back to indexLiving A Life Without Regret: 3 Big Things You Need To Know Before 30 | Cal Newport
Chapters
0:0 What can you do now to stay content later?
22:10 What habits help you escape complacency?
27:30 How do I know if I need a major change to my life?
32:37 How can I rediscover my drive to live deep with a boring (but stable) job?
37:40 Avoiding the stress of having a large “to-do” list
44:20 Designing a deep work t-shirt to be productive
52:45 Is Social Media a Collective Trap?
00:00:00.000 |
So in today's deep dive, I want to talk about the long game. 00:00:06.000 |
What you can do right now to avoid five or 10 years in the future having regrets or looking 00:00:13.340 |
back and saying, what have I actually been doing with my time? 00:00:15.840 |
In other words, what can you do right now so that when you get to the next major milestone 00:00:20.240 |
in your life, whether that's turning 25 or 30 or 40, you can be content with how things 00:00:28.600 |
This type of advice is different than the type of advice we typically cover on the show. 00:00:33.460 |
Typically on the show, we're talking about what you can do right now. 00:00:38.120 |
How do you avoid distraction in your life right now? 00:00:40.560 |
How do you make a key career decision that is looming right now? 00:00:44.760 |
But when we look to these longer time horizons, how do we make sure that in five years, you're 00:00:52.360 |
The advice feels a little different, requires some more patience, requires a little bit 00:00:59.760 |
I have three big ideas I have collected that are all about maximizing where you're going 00:01:05.520 |
to end up in the intermediate future, making sure that when you get there, you don't feel 00:01:10.480 |
like the last five or 10 years were wasted, something that just went by on autopilot. 00:01:22.200 |
This is a key bridge between various other scales of planning that we talk about commonly 00:01:30.120 |
So probably the most common type of planning we discuss here is multi-scale planning, which 00:01:34.920 |
is at the key to my advice of staying on top of your various initiatives in your professional 00:01:41.720 |
So for those who don't know, multi-scale planning talks about three scales. 00:01:44.960 |
You make a plan at roughly the quarterly or seasonal scale. 00:01:52.760 |
You look at that plan every week to build a weekly plan. 00:01:55.800 |
All right, here's what I'm working on this week. 00:01:58.280 |
The weekly plan is also where you make some adjustments in your calendar. 00:02:01.160 |
It's also where you see, okay, these are the days I have open time. 00:02:04.200 |
These are the busy days and you figure out how to make the most of the days actually 00:02:09.040 |
And then your weekly plan is what you look at each day when you make your daily time 00:02:14.320 |
So quarterly, weekly, daily, that's multi-scale planning. 00:02:19.200 |
That's a key rhythm to being on top of things that need to get done in work and not just 00:02:24.640 |
Approaching each day with your inbox or Slack channel, just driving everything you do. 00:02:29.080 |
So that's relatively small scale when we're talking about timelines. 00:02:33.520 |
We also often talk about on the show a much, much longer time horizon, more abstract type 00:02:38.680 |
of planning, which we often call lifestyle centric career planning or lifestyle centric 00:02:44.400 |
visioning where you create this big picture, somewhat abstract vision of where you want 00:02:50.640 |
And it's not just your work, it's where you live, what your day is like, what you're doing 00:02:55.160 |
with your time, both professionally and non-professionally, your connection to community. 00:02:59.360 |
What is your, is it a vision in which you are in a small mountain town having a long 00:03:05.000 |
walk in the woods with your dog each morning and writing in your field skin notebook? 00:03:09.240 |
Or is it a vision in which you're in Manhattan and at the interesting underground bar where 00:03:16.000 |
there's an art show going on and you're connected to this culture of alive art? 00:03:20.000 |
You just get this visceral sense of what you want your life to look like, feel like, taste, 00:03:27.320 |
And that can be a good guide when you then figure out how you want to make decisions 00:03:31.320 |
So that's really future thinking, almost abstractly future thinking. 00:03:36.120 |
So we have like, what am I doing in like the weeks ahead? 00:03:38.640 |
Where do I want to be in the non-specified future? 00:03:42.640 |
Annual planning is how you actually build a bridge between these two things. 00:03:47.560 |
As the name implies, it's something you do once a year. 00:03:53.680 |
My birthday is in early summer, so that's a good time. 00:03:56.080 |
Early summer is a good time, late summer, early fall is a good time. 00:03:58.660 |
Some people do this on New Year's, but you have a consistent time where you do this, 00:04:02.800 |
and you're able to step back, look at your big picture, lifestyle-centric vision, and 00:04:09.560 |
say, "What am I doing this year to make bold steps closer to that vision?" 00:04:15.200 |
And there's two types of things you're going to do in annual planning. 00:04:19.180 |
This is the right scale to make big decisions that will move you drastically closer to your 00:04:24.560 |
It is also the time for you to lay out big picture projects or efforts for the year ahead 00:04:28.160 |
that will also move you more closer to your decision. 00:04:32.080 |
So for example, the type of decision you might make is, "I want to change something significant 00:04:42.400 |
It's going to take me months of setting things up and working on this project over here and 00:04:48.280 |
sun setting these projects, and I want to start the conversation about this by four 00:04:54.480 |
And this is something that a big decision that might happen on the annual scale. 00:04:58.720 |
There might be a major new project you decide, "Okay, now is the time. 00:05:04.900 |
I'm going to launch this side hustle business venture that's part of this, get me closer 00:05:08.560 |
to this bigger picture vision where I'm going to move remote or part-time, but this is, 00:05:12.400 |
I'm going to start this whole project, or this is the year in which I'm going to try 00:05:17.680 |
And there's a lot of steps that go into that, but I have this sort of big vision for what's 00:05:23.380 |
Another thing that might happen when you're doing this annual planning is not something 00:05:25.960 |
you're adding, but something you're taking away. 00:05:30.440 |
This thing I'm spending a lot of time on is getting in the way of things that are more 00:05:35.600 |
It's not moving me closer to my big picture lifestyle-centric vision, so I'm going to 00:05:41.920 |
I'm going to sunset this incredibly time-consuming hobby that I've been doing for years, but 00:05:46.840 |
now is taking more time than it's going to help. 00:05:49.800 |
At work, I'm going to leave these committees and sort of drastically change what it is 00:05:57.120 |
I'm going to shut down a whole research direction. 00:05:59.400 |
So it could be adding something or simplifying, but these are where you make these major decisions 00:06:05.080 |
and initiate these major projects that are going to move you closer to your vision. 00:06:09.720 |
So annual planning is a key bridge between the abstract big picture and the very concrete, 00:06:14.120 |
"What am I working on this week or this month?" 00:06:17.520 |
That's how you don't get stuck with the vagueness of, like, "I know what my life wants to be 00:06:22.780 |
like one day," but you're stuck just going through the motions on where it is right now. 00:06:25.880 |
