back to indexCal Newport On Kids And Smartphones (What Age Is Safest to Get a Device?)
Chapters
0:0 Cal's intro
0:10 Act 1
5:53 Act 2
17:23 Act 3
22:16 Social harms
26:11 Smartphone harms
30:18 What's next?
00:00:01.880 |
Today's deep question is, are smartphones bad for kids? 00:00:12.120 |
So I have some of my slides here from my talk. 00:00:21.200 |
You can find it at youtube.com/calnewportmedia 00:00:24.920 |
or at thedeeplife.com if you don't like YouTube. 00:00:31.360 |
You don't have to watch it, but I'm just saying, 00:00:33.000 |
if you want to see some of these graphs I'm referencing, 00:00:35.840 |
watching the video version of this might be suggested. 00:00:49.400 |
the whole story seemed to break up into three acts. 00:00:53.080 |
That's why I called this in my talk, a saga in three acts. 00:01:20.280 |
and young people was first brought to my attention. 00:01:22.560 |
So I remember as a young professor at Georgetown, 00:01:32.140 |
who was involved with the student mental health center 00:01:35.740 |
at Dartmouth, it's called, or not Dartmouth, Georgetown. 00:01:38.340 |
It's called CAPS and if you're watching on the screen, 00:01:42.660 |
And I remember smartphones and tech in general 00:01:55.560 |
"The number of students that we are now treating 00:01:59.740 |
"with mental health counseling here at Georgetown 00:02:12.380 |
and a much bigger proportion of the students we see 00:02:25.340 |
She said, "Oh, it's really clear to me anecdotally 00:02:28.180 |
"that the first group of students to arrive on campus 00:02:32.240 |
"having had smartphones during their adolescence 00:02:41.200 |
and see that this was not an isolated anecdote 00:02:47.760 |
This is from the American College Health Association 00:03:02.880 |
which are of course quite interlinked by anxiety. 00:03:06.680 |
So the dark vertical line, if you're watching this online, 00:03:11.460 |
So what this one person at Georgetown was noticing 00:03:28.480 |
and mental health professionals being worried 00:03:33.340 |
about maybe smartphones are causing an issue. 00:03:48.860 |
Now the thing about Twenge is that her expertise 00:03:53.560 |
is in studying differences between demographic generations. 00:03:58.620 |
How is this generation different than that generation? 00:04:01.500 |
She's very good at teasing out what's real and what's not. 00:04:11.420 |
"that come to define a generation appear gradually 00:04:28.900 |
"of the millennial generation began to disappear. 00:04:38.980 |
So this demographer was thrown by how different Gen Z was, 00:04:42.620 |
and not just Gen Z in general, but Gen Z starting in 2012. 00:04:49.580 |
that I think this has to do with smartphones. 00:04:53.360 |
Here's another, I think, culture-defining moment. 00:05:08.840 |
And it's important because Benoit goes into this article, 00:05:20.600 |
moral panic-type argument, the same thing we always say, 00:05:24.160 |
rock and roll music is gonna corrupt the teens' brains, 00:05:38.840 |
"To my surprise, anxious teenagers tended to agree." 00:05:43.080 |
They didn't say, "Hey, old man, leave our phones alone." 00:05:46.120 |
They said, "Yeah, these things are a problem." 00:05:55.840 |
These young people, there's something different going on. 00:06:03.340 |
All right, this brings us to the second act, the data wars. 00:06:09.240 |
This takes place roughly between 2017 and 2020. 00:06:13.680 |
This is when researchers begin to seriously try 00:06:15.960 |
to gather or study the data to get a stronger, 00:06:22.120 |
of is smartphones somehow involved in these increases 00:06:26.300 |
This was a period of both proposals and critiques, 00:06:44.440 |
This was the period in which almost any New York Times 00:06:47.480 |
article on this issue would say with big caveats, 00:06:56.960 |
Let me talk about two troubling streams of data 00:07:00.760 |
the critiques and the responses to the critiques. 00:07:03.080 |
So the first bit of troubling evidence that emerged 00:07:11.560 |
That was a really, it's circumstantial evidence, 00:07:15.000 |
but a really strong pointer towards smartphones at play, 00:07:18.880 |
There's lots of different reasons you could come up for, 00:07:25.120 |
