back to indexRPF0711-Friday_QA-COVID-19_Update_Positive_Thinking_Working_Class_Mentality_vs._Rich_Mentality_Ethical_Problems_Market_Participation_etc.
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Welcome to Radical Personal Finance, a show dedicated to providing you with the knowledge, 00:00:52.660 |
skills, insight and encouragement you need to live a rich and meaningful life now, while 00:00:56.900 |
building a plan for financial freedom in 10 years or less. 00:01:02.860 |
Going to begin with a quick update on what I see happening with coronavirus and the economy. 00:01:08.100 |
Then I've got one, two, three, four, five, six callers on the line. 00:01:12.580 |
I got a busy day, but thank you for being here. 00:01:14.380 |
If you are new here to the Radical Personal Finance podcast, every Friday when I can arrange 00:01:25.700 |
the details and the logistics of being able to record a live Q&A call-in show, I do that. 00:01:35.860 |
Those who sign up at Patreon.com/radicalpersonalfinance. 00:01:38.860 |
If you would like to gain access to these call-in shows, go to Patreon.com/radicalpersonalfinance. 00:01:43.540 |
It's one of the best ways to do a call-in and be able to talk about anything you want. 00:01:47.860 |
Gives you a chance to ask any question you like. 00:01:51.260 |
We could talk about anything in your particular life. 00:01:55.100 |
Basically, if you want to chat with me, this is one of the best ways to do it. 00:01:59.420 |
So for all you deal hounds out there, this is one of your best ways to do it. 00:02:02.540 |
I want to begin with a brief update on what I see happening with coronavirus and what I see 00:02:08.500 |
Obviously, we live in an interesting and frankly staggering time. 00:02:12.340 |
The headlines over the last few days have been that a third of the world's population is 00:02:18.620 |
And that is certainly really amazing to think about the scope of this thing. 00:02:25.980 |
You've had historic drops in the stock market, some massive increases the last few days. 00:02:31.500 |
You've also had just a massive, as the economic data starts to come out, unemployment in the 00:02:37.660 |
We've got stimulus packages all over the place, all over the world. 00:02:49.220 |
So right now, as I look at the data on coronavirus, it's unclear to me what is 00:02:54.180 |
happening. What I see happening is an increasing geometric curve, but it doesn't seem to be 00:03:04.780 |
I'm hopeful. I have a few points of good news. 00:03:07.260 |
And so I'm more optimistic than I was recently. 00:03:10.340 |
And so I think that's hopefully you are as well. 00:03:12.940 |
That although you see a profusion of cases, although things are very difficult in many 00:03:17.660 |
places in the world, some cities in the United States, it doesn't seem to be as severe as 00:03:25.260 |
Now, what's currently unclear to me is why it doesn't seem to be as severe as 00:03:30.540 |
previously feared. And I want to emphasize that it's not that things are not severe. 00:03:35.420 |
There are very heart wrenching things from all over the world. 00:03:39.100 |
And I expect more of those those things in the days to come. 00:03:41.500 |
If you feel like we're out of the woods, I would caution you. 00:03:51.620 |
And I don't think the data is particularly compelling at the moment as far as for sure 00:03:56.820 |
why. So here's what I see on the viral front going forward. 00:04:00.580 |
And then we'll talk about the economic front. 00:04:02.060 |
I'm more optimistic this week based upon what I see. 00:04:05.500 |
And as I see it, the worst case scenario was to have this massive global pandemic that 00:04:11.420 |
was on track to kill tens of millions or hundreds of millions of people. 00:04:16.020 |
Now, the only absolutely guaranteed solution to that kind of spread is to just simply 00:04:23.180 |
A virus is something that you can understand how it works, even if it's the most 00:04:27.860 |
severe, it's transmitted through aerosol, et cetera. 00:04:31.220 |
If you just simply stay home and if you're not infected and you don't go anywhere, then 00:04:36.500 |
And so that's why the ultimate the only like truly guaranteed effective public policy 00:04:44.980 |
And you see that happening all throughout the world. 00:04:46.740 |
Now, the lockdown, of course, has devastating economic consequences, as we are all 00:04:52.140 |
But the lockdown is the only thing that's guaranteed to work. 00:04:58.980 |
But if you think about kind of what's been the bad scenario, we've assumed that the 00:05:03.460 |
worst case scenario looking back has been a massive, very contagious, very deadly 00:05:12.340 |
And the answer to that is lockdown until or unless some kind of vaccine is developed in 00:05:19.140 |
Now, as we've talked about the jumping off points, as I see it, there are three jumping 00:05:27.100 |
The first jumping off point is the development of some kind of effective therapy, some 00:05:34.580 |
The news over last week has especially been hot and heavy around the hydroxy chloroquine 00:05:44.100 |
I see increasing anecdotal evidence that that is possibly effective. 00:05:48.980 |
And there's doctors all over the world that are trying that. 00:05:50.860 |
And I haven't seen it disproven as a therapy. 00:05:53.420 |
So perhaps there's a really good solution there. 00:05:56.060 |
And that would be awesome because those drugs are inexpensive. 00:06:00.940 |
If they were effective against that, that would be great. 00:06:02.740 |
And I'm sure there are other doctors around the world who are working on other 00:06:05.260 |
therapies. That's been kind of one of the first things to improve things. 00:06:09.420 |
One of the first areas that we could look at to improve things. 00:06:11.820 |
The second area to look at to improve things would be the development of widespread 00:06:16.060 |
testing. If a society can develop and implement widespread testing, then the society 00:06:21.380 |
can just simply quarantine those who are sick. 00:06:25.980 |
Now, the United States is far behind on this with such a huge population. 00:06:31.540 |
But all around the world, testing is ramping up. 00:06:34.180 |
They're kind of improving things, getting things faster and faster and faster. 00:06:37.380 |
Used to be it was going to be days to get a result for a test. 00:06:39.780 |
Now there are tests that are increasingly widely available and we're up to a day. 00:06:43.180 |
So that's good. Once we can get tests down to a few hours and cheap and distributed 00:06:48.740 |
all around the world, then that means that societies can do widespread testing and 00:06:52.700 |
you can just quarantine the sick and those that have had contact with the sick. 00:06:56.380 |
And you see that happening very effectively in some countries in Asia that it seemed 00:07:00.980 |
to have managed the outbreak more effectively. 00:07:07.740 |
The most important progress, in my opinion, is the recent development of an antibody 00:07:13.020 |
test. And if this antibody test proves to be effective and if it can be spread and 00:07:17.820 |
used widely across a population, that I think has the potential of shortening this 00:07:23.300 |
whole event, shortening this whole affair, which would be awesome. 00:07:26.980 |
Because of the antibody, what the antibody test could prove is who has had the 00:07:35.780 |
Well, one obvious reason is if those who've had the disease actually find 00:07:39.740 |
themselves to be immune to the disease, they can go back to work without much fear. 00:07:43.940 |
They can be useful in many situations without the worry of getting infected and 00:07:49.700 |
But more importantly, as I see it, the antibody test could tell us the actual 00:07:54.180 |
prevalence of the disease in a population so that we could better understand the 00:08:00.340 |
The guess and the debate about this particular strain of disease has been how 00:08:06.860 |
Now, the timeline that most of us understand is that it developed in Wuhan. 00:08:15.700 |
Wuhan got really serious in December and then it got bad in January and then it 00:08:20.580 |
And then it spread throughout the world and we've got some cases. 00:08:23.660 |
But along the way, there've been a lot of anecdotal reports of people saying, well, 00:08:27.700 |
I had something, I thought it was just a severe flu, but I had something like that 00:08:32.020 |
back in December or I had something like that back in January. 00:08:34.580 |
And so one of the suspicions is that the disease is actually much more widespread 00:08:39.260 |
than previously thought and that it's just simply less catastrophic with its 00:08:46.740 |
But the only way to know that for certain is to develop and then implement a 00:08:52.220 |
And so that's the development that I'm excited about and looking to see what 00:08:57.260 |
Because if it did prove, if we could prove that there were actually a lot of 00:09:01.300 |
people tested, then, sorry, a lot of people with the disease and just a smaller 00:09:06.460 |
number than previously feared are actually sick all the time, that would be 00:09:10.300 |
fantastic because then that would allow society to open up a little bit. 00:09:14.180 |
So there's the optimistic case, at least that I'm hoping for. 00:09:16.740 |
At the moment, it's unclear to me personally what's actually happening. 00:09:23.060 |
I'm confused by the data that I see, and I'm just simply not competent to assess 00:09:29.140 |
it, and so I'm waiting and watching and letting the epidemiologists do their thing. 00:09:33.620 |
Note of important news is that some of the most dire predictions have been rolled 00:09:39.140 |
back significantly in the last week, and so that's great news. 00:09:41.820 |
Now let's flip this now and talk about the economic impact because here's 00:09:52.460 |
I've spoken to so many listeners and clients who are just going through 00:09:59.860 |
The unemployment claims huge all around the world. 00:10:03.500 |
Businesses just, you know, kind of waiting to see. 00:10:06.820 |
So we're all desperate for a better understanding of what the actual data is 00:10:11.660 |
On the worst case scenario, we've got catastrophe, right? 00:10:17.700 |
But on the best case scenario, I've thought, well, does this all just go back 00:10:21.740 |
Obviously, that's what we would all hope for. 00:10:23.300 |
And it's interesting thing about something like a flu pandemic is that maybe 00:10:26.660 |
maybe the whole thing is exposed a few weeks from now. 00:10:35.300 |
And so can everything just go back to normal? 00:10:37.300 |
That's one of the interesting things about a flu pandemic, because if you had a job 00:10:40.260 |
and there was a functioning business a couple of weeks ago, let's say that a few 00:10:44.180 |
weeks from now we find out that our worst fears were unfounded 00:10:53.660 |
So maybe we should just go ahead and get back to work. 00:10:55.380 |
I think it's possible that could happen to some degree, and that would help to 00:11:04.260 |
