back to indexRPF-0066-Does_Dave_Ramsey_Do_More_Harm_Than_Good
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Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance Podcast. 00:00:19.800 |
Today's show, a little bit different, just a quick intro here. 00:00:22.880 |
I am at FinCon 2014, actually podcasting or actually releasing this introduction right 00:00:32.160 |
And I've just recorded this show that you will hear in just a moment, which is an interview 00:00:38.160 |
And for a long time people have been asking me, I've made various comments about Dave 00:00:42.160 |
Ramsey and I'm a fan of his, but I'm also not. 00:00:46.200 |
And Steve and I decided to go ahead and sit down and do a show together. 00:01:03.080 |
I've been a little bit fearful to do this content just because I want to be very careful. 00:01:10.520 |
I'm a big Dave fan, but I also want to have some things I would like to see done differently, 00:01:14.880 |
which is why I'm doing my show in the first place. 00:01:16.560 |
So I told Steve, I said, "Thankfully, since you're a big fan, maybe you can help me keep 00:01:25.260 |
So you're about to hear a recorded conversation between Steve and myself. 00:01:28.720 |
I hope you enjoy it and I hope you find it thought provoking. 00:01:32.200 |
I am probably more than any other show I've released. 00:01:35.400 |
I'm nervous about releasing this one, but I feel like I've got to. 00:01:39.640 |
So I hope you enjoy it and I would love your feedback. 00:01:43.680 |
I'm sitting here with Joshua Sheets from Radical Personal Finance, one of my favorite new finance 00:01:50.320 |
Joshua Sheets, tell us a little bit about your podcast and what you're doing over there. 00:01:53.960 |
I am trying to provide an alternative for existing financial broadcast radio. 00:01:59.720 |
So when people are tired of the current options, then they have an option for maybe a slightly 00:02:07.400 |
That's basically my vision of what I'm looking to create. 00:02:10.460 |
My audience is traditionally people who are just trying to get out of debt and we don't 00:02:13.160 |
get too deep into the personal finance topics, but you have a history and you've got a whole 00:02:21.020 |
Not going into too much depth, but you've got a background. 00:02:24.760 |
All that stuff means is I'm good at taking tests. 00:02:27.800 |
But yes, I have been a professional financial advisor for the last six years. 00:02:33.760 |
I have a bunch of financial planning designations. 00:02:36.120 |
Probably the, I think I counted the other day, I think it was seven at this point. 00:02:39.640 |
But again, all it means is just I'm good at taking tests, but a CFP background. 00:02:42.720 |
And then I actually just finished a master's degree in financial planning. 00:02:45.380 |
So I do have some history in the technical side of financial planning, as well as a history 00:02:50.640 |
of actually working with clients, which probably is the biggest difference between me and many 00:02:57.000 |
And I've worked with over a thousand people face to face over the last six years. 00:03:00.640 |
That makes a big difference in your perspective. 00:03:03.080 |
You know, listening to your podcast, I can tell that you've got the knowledge behind 00:03:06.680 |
And the approach that I like, I like the approach that you have in your show because it does 00:03:11.180 |
You do give your opinion, but it is, it's not as if this is the way it works. 00:03:15.560 |
It is as if another option that will work for specific people. 00:03:23.840 |
I am a recovering dogmatic, which is actually kind of the primary thing I know what we were 00:03:32.560 |
But I spent years as a personal finance junkie, and I always loved finance. 00:03:44.080 |
But what you pick up, whether it's you listen to whether it's, you know, AM political talk 00:03:48.480 |
or whether it's you watch kind of the way media works, you pick up this mode of thinking 00:03:53.080 |
of right and wrong, this idea that there is right and then there is wrong. 00:03:57.680 |
And I'm not talking about morality at this moment. 00:04:00.440 |
That's a whole separate philosophical discussion. 00:04:02.320 |
But especially with regard to money, we get these certain ideas that this is right and 00:04:08.360 |
And I know that for me, that was a big thing because I fully adopted that approach and 00:04:15.080 |
that idea that there are certain right ways to handle money or certain right financial 00:04:21.880 |
And then there are certain wrong ways to handle money and certain wrong financial decisions 00:04:26.640 |
And what I learned with actually practice, practice in the professional sense, meaning 00:04:31.800 |
actually working with clients, is that it's simply not true. 00:04:35.920 |
There are things that are technically correct, but many times a lot of it isn't subject to 00:04:43.900 |
And that's the key point that is missing in financial talk radio. 00:04:48.240 |
That's the key point that's missing in most personal finance books. 00:04:51.840 |
And so that's what I determined to do is not to tell somebody what to think or what to 00:04:56.600 |
do, but rather teach them everything I know and allow them to be adults. 00:05:00.780 |
What happens is we pick this up somehow, this idea that we have to tell each other how to 00:05:07.440 |
And it's this very juvenile thing, I think, it's probably schooled into us where we're 00:05:11.120 |
taught that there is right and there is wrong and there is a master at the front of the 00:05:14.000 |
class and we're the slaves who have to regurgitate to the master the right answer to get the 00:05:18.000 |
appropriate reward and avoid the punishment and avoid the penalty. 00:05:21.360 |
So our society, speaking of the US American society, gets more and more in this direction 00:05:25.940 |
where we get into the idea of this is right and wrong in areas where there's just simply 00:05:32.700 |
And so it took years, literally I would say about three years of actually working as a 00:05:37.560 |
financial advisor to where I finally discovered that I was an idiot and I'm taking this approach 00:05:43.200 |
of telling clients this is what's right and finally I just learned to shut up and start 00:05:48.260 |
And once I learned to shut up and start listening to people and then just simply started being 00:05:53.360 |
more of a coach and teaching them the things that are technically accurate, it made a major 00:05:59.660 |
difference in the results the clients achieved. 00:06:04.560 |
And there's more to it but that's why in my show I refuse to say this is what you should 00:06:12.760 |
Figure out what you want to do with your life. 00:06:14.760 |
And I can destroy most of the things that people take for granted. 00:06:21.200 |
Maybe that's not the right word but there are certain things that people hold as the 00:06:27.920 |
And I can destroy most of those and I've learned to do that over time. 00:06:31.440 |
And so now because all the things that I used to think were right to do or not right to 00:06:37.400 |
do, again I've learned that everything is not black and white. 00:06:44.680 |
>> See I think for my show I do a lot of this is the way it works stuff but hopefully I 00:06:51.920 |
Do you think that we as a culture think that maybe the answers are in a book and it really 00:06:59.960 |
There's really no way to learn everything in one book. 00:07:04.600 |
All you get when you're reading a book is you're getting an author's perspective and 00:07:09.600 |
And so I don't mind, for example, I don't mind having a book where someone is presenting 00:07:14.320 |
But what happens is that there's almost many, especially in the financial world, there are 00:07:18.240 |
certain things that go to another level and then we adapt this idea of this is right and 00:07:27.160 |
Would you generally counsel people that it's a good idea to save money? 00:07:34.920 |
But can you also then concurrent with that thought hold on your other thought and design 00:07:39.520 |
ideas and situations in which saving money is not a good thing? 00:07:45.080 |
And here let me flesh this out so you understand. 00:07:47.280 |
So there is only one reason in the world to save money because you value what that future 00:07:53.820 |
savings means to you for your goals more than you value the consumption that you can have 00:07:59.400 |
So if I have $100 and I have a choice between spending the $100 and consuming it today versus 00:08:05.080 |
saving the $100, the only rational reason for me to save the money is because I value 00:08:11.320 |
what the future higher dollars would mean to me more than I value the consumption for 00:08:17.180 |
So what happens in personal finance is that it's easy for us who are involved and really 00:08:21.520 |
engaged in this to look down on people who are spending all their money. 00:08:28.360 |
I just simply view it as they're being rational. 00:08:30.760 |
They're expending their money and enjoying the consumption that they can get with this. 00:08:34.800 |
So we develop this culture of being critical of people who buy new cars or people who spend 00:08:39.920 |
money on things that we perceive to be frivolous. 00:08:43.220 |
And we look down on them because, well, that's not us. 00:08:45.560 |
But we don't recognize that that's just simply not us. 00:08:56.120 |
