of tax planning strategies that's worth doing 00:22:06.020 |
sometimes, but just make sure that's not prioritized over the things that are much more important 00:22:11.260 |
Cote, you mentioned doing partial Roth conversions in early retirement, a pretty common strategy. 00:22:16.740 |
However, that's going to generate some taxable income. 00:22:20.420 |
And as that income increases, that means now we're looking at less subsidies for health 00:22:28.540 |
What's your preference doing partial Roth conversions or keeping income low to optimize 00:22:34.580 |
for subsidies for health insurance in early retirement? 00:22:40.980 |
The big thing here, one reason that you might want to consider maximizing those subsidies 00:22:46.180 |
is that the premium tax credit is that it's a credit. 00:22:50.080 |
A credit is a dollar for dollar return of taxes owed, taxes paid. 00:22:54.820 |
So this is very different from looking at the effect on Irma or the taxation of Social 00:23:02.780 |
I actually just talked with a family member yesterday that is receiving $460 a month of 00:23:10.700 |
I think this is one of those where you really have to understand the numbers. 00:23:13.220 |
You need to go to healthcare.gov/c-plans to really look at what is health care cost on 00:23:19.660 |
the health insurance marketplace based on where you live. 00:23:23.460 |
You also type in what's your anticipated modified adjusted gross income, in this case, in early 00:23:29.620 |
It's going to show you what your estimated premium tax credit could be. 00:23:33.700 |
And what you can do, it's really nice on that website, you can just say, well, okay, well, 00:23:36.660 |
what if my income is $80,000 instead of $60,000 a year? 00:23:41.260 |
So these are based on the federal poverty level up to 400% of the federal poverty level. 00:23:46.380 |
It's broken that ceiling, at least temporarily, for premium tax credits. 00:23:49.700 |
You have to understand what is the credit I'm going to receive. 00:23:52.740 |
If you don't have an estimate of what those credits might be, then you want to make sure 00:23:57.220 |
Once you understand what those credits may be, you can start filling in those marginal 00:24:02.900 |
Say, what if I were to convert up the top of the 10%, 12%, 22%, 24% tax brackets in 00:24:09.540 |
And then what would that level of modified adjusted gross income do to those premium 00:24:15.100 |
A lot of people come to me and they say, okay, how much should I convert to Roth over the 00:24:19.780 |
Don't make 10 years worth of assumptions here. 00:24:24.020 |
So at the beginning of each year, at the end of each year, determine how much am I going 00:24:28.540 |
And this year, am I going to prioritize premium tax credit or am I going to prioritize maximizing 00:24:35.700 |
I do it in mid-November every year for Roth conversions. 00:24:39.300 |
Keep it simple, one year at a time, and it'll take some of that anxiety out of the way. 00:24:44.180 |
Doing those calculations in mid-November certainly makes sense because you'll have a better idea 00:24:47.780 |
closer to your end what your taxable income is going to be for the year. 00:24:52.340 |
Diplo Investor from Boglovs Farms writes, "We are four to five years out from retiring 00:24:56.700 |
in our early to mid fifties, and we will both have decent federal pensions. 00:25:01.860 |
Only a question about what order to withdraw from, TSP or Roth IRA taxable when RMDs are 00:25:11.380 |
The typical order of operations for early retirement distributions is first starting 00:25:19.340 |
Taking money out of those accounts, there's no age requirement, there's no taxes to take 00:25:24.220 |
Then you go to your taxable brokerage accounts. 00:25:26.700 |
These are the accounts that are holding those investments that may offer qualified dividends 00:25:29.860 |
and long-term capital gains tax treatment with no early withdrawal penalty. 00:25:34.580 |
Savings, checking accounts, and then taxable brokerage accounts. 00:25:38.020 |
These are all of the accounts that provide what I call cash flow flexibility, but they 00:25:43.500 |
So that income and dividend and capital gains distributions in the taxable brokerage accounts, 00:25:47.380 |
they're taxable along the way, even if you don't take money out of the accounts. 00:25:50.500 |
But the good thing about those accounts is the money you can actually take out of the 00:25:55.260 |
Then after the taxable brokerage accounts, then we move on to the pre-tax retirement 00:25:59.740 |
These are the traditional IRAs, traditional 401Ks, 403Bs, 457s, and so forth. 00:26:05.020 |
If you are retiring early, right before 59 and a half, you'd have to be using some sort 00:26:11.740 |
So those may include what are called substantially equal periodic payments. 00:26:15.900 |
Some people call it the SEPP, the 72T payments. 00:26:19.940 |
There's the rule of 55, which is you do retire from that employer in or after the year you 00:26:24.760 |
turn age 55, and that's specific to that employer's retirement plan. 00:26:31.440 |
The reason they're called ladders is because there's a five-year holding period for Roth 00:26:35.340 |
conversions before 59 and a half to avoid that 10% additional tax, also sometimes called 00:26:42.380 |
So after you've taken money from your savings, checkings, taxable brokerage accounts, and 00:26:46.060 |
pre-tax accounts, then lastly, usually as a last resort, those tax-free accounts such 00:26:52.980 |
The reason those are typically used last is because their highest and best use is long-term 00:26:59.540 |
So usually letting those accounts grow long-term as long as possible is typical order of operations. 00:27:05.020 |
So once your desired living expenses are met in early retirement, going through that order 00:27:09.060 |