You know, 50% unemployment kind of thing, 50% drop in GDP, which is it's hard to 00:11:15.900 |
And that's one of the desperately difficult things about a flu pandemic. 00:11:20.460 |
My life, because of my lifestyle, doesn't look that different today than it did a 00:11:26.260 |
few weeks ago and then it did a few months ago. 00:11:28.460 |
And I wouldn't expect it to look that different a few months from now. 00:11:36.900 |
I've been paying attention to it since January. 00:11:39.660 |
And so a flu pandemic is awful because it's so long. 00:11:43.820 |
It's probably years in terms of before everything is fully understood or fully 00:11:57.540 |
And I think I see that same thing being expressed in so many other people where 00:12:08.980 |
But the problem is that nothing would rapidly go back. 00:12:12.260 |
And so even in a best case scenario, for example, I just was talking with my wife 00:12:18.540 |
about this morning, I said, let's go through the best case scenario. 00:12:20.860 |
Let's assume that we get widespread antibody testing. 00:12:24.900 |
Let's assume that it proves that our worst fears were unfounded. 00:12:31.180 |
Would we go immediately back and just say, let's go to it? 00:12:40.900 |
I would add in some activities again, but I wouldn't just go right back to it. 00:12:45.300 |
I wouldn't just go to public places, start going to public gatherings, start going 00:12:48.940 |
to conventions and things like that, even if it were just the common flu. 00:12:56.020 |
Most people don't go out to places where they know people have the flu. 00:12:59.780 |
Many people are very cautious and careful, as they should be, to protect 00:13:05.260 |
themselves against that. So even if we just said, you know what, the people who 00:13:13.580 |
Well, even still, I would adjust my own life and still maintain safety and be 00:13:23.300 |
And so even if that were the case or even if some kind of vaccine were developed, 00:13:28.100 |
you know, I was talking to my wife about that. 00:13:34.940 |
Now, just because I don't trust things that are rushed to market, I don't trust 00:13:40.580 |
the way that this kind of emergency footing, you get bad data, you get bad 00:13:44.140 |
testing. There's such a press to like get the economy going that I would just, I 00:13:48.980 |
know that I'm safe if I stay home and I minimize my contact. 00:13:52.060 |
And so I would continue that for a period of time. 00:13:54.460 |
Now, I don't think that most people are like me. 00:13:57.020 |
I think most people would just say, let's get back to it. 00:13:58.780 |
But I think there's enough people like me that would keep things constrained that 00:14:03.060 |
I still expect, even in the best flu case now, I still expect significant economic 00:14:08.580 |
recession, possibly depression just simply due to the change in behavior. 00:14:14.140 |
So I say that to say I'm cautiously optimistic today about the virus. 00:14:20.860 |
I still don't think that there's a reason to think that we're all just going to 00:14:24.620 |
get back to normal in a few weeks, even in the best case scenarios. 00:14:26.980 |
And I still think that some of the really difficult scenarios are possible. 00:14:32.940 |
I don't know what any of us can do except wait and see, do the best we can in our 00:14:36.460 |
personal finances, do the best we can to care for our families and kind of watch 00:14:42.380 |
I think the last week was really important and the next couple of weeks will be 00:14:45.940 |
really important because if the worst case scenarios don't very quickly start to 00:14:51.380 |
be seen, then I think we can look and say that, you know what, it wasn't as bad as 00:15:00.660 |
Anytime you make big warnings about people, people generally don't want to 00:15:05.540 |
There's a big political argument about we're overreacting and this was crazy, 00:15:09.460 |
I see it as I see overreaction in the early stage of a flu outbreak is the only 00:15:15.580 |
It's the only rational response until you get more data. 00:15:18.500 |
And unfortunately, though, that doesn't work well in today's soundbite world. 00:15:21.740 |
And so I'm hoping for the best, but still kind of watching day by day and see what 00:15:29.580 |
Last week on the Q&A show, I talked significantly about the need for, or I 00:15:34.860 |
talked about the value of being concerned about financial stability in the banks, 00:15:39.500 |
I encouraged you to withdraw an appropriate amount of physical currency from the 00:15:47.460 |
I have not seen any evidence this last week of any widespread panic, which I'm 00:15:52.820 |
I have continued to get reports from listeners that they have a hard time 00:15:58.260 |
I think if you've never tried to do business in cash, you have no concept of 00:16:02.140 |
If you've never tried to do a wire transfer, you have no concept of how the 00:16:04.980 |
bank treats you like a crook until you have to prove to them 10 ways otherwise. 00:16:10.900 |
And so I'm still concerned about that, but thankfully I've seen no major risk 00:16:18.420 |
factors emerge over the next week, and I'm hoping that we don't get any more risk 00:16:24.980 |
But I still am concerned about the potential of those risk factors. 00:16:29.460 |
On Monday morning, the FDIC released a video saying you don't need to get money 00:16:36.300 |
That tells me that a lot of people are concerned and taking money out of the 00:16:40.100 |
And so the key thing I would just encourage you to remember is that the 00:16:44.900 |
hardest thing about a flu pandemic is you're going to get tired of it. 00:16:52.260 |
But this kind of disaster is very slow moving. 00:17:00.740 |
So I would not rush down to the bank and deposit all my money and say, "Hey, 00:17:07.060 |
I'm still concerned about longer term events. 00:17:10.380 |
On Monday night, I did a special presentation with students of my How to 00:17:13.980 |
Survive and Thrive During the Coming Economic Crisis course, and we talked 00:17:17.020 |
about protecting your money from worst case scenarios like hyperinflation. 00:17:20.940 |
I don't predict hyperinflation in the United States. 00:17:24.620 |
dollar, as evidenced by the data, is the strongest currency in the world. 00:17:28.620 |
But I'm watching the numbers every single day, watching very carefully. 00:17:33.660 |
We are in historic times, and the actual impact of those events is not apparent. 00:17:41.260 |
But I've taken steps to protect my savings from those events. 00:17:44.820 |
So that's my summary statement of where we stand as of Friday, March 27, 2020. 00:17:50.700 |
And now let's go to the phones and answer some questions. 00:18:04.100 |
I have a reflection that I would like to share, not necessarily a question, and I 00:18:10.660 |
obviously would be very interested in your response. 00:18:13.660 |
But before I tell you about the reflection and my observations, I just want to caveat 00:18:21.140 |
it by saying that I work in drug development business, and I do understand where to read 00:18:28.340 |
the right information and what's bullshit and what's not. 00:18:39.260 |
I haven't listened to all of your releases recently. 00:18:42.740 |
And this has to do with my first observation of information fatigue. 00:18:47.420 |
I realized that at some point there's so much information coming in, even for a person 00:18:52.780 |
like me who can sort through the information, get the right one. 00:18:58.460 |
And I observed that when I stopped, really, I just took basic care of my family, of 00:19:06.620 |
myself. I decided what I need to do every day and how I need to live every day. 00:19:20.380 |
So the second thing that I noticed is that I noticed that there is a huge, there is 00:19:30.100 |
So there is so much fear about what the virus would do to us and the economics and 00:19:35.260 |
everything. And I think that there is a huge value in morale. 00:19:40.380 |
And that is like we are trying to pay enormous price for something we don't know the 00:19:48.020 |
price of, which is the virus and pandemic, by sacrificing something that also has huge 00:19:55.540 |
value. And so I decided that morale of myself and my family is very important. 00:20:04.700 |
And then by also helping people around, offering them to bring them groceries to their 00:20:10.580 |
porches and all other things, sharing what I have. 00:20:13.660 |
The other day I was in the store and I was getting some of the food and the cashier asked 00:20:20.820 |
me if I could, if it's OK, if instead of six cans, I only take three cans of something. 00:20:27.500 |
And I said, oh, of course, do you want all of them? 00:20:30.780 |
And she was so surprised because everyone else was fighting for their cans. 00:20:35.620 |
And I said, no, no, no. If you really need those cans, you can keep them. 00:20:38.460 |
And she just, she almost cried and said, thank you very much. 00:20:46.020 |
This is. And so it takes me to the next point is that this is probably the biggest event 00:20:54.140 |
that I experienced since the collapse of Soviet Union, which I personally experienced 00:20:58.380 |
for myself. And I know and when I was a child during the collapse of Soviet Union, so I 00:21:05.580 |
had a little bit different impression of that. 00:21:07.500 |
But I remember very well my grandparents and my parents, what it did to them. 00:21:12.580 |
And right now, as an adult, I was surprised that I have no fear that, you know, that the 00:21:26.620 |
So the only way I can keep my kind of my sanity, my dignity, my morale, my sorry, my 00:21:36.620 |
voice breaks up, but is by is by giving back. 00:21:42.220 |
So if I'm hearing the tests are missing, right, I try to contact all my friends, doctors 00:21:48.340 |
and ask what's missing, why tests are not there. 00:21:53.340 |
Is it because there are not enough PCR machines? 00:21:56.900 |
There are so many researchers who can donate. 00:21:58.900 |
I contacted a local health health authorities. 00:22:02.940 |
I know they're doing contact tracing of patients. 00:22:05.540 |
And I said, I have experience experience in medical industry. 00:22:15.140 |
And I I'm just telling you what I'm observing. 00:22:17.580 |
I'm observing that I'm not worried about the future because I feel like it's it gives me 00:22:27.500 |
Like my brain goes to the place where we should solve it, not hide, not. 00:22:33.500 |
And I think that people are generally very good people and I'm OK to die if it's 00:22:47.340 |
I just want to say that it's like imagine wars that our grandparents took part in. 00:23:00.580 |
And you ask them how is it possible that they're not afraid? 00:23:05.940 |
But I think something kicks in in our system that's bigger than us. 00:23:12.500 |
And this pandemic is such a silly thing compared, let's say, to World War Two or one 00:23:17.540 |
when people were actually dying and infrastructure was destroyed and so forth. 00:23:24.580 |
We're children are at least safe, more or less. 00:23:36.580 |