between 2012 and 2020, were becoming more anxious. 00:07:34.080 |
we had the financial insecurity that that caused, 00:07:45.760 |
The problem is none of this fit 2012 in particular. 00:07:55.880 |
we were entering the job force then, not Gen Z. 00:07:58.480 |
By the time Gen Z was entering the job force, 00:08:02.660 |
There was a lot of political partisanship and unrest 00:08:11.280 |
2012 was the Barack Obama, Mitt Romney election. 00:08:15.680 |
There was not an increase in partisanship there 00:08:18.040 |
as compared to, let's say, even just a 2008 election 00:08:20.720 |
in which we had Sarah Palin involved in that movement, 00:08:29.440 |
There wasn't something new that happened in 2012 00:08:36.540 |
The populist revolutions of Trump, et cetera, 00:08:39.220 |
that didn't really pick up speed until '15 or '16, 00:08:46.960 |
we saw these anxiety rises among young people 00:08:51.180 |
so we could not pin this on particular American dynamics. 00:09:07.420 |
So we see female, especially with female reports 00:09:11.180 |
of sadness and hopelessness between 2011 and 2021, 00:09:16.180 |
we see a significant increase from 36% to 57%. 00:09:21.600 |
I'm also showing US teens with major depression, 00:09:41.220 |
It was exactly the moment when the proportion 00:09:43.060 |
of Americans who owned a smartphone surpassed 50%. 00:09:55.980 |
None of these other potentially anxiety-producing trends 00:10:07.980 |
and I'm showing this on the screen in example now, 00:10:10.020 |
was this idea that, no, no, no, we agree with you 00:10:12.680 |
that there's not world events or cultural events 00:10:22.720 |
It was that this new generation was coming of age 00:10:25.300 |
and they're more comfortable talking about mental health. 00:10:29.220 |
They're like, "That's," so this was a big critique 00:10:52.440 |
"and they're overestimating rates of discords 00:10:58.720 |
"This was claimed a lot during the early period 00:11:04.420 |
"Well, how can we look into this counter hypothesis?" 00:11:08.660 |
And the right way to look into this counter hypothesis 00:11:10.940 |
is to say, "Let's find stronger proxies for anxiety 00:11:14.540 |
"that have nothing to do with self-reporting." 00:11:17.560 |
And in particular, I put two charts on the screen here, 00:11:22.640 |
The first chart is US teens admitted to hospitals 00:11:33.320 |
These are people who tried to harm themselves 00:11:35.160 |
due to anxiety, and these are from hospital records. 00:11:45.300 |
with the increase getting particularly stark around 2012. 00:12:08.700 |
we just got more comfortable talking about anxiety, 00:12:11.780 |
and we were just picking up mild self-reported symptoms. 00:12:17.180 |
these indications rose at the exact same rate. 00:12:34.740 |
these giant data sets where researchers will go out 00:12:40.500 |
And then after the fact, you can come back as a researcher 00:12:43.180 |
and look for all sorts of connections within this data. 00:12:46.660 |
If you wanna know if people who like the color red 00:12:51.880 |
to have had back surgery in the last six months, 00:12:57.220 |
and find those things and look for correlations, et cetera. 00:13:01.140 |
They said, "Let's start looking at this data. 00:13:04.840 |
"between these technologies and negative outcomes." 00:13:08.820 |
And they began to find lots of strong connections. 00:13:13.980 |
This particularly one looked at UK adolescents 00:13:16.940 |
with clinically relevant depressive symptoms. 00:13:19.640 |
The X-axis is number of hours per weekday on social media. 00:13:33.340 |
from no time on social media to five plus hours, 00:13:53.920 |
for girls who use four to five hours of social media. 00:13:57.280 |
All right, so we saw a lot of studies of this type. 00:14:05.180 |
"but it's easy to find correlations between things. 00:14:13.120 |
was published in 2019 by Przybylski and Amy Orbin. 00:14:23.320 |
They went in and looked at one of these big datasets 00:14:31.320 |
indicating a level of harmfulness so close to zero 00:14:34.440 |
that it is roughly the same size as they find 00:14:42.480 |
"these, yeah, you use more digital technology, 00:14:46.360 |
"you're less happy, but the effect is the same we found 00:14:57.740 |
