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How Do I Max Out My Roth IRA?


Chapters

0:0 Intro
1:0 Dollar cost averaging
4:22 Bonds vs. Money Markets
11:8 Funding a startup
16:10 Dividend investing
20:27 Backdoors vs. SERPs

Whisper Transcript | Transcript Only Page

00:00:00.000 | (projector whirring)
00:00:03.080 | (upbeat music)
00:00:18.500 | - You know it's real when you edit it.
00:00:22.100 | - We're good? - Yeah, we're good.
00:00:25.160 | - Welcome to Portfolio Rescue.
00:00:27.880 | Usually I'm 750 miles away from Duncan.
00:00:30.860 | Today I'm 75 inches away.
00:00:32.680 | We're at the headquarter,
00:00:33.560 | the Compound headquarters in Manhattan.
00:00:35.600 | Nice to be here.
00:00:37.040 | Duncan, how we feeling?
00:00:38.480 | - I'm stressed.
00:00:39.680 | I'm feeling pretty stressed today.
00:00:41.880 | - It's my tea issues, but hey, we're past that.
00:00:43.720 | We're ready to answer some questions.
00:00:45.400 | Remember, our email here, askthecompoundshow@gmail.com.
00:00:48.760 | Let's do it.
00:00:49.640 | - Okay, and in our defense, this is a tight turnaround.
00:00:52.400 | You guys saw from we were doing CNBC with Josh to this,
00:00:55.200 | so we apologize for the delay.
00:00:57.440 | But yeah, we're here now.
00:00:59.320 | So up first today, we have the following.
00:01:03.080 | I like my idea of investing every day.
00:01:05.480 | My OCD took off and I figured out
00:01:07.240 | that investing $25 a day over 260 weekdays in a year
00:01:11.220 | would roughly equal my IRA limit of 6,500.
00:01:14.640 | The investing platform I use allows me
00:01:16.480 | to automate this task over a basket of stocks and ETFs.
00:01:19.240 | My question is, some of my $25 a day investment
00:01:22.480 | equates to only a couple dollars per share/ETF.
00:01:26.700 | Does payment for order flow
00:01:27.840 | negatively impact my smaller trades
00:01:29.880 | more than if I made larger weekly or monthly trades?
00:01:32.880 | Is this impossible to quantify
00:01:34.840 | with fluctuations in the markets?
00:01:36.400 | Should I just take a deep breath
00:01:37.520 | and not be all OCD about it?
00:01:39.220 | - I like the idea here.
00:01:41.160 | So one of the biggest benefits of dollar cost averaging
00:01:43.760 | is just that you're diversifying over time, right?
00:01:45.760 | You avoid that single point of failure
00:01:47.520 | where you take the big lump sum and you put it to work
00:01:50.600 | and it happens to be at an inopportune time.
00:01:52.680 | So I do like the idea of breaking down
00:01:54.760 | the max IRA contributions into various timeframes.
00:01:57.740 | Technically, there's 252 trading days in the year
00:01:59.900 | because of holidays.
00:02:01.460 | So if we're splitting hairs here,
00:02:03.260 | we're talking about $26 a day.
00:02:05.340 | If a man really wants to max out that IRA,
00:02:07.700 | which he does, it sounds like, close enough.
00:02:10.460 | Or you could go, I figured, at $125 a week, $540 a month.
00:02:15.460 | So I think any of those times,
00:02:19.100 | honestly, if you're breaking them down into those levels,
00:02:22.020 | even if you did it monthly, if you did one lump sum,
00:02:24.240 | your market impact is gonna be so minuscule
00:02:26.620 | of the trillions of dollars that are moving all the time
00:02:29.140 | that it's probably not going to matter.
00:02:30.500 | So I think they probably are overthinking things.
00:02:33.360 | I just don't see how you can get taken advantage of any more
00:02:35.460 | at $125 a week versus 25 a day or $540 a month.
00:02:39.860 | I think at these levels,
00:02:41.780 | you're not gonna be any better or worse off.
00:02:44.320 | Ken Griffith is not going to take any more pennies from you.
00:02:46.960 | It kind of just scales, I think.
00:02:48.820 | So we did talk about mental accounting though last week.
00:02:51.660 | And I do think the idea of someone thinking
00:02:54.180 | through their savings as $25 a day
00:02:56.940 | is easier to stomach psychologically
00:02:58.820 | than $540 a month for certain people.
00:03:01.420 | So even though it's the same thing in the end,
00:03:02.620 | I actually like the idea of doing it this way.
00:03:05.280 | So I think investing this way could provide
00:03:08.020 | some sort of double psychological boost
00:03:10.260 | in terms of dollar cost averaging
00:03:11.740 | and spreading it out over tons of different markets.
00:03:15.340 | And I've shared this stat before.
00:03:16.820 | I think since 1928, the win-loss ratio
00:03:20.500 | for the stock market on a daily basis
00:03:22.020 | is 55% up days, 45% down days.
00:03:25.820 | So $25 a day, you're actually giving yourself
00:03:28.580 | that opportunity to buy
00:03:29.860 | when the market is down a little bit.
00:03:32.300 | But as an individual investor, the trading cost thing,
00:03:34.940 | it's not like it's gonna scale any better.
00:03:36.980 | And it's not like you're gonna get
00:03:38.700 | the scale of an institutional investor
00:03:39.980 | by moving millions or hundreds of millions of dollars.
00:03:43.100 | Either way, so I think, yeah,
00:03:44.080 | you're probably overthinking it.