That giving back and participating and fixing it actually can give you so much, so 00:23:42.580 |
much strength and optimism because you feel like your life is full of meaning and 00:23:51.540 |
Amen. Yeah, I think that that's definitely if you study any tragedy, any disaster, it's 00:23:58.060 |
a time when so many people can step forward and shine and you appreciate people and 00:24:02.900 |
you appreciate things in a way that you often don't. 00:24:05.820 |
It's neat to see in all over the United States. 00:24:08.020 |
It's neat to see in a with a shortage of PPE, protective equipment. 00:24:14.500 |
It's it's neat to see people stepping up and getting out sewing machines and doing 00:24:19.100 |
those things. I used to talk to my grandparents some about World War Two and try to 00:24:24.340 |
understand what life was like in World War Two, because I would I would study. 00:24:31.740 |
You read about, you know, people planning victory gardens and making up collections 00:24:37.220 |
You couldn't get tires for your cars and all this stuff and factories being 00:24:40.780 |
repurposed. And as I grew up, it was just a sense of unified common purpose that I 00:24:49.220 |
It was just a sense that I could not imagine. 00:24:54.940 |
And I have often wondered, could that ever come back? 00:24:59.100 |
You know, you look at the United States and so many countries around the world, you 00:25:01.740 |
look at the United States and it just seems so entirely fractured. 00:25:09.540 |
But in your local community, when you recognize that your neighbors are on the left 00:25:13.700 |
and the right of you and you go down to your local hospital or you look in the local 00:25:18.220 |
community, then you can still have that sense of let's work together and let's beat 00:25:22.860 |
this thing. And it's exciting to see that experience. 00:25:25.420 |
I know many people reflect on events like 9/11 and they appreciate that sense of 00:25:29.100 |
camaraderie, that sense of unity that was hard to find in previous times. 00:25:39.540 |
And to your overall point about ignoring the information and not watching the news, 00:25:46.460 |
it was fascinating. The World Health Organization came out with an official advisory 00:25:50.380 |
last couple of days. Don't watch the news or you'll feel it'll be something like 00:25:54.860 |
that. Don't watch the news. It'll depress you. 00:25:58.420 |
I try to pay attention to it because I feel like a responsibility to filter it and 00:26:04.780 |
to share with others. But at the end of the day, the only reason you really need 00:26:10.660 |
And so you need enough information to affect your behavior and then go from there. 00:26:14.500 |
And in a time like this, you don't need all that much. 00:26:18.060 |
And there is a real beauty to day to day life. 00:26:20.300 |
There is a beauty to playing with your children. 00:26:25.500 |
And I see a lot of people enjoying those things. 00:26:28.060 |
And so may we all do that and engage with that more and more. 00:26:34.580 |
Did you have a question or any other comments before I go on to the next caller, Anne? 00:26:38.100 |
No, just thought I'll share it and maybe someone out there who is listening or 00:26:48.300 |
And I hope that they know that there are many people like us. 00:26:55.220 |
And I've thought I've hoped that I did an okay job talking about, 00:27:00.140 |
you know, talking about things without getting too, you know, too 00:27:05.620 |
depressed. I felt bad last week going away from the show, but I do feel like 00:27:10.420 |
there's a sense of realism that is important. 00:27:12.380 |
But in the midst of realism, it's important to maintain an optimistic attitude. 00:27:17.260 |
And I'll do my best in the future to do that, to be realistic, 00:27:21.420 |
but also optimistic at the same time. We go now to Indiana. Welcome to the show. 00:27:26.100 |
Hi, Joshua. Thanks for taking my call quickly. Anne, thank you for that call. 00:27:31.860 |
I appreciate it. If no one but me and Joshua, at least there's two of us. 00:27:34.820 |
But Joshua, my question was about, I called in last week and 00:27:39.820 |
was kind of on the wrong topic. It was COVID day. 00:27:42.820 |
But I feel like I have what for lack of a better term, 00:27:46.260 |
I would call a working class mentality. Grew up with, you know, 00:27:49.420 |
most of my family and relatives have been hourly workers of one sort 00:27:56.180 |
not a lot of professionals, doctors, lawyers, et cetera. 00:27:59.340 |
And I feel like there is something that I am maybe missing in that, 00:28:07.140 |
having a mentality where I've been more exposed to that. 00:28:11.660 |
So just curious of your thoughts on that and how to, how to change that. 00:28:17.460 |
Yeah. So I thought about this last week and I thank you for calling back. 00:28:20.660 |
It is nice to get away from COVID and talk about something else. 00:28:23.460 |
So first I don't have a perfect answer because this is a change that I've, 00:28:29.660 |
I've had to make myself. And I'll tell you just a short story. 00:28:33.860 |
When I was a financial advisor, I, I started when I was 23 years old. 00:28:38.980 |
I didn't come from a wealthy family. We were middle-class. 00:28:42.660 |
We were culturally upper middle-class, but financially middle-class. 00:28:47.660 |
We had a one income family. My dad was an engineer, but he didn't, 00:28:50.940 |
he didn't work. He didn't make tons and tons of money. 00:28:53.180 |
And we always had our needs met, but we didn't live the high lifestyle that we 00:28:58.260 |
didn't live a high consumption lifestyle. We, we had, we weren't poor. 00:29:02.460 |
We didn't have cars that were breaking down all the time. 00:29:05.980 |
I didn't ever worry about getting evicted out of an apartment like so many 00:29:09.060 |
people do. My, my, my, my dad had a lot of flexibility. You know, 00:29:13.780 |
he worked from home before that was even popular. 00:29:19.260 |
But we, I didn't grow up in, in kind of the glitterati. I didn't grow up. 00:29:23.740 |
We didn't have a boat. We didn't go out on the weekends on the boat. I did. 00:29:26.340 |
We didn't go to the country club. You know, our vacations were, 00:29:29.820 |
were rather modest. We didn't go out to eat a lot. And so I came from, from, 00:29:38.820 |
And I never really thought much about it until I became a financial advisor. 00:29:42.820 |
And when I was a financial advisor, I worked hard, 00:29:44.940 |
but what I focused on was I focused on technical expertise. 00:29:47.980 |
I studied hard to, to know how to give people good answers on, 00:29:52.100 |
on tax planning or on financial planning. That was where my skillset was. 00:29:55.460 |
Then along the way somebody else joined my firm and this young man who joined 00:30:01.020 |
the firm, he joined right out of college and it was his first, 00:30:08.420 |
He had never worked all throughout college, all throughout high school. 00:30:12.940 |
I had worked jobs, all kinds of jobs all throughout college and high school. 00:30:16.620 |
He'd never had a job. His dad was a very wealthy attorney, 00:30:21.620 |
extremely highly paid, I think a litigator, but I'm not sure, 00:30:24.900 |
but extremely highly paid from the upper Northeast, kind of from that, that, 00:30:31.060 |
and I can't remember if it was New York or Boston and I don't remember exactly, 00:30:34.380 |
but it was from that culture. They had a place in Florida. He had a big, 00:30:38.380 |
a huge fishing boat, you know, a $300,000 fishing boat. 00:30:42.740 |
And here was this young man who was 21 years old and or 22 years old gets this 00:30:51.140 |
he drives a BMW that his dad had given to him. He's got the boat, 00:30:55.300 |
he's out on the boat every weekend, which in South Florida is of course a big, 00:30:59.620 |
a big thing. And as I watched him, I was fascinated because from a, from a, 00:31:04.420 |
from a, from a technical perspective, he was as a financial planner, 00:31:09.500 |
in the beginning he was technically incompetent. 00:31:11.860 |
Now he was a smart man, but he was technically incompetent. 00:31:14.660 |
He didn't know what he was talking about. He didn't have an idea of the law. 00:31:18.700 |
He didn't have an idea of things. And I would do, I would go on, 00:31:21.260 |
I would go on appointments with him and you know, he, he, 00:31:25.740 |
he didn't know what a Roth IRA was. And yet here he is, 00:31:33.580 |
He couldn't even explain the basics to people. And so I thought, 00:31:37.300 |
there's no way this guy makes it, you know, there's no way that he, 00:31:40.220 |
that he makes it in this business. Well, fast forward, 00:31:44.460 |
but he was one of the biggest producers that I ever knew. 00:31:48.820 |
And to this day, he's still in the, the, the business. 00:31:56.140 |
He's sold millions and millions of dollars of premium of life insurance. 00:32:04.020 |
Now he studied over time. I left that business. 00:32:07.340 |
I haven't kept contact with him. I've watched him from afar. 00:32:09.860 |
He studied a little bit over time and I bet he's a little bit more technically 00:32:13.060 |
But the thing that I observed is that he had something that I never had. 00:32:16.780 |
He had a comfort in he came from a different class of 00:32:21.980 |
different financial class. And he looked at the world a different way. 00:32:24.940 |
And he had a comfort of, of talking about money that I didn't have. 00:32:29.780 |
I remember the first time I, I was showing a life insurance policy to a guy 00:32:34.820 |
with a hundred thousand dollars of annual premium. And I did this thing and I was 00:32:38.500 |
inside, I'm shaking in my boots because I couldn't imagine somebody, you know, 00:32:42.900 |
paying a hundred thousand dollars a year for their life insurance policy. 00:32:45.740 |
And this guy that I, that I showed it to was an entirely appropriate 00:32:50.940 |
it was something that certainly could work out really well. 00:32:53.940 |
As far as it was a good fit for him. It was, it was ideal in, in so many ways, 00:32:58.740 |
but I was scared in my boots because I couldn't imagine somebody paying a 00:33:01.940 |
hundred thousand dollars a year for life insurance. But this guy, you know, my, 00:33:04.700 |
my, my client, I think he made five or $6 million a year. And it was, 00:33:08.180 |
it was an entirely reasonable thing given the financial plan that we had. 00:33:16.660 |
And so he didn't know anything about life insurance. I was bothered by, 00:33:20.420 |
I was totally bothered by all the technical things. 00:33:25.380 |
and all the arguments about, well, this is superior and that's superior. 00:33:29.740 |
but he flowed in that world in a way that I didn't have a clue how to flow. 00:33:34.220 |
And he sold so much insurance left, right, and center. 00:33:37.660 |
He had all his, his, his parents' contacts and, 00:33:39.940 |
and he was a huge producer and is still today a huge producer, 00:33:43.580 |
even though his technical knowledge is, I hope this doesn't sound arrogant, 00:33:47.820 |