The annual planning is the lever that gets you out of that proverbial ditch. 00:06:33.560 |
Idea number two, leveraging slow compounding of activity. 00:06:42.160 |
This is something that is true for lots of highly valuable pursuits. 00:06:48.920 |
To reap the benefit of that pursuit typically requires a large amount of time. 00:06:56.120 |
In that time, you have to be making consistent action towards that pursuit. 00:06:59.680 |
The right way to think about this is like compounding interest. 00:07:03.680 |
If you look at one of those charts of, "I have $100 and it's compounding monthly at 00:07:09.280 |
a particular interest rate, how is my money going to grow?" 00:07:12.720 |
We're used to seeing those charts, those of us who have looked at a financial book or 00:07:16.080 |
a website, and you see that it grows really slow, and then after a while that picks up 00:07:23.600 |
As the amount that's compounding gets larger, the amount being added by compounding grows, 00:07:28.040 |
so the size of the amount of money grows, and then the compounding leaps again, and 00:07:32.400 |
you have these charts where it takes off pretty quickly after a long period of relatively 00:07:38.920 |
Well, that's the same for a lot of activities that you might undertake. 00:07:43.640 |
To adopt the mindset of, "This is a three-year play," and actually for the first year of 00:07:49.360 |
consistently taking action on this particular interest, objective, or plan, I might not 00:07:54.280 |
even see large notable returns, but I'm building the base on which the fast compounding is 00:08:01.920 |
That's one of the key ways to take advantage of the five-year window is, "I'm going to 00:08:05.800 |
launch a small number of actions that I'm going to take consistently for years." 00:08:11.600 |
That's the type of thing that can really unlock big changes that five years from now you say, 00:08:15.400 |
"Wow, I'm pretty happy with how things are going." 00:08:19.960 |
We're used to this in fields that are non-professional. 00:08:28.040 |
If we do Chris Hemsworth's diet or exercise plan that he did for the Marvel movies, it's 00:08:34.560 |
eating a lot of rice and chicken and they exercise two hours a day, two weeks in, you're 00:08:38.880 |
not going to feel much different, eight months in, you're going to look a lot different. 00:08:43.760 |
Changing how we eat and exercise, we know the scales there are large. 00:08:46.680 |
It's not going to be something we'll see in a week, but if we look at the year scale, 00:08:51.160 |
Musical instruments is the other touch point people have familiarity with. 00:08:55.180 |
If I practice my guitar once a day, give me two weeks and I'm still going to be pretty 00:09:02.880 |
Give me two years, people are like, "Oh, this guy can jam. 00:09:09.020 |
We just need to expand that same model to other types of activities that we're not used 00:09:14.720 |
For example, building up the ability to read high volume of complicated, interesting material. 00:09:24.880 |
I can pull out really interesting stuff from it. 00:09:29.360 |
That is something that you build up with practice. 00:09:31.440 |
If you have a regular reading habit and you systematically over time increase both the 00:09:37.240 |
volume and complexity, give that a year and you're going to be a much more adept reader. 00:09:41.640 |
Mastering a new technology or refining a useful professional skill. 00:09:49.320 |
A month from now, I might know a little bit about it. 00:09:51.320 |
But if I put in this consistent action over a year or two, I could be an expert at this 00:09:55.120 |
statistical analysis technique, this new microelectronics building and engineering, programming a computer. 00:10:03.880 |
Whatever it is, consistent effort over a long enough period of time can get you a really 00:10:08.960 |
Same thing for even building an intellectual foundation. 00:10:12.760 |
I just wanted to mention, if you want to have help taking action on the type of ideas we 00:10:18.080 |
talk about in this show, sign up for my email newsletter. 00:10:22.120 |
The link is right here below in the description. 00:10:24.960 |
Two to four times a month, I send out detailed articles about the types of ideas we discuss 00:10:31.800 |
It's the best way to stay connected to me and my audience's quest to live a deeper life. 00:10:39.800 |
Imagine having a couple of years from now, a really deep and informed political or philosophical 00:10:45.520 |
or theological foundation on which you're able to pull great insight, shape your understanding 00:10:50.680 |
of the world and make useful contributions to yourself and the world. 00:10:56.400 |
It's effort to learn again and again and again over a long period of time. 00:11:03.800 |
You don't understand it, but you stick with it for a year or so. 00:11:11.680 |
If you don't want to live with regret, then you have to really lean into what can be gained 00:11:15.120 |
by consistent action over longer time periods than we're comfortable thinking. 00:11:24.220 |
You always remind yourself, this is what I'm doing. 00:11:26.140 |
The more regular and ritualized it is, the more likely you're actually to keep doing 00:11:30.900 |
Remind yourself every week of why you're doing it. 00:11:32.960 |
Focus on the process, not the outcome, because it could take a while before the outcomes 00:11:37.520 |
Finally, be willing to adjust your approach on roughly the quarterly scale. 00:11:42.580 |
Look back and say, "Is the rituals I'm using to get better at mastering philosophy or computer 00:11:47.540 |
programming or microelectronics, is this working or am I spinning my wheels? 00:11:52.960 |
Maybe I need to move over to a course or I need to raise the level of challenge." 00:11:57.720 |
Really at the quarterly scale, constantly be adjusting so that you make sure that you 00:12:02.760 |
The activities you're doing are making progress. 00:12:05.640 |
The key is give yourself a year or two of this type of consistent, constantly tweaked 00:12:12.360 |
The third idea about making sure you don't end up with regrets is not fearing failure. 00:12:20.080 |
I often imagine that our lives fall into these grooves on the landscape of possibilities 00:12:28.400 |
What's the path of least resistance forward from where we are now? 00:12:32.400 |
It's like a nuclear particle falling into the lowest energy state. 00:12:37.960 |
Now it's possible that this least resistance path you fall into is going to lead somewhere 00:12:41.280 |
deep and satisfying and five, 10 years from now, you'll be happy where you are, but it's 00:12:44.840 |
relatively arbitrary, so it's probably not going to. 00:12:48.120 |
So to get out of this groove, you have to expend a lot of energy. 00:12:52.840 |
It's going to take a lot of energy to try to push yourself out of this groove and into 00:12:57.640 |
So you have to be comfortable taking swings in your life in terms of projects you undertake 00:13:03.880 |
or goals that you pursue that are really difficult and require a lot of energy. 00:13:08.040 |
Because if you're not expending a lot of energy, then you have no way of actually getting out 00:13:15.560 |
Things that require a lot of energy, however, tend to be higher stakes. 00:13:22.800 |
If you knew you were going to succeed with it, it's not really that much energy probably 00:13:26.760 |
It's the idea that I'm taking a swing at this. 00:13:30.120 |
I'm going to try to take on this new competency in my job that's going to open up a lot of 00:13:36.280 |
I'm going to put myself on the line and say, "Trust me to do this and hold me accountable. 00:13:53.160 |