of operations, then you would say, "Okay, maybe we need to do some gradual Roth conversions 00:27:13.460 |
on top of that to reduce those future RMDs," even if they're a long way off, as you mentioned 00:27:19.220 |
Mike Piper talks about this question at the last BogleVs conference in 2022, "What accounts 00:27:32.420 |
I'll link to that in the show notes for our listeners. 00:27:36.300 |
User name Introdon from the BogleVs forums writes, "I have VYM in my IRA. 00:27:42.540 |
Does it make sense to have an investment that gives qualified dividends taxed at the 23.8% 00:27:49.020 |
Will RMDs kick in, as I will most likely stay in a high tax bracket in retirement?" 00:27:56.100 |
Since you mentioned you're in a high tax bracket, well, most likely stay there. 00:27:59.900 |
Qualified dividends, if they were held within a taxable brokerage account, those qualified 00:28:03.100 |
dividends would actually be taxed favorable tax treatment. 00:28:06.660 |
But for you in a high tax bracket, you're looking at either the 15% or 20% qualified 00:28:10.900 |
dividends or long-term capital gains tax treatment, plus a 3.8% net investment income tax. 00:28:15.900 |
So a total of 23.8% if held within the taxable brokerage account versus being tax deferred, 00:28:22.620 |
but potentially taxed at a much higher marginal tax rate, which could be 24, 32, 35, 37% when 00:28:31.420 |
I guess the first thing is usually you want to take advantage of favorable qualified tax 00:28:38.500 |
Secondary to that, though, I would say for people with high income, I prefer not to purchase 00:28:42.700 |
high income paying investments in general, whether equity or fixed income, but rather 00:28:49.320 |
So on average, I prefer to keep the equities within the taxable brokerage accounts and 00:28:53.460 |
Roth IRAs, right, because they receive that favorable tax treatment. 00:28:57.100 |
I know that you're in a higher bracket, but actually effectively the lowest capital gains 00:29:02.520 |
So some people might call that tax gain harvesting rather than tax loss harvesting. 00:29:07.320 |
Usually I want to keep equities within the taxable brokerage accounts. 00:29:10.240 |
If there is fixed income, keep the fixed income within the pre-tax retirement account. 00:29:13.920 |
So based on your circumstance being in a high tax bracket, I'm not a big chaser of dividend 00:29:19.480 |
I'd most likely have my qualified dividends in the place where it's most favorable, which 00:29:23.480 |
would be the taxable brokerage account, and then keep my IRA invested for the less favorable 00:29:30.580 |
Speaking of dividend investing, we interviewed Vanguard's Colleen Giaconetti on episode 26 00:29:36.080 |
of the Booklet Edge live show, where we talk about just this, dividend investing, investing 00:29:41.620 |
And Colleen sums it up as saying, "Investing for income means more risk and more taxes." 00:29:48.220 |
I'll link to that in the show notes for our listeners. 00:29:53.120 |
This question is from Dennis Lee from Facebook, who asks, "Should a person even bother trying 00:30:00.300 |
to do a backdoor Roth if they have a fair amount of money in a traditional IRA from 00:30:06.500 |
I've already tried to see if I can roll these into my solo 401k, and thus far I cannot." 00:30:14.180 |
The first is, should a person even try bothering doing a backdoor Roth if they have a fair 00:30:17.980 |
amount of pre-tax money specifically in a traditional IRA from a previous 401k rollover? 00:30:24.060 |
So if you do have access to a workplace retirement plan that's not an IRA, like a 401k, might 00:30:29.540 |
allow incoming rollovers of that pre-tax portion. 00:30:32.660 |
This question is really talking about that pro-rata rule. 00:30:34.540 |
If you do a Roth conversion, the coffee and the cream is mixed within your traditional 00:30:38.460 |
IRA, some pre-tax money, some after-tax cost basis, you're going to have this pro-rata 00:30:42.620 |
calculation that you're actually going to end up paying more taxes to do that Roth conversion. 00:30:47.340 |
So first off, if you do have access to a qualified retirement plan, such as a 401k, that allows 00:30:52.420 |
incoming rollovers, a lot of people do roll over the pre-tax portion into that. 00:30:56.740 |
So they're only left with their after-tax portion that can be converted tax-free. 00:31:00.760 |
That requires that pre-tax portion to be rolled into the typically a 401k by December 31st 00:31:07.540 |
The second part of this is you mentioned that you have a solo 401k and that you cannot roll 00:31:13.380 |
Actually, in the last few years, some solo 401k plans do allow incoming IRA rollovers. 00:31:19.620 |
Vanguard might be one of those that now allows incoming IRA rollovers into a solo 401k, also 00:31:27.460 |
But keep in mind, this is very plan specific. 00:31:30.380 |
So you mentioned that it's not available in your solo 401k, but it might be available 00:31:35.900 |
Really, look at the plan rules, verify if that's accurate. 00:31:39.140 |
If you cannot avoid the pro-rata taxation, it's typically not worth it if you have significant 00:31:45.900 |
Sometimes it's better to just avoid that hassle, we call it return on hassle. 00:31:50.120 |
So instead of putting money into there trying to do the backdoor Roth IRA, go ahead and 00:31:53.900 |
just put that money into a taxable brokerage account instead. 00:31:56.540 |
There's a lot of great benefits to a taxable brokerage account. 00:31:59.180 |
I think the taxable brokerage account is just like one step under a Roth IRA. 00:32:02.980 |
There are so many incredible benefits of a taxable brokerage account, especially for 00:32:06.220 |
