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Radical Personal Finance, Episode 32. What order should I use to pay off my debt? A rational 00:00:40.240 |
approach to the debt snowball, the debt avalanche, the debt tsunami, and all of the other debt 00:00:48.000 |
Welcome to the Radical Personal Finance podcast for today, Thursday, July 31, 2014. Today 00:01:12.160 |
we're going to try to stir up the hornet's nest a little bit, try to give a little bit 00:01:16.240 |
of information and some, what I think, rational ways of thinking and considering the details 00:01:22.480 |
of how should I go about paying off my debt. I've decided to pay off my debt, but what 00:01:28.120 |
order should I use to pay off those debts? This is one of the biggest, I don't know, 00:01:40.680 |
if you pay attention to the personal finance world, you'll know this is an ongoing debate 00:01:44.560 |
that everyone likes to argue about. If you don't pay attention to the personal finance 00:01:47.560 |
world, this may be news to you that this is even a controversy of any sort. I often talk 00:01:53.920 |
with people and I mention this controversy and they look at me with a blank stare like, 00:01:58.880 |
"Why would anybody do that?" That being the other thing that someone else would say, "Why 00:02:04.040 |
would anybody do this one?" It's rather comical to me just because everyone has this broad 00:02:10.080 |
range of opinions. This is one of those things where sorting out right and wrong is challenging 00:02:20.320 |
because it's personal. I think this is an excellent example to use to show how I think 00:02:30.240 |
that we who are interested in finance, we who are interested in a rational approach, 00:02:35.840 |
a rational and radical approach to finance, to personal finance, I think we have a responsibility 00:02:41.640 |
to up our game in this area because there are literally millions of people that are 00:02:47.640 |
depending upon us, those of us who are interested in this stuff, whether we're a financial advisor, 00:02:52.480 |
a financial blogger, just an average person who's interested in finance, all of us are 00:02:58.640 |
going to have the ability to impact someone else's life when they ask us questions. I 00:03:03.040 |
think we have a responsibility to help them and there are millions of people who need 00:03:07.200 |
our help. It doesn't help to do this infighting, these arguments back and forth about debt 00:03:13.840 |
snowball versus debt avalanche. If you're not familiar with those terms, give me a moment 00:03:17.040 |
and I'll explain them to you. Today, I'd like to just give some thoughts and some ideas 00:03:23.080 |
for how we could go a little bit deeper than just this back and forth argument. I believe 00:03:28.720 |
this will be helpful. I wouldn't be doing it if I didn't believe it would be helpful. 00:03:32.160 |
But I believe there's another layer that we really need to talk about and we really need 00:03:36.680 |
to understand all of the forces at work in this entire conversation. We need to go beyond 00:03:43.000 |
should I pay off my debt in the highest balance first or should I pay off my debt in the highest 00:03:47.800 |
interest rate first. If we can go beyond this argument, we can stop fighting among each 00:03:54.200 |
other and start helping more people. Those of us who care about these topics, we're not 00:03:59.280 |
the enemy. The debt is the enemy. The consumer debt is the enemy. So let's focus on that 00:04:07.520 |
So first I want to lay out the problem and just some of my assumptions for today's show. 00:04:11.480 |
In today's show, I'm not going to talk much about getting out of debt. But to be clear, 00:04:15.560 |
I think getting out of debt is an incredibly important step on the path to financial independence 00:04:21.640 |
and financial freedom. If I could help any young person avoid going into debt from the 00:04:27.320 |
beginning, I would. If I could help any person get out of debt, I would. I don't want to 00:04:32.880 |
provide any comments today on the topic of getting out of debt versus investing, although 00:04:38.240 |
I have some pretty strong feelings on that as well. It's not as simple as one or the 00:04:45.400 |
But today I'm just going to assume we've decided we want to get out of debt and we've decided 00:04:49.440 |
that this is our number one focus and this is our number one priority. There may be many 00:04:54.100 |
reasons why this would be the ideal thing to approach and the ideal thing to do. 00:05:00.840 |
