John McCarthy: AI will be simple
00:00:00.000 | If it takes 200 years to achieve artificial intelligence,
00:00:04.000 | and then finally there is a textbook that explains how it's done,
00:00:08.400 | the hardest part of that textbook to write
00:00:10.800 | will be the part that explains why people didn't think of it 200 years ago.
00:00:14.600 | Because we're really talking about how to make machines do
00:00:20.600 | things that are really on the surface of our minds.
00:00:25.000 | It's just that our ability to observe our own mental processes
00:00:30.400 | is not very good and has not been very good.
00:00:34.600 | When we look at Leibniz, he invented binary numbers,
00:00:38.600 | but he didn't even invent propositional calculus
00:00:41.800 | that was invented by Boole 150 years later.
00:00:46.200 | And then Boole didn't invent predicate calculus.
00:00:49.600 | So what one sees is that each step in understanding of thought processes
00:00:57.200 | has taken time.