early retirees, that if you're going to be subject to significant pro-rata taxation of 00:32:11.140 |
the backdoor Roth IRA, I'd probably just say skip it. 00:32:14.820 |
This question comes from username Baddy Natty from the Bogleheads forums who writes, "When 00:32:21.460 |
you encounter families who are planning to stop working in about five years, but already 00:32:25.820 |
have the savings to retire now, do you put together a plan to spend more than usual over 00:32:30.820 |
the next five years to start maximizing experiences, memories, and happiness?" 00:32:39.420 |
Especially once a family is financially independent with the ability to work because they want 00:32:43.340 |
to, not because they have to, they can significantly expand their current desired lifestyle while 00:32:50.420 |
This question mentions a family who has the savings to retire now, but they plan to stop 00:32:57.420 |
If they have enough savings to retire now, I'd really want to understand why five years. 00:33:02.740 |
Maybe a limited belief that they have that they must do five more years because that's 00:33:06.180 |
how long their dad worked or their mom worked. 00:33:08.220 |
There might be some behavioral, emotional things behind the scenes to really figure 00:33:12.180 |
If you have enough money to retire now, why are you waiting? 00:33:15.500 |
One great exercise that I do with clients, especially what you talk about here, is even 00:33:20.380 |
while they're working, I created this blank calendar exercise to help pre-retirees recognize 00:33:26.200 |
how they want to spend their time and energy as a family. 00:33:29.980 |
Imagine you have a seven-day, 24-hour blank calendar. 00:33:33.540 |
You take it as a family and you fill it out and say, "If we had a blank calendar, how 00:33:45.100 |
Some things they said, "Hey, on Monday and Wednesday, we want to do a picnic at the park. 00:33:48.780 |
We want to go pick up sub sandwiches from our favorite sub shop down the street." 00:33:52.420 |
The first question I ask is, "Is it possible to do that even now while you're still working?" 00:33:57.700 |
Because a lot of the things that we want to do more of in retirement, there's actually 00:34:03.260 |
But we somehow have this limited belief that, "Oh, you have to wait until you retire before 00:34:14.200 |
This question is from a user named Ariel Wombat from the Booklets Forums who writes, "I'm 00:34:18.340 |
about two years into early retirement in my mid 40s. 00:34:22.100 |
What unknown unknowns do as fire clients experience five to 10 years into early retirement that 00:34:27.100 |
they didn't anticipate financially or otherwise?" 00:34:31.180 |
First of all, as I mentioned before, physical, mental, spiritual, relational, and financial 00:34:37.540 |
Many early retirees don't realize until they retire that they've actually sacrificed their 00:34:42.340 |
physical, mental, spiritual, and relational wellness for the sake of financial health 00:34:46.420 |
along the way and aren't actually able to enjoy retirement as much as they expected. 00:34:51.620 |
So they have all the money they need in the world, but they don't have anybody to spend 00:34:55.260 |
They don't have the mental capacity to spend it in a way that provides a lack of anxiety 00:35:03.540 |
Most people who plan to retire early don't consider the potential reality of becoming 00:35:07.880 |
a caregiver in the future for other family members, their parents, their siblings. 00:35:13.400 |
So we assume that early retirement will look the same in year 10 as it does in year two, 00:35:18.620 |
but it's going to be so different than what you expected. 00:35:21.100 |
To go along with that, think about what you were like and what your life was like 10 years 00:35:26.580 |
If you think about how different you were and how different life was 10 years ago, but 00:35:30.020 |
yet we somehow assume that 10 years from now, our life is going to look very similar to 00:35:36.340 |
And we're going to be the same person in 10 years that we are today. 00:35:38.820 |
Once you realize that the way you assume you're going to be in the future is going to be completely 00:35:41.780 |
different in reality, the biggest unknown, unknown that you're going to realize later 00:35:46.180 |
on is that you're going to be a different person and you're also going to be caring 00:35:50.540 |
A lot of people retiring early, their parents are actually going into traditional retirement. 00:35:54.500 |
Somebody's retiring at 40, their parents might be in their 60s or 70s retired. 00:35:59.020 |
And there might be a time in terms of long-term care, in terms of cognitive decline, that 00:36:04.100 |
you might actually be spending not just your time and energy, but also your finances helping 00:36:09.780 |
So before you retire early, especially financially, think about, will I need to financially support 00:36:14.500 |
somebody in the future, including my own parents or my children? 00:36:19.860 |
Even by the way, when my children are adults, there are plenty of adult children who still 00:36:23.980 |
need time, energy, and financial resources from their parents. 00:36:30.260 |
From the Bogolets Forums writes, "Has Cody seen any trends with either successful or 00:36:35.780 |
unsuccessful FIRE folks trying to get to FIRE?" 00:36:40.700 |
There's actually a trend within the FIRE community of discovering within one to two years of 00:36:44.420 |
early retirement that they actually miss aspects of working. 00:36:48.140 |
But thankfully, now that they have command over the who, what, where, when, why and how 00:36:53.200 |
work is done, some early retirees end up actually going back to work, usually often as entrepreneurs 00:37:00.180 |
They end up making more money when they're financially independent than when they had 00:37:04.660 |
