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Today on Radical Personal Finance, we have a live Q&A call. 00:00:59.000 |
Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance podcast. 00:01:05.000 |
Today we have Q&A, and this was a live Q&A call, 00:01:09.000 |
a conference call that was recorded with the patrons of the show. 00:01:39.000 |
Which, by the way, this was the deal of the century 00:01:43.000 |
A couple of the calls, we've only had a few people there, 00:01:45.000 |
and so I've had lots of time to be able to answer 00:01:53.000 |
and then I'll be back to a more regular schedule 00:01:58.000 |
of a monthly schedule instead of a weekly schedule. 00:02:00.000 |
But here during the month of October and November, 00:02:02.000 |
I've done one every week with patrons of the show 00:02:04.000 |
at $10 and up, and there's been some really cool topics, 00:02:06.000 |
some really cool discussions, and I decided today 00:02:08.000 |
to release this audio to you for your show today. 00:02:12.000 |
So we're gonna get straight to that super quick. 00:02:14.000 |
I'm gonna cover sponsors today in record time. 00:02:32.000 |
He is a student loan attorney, a bankruptcy attorney, 00:02:35.000 |
and a consultant and host of the Student Loan Show. 00:02:42.000 |
So in short, if you haven't listened to those two episodes, 00:02:46.000 |
go back and listen to those two episodes of the show, 00:02:52.000 |
You will learn more about student loans in those shows 00:02:55.000 |
than you've ever learned in your life, I promise. 00:03:07.000 |
to save some serious money on your student loans. 00:03:10.000 |
If you are in any kind of difficult, challenging situation, 00:03:13.000 |
make sure you talk to Jay and sign up for Jay's podcast. 00:03:21.000 |
Patrick has also been on the show with episode 252. 00:03:25.000 |
And in short, if you have ever thought about writing a book, 00:03:31.000 |
Take a look at some of his services that he has to offer 00:03:34.000 |
and consider reaching out to him for a consultation. 00:03:37.000 |
He can work with you in a consultative capacity 00:03:40.000 |
to help guide you through the process of publishing your book. 00:03:50.000 |
some of his resources can be a huge help to you. 00:03:52.000 |
So that's sponsor of the day number two, Patrick Snow. 00:03:57.000 |
if you would like to speak with him about publishing 00:04:00.000 |
and ask him questions about your potential book project. 00:04:03.000 |
His cell phone number is linked in the show notes today 00:04:22.000 |
If you would like to support the show directly, 00:04:29.000 |
including benefits of being on calls like this. 00:04:37.000 |
Any questions, anything you're thinking about, Bob, 00:04:40.000 |
anything I can be of service to you on today's call? 00:04:50.000 |
I would like to hear your opinion on disability insurance 00:05:25.000 |
First, though, have you ever tried to get it? 00:05:53.000 |
because what that means is if you're in a situation 00:05:57.000 |
where you're dealing with a medical condition, 00:05:59.000 |
then that's not related to whether you're self-employed 00:06:02.000 |
or whether you were employed as a straight W-2 employee. 00:06:13.000 |
you want to shop around, and you want to look to see 00:06:15.000 |
if you can get a better offer from another carrier. 00:06:30.000 |
It's been six years, and at the time, I wasn't licensed, 00:06:39.000 |
I let him shop it because he was independent. 00:06:48.000 |
with a health and life insurance license, right? 00:07:03.000 |
and just tell them the details of the medical condition. 00:07:17.000 |
and then they'll have a back-office underwriter. 00:07:21.000 |
just tell them what you're doing and ask them, 00:07:23.000 |
"Do you need to talk to one of their internal underwriters 00:07:27.000 |
And what they'll do is they will look at the case. 00:07:40.000 |
and depending on the carrier and depending on the case, 00:07:42.000 |
what that means is you'll give them your name, 00:07:47.000 |
You'll give them your Social Security numbers 00:07:50.000 |
and your medical records, and then what they'll do 00:07:57.000 |
of those medical records, and then they will -- 00:08:16.000 |
is with a disability insurance broker like DI Broker 00:08:25.000 |
"Hey, you know, we'd be willing to consider it." 00:08:28.000 |
And DI Broker, I mean, they'll shop it with everyone. 00:08:32.000 |
So depending on the case and depending on whatever, 00:08:34.000 |
you might end up with, you know, Standard Insurance Company 00:08:37.000 |
or you can place cases through them with Boys of London. 00:08:40.000 |
And so sometimes, depending on the medical condition, 00:08:51.000 |
the things that hurt you on being self-employed 00:09:03.000 |
because you're going to be writing off so many expenses. 00:09:16.000 |
So most self-employed people are dissatisfied 00:09:22.000 |