Higher stake things, you have a symmetry there. 00:13:55.280 |
The possibility of failure gives you bigger rewards on success. 00:14:00.120 |
From a psychological perspective, you should be more comfortable undertaking initiatives 00:14:07.560 |
that have a real risk of notable failure, failure that you would not want to happen 00:14:11.080 |
because it'd be public or embarrassing or high cost. 00:14:15.040 |
If you don't on a semi-regular basis have pursuits of this type, then you are not expending 00:14:20.720 |
the intensity of energy needed to really change your trajectory in the landscape of possibilities. 00:14:26.320 |
If you're not expending that energy, there's no way that you're going to be able to easily 00:14:30.200 |
move yourself into cooler, more interesting tracks. 00:14:33.920 |
This is more psychological than I think it is tactical. 00:14:39.280 |
If this fails, I don't want it to, so I'm going to spend a lot of energy." 00:14:42.680 |
A few of these things will fail, but it's in the expending of energy to avoid failure 00:14:46.240 |
that you're going to find the successes that actually dislodge you from where you're stuck 00:14:52.760 |
This is launching a side hustle business, serious attempt to sell a book, maybe outside 00:14:58.440 |
of your work trying to get a community organization and a community that's important to you up 00:15:05.280 |
Try to gather people and be a leader and have this group make a difference. 00:15:10.720 |
If you're not expending energy towards something where the stakes are high, your chances of 00:15:16.640 |
having control over where you end up is going to be low. 00:15:21.120 |
Those are my three ideas if we're thinking about how to avoid regret five years from 00:15:26.280 |
Use annual planning to bridge your abstract values, ideas, and visions with your concrete 00:15:37.760 |
You want to be willing and comfortable saying, "I'm going to do this for two years regularly, 00:15:42.200 |
this work or activity or practice because what I want is two years from now where I'm 00:15:48.760 |
That's how you get cool things, cool abilities, autonomy, a lot of career capital. 00:15:53.420 |
That's one of your best tools for doing that on the intermediate time scale. 00:15:58.160 |
You need to go after things where you don't want to fail because that's the only thing 00:16:01.960 |
that's going to motivate you to expend enough energy that you have a shot of actually getting 00:16:05.440 |
unstuck from the grooves where you actually find yourself traveling through life. 00:16:14.040 |
I mean, it's similar to stuff we talk about, but wanting to have an effect tomorrow is 00:16:19.520 |
a different style of advice than wanting to have an effect on five years from now. 00:16:24.760 |
The annual planning was a big one for me because otherwise there's such a gap between your 00:16:31.400 |
My strategic plan for work, my semester plan, has this vision at the top. 00:16:34.800 |
It's five properties, but they're abstract, like autonomy and impact. 00:16:46.680 |
The annual planning has been such a big change. 00:16:48.800 |
Like, "Okay, I'm going to make this move in my career. 00:16:52.000 |
I'm going to do this with my company this year. 00:16:56.280 |
The annual scale is when that stuff could happen. 00:16:59.580 |
Some of these big decisions that moved me closer to my vision are too big for, "What 00:17:06.840 |
So having that annual scale made a big difference. 00:17:10.320 |
You've been doing the annual for how many years? 00:17:16.760 |
I don't know when I started associating with my birthday. 00:17:20.160 |
I think that was after I had kids because I would consciously take a day on my birthday. 00:17:24.200 |
What I wanted to do on my birthday was to bring my notebooks and go on a long hike or 00:17:28.080 |
walk to go through and go through that planning. 00:17:31.040 |
So I think once I started having kids is when I really shifted that to my birthday, but 00:17:40.920 |
I think I now have over 20 notebooks in my Remarkable. 00:17:46.680 |
So we want to get the questions here in a second. 00:17:49.520 |
First I want to talk about one of the sponsors that makes this show possible, and that is 00:17:54.280 |
our friends at Shopify, a global commerce platform that helps you sell at every stage 00:18:00.980 |
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You can use Shopify to make your e-commerce experience incredibly high class and a really 00:18:31.120 |
And the customers might not even realize that Shopify technology that's running it. 00:18:34.640 |
So if you found yourself buying something from someone online and really enjoying the 00:18:40.960 |
I mean, I think if we were ever to start an e-commerce corner of our little media empire 00:18:46.240 |
here, I think Jesse and I both agree it would be Jesse Skeleton related merchandise. 00:18:52.600 |
I mean, I think a shirt with like the Jesse Skeleton head and the microphone would be 00:19:03.160 |
I want like a, either like a shepherd fairy style, like with Obama or like a Che Guevara 00:19:08.760 |
style poster type thing on the shirt, but it's Jesse Skeleton. 00:19:14.280 |
How if we were to do this, which we should, the easiest part of that would be the e-commerce 00:19:21.960 |
It remembers people's information from other places they've shopped. 00:19:28.320 |
The stat I have here is they, their conversion when you use the Shopify software for your 00:19:34.160 |
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I also want to talk about our friends at Hinson Saving. 00:20:08.160 |
I love the Hinson guys because their, their course expertise, we've talked about this 00:20:12.760 |
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We're talking about parts on the Mars rovers or the international space station. 00:20:26.640 |
So they have these high precision CNC routers that can mill metal to incredible precision. 00:20:33.600 |
This allows you to build a much better razor. 00:20:36.160 |
So the Hinson razor is this sort of beautifully milled, I believe it's aluminum where you 00:20:40.600 |
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This gets rid of the wobbly diving board effect that creates nicks that gets things trapped. 00:21:00.760 |
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So Hinson razor is what I use because I love having a beautifully constructed tool as opposed 00:21:16.560 |
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You should get the Hinson folks to do, as we build out our Jesse Skeleton store, if 00:22:29.800 |
we're going to have medallions, which I think we should, like Minto Mori's type medallions, 00:22:49.000 |
What habits do you set up in your life to remind you of how short life really is and 00:22:54.760 |
See, this is why we need a Jesse Skeleton Memento Mori medallion that you can just stare 00:23:02.000 |
at every day and remind yourself life is short. 00:23:05.720 |
Actually, I think it would have the opposite impact that people would stare at that. 00:23:10.240 |
It would remind them that entities like Jesse Skeleton exist in this world and they would 00:23:16.400 |
Like, you know, I might as well just start drinking. 00:23:23.680 |
Obviously, this fits with the theme of the today's show, which is how do you avoid looking 00:23:27.920 |
back with regret on the period of life you just came out of? 00:23:33.840 |
One thing I'm going to point out from our deep dive and two new things I didn't mention 00:23:38.720 |
So from the deep dive, you're going to take one thing from that deep dive to make sure 00:23:43.120 |
that you don't just end up trapped in the rat race and having some regrets is do the 00:23:49.840 |