I've also seen patterns within the FIRE community of being financially successful, but unsuccessful 00:37:11.700 |
So you talk about people being unsuccessfully FIRE, we're typically thinking about the financial 00:37:18.260 |
I've seen a lot of people who are successful financially, but they're unsuccessful in those 00:37:21.900 |
other ways that we've talked about, that they have all the money in the world, but every 00:37:29.220 |
So again, that's just one more reason that on the path to FIRE, it's not just the path 00:37:33.180 |
to FIRE, it's the path to continuing healthy relationships, continuing health, physical 00:37:39.660 |
A lot of times we've been kind of plugging our life into the numbers rather than plugging 00:37:45.100 |
So we're starting with the spreadsheet and saying, how can I live given my spreadsheet 00:37:49.500 |
rather than how do I want to live and how can my spreadsheet support that? 00:37:53.360 |
So on the path to and through early retirement, ask yourself, what do I visualize my ideal 00:37:58.740 |
life looking like, and then only then plug in the numbers and say, "Hey, is that actually 00:38:03.980 |
Rather than saying, "I have this much money, what can I do with it?" 00:38:07.020 |
Most of the questions we receive are financial, where in reality, in retirement, most of your 00:38:12.040 |
time is spent doing non-financial things, that by the way, just happen to require money 00:38:24.980 |
Colm Stretch from the Vogelheids Forums writes, and he's got a bunch of questions here. 00:38:29.700 |
He writes, "Great topic, five years before retirement, should one change portfolio asset 00:38:39.460 |
Usually within five years before retirement, you're really starting to think about creating 00:38:44.380 |
Some people choose like one, two, three years of short-term liquidity. 00:38:48.180 |
As mentioned before, three to five years of de-risking or de-risking the total portfolio, 00:38:53.100 |
if you're using that approach, you might have been 100% equity during your whole accumulation. 00:38:58.100 |
But if you're five years until retirement, you just start thinking about de-risking the 00:39:01.820 |
total portfolio, whether just changing that overall asset allocation down from 100% equity 00:39:07.060 |
or 80%, depending on your other income sources, certainly. 00:39:10.740 |
Start thinking ahead in five years, how much income will I need for my portfolio to supplement 00:39:16.980 |
And start really timing out, they call it asset liability matching. 00:39:22.420 |
How can I turn my assets into income over the next five years? 00:39:26.420 |
So that usually means creating some type of a bond ladder or just starting to put some 00:39:32.620 |
So yes, five years before retirement, I would change the asset allocation, assuming that 00:39:40.060 |
And I'll link to the Bogleheads wiki that talks about some basic considerations for 00:39:44.960 |
investing and taking the right amount of risk. 00:39:48.560 |
Five years before retirement, you certainly want to be taking the right amount of risk. 00:39:53.840 |
Question number two, should I, five years before retirement, build a cash balance or 00:40:01.260 |
So to start, if you're not familiar, a Roth ladder, they're talking about a Roth conversion 00:40:05.940 |
So before 59 and a half, if you take money out of a qualified retirement plan before 00:40:09.740 |
59 and a half, there's an additional 10% tax. 00:40:14.580 |
When you do a taxable Roth conversion from a pre-tax retirement account into a Roth tax-free 00:40:19.980 |
retirement account, you have to wait five years before you can take that conversion 00:40:27.740 |
So the government doesn't want you just converting that money and taking it out right away. 00:40:31.380 |
They want to kind of penalize you for taking money out before traditional retirement ages 00:40:37.460 |
Should we build a cash balance or a Roth conversion ladder in early retirement? 00:40:41.120 |
First of all, there's a misconception about the Roth conversion ladder. 00:40:44.420 |
Usually when somebody is using a Roth conversion ladder, they're usually only thinking about 00:40:47.780 |
their future living expenses five years from now. 00:40:50.680 |
They're not thinking about also having to cover the tax liabilities from initiating 00:40:57.180 |
So when you're doing a Roth conversion in early retirement before 59 and a half, you 00:41:01.940 |
should not withhold the taxes from the conversions themselves because that portion that's withheld 00:41:07.700 |
for taxes would be subject to the 10% penalty before 59 and a half. 00:41:12.100 |
So before early retirement, you typically want at least five years of liquidity to cover 00:41:17.340 |
not just your living expenses, but also the tax liabilities needed to pay the taxes on 00:41:24.380 |
So if you're going to do a Roth conversion ladder in early retirement before 59 and a 00:41:28.380 |
half, you need enough cash to sustain yourself for at least five years of living expenses, 00:41:33.460 |
but also the five years of tax liabilities to make those conversions. 00:41:38.300 |
Question number three, while still in high marginal tax rate years, should one stop contributing 00:41:43.460 |
to tax deferred accounts to save more cash or save in Roth accounts? 00:41:50.840 |
So thinking about marginal versus effective tax rates here, marginal being, you know, 00:41:55.580 |
what's the tax rate on your last dollar earned? 00:41:57.780 |
That's the tax bracket we talk about 10, 12, 22, 24, 32, 35, 37. 00:42:04.180 |
But you also have what's called like an effective average tax rate. 00:42:08.220 |
So when you're contributing during your high marginal tax years, it's typically best to 00:42:12.700 |
