back to indexRPF0551-Friday_QA
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Welcome to Radical Personal Finance, the show dedicated to providing you with the knowledge, 00:00:55.720 |
skills, insight and encouragement you need to live a rich and meaningful life now while 00:01:00.040 |
building a plan for financial freedom in 10 years or less. 00:01:03.600 |
My name is Joshua and I am your host most days on Radical Personal Finance. 00:01:07.280 |
I speak into the ether, right into your ears without getting to hear back from you. 00:01:12.000 |
But on Fridays we open up the phones and I get to talk to you, a real live person. 00:01:24.160 |
Each Friday that I can arrange the technology in order to do so, I host a live Q&A call. 00:01:28.480 |
This works kind of like talk radio where you call in and I answer the phone and we talk 00:01:35.960 |
You can find out more information about how to become a patron at RadicalPersonalFinance.com/patron. 00:01:42.720 |
But I would encourage you if you would like to talk to me, ask me questions, discuss anything 00:01:46.620 |
about your personal situation, this is the place to do it. 00:01:51.520 |
I know from many of you, you love hearing them. 00:02:03.600 |
Just wanted to kind of run through some numbers for financial independence and just talk about 00:02:14.720 |
Well I am 48 years old and I'm married with two young children. 00:02:29.200 |
What we, let's see, we, I guess what I'm trying to just kind of determine is I keep crunching 00:02:38.000 |
numbers and really kind of thinking about financial independence and make sure that 00:02:43.280 |
I am going in the right direction with all that and that the path is clear. 00:02:56.600 |
No I have for retirement, sorry, let me just click this here. 00:03:03.480 |
So in retirement savings, I have about $790,000. 00:03:10.280 |
And let's see, I, yeah, and I have a small mortgage. 00:03:23.040 |
And really no other debts, just monthly credit card debts that I pay off as I go. 00:03:33.040 |
Do you have any money or investments that's not represented in your house or in your retirement 00:03:42.360 |
I have, let's see, probably about $200,000 outside of that. 00:03:50.080 |
$100,000 of it I've kind of earmarked for college savings. 00:03:55.720 |
And I've already probably have about $30,000 in 529s. 00:04:01.500 |
And the remaining $100,000 is just invested in stocks? 00:04:04.760 |
Yeah, in cash and yeah, cash and I have like kind of a personal loan out to a business 00:04:14.840 |
So all told, your investment assets between your retirement accounts and the $200,000 00:04:19.120 |
other are about a million dollars and you live in a house worth about $400,000. 00:04:38.320 |
That includes our mortgage, that includes paying towards like an IRA, IRA contributions. 00:04:48.560 |
So taking out IRA contributions, you're just telling me the expenses. 00:05:00.920 |
Because I've often thought if I was right now, if I was to reach a financial independence, 00:05:07.040 |
if I was spending what I needed to and my house was paid off, that I would probably 00:05:15.480 |
So if you had a house paid off and you had an income of $50,000 a year from your investments, 00:05:22.520 |
Well, that's part of why I'm calling Ask because I'm currently working in a position 00:05:31.400 |
I get to really do what I love, but it's very kind of gig oriented. 00:05:42.120 |
I get to run through kind of my own business and serve people as they need it. 00:05:46.320 |
And as I'm able to find this business, but it's not every day, but it pays really well 00:05:52.320 |
And it also gives me a lot of free time now to do a lot of things that I like. 00:06:00.920 |
My spouse is the one that has the more formal job, a corporate job and brings the benefits 00:06:09.520 |
So it seems like we're, we have a really good kind of pairing right now and I would continue 00:06:15.200 |
to do what I'm doing for as long as I'm interested in it. 00:06:18.960 |
And I could see that growing in the future as well. 00:06:21.520 |
So I guess I'm not too concerned about that part of it, but I would think, you know, if 00:06:26.760 |
my wife could kind of cut back from her work in the near future, maybe, you know, so that 00:06:32.000 |
her life was a little more enjoyable for her. 00:06:41.920 |
I think if I think that the conversation would be easier if there was a, you know, a very 00:06:47.200 |
clear path and she understood that that's a good option. 00:06:52.920 |
I think we need to address the benefits such as the healthcare. 00:06:57.040 |
You know, that's something important from her work. 00:07:00.280 |
But I think she would enjoy cutting back a bit and, you know, doing things she likes 00:07:05.840 |
But I think she's also very satisfied in her job at this time as well. 00:07:10.600 |
Last year, how much revenue did your business bring into your household? 00:07:27.760 |
Could you increase that number to a higher number? 00:07:37.200 |