So let's talk about some different ways to do that. This may sound silly, but there are 00:05:05.200 |
various debt reduction methodologies that you could use. I've thought of five of them 00:05:14.640 |
The first one is what I call the minimum payment methodology. The idea behind a minimum payment 00:05:19.360 |
methodology is you just simply pay your debts according to how much your creditors are charging 00:05:24.560 |
you. So you take your statement every month and you take a look at it and whatever the 00:05:28.440 |
payment, the minimum payment is that it says there on the statement, you pay that amount 00:05:31.800 |
off. Now this can work brilliantly for some kinds of debts and this can be a disaster 00:05:36.480 |
for other kinds of debts. So this can work brilliantly for what are called fully amortizing 00:05:42.120 |
debts with level payments. So this may work well for a mortgage payment. We all know that 00:05:47.680 |
if we have a mortgage payment and we have a traditional fixed rate mortgage payment 00:05:52.000 |
with a level payment, we know that over time if we just pay that level payment that upon 00:05:56.680 |
the term of the loan maturing, that that payment will be paid off. So if we took out a 30-year 00:06:02.180 |
loan and we pay that level payment each month for 30 years, at the end of 360 months that 00:06:08.160 |
payment will be paid off. Or if we have a car payment, then this car payment will be 00:06:13.560 |
paid off under the terms of its loan. So if it's a 60-month loan, we know that 60 months 00:06:17.640 |
later this car will be paid off and we'll have a level payment over that 60-month period. 00:06:23.120 |
The minimum payment methodology is a little bit more tricky when you get into the world 00:06:26.840 |
of student loans and also when you get into the world of credit cards. The challenge is 00:06:31.320 |
especially with credit cards of this payment methodology because as you pay the loan balance 00:06:37.360 |
down, the minimum payment changes. And so with most credit cards, the way that the minimum 00:06:41.760 |
payment is calculated is that if you start off with a $10,000 balance and that balance 00:06:47.320 |
declines, then the minimum payment will be recalculated. So under a credit card minimum 00:06:53.280 |
payment methodology, you'll wind up paying a substantial amount of interest if you just 00:06:57.880 |
pay the minimum payments. Student loans vary depending on the nature of the loan and there 00:07:02.280 |
are some funky things with student loans that I don't want to get into today as far as the 00:07:08.160 |
various repayment options and various forgiveness options and things like that, various terms 00:07:12.960 |
where the payments are not due and then the payment calculation being based upon income. 00:07:17.480 |
So a little bit funky. Just look and read the terms of your loan for that. So the minimum 00:07:21.520 |
payment methodology is frankly what many debtors wind up doing. That's what many debtors wind 00:07:28.680 |
up doing because if you're a debtor and you just pay the minimum amount that you need 00:07:33.200 |
to do and those minimum amounts can accrue and accumulate over time. And the challenge 00:07:37.760 |
is that's usually going to be the slowest way to pay it off. Now many people who are 00:07:41.280 |
in debt do want to pay off their debt more quickly and get things cleared a little bit 00:07:45.600 |
faster. And so then that brings us to debt reduction methodology number two, which I 00:07:50.080 |
call a little extra here and there. And so this would be I pay a little extra here, I 00:07:54.640 |
pay a little extra there. I'm putting a little $50 extra on this credit card. I'm putting 00:07:59.000 |
$50 extra on that student loan and I'm just kind of paying a little bit more as I have 00:08:03.400 |
the opportunity to pay a little bit more. This is frankly quite normal. This is what 00:08:07.680 |
many people do. And this is why those who have ongoing balances of their debt payments, 00:08:15.080 |
ongoing balances on their debts, they often don't feel like they make much progress because 00:08:20.200 |
the energy is spread out. And so I agree 100% with the various personal finance gurus and 00:08:25.560 |
pundits that comment on this topic. It makes all the sense in the world to me. This is 00:08:30.080 |
probably the least effective way of paying off debt because $50 here, $200 there, $1,000 00:08:36.280 |
on the other debt makes you feel like you're never making measurable progress because you 00:08:40.440 |
