back to indexHow to Understand Kamala's Polling Surge
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I think that there's five camps of voters going into this when Biden was a candidate. 00:00:04.160 |
The first is anything but Biden. The second is anything but Trump. The third is pro-Biden. 00:00:08.800 |
The fourth is pro-Trump. And then the fifth is the other. And I think that that entire 00:00:13.520 |
bucket of anything but Biden just became available. And it was a pretty sizable bucket. 00:00:18.080 |
There's a large number of voters out there that felt pretty strongly that Biden poses such a 00:00:22.640 |
significant risk for leadership in this country because of the mental issues and the performance 00:00:27.520 |
issues that we had seen that as much as people didn't love Trump, they were willing to vote for 00:00:32.000 |
him because he's not Biden. Now that camp has an option, and that option is Harris. So some 00:00:36.560 |
percentage of that camp, and I would say probably a super majority of that camp, is now switching 00:00:40.400 |
into the Harris bucket. The pro-Trump bucket doesn't move. The pro-Biden bucket probably 00:00:45.520 |
doesn't move. It sticks with Harris. And the anything but Trump bucket doesn't move. It sticks 00:00:49.680 |
with Harris. The fact that there is probably such a sizable number of voters in the anything but 00:00:53.760 |
Biden camp is what's probably helping Harris at this point and creates a bit of a handicap for Trump.