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RPF0209-Doug_Nordman_on_Angel_Investing


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00:00:30.000 | Today we have an in-depth discussion on angel investing
00:00:35.000 | with early retiree Doug Nordman.
00:00:37.000 | He's made it his serious hobby,
00:00:39.000 | and he's put his money where his mouth is
00:00:41.000 | with regard to his investing,
00:00:42.000 | and he's going to share with us his learning and experience
00:00:46.000 | from being in the trenches as an angel investor.
00:00:49.000 | And he's also going to share with us some wisdom
00:00:52.000 | surrounding the decision of,
00:00:53.000 | "Should I rent the house that I need to live in,
00:00:56.000 | "or should I buy the house that I need to live in?"
00:00:59.000 | (upbeat music)
00:01:02.000 | Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance Podcast.
00:01:17.000 | My name is Joshua Sheets, and I'm your host.
00:01:18.000 | Thank you so much for being here.
00:01:20.000 | Today I have a very special interview
00:01:22.000 | with my friend Doug Nordman.
00:01:24.000 | Doug's been on the show with me before for episode 114.
00:01:28.000 | In that episode, we talked about the history
00:01:30.000 | of the early retirement movement,
00:01:32.000 | but Doug's a versatile guy,
00:01:34.000 | and today we dig into one of his favorite subjects,
00:01:36.000 | angel investing.
00:01:37.000 | It's a no-baloney guide to the topic of investing
00:01:41.000 | in private companies as an angel investor.
00:01:43.000 | (upbeat music)
00:01:46.000 | This is a really good interview,
00:01:49.000 | and I'm very excited to bring it to you,
00:01:50.000 | especially because it covers a topic
00:01:52.000 | that's very important to me, that I'm studying
00:01:54.000 | and focusing on learning a little bit
00:01:56.000 | of my own growth and career as a business person.
00:01:59.000 | I'm very interested in investing in private businesses,
00:02:02.000 | and I want to learn how to do it effectively.
00:02:04.000 | The challenge is, how do you actually figure out
00:02:07.000 | where to get good information on the subject?
00:02:09.000 | Now, there's lots of people that'll teach you
00:02:11.000 | about investing who also will sell you investments.
00:02:14.000 | There's lots of people who will share with you
00:02:17.000 | their investing secrets as a way
00:02:20.000 | to enhance their reputation,
00:02:22.000 | but there are very few people who are willing
00:02:24.000 | to sit down and publicly discuss what they've learned
00:02:28.000 | as an investor and how they've learned it,
00:02:31.000 | and Doug is one of those guys.
00:02:32.000 | He is an early retiree, but as you'll hear
00:02:36.000 | in the first part of this interview,
00:02:37.000 | he's very involved in angel investing
00:02:39.000 | there in Hawaii, where he lives.
00:02:42.000 | It's well worth listening to,
00:02:44.000 | and it's going to save you some money
00:02:45.000 | in your own investing journey.
00:02:46.000 | And then stay tuned for part two.
00:02:47.000 | I just thought about splitting this out
00:02:49.000 | into two separate episodes,
00:02:50.000 | but I've decided to just leave it together.
00:02:52.000 | Part two, we kind of pivot away from investing,
00:02:55.000 | and we move into the topic of,
00:02:56.000 | should I buy or should I rent?
00:02:58.000 | Doug's the author of a site called
00:03:00.000 | TheMilitaryGuide.com, which is one of the leading
00:03:02.000 | financial websites targeted with excellent information
00:03:06.000 | toward military personnel,
00:03:08.000 | and he knows what he's talking about,
00:03:10.000 | especially as being a former military person
00:03:14.000 | who has had to move countless times
00:03:17.000 | during the course of his career.
00:03:18.000 | Here we go.
00:03:19.000 | Doug, welcome back to the Radical Personal Finance podcast
00:03:24.000 | for your reprise performance here today.
00:03:27.000 | - Thanks, Joshua.
00:03:28.000 | It's good to be back.
00:03:29.000 | - So we first had you on the show
00:03:32.000 | for episode 114, where we talked about
00:03:35.000 | the history of the early retirement movement,
00:03:37.000 | and I perceive you in some ways
00:03:40.000 | as one of the kindly grandfathers
00:03:42.000 | of the online early retirement movement.
00:03:44.000 | (laughing)
00:03:45.000 | I don't know if you were a pioneer,
00:03:46.000 | but you're certainly at this point
00:03:48.000 | one of the elderly uncles or the kindly grandfathers
00:03:51.000 | who's been around for at least 20 years
00:03:53.000 | kind of keeping things on track,
00:03:54.000 | and that's really valuable to some of us young people
00:03:57.000 | coming up and trying to figure out the lay of the land.
00:03:59.000 | And so in episode 114, we talked in detail
00:04:02.000 | about some of the history,
00:04:04.000 | things I had never had an idea about,
00:04:07.000 | and it was well-received by the audience.
00:04:09.000 | But today I've got you back on,
00:04:10.000 | and we're gonna cover two subjects.
00:04:12.000 | Number one, angel investing,
00:04:14.000 | and number two, the rent versus own decision.
00:04:17.000 | I know you've got some strong feelings
00:04:19.000 | and some experience with both.
00:04:20.000 | I thought we'd kick it off with angel investing,
00:04:23.000 | if you're willing to do that.
00:04:24.000 | And to start with, would you share a little bit
00:04:27.000 | about your actual personal investment history
00:04:30.000 | as it comes to investing in individual companies?
00:04:34.000 | - Well, as most guys do,
00:04:37.000 | I consider myself to be a brilliant investor,
00:04:39.000 | and I've spent the last 30 years
00:04:40.000 | waiting for any indication that that actually has existed.
00:04:43.000 | - Are you thankful for your wife, like I am,
00:04:44.000 | that she helps me recognize
00:04:46.000 | that I'm not such a brilliant investor sometimes?
00:04:48.000 | - There's a note of rationality involved in my investment.
00:04:51.000 | But I seriously have spent a lot of time
00:04:54.000 | on individual stock analysis
00:04:56.000 | and finance business analysis,
00:04:58.000 | and gone through all the traditional accounting,
00:05:00.000 | basic accounting classes,
00:05:01.000 | and tried to figure out exactly what I'm doing.
00:05:04.000 | And I accelerated that when I retired
00:05:06.000 | because I suddenly had the time in my life to do it.
00:05:08.000 | When I was on active duty
00:05:09.000 | in the U.S. Navy's submarine force,
00:05:11.000 | I had no spare time at all.
00:05:13.000 | You would all sit around and talk about
00:05:15.000 | all the brilliant investor ideas you had
00:05:16.000 | when you were on watch or on duty,
00:05:18.000 | but you never really had enough time
00:05:19.000 | to do the serious research and tracking required.
00:05:22.000 | When I retired, I had that time,
00:05:23.000 | and I started doing it again with individual stocks.
00:05:26.000 | And I found out that, in general,
00:05:28.000 | if you approach it rationally
00:05:30.000 | and you are able to understand what you're doing,
00:05:33.000 | it's a function of the amount of time you put into it.
00:05:36.000 | And after about five years
00:05:37.000 | of working my way through all the typical,
00:05:39.000 | difficult individual stock analysis methods
00:05:42.000 | and buying and selling
00:05:43.000 | and even looking at trading options,
00:05:46.000 | I found out that I was spending way more time on that
00:05:48.000 | than I really wanted to spend.
00:05:49.000 | I decided I would rather spend my time surfing
00:05:52.000 | and enjoying life here in Hawaii
00:05:53.000 | than spending all my time tracking stocks.
00:05:56.000 | Having said that, there are a couple of ways
00:05:59.000 | to invest in individual stocks
00:06:00.000 | that don't take a lot of time.
00:06:02.000 | One of those is dividend investing.
00:06:05.000 | When you buy a dividend stock,
00:06:06.000 | you're probably going to do a lot of up-front analysis
00:06:08.000 | and then hold that stock for 15 or 20 years,
00:06:11.000 | and you really don't have to keep much of an eye on it
00:06:13.000 | unless they freeze their dividend or cut their dividend.
00:06:16.000 | But it's a lot of initial work to analyze it
00:06:18.000 | and then not much work to sit back and collect the dividends
00:06:21.000 | and make sure things are on track.
00:06:23.000 | I'll also say that you, as an individual investor,
00:06:27.000 | need to be fascinated by the type of investing that you do
00:06:30.000 | if you want to go out and pick stocks.
00:06:32.000 | If it turns into a chore, if it's no fun,
00:06:34.000 | you're going to have sleepless nights,
00:06:36.000 | and you're going to neglect your research
00:06:38.000 | and your other duties that are involved
00:06:40.000 | with keeping track of those individual equities.
00:06:42.000 | One of the reasons I do angel investing
00:06:45.000 | is because it still fascinates me.
00:06:47.000 | I also have learned quite a bit about analysis
00:06:50.000 | of stocks and companies through angel investing.
00:06:52.000 | I've learned a lot more about analyzing individual stocks
00:06:55.000 | in publicly traded companies than I had
00:06:57.000 | when I was reading all the information available
00:06:59.000 | out there on the internet for individual stock picking.
00:07:02.000 | So angel investing made me a better investor overall.
00:07:05.000 | And I've also found out that it's more than just showing up
00:07:08.000 | and watching an investor give you a pitch and writing a check.
00:07:11.000 | You're actually developing a relationship,
00:07:13.000 | almost a one-on-one relationship,
00:07:15.000 | with the companies you invest in,
00:07:17.000 | and that can be a little scary.
00:07:19.000 | But you also find out exactly what is going on in the company.
00:07:23.000 | You find out what their concerns and their methods are,
00:07:26.000 | and you might even form friendships with these people,
00:07:29.000 | if not at least a mentor relationship.
00:07:32.000 | You'll also, from the advising you do,
00:07:34.000 | learn more about the company and decide
00:07:36.000 | if this is something you want to keep on doing.
00:07:38.000 | I will say that the investors that start angel investing
00:07:42.000 | are either tech entrepreneurs in their 20s
00:07:45.000 | who have had a liquidity event.
00:07:47.000 | You know, they've cashed in on a startup
00:07:49.000 | or some other major life event,
00:07:50.000 | and they finally have enough money to do angel investing.
00:07:53.000 | Or it's guys like me.
00:07:54.000 | You know, they're in their 50s, they have enough money,
00:07:56.000 | they are retired or working part-time,
00:07:59.000 | and they are curious about this
00:08:00.000 | and get into angel investing as a sort of a business mentor.
00:08:04.000 | And that's the way I got started into it.
00:08:07.000 | Certainly, it seems a lot more exciting,
00:08:10.000 | especially to be involved with a local...
00:08:11.000 | Exciting, yeah, that's a good word for it.
00:08:13.000 | Yeah, especially if you're involved in a local basis.
00:08:15.000 | I got somehow wandered in,
00:08:17.000 | in my wanderings in the financial world,
00:08:19.000 | into a local investment club, I guess,
00:08:22.000 | an investment organization.
00:08:24.000 | And then I started getting interviews
00:08:25.000 | to all of these luncheon meetings at fancy restaurants.
00:08:28.000 | And so different CEOs would come in as part of their roadshow,
00:08:32.000 | while they're basically getting ready to...
00:08:34.000 | Whether they were getting ready for an IPO
00:08:36.000 | or whether they were in some of the...
00:08:38.000 | Still in the private stages of funding.
00:08:40.000 | And I just remember kind of having...
00:08:42.000 | I had been trained in the world of mutual funds,
00:08:45.000 | and I had been trained in the world of discipline.
00:08:47.000 | Don't get involved in things.
00:08:49.000 | And all of a sudden, my eyes are opened
00:08:51.000 | to the wonder that is the next pharmaceutical company.
00:08:54.000 | And here you got the CEO standing in front of you,
00:08:56.000 | talking about, "Well, we just finished stage three trials,
00:08:59.000 | and look at our results, and this is so exciting."
00:09:01.000 | And you get the itchy fingers to start putting your money in,
00:09:04.000 | because it's exciting.
00:09:05.000 | Been there.
00:09:06.000 | One thing I've learned is that the CEO
00:09:08.000 | is probably the best sales guy in the company.
00:09:11.000 | Founders have a special passion, all of their very own,
00:09:14.000 | that you've got to take into account.
00:09:15.000 | And there's nothing wrong with that.
00:09:16.000 | You can't start a company
00:09:17.000 | without that special passion that a founder has.
00:09:20.000 | But they also will tend to be blinded
00:09:23.000 | to other dangers or risks that the angel investor--
00:09:26.000 | the angel investor's job is to look out for that
00:09:28.000 | during the due diligence and feed that back to the founder.
