back to indexRPF-0056-Financial_Plans_Should_be_Unique
00:00:00.000 |
Hey parents, join the LA Kings on Saturday, November 25th for an unforgettable kids day 00:00:04.960 |
presented by Pear Deck. Family fun, giveaways, and exciting Kings hockey awaits. Get your tickets 00:00:10.240 |
now at lakings.com/promotions and create lasting memories with your little ones. 00:00:15.040 |
Radical Personal Finance, episode 56. A financial planner fights back 00:00:21.200 |
and lobbies for actually customizing financial plans. 00:00:42.880 |
Welcome, welcome, welcome to Monday's show, Radicals. I thank you for being here. Today 00:00:47.200 |
is Monday, September the 8th, 2014. My name is Joshua Sheets. I am your host and your sherpa 00:00:56.240 |
today. And yes, the financial planner mentioned in the intro is indeed me, for I am he. And today 00:01:03.440 |
we're going to talk about why financial plans should actually be customized. 00:01:15.120 |
I appreciate your being here. I'm excited about today's show. And today's show is going to build 00:01:19.920 |
exactly off of Friday's show, which was episode 55. And let me give you a quick background on 00:01:25.200 |
Friday's show. And then let me encourage you to go listen to it before this one. 00:01:28.400 |
And you'll see how they are going to connect together. Friday's show was a Q&A. And there 00:01:33.440 |
was a reader named, listener named John, who had written me an email. And basically the gist of his 00:01:39.120 |
email was he said, Joshua, I've got a million dollars basically, and I'm about 35 years old, 00:01:44.240 |
and I hate my job and I want to retire early. Can I? And this leader, this listener, excuse me, 00:01:50.800 |
had gone around and consulted with various financial advisors, had talked with different 00:01:55.440 |
people and was getting this broad, diverse number of opinions. And they didn't know what to do. 00:02:02.240 |
And so I sat down and I took the information and I, as part of the show, as a central piece of the 00:02:08.400 |
show, in addition to kind of pointing out some flaws in his thinking or some, some just kind of 00:02:13.680 |
fallacies or misunderstandings in his thinking in the emails, I pointed out and I sat down and I 00:02:18.080 |
wrote out five financial plans, all of which would allow him to retire early today. And these were 00:02:23.920 |
five wildly diverse plans. And they actually wound up being six wildly diverse financial plans that 00:02:30.960 |
I just completely made up. And all six of them worked for him to retire today. 00:02:37.280 |
But among those six, choosing among them, there was a broad degree of variability. 00:02:42.480 |
And there was nothing magic about the number six. I just sat down and I just, I had intended to 00:02:48.960 |
write five and I wound up writing six. I could have written 26 or 206, because frankly, there 00:02:54.720 |
is almost an infinite number of plans that I could have created for him. And when I finished that 00:03:02.560 |
show, I was thinking about it. And I really, I felt great about that show. And frankly, of all 00:03:07.920 |
of the shows that I've created now, today is episode 56, I felt better about the work that I 00:03:12.400 |
did on that show than I have about any of the shows up till now. Well, it'll be interesting 00:03:16.320 |
to see what the feedback is on it. I haven't gotten much. The listener, John, wrote me an email 00:03:21.520 |
and said, "Thank you very much." But as far as comments or other people, so I don't know whether 00:03:25.280 |
it's other people, but I felt like I did a really great job on that show. So I felt really good 00:03:28.960 |
about it. I felt like I was succinct, I was direct, but I was creative and I was illustrating how 00:03:34.960 |
everything I've talked about on the show up till now ties together. Everything from tax planning, 00:03:39.520 |
lifestyle planning, retirement accounts, technical knowledge, big picture goal setting, 00:03:45.520 |
lifestyle design, how everything came together in one example. So I really enjoyed it. 00:03:51.120 |
But as I was thinking about it all weekend, I kept on thinking about this question of how 00:03:55.520 |
plans can be unique. And then I watched some feedback that I try to keep an eye on feedback. 00:04:00.880 |
And the wonderful thing about the internet is you can see the feedback in public. And I love 00:04:06.480 |
getting feedback. And I like to see it on the internet because people are brutally honest when 00:04:10.640 |
they're not restricted by the social norms and niceties. And they'll say things in public on the 00:04:17.040 |
internet that they would never say to your face. So if someone's going to compliment me on the show 00:04:22.000 |
face to face, they'll say, "Joshua, hey, this is so great. There's a couple of things I'd like to 00:04:26.320 |
improve." But man, when you go on and start reading the feedback on the internet, it's great 00:04:30.320 |
because you get tons of feedback. Which by the way, if you ever want to get someone's attention, 00:04:33.920 |
if you want to get an author's attention, go leave a review for their book on Amazon. I guarantee 00:04:38.720 |
they'll see your stuff. Every author is watching their feedback because it's valuable. And I gain 00:04:46.000 |
a lot from the feedback that I get on the show. And I did an interview late last week with Craig 00:04:52.400 |
Mathias for his show, which is the Create My Independence show, which by the way, there'll 00:04:56.720 |
be a link in the show notes. If you're interested in some of the background a little bit on me and 00:05:04.320 |
my show that I don't often bring out on, again, on my show, because it's kind of self-serving to 00:05:09.120 |
talk about yourself all the time, then go listen to that interview. And Craig asked me a few things 00:05:18.640 |
about my background. But one of the things that I said in introducing that background, and this 00:05:22.720 |
will lead into... This is basically what I'm doing is I'm leading in now into the 18 specific things 00:05:30.400 |
that I came up with as examples that will dramatically affect a financial plan for you. 00:05:35.360 |
That's the primary of today, but I need to set the stage for it first. On Craig's show, he asked 00:05:42.800 |
me a little about my background. I told him how I had gone through this great change, this 00:05:47.920 |
transformation where I had to learn to set aside most of what I had been taught and most of what I 00:05:54.400 |
had thought, and I had to learn new things. And so one of the things that I was joking in the 00:06:00.000 |
interview and I said, I had to set aside some of the things that I had always thought because when 00:06:05.120 |
I went and interviewed at Northwestern Mutual, I had always been taught never buy whole life 00:06:10.240 |
insurance, and I really had a serious moral issue. And the Northwestern Mutual is a huge provider of 00:06:15.680 |
whole life insurance in the insurance industry. And I knew that as I was doing my due diligence, 00:06:21.120 |
I knew, I mean, I was like, look, this company does a tremendous amount of whole life insurance. 00:06:24.880 |
I don't think I could morally and ethically sell it. And so that was a big deal for me. So I had 00:06:30.240 |
to go and do a ton of research on life insurance, on how it works, on all of that to finally convince 00:06:36.080 |
myself over time before joining the company, okay, I can see how in some financial planning 00:06:41.120 |
situations that the personal finance books didn't tell me about, this can be a valuable tool. 00:06:45.280 |
And we'll get to that at some point. I'll do a whole series on life insurance. I just, I don't 00:06:49.520 |
want to talk about it anymore because I'm a little bored by it these days. But I'll do all kinds of 00:06:53.680 |
shows. I'll show you how different topics interplay. Well, I was watching the comments on Craig's site 00:06:59.600 |
and I was one of the commenters basically made the comment that yes, we all have to justify what we 00:07:06.160 |
do. And the insinuation of the comment was that anybody can set aside what their moral hang ups 00:07:12.720 |