This article, the potato article was cited a lot. 00:15:01.420 |
Even until very recently, you would see major newspapers 00:15:12.680 |
between these technologies and negative mental health, 00:15:32.840 |
and it was called Underestimating Digital Media Harm. 00:15:36.240 |
In this article, Haidt looked at Przybylski and Orban 00:15:40.720 |
and said, "Well, wait a second, wait a second," 00:15:44.960 |
"The first issue to note is that the potatoes comparison 00:15:48.960 |
"was what they reported for all digital media use, 00:15:55.700 |
"Digital media includes all screen-based activities, 00:15:58.160 |
"including watching TV or Netflix videos with a sibling, 00:16:07.660 |
"the relationship is between two and six times larger 00:16:17.960 |
"while many studies have found that the correlations 00:16:21.600 |
So Haidt is saying it's almost like you're intentionally 00:16:37.640 |
and all the discussion has been about social media. 00:16:47.140 |
"a response that, especially if you break out girls, 00:17:00.000 |
you're wondering how is there any other explanation 00:17:02.800 |
for the potato paper other than a set of researchers 00:17:09.800 |
It's otherwise hard to explain why they would 00:17:17.320 |
if they were really just trying to understand 00:17:19.760 |
All right, so let's get to the third act of this story, 00:17:26.520 |
I call this third act, "A Consensus Begins to Emerge." 00:17:34.080 |
Essentially what has happened in the past two or three years 00:17:40.240 |
and a consensus is emerging in the field that yes, 00:17:43.400 |
especially for girls, there is a strong negative connection 00:17:47.280 |
between these technologies and mental health. 00:17:52.520 |
first of all, the critiques as we talked about before, 00:17:59.960 |
After the potato paper, it's not like there was a lot 00:18:06.320 |
And the timing argument really seems to have been one 00:18:08.760 |
for the people who are worried about smartphones. 00:18:10.560 |
So that happened, but then what we began to get, 00:18:12.880 |
and this is how a lot of emerging literatures 00:18:16.760 |
we began to get multiple other independent sources 00:18:20.960 |
of investigation that pointed towards the same conclusion. 00:18:23.760 |
When you have multiple different types of threads 00:18:25.840 |
that all begin to weave around the same answer, 00:18:28.080 |
that's often what happens in complex literatures 00:18:32.300 |
And that really began to happen in the last couple of years. 00:18:35.020 |
So one of the threads was natural experiments. 00:18:38.440 |
Here's a cool paper written by an economist, Elaine Gu. 00:18:58.300 |
And so she looked at, if we have nearby towns, 00:19:04.360 |
but we end up in this natural experiment situation 00:19:06.740 |
where one town gets wireless high-speed internet 00:19:09.100 |
before the other, can we compare what's happening 00:19:11.100 |
with teenage mental health in these two towns 00:19:15.100 |
Girl, teen girls, severe mental health diagnoses 00:19:19.140 |
increased by 90% when the wireless internet arrived. 00:19:34.360 |
and randomly assigned them to either stop using social media 00:19:41.160 |
So it's a randomized prospective control trial. 00:19:46.020 |
The group that was told to limit their social media use 00:19:48.220 |
showed significant reductions in loneliness and depression 00:20:02.140 |
in helping a consensus come together was self-reporting. 00:20:09.100 |
So when Francis Hagan leaked all of those data 00:20:15.740 |
that's what the Wall Street Journal called it, 00:20:22.320 |
was the fact that they had done survey on teens 00:20:36.660 |
yeah, this is why we're more anxious and depressed. 00:21:03.860 |
It is really hard to be a potato study style skeptic 00:21:11.260 |
We're not teasing out subtle epidemiological effects, 00:21:15.060 |
a slight increase in the background cancer rate 00:21:17.780 |
for the towns that were using a different type of pipe 00:21:19.760 |
in their water, or the individuals themselves 00:21:24.480 |
This is a huge, loud, self-observable macro signal. 00:21:37.840 |
When my grandparents, let's say they were upset 00:21:42.420 |