Once a year, step back and say, what are what are where am I? 00:23:54.640 |
What are the major decisions I want to make this year that's going to have a drastic change 00:23:59.680 |
What major projects or initiatives am I going to work on all year to again have a major 00:24:09.600 |
In a complacent spiral where years pass by and you say, what did I what was I doing? 00:24:16.000 |
Annual planning is going to be your best tool there. 00:24:18.600 |
Here's a couple more tactical things you can do as well. 00:24:26.120 |
I think exposing yourself to the world of ideas, philosophy and general history, theology, 00:24:34.760 |
politics, but interesting pushing yourself, complicated stuff. 00:24:39.440 |
Not the polemical book where someone is like, why the other team is the worst, but, you 00:24:44.000 |
know, reading the original thinkers that the people that the political books are citing 00:24:52.320 |
So just exposing yourself to the beauty of ideas and the world and the possibilities 00:24:57.960 |
that goes a long way to not just getting stuck complacent because it allows you to see the 00:25:02.240 |
world through an eye of much more sophistication. 00:25:04.880 |
And then that allows you to pull much more and appreciate much more out of the world. 00:25:08.080 |
So you don't want your just as you don't want your decisions to keep you trapped in complacency. 00:25:13.720 |
You don't want your mind to get trapped in a confined, non-interesting world, abstract 00:25:24.820 |
The third thing I'll recommend is expose yourself to art. 00:25:28.960 |
And I'm using the word art here a little bit. 00:25:30.600 |
Generally, I mean, things where you have incredible creative talents working at their highest 00:25:37.040 |
level to try to produce things of great value to those who encounter it. 00:25:47.680 |
This could be movies, for example, which I'm, of course, very interested in. 00:25:54.160 |
It could even be a really deep appreciation of athletics. 00:25:57.760 |
There's something about building up a connoisseur like appreciation of something that touches 00:26:04.960 |
the human spirit when it's executed at the high level that pushes you away from complacency. 00:26:12.560 |
This is why, for example, I'm very interested in movies and I'm sort of an amateur cinephile 00:26:16.720 |
and I watch a lot of movies and read a lot about movies. 00:26:19.040 |
I derive a lot of inspiration from especially directors who I admire. 00:26:25.480 |
Just seeing them pushing themselves to create these works that end up having a real impact 00:26:29.640 |
on people who watch it and build off these prior inspirations pushes me in the other 00:26:36.280 |
Pushes me out of the tendency like let's just get complacent and publish the deep work 00:26:44.440 |
for toddler workbook and just sort of get stuck in the wheels. 00:26:48.840 |
You see this a lot where people just get stuck in the wheels of like, I don't know, just 00:26:55.680 |
To be exposed to people in a completely other field doing something artistic and really 00:27:00.400 |
pushing themselves just for the sake of it being more interesting pushes me forward in 00:27:08.180 |
The only caveat I would get there is if you are in a creative field, expose yourself to 00:27:14.240 |
I write about this in my new book, Slow Productivity, which is coming out in March, specifically 00:27:19.480 |
about my use of movies to help me with my writing. 00:27:23.380 |
When you're looking at great work in your own field, that's important to do, but it's 00:27:26.960 |
not as motivating because it's too close to home. 00:27:29.720 |
So the motivation also gets covered with other feelings of why am I not doing that? 00:27:34.920 |
Oh my God, I'm never going to be able to do that. 00:27:37.080 |
There's a real value to actually looking at the art in a completely different field than 00:27:41.760 |
So you can just appreciate the mindset and the pursuit without getting distracted by 00:27:49.460 |
So annual planning, read heavily, expose yourself to art. 00:27:56.340 |
What are some of the warning signs someone could, should perhaps question their current 00:28:06.360 |
If you put a non-trivial amount of time into creating jesseskeleton.com, I think it's a 00:28:12.480 |
That's something you need to reevaluate your life. 00:28:24.400 |
Well, of course, I'm going to recommend first lifestyle centric career planning. 00:28:29.620 |
So you want to create this visceral vision of what you want every aspect of your life 00:28:38.240 |
So this involves like what you're doing, where you live, what your day is like, where, who 00:28:45.080 |
You have to have this visceral, like you're almost filming a stay in the life scene of 00:28:49.200 |
a movie of what you want your life to look and feel like. 00:28:54.180 |
You're looking for concrete scenes in this vision that give you that feeling of, oh yeah. 00:29:04.080 |
Again, we talked about this earlier in the show. 00:29:06.480 |
I mean, for some people, it's like the scene that resonates is they've walked out the door 00:29:11.400 |
into a trail with their dog to a pond in the middle of these woods where they're going 00:29:15.820 |
to sit down and they're working on writing something, a notebook. 00:29:19.080 |
And other people, it's this, you know, they're in the city and there's this energy to it 00:29:23.080 |
and there's, they're at a club and listening to this new jazz musician. 00:29:26.080 |
And there's just different fields, different fields to it for different people. 00:29:33.380 |
You have your lifestyle, ideal vision, ideal lifestyle vision. 00:29:38.100 |
Now we can decide our major changes needed because probably you're going to find yourself 00:29:46.020 |
Situation number one, there is no obvious way to move from where you are right now, 00:29:55.000 |
There is no, okay, in what I'm doing right now with where I live, my work, my life, if 00:29:58.960 |
I can tweak my compass a little bit and make some good decisions, I'm going to move towards 00:30:05.040 |
You might be in a situation where like, no, I'm nowhere near it. 00:30:07.640 |
I want to be in the woods with my dog writing, you know, Mary Oliver style in a field notes 00:30:15.120 |
And I'm a banker in Manhattan and it just in the small part, I have, there's no connection 00:30:22.440 |
So you're like, great, let me just tweak this. 00:30:23.920 |
And if I do this at my next, no, you're very far from it in that situation. 00:30:30.480 |
Now you know what those changes are aiming for. 00:30:32.280 |
And you begin to think about, okay, given the career capital I already have given my 00:30:35.600 |
existing skills, but also my opportunities, like my company, maybe where else do they 00:30:42.000 |
What other types of things can you do with my skills? 00:30:44.080 |
Where do I have family that, you know, you think through all of your different assets 00:30:47.560 |
here, metaphorical assets, not financial and figure out how do I best leverage these to 00:30:54.200 |
move my life closer to the vision and major changes are needed. 00:30:57.560 |
I need to lead banking in Manhattan, but I can use these economic skills to do this type 00:31:04.460 |
of work consulting, you know, whatever is the books for nonprofits. 00:31:08.560 |
And I could go do this for this company that does it remotely. 00:31:11.720 |
And if I do this for five years, I could then probably have my own shop after that and get 00:31:16.560 |
So if I move from this to this, then I could move after two years to here. 00:31:20.640 |
And then after five, you start making the plan based on the assets and career capital 00:31:26.840 |
