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Today on the show, I have a comprehensive review and in-depth critique 00:00:36.400 |
of Tony Robbins' new book called Money, Master the Game. 00:00:40.640 |
I'm going to share with you the general outline and framework of the book, 00:00:45.200 |
share with you the lessons I learned and the things I loved, 00:00:48.640 |
and then go through some of the minor and major flaws of the book in detail. 00:01:10.720 |
Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance Podcast. 00:01:12.880 |
My name is Joshua Sheets and today is Monday, December 1, 2014. 00:01:17.760 |
Six days after it was promised, I finally bring you the show of... 00:01:23.520 |
Excuse me. Bring you the show with the review of Tony Robbins' new book. 00:01:43.040 |
This show today is actually going to be the first book review that I have done 00:01:48.240 |
And there's a reason that I'll get to in just a moment why I haven't done them. 00:01:54.160 |
this thing sank me to try to do a good review. 00:01:57.600 |
And I'm not sure that I have the right temperament and personality 00:02:00.800 |
to do good book reviews for a show like this, 00:02:03.920 |
because this thing was a beast to put together. 00:02:05.920 |
And as you'll hear when we get into the content, 00:02:08.000 |
it was probably unnecessarily too much of a beast. 00:02:10.960 |
There are a few ways that I could have handled this, 00:02:13.120 |
but I'm doing it the way that I would be interested in listening to. 00:02:18.080 |
And it was a challenge to prepare this review. 00:02:21.680 |
Let me quick outline for you what you can expect in the show. 00:02:25.280 |
And then also, let me, then I'll give you a little bit of preamble 00:02:32.000 |
because I've learned something even going through that. 00:02:37.120 |
I didn't get an advanced copy or anything like that. 00:02:41.120 |
So I just ordered it and I had pre-ordered it and it showed up at my door. 00:02:44.160 |
And so I went ahead and read it and it's a great book. 00:02:48.800 |
but this review is probably going to be a little different 00:02:50.560 |
than any other book review that you've often heard. 00:02:53.120 |
That I'm going to try to do in an audio format. 00:02:55.040 |
I'm going to try to use this book as an outline for teaching concepts, 00:03:01.760 |
I'm going to do that without plagiarizing his content, 00:03:04.160 |
but I am going to reference it and encourage you to read it. 00:03:11.440 |
because there are some minor flaws and there are some major flaws. 00:03:15.040 |
I will make note of the timestamps for the different sections. 00:03:21.120 |
It could be two, three hours or more. I don't know. 00:03:23.600 |
You can obviously know at this point when you see how long it is on your recorder, 00:03:30.400 |
So feel free to use those timestamps if you want to click around. 00:03:34.160 |
And please divide this up into multiple listening sessions. 00:03:36.800 |
This is not, I'm not going to be repeating myself multiple times. 00:03:39.840 |
I'm going to be attacking the subject matter from a few different contexts 00:03:44.400 |
and using each of my points and critiques as a way to teach you about a basic concept 00:03:54.240 |
I learned something this last week in preparing for this review. 00:03:56.480 |
Today is Monday as I record the show, December 1. 00:03:58.960 |
And my last show was last Monday, episode 108. 00:04:02.240 |
And I had planned to have this review finished by Tuesday 00:04:05.600 |
and then ship it out the door and then Wednesday do for you a show on gratitude, 00:04:11.040 |
essentially, in preparation for the American holiday of Thanksgiving. 00:04:15.920 |
And I also didn't do a very good job of communicating with you guys. 00:04:19.920 |
I got a couple of emails and a voicemail saying, "Joshua, where are you?" 00:04:26.000 |
I should have done a better job communicating. 00:04:28.000 |
I had, just before I started recording the show, 00:04:30.880 |
had a great email from a listener who shared with me his thoughts. 00:04:34.720 |
The listener said, "Don't leave us hanging like this." 00:04:36.480 |
Because basically what came through is it's an abandonment of, 00:04:42.720 |
of the trust that you put in me because I've committed 00:04:44.640 |
and I've set a standard of doing a daily show. 00:04:46.720 |
And so I never even thought about it that way until I had heard from the listeners. 00:04:51.120 |
I'm new to this whole podcast and online stuff. 00:04:58.960 |
if I'm not ready to say something that's worth listening to, 00:05:05.680 |
This show, I've taken a lot of time preparing for it for multiple reasons. 00:05:10.640 |
Number one, I had to read the book and it's a 600 page book 00:05:13.120 |
and it's heavy and it's thick and it's meaty. 00:05:15.120 |
And it's a great book, but it's heavy and it's thick and it's meaty. 00:05:32.400 |
and I also have some serious concerns over it. 00:05:48.640 |
life mastery, to use his branding, the life mastery movement. 00:05:55.440 |
On Tuesday, I had a busy day with a couple of interviews. 00:06:00.800 |
and played some interviews on Tuesday and interview on Wednesday 00:06:04.080 |
just so their show would be out, as I'd said, 00:06:09.680 |
So I will be much more conscious of that going forward. 00:06:18.080 |
My wife was a little bit sick, just a bunch of things, 00:06:19.840 |
but I could have done a better job communicating. 00:06:22.720 |
And then the holiday that we had here in the United States 00:06:45.520 |
often you're going to be necessarily critical. 00:06:51.280 |
More than anything, I like to just simply shut my mouth 00:07:06.000 |
I really feel what I think the author must feel 00:07:10.320 |
into a book for years, usually, to prepare a good book. 00:07:26.800 |
I think it's an awesome challenge that he's taken on 00:07:30.720 |
In summary, this book really is a great book. 00:07:41.040 |
And it's probably going to be one of the best expenditures 00:07:45.760 |
I'd encourage you, don't get it from the library. 00:08:00.640 |
Books are phenomenal when you start looking at them 00:08:13.040 |
And I said, I'd get them all from the library. 00:08:17.200 |
I need to destroy a book with an ink, with highlighters, 00:08:24.240 |
that you can get from a book, it's phenomenal. 00:08:28.960 |
And this book, the primary reason that I bought the book 00:08:32.320 |
was when I heard who Tony Robbins interviewed 00:08:43.040 |
he interviewed almost 50 people or something around 50 people, 00:08:47.040 |
many of them incredibly successful billionaires, 00:08:49.680 |
many of them involved in the investment markets. 00:08:52.000 |
And these are people that I don't, at the moment, 00:08:56.240 |
I would love to sit down and speak with all the people 00:09:07.200 |
So I just figured, man, if I can listen to Tony 00:09:11.200 |
even if they're just excerpts, that'd be phenomenal. 00:09:13.520 |
He puts excerpts of the interviews in the book. 00:09:17.200 |
But just the excerpts alone are worth the price of admission. 00:09:27.040 |
Man, I'd pay thousands to get a book with those done. 00:09:29.920 |
Because, I mean, and that would be a cheap price 00:09:33.840 |
when you compare the value of what you can get from somebody 00:09:37.760 |
just by reading something like an interview transcript. 00:09:40.160 |
I would love to do the research process for a book like this. 00:09:47.920 |
is he tried to create a book that would appeal to beginners 00:09:54.480 |
And to the rich, you were already arrived, so to speak. 00:10:17.040 |
was to gain access to the billionaire transcripts. 00:10:25.440 |
is trying to learn how to be a better teacher, 00:10:27.760 |
especially a better teacher of financial concepts, 00:10:41.360 |
And so I wanted to see how Tony Robbins did it, 00:10:43.920 |
because he's widely renowned as being a phenomenal teacher. 00:10:52.240 |
which, by the way, if any of you know how to get in touch with 00:10:54.400 |
and do those author interview requests, things like that, 00:10:57.440 |
I'd love to interview him on a show like this. 00:10:59.120 |
I live probably 15 minutes from his house in Palm Beach. 00:11:02.880 |
But I never met him, never been to any of his seminars. 00:11:07.280 |
I bought his courses, a couple of his courses. 00:11:13.360 |
and his healthy body course, something like that. 00:11:20.240 |
to be the most interesting and the most applicable. 00:11:22.880 |
The other two, I thought the ideas were interesting, 00:11:24.960 |
but I wasn't able to apply them to my life very effectively. 00:11:28.320 |
They were long on kind of psychological tools, 00:11:32.240 |
the psychological tools didn't seem to fit my needs at the time. 00:11:36.880 |
His time planning system, rapid time something or other, 00:11:45.360 |
But the personal power ideas were very interesting and very useful. 00:11:53.120 |
and really benefited from one of his seminars. 00:11:56.320 |
I don't think I've extracted all the value from his CDs or his books yet. 00:12:01.520 |
to be worth it for me to spend $500 or $15,000 on a seminar, 00:12:06.720 |
I don't need--at this point, I don't need the emotional lift. 00:12:09.120 |
I don't think I need the emotional lift that a seminar provides. 00:12:23.920 |
In fact, he says that right in the preamble of his book 00:12:26.160 |
as far as developing the book and trying to use it as a teaching method. 00:12:30.320 |
And I really love more than anything the purpose of the book. 00:12:34.960 |
He sets out and he basically says how he got around to writing it 00:12:38.880 |
because it's been 20 years since he's written a book. 00:12:46.880 |
about basically watched the financial crisis in 2008 00:12:50.480 |
and saw basic criminal behavior, essentially, 00:12:56.160 |
and then people walking away scot-free on Wall Street. 00:13:02.320 |
"This book is committed to one primary outcome-- 00:13:08.480 |
without ever having to work again--real financial freedom. 00:13:13.440 |
And the good news is it can be achieved by anyone, 00:13:16.480 |
even if you're starting out in debt, deep in the hole, 00:13:19.280 |
no exaggeration, with a little bit of time, consistent focus, 00:13:24.400 |
you can get to financial security or even independence in a few years." 00:13:28.400 |
So I thought, what a great purpose for a book. 00:13:32.320 |
And I really--man, if I had to create that for a purpose statement of my show, 00:13:36.720 |
I'd be totally--that's exactly what this show is about. 00:13:41.680 |
And there are really some amazing things and concepts taught in this book. 00:13:47.520 |
But in some things, you're going to have to read through the lines. 00:13:50.560 |
Read through the lines and look for the themes 00:13:56.960 |
In many ways, the book is actually a study in contradictions. 00:14:00.800 |
As I was going through it, I was constantly making notes. 00:14:06.080 |
I'm going to give you many of those examples. 00:14:15.600 |
should be able to remove some of those contradictions 00:14:19.600 |
But I recognize now that finance, the field of finance, 00:14:24.320 |
And I'll give you many specific examples of those contradictions 00:14:31.280 |
Because one of the challenges you have to learn, I think, 00:14:35.120 |
you have to learn how to hold seemingly contradictory ideas 00:14:39.760 |
That's tough because we're not taught to do that in our society. 00:14:41.920 |
We're mainly taught black and white, right and wrong. 00:14:48.400 |
And it was frustrating for me until I finally recognized, 00:14:53.040 |
I can hold these things at the same time in my head. 00:14:56.800 |
I also used to take books like this as gospel, 00:15:03.600 |
And now I just say, what can I learn from it? 00:15:06.160 |
How can I fit this into my own mental models? 00:15:12.240 |
whether I can, in my head, defeat the author and say, 00:15:17.120 |
Or I can say, hey, this author defeated something 00:15:24.320 |
I think books are a good way to argue with people. 00:15:32.000 |
Because then you have to deal with a relationship dynamic 00:15:34.800 |
and hurting the relationship, and you never win an argument. 00:15:37.040 |
But arguing with books, to me, that is a key thing. 00:15:52.960 |
That was why I didn't record this show sooner. 00:15:55.840 |
As I said, I regret some of the shows that I published, 00:15:58.000 |
because I don't think they were packed with enough information 00:16:07.440 |
but it was three hours, then I look out in the marketplace 00:16:13.600 |
The average podcast is supposed to be 30 minutes long. 00:16:22.160 |
If he can sell 52-hour seminars and 600-page books on money, 00:16:26.640 |
I figure I could do two-hour-long podcast episodes, 00:16:31.760 |
and they're entertaining and they're riveting. 00:16:34.640 |
And the way he set out this book is really interesting to me. 00:16:42.480 |
And he says specifically up front that his writing style 00:16:58.480 |
It's not my favorite way of consuming content 00:17:12.080 |
that it's organized around Tony's seven simple steps 00:17:20.720 |
And each of the seven steps has sub-steps and sub-chapters. 00:17:29.600 |
Step one is a focus and a desire to basically say, 00:17:34.560 |
make the most important financial decision of your life, 00:17:38.400 |
which is to be an investor and not just a consumer, 00:18:02.720 |
essentially saying the number one biggest decision 00:18:04.880 |
in your life is, what percentage of my income will I save? 00:18:28.160 |
if they committed to future increase of savings. 00:18:50.960 |
That way you can build some of that emotional gratification 00:18:53.920 |
of the higher income and also higher savings. 00:19:02.240 |
And I'm not gonna actually criticize these steps 00:19:11.520 |
And this section is organized around nine different myths 00:19:17.280 |
the myth is that it's possible to beat the market. 00:19:24.640 |
fail to beat the market over any sustained period of time. 00:19:29.440 |
that passive index investing with Vanguard is the solution. 00:19:50.160 |
small fees become massive as far as their impact 00:20:00.880 |
the returns that we list in the mutual fund literature 00:20:05.280 |
And basically, this is a debate over dollar-weighted returns 00:20:15.440 |
But essentially, the idea is there's two different ways 00:20:19.040 |
of measuring the rate of return that you receive 00:20:23.840 |
A time-weighted return doesn't track a specific dollar 00:20:29.040 |
It doesn't track your specific results as an investor. 00:20:33.200 |
It just simply removes the dollar-weighting of returns 00:20:36.320 |
and says, "On January 1, the portfolio from January 1 00:20:47.440 |
through the portfolio instead of focusing on the time. 00:20:51.920 |
And I'm going to go into that debate in detail 00:20:53.440 |
because I think it's one of the big flaws of this book. 00:20:55.440 |
Myth four is that I'm your broker and I'm here to help. 00:21:02.400 |
the importance of a fiduciary standard for all advisors 00:21:12.640 |
Myth five is that your retirement is just a 401(k) 00:21:15.520 |
and here he basically hammers all the problems 00:21:17.680 |
with the 401(k) system with a major focus on expenses. 00:21:21.040 |
Myth six is that target date funds are perfect. 00:21:29.760 |
But essentially, the myth is that people don't really 00:21:33.600 |
understand the target date funds and also that the asset 00:21:37.040 |
allocation that the target date funds are selecting 00:21:46.160 |
and there's no proof that that asset allocation is for you. 00:21:49.120 |
But it doesn't deserve inclusion here in the myth. 00:21:53.600 |
Essentially, the myth is that annuities are bad. 00:22:01.600 |
Myth eight is you got to take huge risks to get big rewards. 00:22:08.880 |
investment products, that give you great rewards 00:22:12.320 |
Specifically, he talks about buying structured notes, 00:22:15.440 |
investing in market-linked CDs, and fixed indexed annuities. 00:22:24.000 |
that we have limiting beliefs about what's possible. 00:22:27.120 |
His next section is to make the game winnable. 00:22:39.680 |
And he illustrates that the numbers that you need 00:22:42.880 |
are probably far less than you actually think. 00:22:45.520 |
And I learned this was just doing financial planning, 00:22:48.560 |
that a lot of times when people would talk about how much money 00:22:53.040 |
they need and what they need to be financially independent, 00:22:59.280 |
as they need to actually achieve their dreams. 00:23:03.280 |
And so they're either crazy high or crazy low, 00:23:11.200 |
The biggest benefit that I see from this section 00:23:17.360 |
is he lays out five financial dreams for people to consider. 00:23:21.840 |
And he talks about different levels of financial success. 00:23:25.360 |
Because when talking about what is your dream, 00:23:33.600 |
well, what do you want the $10 million to do? 00:23:35.680 |
And if you're starting with a net worth of negative $1 million 00:23:40.960 |
because you just got deeply in debt with student loans, 00:23:46.800 |
And he says, you probably don't need that much, 00:23:50.720 |
but let's break the goal down into lesser dreams. 00:23:53.680 |
And so he lays out here five different stages 00:23:59.360 |
which is financial security, financial vitality, 00:24:06.000 |
and then his final one, absolute financial freedom. 00:24:09.200 |
And I'm actually going to steal those five things, 00:24:29.040 |
with how quickly you can get those investment results 00:24:32.960 |
which is to spend less, save more, earn more, 00:24:38.240 |
So I thought that was really, really, really neat. 00:24:41.280 |
making the most important investment decision of your life, 00:24:47.440 |
how much of your money do you put into a security bucket 00:24:56.480 |
because there's not enough framework around it 00:25:00.480 |
There's got to be some methodology for deciding, 00:25:06.720 |
Here he goes through some different portfolios 00:25:13.680 |
which is a playoff of his all weather portfolio, 00:25:28.080 |
with those billionaires and hedge fund managers, et cetera, 00:25:34.400 |
And then seven is just do it, make it happen, 00:25:36.720 |
and enjoy it and share it, which is about philanthropy. 00:25:44.160 |
But I'm going to use this to show and teach you 00:25:50.720 |
and some of the major lessons in the financial business. 00:26:10.640 |
if your financial planner hasn't been talking 00:26:12.400 |
about this with you, you need to bring this up with them. 00:26:21.120 |
Facing the retirement market, lifespans are increasing. 00:26:28.160 |
that among married couples, at least one spouse 00:26:40.720 |
one out of four couples interpreting those statistics, 00:26:45.760 |
it should be what that statistic is based upon. 00:26:52.400 |
there's going to be a spouse that lives to the age of 97. 00:27:02.480 |
Simply put, there's a quote from John Chauvin, 00:27:05.600 |
who is a Stanford University professor of economics, says, 00:27:08.560 |
quote, "It is not realistic to finance a 30-year retirement 00:27:13.120 |
You can't expect to put 10% of your income aside 00:27:15.440 |
and then finance a retirement that's just as long." 00:27:20.320 |
He talks about the increasing volatility of markets, 00:27:28.720 |
Talks about decreasing government welfare benefits. 00:27:48.240 |
And also he talks about the fact that the wealthier you are, 00:27:54.080 |
Here, he actually cited an interesting study. 00:28:27.360 |
Now the goal is to get rich and work until you're 90. 00:28:38.400 |
the earliest they would consider it is age 70. 00:28:41.360 |
How about the Rolling Stones and Mick Jagger at age 71, 00:28:45.760 |
Or think of business moguls like Steve Wynn at 72, 00:29:09.600 |
They wanted, looked like about 3,500 bucks for it. 00:29:12.400 |
So I found a couple of articles that talked about it. 00:29:22.320 |
not necessarily synonymous with richer people, 00:29:24.720 |
are much less likely to want to retire early. 00:29:32.000 |
It may be that they can't support the lifestyle 00:29:39.440 |
But that's been something that I've suspected, 00:29:41.840 |
but I've never found any numerical evidence for that. 00:29:49.760 |
of talking about the importance of starting early. 00:29:55.360 |
make the most important financial decision of your life, 00:29:59.680 |
And he talks a lot about the benefit of compound interest. 00:30:13.200 |
that William opens a retirement account at the age of 20 00:30:25.680 |
but leaves it alone and it grows at 10% per year. 00:30:28.240 |
His brother starts at 40 and puts in $4,000 a year 00:30:32.320 |
with the same return and keeps going until he's 65. 00:30:40.080 |
even though he'd only invested a total of $80,000, 00:30:45.200 |
But on the flip side, the brother who started later, 00:30:54.000 |
$2 million gap because of that point of starting early. 00:30:58.240 |
And to me, this is one of the most important lessons to start 00:31:02.400 |
by teaching somebody is the power of compound interest. 00:31:12.080 |
And he does this in the context of talking about athletes. 00:31:18.320 |
you can't earn your way to financial freedom. 00:31:20.480 |
You have to actually save and then put a plan in place 00:31:26.720 |
He goes through Kurt Schilling, a baseball pitcher, 00:31:30.320 |
earned more than $100 million and then went bankrupt. 00:31:35.840 |
Kim Basinger, an actress, she earned more than $10 million 00:31:42.000 |
Marvin Gaye, Willie Nelson, MC Hammer, Meat Loaf, 00:31:44.960 |
made loads of money and all of them were nearly bankrupt 00:31:51.360 |
And so amazing to me because those examples just blow my mind 00:32:00.000 |
and then you can simply outspend it if you're not careful. 00:32:04.160 |
So very, very valuable, very, very valuable illustration. 00:32:11.840 |
He talks really well about the value of why you invest 00:32:18.480 |
that you're investing to build a money machine 00:32:23.920 |
One of my favorite quotes from the book comes from page 54. 00:32:36.480 |
Frankly, it's just about the worst trade you can make. 00:32:58.160 |
because they see the value of becoming wealthy 00:33:14.080 |
this shiny new thing that I need," whatever it is, 00:33:18.800 |
or right when it comes out at full retail price 00:33:25.520 |
that just happens to be the latest, coolest thing 00:33:27.520 |
because it has two helipads on the top instead of one, 00:33:30.640 |
whatever that shiny new object is at your level 00:33:36.880 |
if you don't see investing as being superior, 00:33:55.360 |
I think that's why people have trouble saving money. 00:34:03.200 |
a clear vision of what it's going to do for you 00:34:14.800 |
Near the end of the book, Robbins talks about timing, 00:34:18.560 |
essentially that those who are skilled with investors, 00:34:33.600 |
He gives some amazing stories in this section 00:34:40.560 |
but he talks about how if you start early enough 00:34:42.960 |
and essentially these are the power of compound interest, 00:34:59.680 |
My favorite story because it's the most extreme 00:35:14.960 |
but he set aside 20% of every paycheck he received 00:35:32.720 |
evidently his stock account had grown in value 00:35:37.200 |
to over $70 million by the time he was 90 years old. 00:35:57.040 |
That wouldn't necessarily be my definition of enjoyment 00:36:05.760 |
and evidently it does say that at the end of his life, 00:36:12.320 |
He made $3.6 million in grants to two schools for the deaf 00:36:16.480 |
because he'd been hard of hearing for many years. 00:36:23.680 |
And maybe I'm sure he got far more enjoyment from that 00:36:31.360 |
the themes that are important in financial planning. 00:36:41.040 |
And then am I giving it enough time for it to compound over time? 00:36:44.880 |
He gave a story of a lady named Osceola McCarty 00:36:53.680 |
She washed and ironed clothes but she always saved. 00:37:00.320 |
she donated $150,000 to the University of Southern Mississippi. 00:37:05.200 |
Now what's heartbreaking for a financial advisor 00:37:12.160 |
because it seems that from the story that she never invested it. 00:37:15.840 |
And you think, man, how much more if she had invested it? 00:37:20.480 |
who from Mississippi washing and ironing clothes 00:37:28.800 |
who is one of my favorite investment managers. 00:37:36.240 |
he committed and saved 50% of his income from the beginning 00:37:39.360 |
when he was a brand new stockbroker in New York City 00:37:47.680 |
A couple of interesting tidbits for you on John Templeton. 00:37:55.200 |
First, he saw the opportunity and he saved 50% of what he earned. 00:38:10.000 |
And some of it he borrowed, some of it he had. 00:38:20.480 |
Including those that were considered nearly bankrupt. 00:38:22.960 |
So all he did was just simply set this arbitrary price limit 00:38:25.920 |
of this very low valuation and invested into it. 00:38:30.560 |
And then after the war, when the economy grew, 00:38:33.360 |
it grew quickly to be a much larger portfolio. 00:38:38.880 |
I think only three of his stocks wound up going bankrupt. 00:38:42.400 |
All the rest of them made money and came back. 00:38:51.040 |
and I didn't have enough money pulled together. 00:38:53.280 |
And also I was in the process of starting a business. 00:38:56.400 |
but I wish I had been more diligent when I was younger 00:39:04.960 |
And I hope that, you know, for you older people 00:39:10.320 |
I hope desperately that we wind up in another situation like 2008. 00:39:16.160 |
And just because I didn't have the capital set aside, 00:39:25.280 |
another interesting tidbit that I noticed in the book 00:39:31.120 |
But in the book it says he was a British citizen. 00:39:33.040 |
You often hear him referred to as Sir John Templeton. 00:39:38.640 |
because it was clear he was from the United States of America. 00:39:45.280 |
he actually renounced his citizenship in 1964 00:39:48.640 |
and became a naturalized British citizen living in the Bahamas. 00:39:54.400 |
he saved about a hundred million bucks in taxes by doing that, 00:40:04.400 |
this happened because there was a 1962 change in the tax code 00:40:14.800 |
It seems like he had originally set up his funds in Canada 00:40:24.720 |
That law and the tax code, that really affected him. 00:40:34.400 |
in this need to find people who have done it effectively 00:40:37.040 |
and successfully over the years and saved a lot of money. 00:40:40.000 |
And when I look forward at some of the tax uncertainty 00:40:42.560 |
and some of the capital controls that you sometimes wonder 00:40:48.480 |
if the stage is being paved for them with changes, 00:40:52.960 |
I'm not sold yet, but I look at it suspiciously. 00:40:55.280 |
Researching expatriation and renunciation of citizenship 00:41:04.160 |
But the point is Templeton saved 50% of his income 00:41:07.200 |