in the late 1960s, if they went to my mom and said, 00:21:59.040 |
That would have been a very different situation. 00:22:15.520 |
So let's look in particular at social media first, 00:22:21.360 |
is causing these negative impacts on mental health? 00:22:27.880 |
Now readers of my book, "Digital Minimalism," 00:22:30.680 |
this will sound familiar because I talk about this 00:22:53.740 |
just sending texts back and forth to each other 00:22:58.500 |
is not interpreted by the social circuits of our brain 00:23:14.360 |
because all I've been doing is talking to people. 00:23:21.500 |
Social psychologists call this social snacking. 00:23:36.020 |
And you see again, 2012, whoosh, goes right up. 00:23:57.620 |
There's an interesting observation, by the way, 00:24:02.780 |
and it was so pronounced by the time the pandemic came along 00:24:09.820 |
I mean, certainly we continue to have a steep, 00:24:15.460 |
but we were having a steep fall from 2018 to '19 as well. 00:24:18.980 |
So he pointed this out in a newsletter article 00:24:23.820 |
These effects of isolation were already so pronounced 00:24:29.340 |
that the difference of adding isolation through lockdowns 00:24:33.940 |
actually didn't even make that big of a difference. 00:24:40.340 |
especially with social media, especially with girls. 00:25:25.200 |
and are open to suggestions and are feeling vulnerable 00:25:29.780 |
It's very easy to get caught in online communities 00:25:35.860 |
that will directly reduce your mental health, 00:25:38.100 |
and in a lot of cases, also your physical health. 00:25:40.480 |
We're beginning to see more lawsuits along these lines. 00:25:48.900 |
for encouraging their daughter's eating disorder 00:25:56.940 |
between reduced mental health and social media use 00:26:02.740 |
You end up in a community that is cheering on something 00:26:04.940 |
that in the end is gonna make you feel much worse. 00:26:15.020 |
A lot of this data is looking at social media. 00:26:17.100 |
Some of it's looking at smartphones in general. 00:26:20.220 |
that even if you aren't using social media on a smartphone, 00:26:28.660 |
I talked about this in a somewhat recent episode 00:26:40.300 |
The short version of this is deep critical thinking skills 00:26:46.020 |
Training requires things like reading analog books 00:26:51.460 |
and make sense of what you just read before moving on. 00:26:56.000 |
the ability to hold thoughts in your working memories 00:27:04.340 |
because it teaches your brain to instead move very quick. 00:27:20.600 |
I was watching, Jesse, I was watching this on the flight. 00:27:28.320 |
I mean, like a 20 year old guy sitting a row up in the aisle. 00:27:41.160 |
and then he'd swipe and another video would come up. 00:27:43.200 |
Then he'd swipe and another video would come up. 00:27:48.260 |
Well, I don't know, the whole time for a while. 00:27:51.200 |
Like, man, glad I'm reading my Alan Lightman book 00:28:04.440 |
that would otherwise give you critical thinking skills 00:28:06.600 |
and so you're just not good at thinking deeply 00:28:14.400 |
Look, you give a 13 year old boy a smartphone, 00:28:16.440 |
they're gonna YouTube until four in the morning. 00:28:18.820 |
When I gave this talk, someone in the audience said, 00:28:22.440 |
and one of the middle schoolers was talking about 00:28:24.080 |
how all of her friends who have these smartphones 00:28:27.920 |
And then they come in the class, they're completely tired. 00:28:34.800 |
because if you have this, it's hard to turn it off. 00:28:37.720 |
So teenagers are having a huge sleep deprivation issue. 00:28:40.420 |
It's YouTube, video games and social media scrolling. 00:28:47.540 |
I talked about this in digital minimalism as well. 00:28:50.220 |
Our mind is not meant to constantly be processing 00:28:55.520 |
We need time alone with our own thoughts to recharge 00:29:00.020 |
Smartphones can eliminate that entirely from your existence 00:29:03.220 |
because any moment where before you might've just been alone 00:29:06.040 |
with your own thoughts, you can now pull out the thing. 00:29:11.260 |
It also harms self-development at an age where we need it. 00:29:16.940 |
You're 15, you're trying to figure yourself out. 00:29:21.460 |
