back to indexHow do I balance enjoying life now and saving for the future? | Portfolio Rescue
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3:5 Starting Out Small
8:2 True Value of Tax Loss Harvesting
9:23 Tax Consultant
9:41 Tax Loss Harvesting
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Welcome to Portfolio Rescue. Each week we get tons of questions sent to our inbox from 00:00:22.560 |
YouTube viewers, blog readers, podcast listeners, and we decided, "Why don't we make a show 00:00:26.760 |
to answer these questions?" That's what this show is. Remember, if you have a question, 00:00:30.400 |
email us, askthecompoundshow@gmail.com. With me, as always, is Duncan. Duncan, how's it 00:00:34.980 |
going, man? Good, good. How are you? Last week, I learned that Duncan broke up a fight 00:00:39.760 |
in Brooklyn, and are we ready to start a neighborhood watch yet? Is that the next step? Yeah, I 00:00:44.720 |
mean, we could. We could. Technically, I think it was an attack, not a fight. I was thinking 00:00:49.280 |
more about it. That's even better. Okay. One quick comment here, if you send us an email. 00:00:53.840 |
We've been getting tons of detail from people, which is great. How much money they make, 00:00:57.800 |
how much they have saved, different types of investment accounts they have. If you could 00:01:01.760 |
do us a favor, if you're going to give us one of these three or four-paragraph emails, 00:01:05.260 |
put it in a TL;DR at the end, three or four sentences, what you're looking for. We can 00:01:10.360 |
impart the details a little bit in the questions when we answer them, but if you can just break 00:01:13.920 |
those down for us, that's helpful. Again, we love the details. I think the first one 00:01:17.840 |
is actually a short question. Duncan, what do we got here? 00:01:19.560 |
Yeah, on that note, we have a very short question from Patrick in Dublin, Ireland, which is 00:01:24.480 |
very cool. Patrick says, "I'm a 20-year-old college student from Dublin. My question is, 00:01:29.440 |
how should young people like me balance saving money to invest with traveling and enjoying 00:01:35.000 |
First of all, I'm very jealous here, because I would love to go to Ireland. My family is 00:01:39.880 |
Irish. My parents have been there before. This is the conundrum, right? You want to 00:01:45.200 |
enjoy yourself a little bit, but you also have this whole idea of compounding when you're 00:01:49.200 |
young. Everyone has seen the examples where you say, "Tom begins saving $300 at age 22. 00:01:55.280 |
He saves for 10 years, then he stops altogether. Then Greg, on the other hand, begins saving 00:01:59.740 |
$300 a month at age 35, but he keeps saving all the way through retirement at 65. Who 00:02:03.500 |
ends up with more money? Let's say an 8% annual return." I ran the numbers here. Tom 00:02:08.400 |
wins by a wide margin, over $200,000 more, because he started early and you have that 00:02:13.560 |
But, you're in your 20s. You don't want to look back and say, "Geez, that's great. 00:02:17.480 |
I saved all this money, but now what did I do with my life? I want to do that stuff now 00:02:21.720 |
and I have more responsibilities." That's certainly something that I thought about in 00:02:25.720 |
my 20s. My wife and I thought, "Hey, by our 30s, we'll have kids. We'll have responsibilities. 00:02:30.640 |
Let's travel as much as we can." Our whole thing was, we want to go to as many weddings 00:02:34.400 |
as we can, because in our 20s, everyone has those three or four years where they have 00:02:38.160 |
the wedding season. We said, "Let's travel when we can go to these places, and let's 00:02:43.280 |
There was one time when we took a trip to Mexico on a 10-day notice. I passed the CFA, 00:02:48.480 |
not to brag, I did. But, after I passed, I didn't want to plan out something in advance 00:02:53.200 |
and then fail and go on a trip and be miserable. But, I passed, and within 10 days, we decided 00:02:57.360 |
just to go to Mexico on a whim. That's stuff you can do in your 20s. 00:03:00.360 |
I want people to still have fun. I think a simple way of doing this is just starting 00:03:06.040 |
out small. When I first started working, I made nothing. My salary was $30,000. I made 00:03:12.360 |
no money. I started saving $50 a month in a Target Day Fund. Then, I worked my way up 00:03:16.840 |
as I made more money, and I worked my way up in my career. 00:03:19.600 |
I think you also have to think about trade-offs here. I lived in a very shaky apartment my 00:03:23.320 |
very first year out of school. It was not a great situation. I could have paid $200 00:03:27.320 |