00:09:31.000 | But you made a good point earlier.
00:09:33.000 | Angel investing is a great way to get involved
00:09:35.000 | in your local community with what's called impact investing.
00:09:38.000 | And when you do impact investing
00:09:40.000 | in your local area, town, county, or state,
00:09:43.000 | you may also find out that there are other
00:09:46.000 | offsetting investments that will either match yours
00:09:49.000 | or give you some tax credits to help lay off the risk.
00:09:51.000 | And so the way I got started in angel investing
00:09:54.000 | seven years ago was when the state of Hawaii
00:09:56.000 | used to offer tax credits for your investments.
00:09:59.000 | Depending on what companies you invested in,
00:10:01.000 | you could get a tax credit of 100%
00:10:04.000 | of the amount of money you invested into the company.
00:10:06.000 | Not every company, exactly.
00:10:08.000 | It was unprecedented.
00:10:09.000 | No one else in America was doing it at the time,
00:10:12.000 | and everybody thought Hawaii was nuts.
00:10:14.000 | Hawaii eventually came to its senses in 2010
00:10:17.000 | and phased out that 100% tax credits program.
00:10:20.000 | And today, there are different incentives,
00:10:23.000 | and most of them involve matching funds from the state.
00:10:25.000 | But when somebody starts angel investing,
00:10:27.000 | one of the things to check out right away
00:10:29.000 | is to see if there's any way to hedge your investments
00:10:31.000 | with tax credits or matching funds from the state
00:10:34.000 | or local authorities or other angels.
00:10:37.000 | Going into angel investing is not something
00:10:40.000 | you should do by yourself.
00:10:42.000 | The best way to become an angel investor
00:10:44.000 | is to join a group, an angel group,
00:10:46.000 | and I can talk a little bit about that
00:10:47.000 | as we go through the topic.
00:10:49.000 | Let's start with an actual definition.
00:10:51.000 | In your mind, how do you define angel investing?
00:10:54.000 | That's a very good question.
00:10:56.000 | And the next time our angel group gets together,
00:10:58.000 | we're going to have to ask ourselves
00:10:59.000 | just what the heck we're doing.
00:11:01.000 | There really is no strict definition
00:11:03.000 | unless your angel group has set that up in their charter.
00:11:06.000 | What we try to do here--
00:11:07.000 | I'm a member of two groups, actually.
00:11:09.000 | One group is Hawaii Angels,
00:11:11.000 | and the second group is Blue Startups.
00:11:14.000 | And Hawaii Angels looks preferentially
00:11:17.000 | at investments in the state of Hawaii
00:11:19.000 | or investments that would benefit the state of Hawaii.
00:11:22.000 | For example, somebody may come in from the mainland
00:11:24.000 | to do something here in Hawaii.
00:11:26.000 | When you live on an island in the middle of the Pacific,
00:11:28.000 | there are a lot of small market ideas
00:11:30.000 | that you can test out here
00:11:31.000 | without having to worry about rolling things out nationwide
00:11:34.000 | or having somebody compete with you.
00:11:36.000 | It's not uncommon for a company to come to Hawaii and say,
00:11:39.000 | "Well, you guys have a tiny little electric grid,
00:11:41.000 | "so our amazing storage battery
00:11:43.000 | "will not take down the whole state's energy infrastructure
00:11:46.000 | "if this doesn't work out well."
00:11:48.000 | Or they'll work on some kind of advanced biopharmaceutical
00:11:52.000 | or biogenetic product,
00:11:54.000 | or they'll just try something in a very small market
00:11:57.000 | that they know they can work on
00:11:58.000 | without having to worry too much about competition.
00:12:01.000 | We also favor investments that go around the Pacific Rim.
00:12:04.000 | If we have an opportunity to work with a startup
00:12:06.000 | that's going to impact the visitor industry
00:12:08.000 | or work with Asian countries, then we'll favor that.
00:12:12.000 | But we really want to try to make Hawaii a better state
00:12:15.000 | by improving the entrepreneurship
00:12:17.000 | and the support for founders.
00:12:19.000 | Are you willing to sacrifice the potential financial returns
00:12:24.000 | in favor of some of those other social returns,
00:12:26.000 | or is financial return still king
00:12:29.000 | and that's just kind of nice to have?
00:12:31.000 | Well, judging by my record,
00:12:32.000 | you would think I'd be willing to sacrifice everything
00:12:35.000 | to the point where I'm an angel philanthropist,
00:12:37.000 | and we joke about that a lot.
00:12:39.000 | I can't tell you that I've made any money
00:12:41.000 | from angel investing yet because I haven't,
00:12:43.000 | but what I have done is invested in a number of companies
00:12:47.000 | where you want to have an angel-type return.
00:12:50.000 | A founder, when he starts out, has two choices.
00:12:52.000 | The founder can start a business that will pay an income
00:12:55.000 | for the rest of their life
00:12:56.000 | and take care of them and their family.
00:12:58.000 | We call that a lifestyle business.
00:13:00.000 | If the founder has a real good idea on their hands,
00:13:03.000 | then they may be able to grow that into a business,
00:13:05.000 | and the bigger the business gets,
00:13:06.000 | the more profitable it becomes,
00:13:08.000 | and the more they're running a corporation.
00:13:10.000 | In fact, if they get to the point
00:13:11.000 | where the company is worth, say, a billion dollars,
00:13:14.000 | if it was sold to another company,
00:13:16.000 | in angel investing, we refer to that as unicorns.
00:13:19.000 | That's the next Facebook, the next Google,
00:13:21.000 | Twitter, LinkedIn, something like that.
00:13:24.000 | And in between is a sweet spot
00:13:26.000 | where an angel investor could reasonably hope
00:13:29.000 | that they would get a return
00:13:30.000 | of about six to ten times their initial investment.
00:13:34.000 | If you get 20 times of the return
00:13:36.000 | on your initial investment,
00:13:37.000 | then that might only happen once or twice
00:13:39.000 | in your entire angel investing career.
00:13:41.000 | I know one famous founder in Silicon Valley,
00:13:44.000 | once he cashed out and became an angel investor,
00:13:47.000 | was very active and kept track.
00:13:50.000 | Not all angel investors share their track record,
00:13:52.000 | and this one did.
00:13:53.000 | And over 100 companies that he invested in,
00:13:56.000 | his returns came from just four companies,
00:14:00.000 | and every one of them returned six to ten,
00:14:02.000 | one of them returned 20 to one.
00:14:04.000 | So he made a profit.
00:14:05.000 | He made a good profit.
00:14:06.000 | It wasn't overall six to ten times
00:14:08.000 | his initial investment.
00:14:09.000 | He got his money back and made some more
00:14:11.000 | in addition to that.
00:14:12.000 | The result, though, was that he did invest
00:14:14.000 | in 100 companies and greatly accelerate
00:14:16.000 | the startup scene in Silicon Valley,
00:14:18.000 | but his returns only came from those four companies.
00:14:21.000 | - So we know from our past episode
00:14:24.000 | a little bit about your personal investment philosophy,
00:14:27.000 | and if memory is correct,
00:14:29.000 | you have a primarily passive portfolio
00:14:33.000 | built to provide your income.
00:14:35.000 | How do you approach your own personal
00:14:37.000 | asset allocation decisions,
00:14:38.000 | trying to figure out what's an appropriate amount
00:14:41.000 | of your net wealth to invest in
00:14:43.000 | this type of hands-on angel investing
00:14:45.000 | versus just buying index funds
00:14:48.000 | and leaving them alone?
00:14:50.000 | - You mentioned being taken to fancy restaurants
00:14:53.000 | and getting to talk with fascinating people,
00:14:55.000 | and that's very seductive.
00:14:57.000 | And so as an angel investor,
00:14:58.000 | you have to have an iron discipline
00:15:00.000 | on your timing and the amount of money
00:15:02.000 | you're going to invest.
00:15:03.000 | And I made that decision early on.
00:15:05.000 | In fact, the number one reason
00:15:07.000 | that I became an angel investor
00:15:08.000 | is so that when I'm older
00:15:10.000 | and when my cognition is no longer at its peak,
00:15:13.000 | that I'm not tempted by the idea of angel investing
00:15:16.000 | and getting me some of them startup companies.
00:15:18.000 | I'm doing angel investing now
00:15:20.000 | while I'm still, I hope, relatively rational
00:15:22.000 | and able to understand what I'm doing.
00:15:24.000 | And by doing it now,
00:15:25.000 | I ideally will work through it all
00:15:27.000 | and understand it all,
00:15:28.000 | and the glamour will have faded
00:15:30.000 | and I'll have more or less immunized myself
00:15:32.000 | against the temptation
00:15:33.000 | when I'm in my 70s or 80s.
00:15:35.000 | That was the main reason I started angel investing
00:15:37.000 | was because I had an opportunity to learn about it
00:15:39.000 | while I was young and able to do it well.
00:15:41.000 | And I quickly realized that,
00:15:42.000 | just like any other asset,
00:15:43.000 | it's part of your overall asset allocation plan,
00:15:46.000 | and I try to limit my investment
00:15:48.000 | to 10 to 15% of my portfolio
00:15:50.000 | in angel investments.
00:15:52.000 | I also, over the years,
00:15:54.000 | have led all the small cap value exchange-traded funds
00:15:58.000 | that we were invested in
00:15:59.000 | as part of our asset allocation
00:16:00.000 | head on down to a smaller level.
00:16:02.000 | In other words, I tilted the portfolio
00:16:05.000 | a little bit toward angel investing
00:16:07.000 | with that 10%, 15% limit in my portfolio,
00:16:10.000 | and I also cut back when the time was right
00:16:13.000 | on the riskiest of our other assets,
00:16:16.000 | which was small cap value exchange-traded funds.
00:16:19.000 | So our portfolio overall is still over 90% equities.
00:16:23.000 | It's still considered very risky,
00:16:25.000 | and I would advise anybody trying this at home
00:16:27.000 | that you want to join an angel investing group
00:16:30.000 | of trained professionals,
00:16:31.000 | but the other reason I got involved in this
00:16:33.000 | is because I do have a military pension,
00:16:35.000 | and if I completely lose my mind
00:16:37.000 | and blow all my money on the next Google
00:16:39.000 | or hoping to find the next Google,
00:16:41.000 | at least every month I'll still have
00:16:42.000 | my military pension check coming in
00:16:44.000 | to save me from my own stupidity.
00:16:47.000 | I like your approach, and I love talking with you
00:16:48.000 | because you're one of the more rational people
00:16:50.000 | when it comes to investment and portfolio creation
00:16:54.000 | and specifically driving it off of your personal goals.
00:16:56.000 | That's my beef with much of the financial industry
00:16:58.000 | is that instead of driving it off
00:17:00.000 | of your personal goals and figuring out
00:17:02.000 | this is what's important to me,
00:17:04.000 | now what kind of portfolio will serve this lifestyle,
00:17:06.000 | then we flip it around and say,
00:17:08.000 | "What kind of portfolio should I have
00:17:10.000 | "before we figure out what's even important to us?"
00:17:13.000 | - Well, it is a function of the amount of time
00:17:14.000 | you want to spend on it.
00:17:16.000 | For example, I spent my first few years
00:17:18.000 | simply going to angel meetings
00:17:19.000 | and learning everything I could
00:17:20.000 | and reading books and websites,
00:17:22.000 | but then after the first couple of years,
00:17:24.000 | I joined what in our organization
00:17:26.000 | is our screening committee,
00:17:28.000 | where the very first pitch from the entrepreneur
00:17:31.000 | comes in to a small group of the angels
00:17:33.000 | and we figure out if it's worth conducting the next meeting
00:17:36.000 | and having the pitch given to the full group.
00:17:38.000 | And that screening committee was an interesting exercise
00:17:42.000 | in seeing pitches when they were still raw
00:17:45.000 | and relatively undeveloped
00:17:46.000 | and feeding back to the founder
00:17:48.000 | how they would have to tailor their pitch
00:17:50.000 | to make it attractive to the Hawaii angels.
00:17:52.000 | I learned a lot from the screening committee.
00:17:54.000 | And then when Blue Startups came along,
00:17:57.000 | I watched that for a couple of years
00:17:59.000 | and it looks like it's going to do a great job.
00:18:01.000 | And I joined Blue Startups as an investor,
00:18:05.000 | but I also volunteer for some of the activities
00:18:07.000 | that they do there.
00:18:08.000 | Blue Startups is what's called an incubator or accelerator,
00:18:11.000 | and I join in when they need angel investors
00:18:14.000 | to come in and provide an audience
00:18:16.000 | or to provide some advice to the mentors
00:18:18.000 | on certain specific topics.