contribute pre-tax because you're either deducting or excluding that income at your highest marginal 00:42:19.680 |
But in retirement, especially early retirement, you're probably distributing that income at 00:42:23.740 |
much lower marginal tax rates or just a much lower effective average tax rate. 00:42:28.660 |
So in terms of this question, because we have the detail of being a high marginal tax rate 00:42:32.820 |
year, usually you're going to want to contribute tax deferred rather than Roth, unless you're 00:42:37.820 |
talking about, you know, the backdoor Roth, which is for high earners. 00:42:41.460 |
So typically you want to max out your pre-tax retirement accounts and higher earning years, 00:42:45.500 |
then focus on building up taxable brokerage accounts. 00:42:48.060 |
So the backdoor and the mega backdoor Roths are great, but only if you don't have to touch 00:42:52.600 |
the earnings in those accounts in early retirement, because you have to wait until 59 and a half 00:42:57.260 |
to touch those earnings without tax or penalty. 00:43:00.020 |
The taxable brokerage account, again, is so undervalued within the FIRE community. 00:43:03.920 |
So once you max out those pre-tax accounts, think twice about whether or not you want 00:43:07.900 |
to put money in Roth, or just build up some additional flexibility in cash and your taxable 00:43:12.140 |
brokerage accounts, which have no 10% penalty for withdrawal before 59 and a half. 00:43:17.820 |
Credit to Jeff Levine for sharing something during a webinar he did for Team Kitsis once. 00:43:23.780 |
And Jeff made the point that sometimes it's just simpler to pay a 10% tax, quote unquote, 00:43:30.300 |
So if this guy is in that higher marginal tax rate, let's say the 37% bracket, he makes 00:43:36.220 |
that contribution today, gets that 37% deduction. 00:43:41.860 |
Now he's in retirement, he's going to be in the 0% bracket. 00:43:45.140 |
So 0% bracket plus 10% penalty, that is still a 27% savings compared to when he put that 00:43:52.140 |
money in, compared to saving at the 37% rate today. 00:43:57.340 |
And to add to that, I think a lot of people start getting really excited about Roth at 00:44:00.900 |
the end of their working career, and they start Roth conversions too early, or they 00:44:07.220 |
I would say that if you're in your highest earning years and you're planning to retire 00:44:09.820 |
early, and you're going to have lots of years to spread out the taxes of those conversions, 00:44:14.580 |
you're much better off doing a traditional pre-tax contribution, not a Roth contribution. 00:44:19.940 |
And then a huge question for number four from Homestretch, how to plan for claiming Social 00:44:24.260 |
Security, early retirement healthcare, Roth conversions, minimize IRMA, and higher marginal 00:44:30.420 |
tax rates in later retirement after the start of RMDs. 00:44:34.640 |
I feel like we can do a whole episode on just that one question. 00:44:39.340 |
So first of all, I did one note here is that the start of RMDs would usually happen after 00:44:44.660 |
But just to make it a simple answer here, if you retire before paying into Social Security 00:44:49.180 |
for 35 years, you'll likely see decreased retirement benefits versus what your Social 00:44:57.040 |
Your Social Security statement assumes that you continue earning what you did last year 00:45:01.200 |
through the age you claim benefits, whether it's 62, 67, full retirement age, 70, et cetera. 00:45:06.720 |
In terms of IRMA, IRMA is an increase in your Medicare Part B and D premiums. 00:45:12.900 |
Do not let IRMA be the tail that wags the dog. 00:45:16.320 |
If you're paying increased Medicare premiums through IRMA, that's a good problem to have 00:45:20.560 |
because that means that your modified adjusted gross income is pretty high. 00:45:24.320 |
You can definitely afford the IRMA if your income is that high. 00:45:27.420 |
It is one of those shelves, right, where you don't want to go just a little bit over one 00:45:31.860 |
But don't let IRMA be a big concern in retirement. 00:45:35.420 |
And then lastly, early retirement health care. 00:45:37.340 |
As we mentioned before, the health insurance marketplace, healthcare.gov/c-plans, plus 00:45:43.460 |
the use of those premium tax credits, if you can control your modified adjusted gross income 00:45:47.640 |
in early retirement, that is really the best way to start with thinking about health care 00:45:54.060 |
And Cody mentioned, if you're looking at your social security statement for the benefit 00:45:58.660 |
you may expect when you retire, he pointed out, you've got to work until that year to 00:46:03.700 |
get a better idea of the ultimate social security benefit you might expect if retiring early. 00:46:12.420 |
It's a pretty neat tool that helps you determine your future social security benefit amount, 00:46:17.700 |
where it lets you toggle your future income and how long you plan to work for. 00:46:23.420 |
And it shows you what benefit you can expect at different claiming ages, pretty neat tool 00:46:29.300 |
And then lastly, five years before retirement, should one update estate planning docs? 00:46:36.820 |
I think that you should review these documents every few years, and when any significant 00:46:41.420 |
change occurs, such as a birth, a death, a move, a marriage, a divorce, or a changing 00:46:49.140 |
Once you have, let's say, you know, your wills, your powers of attorney, your trust in place, 00:46:52.780 |
review those every few years, if kind of life is normal. 00:46:54.980 |
But if any of those significant changes happen, that's when you should at least review your 00:46:59.120 |
estate documents to figure out whether or not they should be updated. 00:47:01.620 |