At this point in my life, I am very much saving money. 00:08:59.640 |
But beyond the amount of money that I, as my wealth and my financial base grows over 00:09:07.720 |
time, as I accumulate capital, I'll have a decision. 00:09:11.280 |
Do I want to allocate that capital at my death to my kids or to a charity or something like 00:09:18.480 |
And I don't know what those decisions will be today. 00:09:20.240 |
But let's assume that I allocate a certain amount of money towards those things. 00:09:23.480 |
Then at that point in time, the rational thing for me to do is to spend the rest of my money 00:09:27.000 |
on the things that are important to me throughout my lifetime. 00:09:29.840 |
So that's a little bit more nuanced view of the saving versus spending. 00:09:34.260 |
And so what happens is I think a better way to approach it, instead of looking down on 00:09:37.280 |
people because they're not saving money and somehow viewing it as a moral shortcoming, 00:09:41.040 |
why don't we show people what they can achieve if they save money? 00:09:46.260 |
Look at the traction that occurs right now with the early retirement financial independence 00:09:51.800 |
There is a major, major push from many people pushing towards this idea of early retirement. 00:09:56.520 |
And you say, "We've got this retirement crisis in the country. 00:09:58.960 |
There's a retirement crisis in the country, but no one has any money saved for retirement." 00:10:02.800 |
But the reason is, have you ever thought of the fact that most people just simply don't 00:10:08.400 |
Now, I certainly don't think that everybody holds that opinion. 00:10:14.380 |
But look at the motivation that somebody can achieve when they're focusing on early retirement. 00:10:18.520 |
Because now they can see and they can connect this idea that, "I would like to be financially 00:10:25.620 |
And there's this idea of freedom, and that's very motivating. 00:10:28.460 |
So now, instead of having to fight this stupid, "Oh, I have to budget $100 in this category 00:10:34.120 |
and I have to feel deprived because I'd like to spend $150." 00:10:39.040 |
It's about seeing the vision of what I want and then following it. 00:10:42.720 |
So that would be just an example of one of those things that would be the fundamental 00:10:48.100 |
Saving money is not always the rational thing to do. 00:10:50.120 |
If I had a million dollars and I were diagnosed with terminal cancer, if I, assuming I had 00:10:53.920 |
taken care of my medical costs, assuming I had taken care of my family that was depending 00:10:57.440 |
on me, I would work as hard as I could to spend the million dollars before I died. 00:11:04.200 |
Now that's very different than at this stage of my life, where I'm very focused on saving 00:11:08.000 |
money because I value the future higher dollars and the freedom that money buys me for the 00:11:15.200 |
Does that help to understand what I say as far as dogma versus going a little deeper 00:11:22.640 |
And I hope my listeners don't think that I'm looking down on them if they're not saving 00:11:24.560 |
money, but I do preach that they should save money because ... And maybe on my show I don't 00:11:29.200 |
explain this enough, but if we don't save any money, then we are trading in those future 00:11:34.520 |
dollars for stress when we don't have the money for a broken engine in the car or whatever 00:11:41.560 |
The real reason why we're getting on this topic today is because ... And I remember 00:11:45.440 |
it was way back in episode 25 or something of yours that you had mentioned that you wanted 00:11:48.800 |
to get into the discussion about Dave Ramsey's investing advice. 00:11:52.800 |
And now we need to lay the foundation here that Joshua Sheets is not a Dave Ramsey hater. 00:11:57.320 |
He actually went through the process of getting out of debt following Dave's principles. 00:12:03.040 |
You want to tell a little bit about that story? 00:12:05.040 |
I know that I've been looking forward to this conversation, but I've also been very fearful 00:12:10.080 |
of the conversation because it's easy to pick on those who are successful. 00:12:18.240 |
And it's very challenging to negotiate because I do not want to be negative towards any one 00:12:31.360 |
But let me tell ... I may have called in on this Friday show. 00:12:33.440 |
But I think it's important because I hear this consistently throughout even this conference 00:12:40.480 |
Everyone is talking about this type of thing. 00:12:42.000 |
And I think we've got to get the conversation out there because then we can grow together. 00:12:45.800 |
So I'm depending on you to help me not be a hater because I'm not a hater. 00:12:52.120 |
I don't see realistically, I don't think we'd ever be best buddies. 00:12:56.200 |
We don't really have a lot in common other than finance. 00:13:01.000 |
I first was exposed to Dave Ramsey when I was in college. 00:13:05.120 |
And my brother listened to his show and my brother gave me a copy of Total Money Makeover. 00:13:10.200 |
And at that point in time, I was a fairly arrogant, know-it-all business person. 00:13:15.240 |
I'm sure it's very surprising because I was a young male in college and we think we know 00:13:20.800 |
And I was very much focused on real estate investment at that time as my path to wealth 00:13:24.680 |
and other people's money and no money down and this was in the real estate heyday. 00:13:34.280 |
He gave a copy to me and said, "Here, read this book. 00:13:37.840 |
Not any kind of manipulative, "You've got to do this. 00:13:41.680 |
So I read the book once and I thought, "This guy's dumb. 00:13:45.680 |
But there was something that kind of tickled me a little bit. 00:13:50.080 |
And then the third time through, just the statement that stood out to me is he made 00:13:55.520 |
He said, "If you had no payments, how much money would you have in your life?" 00:14:02.080 |
And at that point in time, I was paying my way through school and what I would wind up 00:14:06.880 |
doing is I was always just a little bit short and I worked my way through my freshman year, 00:14:13.120 |
Then in my sophomore year, I decided I was working too hard, which was nonsense. 00:14:15.840 |
I was working, but I wasn't working too hard. 00:14:18.080 |
I actually had three jobs my first freshman year, but I still had plenty of time. 00:14:22.400 |
And then my sophomore year, so I started borrowing money on student loans. 00:14:24.640 |
I borrowed a bunch of money my sophomore year, played and didn't really do any work. 00:14:28.600 |
My junior year of college, I came back and I got all mixed up on why was I in school 00:14:36.440 |
And so I had more loans and I had credit cards. 00:14:38.760 |
And what would happen is I would put my books and my gas on the credit card through the 00:14:42.020 |
academic year and then during the summer, I'd be able to study and I would get it back 00:14:45.640 |
So, I just said, "Wow, how much money would I have if I had no payments?" 00:14:49.800 |
So I got motivated and I set myself a goal of getting out of debt. 00:14:54.440 |
And I set myself a goal of getting out of debt, if possible, I wanted to get out of 00:15:00.160 |
So all during my senior year of college, I worked a full-time job. 00:15:06.080 |
I took 19 hours of class of all my senior capstone courses. 00:15:13.400 |
I paid cash for some travel that I did as associated with the senior year. 00:15:17.680 |
I paid off my credit cards and two weeks before I graduated, I wrote a check to Sally Mae 00:15:21.880 |
and graduated from school completely debt-free. 00:15:29.480 |
I was so proud of myself because I learned it was a stretching time for me to learn how 00:15:32.920 |
to budget my time in such a way that I could be effective. 00:15:39.120 |
Graduated from school, took the opportunity, went on a road trip. 00:15:41.360 |
Fast forward, cutting the story short, I continued to follow Dave's baby steps, excuse me, all 00:15:46.360 |
during the time while I was doing that, working like a maniac, working 40 hours a week. 00:15:50.360 |
Dave Ramsey's show was my constant companion, my encouragement. 00:15:55.280 |
I had the three hours a day of the podcast with no commercials, and I listened every 00:16:02.740 |
And it was a major encouragement for me all during that time. 00:16:07.000 |
I had always been a finance junkie before, but I learned a lot just hearing how he answered 00:16:11.160 |
Well, what happened is I went on and I wound up getting laid off from a job. 00:16:16.400 |
I had finished, what was it, baby step three, emergency fund. 00:16:22.320 |
That's what allowed me to launch a financial planning practice. 00:16:24.600 |
Well, when I started working as a financial planner, I started, I tried to apply the same 00:16:30.040 |
Dave Ramsey principles that had worked for me. 00:16:32.200 |
I literally carried, I would order his book, Total Money Maker, because it'd make such 00:16:37.360 |
I ordered his book by the case, and I would carry a case of those books around, 10 in 00:16:43.080 |
I would get the deal where they were 10 bucks a book, 100 bucks for 10 of them, and I would 00:16:48.120 |
And if I had a client or somebody who was struggling with debt, I couldn't really, in 00:16:51.400 |
my practice, I couldn't really help them very much. 00:16:53.720 |