The other situation you might find, however, after identifying your ideal vision is that, 00:31:37.640 |
Let's start making some tweaks to get us closer there. 00:31:45.060 |
I need to move from this office to that office. 00:31:46.760 |
I need to, this is fine, but we need to move from this house in the suburb to this house 00:31:53.160 |
Okay, that's going to take, I'm going to need a little bit more money in this and that. 00:31:57.280 |
Okay, that'll take about two years, but I see how this is all going to work. 00:32:01.560 |
Like, great, I just need to keep my plans going and my tweaks, but it's not a major 00:32:06.240 |
I'm just, I see the four or five tweaks I need to make and now I'm much closer to my 00:32:09.920 |
The key is all of this, both of those scenarios and the specific decisions made in both those 00:32:15.420 |
scenarios is all driven backwards from a vision. 00:32:20.020 |
If you're just trying to move forward, what don't I like? 00:32:25.660 |
If you're just looking down the road and said, I want to turn here, turn there, just 00:32:29.540 |
looking forward from where you are to the immediate time horizon forward, you have no 00:32:38.980 |
You're leaving your path to go on nearby paths. 00:32:41.180 |
You're haphazardly wandering and hope that you end up somewhere better. 00:32:44.960 |
But when you're working backwards from this vision that's so visceral and resonates, then 00:32:50.600 |
And whether it's a major change or not, all that will be very clear because they're for 00:32:55.700 |
So work backwards from that vision and then you'll see exactly, exactly where you should 00:33:05.960 |
Most people at the government institution I am working at are comfortable and there 00:33:11.460 |
I like a lot of things about my working conditions. 00:33:13.620 |
I can exercise, work from home, stuff like that. 00:33:16.100 |
My problem is that now I am under stimulated and I think my potential is slipping away. 00:33:21.540 |
My vision of deep life is unclear and I feel lost. 00:33:25.140 |
How do you think I make a vision of the deep life I'm excited for and how do I get my old 00:33:32.060 |
Well, given your current situation, so your job is easy, you don't mind it, right? 00:33:37.400 |
So it has none of what in my book, So Good They Can't Ignore You that we call disqualifiers, 00:33:43.820 |
properties that means you got to get out of this job. 00:33:48.380 |
I would say let's spend at least a year really working on the other parts of your life. 00:33:55.340 |
Take advantage of this flexibility that you have in your current job to really get the 00:34:00.480 |
And really the right way to do this is going to be the deep life stack strategy. 00:34:09.100 |
Okay, here's a I want to reshape yourself as someone who's disciplined, that can do 00:34:13.260 |
hard things, even if they're not immediately necessary. 00:34:22.660 |
What are the rituals that help remind me or connect me to these values? 00:34:28.980 |
It's a good time in life to get very serious about this. 00:34:35.860 |
Let me organize my life at work, my life outside of work. 00:34:39.140 |
Let me our finances, how we work on household projects, how I sort of organize, pursue, 00:34:44.380 |
leisurely pursuits, get control over what's going on. 00:34:52.860 |
And after you've gone through all of that, now you can say, let's start planning for 00:34:59.260 |
And even here, I would say, choose one or two things non-professional, remarkable pursuits, 00:35:05.620 |
A leisure pursuit, a community pursuit, philosophical, theological, political pursuit. 00:35:12.180 |
Have something that's really now taking up your energy that is driving you somewhere 00:35:19.460 |
Okay, we've moved all the way up to the stack, all the way to the top. 00:35:24.140 |
Now I would say, let's step back and reassess what's going on with work. 00:35:29.260 |
And here's where you can really step back and do lifestyle-centered career planning 00:35:32.700 |
and say like, okay, is there a major change in job that's needed to move me most closer 00:35:39.580 |
Or is it like, let me just tweak what I'm doing in the government to get rid of some 00:35:43.020 |
attributes I don't like and kind of move my way towards a position that's just the sweet 00:35:47.700 |
Like I like the work, it's flexible, and just let that be my financial foundation. 00:35:52.580 |
All that you can work out, I would say, after you go through the deep life stack. 00:35:55.820 |
What you don't want to do is if your life is ungrounded, to start with a job. 00:36:03.860 |
It is why we introduced a whole deep life stack methodology, is that if you're ungrounded, 00:36:10.900 |
You focus first on your job because that's how you spend most of your time. 00:36:13.580 |
But to use that as the fulcrum, like, well, this is what's going to heal me. 00:36:17.540 |
If I make a big swing here, quit the government and start a skeleton medallion company. 00:36:25.860 |
Big swing, the change itself is going to make me feel better. 00:36:32.340 |
And you haven't worked on any of these other parts of cultivating the deep life. 00:36:35.540 |
You just end up with a lot of overpaid bills, a garage full of skeleton medallions, and 00:36:43.060 |
The deep life stack methodology is like, let's get a foundation under us. 00:36:46.940 |
Let's get discipline and control over things. 00:36:48.700 |
Let's practice pursuing remarkable things and we have that efficacy. 00:36:56.860 |
And again, you will get clarity once you get there. 00:37:09.240 |
That's like a lot of meetings, but I could move over here if I'm good and make the right 00:37:15.140 |
This is like a non managerial role that is going to be better suited. 00:37:18.980 |
It's a little bit more autonomous, but also maybe a little bit more interesting. 00:37:25.700 |
Or maybe you know, you see a vision that involves you doing something completely different. 00:37:32.100 |
Start with everything else and then return to return to the job piece. 00:37:37.260 |
So in the deep life stack methodology, that's why all these changes to your jobs are pretty 00:37:43.940 |
So I do think that's where people get into trouble sometimes. 00:37:54.740 |
The tech is not easy to live stream these pre-recorded calls, but I think we're gonna 00:38:07.460 |
I have a question about how you differentiate between obligations and ambiguous ideas in 00:38:18.580 |
One of the problems I've been having is I've been building a software project that has 00:38:22.820 |
this ambiguous space of different problems I could be working on. 00:38:27.780 |
And mixed in with that are some obligations that have clear, unambiguous problems, like 00:38:39.260 |
But speed up the site is more of an ambiguous problem. 00:38:42.180 |
And one of the issues I've been seeing is that my past self can go in and take these 00:38:48.260 |
ambiguous ideas and turn them into unambiguous tasks to do. 00:38:53.940 |
But that when I go in to actually do those tasks, my thinking might have changed or I 00:38:59.020 |
sometimes went from this problem space to the solution space too quickly. 00:39:04.340 |
So I wanted to ask, how do you handle some of these ambiguous problems? 00:39:09.500 |
And at what point do you go from the kind of problem space to the solution space? 00:39:14.140 |
I think this could apply to how do you write a book and at what level of ambiguity do you 00:39:20.700 |
And is it okay for there to be a lot of ambiguity in terms of more problem space definition 00:39:25.620 |
than solution space as you're doing your weekly plans? 00:39:29.300 |
Well, it's a good question because it does apply to a lot of different types of large 00:39:33.500 |