So it's not necessarily five years before retirement, update your estate documents, 00:47:05.500 |
just you should be doing this regularly throughout your life. 00:47:11.740 |
Private ID from the Vogelites forums writes, when to start social security for the lower 00:47:17.560 |
So I'm assuming you're saying a lower earner means that there's spouses. 00:47:21.020 |
One was a higher earner, which means that they're going to have a higher benefit and 00:47:24.020 |
a lower earner, which means they're going to have a lower social security retirement 00:47:28.660 |
In general, the lower earner typically is going to claim earlier if they do claim earlier. 00:47:33.340 |
That's because once one of the spouses dies, the surviving spouse will continue the higher 00:47:39.700 |
So the lower earner will typically claim earlier. 00:47:42.500 |
But with that said, there are many variables that exist here, including life expectancy, 00:47:47.060 |
age difference, other income sources, multigenerational wealth objectives, charitable giving intentions. 00:47:54.940 |
But just to tell you in general, yes, if anybody is going to claim earlier, it's typically 00:48:01.840 |
And unsaid by this question and unsaid by Cody is that generally for the higher earner, 00:48:08.820 |
That's going to give that lower earner, if they live longer than the higher earner at 00:48:17.100 |
So that begs the question, when does the lower earner claim? 00:48:20.500 |
Mike Piper and I talked about this on episode 23 of the Booklet's live show. 00:48:27.540 |
And then Mike Piper has a pretty neat tool, Open Social Security, that allows you to play 00:48:34.460 |
One to have that lower earner claim earlier versus later. 00:48:37.580 |
And that can show you the dollar amount difference you might expect for claiming earlier versus 00:48:44.220 |
That will help your household decide what might be the right strategy for you. 00:48:49.580 |
I'll link to that Open Social Security calculator by Mike Piper in the show notes as well as 00:48:54.520 |
that podcast episode for folks to check out to learn more. 00:48:59.020 |
Private ID goes on to say question number three, insurance, my company's retirement 00:49:06.820 |
So continuing coverage through your company's plan. 00:49:10.280 |
Sometimes they might offer COBRA up to 18 months typically. 00:49:13.940 |
Typically that group plan may provide better coverage, but is typically really expensive 00:49:19.260 |
because not only are you paying the employee side that you were paying before, but now 00:49:22.580 |
you're taking over the employer premiums too. 00:49:25.260 |
So you're typically paying 102% of the combined employee employer premiums. 00:49:30.460 |
So some people stay on COBRA for a little while. 00:49:32.620 |
Maybe they've already hit their max out of pocket or they're deductible for the year. 00:49:36.060 |
They want to continue at least the rest of that year with their current health plan. 00:49:38.820 |
But otherwise, if you do have control over taxable income in early retirement, especially 00:49:43.580 |
the Affordable Care Act, the ACAs they talk about, that's the healthcare marketplace with 00:49:47.540 |
those premium tax credits is usually the better bet. 00:49:50.620 |
Just keep in mind that it's not just about the money. 00:49:56.540 |
Also, don't just jump to doing a high deductible health plan just because you've heard that's 00:50:01.780 |
A high deductible health plan with an HSA is a great tool, but only if it actually makes 00:50:05.600 |
sense for your health specifically and your family's health. 00:50:09.100 |
One benefit to using workplace plan is that you don't have to worry about keeping your 00:50:12.660 |
income low to maximize those ACA subsidies, which leaves you a better opportunity for 00:50:21.380 |
And also, just another reminder that some people wish COBRA could last forever, but 00:50:25.300 |
typically, yes, again, it's typically only limited to 18 months. 00:50:29.680 |
This question is from Work to Live from the Bullhead's Forums who writes, "My question 00:50:34.020 |
is how to plan for and estimate tax expenses in retirement given those of us who have been 00:50:40.020 |
placing retirement assets in a diversified basket of tax-free, tax-averted, and taxable 00:50:45.740 |
I have no idea to even begin planning for my tax expenses." 00:50:51.500 |
I recommend learning the difference simply between marginal and effective tax rates, 00:50:56.500 |
the difference between adjusted gross income, AGI, and taxable income, right? 00:51:01.420 |
So that's really understanding how the standard deduction works, and the benefits of taxable 00:51:05.580 |
brokerage accounts, so including the qualified dividends, the long-term capital gain tax 00:51:09.900 |
treatment, tax-optimized charitable giving, for example, itemized deductions, the use 00:51:16.660 |
Once you understand the tax formula and consider your distribution order of operations that 00:51:21.060 |
we covered earlier, that typically is going to include the taxable, pre-tax, and then 00:51:26.860 |
Then you can gain some clarity around your average effective retirement tax rate. 00:51:31.120 |
Most of the assumptions that we make will actually not come true because most of the 00:51:34.740 |
things that we optimize for are out of our control rather than things that are within 00:51:39.540 |
So try not to over-optimize and estimate what your electricity bill will be in 30 years 00:51:45.260 |
Don't optimize for the 20% leaving the 80% on the table. 00:51:49.020 |
So visualize your long-term projections, but then step back. 00:51:55.180 |
Most of the decisions we make in retirement aren't permanent, so you don't have to have 00:52:00.260 |