I can definitely double that in a year, I'm sure. 00:07:47.720 |
If you were to double it, would you still continue to enjoy the work, the business, 00:07:58.280 |
I'm afraid if I if I went on beyond doubling it, then it would would seem like a bigger 00:08:03.800 |
business than maybe I would want to do, because it does involve traveling and, you know, just 00:08:10.720 |
going around the country and things like that. 00:08:13.120 |
So I would I would think that that would kind of take away from some of this, because then 00:08:20.400 |
I'd be away from home a lot more and not with the family and things that I do value 00:08:28.240 |
How much longer do you and your wife want to continue to live in the house that you 00:08:31.960 |
I am confident this is a forever home for us unless we were to downsize after the children 00:08:41.160 |
Would you want to downsize after the children are gone? 00:08:50.680 |
If I made that decision, I would probably find something that was more simple and was 00:08:58.880 |
We're in the perfect location, so it's not something that's on my radar now. 00:09:05.360 |
So in my assessment, you are now financially independent, at least to a degree. 00:09:11.480 |
You are not financially independent such that you never have to work again the rest of your 00:09:23.840 |
But I consider you to be financially independent at this point in time. 00:09:30.120 |
There's no decision in life that you couldn't make at this point in time. 00:09:43.720 |
You could do anything you wanted with your children. 00:09:44.720 |
You have enough cash available to you to make any decision that you want. 00:09:49.040 |
So you should now begin to operate from the perspective of financial independence. 00:09:53.640 |
Now, of course, one of your concerns is, well, I have to save for retirement. 00:10:00.920 |
But you are 48 years old and you have already saved for retirement. 00:10:05.960 |
So let me just give you an example bit of math here on your retirement portfolio that 00:10:11.920 |
You with about $800,000 of retirement savings are in the top few percent of U.S. American 00:10:20.880 |
The vast majority of U.S. American households have nothing saved and have nothing saved 00:10:28.840 |
And so you should start thinking like a millionaire, thinking like someone who has a lot saved. 00:10:33.760 |
Pretend today that you never saved any more money for retirement and you just started 00:10:40.520 |
So let's put that into a financial calculator to $800,000 of investments currently. 00:10:53.880 |
Let's put in a 20 year time horizon taking you from 48 to 68. 00:10:58.400 |
And Greg, what rate of return do you think that you will earn on your investments in 00:11:11.000 |
But I think realistically it would probably be around a 7 or an 8. 00:11:16.600 |
So let's use 7, be a little bit conservative. 00:11:18.800 |
And no further contributions to that account. 00:11:21.320 |
So that would put you in a situation where at 68 years old, beginning with $800,000, 00:11:26.200 |
if you could earn 7% per year over the next 20 years with a current value of $800,000 00:11:32.400 |
with no further contributions, you could expect your retirement portfolio at age 68 to be 00:11:40.120 |
The retirement calculator, the calculator says $3,095,000. 00:11:45.760 |
Now at age 68, would you be comfortable with having a portfolio of $3 million? 00:11:51.960 |
Absolutely, because I feel that that kind of target financial independence number for 00:12:03.760 |
We've not assured, but there's a good chance. 00:12:05.640 |
We've used fairly conservative calculations here and we've squared away retirement. 00:12:14.480 |
The trick is to say, how can we plan for the next 20 years? 00:12:18.440 |
Now if I take from you and I say to you and your wife, you are not allowed to save any 00:12:23.400 |
money at all for the next 20 years, but you can't spend any money at all from your investments 00:12:35.960 |
You can't spend any money from your retirement account. 00:12:38.320 |
You can spend the other $200,000 if you need to, but you can't spend any money from your 00:12:44.760 |
Do you think that the two of you could figure out a way to live a lifestyle that you would 00:12:50.160 |
love and to pay for that lifestyle from your earnings? 00:12:55.680 |
And I think maybe that would have been a better way for me to phrase my question in the beginning, 00:13:02.400 |
I'm kind of curious if we spent the next four or five years adding to that retirement and 00:13:11.080 |
And then when we got to that point, then suddenly saying, okay, we just need to earn enough 00:13:16.400 |
to pay the bills and forget about the savings and those other things. 00:13:20.800 |
And then suddenly our expenses are more like $4,000 a month. 00:13:24.960 |
And we go on and do work that we love to earn that 4,000, not ever touching that nest egg 00:13:36.400 |