or $300 more a month to move across town and go into a nicer, newer apartment. But, instead, 00:03:32.120 |
I wanted to have that money to save and spend and have fun with, so I had my $50 a month 00:03:36.400 |
that I'm saving. Then, I saved some money by living in a crappy place. 00:03:39.600 |
I think when you're in your 20s, you have to have some of those trade-offs. If you want 00:03:42.520 |
to enjoy yourself and also give yourself some good spending and saving habits, you can start 00:03:46.960 |
out saving small and work your way up, but also have some trade-offs where if you're 00:03:50.440 |
going to want to enjoy yourself, then maybe somewhere else in life you're going to have 00:03:53.080 |
to cut back a little bit. What do you think, Duncan? 00:03:57.200 |
Do you think a lot of this comes from the FIRE movement? I see a lot of these questions 00:04:02.200 |
coming in now. I think people feel pressure from a young age now to try to retire by 50 00:04:08.520 |
I think there could be some middle ground between not saving anything and saving 80% 00:04:12.160 |
of your income and making your own shampoo in your backyard using wheatgrass or something. 00:04:16.120 |
You don't have to take it that far. I think there has to be a middle ground where you 00:04:19.940 |
still enjoy yourself. I certainly am glad that I did that in my 20s, because it's really 00:04:24.340 |
hard for us to travel now that we have three kids. It's just not as easy to do. So, do 00:04:28.520 |
it in your 20s when you don't have as many responsibilities and things holding you back. 00:04:35.120 |
Okay, so next up we have a question from Ender who writes, and I left the compliments in, 00:04:41.580 |
you know, but, "Hey guys, thanks for the dope content." I think there was an expletive 00:04:44.900 |
too, but I took that out. "I watch and re-watch like it's Breaking Bad. My mom has $50,000 00:04:49.600 |
of cash that I just found out about. I wonder if she's the real Walter White." Dot, dot, 00:04:54.380 |
dot. "She's 62 and still working as a nurse. Healthy and an amazing person. I would like 00:04:59.300 |
to help her invest this cash, but I can't decide if I should do something like a dividend 00:05:03.960 |
ETF for her or 70% VTI and 30% QQQ or something else altogether. It definitely needs to be 00:05:10.960 |
something that she can set and forget. If anyone's going to be checking it, it'll be 00:05:15.220 |
So, Duncan, before we hop down here, you admitted that you've never seen Breaking Bad before. 00:05:19.380 |
Yeah, I quit like one or two episodes in because of that bathtub scene. I couldn't handle it. 00:05:24.220 |
Okay, so just since we're on the subject here, I went back and looked and found some great 00:05:28.540 |
money quotes from Breaking Bad. So, John, show the picture here. This is in the storage 00:05:34.100 |
container where Skyler, his wife, says, "There's more money here than we could ever spend in 00:05:38.860 |
10 lifetimes. Please tell me how much is enough? How big does this pile have to be?" And of 00:05:41.780 |
course, for him, it was too much. One of my favorite lines, "Jesse, you asked me if I 00:05:45.940 |
was in the meth business or the money business? Neither. I'm in the empire business." That's 00:05:50.460 |
like a businessman, business comma man kind of thing. Here's my other favorite one. "I 00:05:55.020 |
am not in danger, Skyler. I am the danger." I thought that was a good investing one, too, 00:05:58.460 |
because it kind of works for this idea, right? "It depends" is a good way of thinking about 00:06:04.380 |
this, but I think that there could be potential toxic relationship issues when investing money 00:06:09.620 |
for your family. Here's something that happens. I've worked in the nonprofit endowment foundation 00:06:14.860 |
space my whole career, and those funds are typically run by a committee. The biggest 00:06:20.820 |
problem I've seen in those committees, besides all the politics that's involved, is that 00:06:25.220 |
the individuals on the committee try to invest the money like it is their own personal risk 00:06:30.380 |
profile and time horizon, instead of using the one for the organization and the beneficiaries 00:06:34.860 |
of where that money is going. Because a lot of these foundations and endowments are set 00:06:38.140 |
up to run in perpetuity. They're supposed to last forever. There's this great story 00:06:41.140 |
where BlackRock CEO Larry Fink once said he's having dinner with one of the largest sovereign 00:06:45.960 |
wealth fund managers in the world, and the fund's objectives, the manager told him, were 00:06:51.700 |
generational. "We're saving for future generations," and Fink asked, "Well, how do you measure 00:06:55.240 |