I didn't have the time to really work with them. 00:16:56.200 |
There was no compensation method where I could do it. 00:16:59.000 |
So I would give them a book and I'd say, "Look, this is my book." 00:17:04.320 |
I would give it away as a wedding present, tuck $100 bills in the back of it. 00:17:09.520 |
If you ask anyone that knows me, I was a raving fan. 00:17:12.880 |
The problem was when I started working as an advisor, I tried to apply the same approach 00:17:18.120 |
that he used with real people, and I started to learn that it didn't work. 00:17:24.920 |
Maybe it didn't work because of my personality. 00:17:31.720 |
But then what happened is I found out that nobody really follows the Dave Ramsey plan 00:17:38.280 |
Now, there's nothing in the Dave Ramsey plan, quote-unquote, and by that I am encompassing 00:17:41.920 |
not just his book, but everything that I've ever heard for years while listening to him 00:17:48.160 |
It's just simply that it doesn't work because people don't do it. 00:17:51.820 |
And so I had all these experiences where people come and say, "I'm a Dave Ramsey fan. 00:18:02.160 |
What happened is I learned that, "Wait a second. 00:18:03.840 |
You're not actually following the Dave Ramsey plan." 00:18:06.200 |
So I learned because they had certain opinions about financial products, which is what I 00:18:16.440 |
And so they had certain opinions about financial products because they were fun to follow the 00:18:23.220 |
So I learned to say, "See, I actually followed the Dave Ramsey plan. 00:18:26.960 |
I had applied for a credit card on my 18th birthday. 00:18:28.760 |
I learned my lesson, closed all my credit cards after they were paid off. 00:18:34.960 |
And then I started learning that nobody was actually following it. 00:18:38.240 |
Then I started recognizing the Dave Ramsey plan is not what Dave Ramsey does. 00:18:43.640 |
So this is the problem with personal finance, is that what made Dave Ramsey rich is not 00:18:50.880 |
What made Dave Ramsey rich was building a massive business, going deeply—well, first 00:18:54.840 |
of all, going deeply into debt, being an idiot with his financing, screwing up royally, declaring 00:18:59.640 |
bankruptcy to clear all of the debt, and then going on, pursuing a high-paying career—I'm 00:19:04.560 |
sure he was a very effective real estate salesperson—pursuing a high-income career, building a business 00:19:08.880 |
on the side, and the business on the side has ballooned to be huge. 00:19:14.320 |
His books teach, "Save and invest 15% for retirement," not build a massive business. 00:19:23.880 |
But the problem is, the whole personal finance industry, we sell something that we don't 00:19:29.160 |
And so we sell this idea that, well, if we just get out of debt, and we just don't do 00:19:33.200 |
And what I found is that nobody actually—like, I would ask people, I was like, "Do you have 00:19:43.920 |
And the most disheartening one for me was—so here's how much I love that. 00:19:49.600 |
I bought for some of my friends, after I started reading his books and listening to his show, 00:19:53.160 |
I bought Financial Peace University, and I organized a class for my friends going through 00:19:57.120 |
the video class, because I wanted to help my friends. 00:20:00.000 |
And what I learned is—so I went through Financial Peace University. 00:20:08.600 |
And unofficially, I bought the courses and played the DVDs for my friends. 00:20:14.040 |
But even like the high school curriculum, I watched a friend of mine who went through 00:20:16.640 |
the high school curriculum, came home from school, and was so excited, yelling at his 00:20:22.120 |
And I've heard, "Dave says blah blah blah blah blah," again and again. 00:20:32.240 |
Goes out, leases a brand new BMW, destroying his financial life, because he feels good 00:20:39.680 |
And so I started instituting this as my litmus test. 00:20:43.480 |
My first question would be, "How many credit cards do you have?" 00:20:48.240 |
Like, I was the only one who followed the Dave Ramsey plan, and the Dave Ramsey plan 00:20:51.440 |
wasn't working in the sense that it wasn't actually being effective. 00:20:57.800 |
It's just that it doesn't work, because people don't do it. 00:21:02.080 |
But then I got into deeper level of financial planning, and I started to gain some actual 00:21:08.080 |
Then I started looking at his recommendations. 00:21:10.880 |
And the problem is, he goes where he shouldn't go. 00:21:15.720 |
And by the way, cut me off and rebut at any point, because I don't want to be too harsh, 00:21:24.160 |
but I think we've got to recognize this, that he goes where he shouldn't go. 00:21:27.880 |
He's not a financial advisor, and yet he gives financial advice. 00:21:31.240 |
And if I gave some of the advice that he gives every day on the radio as a financial advisor, 00:21:37.120 |
if I gave that advice, I would be completely disbarred. 00:21:42.040 |
I would have lawsuits on my hands, because the advice is flat out dangerous in some ways. 00:21:49.320 |
Because what I hear Dave Ramsey speaking is in general terms. 00:21:53.640 |
Now there are some exclusions to what he advises on what to invest in. 00:21:58.440 |
And of course, he teaches against the dangers of certain investments, like viaticals and 00:22:05.920 |
So you just used the word, the advice that he's giving on investing. 00:22:09.500 |
It's investing that we're talking about specifically, not to get out of debt plan, right? 00:22:13.800 |
And so that's where, and this is where if you talk to almost any financial advisor, 00:22:17.360 |
or anybody who's interested, basically what I hear when I have these conversations, because 00:22:21.600 |
you can't really, it's very dangerous to pick on Dave, because you get immediately qualified 00:22:30.440 |
And what happens is because if I had listened to me when I was caught in the cult of personality 00:22:36.760 |
that is the Dave Ramsey show years ago, when I was listening for hours a day, consider 00:22:41.280 |
that, he's someone who for three hours a day sewed into my life. 00:22:45.140 |
And I was, I mean, look how deeply my obsession went. 00:22:49.400 |
I mean, and how much I did, I would invite friends to his conference. 00:22:53.560 |
One time I had a friend that I invited to his conference in Tampa. 00:22:57.920 |
And what happens is that I became attached to the person. 00:23:01.320 |
And once you're attached to any person, then you face a situation where you start to become 00:23:07.560 |
blind to the facts of what they're saying, and you start to have allegiance to a person. 00:23:14.400 |
So that's where, what's dangerous is I wouldn't have listened to what I'm saying right now, 00:23:18.280 |
because I would have said, no, Dave Ramsey's right. 00:23:19.960 |
But once I got a little bit disattached, and I kind of was able to pull back a little bit, 00:23:23.880 |
and I started looking at the recommendations, I'm going to set even investing aside, because 00:23:28.680 |
there's nothing in what he says that is necessarily wrong. 00:23:32.440 |
Can you buy mutual funds that are growth, aggressive growth, growth in income and international, 00:23:38.000 |
split your assets 25% between them, and choose mutual funds that have at least a five to 00:23:42.200 |
10 year track record with a good mutual fund company? 00:23:47.680 |
I think it's as good as many other approaches. 00:23:50.640 |
So from that perspective, I don't, a lot of financial advice would be really upset with 00:23:58.420 |
What I have a problem though with is teaching people to expect a 12% rate of return. 00:24:06.360 |
The one thing you can do that will get the SEC on your back is if you falsely promise 00:24:19.480 |
When I have a client come into my office, so we all, if you're interested at all in 00:24:22.720 |
personal finance, you will often hear something like, you'll hear of the 4% rule. 00:24:29.980 |
It's based upon what's called the Trinity study, which was a study that three professors 00:24:33.740 |
at Trinity College put together, which they basically went back and modeled and they said, 00:24:37.820 |
what would be a distribution rate of a portfolio that is sustainable over time? 00:24:43.180 |
So this is as good as that now, that is flawed. 00:24:46.460 |
And without going into the details, that there are tons of problems in that, that lots of 00:24:53.240 |
So a financial advisor who is careful would probably very rarely go higher than a 4% distribution 00:25:02.360 |
And even that, I would be uncomfortable with that if the only asset were mutual funds and 00:25:08.120 |
Because there are flaws in that, especially in today's investing environment. 00:25:11.560 |
But that's a financial advisor who would usually not go over 4%. 00:25:14.640 |
Well what happened is I had someone say, well I read Dave Ramsey's book, Total Money Makeover, 00:25:18.540 |
and what Dave Ramsey says is you can average 12% on your mutual funds. 00:25:22.240 |
And you can average 12% on your mutual funds and you account for, you lose 4% to inflation. 00:25:26.700 |
So therefore you can pull 8% off of your portfolio every year. 00:25:32.480 |
Because when most advisors will say 4%, and he's saying you can expect 12 minus 4% of 00:25:38.220 |