are over time in order to earn a paycheck. And that's what people do. And so now that's a fair 00:07:19.200 |
comment, very, very credible, fair comment. I could have done that. But as I was thinking back 00:07:25.360 |
on it over the weekend, I was just considering that assumes that I did that. What it doesn't 00:07:31.040 |
assume is that there was a fact pattern. So when I have sold whole life insurance, 00:07:35.760 |
the assumption inherent in that comment is that there wasn't a fact pattern that would justify that. 00:07:41.520 |
And frankly, that's ignorant. It's not meaning to be mean, but it's just ignorance. And I thought 00:07:53.760 |
of an example. And here's the example where I learned this the most strikingly in my lifetime. 00:07:59.200 |
And the example was in the McDonald's hot coffee case. Now, I'm sure that you have heard about the 00:08:08.240 |
court case where a woman spills hot coffee in her lap, it burns her and she sues McDonald's and gets 00:08:13.600 |
awarded millions of dollars by the lawsuit. So this case is often presented as this proof for 00:08:22.560 |
how we have this twisted, horrible legal system that doesn't know how to, justice system that 00:08:27.920 |
doesn't know how to be fair and equitable towards people. And I often thought that myself. I often 00:08:35.120 |
said that. And I often would rail against the crazy court system and political debates with my buddies, 00:08:41.840 |
rail against the court system that would have all these unjust things and justice would not be served 00:08:48.000 |
until I got to business law in college. And in business law, we actually read the facts of that 00:08:54.640 |
case. I was never more humbled, humiliated, frankly, is a better word than I was just because of how 00:09:07.120 |
wrong I was. So I went and found I didn't I knew the whole facts was going to be too long, but I 00:09:12.640 |
found the short summary of it and it'll be linked in the notes, but I'm going to read you this short 00:09:16.240 |
summary of the McDonald's case. And if you've never researched this stuff out, just consider 00:09:20.400 |
these facts. And from these are this is from a legal site. This is what is this the the electric 00:09:28.080 |
law library. And so this is a this is a summary and an excerpt of the fact sheet from the the 00:09:34.560 |
official fact sheet from the case. There's a lot of hype about the McDonald's scalding coffee case. 00:09:41.280 |
No one is in favor of frivolous cases of outlandish results. However, it is important 00:09:46.560 |
to understand some points that were not reported in most of the stories about the case. McDonald's 00:09:51.760 |
coffee was not only hot, it was scalding, capable of almost instantaneous destruction of skin, 00:09:58.720 |
flesh and muscle. Here's the whole story. Stella Lee back of Albuquerque, New Mexico, 00:10:06.240 |
was in the passenger seat of her grandson's car when she was severely burned by McDonald's coffee 00:10:11.440 |
in February 1992. Lee back 79 at the time ordered coffee that was served in a styrofoam cup at the 00:10:18.720 |
drive through window of a local McDonald's. After receiving the order, the grandson pulled his car 00:10:24.000 |
forward and stopped momentarily so that Lee back could add cream and sugar to her coffee. 00:10:29.120 |
Critics of civil justice who have pounced on this case often charged that Lee back was driving the 00:10:34.320 |
car or that the vehicle was in motion when she spilled the coffee. Neither is true. Lee back 00:10:40.320 |
placed the cup between her knees and attempted to remove the plastic lid from the cup. As she 00:10:45.600 |
removed the lid, the entire contents of the cup spilled into her lap. The sweatpants Lee back was 00:10:51.680 |
wearing absorbed the coffee and held it next to her skin. A vascular surgeon determined that Lee 00:10:57.200 |
back suffered full thickness burns or third degree burns over 6% of her body, including her 00:11:04.160 |
inner thighs, perineum, buttocks, and genital and groin areas. She was hospitalized for eight days, 00:11:12.000 |
during which time she underwent skin grafting. Lee back, who also underwent debridement treatments, 00:11:18.400 |
sought to settle her claim for $20,000, but McDonald's refused. During discovery, 00:11:25.200 |
McDonald's produced documents showing more than 700 claims by people burned by its coffee between 00:11:30.720 |
1982 and 1992. Some claims involved third degree burns, substantially similar to Lee back's. 00:11:38.640 |
This history documented McDonald's knowledge about the extent and nature of this hazard. 00:11:42.880 |
McDonald's also said during discovery that, based on a consultant's advice, 00:11:48.320 |
it held its coffee at between 180 and 190 degrees Fahrenheit to maintain optimum taste. He admitted 00:11:57.200 |
that he had not evaluated the safety ramifications at this temperature. Other establishments sell 00:12:03.680 |
coffee at substantially lower temperatures, and coffee served at home is generally 135 to 140 00:12:11.600 |
degrees. I'm going to pause for a moment. That was what really struck me. McDonald's held its coffee 00:12:17.120 |
at 180 to 190 degrees, and home coffee is 135 to 140 degrees, almost a 40 or 50 degree difference. 00:12:26.160 |
Further, McDonald's quality assurance manager testified that the company actively enforces a 00:12:31.520 |
requirement that coffee be held in the pot at 185 degrees plus or minus five degrees. He also 00:12:39.120 |
testified that a burn hazard exists with any food substance served at 140 degrees or above, 00:12:46.080 |
and that McDonald's coffee, at the temperature at which it was poured into styrofoam cups, 00:12:51.280 |
was not fit for consumption because it would burn the mouth and throat. The quality assurance 00:12:57.120 |
manager admitted that burns would occur, but testified that McDonald's had no intention of 00:13:02.240 |
reducing the holding temperature of its coffee. Plaintiff's expert, a scholar in thermodynamics 00:13:08.960 |
applied to human skin burns, testified that liquids at 180 degrees will cause a full thickness burn to 00:13:15.840 |
human skin in two to seven seconds. Other testimony showed that as the temperature decreases toward 00:13:22.880 |
155 degrees, the extent of the burn relative to that temperature decreases exponentially. 00:13:28.800 |
Thus, if Liebeck's spill had involved coffee at 155 degrees, the liquid would have cooled and 00:13:35.840 |
given her time to avoid a serious burn. McDonald's asserted that customers buy coffee on their way 00:13:42.160 |
to work or home, intending to consume it there. However, the company's own research showed that 00:13:48.400 |
customers intend to consume the coffee immediately while driving. McDonald's also argued that 00:13:53.680 |
consumers know coffee is hot, and that its customers want it that way. The company admitted 00:13:59.280 |
its customers were unaware that they could suffer third-degree burns from the coffee, 00:14:03.920 |
and that a statement on the side of the cup was not a "warning" but a "reminder," since the 00:14:08.960 |
location of the writing would not warn customers of the hazard. The jury awarded Liebeck $200,000 00:14:15.520 |
in compensatory damages. This amount was reduced to $160,000 because the jury found Liebeck 20% 00:14:24.480 |
at fault in the spill. The jury also awarded Liebeck $2.7 million in punitive damages, 00:14:32.320 |
which equals about two days of McDonald's coffee sales. Post-verdict investigation found that the 00:14:38.560 |
temperature of coffee at the local Albuquerque McDonald's had dropped to 158 degrees Fahrenheit. 00:14:44.160 |
The trial court subsequently reduced the punitive award to $480,000, or three times 00:14:51.680 |
compensatory damages, even though the judge called McDonald's conduct "reckless," "callous," 00:14:58.400 |
and "willful." No one will ever know the final ending to this case. The parties eventually 00:15:04.240 |
entered into a secret settlement which has never been revealed to the public, despite the fact that 00:15:09.040 |
this was a public case, litigated in public, and subjected to extensive media reporting. 00:15:14.400 |
Such secret settlements after public trial should not be condoned. 00:15:22.320 |