And finally, we have this issue that smartphones in general 00:29:27.240 |
So the thing you're doing on the phone gets in the way 00:29:30.980 |
It gets in way of the things that's gonna be more meaningful 00:29:33.060 |
or quality or sustainable or connect you more 00:29:35.020 |
to your friends or your community or build skills 00:29:38.180 |
It's easier just to look at the phone and to watch Twitch. 00:29:42.200 |
And so it gets in the way of something that could be better. 00:29:45.980 |
This is often missed when we think about smartphones 00:29:47.780 |
and teens will hone in on the exact activity and say, 00:29:54.220 |
He doesn't have to worry about online bullying. 00:29:56.460 |
The thing he's looking at is really harmless. 00:29:58.500 |
In fact, maybe there's like some science content in it. 00:30:01.340 |
The issue there is not that what he's looking at 00:30:03.540 |
is a problem, is that because he's looking at it all day, 00:30:08.220 |
So we've got harms with unrestricted smartphone access 00:30:11.380 |
for young people that go beyond just the specific stuff 00:30:19.840 |
At the national scale, it's an interesting question. 00:30:22.440 |
Is there gonna be some sort of legislative shift 00:30:29.460 |
It's clear that this consensus has been understood 00:30:34.580 |
and intaked by legislative bodies and policy makers. 00:30:37.860 |
I think it's now accepted that unrestricted smartphone use, 00:30:44.500 |
especially for prepubescent girls is very dangerous. 00:30:54.980 |
Here's the Surgeon General earlier this year. 00:31:04.900 |
is something that a lot of researchers are coming to. 00:31:16.260 |
and everything that happens during that period, 00:31:26.760 |
because you know who you are, who your friends are, 00:31:28.820 |
what you're interested in, what you're about. 00:31:36.940 |
than if you get it at 12 or you get it at 13. 00:31:44.020 |
This might possibly be made into legislation. 00:31:46.420 |
One of the relevant things to keep an eye on here 00:31:48.180 |
is the 1998 Children's Online Privacy Protection Act, 00:32:04.820 |
The actual wording here is 13 is the minimum age 00:32:07.780 |
at which you can consent to give up your data privacy, 00:32:13.640 |
for an attention economy platform like social media. 00:32:17.180 |
The original version of this act had 16 in there. 00:32:19.640 |
Tech lobbyists in DC got that pushed down to 13. 00:32:28.780 |
There's other legislative avenues that are being pursued. 00:32:31.940 |
It's tricky, but this is one to keep an eye on. 00:32:46.260 |
but what it would give is a metaphorical chair 00:32:51.020 |
to parents that are trying to tame this metaphorical lion. 00:32:53.940 |
When you have your 13-year-old again and again saying, 00:33:01.860 |
"Because it's illegal," is a very strong defense. 00:33:05.980 |
And you're not putting these parents in a situation 00:33:08.420 |
of having to be social psychology researchers 00:33:13.220 |
"You'll just have to learn not to have those friends, 00:33:32.780 |
I think the data is pointing towards your safest bet, 00:33:35.100 |
especially if we're talking about young girls, 00:33:37.340 |
is 16 is the age below which you do not want to give a child 00:33:47.660 |
you are giving them unrestricted access to the internet. 00:33:49.900 |
You can do some parental controls, they'll get around them. 00:33:56.380 |
If we ever went to war, cyber war with China, 00:34:01.040 |
and we needed in a sort of ender's game style, 00:34:05.720 |
here's how we would win the cyber hacking war. 00:34:09.960 |
that if you bring down China's whatever infrastructure, 00:34:12.980 |
you will get unlimited access to Mr. Beast videos. 00:34:16.360 |
Because these kids become Dennis Nidry style hackers 00:34:21.360 |
when it comes to trying to get access to these things. 00:34:24.280 |
The same kids that can't even motivate themselves 00:34:32.720 |
You know, all right, I'm bypassing the main CPU logic here 00:34:38.420 |
by getting right to the op code lookup table in the ROM. 00:34:46.480 |
or Snapchat lays just beyond those protections. 00:34:50.440 |
you're giving them unrestricted internet access. 00:34:58.300 |