a plan for estimating how much taxes you'll owe over the next 20, 30 years. 00:52:06.380 |
I know the Boglehut forum, for example, that you wrote this question on has great educational 00:52:12.200 |
Just continue learning and give yourself some grace and compassion that you don't have to 00:52:17.860 |
This one is from username USAFPerio, who writes, "I'm four and a half years out from my military 00:52:25.740 |
And with my pension, with a cola, and my portfolio, I'll be financially independent and not needing 00:52:33.980 |
The only big downside is we haven't owned a home in many years, and therefore we have 00:52:39.700 |
Can you comment on what I should be considering as I plan to finally purchase a home, such 00:52:45.100 |
as paying in full versus taking out a mortgage in retirement? 00:52:48.220 |
I could pay for a home outright from my brokerage account, but it would be a big capital gains 00:52:53.000 |
tax hit, although I'm enamored by the idea of having no mortgage payments." 00:52:58.600 |
Interest rates have been like really going up. 00:53:00.400 |
Mortgage rates are now at a place where people are starting to think, "Maybe I pay off my 00:53:05.040 |
You're enamored by the idea of having no mortgage payment, but you're worried about capital gains 00:53:11.080 |
It could make sense for you to finance a mortgage, but pay it off more aggressively than minimally. 00:53:16.940 |
So looking at a 15-year versus a 30-year, I'm actually a fan of a 30-year mortgage, 00:53:24.080 |
I actually have a mortgage flexibility calculator showing if you get a 15-year mortgage or a 00:53:31.320 |
Or scenario three is, what if I get a 30-year mortgage, but paid off in 15 years? 00:53:36.440 |
Because of the change in interest rate between a 15-year and a 30-year mortgage, you might 00:53:39.920 |
be paying for that opportunity cost, but it provides some breadth and flexibility in your 00:53:45.780 |
Because it's very hard to turn a 15-year mortgage into a 30-year mortgage, but it's very easy 00:53:52.840 |
It probably makes sense to get the longer mortgage, but pay it off aggressively, especially 00:53:58.320 |
Yeah, I think about, I'm enamored by the idea of having no mortgage payment, but it would 00:54:10.920 |
If you're going to feel good about having no mortgage payment, and I won't even go down 00:54:14.400 |
the nerd rabbit hole of sequence risk and borrowing at 7% to invest in bonds paying 00:54:23.600 |
If you can use money to feel better, and certainly it's not unreasonable in this scenario, that's 00:54:28.520 |
certainly something worth considering, taxes aside. 00:54:31.680 |
I love that you mentioned their preference for not having no mortgage. 00:54:35.380 |
This could also mean getting a mortgage, but paying off the house within one year, but 00:54:39.600 |
splitting that capital gains tax hit into two years rather than just one. 00:54:44.320 |
Dave learning more from the Volgas forums writes, does Cody help folks develop a backup 00:54:50.240 |
plan to reenter the workforce in case of a fire failure? 00:54:55.200 |
That is a big portion of their budget for conferences to maintain skills, or at least 00:55:00.640 |
advised to keep up their professional contacts. 00:55:04.000 |
So both risk management and flexibility are fundamental tenets within the fire community. 00:55:09.560 |
If you're retiring from a profession that requires a lot of continued education to avoid 00:55:13.580 |
losing your license, you may want to spend the money and continue your education just 00:55:18.300 |
to keep that license just in case you have to go back to work. 00:55:21.440 |
By the way, not just financially, but you might be three years into early retirement 00:55:29.060 |
We've got another question from want to retire early. 00:55:32.800 |
How to avoid the regret of waiting too long to retire and what are the telltale signs? 00:55:38.120 |
Not a partner with your spouse, so you are on the same page for early retirement. 00:55:44.220 |
So in terms of regret of waiting too long to retire, what are the signs? 00:55:49.900 |
Consider how you'd manage risk and this is a big part, embrace uncertainty and self-compassion. 00:55:55.080 |
So the fear of retiring usually isn't about the money. 00:55:59.360 |
There are deeper cognitive issues and opportunities there. 00:56:02.900 |
One way to regret waiting too long is if you're on the fence of like, I don't know if I'm 00:56:07.180 |
ready to retire or not, this is actually a good time to hire a counselor or a therapist. 00:56:11.380 |
Having a mental health professional in your life is just as important as hiring a financial 00:56:15.020 |
planner or listening to the Boglehead podcast. 00:56:17.740 |
So part of your education should be not just learning about money, learning about your 00:56:25.460 |
By the way, if you don't already invest in your mental health in terms of your time, 00:56:29.140 |
energy and finances, just really, really consider that. 00:56:32.020 |
And also if it helps, like just go beyond the stigma of that. 00:56:34.620 |
Like I see a counselor once a week and I think it's really important for us even in the profession 00:56:38.580 |
to be vulnerable about the need for mental health services. 00:56:41.620 |
So the telltale signs are when financial planning software says 100% "probability of success" 00:56:48.500 |
even with conservative assumptions, but yet pre-retirees, they don't want to believe it. 00:56:56.100 |
Like there must be something wrong with the software, right? 00:56:58.840 |
And not only that, a telltale sign is with confirmation bias, pre-retirees, they're often 00:57:03.920 |
seeking out fear-driven financial and political media. 00:57:07.380 |