let's say that you are showing $5,000 a month of income, 00:09:25.000 |
but by the time you take out all the deductions, 00:09:28.000 |
you're actually benefiting at $7,000 a month of expenses, 00:09:31.000 |
part of which are flowing through your account. 00:09:36.000 |
your disability insurance broker isn't going to offer you 00:09:41.000 |
They're going to offer you, you know, maybe $3,000 a month. 00:09:46.000 |
They look down and say, "Well, what am I going to do 00:09:57.000 |
If you did get disabled, it's better than nothing. 00:10:04.000 |
The way you can supplement that is you can consider 00:10:07.000 |
supplementing that with a disability overhead 00:10:19.000 |
is that you can get a personal disability insurance policy, 00:10:23.000 |
and that personal disability insurance policy 00:10:34.000 |
and that overhead expense policy can cover the expenses 00:11:02.000 |
Employees can be problematic, or they can work, 00:11:11.000 |
You can get a disability policy that might cover 00:11:17.000 |
Now, with that $1,500 a month of monthly business overhead, 00:11:29.000 |
Usually about a year or two years at the maximum, 00:11:32.000 |
whereas an individual disability income policy 00:11:53.000 |
The purpose behind disability overhead expense policies 00:12:03.000 |
of some of the revenue so that you can either, 00:12:08.000 |
at the end of 24 months, you're going to know, 00:12:13.000 |
And so it helps you to keep the business going 00:12:21.000 |
at the end of two years, or helps it to still 00:12:41.000 |
of your disability plan because it might have 00:12:51.000 |
in the short-term, but likely to cause problems 00:12:54.000 |
And disability insurance, disability overhead 00:12:58.000 |
so that you might be able to find some wiggle room 00:13:11.000 |
a long-term care insurance cash indemnity policy. 00:13:16.000 |
I don't know if these are available in your state. 00:13:25.000 |
of any company that writes long-term care insurance 00:13:51.000 |
at $5,000 a month, and in order to get benefits 00:13:54.000 |
from that, you need to submit at the end of the month, 00:13:56.000 |
you need to submit receipts for the cost of your care. 00:14:03.000 |
then you can submit receipts for that $4,000, 00:14:06.000 |
and they'll reimburse you for up to the amount 00:14:14.000 |
where they will -- if your policy is for $5,000, 00:14:20.000 |
of the contract where you would qualify as needing care, 00:14:30.000 |
What that can be useful for is it can be useful 00:14:33.000 |
for somebody who needs to cover living expenses 00:14:44.000 |
Now, the qualifications to qualify as needing -- 00:14:47.000 |
as getting benefits under a long-term care contract 00:14:50.000 |
are different than under a disability contract, 00:14:53.000 |
but it is possible that a really significant disability 00:15:06.000 |
if you can find one of those policies available 00:15:11.000 |
that it'll give you a potential benefit there 00:15:16.000 |
and those are medically underwritten differently 00:15:21.000 |
and also they don't have the stringent financial underwriting. 00:15:27.000 |
but I had a client of mine who was a rancher, 00:15:31.000 |
but due to the nature of his business structure, 00:15:37.000 |
at the end of the year was always extremely low, 00:15:39.000 |
and so he couldn't qualify for a disability insurance policy 00:15:44.000 |
based upon the amount of income he could prove on paper. 00:15:52.000 |
where it would cover him as a cash indemnity contract 00:15:56.000 |
for $5,000 or $6,000 a month if he ever needed care, 00:15:59.000 |
and so that provided a little cushion for him 00:16:02.000 |
where if something happened and he met the minimum requirements 00:16:08.000 |
needing help with at least two of the six activities 00:16:11.000 |
then he would get simply a straight cash compensation, 00:16:15.000 |
which he could use for anything that he wanted to, 00:16:20.000 |
So those would be my three big ideas for you. 00:16:34.000 |
is that through my BOP policy, business owner policy? 00:16:40.000 |
No, your business owner policy covers you for-- 00:16:43.000 |
that's written with a property insurance company, 00:16:46.000 |
and that covers you for the things that are associated 00:16:49.000 |
with the business liability, on-premises, things like that. 00:16:55.000 |
So the disability overhead expense contract will be written-- 00:17:03.000 |
and you'll get that also through the same broker 00:17:06.000 |
that you get a personal disability insurance contract through. 00:17:11.000 |
Since you're licensed, you can talk to them directly. 00:17:22.000 |
but you should check the terms of the AFLAC policies 00:17:27.000 |
to see if they have anything that's going to interest you. 00:17:33.000 |
But no, the long-term care cash indemnity policy 00:17:39.000 |
The company that used to offer them here in Florida 00:17:44.000 |
The challenge is this is the most difficult area 00:17:49.000 |