00:03:45.300 | - And so for payment for order flow,
00:03:47.180 | I mean, we are talking about like pennies
00:03:48.540 | and fractions of pennies, right?
00:03:49.740 | We're just to be queer for people.
00:03:51.660 | - And yeah, we're talking about a drop in the bucket though,
00:03:53.980 | a drop in the ocean here in terms of that $25 a day.
00:03:57.220 | It's not gonna be any better,
00:04:00.140 | even if you put that $6,500 max IRA contribution
00:04:03.940 | to work all at once.
00:04:04.780 | - I've never seen a dude dollar cost average daily.
00:04:06.980 | It's the first time I've thought about that.
00:04:08.640 | I think it's kind of fun.
00:04:09.480 | It's like paying a bill, right?
00:04:10.320 | Buy your coffee, fund your IRA.
00:04:11.940 | I dig it.
00:04:13.160 | - Yeah, let us know in the chat.
00:04:14.700 | I'm not looking at the chat right now,
00:04:15.820 | but let us know, Nicole's in there.
00:04:16.980 | So let us know if you dollar cost average on a daily basis.
00:04:20.020 | - Let's do another one.
00:04:21.940 | - Yeah, up next we have bonds versus money markets.
00:04:25.220 | I manage my investment portfolio largely
00:04:27.620 | with a mix of very boring funds,
00:04:30.300 | U.S. index fund, international index fund,
00:04:32.600 | and a total bond fund.
00:04:34.180 | Looking at the yield on my bond index fund,
00:04:37.100 | it looks like I may be able to get a better yield
00:04:39.340 | in a money market fund.
00:04:40.540 | Is there any reason to keep my bond allocation
00:04:42.820 | where it is rather than moving into a money market fund?
00:04:45.260 | - First of all, kudos on a three fund portfolio.
00:04:47.100 | I love this.
00:04:47.920 | The total stock market index funds,
00:04:49.580 | the U.S., international, and bonds.
00:04:51.280 | Listen, the yield on the 10 year treasury
00:04:53.780 | is like 3.6% right now.
00:04:55.720 | So you can get four to 5% in most money market funds.
00:04:59.300 | Three to six month treasuries right now
00:05:01.140 | are yielding around 5%.
00:05:02.900 | And if the Fed raises rates at the next meeting,
00:05:04.980 | which most people don't think they will,
00:05:07.340 | but some people think it's a possibility,
00:05:08.700 | these rates should actually go up a little more from here.
00:05:10.740 | So I said on this week's Animal Spirits,
00:05:12.280 | I think owning ultra short term bonds
00:05:14.300 | is a no brainer right now.
00:05:15.620 | But that's kind of how I look at fixed income
00:05:18.420 | as an asset class.
00:05:19.780 | I prefer to accept my volatility in stocks.
00:05:22.380 | I know the stock market is gonna fluctuate in the short term
00:05:25.020 | and it could have these bone crushing losses.
00:05:27.580 | And I look to fixed income and cash
00:05:29.860 | as a portfolio stabilizer.
00:05:31.600 | So I think about portfolios in like a barbell approach.
00:05:35.380 | So on one side of the barbell is higher volatility,
00:05:38.700 | higher expected returns.
00:05:40.540 | And on the other side of the barbell is less volatility,
00:05:44.160 | maybe some income, but we're talking more stability
00:05:47.140 | for either rebalancing into the downturn in the stock market
00:05:52.140 | or just keeping that portfolio stabilized
00:05:55.860 | so you have some spending cash on part of it,
00:05:57.880 | that sort of bucketing approach we've talked about.
00:06:00.080 | So in a recent piece,
00:06:01.700 | my favorite financial writer, William Bernstein,
00:06:03.940 | he was talking about bonds and cash versus stock.
00:06:07.260 | And he said, "Investing is an operation
00:06:08.540 | "that transfers wealth to those with a strategy
00:06:11.340 | "and can execute it from those who do not."
00:06:14.220 | Sorry, let me show that again.
00:06:15.040 | "Investing is an operation that transfers wealth
00:06:16.860 | "to those with a strategy and can execute it
00:06:19.040 | "from those who do not or cannot."
00:06:20.980 | And the idea is having some sort of short duration assets,
00:06:23.960 | whether it's cash or cash-like short-term bonds, CDs,
00:06:28.220 | money markets, online savings, whatever it is,
00:06:31.380 | that can help you stick with the other stuff.
00:06:32.900 | So even in the last 10 or 15 years
00:06:34.700 | when cash or cash-like investments
00:06:36.860 | didn't provide much in the way of yield,
00:06:39.020 | the asset class still played a vital role
00:06:41.380 | in portfolio management
00:06:42.420 | if it allowed you to stay invested in stocks
00:06:44.620 | and avoid worrying about your short-term spending needs
00:06:46.480 | being met.
00:06:47.320 | So the good J.P. Morgan line was always,
00:06:51.180 | "A bear marker is when stocks
00:06:52.300 | "are returned to the rightful owners."
00:06:54.140 | And I think most people might,
00:06:57.620 | what that means is the people who have money
00:06:59.060 | to buy stocks are on sale.
00:07:00.100 | And unless you have savings coming in from income,
00:07:03.020 | the people who have money are the people holding cash
00:07:04.700 | and can sort of balance into the pain.
00:07:06.200 | So that's just my preference
00:07:07.300 | when it comes to portfolio management diversification,
00:07:09.500 | not for everyone.
00:07:10.480 | It does seem like a no-brainer
00:07:12.620 | to sit in these short-term vehicles right now,
00:07:14.540 | but there are some risks to consider
00:07:16.260 | before you move your entire bond exposure over.