inflation and take 8, that's flat out dangerous. 00:25:41.420 |
And so you have, and there are far smarter financial advisors than me that write these 00:25:45.420 |
things very carefully, very carefully, very scientifically. 00:25:48.700 |
What happens is you can't get past the cult of personality. 00:25:51.900 |
And so the people who are very engaged in his community, they're engaged around a person, 00:26:02.700 |
And so whether it's something like life insurance. 00:26:05.680 |
So life insurance, everyone wants to get into the life insurance conversation. 00:26:08.820 |
Most of the time they want to talk about the type of life insurance. 00:26:16.080 |
Because what you actually find when you actually do life insurance planning is that asking 00:26:20.020 |
if you should buy term life insurance or whether you should buy whole life insurance and comparing 00:26:28.580 |
It's like asking, I mean the example that I give, it's like asking should I rent a car, 00:26:36.220 |
So an example, and I'll give you this example because I just found this to make it be the 00:26:41.220 |
To me when I was trying to research and trying to think my way through it, if you come to 00:26:44.460 |
FinCon and you're going to be here for a week and you need a car to drive because you're 00:26:48.820 |
going to travel around Louisiana, does it make sense for you to rent a car, lease a 00:26:54.500 |
Now if you're going to move to Louisiana for a year and you're just doing some business 00:26:57.460 |
project, you need a car to drive while you're here, and you need a nice car while you're 00:27:00.980 |
going to be traveling around with clients, does it make sense to rent a car, lease a 00:27:05.940 |
Most Dave Ramsey fans would say never lease a car because that's a waste of money. 00:27:10.380 |
You could negotiate a one-year lease or something like that. 00:27:12.700 |
You're traveling in, you're renting an apartment, you're doing some temporary point. 00:27:17.020 |
Most Dave Ramsey fans would say never lease a car. 00:27:20.900 |
But most people would say, "I'm just renting a car for a year because I don't want to buy 00:27:25.420 |
Now if you're going to buy a car for 20 years, and you're going to drive a car for 20 years 00:27:30.540 |
and you've got maybe a 10-year-old son or daughter that you're going to pass a car onto, 00:27:34.020 |
you're going to buy a car and you're going to own it for a long period of time. 00:27:38.180 |
That's the difference between term life insurance and permanent life insurance. 00:27:40.740 |
They're radically different because they do different things. 00:27:43.740 |
And so if you are looking for an insurance policy to cover a five-year business buyout, 00:27:50.780 |
you've bought a business from someone, you're paying a series of payments, they're going 00:27:56.860 |
If you are buying a life insurance policy to fund an irrevocable life insurance trust 00:28:01.180 |
to fund your estate taxes, there's not a chance in the world you would fund that with a term 00:28:07.900 |
So I don't want to get any deeper into that because what happens is people get really 00:28:13.140 |
When you actually do a life insurance calculation properly, you sit down and there are three 00:28:19.500 |
The best of which is doing a needs analysis, which is actually if you die, what do you 00:28:31.620 |
What Dave recommends is a multiple of income approach. 00:28:33.700 |
So he says buy 8 to 10 times your income of life insurance. 00:28:38.380 |
That number is based upon the 12% rate of return. 00:28:42.060 |
So he says buy 8 to 10 times your income of life insurance. 00:28:44.500 |
So let's say you make $100,000 a year, buy 10 times your income of life insurance. 00:28:49.340 |
That gives you a million dollars of life insurance. 00:28:55.540 |
And then that pays your taxes and inflation and you wind up with $100,000. 00:28:59.500 |
But that number, is it good enough to put in a book? 00:29:03.740 |
But the problem is then that becomes the cardinal rule. 00:29:05.980 |
And so a Dave Ramsey fan will come into my office and I'll say, "Joshua, let's calculate 00:29:10.100 |
And I'll say, "Let me show you how to do a needs analysis." 00:29:11.100 |
And he'll say, "No, Dave says I need 8 to 10 times your income." 00:29:13.820 |
Well, I'm sorry, if you're 22 years old or 25 years old and you have a couple of kids, 00:29:18.960 |
you need more like 20 times your income of life insurance. 00:29:21.920 |
And if you're 55 years old, you probably need less than 8 if you are wealthy. 00:29:28.180 |
So what happens is that these "rules" because of the cult of personality, instead of teaching 00:29:33.780 |
people, "Here's how you approach it," which is what I'm trying to do, and I don't know 00:29:37.460 |
By the way, after doing a podcast, I have a world of respect for Dave that I never had 00:29:44.380 |
And it's tough because you're on the record for everything. 00:29:49.260 |
So I have a world of respect that I probably never had before starting my show. 00:29:54.300 |
But what happens is I just wish that he and all of us who are in this space, instead of 00:29:59.060 |
telling people, "Here's what you should do," we would treat people like adults and teach 00:30:04.020 |
them what we know and teach them how to arrive at their own conclusions and their answers. 00:30:10.780 |
Because then instead of being attached to our brand, then people are attached to the 00:30:18.380 |
>> Well, let's go back to the question I had. 00:30:23.260 |
I mean, we all know the truth is really only the Bible, but the rest of them are all great 00:30:27.260 |
advice and you can follow the advice in there. 00:30:29.140 |
But there's always going to be something else to be learned from another book. 00:30:32.060 |
Isn't that the same way with Dave Ramsey's advice? 00:30:34.540 |
He's writing a book for everybody, but it can't be for everybody. 00:30:40.680 |
I can see that it's not going to be perfect for everybody. 00:30:44.100 |
But I don't see how it's harmful for somebody unless they have different goals as far as 00:30:49.740 |
I'm not looking to retire, save for my retirement, I'm not looking to, well, it's a choice if 00:30:54.780 |
you want to pay for your kid's college, the baby steps. 00:31:00.020 |
There's other education out there, and none of the answers are going to be any one book. 00:31:06.740 |
How can you say that Total Money Maker has all the answers? 00:31:10.900 |
That's what I'm trying to say here is there's no one answer in one book because there's 00:31:14.700 |
going to be a variety of people, variables in the game here. 00:31:21.580 |
We could go back with the 12% discussion if you want. 00:31:24.340 |
But I think that an educated consumer is a better consumer, and that's why we do multiple 00:31:32.580 |
It's not one audio recording somebody downloads and listens to over and over again. 00:31:36.660 |
We're educating people on a cycle, which his radio show does as well, which is heard by 00:31:44.860 |
So he has to give general advice, and it's up to the consumer to take the advice that 00:31:51.780 |
And so I don't see where it's as dangerous as most people sound like they're saying. 00:31:58.420 |
Maybe I need to give the mic back to you and let you talk about that. 00:32:02.060 |
Here would be what I would say as an example. 00:32:03.740 |
So there are three large, there are many financial radio shows. 00:32:07.780 |
There are many one hour a week show on Saturday mornings, a local financial advisor is buying 00:32:11.540 |
air time, and that's, so I don't have any familiarity with those. 00:32:15.060 |
But there are three large national radio shows, all of which are dealing with financial topics. 00:32:20.980 |
I would invite you and others to listen to the difference in these shows. 00:32:29.540 |
Then you have Clark Howard, and you have Rick Edelman. 00:32:33.060 |
Now if you go and listen to how they approach their show, there is a dramatic difference 00:32:39.420 |
So and you have basically, in my opinion, you have three different levels of professionalism 00:32:52.300 |
He owns a massive financial planning firm, and he has a tremendous amount of experience 00:32:56.860 |
as a financial advisor, and he added broadcasting on to his practice as a marketing method for 00:33:03.540 |
Clark Howard comes not from a financial background as a financial advisor, but he comes from 00:33:08.660 |
being interested in finance and being very careful, and he has learned a lot and knows 00:33:14.220 |
Dave Ramsey comes from the perspective of primarily talking about budgeting and debt 00:33:17.900 |
from his experience with his mistakes, but with the exception of a college degree in 00:33:21.580 |
finance, which evidently he has, he has no other formal experience or formal qualifications 00:33:28.660 |
Now I would invite you to go and listen to how they handle financial topics, and you 00:33:33.380 |
will notice a dramatic difference between the three. 00:33:37.300 |
What Rick Edelman does, I probably most respect and admire what Rick Edelman does, because 00:33:41.940 |
when a caller calls Rick Edelman, as a financial advisor who can be held more accountable because 00:33:49.100 |
he is a financial advisor than Dave Ramsey can be, who is an entertainer, if you listen 00:33:54.020 |