but probably, you know, a 10th of mine. And I've, I've, 00:33:50.500 |
I've pondered that over the years and I thought, what, why? 00:33:57.180 |
Why is it that some people have this, this experience and this, 00:34:01.500 |
this mindset and why is it so hard for some of the rest of us to learn? 00:34:06.420 |
And you, and when you, when you go and you start studying the, 00:34:09.140 |
the mindset of money I have observed that there are those who, 00:34:13.220 |
who have a hard time adapting to the mindset of money. 00:34:18.820 |
And you can't deny the impact of your upbringing on yourself. 00:34:23.300 |
You can't deny the fact that the circumstances that you were raised in make it 00:34:28.300 |
give you a different perspective. Now I still, you know, 00:34:32.780 |
there are a lot of people who are raised in very wealthy families that are 00:34:35.660 |
wonderful human beings. There are a lot of parents, though they be wealthy, 00:34:39.460 |
who, who have, have succeeded in raising wonderful humans. 00:34:43.940 |
And I love, you love being around those people. 00:34:46.900 |
There are people who are warm that are generous, that are kind, et cetera. 00:34:49.740 |
And then of course, as with anything, there are people who are not. 00:34:52.020 |
So I don't think that money has to be the key in terms of that. 00:34:57.420 |
You can't raise a great kid. If you're, if you're rich, you obviously can. 00:35:00.340 |
And then I think that often people are overly critical just simply through the 00:35:03.460 |
jealousy of the wealthy. But I do also often appreciate the, 00:35:08.460 |
the appreciate those who have started with humble beginnings and who've become 00:35:14.580 |
very wealthy because they often have a kind of a different sense. 00:35:19.980 |
They appreciate it, but they also have had to learn new things. 00:35:25.820 |
I've learned some of those things for myself. And so here's, 00:35:30.540 |
I don't know exactly the answer cause I'm still learning it. 00:35:39.100 |
I've realized how hard it is for me to imagine just simple things like money 00:35:45.100 |
You can earn money in a hard way and you can earn money in an easy way. 00:35:49.580 |
And depending on your history and your background, 00:35:53.940 |
And yet there are lots of people who earn money very easily. 00:35:59.620 |
One of the things that I've taken to doing it for myself and for others is I've 00:36:03.580 |
realized that one of the most valuable things that I can do is to help somebody 00:36:07.580 |
extend their vision. Now I'm growing increasingly confident of this, 00:36:13.740 |
I have to have friends and coaches and people who come alongside me who say, 00:36:18.420 |
Joshua, you're thinking small. Why are you thinking so small? Why? 00:36:23.180 |
Because in a lot of times we have these, I hate the term, I hate the term, 00:36:27.540 |
but it is true. We have these limiting beliefs, these ideas, 00:36:37.180 |
And I think the important thing is to look at that and study and say, 00:36:41.100 |
you know what? There's no reason why this has to be that way. You know, 00:36:44.740 |
I don't have to believe this limited idea. And that's where, 00:36:49.220 |
I don't know how to teach it because I'm still learning it. 00:36:54.860 |
But I'll tell you some things that have been helpful for me, 00:36:59.420 |
is I've always found it helpful to learn from the experiences of others. 00:37:03.540 |
Now when I was growing up, I did that through reading, 00:37:06.580 |
and I think you could still do it through reading. 00:37:08.180 |
But one of the major improvements in our modern world is the ability for one 00:37:12.980 |
person on one side of the world to access someone on the other side of the world. 00:37:15.980 |
And you can find people that have a very different experience and look at the 00:37:19.380 |
world differently. You can listen to them and you can kind of learn from their 00:37:23.180 |
idea and from their mentality. And so I find that to be useful. 00:37:26.420 |
Number two is by association. One of the big, most valuable things, 00:37:30.620 |
it's just somebody to associate with people who have a different understanding 00:37:36.700 |
I used to have a group of friends who were financial advisors and we would talk 00:37:39.900 |
about the fact that we could really only hang out with each other. 00:37:43.500 |
We could really only vacation with each other because we had a different 00:37:56.060 |
And because we had a high income and because we 00:38:03.940 |
conversations would go something like this. It's like, "Hey, 00:38:08.340 |
do you want to go hunting next week?" Or, "Let's take a trip. 00:38:11.900 |
Do you want to go fishing next week?" Or whatever it is. 00:38:13.580 |
Or, "Would you like to go out tomorrow?" It's like, "Hey, 00:38:16.100 |
it's a Tuesday and would you like to go fishing with me tomorrow?" "Sure. 00:38:19.340 |
I'll just cancel all my appointments." Right? 00:38:20.900 |
And you cancel all your appointments, move them around and renegotiate. 00:38:23.220 |
Half the time you don't even have to do that. You just say, 00:38:25.580 |
you call your staff and you say, "Please cancel all my appointments." It's 00:38:30.180 |
simple. And we would talk about how blessed we were to have that. 00:38:33.900 |
But the fact that it was hard to associate with people who didn't because most 00:38:38.500 |
people wouldn't look at the next week and say, "Oh, you know what? 00:38:42.780 |
Let's go to the Bahamas and fish for a few days. I'll go. Absolutely. 00:38:45.340 |
I don't even need to check my schedule. I don't need to check. 00:38:46.740 |
I can renegotiate everything." And there was a difference. 00:38:49.540 |
That was a different lifestyle than a lot of people experienced. 00:38:52.580 |
But being around those kinds of people starts to change you. 00:38:57.420 |
And so it's one of those things where you're affected by it because you're part 00:39:00.740 |
but you're also become more and more part of it because you're affected by it. 00:39:03.820 |
So choosing carefully the kind of people that you associate with. 00:39:08.820 |
you associate with people who are financially productive, 00:39:11.060 |
they look at the world in a different way. And this is where I'm very 00:39:16.820 |
sympathetic to people who are just getting started because I know so clearly 00:39:20.260 |
what that's like. And I want to be the kind of person who gets excited with 00:39:23.620 |
somebody all along the way. But many business owners just look at the world in a 00:39:28.460 |
way that, for example, with you, hourly employees can't even imagine. 00:39:31.860 |
A business owner looks at the world and says, "If I do this, 00:39:35.340 |
I can make another half a million dollars next year." And that's doable. 00:39:38.300 |
But an hourly employee says, "I've got to make a raise by 5% and that's going to 00:39:42.820 |
be my ticket to freedom." So association is really, 00:39:47.020 |
really important. And then I think you can really very clearly, 00:39:52.500 |
You can change what you create in the world based upon what you see. 00:39:57.820 |
And that's where I've worked hard over the years to change kind of what I see 00:40:03.460 |
over the world. And sometimes you have to identify beliefs. 00:40:07.020 |
One of the biggest things for me in not being able to create kind of a really 00:40:12.780 |
big future has always been the question of risk. 00:40:15.940 |
You know, risk. I don't want to risk something. And for me, 00:40:19.700 |
it often comes down to just seeing and having worked with people who are in 00:40:23.300 |
difficult circumstances, seeing how impactful risk can be in lives, right? 00:40:27.180 |
When somebody goes bankrupt, it can destroy a family. 00:40:29.340 |
And since I consider family to be sacrosanct, 00:40:32.660 |
I consider marriage and my children to be one of my highest priorities in life, 00:40:37.300 |
I wouldn't want to risk something for my children based upon that. 00:40:40.620 |
And so I've often been much more conservative. Meanwhile, 00:40:43.220 |
there's people out there that just don't even consider risk. 00:40:45.420 |
I think the right solution is somewhere in the middle, right? 00:40:49.460 |
But what I've done is I've imagined different scenarios. 00:40:53.260 |
And then I think about how do I protect the downside? 00:40:56.620 |
So why do I teach so much about asset protection planning? 00:40:59.340 |
Because if you understand asset protection planning, 00:41:01.220 |
you understand that if your business fails or you go bankrupt, 00:41:04.580 |
you don't have to be destitute. There's no reason for it. 00:41:07.180 |
And that's something that most people don't grasp is that you can use the 00:41:12.020 |
laws to your effect. And so I found just by reading, 00:41:16.100 |
by association, by intentionally feeding my head different 00:41:24.700 |
One of the hardest things for me to let go has just simply been not being cheap 00:41:29.460 |
in everything. And I think this is a common experience that many people face. 00:41:34.540 |
But that you have to learn at some point not to be cheap. 00:41:42.500 |
If you are earning $7.50 an hour, you can't, I don't believe, 00:41:47.100 |
maybe I'm wrong, right? But I don't believe you can just say, well, 00:41:49.380 |
I'm just not going to be cheap. I'm going to be spendy. 00:41:52.500 |
And I'm going to create the reality. Well, I've never seen that work. 00:41:56.540 |
Somebody goes out and gets a credit card and starts buying a bunch of stuff. 00:42:01.900 |
I was talking with a young man recently about a cell phone. 00:42:04.060 |
He was like, my goal is to have a fancy cell phone. 00:42:06.020 |
And I said, well, you know, I appreciate that. 00:42:10.100 |
And I tossed him my thousand dollar cell phone. 00:42:12.340 |
And I said, here's a thousand dollar cell phone. 00:42:14.140 |
I said, when I bought this, it was expensive and it was fancy. 00:42:17.020 |
But let me tell you that that kind of just consumption is not the key to 00:42:25.340 |
you think right now that having this fancy phone is going to fulfill you. 00:42:29.420 |
It's not. I said that if you keep with that mindset, 00:42:33.420 |
it just continues to, I got to have one more thing that's going to fulfill me. 00:42:36.060 |
And then I talked with him about some of the things that I have found to be 00:42:39.020 |
helpful. And I said, you can have a thousand dollar phone, 00:42:41.180 |
but the biggest mistake that a 17 year old makes is going out and spending a 00:42:46.580 |
You should know your business should own every single phone you ever use. 00:42:49.820 |
Every single computer should always be bought by your business. 00:42:52.780 |
Like you're a fool if you're paying for that stuff out of your personal checking 00:42:58.020 |
you need to look at the world a little bit differently and back to kind of being 00:43:03.300 |