00:07:18.460 | Like if you were sitting in a total bond market fund,
00:07:20.820 | last year you probably lost
00:07:22.140 | somewhere in the range of 10 to 15%
00:07:24.420 | in like an ag or a total bond index fund.
00:07:27.380 | Interest rate risk works in both directions.
00:07:29.540 | So last year when rates rose,
00:07:30.740 | long-duration bonds got hammered.
00:07:31.900 | So John, do a chart on here of last year.
00:07:33.860 | This is bonds at different duration rates.
00:07:35.700 | So you can see that zero-coupon bonds,
00:07:37.420 | which is 25-plus years,
00:07:39.140 | they were down 40-some percent last year.
00:07:41.100 | That's like all sorts of duration.
00:07:42.820 | That's all duration, basically.
00:07:44.940 | 20 to 30-year, kind of going on the list,
00:07:47.420 | then one to three-year didn't have many losses.
00:07:48.860 | So the further out duration, the more you lost.
00:07:51.780 | Now, throw this year's chart up, John.
00:07:54.080 | Not huge gains in bonds,
00:07:56.700 | but it kind of works the opposite direction
00:07:57.820 | 'cause rates have fallen this year.
00:07:58.940 | So anything with duration did much better.
00:08:01.460 | So if we go into recession and the Fed cuts rates
00:08:04.620 | or yields in the bond market fall
00:08:06.220 | 'cause of inflation or whatever, the economy's slowing,
00:08:09.300 | which you would expect to happen,
00:08:10.220 | bonds with more duration will provide
00:08:11.540 | more bang for your buck.
00:08:12.380 | So making up some of those losses,
00:08:14.380 | if you kind of get out now,
00:08:16.340 | is much easier if you stay in some duration.
00:08:18.920 | Some investors like this feature of bonds.
00:08:20.700 | When the stock market is down, usually,
00:08:23.740 | not last year, but usually, or when there's a recession,
00:08:26.380 | we see a flight to safety, people go into bonds,
00:08:29.180 | and bonds provide some sort of price boost
00:08:31.900 | and not just income.
00:08:32.980 | Reinvestment risk is also a potential problem here.
00:08:35.380 | Let's say the Fed overplays its hand,
00:08:36.860 | do get even like a run-of-the-mill recession
00:08:38.580 | and inflation falls.
00:08:40.220 | I don't know, rates could go from 5% currently
00:08:42.220 | to 3% or 2%, maybe,
00:08:43.740 | depending on the severity of the downturn.
00:08:46.060 | In short-term bonds or cash or money markets or whatever,
00:08:48.500 | you don't get price appreciation from rates falling
00:08:51.100 | like you would in long-duration bonds.
00:08:52.220 | Plus, now your 5% T-bill is now yielding 2%.
00:08:55.780 | So you kind of have to think, what do I do?
00:08:57.020 | Do I stick it out in this more stable asset
00:08:58.540 | or do I look for something that can potentially,
00:09:00.260 | in that scenario, get more yield?
00:09:01.540 | So I think you will have a heads-up from the Fed
00:09:03.980 | when time comes and rates move,
00:09:06.380 | but the bond market's not gonna wait around for you.
00:09:08.980 | So I think you just have to figure out
00:09:11.660 | why you're investing in bonds in the first place.
00:09:13.620 | Is it more stability, like me,
00:09:15.540 | or are you trying to get ahead of the interest rate market
00:09:17.900 | and be some sort of hedge fund manager?
00:09:19.380 | I guess that's kind of the way I look at it.
00:09:21.020 | - Have you taken a look at how much
00:09:22.060 | does the price appreciation help in fixed income
00:09:24.940 | when markets are in turmoil?
00:09:26.500 | - Over the long, well, so we have looked at that,
00:09:28.980 | and during, I think, the relative outperformance
00:09:31.260 | and down year in the stock market,
00:09:33.060 | it's like, again, stocks are down and bonds are up a little.
00:09:36.300 | It's like almost a 20% outperformance
00:09:37.980 | on a relative basis for the 10-year Treasury.
00:09:39.740 | So you do get a bump.
00:09:40.620 | Like in 2008, Treasuries were up double digits.
00:09:43.700 | So that is something to consider.
00:09:45.780 | Like, what is the point of fixed income
00:09:47.220 | in the first place for you?
00:09:48.260 | - Yeah, and that would be my argument
00:09:49.580 | is that you will get that price appreciation
00:09:51.380 | from a money market fund, right?
00:09:52.580 | You get yield and yield alone.
00:09:53.860 | - Yes, you have the stability piece and the income piece,
00:09:55.940 | but that's it, right?
00:09:57.660 | - I do think bonds have been a really tough asset class
00:10:01.940 | for the past 10 years or so,
00:10:02.900 | and I think they're pretty straightforward to me
00:10:04.340 | in terms of this, but that's the wrench in the equation.
00:10:07.460 | - Pretty exciting right now, the last year or so, yeah.
00:10:09.900 | - And that's the thing.
00:10:11.380 | Interest rates have fluctuated so much.
00:10:12.900 | Maybe some people are saying,
00:10:14.300 | "Just get me out of this game.
00:10:15.580 | "I don't care.
00:10:16.420 | "I'm gonna lock in what I can now,
00:10:17.940 | "and if rates go down in the future,
00:10:18.980 | "we'll figure it out then."
00:10:20.100 | But I do think rates being at 5% in short-term T-bills
00:10:24.140 | is something that investors haven't had the chance
00:10:25.940 | for 15, 20 years at this point.
00:10:28.580 | I'd say enjoy 'em while they last.