to how he answers a question, a caller will call in and ask him a question, and if it 00:33:58.060 |
seems simple, he'll answer it in a simple way. 00:34:02.340 |
He'll usually probe a little bit more and try to find out some more technical details, 00:34:07.940 |
and then he will often say, "That's a really complicated question. 00:34:11.900 |
I would invite you to call my office and speak with one of my planners." 00:34:15.540 |
Here in general is what you would need to know to make the decision, though, but there 00:34:18.620 |
are a lot of detailed facts that you would need to find out. 00:34:21.760 |
So I'm going to pick on the hot button topic, and this will get me in trouble, but something 00:34:27.240 |
If you ask any experienced life insurance agent, life insurance is not a simple thing. 00:34:32.060 |
It's one of the most complicated financial products ever invented, and it is worse because 00:34:36.860 |
they get more and more complicated all the time. 00:34:38.940 |
There are great policies and there are terrible policies. 00:34:41.180 |
There are great companies and there are awful companies, and until you are really an expert 00:34:45.220 |
in life insurance, it's very difficult to identify between them. 00:34:48.580 |
But if you listen to how Rick Edelman answers the question, he will generally probe, and 00:34:53.740 |
then he'll say, "This is one where you've got to review your actual policy," and he's 00:35:00.860 |
Now, that may seem like he's just sending people to his firm because, "I need to build 00:35:05.180 |
But he'll tell you, he answers the question when it can be answered, but when it can't 00:35:11.220 |
Clark Howard will get the same question, and Clark is quicker to give a simpler answer, 00:35:15.460 |
but Clark is quick to acknowledge if the question is more complex. 00:35:19.500 |
And Clark will say, "Listen, that's a really great question. 00:35:22.820 |
I would invite you to, I would encourage you, call a fee-only planner, and you really need 00:35:27.060 |
to get some good advice on your situation because I don't know the answer." 00:35:30.520 |
And so if someone calls up and tells Clark, "Hey, listen, I've got this policy," he'll 00:35:34.100 |
say, "Listen, well, these types of policies are generally not so good, but hey, if you've 00:35:38.700 |
had this kind of policy and it fits these parameters, then maybe it would be good." 00:35:42.100 |
When someone calls Dave, Dave is reckless with how he does it. 00:35:45.220 |
I know I'm using a strong word, not to be critical. 00:35:53.940 |
If you have a whole life insurance policy, sell it. 00:35:57.660 |
He will never tell somebody, "Take a look at the actual policy and see where you are 00:36:01.940 |
in the life cycle versus the expenses versus the cost." 00:36:05.020 |
So Dave, I've heard him say to somebody, "Cancel a policy that's a mature policy, that this 00:36:09.860 |
policy is growing at several percentage points per year over any other safe investment that 00:36:15.260 |
you could have, and use that money to pay down your mortgage at 2%. 00:36:20.660 |
And he goes into all the financial, mutual funds versus the mortgage and the risk calculation. 00:36:24.820 |
Baloney, guaranteed returns in excess of your mortgage payment, that's a very different 00:36:30.340 |
You can't just add that with mortgage payments. 00:36:32.980 |
I'm walking on thin ice here, even bringing up any specific examples, but I'm trying to 00:36:37.380 |
give a little bit of, not just say it's right, and Josh was in a war with him, because I'm 00:36:44.660 |
Dave goes much farther than he should with entertainment. 00:36:50.780 |
And there's a big difference between being able to listen to somebody and say, "Listen, 00:36:54.460 |
I'm really struggling with my finances with my spouse, and we're not budgeting really 00:36:59.220 |
well, and my spouse seems like he or she is spending recklessly, and we're not on the 00:37:04.100 |
That's advice that's very personal, and that works well to entertainment. 00:37:07.340 |
But when you get off the ditch into detailed, complex financial planning, and you have no 00:37:11.500 |
experience and no formal qualifications, by the way, I don't believe that formal qualifications 00:37:15.780 |
are the key, but formal qualifications are a way for the public to judge what somebody 00:37:22.500 |
And I'm not sure that Dave could pass a CFP exam. 00:37:26.660 |
Because when I listen to him, it's like, "Wow, what on earth, where does that come from?" 00:37:32.300 |
You just ignored all these other things that you should know about, but it seems like you 00:37:36.260 |
So the problem is, though, that you have an audience. 00:37:40.540 |
And with this, I'll just wrap up what I'm saying and give you a chance to respond, and 00:37:44.940 |
then hopefully we can, if I've ticked off the whole world, hopefully I can gain a little 00:37:52.500 |
But what I always tell people is you've got to look at the audience of a show, and the 00:37:57.220 |
And the challenge is that we are so bereft as a culture of any financial knowledge, any 00:38:09.920 |
And those who are trying to teach something formally have such an agenda, oftentimes, 00:38:14.980 |
that the opinion is so skewed that we don't have any tools of defense. 00:38:19.540 |
We don't have any critical thinking or any knowledge or any tools of defense. 00:38:23.380 |
And this is one of the key things that I observe, is that as a public, as a general population, 00:38:30.060 |
the general IQ of the general population is so low, it's so easy to be bamboozled. 00:38:35.220 |
And so if Dave would admit that what I'm working with is I'm trying to work with the general 00:38:39.580 |
population because I'm doing a mainstream radio show, working with people who are listening 00:38:44.060 |
in their cars as they're driving around, and I'm working with kind of an entry level to 00:38:48.140 |
finance, and then if he would be careful when he gets into the more advanced topics, and 00:38:53.100 |
if he would make a referral that wasn't just call my investing ELP, you know, who that 00:38:57.780 |
person is going to have the heart of a teacher because they're going to teach you about investments. 00:39:01.900 |
And oh, by the way, you know, if it went, if it went, if he didn't just give a nod to 00:39:09.300 |
that, but he actually said, call somebody who can get to know your situation, which 00:39:19.180 |
And that's what frustrates, that's what frustrates the financial community, especially the community 00:39:25.700 |
Because I would say that many people agree with so many things, but there are some very 00:39:32.800 |
And if he would just make, if he would, if he would not go into the technical things 00:39:37.020 |
where it displays his ignorance, either ignorance or willful, just and I know it's again, a 00:39:42.140 |
strong word is either ignorance or it's willful agenda, willful promotion of agenda. 00:39:51.340 |
And that's what I would love to see him do because he has helped millions of people radically 00:39:56.900 |
transform their lives, my own included and yours too. 00:40:00.780 |
So he has been a huge help and I want to give him full credit for that. 00:40:04.180 |
But I hate to see, it's kind of like, I feel like it's as though if we don't, if we don't, 00:40:11.660 |
we who have been helped and have been encouraged by that, if we don't hold our own people accountable, 00:40:20.180 |
then what happens is we run the risk of losing any credibility. 00:40:25.020 |
So okay, I'll give a, I'll give a spiritual example. 00:40:28.700 |
If some person says, I'm a great man of God, or I'm a great woman of God, and they're out 00:40:34.180 |
preaching in the streets, A, on a scriptural perspective, that person is held to a higher 00:40:43.060 |
But if we wink at the infidelity, if we wink at a priest that abuses little boys, or if 00:40:49.320 |
we wink at a pastor that has an adulterous relationship with their spouse, or if we wink 00:40:55.140 |
at sin, who are we if we don't clean up our own industry? 00:40:59.220 |
And that's kind of what I feel like is that I feel so timid that like I'm not qualified 00:41:07.980 |
I'm really not, because his level of experience and success has gone so far beyond my own 00:41:14.140 |
that it's much easier for me to sit down and shut up. 00:41:17.140 |
But the problem is that we have to hold people accountable, and we have to look accurately. 00:41:22.580 |
And I would just love to see him adjust his message and acknowledge the fact that I'm 00:41:29.540 |
working with a mainstream audience and be quicker to be slow with giving financial planning 00:41:39.480 |
>> You know, I keep coming up with all these questions as you're talking, but I keep listening 00:41:43.780 |
because you keep bringing on new stuff, big stuff, and you keep moving the conversation 00:41:49.980 |
You were talking about -- I'm just going to make a statement here. 00:41:52.980 |
I don't know how to make it a question, and I forget what it was when I was thinking about 00:41:57.500 |
You were talking about Rick Edelman's advice, Clark Howard's advice, Dave Ramsey's advice. 00:42:06.420 |
I'm a huge Dave Ramsey fan, so I am in the Dave Ramsey camp, you could say. 00:42:11.060 |
I do believe that there are different situations for everybody, and there may be a situation 00:42:14.620 |