I think you should consider things in two ways. 00:13:41.240 |
First, I think that you should think of things in terms of this 20-year time horizon, because 00:13:46.080 |
20 years puts you at about Social Security retirement age. 00:13:49.800 |
My hope is that you would never stop being productive and financially productive. 00:13:53.840 |
My hope is that you would never retire, but I know you'll want to be in a position where 00:13:58.200 |
you would feel like you could if you wanted to. 00:14:00.980 |
So at 68, you want to have a retirement portfolio. 00:14:04.640 |
You would have additionally potentially Social Security income of some amount coming in at 00:14:10.800 |
And that's enough of a time horizon that you could legitimately look forward for that 20-year 00:14:15.560 |
Now, I would additionally encourage you, based upon the age of your children, to think of 00:14:20.400 |
the next 20 years almost in two separate 10-year chunks, because you're in a very crucial age 00:14:28.240 |
They're eight and they're six, which means that your input as a father really needs to 00:14:33.440 |
happen for your eight-year-old in the next five to eight years, and for your six-year-old 00:14:42.640 |
That basically, by the time your children are about 13, you need to have put into them 00:14:48.760 |
the vast majority of the fatherly input that you're going to put into them. 00:14:53.400 |
Because by the time they reach age 13, that's when they start transitioning to adulthood. 00:14:58.320 |
That's when they start transitioning into adolescence. 00:15:05.840 |
Now, you'll always be a parent, but your role from about age 13 to, say, age 20, will change 00:15:11.680 |
more into the role of a coach rather than a hands-on parent. 00:15:15.480 |
And your relationship with your children will also change in terms of the time that they 00:15:19.560 |
have available and the time that you are able to spend with them. 00:15:22.900 |
That relationship will look very different at age 9 than it does at age 17. 00:15:27.280 |
So you're in that crucial stage in the next decade where your children are still in the 00:15:34.400 |
And I would encourage you to say that this next 10 years should look very different than 00:15:39.580 |
Because 10 years from now, you'll have an 18-year-old and a 16-year-old. 00:15:43.340 |
At that point in time, if you want to move and sell your house, you can easily sell your 00:15:46.960 |
house, move into a beautiful one-bedroom condo on the lake or wherever you want to 00:15:52.240 |
You can easily make any decision that you want to. 00:15:54.280 |
But you should think in terms of the next decade and your role as a father and your 00:15:58.600 |
wife's role as a mother, and then the following decade at which your children will be more 00:16:02.280 |
independent and you'll be transitioning into that empty-nest phase of life. 00:16:07.780 |
Those plans are probably going to be different. 00:16:10.040 |
But if I had to choose, I would rather see you taking more time in the next decade, less 00:16:15.660 |
time for work, more time with your children, doing whatever those adventures are that you 00:16:19.320 |
have planned for your children, focusing intently on teaching them, on instructing them on the 00:16:24.520 |
way that they should go, and then do that in the next decade. 00:16:27.280 |
And then in the following decade, that's when, you know, ramp up the business. 00:16:32.640 |
Do whatever you're going to do in that next decade and commit that, you know, from years 00:16:36.120 |
10 to 20 from now to heavy work or launching a totally new project, whatever that is. 00:16:46.160 |
I enjoyed hearing that part because part of me wonders, well, you know, is it okay for 00:16:52.000 |
me to not be out there, you know, hustling like crazy now? 00:16:56.320 |
Because I do value that time with them and I do, you know, it serves a big function for 00:17:00.200 |
my family, my flexibility and time too, which is great. 00:17:04.880 |
So it's something I'm not wanting to give up at this time because I do see a lot of 00:17:10.200 |
people that don't have that opportunity to quite be there as a father like I do at this 00:17:16.400 |
You mentioned that your work involves travel. 00:17:20.880 |
I'm not afraid to, but it hasn't worked out like that. 00:17:27.080 |
Typically I try to really push the extremes of the travel to get there and back as fast 00:17:33.360 |
And I don't usually stop and smell the roses too often. 00:17:37.480 |
So I just would encourage you, one thing to think about, and then let's go to one more 00:17:42.920 |
But I would encourage you, the most important thing that your children need at this stage 00:17:50.980 |
They need you to teach them how to interact with others. 00:17:53.840 |
They need you to teach them how to treat other people, how to build business, whatever it 00:17:58.880 |
Your children need to have that interaction with you at this stage of your life. 00:18:02.280 |