00:18:19.000 | And again, every time you have to go
00:18:21.000 | step up in front of a crowd of founders,
00:18:23.000 | you have to have a good game
00:18:24.000 | and you have to be able to articulate
00:18:26.000 | what's important to the angel investors
00:18:28.000 | so that the founder can make sure
00:18:30.000 | that their company design and their financing
00:18:32.000 | matches those interests.
00:18:33.000 | - What is the average size of investment
00:18:38.000 | that your group is pooling
00:18:40.000 | and how much do the individuals in your group
00:18:42.000 | need to be prepared to commit
00:18:44.000 | in order to get involved
00:18:45.000 | in the way that you guys are structuring it?
00:18:48.000 | - I'll say that compromises are made
00:18:51.000 | in order to keep the group
00:18:52.000 | at a comfortable size of people
00:18:54.000 | willing to join and hang around.
00:18:56.000 | If you make it too expensive
00:18:57.000 | or if you set the minimums too high,
00:18:59.000 | you're going to find out
00:19:00.000 | that your angel investing group
00:19:01.000 | has come down to barely enough
00:19:03.000 | to fill a bridge table with four people.
00:19:05.000 | Having said that,
00:19:06.000 | when we founded Hawaii Angels back in 2002,
00:19:10.000 | the idea was that investors,
00:19:12.000 | the individual angels,
00:19:13.000 | would make an investment every year or two.
00:19:16.000 | Today, we say vaguer words
00:19:19.000 | that say that the angel will commit
00:19:22.000 | to making an investment of about $50,000 to $100,000
00:19:25.000 | over the next two to three years.
00:19:27.000 | We leave it at that.
00:19:29.000 | Nobody calls you up
00:19:30.000 | and checks on how many companies
00:19:31.000 | or startups you've invested in
00:19:32.000 | over the last two or three years.
00:19:34.000 | Nobody tracks how much you've written
00:19:36.000 | to a certain company
00:19:37.000 | or how many checks you've written.
00:19:38.000 | There is voluntary data gathering
00:19:40.000 | and we all communicate what we've done
00:19:42.000 | so that we all can talk with each other
00:19:43.000 | and make sure we know
00:19:44.000 | who's invested in our startups with each other.
00:19:46.000 | We try to keep it loose and flexible
00:19:48.000 | so that more people can come in
00:19:50.000 | and just learn about Hawaii Angels
00:19:51.000 | and have some experience
00:19:52.000 | and get familiar with the concept.
00:19:54.000 | We found out that if you welcome people
00:19:57.000 | and don't expect them
00:19:58.000 | to initially make a huge commitment,
00:20:00.000 | then within a year or two,
00:20:01.000 | they'll start investing
00:20:02.000 | and four or five years later,
00:20:03.000 | they may have invested quite a bit.
00:20:05.000 | Are decisions and investments made individually
00:20:09.000 | or are they decided on collectively?
00:20:12.000 | The answer to that one is yes.
00:20:14.000 | There's many ways to structure an investment
00:20:17.000 | in a startup company.
00:20:18.000 | After the founder makes his pitch,
00:20:20.000 | we do the due diligence
00:20:21.000 | and the people that are still interested
00:20:23.000 | will make their initial investments
00:20:25.000 | and they're usually individual.
00:20:27.000 | For example, the company, the startup,
00:20:29.000 | will be looking for $250,000
00:20:32.000 | and we'll have Angels
00:20:33.000 | who typically invest $25,000
00:20:36.000 | in an individual company
00:20:37.000 | or maybe they're a little more affluent
00:20:39.000 | and they're willing to invest $100,000
00:20:41.000 | in a company.
00:20:42.000 | We do have a couple of Angels
00:20:44.000 | who have had successful startups of their own
00:20:47.000 | or they've been very successful in their careers
00:20:49.000 | and have quite a high net worth
00:20:50.000 | and if they find a company
00:20:52.000 | that is right up their alley
00:20:54.000 | and that they're fascinated by
00:20:55.000 | and that they really are interested in,
00:20:56.000 | it's not uncommon for one or two of the Angels
00:20:58.000 | to invest over a quarter million dollars
00:21:00.000 | in an individual company.
00:21:01.000 | So when that startup comes to the Hawaii Angels,
00:21:04.000 | we are relatively confident
00:21:06.000 | that we can have the company get as much
00:21:08.000 | as about $300,000 to $400,000 from the whole group.
00:21:11.000 | We just don't know how many collective individuals
00:21:13.000 | we have to have that will put that amount of money together.
00:21:17.000 | I'll also say that there are sometimes
00:21:19.000 | special aspects of a deal
00:21:20.000 | where several Angels will get together
00:21:22.000 | and form a little group
00:21:24.000 | and that little group will be
00:21:25.000 | its own limited liability corporation
00:21:28.000 | and LLC will take investments into the LLC
00:21:30.000 | and then track those investments from the Hawaii Angels
00:21:33.000 | and then make that investment
00:21:34.000 | as one big check to the startup company.
00:21:36.000 | We generally do that for special tax situations
00:21:39.000 | or special Hawaii state issues
00:21:42.000 | that are different than what the investor
00:21:44.000 | or the startup company was planning to do
00:21:46.000 | when they first came to Hawaii Angels.
00:21:48.000 | To summarize it though,
00:21:50.000 | after the due diligence we say,
00:21:52.000 | "Who's interested? Thumbs up or thumbs down?"
00:21:53.000 | and then we start talking about
00:21:54.000 | how much you're going to invest.
00:21:55.000 | And if the startup founder is looking for $250,000,
00:21:59.000 | then generally it's not too difficult
00:22:01.000 | to find five to ten people
00:22:02.000 | willing to write checks of $25,000 each.
00:22:06.000 | Are you subject to accredited investor limitations?
00:22:11.000 | Yes, those are all over the internet,
00:22:13.000 | but the SEC limits for any Hawaii Angels group,
00:22:16.000 | any Angels group, are the same.
00:22:18.000 | You've got to have investable assets of a million dollars
00:22:21.000 | and that means that we're not going to count
00:22:23.000 | your home equity that you might have
00:22:26.000 | from real estate or rental properties.
00:22:28.000 | It's got to be money that you could reasonably expect
00:22:31.000 | to cash out and write a check for
00:22:33.000 | if your Angel investments went bad.
00:22:35.000 | That's just what the SEC requires.
00:22:37.000 | Some high income individuals are also Angel investors
00:22:40.000 | because they'll make over $200,000 a year in salary
00:22:43.000 | or they, with their spouse,
00:22:45.000 | will make over $300,000 a year in salary.
00:22:48.000 | So those are the three requirements the SEC has.
00:22:51.000 | And the SEC is perpetually on the edge
00:22:53.000 | of raising those requirements.
00:22:54.000 | The last numbers I heard were that Angel investors
00:22:57.000 | were going to have to have somewhere between
00:22:59.000 | $3 million and $5 million in investable assets,
00:23:03.000 | but nothing has come of that yet.
00:23:05.000 | Those accredited investor requirements,
00:23:08.000 | again, nobody sits down and goes over your books.
00:23:11.000 | Nobody requires you to come up with a list
00:23:13.000 | of the things in your net worth.
00:23:14.000 | All you do is you sign an affidavit that says,
00:23:16.000 | "I meet the requirements of being an accredited investor."
00:23:20.000 | You'll sign an affidavit like that
00:23:22.000 | when you join an Angel investing group
00:23:24.000 | and the individual startup founders
00:23:25.000 | are also required to make sure that they take money
00:23:28.000 | from accredited investors as well,
00:23:30.000 | so they'll have an affidavit too.
00:23:31.000 | The whole reason behind all this is so that
00:23:34.000 | when you, the Angel investor,
00:23:36.000 | lose all your money in that startup
00:23:38.000 | two or three years down the road,
00:23:39.000 | that you're not complaining that they told you
00:23:43.000 | that this was a publicly traded corporation
00:23:45.000 | or otherwise misled you as an ignorant investor.
00:23:48.000 | The idea of the accredited investor
00:23:50.000 | is that you're sophisticated enough, or should be,
00:23:53.000 | and well enough educated that you are able to
00:23:56.000 | be responsible for the investment
00:23:57.000 | and understand that it could go under any time.
00:23:59.000 | And we've seen that happen.
00:24:01.000 | So the accredited investor requirements
00:24:03.000 | are put together by the Angel group itself
00:24:05.000 | and by the startup.
00:24:07.000 | Hawaii Angels is also a member of a national organization,
00:24:10.000 | the Angel Capital Association,
00:24:12.000 | and they require that the Angel groups
00:24:14.000 | be made up of accredited investors.
00:24:17.000 | - I was taught when I originally got into
00:24:19.000 | the investment business that the primary reason
00:24:24.000 | for the accredited investor rules
00:24:27.000 | was to protect the general public
00:24:29.000 | from, as you just said, being fleeced.
00:24:31.000 | That was what I was taught.
00:24:33.000 | There are many alternative views on that,
00:24:35.000 | one of which is to say, well, this is a special item
00:24:39.000 | of legislation which restricts some of the
00:24:41.000 | more profitable markets to the wealthy,
00:24:44.000 | and those are the ones who've influenced the legislation.
00:24:47.000 | - That's right, to the elites.
00:24:49.000 | - Do you have an opinion on that?
00:24:51.000 | - My opinion is that it's designed to minimize
00:24:54.000 | the litigation that goes on in a business.
00:24:56.000 | The startup founders want to have an access to capital
00:24:59.000 | without having to constantly defend what they're doing
00:25:02.000 | or even fight off lawsuits.
00:25:04.000 | A startup company really doesn't have enough money
00:25:06.000 | to fight off legal action.
00:25:08.000 | The accredited investor requirements set a bar for entry
00:25:12.000 | so that the startup founder knows
00:25:14.000 | that the group they're talking to
00:25:16.000 | is relatively sophisticated and able to understand
00:25:19.000 | all the risks of Angel investing.
00:25:21.000 | I think it's there to protect startup founders
00:25:23.000 | as much as it is to keep the public from being fleeced.
00:25:26.000 | If the public wants to go out and get fleeced,
00:25:29.000 | that is what the intent is of the JOBS Act
00:25:32.000 | and crowdsourcing and crowdfunding.
00:25:34.000 | Those initiatives are all very good.
00:25:36.000 | They're bringing more capital into the startup business
00:25:38.000 | and more people are able to tap capital
00:25:40.000 | to start their companies up.
00:25:42.000 | But there will be people that will be fleeced
00:25:44.000 | by crowdfunding initiatives and by things
00:25:46.000 | that the JOBS Act is hoping to prevent,
00:25:48.000 | but there will always be people that get around it
00:25:50.000 | one way or another.
00:25:51.000 | I think, again, the best way to become an Angel investor
00:25:54.000 | is to meet those accredited investor requirements
00:25:57.000 | and along the way you'll become educated enough,
00:26:00.000 | experienced enough anyway,
00:26:01.000 | to be able to understand what you're getting involved in
00:26:04.000 | and to also be the right kind of Angel investor.
00:26:08.000 | The right kind of Angel investor isn't necessarily
00:26:10.000 | the guy who's willing to write big checks.
00:26:12.000 | It's more the guy that brings some value
00:26:14.000 | to the startup along with their money.
00:26:18.000 | I'd love to hear a few stories
00:26:20.000 | of some of the investments that you've made.
00:26:22.000 | I'd like to start with the one
00:26:24.000 | that was the biggest surprise to you
00:26:27.000 | and, if possible, the company that you were the most sure of
00:26:32.000 | that the performance hasn't so far, at least, met expectation.
00:26:36.000 | What would be the story behind that type of company?
00:26:39.000 | One of the very first investments I made back in 2008
00:26:43.000 | was in a small cardiac company called Inovasc.
00:26:47.000 | That's Innovative Vascular Surgery.
00:26:50.000 | Inovasc started out as a better stent.
00:26:53.000 | Instead of the typical stent of the era of 2008,
00:26:56.000 | they wanted to make a stent that would do a good job
00:26:59.000 | without any of the drawbacks of typical corporate stents
00:27:02.000 | that were available from places like Johnson & Johnson.
00:27:05.000 | The founder is pretty much two guys.
00:27:09.000 | One is a cardiologist, of course.
00:27:11.000 | He's a very talented doctor.
00:27:12.000 | He literally wrote the textbooks on implanting stents in people.
00:27:16.000 | The other guy is fascinating.
00:27:18.000 | He's never had a regular job.
