back to indexRPF0209-Doug_Nordman_on_Angel_Investing
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Today we have an in-depth discussion on angel investing 00:00:42.000 |
and he's going to share with us his learning and experience 00:00:46.000 |
from being in the trenches as an angel investor. 00:00:49.000 |
And he's also going to share with us some wisdom 00:00:53.000 |
"Should I rent the house that I need to live in, 00:00:56.000 |
"or should I buy the house that I need to live in?" 00:01:02.000 |
Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance Podcast. 00:01:24.000 |
Doug's been on the show with me before for episode 114. 00:01:34.000 |
and today we dig into one of his favorite subjects, 00:01:37.000 |
It's a no-baloney guide to the topic of investing 00:01:52.000 |
that's very important to me, that I'm studying 00:01:56.000 |
of my own growth and career as a business person. 00:01:59.000 |
I'm very interested in investing in private businesses, 00:02:02.000 |
and I want to learn how to do it effectively. 00:02:04.000 |
The challenge is, how do you actually figure out 00:02:07.000 |
where to get good information on the subject? 00:02:09.000 |
Now, there's lots of people that'll teach you 00:02:11.000 |
about investing who also will sell you investments. 00:02:14.000 |
There's lots of people who will share with you 00:02:22.000 |
but there are very few people who are willing 00:02:24.000 |
to sit down and publicly discuss what they've learned 00:02:52.000 |
Part two, we kind of pivot away from investing, 00:03:00.000 |
TheMilitaryGuide.com, which is one of the leading 00:03:02.000 |
financial websites targeted with excellent information 00:03:19.000 |
Doug, welcome back to the Radical Personal Finance podcast 00:03:35.000 |
the history of the early retirement movement, 00:03:48.000 |
one of the elderly uncles or the kindly grandfathers 00:03:54.000 |
and that's really valuable to some of us young people 00:03:57.000 |
coming up and trying to figure out the lay of the land. 00:04:14.000 |
and number two, the rent versus own decision. 00:04:20.000 |
I thought we'd kick it off with angel investing, 00:04:24.000 |
And to start with, would you share a little bit 00:04:27.000 |
about your actual personal investment history 00:04:30.000 |
as it comes to investing in individual companies? 00:04:37.000 |
I consider myself to be a brilliant investor, 00:04:40.000 |
waiting for any indication that that actually has existed. 00:04:46.000 |
that I'm not such a brilliant investor sometimes? 00:04:48.000 |
- There's a note of rationality involved in my investment. 00:04:58.000 |
and gone through all the traditional accounting, 00:05:01.000 |
and tried to figure out exactly what I'm doing. 00:05:06.000 |
because I suddenly had the time in my life to do it. 00:05:19.000 |
to do the serious research and tracking required. 00:05:23.000 |
and I started doing it again with individual stocks. 00:05:30.000 |
and you are able to understand what you're doing, 00:05:33.000 |
it's a function of the amount of time you put into it. 00:05:46.000 |
I found out that I was spending way more time on that 00:05:49.000 |
I decided I would rather spend my time surfing 00:06:06.000 |
you're probably going to do a lot of up-front analysis 00:06:11.000 |
and you really don't have to keep much of an eye on it 00:06:13.000 |
unless they freeze their dividend or cut their dividend. 00:06:18.000 |
and then not much work to sit back and collect the dividends 00:06:23.000 |
I'll also say that you, as an individual investor, 00:06:27.000 |
need to be fascinated by the type of investing that you do 00:06:40.000 |
with keeping track of those individual equities. 00:06:47.000 |
I also have learned quite a bit about analysis 00:06:50.000 |
of stocks and companies through angel investing. 00:06:52.000 |
I've learned a lot more about analyzing individual stocks 00:06:57.000 |
when I was reading all the information available 00:06:59.000 |
out there on the internet for individual stock picking. 00:07:02.000 |
So angel investing made me a better investor overall. 00:07:05.000 |
And I've also found out that it's more than just showing up 00:07:08.000 |
and watching an investor give you a pitch and writing a check. 00:07:19.000 |
But you also find out exactly what is going on in the company. 00:07:23.000 |
You find out what their concerns and their methods are, 00:07:26.000 |
and you might even form friendships with these people, 00:07:36.000 |
if this is something you want to keep on doing. 00:07:38.000 |
I will say that the investors that start angel investing 00:07:50.000 |
and they finally have enough money to do angel investing. 00:07:54.000 |
You know, they're in their 50s, they have enough money, 00:08:00.000 |
and get into angel investing as a sort of a business mentor. 00:08:13.000 |
Yeah, especially if you're involved in a local basis. 00:08:25.000 |
to all of these luncheon meetings at fancy restaurants. 00:08:28.000 |
And so different CEOs would come in as part of their roadshow, 00:08:42.000 |
I had been trained in the world of mutual funds, 00:08:45.000 |
and I had been trained in the world of discipline. 00:08:51.000 |
to the wonder that is the next pharmaceutical company. 00:08:54.000 |
And here you got the CEO standing in front of you, 00:08:56.000 |
talking about, "Well, we just finished stage three trials, 00:08:59.000 |
and look at our results, and this is so exciting." 00:09:01.000 |
And you get the itchy fingers to start putting your money in, 00:09:08.000 |
is probably the best sales guy in the company. 00:09:11.000 |
Founders have a special passion, all of their very own, 00:09:17.000 |
without that special passion that a founder has. 00:09:23.000 |
to other dangers or risks that the angel investor-- 00:09:26.000 |
the angel investor's job is to look out for that 00:09:28.000 |
during the due diligence and feed that back to the founder. 00:09:33.000 |
Angel investing is a great way to get involved 00:09:35.000 |
in your local community with what's called impact investing. 00:09:46.000 |
offsetting investments that will either match yours 00:09:49.000 |
or give you some tax credits to help lay off the risk. 00:09:51.000 |
And so the way I got started in angel investing 00:09:56.000 |
used to offer tax credits for your investments. 00:10:04.000 |
of the amount of money you invested into the company. 00:10:09.000 |
No one else in America was doing it at the time, 00:10:17.000 |
and phased out that 100% tax credits program. 00:10:23.000 |
and most of them involve matching funds from the state. 00:10:29.000 |
is to see if there's any way to hedge your investments 00:10:31.000 |
with tax credits or matching funds from the state 00:10:51.000 |
In your mind, how do you define angel investing? 00:10:56.000 |
And the next time our angel group gets together, 00:11:03.000 |
unless your angel group has set that up in their charter. 00:11:19.000 |
or investments that would benefit the state of Hawaii. 00:11:22.000 |
For example, somebody may come in from the mainland 00:11:26.000 |
When you live on an island in the middle of the Pacific, 00:11:31.000 |
without having to worry about rolling things out nationwide 00:11:36.000 |
It's not uncommon for a company to come to Hawaii and say, 00:11:39.000 |
"Well, you guys have a tiny little electric grid, 00:11:43.000 |
"will not take down the whole state's energy infrastructure 00:11:48.000 |
Or they'll work on some kind of advanced biopharmaceutical 00:11:54.000 |
or they'll just try something in a very small market 00:11:58.000 |
without having to worry too much about competition. 00:12:01.000 |
We also favor investments that go around the Pacific Rim. 00:12:04.000 |
If we have an opportunity to work with a startup 00:12:08.000 |
or work with Asian countries, then we'll favor that. 00:12:12.000 |
But we really want to try to make Hawaii a better state 00:12:19.000 |
Are you willing to sacrifice the potential financial returns 00:12:24.000 |
in favor of some of those other social returns, 00:12:32.000 |
you would think I'd be willing to sacrifice everything 00:12:35.000 |
to the point where I'm an angel philanthropist, 00:12:43.000 |
but what I have done is invested in a number of companies 00:12:50.000 |
A founder, when he starts out, has two choices. 00:12:52.000 |
The founder can start a business that will pay an income 00:13:00.000 |
If the founder has a real good idea on their hands, 00:13:03.000 |
then they may be able to grow that into a business, 00:13:11.000 |
where the company is worth, say, a billion dollars, 00:13:16.000 |
in angel investing, we refer to that as unicorns. 00:13:26.000 |
where an angel investor could reasonably hope 00:13:30.000 |
of about six to ten times their initial investment. 00:13:44.000 |
once he cashed out and became an angel investor, 00:13:50.000 |
Not all angel investors share their track record, 00:14:18.000 |
but his returns only came from those four companies. 00:14:24.000 |
a little bit about your personal investment philosophy, 00:14:38.000 |
trying to figure out what's an appropriate amount 00:14:50.000 |
- You mentioned being taken to fancy restaurants 00:15:10.000 |
and when my cognition is no longer at its peak, 00:15:13.000 |
that I'm not tempted by the idea of angel investing 00:15:16.000 |
and getting me some of them startup companies. 00:15:35.000 |
That was the main reason I started angel investing 00:15:37.000 |
was because I had an opportunity to learn about it 00:15:43.000 |
it's part of your overall asset allocation plan, 00:15:54.000 |