because what happened was these policies used to be popular, 00:17:56.000 |
are not as financially sound as they once were. 00:18:04.000 |
you need to go into it with your eyes wide open, 00:18:06.000 |
and you need to keep a careful eye on the actual carrier 00:18:13.000 |
to make sure that they continue to be financially sound, 00:18:15.000 |
and you need to be prepared to bail on the contract 00:18:35.000 |
to minimize your risk due to the structure of your company. 00:18:39.000 |
So with owning a business, a plan for disability, 00:18:47.000 |
but unlike an employee, you have more leeway. 00:18:50.000 |
So an employee who's just a straight W-2 employee, 00:18:53.000 |
if they get disabled and they can't work, they're screwed 00:18:56.000 |
because that income is the only thing they have 00:19:07.000 |
You can set things up and plan in the business 00:19:14.000 |
So keep an eye on both sides of the planning. 00:19:16.000 |
Insurance is less relevant for business owners 00:19:24.000 |
but also recognize that even if you can't get it, 00:19:41.000 |
Let me go--I've got a few more callers that have joined. 00:19:51.000 |
My dad has a cleaning company up in Fort Wayne, Indiana, 00:19:56.000 |
and he has a bunch of low-wage part-time workers. 00:20:04.000 |
and probably three-quarters of them are doing whatever they can 00:20:07.000 |
to pretty much, like, maximize their welfare. 00:20:13.000 |
There's something like if they earn over 15-- 00:20:20.000 |
They don't get married, and they have, like, a couple kids, 00:20:23.000 |
and they're doing all this stuff to maximize their tax credits. 00:20:29.000 |
but I was just wondering if you could say something about that. 00:20:32.000 |
And they seem to think it's just going to keep getting easier for them, 00:20:38.000 |
this whole welfare state thing isn't sustainable, 00:20:41.000 |
and they're probably putting themselves at major risk. 00:20:44.000 |
So I just wondered what you thought about that. 00:20:47.000 |
Well, I applaud them for making use of the system. 00:20:51.000 |
That's one of those areas I struggle to know--me personally, 00:20:55.000 |
I struggle to know how to talk about the ethics of that situation. 00:21:08.000 |
wants to get up on my soapbox and jump up and down 00:21:14.000 |
you know, you're ruining the system, you're destroying everything. 00:21:19.000 |
What about the values of taking care of yourself 00:21:23.000 |
So that makes me--you know, that's my initial response. 00:21:29.000 |
I've actually changed a lot my own personal opinions 00:21:33.000 |
If you look at the way that the U.S. government operates 00:21:38.000 |
to try to reach people that are in that situation. 00:21:41.000 |
So, you know, the federal government runs advertisements 00:21:48.000 |
There's advertisements for the WIC programs locally. 00:21:58.000 |
It seems like they're, like, must be gaining more benefit. 00:22:03.000 |
than they are from, you know, not doing that. 00:22:09.000 |
trying to increase the earned income tax credit 00:22:11.000 |
and all this stuff, and it just doesn't make sense. 00:22:13.000 |
Like, when you're already operating at a major deficit, 00:22:19.000 |
Well, and this is where we get into the very fun 00:22:32.000 |
who pull the purse strings, the interests of the people 00:22:41.000 |
once you have control over the purse is with money. 00:22:48.000 |
and you use the purse strings of the federal government 00:23:06.000 |
watch what happens with those who run the government, 00:23:22.000 |
and so you give away money as much as possible, 00:23:32.000 |
the large corporate interest, to secure your -- 00:23:35.000 |
you know, to really move and fund your campaign. 00:23:43.000 |
and trying to help and keep people from being poor. 00:23:45.000 |
I haven't seen enough evidence to convince me of it. 00:23:54.000 |
at which the U.S. government is going to run out of money 00:24:15.000 |
I was a naturalist for years, an environmental ecologist. 00:24:25.000 |
And I don't -- I mean, I feel like, in a sense, 00:24:30.000 |
because it's forced everyone into far more labor 00:24:39.000 |
they're putting in a few hours of real work a day 00:25:05.000 |
It's -- have you studied the history of money 00:25:22.000 |
I'm not sure if that's really how it started. 00:25:39.000 |
And this is one that I don't want to take the whole call 00:25:46.000 |
that money developed from -- out of a barter economy. 00:26:25.000 |
that that was how money was developed and created. 00:26:33.000 |
and demonstrates that that's demonstrably false. 00:26:37.000 |
and has historically been a system of credit. 00:26:44.000 |
So I don't buy necessarily all of the arguments 00:26:48.000 |
"Well, we just have to have a currency system 00:27:28.000 |
then our current economic system will continue. 00:27:31.000 |
And this is what always really troubles people, 00:27:39.000 |