performance?" He said, "Of course, quarterly." That's the idea, that you can mix up your 00:07:00.100 |
own time horizon and risk profile. I think the most important thing here is understanding 00:07:05.620 |
your mom's risk profile and time horizon. What has she done in the past? How does she 00:07:10.020 |
handle losses? How does she handle volatility? Did she sell out in the past? When does she 00:07:13.980 |
need this money? I think you have to understand what the money's for, the purpose of it. How 00:07:18.860 |
much risk does she need to take? How much risk does she want to take? I think the simplest 00:07:23.260 |
boring bent answer is figure out a target date fund, potentially. But I think you have 00:07:26.820 |
to understand what is going to work for her and not just work for you. Because I think 00:07:31.780 |
if you make the wrong decision here, and your mom gets angry with you, you're the one where 00:07:36.460 |
the buck stops at if you're making this decision for her, even if you're the one looking at 00:07:39.580 |
it. Because she's certainly going to look if things go bad. So I think you just have 00:07:42.900 |
to figure out what's right for her, not what's right for you. 00:07:46.220 |
Yeah, it could make Thanksgiving very uncomfortable, right, if a portfolio's been cut in half or 00:07:51.660 |
something like that. Yeah, for sure. All right, one more. 00:07:57.220 |
Okay, so next up. "As we get closer to the end of the year, I'm debating the true value 00:08:03.740 |
of tax loss harvesting as a strategy for my portfolio. I appreciate the ability to lower 00:08:07.780 |
my tax liabilities this year, but the strategy seems more like a tax deferral than a tax 00:08:11.940 |
write-off. If I believe taxes will go up generally, and my personal tax bracket will go up, for 00:08:17.220 |
context, I'm in my early 30s and expect to have a higher tax bracket later in life. Does 00:08:21.220 |
tax loss harvesting make sense for me? It seems like I'd be passing on taxes at a lower 00:08:25.740 |
bracket today to potentially pay them at a higher tax bracket in the future." 00:08:28.900 |
All right, and as we're getting on the end of the year, we got another one that's similar 00:08:33.980 |
to this, right? So let's do them both. Let's run it back. 00:08:36.580 |
Yeah, and so then we also have, "I'm buying a house closing on January 13th. I have to 00:08:41.920 |
sell stock to pay for it. I'll have the same income in 2021 and 2022. Should I sell in 00:08:50.820 |
Now, Duncan, this is something that surprised me. We've gotten a lot more questions about 00:08:54.900 |
taxes than I ever would have assumed we would, and I think there's one simple reason. People 00:08:58.260 |
hate paying taxes. You could make tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of dollars 00:09:03.220 |
or millions of dollars for a wealth management client that you work with, but if you save 00:09:07.300 |
them $500 on their taxes, they are your client for life. People hate taxes. So for this one, 00:09:13.980 |
because I always think, "Do you make tax decisions? Do you let that be the tail that wags the 00:09:18.700 |
dog and make these decisions explicitly on taxes, or do you think about the other ramifications?" 00:09:22.620 |
So I want to bring in my personal tax consultant, our CFO, Bill Sweet. 00:09:28.300 |
Gentlemen, welcome to suburban New York where the trees are big and the coffee is warm. 00:09:33.020 |
I agree, Ben. People generally hate paying taxes more than they like making money. That's 00:09:38.140 |
something I've observed throughout my career. But listeners spot on. I mean, tax loss harvesting 00:09:42.520 |
is simply a deferral mechanism. What you do when you tax loss harvest is you step up your 00:09:47.460 |
basis from the respect that you generate a loss. In theory, sometimes using that to offset 00:09:52.400 |
gains, sometimes using it to offset ordinary income up to $3,000 a year. But the problem 00:09:57.240 |
with that is if your future expected tax rate is higher, you could effectively be doing 00:10:01.600 |
some negative arbitrage, sort of realizing a small gain in the future in exchange for 00:10:05.760 |
a larger pain in the present in the future. And that's not a good thing. So John, can 00:10:10.520 |
you pull up the chart for me, a little chart we put together here? So if you take a look 00:10:14.240 |
at the tax brackets, focus on the blue here. The tax bracket for capital gains, if your 00:10:18.760 |
joint married income is below roughly $106,000, it's actually zero. So more or less at that 00:10:24.620 |
tax rate, it doesn't make any sense. If I'm going to deduct 12%, but my income's going 00:10:29.500 |