don't have a plan. And so this is probably the least effective. And I would encourage 00:08:46.080 |
nobody to follow this one. I would encourage anybody to pick one of the other methodologies. 00:08:52.240 |
So then we move on to kind of the other methodologies that are more proclaimed. I'm familiar with 00:08:59.000 |
three or four depending on how you count them. There's two biggies and then there's one or 00:09:03.400 |
maybe the same thing, two that I've heard of here and there in paying attention to personal 00:09:08.400 |
finance stuff over the years. The two biggies are what are called the debt snowball and 00:09:12.280 |
the debt avalanche. And then the other two is the debt tsunami and the risk reduction 00:09:16.840 |
method. Those are just some various names that I have heard for paying off debts. And 00:09:22.200 |
I'll explain them one by one. So the biggie in the personal finance space is the idea 00:09:26.160 |
of the debt snowball. All four of these, by the way, are trying to harness the same focus 00:09:32.880 |
methodology. And so the idea here is that with any one of these payment methodologies, 00:09:39.600 |
the idea is that you will pay a minimum payment on all of your debts except one. And you will 00:09:45.320 |
pick one balance, one debt to which you're going to focus all of your extra payments 00:09:50.680 |
over and above and beyond the minimum payment that's required. And then by focusing on that 00:09:57.240 |
payment, on that debt, you will clear that debt and then you'll take the amount of money 00:10:01.840 |
that you were paying towards that debt and then you'll roll it towards the second debt 00:10:06.760 |
on your list, whichever that second debt happens to be. And then you'll move on to the third 00:10:11.480 |
debt, then on to the fourth debt, then on to the fifth debt. Now this is extremely powerful 00:10:16.040 |
as a debt payment methodology because instead of just simply paying the minimum payments 00:10:21.600 |
and then when one debt is cleared, you continue paying minimum payments on the others, by 00:10:25.440 |
focusing the efforts on one and then rolling the payment that was being paid towards that 00:10:30.280 |
one once the first one is paid off to the second one, then the amount that you're paying 00:10:34.120 |
each month towards the debt grows substantially over time. And so this is really powerful 00:10:40.600 |
because it focuses your efforts. And then by focusing the efforts onto one specific 00:10:44.800 |
debt, by focusing on one specific debt, then it concentrates you and gives you the power 00:10:50.840 |
of, basically the power of focus. I think there was a book written with that name. It's 00:10:54.000 |
the power of focus. Basically anything we focus on, we're able to make substantial progress 00:10:58.040 |
on and it's no different in the area of debt repayment. So I want to walk through these 00:11:03.560 |
different methods. So the most popular of these four is called the debt snowball. And 00:11:09.480 |
the reason it's the most popular is because this is the method championed by the big, 00:11:14.480 |
the big dog in the personal finance space, Dave Ramsey. And so Dave Ramsey champions 00:11:18.880 |
a method that he calls the debt snowball. And I assume he didn't make up the name. I 00:11:22.920 |
assume he just popularized it. But if he did, I give him all the credit. I don't know where 00:11:26.760 |
these names came from. And the idea behind the debt snowball is to pay minimum payments 00:11:34.840 |
on all of the debts except the one with the smallest balance. So if you have a -- you 00:11:41.040 |
have three loans and one of them has a $1,000 balance, one of them has a $10,000 balance, 00:11:45.520 |
and one of them has a $5,000 balance, you ignore the interest rates and you focus on 00:11:50.360 |
the one with the smallest balance. And the idea here is to harness the power of behavioral 00:11:56.320 |
modification and set yourself up for a feeling of success by getting a win of paying off 00:12:02.680 |
the debt quickly. So the analogy that Dave will use and that I think is accurate is anything 00:12:11.360 |
that you start, for example, dieting, if you focus on what can I do in the first -- what 00:12:15.960 |
can I do up front and what can I do -- if you go on a diet and you lose five or ten 00:12:20.760 |
pounds really quickly, your more -- idea is that you're more motivated to stick with your 00:12:25.640 |