00:27:20.000 | He has been on one contract or one startup job after another
00:27:23.000 | for the last 20 years, as soon as he was in college.
00:27:26.000 | He's a materials scientist.
00:27:27.000 | He was able to develop incredible stent technology
00:27:31.000 | that let doctors of any specialty in implanting stents
00:27:36.000 | be able to use the system and implant the stent
00:27:39.000 | with a high degree of reliability.
00:27:41.000 | At the time, we expected this would be an investment.
00:27:44.000 | It had been 3, maybe 4 years before it was bought by a major company.
00:27:47.000 | But as the cardiologist developed more of the techniques and the technology,
00:27:51.000 | and as they got better at what they were doing,
00:27:53.000 | they realized there were other applications for this stent
00:27:55.000 | other than just sticking them in people's heart arteries.
00:27:58.000 | Now it's moved into treating what's known as peripheral artery diseases.
00:28:03.000 | That's essentially where the blood vessels in your lower legs
00:28:07.000 | and your lower arms don't necessarily pump enough blood
00:28:10.000 | to your toes and fingers.
00:28:12.000 | It's a very big problem for diabetics.
00:28:14.000 | So over the last 7 years, this company has improved its technology
00:28:19.000 | and made these stents smaller and smaller and easier to implant
00:28:23.000 | and more reliable.
00:28:25.000 | They've been doing human trials for most of that 7 years.
00:28:28.000 | The company has grown over the years and has taken in additional investments
00:28:33.000 | and is doing wonderful.
00:28:34.000 | I think that's the one that's going to pay off.
00:28:36.000 | Now there's a couple of reasons I think it's going to pay off.
00:28:38.000 | One reason is because it got a brilliant founder and co-founder.
00:28:41.000 | Another reason is because most angel companies in the medical technical world
00:28:46.000 | require about 5 to 8 years to pay off.
00:28:48.000 | So we are in the window where they're going to come to the attention
00:28:51.000 | of an Abbott or a Johnson & Johnson or some other major medical company
00:28:56.000 | that will buy them for the work they've done so far.
00:28:59.000 | Part of that is milestones in medtech companies getting the European Union's
00:29:03.000 | certification or getting the American FDA's certification.
00:29:07.000 | They're just about there on the American side.
00:29:09.000 | They've already got the European certification.
00:29:11.000 | So all these are good things to see in a company as it goes along,
00:29:15.000 | but it still takes 5 to 8 years.
00:29:17.000 | You don't really know what you're going to get back once the company is liquid.
00:29:22.000 | Once the liquidity event occurs, it could be an IPO,
00:29:25.000 | which is not very popular these days.
00:29:28.000 | It's probably going to be an acquisition by a larger company.
00:29:31.000 | Those are a good deal because the larger corporation sees something in your startup.
00:29:36.000 | You don't know what you're going to get though in terms of whether you're going
00:29:39.000 | to be given cash for the company or whether you're going to exchange your
00:29:42.000 | highly illiquid startup stock for the less illiquid stock of a publicly traded corporation.
00:29:50.000 | If I was to get Johnson & Johnson stock as my share of the cash out,
00:29:53.000 | well, maybe that would be of value to me or maybe I'd sell it immediately.
00:29:56.000 | I really don't know.
00:29:58.000 | So you don't really know how the payoff is going to work and what percentage
00:30:01.000 | you're going to see, and that's always a big factor in the investments.
00:30:05.000 | But again, that was my first angel investment,
00:30:07.000 | and I feel fortunate that I had good mentors in Hawaii Angels who helped me realize
00:30:12.000 | this is a good opportunity, and I've also been able to track it for seven years
00:30:15.000 | and get a better perspective and a better education as we went along.
00:30:18.000 | Why are IPOs less popular now than in the past?
00:30:21.000 | Well, they're very expensive.
00:30:23.000 | When you do an IPO, about 7% of the money you raise goes to the financial firm
00:30:28.000 | that helps coach you through the IPO, and you have to have that firm.
00:30:31.000 | You can't do a successful IPO without it.
00:30:33.000 | So Goldman Sachs or whoever you work with will take their cut.
00:30:37.000 | If an IPO goes well, then your stock is listed, let's say, at $25 a share on the
00:30:45.000 | initial day, and maybe it goes up to $26, $27, $30 a share.
00:30:49.000 | That's a good IPO.
00:30:50.000 | That means you priced it correctly.
00:30:52.000 | If you go for $25 a share and the NASDAQ investors bid that up to $150 per share,
00:30:58.000 | you, the startup founder, and you, the investor, you had no idea what you were
00:31:02.000 | doing.
00:31:03.000 | You priced it wrong, and you left a lot of your money on the table by having it
00:31:06.000 | rise so much when you went public.
00:31:08.000 | So that's a failure.
00:31:10.000 | IPOs are also subject to a lot of scrutiny, regulatory scrutiny.
00:31:13.000 | And from the investor perspective, once you've done the IPO, you still can't sell
00:31:18.000 | your shares in the stock.
00:31:20.000 | There's that lock-up period of six months after the IPO before the investors,
00:31:24.000 | the early investors, are able to put their shares in the market and sell their
00:31:27.000 | shares.
00:31:28.000 | So it all tends to be a little more difficult.
00:31:31.000 | It's exciting, and it's fun to watch, but it all tends to be a little
00:31:35.000 | disappointing in the end financially because of the lock-up period and the
00:31:38.000 | volatility in the stock after the initial public offering.
00:31:42.000 | I would much rather be bought out by Johnson & Johnson for hundreds of
00:31:45.000 | millions of dollars in an event that has a known figure on it.
00:31:49.000 | We know exactly what we're getting, and as soon as we acquire the shares from
00:31:52.000 | the acquiring company, then we can sell those in the open market or keep them
00:31:55.000 | for ourselves.
00:31:57.000 | Have you had a total loss yet?
00:31:59.000 | Oh, yes.
00:32:00.000 | Let me run by some numbers here.
00:32:02.000 | And again, keep in mind I'm a military retiree with a pension.
00:32:05.000 | If I completely mess this up, I've still got a pension check coming in every
00:32:08.000 | month.
00:32:09.000 | With that disclaimer, I'll say I've invested in a total of nine startup
00:32:12.000 | companies.
00:32:14.000 | Every one of the checks that I've written to those startup companies has been an
00:32:17.000 | initial investment of $25,000.
00:32:19.000 | So we're already almost a quarter million dollars into it.
00:32:22.000 | And of those nine companies, four of them, and over the last eight years, have
00:32:27.000 | failed.
00:32:28.000 | One of them failed in less than 18 months.
00:32:31.000 | It was an unforeseen disaster, of course.
00:32:34.000 | I don't have any disasters that I anticipated.
00:32:36.000 | But this one had a wonderful idea in biofuel, and it looked like a great idea
00:32:42.000 | in 2008 when oil was $140 a barrel.
00:32:45.000 | But it's not such a great idea when oil is only $60 a barrel.
00:32:48.000 | We didn't see what would happen in the market with the price of oil and how
00:32:51.000 | that would affect this company's ability to raise funds.
00:32:54.000 | So it's a case where a startup had wonderful technology, and it still is
00:32:57.000 | wonderful.
00:32:58.000 | And if oil gets up to $140 a barrel, that entrepreneur may jump right back in
00:33:02.000 | with a new startup company.
00:33:04.000 | The other three failed for another variety of reasons.
00:33:06.000 | But one of the reasons, again, a common factor, I invested in a company that
00:33:11.000 | made solar power systems that were based off of heating fluids, using the sun to
00:33:16.000 | heat fluids instead of using the sun on photovoltaic panels.
00:33:19.000 | And this alternative solar energy company, again, was doing wonderful things for
00:33:24.000 | isolated islands and third world countries where they had a lot of sunshine but not
00:33:28.000 | much electrical infrastructure.
00:33:30.000 | Again, though, we didn't anticipate that the large solar photovoltaic panel market
00:33:35.000 | would crash the price of solar hardware so quickly or so deeply.
00:33:40.000 | And this company just couldn't sell any of its gear because everybody could buy
00:33:44.000 | photovoltaic panels for a relatively cheap price, and they didn't need this more
00:33:48.000 | advanced technology.
00:33:49.000 | So when you start with a company as an angel investor, you look for two things.
00:33:54.000 | You want to have a company where everything has to fail for that company to
00:34:00.000 | shut down.
00:34:02.000 | You want to have a company where they've got a founder who you know and you can
00:34:05.000 | work with, or they've got a great idea that's already got traction among
00:34:08.000 | customers, and it looks like only a total meteor strike extension event could take
00:34:13.000 | that company down.
00:34:15.000 | The other company you want to watch out for is the company where everything has
00:34:18.000 | to go right for it to succeed.
00:34:21.000 | And for that, you generally will walk away with a lot of regrets because it's just
00:34:26.000 | too risky, but it could be the next 20 to 1 payoff like Google or Facebook.
00:34:32.000 | So a company where everything has to succeed for the company to do well is a
00:34:38.000 | very risky investment, but it's generally very attractive.
00:34:40.000 | They look like a great idea.
00:34:42.000 | There's just a lot of risks and it's difficult to quantify.
00:34:45.000 | I am at an angel investing point in my education where I would prefer to invest
00:34:51.000 | in a company where everything has to go wrong for it to fail.
00:34:54.000 | And I look at those other companies and I say, "I'm not going to be greedy.
00:34:57.000 | I'm going to be disciplined.
00:34:58.000 | And if everything has to go right for that company to succeed, then I'm going to
00:35:02.000 | just keep an eye on it, let somebody else invest in it, and enjoy their success
00:35:06.000 | vicariously."
00:35:08.000 | Is the idea of playing those extremes just simply recognizing the risk that you
00:35:12.000 | face and either something has to have--knowing that we're going to have a
00:35:16.000 | certain percentage of companies that's going to fail, we know that we have to
00:35:21.000 | get, like I said, the 20X return.
00:35:24.000 | We have to get that to compensate us for all of the ones that have lost, or we
00:35:29.000 | want this to be--we're willing to settle for a lesser risk just simply--we're
00:35:36.000 | willing to settle for a lesser risk or a lesser return as long as there are a lot
00:35:40.000 | of moats around this business, good management, existing employees.
00:35:44.000 | It's just a risk management idea, right?
00:35:46.000 | Exactly.
00:35:47.000 | And you've got a line there where you turn from an angel investor into an angel
00:35:50.000 | philanthropist too where you want to do impact investing in your local community.
00:35:54.000 | For example, you may be trying to do something to benefit the local industry.
00:35:58.000 | In Hawaii, we do a lot of work in medical technology and visitor industry and also
00:36:02.000 | in alternative energy, clean tech.
00:36:04.000 | And some of those investments, they may or may not pay off with a return, but you
00:36:08.000 | may know that you'll advance the industry and generally make everything better in
00:36:12.000 | the state and for your life and your kids.
00:36:15.000 | So there is a strong component of impact investing there.
00:36:19.000 | And the risks, as you pointed out, they tend to be fairly binary.
00:36:23.000 | You're either going to get a 20 to 1 or 10 to 1 return or you're going to get
00:36:26.000 | nothing.
00:36:27.000 | And so the big returns, the big results, the big rewards take a little longer to
00:36:32.000 | come out.
00:36:33.000 | I think also if you fail quickly, you've learned your lesson in a relatively
00:36:37.000 | prompt manner and you're unlikely to repeat that mistake.
00:36:40.000 | Whereas if you succeed immediately where you invest in a company and 18 months
00:36:44.000 | later it gives you 20 to 1, you've learned nothing.
00:36:48.000 | You've just been along for a very fascinating and rewarding ride, but you
00:36:52.000 | really haven't had a chance to struggle with the prospects of failure or the
00:36:55.000 | other difficulties of starting and growing a business.
00:36:57.000 | So I guess you would say that I have learned the equivalent of a very expensive
00:37:02.000 | MBA education and the investments I've made so far.
00:37:05.000 | I still have five companies.
00:37:07.000 | A couple of them are too close to call, but the other three look very healthy
00:37:10.000 | and look like they're eventually going to give us a return.
00:37:13.000 | As an angel investor, too, the returns, again, you generally would want to have
00:37:17.000 | a 6 to 1 or a 10 to 1 or even maybe a 20 to 1 return.
00:37:21.000 | A 20 to 1 return would be wonderful, but you're probably only going to see that
00:37:25.000 | once in your angel investing career.
00:37:27.000 | Other angels have grown accustomed to a dividend model.
00:37:30.000 | By a dividend model, I mean that the startup never actually cashes out.
00:37:35.000 | Instead, they pay you a dividend share of their profits.
