back to indexThe Cocoa Short Squeeze: Why Cocoa is Trading like Meme Stock
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This is the big news in the commodity markets right now is 00:00:02.180 |
this parabolic spike in cocoa prices. Cocoa is moved in price 00:00:05.520 |
from about 2000 bucks a ton, which is where it normally 00:00:08.060 |
trades at to $10,000 a ton. So here's all the cocoa production 00:00:11.720 |
73% of its in Africa, mostly in Ghana and Ivory Coast cocoa is 00:00:15.920 |
grown from the cacao tree when you eat a Hershey's bar, for 00:00:18.680 |
example, 11% of that bar is ground up cocoa powder. So in 00:00:22.240 |
Q4 of last year, El Nino spiked like crazy. And that caused a 00:00:26.600 |
lot of rainfall to hit the west coast of Africa. And as a 00:00:29.800 |
result, this fungus was spread in cocoa trees, there's a fungus 00:00:33.120 |
called black pod disease. So now if you look at the cocoa 00:00:35.760 |
production out of Ghana, you can see that we've seen a 50% rough 00:00:38.760 |
decline in cocoa production. So when that happened, everyone 00:00:42.000 |
started to corner in the market, and then all the short sellers 00:00:44.480 |
got squeezed and it causes big parabolic jump in price chocolate 00:00:47.520 |
companies, they're talking about cutting the size of their 00:00:49.620 |
chocolate bars, raising prices and starting to use other 00:00:52.360 |
ingredients. So you'll start to see that happen in the shelves