and he turned it into a multi-billion dollar portfolio. 00:41:15.280 |
Robbins does a really amazing job of talking about 00:41:20.720 |
And I learned something new called the Save More Tomorrow idea. 00:41:25.520 |
And let me read you one paragraph here from page 67. 00:41:28.880 |
And paragraph says, "Bernard C. and Thaler first tested 00:41:35.120 |
the Save More Tomorrow plan almost 20 years ago 00:41:39.760 |
where the blue-collar workers said they couldn't afford 00:41:42.080 |
to squeeze another dime out of their paychecks. 00:41:44.880 |
But the researchers persuaded them to let their employer 00:41:51.760 |
and then add 3% more every time they got a pay raise. 00:42:00.800 |
those employees who thought they couldn't afford to save 00:42:04.000 |
were setting aside just under a whopping 14% of their paychecks. 00:42:09.680 |
And 65% of them were actually saving an average 00:42:22.320 |
But I didn't know it had been tested with results like that. 00:42:24.880 |
But how neat that just basically the idea is, 00:42:32.240 |
So as your income goes up, or even if it doesn't, 00:42:35.040 |
you just say, "Well, I'm going to save a little bit, 00:42:39.520 |
And I would encourage you to consider it in your life. 00:42:43.840 |
"I'm going to save 1% and then increase it by 1% every month." 00:42:50.480 |
maybe half a percent, go to half a percent every month. 00:42:52.960 |
What that'll happen is you can find those little tweaks 00:42:58.560 |
that I'm always going to save this amount of money, 00:43:01.040 |
and then you do it, and then you work to figure it out, 00:43:09.520 |
than many times saying, "I'm going to go from nothing to 30%." 00:43:15.520 |
Some people respond well to the go from nothing to 30%. 00:43:21.680 |
I get a little frustrated if things are slow. 00:43:23.760 |
But many people have noticed it's effective if you do that. 00:43:26.480 |
Now, the trick is you've got to set up some kind of system 00:43:29.600 |
And I guess these systems are actually being tested 00:43:38.400 |
I would love to have an option like that myself 00:43:42.800 |
And I think that should be really rolled out more and more. 00:43:46.000 |
Should be optional, but it should be rolled out more and more. 00:43:49.040 |
Robbins does a great job of also talking about the emotional needs 00:43:53.520 |
and the connection with emotional needs versus financial issues. 00:43:57.040 |
Some people try to meet their emotional needs with money. 00:44:03.600 |
He talks about the first need that we have is a need for certainty. 00:44:22.080 |
Too much uncertainty, you get stressed and you can't handle it. 00:44:28.960 |
the need for growth and the need for contribution. 00:44:32.960 |
And money is often tried to be applied to those certain emotional needs. 00:44:37.520 |
The need for significance is probably the easiest one 00:44:40.480 |
where people try to measure their significance by displaying their wealth. 00:44:50.160 |
Or on the flip side, you see people just try to display their significance 00:44:56.880 |
I'm worth $10 million, but I drive a $2,000 car. 00:45:01.760 |
And the key that I drew from this section was, 00:45:06.880 |
then a lot of times the financial problems are relatively simple. 00:45:15.040 |
excuse me, no matter how fancy your financial solution, 00:45:21.040 |
And I've seen this happen with some of the financial plans 00:45:23.120 |
that I've designed have fallen apart for clients. 00:45:25.360 |
And it wasn't due to a mistake that I made in a technical sense. 00:45:28.480 |
It was due to a mistake I made in not perceiving the emotional needs. 00:45:33.920 |
Robbins does a great job of talking about topics comprehensively 00:45:37.360 |
and then giving some practical advice and some useful tricks. 00:45:43.760 |
In his section on how to speed up your financial results, 00:45:53.040 |
as far as things that you can do to speed up your strategies. 00:45:56.720 |
Now, remember, put this in the context of the framework that I use 00:46:02.960 |
I can focus on expenses and the difference between those. 00:46:06.080 |
And I can focus on investing the difference intelligently 00:46:09.920 |
and getting higher rates of return on the difference. 00:46:13.360 |
And again, I may have, I think I made that up in my mind, 00:46:18.240 |
But you see that same theme in his different strategies. 00:46:23.760 |
Strategy one is to save more and invest the difference. 00:46:26.560 |
And some practical things, he goes through a little idea 00:46:34.960 |
if you're interested in paying off your mortgage more quickly, 00:46:43.920 |
And the key one is to pay your next month's principal payment. 00:46:51.440 |
I did this myself on my mortgage for the first, 00:46:54.560 |
for the first, let's see, was it a year of living in this house. 00:46:58.880 |
And every month I would run down the amortization schedule 00:47:02.080 |
and I would try to pay my normal monthly payment 00:47:05.760 |
and then at least the next month's principal payment. 00:47:09.520 |
And then some months I would do several months. 00:47:11.600 |
But instead of sending $1,000, I would calculate, 00:47:14.480 |
well, one month is $232, the next month is $247, 00:47:22.160 |
and I would send a check for whatever that number was, $867, 00:47:26.240 |
so that I could keep my amortization schedule 00:47:29.680 |
And I just thought it was a fun idea and I liked it. 00:47:32.240 |
And I was trying to balance this idea of invest 00:47:36.400 |
versus pay off the mortgage and the emotional need, 00:47:40.080 |
of having the mortgage paid off and investing. 00:47:49.680 |
When I decided to start the show, I stopped doing that. 00:47:51.520 |
But I love that idea and I commend it to you. 00:48:06.960 |
And maybe that'll give you a little psychological trick 00:48:10.320 |
It goes to the practicality of getting rid of the BMW 00:48:18.320 |
David Bach's idea from "The Automatic Millionaire." 00:48:38.880 |
of the latte factor to higher consumption clients. 00:48:41.760 |
And this is something I've really struggled with 00:48:49.840 |
and not so worried about saving little things. 00:49:00.080 |
And so the ultra thrifty, ultra frugal people will say, 00:49:09.760 |
He says, "I'm not saying you have to give up bottled water 00:49:19.840 |
you know, the ones that feel great in the moment, 00:49:22.320 |
like the pricey work bag or the beautiful Hermes tie. 00:49:30.960 |
She drives her husband batty with her impulse purchases. 00:49:56.640 |
He had two weeks to find her a better price online. 00:50:22.480 |
you know, "I have a spouse who's a compulsive spender. 00:50:28.800 |
You can combine both finding better deals online, 00:50:34.800 |
with essentially putting a time limit on your desire 00:50:40.720 |
So that's an idea that I'm gonna share with clients 00:50:58.720 |
to ensure that you have more than enough down the road 00:51:01.200 |
to continue to fund your lifestyle and your dreams? 00:51:10.560 |
and where to put the biggest bang for your buck. 00:51:13.360 |
He does a great job continuing on this theme of strategies 00:51:19.680 |
So the first strategy to speed things up was save more 00:51:22.800 |
and invest the difference by lowering expenses. 00:51:38.240 |
and he talks about going to a Jim Rohn seminar. 00:51:43.920 |
because Jim Rohn was a master at conveying simple concepts. 00:51:51.920 |
from page 260 is incredibly, incredibly valuable. 00:52:03.440 |
This is Robin speaking about how when he looked around 00:52:18.960 |
twice as much money in the same amount of time? 00:52:25.040 |
From my perspective, it was an unsolvable riddle. 00:52:27.360 |
I was working as a janitor and I needed extra money. 00:52:30.880 |
A man my parents knew and whom my father had called a loser 00:52:35.200 |
had become quite successful in a short period of time, 00:52:39.920 |
He was buying, fixing, and flipping real estate 00:52:52.160 |
led to an opening that would change my life forever. 00:53:11.840 |
I've gotten, I think, two jobs off of just simply my hustle and drive. 00:53:15.520 |
I was with some friends at an event recently, 00:53:18.560 |
and we were noticing just some people that were moving some things. 00:53:24.960 |
"I would never in my life offer this person work 00:53:27.120 |
because I cannot stand how they are approaching this moving opportunity." 00:53:33.520 |
Teach your kids to move quickly and to hustle, 00:53:42.160 |
"I did it," Jim said, "by going to a seminar by a man named Jim Rohn." 00:53:48.480 |
"It's a place where a man takes 10 or 20 years of his life and all he's learned, 00:53:53.280 |
and he condenses it into a few hours so that you can compress years of learning into days," 00:54:07.600 |
I was making $40 a week as a part-time janitor while going to high school." 00:54:13.600 |
"Sure," he said, "but I won't, because you wouldn't value it if you didn't pay for it." 00:54:22.160 |
"How could I ever afford $35 for three hours with this expert?" 00:54:26.160 |
"Well, if you don't think you're worth the investment, don't make it," he finally shrugged. 00:54:32.400 |
I struggled and struggled with that one, but ultimately decided to go for it. 00:54:36.560 |
It turned out to be one of the most important investments of my life. 00:54:41.040 |
I took a week's pay and went to a seminar where I met Jim Rohn, 00:54:47.600 |
I sat in an Irvine, California hotel ballroom listening to Jim, riveted. 00:54:52.720 |
This silver-haired man literally echoed the questions that had been burning in my mind. 00:54:57.600 |
He, too, had grown up poor, wondering, even though his father was a good man, 00:55:02.640 |
why his father struggled so hard only to suffer while others around him prospered. 00:55:08.480 |
And then suddenly he answered the question I had been asking myself literally for years. 00:55:16.080 |
"The key," he said, "is to understand how to become more valuable in the marketplace. 00:55:22.400 |
To have more, you simply have to become more. 00:55:26.400 |
Don't wish it were easier. Wish you were better. 00:55:36.000 |
For things to get better, you have to get better. 00:55:38.640 |
We get paid for bringing value to the marketplace. 00:55:43.200 |
It takes time, but we don't get paid for time. We get paid for value. 00:55:51.440 |
It starts down here at, what, about $2.30 an hour? 00:55:54.560 |
This was many years before current minimum wage days. 00:56:03.600 |
Would a company pay somebody $52 million a year? 00:56:10.240 |
If you help a company make a billion dollars, would they pay you $52 million? 00:56:15.840 |
Of course. It's chicken feed. It's not that much money. 00:56:21.360 |
Is it really possible to become that valuable? 00:56:28.480 |
And then he let me in on the ultimate secret. 00:56:34.800 |
Learn to work harder on yourself than you do on your job. 00:56:40.320 |
So, can you personally become twice as valuable and make twice as much money in the same time? 00:56:46.240 |
Is it possible to become 10 times as valuable and make 10 times as much money in the same time? 00:56:54.720 |
And then he paused and looked directly in my eyes and said, 00:56:58.880 |
"All you have to do to earn more money in the same amount of time is simply become more valuable." 00:57:12.640 |
That clarity, that simplicity, the wisdom of those words, they hit me like a 100-pound brick. 00:57:19.440 |
Those are the exact words I've heard Jim Rohn speak probably a hundred times. 00:57:24.960 |
I've carried them in my heart every day since, 00:57:28.000 |
including the day that I spoke at his funeral in 2009. 00:57:31.360 |
That man, that seminar, that day, what Jim Rohn did was put me back in control of my own future. 00:57:39.680 |
He made me stop focusing on what was outside of my control, my past, the poverty, other people's 00:57:47.280 |
expectations, the state of the economy, and taught me to focus instead on what I could control. 00:57:57.360 |
I could find a way to serve, a way to do more, a way to become better, a way to add value to 00:58:04.800 |
the marketplace. I became obsessed with finding ways to do more for others than anyone else was 00:58:10.320 |
doing in less time. That began a never-ending process that continues to this day. At its most 00:58:16.800 |
basic level, it provided a pathway to progress that continues to drive and lead every single 00:58:22.080 |
decision I make and action I take. In the Bible, there is a simple tenet that says there's nothing 00:58:28.240 |
wrong with wanting to be great. If you wish to become great, learn to become the servant of many. 00:58:35.280 |
If you can find a way to serve many people, you can earn more. Find a way to serve millions of 00:58:40.960 |
people, you can earn millions. It's the law of added value. And if the gospel of Warren Buffett 00:58:47.360 |
is more your thing than biblical verse, the oracle of Omaha is famous for saying that the most 00:58:51.920 |
powerful investment he ever made in his life and that anyone can make is an investment in himself. 00:58:57.360 |
He talks about investing in personal development books, in educating himself, 00:59:01.760 |
and how a Dale Carnegie course completely changed his life. Buffett once told me this story himself 00:59:07.040 |
when we were on the Today Show together. I laughed and asked him to keep telling that story. "It's 00:59:11.760 |
good for business," I said, grinning. I took Jim Rohn's message to heart and became obsessed. 00:59:18.480 |
I would never stop growing, never stop giving, never stop trying to expand my influence or my 00:59:23.840 |
capacity to give and do good. And as a result, over the years, I've become more valuable in 00:59:29.280 |
the marketplace to the point that I'm extremely fortunate enough today that finances are no longer 00:59:34.800 |
an issue in my life. I'm not unique. Anyone can do the same. If you let go of your stories about 00:59:41.280 |
the past and break through your stories about the present and its limits, problems are always 00:59:46.160 |
available. But so is opportunity. To me, that was more than a page and a half. Those two and a half 00:59:56.880 |
pages are worth the price of admission. Just those two pages, in my mind, lay out the formula that 01:00:02.640 |
somebody needs to go on to become wealthy. I know for me, ever since I heard Jim Rohn say that, 01:00:08.880 |
I think he was the first, I've thought a lot about that. How do I become more valuable? How do I 01:00:13.040 |
become more valuable? How do I become more valuable? How do I become more valuable? And in my 01:00:18.160 |
mind, at least in the system that I live in, in the United States of America, that's the key. If I 01:00:22.800 |
can become more valuable, I can earn more. So instead of saying, "How can I?" The only way to 01:00:28.880 |
answer the question, "How can I earn more? How can I get paid more? How can I have more?" is, 01:00:32.160 |
"I need to become more valuable. I need to grow and expand and learn and develop." 01:00:36.560 |
Interestingly, he puts in a little box here updating those numbers. 01:00:40.960 |
This is also, I want to read this to you from page 263. "What does the American income ladder 01:00:46.160 |
look like today? My bet is Jim Rohn couldn't have imagined that in 2013, the low end of the ladder 01:00:53.040 |
would be $7.25 an hour, $15,080 annually, and that the high end earner of the year would be 01:00:59.680 |
Appaloosa Management founder and hedge fund leader, David Tepper, who earned $3.5 billion, 01:01:07.360 |
with a B, billion, in personal income. How could any human being make even $1 billion a year, 01:01:15.440 |
much less $3.5 billion? Why such an incredibly low income for some people and such a high income 01:01:22.640 |
opportunity for others? The answer is the marketplace puts very little value on being 01:01:28.000 |
a cashier at McDonald's, $7.77 an hour, because it requires a skill that can be learned in a few 01:01:34.880 |
hours by almost anyone. However, successfully expanding people's financial returns in a 01:01:40.560 |
significant way is a much more rare and valued set of skills. When most Americans are getting 01:01:46.800 |
less than 33 basis points, a third of 1%, annually, as a return on their money from the bank, 01:01:52.480 |
David Tepper delivered a 42% return for his investors in the same time. How valuable were 01:01:58.480 |
his contributions to their economic lives? If he got them a 1% return, he would have been 01:02:04.480 |
300% more valuable. A 42% return means he added 12,627% more economic value to their lives. 01:02:15.280 |
That's the formula, right? That's what's so frustrating to me, why I hammer so much on the 01:02:22.880 |
school thing, is because if you're making $7.77 an hour at McDonald's today, you're going to be 01:02:30.960 |
replaced in under five years with a touchscreen, and you're going to go from $7.77 to nothing. 01:02:35.760 |
If you're taking orders and if you're flipping burgers in the back of McDonald's, you're going 01:02:40.240 |
to be replaced in under five years by a robot. The person out front pushes the touchscreen and says, 01:02:47.360 |
"I want a Big Mac," and the machine's going to make it, and it's going to be perfect every time. 01:02:58.640 |
Now, that machine may cost $100,000, $200,000, it doesn't matter. Compare that to $15,080 per year, 01:03:06.560 |
plus cost of employment taxes, plus cost of insurance, plus the hassle of dealing with 01:03:12.080 |
management, managing employees. That's going to be the change. In a world where we're already 01:03:18.160 |
accustomed to going in and simply interacting with machines, where sometimes many of us prefer 01:03:26.880 |
not doing our own self-checkouts, we don't have to talk to anybody, we're becoming sensitized 01:03:31.040 |
to interacting with machines over time. What does the minimum wage earner do? We've crippled 01:03:36.080 |
many of the people at minimum wage. We've crippled them with schooling. 01:03:42.080 |
Rant over. The point is that that is the key. Earn more in yourself. Amazing, amazing. 01:03:54.560 |
Another key stat that I learned from this section was on the next page, page 264, 01:03:59.360 |
and about the importance of that skill set, and especially as it relates to things like 01:04:06.400 |
unemployment. Think about what a big difference some of your friends, maybe some of you listening, 01:04:12.080 |
who've been unemployed for a year, two years, three years, and 2008. What a massive setback 01:04:18.640 |
that was to your financial plans, or is to your financial plans. I told the story on shows past 01:04:23.840 |
about my client who had gotten laid off from a job and just took two years of unemployment, 01:04:30.640 |
and then wound up not being able to find a job, and was stuck not being able to find a job, 01:04:37.280 |
and wound up pulling tons of money out of their 401k. Now consider this paragraph from page 264. 01:04:45.280 |
During the Great Recession, 8.8 million jobs were lost. In 2008, 2.3 million jobs were lost in that 01:04:53.120 |
year alone. Unemployment peaked at 10%, but remember that 10% unemployment rate is an average. 01:05:00.240 |
Some portions of the population had unemployment levels over 25%, but for those making $100,000 01:05:07.760 |
per year or more, what would you guess was their unemployment rate? The answer, close to 1%. 01:05:16.160 |
The lesson, if you truly develop skills that are needed in the current marketplace, 01:05:21.600 |
if you constantly improve and become more valuable, someone will employ you, or you'll 01:05:26.880 |
employ yourself regardless of the economy. If you employ yourself, your raise becomes effective 01:05:33.120 |
when you are. Isn't that stunning? 1% unemployment for those making a nexus of $100,000 a year, 01:05:41.120 |
average of 10%, as much as 25% in some sectors. We're living in a time of this incredible 01:05:46.640 |
reshuffling and transformation of our economy, and it's going to have massive impact. 01:05:53.120 |
Massive impact. Got to be aware of it. The key is self-development and getting the situation 01:05:59.920 |
where we're earning in excess of $100,000 and learn the skills. Tells a story, Robbins does, 01:06:05.120 |
that blew my mind about a Korean teacher who is earning $4 million a year as a teacher. 01:06:13.520 |
It's a man named Kim Kihun, and he saw an opportunity doing online education. 01:06:20.160 |
He was a teacher and he said, "I can do this better online." Today, it says on page 267, 01:06:28.240 |
he works about 60 hours a week, but only three hours are for giving lectures. The other 57 hours 01:06:32.880 |
are spent researching, innovating, developing curriculum, and responding to students. He 01:06:36.800 |
charges his students based upon an hourly fee for their instruction. Based upon this hourly fee for 01:06:45.360 |
their instruction, he wound up earning $4 million last year. Students log on for $4 an hour to 01:06:53.040 |
watch his classes. Isn't that stunning? Here's a teacher, $4 an hour for each student, but he's so 01:07:00.000 |
effective at teaching that he earned more than $4 million. Amazing. He tells a story on the next 01:07:07.440 |
page, 268, about a lady named Daniela who was working in a marketing department doing art 01:07:12.000 |
design. She's working in a company. She was doing other people's jobs. They were being lazy. 01:07:16.480 |
Basically, she went to her CEO and said, "Listen, I'm doing the work of four people. 01:07:20.720 |
I know what I'm talking about. I've gone to courses. I've learned. I've taught myself about 01:07:26.160 |
visual arts, marketing, and social media. I'm not going to throw any of the other employees under 01:07:30.240 |
the bus, but I can save you 50% of your marketing costs right now and eliminate three people by 01:07:35.040 |
taking on their jobs myself, and I'll do a better job. Don't trust me. Let me prove it. Let me do 01:07:40.880 |
their jobs for the next six months, and I'll do my assignments and theirs, and you can have two 01:07:46.240 |
different examples to pick from, and you decide what's best." She did it. She proved herself, 01:07:53.360 |
and she made a lot more money over time. Isn't that cool? Isn't that a strategy that many of 01:08:03.520 |
you could do if you're working in a company? Pick up the responsibility. I remember Brian 01:08:07.200 |
Tracy always taught in his courses, he would always teach, "Ask for more responsibility. 01:08:12.720 |
Ask for more responsibility. Do the responsibility well. Discharge it and ask for more responsibility. 01:08:17.280 |
Ask for more responsibility." It's a useful thing that can be applied if you're trying to figure 01:08:22.080 |
out, "How do I earn more?" Look at it from that perspective. Tell us a story about GoPro. I didn't 01:08:27.520 |
know the story of GoPro. It's fascinating to me. Evidently, it was started by a man named Nick 01:08:32.320 |
Woodman, who was a surfer, and he just started toying around with making waterproof cameras. 01:08:37.520 |
Today, GoPro, I mean, the guy's worth over a billion bucks because he found this niche in 01:08:43.600 |
digital cameras and created the GoPros, and they have executed on the idea phenomenally well, 01:08:49.920 |
but an amazing financial success story. He also tells the story that I thought was fascinating 01:08:56.640 |
about a lady named Sarah Blakely, who is the world's youngest female self-made billionaire, 01:09:01.680 |
and she invented Spanx, control-top pantyhose. One of the things that I thought was interesting, 01:09:07.760 |
he profiled in the book on page 271, that he says here, "Sarah shared with me that one of 01:09:12.960 |
the most important secrets to her success was that from an early age, her father actually 01:09:18.000 |
encouraged her to fail, but he defined failure not as failure to achieve a result, but failure 01:09:24.080 |
to try. Around the dinner table, he would ask if she had failed today, and he was truly excited if 01:09:30.160 |
she had because he knew that meant she was on the path to success. 'Tony, it just took away my fear 01:09:36.400 |
of trying,' she told me. Down and out in a dead-end office product sales job, Blakely infested all the 01:09:43.200 |
money she had in the world, $5,000, and set out to create body wear that would work for her. 'I 01:09:49.200 |
must have heard no a thousand times,' she said, but she didn't listen. In addition to the $5,000 01:09:54.800 |
she invested, she saved $3,000, which she didn't have, on legal fees by writing her own patent 01:10:01.120 |
from a textbook. And Spanx went on, 'Today it's worth over a billion dollars,'" and they have over 01:10:05.920 |
200 products, including, I guess they're developing a product for men. That's my weak point. I wonder 01:10:12.800 |
if I'll have to check out the Spanx and suck my tummy in with control top pantyhose for men. 01:10:17.120 |
Just kidding, sort of. So, amazing. I noticed that because, as you know, I think a lot about 01:10:24.400 |
education, and I think a lot about the incentive system for failure. And what I don't like is that 01:10:28.960 |
every great inventor, every great entrepreneur talks that I've read, many great inventors, 01:10:33.840 |
entrepreneurs talk about the value of failure, but we've set up an incentive system for children 01:10:38.880 |
that incentivizes them not to fail and penalizes them for failure. Now, there's a difference 01:10:43.920 |
between defining failure as getting a C. If you're capable of getting a C and you get a C, 01:10:48.480 |
that's a success. But I think a lot about how can we clarify the incentive system for children 01:10:53.520 |
to incentivize them to try, to try new things. And you don't get incentivized to try and measure the 01:11:00.960 |
way that the current schooling system works. Strategy three that Robbins talks about is a way 01:11:06.400 |
to speed things up, which is reduce fees and taxes and invest the difference. And so, this ultimately 01:11:12.560 |
is all part of my number two thing, cut expenses. Anytime you can lower fees and lower taxes, 01:11:18.080 |
you're cutting expenses, and that's going to improve your situation. And tax efficiency is 01:11:24.720 |
one of the, in Robbins' book here, it's one of the most direct ways to shorten the time it takes to 01:11:29.680 |
get from where you are now to where you want to be financially. He talks a little bit about his 01:11:36.240 |
personal tax story. He says that if you're in a high income or in a high income state, such as 01:11:40.240 |
California, where he used to live, your total tax bill is 62% by the time you bring in all of the 01:11:46.320 |
taxes for income, investment taxes, payroll taxes, the new Obamacare taxes, and social security. 01:11:51.760 |