have led all the small cap value exchange-traded funds 00:16:16.000 |
which was small cap value exchange-traded funds. 00:16:19.000 |
So our portfolio overall is still over 90% equities. 00:16:25.000 |
and I would advise anybody trying this at home 00:16:27.000 |
that you want to join an angel investing group 00:16:47.000 |
I like your approach, and I love talking with you 00:16:48.000 |
because you're one of the more rational people 00:16:50.000 |
when it comes to investment and portfolio creation 00:16:54.000 |
and specifically driving it off of your personal goals. 00:16:56.000 |
That's my beef with much of the financial industry 00:17:04.000 |
now what kind of portfolio will serve this lifestyle, 00:17:10.000 |
"before we figure out what's even important to us?" 00:17:13.000 |
- Well, it is a function of the amount of time 00:17:28.000 |
where the very first pitch from the entrepreneur 00:17:33.000 |
and we figure out if it's worth conducting the next meeting 00:17:36.000 |
and having the pitch given to the full group. 00:17:38.000 |
And that screening committee was an interesting exercise 00:17:52.000 |
I learned a lot from the screening committee. 00:17:59.000 |
and it looks like it's going to do a great job. 00:18:05.000 |
but I also volunteer for some of the activities 00:18:08.000 |
Blue Startups is what's called an incubator or accelerator, 00:18:30.000 |
that their company design and their financing 00:18:40.000 |
and how much do the individuals in your group 00:19:22.000 |
to making an investment of about $50,000 to $100,000 00:19:44.000 |
who's invested in our startups with each other. 00:20:05.000 |
Are decisions and investments made individually 00:20:44.000 |
who have had successful startups of their own 00:20:47.000 |
or they've been very successful in their careers 00:20:56.000 |
it's not uncommon for one or two of the Angels 00:21:01.000 |
So when that startup comes to the Hawaii Angels, 00:21:08.000 |
as about $300,000 to $400,000 from the whole group. 00:21:11.000 |
We just don't know how many collective individuals 00:21:13.000 |
we have to have that will put that amount of money together. 00:21:30.000 |
and then track those investments from the Hawaii Angels 00:21:36.000 |
We generally do that for special tax situations 00:21:52.000 |
"Who's interested? Thumbs up or thumbs down?" 00:21:55.000 |
And if the startup founder is looking for $250,000, 00:22:06.000 |
Are you subject to accredited investor limitations? 00:22:13.000 |
but the SEC limits for any Hawaii Angels group, 00:22:18.000 |
You've got to have investable assets of a million dollars 00:22:28.000 |
It's got to be money that you could reasonably expect 00:22:37.000 |
Some high income individuals are also Angel investors 00:22:40.000 |
because they'll make over $200,000 a year in salary 00:22:48.000 |
So those are the three requirements the SEC has. 00:22:54.000 |
The last numbers I heard were that Angel investors 00:22:59.000 |
$3 million and $5 million in investable assets, 00:23:08.000 |
again, nobody sits down and goes over your books. 00:23:14.000 |
All you do is you sign an affidavit that says, 00:23:16.000 |
"I meet the requirements of being an accredited investor." 00:23:25.000 |
are also required to make sure that they take money 00:23:39.000 |
that you're not complaining that they told you 00:23:45.000 |
or otherwise misled you as an ignorant investor. 00:23:50.000 |
is that you're sophisticated enough, or should be, 00:23:53.000 |
and well enough educated that you are able to 00:23:57.000 |
and understand that it could go under any time. 00:24:07.000 |
Hawaii Angels is also a member of a national organization, 00:24:19.000 |
the investment business that the primary reason 00:24:35.000 |
one of which is to say, well, this is a special item 00:24:44.000 |
and those are the ones who've influenced the legislation. 00:24:51.000 |
- My opinion is that it's designed to minimize 00:24:56.000 |
The startup founders want to have an access to capital 00:24:59.000 |
without having to constantly defend what they're doing 00:25:04.000 |
A startup company really doesn't have enough money 00:25:08.000 |
The accredited investor requirements set a bar for entry 00:25:16.000 |
is relatively sophisticated and able to understand 00:25:21.000 |
I think it's there to protect startup founders 00:25:23.000 |
as much as it is to keep the public from being fleeced. 00:25:26.000 |
If the public wants to go out and get fleeced, 00:25:36.000 |
They're bringing more capital into the startup business 00:25:42.000 |
But there will be people that will be fleeced 00:25:48.000 |
but there will always be people that get around it 00:25:51.000 |
I think, again, the best way to become an Angel investor 00:25:54.000 |
is to meet those accredited investor requirements 00:25:57.000 |
and along the way you'll become educated enough, 00:26:01.000 |
to be able to understand what you're getting involved in 00:26:04.000 |
and to also be the right kind of Angel investor. 00:26:08.000 |
The right kind of Angel investor isn't necessarily 00:26:27.000 |
and, if possible, the company that you were the most sure of 00:26:32.000 |
that the performance hasn't so far, at least, met expectation. 00:26:36.000 |
What would be the story behind that type of company? 00:26:39.000 |
One of the very first investments I made back in 2008 00:26:43.000 |
was in a small cardiac company called Inovasc. 00:26:53.000 |
Instead of the typical stent of the era of 2008, 00:26:56.000 |
they wanted to make a stent that would do a good job 00:26:59.000 |
without any of the drawbacks of typical corporate stents 00:27:02.000 |
that were available from places like Johnson & Johnson. 00:27:12.000 |
He literally wrote the textbooks on implanting stents in people. 00:27:20.000 |
He has been on one contract or one startup job after another 00:27:23.000 |
for the last 20 years, as soon as he was in college. 00:27:27.000 |
He was able to develop incredible stent technology 00:27:31.000 |
that let doctors of any specialty in implanting stents 00:27:36.000 |
be able to use the system and implant the stent 00:27:41.000 |
At the time, we expected this would be an investment. 00:27:44.000 |
It had been 3, maybe 4 years before it was bought by a major company. 00:27:47.000 |
But as the cardiologist developed more of the techniques and the technology, 00:27:51.000 |
and as they got better at what they were doing, 00:27:53.000 |
they realized there were other applications for this stent 00:27:55.000 |
other than just sticking them in people's heart arteries. 00:27:58.000 |
Now it's moved into treating what's known as peripheral artery diseases. 00:28:03.000 |
That's essentially where the blood vessels in your lower legs 00:28:07.000 |
and your lower arms don't necessarily pump enough blood 00:28:14.000 |
So over the last 7 years, this company has improved its technology 00:28:19.000 |
and made these stents smaller and smaller and easier to implant 00:28:25.000 |
They've been doing human trials for most of that 7 years. 00:28:28.000 |
The company has grown over the years and has taken in additional investments 00:28:34.000 |
I think that's the one that's going to pay off. 00:28:36.000 |
Now there's a couple of reasons I think it's going to pay off. 00:28:38.000 |
One reason is because it got a brilliant founder and co-founder. 00:28:41.000 |
Another reason is because most angel companies in the medical technical world 00:28:48.000 |
So we are in the window where they're going to come to the attention 00:28:51.000 |
of an Abbott or a Johnson & Johnson or some other major medical company 00:28:56.000 |
that will buy them for the work they've done so far. 00:28:59.000 |
Part of that is milestones in medtech companies getting the European Union's 00:29:03.000 |
certification or getting the American FDA's certification. 00:29:07.000 |
They're just about there on the American side. 00:29:09.000 |
They've already got the European certification. 00:29:11.000 |
So all these are good things to see in a company as it goes along, 00:29:17.000 |
You don't really know what you're going to get back once the company is liquid. 00:29:22.000 |
Once the liquidity event occurs, it could be an IPO, 00:29:28.000 |
It's probably going to be an acquisition by a larger company. 00:29:31.000 |
Those are a good deal because the larger corporation sees something in your startup. 00:29:36.000 |
You don't know what you're going to get though in terms of whether you're going 00:29:39.000 |
to be given cash for the company or whether you're going to exchange your 00:29:42.000 |
highly illiquid startup stock for the less illiquid stock of a publicly traded corporation. 00:29:50.000 |
If I was to get Johnson & Johnson stock as my share of the cash out, 00:29:53.000 |
well, maybe that would be of value to me or maybe I'd sell it immediately. 00:29:58.000 |
So you don't really know how the payoff is going to work and what percentage 00:30:01.000 |
you're going to see, and that's always a big factor in the investments. 00:30:05.000 |
But again, that was my first angel investment, 00:30:07.000 |
and I feel fortunate that I had good mentors in Hawaii Angels who helped me realize 00:30:12.000 |
this is a good opportunity, and I've also been able to track it for seven years 00:30:15.000 |
and get a better perspective and a better education as we went along. 00:30:18.000 |
Why are IPOs less popular now than in the past? 00:30:23.000 |
When you do an IPO, about 7% of the money you raise goes to the financial firm 00:30:28.000 |