And they're in a perfect phase for you to be working together with them. 00:18:09.160 |
Whether you work like a maniac or you spend all your time just hanging out with your kids. 00:18:15.240 |
I see some value in having time to hang out with your children. 00:18:21.760 |
But if you're just focusing on hanging out with your children, what are you teaching 00:18:26.360 |
They're not learning anything other than that life is about hanging out. 00:18:29.880 |
I don't believe that life is about hanging out. 00:18:32.440 |
So what I would say is look at your families, talk with your wife, and look at your overall 00:18:36.440 |
family structure and say, "How can we at this stage live a life of integrated family connection 00:18:42.640 |
where we're involved in productive activities as a family, where those activities can be 00:18:47.560 |
integrated with our children, not separated?" 00:18:50.960 |
Because you don't want just your children to learn, well, they go to school and they 00:18:53.840 |
have all their instruction at school, but then they just hang out with dad. 00:18:57.080 |
Hanging out is fine, but working with dad, whether it's building an addition or going 00:19:01.420 |
with you on your business trips, working with dad, in my opinion, is more valuable than 00:19:10.480 |
You take it, you test it, you talk with your wife, see what it is about you. 00:19:13.960 |
But I don't think that I would...you are now financially independent. 00:19:18.120 |
So focus a lot on the next decade and think about how you can discharge this time period 00:19:23.800 |
of your family responsibility in the most effective way possible with you, your wife, 00:19:28.760 |
your children, in a way that conforms to your vision for your family. 00:19:34.280 |
I want to talk just a moment about health insurance. 00:19:36.760 |
You mentioned that your wife has health benefits through her job. 00:19:40.980 |
And so of course, one concern is how to replace that. 00:19:43.320 |
Are there any other benefits that you have that you're concerned about? 00:19:46.240 |
Well, I mean, she has a great package for the dental and vision and 401k matches and 00:19:56.080 |
all that good stuff that comes with a job like that. 00:19:59.120 |
And I would say that's the one that seems the hardest to replace would be the health 00:20:14.440 |
But if neither of you is sick, you should not labor at the altar of health insurance. 00:20:20.200 |
Health insurance is designed to protect you from a catastrophic illness. 00:20:24.300 |
But statistically, if neither of you is sick and neither of you has a catastrophic illness, 00:20:29.400 |
then chances are that health insurance is not going to be a huge factor for you. 00:20:35.440 |
That would be different if you had a problem, had a physical problem. 00:20:40.560 |
Good friend of mine is in very bad physical shape, all kinds of medical issues. 00:20:45.280 |
And he works at a job for the government and he works there exclusively. 00:20:49.960 |
He doesn't need the money, but he needs the health insurance coverage. 00:20:54.660 |
But if you don't have it, don't buy into this weird American thing where it's all about 00:20:59.120 |
working so that you can have health insurance. 00:21:01.260 |
You can go out and you can buy health insurance in the open market and you can just simply 00:21:08.660 |
There are all kinds of you, whether you go with a traditional health insurance policy, 00:21:13.520 |
after the Affordable Care Act, that market became very difficult. 00:21:17.020 |
But my hope is that in the future, more options will be presented. 00:21:22.360 |
We're in this weird in-between legislative stage where some of the requirements of the 00:21:26.920 |
Affordable Care Act were reversed and some of them were not. 00:21:31.240 |
Prior to the passage of the Affordable Care Act, you could buy a catastrophic health insurance 00:21:34.400 |
policy for your family for a couple hundred bucks a month. 00:21:37.820 |
Things like that should still be available in the future. 00:21:42.600 |
There are more of those coming on and the average cost there is only a few hundred dollars. 00:21:48.360 |
Dental insurance almost never works out in a positive sense in the terms of dental insurance 00:21:57.920 |
So it gives you a little bit of benefit, but you can also just go to your dentist and just 00:22:01.440 |
offer to pay them cash and you can get most of the same benefits cheaper by paying cash. 00:22:06.460 |
So figure out how to earn enough money to pay for health insurance, but build your life 00:22:10.920 |
and your lifestyle first, beginning with an open slate, and just put health insurance 00:22:15.240 |
on a list as something that needs to be solved rather than this insurmountable problem that 00:22:19.760 |
if I don't have a job, I can't get health insurance. 00:22:22.360 |
And hey, if that doesn't work, go get a job at Starbucks for health insurance like lots 00:22:39.520 |