up in the future, I'm going to be paying 15, 18, maybe 24% of my gains in the future. Tax 00:10:35.560 |
off hard loss harvesting, generally not a good idea. So I think this list is spot on. 00:10:40.100 |
That's why we don't advocate a TLH for every single client that we have at Rittenholz Wealth. 00:10:44.980 |
It really depends. And this is why tax does not scale. It's something that I think needs 00:10:49.040 |
to be specifically analyzed for each individual client and situation. 00:10:52.360 |
How hard do you think it is for people to actually predict their taxes in the future, 00:10:57.000 |
unless they're in the lowest income tax bracket? That helps if you know where you are now, 00:11:01.040 |
but I always see this where people say, "Well, I know I'm going to be paying more in the 00:11:05.940 |
Correct. Yeah. The future is not just unknown. It's unknowable. So a lot of things could 00:11:10.040 |
change. The Build Back Better plan could come in and raise taxes. That was something discussed 00:11:14.280 |
that we had an episode back a couple months ago on that very topic. So you're exactly 00:11:19.120 |
right, Ben. But that would probably lend itself to things like this strategy, because if you 00:11:24.100 |
know you're getting a benefit today, the indeterminate future, who knows? If the taxpayer takes a 00:11:28.940 |
year off, maybe that's a great year to realize that gain in the future. It really depends. 00:11:33.000 |
It depends on each specific client, and there's no real way to predict it in advance. 00:11:36.840 |
What do you think about this person who's got to sell stock to pay for a house that 00:11:39.480 |
they're closing on in a few weeks, it sounds like? Does it make sense to do it now and 00:11:43.920 |
rip the Band-Aid off? Or can it potentially be better to wait and then put those taxes 00:11:50.640 |
Exactly, future me take care of it. Yeah, I think it goes back to that chart. So again, 00:11:54.800 |
if my income for the year is $80,000, if I'm married, I can realize up to $20,000 a gain 00:12:00.680 |
is completely federal tax-free. Maybe there's some consequences at the state, but that's 00:12:04.580 |
not usually that large. So I think splitting it amongst tax years makes a lot of sense. 00:12:08.700 |
But Ben, you brought up a great point before. If you don't have visibility of this, there's 00:12:12.080 |
two weeks left here in the year to make any changes, right? And you have to make these 00:12:15.400 |
decisions relatively quickly. So that's why I think working with a professional always 00:12:19.280 |
makes some sense, especially if they're forward-looking. My big criticism of a lot of the accounting 00:12:23.760 |
industry is they're always driving like the rearview mirror. They don't care about what's 00:12:26.960 |
going to happen next year. They care about what's happening now. So finding a good tax 00:12:32.560 |
All right. Yeah. Talking to your own book here, but you're right. 00:12:39.760 |
We got Bill here. Let's do one more tax question. 00:12:41.560 |
OK. I was going to say, I think we might be getting so many tax questions because people 00:12:49.120 |
The flattery will get you everywhere, Duncan. 00:12:51.280 |
So this is a really long one, but bear with me. I live in the San Francisco Bay Area where 00:12:55.600 |
homes are very expensive. We've heard this a lot from viewers. In the state of California, 00:13:00.400 |
if you own a house for five years and use it as your primary residence for at least 00:13:03.560 |
two years during that time, you don't need to pay taxes on the first $500,000 of capital 00:13:08.120 |
gains when selling your home for a married couple. As you can imagine, depending on where 00:13:12.840 |
you live in the Bay Area, it doesn't take long to have a home appreciation of $500,000. 00:13:17.360 |
If I live in an expensive area like this, am I crazy for trying to move every five years 00:13:23.040 |
or so to minimize my tax burden? I suppose I can just buy a neighbor's home as to not 00:13:27.400 |
switch communities or school districts for my kid. What other considerations are there 00:13:31.160 |
to such a strategy? I feel like this is pretty ingenious, but there's got to be a catch. 00:13:36.560 |
My one initial thought on this, the catch is, it sounds like a lot of work. 00:13:44.120 |
There's a lot of frictions involved when you buy and sell a house. There's closing costs, 00:13:47.160 |
there's realtor fees, there's all these things. I understand the idea here, but Bill, from 00:13:53.120 |
a tax perspective, aren't there better tax advantage ways of making real estate work 00:13:56.680 |
for you, like cashing out refinance or a HELOC where you can take some money out? Is it really 00:14:01.680 |