That's the end of the article there. I'm going to pause for just a moment. How did you 00:15:28.720 |
think about that case before I read that fact pattern? 00:15:36.480 |
I tell you, for me, when I was in college, this rocked my world because I thought, 00:15:44.960 |
"How have I been so ignorant? How have I been saying, 'People are suing McDonald's 00:15:51.760 |
for spilling hot coffee?'" And when I read through the facts, and the facts that we read were much 00:15:57.840 |
more lengthy than those facts, I just thought to myself, "Wow, this seems like a really fair 00:16:02.560 |
treatment." They awarded her damages for her medical bills. They found her 20% at fault for 00:16:11.120 |
her negligence. The $2.7 million of punitive damages, those were later reduced, but you 00:16:17.200 |
never saw that in the paper. And I thought, "Wow." So this case for me has been a major 00:16:23.760 |
thought process in my life where I go back and I think to myself, anytime I start judging something, 00:16:28.800 |
I try to ask myself and say, "Joshua, before you make a judgment here, let's make sure that you 00:16:33.440 |
fully understand. Fully understand what's going on. And don't assume that people are stupid. 00:16:40.880 |
Don't assume that people are unethical. Don't assume that people are ignorant. 00:16:45.680 |
Start with assuming that they are intelligent, caring people, and try to understand why 00:16:51.600 |
they would want to do something. Why do they act the way that they do?" Now, 00:16:57.360 |
are there people who are ignorant and stupid? Probably. Yes, there are. But 00:17:03.920 |
it always bothered me when I was working as a financial planner that it's like, 00:17:09.760 |
"Do you ever consider that a financial planner who knows somebody intimately 00:17:14.480 |
might actually have some insight into what the person is trying to accomplish?" 00:17:18.480 |
See, I think we all need a unique plan that is customized to us. Each of us is a unique person. 00:17:27.440 |
And for some reason, we are happy to say that as a platitude to, "Yeah, we're all unique. We're all 00:17:34.880 |
different. We're all unique." But when it comes to our financial plans, they're all supposed to 00:17:37.360 |
look the same. They can't look the same. And so, you've got to look at the specific facts 00:17:44.080 |
and the specific fact pattern of each case, and you've got to apply creative thinking to that 00:17:49.760 |
case. And you have to say, "What are the goals? What are the desired outcomes? Now, what is a 00:17:54.480 |
compelling plan for achieving that in a really intelligent way?" 00:18:04.800 |
And so, as I go through this list that I brainstormed, and this is not intended to be 00:18:09.280 |
an exhaustive list. I wrote down 18 things. This is intended to be an illustrative list, 00:18:14.480 |
is just to show how you can make dramatically different decisions based upon dramatically 00:18:22.000 |
different facts. And you can do whatever you want, but I would prefer if people would study the facts 00:18:30.560 |
of each case before making a decision. If you don't believe that that can matter, go back and 00:18:35.920 |
listen to 55, episode 55, and just listen to how I can lay out six dramatically different scenarios, 00:18:43.440 |
all of which on those current facts. And the feedback that I received from John after listening 00:18:48.400 |
to my show is he said, "I need to go back and do some thinking because you're right. I'm not clear 00:18:52.720 |
on what I want." So, here are some things that will make a difference in your answers and the 00:19:03.360 |
solutions that you implement in a financial plan. The first one is going to be the longest, 00:19:08.560 |
and the next 17 are fairly short. The first one, I would say, is the phase of life. 00:19:12.400 |
Now, that probably strikes you as true because we're so schooled in the idea that, 00:19:22.160 |
well, as you age, you should adjust your risk tolerance over from stocks to bonds. So, 00:19:27.680 |
there should be this ideal ratio of what percentage of stocks and bonds we own based upon our age. 00:19:34.640 |
And I don't have any problem with that. It's fine. I don't have anything against target 00:19:37.280 |
date retirement funds. I think they're great. They're perfect for people. I don't have any 00:19:41.440 |
issue with that. But let's go a little deeper. So, we know that this is true, 00:19:45.120 |
but how can we go a little deeper? How would you advise somebody 00:19:49.520 |
differently based upon the simple fact of whether they're a child or whether they're an adult? 00:19:57.520 |
And here's what I mean. Where would you recommend to a child that they invest their money? 00:20:03.200 |
Would you recommend to them that they trot down to Vanguard and buy 00:20:10.960 |
the lowest expense ratio index fund that they could buy? Maybe. Or would you recommend to them 00:20:19.120 |
that they buy a tool belt and some carpentry tools and they learn how to swing a hammer and build 00:20:24.480 |
stuff? You say, well, the answer would never be between those two things. You're sure it could. 00:20:30.080 |
So, you obviously see right now, my first example, well, how much money are we talking about? Are we 00:20:36.560 |
talking about the fact that this child just inherited $4 million or $400,000 or $4,000 or $40? 00:20:43.600 |
Would you encourage the child to invest in a trade education or into a college degree? 00:20:52.880 |
That should immediately set off red flags in your head and say, well, wait a second, 00:20:59.600 |
what are they suited for? What are their goals? What are their interests? Exactly. 00:21:04.480 |
Based upon who they are as a person. Would you recommend to this child that they 00:21:11.680 |
buy rental houses or that they buy index funds, REIT index funds? 00:21:19.280 |
That should set off several questions in your mind. You say, wait a second, well, 00:21:24.640 |
is this child, did they buy the tool belt and the hammer and do they like working on houses 00:21:29.200 |
or are they kind of bookish and they don't really care about swinging a hammer and they wouldn't 00:21:34.880 |
enjoy managing a portfolio of rental houses? Where would you recommend they invest? 00:21:41.840 |
I would start, if I were advising a child, I would start by saying, 00:21:50.320 |
how can you, as a child, how can you invest in acquiring character, knowledge, skills and tools? 00:21:58.480 |
Because your stocks could be stripped away from you in an instant. But if you have character and 00:22:07.120 |
knowledge and skills and tools, then those things cannot be taken away from you. 00:22:13.040 |
How can you invest and build work ethic or character ethics? 00:22:22.000 |
How can you enhance your literacy, your numeracy? 00:22:25.840 |
How can you develop your ability to learn? What books, what training courses will give 00:22:32.480 |
you the knowledge and the skills that you need? What tools do you need? Do you need a hammer and 00:22:36.480 |
a saw and a tape measure? Or do you need a financial calculator? Do you need a graphing 00:22:41.360 |
calculator? Do you need a library? What tools do you need for your situation? So, the phase of life 00:22:49.840 |
can be, right there, you can open up a gazillion different ways that you would encourage somebody, 00:22:54.960 |
just for the factor of they're a child or they're an adult. You say, "Well, Josh, 00:22:59.120 |
we're that stupid. What child would go, you know, why is it going by index funds?" 00:23:02.720 |
I don't have any problem with index funds. No problem at all. I think they're wonderful. And 00:23:08.080 |
for the vast majority of people, they're probably what they should do. Probably, maybe. But this 00:23:14.160 |
single-minded focus is what I have a problem with. And we know that because we talk about, 00:23:19.200 |
"Well, going to college." But take it beyond college and see through what even the go to 00:23:23.280 |
college or don't go to college advice is getting at the core and look at the individual. 00:23:28.640 |
So, that would be one phase of life of child versus adult. What about the phases of an adult? 00:23:36.480 |