diet. So the same thing. If you can -- if you have a list of five debts and you have 00:12:29.200 |
two little ones and you can get that little -- the first little one cleared out in the 00:12:32.640 |
first month and the second little one cleared out in the second and third month, then this 00:12:36.320 |
is a really powerful motivating factor to help you stay on the plan. So now you've gone 00:12:42.240 |
from five debts to three debts and you get some wins of not having to face those bills 00:12:48.040 |
and those debt statements in the month -- in the mail every month. The critics of this 00:12:52.960 |
methodology will quickly complain, well, what about the interest rates? And, you know, if 00:12:58.480 |
you're paying off the debt that has the smallest balance, it may also have the lowest interest 00:13:02.840 |
rate, so therefore the interest rate -- the higher interest rates on the other debts are 00:13:06.480 |
continuing to accrue and you're paying more money. And I'll go into this in detail because 00:13:10.280 |
that's the point of today's show. We're going to do some number crunching and show when 00:13:13.760 |
this matters and when this doesn't matter. So that's what the critics would say is that 00:13:18.320 |
you're paying more money in interest and then the defense for this method would be, well, 00:13:21.680 |
yes, you're paying more money in interest, but you're harnessing the power of behavior 00:13:25.200 |
modification. So that's the debt snowball. The next method of paying off debt would be 00:13:30.280 |
what I would call -- or what is commonly called the debt avalanche. And so the debt avalanche 00:13:35.360 |
is to list all your debts in order of the highest interest rate to the lowest interest 00:13:39.840 |
rate and put all of your focus onto the payment that has the highest interest rate. By doing 00:13:47.600 |
this, you're wiping out the interest payments and this will ultimately be the least expensive 00:13:52.600 |
way to pay off the debts. Now, the critics of this method will say, well, yeah, it would 00:13:56.400 |
be the least expensive way if you're able to stay motivated. But if you're not able 00:14:00.120 |
to stay motivated, then you're not going to pay off your debt. You're not going to pay 00:14:04.600 |
off your debt. So you're just going to sit there and be trucking away at this. Maybe 00:14:08.160 |
you have a big debt with a high interest rate and you're just going to be sitting here trucking 00:14:11.960 |
away at the amounts and you're not going to make any progress on it. But the defendants 00:14:17.960 |
of this methodology would say, well, it's still going to be the cheapest, so it's going 00:14:23.840 |
to be the fastest and you're going to pay the least money out of pocket. Now, the other 00:14:27.640 |
two are not -- so those are the two big ones, the debt snowball and the debt avalanche. 00:14:32.280 |
And the other two are ones that I've just heard here and there. The debt tsunami, I've 00:14:36.680 |
only ever heard this written by -- I heard this term, I think it was coined by Adam Baker, 00:14:42.520 |
who wrote a blog called "Man vs. Debt." And his idea here with his debt tsunami was to 00:14:48.720 |
focus on the most hated debt. And his idea was, why don't you harness the power of behavior 00:14:53.960 |
modification by focusing on the debt that you hate the most? So, for example, if you 00:14:58.640 |
have -- if you owe a credit card balance that is for an ex-spouse's spending prior to a 00:15:06.840 |
divorce, and if you hate that balance, get rid of that first. Or if you owe a credit 00:15:10.440 |
card balance and you just hate Bank of America for some reason, well, pay off that Bank of 00:15:14.640 |
America card first. And so, his idea was harness the power of behavior modification by focusing 00:15:19.920 |
on the most hated debt. And then, the other is similar, and this is the least popular 00:15:25.040 |
that I've heard, but I've seen it in a couple of articles, basically the risk reduction 00:15:28.760 |
method, which is the idea is you pick the riskiest debt to you. And so, this is similar 00:15:32.760 |
to the most hated debt. And so, the idea is, well, figure out what your riskiest debt is. 00:15:42.960 |
If it's a debt to your parents or a debt to -- on a mortgage that you want to make sure 00:15:47.760 |
your house is paid off so you don't lose the house if you face difficult times, things 00:15:53.000 |
like that. So, these are the different methodologies. And I'm going to -- we're going to do some 00:15:58.680 |