He does a good job of going into the long-term capital gains rates versus the short-term capital 01:11:56.400 |
gains rates, just a really effective job of talking about how the major, major impact that 01:12:02.560 |
reducing taxes and fees can have on how quickly you can achieve your financial results. I'll 01:12:09.760 |
mention this later when I talk about lifestyle, but one of the things that Robbins did was he 01:12:14.000 |
moved from California to Florida recently and saved a massive amount on taxes just by eliminating the 01:12:20.720 |
California state income tax. I'm going to give you details on that when we get to the, in a moment, 01:12:27.760 |
or it's not going to be in a moment, but later when I talk about his emphasis on lifestyle. 01:12:31.760 |
He's so, so valuable. Let's do it now. One of the things that just, to me, I really love that he 01:12:40.240 |
talks about lifestyle first. I really think that in many ways, lifestyle should be the first place 01:12:47.600 |
to start. He mentions it towards the end of his book, but I think you should start by designing 01:12:53.360 |
the ideal lifestyle. That means many things. It means living in an ideal scenario and an ideal 01:12:59.200 |
place. If you want to live in the mountains, go live in the mountains. Don't wait for retirement. 01:13:02.080 |
If you want to live in the warmth, come live in Florida. We've got plenty of jobs down here. 01:13:06.160 |
Build the lifestyle for yourself first because ultimately money is only good to fund lifestyle. 01:13:10.800 |
So if you can create lifestyle without having money to fund it from investments, just go do 01:13:16.160 |
that first. But then also build the lifestyle in a way that's going to be effective. And so with 01:13:22.000 |
that tax efficiency, he talks on page 287 of his book, he goes through the details of how he was 01:13:28.480 |
born and raised a Californian and had lived there for years, even though he traveled most of the 01:13:32.480 |
time. But California in 2012 raised taxes on the highest income earners by more than 30% 01:13:39.280 |
to a top rate of 13.3%. And so his effective tax rate had shot up to 62 cents for every $100 01:13:47.760 |
that he earned. He was left with $38 after taxes. And worst of all, they made that tax retroactive. 01:13:57.920 |
So after they passed it, after they passed the bill, they made it go back all the way up to that 01:14:03.920 |
same year or to the prior year. I'm not sure which it was. So they changed the rules after the fact. 01:14:09.600 |
And so for him, finally, it convinced him to do something else. So he went on a massive search 01:14:13.280 |
all around the country to find different options. And he came to Florida, right where I live, 01:14:18.640 |
right to Palm Beach. And I used to walk across Palm Beach Island every day to, you know, not 01:14:22.720 |
every day, but to go to the beach when I was in college. He came to Florida and said, "Oh, okay, 01:14:26.560 |
I only know Florida, alligators and old people." But what he found was Palm Beach. And so from page 01:14:32.560 |
289, after looking at 88 properties in three states in just three weeks, I told you I'm a 01:14:37.360 |
massive action guy, we found the only brand new home on the water in Palm Beach. Two acres, nearly 01:14:43.920 |
200 feet of ocean frontage on one side and the Atlantic intercoastal waterway on the other, 01:14:48.640 |
with a 50 foot boat dock. I feel like I'm back in my home in Fiji. It's extraordinary. 01:14:53.920 |
My wife has everything she wants close by, world-class restaurants, et cetera, et cetera, 01:14:57.680 |
et cetera. Of course, the price tag was way higher than I ever wanted or imagined paying for a home. 01:15:03.440 |
But Florida has no state income tax. We went from 13.3% state income tax in California to nothing, 01:15:11.840 |
nada, zip. So here's the kicker. With the state taxes we're saving every year, 01:15:18.480 |
we are literally paying off our entire new home in six years. Did you catch that? We're paying 01:15:27.840 |
for our entire home out of the tax savings we now get as residents of the sunshine state 01:15:33.680 |
instead of the golden state. Kind of makes you think we should have done it sooner, huh? 01:15:37.920 |
Better late than never. And he goes on and says we massively improved our quality of life 01:15:43.360 |
with that change as well. And one of the coolest resources that I'll commend to you is a website I 01:15:49.120 |
had never heard of. And I love the theme of the website. It's called howmoneywalks.com. 01:15:54.960 |
I love this theme and I'd never heard of this site. So I'm really glad I found it. 01:15:59.040 |
howmoneywalks.com is a site that is using the IRS data that the IRS tracks as far as where people 01:16:05.680 |
move from and move to. And it talks about basically where people are moving from and to, 01:16:15.920 |
and where the money is flowing out of and where the money is flowing into. 01:16:20.560 |
And the most interesting thing is you can go in and you can identify your specific situation. 01:16:25.760 |
Sorry about that. My dog barked. You can identify your specific situation and you can say, "Hey, 01:16:31.600 |
if I made this move from here to there, what will that do for me?" I just think this is the coolest 01:16:39.280 |
thing. And the best thing about it, he's got an app. So look it up in the app store that you can 01:16:44.400 |
use. And evidently he's written a book as well. But he's got an option where you can put in, 01:16:49.040 |
"If I move from here to there, how much money would it save me?" So I made up a number and I 01:16:53.760 |
said, "Okay, let's say I move from Chicago, Illinois to Florida." And I pretended I said a 29 01:17:00.320 |
year old person married, filing jointly with two dependents making $100,000 a year. 01:17:06.480 |
If you moved from Chicago, Illinois to Florida, you would save $4,590 per year. If that $4,590 01:17:15.360 |
is then invested each year at 6% interest until you retire at the age of 67, you would have an 01:17:20.240 |
additional $623,800 net worth. Isn't that incredible? This has got to be one of the best 01:17:28.720 |
tools ever for showing you, "Hey, here can I save?" And I hear from many of you who say, 01:17:33.440 |
"I actually went and did my cashflow statement based upon how you told me to do it. And so when 01:17:39.920 |
I did it, I found out that I was spending all this money on taxes." Yes, you can do it. Now, 01:17:46.560 |
do I expect everyone to move? No, of course not. But if you have a company that you can move, 01:17:51.120 |
if you have an ability to earn income from other places, if you have a job that you can clearly 01:17:56.160 |
move from and easily move from, this should definitely be on the consideration. And the 01:18:00.160 |
good thing is that everybody wins. Number one, you win by doing something that's in your best 01:18:04.560 |
interest. Number two is that by voting with your feet and moving, the place where you go gets 01:18:11.360 |
better as long as you're a productive person, and you probably are, otherwise you wouldn't be 01:18:15.200 |
moving. And then by voting with your feet and getting out of there, the other place wakes up 01:18:19.840 |
and says, "Hey, I need to change something. This is competition." Doesn't usually exist in government 01:18:24.480 |
circles, but in this situation, it might exist in some. So the Detroit government, after everyone 01:18:29.040 |
left and everyone goes bankrupt, has had to restructure things. So that's good. Clear out 01:18:33.040 |
a bunch of debt, go bankrupt, reset everything. Now new people come in, new innovation comes in, 01:18:38.320 |
people move there for different reasons. Just apply that on a macro scale. So there's really 01:18:43.520 |
one of the few ways that reform can happen in this country is by moving. So I thought that was just 01:18:49.120 |
an awesome scenario. I think Tony does a good job of treating financial advisors fairly. And this is 01:18:56.400 |
always an interesting conundrum. Oftentimes when I come to books like this, I have this internal 01:19:02.240 |
bias because I come from the financial industry. And just like I feel so bad for people who are car 01:19:08.080 |
dealers that you get so hammered on for, "Wow, you're a used car salesman," you kind of build up 01:19:13.600 |
this defense mode. And I have family members who are car dealers, and I'm in the financial world. 01:19:18.880 |
No attorneys in my family, though. But you get used to this defense mode. So I find that constantly 01:19:23.920 |
affects me, even though I don't identify with much of the financial industry and how it works. 01:19:27.920 |
Oftentimes when the financial industry is being criticized, I often get really upset about that. 01:19:33.920 |
Not upset, but I have to deal with it. I have a bias that I have to deal with. 01:19:38.400 |
And so he's clear about this. I think he treats advisors fairly. On page 86, we read, 01:19:44.880 |
"Now let me be clear. This book is not another Bash Wall Street book. Many of the large financial 01:19:50.400 |
institutions have pioneered some extraordinary products that we will explore and advocate 01:19:54.720 |
throughout this book. And the vast majority of people in the financial services industry care 01:19:59.200 |
intensely for their clients. And more often than not, they're doing what they believe to be the 01:20:03.600 |
best thing. Unfortunately, many don't also understand how the house reaps profits, whether 01:20:09.280 |
the client wins or not. They're doing the best they can for their clients with the knowledge, 01:20:13.600 |
training, and the tools, products, they have been provided. But the system isn't set up for 01:20:18.480 |
your broker to have endless options and complete autonomy in finding what's best for you. And this 01:20:23.280 |
could prove costly." I think that's accurate. I really do. I think that's accurate. 01:20:27.200 |
So he clearly, throughout the book, illustrates the need for financial advisors in a number of 01:20:35.040 |
different ways, ways that I've talked about and also just directly simply saying it. 01:20:39.920 |
One of the things that I've grew to love as a financial advisor is the primary 01:20:43.520 |
basis upon which I would bring on board an investment client was on the basis of what 01:20:48.480 |
Nick Murray calls the behavioral investment counseling option. I believe one of the most 01:20:53.040 |
valuable services that an advisor can provide for their client is helping the client to optimize 01:20:59.280 |
and optimize their general behavior through good financial planning and then also to mitigate their 01:21:06.080 |
destructive behavior of dealing with certain market gyrations, essentially. On page 96, 01:21:13.120 |
you see this where he quotes the Dalbar returns comparing the returns of the average mutual fund 01:21:20.880 |
versus the average investment fund. So over a 20-year period, December 31, 1993 through December 01:21:28.240 |
31, 2013, the S&P 500 returned an average annual return of 9.28%. But the average mutual fund 01:21:35.680 |
investor made just over 2.54%, according to Dalbar, one of the leading industry research firms. 01:21:41.360 |
So this is a major, major problem that I think financial advisors can help with. 01:21:45.760 |
He also does a good job of talking about the importance of asset allocation, 01:21:49.840 |
which in my mind is one of the key scenarios that a good financial advisor should be working 01:21:54.160 |
with people is helping them to figure out and identify their asset allocation and just the 01:21:59.200 |
necessity of doing that carefully with asset allocation. It's a big, big deal. 01:22:07.360 |
And so if you can combine asset allocation, which he makes the point in the book that is free return 01:22:13.600 |
with behavioral investment counseling, to use Nick Murray's words, to me that is tremendous. 01:22:21.120 |
And this page 336 here, he talks about the value of advice. "Some people just won't listen to 01:22:26.800 |
advice. They have to learn the hard way, if at all. But to avoid those kinds of painful lessons 01:22:31.600 |
and to help you decide which options are right for you, I have to remind you that a conflict-free, 01:22:36.160 |
independent investment manager can be the right choice. Notice how professional athletes, men and 01:22:41.120 |
women at the top of their sport always have coaches to keep them at peak performance. Why is that? 01:22:46.160 |
Because a coach will notice when their game is off and can help them make small adjustments that 01:22:50.000 |
can result in huge payoffs. The same thing applies to your finances. Great fiduciary 01:22:55.120 |
advisors will keep you on course when you're starting to act like a teenager and chasing 01:22:59.200 |
returns. They can talk you off the ledge when you're about to make a fateful investment decision." 01:23:04.480 |
So really, really powerful. On the next page, he talks about a quote from the leader of J.P. Morgan, 01:23:11.280 |
one of the financial divisions at J.P. Morgan, a lady named Mary Callahan Erdos, or Erdos, 01:23:18.560 |
I'm not sure. And so in building out an asset allocation, he identifies, in my mind, 01:23:24.400 |
the power of a financial advisor. Let me read to you these four paragraphs. 01:23:27.680 |
"When I interviewed J.P. Morgan's Mary Callahan Erdos, I asked her, 'What criteria would you use 01:23:34.080 |
in building an asset allocation? And if you have to build one for your kids, what would that look 01:23:40.400 |
like?' 'I have three daughters,' she told me. 'They're three different ages. They have three 01:23:45.520 |
different skill sets, and those are going to change over time, and I'm not going to know what 01:23:49.200 |
they are. One might spend more money than another. One may want to work in an environment where she 01:23:54.160 |
can earn a lot of money. Another may be more philanthropic in nature. One may have something 01:23:59.360 |
that happens in her life, a health issue. One may get married. One may not. One may have children. 01:24:03.920 |
One may not. Every single permutation will vary over time, which is why even if I started all 01:24:09.520 |
of them the first day they were born and set out an asset allocation, it would have to change. 01:24:14.000 |
And that has to change based on their risk profile, because over time you can't have 01:24:18.400 |
someone in a perfect asset allocation unless it's perfect for them. And if at the end of the day, 01:24:24.320 |
someone comes to me and says, 'All I want is treasury bills to sleep well at night,' 01:24:28.880 |
that may be the best answer for them." I said to her, "Because it's about meeting their emotional 01:24:34.480 |
needs, right? It's not about the money in the end." "Exactly, Tony," she said, "because if I 01:24:39.440 |
cause more stress by taking half their portfolio and putting it in a stock market, but that leads 01:24:44.160 |
to a deterioration of the happiness in their lives, why am I doing that?" "What is the purpose 01:24:49.360 |
of investing?" I asked. "Isn't it about making sure that we have that economic freedom for 01:24:53.760 |
ourselves and for our families?" "That's right. To be able to do the things you want to do," she 01:24:58.880 |
said, "but not at the expense of the stress, the strains, and the discomfort that goes along with 01:25:04.000 |
a bad market environment." "So what's the lesson here from one of the best financial minds in the 01:25:09.520 |
world? What's more important, even the building wealth is doing it in a way that will give you 01:25:14.160 |
peace of mind." In my mind, that's one of the key values of a financial advisor. So I think he's 01:25:20.240 |
very, very fair in dealing about that. He also clearly in the book, another major benefit of the 01:25:26.000 |
book, he does a great job of clearly discussing the need for setting the price on the dreams, 01:25:30.640 |
on your dreams. And in my mind, this book is worth it for this chapter alone, 01:25:36.800 |
because this is what people don't do, and I'd encourage you to do it. And as he says, 01:25:43.280 |
you may find that the price tag is less than you ever imagined. Let me read you one example here, 01:25:50.160 |
to kick this one off, from page 203. He says, "I usually kick off my financial seminars with 01:25:56.880 |
a question, 'What's the price of your dreams?' Then I invite people to stand up and tell me 01:26:03.120 |
what it's going to take for them to be financially secure, independent, or free. 01:26:08.160 |
Most don't have a clue." So he goes on to ask, and I ask you now as Robbins asks in the book, 01:26:16.640 |
"What's the price of your dreams? Do you know the price, the actual price tag?" 01:26:21.440 |
This one really made me think, because I realized that I need to update my price tags on my dreams. 01:26:28.320 |
I have a list, and they have price tags, but I realized I need to update them. And 01:26:33.840 |
what most people do is they write down a number of some kind, and then he talks about, 01:26:40.080 |
they write down a number, and it's a big number, and it's kind of scary, 01:26:43.840 |
they don't know what to do with it. They don't know what it means. On the next page, he says, 01:26:48.960 |
"Recently at one of my high-end programs, a young man in the back of the room stood up to name the 01:26:53.920 |
price of his dreams. He threw back his shoulders and announced, 'A billion dollars.'" There were 01:27:00.320 |
a lot of oohs and ahs from the crowd. This person was in his 20s, one of the younger participants 01:27:04.800 |
at the conference, and he probably hadn't earned his first million yet. So I asked him to consider 01:27:09.840 |
what that number really meant. Robbins goes on and talks about how what was driving him was 01:27:16.960 |
significance, the idea of having a billion dollars, that if he had a billion dollars, 01:27:22.800 |
if he was a billionaire, then he would matter, he would be significant. People would recognize that. 01:27:28.960 |
But as far as how to actually work with him, Robbins went on and talked to him and said, 01:27:35.920 |
"Well, what kind of lifestyle would you live?" The man says, "I'd like to have a Gulfstream jet, 01:27:41.360 |
a jet that I can really fly around the world in." Let me just read this. It says on page 206, 01:27:50.960 |
"I started by asking my young friend what his lifestyle would be like if he had a billion 01:27:54.560 |
dollars. He thought for a moment, then he said, 'I'd have my own Gulfstream.'" "Your own jet," 01:27:59.040 |
I said, "where will you fly to?" He said, "Well, I live in New York. I'd probably fly down to the 01:28:04.160 |
Bahamas and I'd probably fly to LA for some meetings." I had him write down how many times 01:28:08.800 |
he'd fly in a year and he figured it was probably a maximum of 12 flights. And how much would a jet 01:28:13.840 |
cost him? We looked it up and a long distance Gulfstream G650 would cost him about $65 million. 01:28:20.400 |
A slightly used Gulfstream IV would only set him back about $10 million, 01:28:25.600 |
not including fuel, maintenance, and crew. Then we looked up the costs of chartering a 01:28:31.520 |
private jet instead of owning one. A mid-sized jet was all he really needed for himself and 01:28:36.320 |
three family members to fly and that's around $2,500 an hour. He would be flying for maybe 100 01:28:42.160 |
hours a year for a grand total of $250,000 per year or around $5,000 per hour or $500,000 per 01:28:50.400 |
year if he wanted to fly by a Gulfstream on every flight. Still far less than the annual price of 01:28:55.360 |
maintenance on many jets and at a cost that would be less than 1% of the cost of buying that Gulfstream. 01:29:01.600 |
Even from the stage I could see his eyes lighting up and his mind working. He goes on and says, 01:29:06.960 |
"What else would you buy? Buy an island." Robbins tells the story of buying his own island and 01:29:12.160 |
worked through the list and looked up the cost and figured out he could buy an island or he could just 01:29:16.880 |
rent Richard Branson's Necker Island for $350,000 for a week. That comes with a staff of 50 people 01:29:24.720 |
to take care of everything and host all of his friends there. If he did that every year for a 01:29:29.280 |
decade, it would only cost $3.5 million versus $30 to $40 million needed to buy an island with 01:29:35.520 |
no work to maintain the property. We worked through his list, I'm on 2H208, and guess how much it would 01:29:41.120 |
cost to have the lifestyle he wants to have for the rest of his life. When we added up the real cost 01:29:46.880 |
of even his wildest dreams, not just his needs, it came to a grand total of not $1 billion, not 01:29:54.320 |
$500 million, not $100 million, not $50 million, but $10 million to have everything he dreamed of 01:30:04.960 |
having in his lifestyle and never have to work for pay for it. His dreams were gigantic. 01:30:10.800 |
The difference between $10 million and $1 billion is astronomical. These numbers exist in different 01:30:19.840 |
universes. He goes on and talks about really big numbers. Pay attention to these two paragraphs, 01:30:25.040 |
trying to compare the definition and the difference between millionaires and billionaires. 01:30:31.840 |
My first question is, how long ago was 1 million seconds ago? Take a moment, 01:30:37.760 |
even if you don't know, what do you guess? The answer is 12 days ago. How close were you? 01:30:46.320 |
Don't feel bad. Most people have no clue. If you got it, congratulations. Now we're going to up the 01:30:51.760 |
ante. Since you now have a perspective of what a million is, a million seconds being 12 days ago, 01:30:57.680 |
how long ago was a billion seconds ago? Stay with me. Come on, make a guess. Commit to a number. 01:31:04.080 |
The answer is 32 years ago. How close were you? For most people, they're pretty far off. 01:31:13.680 |
That's the difference between being a millionaire and a billionaire. 12 days or 32 years. 01:31:21.520 |
Do you see what I mean by saying they live in different universes? You can never say millionaires 01:31:28.560 |
and billionaires in the same breath and be talking about the same thing. Just to complete the 01:31:34.160 |
thought, when you hear the US government has $17 trillion in debt, how much is a trillion? Well, 01:31:40.720 |
if a billion seconds was 32 years ago, how long ago was a trillion seconds? 01:31:46.640 |
The answer, nearly 32,000 years ago. Big difference, huh? 01:31:55.200 |
When you hear people talk about national debt figures and things like that, 01:32:01.600 |
keep that in mind. Trillions are big numbers. Difference between a million, which you might have, 01:32:09.920 |
and a billion, which you might have, and a trillion, which you don't have, 01:32:13.600 |
is a big number. The point is by actually defining a price tag for goals, you can achieve them 01:32:21.840 |
because they're not so scary. I found this time after time myself in doing retirement planning. 01:32:26.960 |
People say in retirement planning, "What are you going to do in retirement?" "I'm going to travel." 01:32:29.600 |
Define travel. How many months a year are you going to be gone? "Well, not a month, 01:32:35.040 |
just two weeks, three weeks. I want to take a three-week trip to Europe." 01:32:38.160 |
"Okay, you want to do that every six months?" "Well, no, just once." 01:32:41.280 |
So your price tag is 5,000 bucks maybe, the high end. You could spend thousands, but I don't know. 01:32:49.040 |
I could go to Europe for 1,000 bucks for three weeks, 01:32:52.240 |
all included. So you've got to figure out what's your price tag. 01:32:57.360 |
What I love in this section, I mentioned it earlier, is his five steps. Let me go through 01:33:02.640 |
them and I'm actually going to add my own. Let me start with his. He gives five dreams, 01:33:09.120 |
basically, in five different numbers. I think these things are useful to give to people. 01:33:15.120 |
Look at the power of certain financial models. Look at Dave Ramsey's seven steps, 01:33:19.680 |
seven baby steps. Look at how powerful that is to give people a clear organizing framework. 01:33:24.800 |
Look at how powerful having a goal given to you can be. 01:33:29.040 |
Well, what I like about Robin's approach here is he gives these five dreams and he 01:33:34.400 |
asks you to give price tags to them. So let me go through his first and then I'm going to add 01:33:38.320 |
what I'm thinking about developing going forward. Number one, he says dream one is financial 01:33:42.960 |
security. What does security mean? He says it's these five things. Your home mortgage, 01:33:49.920 |
for as long as you live, paid forever. You never have to work again to pay for your home. 01:33:53.520 |
Number two, your utilities for the home, paid forever. You never have to work to pay for your 01:33:57.920 |
phone bill or to keep the lights on. Three, all the food for your family, paid forever. Four, 01:34:02.560 |
your basic transportation needs. Five, your basic insurance costs, all of them paid for 01:34:07.600 |
without you ever working another day in your life. And so for him, he goes and leads you through 01:34:12.560 |
defining those things. You write down your mortgage payment, you write down your food 01:34:17.600 |
costs, your utility costs, your transportation, your insurance costs, and figure out what that 01:34:22.320 |
average is. In the US, that average is about $34,668 a year according to Bogle. 01:34:28.400 |
And so then flip out of that and just say, "Well, how much money would I need in a portfolio to fund 01:34:34.560 |
that for the rest of my life?" And if we use, let's just use for sake of scenario, 25 times 01:34:42.480 |
annual expenses, if that basic level for you at $34,650 times 25, that's $866,700 of savings. Now, 01:34:51.680 |
that's a lot of money, but it's not as much money as millions of dollars, and that's basic 01:34:57.360 |
financial security. And he goes on and gives a couple of stories about how to create that number. 01:35:02.160 |
His dream number two is financial vitality is what he calls it. And he says it's a mile marker 01:35:08.080 |
on the path to financial independence and freedom. And so he says, he figures out, he calculates it 01:35:14.400 |
as all of those basic costs plus half of your current monthly clothing costs, half of your 01:35:19.520 |
current monthly dining and entertainment costs, half of your current small indulgences or little 01:35:24.160 |