Is an adult just starting out? Are they in an accumulation phase? Are they in a preservation 00:23:42.320 |
phase? Are they in a distribution phase? If somebody's just starting out, then I would 00:23:47.840 |
have them focusing on building wages. So, for example, increasing their skills so that they 00:23:52.560 |
can command a higher hourly wage. I would focus on acquiring tools. If somebody has tools, whether 00:24:00.000 |
those are physical tools or skill and ability, the tools of skill and ability, then those tools can 00:24:07.360 |
be leveraged to gain a higher wage. If somebody is, I'll keep picking on fast food workers. So, 00:24:13.840 |
let's say someone's a fast food worker at a minimum wage. If they can acquire some basic 00:24:17.920 |
carpentry tools or some basic tile setting tools or some basic plumbing tools or some basic 00:24:22.560 |
electrical tools, they can go from $8 an hour to $18 an hour over the course of probably a couple 00:24:28.560 |
of years. So, the investments in that situation would be into tools. And we know that to be the 00:24:39.840 |
case, but we don't talk about that enough. So, we should talk about that and we should consider 00:24:44.240 |
that when we're advising somebody. If we look at what capital does somebody have, do they have 00:24:52.720 |
financial capital when they're just starting off or do they not have financial capital? What other 00:24:56.320 |
forms of capital do they have other than financial capital? Look at what college provides. College, 00:25:01.280 |
for many people, one of the biggest benefits of college is not knowledge. It's social capital in 00:25:06.160 |
the form of a network of college friends and professors. And it's social capital in the form 00:25:11.040 |
of this network that they have gone through life with for four years or two years, if it's a 00:25:16.320 |
master's degree program or some number of years. They've built these strong relationships and 00:25:21.840 |
that's the social network, the good old boys network that gets leaned on throughout life. 00:25:25.600 |
Or what if somebody's in an accumulation phase? Well, now you're going to look at, 00:25:30.000 |
do they have savings? Do they have reserves? You're going to focus on what's their investment 00:25:34.800 |
plan to invest their money wisely. I think if somebody can develop an area of unique skill 00:25:39.920 |
in investment, that would be ideal. Because if you can apply an area and develop an area of unique 00:25:46.400 |
skill, you can get unique returns and a higher growth rate on your investments. It is possible. 00:25:55.120 |
That's what people do every single day is by building unique skills on unique areas that 00:26:02.480 |
they understand, they know about. You need to develop an asset allocation plan that's unique 00:26:09.920 |
to you in accumulation phase. So this needs to go beyond just what percentage of your money in 00:26:16.640 |
stocks or bonds? What percentage of your money in these different asset classes? If you're a home 00:26:21.760 |
builder, does it make any sense for you? Let's say you're a home builder, you're building houses, 00:26:25.680 |
they're spec houses or whatever. Does it make any sense for you to buy a REIT, a real estate 00:26:31.200 |
investment trust, a mutual fund that owns real estate? No. But then again, does it make sense 00:26:38.720 |
for you to have all of your assets in real estate? Well, it depends on the life stage, right? So I 00:26:45.200 |
could make a good argument. There are some very wealthy home builders here in West Palm Beach 00:26:51.120 |
that I know that have developed some huge developments and made massive fortunes. 00:27:00.080 |
I could make a really good case for the idea that a home builder needs to acquire a certain 00:27:06.960 |
level. So if in the beginning, if you're just in the accumulation phase and you're just starting 00:27:12.240 |
out and you're a home builder and this is where you're going to make your fortune 00:27:16.480 |
and through the business of real estate and real estate construction, I think it would be a really 00:27:21.840 |
wise idea to focus on building that capital and building everything in real estate because you 00:27:29.120 |
can achieve a certain scale that once you reach a certain size, you can build a thousand homes at 00:27:34.160 |
once and then you can reap those higher profits. But there does come a point in time at which it's 00:27:40.000 |
probably not so smart for you to have all of your money in real estate. I know of some people right 00:27:45.760 |
here in West Palm Beach that when five years ago when we had the real estate crash, got destroyed. 00:27:54.080 |
So their financial plan didn't adequately identify 00:27:57.600 |
and insulate them from the risks of their asset allocation. If you're a coin dealer, 00:28:05.120 |
does it make a lot of sense for you to keep a personal stash of gold coins and you're safe at 00:28:09.600 |
home? It's just your personal collection. I would suggest that it might be smarter for you to start 00:28:14.880 |
buying some rental houses. What does it help you? You've got a whole inventory at your store. 00:28:23.600 |
Are you all in on gold? Are you that sure of yourself that gold and silver are your thing 00:28:28.480 |
that's going to always go up? Now on the other hand, if you work as a mutual fund manager or 00:28:33.680 |
you work in the investment business, does it make sense for you to have all of your money in publicly 00:28:38.240 |
traded stocks? Or does it make sense for you to maybe own a little farmland somewhere, have a 00:28:45.360 |
condo that you rent out, or have a little business on the side that's a private business that you're 00:28:49.840 |
an advisor and an investor in? If somebody's in a preservation stage of life, well you need to look 00:28:58.880 |
at the safety of your assets and various scenarios. So what are you concerned about? What keeps you up 00:29:04.720 |
at night? What is it specifically that is causing you the problem and how would different scenarios 00:29:12.560 |
affect you? How would a Great Depression style 25% unemployment rate affect you and your wealth? 00:29:19.760 |
If you've built wealth, then you need to protect it. It's very different to be a bootstrapping 00:29:27.760 |
entrepreneur at the beginning of his life stage, just starting and getting into that accumulation 00:29:33.360 |
stage and throwing everything at building out condo communities to make their fortune. 00:29:39.040 |
That's very different than somebody who's made a fortune and is looking at preserving the assets. 00:29:45.680 |
What rate of return do you actually need? It really doesn't make a lot of sense to me 00:29:50.720 |
to take a lot of risk for excess return if you only need a small amount of return to hit your 00:29:55.360 |
financial goals. But then that brings in the question of what kind of risk are you concerned 00:30:02.400 |
about? You need to think through what is the type of risk that you are concerned about. Are you 00:30:09.120 |
concerned with market volatility? Are you concerned with currency risk? Are you concerned with 00:30:14.160 |
repayment risk? Are you concerned with sovereign risk? What's that called? The country that you're 00:30:20.960 |
living in. If you're in the distribution phase of wealth and you're figuring out whether that's 00:30:26.960 |
you're working on an estate plan or you're distributing assets to heirs, you've got to 00:30:31.360 |
look at what are your goals and plans? What is your tax situation? What do you specifically need? 00:30:36.720 |
What are the risks that you're concerned about? Maybe, and this is what people often don't get 00:30:43.840 |
until they've worked with clients, is that maybe the highest return on a portfolio is not the 00:30:49.600 |
number one goal of all people. It's really not. It's very rare that a client will say, "My number 00:30:57.040 |
one goal is the highest rate of return." This is one of the biggest holes in the literature. The 00:31:01.600 |
literature is being written from an academic perspective saying, "What gives the highest rate 00:31:05.840 |
of return over a period of time?" But I'm telling you, the highest rate of return is not what all 00:31:13.280 |