math today, and I think I've got it simplified enough to be able to do it on a podcast. We're 00:16:02.640 |
going to do some math, because here's my issue with all of these things, and I'm going to 00:16:07.520 |
scream it loud and clear. This must be an individual discussion, because there are two 00:16:13.320 |
things that are important. Number one is it's important to look at the individual's makeup 00:16:18.040 |
of their individual debt. And number two, there's a whole realm that we're not talking 00:16:23.000 |
about, which is the terms of the debt. And so, most of the time, people are always talking 00:16:27.680 |
about what debt balance should I pay off and what interest rate balance should I pay off, 00:16:32.400 |
but they forget about what are the terms of the debt. And the terms of the debt matter. 00:16:35.800 |
And so, we're going to talk extensively about the terms towards the end of the show today, 00:16:41.040 |
because I think we need to factor this in. Now, before we do, many people's -- I want 00:16:45.400 |
to just give a disclaimer. Many people's debt situations are very simple. If you listen 00:16:50.600 |
to Dave Ramsey's show, you listen to his radio show, the people that are calling in, this 00:16:55.840 |
is the -- this is kind of the average American, low to middle income, struggling with debt, 00:17:02.240 |
and the debt makeup is fairly simple. So, it's I've got a credit card, I've got a student 00:17:06.800 |
loan, and I've got a car payment. And so, if you've got a credit card, a student loan, 00:17:10.440 |
and a car payment, it may be fairly straightforward as far as which of those you should pay off. 00:17:14.480 |
And so, I'm not mad about these methodologies, but the problem is that when we fight about 00:17:18.680 |
them, we're missing the bigger picture, what's actually important. And so, we need to actually 00:17:25.440 |
personalize this with people. We need to actually run a personal spreadsheet for each makeup 00:17:31.960 |
of a debt -- makeup of somebody's balances. This is important. So, I'm going to pass along 00:17:37.720 |
a tool in a moment, and it's the easiest tool I've found. It's totally free, and I'd encourage 00:17:42.720 |
you to use it if you're trying to figure out what your -- what plan you should use for 00:17:47.760 |
your debt, or if you're trying to help somebody else, whether that's a client, if you're a 00:17:51.840 |
financial planner, or whether it's just a friend or a family member, if you're trying 00:17:55.360 |
to help somebody else figure out what they should do as far as how they should focus 00:17:59.640 |
on paying off their debts. The key thing in all of these plans is to understand basically 00:18:05.960 |
what's the alternative use of the dollar. And so, the whole concept of paying off the 00:18:12.120 |
-- of debts is that we're going to transition from consumption of money over to the paying 00:18:18.920 |
off of debt, which is usually going to be consumer debt, which was previous consumption. 00:18:23.520 |
And this is what many people who are deeply in debt or want to get out are going to do. 00:18:27.800 |
And so, if you're -- if you are -- if you have a lot of debt, and you have a lot of 00:18:31.680 |
consumer debt, and you're going to transition, and you're going to change dollars that you're 00:18:35.240 |
currently spending, because you made your cash flow statement, and you're going to move 00:18:38.560 |
some of the dollars that you're spending on consumption over to paying off your debts, 00:18:43.920 |
then that's awesome. That's going to be a good move. But if the majority of your cash 00:18:48.600 |
flow is going toward investment, and you're carrying debt for -- and you're carrying debt 00:18:53.680 |
for investment purposes, then this is a very different conversation. And so, that's why 00:18:58.200 |
in the future we will do some should I pay off debt or invest shows. But look at your 00:19:01.720 |
cash flow statement. See where your money's going. Now, again, with the majority of people, 00:19:05.080 |
at least in my experience, it seems fairly simple. We're going to allocate money over 00:19:09.000 |
from consumption, from the consumption categories over to the debt repayment categories. And 00:19:14.160 |
that's definitely going to be a good move. It's going to be very difficult for that not 00:19:18.280 |
to be a good move. So, let's assume that's the case. Now, I've 00:19:22.840 |