projects that have ambiguity about the right way to execute them. 00:39:36.940 |
So not just software development, he mentioned book writing and there's any other number 00:39:43.900 |
So I think what's key here is you don't want to move from the ambiguous to the concrete 00:39:54.560 |
So where you get into trouble is where you try to generate a large number of concrete 00:39:59.900 |
tasks from some sort of ambiguous initiatives and you really populate out your task list 00:40:06.540 |
And in some sense, it's weeks of work that you're trying to put into the task list. 00:40:10.220 |
Because as you say, it's very difficult to predict ahead of time what are the right things 00:40:16.320 |
And after a while, these tasks you generated go stale. 00:40:19.940 |
And then your brain is saying, do I really want to work on this? 00:40:23.260 |
This just seems now like an arbitrary game of task whack-a-mole. 00:40:28.180 |
I get a buzzer and my points go up if I whack it back down. 00:40:33.220 |
So what you want to do is have a much shorter cycle of concrete task generation. 00:40:45.100 |
I want to find out, here's my load time and I want to make some of these concrete changes 00:40:53.020 |
This is what they figured out in software development starting in the early 2000s with 00:40:57.380 |
what's known as agile methodology, where they realized trying to plan out entire software 00:41:04.860 |
This and then we'll do this and then we'll do this. 00:41:06.620 |
They use these things called waterfall diagrams that had the dependencies. 00:41:10.620 |
You could have years worth of work all laid out and how long they're going to take. 00:41:14.860 |
And you could use this to build these detailed budgets of how many hours, programmer hours 00:41:19.940 |
it was going to take and what the exact timelines would be. 00:41:23.780 |
And you would get about a month into these projects. 00:41:25.580 |
And then you were just either grimly following these now out of date or stale plans or having 00:41:31.700 |
So agile came along and said, just work on one thing at a time. 00:41:35.700 |
What's the most important next thing we could do right now? 00:41:38.060 |
Just go do that for like three days and come back. 00:41:40.020 |
And let's ask again, what's the most important thing we could do right now? 00:41:43.060 |
Keep it very short cycle between identifying of a problem, action and back to it. 00:41:49.100 |
So these more ambiguous things you're talking about should not exist on a task list. 00:41:53.140 |
This is probably going to be if you use multi-scale planning on your quarterly or some seasonal 00:41:59.660 |
Okay, we're working on this software project this fall. 00:42:02.940 |
We have a vague, vague-ish place where we want to be by the end of the fall. 00:42:07.740 |
We want a minimal viable product that is available and people are testing it. 00:42:12.540 |
And that just sits there in your quarterly plan. 00:42:15.260 |
Then when it comes to your weekly plan, it's like, okay, so what are we working on this 00:42:18.980 |
week that's going to help us make progress towards this bigger goal? 00:42:21.940 |
Well, let me just survey the landscape of issues and come up with one that we can make 00:42:27.660 |
And then that's just all you're doing and all you care about till that's done. 00:42:31.420 |
And what they do in Agile methodology is they have a place to collect ideas for this. 00:42:34.900 |
So you could have this in your seasonal or quarterly plan. 00:42:40.180 |
Well, we need to work on loading speed and we need to fix the, here's a button, here's 00:42:48.300 |
You can collect those somewhere, but don't think of those as tasks. 00:42:50.780 |
These are just putting pins in various things that might be useful. 00:42:55.380 |
And you just trust yourself on the small scale when it comes to the weekly scale that you 00:42:58.900 |
can kind of survey all the different stuff that's out there that you've jotted down 00:43:02.020 |
that you need to work on or is important that you'll be capable in the small scale of saying 00:43:06.780 |
of all this stuff, this is a good one to do next. 00:43:10.780 |
Because one of the things that Agile realizes, you can only do one thing at a time anyway. 00:43:15.380 |
So it doesn't help to say, I'm doing these five things. 00:43:19.900 |
It makes you feel better in the moment because you imagine having those five things done, 00:43:27.860 |
You can collect somewhere your notes or ideas about what needs to happen or issues that 00:43:34.460 |
When it comes to having concrete tasks that you're scheduling and they're in your list, 00:43:42.500 |
So just trying to create a huge list of concrete tasks and have them all on your list. 00:43:49.660 |
I just think that creates a waterfall effect stress. 00:43:56.940 |
Be okay with only a small number of things will make it onto my to do list at a time 00:44:02.980 |
And I trust myself each week to figure out what the best next thing is to do. 00:44:08.580 |
I don't need some more complicated long term planning as well. 00:44:16.460 |
So as our final part of our question segment here, I want to do a case study. 00:44:22.420 |
This is where someone writes in explaining or talking about how they applied some ideas 00:44:26.380 |
from our show in a way that is interesting or successful. 00:44:29.780 |
The case study I want to report today comes from Mark. 00:44:37.700 |
It's an academic book in my field, which is musicology. 00:44:41.140 |
And I've been using Cal's approaches for a couple years now. 00:44:44.020 |
I've gone from a haphazard researcher writer to a true professional using his approaches. 00:44:52.940 |
I designed and printed custom writing t shirts for myself. 00:44:55.780 |
They are just plain black t shirts, but I made a secret label on the inside. 00:45:06.280 |
The rule I have set for myself is that when I put on one of these t shirts, I can't go 00:45:10.280 |
to sleep again until I do significant writing. 00:45:13.260 |
At least an hour, but usually deep work sessions of two to four hours. 00:45:16.500 |
I definitely don't need these shirts to write, but just like the countless examples Cal has 00:45:20.940 |
given of other creators going to great lengths to signal to themselves that it's time to 00:45:24.740 |
create such as Brandon Sanderson's underground layer, which is where he wrote Name of the 00:45:32.780 |
These shirts have been a fun way to get work done and go deep. 00:45:36.820 |
I've submitted a book proposal, edited two chapters, completed drafts of two more chapters, 00:45:40.900 |
and I'm halfway through the third chapter now. 00:45:44.900 |
Well, I appreciate that case study Mark, because I think it does underscore a point we talk 00:45:51.700 |
Ritual and setting matters when it comes to trying to do hard things with your brain. 00:45:56.060 |
This is not natural for the human brain to concentrate on symbolic or abstract notions 00:46:03.380 |
So everything we can do to help put our brain into that setting, the better. 00:46:08.260 |
So things that seem weird from the outside, a black shirt that has a hidden label that 00:46:12.140 |
says the shirt is for creating, it seems weird. 00:46:16.380 |
Sitting down to write a textbook on musicology. 00:46:18.180 |
This is not something that the Paleolithic human spent a lot of time caring about. 00:46:22.180 |
We don't have an evolutionary pressure for it. 00:46:24.500 |
So the more we think about deep work as a noble, but unusual and demanding activity, 00:46:29.740 |
I think the more we can embrace unusual rituals and settings to help try to induce those states. 00:46:37.300 |
So I love hearing these types of examples of people going increasingly over the top 00:46:41.980 |