investors are shooting for. Many people are just simply saying, "I want to minimize volatility." 00:31:18.480 |
Let me give you an example. Maybe it will help you to understand. 00:31:23.360 |
I don't know what the answer is for you because it's different for every person. 00:31:27.600 |
If I were to offer you a guaranteed—what numbers? I need to be careful because I want to use 00:31:38.000 |
careful numbers and this is a purely hypothetical scenario. I'm not actually marketing an investment 00:31:42.880 |
to you. Let's say that I'm going to offer you a guaranteed 6% rate of return every single year 00:31:49.520 |
going forward, guaranteed, no ifs, ands, or buts. I'm not. This is a thought exercise. 00:31:54.240 |
I were to offer you a potential return of 8%, but there's also, in any random year, 00:32:05.120 |
there's a potential that the value of your portfolio could decline by as much as 75%. 00:32:12.080 |
I'm not offering that offer to you either. It's just a thought experiment. 00:32:15.200 |
If you were playing with that example between the two, which would you choose? 00:32:21.920 |
Now, either one of those you might choose and there would be people who would choose both of 00:32:28.160 |
them. Many people, however, if they were offered the confidence and the security of knowing 00:32:33.760 |
that they could get a guaranteed 6%, they would give up the extra 2% of return, 00:32:40.320 |
even if you run the calculations for the confidence of knowing. You don't know until 00:32:45.360 |
you get in the situation and you ask. Depending on where you are in that phase of life, whether 00:32:52.240 |
you are a child or an adult, are you just starting out, are you in the accumulation phase, 00:32:56.240 |
or preservation phase, or distribution phase, this will dramatically affect your financial plan. 00:33:06.640 |
It should. It's right that it does. But you don't know what somebody should do until you 00:33:11.200 |
get the fact pattern. You only know what you should do in your fact pattern. 00:33:15.680 |
Number two is risk tolerance. It may feel like we just talked through risk tolerance, 00:33:20.720 |
but I'm going to give you a different idea now. What's your personal risk tolerance in your life? 00:33:24.560 |
Example, are you very much focused on saying, "I've got to get all my debt paid off, 00:33:29.840 |
and I don't want to owe any money for anything," or are you comfortable and cool with carrying debt? 00:33:35.680 |
Big difference between those and how you structure a financial plan. 00:33:40.640 |
How about your financial asset risk tolerance? Are you comfortable with owning financial assets 00:33:48.160 |
over which you don't have any control, or do you want control over your financial assets? 00:33:53.760 |
Are you willing to invest as a minority shareholder in publicly traded companies, 00:33:59.440 |
where you basically don't have any control? Are you comfortable enough that the board of directors 00:34:05.920 |
is being held accountable by the shareholders, and the board of directors is properly supervising 00:34:10.400 |
the company, and they have your best interests at heart? Or does that make you just sweat all night 00:34:15.600 |
long, tossing and turning, and you've got to get out, and you've got to have something where you 00:34:20.400 |
get control in it? What about your risk tolerance for the portfolio? Are you comfortable with a 00:34:26.320 |
volatile portfolio, or are you uncomfortable with it? Volatility and lack of comfort with 00:34:30.720 |
the volatility of a portfolio destroys investors' returns. It really does. It destroys investors' 00:34:38.320 |
returns, because what happens is people generally think that they're more comfortable with 00:34:44.240 |
volatility than they are, but we fear loss, and we feel loss much more than we do the gains and the 00:34:53.360 |
wins. What about your personality? Number three. I've talked a lot about entrepreneurship, but I 00:34:59.280 |
was reminded the other day when I was reading an email from a listener, and I was reminded that 00:35:03.360 |
I don't think everybody should be an entrepreneur, and I've recognized that maybe I've gone a little 00:35:08.240 |
too heavy on that with the content I've produced so far. Many people, who knows, maybe it's the 00:35:15.600 |
majority of people, I really don't know, many people are entirely content in a traditional 00:35:22.720 |
employment situation, and that's fine. Some personalities really prefer that. Many personalities 00:35:32.640 |
really prefer that. They like the stability, and frankly, it's pretty easy. You only have to work 00:35:37.280 |
40 hours a week if that's what you work, or 30 or 20 or whatever, and the job stays there. That has 00:35:42.320 |
a lot of attraction. So you've got to factor that into your personality. So now, if you are an 00:35:49.040 |
employment type of person, that leads you in one direction, versus if you're an entrepreneur type 00:35:53.200 |
of person, that leads you in a dramatically different direction. It's a big deal. What 00:35:59.760 |
about your skills? What skills do you specifically have? Do you have mechanical skills? Do you have, 00:36:06.720 |
I don't know, construction skills? Are you highly literate literacy skills or investing skills? Do 00:36:13.120 |
you have certain skills? That is going to drive what you do, or it should drive what you do. 00:36:23.840 |
What about goals? What are your actual goals? What lifestyle do you actually want? 00:36:29.040 |
Do you want to live in the country and work on a farm? If you want to live in the country and 00:36:33.520 |
work on a farm, that's probably going to affect your investment portfolio. Maybe you'll be 00:36:37.440 |
focusing more on real estate and buying productive cropland in Iowa or Nebraska or Florida. 00:36:44.080 |
Maybe you're going to buy attractive timber and equipment. In this situation, 00:36:50.480 |
investing in a one-ton pickup truck, that could be an incredibly good decision, 00:36:55.280 |
because that pickup truck may now be a very valuable asset for your personal productivity. 00:37:00.000 |
Now, to go to the opposite side of the spectrum, maybe you want to travel the world and live out 00:37:04.960 |
of a backpack. Well, in this case, you definitely don't want to own any stuff, so that one-ton 00:37:10.000 |
pickup truck is a massive liability for you. So you probably want to design an income plan 00:37:15.920 |
and an investment plan that you can manage online. And then your investment plan is going to be 00:37:21.440 |
driven by what you can do when and how much money you have. So do you have enough money that you can 00:37:26.800 |
just buy an index fund and forget about it? Do it. Or if not, what are you going to do to get the 00:37:33.280 |
money that you need? Are you going to try to learn to trade because you need the excess return? Do 00:37:38.320 |
you have the time or the knowledge or the experience to trade, or are you just going to 00:37:41.760 |
destroy your portfolio balance through bad trades and now you're done? Or maybe you're better off 00:37:48.880 |
just saying, "I don't know anything about investing. I don't care about investing. I don't have any 00:37:52.640 |
interest in that, and I've got great graphic design skills. So now I can take my computer and 00:37:57.040 |
I can follow my dream of living in a backpack, and I can design brochures or logos or websites 00:38:03.920 |
for people, and I can do it all on my own." Or maybe you don't have that, so your financial plan 00:38:08.400 |
is to say, "I'm going to use my language skills and my people skills to teach English." There's 00:38:14.400 |
nothing wrong with that. But that's going to dramatically affect what you do. In the one 00:38:20.800 |
situation, it's like this whole thing about cars. I'm not a fan of owning cars. I don't want to, 00:38:24.480 |
but I also don't have a lifestyle that needs it. Let's say that you recommend to somebody, 00:38:34.240 |
"You know what? You should drive just a Honda Civic. What about the guy that needs to go buy 00:38:37.920 |
a one-ton pickup truck to pull this big giant trailer that he's going to haul cars across the 00:38:44.000 |