A lot of the actual performative socialization 00:35:00.360 |
has shifted from social media onto group text messages. 00:35:03.320 |
So it gets a little bit, it gets a little bit hazy. 00:35:08.400 |
the sleep deprivation, the solitude deprivation. 00:35:10.320 |
So it really seems like 16 is the safe time to say, 00:35:14.960 |
and I'm not gonna care too much what you're doing anymore. 00:35:20.700 |
where you can have any type of device like this? 00:35:22.640 |
Well, again, I actually asked John Heid about this as well. 00:35:24.800 |
And his thought was, when you functionally need a phone, 00:35:34.500 |
And you need an ability to maybe text your parents 00:35:39.080 |
if the bus routes cancel or something like that. 00:35:42.800 |
you can get them a phone that doesn't have internet. 00:35:45.240 |
So when you get to an age where I'm independent enough 00:35:53.200 |
then get them some sort of communication device, 00:35:57.540 |
16 is when you can give them a smartphone that has everything 00:36:10.420 |
when they become 12, the cultural have shifted. 00:36:13.580 |
You won't be giving an iPhone to your 12 year old, 00:36:17.240 |
We're right now in this intermediate transition period 00:36:20.880 |
where parents still have to make these decisions 00:36:23.800 |
As far as I can tell, that's my best read of the literature. 00:36:30.320 |
give them a phone like a light phone, which looks great 00:36:34.700 |
Wait till 16 to give them unrestricted access 00:36:36.640 |
so you can't have your own iPad or your own smartphone 00:36:40.020 |
They will yell and gnash their teeth, but come on. 00:36:43.920 |
that teenagers have wanted that their parents don't want, 00:36:46.060 |
the teenagers have said, all my friends are doing it, 00:37:01.360 |
The one thing I'll also point out is I've heard before 00:37:05.040 |
when I've been on the road or talked about my book 00:37:07.560 |
is often sort of socially elite people have the storyline 00:37:12.560 |
that less socially elite or less economically elite people 00:37:18.760 |
need these technologies and it's somehow classist 00:37:23.600 |
to talk about this, that somehow having a 14 year old 00:37:29.520 |
And I can say, having worked with lots of different groups 00:37:32.520 |
from lots of different backgrounds on this issue, 00:37:38.320 |
Everyone is worried about the kids with this. 00:37:50.300 |
So we said you should wait till you're 18 to do it. 00:38:00.720 |
But Jesse, that seems to be where the data is right now. 00:38:06.440 |
So we're getting close to a point where parents 00:38:11.320 |
But I think that like you're 12, here's your smartphone, 00:38:20.080 |
- So will they still go on social media on their desktop? 00:38:26.600 |
Here's the family laptop, you use it in the kitchen, 00:38:31.920 |
I mean, there's a lot of great stuff to do on the internet, 00:38:36.240 |
you know, like we know a kid who's really into sports. 00:38:43.940 |
Like if I was really into sports and I was 13, 00:38:52.680 |
It's feeding an interest that the kid really has. 00:38:54.240 |
You know, another kid who's really into chess 00:38:55.540 |
and they can do, you know, these chess games online. 00:38:58.960 |
But if all that's done through the family computer, 00:39:05.720 |
the TV is in the living room, they're in charge of it. 00:39:07.100 |
But you're gonna watch a fair amount of TV and it's nice. 00:39:10.900 |
There's all these cool things on here that you can do, 00:39:14.320 |
just like there's cool TV shows you could watch, 00:39:16.040 |
but you can do them during times when it's appropriate 00:39:19.280 |
on a machine where we kind of see what's going on. 00:39:24.000 |
that like some of the private schools around here, 00:39:25.360 |
there's probably some controls on that as well. 00:39:31.600 |
We had a six, one of the neighbors who's always over, 00:39:34.840 |
one of the neighbors is I think seven, maybe eight, 00:40:00.640 |
But like good news, I have a 128 qubit quantum processor 00:40:08.580 |
and we're able to break the public key encryption 00:40:11.160 |
that was keeping us out of Mark Rober videos. 00:40:19.640 |
That's where I think the research lies right now.