to help put themselves and their mind into a deep work mindset. 00:46:48.020 |
I think the Brandon Satterson example is great. 00:46:50.820 |
We talked about this on the show before, but the fantasy writer Brandon Satterson in his 00:46:55.820 |
suburban house, suburban Utah, in a cul-de-sac, he owned a lot next to it, underground, built 00:47:03.580 |
this essentially giant bunker, multi-room bunker, completely decked out in a high-end 00:47:10.300 |
sort of Victorian Gothic decor in which he writes, he has a movie theater down there, 00:47:16.820 |
he podcasts down there, they have meetings down there for his companies. 00:47:20.740 |
I mean, it's completely over the top and unnecessary and just fantastic. 00:47:24.380 |
If that's your job is to write fantasy, why not have a fantastical place to do it? 00:47:29.020 |
I mean, just to go to a grim home office and it's just generic and you're at the white 00:47:34.140 |
desk and you have, you know, laundry baskets in there. 00:47:37.940 |
I mean, that's just adding ankle weights to the basketball player. 00:47:44.380 |
You're making the cognitive work you're about to do harder. 00:47:50.420 |
So embracing the cool and the unusual, I'm always here for that, Jesse, so I'm glad that 00:47:55.260 |
So I want to get to a final segment, cool study I want to talk about. 00:48:00.300 |
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I mean, we were just talking about this in the last case study, how the mind is fickle 00:48:22.480 |
and to do something like convince it to think deeply about a novel for a few hours is something 00:48:30.620 |
Well because the mind is so fickle, it can also fall into states or configurations that 00:48:36.860 |
You might have, for example, constant ruminations, negative ruminations on things that have happened 00:48:42.820 |
or anxious ruminations of things that are going to happen in the future. 00:48:45.480 |
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they want to improve their relationship with their brain is how do I find a therapist? 00:49:25.060 |
I mean, what if they're don't take my insurance or they're expensive or they're booked and 00:49:29.260 |
this is true, especially these days that a lot of therapists, you'll call up their offices 00:49:35.540 |
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I wonder what a computer science hat would actually look like. 00:50:42.180 |
I mean, it would probably have Vulcan ears and somehow a circuit board involved. 00:50:50.780 |
But just imagine I'm wearing a computer science hat because I'm about to get real computer 00:50:57.380 |
Because what happens is when you connect to the internet, people can see what sites or 00:51:03.020 |
If you're in a public wireless access point, anyone nearby can be reading your packets 00:51:07.420 |
out of the airwaves and know that you are spending an inordinate amount of time on Jesse 00:51:12.420 |
And if they figure that out, they're going to call the authorities as they probably should. 00:51:19.060 |
You feel like you have privacy there, but your internet service provider can see what 00:51:24.980 |
They can collect and sell that data to advertisers and believe me, they do. 00:51:31.220 |
With a VPN, instead of connecting directly to the site or service you want to use, you 00:51:38.500 |
You then tell that server with an encrypted message, "Here is who I really want to talk 00:51:43.940 |
And the VPN talks to that site or service on your behalf, encrypts the response and 00:51:48.420 |
So now the person at the coffee shop or your internet service provider knows nothing about 00:51:52.020 |
what you're doing other than you're protecting your behavior using a VPN. 00:51:58.140 |
If you're going to use one, I suggest you use the one that I use, which is ExpressVPN. 00:52:05.860 |
There's probably one nearby wherever you happen to be. 00:52:09.340 |
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get three extra months free if you go to ExpressVPN.com/deep. 00:52:42.700 |
So it's the /deep will give you three extra months for free when you sign up. 00:52:48.700 |
So now we've got to our final segment, a CalReact segment, find something that someone sent 00:53:03.060 |
me or discovered that I think is worth discussing. 00:53:05.260 |
And I want to talk about an academic paper that's making the rounds. 00:53:12.340 |
It has an interesting mathematical idea that I think helps explain a lot of things we experience 00:53:16.620 |
in real life and gives us some ideas about solutions. 00:53:21.420 |
And again, if you're just listening to the show, you can see the show at the deeplife.com/listen 00:53:28.660 |
The videos are at the bottom of the episode page. 00:53:31.820 |
So what I have loaded on the page here is a, an economics paper. 00:53:36.580 |
I don't know if this has been published yet or if it's about to be published, but anyways, 00:53:42.180 |
the name of the paper is when product markets become collective traps, the case of social 00:53:50.740 |
I'm going to read you a few sentences here from the abstract. 00:53:54.620 |
They're going to sound a little bit like academic gobbledygook, but then we're going to decipher 00:53:57.660 |
them and it's actually going to be somewhat profound. 00:54:05.700 |
In large scale incentivized experiments with college students, we show that while standard 00:54:11.940 |
welfare measures, we're over here, suggest a large and positive surplus, our measure 00:54:18.180 |
accounting for consumption spill overs indicates a negative surplus with a large share of active 00:54:27.980 |
We also shed light on the drivers of consumption spill overs to non-users in the case of social 00:54:31.900 |
media and show that in this setting, the fear of missing out plays an important role. 00:54:36.060 |
Our framework and estimates highlight the possibility of product market traps where 00:54:40.940 |
large shares of consumers are trapped in an inefficient equilibrium and would prefer that 00:54:49.060 |
I'm going to put a box here around the word inefficient equilibrium because I've been 00:54:54.180 |
using this phraseology quite a bit in my recent talks on technology. 00:54:59.980 |
Well, these are economists that we're studying in this case, social media use. 00:55:09.540 |
It's confusing sometimes when we directly study the individual user and we see how much 00:55:17.380 |
they value social media, is the impact positive, is the impact negative? 00:55:22.180 |
And it's confusing why we find so much usage. 00:55:29.780 |
If for example, we can measure there's like a negative effect, it's making them less happy. 00:55:36.400 |
And what they're arguing here is, okay, you also have to measure if you really want to 00:55:40.340 |
understand consumer behavior for a large population, you also have to measure the impact of not 00:55:50.060 |
And when you integrate the impact of not using, interesting dynamics arise. 00:55:55.820 |
And their model that they work out here mathematically for social media based on data from experiments 00:56:01.020 |
with students and incentives and seeing how much they value social media, the model that 00:56:05.300 |
they derive here says, okay, here's what seems to be happening. 00:56:12.260 |
We can measure that it directly makes their life negative in many ways. 00:56:15.340 |
But there is also, especially for talking about young people, a really big cost to being 00:56:24.060 |
So the non-user has a big negative cost as well. 00:56:27.620 |
And is that non-user cost, which if we're going to use a rational economic model is 00:56:35.380 |
And that's why we find people stuck on the platform. 00:56:39.660 |