that helps coach you through the IPO, and you have to have that firm. 00:30:33.000 |
So Goldman Sachs or whoever you work with will take their cut. 00:30:37.000 |
If an IPO goes well, then your stock is listed, let's say, at $25 a share on the 00:30:45.000 |
initial day, and maybe it goes up to $26, $27, $30 a share. 00:30:52.000 |
If you go for $25 a share and the NASDAQ investors bid that up to $150 per share, 00:30:58.000 |
you, the startup founder, and you, the investor, you had no idea what you were 00:31:03.000 |
You priced it wrong, and you left a lot of your money on the table by having it 00:31:10.000 |
IPOs are also subject to a lot of scrutiny, regulatory scrutiny. 00:31:13.000 |
And from the investor perspective, once you've done the IPO, you still can't sell 00:31:20.000 |
There's that lock-up period of six months after the IPO before the investors, 00:31:24.000 |
the early investors, are able to put their shares in the market and sell their 00:31:28.000 |
So it all tends to be a little more difficult. 00:31:31.000 |
It's exciting, and it's fun to watch, but it all tends to be a little 00:31:35.000 |
disappointing in the end financially because of the lock-up period and the 00:31:38.000 |
volatility in the stock after the initial public offering. 00:31:42.000 |
I would much rather be bought out by Johnson & Johnson for hundreds of 00:31:45.000 |
millions of dollars in an event that has a known figure on it. 00:31:49.000 |
We know exactly what we're getting, and as soon as we acquire the shares from 00:31:52.000 |
the acquiring company, then we can sell those in the open market or keep them 00:32:02.000 |
And again, keep in mind I'm a military retiree with a pension. 00:32:05.000 |
If I completely mess this up, I've still got a pension check coming in every 00:32:09.000 |
With that disclaimer, I'll say I've invested in a total of nine startup 00:32:14.000 |
Every one of the checks that I've written to those startup companies has been an 00:32:19.000 |
So we're already almost a quarter million dollars into it. 00:32:22.000 |
And of those nine companies, four of them, and over the last eight years, have 00:32:34.000 |
I don't have any disasters that I anticipated. 00:32:36.000 |
But this one had a wonderful idea in biofuel, and it looked like a great idea 00:32:45.000 |
But it's not such a great idea when oil is only $60 a barrel. 00:32:48.000 |
We didn't see what would happen in the market with the price of oil and how 00:32:51.000 |
that would affect this company's ability to raise funds. 00:32:54.000 |
So it's a case where a startup had wonderful technology, and it still is 00:32:58.000 |
And if oil gets up to $140 a barrel, that entrepreneur may jump right back in 00:33:04.000 |
The other three failed for another variety of reasons. 00:33:06.000 |
But one of the reasons, again, a common factor, I invested in a company that 00:33:11.000 |
made solar power systems that were based off of heating fluids, using the sun to 00:33:16.000 |
heat fluids instead of using the sun on photovoltaic panels. 00:33:19.000 |
And this alternative solar energy company, again, was doing wonderful things for 00:33:24.000 |
isolated islands and third world countries where they had a lot of sunshine but not 00:33:30.000 |
Again, though, we didn't anticipate that the large solar photovoltaic panel market 00:33:35.000 |
would crash the price of solar hardware so quickly or so deeply. 00:33:40.000 |
And this company just couldn't sell any of its gear because everybody could buy 00:33:44.000 |
photovoltaic panels for a relatively cheap price, and they didn't need this more 00:33:49.000 |
So when you start with a company as an angel investor, you look for two things. 00:33:54.000 |
You want to have a company where everything has to fail for that company to 00:34:02.000 |
You want to have a company where they've got a founder who you know and you can 00:34:05.000 |
work with, or they've got a great idea that's already got traction among 00:34:08.000 |
customers, and it looks like only a total meteor strike extension event could take 00:34:15.000 |
The other company you want to watch out for is the company where everything has 00:34:21.000 |
And for that, you generally will walk away with a lot of regrets because it's just 00:34:26.000 |
too risky, but it could be the next 20 to 1 payoff like Google or Facebook. 00:34:32.000 |
So a company where everything has to succeed for the company to do well is a 00:34:38.000 |
very risky investment, but it's generally very attractive. 00:34:42.000 |
There's just a lot of risks and it's difficult to quantify. 00:34:45.000 |
I am at an angel investing point in my education where I would prefer to invest 00:34:51.000 |
in a company where everything has to go wrong for it to fail. 00:34:54.000 |
And I look at those other companies and I say, "I'm not going to be greedy. 00:34:58.000 |
And if everything has to go right for that company to succeed, then I'm going to 00:35:02.000 |
just keep an eye on it, let somebody else invest in it, and enjoy their success 00:35:08.000 |
Is the idea of playing those extremes just simply recognizing the risk that you 00:35:12.000 |
face and either something has to have--knowing that we're going to have a 00:35:16.000 |
certain percentage of companies that's going to fail, we know that we have to 00:35:24.000 |
We have to get that to compensate us for all of the ones that have lost, or we 00:35:29.000 |
want this to be--we're willing to settle for a lesser risk just simply--we're 00:35:36.000 |
willing to settle for a lesser risk or a lesser return as long as there are a lot 00:35:40.000 |
of moats around this business, good management, existing employees. 00:35:47.000 |
And you've got a line there where you turn from an angel investor into an angel 00:35:50.000 |
philanthropist too where you want to do impact investing in your local community. 00:35:54.000 |
For example, you may be trying to do something to benefit the local industry. 00:35:58.000 |
In Hawaii, we do a lot of work in medical technology and visitor industry and also 00:36:04.000 |
And some of those investments, they may or may not pay off with a return, but you 00:36:08.000 |
may know that you'll advance the industry and generally make everything better in 00:36:15.000 |
So there is a strong component of impact investing there. 00:36:19.000 |
And the risks, as you pointed out, they tend to be fairly binary. 00:36:23.000 |
You're either going to get a 20 to 1 or 10 to 1 return or you're going to get 00:36:27.000 |
And so the big returns, the big results, the big rewards take a little longer to 00:36:33.000 |
I think also if you fail quickly, you've learned your lesson in a relatively 00:36:37.000 |
prompt manner and you're unlikely to repeat that mistake. 00:36:40.000 |
Whereas if you succeed immediately where you invest in a company and 18 months 00:36:44.000 |
later it gives you 20 to 1, you've learned nothing. 00:36:48.000 |
You've just been along for a very fascinating and rewarding ride, but you 00:36:52.000 |
really haven't had a chance to struggle with the prospects of failure or the 00:36:55.000 |
other difficulties of starting and growing a business. 00:36:57.000 |
So I guess you would say that I have learned the equivalent of a very expensive 00:37:02.000 |
MBA education and the investments I've made so far. 00:37:07.000 |
A couple of them are too close to call, but the other three look very healthy 00:37:10.000 |
and look like they're eventually going to give us a return. 00:37:13.000 |
As an angel investor, too, the returns, again, you generally would want to have 00:37:17.000 |
a 6 to 1 or a 10 to 1 or even maybe a 20 to 1 return. 00:37:21.000 |
A 20 to 1 return would be wonderful, but you're probably only going to see that 00:37:27.000 |
Other angels have grown accustomed to a dividend model. 00:37:30.000 |
By a dividend model, I mean that the startup never actually cashes out. 00:37:35.000 |
Instead, they pay you a dividend share of their profits. 00:37:38.000 |
What will frequently happen is that you'll get all your money back over the next 00:37:42.000 |
5 to 10 years as the company grows and it earns revenue. 00:37:46.000 |
Then after that, you'll be on a special dividend like a preferred stock dividend 00:37:53.000 |
Of course, it's a private stock, but you'd still get a dividend check every year. 00:37:56.000 |
That's quite attractive, especially in Hawaii where many of the investors have 00:38:00.000 |
made their accredited investing money from real estate. 00:38:04.000 |
We're all accustomed to earning rent checks on a dividend model. 00:38:07.000 |
If you can invest in a relatively successful local company that's making money 00:38:11.000 |
and handing it out as dividends, that makes you feel good. 00:38:14.000 |
You know you've got an income stream you can count on. 00:38:17.000 |
Is that kind of the model that maybe goes between those two things? 00:38:24.000 |
I'm kind of cheating here and asking a question that applies to me. 00:38:28.000 |
Some months passed, I've made changes in my own personal portfolio, and at the 00:38:34.000 |
moment, I don't own any publicly traded securities, which is unusual for a 00:38:48.000 |
It's not a market timing endeavor, although who knows? 00:38:52.000 |
I've certainly sold at a good time, and who knows? 00:38:57.000 |
My primary issue was not having a sense of control and not having any impact 00:39:02.000 |
from the companies that I own because they were all owned through mutual funds, 00:39:06.000 |