00:37:38.000 | What will frequently happen is that you'll get all your money back over the next
00:37:42.000 | 5 to 10 years as the company grows and it earns revenue.
00:37:46.000 | Then after that, you'll be on a special dividend like a preferred stock dividend
00:37:51.000 | of a publicly traded company.
00:37:53.000 | Of course, it's a private stock, but you'd still get a dividend check every year.
00:37:56.000 | That's quite attractive, especially in Hawaii where many of the investors have
00:38:00.000 | made their accredited investing money from real estate.
00:38:04.000 | We're all accustomed to earning rent checks on a dividend model.
00:38:07.000 | If you can invest in a relatively successful local company that's making money
00:38:11.000 | and handing it out as dividends, that makes you feel good.
00:38:14.000 | You know you've got an income stream you can count on.
00:38:17.000 | Is that kind of the model that maybe goes between those two things?
00:38:21.000 | Here's my personal question.
00:38:24.000 | I'm kind of cheating here and asking a question that applies to me.
00:38:28.000 | Some months passed, I've made changes in my own personal portfolio, and at the
00:38:34.000 | moment, I don't own any publicly traded securities, which is unusual for a
00:38:38.000 | former stockbroker and someone who's--
00:38:40.000 | Well, maybe you know more than we do.
00:38:42.000 | Not a timing call in any case.
00:38:45.000 | I've sold a lot of securities.
00:38:48.000 | It's not a market timing endeavor, although who knows?
00:38:52.000 | I've certainly sold at a good time, and who knows?
00:38:55.000 | I don't make market predictions.
00:38:57.000 | My primary issue was not having a sense of control and not having any impact
00:39:02.000 | from the companies that I own because they were all owned through mutual funds,
00:39:06.000 | and primarily, I'm uncomfortable with some of the business models of the
00:39:10.000 | largest companies in the nation and some of the business practices that they
00:39:14.000 | regularly engage in, everything from the consistent lobbying of politicians to
00:39:20.000 | their practices throughout the world.
00:39:22.000 | A lot of it is disgusting to me, and so at the end of the day, I'm responsible
00:39:27.000 | for where I invest my money.
00:39:29.000 | So I've pulled out, and right at the moment, I'm just sitting in cash on the
00:39:32.000 | sidelines, and my primary outlet at the moment is building the business behind
00:39:36.000 | radical personal finance, and that's my major focus.
00:39:39.000 | But concurrent with that, I also desire to start investing again, and one of the
00:39:47.000 | things that I'm very attracted to as a model is investing here locally in my
00:39:52.000 | community.
00:39:53.000 | In my time as a former financial advisor, I stumbled across some local
00:39:56.000 | entrepreneurs and local business people who seem to have a network of local
00:40:02.000 | businesses, and this guy over here, he's managing the family wealth, and he
00:40:06.000 | invested in a chain of supermarkets, and this guy over here invested in this
00:40:10.000 | type of local business.
00:40:12.000 | And to me, it seems like if I can build up the skills -- I'm not confident in my
00:40:17.000 | own skills at the moment to start making those types of investments, but that's
00:40:20.000 | just a matter of education and learning and practice.
00:40:23.000 | But if I can build up some of those skills, I see a lot of benefits from just
00:40:26.000 | simply investing in my local community with real businesses here locally.
00:40:31.000 | But I'm not necessarily looking for the 20X return, and I'm also not necessarily
00:40:38.000 | looking for the company that has perfect business.
00:40:41.000 | I think there's almost that in between of maybe a business that can just simply
00:40:44.000 | help build some dividends and has some of that additional social capital benefits
00:40:48.000 | from it.
00:40:50.000 | In your experience, is that a reasonable -- like, is that possible?
00:40:53.000 | Could you do that if you wanted to there in Hawaii based upon your experience?
00:40:57.000 | Absolutely.
00:40:59.000 | The analogy is -- the metaphor is a mastermind group.
00:41:02.000 | As you're building your business as a podcaster and online, you're probably
00:41:05.000 | working with other podcasters and other entrepreneurs, and the group gets
00:41:09.000 | together regularly, and you challenge each other and talk through your problems
00:41:12.000 | and succeed better as a group than you would wandering around on your own.
00:41:16.000 | And an angel group is exactly the same way.
00:41:19.000 | It's the best mastermind group you'll ever find for angel investing because
00:41:23.000 | some of the angels in there are already successful.
00:41:25.000 | Others are entrepreneurs who've cashed out and know far more than you.
00:41:28.000 | You run across the occasional angel investor in your group who's got a net
00:41:32.000 | worth of eight or even nine figures, too.
00:41:35.000 | They find it still fascinating to participate in angel investing, and they're
00:41:38.000 | there to mentor not just the startup founders, but they're also there to
00:41:41.000 | mentor the other angels in your group.
00:41:43.000 | So it's an absolutely wonderful way to do that in your local area.
00:41:46.000 | And you, yourself, you would benefit from just going out and joining your local
00:41:49.000 | angel investor group.
00:41:51.000 | If you're an accredited investor, it's easy.
00:41:53.000 | If you're not an accredited investor, then they might have some sort of
00:41:56.000 | affiliate or mentoring program where you would at least be able to understand
00:42:00.000 | the information that's going on or go to a free lunch or two or a free meeting
00:42:04.000 | with some of the founders.
00:42:06.000 | So angel investing has made me a much better investor across the board.
00:42:11.000 | On the other hand, though, if you're looking for impact investing, you've still
00:42:14.000 | got to figure out your own asset allocation plan.
00:42:18.000 | And I'm not trying to give specific advice here, but I would say that you
00:42:21.000 | would want to limit your angel investing to about 10% to 15% of all of the money
00:42:25.000 | you have available to invest.
00:42:27.000 | If you're not willing to invest in equities, then you're going to look at
00:42:31.000 | things like real estate, which is quite good, not just rental properties for
00:42:35.000 | tenants, but commercial real estate as well as residential real estate.
00:42:38.000 | You might also take a look at commodities, for example, if that was of anything
00:42:43.000 | attractive there.
00:42:45.000 | Usually commodities are what I would call even less socially responsible than the
00:42:50.000 | general equity market, but there might be something there for you.
00:42:53.000 | - Less socially responsible than the general market.
00:42:57.000 | - Well, you know, the first few commodities that come to mind are oil, gas,
00:43:00.000 | and diamonds.
00:43:02.000 | - I understood.
00:43:03.000 | Okay.
00:43:04.000 | It's just funny.
00:43:05.000 | That's the first time I've ever heard the commodities market referred to like
00:43:07.000 | that.
00:43:08.000 | That's funny.
00:43:09.000 | - It has nothing to do with the actual commodities brokers, but the temptations
00:43:11.000 | are there.
00:43:12.000 | And you have to look around in your local community for other opportunities.
00:43:16.000 | There are times when we will get a pitch from an investor in our local area who
00:43:20.000 | is putting together a wonderful product.
00:43:22.000 | It's going to benefit the state of Hawaii.
00:43:24.000 | It's somebody who lives here, not somebody from out of town.
00:43:27.000 | But we, for whatever reason, in good conscience, can't ask that founder to
00:43:32.000 | pitch it to Hawaii Angels.
00:43:34.000 | We don't want to waste their time.
00:43:36.000 | If they go to the Hawaii Angels meeting and pitch to 70 Angels and nobody's
00:43:40.000 | interested, then the Angel investor group doesn't look very good, right?
00:43:44.000 | We've led somebody on and maybe wasted a lot of their time.
00:43:47.000 | But also the founder loses a lot of confidence and begins to wonder about their
00:43:51.000 | business model and whether they really want to raise money that way.
00:43:53.000 | What we will do, though, is we'll sit there and mentor the founder and say,
00:43:57.000 | "Look, what you've got is a wonderful plan, but it's just not suitable for the
00:44:00.000 | Hawaii Angels as a group."
00:44:02.000 | Or that may come out during the due diligence.
00:44:04.000 | Again, wonderful idea, but not suitable for Hawaii Angels as a group.
00:44:07.000 | But we'll also work with that investor and introduce them to other people in the
00:44:10.000 | industry or other Angel investors who may not be a member of Hawaii Angels or even
00:44:15.000 | people in corporations in Hawaii who would be interested in investing in that
00:44:19.000 | startup simply because it offers a return.
00:44:22.000 | Maybe it's a dividend model.
00:44:23.000 | Maybe it's a little more than a lifestyle business.
00:44:25.000 | And they could be a silent partner or they could be a mentor to the founder.
00:44:30.000 | I'll give you a good example of that.
00:44:32.000 | One is a number of sectors in the visitor industry here are not going to return
00:44:37.000 | six to one or ten to one.
00:44:39.000 | They might not even return two to one.
00:44:41.000 | You might be investing in what essentially is an entertainment business,
00:44:44.000 | either a restaurant or a nightclub or some kind of visitor industry attraction.
00:44:49.000 | And again, those don't necessarily pay off with a big acquisition by some huge
00:44:54.000 | national corporation, but they hire a lot of people.
00:44:58.000 | They attract a lot of capital.
00:44:59.000 | They get people excited and interested in the visitor industry, and they're a vital
00:45:03.000 | part of what makes Hawaii a wonderful place to live.
00:45:06.000 | And so you may accept what is a much smaller return as a silent partner or as an
00:45:10.000 | investor who's getting a dividend check or who gets all their money back and
00:45:14.000 | maybe another 40% or 50% profit in addition to that.
00:45:18.000 | I want to ask a final question on angel investing, and I'll make it a compound
00:45:21.000 | question, and then we'll pivot to discussing renting versus owning.
00:45:25.000 | Number one, you mentioned that you're a better investor because of angel
00:45:29.000 | investing.
00:45:30.000 | Are you able to identify anything specifically of how it's affected you?
00:45:35.000 | And then also, if you were starting over again this process of learning, what
00:45:41.000 | would the advice be that you would have liked to have had as far as where you
00:45:44.000 | should focus, the books you should read, the clubs you should join, and how you
00:45:47.000 | should proceed?
00:45:49.000 | Well, I'll start right off with the books.
00:45:51.000 | There's a book by an author called Scott Shane called The Illusions of
00:45:56.000 | Entrepreneurship.
00:45:57.000 | He wrote a second book called Fool's Gold.
00:46:00.000 | Both of those are what I feel a very analytical look at angel investing from
00:46:05.000 | all the data that's available.
00:46:07.000 | You always hear about that legendary angel investor who invested $5,000 in
00:46:11.000 | Google when it was just Sergey and a couple other guys and who has made him a
00:46:15.000 | billionaire.
00:46:17.000 | And what Scott has tried to do in his books is gather all the available data,
00:46:21.000 | analyze it, acknowledging that it's incomplete, and make some logical,
00:46:26.000 | rational conclusions from it.
00:46:28.000 | So I would start with those two books even before joining an angel group.
00:46:32.000 | One of the founders of Hawaii Angels has also written a book on angel investing.
00:46:35.000 | It's by Dr. Robert Robinson.
00:46:38.000 | That one's out there in Google and maybe in some public libraries.
00:46:41.000 | And again, it talks about what angel investing is and how to do it.
00:46:45.000 | The number one regret of all angel investors ever in the entire world is that
00:46:51.000 | they wish they had done more due diligence.
00:46:53.000 | They wish they had done more analysis, understood the finances a little better,
00:46:56.000 | but not just understood the risks to the company itself but understood the risks
00:47:01.000 | to the whole industry, to the whole sector.
00:47:03.000 | It might look attractive, as I mentioned earlier,
00:47:06.000 | to invest in alternative energy when oil is $140 a barrel.
00:47:09.000 | But you also have to consider the fact that oil may someday be $40 per barrel,
00:47:15.000 | unlikely but possible, and how is that going to impact the company
00:47:18.000 | and what are they going to do about it.
00:47:20.000 | And you don't personally have to know all the numbers and come up with a
00:47:23.000 | conclusion on your own.
00:47:24.000 | You just have to be able to ask that question of the founder.
00:47:27.000 | "Hey, great idea. I'd love to invest.
00:47:29.000 | But what happens to you if oil goes down to $40 a barrel?
00:47:32.000 | How long can you survive in that world?
00:47:34.000 | How fast is your money going to do it?
00:47:36.000 | How are you going to be able to pivot your business model?"
00:47:38.000 | Those kind of questions need to be asked.
00:47:40.000 | The other thing it's done to improve my investing skills is it's made me much
00:47:43.000 | more rational and much less emotional.
00:47:46.000 | When you first start sitting through angel investing pitches,
00:47:50.000 | you feel like a 4-year-old running around a candy store.