I'm sure we all know that person who, you know, they're on the fence of retiring or 00:57:11.980 |
And they're spending all their time watching investment news, reading every article they 00:57:15.140 |
can about, you know, this is how much you need to retire. 00:57:17.660 |
So if you see yourself going down a rabbit hole, almost having confirmation bias or trying 00:57:21.620 |
to find something that supports your fear of not retiring. 00:57:24.780 |
If you're reading articles about how you need $4 million to retire no matter who you are, 00:57:29.140 |
like that's a telltale sign, you know, not just going too deep, but you're also, you're 00:57:34.540 |
And lastly, take away the numbers for a minute, right? 00:57:37.640 |
So talk about and visualize your family's ideal life together. 00:57:40.920 |
And then only then should you explore how your current and future financial situation 00:57:46.680 |
You talk about your spouse, this conversation usually goes sideways when one spouse wants 00:57:50.800 |
the other spouse to be on their page, not on the same page. 00:57:54.640 |
So I hear all the time people say, Hey, like, how can I get my spouse on the same page in 00:57:58.780 |
terms of being on a path to early retirement? 00:58:01.440 |
When you say same page, what you're really saying is how can I get them on my page? 00:58:05.000 |
And it really takes stepping back and understanding that they have a vision of their ideal life 00:58:09.900 |
So let them create a vision for their ideal life. 00:58:13.120 |
Only then plug in the money, plug in all the ideas you have about, you know, how to get 00:58:20.240 |
And by the way, listen, don't talk is the best advice I can give when trying to get 00:58:27.480 |
Well, I can't say that my wife and I did early retirement. 00:58:31.040 |
We did do a sabbatical gap year, we took roughly a year off to do some traveling. 00:58:37.200 |
And that just started with us having a conversation about it, making a couple dates to talk about 00:58:45.120 |
So just talking about it, that was the first step. 00:58:48.880 |
Cody, thank you so much for joining us today. 00:58:55.320 |
I've got to say, I actually have a trademark this phrase, it's keep finance personal. 00:59:02.280 |
We're all listening to all the podcasts, we're reading all the articles about "personal finance," 00:59:09.020 |
What this means is when you think about the advice somebody else is giving you, even the 00:59:15.560 |
I do not understand your personal situation, or most people giving you advice are only 00:59:19.960 |
giving advice based on their circumstance and how they think about things and their 00:59:25.200 |
So when you're making financial decisions, when you're gaining financial education, keep 00:59:29.080 |
finance personal, always think about whose financial plan is this? 00:59:32.920 |
Is this the financial plan of the person writing the article? 00:59:35.880 |
Really think any time I consume financial information, how does this actually apply 00:59:45.160 |
So if I asked you, John, "Hey, where should I go to lunch today?" 00:59:47.840 |
You might say, "Oh, you should go to In-N-Out Burger." 00:59:50.200 |
And I would be like, "Well, I don't have In-N-Out Burger where I live." 00:59:52.580 |
You gave me advice on where to go to lunch based on where you could go to lunch, not 00:59:57.120 |
So keep in mind that when people are giving you financial advice, they're saying what 01:00:00.320 |
they would do, not what you should do based on your own. 01:00:03.520 |
There's two parts to this, your comprehensive financial ecosystem and your unique values 01:00:09.680 |
Recognize, understand the numbers, understand your values and desired outcomes before you 01:00:17.680 |
Cody, I'm super excited to meet you at the Bullets Conference this year. 01:00:21.820 |
Folks will get to meet Cody and all sorts of amazing guests we're going to have this 01:00:27.800 |
It's going to be in Maryland, October 13th through the 15th, boglescenter.net/2023conference. 01:00:33.960 |
We've got around 60 spots left to register as of this recording. 01:00:37.560 |
So make sure to grab your spot before we are full up. 01:00:46.160 |
And that wraps up our interview with Cody Garrett. 01:00:49.680 |
And depending upon how long it takes for the last few spots of the conference to fill up, 01:00:56.720 |
you might still have a chance to register for the 2023 Bogleheads Conference. 01:01:02.520 |
Go to boglescenter.net/2023conference for more information. 01:01:07.840 |
I'll be back next month returning as guest host for the Bogleheads on investing podcast. 01:01:13.280 |
It'll be my final month covering for Rick Perry before I returned to our live Twitter 01:01:20.560 |
Until next month, you can check out a wealth of information for do-it-yourself investors 01:01:24.960 |
at the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy at boglescenter.net. 01:01:30.440 |
And check out Bogleheads.org, Bogleheads Twitter, Bogleheads Wiki, the Bogleheads YouTube channel, 01:01:37.560 |
Bogleheads Facebook, Bogleheads Reddit, the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy 01:01:46.420 |
And a thank you to all the folks who helped make this possible, including Nathan Garza, 01:01:52.800 |
our podcast editor, and Jeremy Zook, our podcast transcriber. 01:02:03.880 |
We had over 20,000 downloads per episode over the last few months. 01:02:10.120 |
If we could just get some of those folks to leave a review, subscribe, and to rate the 01:02:16.340 |
show, that'll help more folks find this resource for do-it-yourself investors. 01:02:21.780 |
Thank you again for checking out this episode of the Bogleheads on investing podcast. 01:02:26.580 |
Until next month for our next show, have a great one.