Build your life in the way that fits your vision. 00:22:44.400 |
And from now going forward, you will have increasing levels of financial independence. 00:22:48.680 |
But don't buy into this lie that the financial advice industry says that you have to have 00:22:53.400 |
your $3 million now to be financially independent. 00:23:00.080 |
Even if you just earned $30,000 a year for the next five years and your wife quit her 00:23:05.640 |
work and she came home and did nothing productive that brought no financial benefit to the family. 00:23:11.420 |
And for the next five years, you took $20,000 per year out of your savings so that you could 00:23:23.500 |
You could do that if that was what you chose to do. 00:23:28.820 |
So break it out into reasonable, thoughtful life stages that actually matter versus this 00:23:34.600 |
monolithic, "I'm either working or I'm retired." 00:23:37.320 |
That, in my opinion, is a bad formula for life. 00:23:40.880 |
Richard, in Virginia, welcome to Radical Personal Finance. 00:23:46.680 |
I'm a retirement plan administrator by day and a husband and a father by night. 00:23:58.760 |
I'm in the beginning stages of trying to redo my life insurance. 00:24:05.400 |
And I do have about 1.5 million of term life insurance already in force. 00:24:11.520 |
I do have a young child who's three years old and I haven't redone my insurance since 00:24:19.080 |
And my specific question is, I already have an existing relationship with an agent, but 00:24:26.080 |
he is not able to give me any quotes with any of the mutual insurance companies, to 00:24:33.640 |
And just due to my position with my employer, I've had the opportunity to informally interview 00:24:42.280 |
several financial advisors just by way of the company to see what they offer to our 00:24:46.920 |
executives, but haven't necessarily taken the personal step forward to contacting some 00:24:53.320 |
of those agents who happen to work for the mutual insurance companies, if you will. 00:24:58.960 |
And after listening to several of your old podcasts on life insurance and with your particular 00:25:06.040 |
work experience background, I was wondering if there really is any value to starting our 00:25:12.380 |
new relationship with a captive insurance agent or just sticking with my current insurance 00:25:20.800 |
agent who won't be able to give me any life insurance quotes with the mutual insurance 00:25:26.520 |
So, it's a little bit of a muddle because it used to be clear, used to be there were 00:25:32.000 |
captive agents and then there were independent agents. 00:25:35.520 |
And some companies only wrote their business with captive agents and some companies only 00:25:39.820 |
wrote their business with independent agents. 00:25:42.460 |
That line is a little bit more, it's not as clear as it once was because there are companies 00:25:49.080 |
that restrict their products only to their own representatives. 00:25:53.880 |
And I don't know of any company who does that, whose representatives can't write other products. 00:26:00.920 |
And there are mutual insurance companies that are represented by independent agents. 00:26:07.120 |
So it's not, so there are companies that you can buy the policies and they have both. 00:26:12.740 |
They sell their policies through captive agents and through independent agents. 00:26:17.000 |
The first thing that I would do is I would ask your current advisor, your current life 00:26:23.780 |
If they can become appointed with any of the companies that you are interested in. 00:26:27.940 |
It would be common that that particular advisor could gain an appointment with some large 00:26:36.960 |
There are a number of them that do represent their products independently. 00:26:40.480 |
The general downside is usually an independent life insurance agent will not be as familiar 00:26:46.680 |
with the ins and outs of those particular companies' products. 00:26:50.760 |
If you're dealing with a simple product, like a simple term life insurance product, or if 00:26:56.600 |
you're dealing with a very simple traditional whole life insurance product, I don't think 00:27:02.680 |
But if you're dealing with a more complex product, a hybrid product where it has a certain 00:27:09.080 |
number of internal options, there you do want to make sure the agent that you're working 00:27:15.580 |
So to begin with, do you feel like your current life insurance agent is competent and are 00:27:32.080 |
They don't knock it out of the park in terms of impressing me, but they don't necessarily 00:27:40.840 |
He is not a CLU, so I've learned the value of a CLU. 00:27:49.400 |
If I'm not so much losing out per se, I'm not trying to express that concept, but just 00:27:57.440 |
is this the best for my family or should I just be keeping with the existing insurance 00:28:05.440 |
So that's kind of my concern if you will, working with an existing agent and being independent, 00:28:13.480 |