indulgence or little luxury costs, and figure out what that additional level of income is. 01:35:29.040 |
Then dream three is financial independence. And so financial independence for him is the way he 01:35:36.800 |
mentions that number is he goes with all of those other expenses plus whatever goals and ideas as 01:35:45.200 |
far as the big money that you would want to spend on really your dreams or at least the dreams 01:35:53.600 |
related to your current lifestyle. Basically, he says, "What's your current lifestyle? Let's fund 01:35:56.800 |
that," with the assumption that most people are spending more than the basic expenses. So financial 01:36:00.800 |
independence is funding current lifestyle. Step four is financial freedom. And so financial freedom 01:36:06.800 |
means you're independent, you have everything you have today plus two or three significant luxuries 01:36:11.520 |
that you want in the future. So this might be things like a vacation condo. In the example here, 01:36:17.200 |
he talks about a person that he was advising that wanted to give $100,000 a year to their church 01:36:23.360 |
and also have a condo in Steamboat Springs. And so figuring out that number for financial freedom. 01:36:29.680 |
And then his fifth dream is absolute financial freedom. And he talks about what is the absolute, 01:36:35.680 |
all of the dreams that you possibly have, no matter what. You can own, you can rent the jet, 01:36:40.880 |
so you can have the jet lifestyle without having to own it. You can own part of the sports team. 01:36:44.960 |
What are all of your dreams and figuring out the total number and targeting that number. And so in 01:36:52.400 |
the example, he got somebody that wound up, the person wound up needing $673,000 a year. 01:36:59.680 |
And you can figure that out with payment. So here's where I'm going to expand on this concept. 01:37:04.720 |
I love this idea of the five models. And Robbins in the book here says, "At most, pick three, 01:37:09.440 |
pick three numbers. How are you going to keep five numbers in your head?" 01:37:12.000 |
What I don't like about this is that he starts with financial security. And financial security 01:37:19.360 |
to him, that first number, that first goal is the idea of having all the money and investments to 01:37:29.200 |
pay for your basic living expenses, housing, utilities, food, transportation, and insurance. 01:37:35.120 |
But that's still a big number. That's $600,000, $700,000, $800,000. My thought is, I wonder if 01:37:40.880 |
we could develop this with some additional numbers. So the first thing I thought was, 01:37:45.920 |
step one could be financial solvency. So applying the idea of the power of setting out clear steps, 01:37:52.960 |
I've wondered if we could develop a model that would say, "Step one is financial solvency. And 01:37:56.720 |
I define this as current on all of your bills." If you look at Dave Ramsey's seven baby steps 01:38:02.560 |
system, he said, "The first thing is get current on your bills. Then step one is save a thousand 01:38:07.360 |
bucks, I think." So step one is financial solvency. And I would say, "Get current on all of 01:38:12.800 |
your bills." Maybe you could add in a preset, a pre-step. I mean, you could get ridiculous with 01:38:17.600 |
this. But the idea is if you're counseling a 16-year-old young man or woman that is trying 01:38:24.160 |
to say, "What are my goals?" Well, maybe that would be a goal. Maybe step two could be financial 01:38:29.520 |
stability. So you're current on all of your bills, plus you have an emergency fund of a certain size, 01:38:34.720 |
six months of expenses, something like that. Maybe the next step would be debt freedom or 01:38:39.680 |
consumer debt freedom. We've paid off all consumer debt to give a nod toward the power of paying off 01:38:45.280 |
consumer debt and then build up into partial financial security. This is just my ideas I'm 01:38:50.400 |
trying to figure out. If you have any ideas on that subject of how you would name that, 01:38:54.320 |
I'd love to hear them. Comment on today's show and let me know. If not, what I would encourage 01:38:58.960 |
you is set out your own set of goals. So for example, on my personal financial plan, 01:39:04.720 |
my goal ultimately is to be able to provide for the lifestyle of my family at a comfortable level 01:39:11.840 |
without needing to work, with being able to pay that off of investments. I think that as far as 01:39:19.600 |
for us, what a comfortable level would be something like, I don't know, somewhere on the 01:39:24.160 |
order of like six grand a month. I'm a pretty simple guy. I can fund most of my luxuries on 01:39:29.760 |
$6,000 a month. So that means when I actually run the math for me, that means about 1.8 million 01:39:36.560 |
bucks. Now at the moment, we spend somewhere between three to four on a monthly basis, 01:39:40.960 |
depending on what we're doing. So that's also part of my scenario is, let's just say $36,000 01:39:47.760 |
times 25, that's about $900,000. So there are some luxuries that I think we would enjoy spending at 01:39:54.800 |
the higher level that we don't currently do. I can imagine a few things that would be fun to do. 01:39:59.440 |
So that's why for me, that $6,000 number is pretty luxurious. I don't want to move. I don't want to 01:40:04.080 |
live in a house on the water. I don't want to drive a new car, but I would like to buy an RV. 01:40:08.560 |
So some things like that, that's where that difference is. So for me, the kind of a baseline 01:40:12.880 |
is the $900,000 number. But on my financial plan personally, one of my earlier goals is to get this 01:40:19.040 |
show to a point where it can actually fund my basic lifestyle and then my ideal lifestyle, 01:40:25.520 |
with the idea being that I'll fund the basic lifestyle at $3,000 a month off the show. 01:40:30.560 |
I'll grow it up to be $6,000. I'll save 50%. Anywhere beyond the three, basically three 01:40:35.920 |
to $4,000 a month that we spend, everything beyond that is going to savings. And then all 01:40:42.640 |
of that money that's going to savings is going to build the portfolio. And then once I hit 01:40:46.240 |
the $3,000 number in passive income at that point in time, then ideally we'll start to increase our 01:40:51.840 |
lifestyle after we've started with that financial, well, Robbins calls it financial security. I call 01:40:58.480 |
it financial independence. So make up these ideas for yourself. I thought this was really powerful 01:41:02.880 |
and I loved his five models. I thought it was a super useful idea. And I can see how I can 01:41:08.880 |
expand on this and expand on this for yourself. Everyone's ideas are going to be different. 01:41:14.560 |
But in my mind, the key is make the celebrations come more quickly, but make them in the direction 01:41:20.800 |
that you want to go. If you set off with absolute financial freedom, which is what many people do, 01:41:26.000 |
if you're not already part of the way there, does that really meaningful? Start with financial 01:41:30.960 |
solvency. And I think if we add a couple of steps, then maybe we can help someone 01:41:37.200 |
cross the gap and know that we're going to absolute financial freedom, but work on financial 01:41:41.200 |
solvency first. So I share those ideas with you. I hope they're useful to you. 01:41:46.080 |
One of the other things that I really thought was excellent about this book and really interesting 01:41:51.920 |
was the portfolios. And in the book, Robbins talks a lot about different portfolios, 01:41:59.440 |
and there are three that stand out. Within the context of the asset allocation discussion, 01:42:05.200 |
he's constantly talking with different people and saying, "Well, how would you allocate your money?" 01:42:08.800 |
And remember, most of the people he's talking with, or at least many of these billionaires, 01:42:13.040 |
are billionaire hedge fund managers. None of them are mutual fund managers. They're all hedge fund 01:42:17.840 |
managers, which by the way, is its own show in and of itself as far as what's happening in the 01:42:22.000 |
mutual fund market. But the first one that appears is on page 327. This is David Swenson's portfolio. 01:42:31.200 |
David Swenson runs the Yale Endowment. And so he's running a $24 billion portfolio 01:42:37.440 |
for the Yale Endowment. And evidently, he's done an excellent job with that portfolio. 01:42:45.120 |
Kind of bugs me a little bit, by the way, just as an aside, bugs me a little bit some of the 01:42:49.680 |
attention some of these portfolio managers get when there are, you know, 01:42:54.080 |
they're insurance companies that are managing $150 billion portfolios with incredible finesse 01:43:00.800 |
and they don't seem to get much press. But the Yale guy does. Now he's had good returns. 01:43:07.200 |
But the point is, this is the guy that we're supposed to look for and say, "How would we 01:43:11.680 |
allocate the money?" So he talks about, this is the portfolio selection that he recommends. 01:43:18.080 |
20% in domestic stock, 20% in international stock, 10% in emerging markets, 20% in real estate, 01:43:25.600 |
real estate investment trusts, and 15% in long-term U.S. treasuries, and 15% in TIPS, 01:43:32.480 |
treasury inflation protected securities. When you run the numbers on it, it comes out to be 50% 01:43:36.560 |
in stock, 20% in real estate REITs, and 30% in bonds. And this is an interesting portfolio 01:43:42.400 |
because it's fairly straightforward, 50/50, 50% in equities, which is very interesting. 01:43:49.600 |
And then the bond portfolio is interesting to me because he splits it between long-term 01:43:55.120 |
treasuries and TIPS, so treasury inflation protected securities. Without going into the 01:43:59.680 |
details, essentially what he's trying to do here is he's splitting his bond portfolio out 01:44:05.840 |
to try to make the connection between success in inflation or in deflation. 01:44:17.840 |
In inflation, in an inflationary environment, the TIPS protect your portfolio. In a deflationary 01:44:24.240 |
environment, your treasuries protect your portfolio. So I thought that was interesting. 01:44:29.040 |
50% stocks, 20% real estate, 30% bonds, essentially. 01:44:32.560 |
Robbins kind of glosses over that in favor, focusing primarily on something he calls the 01:44:40.080 |
all-seasons portfolio, which is an offshoot of his interview with Ray Dalio. And he's got a very 01:44:45.360 |
interesting story behind this. Ray Dalio running a very successful, well-known fund called the 01:44:52.000 |
All-Weather Portfolio, which has had some really impressive performance over time. 01:44:55.760 |
And within the context of the discussion, he goes through and talks about how he was able to get 01:45:00.960 |
Dalio to lay out for him the allocation that he recommends. And I was not familiar previously 01:45:09.040 |
with the All-Weather Portfolio. Portfolio management is not my bailiwick. So this is not 01:45:14.480 |
something that I was really familiar with. But it was interesting to read about. And I do spend a 01:45:21.680 |
little bit of time focusing on the fundamentals. And for those of you who I've done a show on the 01:45:25.680 |
past on the permanent portfolio, which is an interesting strategy, I was struck by how similar 01:45:30.080 |
this is to the permanent portfolio approach with a slight tweak. What Dalio explains is that what 01:45:37.120 |
makes his All-Weather Portfolio different than many others is that instead of basing his asset 01:45:44.080 |
allocation decision on the different asset class on a set percentage, such as what Swenson said, 01:45:53.600 |
where I put 50% in stocks, 20% in real estate, and 30% in bonds, Dalio says, "I'm developing my 01:46:02.400 |
percentages based upon the volatility of returns." So as an example, if you were running a portfolio 01:46:11.120 |
that was 50% stock and 50% bonds, even though that is "balanced" from the perspective of 50/50 01:46:18.560 |
with regard to the percentages, it's not balanced based upon the amount of risk, based upon the 01:46:24.800 |
volatility of the portfolio. And so what he does is he calculates the volatility of the stock 01:46:30.400 |
portfolio, and he uses that to address what percentage should be allocated. So I'll go 01:46:38.800 |
through his allocations in just a moment, but the other thing that struck me about his approach that 01:46:43.280 |
Robbins relates Dalio's lesson in the book is that he's very much focused on the idea of the four 01:46:51.680 |
different economic environments, which is what I originally learned when studying the permanent 01:46:55.840 |
portfolio. And so in summary, on page 386 of the book, Robbins lays this out for you. He says 01:47:02.320 |
that there are only four things that move the price of assets. Number one, inflation. 01:47:08.320 |
Number two, deflation. Number three, rising economic growth. And four, declining economic growth. 01:47:17.760 |
So if you plot those things on a matrix, you can have your four different options. Either we're 01:47:24.240 |
going to have an inflationary growth environment, or we're going to have an inflationary declining 01:47:30.080 |
environment, declining economic growth environment, or deflationary growth, or deflationary 01:47:36.480 |
decline. So very interestingly, Ray's just simply saying, "I don't know what's going to happen." 01:47:41.680 |
There's all kinds of story in the book, but Ray says, "I don't know what's going to happen, 01:47:45.680 |
but I do know we're going to be in one of those scenarios." He also makes the interesting point 01:47:49.920 |
that the key is not what's actually happening, but the key is whether or not it's expected. 01:47:55.760 |
So with investing, you often hear that, "Well, they had higher than expected earnings, so 01:48:01.840 |
therefore that moved their stock price. We had lower than expected earnings, so therefore that 01:48:05.440 |
moved their stock price." And in general, this is a scenario that the idea that the forecasters and 01:48:14.160 |
the analysts in the world of investing have already priced into their model whatever they 01:48:18.800 |
think their forecasts are. So the price that they're willing to pay or not pay for an asset 01:48:24.720 |
is based upon their expectations. And so that price is going to change when either expectations 01:48:32.720 |
are not met or not met, either positively or negatively. So Dalio makes that point as well, 01:48:40.480 |
which is very interesting. Now in these four environments, we could have higher than expected. 01:48:45.200 |
The expectation is the key. So we're either going to have higher than expected inflation 01:48:51.200 |
and rising prices, or we're going to have lower than expected inflation or deflation. We're going 01:48:56.640 |
to have higher than expected economic growth, and we're going to have lower than expected economic 01:49:00.640 |
growth. So Dalio builds the portfolio for that. And I'm often wondering when I try to wrap my 01:49:07.440 |
head around investment topics, what works well in what scenario? On page 388, Robbins has a very 01:49:14.640 |
useful chart. And the chart has four quadrants, and on the top is growth and inflation. So on the 01:49:25.760 |
left two quadrants, we're dealing with are we in a period of higher than expected economic growth 01:49:31.200 |
or in a period of lower than expected economic growth? And then are we in a period of higher 01:49:36.240 |
than expected inflation or are we in a period of lower than expected inflation? And he links the 01:49:43.600 |
asset classes to these, which I always find very interesting. So in a period of higher than 01:49:49.200 |
expected economic growth, that we did expect stocks, corporate bonds, and commodities and gold 01:49:56.480 |
to do well. In a period of lower than expected economic growth, we would expect treasury bonds, 01:50:01.840 |
inflation-linked bonds, or TIPS to do well. In a period of higher than expected inflation, 01:50:07.920 |
we would expect commodities and gold to do well, inflation-linked bonds, TIPS to do well. And in 01:50:13.760 |
a period of lower than expected inflation, we would expect treasury bonds and stocks to do well. 01:50:18.080 |
So that's what he sticks in there. Then Dalio goes in and talks about how allocating risk. So 01:50:24.560 |
he wants 25% of his risk in each of those quadrants, not necessarily just to match a 25% 01:50:32.000 |
asset allocation based upon percentage. He wants 25% of the risk. So on that basis, Robbins in the 01:50:42.240 |
narrative gets him to give the actual percentages. And so here's what they are. Robbins makes clear 01:50:48.720 |
in the book, and Dalio makes clear, this is not specifically his all-weather portfolio, because 01:50:55.360 |
in his all-weather portfolio, he is using some fairly sophisticated portfolio management 01:51:03.760 |
techniques. But this is pretty close, according to Robbins' book here. So his asset allocation, 01:51:11.920 |
he puts 30% in stocks, 40% in long-term US bonds, 15% in intermediate US bonds, 01:51:21.920 |
7.5% in gold, and 7.5% in commodities. It's very interesting. So I really enjoyed reading about 01:51:31.840 |
that. And I learned something I'd never learned before. I'd never thought about the model of the 01:51:36.080 |
idea of allocating risk. And so I'm going to have to give that some thought, because it does make a 01:51:41.520 |
lot of sense to me. I think it's very interesting. The other port—and I commend it to you. Again, 01:51:46.320 |
the book is well worth the price, so buy it and read it. That section alone is fascinating. 01:51:52.480 |
Where else? I mean, I'm not going to get—well, I guess I'd be a little short-sighted of me. At 01:51:56.160 |
the moment, I don't think it's likely that next week I'm going to sit down with Ray Dalio and 01:52:00.240 |
have the necessary clout to get him to talk to me about all those details that he may have talked 01:52:05.920 |
with Robbins about. Now, the other portfolio that was interesting was Mark Faber. He talks 01:52:11.680 |
about his portfolio. And what struck me about Mark Faber—Mark Faber was a billionaire Swiss investor— 01:52:17.360 |
is that Faber had focused—he's well-known for being a contrarian doom-and-gloom guy, 01:52:23.600 |
which is—he's great. It was my favorite interview in the book with the profiles of the billionaires 01:52:30.560 |
that he talked about. He was my favorite. But he talked about that his portfolio—he used to focus 01:52:35.680 |
it on 25% stocks, 25% gold, 25% cash and bonds, and 25% real estate. So I thought it was really 01:52:42.400 |
interesting. Those of you who love the Porvino portfolio concept, you all will like these 01:52:46.400 |
models. I was struck by how similar they all tend to be. A couple other major lessons I learned from 01:52:55.440 |
the book. I learned that the average American evidently spends $1,000 a year on the lottery. 01:53:01.760 |
I couldn't believe that one. I searched and searched and searched to try to find 01:53:05.520 |
the actual citation for that. But in the book, Robbins cited a professor, but he didn't cite 01:53:13.840 |
an actual study, and there's no bibliography. So I searched and searched to find that one. 01:53:19.200 |
All of the numbers I found online about how much the average American spends are far lower than 01:53:23.200 |
that, but maybe there was new research that the professor knew. I don't know. I learned—Robbins 01:53:28.240 |
makes a big point about the greatest investors in the world finding an asymmetric risk-return 01:53:34.960 |
ratio. I'm going to talk a little bit about this again. But the best way to find an asymmetric 01:53:40.240 |
risk-return ratio is in the world of investment management. I'm going to save this. I'm going to 01:53:45.360 |
mention this when I get to talking through the investment manager. It's very fascinating to me. 01:53:49.600 |
One of the most compelling things I learned was about the power of a disempowering story. 01:53:58.240 |
Pages 190, 191, Robbins talks about the stories that we tell ourselves and the impact that that 01:54:05.200 |
has on our physical experience. He talks about various people, including Richard Branson, 01:54:11.840 |
that had dyslexia, but they view dyslexia not as something that is an obstacle that 01:54:18.720 |
is going to keep them from achieving something, but rather as an obstacle that they're going to 01:54:25.360 |
have to work harder to overcome. He cites some interesting research from a health psychologist 01:54:31.520 |
at Stanford University named Kelly McGonigal, who talked about the dangers of stress for a long time. 01:54:38.400 |
Then she wondered one day if it wasn't stress itself that was causing the problems, but rather 01:54:46.240 |
how people viewed stress. A quote on page 191 says from her, "I'm converting a stimulus, stress, 01:54:53.920 |
that could be strengthening people into a source of disease." So, it's actually the impact of the 01:54:58.880 |
stress, not to the actual stress. According to her research, it evidently is the research is now 01:55:04.640 |
showing that when you change your mind about stress, you can actually change your body's 01:55:09.200 |
reaction to it. The quote from page 191, "In an eight-year study, adults who experienced a 'lot 01:55:17.440 |
of stress' and who believed stress was harmful to their health had a 43% increase in their risk of 01:55:23.440 |
dying. However, people who experienced an equal amount of stress but did not view stress as 01:55:28.640 |
harmful were no more likely to die." McGonigal says that the physical signs of stress, a pounding 01:55:34.480 |
heart, faster breathing, breaking out in a sweat, aren't necessarily physical evidence of anxiety 01:55:39.600 |
or signs that we aren't coping well with pressure. Instead, we can interpret them as 01:55:44.080 |
indications that our body is energized and preparing us to meet the next challenge. 01:55:50.320 |
So, the idea is it's not the stress itself that actually matters, but it's the story that you 01:55:55.040 |
attach to stress. This made a big difference for me because I think a lot about how to interpret 01:56:01.280 |
events. I was raised with the privilege of basically confronting minor adversity from time 01:56:09.520 |
to time and the opportunity to learn to control my attitude around something, and that's made a 01:56:14.240 |
major difference in who I am. At a time of adversity, a miserable experience, so to speak, 01:56:19.360 |
you go camping and it rains all weekend. This is not something to be cried about. This is something 01:56:23.840 |
to be laughed at. The story that I tell about a rainy weekend camping trip, I say, "Well, wow, 01:56:29.200 |
we're going to have a fun story later and we can make a good experience of it." That's made a big 01:56:32.640 |
difference in my life as far as my ability to interpret experiences into a more positive 01:56:38.800 |
framing. With Robin's book here, I think about this with regard to financial stress. Some people 01:56:47.120 |
seem to fall apart under financial stress and some people seem to say, "Whatever, no big deal." 01:56:51.680 |
Work stress, investment stress, certain things. I want to research this more and try to figure 01:56:57.120 |
this out because it aligns with an agenda I'd like to see, which is basically the idea of 01:57:04.480 |
empowering ourselves to take control of our circumstances. I'm interested to research that 01:57:08.960 |
a little bit more, but I really felt that was a valuable learning. I learned how to buy a tax 01:57:14.160 |
deductible vacation property. I commend this to you. I thought it was a great idea. 01:57:20.640 |
Robbins talks a little bit about his personal experience with buying a property in Fiji. 01:57:28.160 |
He talks about this in two places. Page 207, he writes this paragraph in the context of encouraging 01:57:35.600 |
the young man who had said, "I need a billion dollars to accomplish my dreams." He writes this, 01:57:43.200 |
"I own a small island paradise in the country of Fiji. It was a wild dream I had early in my life 01:57:48.400 |
to find an escape someday where I could take my family and friends and live. In my early 20s, 01:57:53.840 |
I traveled to islands all over the world searching for my Shangri-La. When I arrived in Fiji, 01:57:58.800 |
I found it, a place with not only magnificent beauty, but beautiful souls as well. I couldn't 01:58:04.400 |
afford it at the time, but I bought a piece of a little backpacker resort with 125 acres on the 01:58:09.920 |
island. I really didn't have the money, and it probably wasn't the best investment at first, 01:58:15.040 |
but it was part of what I call my dream bucket, something you'll learn about later in the book. 01:58:19.200 |
Still, I made it happen, and I'm proud to say that over the years, I've purchased and converted it 01:58:23.760 |
into a protected ecological preserve with over 500 acres of land and nearly three miles of ocean 01:58:30.000 |
frontage. I've turned Namale Resort and Spa into the number one resort in Fiji for the last decade, 01:58:36.000 |
and it's consistently rated among the top 10 resorts in the South Pacific. 01:58:39.440 |
But how often do I visit this paradise? With my crazy schedule, maybe four to six weeks a year. 01:58:44.800 |
So my dream has come true. Everybody else has a great time there. So I thought this was cool. 01:58:50.320 |
If you want a tax-deductible vacation home, do it Tony Robbins way. Buy a resort, turn it into a 01:58:56.400 |
business that makes you money, and there's not a chance in the world he pays when he's there. He 01:59:00.880 |
gets to enjoy it and write all of the expenses associated with it off. Now, maybe his accountant 01:59:05.760 |
does pay something. I don't know that, but I just thought it was really interesting. 01:59:09.600 |
And he talks about, on page 341, he talks about talking about the resort in Fiji. 01:59:16.080 |
Now, over the years, Namale Resort and Spa has become a pretty sizable asset because I built it 01:59:20.400 |
up and turned it into one of the top destinations in the South Pacific. I share this with you because 01:59:26.000 |
I have thought about this from my personal perspective, and I think this is a strategy 01:59:30.000 |
that we could apply to our lives with smaller dollar figures. Remember earlier I also talked 01:59:36.240 |
about Richard Branson. In that same section on islands, Robbins says, "Why don't you just go 01:59:40.800 |
rent Richard Branson's Necker Island? It's only $350,000 a week. No big deal, and it comes with 01:59:45.280 |