state with and make his money?" I meet some of those guys. I love to go to truck stops when I'm 00:38:47.520 |
on the road, and I always meet those guys. I always talk to them, see how much money they make. 00:38:51.840 |
I would do that before I do some other things. That would be lower on my list because I wouldn't 00:38:56.720 |
want to be away from home like those guys are. You go out, you can buy a brand new pickup truck. 00:39:03.200 |
You got a $450 a month payment. You buy a trailer, you got a trailer payment, but now you've got 00:39:07.280 |
something that you can build your business with. Does it come with expenses and costs? Absolutely. 00:39:11.520 |
But that's where something that... I wouldn't want to go buy a brand new one-ton pickup truck, 00:39:17.120 |
but that doesn't mean it's stupid for everyone to do it. Maybe this is obvious to you, but anyway, 00:39:22.880 |
didn't used to be obvious to me. What are your assets and liabilities? Where are you starting 00:39:27.760 |
from? What do you have to work with? How are things set up? It's going to be very different 00:39:33.440 |
if you're designing a financial plan for yourself or for someone else, if they have very high fixed 00:39:38.480 |
costs with a lot of debt or if they don't. Consider the example. If you haven't read it, 00:39:45.760 |
it's worth reading. I assume it's out of print at this point, but years ago, I think Donald Trump's 00:39:50.640 |
first book was called The Art of the Deal. I remember reading it when I was a kid. I read his 00:39:56.240 |
book, Art of the Deal, and he tells in that book, The Art of the Deal, he tells the example of how 00:40:02.640 |
when he was broke and bankrupt, and he was a billion dollars in the hole, a billion dollars 00:40:09.680 |
in debt. Everything was crashing down around him. As I remember it, maybe it's become slightly 00:40:16.480 |
mythological at this point, but as I remember the story from not having read it in at least 15 years, 00:40:22.560 |
he said that he had this evening where he didn't want to go to a party or something like that, 00:40:28.720 |
but he knew he had to. He went to some networking social function that he felt he needed to go to, 00:40:35.280 |
which is kind of interesting. When some people are $30,000 in debt, they're not living very well 00:40:43.040 |
if they're $30,000 in credit card debt. Donald Trump is a billion dollars in debt, 00:40:47.200 |
and he's wearing a black tie and taking a limousine to a social cocktail hour in Manhattan. 00:40:53.520 |
I always just chuckled about that. I guess the point was that he went to this event, 00:41:00.880 |
and he met somebody or something like that, made a connection that made all the difference, 00:41:04.240 |
and he was able to get his ship turned around. But if you're a billion dollars in the hole, 00:41:09.920 |
sitting down and lining up your credit cards in order of highest interest rate to lowest interest 00:41:17.680 |
rate and starting to pay them off based upon your cash flow, it's not going to work. Sorry. 00:41:22.640 |
The plan's not going to work. You need to put together some serious deals, 00:41:27.520 |
and you need to restructure everything, and you need to make some money. Consider what your actual 00:41:35.520 |
prospects are. If you're starting a company, what are your actual prospects, and what do you deal 00:41:42.480 |
with? I've worked with a few clients who had tens and tens and tens of thousands of credit card 00:41:49.440 |
debt. But the reason they had the credit card debt is because they were funding all of their 00:41:53.520 |
personal expenses while they were working on businesses with huge growth potential. 00:41:58.640 |
And the whole time they're just looking at the business opportunity saying, "I'm not really 00:42:03.200 |
comfortable with this, but this is what I've got to do. I see that this business has legs. I'm not 00:42:09.680 |
deluding myself here. I'm not just taking a trip to Europe. I'm consciously making a choice to 00:42:18.320 |
pursue this path." Guess what? It worked. Business took off. Succeeded. I've read plenty of stories 00:42:26.720 |
of people I haven't even worked with, and I've worked with people. And you know what? If they 00:42:30.160 |
hadn't, you'd have to deal with that at that point in time. But that's the thing is there's this idea 00:42:36.160 |
of scale that a lot of times people forget about. So consider it. Capital. What capital do you have? 00:42:42.880 |
The son of an elite banker has very little need for money, not because his father is necessarily 00:42:50.000 |
wealthy, but because his dad can just make a phone call and make just about anything happen. 00:42:54.800 |
So do you have that kind of social capital to work with? Are you the son of an elite banker? 00:43:01.440 |
Now on the other hand, the son of a poor peasant is likely going to have very little access to 00:43:09.200 |
money and is really going to need to focus on leveraging their intellectual capital to 00:43:14.480 |
gain attention. Unlikely? Probably. Has it happened? Absolutely. So maybe you're leveraging 00:43:21.200 |
something else and you've got to gain attention. You've got to do something dramatic or go 00:43:25.040 |
design your plan in a very different way. It's interesting on the topic of capital. 00:43:31.280 |
I did the interview with Curtis Stone about how he makes a living on a third of an acre. He makes 00:43:36.800 |
$80,000 a year farming a third of an acre with no debt. He doesn't even own the land. He just 00:43:40.960 |
borrows the land from other landowners. I was talking about forms of capital and I saw some 00:43:46.640 |
comments on the show and people were talking about the permaculture, eight forms of capital. 00:43:50.640 |
I'd never even heard of that. So I went and checked it out and it's pretty cool. I guess 00:43:55.120 |
I wasn't the first one to come up with the other forms of capital. I'd heard people talk about it, 00:44:00.880 |
but I didn't know that they'd formalized it. So they came up with these eight forms of capital. 00:44:05.840 |
Intellectual capital, spiritual capital, social capital, material capital, financial capital, 00:44:12.320 |
living capital, cultural capital, and experiential capital. That's a show for another day. I thought 00:44:18.000 |
it was just a fascinating look though at expanding our mind beyond just this idea of 00:44:24.000 |
my capital is the money that I have in the bank. What's your needed return? This is something that 00:44:32.640 |
people often forget about. What return do you need from your financial plan to hit your goals? 00:44:37.520 |
Very rarely do people sit down and say, "What return do I require from my portfolio?" 00:44:43.200 |
Because they usually go the other way around and they say, "Well, this is what they say my 00:44:47.680 |
portfolio can return." Why don't you flip that around and say, "What return do I require from 00:44:52.320 |
my portfolio?" Now maybe you're going to turn this into pie in the sky type of thing and you're just 00:44:56.800 |
saying, "Well, I require this percentage rate of return." Well, what that will show, even if you 00:45:01.280 |
do that, and I wouldn't do that, but even if you do that, that'll show you whether or not your 00:45:05.600 |
investing plan, because you got to ask the second question, the corollary is, "Does my plan have any 00:45:10.880 |
hope of succeeding? Is it possible that I'm going to actually get this rate of return?" 00:45:16.160 |
Accumulating mega wealth is very different from living simply. 00:45:22.960 |
I don't have any interest personally in accumulating mega wealth. 00:45:28.240 |
Don't care a bit. I'm a simple living guy. I'm not interested. When I have enough money to 00:45:34.400 |
continue my lifestyle in the way that I like it and beyond that, 00:45:38.080 |
I don't need a hundred million bucks. Don't even want it. 00:45:42.400 |
The concepts might apply, but the plan is going to be very different. If you're someone, however, 00:45:49.920 |
who is very motivated by, "I'm going to have as much money as possible. I need my hundred 00:45:53.680 |
million dollars. I need my ten million bucks," fine, go for it. But you're going to have to focus 00:45:58.480 |