And then also not being a CLU, how much am I losing in that transaction, not having that 00:28:23.400 |
There's no reason for you not to meet with other people. 00:28:26.320 |
In anything in life, no matter how much you like somebody or appreciate somebody, you 00:28:32.040 |
want to go ahead and get multiple sources of input, multiple quotes. 00:28:37.400 |
Now when I was an insurance agent, I of course would have liked it if my clients had loyalty 00:28:41.760 |
to me and never wanted to talk to anybody other than me. 00:28:46.760 |
They need to talk to other people because that keeps me on my toes and that makes sure 00:28:53.220 |
If I'm not serving them to the best degree that they need, then they should be being 00:29:00.040 |
That's honest, that's forthright, that should be happening. 00:29:02.840 |
And the only thing I would always just ask is that if you're working with another agent 00:29:07.480 |
or if you are taking, you're collecting quotes, give me a shot, give me a shot. 00:29:13.720 |
All I want is a chance to compete, a chance to bid. 00:29:16.480 |
And so I don't see any reason for you not to go ahead and meet with other people, especially 00:29:21.240 |
if there's an agent that's impressed you, because there very well may be that you'll 00:29:24.280 |
get better service, you'll get better products, you'll get good and useful ideas. 00:29:28.360 |
And I think throughout life, we should always maintain an openness to new ideas. 00:29:36.880 |
Openness is usually a really good course of action on anything. 00:29:41.360 |
We shouldn't be scared of ideas, whether they're about the large existential problems of life 00:29:46.200 |
or the simple application of how to do a life insurance analysis. 00:29:50.840 |
Chances are you will want to keep the insurance that you have in force currently. 00:29:54.920 |
A good rule for anybody who has life insurance is you should always be highly skeptical of 00:30:00.920 |
replacing any insurance coverage that you currently have. 00:30:06.280 |
Usually an insurance policy that you have will be better than any insurance policy that 00:30:14.340 |
You probably bought it when you were healthier. 00:30:18.320 |
And unless some of those things have changed, unless you've magically become younger, ha-ha, 00:30:22.720 |
or unless you've become healthier or it's become cheaper because you're looking at a 00:30:26.160 |
different option, those are the only reasons why you should change. 00:30:28.960 |
So most likely you should keep all the insurance that you have in force. 00:30:32.600 |
That will allow you to make sure that your existing agent is still getting the commissions 00:30:39.720 |
And then if a new agent can suggest something else that does help you, that does materially 00:30:44.440 |
help you, then at that point in time, it's up to the new agent. 00:30:51.040 |
Richard D. Lawyer, MD No, that's very helpful. 00:30:55.920 |
I was struggling with reconciling the idea in my mind of shopping around and being loyal 00:31:01.320 |
and thank you for giving me your perspective. 00:31:05.240 |
Tom Holland In financial relationships and financial sales, 00:31:09.280 |
a lot of the strength of the interaction is based upon the relationship. 00:31:16.600 |
I believe there's a value to loyalty to a person. 00:31:22.280 |
I think that there are people that I do have interactions with that I'm happy to pay more 00:31:28.480 |
to, that I'm happy to get a slightly inferior product if such a thing were the case, in 00:31:36.480 |
So if your answer to me had been, "This life insurance agent is awesome," and there were 00:31:41.560 |
no hesitation in your voice, then I would say, "Well, just go with them because you're 00:31:46.560 |
going to get more value out of somebody who knows you than some tiny little product advantage." 00:31:55.640 |
And in order to put that into place, we've got to actually judge the competition. 00:31:59.880 |
You've got to actually go out and collect the quotes. 00:32:02.520 |
And going out and collecting the quotes will be important for you to know that you're getting 00:32:08.120 |
the best deal possible and you're doing the best thing for your family. 00:32:12.120 |
And it helps collectively to keep the entire industry of life insurance agents better. 00:32:18.220 |
If there were no competition, we'd have real problems. 00:32:20.320 |
So you're doing your part to feed that competition. 00:32:23.560 |
Kevin in Washington, welcome to Radical Personal Finance. 00:32:28.000 |
I had a hopefully simple question and maybe get your opinion on raising my cost basis 00:32:35.120 |
in the context of a taxable investment account. 00:32:38.240 |
I understand it means paying taxes, but I just wanted to see what your thoughts were 00:32:51.880 |
What investments do you own that you're thinking about selling? 00:32:54.320 |