00:10:30.900 | - In a word, it's tasty.
00:10:32.660 | - I gotta be honest.
00:10:33.500 | I still don't understand what a money market fund
00:10:34.860 | really is at the end of the day.
00:10:36.500 | I really couldn't explain it.
00:10:38.060 | I have no idea.
00:10:39.460 | It's like a fancy bank account.
00:10:40.980 | - It's a fancy savings account, it really is,
00:10:43.180 | but you can write checks on it.
00:10:44.740 | It really is a fancy savings account.
00:10:46.820 | This is the Winnie the Pooh meme.
00:10:48.580 | Savings account, money market.
00:10:50.260 | It's not really a savings account, but it kind of is.
00:10:52.660 | - Yeah, but there's a distinction between that
00:10:54.500 | and a money market mutual fund.
00:10:55.740 | - We'd have to go through the financialization history
00:10:57.860 | to explain it all.
00:10:59.220 | - Oh, we have time.
00:11:00.060 | - I don't know that from Shinola.
00:11:02.100 | 14 minutes for this episode.
00:11:03.580 | - Okay, up next we have,
00:11:05.860 | and that question was from Michael, by the way.
00:11:08.540 | Up next we have a long one, but a good one.
00:11:10.180 | I got laid off from a tech startup in New York City.
00:11:12.860 | Shocker.
00:11:13.780 | I'm 30, single, and have been wanting to do something
00:11:16.420 | on my own for years.
00:11:17.540 | I have experience, relationships, and a decent idea
00:11:20.620 | to bring a niche product to market.
00:11:22.660 | I need about $100,000 to live and fund the business
00:11:25.720 | for year one, assuming no positive cashflow.
00:11:28.380 | How would you approach setting up funding?
00:11:30.140 | I have $25,000 cash, negligible debt, good credit,
00:11:34.340 | about $50,000 in a brokerage, about $75,000 in a 401(k).
00:11:39.000 | I'll probably never have fewer responsibilities in my life,
00:11:41.300 | and it feels like the right time to make a bet on myself.
00:11:43.580 | I've meant to, I totally forgot
00:11:44.940 | in all the hectic prep for this.
00:11:47.400 | I was gonna read this like a shark pitch,
00:11:49.300 | like say, "Hey sharks, what are the pros and cons
00:11:52.500 | "of liquidating my brokerage account, a 401(k) loan,
00:11:55.960 | "taking an SBA or bank loan,
00:11:58.720 | "raising from angels, friends, and family?"
00:12:01.400 | - I like the idea here, like good for you
00:12:03.080 | for betting on yourself.
00:12:04.880 | You definitely wanna do this in your 20s or 30s
00:12:06.720 | before you have more responsibilities as a single person.
00:12:09.320 | You don't have kids running around
00:12:11.040 | or a mortgage to worry about.
00:12:12.920 | I think that is, there's, risk means different people
00:12:16.140 | at different points of their life, and I think this,
00:12:17.800 | if you're gonna do it and you make this leap, do it.
00:12:20.400 | - Obviously the caveat here is most startups fail,
00:12:23.760 | you know, which is tough, but I do think it's,
00:12:28.760 | this is the time to do this.
00:12:31.000 | So, Bill, you've actually been a part
00:12:32.040 | of small businesses over the years.
00:12:33.740 | Not necessarily a startup per se,
00:12:36.200 | but Ritholtz was more or less a startup
00:12:37.400 | when you and I joined seven or eight years ago.
00:12:38.800 | - I think so, yeah. - There was a handful of us.
00:12:40.520 | - Yeah, Mr. Josh Brown, Mr. Barry Ritholtz.
00:12:42.560 | - Well, let's ask you this before we get into like the,
00:12:45.080 | weighing the pros and cons of each.
00:12:46.400 | Are there any tax implications here of starting a business
00:12:49.360 | and different kind of funding approaches?
00:12:50.580 | Does that matter at all?
00:12:51.880 | - Yeah, there's a lot of tax implications.
00:12:53.880 | I was gonna suggest, Ben, that we end up ranking these,
00:12:56.120 | right, I mean, at the end of this, this is priorities.
00:12:58.200 | And before we get there, I wanna tell you a quick story.
00:13:00.740 | So the year's 2007, the great financial crisis
00:13:04.080 | is a year or two away, and I picked the perfect time
00:13:05.980 | to get out of the Army, leave a stable job,
00:13:08.040 | not unlike my friend Chris here, and get out.
00:13:10.440 | I linked up with a tax practice partner,
00:13:12.040 | my partner Greg, who turned 78 this year,
00:13:13.920 | and by the way, he's still cranking out tax returns
00:13:16.160 | on an annual basis, that man is my hero
00:13:18.560 | and very much a mentor.
00:13:19.760 | So I go to the bank, 'cause I wanna focus on CFP,
00:13:22.200 | I wanna become a financial planner,
00:13:24.040 | work with the tax practice.
00:13:25.280 | So I go to the bank and I say,
00:13:26.240 | what kind of deal can we work here?
00:13:28.360 | You know, I slip the note under the table,
00:13:30.000 | and then hard pass, hard pass from the bank.
00:13:32.720 | I go talk to the SBA.
00:13:34.400 | Personal guarantee, they could give me $2,000 at 12%.
00:13:38.120 | Not very helpful if I wanna hire somebody.
00:13:40.120 | - At that point, you might as well get a credit card.
00:13:42.200 | - Right, basically.
00:13:43.200 | Went to the Veterans Affairs, funding had dried up,
00:13:45.720 | again, this is 2007, not an asset-backed loan.