very differently because you need a different rate of return. Your decisions are going to be 00:46:04.080 |
dramatically affected based upon your perspective of what is likely to happen in the future, 00:46:10.160 |
your outlook on the future. Do you expect positive global economic growth because 00:46:15.760 |
freedom is rising around the world and capitalism is spreading and people are coming out of poverty 00:46:22.480 |
all throughout Africa, all throughout India, all throughout China, all throughout Asia, 00:46:28.400 |
all throughout the world? Are you betting on that? That's going to dramatically affect 00:46:34.080 |
your financial plan. Now, on the other hand, do you expect the total destruction in the 00:46:41.200 |
living standards in the Western world? If so, how do you protect yourself? 00:46:48.080 |
If I were betting on the growth of freedom and the growth of prosperity throughout the world, 00:46:53.280 |
I would be all in on the greatest companies of America and the world 00:46:58.000 |
because those companies are producing products that are going to be loved. I would be looking 00:47:03.920 |
to build a couple of companies of my own. Now, on the other hand, if I expected a complete 00:47:08.160 |
destruction of the US dollar and we're going to go into war in the streets, man, I'm getting 00:47:14.800 |
rid of all of that stuff and I'm buying a bunker and a retreat. I'm not trying to use that as a 00:47:24.800 |
stupid thing. I'm just saying that your decision between them is based upon your outlook for the 00:47:29.360 |
future. How do you protect yourself? Now, in either of those situations, 00:47:33.520 |
are you expecting this to be temporary or permanent? Do you expect that over the long 00:47:40.240 |
term, growth and freedom is going to expand and capital is going to expand or prosperity can 00:47:44.880 |
expand, but there may be short terms of economic upheaval? Or do you say, "Well, there's not going 00:47:49.680 |
to be short terms of economic upheaval." If you don't expect short-term periods of economic 00:47:55.200 |
upheaval, it may lead you to an unwise financial plan. But on the flip side, are you expecting just 00:48:01.040 |
a complete global war for your entire lifetime or are you just expecting that, "Well, there may be 00:48:09.840 |
some short-term economic hiccups." That's going to dramatically affect your plan. I'm trying to 00:48:17.360 |
stay away from giving, "Here's what you would do." What I'm saying is that a good planner should 00:48:22.240 |
listen to you. If you can find a good planner, great. If not, do it for yourself and sit down 00:48:28.560 |
and force yourself through this disciplined thinking process and say, "Here's what I am 00:48:33.600 |
concerned about. Here's what I am planning for." What about your health or your expected lifespan? 00:48:40.400 |
Are you healthy? Are you unhealthy? I've had clients in my office and I'm specifically thinking 00:48:48.640 |
of one client and this client was facing some dramatic health challenges. They'd received 00:48:52.880 |
some money and I told them, I said, "Dump that investment and go buy better health through 00:49:00.000 |
going to—we have this place in West Palm Beach here, it's called Hippocrates Health Institute. 00:49:05.280 |
From what I understand, it's a pretty famous place for people that have cancer and all these things 00:49:11.840 |
go from all over the world. I've been there for lunch a few times. It's kind of neat." I said, 00:49:17.040 |
"Take that money and go spend it at Hippocrates. Go get healthy. What good does it do to you to 00:49:22.160 |
have this money sitting here if you don't have your health? If you've got a short lifespan, 00:49:27.600 |
why are you saving all your money? Go enjoy your money." 00:49:30.640 |
So your health or your expected lifespan is going to dramatically affect your plans. 00:49:36.960 |
I expect to live to 100. It always surprises me when people say, "Oh, I live to 80," because 00:49:41.920 |
they have this family history of people dying at 60. It always surprises me. All four of my 00:49:46.560 |
grandparents lived in their late 90s and my grandmother's 100th birthday is in 12 days. 00:49:54.480 |
I just figure, "Well, I've got to count on at least 100, I hope." But that's going to affect 00:49:58.320 |
how you think about retirement. What opportunities are available to you? Where are you? What country 00:50:05.920 |
do you live in? What state do you live in? What city do you live in? What part of the city do 00:50:10.320 |
you live in? That's going to dramatically affect what opportunities are available to you. 00:50:14.560 |
And it may very well be a better investment to get an apartment on the other side of town where 00:50:20.000 |
you can get out of or to emigrate to another country where you can get out of the situations 00:50:28.160 |
that you are in. That very well may be a better investment than what the personal finance book 00:50:33.680 |
tells you. You've got to think about that. What's your background? I was thinking as I was preparing 00:50:42.800 |
this one about what opportunities are available. Do you have an opportunity to go and spend time 00:50:47.760 |
with someone who's extraordinary? I was reading an essay by Ryan Holiday. He was a guy who, 00:50:54.240 |
I don't remember, he worked at American Apparel and made some money and wrote a couple books. 00:51:00.160 |
But he evidently dropped out of college to go work with Robert Greene. And Robert Greene was 00:51:06.960 |
an author who's written a couple of really cool books. He wrote a book called The 48 Laws of Power, 00:51:11.280 |
which is fascinating. And then he wrote a book, I think it was like The 33 Principles of Seduction, 00:51:16.960 |
or maybe it was 48, I can't remember. And just these fascinating books, this well-respected 00:51:21.920 |
author, he had an opportunity to go intern with him. Man, I'd dump college in an instant if a door 00:51:26.240 |
like that opened up. But that doesn't mean that everyone should dump college. Just you've got to 00:51:30.400 |
look at your situation. What do you enjoy? What do you enjoy? Are you the kind of person that 00:51:38.400 |
enjoys working with your hands, working with your brain? Do you like flying? Do you like languages, 00:51:46.080 |
travel, fashion, high society, being busy, being not busy, simple life? That's going to dramatically 00:51:52.560 |
affect your financial plan. Whether you go to Hong Kong and you work as a trader on a desk of 00:51:57.280 |
Asian investment funds, or whether you move to the country and start a yoga studio, 00:52:05.040 |
that's going to dramatically affect this. You're going to need to understand and get tapped into 00:52:08.720 |
what you enjoy. What's your time perspective? There's a lot of research that's been done on 00:52:14.960 |
wealth. One of the consistent things seems to be that those with a long time perspective who 00:52:20.400 |
see that they can control their lives, that people with a long time perspective tend to 00:52:25.920 |
accumulate more wealth because they're investing for the future. Is that you or is it not you? 00:52:30.640 |
Now, I used to think that being a long time perspective person was morally superior, 00:52:35.520 |
and this was what everyone needed to do. I've since come to appreciate the other side. 00:52:40.000 |
I think there's a balance here. I've since come to appreciate being more focused on just simply 00:52:45.600 |
enjoying now. What's your political persuasion or ideology? What's your religious ideology? 00:52:52.240 |
These things are going to radically affect where you live. If you are political in one way or the 00:52:57.520 |
other, it's going to affect where you live, the money you pay, it's going to affect what you 00:53:00.720 |
invest in, what opportunities you consider. There's places I just simply wouldn't live 00:53:04.960 |
because I wouldn't be very comfortable there. There are plenty of things that I would just 00:53:08.480 |
simply refuse to invest in, no matter how good of an investment they were based upon my own 00:53:13.760 |
personal political ideology and my own personal religious convictions. 00:53:19.120 |