where Baby Steps doesn't work for a specific person. 00:42:18.120 |
And I highly recommend everybody educate themselves on this stuff, and that's where I'm going 00:42:22.720 |
With Rick Edelman, you were talking about how Rick Edelman will answer the question, 00:42:27.940 |
Whether that's a conflict of interest, I don't see it as a conflict of interest. 00:42:31.340 |
He's directing people to get more education and help in their situation. 00:42:37.300 |
Clark Howard, you said, he will answer the question, but he'll also say, you know, go 00:42:42.720 |
I don't listen to Clark Howard very often anymore, so I don't know who he's directing 00:42:48.180 |
He will usually, Clark will usually make a referral to a fee-only financial planner, 00:42:52.760 |
and he will usually mention either an organization called the Garrett Financial Planning Network, 00:42:57.580 |
which is an organization of fee-only hourly planners, or NAPFA, which stands for National 00:43:02.580 |
Association of Personal Financial Advisors, which is also a fee-only organization. 00:43:06.540 |
So he's directing them to fee-only advisors, which I don't have any problem with that either, 00:43:10.500 |
because the individual, the consumer, the customer is going to find specific advice 00:43:16.740 |
When you go to Dave Ramsey, he gives you the direction to go check in with one of his ELPs, 00:43:22.300 |
which is essentially doing the same as Clark and as Rick, because he's directing them to 00:43:27.060 |
people who are kind of in his network, like Rick Edelman, or to somebody outside of his 00:43:32.140 |
network, like Clark Howard, but he's saying it in a more general term. 00:43:38.100 |
But these people have been fleshed out because they teach the same thing that he does. 00:43:42.120 |
So in other words, he's giving advice to go speak to somebody that he knows is going to 00:43:47.260 |
educate that consumer before they go and invest in anything. 00:43:50.340 |
And that's one thing he says over and over again, is not just go to get help from somebody 00:43:54.740 |
who has the heart of a teacher, but to learn about the stuff. 00:44:01.260 |
So it's not that he's not answering the question, and it's not that he's saying just trust my 00:44:10.340 |
He always says, basically, learn for yourself what you're getting into so that you don't 00:44:17.660 |
I, if he has changed in the last couple of years, I have not heard more than 20, 30 minutes 00:44:23.840 |
of his show in the last couple of years, just because it's difficult for me to listen to 00:44:29.180 |
And I have learned to simply to keep my sanity, to walk away from things that frustrate me. 00:44:39.460 |
She gives some great advice, but once it's on the credit score thing, I'm gone. 00:44:42.060 |
So I have no connection with her because with the exception of flipping through her books, 00:44:50.460 |
So that's why I'm completely unqualified to talk about what she talks about. 00:44:53.380 |
And here we are, two guys who don't have a big national radio show, and we're ragging 00:45:01.140 |
But then for somebody to use that as a total ad hominem argument, and it's fallacy. 00:45:04.980 |
So that's why I'm trying very hard to focus not on who I am, but on what I say and let 00:45:10.500 |
So I'm trying to stay with, I'm trying to avoid using an appeal to expertise or to use 00:45:16.260 |
myself and promote myself as being somebody I'm not. 00:45:21.260 |
I have some experience in the financial planning world, but I have nowhere near as much experience 00:45:26.460 |
I am a brand new broadcaster who has much to learn. 00:45:29.540 |
But still, that should not and does not diminish the validity of my arguments. 00:45:34.460 |
So I just would encourage people to consider my arguments, not me. 00:45:38.340 |
To answer your question, I have never heard Dave say, "You need to call a financial planner, 00:45:49.820 |
And if he does, I fully give him credit for that. 00:45:54.420 |
What he is saying, in general, in advertisement, if you need help with investing, then go ahead 00:46:02.460 |
There is not generally in the broader financial planning community, there is not generally 00:46:06.860 |
a high regard for the caliber of the, for the quality of his investing ELPs. 00:46:13.180 |
I don't know anything about the other programs. 00:46:14.700 |
I have no idea if his real estate agents are as great as he says they are. 00:46:19.200 |
But there's not a high regard in the broader investment community for the technical ability 00:46:23.860 |
or the high level of professional expertise of his ELP program. 00:46:30.420 |
And again, I've not talked with the exception of one of his ELPs, and people have asked 00:46:34.140 |
me, "Joshua, why don't you go join this program?" 00:46:36.140 |
And I have my reasons for not, I don't want to be involved in this program. 00:46:40.060 |
But the, and the reason, one of many reasons I don't want to be involved in this program 00:46:44.820 |
is because then somebody comes in, and this is one of his ELPs that I spoke with, you 00:46:49.900 |
know, then your clients are schooled to be looking for a 12 percent mutual fund. 00:46:56.500 |
And when you don't deliver 12 percent, you lose the client. 00:47:00.900 |
And it's a very, I would not want to work with somebody who are coming from that perspective. 00:47:06.180 |
I don't want to break your thought there, because I want to ask this of you, because 00:47:09.300 |
I have talked to a couple people before about that. 00:47:11.800 |
And that's what I believe is that the reason why the financial planners don't like the 00:47:14.980 |
whole discussion of 12 percent is, now you have to tell me, are we looking at 10 year, 00:47:20.740 |
Where is that 12 percent that you're saying you can't get coming from? 00:47:23.780 |
I'm saying is that, if you look, so what Dave's answer would be, unless he's changed in the 00:47:30.660 |
last couple years, Dave would say, listen, I own many mutual funds that have returned 00:47:36.220 |
All you got to do is sit down with Morningstar, have your advisor run a return of the 12 percent, 00:47:43.980 |
So I own, I sold it recently, but for many years I owned a mutual fund called, I no longer 00:47:49.700 |
own it, it's not a recommendation to the fund. 00:47:51.780 |
I liked it, and I think it's a good, instructive example. 00:47:55.260 |
I own a mutual fund called the Investment Company of America. 00:48:04.100 |
So I own that fund called Investment Company of America, and it's put out by American Funds. 00:48:10.300 |
If you look at their literature on the fund, the fund was, its inception date was either 00:48:19.660 |
It's lifetime performance, the last time I looked, from then up through today, is about 00:48:26.140 |
But what 12 percent, so that's the return of the fund. 00:48:29.020 |
But what 12 percent ignores is A, that's a loaded fund, so it's going to come with a 00:48:34.340 |
sales commission, and that sales commission on that fund would be anywhere from zero percent 00:48:39.140 |
up to as high as 5.75 percent, depending on the amount of money that you have to invest. 00:48:45.100 |
Well, that sales commission makes a dramatic difference in the return of the fund, because 00:48:50.140 |
Now, if you have a million bucks, American Funds will waive all the sales commissions, 00:48:55.340 |
so you can break point out of it, but that has to be accounted. 00:48:59.500 |
Number two is it doesn't account for expense ratios. 00:49:01.740 |
So American Funds has excellently low expense ratios, but the 12 percent does not acknowledge 00:49:09.140 |
And so when you look at the, depending on which number, you can go through that. 00:49:13.740 |
But once you take out expenses for the management of the fund, you're not at 12 percent anymore. 00:49:17.540 |
And that fund is, when you actually look at the history, and this is where it's very difficult 00:49:22.260 |
to look at what actually, what number you should actually use. 00:49:25.780 |
If you generalize the S&P 500 and say, okay, well the S&P 500 over the last 60, 70, 80, 00:49:31.460 |
whatever number you use, it's about 10 percent rate of return. 00:49:34.800 |
But that doesn't mean that the average investor gets 10 percent, and that has nothing to do 00:49:38.260 |
with being able to count on the 12 percent every year. 00:49:41.460 |
So if you run a financial calculation, and I assume a 12 percent rate of return every 00:49:48.020 |
But B, it leads to such inflated numbers about how much money somebody needs to save that 00:49:54.620 |
So when I run a rate of return calculation for retirement, I'm far more likely to use 00:49:58.180 |
six or seven percent, unless a client can convince me that I should use a higher number. 00:50:02.540 |
And this is what happens, is that if you actually run, if you actually run the calculations. 00:50:06.940 |
>> Are you seriously pulling out a calculator right now? 00:50:10.220 |
>> Are you looking, you're looking for a calculator. 00:50:17.940 |
So this would be, so if I were Dave, and I were saying, okay, let's say how much money 00:50:26.740 |
we can invest over time, and how much it can grow to. 00:50:29.220 |
So let's say that I'm a 25-year-old man, I'm talking about from 25 to 65, we're going to 00:50:34.940 |