You know, with the trillions of dollars of debt 00:27:48.000 |
And I think they'll probably be able to do it 00:28:21.000 |
with maybe the exception of Rand Paul or Ted Cruz, 00:28:44.000 |
but my opinion is that you're not going to see 00:29:19.000 |
and so that's about $18, $19 trillion right now. 00:29:28.000 |
and you total the unfunded liabilities up with that. 00:30:05.000 |
they'll be pulled back because they're unaffordable. 00:30:27.000 |
So, where I noticed this as a health insurance agent 00:30:46.000 |
people would say, "Well, Uncle Joe needed care. 00:30:53.000 |
and they just had that as part of his benefit." 00:30:55.000 |
Well, that was true, but it's no longer true. 00:31:00.000 |
such that there is still long-term care coverage 00:31:04.000 |
but it's nowhere near as generous as it once was, 00:31:06.000 |
and it's much more restricted than it used to be. 00:31:19.000 |
Is it 10 years, is it 40 years, is it 50 years? 00:31:31.000 |
I would say, his moral obligation to his workers 00:31:44.000 |
as long as you are living off of the back of the state, 00:31:48.000 |
And so, if I were him, I would try to promote, 00:32:01.000 |
but ultimately, he's not gonna change anything, 00:32:24.000 |
Well, that's why I promote the stuff that I do, 00:32:53.000 |
there's never been more freedom than there is now. 00:33:01.000 |
society is carefully manipulated and controlled, 00:33:06.000 |
can come out of the cave, to use Plato's allegory, 00:33:17.000 |
that I'm aware of in the history of the world, 00:33:36.000 |
with the ability that each individual person has, 00:33:42.000 |
but also to influence people on a public stage, 00:33:45.000 |
there you have the greatest harbinger of liberty of all time. 00:33:53.000 |
you can teach other people to start an urban farm, 00:33:55.000 |
you can, and every individual person can go on Facebook 00:34:24.000 |
which I don't see any way that that could ever be avoided, 00:34:31.000 |
I don't have a clue as to when it will happen. 00:34:39.000 |
when the welfare state starts bouncing checks, 00:34:42.000 |
then in the long term there's going to be more liberty 00:34:45.000 |
and freedom for all of us than there ever has been 00:34:49.000 |
So, that's how I approach it, is on the whole, yes, 00:35:07.000 |
So, I focus on schooling because if you look at that, 00:35:13.000 |
and developing independent education than ever before. 00:35:17.000 |
And if you look at the trends, the mass trends, 00:35:19.000 |
look at what has happened with the Khan Academy, 00:35:21.000 |
look at what's happened with online education, 00:35:31.000 |
the school systems will systematically implode. 00:35:36.000 |
The teachers are going to be replaced by online teachers. 00:35:45.000 |
Everything is going to be available for free online. 00:35:50.000 |
no need for anybody individually to break it, 00:35:52.000 |
it's just going to happen based on the market forces, 00:36:01.000 |
Now you can sit back and we'll find out if I'm right 00:36:22.000 |
All right, who else would like to ask a question 00:36:47.000 |
Hi, Daria. Can I answer any questions or help you? 00:36:59.000 |
but I've been reading books and trying to figure out 00:37:04.000 |
what would my portfolio in the future look like, 00:37:13.000 |
and I know that I want some individual stocks, 00:37:22.000 |
so I assume that I need to open a brokerage account. 00:37:25.000 |
But the thing is I don't know how to approach 00:37:30.000 |
because I'm thinking that there are, first of all, 00:37:32.000 |
several of them which I don't know how to choose. 00:37:53.000 |
let's say I want to open an account and start investing, 00:38:02.000 |
So I can do that, and I'll give you some suggestions. 00:38:08.000 |
a couple of quick questions just to get a sense 00:38:13.000 |
Do you have an employer-sponsored retirement plan, 00:38:18.000 |
401(k) or 403(b), something like that available to you? 00:38:33.000 |
and so you desire to purchase individual stocks, 00:38:42.000 |
So I read a book which is called "Investing 101," 00:38:46.000 |
but Christy Christoph--I don't know if you know it, 00:38:53.000 |
So I know that I should probably purchase mutual funds, 00:39:08.000 |
in biotechnology that I would like to have in my portfolio, 00:39:11.000 |
and I wouldn't trust any broker to select them for them 00:39:15.000 |
because I know maybe too much about the industry 00:39:20.000 |
So this is the reason why I want to have some individual stocks 00:39:24.000 |
because I feel I understand how to handle those. 00:39:28.000 |
But I also want to diversify and have some mutual funds 00:39:31.000 |
because I know very little about other industries 00:39:40.000 |
So you said exactly the words that I was looking for, 00:39:45.000 |
"I work in this industry and I have some knowledge of this area 00:39:50.000 |
So the reason that I was looking for those words 00:39:52.000 |