00:13:48.760 | I go to the county, I'm not adding manufacturing jobs.
00:13:51.200 | A finance bro, they're probably not just gonna
00:13:53.320 | loan you money at the end of this.
00:13:54.920 | So ultimately, maybe things have changed,
00:13:57.800 | but I think, Chris, every note on your list
00:14:00.520 | involves you basically betting on yourself
00:14:03.320 | with your own financial resources, except for one.
00:14:05.840 | And that's the one that I would focus on,
00:14:07.560 | which is the friends and family element.
00:14:09.120 | That, to me, is the most interesting thing to go,
00:14:11.600 | because ultimately, crowdsourcing would allow
00:14:13.400 | other people to share in the risk that he's taking on
00:14:15.880 | with his career right now.
00:14:17.120 | And that way, you're able to financialize it a little bit,
00:14:19.600 | and for tax implications, if somebody's gonna put risk in,
00:14:22.400 | they would also share with them a little bit of the upside
00:14:24.180 | in how you do that.
00:14:25.020 | But that's the direction I would go.
00:14:26.120 | - If you have trusted sources of capital
00:14:28.200 | that are willing to make a bet on you,
00:14:29.860 | and they understand the risks,
00:14:31.080 | that you could lose all this money,
00:14:32.680 | and then also, hey, I'm gonna be using
00:14:34.440 | some of my brokerage account here.
00:14:35.740 | I'm gonna be maybe using credit card.
00:14:37.200 | I'm gonna bootstrap this, and I'm gonna do whatever I can.
00:14:39.560 | If they know that you've got skin in the game, too,
00:14:42.140 | where you're just not using a loan or something,
00:14:45.360 | I think that makes a lot of sense, too,
00:14:46.880 | as long as they go into it with their eyes wide open
00:14:49.720 | that this could be a zero for them.
00:14:50.800 | - Yeah, exactly.
00:14:51.640 | And so, if you finance half of it with the $50,000 you have,
00:14:54.360 | half brokerage, half cash,
00:14:55.560 | if you can raise another $50,000 from friends, family,
00:14:58.160 | maybe it's something where you pay 'em back
00:14:59.460 | one-fifth a year for six years, right?
00:15:01.160 | And so, they get paid.
00:15:02.000 | They get the 20% kinda kicker there at the end
00:15:05.040 | if you split it up, but know that you're five,
00:15:08.080 | and that allows you to financialize
00:15:09.320 | and spread out some of the risk.
00:15:10.520 | Look at a partnership LLC.
00:15:11.760 | That's certainly a great structure.
00:15:13.080 | Would Elliot have folks enter and exit the partnership
00:15:14.920 | with little, no tax consequences?
00:15:16.460 | That's where I'd go for Chris,
00:15:17.880 | but I'd like that crowdsourcing idea.
00:15:19.640 | That one stands out to me.
00:15:20.660 | - I'm not a big American exceptionalism guy,
00:15:23.140 | but I think this is one of the cool things
00:15:24.280 | about our country that people do try this,
00:15:26.520 | because I'm not, you know,
00:15:30.120 | again, real estate's kind of a startup here,
00:15:31.480 | but it wasn't like starting from the ground floor,
00:15:35.280 | and I think that's just a huge risk,
00:15:37.560 | and you have to be the right kind of person, too,
00:15:38.760 | and have the right personality to do something like that.
00:15:40.440 | - Right, but it's capable here.
00:15:41.820 | Manifest destiny, and for here, you can make it.
00:15:44.080 | I mean, this is the American dream.
00:15:45.160 | - And kudos to him for giving it a try,
00:15:47.580 | and if it doesn't work, guess what?
00:15:48.760 | You work in tech startups.
00:15:50.120 | That's a place where you can see large amounts of people
00:15:53.240 | lose their job pretty quickly,
00:15:54.400 | and why not give it a try,
00:15:55.920 | and if you can, get back in with techs on the upswing again.
00:15:58.280 | - Yeah, he could get an entry-level, you know,
00:16:00.080 | 200K job in tech or something, right, you know,
00:16:02.760 | if he always had, if he had to fall back.
00:16:04.440 | - Inflation, inflation works wonders.
00:16:06.600 | - All right, let's do another one.
00:16:07.440 | - Congrats, Chris.
00:16:08.260 | - Yeah, good luck.
00:16:09.100 | Keep us posted on how it goes.
00:16:10.040 | - Yeah, let us know.
00:16:11.080 | Okay, up next, question four, we've got--
00:16:13.160 | - Also, he's probably gonna ask us to invest.
00:16:14.740 | (laughing)
00:16:15.580 | I don't know what he said.
00:16:16.420 | - Oh, there's an idea, Chris.
00:16:17.680 | There's an idea.
00:16:18.520 | Okay, up next.
00:16:20.640 | I've gotten into dividend investing recently
00:16:22.520 | and need some clarification on the difference
00:16:24.320 | between ordinary and qualified dividends.
00:16:26.580 | I want qualified dividends
00:16:27.760 | because of the preferential tax treatment.
00:16:29.680 | The IRS states that most American companies
00:16:32.080 | and some foreign stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds
00:16:34.800 | will be qualified dividends
00:16:36.280 | as long as you hold them for 60 days.
00:16:38.360 | How do you easily screen for equities
00:16:40.080 | that will produce qualified dividends?
00:16:41.680 | So he's basically looking to build a portfolio
00:16:44.240 | where he's getting tax advantage dividends, right?
00:16:47.200 | Smart.