the staff of 50 people to take care of you." And I thought, "Interesting." I didn't know you could 01:59:49.520 |
rent Necker Island. I don't know. Maybe it's foolish of me. I just hadn't thought about it. 01:59:53.280 |
But that's definitely the way to do it. Many people do this already. You buy a cabin and 01:59:59.280 |
you put it on the rent a cabin site, and you stay there when you want to. But I just commend you 02:00:06.080 |
that you can do this at any scale, at the small scale and at the larger scale. And I think it's 02:00:10.640 |
much smarter. I've had so many people sit in my office and say, "Joshua, I want to buy a second 02:00:15.600 |
house or a vacation home." And I just often wonder, "Why would you want that? Why would you 02:00:19.840 |
want the hassle?" And if you do want it, go for it, but maybe consider at least making a little 02:00:24.160 |
bit of money on it. So to me, that makes a big, big difference. I have two favorite quotes that 02:00:29.680 |
came out of the book that really made it, for me, were impactful. First quote comes from page 246, 02:00:37.120 |
and it says this, "Most people overestimate what they can do in a year, and they massively 02:00:43.360 |
underestimate what they can accomplish in a decade or two." The fact is you are not a manager 02:00:51.200 |
of circumstance. You're the architect of your life's experience. Just because something isn't 02:00:57.040 |
in the foreground or isn't within striking distance, don't underestimate the power of the 02:01:02.320 |
right actions taken relentlessly. That quote about overestimating what they can do in a year, 02:01:09.600 |
that totally applies to me. Every year I set out much bigger goals than I ever accomplished. 02:01:13.520 |
But then I think I also probably do underestimate what I can accomplish in a decade or two. That 02:01:17.280 |
really made me pay attention. I'm going to continue to think about that. Another quote 02:01:20.880 |
from page 41 is a quote that says, "Complexity is the enemy of execution." This is something else 02:01:28.880 |
that I struggle with because he's talking about why we should make investment choices simple. 02:01:34.560 |
He shares the idea that in different countries, the percentage of people that donate their organs 02:01:43.440 |
varies greatly. In Germany, there's a one in eight chance you'll donate your organs. About 12% of the 02:01:49.120 |
population does. But in Austria, 99% of people donate their organs. In Sweden, 89% donate. But 02:01:55.760 |
in Denmark, the rate is only 4%. So what's the difference? He goes on and shows that the 02:02:00.880 |
difference is the way they ask the question. In Denmark, there's a small box that says, 02:02:07.920 |
"Check here if you want to participate in the organ donor program." In other countries like 02:02:12.080 |
Sweden, the form says, "Check here if you don't want to participate in the organ donor program." 02:02:17.680 |
Nobody likes to check boxes. In that context, he talks about complexity as the enemy of execution. 02:02:23.840 |
I've often struggled with this as far as how to connect with people because I'm a very complex 02:02:27.600 |
person in the sense of I often go to elaborate, complex solutions instead of simple ones. 02:02:34.160 |
That's why, as you see when I dig into my critiques of this book, I get pretty complex. 02:02:41.440 |
I think this is oftentimes a problem for me. I'm going to write that one down. Remember, 02:02:46.640 |
complexity is the enemy of execution. Ultimately, execution is what matters. 02:02:51.280 |
I had to learn that with financial planning. Very simple. Help your clients take action. 02:02:56.640 |
Make a simple step and lay it there and make it happen. So I share that with you. 02:03:02.480 |
Now, let's get into some flaws of the book. I'm sharing these with you not with the purpose of 02:03:13.120 |
being mean to Tony Robbins, but with the purpose of trying to give you some information 02:03:17.520 |
and also arm you with some critical thinking skills and show you how in many financial books, 02:03:24.720 |
there are a lot of things that if you're not aware of them, they might just bumble past you. 02:03:30.320 |
So let's throw out a few minor ones real quick. I already mentioned I can't find the bibliography. 02:03:35.920 |
This is a big deal because he cites a lot of stuff, but none of it is actually cited. 02:03:39.840 |
He talks a lot about, "Okay, this study shows this." And I had to do some digging to show some 02:03:45.600 |
studies because the first thing I do when someone cites a study is I let me go read it because it 02:03:50.320 |
makes a big difference as far as how somebody... It makes a big difference when you actually see 02:03:55.920 |
the study and see the question that was listened to, which you'll get to in a moment. I'll show 02:04:00.240 |
you one of those. And so go read the study. Don't trust when people cite something. Go read it. 02:04:05.120 |
And if you can't... A couple of these I couldn't find. I just had to read some articles. At least 02:04:09.040 |
find several articles to corroborate yourself, but go read the actual study and then you'll find out, 02:04:15.600 |
"Well, wait a second. This is not what this says at all." I assume this is just a clerical error. 02:04:19.680 |
In the book, he says it would be found on the website. Well, I've searched the website every 02:04:23.920 |
which way I can think of. I cannot find a bibliography, so I assume it'll show up at 02:04:27.760 |
some point. But it's a big problem. You've got to cite your stuff, and so that's one issue. 02:04:33.760 |
I have an issue with his use of the word "risk." This bothers me throughout, and you see this in 02:04:39.520 |
almost in many investment books. They talk about risk, and they constantly refer to different 02:04:46.480 |
types of risk, but call them all risk. And so there are so many different kinds of risk. You've 02:04:52.800 |
got on the one hand, you've got market risk, which is the risk of the value of your investments going 02:04:57.760 |
up and down based upon the gyrations of the market. And on the other hand, you've got currency risk, 02:05:02.160 |
which is the value of your investments going up and down based upon the fluctuations of the 02:05:06.880 |
currency. Those are two very different things. You cannot eliminate risk. All you can do is plan 02:05:16.080 |
for different risks. So the problem is that by only using this word "risk," which I get is the 02:05:24.400 |
most commonly used word. By only using the word "risk," we really wind up doing a disservice. 02:05:31.600 |
I try to use volatility when I'm talking about market risk. The idea that the value of the 02:05:35.920 |
investments will go up and down on any given day, ran completely randomly. I use volatility 02:05:39.840 |
for that, and there are many reasons for that, but it bugs me. Because a lot of times, he is 02:05:48.080 |
presenting specific solutions for risk that only solve one kind of risk and open you up to 02:05:54.480 |
completely different kinds of risk. He talks about saving percentages, but he doesn't give any 02:06:00.320 |
guidelines for how to figure out that percentage. He has an app, which I'll get to in detail in a 02:06:05.680 |
few minutes, but that's a kind of a bug. In talking about things, he makes a big deal about the mutual 02:06:11.920 |
ownership structure of Vanguard, but he doesn't once mention the mutual ownership structure of 02:06:17.440 |
different insurance companies. To me, this seems like a big deal, because Bogle modeled his fund 02:06:22.400 |
company, to the best of my knowledge, on mutually owned insurance companies where there are no 02:06:28.160 |
stockholders. That was what he modeled it on. The key is that there are still plenty of great 02:06:34.960 |
opportunities in the mutual insurance company space for life insurance and annuities that he 02:06:40.080 |
talks about, but he didn't really mention that small detail. One of the most frustrating things 02:06:46.400 |
that I'm tired of reading in financial books is the stupid rule number one with investing. 02:06:52.160 |
I'm guilty of it myself. I have said this, "Rule number one of investing, don't lose money." 02:06:57.760 |
This is the most frustrating advice in the history of... This is the most frustrating advice, 02:07:04.160 |
period. Listen to this paragraph from page 44055. He's using this to introduce the masters. This is 02:07:12.080 |
chapter 6.0, "Meet the Masters." It says, "All of these financial legends share these four common 02:07:19.280 |
obsessions." The first obsession is one, don't lose. "All of these masters, while driven to 02:07:27.520 |
deliver extraordinary returns, are even more obsessed with making sure they don't lose money. 02:07:33.600 |
Even the world's greatest hedge fund managers, who you'd think would be comfortable taking huge 02:07:38.160 |
risks, are actually laser-focused on protecting their downside. From Ray Dalio to Kyle Bass to 02:07:44.160 |
Paul Tudor Jones, if you don't lose, you live to fight another day. As Paul Tudor Jones said, 02:07:48.720 |
"I care deeply about making money. I want to know I'm not losing it. The most important thing for me 02:07:53.840 |
is that defense is 10 times more important than offense. You have to be very focused on the 02:07:58.880 |
downside at all times." This statement comes from a guy who's made money for his clients for 28 02:08:04.480 |
consecutive years. It's so simple, but I can't emphasize it enough. Why? If you lose 50%, 02:08:10.880 |
it takes 100% to get back to where you started. That takes something you can never get back, time. 02:08:17.120 |
Warren Buffett's Rule #1 of Investing, "Don't lose money." Rule #2, if you forget Rule #1, 02:08:28.080 |
if you lose money, go back and see Rule #1 or whatever it is. That's so frustrating because 02:08:33.040 |
you don't know whether you're going to lose money. All you can do is take a calculated bet. 02:08:37.200 |
Sometimes you'll be right and sometimes you'll be wrong. Do great investors lose money? Absolutely 02:08:41.680 |
they do. Not a single one of these, and I find that it's not losing money. Now, this paragraph 02:08:47.120 |
is the most fair treatment because it talks about protect your downside. I don't have any credentials 02:08:55.120 |
whatsoever to talk about what the actual advice that they're giving is and go over it and say how 02:09:01.200 |
my idea is better. In my mind, it's useless to say, "Don't lose money." The key is, 02:09:07.280 |
how can you make sure that if you do lose money, you're limiting your downside? Because then that 02:09:11.440 |
transitions you from a perspective of, "I can't lose money," to a perspective of, "If I do lose 02:09:16.480 |
money, how can I protect my downside?" That's actually useful. It also bugs me when people 02:09:22.000 |
talk about this mathematical idea that if you lose 50%, it takes 100% to get back to where you 02:09:27.360 |
started. This is absolutely true, but it's absolutely not. There's a whole chart in the 02:09:33.840 |
book on this on page 401 with a whole chart of if you lose this percent, how much do you have to 02:09:39.120 |
gain in order to break even? If you lose 20% of your portfolio, you have to gain 25% to break 02:09:44.400 |
even. If you lose 50%, you have to gain 100% to break even. If you lose 90%, you have to gain 900% 02:09:50.960 |
to break even. Now, this is mathematically true if you're looking at a period of time. 02:09:56.160 |
The problem is that in the real world, is this really how people think? Usually, this one is 02:10:01.920 |
trotted out and it's an important mathematical concept, but it's trotted out to say, "You can't 02:10:06.800 |
lose money." The question would be, "Do you lose money and you don't have any loss that's ever 02:10:13.200 |
going to come back, or do you have a temporary decrease in price while the value of the underlying 02:10:20.400 |
asset has not changed?" Think about this with your house. If I'm wrong, tell me I'm wrong and 02:10:27.840 |
prove it to me, but this is just how I thought through this one because I used to be really 02:10:31.520 |
flummoxed by it and say, "How does this work?" Think about your house. Let's say your house is 02:10:35.120 |
worth $100,000 in 2008, then the house goes down in value by 40%. Now, does there need to be a 67% 02:10:44.720 |
increase in the value of the house in order for you to break even? Yes, mathematically, there does 02:10:50.080 |
if you're measuring things on a year-over-year basis. If on January 1, 2009, your house is down 02:10:55.280 |
by 40%, now to gain back the same value, it's got to go up by 67% on the flip side by January 1, 02:11:02.560 |
2010. But that doesn't necessarily mean that it's just this impossibly difficult task. 02:11:11.920 |
If your house was already undervalued based upon a larger macroeconomic trend of things going on 02:11:19.520 |
in your city and you had gotten it for a good price, the key thing is what did you pay for 02:11:25.600 |
and what are the underlying trends? Focus on that. Is the value of the house there and your 02:11:32.320 |
dealing with a temporary fluctuation in price? Because the problem is if you're always thinking 02:11:37.440 |
about what's the fluctuation in price and I have to gain 67% back to make up my 40% loss, I don't 02:11:43.040 |
think that serves very well. I think it's better to think of what's the current price and then how 02:11:47.760 |
do I limit my risk? Every one of these great investors has lost money. Warren Buffett lost 02:11:52.880 |
a ton of money. What was it? Back in the late '90s when his stock portfolio started just plummeting 02:11:59.680 |
as his investment style went out of favor. He lost money. He was worth less money on paper. 02:12:08.160 |
Now, did that affect what he actually did? No. Best of all, he didn't do a thing differently 02:12:14.080 |
because it was only affecting the price. One of the concerns I have with this book is that a lot 02:12:20.480 |
of times the logic seems incomplete to me. Advice is given based upon a system of logic that is not 02:12:27.840 |
actually taking into account all of the risks. Now, recognize again, you can't take it... These 02:12:32.720 |
are, by the way, these are the minor flaws. You can't take into account all of the risk, but 02:12:37.280 |
you can leave people with a false sense of security sometimes. So, in the context on page 149, 02:12:45.520 |
in the context of money myth number five, which money myth number five is entitled 02:12:56.880 |
"Your Retirement is Just a 401k Away," which is essentially blasting away the idea that the 401k 02:13:04.880 |
is a great plan that just is working awesome for everybody. Also, now he talks about unconventional 02:13:10.800 |
wisdom of spending. So, on page 149, he says, "If you haven't noticed, our government has a 02:13:17.200 |
spending problem. Like an out-of-control teenager with a platinum Amex, Uncle Sam has racked up over 02:13:22.000 |
$17.3 trillion in debt and close to $100 trillion in unfunded, not paid for yet, liabilities with 02:13:28.800 |
Social Security and Medicare." I think that number is $220 trillion based upon Lawrence 02:13:33.120 |
Kotlikoff's numbers, but we'll go with $100 trillion. "So, do you think taxes will be higher 02:13:38.240 |
or lower in the future? Did you know that following the Great Depression, the highest 02:13:42.000 |
income tax bracket was over 90%? The truth is you can tax every wealthy individual and corporation 02:13:47.840 |
at 100% of its income and profits and still fall way short of the government's promises." And by 02:13:53.120 |
the way, he has a great video on that, which is really, really great. I will post it in the show 02:13:58.240 |
notes. "Conventional logic, as most CPAs will attest, is to maximize your 401k or IRA contributions 02:14:04.960 |
for tax purposes because each dollar is deductible, which simply means that you don't have to pay tax 02:14:09.840 |
on that dollar today, but will defer the tax to a later date. But here's the problem. Nobody knows 02:14:15.120 |
what tax rates are going to be in the future, and therefore you have no idea how much of your money 02:14:20.240 |
will be left over to actually spend." Next page, he goes on and says, "If we pay taxes now, 02:14:25.280 |
then whatever the harvest time is in the future, we'll be able to spend that tax-free." So, he's 02:14:32.560 |
talking about this in the context of, "Okay, you need to go with an IRA because taxes are going to 02:14:38.160 |
go up." The problem is the same risk exists that is going to make taxes go up, the same risk exists 02:14:45.040 |
with IRAs. On page 154, he says, "Should I convert my traditional IRA to a Roth IRA?" 02:14:51.840 |
And says, "Some people cringe at the idea of paying tax today because they view it as their 02:14:57.600 |
money. It's not. It's the government's. By paying the tax today, you are giving Uncle Sam his money 02:15:02.960 |
back earlier, and by doing so, you're protecting yourself and your nest egg from taxes being higher 02:15:07.760 |
in the future. If you don't think taxes will be higher, you shouldn't convert. You have to decide, 02:15:12.400 |
but all the evidence points to the hard fact that Washington will need more tax revenue, 02:15:16.960 |
and the biggest well to dip into is the trillions in retirement accounts." 02:15:20.480 |
The reason I read that is because specifically what he's trying to address is tax risk, 02:15:26.720 |
and I'm not convinced that his solution makes a big difference. Now, I would probably, if I, 02:15:34.480 |
I would probably, I do think that the Roth accounts are a more valuable tool, and I think 02:15:41.760 |
it would be more difficult for the rules to change on Roth accounts versus generalized accounts, 02:15:49.520 |
but the tax risk still exists with Roth accounts. And maybe this is just me, maybe I'm being too 02:15:55.600 |
nitpicky, but I really would love it if people would talk about that. Later in the book, and 02:15:59.920 |
the reason why I'm focusing on this, usually if it were just here, I wouldn't bring it up, 02:16:03.440 |
but later in the book, he has two specific sections on life insurance, cash value life 02:16:07.680 |
insurance being as an investment product, and annuity products, specifically fixed index annuities, 02:16:14.080 |
and he makes a big deal out of the fact that the inside buildup of cash value and life insurance 02:16:19.360 |
is protected from tax. He also makes a big deal about the taxation of annuities. 02:16:24.240 |
Those products face exactly the same problem of taxation changes. These are all, so he's 02:16:34.000 |
keyed in, the same problem he's keyed in on with 401ks exists with those things. I'll use life 02:16:38.720 |
insurance as an example. At the moment, as you have cash values that grow and accumulate inside 02:16:43.600 |
of a life, inside of a cash value life insurance policy, so this would be a whole life policy, 02:16:48.480 |
a universal life insurance policy, or variations thereof, that growth of those cash values is not 02:16:55.920 |
currently subject to income tax as long as it stays inside of the life insurance policy. 02:17:01.920 |
When you take it out, if you don't take it out in the form of a loan, once you take out more than 02:17:07.920 |
your basis, more than the money you've put into it, it will be taxed. If you take it out in the 02:17:11.360 |
form of a loan, it's not taxed currently. The problem is this is a tax expenditure, 02:17:16.800 |
what the government calls a tax expenditure, and there are lists of these things. 02:17:19.680 |
When I was in the life insurance business, every year, I would go to a company conference and 02:17:25.200 |
hear what the lobbyists are doing. You go to the industry conferences, and there's a whole team of 02:17:29.280 |
lobbyists. Their job is to make sure that the expenditures, the so-called tax expenditure, 02:17:36.080 |
for the buildup of cash value for life insurance policies stays exempt from the law. This is a big 02:17:42.640 |
deal to insurance companies because it's a major advantage that they have. But it's not just that. 02:17:47.840 |
There are many so-called tax expenditures. Quick political rant. Does it drive you a little nuts 02:17:53.760 |
when they say, "Okay, we're going to give you a so-called tax break, so we're going to call that 02:17:57.680 |
a tax expenditure, that we're spending the tax money"? The language is all twisted. Anyway. 02:18:01.840 |
What's the biggest one? Exclusion of employer contributions for medical insurance, premiums, 02:18:06.400 |
and medical care. Net exclusion of pension contributions and earnings. The deductibility 02:18:11.520 |
of mortgage interest on owner-occupied homes is a tax exclusion. Accelerated depreciation of 02:18:16.320 |
machinery and equipment is a tax expenditure. There are others as well. Deductibility of 02:18:22.160 |
charitable contributions. Capital gains exclusions on home sales. All of these things are tax 02:18:27.280 |
expenditures and all of them can change. I might be making a bit of a mountain out of a molehill 02:18:32.720 |
here, but my point is that if you're concerned about tax risk, I'm not sure that moving the 02:18:37.200 |
money from a traditional 401(k) to a Roth 401(k) fixes that. It still doesn't solve the tax risk. 02:18:44.080 |
The logic here is that you're trying to say, "How do we protect from tax risk?" I'm saying 02:18:49.200 |
it doesn't really protect all that much. Maybe a little bit, but not all that much. 02:18:55.200 |
I was encouraged that Robbins would think outside the box. In Myth 7, he talks about annuities. 02:19:00.800 |
I always thought annuities just were terrible, but now I understand that they're not. 02:19:06.800 |
The problem is that he quickly draws polarizing benefits and he goes and he lambasts variable 02:19:12.480 |
annuities. Now, I would help him with the vast majority of variable annuity products that I've 02:19:17.840 |
reviewed as far as their internal fees, but I wouldn't help him on this comprehensive statement. 02:19:24.640 |
That's an issue for me. There's a lot of internal conflict in the book between these scenarios, 02:19:31.440 |
depending on where he talks about expenses and says, "We've got to tear these apart," and where 02:19:36.080 |
he says, "These are just some expenses and they're not that big a deal." I'm going to boogie past, 02:19:39.920 |
actually. I feel like this is dragging with my minor flaws. Let me get to the major flaws. 02:19:45.280 |
One of my major concerns is that there is some financial 02:19:48.560 |
sleight of hand that I don't think you'd see if you weren't paying attention. 02:19:54.560 |
I don't like how—I am guilty of this. I have done this. It's all a matter of framing, 02:20:00.320 |
where you're trying to frame certain things and try to make comparisons. When you make 02:20:04.880 |
an invalid comparison, I think it destroys your argument. Let me give you one of the ones that I 02:20:12.160 |
think is completely egregious. Page 421, he is talking about how to create a certain amount of 02:20:18.720 |
income. This section is entitled, and he's comparing using an annuity strategy versus 02:20:24.000 |
other investment options. The title of this section is called 2,750% More Income. He gives 02:20:30.480 |
three bullet points. He's talking about a client who has a certain amount of money, has $500,000. 02:20:36.240 |
He has three options to create income. Number one, he could go to a bank and a CD would pay him 02:20:42.160 |
0.23%, or 23 basis points per year. This arrangement would give him $95.80 per month 02:20:49.120 |
and a fully taxable income for a $500,000 deposit. That's a whopping $1,149 a year before taxes. 02:20:57.120 |
Don't spend it all in one place. Number two, bonds would pay him closer to 3% a year, 02:21:02.160 |
or about $15,000 a year before taxes. But the risk that option would entail would be if interest 02:21:07.840 |
rates rise. This would cause the value of his bonds, his principal, to shrink. Number three, 02:21:13.120 |
Josh, which is Tony Robbins' son, showed him that a $500,000 deposit into an immediate lifetime 02:21:18.560 |
income annuity as of today would pay him $2,725 per month, or $32,700 per year, guaranteed for life. 02:21:29.680 |
That's a 2,750% increase over CDs and a 118% increase over bonds without their risk. 02:21:38.480 |
Now, do you see the flaws in this comparison? The biggest one is that you have a complete 02:21:44.640 |
apples and oranges comparison. The annuity gets rid of the $500,000 of principal, 02:21:49.440 |
and the CD and the bonds do not. For examples one and two, he's living off of the income 02:21:56.320 |
without invading principal. And with option three, the reason why the difference is there 02:22:02.160 |
is because he's spending the $500,000 principal. That's it. Now, should he spend the principal? 02:22:11.360 |
He may or he may not, but you cannot use those things. That's utterly dishonest. It's either 02:22:17.200 |
dishonest or a total mistake. But that's a completely invalid comparison. What I would 02:22:24.000 |
say is, well, he could do nothing. He could take the $500,000, he could decide he's going to spend 02:22:28.800 |
it over 20 years, and he could take $25,000 off every single year. That's what he's done 02:22:34.960 |
with the annuity. To me, that's unconscionable. That should not exist. That is not a valid 02:22:43.440 |
comparison, especially when being used to sell an annuity. I think annuities can be really useful, 02:22:50.560 |
but that is not a valid comparison. So that one probably bothered me more than most of the other 02:22:56.880 |
ones. The other things about that that bothers me, check out these little things. Number one, 02:23:00.400 |
those aren't his only options. He could buy an index fund from Jack Bogle. He could put together 02:23:07.280 |
a portfolio based upon Dalio's all-seasons portfolio that Robbins goes through. Now, I get 02:23:13.120 |
that he spent a whole book. He can't list all of these examples, but that is not a valid comparison 02:23:18.320 |
whatsoever to compare only getting 23 basis points of interest on a CD versus buying an immediate 02:23:26.240 |
income annuity. He may only be getting, I don't know, 300 basis points on the annuity. Who knows? 02:23:32.480 |
We can't know without knowing his age. Okay, 65. So I could figure that out, but I didn't do it in 02:23:38.800 |
preparation for the show. So point being, not a valid comparison. The other issue is as far as 02:23:45.120 |
taxes. So Robbins makes some serious mistakes in here in taxes. So in that first part, this 02:23:50.640 |