You realize at some point that you've got to change what you're doing. 00:43:06.900 |
And if you're not in change is uncomfortable. 00:43:08.620 |
So if you can't look back at the last year and say, you know what, 00:43:13.260 |
I've got to level up to this other belief or this other practice. You know, 00:43:16.820 |
for me, I made a commitment a few years ago. I was like, I'm not, 00:43:19.540 |
I'm not staying in cheap hotels anymore. I'm not going to do it. 00:43:21.900 |
Because it's so destructive to my productivity that even though it's the 00:43:27.540 |
greatest deal in the world, I'm not going to do it. 00:43:29.740 |
And I think you get there more and more in your life where as you start to earn 00:43:33.220 |
more and you intentionally adjust that and you intentionally, you know, 00:43:37.620 |
change where you are, you better be throwing away the things that didn't serve 00:43:41.180 |
you. I was talking with a client of mine last week and we were talking about, 00:43:44.660 |
you know, things like mowing your lawn. And it's like, you know, 00:43:48.340 |
on the one hand I have children. I want my children to see me mowing my lawn. 00:43:54.780 |
I don't want them to be detached from the things of life, 00:43:57.500 |
but I'm not going to risk my life and my brain. 00:43:59.860 |
And this client I was speaking with, he's a surgeon. He's like, 00:44:02.460 |
I cannot risk my livelihood that makes me a huge amount of money by going in and 00:44:07.740 |
mowing a lawn. Same thing as like with going skiing, right? 00:44:11.940 |
It's like, I'm not going to risk going on a ski vacation. I have to have, you know, 00:44:16.340 |
these hands and these feet and this body makes me millions and millions of 00:44:25.980 |
And what I've found over the years is I've found one of the most helpful things 00:44:29.420 |
for me was some of Dan Sullivan's coaching on just simply time. 00:44:34.780 |
one of the things that I have found is that there's no real connection to the 00:44:38.460 |
amount of work that I put in versus the amount of output that I get out. 00:44:42.300 |
Years ago, I, and so I've learned to prioritize play. 00:44:46.300 |
I've learned to prioritize relaxation because that keeps my creativity flowing 00:44:50.740 |
so that I can help more people more effectively. 00:44:53.460 |
The way I learned this was years ago with a podcast episode. 00:44:56.340 |
I was sitting and I was just wrestling and wrestling and wrestling with 00:45:01.660 |
I was trying to sit at my desk and just work, work, work, work, work, work, work, 00:45:04.180 |
because that's the, that's kind of the working man's mentality. 00:45:06.580 |
I'm going to sit at my desk and I'm going to work, work, work, work, work. 00:45:08.380 |
And I couldn't, I couldn't even create the outline. 00:45:11.540 |
I turned the microphone on and nothing worked, nothing worked. 00:45:14.100 |
And finally I said, that's it. And I just quit. I said, I'm done. 00:45:16.740 |
I don't, I'm not going to do a show today. I'm done. 00:45:18.580 |
And I went for a walk with my children around the neighborhood. 00:45:20.580 |
And while I was on the walk in about five minutes, 00:45:23.220 |
I instantly, I instantly, while I was playing with my kids, 00:45:28.420 |
I instantly had a blinding, like clarity around the topic, 00:45:32.940 |
instantly in my head, the entire thing organized itself. I came back home. 00:45:38.100 |
I spent three minutes writing down what was in my head. 00:45:41.660 |
And then the next morning when I went back to my desk, 00:45:43.940 |
I turned on the microphone and I recorded the show and it was a great show. 00:45:47.340 |
And I learned that I cannot force things to happen. 00:45:51.340 |
And so I've learned to play, to relax. And even with regard to money, 00:45:59.500 |
I think the most effective way to change it is to set goals 00:46:04.980 |
and to set big goals. I've taken again and again and again to advising people. 00:46:09.660 |
It's like, why do you not have a 10 X goal for your income? 00:46:12.580 |
And this is where if you come from a working class, I hate that term. 00:46:16.420 |
Everybody works, but I, you know, the pot, poorer class, 00:46:19.740 |
an hourly wage kind of thing. Many people's goals is, 00:46:29.580 |
But your goal needs to be to 10 X your income because that forces you to think 00:46:36.180 |
the question is how can you make $200 an hour? 00:46:40.620 |
You can't do it by doing it just a little bit more. 00:46:42.660 |
You have to do it by completely going in a different direction. 00:46:46.420 |
And that was one of the things that in my own life that's been helpful is I can't, 00:46:56.860 |
I can't force a change of mind or change of beliefs if I'm lying to myself, 00:47:02.180 |
I have to learn something where I actually believe it. I can't, 00:47:06.100 |
But what I can do is I can set goals that are aggressive, that are large. 00:47:10.900 |
And then those goals in time, when you set them and you think about them, 00:47:14.380 |
and you work on them, even if you don't know how to achieve them, 00:47:16.860 |
they generally will pull you forward into the future because you'll start to 00:47:20.620 |
adjust things. You'll start to take different opportunities. 00:47:23.300 |
You'll start to move in a different direction in a way that you wouldn't have 00:47:26.940 |
previously. And so if you're trying to figure out how do I change my money 00:47:31.940 |
consciousness? How do I change these limiting beliefs? 00:47:34.900 |
Reading, associating with different people, directing your mindset, analyzing, 00:47:42.060 |
But I think the simplest place to start is just by simply setting goals, 00:47:45.380 |
goals that scare you. And so don't set a goal of making 10% more, 00:47:49.660 |
set a goal of making a thousand percent more and recognize that I don't have any 00:47:56.860 |
my brain will direct me towards the opportunities that are here. 00:48:00.260 |
And so set the goal, think about it, think about what it would mean, 00:48:05.660 |
And in time that path will start to open up. That's the best I got for you. 00:48:15.500 |
I read the goals book that was the first on your reading list and that was very 00:48:20.580 |
helpful in thinking that way. So thank you for that recommendation. Um, 00:48:24.300 |
I guess if you have time for one short followup, 00:48:27.060 |
I think one of my biggest hangups is I'm sensitive to the criticism. 00:48:32.220 |
I feel I can just imagine a lot of my relatives listening to what you just said 00:48:36.900 |
and saying, well, yeah, that's fine for those old fat cats. And you know, 00:48:39.740 |
those wealthy guys that take somebody that changed the tires and somebody who's 00:48:43.340 |
got to grow the food and we're never going to make that kind of money. 00:48:49.140 |
have you experienced that sort of, I just, cause you know, 00:48:53.020 |
if I go home and I talk to my parents about my goals and they respond that way, 00:48:59.420 |
You have any experience with that sort of thing? 00:49:02.260 |
I think the first thing is I would never talk about my goals with people who are 00:49:04.900 |
going to make fun of them. Um, there are people, and especially like, 00:49:09.140 |
you don't get to choose the family that you're part of. Um, 00:49:12.780 |
but I don't talk about my goals that I have with people who are going to make 00:49:15.940 |
fun of them. Right. I, I, just a simple thing, right? Right. Like I, 00:49:19.860 |
I like to, I sometimes enjoy studying languages and I have an ambition to be a 00:49:26.900 |
If I go to a group of polyglots and I tell them my ambition, they tell me, 00:49:30.620 |
this is great, man. That's easy. Yeah. Last year I learned German. Um, you know, 00:49:34.020 |
right now this quarter I'm working on, uh, on Russian and then I'm going to pick 00:49:38.060 |
up Mandarin, uh, Chinese in the fourth quarter. 00:49:40.220 |
And so you just get this totally different idea versus where you go to the 00:49:43.660 |
average person and say, you know, I'd like to learn six languages. 00:49:46.380 |
I've got a list of eight. My personal, the languages I want are eight. Uh, 00:49:49.540 |
those, that's what I'm, I'm, I'm working on. And so you go to a polyglot and I'm 00:49:52.860 |
like, yeah, man, that's great. It might take you four or five years, 00:49:54.740 |
but you'll get there. Um, then you're going to, it's going to be great. 00:49:56.660 |
But you tell most people I want to learn eight languages and they laugh at you. 00:49:59.540 |
So that's a non-financial thing. And, but it's, it's really serious. Now with 00:50:03.900 |
money, same thing is that if you have an ambition to make a million dollars a 00:50:07.420 |
year, don't tell that to somebody who's making $30,000 a year. Um, 00:50:13.100 |
half a million dollars a year or a million dollars a year or a few million 00:50:15.780 |
dollars a year, and you say, I have an ambition to make a million dollars a 00:50:18.060 |
year. Say, absolutely. So tell your goals to people who are going to encourage 00:50:21.020 |
you. Same thing with like being fat, right? Um, 00:50:23.380 |
if you go to a personal trainer and you're really fat and you say, 00:50:26.500 |
I don't want to be fat anymore, they're going to say, you can do it. 00:50:29.140 |
Absolutely. Because they've worked with people and help people not be fat 00:50:31.780 |
anymore. Whereas if you go to a fat person, they're going to tear you down. 00:50:35.340 |
And so don't tell your goals to people who are going to make fun of them. 00:50:37.940 |
You've got to protect that until you've developed the personal confidence to 00:50:41.860 |
just look them in the face and say, okay, you don't have to believe it. 00:50:46.580 |
I would say also you've got to work through some of the ethical issues. 00:50:50.100 |
And this is where people, many people have a real flawed ideology, 00:50:56.220 |
if you see money as something that you get based upon exploitation, 00:51:04.020 |
you'll never feel comfortable with earning a lot of money or with having a lot 00:51:07.980 |
of money. And so that's one of the most destructive things that when somebody 00:51:11.980 |
has this idea that billionaires should not exist, uh, 00:51:17.900 |
they're totally destructive to themselves and to society in general. Um, 00:51:22.180 |
whereas my ideology, my philosophy is very simple. 00:51:25.900 |
Money comes through service. And so if I can serve more people, 00:51:33.860 |
And so for me that's entirely congruent with my ideology. Um, now that of course, 00:51:38.620 |
comes out of Christian theology. The scripture is crystal clear as far as, um, 00:51:45.300 |
But I've known a lot of people who believe that the more money you have, 00:51:48.180 |
the more people you've exploited. Now, I think simultaneously, 00:51:50.740 |
you've got to, to, um, uh, watch out for those other, those other sides of it. 00:51:57.220 |
I am furious about the stimulus and the bailout and whatnot happening 00:52:02.460 |