is I think that the mistake that most people make 00:39:55.000 |
is assuming that they should be investing in stocks 00:40:00.000 |
when they should really be considering investment 00:40:04.000 |
So one of my personal opinions is I do not like 00:40:10.000 |
most people automatically assume I should purchase 00:40:15.000 |
When I use the word "invest," I would like people to think about 00:40:19.000 |
all of the options that are available to them, 00:40:22.000 |
and that can be everything from making sure that your car maintenance 00:40:27.000 |
is up to date so that you don't have an expensive bill 00:40:36.000 |
the five-story office building that your company is in 00:40:39.000 |
so that you can manage it and rent it out to your other friends. 00:40:43.000 |
So if you look at investing, you've got to look at a couple of things, 00:40:47.000 |
and I look at it, I think about it as a scale 00:40:53.000 |
And so in many ways, I think that we should reserve 00:40:59.000 |
and we should look to see what are the returns 00:41:01.000 |
that I could expect to achieve from the stock market 00:41:08.000 |
and then look to see can I beat that with something else in my life, 00:41:12.000 |
some other inside information or some other inside knowledge 00:41:16.000 |
that I have, and do I have the time and the ability to pursue that. 00:41:21.000 |
So I like for people to think about investing bigger 00:41:28.000 |
and the ability to own small shares of other individual companies 00:41:33.000 |
that people are running and pursuing for an entrepreneurial-- 00:41:37.000 |
from an entrepreneurial perspective is really, really powerful. 00:41:40.000 |
When it comes to investing in individual stocks, 00:41:43.000 |
there is a lot of noise out there and a lot of marketing hype 00:41:52.000 |
about here are the types of stocks you should buy, 00:41:54.000 |
here are the specific ways that you should approach it. 00:41:59.000 |
The majority of those books and the majority of that advice 00:42:06.000 |
They're baseless claims that, well, you can beat the stock market. 00:42:12.000 |
At the end of the day, if you purchase the stocks 00:42:21.000 |
that's probably going to be pretty decent investments. 00:42:25.000 |
the boards of directors do a good job of keeping those companies working. 00:42:28.000 |
But to say I'm going to have some kind of inside information, 00:42:31.000 |
you need to really be dedicated to that scenario 00:42:36.000 |
So I try to discourage people from buying individual stocks 00:42:40.000 |
and then let them kind of prove to me that I'm wrong. 00:42:44.000 |
And the way that you can prove to me that I'm wrong 00:42:48.000 |
or there's something that I'm very interested in 00:42:51.000 |
and I have some knowledge, I have an ability to look 00:42:55.000 |
and I want to do the research and I want to look to see. 00:43:05.000 |
and you have an ability to look at press releases 00:43:08.000 |
and things like that and perhaps look for ways 00:43:14.000 |
to find the companies that are going to be more promising. 00:43:29.000 |
Just sit down and write down on a piece of paper 00:43:31.000 |
what you're investing for, why you're investing, 00:43:36.000 |
This is the missing step that most amateurs never do 00:43:38.000 |
is they never say, here's what I'm trying to do. 00:43:41.000 |
And you should have a goal for what you want to do 00:43:51.000 |
So the reason this is important is if you start there, 00:43:54.000 |
you're going to make better investing decisions. 00:43:58.000 |
I want to buy a new beach house in three to four years, 00:44:02.000 |
well now you're going to know that I'm probably 00:44:22.000 |
Next, look at all of your assets and figure out 00:44:30.000 |
in your 401k plans, and you should look to see 00:44:35.000 |
And only risk the money that you can afford to lose, 00:44:38.000 |
especially in something speculative like biotech. 00:44:41.000 |
My guess, and you may have more knowledge than I do, 00:44:46.000 |
you're either going to have flat companies and losses, 00:44:51.000 |
or you're going to have the potential for a company 00:44:54.000 |
to hit something big, invent some hot new drugs, 00:44:59.000 |
So you're probably going to have a very wide-ranging 00:45:02.000 |
investment portfolio where only a few of your companies 00:45:10.000 |
some of them are going to develop some steady streams, 00:45:15.000 |
That might be the case, I might be completely wrong. 00:45:28.000 |
depending on the type of mutual fund you're going to buy, 00:45:30.000 |
that's going to depend on the type of brokerage account. 00:45:33.000 |
So if you were going to purchase index funds, 00:45:41.000 |
But if you're going to purchase other types of mutual funds, 00:45:46.000 |
you might want to purchase them through a brokerage account, 00:45:56.000 |
that's probably going to be all you need to do. 00:46:09.000 |