Now why is this called a collective trap or an inefficient equilibrium is because that 00:56:43.980 |
negative cost of not using is only incurred if you're the only person to stop using it. 00:56:49.460 |
So actually the better configuration in which the total amount of happiness is maximized 00:56:59.980 |
Because then you avoid the negatives you get from being on social media. 00:57:04.180 |
And if most people are not using it, the negative cost of not using social media dissipates 00:57:11.020 |
They point out here in particular with the college students, they study fear of missing 00:57:15.700 |
If you're not missing out, not being on social media, you lose that negative cost. 00:57:20.500 |
Then you might as well get rid of the negative cost of using social media. 00:57:24.580 |
So why we have so many people using it at the same time that they're so unhappy about 00:57:28.400 |
it is because they are in an inefficient equilibrium. 00:57:31.980 |
Now this terminology comes out of the game theory work, the nonlinear dynamics of John 00:57:37.940 |
Nash, Nobel laureate John Nash, subject of the Russell Crowe movie, A Beautiful Mind, 00:57:43.420 |
and of course the Sylvia Nassar biography on which that movie was based. 00:57:49.060 |
This is what won John Nash the Nobel Prize in economics is that he figured out in game 00:57:54.220 |
theory what happens is you get stuck in these equilibriums, meaning there's no change any 00:58:01.540 |
individual can make to their strategy to make themselves better off. 00:58:05.960 |
But the equilibrium is not the best possibility for everyone. 00:58:10.700 |
In other words, no one person can make their situation better, but if we all change together, 00:58:18.300 |
We call it an inefficient equilibrium because we're far from the maximum positive value 00:58:22.420 |
that we could be creating, but we can't get to the maximum possible value because no one 00:58:36.580 |
People are not happy that they're on TikTok all the time or Instagram all the time, but 00:58:40.220 |
no one individual can make their situation better by leaving the service because then 00:58:43.660 |
they're missing out because everyone else is on it. 00:58:45.420 |
So we're stuck just being mildly unhappy because we want to avoid the even bigger unhappiness 00:58:52.920 |
But this configuration doesn't maximize our possible happiness. 00:58:55.460 |
We'd all be much happier if we just didn't use it at all. 00:58:59.480 |
Our total happiness would be much higher, but no one person can get there. 00:59:05.780 |
Collective trap is another way of describing this. 00:59:07.660 |
We're trapped using something we don't like because there's no easy way for us to unilaterally 00:59:13.900 |
Now, where I think this is particularly relevant in social media, like what is the particularly 00:59:18.940 |
relevant corollary to this result, is that it really should change the way we think about 00:59:29.620 |
I'm deep into this research literature we've talked about on the show. 00:59:37.220 |
There's less debate about this now than there was three years ago. 00:59:39.660 |
A strong signal that shows increasing social media use leads to increasing mental health 00:59:44.700 |
negative outcomes for adolescents, especially prepubescent girls. 00:59:49.260 |
We know there's this negative impact between social media and youth. 00:59:53.220 |
And we know that the self-reports from youth say, "This is making me anxious. 01:00:02.780 |
Studies like this help us understand why they get stuck because it is an inefficient equilibrium. 01:00:07.540 |
It is very difficult for a teenager to be the only teenager in their class who's not 01:00:13.680 |
They have to use it and incur these negativities. 01:00:16.180 |
So if we want to break these collective traps, this is where we can come in and say, "Well, 01:00:20.660 |
how do we get more than one person not using this? 01:00:24.300 |
How do we come in and get most people not using it or large swaths of people not using 01:00:28.660 |
How do we get rid of the negative cost of choosing to say no?" 01:00:34.840 |
And this is where schools, for example, being very aggressive about, "We really don't allow 01:00:38.460 |
phones and we really do not think that kids should have access to social media until they 01:00:43.260 |
And this is where we should be really clear about it matters. 01:00:44.980 |
They're not going to change every mind, but if you change 20% of the mind, you can reduce 01:00:49.460 |
the negative cost of not using and therefore free people from the collective trap. 01:00:55.080 |
This is where I think cultural suggestions like the current surge in general saying, 01:00:58.860 |
"You should be 16 before you have unrestricted access to the internet and in particular social 01:01:04.940 |
This is where this is really important because individual students otherwise get stuck into 01:01:09.380 |
this collective trap where everyone is unhappy and they can't get out of it. 01:01:12.380 |
So one way to break the trap is to say, "Okay, let's spring it. 01:01:19.080 |
And we've massively increased the positive utility of everyone's experience. 01:01:25.900 |
There's other places where we see these collective traps or inefficient equilibriums at play 01:01:31.940 |
The place that I have highlighted often in my work is email in the workplace. 01:01:36.500 |
For various reasons, we stumbled into this collaboration style that in my book, "A World 01:01:40.820 |
Without Email," I call the hyperactive high find where everything is worked out with ad 01:01:47.760 |
This causes huge amounts of problems that I detail often on the show and in my book. 01:01:53.620 |
Why does this persist however if it makes people so miserable? 01:02:01.100 |
If this is how everyone is organizing their work at my office, which is back and forth 01:02:05.140 |
ad hoc emails, me leaving this unilaterally is going to make things even worse for me 01:02:15.580 |
So the cost of me leaving the hyperactive hive mind by myself is even worse. 01:02:21.420 |
The only way to spring the trap in this context is to have the organization itself come in 01:02:27.740 |
We don't collaborate with back and forth email. 01:02:32.600 |
Email is for questions that can be answered with one message. 01:02:38.260 |
You have to get everyone out of the trap together or we all stay mired in it forever. 01:02:44.420 |
And so I think collective traps are an important way of understanding techno-social behaviors, 01:02:49.540 |
especially with a techno-social behavior where we all kind of agree this is bad and it's 01:02:54.780 |
But no one seems to be able to easily leave it. 01:02:59.300 |
So this particular paper, again, "When Products Markets Become Collective Traps, the Case 01:03:05.300 |
I think they're touching on something that is true. 01:03:07.840 |
For years now, I've been trying to teach audiences about inefficient Nash Equilibriums 01:03:12.020 |
as an explanation for some of these collective behaviors we see. 01:03:14.780 |
So I'm glad there's actually some mathematics now. 01:03:16.660 |
There's some experimental economics as well that says maybe I was onto something. 01:03:28.180 |
Remember, leave a positive review if you like it because we know that helps other people 01:03:33.420 |
We'll be back next week for our Halloween episode of the show. 01:03:40.540 |
Hey, so if you liked today's episode about playing the long game, I think you might also 01:03:46.580 |
like episode 254, which is called "The Laws of Less," where we get into how some of the 01:03:53.780 |
most interesting, impactful, and happy people in the world systematically try to reduce