So let's clear this, let's do $100 per month, and let's put it in for 40 years, and let's 00:50:47.220 |
So let me just run the math, because I'm not as quick as you. 00:50:50.020 |
So let's do 40 years, invested monthly, 10 percent, $100 per month, starting with nothing. 00:50:56.980 |
At the end of 40 years, that number would be, oh, I used 10 percent, excuse me, just 00:51:03.220 |
At 12 percent, at the end of 40 years, that number would be $1,188,242. 00:51:08.700 |
Now if you run that number at 10, okay, so let's just drop it to 10 percent, that number 00:51:15.700 |
That is a 50 percent difference between 10 percent and 12 percent. 00:51:19.260 |
The average investor, you have to fact check me on this, but the average investor in the 00:51:24.420 |
average mutual fund gets about, last 20-year study I saw from Dalbar Lipper, gets about 00:51:30.820 |
>> Okay, but forgive me for interrupting here, because when we talk about following Dave 00:51:34.580 |
Ramsey's advice, you will not be saving $100 for 40 years, $100 a month. 00:51:39.740 |
It will always be $100 a month as just the example of, you know, everybody can become 00:51:45.740 |
What he teaches is to get out of debt, save up an emergency fund, and then start to invest 00:51:51.220 |
in your retirement, which is 15 percent of income, which will always be more than $100 00:51:57.660 |
Yes, maybe the 12 percent is a different rate of return. 00:52:03.460 |
I know that we're going to be millionaires eventually, because we're saving more money 00:52:11.820 |
I did a show, one of my favorite shows that I did on my show is I said how I'd become 00:52:16.140 |
a millionaire on a minimum wage job at Walmart. 00:52:27.900 |
So it's how I would become a millionaire on a minimum wage job at Walmart. 00:52:31.500 |
>> So we're going to get lost in the weeds if we do too much math. 00:52:35.620 |
Let me just avoid the rate of return conversation. 00:52:39.620 |
Just simply say that I would encourage people to do their own research. 00:52:43.260 |
I would never use 12 percent in any calculation, period, for a financial planning client. 00:52:58.260 |
We could all -- so you'd have to judge for yourself. 00:53:00.200 |
I don't know a single financial planner who would ever use 12 percent in any kind of calculation. 00:53:06.420 |
So I would just leave it at that and encourage people to do their own research. 00:53:10.300 |
But even something like the 15 percent, I'll tell you, one of the things where I feel betrayed 00:53:17.940 |
It took me years to figure out where this number comes from. 00:53:26.500 |
Because I want to tell you what I think it is. 00:53:29.500 |
>> -- the answer is that it allows you to save a good chunk of money without taking 00:53:33.700 |
away from reaching your other goals following the baby steps. 00:53:44.580 |
>> And if you go and you run a chart, and the two best people who have this, which I 00:53:50.260 |
don't have the chart on my site, but I would give two resources for listeners. 00:53:55.060 |
Either go and read a book by -- you're the two most accessible. 00:53:58.660 |
Go and read a blog post on Mr. Money Mustache called "The Shockingly Simple Math Behind 00:54:05.180 |
Or go and read the same chart in Jacob Lundfisker's book "Early Retirement Extreme." 00:54:14.460 |
He does a good job of putting the numbers behind the charts. 00:54:17.620 |
What you'll find is that if you save a percentage of income at a certain rate of growth over 00:54:21.580 |
time -- and I'm going to stay out of the weeds with the numbers. 00:54:25.020 |
If you save 10% of your income, it takes you about 45 years to be financially independent. 00:54:30.180 |
If you save 15% of your income, it takes you about 40 years to be financially independent. 00:54:34.660 |
So if you start at 25, and then if you work until 65, and you save 15% of your income, 00:54:40.500 |
But the problem is, what do you do if you're 45? 00:54:44.780 |
So he says saving 15% when you're 40 years old is pointless. 00:54:48.960 |
You will never get -- you will never be retired at 65. 00:54:52.060 |
So instead of saying to somebody, "Start with 15% as a good role, but you should sit down 00:54:57.160 |
with a good financial planner, or you should learn how to run a financial planning calculator, 00:55:00.980 |
and calculate an actual amount of money that you need to hit your retirement goal," people 00:55:04.700 |
save happily 15% and say, "Dave told me I'm going to be rich. 00:55:09.380 |
So I recognize the problem of putting everything in a book. 00:55:12.820 |
And that's the problem, is you can't put everything in a book. 00:55:15.700 |
So "Total Money Makeover" still, to this day, is the most motivational book I know about 00:55:22.900 |
I've got to go and dissect it and see if I can learn, because I want to learn how to 00:55:30.680 |
But you can do that without crossing the line and giving advice that doesn't make any sense. 00:55:38.380 |
I'll give you one last example and then answer any questions. 00:55:40.900 |
>> I still want to hear how you came up with figuring out what the 15% represents. 00:55:47.900 |
So the average person graduating from college, saving 15%, will be financially independent 00:55:54.740 |
So every financial plan that I run for a 20-something-year-old, they need to save about 15% of their income. 00:56:00.260 |
But it's dramatically different if they're 34, or if they're 44. 00:56:03.420 |
>> Now, that 15% rate changes, though, at baby step seven once they pay off the house. 00:56:08.580 |
But baby step seven is so entirely nebulous that no one knows what it means. 00:56:13.300 |
Save and invest, give money away and become rich. 00:56:15.100 |
>> Yeah, and that's where he leaves it wide open, wide open for however much you can throw 00:56:21.060 |
>> I don't want to go into the weeds on that because I have no problem with the seven baby 00:56:28.300 |
What happens is that, and I sit down and I'm like, "Well, what would I give?" 00:56:30.940 |
I don't have anything better than what Dave says as far as the steps. 00:56:33.480 |
My steps say, "What are your goals?" and create an actual financial plan. 00:56:37.340 |
They're as good as any other seven steps out there. 00:56:41.300 |
My problem is on the specific financial planning recommendations. 00:56:46.340 |
Have you heard, when does Dave say to buy long-term care insurance? 00:56:56.100 |
So this bothered me because I always used to hear his advice and then I started selling 00:57:02.820 |
I have looked high and low to find why age 60 is suddenly the magic date. 00:57:09.920 |
If anyone can send it to me, I would be interested. 00:57:13.320 |
You send me the study that would illustrate why age 60 is the age to buy long-term care 00:57:19.220 |
Now, what Dave would say, and I also have heard, I think, Susie Orman say the same thing. 00:57:23.780 |
They say, "Well, before that point in time, before age 60, the numbers are it's just too 00:57:27.940 |
expensive but it becomes a good deal after age 60." 00:57:30.300 |
Is that more or less what your impression would be? 00:57:32.620 |
>> My impression was that most people don't need it until -- very little people need it 00:57:38.980 |
So age 60 is when he recommends that you look into buying it. 00:57:51.260 |
But to me, this really bothered me because I'm an ethical person. 00:57:55.540 |
I'm a man of integrity and I want to do the right thing for people. 00:58:01.420 |
I cannot find a single reason why age 60 would make any difference in a long-term care insurance 00:58:10.080 |
If you buy insurance at age 55, the fundamental way insurance works is it is actuarially counted 00:58:20.960 |
So if you buy long-term care insurance at the age of 50, it is dramatically cheaper 00:58:25.940 |
If you buy it at 30, it's dramatically cheaper than 60. 00:58:30.580 |
And I'm sitting here and saying, "Well, are Dave Ramsey and Suzy Orman more intelligent 00:58:34.220 |
than the actuaries that have carefully calculated the risk?" 00:58:37.580 |
I will tell you that long-term care insurance is perfectly priced at every single age. 00:58:44.380 |
I own long-term care insurance and I'm 29 years old and it is perfectly priced for the 00:58:50.200 |
And there is no statistical difference in risk that's dramatic between age 59 and age 00:58:58.020 |
Well, the reason is you have to just pick a number. 00:58:59.740 |
But what happens is it's complicated to explain how you actually need long-term care insurance. 00:59:04.940 |
It's actually not that complicated, but here's my answer if you say, "Well, if not at age 00:59:09.580 |
You buy long-term care insurance when you have accumulated enough of a portfolio that 00:59:14.540 |
that portfolio is then needing to be protected from the risk of the cost of a long-term care 00:59:20.220 |
Now, that sounds nebulous if you don't understand what that means, but that's the answer. 00:59:23.780 |
So once you are on track to accumulate enough assets that you would then need to protect 00:59:27.820 |
from the risk of needing a long-term care event, and if your income and your expenses 00:59:32.620 |
cannot handle the cost of long-term care, then you insure for it. 00:59:36.340 |
Now, I don't care whether that's at 40 or whether that's at 65 or whether that's at 00:59:40.900 |
If I were working with a client who is 65 years old and they don't have enough assets 00:59:44.300 |