00:16:48.040 | - So, obviously, the first explanation here
00:16:49.200 | is qualified versus ordinary.
00:16:50.760 | Let's do, Ben tries to explain taxes.
00:16:53.840 | (laughing)
00:16:55.100 | Ordinary just means they're taxed at ordinary income, right?
00:16:57.640 | - That's it.
00:16:58.480 | - Qualified means you get some sort
00:16:59.600 | of preferential treatment at whatever,
00:17:01.520 | capital gains or whatever.
00:17:03.480 | What would be classified as ordinary?
00:17:05.120 | That's like REITs.
00:17:06.640 | - Yeah, REITs is a good one.
00:17:08.520 | The most common one, I was gonna get it to the end,
00:17:10.240 | but you just put it first, Ben,
00:17:11.280 | is income from a bond fund.
00:17:13.520 | Income from a bond fund is typically taxed
00:17:15.040 | as a non-qualified dividend,
00:17:16.160 | but that's not what the question's trying to get at.
00:17:18.760 | - Right, so they wanna know,
00:17:20.120 | what stocks, ETFs, and mutual funds do I invest in
00:17:22.320 | if I want qualified dividends?
00:17:24.320 | - Yeah, so first off, let's start with the why.
00:17:26.160 | Why, you said it, Ben.
00:17:27.160 | Ordinary income stings, and it can be a 0% rate,
00:17:30.240 | but all the way up to about 41%
00:17:32.320 | for investors in the highest tax brackets,
00:17:34.040 | making about $600,000 or more if you're married.
00:17:36.560 | However, most median taxpayers are paying about 22%.
00:17:40.080 | Now, a qualified dividend, it's the same tax rate
00:17:42.960 | that you would apply to long-term capital gains.
00:17:45.280 | So for most investors, that's 15%.
00:17:47.720 | At the very high end, it ends up being 24%.
00:17:50.840 | And so the gap there can be pretty large.
00:17:52.600 | It can almost be a 15% differential
00:17:54.920 | between your tax rate for ordinary income
00:17:56.960 | versus qualified capital gains or qualified dividends.
00:17:59.360 | So that's step one.
00:18:00.200 | What do you get from that?
00:18:01.240 | So now, how do you get a qualified dividend?
00:18:03.240 | There's really two conditions you need to hit.
00:18:04.800 | Number one, it needs to be a U.S. company.
00:18:06.880 | That's task number one.
00:18:08.000 | However, counted in that qualified dividend
00:18:10.200 | for U.S. purposes are countries
00:18:11.680 | that we have a favorable tax treaty with.
00:18:13.600 | Ben, what countries do you favor
00:18:15.560 | when it comes to your tax treaties?
00:18:16.920 | - Saudi Arabia?
00:18:18.040 | - That is actually one, yes.
00:18:18.880 | - Is it really? - That's a really good one.
00:18:19.840 | Yeah, 'cause they're friends.
00:18:20.680 | They're friends of the United States, definitely.
00:18:22.440 | But yeah, Japan. - What about Ireland?
00:18:23.640 | - Ireland, big one.
00:18:24.520 | Yep, big up there on the list.
00:18:25.640 | I mean, I can give you a full list.
00:18:26.640 | The list is longer than a list of not.
00:18:28.280 | - Could you give us your picks?
00:18:29.280 | - Sure. (laughs)
00:18:30.120 | - That's what everyone's waiting on.
00:18:31.480 | - I'll give you my qualified dividend list,
00:18:33.080 | which is Canada, Mexico, UK, Germany, China, Japan,
00:18:36.040 | Switzerland, India, South Korea, Italy,
00:18:37.800 | and the list goes on and on and on.
00:18:39.240 | A lot of the developed world.
00:18:40.320 | What's interesting is if you look at the countries
00:18:41.800 | that are not included in the qualified dividend list.
00:18:44.160 | I'll give you one, Taiwan.
00:18:45.640 | This is a country, by the way,
00:18:47.000 | but Taiwan is not included
00:18:48.400 | because we don't have a favorable tax treaty.
00:18:50.120 | Taiwan Semiconductor,
00:18:51.280 | one of the 10 largest companies in the world,
00:18:52.920 | dividend rate about 2.5%.
00:18:54.360 | Sorry, you gotta pay full freight of U.S. taxes.
00:18:56.640 | It's not qualified.
00:18:57.760 | Another example, Singapore, Colombia, Iran.
00:19:00.600 | Not really good friends with Iran right now,
00:19:02.720 | but the differences can just be in that tax treaty thing.
00:19:04.520 | - So it's pretty easy to find qualified dividends.
00:19:06.800 | - It is, it is.
00:19:07.840 | And the second thing you need to hit is a holding period.
00:19:10.320 | And the holding period is super funky.
00:19:12.040 | Don't wanna get too much into details,
00:19:13.580 | but you basically need to hold the stock
00:19:15.640 | for a 61-day period at least 60 days prior
00:19:20.640 | to the dividend being held.
00:19:22.560 | And so the holding period test
00:19:24.440 | goes all the way back six months,
00:19:26.160 | and you basically have to hold the stock
00:19:27.720 | for about two months,
00:19:28.760 | at least two months before the dividend.
00:19:30.720 | So we're looking at a long timeframe.
00:19:32.140 | And what this prevents, Ben,
00:19:33.080 | is people buying a company that's about to issue a dividend
00:19:35.720 | and then they sell it later.
00:19:36.980 | So you have to hold this as a long-term investors game,
00:19:39.680 | and if you meet those criteria.
00:19:40.520 | - Right, I hope you're not day-trading dividend stocks.