arrangement would give him $95.80 per month in fully taxable income for a $500,000 deposit. 02:23:58.320 |
Then in the next part about the annuity, there's a footnote that says about the taxable amount of 02:24:04.960 |
the annuity. "The effective tax on income from immediate annuities is dependent on what the IRS 02:24:09.920 |
calls the exclusion ratio. A portion of your income payments are deemed a return of your 02:24:14.480 |
principal and thus excluded from tax. The taxation from an annuity and a CD are identical. All of the 02:24:21.120 |
income from the annuity is taxable income to him, and all of the basis is not taxable income." And 02:24:26.800 |
it's the same thing with the CD. It's just that with the CD, the only thing that he's being 02:24:31.920 |
reported because he's not invading principal with the CD is the interest income. So by talking about 02:24:37.680 |
the fully taxable income, it's talking as though there's some difference. There is no difference. 02:24:42.640 |
They're taxed exactly the same just with annuities we call them exclusion ratios. 02:24:46.320 |
This taxation issue is throughout the whole... it's everywhere. Page 427, one more very cool 02:24:55.120 |
thing. "The IRS looks very favorably on these deferred income annuities, so you don't have to 02:25:00.400 |
pay tax on the entire income payment because a good chunk of the payment is considered a return 02:25:04.880 |
of your original deposit." So A, it's nothing special about these deferred income annuities. 02:25:11.040 |
That's all annuities. They're all taxed identically. You have what's called an exclusion ratio, 02:25:16.240 |
which is the basis that you have in the contract, the amount that you put in, 02:25:20.560 |
is returned to you with no tax. And then the growth on it is returned to you as tax. 02:25:25.760 |
It's the same. And the thing is, the tax principle is the same as every investment. 02:25:31.600 |
If you buy an investment house for $200,000 and you sell it for $225,000, guess what? A portion 02:25:39.520 |
of that is returned to you without tax because it's deemed to be a return of your original deposit. 02:25:45.760 |
That's the tax principle. So there's tax issues all throughout it. I also don't like how Robbins 02:25:51.840 |
frames fees and things differently depending on the context. On page 439, when answering some 02:25:59.040 |
frequently asked questions on annuity fees, after an entire chapter up front tearing apart actively 02:26:05.120 |
managed mutual funds for their "egregious" fees, quote-unquote, he didn't use the word "egregious." 02:26:10.960 |
It was characterized as being egregious. He says, "However, if you select the guaranteed 02:26:15.920 |
lifetime income, the annual fee for this ranges between 0.75% and 1.25% annually, 02:26:21.920 |
depending on each company's individual offerings." Now, I recognize this is at the end of an FAQ 02:26:27.520 |
section, but this is the whole issue that many of us have with fixed index annuities is the fees. 02:26:33.760 |
And so he spends the whole first part of the book tearing apart fees and then just tax it in, 02:26:38.400 |
"Oh, it's no big deal, just 0.75% to 1.25%. That one really bugs me. But I could forgive that if 02:26:47.520 |
it weren't other ones. Here's the big one that in my mind I think is really, really bad. Page 445 02:26:55.360 |
is talking about tax-free compounding. And this one is coming in the context not of an annuity 02:27:01.360 |
discussion, but actually in the context of life insurance. And I was glad to see this in here 02:27:05.520 |
because life insurance often gets short shrift in financial planning discussions because people 02:27:09.920 |
don't understand it, they don't get it, it just gets, it's not often accurately presented. But 02:27:16.160 |
here's the section here, and let me read this to you. "Tax-free compounding, illustrating the 02:27:20.640 |
benefits of life insurance. Compounded over time, the advantage of private placement life insurance 02:27:26.320 |
is astounding. Let's look at an example of how the identical investment compares when wrapped 02:27:31.040 |
inside of private placement life insurance versus taking the standard approach of paying tax each 02:27:36.000 |
year. Let's take a healthy male, age 45, and assume he makes four annual deposits of $250,000 02:27:42.720 |
for a total contribution of $1 million over four years. If he makes a 10% return and has to pay 02:27:50.480 |
tax each and every year, after 40 years his total account balance will be $7 million." Not bad, 02:27:57.040 |
right? "But if he wraps the investment within private placement life insurance and pays a 02:28:02.400 |
relatively small amount for the cost of insurance, his ending balance or cash value is just over 02:28:08.960 |
$30 million. Same investment strategy, but he is left with more than four times or 400% as much 02:28:16.400 |
money for him and his family simply by using the tax code to his advantage." Please note that there 02:28:23.920 |
are very strict rules around the investment management, it's supposed to be done by a third 02:28:26.560 |
party investment professional, not the policy owner. By the way, this same powerful advantage 02:28:31.280 |
applies even to smaller investment amounts. This is compounding without taxes. But then I wanted 02:28:37.760 |
to know, what about when I want to access my money? So it goes into how to take money out of 02:28:40.880 |
a life insurance policy. So I don't know about you, but that math just strikes me as a little 02:28:45.840 |
bit strange. So we're going to deal with a 10% return and we're going to talk about the difference 02:28:50.320 |
between $7 million and $30 million. So I went and calculated the returns. And let me first, 02:28:57.120 |
I want to teach you how to do this, because this is important. Don't let people throw numbers at 02:29:02.320 |
you without the ability to sit down and run your calculator and figure this out. So what I wanted 02:29:06.240 |
to do is figure out the rate of return. This is a more complicated rate of return to figure out 02:29:11.040 |
because of the little twist that the healthy male age 45, assuming he makes four annual deposits 02:29:16.800 |
of $250,000 for a total contribution of $1 million over four years. By the way, the reason there has 02:29:22.960 |
to be four instead of he can just simply say he invests a million dollars is because you need to 02:29:27.840 |
get the life insurance policy to not be a modified endowment contract, which is its own complicated 02:29:35.120 |
set of rules. But that's why this is written that way and why he didn't just say we need to put in 02:29:39.440 |
a million dollars and run the math on that. But if he had said put in a million dollars, 02:29:43.440 |
that would be simple. So the first thing you can do is run the numbers on this to say, okay, 02:29:48.320 |
I've got a million dollars and I make a 10% return for 40 years and figure out how we get to the $7 02:29:54.800 |
million number. So keep this very simple and don't do it technically correct. Do it the simple way 02:30:00.000 |
that you should be able to do. If you've listened to any, if you know how to run it, this is the 02:30:04.160 |
basics of a time value calculation of money. Very simple. So clear your calculator, put in 40 as the 02:30:12.400 |
end, put in $1 million, change the sign to a negative. So you're going to put a negative $1 02:30:17.280 |
million for your present value, put in zero for your payments, and then put in $7 million, keep 02:30:24.480 |
it as positive now as future value and solve for the interest. So if you solve for the interest 02:30:30.720 |
and you do that simple calculation, you will get 4.98% interest. So that gives you, now this isn't 02:30:38.000 |
exactly what the calculation said, but it'll give you 4.98%. Then if you want to compare that to the 02:30:44.800 |
$30 million, put in the $30 million number and put that in as your future value and then solve again 02:30:51.360 |
for the interest. So now with your ending value being $30 million, the same time period, what is 02:30:57.040 |
your investment rate of return? And the answer is 8.875%. So that should make your eyebrows raise. 02:31:04.640 |
The difference between 4.95% and 8.875%, that's a big deal. That's all you need to know to know 02:31:10.960 |
you've got a major problem with this math. And I'll explain the problem in just a second. 02:31:14.560 |
But what you can actually do is, let me teach you how to do this accurately. Instead of using the 02:31:19.840 |
NIPV payment and future value function, you're going to use the cash flow function. And so I use 02:31:28.880 |
an HP 12C. What you're going to punch in with the cash flow function is you're going to punch in 02:31:35.520 |
this four-year scenario. This is too complicated for me to teach it this way. I'll skip the 02:31:46.320 |
keystrokes except to say you're going to use the little CFO and the little CFJ function. 02:31:52.000 |
And then you're going to use the internal rate of return calculation function. So what you do is 02:31:57.280 |
you put in zero for your starting cash flow of zero. Then you put in the four years of payments 02:32:03.120 |
of $250,000 as a cash flow into the portfolio. Then put in 40 years of no cash flows into the 02:32:10.960 |
portfolio. And then put in the ending cash flow out of the portfolio. And then solve for your 02:32:17.600 |
internal rate of return. If you'll do that, what you find is that the internal rate of return on 02:32:22.160 |
the $7 million number is 4.68%. And the internal rate of return on the $30 million number is 8.32%. 02:32:28.960 |
That's a big difference. Who in their right mind pays that amount in tax on an investment 02:32:36.640 |
portfolio? And so my issue with this is having sold life insurance and understanding life 02:32:42.560 |
insurance and seeing the value of life insurance, the thing that drives me nuts is when people 02:32:46.960 |
oversell life insurance. That is not the scenario that you can face. Man, if you're paying that kind 02:32:52.480 |
of tax, especially after three whole chapters on the tax efficiency of index funds and the tax 02:32:58.800 |
efficiency of long-term capital gains taxes, for crying out loud, go find a new financial planner. 02:33:04.720 |
No one is paying that much tax on investments. Maybe they're paying that much tax on income, 02:33:09.760 |
but not on investments. So that kind of basically almost a doubling from 4.68% to 8.32%, 02:33:16.640 |
almost double. You're saying you're paying a 50% tax rate on investments when your dividends and 02:33:22.880 |
capital gains rate taxes are 15% and 20%. It's just not a valid comparison in any way. But that's 02:33:28.960 |
being used to make the point to say you should be doing everything within the context of life 02:33:32.640 |
insurance. Life insurance has its place. That's not an accurate assessment. Had a managing director 02:33:38.880 |
that used to say to me, "It's good enough without overselling it. Don't oversell it." So that's a 02:33:44.880 |
problem. That's a real problem for me. And the average person is not going to see that. And so 02:33:52.560 |
you're misinforming people. And I think we've got to be careful with that. And especially it's up to 02:33:58.640 |
us in the financial planning community to do... It's up to us to accurately discuss this stuff. 02:34:06.480 |
It really is. The tax treatment in this book was really a weak point. Page 244, last example here, 02:34:14.160 |
is talking about a lady he knows named Angela who is having income and is saying 02:34:20.000 |
she has an income amount. The amount she accumulates because she's going to use 02:34:25.520 |
an investment account that using real estate and investing in senior housing that's paying a 7% 02:34:32.800 |
income and dividend payment. The amount she accumulates will generate $16,000 of income, 02:34:37.040 |
assuming a 7% income payment. And she won't have to tap into her principal unless she wants to. 02:34:42.560 |
One last huge benefit, Angela doesn't have to pay income tax on the entire income payment due 02:34:46.800 |
to the tax deductions for depreciation. So this is just an example. And this one, again, if it 02:34:52.800 |
weren't for that one that I just went over, I would probably skip criticizing the tax stuff. 02:34:57.440 |
But this is a big deal on real estate. When you depreciate the property, you will pay the tax 02:35:05.280 |
when you sell, unless you roll the property over into another property using a like-kind exchange 02:35:16.000 |
and avoid it through another mechanism such as a step-up and basis of death. And that's a deal for 02:35:22.880 |
another show. But the point is, real estate doesn't magically give you tax-free money. 02:35:28.640 |
You have a loss called depreciation on the value of your property that you do. Now, 02:35:33.200 |
real estate does, is beneficial. Again, I would skip that one if it weren't for the other stuff. 02:35:37.440 |
So that's a major issue I have. My bet is that Robinson is using examples. But he's a smart guy. 02:35:47.680 |
Is that sleight of hand or is that, I don't know. I wrote several times in the margin, 02:35:52.960 |
that's a little bit loose with the numbers. Another concern I have is that in the language 02:35:58.400 |
that he says in the book, and you'll often see this, and this is what we do in the investment 02:36:02.000 |
business, is you talk about, we change language when it's convenient for the point that we're 02:36:09.520 |
making. I'm guilty of this. I do this myself. But the problem is in a book, we shouldn't be 02:36:13.840 |
doing this when we're teaching people about this. Example here, page 435 in the context of annuities. 02:36:21.200 |
Listen to this language. We're getting the upside without the downside because it's all about fixed 02:36:26.080 |
index annuities. Well, the insurance, how do we, so the upside without the downside. You participate 02:36:31.120 |
in 100% of the stock market index growth. That's right. 100% of the upside with no downside, 02:36:36.960 |
no chance of loss, and no cap on your winnings. The insurance company simply shares in your 02:36:41.600 |
profits by taking a small spread ranging between 1.25% to 1.75%. If the market is up 10% and it 02:36:50.560 |
keeps 1.5%, you get 8.5% credited to your account value. Now, in fairness, I'm going to read the 02:36:57.040 |
next sentence. Conversely, if the market is down on a given year, the insurance company does not 02:37:01.680 |
keep anything and you don't lose a dime or pay any fees. You pay the spread only if you make money. 02:37:07.520 |
That second part I read is important because that would be the point Robbins would make probably if 02:37:10.960 |
I were questioning him directly. But here's the issue. If he hadn't started with a whole bunch of 02:37:15.840 |
chapters on how active mutual fund management is a scourge of the earth, I would probably be more 02:37:21.440 |
receptive. But when you just start with that and try to rip apart the investment industry, 02:37:26.640 |
and then suss in, "Well, the company keeps a small spread on your money ranging between 1.25% to 1.75%, 02:37:32.240 |
he devoted entire chapters to telling me how that was a massive spread, and it is. He's right, 02:37:39.120 |
which is why I don't at the moment like this annuity product at all because of that small 02:37:45.680 |
spread. I would rather put that small spread back in your pocket." Now, if the market is down, 02:37:50.800 |
the rebuttal to that argument would be, "If the market is down on a given year, 02:37:55.200 |
the insurance company doesn't keep anything, and you don't lose a dime or pay any fees, 02:37:59.040 |
you pay the spread only if you make money." So the argument is that, well, you're actually getting a 02:38:03.040 |
service. I think it's a bogus argument, but it does have its place in some scenarios. 02:38:08.320 |
So I don't like how the language is changed to prove a point. Another example here, page 447, 02:38:15.600 |
in the context of talking about life insurance, he starts by talking about private placement life 02:38:21.520 |
insurance, which are policies that are sold to qualified investors who basically have some unique 02:38:28.480 |
investment opportunities wrapped up in a life insurance wrapper. So on page 447, 02:38:33.680 |
in order to access PPLI, you must be what's called an accredited investor, and the typical minimum 02:38:41.280 |
annual deposits are $250,000 for a minimum of four years. True. However, there is a version 02:38:49.040 |
of PPLI that is now available to non-accredited investors with as little as a few thousand to 02:38:53.920 |
invest. Unless I don't have a clue what I'm talking about, there's no version of PPLI. 02:39:00.560 |
It's just called life insurance. Private placement life insurance is a version of life insurance. 02:39:07.600 |
There's no subversion of private placement life insurance that has now been magically 02:39:12.240 |
made available to non-accredited investors. It's just life insurance. Call it what it is. Don't 02:39:17.120 |
dance around it. It's a life insurance policy. It's a whole life insurance policy, but it's well 02:39:21.840 |
designed. It has good fees. That's what makes it great and what makes it different. So to me, 02:39:30.000 |
that's a big deal. And then other places in here, there's logical fallacies such as the argument 02:39:34.880 |
from the extreme. On page 297, he's talking about diversification. And the two best examples of 02:39:43.280 |
reasons to diversify, I'm going to skip that one. We're already two and a half hours and I have one 02:39:53.360 |
I know is going to be long because I'm going to explain to you a lot of context on it. I wish also 02:39:59.120 |
that authors when they're writing books would explain some of the history and evolution of the 02:40:04.160 |
investment business. It's really a problem when people don't accurately explain the evolution 02:40:12.800 |
and the growth of the investment business. In the beginning, he spends quite a few pages talking 02:40:17.760 |
about investing and talking about active management and passive management and the growth of it over 02:40:24.160 |
time. And the issue is that there's no even nod given to the historical context of how index funds 02:40:33.840 |
and index fund strategies came around. Active funds make index funds possible. The fact that 02:40:42.080 |
we have a generally efficient market and we have lots of investors chasing returns, that's what 02:40:47.520 |
makes index funds possible. Now, I love index funds. I think they're an awesome investment. 02:40:51.280 |
But at the time, mutual funds were an amazing innovation. And a lot of people, a lot of 02:41:00.160 |
investors through mutual funds have become very wealthy by investing through mutual funds. And 02:41:06.640 |
they serve, in my opinion, they serve the public incredibly well because they allow the public to 02:41:12.080 |
get access to a low cost, fully diversified portfolio with a professional investment manager. 02:41:18.240 |
That's the historical context. Now, in that historical context, out of that came the growth 02:41:25.760 |
of the passive index fund idea. I mean, index funds didn't exist until Jack Bogle launched 02:41:35.520 |
Vanguard in 1974. Mutual funds are governed and they existed before this, but they're governed 02:41:42.240 |
by the Investment Company Act of 1934. So there's a major growth that happened over time of that 02:41:49.040 |
history. And there's an ongoing struggle in the book is this struggle between active and passive 02:41:54.720 |
investing. And it's a struggle in the book because it's a struggle in real life. But I'm not sure 02:42:00.320 |
that it's dealt with very well in the book. I haven't found a book that I felt was dealt with 02:42:05.120 |
it effectively. Usually it's very, the books are very polarized instead of including the advantages 02:42:11.600 |
of both of them. So that's just one of the things I wish authors like him would do, would be to talk 02:42:19.600 |
a little bit about the history and evolution of the investment business. Now, we live in a very 02:42:23.600 |
different world in 2014 than we did in, you know, than existed in 1984. And the market has responded 02:42:31.760 |
to that. Vanguard is doing amazingly well, has more market share than, I mean, it's just, it's 02:42:36.880 |
incredible. So the market has responded to that. But I just wish some focus, some attention were 02:42:42.720 |
given to the history a little bit. There's a lot of little statements tossed in through the book 02:42:48.800 |
that have a lot of emotional appeal, but they don't have any grounding in fact, or if they do, 02:42:54.400 |
they're not cited. And that bothers me because they're strong statements. And if they're not 02:43:02.320 |
proven, then I need to know. Example from page 85, "Money Power Principle One, Don't get in the 02:43:08.960 |
game unless you know the rules. Millions of investors worldwide are systematically marketed 02:43:14.800 |
a set of myths, investment lies that guide their decision-making. This quote, conventional wisdom 02:43:22.560 |
is often designed to keep you in the dark. When it comes to your money, what you don't know can 02:43:29.360 |
and likely will hurt you. Ignorance is not bliss. Ignorance is pain. Ignorance is struggle. 02:43:36.000 |
Ignorance is giving your fortune away to someone who hasn't earned it. 02:43:39.360 |
If conventional wisdom is designed to keep me in the dark, I need to know about that." 02:43:44.480 |
So, I assume what he's referring to here is to the nine myths, but I don't see any design in that, 02:43:52.160 |
and that's just, that's troublesome to me because if that's the case, I want some, I need to know 02:43:57.200 |
that because I'm talking to a lot of people on the show, so I need to be able to know that so I can 02:44:02.400 |
warn you. There are others as well, but that's enough for now. One of the issues also that I 02:44:09.920 |
have is oftentimes there are numbers in here that are misused or miscited, and the context of 02:44:17.760 |
different numbers is, it bothers me. Page 94, he quotes, he says, "There are 7,707 different mutual 02:44:26.960 |
funds in the United States, but only 4,900 individual stocks, all vying for a chance to 02:44:32.640 |
help you beat the market." This is in the context of basically trying to say that 96% of active 02:44:38.640 |
managers fail to beat the market, which I think is true. But the problem is that that's a little 02:44:44.560 |
bit misleading. So I went to check those numbers, and I said, "Okay, there's 7,707 different mutual 02:44:50.000 |
funds." So I went and looked up and tried to figure out, well, let's fact check this and see 02:44:54.160 |
how many mutual funds there are. I had actually recently fact-checked this for another project, 02:44:58.800 |
so I knew right where to go. And you can pull open, and I'll link to it in the show notes, 02:45:04.160 |
the Investment Company Institute, which is one of the industry organizations for the investment 02:45:09.120 |
world. So go to the Investment Company Institute fact book, and you can find the most recent one. 02:45:14.640 |
The 2014 Investment Company Fact Book lists the number of investment companies by type. 02:45:22.160 |
And so here in 2013, you can read that there were 8,000, so this is entitled, the chart is 02:45:30.880 |
entitled, "Number of Investment Companies by Type." And this is actually an important distinction, 02:45:35.120 |
which I'll get to in a minute. So first, Robin's statement is there are 7,707 different mutual 02:45:40.240 |
funds in the United States, but only 4,900 individual stocks, all vying for a chance to 02:45:45.360 |
help you beat the market. In 2013, there were 8,974 total open-end mutual funds. Open-end 02:45:53.920 |
investment companies is technically what they would be called. We commonly refer to them as 02:45:57.520 |
mutual funds, but they're open-ended investment companies. So I don't know where he got his 7,707 02:46:03.600 |
number, because it doesn't line up with what I was able to find, and there's no bibliography, 02:46:07.520 |
so I couldn't find that. But more importantly, there are more investment companies than that. 02:46:12.640 |
There are 599 closed-end funds. There are 1,332 exchange-traded funds, and there were 5,552 02:46:21.360 |
unit investment trusts for a total of 16,457 different investment companies. So that's one 02:46:30.000 |
thing. But the other thing is the comparison to 4,900 individual stocks. Now, it is true, 02:46:35.360 |
there are only about 5,000 individual stocks that are listed on the U.S. stock market. But what we 02:46:41.440 |
don't know is how many of these funds are stock funds and how many are bond funds. And when you 02:46:47.840 |
compare the size of the bond market to the size of the stock market, there is a massive, massive 02:46:54.640 |
difference. Massive difference. There are 20 times more... Just stick with municipal bonds. 02:47:02.560 |
There are 20 times as many municipal bond issuers as there are companies, stocks. There are about 02:47:11.040 |
100,000 municipal bond issuers in the United States of America, and there are over 2 million 02:47:16.080 |
different municipal bond securities. So you can see... Sorry about that, my dog again. You can 02:47:22.880 |
see that in the context, when you actually compare it to $2 million, there's a big difference here. 02:47:27.600 |
Excuse me, not $2 million. Two million bond individual municipal securities, that makes a 02:47:34.560 |
big difference. Now, what's the actual number? I don't know. But I do know that I don't trust that 02:47:39.440 |
comparison to try to set the idea that I don't trust that comparison. Is it wrong? It's not 02:47:47.760 |
necessarily wrong. I don't like it. One of the ones that I also had an issue with that... 02:47:52.880 |
And I just wish people would tighten up their books when they write about stuff like this. I 02:47:57.920 |
know that they're writing for a lay audience, but anyway, this is my review of it. One of the 02:48:02.800 |
things that I have an issue with is also some statements. So Robbins repeats this study 02:48:09.120 |
throughout the book. He says, and I'll cite it from page 127, this paragraph here. The paragraph 02:48:14.880 |
is entitled, "Not all advice is good advice." And we're about to go into this fiduciary versus 02:48:20.720 |
suitability thing in a minute. "Aligning yourself with a fiduciary is, by all accounts, a great 02:48:25.200 |