00:47:52.000 | Everything looks yummy.
00:47:54.000 | That's exactly my experience going to that investment club.
00:47:58.000 | You should do three pitches per meeting and I'm sitting there saying,
00:48:01.000 | "Man, where can I come up with money?
00:48:03.000 | This is exciting.
00:48:04.000 | Look at these companies."
00:48:05.000 | You haven't made the first pitch.
00:48:07.000 | And you're also having your ego stroked a little bit because you are sitting
00:48:10.000 | at a very nice place with very nice people and everybody is telling you all
00:48:14.000 | the wonderful things that are going to happen to you if you invest in this
00:48:16.000 | corporation.
00:48:17.000 | So you learn to--you're not cynical but you certainly are skeptical,
00:48:22.000 | maybe even bordering on pessimism.
00:48:24.000 | And after you see about 200 or 300 angel pitches over a period of about five
00:48:28.000 | years, you begin to see some common elements in the pitches from the founders.
00:48:32.000 | And you either say, "You're doing that wrong and you need to change the way you
00:48:36.000 | word that slide," or you're saying, "I've seen that pitch before and I know
00:48:40.000 | how that ends.
00:48:41.000 | Don't do that."
00:48:42.000 | So you give that mentoring to the founder or you also know what to avoid right
00:48:47.000 | away when you see it coming.
00:48:49.000 | So it's improved my analysis abilities.
00:48:51.000 | It's improved my control over my emotional response to the whole fascinating
00:48:56.000 | involvement with angel investing.
00:48:58.000 | And it's made me a better financial analyst.
00:49:00.000 | When I see financial projections now, I have the appropriate degree of
00:49:03.000 | skepticism and I know that you can make very logical mathematical assumptions
00:49:09.000 | about how your business plan is going to work out and none of that really
00:49:12.000 | matters.
00:49:13.000 | What matters is how well your customers respond when you first roll out your
00:49:16.000 | product and how they use your website or how they use your product.
00:49:20.000 | Founders design and create and market products all the time and then find out
00:49:25.000 | their customers have no plan to use them the way the founder thought.
00:49:29.000 | They're using them in the way they want to use them and it's completely
00:49:32.000 | different from what the founder thought.
00:49:34.000 | It happens all the time.
00:49:35.000 | And that means that the founder has to be able to be flexible enough to pivot
00:49:39.000 | their business plan and come out with a better product that meets exactly what
00:49:42.000 | the customers are doing with it.
00:49:43.000 | This is notorious for guys that are running websites and software as a
00:49:48.000 | service.
00:49:49.000 | But it also happens occasionally with hard products that people will use them
00:49:52.000 | differently than the founder's expected.
00:49:54.000 | You've got to be able to respond to that.
00:49:55.000 | You've got to understand what's going on with your customers and give them
00:49:58.000 | what they want.
00:49:59.000 | Interesting.
00:50:01.000 | So let's pivot now to renting versus owning.
00:50:05.000 | And I know that you come from a military background.
00:50:08.000 | I don't know how much you were moved around since you were in the submarine
00:50:10.000 | force and how much time -- wait, were you in the sub force or surface ships?
00:50:14.000 | Submarine force.
00:50:15.000 | My daughter is in the surface Navy now.
00:50:18.000 | That's where the confusion comes from.
00:50:19.000 | And my spouse was in the active duty and reserve communities as a
00:50:23.000 | meteorologist and oceanographer.
00:50:25.000 | So we're a Navy family.
00:50:27.000 | And my wife and I have moved 13 times over 20 years.
00:50:32.000 | Our daughter is racking up her own impressive accomplishments right now.
00:50:37.000 | She's already had three moves in the last year and she's got a lot more ahead
00:50:40.000 | of her.
00:50:41.000 | So you get a lot of experience at blowing into a town and having to make a
00:50:45.000 | choice on whether you're going to rent or own.
00:50:47.000 | And also you've been connected with the early retirement community,
00:50:51.000 | which is heavy with people who think carefully about every financial decision.
00:50:56.000 | So you've got a lot of experience in this.
00:50:58.000 | If you're deciding should I rent or should I own,
00:51:02.000 | where do you begin with that decision-making process?
00:51:07.000 | The question comes up most frequently with my military readers.
00:51:12.000 | And so your military listeners would want to understand that in general,
00:51:17.000 | if they're on active duty, they're moving every two to three to five years,
00:51:22.000 | they should rent the whole time.
00:51:24.000 | They should never buy a house on active duty.
00:51:26.000 | And that's my bias.
00:51:28.000 | The risks outweigh the rewards.
00:51:30.000 | If you're going to buy a house when you're on active duty,
00:51:32.000 | then everything has to go right for you to make money.
00:51:35.000 | If you're renting when you're on active duty,
00:51:38.000 | then everything has to go wrong for that rental to be a miserable failure.
00:51:42.000 | So renting is a much safer approach to having real estate when you're in the
00:51:49.000 | military on active duty.
00:51:50.000 | Now your listeners that aren't in the military will listen to that and say,
00:51:55.000 | "Well, how does that apply to me?"
00:51:56.000 | And the answer is how much time do you have?
00:51:58.000 | How long are you willing to hold on to that piece of property?
00:52:01.000 | And is it worth the time that you're putting into it?
00:52:04.000 | One of the popular statements of property investors is that you make your money
00:52:09.000 | when you buy the house, not when you sell the property.
00:52:12.000 | And the idea is that you've bought at enough of a discount that even if
00:52:16.000 | everything goes wrong, you still won't lose too much money.
00:52:19.000 | The worst situation is when you overpay for a property,
00:52:22.000 | whether it's for appreciation or for rent, cash flow,
00:52:26.000 | and everything has to go right for you to earn money.
00:52:29.000 | So again, if you're looking at real estate as an investment,
00:52:33.000 | as a way to put some of your assets to work for more than a low return in
00:52:38.000 | certificates to deposit or savings accounts, that's not a bad idea.
00:52:41.000 | But again, it pays to be patient.
00:52:43.000 | It pays to take your time and do a thorough analysis of the market you want
00:52:46.000 | to invest in.
00:52:47.000 | And I really enjoy the information I get from your podcast, Joshua,
00:52:52.000 | but I'd also say that another podcast that helps a lot of people with rental
00:52:55.000 | properties is Bigger Pockets.
00:52:57.000 | They do a great job.
00:52:58.000 | And they are all over all the different sectors of the market,
00:53:01.000 | and everybody has a good business model for it,
00:53:03.000 | and everybody understands the risks and the rewards and can bring a note of
00:53:07.000 | rationality.
00:53:08.000 | Again, when you start out investing in real estate,
00:53:10.000 | whether you're renting or buying, everything looks good.
00:53:12.000 | Then you run around like a four-year-old in a candy store with a realtor who
00:53:15.000 | really wants to sell you something.
00:53:17.000 | Again, it's very difficult to avoid buying a property.
00:53:21.000 | I would say that for military, it's especially risky because the cost of
00:53:25.000 | buying and then selling again on the other end,
00:53:27.000 | that 6% transaction costs and all the costs of cleaning the place up or fixing
00:53:32.000 | it up before you sell and buy, those take away all your profit.
00:53:36.000 | That immediately wipes out your profit.
00:53:37.000 | So when you're in the military,
00:53:38.000 | there's just no way to make any money unless you know that you're going to be
00:53:41.000 | owning that house for 30 or 40 years.
00:53:44.000 | Now, when I tell people that, there's always that guy,
00:53:48.000 | and it's almost always a guy, but there's always that guy who says, "Yeah, but --"
00:53:52.000 | Why is it always a guy? Have you figured that out?
00:53:55.000 | I either have no women listeners or they are not prone to bragging.
00:54:01.000 | I'm not sure.
00:54:03.000 | There are a couple of women who have stepped up and said, "Hey," but most of
00:54:06.000 | the time, it's the guy who says, "I invested in this,
00:54:10.000 | and I made a ton of money out of it."
00:54:13.000 | And they're there.
00:54:14.000 | In fact, one of them is half a chapter in the book I wrote on military
00:54:18.000 | financial independence, and he wasn't just buying a rental property and
00:54:22.000 | turning it into his home.
00:54:23.000 | He and his wife together were in the military,
00:54:26.000 | and they were buying properties everywhere.
00:54:28.000 | And at one point -- this is back in the early 2000s -- at one point,
00:54:32.000 | they had over 40 rental properties across the southeastern United States.
00:54:37.000 | And they're in the military.
00:54:38.000 | And they're on active duty.
00:54:39.000 | Now, they managed to see what was coming in property values,
00:54:43.000 | and by the time 2007 rolled around,
00:54:45.000 | they had already liquidated most of their properties.
00:54:47.000 | And the situation -- they did it with mortgages and cash flow,
00:54:51.000 | and of course today's lending guidelines,
00:54:53.000 | they would never have been able to tap into so much capital.
00:54:55.000 | But there are people who are able to do quite a good job with real estate,
00:54:59.000 | whether they buy their house or whether they buy properties to rent out.
00:55:02.000 | And in general, those people are hardwired to succeed.
00:55:06.000 | When I tell somebody, "Rent. Don't buy while you're on active duty,"
00:55:10.000 | they're immediately going to ignore me because they grew up in a family
00:55:13.000 | where everybody owned rental property.
00:55:15.000 | They might have even grown up as teenagers helping out with a rental property
00:55:18.000 | with the books or the maintenance,
00:55:19.000 | and they know that they're going to be able to succeed because they understand it already.
00:55:22.000 | And there will be those people, and to them I say, "Great.
00:55:25.000 | If you are hardwired to succeed at real estate and you have the experience,
00:55:29.000 | go ahead and do it.
00:55:30.000 | But if you are earning a good income and you feel like you're just wasting money,
00:55:35.000 | burning rent checks, don't get sucked into that.
00:55:39.000 | Hold off.
00:55:40.000 | Make sure you're going to be in the area long enough to realize a profit
00:55:43.000 | on buying something at a discount.
00:55:46.000 | I think another aspect that I think is important for military people
00:55:50.000 | but also for non-military people is just simply creating the lifestyle
00:55:55.000 | all the way through that you're going to be happy with.
00:55:58.000 | And one aspect, at least my observation--my dad was in the military for many years
00:56:02.000 | and in the submarines--that job is all-consuming.
00:56:07.000 | And the idea--when you're shipped out, you're gone completely.
00:56:12.000 | And then when you're home, to make up for the time that you're gone,
00:56:15.000 | if you're going to have any chance of keeping your family together,
00:56:18.000 | if you're going to have any chance of maintaining sanity,
00:56:20.000 | you've got to be fully home.
00:56:22.000 | And just the cost on your time of owning a home yourself and the work associated--
00:56:28.000 | as I sit here today, I've got a massive dump truck load of mulch in my front driveway.
00:56:33.000 | And I got it for free.
00:56:35.000 | I saw the tree trimming down the yard, and I need to use it in my yard to improve my soil.
00:56:39.000 | And yet here I am busily building a business.
00:56:41.000 | And frankly, owning a house is a major hassle at this stage in my life.
00:56:46.000 | And I'm in the middle of building a business, and it would be far easier and simpler
00:56:49.000 | if I were just renting an apartment where I went there, I sat down at my computer,
00:56:53.000 | and then when I clicked "Done" on my workday, I was completely free.
00:56:56.000 | But as it is, I have to fix my water softener and go up and get the algae off my roof
00:57:01.000 | or hire it done.
00:57:02.000 | It's just a big cost of time.
00:57:04.000 | And it seems like it takes a little while for people to perceive that.
00:57:07.000 | So if you've got a stressful, all-consuming job, like a military job
00:57:11.000 | or any kind of non-military job that is that way,
00:57:14.000 | recognize just simply the cost of your time and factor that into the financial calculations.
00:57:18.000 | Absolutely.
00:57:19.000 | Don't get suckered into buying just because you have a generous housing allowance
00:57:22.000 | and the prices look cheap and you look like you can get a low-interest mortgage.
00:57:26.000 | Don't worry about that.
00:57:28.000 | Just keep renting.
00:57:29.000 | And in fact, if you do get a generous housing allowance,
00:57:32.000 | then rent at the cheapest price you can find for the quality you want
00:57:35.000 | and pocket the rest and save your money for a down payment
00:57:38.000 | when you're off active duty and out of the military.
00:57:40.000 | Another book that I've read that does a very good job of analyzing all the risks and rewards
00:57:46.000 | is called Rent vs. Own.
00:57:49.000 | It's written by a woman named Jane Hodges.
00:57:51.000 | She talks about her own personal experience and then builds on that
00:57:55.000 | to make a checklist that anybody can use when they come into town.