and primarily, I'm uncomfortable with some of the business models of the 00:39:10.000 |
largest companies in the nation and some of the business practices that they 00:39:14.000 |
regularly engage in, everything from the consistent lobbying of politicians to 00:39:22.000 |
A lot of it is disgusting to me, and so at the end of the day, I'm responsible 00:39:29.000 |
So I've pulled out, and right at the moment, I'm just sitting in cash on the 00:39:32.000 |
sidelines, and my primary outlet at the moment is building the business behind 00:39:36.000 |
radical personal finance, and that's my major focus. 00:39:39.000 |
But concurrent with that, I also desire to start investing again, and one of the 00:39:47.000 |
things that I'm very attracted to as a model is investing here locally in my 00:39:53.000 |
In my time as a former financial advisor, I stumbled across some local 00:39:56.000 |
entrepreneurs and local business people who seem to have a network of local 00:40:02.000 |
businesses, and this guy over here, he's managing the family wealth, and he 00:40:06.000 |
invested in a chain of supermarkets, and this guy over here invested in this 00:40:12.000 |
And to me, it seems like if I can build up the skills -- I'm not confident in my 00:40:17.000 |
own skills at the moment to start making those types of investments, but that's 00:40:20.000 |
just a matter of education and learning and practice. 00:40:23.000 |
But if I can build up some of those skills, I see a lot of benefits from just 00:40:26.000 |
simply investing in my local community with real businesses here locally. 00:40:31.000 |
But I'm not necessarily looking for the 20X return, and I'm also not necessarily 00:40:38.000 |
looking for the company that has perfect business. 00:40:41.000 |
I think there's almost that in between of maybe a business that can just simply 00:40:44.000 |
help build some dividends and has some of that additional social capital benefits 00:40:50.000 |
In your experience, is that a reasonable -- like, is that possible? 00:40:53.000 |
Could you do that if you wanted to there in Hawaii based upon your experience? 00:40:59.000 |
The analogy is -- the metaphor is a mastermind group. 00:41:02.000 |
As you're building your business as a podcaster and online, you're probably 00:41:05.000 |
working with other podcasters and other entrepreneurs, and the group gets 00:41:09.000 |
together regularly, and you challenge each other and talk through your problems 00:41:12.000 |
and succeed better as a group than you would wandering around on your own. 00:41:19.000 |
It's the best mastermind group you'll ever find for angel investing because 00:41:23.000 |
some of the angels in there are already successful. 00:41:25.000 |
Others are entrepreneurs who've cashed out and know far more than you. 00:41:28.000 |
You run across the occasional angel investor in your group who's got a net 00:41:35.000 |
They find it still fascinating to participate in angel investing, and they're 00:41:38.000 |
there to mentor not just the startup founders, but they're also there to 00:41:43.000 |
So it's an absolutely wonderful way to do that in your local area. 00:41:46.000 |
And you, yourself, you would benefit from just going out and joining your local 00:41:53.000 |
If you're not an accredited investor, then they might have some sort of 00:41:56.000 |
affiliate or mentoring program where you would at least be able to understand 00:42:00.000 |
the information that's going on or go to a free lunch or two or a free meeting 00:42:06.000 |
So angel investing has made me a much better investor across the board. 00:42:11.000 |
On the other hand, though, if you're looking for impact investing, you've still 00:42:14.000 |
got to figure out your own asset allocation plan. 00:42:18.000 |
And I'm not trying to give specific advice here, but I would say that you 00:42:21.000 |
would want to limit your angel investing to about 10% to 15% of all of the money 00:42:27.000 |
If you're not willing to invest in equities, then you're going to look at 00:42:31.000 |
things like real estate, which is quite good, not just rental properties for 00:42:35.000 |
tenants, but commercial real estate as well as residential real estate. 00:42:38.000 |
You might also take a look at commodities, for example, if that was of anything 00:42:45.000 |
Usually commodities are what I would call even less socially responsible than the 00:42:50.000 |
general equity market, but there might be something there for you. 00:42:53.000 |
- Less socially responsible than the general market. 00:42:57.000 |
- Well, you know, the first few commodities that come to mind are oil, gas, 00:43:05.000 |
That's the first time I've ever heard the commodities market referred to like 00:43:09.000 |
- It has nothing to do with the actual commodities brokers, but the temptations 00:43:12.000 |
And you have to look around in your local community for other opportunities. 00:43:16.000 |
There are times when we will get a pitch from an investor in our local area who 00:43:24.000 |
It's somebody who lives here, not somebody from out of town. 00:43:27.000 |
But we, for whatever reason, in good conscience, can't ask that founder to 00:43:36.000 |
If they go to the Hawaii Angels meeting and pitch to 70 Angels and nobody's 00:43:40.000 |
interested, then the Angel investor group doesn't look very good, right? 00:43:44.000 |
We've led somebody on and maybe wasted a lot of their time. 00:43:47.000 |
But also the founder loses a lot of confidence and begins to wonder about their 00:43:51.000 |
business model and whether they really want to raise money that way. 00:43:53.000 |
What we will do, though, is we'll sit there and mentor the founder and say, 00:43:57.000 |
"Look, what you've got is a wonderful plan, but it's just not suitable for the 00:44:02.000 |
Or that may come out during the due diligence. 00:44:04.000 |
Again, wonderful idea, but not suitable for Hawaii Angels as a group. 00:44:07.000 |
But we'll also work with that investor and introduce them to other people in the 00:44:10.000 |
industry or other Angel investors who may not be a member of Hawaii Angels or even 00:44:15.000 |
people in corporations in Hawaii who would be interested in investing in that 00:44:23.000 |
Maybe it's a little more than a lifestyle business. 00:44:25.000 |
And they could be a silent partner or they could be a mentor to the founder. 00:44:32.000 |
One is a number of sectors in the visitor industry here are not going to return 00:44:41.000 |
You might be investing in what essentially is an entertainment business, 00:44:44.000 |
either a restaurant or a nightclub or some kind of visitor industry attraction. 00:44:49.000 |
And again, those don't necessarily pay off with a big acquisition by some huge 00:44:54.000 |
national corporation, but they hire a lot of people. 00:44:59.000 |
They get people excited and interested in the visitor industry, and they're a vital 00:45:03.000 |
part of what makes Hawaii a wonderful place to live. 00:45:06.000 |
And so you may accept what is a much smaller return as a silent partner or as an 00:45:10.000 |
investor who's getting a dividend check or who gets all their money back and 00:45:14.000 |
maybe another 40% or 50% profit in addition to that. 00:45:18.000 |
I want to ask a final question on angel investing, and I'll make it a compound 00:45:21.000 |
question, and then we'll pivot to discussing renting versus owning. 00:45:25.000 |
Number one, you mentioned that you're a better investor because of angel 00:45:30.000 |
Are you able to identify anything specifically of how it's affected you? 00:45:35.000 |
And then also, if you were starting over again this process of learning, what 00:45:41.000 |
would the advice be that you would have liked to have had as far as where you 00:45:44.000 |
should focus, the books you should read, the clubs you should join, and how you 00:45:51.000 |
There's a book by an author called Scott Shane called The Illusions of 00:46:00.000 |
Both of those are what I feel a very analytical look at angel investing from 00:46:07.000 |
You always hear about that legendary angel investor who invested $5,000 in 00:46:11.000 |
Google when it was just Sergey and a couple other guys and who has made him a 00:46:17.000 |
And what Scott has tried to do in his books is gather all the available data, 00:46:21.000 |
analyze it, acknowledging that it's incomplete, and make some logical, 00:46:28.000 |
So I would start with those two books even before joining an angel group. 00:46:32.000 |
One of the founders of Hawaii Angels has also written a book on angel investing. 00:46:38.000 |
That one's out there in Google and maybe in some public libraries. 00:46:41.000 |
And again, it talks about what angel investing is and how to do it. 00:46:45.000 |
The number one regret of all angel investors ever in the entire world is that 00:46:53.000 |
They wish they had done more analysis, understood the finances a little better, 00:46:56.000 |
but not just understood the risks to the company itself but understood the risks 00:47:03.000 |
It might look attractive, as I mentioned earlier, 00:47:06.000 |
to invest in alternative energy when oil is $140 a barrel. 00:47:09.000 |
But you also have to consider the fact that oil may someday be $40 per barrel, 00:47:15.000 |
unlikely but possible, and how is that going to impact the company 00:47:20.000 |
And you don't personally have to know all the numbers and come up with a 00:47:24.000 |
You just have to be able to ask that question of the founder. 00:47:29.000 |
But what happens to you if oil goes down to $40 a barrel? 00:47:36.000 |