because what I see happening is a complete and total moral travesty where people 00:52:08.940 |
And so you need an ethical system that brings these things together. 00:52:11.980 |
So if you're concerned about these things first, don't tell anybody, 00:52:15.660 |
but then you have to build an ideology or an F and an ethical system, uh, 00:52:20.180 |
in your, in your experience that allows you to know where does success 00:52:25.180 |
come from and then allows you to work through that. So set the goals, 00:52:29.620 |
work on it, and I'll continue to, uh, to try to help you with it, uh, here, 00:52:33.020 |
um, on the show as we proceed forward. All right, Daniel in Florida, 00:52:36.900 |
welcome to the show. How can I serve you today, sir? 00:52:41.900 |
And I was really glad to hear your coronavirus update in the beginning. Uh, 00:52:46.180 |
not least of all, because it exactly mirrors the way I'm thinking. 00:52:50.780 |
You're right. Absolutely. You're exactly right about all of it. You're a smart man. 00:53:00.100 |
I have maybe an ethical question would be the best way to pose it. Um, 00:53:04.220 |
and while I don't expect necessarily an ethical guidance out of you, um, 00:53:07.860 |
I know that you and I think very similarly, um, with regard to, 00:53:13.220 |
uh, politics and, and maybe, maybe you can use yourself as a proxy here. 00:53:18.300 |
And hopefully this is interesting to members of the audience who I know kind of 00:53:22.460 |
fall into the same category. Um, but part of this disastrous, uh, 00:53:26.740 |
wealth transfer bailout is, um, the expansion of some, 00:53:31.740 |
um, sorry, brain fart here, uh, of some, some unemployment insurance, 00:53:38.500 |
which I think is probably the least odious portion of it. Um, 00:53:41.980 |
and I am self-employed. I work in the service industry. Uh, 00:53:46.340 |
I'm either refunding a lot of business or business is getting kicked down the 00:53:51.660 |
And I'm not concerned because I'm early as a result of listening to the show 00:53:56.060 |
since the beginning, uh, I have months and months of runway, 00:54:00.740 |
But what I'm wondering is I'm technically unemployed and I understand from, 00:54:08.500 |
who aren't in a similar financial position that that is now being extended to 00:54:13.700 |
business owners who are in a similar situation. Is it 00:54:17.340 |
unethical of me to, you know, to be cashing these checks? Um, 00:54:23.780 |
the way that I typically look at stuff like this is even though I'm not 00:54:27.340 |
currently paying or assume I'm not currently paying unemployment insurance 00:54:31.700 |
premiums I have in the past as a W2 employee, um, you know, 00:54:35.180 |
my money and my children's money is being given to Boeing and to the cheesecake 00:54:39.500 |
factory and all other sorts of things that I don't feel it should be going to is 00:54:44.060 |
this just me kind of clawing my own money back, uh, so to speak. And, you know, 00:54:48.580 |
if this thing does go on for a year, um, I'm, I'm going to be hurting too. 00:54:52.780 |
So I guess the too long didn't read version is, 00:55:00.220 |
getting benefits that I'm not necessarily currently in need of? 00:55:03.700 |
I hate this question. Um, because it's, it has, 00:55:19.780 |
I was working for a marketing and brand management consulting company and they 00:55:24.020 |
laid me off. I don't think it was, it was right. 00:55:26.580 |
It was just a little bit before the recession happened. 00:55:29.500 |
And so I don't think they laid me off because of the recession as I understood 00:55:34.140 |
They laid me off just simply because they chose to reorganize the company. 00:55:39.140 |
It was kind of a middle level job and the company, 00:55:41.860 |
And so they got rid of me and several of my coworkers simultaneously. 00:55:46.580 |
Now prior to that time I had worked really hard to stabilize my personal 00:55:50.660 |
finances. I was out of debt. I was doing the Dave Ramsey plan. 00:55:53.540 |
I was out of debt. I was at a six month emergency fund in the bank and I was, 00:55:57.060 |
I worked hard to make that happen. I paid off all my student loans. 00:56:00.020 |
I was just out of college. I had, uh, I'd worked really hard and I, 00:56:03.500 |
I felt really good and I felt confident about the work that I had done in my own 00:56:10.500 |
I was given a, a severance pay. I forget how much now, 00:56:15.020 |
but I had some severance pay from the company, which was also nice. 00:56:17.740 |
It was the first time I'd ever experienced kind of the benefit of working in the 00:56:20.780 |
corporate world where they give you a nice severance package when you leave 00:56:23.700 |
instead of just, Hey, here's your last paycheck and get out the door. Um, 00:56:27.220 |
but I didn't file for unemployment and I didn't file for unemployment even though 00:56:31.740 |
I was eligible because I, I felt like I didn't need it. 00:56:36.740 |
I felt I've always had this, I've wanted to be congruent, 00:56:41.140 |
ethically congruent with the fact that I, uh, you know, 00:56:46.140 |
that, that I can take care of myself. I believe in personal responsibility. 00:56:50.300 |
I believe in not being a burden to others. I believe that, 00:56:53.580 |
that needs should go, that money should go to people who need it. 00:56:56.780 |
And I believe that money should go to people who need it voluntarily based upon 00:57:00.220 |
the charity of other people. But I have, um, I have, 00:57:04.580 |
but I didn't need it. Right. I'm an able-bodied man. I can work. 00:57:09.060 |
And I just felt like it was, there was no need for me to do it. 00:57:15.820 |
they kept on extending unemployment and fast forward. 00:57:18.620 |
I lived on my savings for a couple of years for a couple of months. I worked, 00:57:22.060 |
looked around and that was when I started working as a financial advisor. 00:57:24.900 |
Then here I am as a financial advisor and I started in the fall of 2008 and 00:57:29.980 |
unemployment benefits went on, I think all through 2009. 00:57:35.620 |
but they extended it for a significant amount of time. 00:57:38.380 |
And here I go as a financial advisor and I had run out of money. I was, 00:57:42.060 |
I burned through my emergency fund little by little over time. 00:57:45.300 |
And then as a financial advisor, I was completely underpaid. 00:57:49.780 |
And so I was going through my savings and I ran out of money. 00:57:52.940 |
And yet here I am working with people who are living on unemployment and they 00:57:59.340 |
They were just sitting back and collecting unemployment. And as I, 00:58:02.940 |
as I'm here, I'm trying to tell them about money. I'm totally broke. 00:58:06.540 |
And here they are living on the beach in Florida, 00:58:08.940 |
living on unemployment because they got laid off from their job nine months ago. 00:58:12.660 |
And I got so frustrated with that. And I just thought, what a sucker I am. 00:58:18.780 |
Because if I had taken that time and I had spent that time focused on 00:58:23.740 |
something else instead of focused on, on, you know, 00:58:28.940 |
what's happening here, basically I was, I felt like a sucker. And I said, 00:58:33.580 |
you know what, that's it. Never again. I'm always going to take, 00:58:35.820 |
I'm always going to take it. Then I went back and I, 00:58:37.500 |
and I looked at the ethics of, of unemployment. 00:58:40.380 |
So my employer paid for unemployment insurance, not by choice. 00:58:44.420 |
It was an insurance program and insurance policy that they paid into and they 00:58:49.660 |
They were coerced by the government into participating in that. 00:58:52.100 |
I was laid off under all the terms of, of, uh, of the, 00:58:57.220 |
the whole scenario. And in that situation, I thought, you know, 00:59:05.700 |
why shouldn't I have taken it? And so I came to the perspective. 00:59:08.260 |
I was like, I'm just gonna take it from now on. Uh, and then the same, 00:59:11.620 |
I've had the same thing with social security. Like I don't like social security, 00:59:14.780 |
but am I not going to cash my social security checks? 00:59:17.180 |
And I had the same thing with basically all government benefits where I don't 00:59:21.020 |
get a choice. And so if I don't get a choice, then why shouldn't I take it? 00:59:25.220 |
And then the vindictive side of my personality comes out where I'm like, 00:59:28.620 |
ah, you know what, this whole thing is going to collapse. 00:59:30.900 |
I'm going to hasten the collapse and I'm going to screw the whole system over. 00:59:33.660 |
I've for years, I've thought about, you know, 00:59:35.100 |
I'm going to do a whole show on how to exploit all of the government systems. 00:59:38.500 |
And I've just never wanted to do that ethically. 00:59:40.740 |
And then all of a sudden I turn around and I see these trillions of dollars 00:59:45.740 |
over the last day or two being given to these companies. And I'm furious. 00:59:49.900 |
It infuriates me that they would, that they would do that. 00:59:55.500 |
why am I trying to live this ethical life of not, 00:59:58.780 |
not taking from other people, not still like, why don't I just get, get what, 01:00:01.860 |
get me some and why don't I actually help individuals? Cause you know, 01:00:06.340 |
Boeing needs to go bankrupt is what they need to do. 01:00:09.420 |
Why am I sitting here worrying about, well, maybe I'm, you know, 01:00:14.420 |
maybe I would be unethical because I'm helping somebody who is, 01:00:28.380 |
What if I help Daniel sit back and live on, on, on unemployment? It's just, 01:00:35.340 |
And so how I've solved it is just by largely walking away. 01:00:42.660 |
but I don't expect many people to do that. You can't, you know, 01:00:44.740 |
you don't get an option if you're in the United States. 01:00:46.540 |
And so I've walked away to two cultures that are freer than the United States. 01:00:51.060 |
And that's helped me to do it. But you know, I still pay taxes. 01:00:55.140 |
And so I intend to cash my check if they give me a check. 01:00:58.420 |
So that's the background of the story is that I came to the conclusion that 01:01:05.820 |
that I didn't have a choice in them passing unemployment insurance, 01:01:10.180 |
I didn't have a choice in it that I should have taken it. 01:01:12.500 |
And I was a sucker in 2008 for not taking it. 01:01:14.980 |
I could have done so many better things with my life and with my finances. 01:01:19.580 |
If I had taken it, then just simply spending all my savings down, 01:01:25.260 |
to have lived on unemployment for a few months until I found a job and then had 01:01:32.700 |
than it was for me to spend down my savings and then be totally broke starting 01:01:36.780 |
a job. Cause that was, that was really hard. It was really hard. 01:01:43.420 |
are generally unclear as far as like, I don't think that there's an, 01:01:47.460 |
I don't think that since you didn't have a choice in the law, 01:01:51.380 |
you didn't have a choice in establishing the law. 01:01:53.780 |