00:57:59.000 | Again, when you're in the military, you try to race into town and buy the house over the weekend,
00:58:04.000 | get the kids into school before you report to work on Monday.
00:58:06.000 | It's not quite that fast, but within 30 days, you're making major life decisions
00:58:11.000 | that are probably best made over a period of months to years.
00:58:14.000 | She talks about that for everybody, not just military.
00:58:16.000 | She talks about coming to a town and learning the town
00:58:19.000 | and really understanding the area you're about to live in before you buy
00:58:23.000 | and taking the time to understand what neighborhood you would want to live in
00:58:27.000 | and then waiting until bargain houses pop up for sale in those neighborhoods.
00:58:31.000 | For her, it takes months to years to properly buy a place at a discount
00:58:35.000 | in an area where you want to live.
00:58:37.000 | Again, she talks through all of it.
00:58:39.000 | Sometimes she says there are situations where you desperately need to buy the house
00:58:42.000 | just to be able to live there.
00:58:44.000 | Other times, it's better to rent and be safe and be mobile.
00:58:48.000 | It's a good book. It's sitting here on my desk, actually, as a backup.
00:58:51.000 | There you go. Good.
00:58:52.000 | Sitting right there as a backup in case I needed ideas to move the interview forward.
00:58:57.000 | I was going to steal some of her ideas.
00:59:00.000 | She does a pretty good job with it in the book.
00:59:05.000 | What about actually analyzing the financial state of affairs of a market
00:59:11.000 | and actually looking at a local housing market?
00:59:14.000 | I would agree with you in the sense of, yes, if you're going to be moving,
00:59:19.000 | then that's a fairly straightforward way to consider it.
00:59:23.000 | But then you get into more difficult situations.
00:59:25.000 | For example, the situation I face here in West Palm Beach in the local housing market.
00:59:29.000 | I have gone out, and I'm still going out sometimes and kind of looking--
00:59:32.000 | virtually gone out, looking at the rental market,
00:59:35.000 | trying to just see what are houses and apartments renting for and what are my needs
00:59:40.000 | and would my situation be optimized if I were to move and sell my house.
00:59:44.000 | I've got a good bit of gain probably in the house in the current market.
00:59:47.000 | I could capture that gain.
00:59:49.000 | I'm at the point now where I could go ahead and capture that gain tax-free.
00:59:55.000 | So I consider should I move and capture the gain,
00:59:58.000 | trying to judge the market just a little bit, kind of get a feel for what's going on.
01:00:02.000 | But then I go and look at the rental market,
01:00:04.000 | and I look at the price-value scenario of the rental market,
01:00:08.000 | and it's not compelling.
01:00:10.000 | So how would you approach it from an actual financial comparison model?
01:00:14.000 | Well, I do what you're doing, and that's you're doing your research.
01:00:17.000 | Every Sunday afternoon when you go out to an open house,
01:00:20.000 | you're doing an hour or two of market research.
01:00:22.000 | And it not only helps you understand the factors that you're facing in the neighborhood
01:00:27.000 | where you want to live or in the town where you're living
01:00:29.000 | and you're trying to pick a neighborhood,
01:00:31.000 | it also helps immunize you against the real estate agent or the mortgage broker
01:00:36.000 | or the other people who are there to facilitate the purchase,
01:00:39.000 | whether that's in your best interests or not.
01:00:42.000 | And so every time you go out to an open house,
01:00:44.000 | you learn a little bit more than you learned before.
01:00:47.000 | When my spouse and I were getting started in homes in Hawaii when we had bought a house,
01:00:52.000 | we were also looking for ideas on ways to improve the home we were living in,
01:00:56.000 | and we went to a lot of open houses.
01:00:58.000 | And over the years, we got better and better at figuring out
01:01:01.000 | what kind of neighborhood we wanted to look at open houses in,
01:01:04.000 | what kind of open houses we wanted to look at, what size or what type of property.
01:01:08.000 | We got very good at locations and neighborhoods.
01:01:11.000 | And I would say that we probably spent about six or seven years of going to open houses
01:01:17.000 | at least twice a month, sometimes every Sunday during a month, just for our own entertainment.
01:01:22.000 | And we would get great ideas on things we wanted to do with our own house.
01:01:26.000 | We'd learn more about a neighborhood.
01:01:27.000 | We'd learn about school systems.
01:01:29.000 | We'd learn about all the things you need to learn about to buy a property.
01:01:31.000 | So we were doing our market research even as we were looking at cool properties
01:01:35.000 | or watching Home & Garden TV.
01:01:38.000 | And when the time came when we found that dream property,
01:01:42.000 | it was because we had invested all those months of hours of open houses.
01:01:48.000 | We had gotten to the point where we could walk onto a property and within five minutes say, "Whoa,"
01:01:53.000 | and understand that this had a lot of potential and that there was something worth looking at.
01:01:57.000 | And then we were able to step back and dispassionately, objectively analyze all the things that were wrong
01:02:04.000 | with that property that had to be fixed.
01:02:06.000 | And then we were able to put in an offer because we had already filtered through our brains
01:02:10.000 | over all those months of going to open houses what we wanted, where it would be,
01:02:14.000 | what it would look like, and how much we were willing to pay for it.
01:02:17.000 | So it's research disguised as entertainment, but it's very profitable because, again,
01:02:22.000 | you see a different pitch every week when you go look at somebody's open house,
01:02:26.000 | and you become a little more skeptical, you become a little more understanding and objective,
01:02:32.000 | and you're able to do better analysis.
01:02:34.000 | It's the kind of process that can take months or even years to find that property selling for 75 cents on a dollar.
01:02:40.000 | But when you see it, you know it because you've done all the work that goes into being ready for the opportunity.
01:02:46.000 | Doug, I think you're giving away all your secrets to early retirement here.
01:02:49.000 | That's right.
01:02:50.000 | Your cheap date idea of entertainment is to go look at open houses and not buy.
01:02:54.000 | Your hobby of choice is surfing, and even if you buy a new whip every year, what is that actually going to cost you?
01:03:00.000 | You're giving away your secrets here.
01:03:02.000 | Craigslist, yes.
01:03:03.000 | But I will say that walking into many of those open houses cost us a lot of money.
01:03:08.000 | One time we did walk into what we thought was our dream house early in the process,
01:03:11.000 | and we collectively, after looking back on this many years later, we lost our minds.
01:03:17.000 | But we learned a lot during the process.
01:03:19.000 | We ended up not buying the property, and that was a very useful lesson,
01:03:22.000 | and it was a painful lesson at the time.
01:03:24.000 | We lost $5,000 on the process, but it paid off years later when we did finally find the bargain we wanted.
01:03:30.000 | And I agree that when you walk into a rental property or a place for sale that you might end up walking away from it again.
01:03:38.000 | You probably should.
01:03:39.000 | But we would walk into many of these places and say, "Wow, we ought to do that at our house."
01:03:43.000 | And so you can end up spending quite a lot of money as a result of an open house just because you find a great idea for renovating a room
01:03:49.000 | or something you want to do to your living room or your family room.
01:03:52.000 | But we managed to do a lot of sweat equity, so that's the key, is that you spend your money where it brings you the value,
01:03:58.000 | and if you're willing to learn by doing the labor, then it's the hobby that will pay back for years.
01:04:03.000 | Good point.
01:04:04.000 | It seems like there's not really any way to short-circuit that learning process in any aspect of finance.
01:04:09.000 | You need the expertise to be able to make those quick decisions, and the deals come.
01:04:15.000 | I know for me, I've generally been a timid person in fear of making a mistake from the perspective of actually saying,
01:04:24.000 | "This is a good deal. I'm going to buy it."
01:04:26.000 | Usually I see a car or I see a trailer or just like some thing.
01:04:31.000 | I've not been historically quick to move on things, but I've recognized that I need to be.
01:04:37.000 | And so I've tried to be more careful to know my market, but then to go ahead and buy when there's an opportunity there.
01:04:44.000 | And it seems to me like that's something that good investors need to know, is to trust themselves and to have confidence,
01:04:50.000 | and that comes from knowledge of a market.
01:04:52.000 | I wouldn't have a clue when it comes to buying and selling fancy tennis shoes.
01:04:56.000 | I don't even know where to start, but there are some things that I pay attention to, and housing is one of those things,
01:05:02.000 | because all the effective real estate investors I know can walk into a house and basically say,
01:05:07.000 | "This one's going to sell for about this based upon these factors."
01:05:11.000 | And I don't know the way to short circuit that learning process.
01:05:15.000 | Well, a lot of fear is based in a lack of knowledge, even ignorance.
01:05:20.000 | And the more you learn, the more you study, the more you practice, then the less ignorance you have.
01:05:25.000 | You've wiped out your ignorance, and when you see something, your fear is also much more manageable.
01:05:30.000 | I remember I'm sitting in the dream house we've lived in for the last 15 years,
01:05:34.000 | and it looks substantially different than it did the day we first saw it.
01:05:37.000 | But I remember when we were walking around the property and looking at the view and looking at the location and the school system,
01:05:43.000 | I remember I must have said to my wife about four times during that 30 minutes, "Oh, we have to buy this."
01:05:48.000 | And she was of the same opinion, and it was very clear that we were walking into a property that was selling for 75 cents on a dollar.
01:05:57.000 | We knew we were going to work for it.
01:05:59.000 | We knew there were a lot of things that needed to be done to that property to make it useful.
01:06:03.000 | I mean, it was already a house, but to make it into a home was going to take a lot of effort.
01:06:07.000 | And we knew all that with our eyes wide open going in, but we had that background.
01:06:11.000 | We had that experience. We knew the risks. We could see the rewards.
01:06:15.000 | And we knew that sweat equity was all that stood between us and success,
01:06:18.000 | and it was all based in all those months of open houses and talking with people and doing the research.
01:06:25.000 | So it's quite common to be afraid. It's quite common to feel the remorse or the fear.
01:06:30.000 | But the better you get at it, the less that will happen.
01:06:33.000 | It's also a factor of interest. You mentioned that you're interested in looking at real estate, and that will pay off someday.
01:06:40.000 | You've also mentioned that you're not interested in owning publicly traded corporations anymore,
01:06:44.000 | so it makes no sense for you to try to learn more about it.
01:06:47.000 | If you're not interested in it, you're not going to be enthusiastic, and you're not going to do a good job.
01:06:51.000 | Right. With regard to the impact of housing on financial independence, I get questions sometimes from listeners.
01:06:58.000 | "I'm interested in pursuing financial independence. I have this amount of money. What should I do with it?
01:07:03.000 | Should I buy a house? Should I invest it?"
01:07:06.000 | How do you approach the thought process of the impact of a house, a personal residence,
01:07:13.000 | on the ability to achieve financial independence early?
01:07:18.000 | It's like any other big, large, leveraged purchase.
01:07:22.000 | It's least risk. It's the safest thing to keep renting until you find a bargain.
01:07:28.000 | And then when you find a bargain, if it meets all your criteria, you're going to buy it.
01:07:33.000 | And that's difficult to hold back.
01:07:35.000 | Again, there is a lot of emotion wrapped up in a real estate purchase,
01:07:38.000 | and there's also a lot of lifestyle wrapped up in a real estate purchase.
01:07:41.000 | You may find a gorgeous home that's in totally the wrong neighborhood or even in the wrong city or state.
01:07:47.000 | You may find the home of your dreams, but it's just not a good place for your kids to go to school.
01:07:52.000 | The safest thing to do in general is to rent and to not get suckered into buying a property
01:07:58.000 | until you're ready to commit to that property for a number of years.
01:08:01.000 | I would say the minimum should be five years in the expectations that you might get back the money you put into it.
01:08:07.000 | I don't even think there would be profit in living in a place for five years.
01:08:11.000 | But if you are interested in real estate and you are interested in going to open houses and learning more about the market,
01:08:17.000 | you'll be able to recognize those bargains when you do see them someday.
01:08:20.000 | And in the meantime, the safest thing to do is to continue to rent.
01:08:23.000 | When I got involved in angel investing, I not only limited my asset allocation to 10% of my portfolio,
01:08:30.000 | I also said, "I'm going to make two investments a year, and I'm going to have to burn an opportunity
01:08:38.000 | and deprive myself of the ability to invest in anything else for the rest of the year if I find my first two investments in January."
01:08:44.000 | So as I would sit there listening to a very effective pitch from a very articulate founder in a very attractive company,
01:08:50.000 | I'd have to say to myself, "I'm going to do two investments this year. Do I want to burn this investment right here in January?"