How are you going to be able to pivot your business model?" 00:47:40.000 |
The other thing it's done to improve my investing skills is it's made me much 00:47:46.000 |
When you first start sitting through angel investing pitches, 00:47:50.000 |
you feel like a 4-year-old running around a candy store. 00:47:54.000 |
That's exactly my experience going to that investment club. 00:47:58.000 |
You should do three pitches per meeting and I'm sitting there saying, 00:48:07.000 |
And you're also having your ego stroked a little bit because you are sitting 00:48:10.000 |
at a very nice place with very nice people and everybody is telling you all 00:48:14.000 |
the wonderful things that are going to happen to you if you invest in this 00:48:17.000 |
So you learn to--you're not cynical but you certainly are skeptical, 00:48:24.000 |
And after you see about 200 or 300 angel pitches over a period of about five 00:48:28.000 |
years, you begin to see some common elements in the pitches from the founders. 00:48:32.000 |
And you either say, "You're doing that wrong and you need to change the way you 00:48:36.000 |
word that slide," or you're saying, "I've seen that pitch before and I know 00:48:42.000 |
So you give that mentoring to the founder or you also know what to avoid right 00:48:51.000 |
It's improved my control over my emotional response to the whole fascinating 00:49:00.000 |
When I see financial projections now, I have the appropriate degree of 00:49:03.000 |
skepticism and I know that you can make very logical mathematical assumptions 00:49:09.000 |
about how your business plan is going to work out and none of that really 00:49:13.000 |
What matters is how well your customers respond when you first roll out your 00:49:16.000 |
product and how they use your website or how they use your product. 00:49:20.000 |
Founders design and create and market products all the time and then find out 00:49:25.000 |
their customers have no plan to use them the way the founder thought. 00:49:29.000 |
They're using them in the way they want to use them and it's completely 00:49:35.000 |
And that means that the founder has to be able to be flexible enough to pivot 00:49:39.000 |
their business plan and come out with a better product that meets exactly what 00:49:43.000 |
This is notorious for guys that are running websites and software as a 00:49:49.000 |
But it also happens occasionally with hard products that people will use them 00:49:55.000 |
You've got to understand what's going on with your customers and give them 00:50:05.000 |
And I know that you come from a military background. 00:50:08.000 |
I don't know how much you were moved around since you were in the submarine 00:50:10.000 |
force and how much time -- wait, were you in the sub force or surface ships? 00:50:19.000 |
And my spouse was in the active duty and reserve communities as a 00:50:27.000 |
And my wife and I have moved 13 times over 20 years. 00:50:32.000 |
Our daughter is racking up her own impressive accomplishments right now. 00:50:37.000 |
She's already had three moves in the last year and she's got a lot more ahead 00:50:41.000 |
So you get a lot of experience at blowing into a town and having to make a 00:50:45.000 |
choice on whether you're going to rent or own. 00:50:47.000 |
And also you've been connected with the early retirement community, 00:50:51.000 |
which is heavy with people who think carefully about every financial decision. 00:50:58.000 |
If you're deciding should I rent or should I own, 00:51:02.000 |
where do you begin with that decision-making process? 00:51:07.000 |
The question comes up most frequently with my military readers. 00:51:12.000 |
And so your military listeners would want to understand that in general, 00:51:17.000 |
if they're on active duty, they're moving every two to three to five years, 00:51:24.000 |
They should never buy a house on active duty. 00:51:30.000 |
If you're going to buy a house when you're on active duty, 00:51:32.000 |
then everything has to go right for you to make money. 00:51:35.000 |
If you're renting when you're on active duty, 00:51:38.000 |
then everything has to go wrong for that rental to be a miserable failure. 00:51:42.000 |
So renting is a much safer approach to having real estate when you're in the 00:51:50.000 |
Now your listeners that aren't in the military will listen to that and say, 00:51:58.000 |
How long are you willing to hold on to that piece of property? 00:52:01.000 |
And is it worth the time that you're putting into it? 00:52:04.000 |
One of the popular statements of property investors is that you make your money 00:52:09.000 |
when you buy the house, not when you sell the property. 00:52:12.000 |
And the idea is that you've bought at enough of a discount that even if 00:52:16.000 |
everything goes wrong, you still won't lose too much money. 00:52:19.000 |
The worst situation is when you overpay for a property, 00:52:22.000 |
whether it's for appreciation or for rent, cash flow, 00:52:26.000 |
and everything has to go right for you to earn money. 00:52:29.000 |
So again, if you're looking at real estate as an investment, 00:52:33.000 |
as a way to put some of your assets to work for more than a low return in 00:52:38.000 |
certificates to deposit or savings accounts, that's not a bad idea. 00:52:43.000 |
It pays to take your time and do a thorough analysis of the market you want 00:52:47.000 |
And I really enjoy the information I get from your podcast, Joshua, 00:52:52.000 |
but I'd also say that another podcast that helps a lot of people with rental 00:52:58.000 |
And they are all over all the different sectors of the market, 00:53:01.000 |
and everybody has a good business model for it, 00:53:03.000 |
and everybody understands the risks and the rewards and can bring a note of 00:53:08.000 |
Again, when you start out investing in real estate, 00:53:10.000 |
whether you're renting or buying, everything looks good. 00:53:12.000 |
Then you run around like a four-year-old in a candy store with a realtor who 00:53:17.000 |
Again, it's very difficult to avoid buying a property. 00:53:21.000 |
I would say that for military, it's especially risky because the cost of 00:53:25.000 |
buying and then selling again on the other end, 00:53:27.000 |
that 6% transaction costs and all the costs of cleaning the place up or fixing 00:53:32.000 |
it up before you sell and buy, those take away all your profit. 00:53:38.000 |
there's just no way to make any money unless you know that you're going to be 00:53:44.000 |
Now, when I tell people that, there's always that guy, 00:53:48.000 |
and it's almost always a guy, but there's always that guy who says, "Yeah, but --" 00:53:52.000 |
Why is it always a guy? Have you figured that out? 00:53:55.000 |
I either have no women listeners or they are not prone to bragging. 00:54:03.000 |
There are a couple of women who have stepped up and said, "Hey," but most of 00:54:06.000 |
the time, it's the guy who says, "I invested in this, 00:54:14.000 |
In fact, one of them is half a chapter in the book I wrote on military 00:54:18.000 |
financial independence, and he wasn't just buying a rental property and 00:54:23.000 |
He and his wife together were in the military, 00:54:28.000 |
And at one point -- this is back in the early 2000s -- at one point, 00:54:32.000 |
they had over 40 rental properties across the southeastern United States. 00:54:39.000 |
Now, they managed to see what was coming in property values, 00:54:45.000 |
they had already liquidated most of their properties. 00:54:47.000 |
And the situation -- they did it with mortgages and cash flow, 00:54:53.000 |
they would never have been able to tap into so much capital. 00:54:55.000 |
But there are people who are able to do quite a good job with real estate, 00:54:59.000 |
whether they buy their house or whether they buy properties to rent out. 00:55:02.000 |
And in general, those people are hardwired to succeed. 00:55:06.000 |
When I tell somebody, "Rent. Don't buy while you're on active duty," 00:55:10.000 |
they're immediately going to ignore me because they grew up in a family 00:55:15.000 |
They might have even grown up as teenagers helping out with a rental property 00:55:19.000 |
and they know that they're going to be able to succeed because they understand it already. 00:55:22.000 |
And there will be those people, and to them I say, "Great. 00:55:25.000 |
If you are hardwired to succeed at real estate and you have the experience, 00:55:30.000 |
But if you are earning a good income and you feel like you're just wasting money, 00:55:35.000 |
burning rent checks, don't get sucked into that. 00:55:40.000 |
Make sure you're going to be in the area long enough to realize a profit 00:55:46.000 |
I think another aspect that I think is important for military people 00:55:50.000 |
but also for non-military people is just simply creating the lifestyle 00:55:55.000 |
all the way through that you're going to be happy with. 00:55:58.000 |
And one aspect, at least my observation--my dad was in the military for many years 00:56:02.000 |
and in the submarines--that job is all-consuming. 00:56:07.000 |
And the idea--when you're shipped out, you're gone completely. 00:56:12.000 |
And then when you're home, to make up for the time that you're gone, 00:56:15.000 |
if you're going to have any chance of keeping your family together, 00:56:18.000 |
if you're going to have any chance of maintaining sanity, 00:56:22.000 |
And just the cost on your time of owning a home yourself and the work associated-- 00:56:28.000 |