You didn't have a choice in the coercion. All of your neighbors, right? 01:01:57.380 |
If you voted for it, well, that's, that's an ethical problem, 01:02:00.260 |
but all of your neighbors had voted for this, this coercive state. 01:02:05.780 |
you're following the law along the way by paying your taxes and doing what's 01:02:10.060 |
expected of you. You didn't have a choice in these 01:02:13.140 |
representatives and what they have passed. And so I say cash the checks, 01:02:19.020 |
cash the checks and then use them for yourself. 01:02:21.980 |
And then if you have the opportunity to be free of the system, 01:02:24.540 |
be free of the system. If not save the money, 01:02:26.380 |
just put the money in the bank and save it and spend it on something else. 01:02:30.100 |
And if you want to do something that's ideologically pure, 01:02:32.980 |
then leverage it for something that's going to make the difference. 01:02:35.260 |
So if you don't need the money just put it into your giving account and go give 01:02:40.420 |
If you want to invest the money into building a website that, 01:02:45.420 |
that full of screeds against unemployment insurance, then go ahead. 01:02:50.380 |
But I say if you're eligible for the checks while, 01:02:52.780 |
while following the law so that you don't hurt your conscience, 01:02:58.340 |
But I understand the dilemma that you're in. It's a really frustrating one. 01:03:02.740 |
All right. I guess I'm two for two with confirmation bias today. 01:03:10.300 |
You should call in every week and then we'll be, 01:03:18.740 |
We go to, I don't know, seven two Oh area code. Welcome to the show. 01:03:22.220 |
How can I serve you today? Denver, Colorado. Go ahead, please. 01:03:27.540 |
All right. Denver, Colorado. We'll come back to you. It looks like Dave, 01:03:34.100 |
you're up Dave. Welcome to the show. How can I serve you today, please? 01:03:38.780 |
Thank you for your thoughts and comments over the past couple of weeks. 01:03:41.860 |
Question for you about the way you're thinking about 01:03:49.820 |
You've said that you've been waiting for this in terms of an opportunity to get 01:03:54.860 |
And how do you think about doing that if it's into stocks 01:03:59.620 |
in terms of actually deploying assets that are on the side and that now is the 01:04:08.340 |
I am disgusted personally by the stock market. 01:04:14.420 |
I'm not asking anybody to believe what I believe, 01:04:16.820 |
but even just the last this bailout I consider it just a giant wall street 01:04:22.620 |
I walked away from stocks and mutual funds a number of years ago, 01:04:27.180 |
not because of any problem with owning stock, right? 01:04:29.500 |
I own stock in my own companies and I'm happy to buy stock, 01:04:32.540 |
but I walked away from wall street just because of the broad, 01:04:36.580 |
complete immorality in the industry. As far as I see it, 01:04:40.660 |
it's one of the most corrupt places on the world. 01:04:44.740 |
If you look at the crony capitalism, what wall street, 01:04:47.860 |
what wall street does is basically the most important person in a modern 01:04:56.820 |
who you have seen in full force this last week. 01:04:59.300 |
They don't even make any pretense at this point in time of, 01:05:03.700 |
And the U S representatives don't even make a pretense of pretending that 01:05:08.140 |
there's any sense of personal responsibility. 01:05:09.980 |
There's any risk whatsoever for a stockholder. 01:05:12.500 |
And so I see it as a, as an incredibly immoral world with people within it, 01:05:17.500 |
certainly trying to do the best, but in general, 01:05:20.580 |
the system rewards unethical and immoral behavior. 01:05:24.340 |
I also have a very deep concern about many of the industries that the companies 01:05:29.540 |
are involved in their promulgation of violence around the world with many of the 01:05:36.060 |
I have a deep concern about a lot of the ethics inside the companies. 01:05:40.820 |
And I just came to a point four or five, three or four years ago where I said, 01:05:51.220 |
I can't have this on my conscience. So kind of the ethical thing, 01:05:55.580 |
I can't change the law about my requirement to participate in, in, 01:06:00.300 |
in unemployment insurance. I'm coerced to do that, 01:06:04.460 |
but nobody is coercing me to buy stock in a company like Boeing. 01:06:09.380 |
Nobody is coercing me to buy stock in a company like Northrop Grumman, right? 01:06:13.820 |
Nobody is coercing me into owning these companies. 01:06:17.860 |
Now I understand that's an extreme position. I'm, 01:06:20.100 |
I'm expressing it very clearly here because I'm furious at what has happened over 01:06:25.020 |
the last couple of days. I'm furious at the US government, 01:06:28.980 |
taking money that has been extracted with threats of violence from individuals 01:06:36.140 |
and then turning around and writing huge checks to basically bail out Wall 01:06:43.180 |
both the financial players in Wall Street and the stockholders of these 01:06:48.780 |
And I consider that to be an absolute violation of the principles of, 01:06:53.620 |
of the free market and completely destructive. 01:06:58.620 |
So I have no interest or intention of going back to you know, 01:07:03.540 |
the stock market. I have no interest in investing broadly in that system. 01:07:07.180 |
I'm interested in investments that help people and not that harm people. 01:07:11.420 |
So I can talk about it in a detached way of, okay, 01:07:13.940 |
well let's talk about the market. You know, is it a good time to get in? 01:07:16.100 |
But for me, I'm not, I'm not going into that again. 01:07:21.540 |
I don't want to arrive at the end of my life and yeah, 01:07:24.340 |
I've got an extra couple of million bucks here, but it came at this, 01:07:27.500 |
at this cost to me. Now I'm, again, I'm not saying you're wrong or that you, 01:07:31.260 |
you behaved immorally. Those are my opinions. 01:07:33.620 |
Those are my convictions and the reasons behind them. 01:07:36.140 |
And I think that we're all free to do in a situation like this, 01:07:40.980 |
So the technical answer just from a detached observer is I would say that a lot 01:07:48.380 |
If you are looking to grab the exact bottom of, of the stock market, 01:07:54.060 |
is this it? I don't think so. But it doesn't really matter. 01:07:58.660 |
If you've got a list of companies that you're interested in, 01:08:01.060 |
that you think you'd like to own, you know, 10, 15, 20 years from now, 01:08:04.460 |
it's hard to believe that these companies that are so big and so influential 01:08:08.340 |
will not be worth more in the future. And they're, 01:08:10.620 |
they're in many ways fairly valued today. Could they still fall more? Maybe, 01:08:14.980 |
but I've always been attracted to the longterm value investing proposition and 01:08:19.940 |
to just simply buying companies that are strong and that, that are, 01:08:24.340 |
that are good. And so I think there are some, 01:08:25.780 |
some companies that are fairly priced at the moment. 01:08:28.260 |
And so if you believe that they're fairly priced, I think that, 01:08:30.820 |
I think that it's fine to get in. If, but, but I'm not predicting the bottom. 01:08:37.060 |
A lot of it depends on what I led the show out with of this analysis. 01:08:40.020 |
And we just simply don't know what's going to happen here in the coming days. 01:08:42.780 |
And so the market's going to, to respond to that. I am in the days to come, 01:08:48.140 |
I am going to talk about though the market in general. And I've, 01:08:51.980 |
some of my private clients just about this that I increasingly wonder because of 01:08:56.500 |
some of these ethical issues, some of the monetary issues, et cetera, 01:08:59.220 |
I do increasingly wonder about the longterm value of the stock market. 01:09:02.740 |
The basic, the basic idea is always don't say this time is different. 01:09:07.700 |
Right. And don't say, don't bet against America. But I, I, I, at this point, 01:09:12.500 |
I reject those, those, those statements. They're logical fallacies. 01:09:18.180 |
you can acknowledge the fact that the United States of America has been 01:09:21.340 |
historically strong while also recognizing that there are lots of 01:09:26.020 |
historically strong countries, cultures, et cetera, 01:09:28.860 |
throughout history that have changed and are no longer so historically strong. 01:09:33.620 |
You can look at that and you can say that this time you can say, 01:09:40.820 |
but you have to also acknowledge that this time could be different, 01:09:45.940 |
And I think that there are major systemic headwinds at the very least, 01:09:51.820 |
if not major opportunities for disaster in the future in the United States of 01:09:59.220 |
Now to the extent that things can continue to run as normal, 01:10:02.500 |
where Wall Street rewards these companies for taking huge risks, 01:10:07.300 |
where the companies pay no attention to thrift, 01:10:10.860 |
pay no attention to preparing themselves for market downturns, 01:10:14.740 |
but they just simply spend like crazy. Don't, you know, 01:10:19.060 |
buy their stock back to enrich all of their directors and managers. 01:10:22.060 |
And then to the extent that they are bailed out by the US taxpayer and by the 01:10:27.300 |
Federal Reserve and the tax to the extent that the US citizens don't care, 01:10:31.780 |
but just simply rejoice that the money's there in their 401k, 01:10:34.100 |
maybe this will go on. You know, maybe it will, 01:10:36.700 |
maybe it'll go on for my entire lifetime and it'll never collapse. But I, 01:10:40.660 |
I really wonder about how you can have a system that's so clearly unethical that 01:10:45.420 |
rewards such, such terrible business behavior. 01:10:48.940 |
I don't see how that continues with the same, 01:10:55.540 |
And that's where we get back to this moral hazard question. 01:10:58.100 |
I'll try to cover this philosophically, but the moral hazard is real. 01:11:05.540 |
everyone said don't bail out the companies because it'll create moral hazard. 01:11:11.900 |
Now at first they were listened to and then they were largely ignored because 01:11:14.180 |
all the US congressional representatives got scared when they said, 01:11:17.100 |
"Oh, the whole world's going to collapse." Well, David Stockman's book, 01:11:20.060 |
The Great Deformation, that convinced me that it was unnecessary. 01:11:24.580 |
Now maybe Stockman is not agreed on by everybody, 01:11:27.020 |
but he convinced me that it was entirely unnecessary and that the people that at 01:11:30.420 |
that point cried out to their representatives and said, 01:11:32.380 |
"Don't bail these people out." They were right. 01:11:34.060 |
And the representatives were wrong. Well, now in 2020, what do you see? 01:11:37.500 |
You of course see a historic economic change, 01:11:41.580 |
they don't even make a pretense anymore. It's like, 01:11:43.340 |