I am in the process of bringing on a sponsor on the show 00:46:16.000 |
We're in the final negotiation of a sponsorship deal. 00:46:19.000 |
And Trade King, I interviewed the CEO on that show, 00:46:27.000 |
from the FinCon Financial Bloggers Conference. 00:46:33.000 |
And I decided to bring them on as a sponsor of the show. 00:46:36.000 |
I really like them, I like what they're doing. 00:46:39.000 |
but I feel very confident that that would be a good choice for you. 00:46:50.000 |
but once you hear them come on the show as a sponsor, 00:46:52.000 |
there'll be a special deal for listeners of the show, 00:46:55.000 |
a special bonus if you open an account with them. 00:46:59.000 |
and you can purchase the stocks of those companies with them. 00:47:02.000 |
So that's the specific answer for how to open a brokerage account. 00:47:06.000 |
I don't know of any reason why you would choose anybody 00:47:09.000 |
but as with anything, you should go and do your own due diligence. 00:47:12.000 |
But I will be bringing them on the show as a sponsor, 00:47:15.000 |
and they can help you with a brokerage account 00:47:21.000 |
you're doing it within the context of your bigger investment plan, 00:47:24.000 |
and your bigger financial plan, and your financial goals. 00:47:27.000 |
And then you'll be able to make really good decisions. 00:47:29.000 |
You'll be able to stick with your trading plans, 00:47:31.000 |
and hopefully be able to make a lot of money. 00:47:48.000 |
And then in terms of strategies, yeah, I'm thinking about it, 00:47:51.000 |
and they're actually evolving of what I want to do. 00:47:55.000 |
And my original idea was that I want to buy a house in cash, 00:48:03.000 |
This was my kind of overall first thing that I was thinking on, 00:48:10.000 |
and then I was trying to calculate what it means to get to this goal. 00:48:15.000 |
But, you know, things are evolving as I am learning more and more about the area. 00:48:23.000 |
Right, and so that's where -- that's exactly the type of plan that you want to put together. 00:48:28.000 |
And so you start with how much money would I need to pay for the house in cash? 00:48:33.000 |
Then you also look to say if I want to retire in 15 years, 00:48:36.000 |
how much money do I think I would need in order to retire? 00:48:40.000 |
And then you can plug that into a financial calculator, 00:48:42.000 |
and if you know those numbers I'd be happy to help you do some math right now on the call. 00:48:46.000 |
But you plug those numbers into a financial calculator, 00:48:49.000 |
and you see based upon how much money you have, how much money you can save, 00:48:55.000 |
"Is this a realistic goal that I could achieve?" 00:49:00.000 |
And then you're going to know, "Do I think I could hit this with my investment plan?" 00:49:06.000 |
And so depending on how fast you want to retire, that's going to drive, again, how you invest. 00:49:20.000 |
I don't know if it's going to be too burdensome to do it right now, but I can do it. 00:49:25.000 |
Let's do it real quick. It'll be fun. I've got a calculator right here. 00:49:28.000 |
So how much money do you think that you need to retire? 00:49:32.000 |
So I was thinking that $60,000 or $70,000 a year. 00:49:37.000 |
Well, I would – okay, probably a minimum of $50,000 a year is what I would plan to do when I retire. 00:49:46.000 |
And then if I retire in 15 years, I would assume that I would live at least 20 years after that. 00:49:56.000 |
So let's do an – let's use that as an example. 00:50:00.000 |
Let's use the 4% rule as a good guess on kind of a good ballpark range 00:50:06.000 |
and assume that you want to spend $50,000 per year, 00:50:10.000 |
and so you need a portfolio that you can withdraw $50,000 per year from. 00:50:15.000 |
And so multiply $50,000 times 25, and that gives you $1,250,000. 00:50:21.000 |
So that's the value of your portfolio that you need at the time of retirement. 00:50:26.000 |
Now, ballpark – and again, this is a public call, so feel free not to say, 00:50:30.000 |
but how much money do you have saved currently? 00:50:33.000 |
And again, you don't have to answer if you don't want to. 00:50:36.000 |
I can. I mean, the thing is, there are different things. 00:50:49.000 |
Oh, okay. So 401(k) is probably $40,000, $45,000, and then – 00:50:56.000 |
it's actually a mixture of the raw pre-tax and post-tax, but let's say $45,000, 00:51:01.000 |
and then plus savings probably around $40,000, $50,000. 00:51:07.000 |
And I do not have any debt, neither college, no mortgage, nothing pretty much. 00:51:15.000 |
Congratulations. Okay, so we've got $100,000 now. 00:51:18.000 |
And then how much every year do you think that you can afford to contribute 00:51:26.000 |
Every year? Okay. Right now, I'm using YNAB that you recommended to see 00:51:35.000 |
I think I can at this moment $3,000 a month, which will make me $36,000. 00:51:45.000 |