as I sit here today, I've got a massive dump truck load of mulch in my front driveway. 00:56:35.000 |
I saw the tree trimming down the yard, and I need to use it in my yard to improve my soil. 00:56:39.000 |
And yet here I am busily building a business. 00:56:41.000 |
And frankly, owning a house is a major hassle at this stage in my life. 00:56:46.000 |
And I'm in the middle of building a business, and it would be far easier and simpler 00:56:49.000 |
if I were just renting an apartment where I went there, I sat down at my computer, 00:56:53.000 |
and then when I clicked "Done" on my workday, I was completely free. 00:56:56.000 |
But as it is, I have to fix my water softener and go up and get the algae off my roof 00:57:04.000 |
And it seems like it takes a little while for people to perceive that. 00:57:07.000 |
So if you've got a stressful, all-consuming job, like a military job 00:57:11.000 |
or any kind of non-military job that is that way, 00:57:14.000 |
recognize just simply the cost of your time and factor that into the financial calculations. 00:57:19.000 |
Don't get suckered into buying just because you have a generous housing allowance 00:57:22.000 |
and the prices look cheap and you look like you can get a low-interest mortgage. 00:57:29.000 |
And in fact, if you do get a generous housing allowance, 00:57:32.000 |
then rent at the cheapest price you can find for the quality you want 00:57:35.000 |
and pocket the rest and save your money for a down payment 00:57:38.000 |
when you're off active duty and out of the military. 00:57:40.000 |
Another book that I've read that does a very good job of analyzing all the risks and rewards 00:57:51.000 |
She talks about her own personal experience and then builds on that 00:57:55.000 |
to make a checklist that anybody can use when they come into town. 00:57:59.000 |
Again, when you're in the military, you try to race into town and buy the house over the weekend, 00:58:04.000 |
get the kids into school before you report to work on Monday. 00:58:06.000 |
It's not quite that fast, but within 30 days, you're making major life decisions 00:58:11.000 |
that are probably best made over a period of months to years. 00:58:14.000 |
She talks about that for everybody, not just military. 00:58:16.000 |
She talks about coming to a town and learning the town 00:58:19.000 |
and really understanding the area you're about to live in before you buy 00:58:23.000 |
and taking the time to understand what neighborhood you would want to live in 00:58:27.000 |
and then waiting until bargain houses pop up for sale in those neighborhoods. 00:58:31.000 |
For her, it takes months to years to properly buy a place at a discount 00:58:39.000 |
Sometimes she says there are situations where you desperately need to buy the house 00:58:44.000 |
Other times, it's better to rent and be safe and be mobile. 00:58:48.000 |
It's a good book. It's sitting here on my desk, actually, as a backup. 00:58:52.000 |
Sitting right there as a backup in case I needed ideas to move the interview forward. 00:59:00.000 |
She does a pretty good job with it in the book. 00:59:05.000 |
What about actually analyzing the financial state of affairs of a market 00:59:11.000 |
and actually looking at a local housing market? 00:59:14.000 |
I would agree with you in the sense of, yes, if you're going to be moving, 00:59:19.000 |
then that's a fairly straightforward way to consider it. 00:59:23.000 |
But then you get into more difficult situations. 00:59:25.000 |
For example, the situation I face here in West Palm Beach in the local housing market. 00:59:29.000 |
I have gone out, and I'm still going out sometimes and kind of looking-- 00:59:32.000 |
virtually gone out, looking at the rental market, 00:59:35.000 |
trying to just see what are houses and apartments renting for and what are my needs 00:59:40.000 |
and would my situation be optimized if I were to move and sell my house. 00:59:44.000 |
I've got a good bit of gain probably in the house in the current market. 00:59:49.000 |
I'm at the point now where I could go ahead and capture that gain tax-free. 00:59:55.000 |
So I consider should I move and capture the gain, 00:59:58.000 |
trying to judge the market just a little bit, kind of get a feel for what's going on. 01:00:04.000 |
and I look at the price-value scenario of the rental market, 01:00:10.000 |
So how would you approach it from an actual financial comparison model? 01:00:14.000 |
Well, I do what you're doing, and that's you're doing your research. 01:00:17.000 |
Every Sunday afternoon when you go out to an open house, 01:00:20.000 |
you're doing an hour or two of market research. 01:00:22.000 |
And it not only helps you understand the factors that you're facing in the neighborhood 01:00:27.000 |
where you want to live or in the town where you're living 01:00:31.000 |
it also helps immunize you against the real estate agent or the mortgage broker 01:00:36.000 |
or the other people who are there to facilitate the purchase, 01:00:39.000 |
whether that's in your best interests or not. 01:00:42.000 |
And so every time you go out to an open house, 01:00:44.000 |
you learn a little bit more than you learned before. 01:00:47.000 |
When my spouse and I were getting started in homes in Hawaii when we had bought a house, 01:00:52.000 |
we were also looking for ideas on ways to improve the home we were living in, 01:00:58.000 |
And over the years, we got better and better at figuring out 01:01:01.000 |
what kind of neighborhood we wanted to look at open houses in, 01:01:04.000 |
what kind of open houses we wanted to look at, what size or what type of property. 01:01:08.000 |
We got very good at locations and neighborhoods. 01:01:11.000 |
And I would say that we probably spent about six or seven years of going to open houses 01:01:17.000 |
at least twice a month, sometimes every Sunday during a month, just for our own entertainment. 01:01:22.000 |
And we would get great ideas on things we wanted to do with our own house. 01:01:29.000 |
We'd learn about all the things you need to learn about to buy a property. 01:01:31.000 |
So we were doing our market research even as we were looking at cool properties 01:01:38.000 |
And when the time came when we found that dream property, 01:01:42.000 |
it was because we had invested all those months of hours of open houses. 01:01:48.000 |
We had gotten to the point where we could walk onto a property and within five minutes say, "Whoa," 01:01:53.000 |
and understand that this had a lot of potential and that there was something worth looking at. 01:01:57.000 |
And then we were able to step back and dispassionately, objectively analyze all the things that were wrong 01:02:06.000 |
And then we were able to put in an offer because we had already filtered through our brains 01:02:10.000 |
over all those months of going to open houses what we wanted, where it would be, 01:02:14.000 |
what it would look like, and how much we were willing to pay for it. 01:02:17.000 |
So it's research disguised as entertainment, but it's very profitable because, again, 01:02:22.000 |
you see a different pitch every week when you go look at somebody's open house, 01:02:26.000 |
and you become a little more skeptical, you become a little more understanding and objective, 01:02:34.000 |
It's the kind of process that can take months or even years to find that property selling for 75 cents on a dollar. 01:02:40.000 |
But when you see it, you know it because you've done all the work that goes into being ready for the opportunity. 01:02:46.000 |
Doug, I think you're giving away all your secrets to early retirement here. 01:02:50.000 |
Your cheap date idea of entertainment is to go look at open houses and not buy. 01:02:54.000 |
Your hobby of choice is surfing, and even if you buy a new whip every year, what is that actually going to cost you? 01:03:03.000 |
But I will say that walking into many of those open houses cost us a lot of money. 01:03:08.000 |
One time we did walk into what we thought was our dream house early in the process, 01:03:11.000 |
and we collectively, after looking back on this many years later, we lost our minds. 01:03:19.000 |
We ended up not buying the property, and that was a very useful lesson, 01:03:24.000 |
We lost $5,000 on the process, but it paid off years later when we did finally find the bargain we wanted. 01:03:30.000 |
And I agree that when you walk into a rental property or a place for sale that you might end up walking away from it again. 01:03:39.000 |
But we would walk into many of these places and say, "Wow, we ought to do that at our house." 01:03:43.000 |
And so you can end up spending quite a lot of money as a result of an open house just because you find a great idea for renovating a room 01:03:49.000 |
or something you want to do to your living room or your family room. 01:03:52.000 |
But we managed to do a lot of sweat equity, so that's the key, is that you spend your money where it brings you the value, 01:03:58.000 |
and if you're willing to learn by doing the labor, then it's the hobby that will pay back for years. 01:04:04.000 |
It seems like there's not really any way to short-circuit that learning process in any aspect of finance. 01:04:09.000 |
You need the expertise to be able to make those quick decisions, and the deals come. 01:04:15.000 |
I know for me, I've generally been a timid person in fear of making a mistake from the perspective of actually saying, 01:04:26.000 |
Usually I see a car or I see a trailer or just like some thing. 01:04:31.000 |