00:19:42.320 | That's not the point. - Day-trading dividend stocks
00:19:43.520 | turns out not to be a great strategy.
00:19:44.680 | - Now let's take this one step further.
00:19:46.000 | Since I wanna do dividends,
00:19:47.680 | do you think it almost always makes sense
00:19:49.320 | to hold dividends in a tax-squared account,
00:19:50.920 | if you can?
00:19:51.760 | If this person is saying,
00:19:52.600 | I wanna be a dividend investor,
00:19:55.400 | obviously, they're obviously asking
00:19:56.480 | for a taxable account here,
00:19:58.000 | but would it be better for them
00:19:59.160 | to hold it in a Roth or an IRA?
00:20:00.680 | - It's really interesting,
00:20:01.840 | 'cause tax location, I think, is all of a sudden
00:20:03.840 | back in vogue.
00:20:04.680 | 'Cause all of a sudden, if you can get 4%, 5%,
00:20:06.560 | we talked about treasury rate,
00:20:07.600 | a money market rate of 3%,
00:20:08.940 | that does change the math and equation a little bit.
00:20:10.600 | Tax location, a really good idea.
00:20:12.280 | I'm not, I think at higher levels of dollars,
00:20:14.480 | that makes a lot of sense.
00:20:15.320 | I think for solving for a portfolio question like this,
00:20:18.120 | I would just stick to the basics.
00:20:19.800 | It's really just, you need to hold your stocks
00:20:21.780 | for a long period of time, and you're good to go.
00:20:23.920 | - Okay, that's easy.
00:20:24.880 | Cool, keep it easy.
00:20:25.960 | - All right, last question, Duncan.
00:20:28.280 | - Okay, so last but not least,
00:20:31.440 | I work at a company that offers a 401(k) with no match
00:20:34.400 | and a tax-deferred Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan,
00:20:37.400 | or SERP, that's how I'm going to say it.
00:20:39.680 | I don't know if that's right.
00:20:41.120 | Not to brag.
00:20:42.200 | They recently added the option to contribute
00:20:44.280 | to an after-tax 401(k) with automatic conversion
00:20:46.840 | to a Roth 401(k). - I think about three people
00:20:47.760 | listening got that not to brag.
00:20:49.120 | - Yeah, exactly.
00:20:53.240 | So yeah, they recently added the option
00:20:55.240 | to contribute to an after-tax 401(k)
00:20:57.120 | with automatic conversion to Roth 401(k),
00:20:59.320 | as well as the option to do an in-plan rollover
00:21:01.560 | of existing traditional 401(k) funds to Roth 401(k).
00:21:05.360 | I'm 38 and in my high-earning years.
00:21:07.720 | If I did the mega back to a Roth,
00:21:09.740 | I would be paying tax on the conversion
00:21:11.960 | while in this high tax bracket.
00:21:14.020 | Wouldn't it make more sense to contribute
00:21:15.440 | as much as possible to the SERP
00:21:16.840 | in order to max out pre-tax retirement savings
00:21:19.400 | and pay tax on withdrawals from the SERP during retirement
00:21:22.640 | when I'm in a lower tax bracket?
00:21:24.800 | I understand there's a risk of losing funds in a SERP
00:21:27.560 | if the company files for bankruptcy,
00:21:29.040 | but my employer is owned by the world's
00:21:30.960 | largest asset management firm,
00:21:32.680 | so I see little risk of that happening.
00:21:34.120 | Wow, they're feeling pretty good,
00:21:35.520 | feeling pretty good about themselves.
00:21:36.440 | - So the executive retirement plan
00:21:37.760 | is probably not all that well-known,
00:21:39.480 | so why don't you explain to us that one
00:21:42.200 | and why it's contributing to income inequality.
00:21:44.480 | - Yeah, I have precisely one client with a SERP.
00:21:46.820 | So this is a rare-- - Really, okay.
00:21:47.760 | - Yeah, this is a rare advantage.
00:21:49.080 | - I have not heard much about these, I gotta be honest.
00:21:50.760 | - Very cool, but they've fallen into this bucket
00:21:52.560 | of non-qualified retirement plans,
00:21:54.560 | and ultimately, it is just a compensation structure.
00:21:57.080 | The company's giving you an IOU,
00:21:58.920 | and they're saying, "Instead of paying you now,
00:22:00.520 | "is it cool if we pay you later?"
00:22:02.500 | That's what's going on here.
00:22:03.800 | And part of the qualification rules are
00:22:05.680 | that the company's only allowed,
00:22:07.120 | due to U.S. Department of Labor rules,
00:22:08.840 | to fund a certain amount for certain people
00:22:10.520 | at certain times, and this allows them to go beyond that.
00:22:13.240 | But as a condition of that, the SERP is not,
00:22:15.440 | they don't set the money aside.
00:22:16.780 | They cannot budget the money
00:22:18.200 | and put it into an account for you.
00:22:19.960 | It's literally an IOU from the company
00:22:21.960 | saying that, "We're promised, don't worry about it.
00:22:24.120 | "We're gonna pay you later."
00:22:25.320 | I think for highly compensated executives
00:22:27.440 | in a large, stable firm, it's a really valuable option,
00:22:29.880 | something to consider,
00:22:30.980 | especially sometimes there's not a choice.
00:22:32.600 | It's like, look, this is part of your compensation package.
00:22:34.840 | This isn't an optional plan.
00:22:36.380 | But the downside is, as Martin gets to,
00:22:39.080 | is if the company goes under.
00:22:40.460 | Big companies have failed, Ben.
00:22:41.640 | General Motors, we're talking about Xerox.