"Oh, let's go send our lobbyist and get some money." It's, to me, 01:11:48.740 |
I'm disinterested in the subject except from a trading perspective and I'll let 01:11:54.580 |
I do think that there will be opportunities in the real estate market. 01:11:57.380 |
I consider private business and real estate to be less ethically troublesome 01:12:01.820 |
for me personally than those large companies. 01:12:08.420 |
I've been waiting for a recession so that I can build a real estate portfolio at 01:12:13.820 |
I've been hoarding cash and watching for that. 01:12:18.380 |
But the problem is it's just simply too soon right now to be engaged in any kind 01:12:24.060 |
The path ahead is so unclear and real estate is such a long 01:12:29.060 |
timeframe that there's no immediate opportunity that's clear at the 01:12:33.700 |
moment. So that's my answer Dave, probably not the answer you're expecting, 01:12:37.220 |
Yep, no, I follow and thanks for your thoughts on it. 01:12:43.100 |
All right. My pleasure. We go now to, looks like Darson. Darson, 01:12:46.300 |
welcome to the show. How can I serve you today, sir? 01:12:47.620 |
Lost him. All right. We go back to Denver. Let's see if Denver is here. 01:12:55.420 |
Denver, welcome to the show. How can I serve you today? 01:12:57.060 |
Hey Josh, I'm here in Denver. I actually just logged in to listen. 01:13:03.420 |
No question today. Well, I think that wraps us up on terms of callers. 01:13:06.860 |
So I am glad that, glad that you all called in. 01:13:11.060 |
I hope I wasn't too strong with my language. I do, I do wrestle with that. 01:13:15.220 |
Sometimes I'm prone to hyperbole just in my own thinking. 01:13:19.580 |
I try to control that, but I've been forthright. 01:13:23.460 |
I'll try to, as soon as the details become clear of this bill and the mechanism, 01:13:28.940 |
I'll try to serve you with some information on that as far as the stimulus bill 01:13:32.180 |
and how you can, how you can do that. But I guess in closing, 01:13:36.620 |
as I create a little closing speech here, I would say 01:13:40.500 |
one of the most important things to learn right now in this current economic 01:13:45.500 |
crisis is just simply what a total house of cards we are. 01:13:51.340 |
A little bit of vulgar language warning ahead, but I saw this, 01:13:56.580 |
I saw this tweet by some random guy on, on Twitter and he wrote, 01:14:03.580 |
"LOL we're a bunch of paycheck to paycheck employees living in apartments owned 01:14:08.380 |
by paycheck to paycheck landlords and working for paycheck to paycheck 01:14:12.220 |
corporations. LMAO whole economy full of broke bitches. 01:14:16.740 |
Whose idea was this?" I just thought I couldn't set it better myself. 01:14:21.180 |
I would have of course used less vulgar language, 01:14:24.220 |
but so there's a truth in that that's pretty clearly expressed is if you 01:14:28.980 |
thought that all of a sudden we're strong, just look around the world right now. 01:14:32.420 |
What I thought I was, I've always thought, okay, Josh, 01:14:36.460 |
you're too much of a catastrophist. You're too negative. 01:14:38.260 |
Why are you being so pessimistic? Be positive, right? Everything go better. 01:14:41.260 |
We're barely two weeks into this thing and I acknowledge the widespread in the 01:14:47.900 |
United States. I mean, we're barely two weeks into like the shutdowns, 01:14:53.100 |
the lockdowns, et cetera. I acknowledge the widespread hurt. 01:14:59.660 |
I'm very filled with empathy for those who are hurting. 01:15:03.700 |
I want to serve you if you're hurting. I know that we're all hurting. 01:15:06.940 |
We all know people who are losing their jobs. 01:15:09.260 |
I have a lot of listeners in this audience who've had to lay off huge staff 01:15:16.980 |
I remember the first time I laid somebody off and I just thought like this is 01:15:20.580 |
huge. I remember just the weight of that. I never had a lot of employees. 01:15:24.660 |
You think about the weight of an entrepreneur who's supporting dozens or 01:15:29.060 |
hundreds of families with their business and they have to go and lay people off. 01:15:32.460 |
It's difficult. It's awful for the employees. It's awful for the employers. 01:15:37.420 |
But we're not even two weeks into these widespread shutdowns and lockdowns. 01:15:43.060 |
And yet in the middle of that, everyone's got to come running for, 01:15:56.020 |
I'm optimistic and hoping for the best in the virus and I'm hoping that this 01:15:59.100 |
cannot be, you know, one of those generation defining events like previous 01:16:04.060 |
depressions, like previous flu outbreaks, et cetera. I'm hoping it's not that. 01:16:07.740 |
I'm prepared for it, but hoping it's not that. But at the end of the day, 01:16:14.660 |
If this turns out to be a short term scenario, 01:16:17.780 |
we're a bunch of paycheck to paycheck employees living in apartments owned by 01:16:22.660 |
paycheck to paycheck landlords and working for paycheck to paycheck to 01:16:26.660 |
corporations. Whole economy from top to bottom, 01:16:31.180 |
full of broke people. That doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in me. 01:16:34.940 |
When in less than two weeks of a shutdown, you have to have what seems like, 01:16:40.380 |
which is certainly it's an overstatement, but what seems like every company, 01:16:43.860 |
every big company in your S&P 500 saying, we need money, you know, give us money. 01:16:48.060 |
Now, of course that's an overstatement and exaggeration, 01:16:51.140 |
but that's kind of the feeling that you get. It's like, 01:16:54.220 |
well let's send our lobbyists and let's go get some money. 01:16:56.100 |
Where's that money come from? Right? It's all made up. It's all fake. 01:17:07.820 |
Government was already a trillion dollars in debt. Sorry, trillion dollar deficit, 01:17:13.140 |
So it was add another 2 trillion on it while simultaneously the GDP declines by, 01:17:17.100 |
you know, whatever percent, 20%, 30%, who knows. 01:17:19.500 |
And tax revenue is going to go down. So I mean, 01:17:22.900 |
the deficit this year is going to be horrendous. 01:17:25.580 |
And that's in addition to the trillions and trillions and trillions of dollars 01:17:31.380 |
I don't want to end on a catastrophic note. I want to be a voice of optimism, 01:17:37.420 |
But I think we've got to recognize what a nightmare, 01:17:42.860 |
Now I'm grateful that personally I'm doing pretty well. 01:17:46.220 |
And I'm grateful that I've received so many messages from you that have told me 01:17:50.100 |
I'm doing well. You heard earlier, Daniel said, you know, I'm doing well. 01:17:53.660 |
It doesn't take that much to be prepared for most 01:17:58.460 |
catastrophes. You know, it's not that hard to have two weeks of savings. 01:18:03.740 |
It's not that hard for most companies to have a few weeks of savings. 01:18:06.780 |
Anybody can do that. Now, just because a company is laying people off, 01:18:10.820 |
but it's pretty shocking to see how fast things can change. 01:18:14.220 |
So the key is preparation works. Financial prudence works. 01:18:18.900 |
Being conservative with your money works. Planning ahead works. 01:18:22.060 |
Choosing quality investments works. Everything works, 01:18:28.620 |
and a system that rewards the worst of behaviors. 01:18:35.580 |
there's going to be opportunity left, right, and center through this thing. 01:18:38.100 |
There's opportunity right now, possibly in the investing markets. 01:18:41.500 |
I know there's a lot of people who've been waiting for a decline in market 01:18:45.020 |
values to be able to get in. I don't think you'd be a big mistake. 01:18:48.340 |
If you've got a, you know, 15 years and you're saying, what is 2035 look like? 01:18:52.100 |
I'm not convinced that the world is going to fall apart and all these companies 01:18:54.860 |
are going to collapse. Everything is still there. I don't, 01:18:57.980 |
I'm not that catastrophic right now. I really not. So maybe this is, you know, 01:19:02.900 |
if you're young and you want to invest in the markets, probably a good plan. 01:19:06.620 |
It's hard to see, especially given the current scenario, 01:19:12.620 |
And when you've got the government backing up your investment, 01:19:15.420 |
you got to say it's pretty good investment, right? 01:19:17.180 |
Kind of like government backed mortgage loans, right? 01:19:19.780 |
If the government's going to backstop you and you can't lose money and you know 01:19:23.380 |
that your shares in Boeing corporation are never going to go to zero because the 01:19:26.340 |
government will step in and bail them out. Well, you can't, 01:19:29.540 |
you're not stupid for investing in those markets. 01:19:33.660 |
I think there's going to be opportunities increasing for new businesses, 01:19:37.340 |
new business adjustments. There's going to be big, 01:19:38.900 |
big changes in society from this, no matter what, 01:19:42.940 |
there's going to be change and change creates opportunities for those who have 01:19:48.260 |
Stabilize your personal finances as much as you can. 01:19:53.060 |
Cash your checks and help your neighbors. That's the best I got. 01:19:56.260 |
I am searching for something positive, but that's what I got. Anyway, 01:19:59.980 |
in closing, if you'd like to join me for next week's Q and a show, 01:20:05.340 |
Patreon.com/radicalpersonalfinance would love to talk with you next week. 01:20:09.140 |
Last few days on my March madness consulting deal. 01:20:12.660 |
If you would like to engage in a personal consultation with me, 01:20:15.820 |
email me joshua@radicalpersonalfinance.com and I will give you the details of 01:20:20.780 |
that. My hourly rates are discounted from $400 an hour to $250 an hour. 01:20:25.100 |
And I've been on the phone nonstop helping people, 01:20:31.980 |
help people with businesses that are booming right now and businesses that are 01:20:34.780 |
failing. So if you'd like to work with me personally, 01:20:37.180 |
reach out to me by email joshua@radicalpersonalfinance.com. In closing, 01:20:42.820 |
I had a bunch of new people buying my how to survive and thrive during the 01:20:45.860 |
coming economic crisis course. I thank you for that. 01:20:49.820 |
You can go to radicalpersonalfinance.com/store and then basically the last 01:20:53.820 |
week, if you would like to buy my radical preparedness course, 01:20:56.140 |
go to radicalpreparedness.com. That's very practical. 29 bucks minus 20%, 01:21:01.780 |
You're not going to get a better deal off than that. I'm finishing that course. 01:21:05.620 |
It's 24 bucks, super cheap. But I'm finishing that course this week, 01:21:09.420 |
and then I'm going to reshoot it and the price is going to be a lot higher. 01:21:12.180 |
So if you would like to get in while things are inexpensive, 01:21:16.740 |
if you're a deal hound, go to radicalpreparedness.com and sign up for that course there. 01:21:21.060 |
Radicalpreparedness.com. Thank you for being here and I'll be back with you soon.