I've not been historically quick to move on things, but I've recognized that I need to be. 01:04:37.000 |
And so I've tried to be more careful to know my market, but then to go ahead and buy when there's an opportunity there. 01:04:44.000 |
And it seems to me like that's something that good investors need to know, is to trust themselves and to have confidence, 01:04:52.000 |
I wouldn't have a clue when it comes to buying and selling fancy tennis shoes. 01:04:56.000 |
I don't even know where to start, but there are some things that I pay attention to, and housing is one of those things, 01:05:02.000 |
because all the effective real estate investors I know can walk into a house and basically say, 01:05:07.000 |
"This one's going to sell for about this based upon these factors." 01:05:11.000 |
And I don't know the way to short circuit that learning process. 01:05:15.000 |
Well, a lot of fear is based in a lack of knowledge, even ignorance. 01:05:20.000 |
And the more you learn, the more you study, the more you practice, then the less ignorance you have. 01:05:25.000 |
You've wiped out your ignorance, and when you see something, your fear is also much more manageable. 01:05:30.000 |
I remember I'm sitting in the dream house we've lived in for the last 15 years, 01:05:34.000 |
and it looks substantially different than it did the day we first saw it. 01:05:37.000 |
But I remember when we were walking around the property and looking at the view and looking at the location and the school system, 01:05:43.000 |
I remember I must have said to my wife about four times during that 30 minutes, "Oh, we have to buy this." 01:05:48.000 |
And she was of the same opinion, and it was very clear that we were walking into a property that was selling for 75 cents on a dollar. 01:05:59.000 |
We knew there were a lot of things that needed to be done to that property to make it useful. 01:06:03.000 |
I mean, it was already a house, but to make it into a home was going to take a lot of effort. 01:06:07.000 |
And we knew all that with our eyes wide open going in, but we had that background. 01:06:11.000 |
We had that experience. We knew the risks. We could see the rewards. 01:06:15.000 |
And we knew that sweat equity was all that stood between us and success, 01:06:18.000 |
and it was all based in all those months of open houses and talking with people and doing the research. 01:06:25.000 |
So it's quite common to be afraid. It's quite common to feel the remorse or the fear. 01:06:30.000 |
But the better you get at it, the less that will happen. 01:06:33.000 |
It's also a factor of interest. You mentioned that you're interested in looking at real estate, and that will pay off someday. 01:06:40.000 |
You've also mentioned that you're not interested in owning publicly traded corporations anymore, 01:06:44.000 |
so it makes no sense for you to try to learn more about it. 01:06:47.000 |
If you're not interested in it, you're not going to be enthusiastic, and you're not going to do a good job. 01:06:51.000 |
Right. With regard to the impact of housing on financial independence, I get questions sometimes from listeners. 01:06:58.000 |
"I'm interested in pursuing financial independence. I have this amount of money. What should I do with it? 01:07:06.000 |
How do you approach the thought process of the impact of a house, a personal residence, 01:07:13.000 |
on the ability to achieve financial independence early? 01:07:18.000 |
It's like any other big, large, leveraged purchase. 01:07:22.000 |
It's least risk. It's the safest thing to keep renting until you find a bargain. 01:07:28.000 |
And then when you find a bargain, if it meets all your criteria, you're going to buy it. 01:07:35.000 |
Again, there is a lot of emotion wrapped up in a real estate purchase, 01:07:38.000 |
and there's also a lot of lifestyle wrapped up in a real estate purchase. 01:07:41.000 |
You may find a gorgeous home that's in totally the wrong neighborhood or even in the wrong city or state. 01:07:47.000 |
You may find the home of your dreams, but it's just not a good place for your kids to go to school. 01:07:52.000 |
The safest thing to do in general is to rent and to not get suckered into buying a property 01:07:58.000 |
until you're ready to commit to that property for a number of years. 01:08:01.000 |
I would say the minimum should be five years in the expectations that you might get back the money you put into it. 01:08:07.000 |
I don't even think there would be profit in living in a place for five years. 01:08:11.000 |
But if you are interested in real estate and you are interested in going to open houses and learning more about the market, 01:08:17.000 |
you'll be able to recognize those bargains when you do see them someday. 01:08:20.000 |
And in the meantime, the safest thing to do is to continue to rent. 01:08:23.000 |
When I got involved in angel investing, I not only limited my asset allocation to 10% of my portfolio, 01:08:30.000 |
I also said, "I'm going to make two investments a year, and I'm going to have to burn an opportunity 01:08:38.000 |
and deprive myself of the ability to invest in anything else for the rest of the year if I find my first two investments in January." 01:08:44.000 |
So as I would sit there listening to a very effective pitch from a very articulate founder in a very attractive company, 01:08:50.000 |
I'd have to say to myself, "I'm going to do two investments this year. Do I want to burn this investment right here in January?" 01:08:56.000 |
And what I found out, what I had not understood at all when I started in either real estate or angel investing, 01:09:02.000 |
was that many of those opportunities were still there next year. 01:09:05.000 |
You would hear that pitch in January, you'd get all excited, you'd eventually get yourself under control and decide to pass. 01:09:11.000 |
A year later, the founder would be back, or the property would be back on the market, or your situation had changed, 01:09:17.000 |
your criteria had changed, and you had a lot more options available to you. 01:09:20.000 |
And so that apparent lost opportunity was actually a great way to go through the process and do a dry run, 01:09:27.000 |
try it on for size, do everything short of actually spending your money, 01:09:31.000 |
and that opportunity would come back around a year or two later. 01:09:34.000 |
I think it's the same way with real estate, especially if you are starting a family and have kids. 01:09:38.000 |
The house that we bought 15 years ago was a wonderful place for the school system and the neighborhood, 01:09:44.000 |
and we really enjoyed raising our daughter here. 01:09:46.000 |
Now it's still a wonderful location, but we don't have to worry about the school system anymore because our daughter is done with school, 01:09:52.000 |
and it's something that we could probably sell someday if we wanted to. 01:09:58.000 |
It's still a wonderful location, and I really enjoy living here. I don't think I'd ever sell it. 01:10:02.000 |
But on the other hand, our criteria have changed because we're not raising a family anymore. 01:10:07.000 |
And that's something that's a long-term view that's difficult to appreciate when you're just starting out, 01:10:14.000 |
I'm starting to understand a little bit more, and I've always had the challenge of filtering advice of other people 01:10:21.000 |
through my own personal experience due to my age. 01:10:24.000 |
And I remember years ago reading authors writing about wealth, and they would say, 01:10:28.000 |
"Always remember that investments are like buses. A new one comes along every few minutes." 01:10:33.000 |
And I was so anxious at the time. "No, they're not. I've got to get going." 01:10:38.000 |
And now at this point, I don't know whether I'm having my quarter-life crisis. 01:10:41.000 |
I'm almost turning 30 this month. But I'm starting to recognize the truth of what they said. 01:10:47.000 |
I acknowledged it intellectually, but emotionally I didn't understand it. 01:10:50.000 |
And I'm starting to recognize investments are like buses. 01:10:53.000 |
Another one always comes along, and the key is just simply being willing to move quickly if you're confident in it, 01:11:01.000 |
And even if you miss this one, there will be another one that comes along. 01:11:05.000 |
It's very hard to wait. But after 30 years of investing, I can assure everybody that, yes, there will be another opportunity. 01:11:12.000 |
And I'm quite a bit past 30. I'm 54 years old. But you're absolutely right. 01:11:18.000 |
Second to the last question, a corollary of the one I just asked regarding the impact of housing on financial independence. 01:11:25.000 |
The other question that's often discussed from the perspective of financial independence is, "OK, I've started to accumulate some capital." 01:11:35.000 |
People that are pursuing early retirement and financial independence are generally savers, and they're starting to accumulate capital. 01:11:41.000 |
How should I look at the idea of getting a mortgage, paying cash for the house, making a minimum down payment, making a big down payment, 01:11:50.000 |
kind of approaching that problem, recognizing that I have some cash, but I also have other places to invest it? 01:11:59.000 |
That's a trick question, and I see that a lot. 01:12:02.000 |
And the tricky answer to that trick question is that you should have an asset allocation plan. 01:12:06.000 |
And an asset allocation plan is not just deciding what percentage of stocks and bonds you're going to invest in. 01:12:11.000 |