01:08:56.000 | And what I found out, what I had not understood at all when I started in either real estate or angel investing,
01:09:02.000 | was that many of those opportunities were still there next year.
01:09:05.000 | You would hear that pitch in January, you'd get all excited, you'd eventually get yourself under control and decide to pass.
01:09:11.000 | A year later, the founder would be back, or the property would be back on the market, or your situation had changed,
01:09:17.000 | your criteria had changed, and you had a lot more options available to you.
01:09:20.000 | And so that apparent lost opportunity was actually a great way to go through the process and do a dry run,
01:09:27.000 | try it on for size, do everything short of actually spending your money,
01:09:31.000 | and that opportunity would come back around a year or two later.
01:09:34.000 | I think it's the same way with real estate, especially if you are starting a family and have kids.
01:09:38.000 | The house that we bought 15 years ago was a wonderful place for the school system and the neighborhood,
01:09:44.000 | and we really enjoyed raising our daughter here.
01:09:46.000 | Now it's still a wonderful location, but we don't have to worry about the school system anymore because our daughter is done with school,
01:09:52.000 | and it's something that we could probably sell someday if we wanted to.
01:09:58.000 | It's still a wonderful location, and I really enjoy living here. I don't think I'd ever sell it.
01:10:02.000 | But on the other hand, our criteria have changed because we're not raising a family anymore.
01:10:07.000 | And that's something that's a long-term view that's difficult to appreciate when you're just starting out,
01:10:11.000 | and every piece of real estate looks great.
01:10:14.000 | I'm starting to understand a little bit more, and I've always had the challenge of filtering advice of other people
01:10:21.000 | through my own personal experience due to my age.
01:10:24.000 | And I remember years ago reading authors writing about wealth, and they would say,
01:10:28.000 | "Always remember that investments are like buses. A new one comes along every few minutes."
01:10:33.000 | And I was so anxious at the time. "No, they're not. I've got to get going."
01:10:38.000 | And now at this point, I don't know whether I'm having my quarter-life crisis.
01:10:41.000 | I'm almost turning 30 this month. But I'm starting to recognize the truth of what they said.
01:10:47.000 | I acknowledged it intellectually, but emotionally I didn't understand it.
01:10:50.000 | And I'm starting to recognize investments are like buses.
01:10:53.000 | Another one always comes along, and the key is just simply being willing to move quickly if you're confident in it,
01:10:59.000 | but also just simply being willing to wait.
01:11:01.000 | And even if you miss this one, there will be another one that comes along.
01:11:05.000 | It's very hard to wait. But after 30 years of investing, I can assure everybody that, yes, there will be another opportunity.
01:11:12.000 | And I'm quite a bit past 30. I'm 54 years old. But you're absolutely right.
01:11:16.000 | Realizing that in your 20s is priceless.
01:11:18.000 | Second to the last question, a corollary of the one I just asked regarding the impact of housing on financial independence.
01:11:25.000 | The other question that's often discussed from the perspective of financial independence is, "OK, I've started to accumulate some capital."
01:11:35.000 | People that are pursuing early retirement and financial independence are generally savers, and they're starting to accumulate capital.
01:11:41.000 | How should I look at the idea of getting a mortgage, paying cash for the house, making a minimum down payment, making a big down payment,
01:11:50.000 | kind of approaching that problem, recognizing that I have some cash, but I also have other places to invest it?
01:11:56.000 | How do you approach that particular problem?
01:11:59.000 | That's a trick question, and I see that a lot.
01:12:02.000 | And the tricky answer to that trick question is that you should have an asset allocation plan.
01:12:06.000 | And an asset allocation plan is not just deciding what percentage of stocks and bonds you're going to invest in.
01:12:11.000 | The asset allocation plan is also deciding when you're going to own a home.
01:12:15.000 | And that's a goal.
01:12:16.000 | If you're in active duty, you're probably not going to own a home until five or ten years from now.
01:12:20.000 | And so you say to yourself, "Well, my asset allocation plan is going to include a goal of having a 20% down payment ten years from now."
01:12:27.000 | And so you start saving money for that.
01:12:29.000 | If you can't predict where you're going to want to buy a house, then you can still say, "Well, I'm going to start thinking about buying a house somewhere in the next five to ten years,
01:12:39.000 | and I'm going to start saving up cash to buy a house."
01:12:42.000 | The reason that you would set a goal of saving up cash to buy the house is two reasons.
01:12:47.000 | You get a better interest rate on a mortgage if you have a substantial down payment of, say, 20%.
01:12:52.000 | The other reason you do that is because when you buy the house, you can walk in there and tell the seller that you have a big down payment
01:13:00.000 | and that you're much more likely to be able to get a mortgage and make the sale go through than somebody who's trying to arrange financing with zero money down.
01:13:08.000 | And that entitles you to a cash discount.
01:13:11.000 | I make this point about deferred gratification because everybody is frustrated at saving money for their down payment fund for ten years from now
01:13:19.000 | in certificates of deposit or short-term bond funds at maybe 1.5%.
01:13:24.000 | The idea of saving money at low interest rates to have liquidity is that when you do decide to buy, you're going to get a substantial discount for using cash.
01:13:33.000 | And you may have only been earning 1 to 1.5% on that money for the last five or ten years,
01:13:38.000 | but when you buy that property with that cash discount, you're going to earn 15 to 20% right then
01:13:44.000 | because you have the cash to be able to make the big down payment and get the lower interest rate and get the property because you've got the money to swing the deal.
01:13:51.000 | So that's the whole idea of asset allocation and setting those goals is that when a time comes, you know you've gotten ready for it and you have the money and you're ready to buy.
01:14:00.000 | Now, once you buy a house, let's say you did put 20% down and you got the world's best mortgage rate,
01:14:06.000 | I would say that getting a 30-year low-interest fixed-rate mortgage is a known factor that you can put in your budget and figure out your forecast expenses for a very long time, 30 years.
01:14:21.000 | If you know what your expenses are for the next 30 years, then you can plan to save enough money, invest enough money to be able to handle that known liability, and you can match your investments to it.
01:14:31.000 | I'm quite comfortable with having a mortgage in early retirement because I've got a military pension.
01:14:36.000 | My military pension pays the mortgage and buys groceries and utilities on the side.
01:14:41.000 | So I know right away that my liabilities of mortgage, fixed low-interest mortgage, are matched by my pension income, and it's a reliable pension income from the federal government.
01:14:51.000 | As an early retiree who's not in the military, I'd try to do the same thing with liability matching.
01:14:57.000 | My asset allocation would have a high percentage of equities or an aggressive bond portfolio that would ideally throw enough income to pay the mortgage every month.
01:15:08.000 | Whether or not the stock market was doing good, I'd want to have a steady flow of monthly income from my investments so that I would be able to pay my mortgage until my mortgage was gone.
01:15:17.000 | That's the cold-hearted logical financial analysis.
01:15:22.000 | Of course, we're all human beings and we're all subject to behavioral financial psychology, and we all have to sleep at night.
01:15:28.000 | So if you've bought that home for that 20% down payment and you're not comfortable with a mortgage, then you would be willing to continue working for as long as it took to pay off that mortgage.
01:15:39.000 | Maybe you could go into early retirement with a mortgage when you're 35 years old if that made you comfortable and you were able to sleep at night.
01:15:46.000 | That's a financially sound decision.
01:15:49.000 | If you're not comfortable, if you're having trouble sleeping at night, if it worries you carrying that debt into early retirement, then maybe you want to stay on the job for another few years.
01:15:56.000 | Maybe you don't want to retire at 35.
01:15:58.000 | Maybe you want to stay on the job and earn a salary until you're 39 or 40 years old, knowing that you can pay off that mortgage and be completely free of all debt, entering financial independence, entering early retirement, not having to worry about that.
01:16:09.000 | So there's a big emotional component to that decision.
01:16:12.000 | I tend to favor the financial liability matching side and asset allocation because I find that when I'm not sleeping at night or when I'm worried, I can worry constructively by whipping out a spreadsheet during a couple hours of analysis.
01:16:24.000 | You're the same, Ben, if I can tell already.
01:16:27.000 | My wife makes fun of me.
01:16:29.000 | When I get excited, I make a spreadsheet.
01:16:31.000 | It's a lot better than reaching for a blankie or a bottle.
01:16:34.000 | For sure.
01:16:35.000 | Last question. I think the audience has noticed probably in the background while we've been recording this interview, the beautiful sound of the birds chirping around your house.
01:16:44.000 | You're a Hawaii transplant, right?
01:16:47.000 | That's right. I grew up in Pittsburgh, but I came to Hawaii as soon as I realized what the Navy was willing to do for me.
01:16:52.000 | I was just going to say, the last question is this.
01:16:55.000 | Should every person move to Hawaii?
01:16:57.000 | Is that your proposed lifestyle recommendation for everybody to move to Hawaii?
01:17:03.000 | Of course, you have to say no, otherwise there would be an onslaught of people.
01:17:06.000 | What are the benefits and disadvantages of Hawaii as a place to live?
01:17:12.000 | My answer to that is everybody should move around as much as they can while they're younger, especially if the military is willing to do it for free.
01:17:21.000 | I find that travel and living in different places all around the world helps you figure out what's important to you.
01:17:27.000 | If you grow up in your hometown and you go to high school and you graduate with all these people and ten years later everybody is still living in the same zip code and you really haven't met anybody new in your life,
01:17:37.000 | maybe that's a big comfort factor.
01:17:39.000 | Maybe family is very important to you and you want to stay around all these people for the rest of your life.
01:17:43.000 | But that's not the family I grew up in.
01:17:45.000 | I've learned to move around a lot and that has broadened me personally, but it's also helped me understand what kind of place I like to live.
01:17:53.000 | By the time we got to Hawaii, courtesy of the Navy, we had lived in a dozen different places over the years and we had learned that we like warm weather.
01:18:02.000 | So that was a fairly straightforward decision to live here.
01:18:05.000 | Again, there are a lot of other advantages to living in Hawaii, cultural, financial, lifestyle, surfing, did I mention surfing?
01:18:13.000 | Those are all the kinds of things that somebody should experience at one point in their life.
01:18:17.000 | So I'd advise everybody, if you get a chance, come visit here.
01:18:21.000 | If you really like it, try to come live here for a few months and see if that's the kind of thing you're looking for.
01:18:25.000 | You may enjoy living in Hawaii, you may become a lifetime resident like me,
01:18:29.000 | or you may stay here for a few months and decide that the things that you miss or the things that you don't like outweigh the advantages of living on a tropical island in the middle of the Pacific.
01:18:38.000 | But again, you've done the research, you've experimented with it, you've figured out what works for you and what doesn't work for you,
01:18:44.000 | and then you can go somewhere else confidently knowing that you have a bunch of criteria and you're still looking for the place that's right for you
01:18:50.000 | and you've figured it out and you won't spend the rest of your life wondering, "What if?"
01:18:55.000 | But to answer your question, should everybody move to Hawaii?
01:18:58.000 | Yeah, they should come try it out. Just visit for a couple of weeks and if that works out, stay for a few months.
01:19:03.000 | And if that works out, stay for a few years.
01:19:05.000 | Hawaii is one of three states I have not yet been to, and I will be there soon and I'll look you up when I come.
01:19:11.000 | I've got a longboard and I've got an extra rash guard.
01:19:13.000 | Perfect.
01:19:14.000 | Exactly.
01:19:15.000 | It's got to be a double XL, but perfect. I'll bring one.
01:19:17.000 | We'll make it all work. It's exactly the size I wear.
01:19:19.000 | Doug, thanks so much for coming on today. This has been super fun.
01:19:22.000 | I really appreciate your generous time when the waves are calling at you. Thank you so much.
01:19:26.000 | Anytime, Joshua.
01:19:28.000 | Told you it was good. Now, we've got to go and put it into practice.
01:19:34.000 | That's always the key thing is to go and put it into practice.
01:19:37.000 | So, that's up to you and that's up to me.
01:19:40.000 | If you're not familiar with Doug's work, check out themilitaryguide.com.
01:19:43.000 | Links in the show notes today.
01:19:45.000 | Feel free to read his book. He's written a book and I think he's working on a second book, if memory serves correctly, that will be coming out when he gets it done.
01:19:53.000 | And so, he's definitely one of the good guys in the financial space.
01:19:58.000 | I think you'd enjoy reading his writing.
01:20:00.000 | And if you know anybody who is involved in the military, send them to his site, themilitaryguide.com.
01:20:05.000 | It's the-military-guide.com for details on things that they can do to enhance their own personal situation.
01:20:14.000 | Thank you all so much for listening today.
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01:22:00.000 | Cheers, y'all.
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