that big of a deal if you're trying to take these gains quicker than try to offset some 00:14:08.100 |
It does from the respect that assuming that you're able to generate a $500,000 capital 00:14:12.780 |
grant on your property, I get that that's been the case in the West Coast specifically, 00:14:18.460 |
but that's it. This is a unique thing in the tax code. That's a very large number for a 00:14:23.340 |
joint couple. It's $250,000 for an individual. These are large numbers, but Ben, I think 00:14:27.900 |
you hit on it. It's really transaction costs in real estate that are really painful. I 00:14:31.900 |
did a refinance recently. I know you and Michael talk about this all the time on the Animal 00:14:35.780 |
Spirits podcast. It's expensive to purchase and sell a house. Just talk about the real 00:14:40.700 |
estate commission alone. If you happen to be lucky enough to get a $200,000 to $500,000 00:14:45.060 |
gain in your property, it probably means it's worth a million dollars. You're paying somebody 00:14:48.900 |
$50,000. You need to run the math and make sure the tax consequences actually outweigh 00:14:54.380 |
the benefits, but it's not going away, I don't think, in the tax code. It hasn't for as long 00:14:59.180 |
as it's been in the-- at least it's since '86 to my knowledge. The problem is that number's 00:15:03.920 |
indexed for inflation, or it's not indexed for inflation. It's been around that number 00:15:07.700 |
since I've been aware of it. But yeah, I think that's it. The thing that I might add as a 00:15:11.980 |
planning point, which is kind of interesting to think about, is you could potentially leverage 00:15:15.940 |
this arbitrage with a rental property, a business property, in that if you happen to move out 00:15:20.900 |
of your primary residence, and let's say rent it for two years, again, as long as you're 00:15:24.660 |
within the window and the timeframe, you're able to effectively convert that to a real 00:15:28.980 |
estate residential property. You need to adjust for the fact that it's part use, but that 00:15:33.480 |
to me is the most interesting thing. And that's where I see the most innovation in this space. 00:15:37.140 |
But would I move simply to take advantage of this every two years? Absolutely not. You 00:15:41.500 |
and I both have young kids. I moved all the time in the Army, on average, every two years. 00:15:46.780 |
I don't ever want to do it again. So if the personal price is worth the tax benefit, sure, 00:15:51.780 |
I guess, but I wouldn't recommend this as a strategy, no. 00:15:55.860 |
This also shows just how strong the real estate market has been, that someone thinks getting 00:15:58.900 |
a $500,000 gain can be managed every five years. I mean, I don't know how much- 00:16:04.580 |
More power to you. Yeah, I'll drink to you tonight if you can pull this off every two 00:16:09.660 |
All right, one more question for Bill. This is a big one. Real tree or fake tree in the 00:16:13.220 |
A hundred percent fake. Have you guys ever, at the end of the year, taken that thing out 00:16:17.580 |
to the fire pit, thrown a match in that? I mean, it is gone in like 10 seconds. 00:16:21.980 |
I told this story in Animal Spirits. I'm a real tree person. My family's always been 00:16:25.660 |
a real tree, and we got one, and it immediately died in nine million pine needles all over 00:16:31.820 |
the house. Every time the dog walked by it, it was like a big version of the Charlie Brown 00:16:37.780 |
They do. They smell good. But yeah, you're right. My wife said, "All right, that's it. 00:16:39.540 |
We tried it. We're getting a fake tree. We got one now." 00:16:41.780 |
I got a bunch of candles for the smell. That's good enough for me, man. 00:16:45.940 |
We're a fake tree family now. I can't believe it, but we are. 00:16:50.220 |
And Bill, I thought you would literally go out and cut it down with that saw that you 00:16:55.100 |
It's in the basement. It's ready to go. My chainsaw, though, needs a little bit of work. 00:16:58.420 |
So if you're a small parts mechanic, small machine, give me a shout. I need some help. 00:17:02.980 |
All right. Thanks to Bill, as always, for his helpful tech expertise. Remember to have 00:17:06.660 |
some thoughts on the questions today. Leave us a comment. A bunch of people are already 00:17:09.380 |
in the live stream giving some comments. Have a question for the show, email us, askthecompoundshow@gmail.com. 00:17:14.580 |
Don't forget to subscribe. Check out idontshop.com for all of your compound shopping needs. We're 00:17:20.860 |
gonna be back here next Wednesday for our last show of 2021. We'll see you then. See