place to start. But this does not necessarily mean that the professional you select is going to 02:48:29.680 |
provide good or even fairly priced advice. And like any industry, not all professionals have 02:48:35.040 |
equal skill or experience. In fact, 46% of financial planners have no retirement plan." 02:48:41.200 |
That's right. The cobbler's kid has no shoes. "Over 2,400 financial planners were surveyed 02:48:47.200 |
anonymously in a 2013 study by the Financial Planning Association, and close to half don't 02:48:53.440 |
practice what they preach." Heck, I can't believe they admitted it. "Truth is, we're living in 02:48:58.160 |
uncharted territory with endless complexity, central banks printing money like crazy, 02:49:02.640 |
and even some governments defaulting on their own debt. Only the elite advisors of the planning 02:49:07.520 |
industry know how to navigate these waters." I don't disagree with them on the elite advisors 02:49:12.480 |
part. But that's kind of a shocking statistic that 46% of financial planners have no retirement plan. 02:49:19.360 |
Now, this one was actually fairly easy to find. Again, no bibliography, but this one was fairly 02:49:25.760 |
easy to find. So I went and found it, and it was the Financial Planning Association. I will link 02:49:29.600 |
it in the show notes. So I went and read the study on page seven. The question that was asked, 02:49:36.880 |
"Question. Do you have a clear plan in place for your own retirement?" 54% of respondents said yes, 02:49:45.600 |
and 46% of respondents said no. It goes on and says, "When do you plan to retire?" 02:49:52.640 |
Now, here's the key distinction. This is being done in a practice study for financial planners 02:50:00.720 |
and their businesses. This study is not, "Do you have a financial plan with savings 02:50:08.320 |
and retirement accounts?" This study is not, "Do you have an IRA?" This study is a practice 02:50:16.960 |
management study, and it is talking and trying to dig into what is the question of how are you going 02:50:23.120 |
to retire out of your financial planning practice, which is a very difficult challenge for many 02:50:27.680 |
financial planners. You've built this practice. Do you sell it? Do you find a successor? How do 02:50:32.720 |
you value it? It's a big issue in our industry. So this statistic that he's citing, he's making 02:50:38.960 |
it sound like the cobbler's kid has no shoes. The 46% of financial planners have no retirement plan. 02:50:44.640 |
Guess what? I have a retirement plan, but if I were answering this survey, I would say, 02:50:49.920 |
"No, I don't have a clear plan in place for my own retirement if I'm running a financial planning 02:50:55.440 |
practice," because there are many things that can change. Those who are answering yes on this topic, 02:51:03.520 |
it's talking about their business plan. So if I asked Tony Robbins and I said, "Do you have a 02:51:11.680 |
clear plan in place for your retirement from the Tony Robbins companies?" That's a very different 02:51:18.480 |
question if I ask him, "Do you have assets set aside and earmarked towards your retirement?" or 02:51:22.640 |
"Do you know the retirement number?" Again, did he read the study? I don't know, but to me, 02:51:28.800 |
it's fairly clear. This is in the context of the entire survey. You can read the whole thing for 02:51:33.840 |
yourself. The entire thing is about business models. If I were answering that question, 02:51:38.240 |
in my former practice, I would have answered no for various reasons. Again, this says 56%, 54% 02:51:49.120 |
have a clear plan in place for their own retirement. That's a business transition plan. 02:51:54.640 |
I think the fact that 54% of financial planners have a clear plan in place for their own retirement 02:52:00.320 |
and their business transition, in my mind, that is an amazing number, knowing the complexities 02:52:04.960 |
of the financial planning business and how to do it. It's a big example. 02:52:15.360 |
Let's dig into myth number four. One of the things that concerns me is it doesn't seem in this book, 02:52:21.280 |
it's a little bit sloppy. I was surprised by this because I don't think Tony Robbins is not a sloppy 02:52:27.680 |
guy. It's just his fact checkers or whatever didn't... I would assume he would have the best 02:52:31.440 |
people in the business fact checking this thing. I don't know, it surprises me. Myth number four 02:52:36.960 |
here, it just illustrates that he doesn't really understand some of these issues or terms. Myth 02:52:42.080 |
four is called, "I'm your broker and I'm here to help." He's talking about the difference between 02:52:47.520 |
the fiduciary standard and the suitability standard. This is an interesting discussion 02:52:52.400 |
and it's fairly complicated. I can't go into details. The show is already ridiculously long 02:53:00.080 |
and I could do an hour show on the fiduciary standard versus the suitability standard. 02:53:03.520 |
It is complicated. Robbins presents the simplified version. My issue with it is how he presents it, 02:53:11.200 |
because he presents it without any logical arguments and his entire presentation 02:53:15.200 |
is based upon lampooning the suitability standard as ridiculous. Now, for clarity, 02:53:24.160 |
I am in favor of a fiduciary standard, pretty much. I've always conducted everything under 02:53:32.800 |
a fiduciary standard and I think that anybody who's managing investments should be managing 02:53:39.040 |
them under a fiduciary standard. Now, that's different than—that's why I said in the business, 02:53:46.000 |
it's a bigger issue than that because sometimes you're managing investments and sometimes you're 02:53:49.600 |
selling products and that's the problem. The issue is fairly complicated, but I am in favor 02:53:55.760 |
of the fiduciary standard. I've taken fiduciary oaths at least three different versions, I think, 02:54:00.640 |
that I can think of. Consider how he lampoons and this is where he argues from the perspective of 02:54:07.680 |
the suitability standard. Page 125. Here's the truth. The financial services industry has many 02:54:13.360 |
caring people of the highest integrity who truly want to do what's in the best interest of their 02:54:17.600 |
clients. Unfortunately, many are operating in a closed circuit environment in which the tools 02:54:22.480 |
at their disposal are pre-engineered to be in the best interest of the house. True. The system is 02:54:28.480 |
designed to reward them for selling, not for providing conflict-free advice. Also true. 02:54:33.680 |
And the product or fund they sell you doesn't necessarily have to be the best available 02:54:37.680 |
or even in your best interest. True. By legal definition, all they have to do is provide you 02:54:43.440 |
with a product that is suitable. True. What kind of standard is suitable? Do you want a suitable 02:54:49.520 |
partner for life? "Honey, how was it for you tonight?" "Eh, the sex was suitable." Are you 02:54:54.240 |
going to be promoted for doing suitable work? Do you fly the airline with a suitable safety record? 02:54:59.200 |
Or better yet, let's go to lunch here. I hear the food is suitable. Yet according to David Karp, 02:55:04.400 |
a registered investment advisor, the suitability standard essentially says, 02:55:07.840 |
"It doesn't matter who benefits more, the client or advisor. As long as an investment is suitable, 02:55:13.040 |
meets the general direction of your goals and objectives, at the time it was placed for the 02:55:16.800 |
client, the advisor is held free of liability." The gold standard. To receive conflict-free advice, 02:55:22.960 |
we must align ourselves with a fiduciary. A fiduciary is a legal standard adopted by a 02:55:27.840 |
relatively small but growing segment of independent financial professionals who have abandoned their 02:55:32.720 |
big-box firms, relinquished their broker status, and made the decision to become a registered 02:55:37.360 |
investment advisor. These professionals get paid for financial advice and, by law, 02:55:42.560 |
must remove any potential conflicts of interest or, at a minimum, disclose them, 02:55:46.960 |
and put the client's needs above their own. Imagine having investment advice where you knew 02:55:53.360 |
that the law protected you from your advisor steering you in a specific direction or to a 02:55:57.840 |
specific fund to make more money off of you. And he goes on as to how to find one. If there's a 02:56:02.240 |
single step you could take to solidify your position as an insider, it's to align yourself 02:56:06.960 |
with a fiduciary, an independent registered investment advisor, RIA for short. Now, 02:56:11.840 |
is that all true? Mostly. Most of the stuff is true. And I understand why he might not get these 02:56:19.840 |
terms. It took me years to figure out the terms myself. But if you're writing a book on it, 02:56:24.080 |
make sure you understand the terms. First of all, the independent registered investment advisor is 02:56:30.640 |
the firm. And then there's going to be an investment advisor representative, IAR, for that 02:56:37.200 |
registered investment advisor, RIA, the firm. As I have an RIA firm, it's in process. I haven't 02:56:45.040 |
finalized the paperwork. I've filed it and then it got... Anyway. So been through this process, 02:56:50.080 |
and I'm familiar with it. I've just got the whole thing on hold while I start this show. 02:56:52.880 |
But I have an RIA firm and I'm a representative of that firm. I would hire then an independent 02:56:58.960 |
advisor representative, IAR, to work for the firm. At Northwestern Mutual, before I left, I was 02:57:04.560 |
an independent advisor representative of Northwestern Mutual Investment Services, 02:57:11.200 |
which was a registered investment advisor. Excuse me. What was the name of the company 02:57:15.920 |
that was the registered investment advisor firm? Anyway, we had a registered investment advisory 02:57:19.200 |
firm. I lived and worked under a legal fiduciary standard for the clients for whom I was working 02:57:24.640 |
in that capacity. That was not all clients. And the key is that it's very difficult to apply a 02:57:30.160 |
fiduciary standard to life insurance and products that are affected with commissions. Now, the other 02:57:39.120 |
challenge is that I always lived under a fiduciary standard, not because necessarily of the internal 02:57:44.000 |
firm requirements, although that did exist, but it was more specific, but as a certified financial 02:57:49.200 |
planner. A fiduciary standard is not only applied to registered investment advisors. 02:57:53.600 |
All CFP certificates have taken a fiduciary oath to act in a fiduciary manner when they're involved 02:58:00.240 |
in providing financial planning services. So as a CFP certificate, regardless of my capacity, 02:58:06.560 |
I was always held to a fiduciary standard. And then if you're a member of other organizations, 02:58:10.960 |
so if you're a member of NAPFA, National Association of Personal Financial Advisors, 02:58:14.800 |
or the XY Planning Network guys I work with, all of the people involved there have taken a fiduciary 02:58:21.120 |
oath. And worse, he mixes up the definitions of a fiduciary stand of duty and a suitability 02:58:33.120 |
standard when using industry terms of fee-based, fee-only, and commission-based. And what's not sad, 02:58:43.840 |
I mean, I don't want to be too strong with this, but what his fact checker should have gotten on 02:58:47.200 |
page 132, he talks about how to find a fiduciary, and he says, you know, find a link to the National 02:58:52.800 |
Association of Personal Financial Advisors, NAPFA. And then it says, directory of fee-based advisors. 02:58:58.800 |
Every NAPFA member that reads this book will be cringing. NAPFA members are not fee-based. 02:59:04.640 |
Fee-based means that the most of your income comes from investment fees, and you still accept some 02:59:12.160 |
commission product work. NAPFA does not permit fee-based planners. They permit fee-only planners. 02:59:19.440 |
And NAPFA, the entire organization, is fee-only. In fact, on the very same page, practically, 02:59:24.720 |
it's at the top of the next one, number four, make sure the NAPFA, so he reposts NAPFA's guidelines 02:59:30.880 |
for criteria to consider when selecting an advisor. Number four, make sure the registered 02:59:35.440 |
investment advisor does not have an affiliation with a broker-dealer. This is sometimes the worst 02:59:40.160 |
offense when a fiduciary also sells products and gets investment commissions as well. So just the 02:59:47.040 |
fact that NAPFA is listed as a fee-based advisor, and that's what a fee-based advisor is, is number 02:59:51.520 |
four. So it's really tough. Actually, I constantly find myself having to learn and say, "Okay, let me 02:59:57.280 |
adjust this." But the point is that it's a little bit sloppy. But as bad as that is, it's really not 03:00:03.360 |
the worst problem. Because later in the book, he's talking about a fiduciary, but then he recommends 03:00:08.080 |
private placement life insurance. Your fiduciary cannot sell that to you. Excuse me, your RIA, 03:00:14.240 |
your fee-only registered investment advisor, can't sell that to you because then they would be 03:00:18.560 |
accepting commissions. And they would have to do it as a separate firm. It's this whole complicated, 03:00:24.640 |
stupid world that we live in with the regulations. Can't buy is fixed index annuity. So the debate 03:00:31.760 |
exists for a reason. It's intense for a reason in our industry. Personally, I'm unconvinced the 03:00:38.000 |
suitability versus fiduciary standard is actually going to make any difference for clients. Again, 03:00:42.720 |
I'm in favor of a fiduciary standard of care. But the current system as it is in a very tough spot. 03:00:49.440 |
And I think a better difference would be distinguishing between financial advice and 03:00:54.080 |
product sales. I think that would be key. And if you're involved in product sales, be involved in 03:01:00.000 |
product sales. Don't be involved in financial advice. We'll see where things shake out. The 03:01:04.000 |
SEC is studying it and we'll see where things shake out. But I don't think it matters because 03:01:08.880 |
I know lots of good advisors who give objective advice in either scenario. I've lived in both 03:01:13.840 |
worlds. I gave the same advice in both scenarios. And I know that there are lots of people who would, 03:01:20.000 |
even in a fiduciary system, would be completely prone to self-dealing and working in their best 03:01:28.240 |
interest instead of the client's. And can you blame them? Look at the world we live in. In a 03:01:32.720 |
world where the president of the United States, from both parties, by the way, for many past 03:01:37.440 |
administrations, the president of the United States lies repeatedly to people, 03:01:40.800 |
including lying under oath. Example, Bill Clinton, lying under oath, lying consistently, 03:01:49.680 |
George W. Bush and Barack Obama, lying consistently. Here's what I'm going to do. 03:01:56.080 |
Don't do it. It's absurd. In the current administration, 2014, you have the attorney 03:02:02.880 |
general, who's supposedly the person who's responsible for upholding the law, lying to 03:02:06.560 |
Congress on multiple occasions. You have the head of the IRS, in my opinion, lying to the public 03:02:10.720 |
about the, "Oh, we have the missing emails." You have the secretary of state and possible 03:02:16.080 |
future presidential candidate lying about the Benghazi events. And was it a few weeks ago, 03:02:20.960 |
Jonathan Gruber, the primary architect of Obamacare, openly admits that they purposely lied, 03:02:27.520 |
concealed, evaded, manipulated, and twisted events to get their purpose and agenda for health care 03:02:32.160 |
pushed forward. Do you expect me to believe that any of these people have any interest in the truth 03:02:36.880 |
as some kind of object of standard? Give me a break. I don't trust any of them. 03:02:42.880 |
So when that is the government that's in charge of the SEC, do you expect me to believe that's 03:02:49.040 |
going to make a difference? In our current society, there's no moral foundation for holding 03:02:55.440 |
your word by anybody for anything. And there are a few people that still exist in it. And yes, 03:03:02.320 |
the legal system is there to hold people accountable. And does it do it? Yeah, sometimes. 03:03:06.240 |
But there's no moral authority. No one has any moral authority from any enforcement division 03:03:13.280 |
to talk about this. I don't trust any of them. And by the way, it's not an Obama thing. It's 03:03:19.760 |
every single government administration we've had in my lifetime, and certainly a long time before 03:03:23.040 |
my lifetime, has been the same. Best example, listen to how they campaign. Listen to how the 03:03:28.800 |
news people report this. We expect so-and-so, now that they've won their primary election, 03:03:34.480 |
to modify their position. Are you going to change your political stance now? It's all lies. 03:03:39.440 |
So my point is that I don't think it's really going to matter. I think what matters is you've 03:03:45.760 |
got to find somebody with character. And I have found people in the investment business in every 03:03:51.040 |
model, with every product, that I said, "This person has character, and this person is genuine, 03:03:57.360 |
and I would trust." And I've found people in every model that I wouldn't leave my wife in 03:04:01.280 |
the same room with alone for five minutes. I wouldn't, for an instant. Another issue I have 03:04:08.480 |
is with such a focus, especially making this one of the myths on the suitability standard versus 03:04:12.400 |
the fiduciary standard, I think that raises an extra measure here with regard to what the value, 03:04:19.520 |
what was Tony doing with his book? And halfway through this book, 03:04:24.560 |
I started thinking to myself, "Man, he's mentioning a lot of companies 03:04:29.280 |
really positively. This seems strange." And I got the feeling, I was like, "Is this a 600-page 03:04:37.360 |
sales letter?" So I hadn't picked up on it until about halfway through. The first company that he 03:04:43.680 |
really emphasizes is a company called Hightower, which is an RIA firm. He emphasizes it right here 03:04:49.120 |
in the fiduciary chapter, which is a registered investment advisory firm. And he says, "I found 03:04:54.720 |
out about this company, and I think his advisor is with Hightower." And he says, "Hightower is 03:04:59.200 |
really great, and they've created this great product, and I don't have any connection with 03:05:03.680 |
them at the moment. But we're in talks, and that may change in the future." So I thought, "Wow, 03:05:12.960 |
this is really great. Good for him for highlighting it, and that would be great." 03:05:16.640 |
Well, I go on, and what I found out is he goes on and mentions other companies. And I just got 03:05:20.960 |
this strange feeling. So I went looking for disclosures, and I went to the appendices. 03:05:26.480 |
And I finally figured out that several of the companies that are profiled in the book are 03:05:30.400 |
actually partnerships with him. So you've got companies, America's Best, 401(k), he owns a 03:05:35.920 |
stake in that, which is heavily recommended as a 401(k) provider. Advisors Excel, and then a 03:05:41.520 |
subsidiary there, a joint venture product called Lifetime Income. So these are the firms that he's 03:05:46.160 |
setting up a scenario with to sell annuity products and life insurance products and 401(k) 03:05:52.560 |
products. And so he uses a lot of these companies in his examples. So you say, "Okay, well, that's 03:06:01.280 |
fine. Nothing wrong with that." But then I thought, "Well, is he really giving a fiduciary 03:06:06.640 |
standard here? Is he using this book as a... And by the way, using the book as a sales letter does 03:06:12.960 |
not violate a fiduciary standard. But I just thought, is he practicing full and complete 03:06:17.280 |
radical transparency?" Well, I don't know. I think he is because it's in the appendices. But 03:06:23.920 |
it's constant throughout the book. So for example, page 170, talking about annuities, fixed index 03:06:29.040 |
annuities, the solution. If you have an annuity, regardless of what type, it's always beneficial 03:06:33.280 |
to get a review by an annuity specialist. You can reach out to an annuity specialist at 03:06:37.120 |
lifetimeincome@lifetimeincome.com, and he or she will perform a complimentary review, which will 03:06:42.160 |
help you discover the pros and cons of your annuity, determine the actual fees you're paying, 03:06:44.800 |
assess whether or not the guarantees are the highest available, and decide whether to keep it 03:06:47.280 |
or not, or get out of your current annuity and exchange it for a different type of annuity. 03:06:50.640 |
So that's brilliant marketing. And this is what I'm going to focus on. I'll come back to the 03:06:56.800 |
question of this is okay or not. This is utterly brilliant. This is amazingly brilliant what he's 03:07:01.600 |
done. And I didn't pick up on it until about halfway out, halfway through. But let me share 03:07:06.240 |
with you what he's done with this book. On the front page of the book, he says, "I've donated 03:07:11.280 |
all of my profits to a charity that's feeding people." And so you buy the book, and the money 03:07:19.840 |
from that is donated to the charity. And you read the book, and you benefit, and then you act on the 03:07:25.760 |
advice in the book. And he's created this amazing win, win, win, win, win scenario, win for all 03:07:31.920 |
involved. And I really am impressed by it. It's really impressive. He laid this thing out, and 03:07:38.080 |
it's brilliant. He writes a book out of indignation over a financial collapse. He researches some 03:07:44.560 |
really great companies that are providing solutions with his research team. He leverages the power of 03:07:51.040 |
his personal brand to create, get access, and create an amazing, really a great book. 03:07:57.440 |
Then he donates all the profits from the book to the food charity, giving himself a charitable 03:08:03.440 |
deduction, while on the same hand using the book as an incredible 600-page sales letter 03:08:10.560 |
for his seminars and for his other products, and most importantly for these companies. 03:08:16.560 |
So he gains a massive increase in the value of the companies he's partnered with from people 03:08:21.520 |
acting on behalf of the advice and serving millions of people. And the way he's done it in 03:08:25.680 |
the book is amazing. So the book is a 600-page sales letter. It's a well-written one with tons 03:08:30.720 |
of information. And he's got driving people to the website and to an application, a smartphone app, 03:08:37.040 |
which is a really great lead generation tool. And he's driving people to his teams all the way 03:08:43.760 |
through. Isn't that amazing? When I finally figured it out, and again, maybe I was dense, 03:08:50.240 |
I went back and looked, and I did find that each time he introduced a company, he said, 03:08:54.000 |
"I've now partnered with them." And by the way, I'll get to what I think in a second. He said, 03:08:59.120 |
"I've now partnered with them." I had missed it the first time. Then I went back and I said, 03:09:02.880 |
"This is amazing. Every single financial planner should be following this model, 03:09:07.600 |
writing a 600-page sales letter and doing this." Frankly, I'm kind of jealous of him. 03:09:13.440 |
He's essentially created what I'd love to create. He's got electronic tools to make it easy. He's 03:09:17.680 |
got electronic capture. He's got all these tools with Hightower and America's Best and all these 03:09:22.560 |
incredible flow of interest. He's created an amazing process disclosing all the problems. 03:09:29.680 |
I think it's really amazing. I do not for an instant doubt Tony's heart, his passion, 03:09:36.800 |
his genuineness, his honesty, his authenticity, his righteous indignation at the industry, 03:09:43.840 |
and his desire to help people and to give back. I don't doubt it for an instant. 03:09:49.360 |
I think he's done a great job at it. I just didn't figure it out until halfway through the book. 03:09:54.240 |
I hope to copy him someday. I think it's amazing. But I'm not sure he could actually do this as a 03:10:00.480 |
fee-only advisor. I'm not sure he could do it as a fiduciary fee-only advisor. It'd be a nightmare 03:10:05.200 |
to work the paperwork work. So that's the conundrum constantly. The toughest question 03:10:10.720 |
I get asked is, "How do I find a good financial advisor?" So admire that and learn from it, 03:10:16.960 |
because he has done an amazing job. When I finally figured that out, it all clicked for me. 03:10:21.360 |
That's the value in my mind of good sales. Good sales is giving people a ton of information 03:10:28.720 |
and a ton of value. That's what I'm doing on the show, trying to give away a ton of information 03:10:33.760 |
and a ton of value in exchange for selling my ancillary products as I develop them. That is 03:10:38.560 |
what I'm doing. So I think it is awesome. Other concerns here. It seems like he doesn't 03:10:48.000 |
clearly write about just some basics of some financial products. Another example that I 03:10:58.160 |
pointed out, page 438, he's talking about annuities. It says, as a frequently asked 03:11:03.200 |
question, about fixed index annuities. "What happens if I die early?" If you die before 03:11:07.920 |
turning on your income stream, your entire account balance is left to your heirs. This is a huge 03:11:13.280 |
benefit over a traditional income annuity. When you do decide to eventually turn on your lifetime 03:11:18.080 |
income stream with a simple phone call, you do not forfeit your entire account to the insurance 03:11:22.640 |
company. Your heirs would still get your account balance minus any income payments you would take 03:11:26.320 |
into that point. It's completely flawed, because no annuity do you ever lose the value of until 03:11:35.120 |
you annuitize it. And then when you annuitize it, based upon the payout options that you select at 03:11:40.720 |
the time you turn on the annuity income stream, that's what determines what benefit your 03:11:45.120 |
beneficiaries receive. And that's exactly the same with a fixed index annuity as it is with any 03:11:49.600 |
