back to index

How to Understand Kamala's Polling Surge


Whisper Transcript | Transcript Only Page

00:00:00.000 | I think that there's five camps of voters going into this when Biden was a candidate.
00:00:04.160 | The first is anything but Biden. The second is anything but Trump. The third is pro-Biden.
00:00:08.800 | The fourth is pro-Trump. And then the fifth is the other. And I think that that entire
00:00:13.520 | bucket of anything but Biden just became available. And it was a pretty sizable bucket.
00:00:18.080 | There's a large number of voters out there that felt pretty strongly that Biden poses such a
00:00:22.640 | significant risk for leadership in this country because of the mental issues and the performance
00:00:27.520 | issues that we had seen that as much as people didn't love Trump, they were willing to vote for
00:00:32.000 | him because he's not Biden. Now that camp has an option, and that option is Harris. So some
00:00:36.560 | percentage of that camp, and I would say probably a super majority of that camp, is now switching
00:00:40.400 | into the Harris bucket. The pro-Trump bucket doesn't move. The pro-Biden bucket probably
00:00:45.520 | doesn't move. It sticks with Harris. And the anything but Trump bucket doesn't move. It sticks
00:00:49.680 | with Harris. The fact that there is probably such a sizable number of voters in the anything but
00:00:53.760 | Biden camp is what's probably helping Harris at this point and creates a bit of a handicap for Trump.