00:22:43.240 | Like, big companies have gone under.
00:22:44.800 | - So if it goes under, that IOU is worthless.
00:22:46.640 | - That IOU could be worthless.
00:22:48.040 | It really depends on the courts.
00:22:49.160 | And in bankruptcy, we're finding out
00:22:50.760 | with Silicon Valley Bank, it's not always what it seems.
00:22:52.980 | But ultimately, you can expect your money
00:22:54.280 | to be about 10 up for a lot of time.
00:22:55.120 | - Jim Carrey said IOUs are just as good as money.
00:22:56.720 | (laughing)
00:22:58.600 | - That's the famous--
00:22:59.440 | - So I know you're a big Roth guy.
00:23:00.600 | - Yeah.
00:23:01.440 | - But does he have a point here?
00:23:02.260 | He says he's in his highest earning years
00:23:03.800 | and highest tax bracket.
00:23:05.520 | Does it make sense for him to hold off
00:23:07.920 | on making those Roth conversions
00:23:09.400 | since he's paying big taxes now?
00:23:11.500 | - Yeah, I think so.
00:23:12.340 | And Martin, I don't know which state Martin's writing from,
00:23:14.560 | but let's presume it's New York.
00:23:15.800 | Let's presume it's New Jersey.
00:23:16.980 | Maybe in California, large asset manager.
00:23:19.000 | I'm guessing that's not gonna be in Florida.
00:23:20.760 | It could be, but I doubt it.
00:23:22.160 | I think so, yes.
00:23:23.500 | I think ultimately, Roth conversions are great.
00:23:25.640 | Roth IRAs are fantastic.
00:23:27.000 | They're a fantastic vehicle.
00:23:28.280 | But if you're at the highest possible tax bracket,
00:23:30.120 | that's probably not the primary vehicle for you.
00:23:32.360 | Martin's got his head in the right place here.
00:23:34.040 | - Okay.
00:23:34.880 | But he's talking about making contributions to these SERPs.
00:23:37.040 | So that's just, he's making a contribution.
00:23:38.480 | So are they making IOUs to each other?
00:23:39.320 | - It sounds like it's elective, yes.
00:23:40.700 | He basically says, instead of getting my money today,
00:23:43.160 | please pay it to me later.
00:23:44.360 | And then he gets to defer the tax on that.
00:23:46.360 | - Okay, and it allows you to make a bigger contribution,
00:23:48.520 | I would assume.
00:23:49.360 | - More or less, yeah.
00:23:50.180 | But again, not a contribution
00:23:51.020 | because it's not in an account, it's not in a fund.
00:23:53.040 | It's literally a promise for a future account.
00:23:55.560 | - I feel like we're usually teaching Duncan
00:23:56.940 | about these acronyms.
00:23:58.480 | I learned something today.
00:23:59.320 | - Yeah, I had no idea.
00:24:00.160 | I'd never, never heard of that.
00:24:01.500 | Never encountered that.
00:24:02.800 | - Yep.
00:24:03.640 | - Okay.
00:24:04.460 | - Yep, but it's good stuff.
00:24:05.300 | They do track a value.
00:24:06.140 | Again, it's just not immediately accessible.
00:24:08.120 | - Okay.
00:24:09.040 | Good stuff.
00:24:09.880 | - I'll take your word for it.
00:24:10.700 | - All right, cool.
00:24:11.960 | - We appreciate the audience,
00:24:12.800 | everyone in the live chat for sticking with us.
00:24:14.300 | We got a little bit of a late start today,
00:24:15.780 | but we had to do it from the compound here
00:24:18.620 | and Duncan was unplugging things, plugging things in.
00:24:21.780 | - It's always exciting.
00:24:23.040 | And anyone who's watching right now,
00:24:24.740 | that's the true hardcore audience.
00:24:26.180 | So thank you, listener.
00:24:28.060 | - Sure, yes.
00:24:28.900 | - Thank you.
00:24:29.720 | - Someone in the chat says
00:24:30.560 | that we need to give Duncan a Serp.
00:24:31.900 | Just for-
00:24:32.720 | - Give me a Serp.
00:24:33.560 | I still don't quite understand.
00:24:34.380 | - Just for today.
00:24:35.220 | - Sure, sounds good.
00:24:36.380 | - No, we always appreciate your comments and feedback.
00:24:38.900 | If you're watching on YouTube,
00:24:39.740 | leave us a question or a comment in the feed.
00:24:41.380 | I always go through all the comments.
00:24:43.180 | I'm a man of the people.
00:24:45.100 | If you have a question for us,
00:24:46.400 | email us, askthecompoundshow@gmail.com.
00:24:50.500 | What else?
00:24:51.340 | We need a review.
00:24:52.160 | - Yeah, we need everything.
00:24:53.260 | Give us everything.
00:24:54.100 | - Give us a subscription.
00:24:55.500 | - We also want you to go to the shop.
00:24:58.480 | We have a shop.
00:24:59.320 | Also, I wanted to say thanks to John,
00:25:00.680 | who you can't see on camera,
00:25:01.620 | but he's been running the show, basically,
00:25:04.700 | behind the scenes today.
00:25:05.540 | So I basically threw this in his lap and said, good luck.
00:25:09.100 | So thanks, John.
00:25:10.520 | - John is the man.
00:25:11.360 | We appreciate everything.
00:25:12.180 | Remember, send us an email,
00:25:13.140 | askthecompoundshow@gmail.com,
00:25:15.180 | and we'll see you next time.
00:25:16.340 | - See you, everyone.
00:25:17.340 | - All right.
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