I persuade my husband to help me out, let's say $40,000 a year. 00:51:52.000 |
Okay. So let me do this math for you, and let's assume that you want to retire 00:52:00.000 |
Okay. So the way that we do this math – and this is just rough math, 00:52:03.000 |
but to give you an idea of the type of investment plan that you need, 00:52:06.000 |
we put in – into the financial calculator, and it's simple once you know 00:52:11.000 |
how to run the financial calculator, but you're going to learn that on your own. 00:52:16.000 |
I think I did a show on that, or I need to do some videos on it. 00:52:19.000 |
So first thing we're going to do is we're going to put in our future value. 00:52:22.000 |
So we type $1,250,000, and we put that in as our future value. 00:52:30.000 |
Next, we're going to put in our present value, and we're going to put in $100,000. 00:52:34.000 |
And then depending on the calculator, usually you need to change the sign 00:52:38.000 |
and put it in as negative, so you put in minus $100,000 as our present value. 00:52:43.000 |
And then we're going to put in our annual payment. 00:52:46.000 |
So we're going to do an annual payment here, and we're going to put $40,000 00:52:50.000 |
of a contribution into the account as a payment. 00:52:53.000 |
And then we're going to run this for 15 years, and we're going to solve 00:52:59.000 |
I just solved for interest, and the calculator is running here. 00:53:02.000 |
It's going to tell us how much interest we actually need to an interest rate 00:53:26.000 |
It's hard to do it and then talk at the same time. 00:53:41.000 |
It's going to tell us what our annual percentage rate of return is 00:53:51.000 |
Okay, so under that scenario, all we need here is a 6.2% rate of return. 00:53:57.000 |
That's all we need to earn on our investment. 00:54:01.000 |
And the way that you can check that is we can just run the numbers again. 00:54:05.000 |
And so what I'll do is I'll say, okay, 6.2%, we've got $100,000 starting point. 00:54:13.000 |
We're going to earn 6.2% annual rate of return, and we're going to contribute 00:54:23.000 |
And at the end of 15 years, we would have $1,250,000. 00:54:27.000 |
So the reason I ran that math is to show you that if you can afford to save 00:54:32.000 |
that much money, you only need a 6% rate of return to hit that financial goal. 00:54:37.000 |
Well, you should be able to get a 6% rate of return just with buying an index 00:54:41.000 |
fund and not putting in any--and putting your money in stocks and not worrying 00:54:49.000 |
So you have the decision to say, "Do I just want to buy index funds or do I just 00:54:54.000 |
want to buy real estate and make 6% and reach those goals and have a much higher 00:54:59.000 |
certainty, or do I want to invest in biotech stocks?" 00:55:04.000 |
And so you have to look and say, "How much rate of return do I think I could 00:55:10.000 |
And that's what I mean by actually running a scenario because--the next 00:55:15.000 |
question, do you have a guess as to what rate of return you would hope to earn 00:55:19.000 |
if you were going to run your portfolio yourself and invest in biotech stocks? 00:55:28.000 |
Well, I was thinking 10% should be possible if I make sure that I spend 00:55:37.000 |
Maybe more, but as you said, you've got to be lucky as well as knowledgeable. 00:55:44.000 |
So if you're in the 10% range, my guess is I wouldn't think it would be worth 00:55:48.000 |
pursuing biotech stocks as your investment strategy if you only wanted or needed 00:55:57.000 |
10%, you should be able to get there with much simpler, much safer investment 00:56:03.000 |
approaches versus investing in speculative biotech stocks. 00:56:08.000 |
So if I were you, what I would do is I would create a plan where the majority 00:56:12.000 |
of your money is going to go into well-chosen mutual funds and I would do that 00:56:21.000 |
And I would produce--I would put something like--I would have a goal of maybe 00:56:25.000 |
investing $2,000 a month or $2,500 a month into more conservative investment. 00:56:32.000 |
And then I would take maybe a little bit extra, maybe $500 or $1,000 or $1,500 00:56:37.000 |
a month, and I would use that money to fund my brokerage account. 00:56:41.000 |
And so what you're doing there is you are having a major portfolio that's your 00:56:46.000 |
conservative portfolio, and then you have a small portfolio that you're investing 00:56:52.000 |
And the hope is that you can make 50% rate of return or 30% or 80% by picking the 00:56:58.000 |
right biotech stock, but you're not counting on that to be your whole financial 00:57:02.000 |
plan and you're not putting all of your money at risk in a very speculative way. 00:57:07.000 |
So that's what I would do is I would have kind of my core portfolio be a little 00:57:12.000 |
bit more conservative, and then I would have the satellite portfolio--that's kind 00:57:16.000 |