other annuity product. So it's like this whole thing about a differentiation. There's no 03:11:57.200 |
differentiation there. I get an issue that some of the arguments are not fairly or well or fairly 03:12:04.080 |
presented. And probably the best example here, and I get that not everyone can present all sides of 03:12:09.440 |
an argument. I probably drive people crazy with trying to give every side of an argument. But 03:12:14.720 |
some of these shortfalls in the book are pretty serious. The best example here is myth number 03:12:20.000 |
three, which is entitled "Our Returns, What You See Is What You Get." And in here, he makes a big 03:12:24.560 |
deal out of time-weighted returns versus dollar-weighted returns. And so I'm going to read 03:12:30.320 |
a couple of just excerpted quotes here from a few consecutive pages here. And these are just one or 03:12:36.800 |
two sentence options here. "Today, the mutual fund industry has been able to use a tricky method to 03:12:42.000 |
calculate and publish returns that are, as Jack Bogle says, not actually earned by the investors. 03:12:48.080 |
Now that you're an insider, beware. Average returns have a built-in illusion, 03:12:53.840 |
spinning a performance enhancement that doesn't exist. The math magicians on Wall Street have 03:12:59.680 |
managed to calculate their returns to look even better. How so? In short, when the mutual fund 03:13:04.560 |
advertises a specific return, it's not, as Jack Bogle says, the return you actually earn. Why? 03:13:10.640 |
Because the returns you see in the brochure are known as time-weighted returns. Sounds complicated, 03:13:15.040 |
but it's not. However, feel free to use that to look brilliant at your next cocktail party." 03:13:19.520 |
Goes on and talks about real returns. "And you must also remember that the returns reported by 03:13:25.760 |
mutual funds are based on a theoretical person who invested all of his money on day one. 03:13:29.920 |
This just isn't true for most, so we can't delude ourselves into believing that the glossy brochure 03:13:34.560 |
returns are the same as what we have actually received in our account." I don't get why he 03:13:38.400 |
even included this, because to me this is a non-issue. I know Jack Bogle makes a big difference 03:13:43.200 |
out of this, but I don't think he's making a... I don't think... I don't buy his argument. I really 03:13:48.000 |
don't. I have a ton of respect for him, but I don't buy his argument on this one. "The difference 03:13:51.360 |
between time-weighted returns and dollar-weighted returns. Time-weighted returns exist so that you 03:13:55.680 |
can compare a portfolio manager's performance independent of what the flows in or out of his 03:14:04.080 |
or her fund are. That's what they exist for. Dollar-weighted returns have to do with the 03:14:09.280 |
dollars that are actually in the fund and tracking them through." Now, Robbins is right, and Bogle's 03:14:15.040 |
right. You only get to spend dollar-weighted returns, your dollar-weighted returns. But the 03:14:20.560 |
issue is that what's being talked about here is not essentially the issue of how do I... 03:14:27.760 |
there's no lies being made here. And the biggest problem is there are essentially three different 03:14:36.480 |
time-weighted versus dollar-weighted returns that we... excuse me, three different returns that we 03:14:40.640 |
have to track. So the time-weighted return ignores asset inflows and outflows of the portfolio, 03:14:46.480 |
but the dollar-weighted on their portfolio talks about the mutual fund investors. Well, 03:14:50.000 |
think about how a mutual fund works. You have a portfolio manager that you hire 03:14:53.920 |
to run an investment portfolio. And here's what would actually could happen if you were to compare 03:15:01.120 |
the differential between these two numbers. Let's pretend that I start a mutual fund, 03:15:06.080 |
and I'm going to start an open-end investment company. We're going to call it Sheetz Capital 03:15:10.960 |
Management. And you think that I'm just brilliant, so you go ahead and invest with me right up front. 03:15:17.280 |
And so I take and I invest your money. And this year, I do really... I invest the money, 03:15:22.160 |
and I make you... I'm going to charge you a 1% management fee as far as a portfolio fee 03:15:26.960 |
that goes to the investment advisor on the account, on the mutual fund account. 03:15:31.360 |
And so I charge 1% fee. And this year, I make 15% returns. And so net of fees, 03:15:42.960 |
you get 14% return on your money. And let's say that the market was flat this year. So all of a 03:15:48.720 |
sudden, I'm getting all kinds of people really interested in my fund. And so I get $10 billion 03:15:56.960 |
all of a sudden shows up in my fund. And the people say, "Hey, listen, we want you to invest 03:16:02.240 |
our money." Well, now I'm sitting on $10 billion. And a month later, I'm still trying to figure out 03:16:09.040 |
where do I invest this $10 billion? What's my next good idea? I can't pour it all into one thing. 03:16:13.920 |
And so my fund is flat. The average person, the average dollar in the fund is flat. But your money 03:16:22.400 |
is up, what did I say, 14%. Whatever the number was, I said. That's the difference between time 03:16:28.880 |
weighted returns and dollar weighted returns. So a time weighted return formula would ignore 03:16:32.320 |
the $10 billion of new cash flow into my fund. And it would just simply focus on the actual 03:16:38.960 |
performance that I had returned. That's how numbers are reported. But worse, so Bogle, 03:16:44.960 |
and I guess Robbins too, wants this to be reported for actually the cash flows in and out of the 03:16:50.320 |
fund. But this is meaningless in the fund. And my issue with it, the portfolio manager can't 03:16:54.640 |
control the cash flows in and out of the fund. And the portfolio manager would rather if they 03:16:59.200 |
just all stayed in. And he would love it if the dollar weighted return and the time weighted 03:17:03.280 |
return completely matched. But even still, that doesn't do you any good. Because just the dollar 03:17:09.920 |
weighted return of the fund doesn't tell you what your actual rate of return is. So this is your 03:17:14.880 |
advisor's job to calculate for you. I used to run this for all of my clients. Here's what your 03:17:19.760 |
actual investment performance has been net of fees, the actual money that's actually growing. 03:17:25.600 |
This is what your actual performance is. So it's a big deal. I don't get why he even included this 03:17:34.160 |
whole section because it's not a... I mean, unless I'm ignorant on something, and if I am, 03:17:39.760 |
you let me know. But I went back and in preparing for the show, I went and read Bogle's stuff on it. 03:17:44.880 |
I read his speeches on it. I'm like, this doesn't make any sense of what he's saying. And it just 03:17:50.800 |
seems like Vanguard has more persistency with their investors than many other fund companies. 03:18:00.000 |
I think it just would help Vanguard. And that's why he says it. But I don't think it's an accurate 03:18:05.600 |
argument. Anyway, let's wrap. Let's talk about active investing versus passive investing. 03:18:17.840 |
Throughout the book, this is a constant tension. And if you're trying to gain from this book, 03:18:25.280 |
what you should do with active versus passive, this is really, really tough to do. And 03:18:31.200 |
I don't know how you could. And it's kind of troubling because I think it's going to leave 03:18:39.040 |
people kind of saying, "Huh, what do I do?" In the beginning, he talks about no one can beat 03:18:43.520 |
the market. But then he gives countless examples of people that do beat the market. He talks about 03:18:52.480 |
in the beginning, a broad base of research discussing about mutual fund managers beating 03:19:02.560 |
their market index. But then he doesn't clarify that that's different than you in your situation 03:19:11.200 |
looking to beat your index. The index is utterly meaningless. That's useful as a point for 03:19:16.320 |
comparison. But he gives example after example from his own life of essentially beating the market. 03:19:22.240 |
On page 178, he talks about buying a market-linked CD where he was earning 20 times the rate of a 03:19:30.240 |
traditional CD with the same FDIC protection, where his advisor had found him some nice 03:19:37.840 |
market-linked CDs. On page 283, he talks about the fact that what you're looking for is an 03:19:46.720 |
asymmetric risk and reward, which is what all great investors seek. It's elusive, but it's 03:19:59.920 |
out there. And it's just one more way that you can speed up your approach to realizing 03:20:03.680 |
your dreams. And he talks on page 313, he gives an example from, again, his own life, 03:20:13.440 |
where he's individually underwriting a real estate investment opportunity. "My advisor and I found 03:20:22.800 |
out that the real estate investment company was offering the first deed of trust on that house 03:20:26.800 |
in Indian Wells as collateral on a $1 million loan, which would pay 10% interest for one year. 03:20:33.040 |
It was willing to have one investor take this on, or as many as 25, each contributing $40,000. 03:20:37.520 |
In the end, I had decided to invest in the full $1 million myself. You might say, 'Wow, that's a 03:20:43.280 |
great deal. You got a $100,000 profit to tie up your money for just one year. But Tony, what's 03:20:48.160 |
your risk?' That's exactly why we did a lot of research. The home, we learned, after two qualified 03:20:53.520 |
appraisals, was worth $2 million in its current state." So he goes on and he talks about the deal. 03:20:59.120 |
And basically what he did was value investing, saying there's a floor underneath it, it's a 03:21:03.840 |
specific value, and here's why I chose this amount and chose this idea. So this is one of the 03:21:11.760 |
toughest questions to talk through in a financial book, because the discussion is nuanced, as with 03:21:20.720 |
everything. And I feel like I'm not communicating it very well here. It's late at night and I'm 03:21:26.560 |
tired and I probably should have done this. Anyway, I couldn't go another day without getting this 03:21:30.080 |
done. But there are a number of other examples. In the book, the only actual passive investor is 03:21:37.040 |
Bogle. He's the only one of the people that he talks about that's a passive investor and indexer. 03:21:42.320 |
Swenson isn't actually an indexer. Swenson is running a portfolio and he's got 1,500 guys 03:21:50.080 |
working for him or something like that. But he recommends indexing, which I recommend too. And 03:21:54.400 |
this is the problem, is that usually, if you're involved in the financial business, you basically 03:21:59.760 |
just throw up your hands and say, "You should probably just index, because that's probably 03:22:03.920 |
going to be your best scenario." And that saves some people from paying higher fees than necessary. 03:22:10.000 |
And the ones who ignore the advice to index are probably the ones who should be the ones who are 03:22:15.600 |
ignoring the advice to index. I thought that Mark Faber on page 525 made the best point about active 03:22:25.840 |
versus passive. And he talked about the idea that somebody can be a great stock picker, but that 03:22:31.200 |
doesn't necessarily make them a great mutual fund portfolio manager. And that's the issue. Just 03:22:35.840 |
because a mutual fund manager can't "beat the market" doesn't mean that you can't beat the 03:22:40.880 |
market. It's a big difference there. I've got a lot of reservations. I'm going to wrap this up 03:22:45.440 |
a little quicker than I had planned. I hope this has been good. Again, this is why I don't do book 03:22:50.880 |
reviews, especially on 600-page books. It's a good book. But I have serious reservations about 03:22:56.400 |
his fixed index annuity strategies. I'm not going to go into the details right now. This is on my 03:23:01.120 |
research list. I've generally been in disfavor of fixed index annuities, although I could see a few 03:23:06.320 |
areas they worked in. But I've realized that there must be something I don't know. I've had some 03:23:12.160 |
advisors that I respected talk about it. There might be something I don't know. So I need to 03:23:17.520 |
go and research this again. I like annuities. I think annuities are very useful. I just don't 03:23:24.960 |
like the fees on fixed index annuities. But maybe I could see a place for them in a safer dollars 03:23:29.600 |
bucket. The life insurance section isn't precise or very accurate as far as the details. It is nice 03:23:36.560 |
to hear about somebody writing about life insurance and writing about it. For example, he talks about 03:23:41.200 |
the fact that life insurance cash values are predominantly held by large banks as part of 03:23:46.480 |
their tier one capital reserves. It's nice to see that written by somebody who's not a life insurance 03:23:51.440 |
salesman. I used to talk with that about my clients. But it's always a little bit suspect 03:23:56.560 |
when it's coming from a life insurance salesperson. It kind of bugs me that he ignores some of the 03:24:02.480 |
basic planning ideas, some of the basic defensive planning ideas. Again, you can't put everything 03:24:08.480 |
into one book, but essentially, he talks about living trusts and kind of exotic financial 03:24:15.680 |
instruments. But there's no mention of disability income insurance. There's no mention of health 03:24:19.600 |
insurance. There's no mention of property and casualty insurance. No, you can't cover it all 03:24:23.360 |
in one book. But in my mind, that's a big deal. So I finish up the show here. I'm just going to 03:24:32.560 |
emphasize that one of the great values of books like this is you've got to read through the lines. 03:24:37.760 |
I'm following the Tony Robbins—I'm trying to follow the Tony Robbins strategy. Page 187, 03:24:43.520 |
Tony writes this, "I've always believed the best way to get a result, the fastest way, 03:24:48.640 |
is to find someone who has already accomplished what you're after and model his or her behavior. 03:24:53.840 |
If you know someone who used to be overweight but has kept himself fit and healthy for a decade, 03:24:58.560 |
model that person. You have a friend who used to be miserable in her relationship and now is 03:25:03.440 |
passionate and in love for 10 years going, model her. You meet someone who started with nothing 03:25:08.640 |
and has developed wealth and sustained it through time. Learn from those strategies. 03:25:12.960 |
These people aren't lucky. They're simply doing something different than you are in this area of 03:25:17.440 |
life." When I looked at my notes here on the side, I wrote down, "Copy Tony Robbins' plan. 03:25:24.080 |
Become a world-class expert. Become great at marketing and be well-marketed. Create a large 03:25:30.720 |
company based upon your core skill. Cash out with an IPO and then work to reduce your risk. And then 03:25:38.400 |
continue to provide an ongoing service and build your brand and partner in entrepreneurial activities 03:25:42.960 |
as joint venture activities." That's what I wrote down next to it. That's the plan that Tony Robbins 03:25:49.200 |
does. The financial stuff that he talks about in here is really important and it has its place. 03:25:54.560 |
But keep it in context. Tony Robbins is not rich because he saved 15% of his income in a low-cost 03:26:01.280 |
index fund. He's rich because he built a massive company and he sold it, cashed out through an IPO. 03:26:08.240 |
He says in the book, "At one point in time, when the market was high, before it crashed, 03:26:12.080 |
he was worth $400 million." I don't know if he's worth more or less than that. Now, 03:26:15.520 |
it's none of my business. It doesn't even matter. But the point is that you don't get the $400 03:26:19.440 |
million net worth by saving 15% of your $200,000 salary in an index fund. But you don't need to, 03:26:24.640 |
which his point is valid. Other point, Tony was earning $10,000 a month at the age of 18. 03:26:31.280 |
Somewhere in the book, he says he made a million bucks a year soon after that, but it's not clear 03:26:35.840 |
to me soon after. And it seems like that point in his life was pretty unstable. I'd planned to go 03:26:40.480 |
through each of the examples of the billionaires that he profiles. And it's really fascinating, 03:26:45.600 |
the people that he profiles and their stories and the themes they could pick up. 03:26:49.760 |
But one of the themes that you see is that every one of them applied asymmetric risk and reward 03:26:54.800 |
into business. That's the horrible, tricky, cruel detail. An investment advisor makes money off of 03:27:05.360 |
other people's money. So on page 107 of the book, Robin says, and when he's talking about the risk 03:27:16.400 |
of investing, like, "How could you be a sucker and take this bet? You put up the capital, you took 03:27:22.400 |
all the risk, and they made money no matter what happened." That's what every single one of the 03:27:26.800 |
billionaires profiled in the book did. All of them. You put up the money, you put up the risk, 03:27:32.640 |
and they made money no matter what happened. Now, they made a lot more money because they did well, 03:27:37.360 |
and they were featured in the book because they did well. But that's what this constant 03:27:41.280 |
tension is in the financial business. They got asymmetric risk based upon 03:27:47.200 |
running their investment fund scenario. That's what I'm trying to do with the show, 03:27:52.160 |
exercise asymmetric risk. There's a small risk of failure to me if this fails, and there's a big 03:27:57.680 |
risk of potential upside. So consider in your life where you can find asymmetric risk. 03:28:02.800 |
Tony closes the book with two valuable sections. He talks a big section about the future is brighter 03:28:06.880 |
than you think. I had already written the script for the show I planned to release on the day 03:28:10.240 |
before Thanksgiving, which was going to be basically why the future is really bright, 03:28:15.840 |
why we have reasons for gratitude and optimism. And then he wrote this amazing section on some 03:28:24.240 |
advancements in technology that I was kind of aware of, but he gave some specific examples which 03:28:28.880 |
were really, really cool. And then he ends with a focus on philanthropy. And as I close, 03:28:37.280 |
it's a great book. Buy the book, read it. And I wanted to go through some of those examples of 03:28:44.560 |
issues I have with it to show how you do need to read stuff and you need to listen to stuff. 03:28:49.200 |
Listen to what I say with your guard up, because when you're talking about money, 03:28:52.640 |
there's a lot of bad information. And listen with your filtering mechanism on. Look for the 03:28:57.840 |
logical fallacies, look for the issues, look for the contradictions. And you'll find a lot of them 03:29:03.040 |
in this book, but it's still a really great book. I know a few better that are as comprehensive in 03:29:08.720 |
scope. Frankly, in the same way that I should probably cut shows like this up into dozens of 03:29:15.840 |
smaller shows, Tony should probably have cut his book up into individual books, but he can't do 03:29:22.880 |
that. That's why he has 50-hour seminars. And I don't see any way that I could do and be happy 03:29:28.080 |
with myself, cut this kind of stuff out and cut it into little sections. But the key is to take it 03:29:37.200 |
all in and look for the connections, look for what you can learn. The lens that I found that so far 03:29:44.160 |
has held up to everything is the lens in the context of individual personal financial planning. 03:29:48.800 |
I can't solve all of these big picture macroeconomic issues, but I can solve in an 03:29:55.680 |
individual's life the issues that that individual is concerned about. Personal financial planning 03:30:00.560 |
is what gives you safety, margin, stability in your life so that you can weather through the 03:30:05.840 |
time so you don't have to become a statistic of dollar-weighted returns versus time-weighted 03:30:11.040 |
returns. The key is always an individual application. And as humans, we tend to look 03:30:18.640 |
for black and white, right or wrong. And what we actually have to do is look at different sides of 03:30:23.200 |
different discussions and then apply it in an individual situation. Another takeaway from the 03:30:28.880 |
book, people are always attracted to the idea of a secret investment. Secret investment doesn't 03:30:33.840 |
matter. Investing is a business and a service, and you can hire it done, you can do it yourself, 03:30:38.960 |
and either is fine. The personal financial plan is what matters. One of the weaknesses of the book 03:30:45.200 |
is that it only focuses on financial assets, and I remain convinced that one of the best ways to 03:30:49.520 |
prepare for fluctuations in financial assets is to get out of financial assets with different ways. 03:30:56.880 |
So if you're looking for a book to tell you the truth, I think you'll be disappointed. 03:31:01.760 |
If you're looking for a really great survey of thoughts and ideas to kind of 03:31:07.840 |
balance with and try to engage with, this is a great book. Look at your situation through 03:31:13.680 |
a financial planning lens. And from an investment perspective, I read you with one quote from the 03:31:20.480 |
section with John Templeton. This quote comes from page 543. And John Templeton said, 03:31:28.000 |
Tony Robbins asks, "What do you think is the single biggest mistake investors make? 03:31:33.120 |
The great majority of people do not build up any wealth because they do not practice the 03:31:37.680 |
self-discipline of saving some of their income every month. But beyond that, once you've saved 03:31:43.120 |
that money, then you have to invest it wisely in good bargains, and it's not easy. It's very rare 03:31:48.880 |
for any one person, particularly any one person working in just their spare time, to select the 03:31:54.240 |
right investments, any more than you would want to be your own medical doctor or your own lawyer. 03:31:59.280 |
It's not wise to try to be your own investment manager. It's better to find the best 03:32:03.120 |
professionals, the wisest security analysts to help you." Tony Robbins, "When I was talking to 03:32:09.520 |
some of your associates down in the Bahamas, I was asking them, 'What does he invest in?' 03:32:13.760 |
And they said, 'Anything. He'll buy a tree if he thinks he can get a good deal on it.' 03:32:17.360 |
Then I said, 'How long will he hang on to it?' And they said, 'Forever, basically until it's 03:32:22.800 |
worth more.' So John, how long do you hang on to an investment before you know to let it go? 03:32:28.160 |
How do you know if you've made a mistake? How do you know when it's time to actually liquidate?" 03:32:32.880 |
John Templeton, "That is one of the most important questions. Many people will say, 03:32:38.240 |
'I know when to buy, but I don't know when to sell.' But over these 54 years that I've been 03:32:42.640 |
helping investors, I think I've found the answer, and that is, you sell an asset only when you think 03:32:47.760 |
you have found a different asset that's a 50% better bargain. You search all the time for a 03:32:53.680 |
bargain, and then you look at what you now own. If there's something in your present list that is a 03:32:59.120 |
50% less good bargain than the one you found, you sell the old one and you buy the new one. 03:33:04.160 |
But even then, you're not right all the time." That's the lesson that can be applied from this 03:33:09.920 |
book. At least one of many lessons that can be applied to this book. I don't have any interest 03:33:15.120 |
in being a billionaire hedge fund manager, and if you do, go for it. We need some good ones. 03:33:21.280 |
But I do think that that can be applied in all of our lives, and it can be applied on the scale of, 03:33:26.480 |
"How do you know when to sell your grandma's bell collection that she left you 03:33:30.720 |
as an investment?" or "How do you know when to sell the next billion dollar company?" 03:33:35.520 |
It's a great book. I hope you check it out. Tony, thank you for writing the book. If you 03:33:40.800 |
ever listen to this, I really enjoyed it. I hope you tighten it up in the next issue. 03:33:49.200 |
But man, I tell you, I don't have the heart to think that I could write it. If I wrote one of 03:33:53.040 |
these things, it would be 3,000 pages, and I could never finish it. I had to get this show done, 03:33:59.520 |
because I kept going deeper and deeper and deeper and deeper and thinking, "Well, I could research 03:34:04.320 |
this and research that," and I just had to sit down and get it done. So as a recorder, it's late 03:34:07.760 |
here, and I'm getting it out. I apologize to you guys for missing the shows. I didn't need to do 03:34:13.920 |
that. I have interviews I could have released, but I just... Anyway, it didn't mean to break the 03:34:18.240 |
trust. So check back tomorrow for another great show. I don't know what it'll be about. I hope 03:34:23.360 |
you guys enjoy this. Check out the book. It's really good. I love it when guys like Tony Robbins 03:34:29.280 |
take on projects like this, because they have a capacity that is phenomenal, that is so, 03:34:34.080 |
so valuable. So that's it for today. Enjoy the rest of your day. 03:35:51.200 |
Thank you for listening to today's show. This show is intended to provide entertainment, 03:35:56.800 |
education, and financial enlightenment. Your situation is unique, and I cannot deliver any 03:36:05.920 |
actionable advice without knowing anything about you. This show is not, and is not intended, 03:36:13.520 |
to be any form of financial advice. Please, develop a team of professional advisors who you find to be 03:36:23.680 |
caring, competent, and trustworthy, and consult them, because they are the ones who can understand 03:36:31.200 |
your specific needs, your specific goals, and provide specific answers to your questions. 03:36:37.920 |
Hold them accountable for your results. I've done my absolute best to be clear and accurate in 03:36:44.480 |
today's show, but I'm one person, and I make mistakes. If you spot a mistake in something 03:36:49.680 |
I've said, please come by the show page and comment, so we can all learn together. 03:36:58.320 |
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