What's your cost basis and what's the value currently? 00:32:56.920 |
So just index funds, about 780K, possible 250 capital gains. 00:33:10.320 |
And why do you think, so you're basically referring to the concept of tax gains harvesting. 00:33:14.940 |
Why do you think this would be beneficial to you at this point in time? 00:33:18.160 |
Well, I wasn't trying to, I guess, gain anything, but I just wanted to ping the taxes now instead 00:33:31.560 |
Do you have any reason to believe that the taxes will be lower now than they will be 00:33:43.440 |
I mean, the tax rate stayed fairly consistent over the last long time. 00:33:51.920 |
So let me back up and just kind of explain the concept, first of all. 00:33:57.500 |
So when you own a capital gain asset, you choose when the tax will be due based upon 00:34:11.640 |
So if you have an asset such as a set of shares of a mutual fund or a piece of real estate 00:34:18.560 |
property, there won't be any tax due on the property until you actually sell it and realize 00:34:25.720 |
Now, in general, you never want to pay a tax that you can push off to the future. 00:34:31.600 |
The basic rule is any kind of expense that you can push off to the future, you always 00:34:38.120 |
So if I told you you can pay me a thousand dollars today or you can pay me a thousand 00:34:41.840 |
dollars a year from now, you should always want to pay me a thousand dollars a year from 00:34:46.000 |
now because you get the utility of using that thousand dollars today for the next year. 00:34:52.160 |
So any expense that we can push off to the future, that should always be our default 00:34:58.960 |
Same thing with any income, any income we can bring forward to today, that should always 00:35:05.400 |
So if I gave you the option of having a thousand dollars today from me as income or a thousand 00:35:10.760 |
dollars a year from now as income, you should take it today. 00:35:14.480 |
So you push expenses out and you bring income forward. 00:35:19.360 |
Now if I adjust the numbers a little bit and I say to you, Kevin, you're going to incur 00:35:24.200 |
an expense, would you like to incur a thousand dollar expense today or would you like to 00:35:29.900 |
incur an eight hundred dollar expense a year from now? 00:35:32.820 |
Well now all of a sudden you're going to go for the eight hundred dollar expense a year 00:35:35.400 |
from now because you get the best deal of time to use the money and it's a discount. 00:35:42.440 |
Now if I flip it and I say, would you like to incur a thousand dollar expense today or 00:35:45.920 |
a twelve hundred dollar expense a year from now? 00:35:48.480 |
Now you have to do a few calculations and you have to calculate and see, is it worth 00:35:52.400 |
it to me to take the two hundred dollar discount in order to pay now versus later? 00:36:02.440 |
So the basic rule of expenses is you push them out to the future and that applies to 00:36:07.480 |
There's no reason to want to pay a tax today that you don't have to pay when you can pay 00:36:13.480 |
So if you were just going to sell your index funds, incur the tax, and then move those 00:36:18.620 |
index funds back and then buy the index funds again so that you've increased your tax basis 00:36:23.960 |
in the account, there's no reason to do that unless it gets you some very valuable benefit. 00:36:32.180 |
So what are the valuable benefits that you could get? 00:36:34.580 |
Well first of all, you might have some knowledge or guess about the direction of tax rates 00:36:42.320 |
So you might say, tax rates I think are going to go up. 00:36:46.980 |
If you believe that tax rates are going to go up in the future, then you might place 00:36:52.500 |
your bet and say, it's better for me to pay the tax now at a lower rate and then in the 00:37:02.780 |
So there you're making a guess about tax rates. 00:37:05.520 |
The information that you would need to make your guess about tax rates is what will the 00:37:10.640 |
U.S. Congress do about tax rates in the future? 00:37:15.940 |
Now if you can accurately predict that, you ought to take the microphone and take my job 00:37:23.900 |
Everyone has guesses and your guess is as good as just about anybody else's, but nobody 00:37:29.720 |
I'll go ahead and just tell you my guess on it. 00:37:32.860 |
My guess is that I don't think tax rates generally will go up. 00:37:37.500 |
The reason I don't believe that is I am persuaded that tax rates over the last 50 years have 00:37:46.900 |
Now the tax brackets march around a little bit, but on the whole they've been fairly 00:37:52.140 |
If you actually look past the political rhetoric during election season to what people actually 00:37:57.540 |
do, there's very little change in what the politicians in the United States actually 00:38:04.260 |
During the election season, you'll generally hear Republicans say, "We need to cut taxes," 00:38:08.820 |
and you'll hear Democrats say, "We need to raise taxes on the rich," but you'll actually 00:38:14.380 |