The asset allocation plan is also deciding when you're going to own a home. 01:12:16.000 |
If you're in active duty, you're probably not going to own a home until five or ten years from now. 01:12:20.000 |
And so you say to yourself, "Well, my asset allocation plan is going to include a goal of having a 20% down payment ten years from now." 01:12:29.000 |
If you can't predict where you're going to want to buy a house, then you can still say, "Well, I'm going to start thinking about buying a house somewhere in the next five to ten years, 01:12:39.000 |
and I'm going to start saving up cash to buy a house." 01:12:42.000 |
The reason that you would set a goal of saving up cash to buy the house is two reasons. 01:12:47.000 |
You get a better interest rate on a mortgage if you have a substantial down payment of, say, 20%. 01:12:52.000 |
The other reason you do that is because when you buy the house, you can walk in there and tell the seller that you have a big down payment 01:13:00.000 |
and that you're much more likely to be able to get a mortgage and make the sale go through than somebody who's trying to arrange financing with zero money down. 01:13:11.000 |
I make this point about deferred gratification because everybody is frustrated at saving money for their down payment fund for ten years from now 01:13:19.000 |
in certificates of deposit or short-term bond funds at maybe 1.5%. 01:13:24.000 |
The idea of saving money at low interest rates to have liquidity is that when you do decide to buy, you're going to get a substantial discount for using cash. 01:13:33.000 |
And you may have only been earning 1 to 1.5% on that money for the last five or ten years, 01:13:38.000 |
but when you buy that property with that cash discount, you're going to earn 15 to 20% right then 01:13:44.000 |
because you have the cash to be able to make the big down payment and get the lower interest rate and get the property because you've got the money to swing the deal. 01:13:51.000 |
So that's the whole idea of asset allocation and setting those goals is that when a time comes, you know you've gotten ready for it and you have the money and you're ready to buy. 01:14:00.000 |
Now, once you buy a house, let's say you did put 20% down and you got the world's best mortgage rate, 01:14:06.000 |
I would say that getting a 30-year low-interest fixed-rate mortgage is a known factor that you can put in your budget and figure out your forecast expenses for a very long time, 30 years. 01:14:21.000 |
If you know what your expenses are for the next 30 years, then you can plan to save enough money, invest enough money to be able to handle that known liability, and you can match your investments to it. 01:14:31.000 |
I'm quite comfortable with having a mortgage in early retirement because I've got a military pension. 01:14:36.000 |
My military pension pays the mortgage and buys groceries and utilities on the side. 01:14:41.000 |
So I know right away that my liabilities of mortgage, fixed low-interest mortgage, are matched by my pension income, and it's a reliable pension income from the federal government. 01:14:51.000 |
As an early retiree who's not in the military, I'd try to do the same thing with liability matching. 01:14:57.000 |
My asset allocation would have a high percentage of equities or an aggressive bond portfolio that would ideally throw enough income to pay the mortgage every month. 01:15:08.000 |
Whether or not the stock market was doing good, I'd want to have a steady flow of monthly income from my investments so that I would be able to pay my mortgage until my mortgage was gone. 01:15:17.000 |
That's the cold-hearted logical financial analysis. 01:15:22.000 |
Of course, we're all human beings and we're all subject to behavioral financial psychology, and we all have to sleep at night. 01:15:28.000 |
So if you've bought that home for that 20% down payment and you're not comfortable with a mortgage, then you would be willing to continue working for as long as it took to pay off that mortgage. 01:15:39.000 |
Maybe you could go into early retirement with a mortgage when you're 35 years old if that made you comfortable and you were able to sleep at night. 01:15:49.000 |
If you're not comfortable, if you're having trouble sleeping at night, if it worries you carrying that debt into early retirement, then maybe you want to stay on the job for another few years. 01:15:58.000 |
Maybe you want to stay on the job and earn a salary until you're 39 or 40 years old, knowing that you can pay off that mortgage and be completely free of all debt, entering financial independence, entering early retirement, not having to worry about that. 01:16:09.000 |
So there's a big emotional component to that decision. 01:16:12.000 |
I tend to favor the financial liability matching side and asset allocation because I find that when I'm not sleeping at night or when I'm worried, I can worry constructively by whipping out a spreadsheet during a couple hours of analysis. 01:16:31.000 |
It's a lot better than reaching for a blankie or a bottle. 01:16:35.000 |
Last question. I think the audience has noticed probably in the background while we've been recording this interview, the beautiful sound of the birds chirping around your house. 01:16:47.000 |
That's right. I grew up in Pittsburgh, but I came to Hawaii as soon as I realized what the Navy was willing to do for me. 01:16:52.000 |
I was just going to say, the last question is this. 01:16:57.000 |
Is that your proposed lifestyle recommendation for everybody to move to Hawaii? 01:17:03.000 |
Of course, you have to say no, otherwise there would be an onslaught of people. 01:17:06.000 |
What are the benefits and disadvantages of Hawaii as a place to live? 01:17:12.000 |
My answer to that is everybody should move around as much as they can while they're younger, especially if the military is willing to do it for free. 01:17:21.000 |
I find that travel and living in different places all around the world helps you figure out what's important to you. 01:17:27.000 |
If you grow up in your hometown and you go to high school and you graduate with all these people and ten years later everybody is still living in the same zip code and you really haven't met anybody new in your life, 01:17:39.000 |
Maybe family is very important to you and you want to stay around all these people for the rest of your life. 01:17:45.000 |
I've learned to move around a lot and that has broadened me personally, but it's also helped me understand what kind of place I like to live. 01:17:53.000 |
By the time we got to Hawaii, courtesy of the Navy, we had lived in a dozen different places over the years and we had learned that we like warm weather. 01:18:02.000 |
So that was a fairly straightforward decision to live here. 01:18:05.000 |
Again, there are a lot of other advantages to living in Hawaii, cultural, financial, lifestyle, surfing, did I mention surfing? 01:18:13.000 |
Those are all the kinds of things that somebody should experience at one point in their life. 01:18:17.000 |
So I'd advise everybody, if you get a chance, come visit here. 01:18:21.000 |
If you really like it, try to come live here for a few months and see if that's the kind of thing you're looking for. 01:18:25.000 |
You may enjoy living in Hawaii, you may become a lifetime resident like me, 01:18:29.000 |
or you may stay here for a few months and decide that the things that you miss or the things that you don't like outweigh the advantages of living on a tropical island in the middle of the Pacific. 01:18:38.000 |
But again, you've done the research, you've experimented with it, you've figured out what works for you and what doesn't work for you, 01:18:44.000 |
and then you can go somewhere else confidently knowing that you have a bunch of criteria and you're still looking for the place that's right for you 01:18:50.000 |
and you've figured it out and you won't spend the rest of your life wondering, "What if?" 01:18:55.000 |
But to answer your question, should everybody move to Hawaii? 01:18:58.000 |
Yeah, they should come try it out. Just visit for a couple of weeks and if that works out, stay for a few months. 01:19:05.000 |
Hawaii is one of three states I have not yet been to, and I will be there soon and I'll look you up when I come. 01:19:11.000 |
I've got a longboard and I've got an extra rash guard. 01:19:15.000 |
It's got to be a double XL, but perfect. I'll bring one. 01:19:17.000 |
We'll make it all work. It's exactly the size I wear. 01:19:19.000 |
Doug, thanks so much for coming on today. This has been super fun. 01:19:22.000 |
I really appreciate your generous time when the waves are calling at you. Thank you so much. 01:19:28.000 |
Told you it was good. Now, we've got to go and put it into practice. 01:19:34.000 |
That's always the key thing is to go and put it into practice. 01:19:40.000 |
If you're not familiar with Doug's work, check out themilitaryguide.com. 01:19:45.000 |
Feel free to read his book. He's written a book and I think he's working on a second book, if memory serves correctly, that will be coming out when he gets it done. 01:19:53.000 |
And so, he's definitely one of the good guys in the financial space. 01:20:00.000 |
And if you know anybody who is involved in the military, send them to his site, themilitaryguide.com. 01:20:05.000 |
It's the-military-guide.com for details on things that they can do to enhance their own personal situation. 01:20:16.000 |
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