of one of the words that they would use, this type of approach, your core and your 00:57:20.000 |
I'd have my satellite portfolio be much more aggressive. 00:57:22.000 |
Now, you've got to pick the numbers, but knowing that you could save--if you want 00:57:27.000 |
to live on $50,000 a year and knowing you can save $40,000 a year and knowing that 00:57:33.000 |
you don't need that high of a rate of return to hit your financial independence 00:57:37.000 |
goal, I would focus a lot of my portfolio in a conservative direction, and then I 00:57:42.000 |
would put a little bit of the portfolio in the speculative direction. 00:57:46.000 |
That would seem like how I would approach it. 00:57:51.000 |
Actually, in my wine lab, I budget $500 of stock, which I have not invested in, but 00:58:01.000 |
I'm budgeting that much money because I know how it goes in this area. 00:58:10.000 |
I don't want to take any more of your time, but I have a lot to think about, and 00:58:17.000 |
Go slow and make sure that you study, study, study, study. 00:58:21.000 |
Don't invest in something you don't understand, and go slow and don't invest 00:58:27.000 |
And, I mean, you're obviously very, very bright, and I think you could put 00:58:34.000 |
All right, I'll take one more question for today. 00:58:42.000 |
Actually, I thought that was pretty interesting, but wasn't one major piece 00:58:45.000 |
of the formula missing, like her age and how many years she was going to be 00:58:52.000 |
I used, just as a sample, I used the 4% rule, and so the data and the research 00:59:00.000 |
behind the 4% rule is assuming a 30- or 35-year retirement, but what you find is 00:59:07.000 |
that the right portfolio construction, that it can actually be basically most of 00:59:12.000 |
the portfolios at a 4% distribution could last into perpetuity. 00:59:16.000 |
So if you're in that 3% to 4% range, then your portfolio should be able to be 00:59:22.000 |
structured to last for a long period of retirement. 00:59:26.000 |
What I was trying to do with asking those numbers and keeping it simple was simply 00:59:31.000 |
trying to find out, does she need a 6% rate of return, or does she need a 66% 00:59:38.000 |
So if she had told me, "Joshua, I actually want to spend $150,000 per year," 00:59:43.000 |
then I immediately know that my ending portfolio needs to be closer to $4 00:59:49.000 |
And so if I put $4 million into the calculator, and let's do this again real 00:59:55.000 |
quick, 15 years, we're going to start it with $100,000, and we're going to make 01:00:04.000 |
Then now, if we need $4 million at the end of 15 years, we're going to, give it 01:00:09.000 |
a second to run, and it's going to tell us our rate of return. 01:00:14.000 |
The reason I say that is because I believe that many financial... 01:00:22.000 |
So she would need an 18% rate of return every year if she wanted to live on, 01:00:31.000 |
I think that's still a workable financial plan. 01:00:34.000 |
But you have to then ask yourself the question and say, "Where am I going to 01:00:40.000 |
Excuse me, where am I going to get an 18% rate of return?" 01:00:43.000 |
Well, now you wipe out, "I'm not going to get it in index funds. 01:00:46.000 |
I'm not going to get it in conservative, you know, mutual funds." 01:00:55.000 |
So now I need to either be very, very good at biotech stock investing, 01:01:01.000 |
and I would need to ask myself specifically, "Do I have these skills? 01:01:08.000 |
I need to put a lot of time into it, or I need to move into business." 01:01:11.000 |
And I need to say, "How could I take my $100,000 that I have of capital, 01:01:15.000 |
and how could I develop some sort of business that I would be able to sell 01:01:19.000 |
at the end of 15 years that would be worth $4 million?" 01:01:25.000 |
And it might be something as simple as, you know, buying a franchise locally. 01:01:29.000 |
It might be a good idea that you've developed. 01:01:31.000 |
But I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility to say, 01:01:34.000 |
"I'm going to accumulate $4 million over the next 15 years." 01:01:38.000 |
I intend to do that, but I'm not going to do it with publicly traded stocks. 01:01:41.000 |
So that's why I was just doing some rough numbers to get an idea of do we need 01:01:52.000 |
All right. Well, thank you guys so much for joining me on the call today. 01:01:56.000 |
I've enjoyed chatting with you all, and I will be doing these again 01:02:02.000 |
I intend to change one or two of the times to try to do an evening call 01:02:05.000 |
to help some other people join in, but I've enjoyed these. 01:02:11.000 |
So if you have any questions in the meantime, join us on the next call. 01:02:14.000 |
Otherwise, feel free to email me, and I'll see you back on the show. 01:02:19.000 |
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