And when they're in the middle of a recession, the Democrats sign on for tax cuts and Republicans 00:38:19.740 |
sign on for tax increases in certain situations as well. 00:38:23.980 |
So on the whole, I don't think there's any political will for raising taxes. 00:38:27.900 |
And the only thing that I think personally would change that would be if the flow of 00:38:37.960 |
But right now the US federal government spends out of deficits and out of debt, not out of 00:38:45.000 |
So they never worry about adjusting their expenditures to the amount of tax revenue. 00:38:51.200 |
So as long as they can borrow more money to pay for their bills, I don't see why they 00:38:56.940 |
So I think that on the whole, tax rates are probably politically stable. 00:39:00.380 |
Again, cut out election season, and it seems like everybody actually does just about the 00:39:05.780 |
Marc Thiessen: There are changes at the margin. 00:39:07.780 |
There are changes with a little bit of fiddling here with an estate tax exemption. 00:39:11.620 |
There's a little bit of fiddling there with a corporate tax, blah, blah, blah. 00:39:16.460 |
But go and look it through and you find that for the last 50 years, it's been pretty stable. 00:39:21.960 |
Doesn't mean the future will be, but that's my guess. 00:39:29.280 |
Because the other thing that could happen for you is that you could be changing brackets. 00:39:34.140 |
Right now you might be earning $20,000 per year, but you know that you've got good idea 00:39:41.100 |
that all of a sudden your income is going to go from $20,000 per year to $2 million 00:39:46.520 |
This is where you can actually have inside knowledge on your situation. 00:39:50.500 |
If you think that your tax bracket is going to go up, either while you're working or in 00:39:55.920 |
retirement, then in general, you want to pay at the lowest bracket, whenever you're going 00:40:02.160 |
And here's where capital gains tax, tax gain harvesting does come into play. 00:40:08.520 |
If your income is low enough so that you could take advantage of the 0% capital gains tax 00:40:17.740 |
So if your income, your earned income is low, then, and you say, okay, well I can go over 00:40:21.860 |
here and I can go ahead and recognize $50,000 of gains and I can still stay in my 0% capital 00:40:31.080 |
That can be really, really good because now you're paying tax, you're increasing your 00:40:34.880 |
tax basis and you're not actually, you're increasing your tax basis and you're not actually 00:40:44.440 |
On the flip side also, and so if you knew, for example, that next year you're going to 00:40:47.680 |
take a year off and your earned income is going to go to zero, well yes, absolutely 00:40:52.240 |
start selling and take advantage of as much as you can to harvest those tax gains. 00:40:57.200 |
On the top end as well, if you think that you're going to realize the additional 3.8% 00:41:03.080 |
Medicare tax tax on the very top end of tax rates, then also you might go ahead and trigger 00:41:10.240 |
your gains now in order to avoid that in the future. 00:41:13.720 |
But in general, your default option should be, I'm not going to pay taxes today unless 00:41:19.740 |
there's some compelling financial justification as to why that's in your best interest. 00:41:28.440 |
I was having those same conversations in my head. 00:41:31.120 |
So this pretty much put it to bed to not sell anything, just to wait. 00:41:38.320 |
And it's good because when you actually look at your taxes and you actually run the numbers, 00:41:45.040 |
here we get into the question of do you pay taxes from within the portfolio or pay taxes 00:41:51.880 |
And all of the, you know, there are other tax analysis, points of tax analysis, same 00:41:56.200 |
type of thing of someone asking, should I convert from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA 00:42:02.840 |
And then what is going to be your tax brackets? 00:42:04.920 |
But on the whole, if you're, if you don't have a need for the income, you don't have 00:42:11.840 |
a something that you can spend it on, you're probably going to be in a lower tax bracket 00:42:17.460 |
in the future than now during your high years of earning. 00:42:21.060 |
So the good general rule of thumb is just wait, just wait. 00:42:24.920 |
The other thing that can happen is I wouldn't do it unless something dramatically changed. 00:42:30.560 |
Let's say that you became sick and you couldn't work for a year. 00:42:35.280 |
Go ahead and start triggering gains and harvesting your gains. 00:42:38.200 |
Or again, as I already mentioned, you travel for a year, trigger your gains, or you retire, 00:42:43.600 |
But that is one wonderful about a capital gain asset is you can control when those gains 00:42:50.060 |
Any other questions, Kevin, or clear enough for now? 00:42:59.480 |
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