That's going to dramatically affect what I do. What's your economic forecast? Are you predicting 00:53:26.800 |
inflation? By inflation, are you predicting 3% inflation annually? Are you predicting 20% 00:53:33.840 |
mass inflation annually? Are you predicting hyperinflation, 120% or 1,000% annually? 00:53:42.080 |
Are you predicting deflation, stagflation? What's your economic forecast? That's going to affect 00:53:48.160 |
your financial plan and how you prepare. Do you have family? These are the last two here. 00:53:53.920 |
Do you have family? Do you have kids? Do you have dogs? What are your family's goals? 00:53:58.720 |
It's funny. If it were me, I've got a wife and a son and two dogs. If it were me, I was thinking 00:54:05.360 |
about it this morning, just talking about it with my wife. I would live in the country, I think, 00:54:11.600 |
and I would build a big barn in the country. Or maybe I'd buy a property with a barn already on 00:54:16.240 |
it. I would park a fifth-wheel RV in that barn. I'd live in the fifth wheel inside the barn 00:54:20.400 |
because then I got a comfortable bed. I got a nice place to sit. I got a nice desk. I don't 00:54:25.360 |
have to deal with a big house. Then that fifth wheel, I can take it wherever I want, but I would 00:54:29.520 |
live inside the barn so it's a little more comfortable. I can have a little more space 00:54:34.240 |
outside that's covered. One of my favorite authors is an author named Clive Kessler. 00:54:40.240 |
He wrote this series of books. In one of his series of books, his hero was a man named Dirk 00:54:46.560 |
Pitt. Dirk lived in this old dilapidated airplane hangar on the corner of an airport. When you went 00:54:52.880 |
into it, it was filled with this classic automobile collection. He had a small studio apartment built 00:55:00.400 |
in the top of the hangar. It's just this total quintessential guy thing. It was old and dilapidated 00:55:07.680 |
from the outside, but when you opened it up, it was gleaming with all these shiny cars, 00:55:11.760 |
a little studio apartment up top. Then he actually had a train car for his guests to stay in. Down 00:55:18.000 |
on his hangar with all of his cars, he had a train car sitting there. That was where he would put his 00:55:22.400 |
guests, in the train car for their accommodation. I always used to think that was the coolest thing. 00:55:27.520 |
But whether you have family or kids or dogs, that's going to affect your financial plan. 00:55:32.720 |
The fact that I have two dogs makes it more challenging for me to go and rent a studio 00:55:38.320 |
apartment in a cheap place in town. It's just a cost of life. It's a decision. 00:55:42.960 |
So if someone is trying to advise me, "Joshua, you should go and rent this cheap apartment," 00:55:50.320 |
it's going to be tough. I've got a kid and dogs. That makes it more difficult. 00:55:55.200 |
Where is your extended family? One of the major factors for people who are retiring 00:56:01.760 |
is where their kids and grandkids live. It's a major, major factor. So can you plan ahead for 00:56:07.520 |
that? Is it more intelligent for you to invest in a property that would have accommodation locally 00:56:15.200 |
and to invest to live in a place where it's more likely that your kids and grandkids are going to 00:56:19.840 |
want to stay than where they're going to move away and now you have to go and chase them? 00:56:24.160 |
Can you plan ahead for that? I think you can. And then lastly, what's your specific alternative use 00:56:32.160 |
of the dollar? What's your alternative use of the dollar? If you're thinking about, "Should I pay 00:56:39.440 |
off my mortgage?" What would you do with the money instead? Would you rather put a down payment on a 00:56:46.640 |
little piece of land out in the country and prepare for a time of economic depression? 00:56:51.040 |
Would you rather buy another rental house? Or would you rather own some stocks? 00:56:58.320 |
Or would you rather buy some shares of a speculative oil and gas limited partnership? 00:57:06.320 |
Or would you rather simply owe less money on your mortgage? 00:57:09.840 |
See, what happens a lot of times is we're looking for a sense of certainty from someone else. We're 00:57:15.760 |
looking for approval. And so what happens is that we look to an outside expert many times 00:57:21.440 |
for that sense of certainty. And once we find our expert, we just simply grab onto our expert and 00:57:28.240 |
say, "Well, this is what the expert says, so this is true." Now, nothing wrong with experts, but an 00:57:32.800 |
expert, a good expert, should be able to teach you why they believe what they believe and should 00:57:37.680 |
help you to develop a philosophy that makes sense to you and not just simply say, "This is what you 00:57:42.720 |
should do." We've got to build that self-confidence. And when we do, when we build that real deep 00:57:49.360 |
self-confidence, I believe we'll make much better decisions. Those are my ideas on this topic. I 00:57:57.760 |
hope that that's helpful to you. I know it's kind of a little bit different, but I just encourage 00:58:02.480 |
you to think about your situation in unique ways. Think creatively. I'm doing my best to bring you 00:58:09.360 |
great content every day with new people who are thinking creatively and with people from all 00:58:15.440 |
different walks of life solving their problems in all kinds of ways. And I'm intentionally looking 00:58:19.920 |
for people who have been massively successful, moderately successful, and not at all successful. 00:58:26.720 |
I'm intentionally trying to stay away from just bringing high-performing entrepreneurs or 00:58:32.880 |
multi-millionaires to the rescue. Nothing wrong with that stuff, but sometimes it's hard to learn 00:58:37.760 |
from those people. So sometimes just an idea will spark from a place that you don't really expect it 00:58:44.240 |
to be. So I hope that you can take this content and consider how you can apply some creativity 00:58:51.440 |
to your own situation. That's it for today's show, Monday show. This week, what I've got coming for 00:58:57.120 |
you tomorrow, Tuesday, I've got an interview with David Stein. He was a portfolio manager on the 00:59:02.480 |
institutional side for about 20 years or so, retired in his mid-40s. I think you'll enjoy 00:59:07.200 |
listening to him. We had a really great conversation. I'll be playing that interview 00:59:09.840 |
for you tomorrow. Wednesday, we'll be back to hardcore financial planning. And I'm not sure 00:59:14.400 |
which of the series we're going to continue forward yet, but I will work on one of them. 00:59:18.160 |
Thursday is going to be an interview with Ryan from re-craigslist.com. Ryan and his family were 00:59:25.200 |
deeply in debt. They grew up more than 25 grand in credit card and unsecured debt, maybe more, 00:59:30.080 |
I can't remember. And he worked his way out. He has a stay-at-home wife and five kids, and he 00:59:35.120 |
worked his way out of debt over the course of about four years, making his living entirely on 00:59:40.480 |
Craigslist. Self-employed, buying and selling stuff on Craigslist, made his money and paid off all his 00:59:46.080 |
debt doing that. For Friday, I need a question for Friday. I haven't received any voicemails yet on 00:59:51.040 |
the voicemail line. So pull up the site, radicalpersonalfinance.com, and head over and 00:59:56.400 |
leave me a voicemail on your phone or on your computer, and maybe I'll get a voicemail in for 01:00:00.720 |
Friday or five or 10 of them. That would be awesome. Thanks for listening, everybody. Be back tomorrow. 01:00:14.480 |
The holidays start here at Ralph's with a variety of options to celebrate traditions old and new. 01:00:20.000 |
Whether you're making a traditional roasted turkey or spicy turkey tacos, your go-to shrimp cocktail, 01:00:26.160 |
or your first Cajun risotto, Ralph's has all the freshest ingredients to embrace your traditions. 01:00:32.080 |
Ralph's. Fresh for everyone. Choose from a great selection of digital coupons and use them up to 01:00:37.360 |
five times in one transaction. Check our app for details. Ralph's. Fresh for everyone.