for retirement, there is not a chance in the world that they should buy long-term care 00:59:48.460 |
insurance regardless of their age because they need to develop assets. 00:59:53.460 |
And if I'm working with a client who is 40 who has substantial assets enough that they're 00:59:57.640 |
on track for retirement, and we're doing a risk analysis of the risk of long-term care 01:00:02.460 |
-- if they can afford it and they need it, they should buy it. 01:00:05.500 |
So it's not that complicated, but that's how a financial planner thinks about it. 01:00:09.340 |
What happens, though, is you get this sound bite. 01:00:11.140 |
And I've had Dave Ramsey fans sitting in my office, "I'm going to buy long-term care 01:00:19.980 |
And so I would say, "Well, let's actually run an analysis on your situation." 01:00:25.020 |
Everything before that is the insurance agent trying to rip you off. 01:00:27.740 |
I'm like, "So that would be another good example." 01:00:29.860 |
Analysis is something where if you go a little deeper, you get an answer that makes a lot 01:00:33.020 |
more sense than a sound bite, which is that I recognize -- and with this, I'll wrap up 01:00:37.820 |
my thoughts unless you have other questions, because I don't want to destroy your audience 01:00:46.380 |
And I would just say that I want people to learn. 01:00:50.080 |
And I would still probably say to many people -- and this is where I've come -- I stopped 01:00:54.260 |
giving his books away, because I learned that it wasn't effective for me to do that. 01:01:01.100 |
And I couldn't find anybody who actually followed through on his plan. 01:01:05.280 |
Like I said, ask the people who say, "I'm following the Dave Ramsey plan. 01:01:10.700 |
And I was always the one that didn't have a credit card. 01:01:20.780 |
As far as that book, if someone is struggling with debt, I still don't have a better 01:01:25.220 |
Maybe someday I'll gain the skill to be able to write the book that I wish existed. 01:01:28.660 |
But I don't have a better option for them yet. 01:01:32.160 |
And I think that Dave has helped tens of millions of people just think and become more conscious 01:01:41.140 |
And I have a world of respect for him, because he's accomplished a lot of good. 01:01:44.980 |
I just think he could do so much more good if he weren't so intent on building his brand 01:01:55.020 |
Go back and look at the Twitter exchange that he had with the financial advisory community. 01:01:59.740 |
And to me, that illustrates how he perceives what he's doing. 01:02:04.180 |
He perceives, evidently, I don't know, I'd like to meet him someday, and if he invites 01:02:08.220 |
me to dinner, which I doubt would happen, I would love, I would be thrilled to go and 01:02:13.300 |
Because there's, again, there's a big difference between seeing someone's public persona and 01:02:16.460 |
what you do and say publicly versus who you are as a person. 01:02:19.580 |
But I think he could be so much more effective if instead of trying to divide between the 01:02:24.740 |
general public and his show, if we could all get together, and this is my burden, if we 01:02:31.460 |
could all work together, and it sounds so airy-fairy, but it's true, if we could all 01:02:35.340 |
work together and recognize that we each are interested in different things, then we could 01:02:42.940 |
And the problem, we are not each other's enemies. 01:02:45.340 |
The financial advisor and the financial blogger and Dave Ramsey and Jim Cramer, we're not 01:03:01.140 |
And I just say, look at the $222 trillion of debt that the U.S. government has, including 01:03:07.020 |
$17 trillion of existing debt and the remaining balance unfunded liabilities. 01:03:18.180 |
That is a reflection on the American culture. 01:03:20.100 |
And I just, maybe I'm idealistic, but I just think that we can work together instead of 01:03:25.780 |
dividing and then we will conquer the financial illiteracy and the financial ignorance and 01:03:32.940 |
will help people to find and achieve the lifestyles that they want to achieve if we work together 01:03:44.300 |
Because I think, okay, we're coming from you as a Dave Ramsey fan, just saying up to the 01:03:50.260 |
end of debt point, maybe I'll make a generalized statement. 01:03:55.660 |
Yeah, we're right at the one minute mark, or one hour mark. 01:04:02.380 |
You as a Dave Ramsey fan, just when it gets to the investing, it needs to be more complex. 01:04:09.220 |
And me as a Dave Ramsey fan, we'll just say a Dave lover. 01:04:12.620 |
We're both saying the same thing here as far as it's the perception of the consumer, to 01:04:22.980 |
That's the dangerous part because I don't want to say they're blindly following. 01:04:26.460 |
I'm saying they're only following the sound bites, the one advice. 01:04:30.340 |
So that is, I think we're on the same track here. 01:04:33.080 |
We're all trying to educate the consumer to learn for themselves, to know that there's 01:04:38.420 |
different situations for each person, that there may be some adjustments to their financial 01:04:43.900 |
plan, whether it's the seven baby steps or Susie Orman's build your FICO score plan, 01:05:00.340 |
And it's very challenging because, again, you're walking a tightrope. 01:05:05.540 |
And I guess my summary would be is that it took me a long time and I think I'm still 01:05:13.820 |
in many ways recovering from the dogma and the cult of personality that is so easy to 01:05:21.020 |
And I'll tell you what I see as a difference is I think that, see, five years ago, he was 01:05:29.620 |
Where I think we're going to have a dramatic transformation, which I'm so excited about, 01:05:33.540 |
is the financial blogging and podcasting community. 01:05:36.300 |
Because now there are dozens and dozens of new financial shows. 01:05:41.380 |
And a few years from now, there will be hundreds and hundreds of new financial shows. 01:05:45.740 |
And that competition and that ability to more easily access a broader voice, I think is 01:05:50.140 |
going to make a major difference as far as helping people to be educated. 01:05:54.260 |
The audio resources for people to be educated have not existed. 01:06:00.420 |
And the average American simply doesn't read. 01:06:03.180 |
And so that is a reflection on our, we're an ignorant culture in general because we 01:06:10.580 |
And so we're easily led, we're easily attracted to personality. 01:06:14.140 |
So the good thing is, the cool thing is, again, I'm inspired by Dave. 01:06:18.020 |
That's why I started my show, is I want to provide the option for people who are ready 01:06:22.720 |
to maybe go a little deeper, go a little farther. 01:06:29.540 |
And all of my comments are just that I think he could be more effective if he, I think 01:06:42.620 |
So I hope that I have done an effective job at, you know, the problem is financial advisors 01:06:51.100 |
They're restricted behind the rules of the SEC and the financial industry. 01:06:57.140 |
So hopefully I have done an effective job speaking for, you know, the financial advice 01:07:01.660 |
community just to say in a caring way that we do have some concerns because I have faced 01:07:11.140 |
I faced the client who Dave said, "Buy a 10-year term," and guess what? 01:07:19.380 |
And I faced the clients who are in and out of debt, in and out of debt. 01:07:22.840 |
And so I just wish that I think together we can grow and we can make a massive improvement 01:07:31.700 |
And I am entirely optimistic about that happening. 01:07:34.820 |
And I'm so thrilled that you have your show because you can speak to an audience that 01:07:40.380 |
And I have my show because I'm going to speak to an audience that Dave won't appeal to. 01:07:43.260 |
And even just here at FinCon, there are dozens of people. 01:07:46.900 |
And I think all of us, our lives have been touched by Dave. 01:07:49.260 |
We owe him a great debt of gratitude because he has paved the way and tutored many of us. 01:07:57.320 |
And yet the hallmark of a great teacher is acknowledging, is wanting to see their students 01:08:05.040 |
And that's what I love to see is I love to see people going a little bit beyond maybe 01:08:08.600 |
the teacher that started with and going to a deeper level. 01:08:23.120 |
And I thank my listeners for listening to this. 01:08:25.200 |
We're also going to put this out on Joshua's feed as well. 01:08:33.000 |
I have tried very, I was very nervous about producing this show because I have good intentions 01:08:39.360 |
I would crave some feedback for those of you listening. 01:08:42.560 |
Either if what I've said has resonated or if you hate it, that's fine too. 01:08:46.320 |
Tell me or comment on my show or comment on Steve's show. 01:08:49.040 |
I would like to know and hopefully I've done a good job and I hope that my heart has come 01:08:54.160 |
through and that this can be a helpful message. 01:08:58.020 |
If this has offended you because I have, if this has offended you because I've stepped 01:09:03.680 |
on a sacred cow, I understand because I think that in years past I would have been there 01:09:11.120 |
So I'm not bothered by that, but I'd love to have any feedback and I hope that my heart 01:09:22.000 |
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