run some numbers, and I'm going to walk through those numbers to show you how this does matter. 00:19:27.320 |
And for the sake of -- I don't -- it's hard to get too numbers intensive in a podcast, 00:19:32.000 |
but I think I've been able to simplify it enough to make the point. And so, what I've 00:19:37.120 |
done -- and you'll see why I've done this in a moment. But I've simplified, and I'm 00:19:41.600 |
using a spreadsheet here that is a debt reduction calculator. And there will be a link in the 00:19:46.040 |
show notes. This is the most useful spreadsheet that I have ever found that someone has created. 00:19:50.820 |
It's for free. You can buy it. There will be a link in the show -- excuse me. It's for 00:19:54.200 |
free. You can use it and download it from the link in the show notes. It is published 00:19:58.360 |
on a website called Vertex 42, where they publish a lot of Excel templates and Excel 00:20:05.360 |
-- basically Excel templates. And this is a calculator that someone has created that 00:20:10.160 |
is a fabulous, fabulous calculator. And you can download it for free, and you can enter 00:20:16.000 |
up to 10 debts, or you can pay for a version which you can enter more debts. It's 10 bucks 00:20:22.280 |
if you need to list more than 10 creditors. So you can list up to -- you can have a list 00:20:26.840 |
up to 20 creditors, or even as much to -- yeah, as much as 20 creditors. And this is fabulous, 00:20:33.840 |
because instead of our sitting around arguing about what -- you know, what's right and what's 00:20:39.200 |
wrong, we can calculate it. And we can calculate what our cost would be. So if we're going 00:20:43.400 |
to do the method focusing on behavior modification, the debt snowball, we can calculate what the 00:20:49.640 |
actual cost of the additional interest that we're paying would be. And I've done these 00:20:54.680 |
calculations a lot of times with clients. I've done many of these calculations, and 00:20:58.600 |
I've found that it's very important to do the individual calculation with a client, 00:21:04.500 |
because the makeup of the debts and the terms of the debts matters. The interest rates matter 00:21:09.580 |
and the amounts matter. So just to lay out a very extreme example to make my point, if 00:21:16.580 |
you have three debts, one of them has a $20,000 balance, one of them has a $300 balance, and 00:21:23.000 |
one of them has an $800 balance, and you're going to throw an extra $1,000 a month at 00:21:27.200 |
your debt payments, I think it would be pretty smart to just go ahead and use the debt snowball 00:21:31.720 |
regardless of the interest rates. Just ignore the interest rates, because, you know, in 00:21:36.240 |
a month and a half, you've got your two little debts cleared. But if you have three 00:21:39.720 |
debts of relatively similar balances, then it's a very different situation. So you 00:21:45.880 |
can't just say one or the other. You've got to look at what's the actual makeup 00:21:49.100 |
of your debt, and you need to look at the interest rates and the terms. So I've got 00:21:53.020 |
a spreadsheet here, and let me tell you what the debts are that I've entered into it. 00:21:57.320 |
And again, I'm using this -- I've simplified this to try to get this point across on audio. 00:22:03.180 |
But I'm using three debts. I'm using credit card debt, a car loan, and student loans. 00:22:07.540 |
So I've got credit cards, car loans, and student loans. And for the sake of illustration, 00:22:12.620 |
I've chosen to make the one with the highest balance have the highest interest rate, and 00:22:17.140 |
the one with the lowest balance have the lowest interest rate. And I've made these numbers 00:22:20.640 |
up for the sake of illustration to show that -- first of all, these are reasonable numbers, 00:22:26.020 |
but to show how this could really make a difference. And I would encourage you, follow the link 00:22:30.960 |
in the show notes. Today's show notes are at RadicalPersonalFinance.com/32, and construct 00:22:36.380 |
this for yourself. But let me use my example to show the difference. So I've got a $20,000 00:22:41.580 |
credit card balance with an interest rate of 18% and a monthly payment of $500. I've 00:22:47.460 |
got a $15,000 car loan with an interest rate of 8% and a monthly payment of $300. And I've 00:22:53.700 |
got a student loan balance of $10,000 and an interest rate of 6% and a minimum monthly 00:22:58.620 |
payment of $100. So my total minimum monthly payments are $900. And the way this spreadsheet 00:23:05.820 |
works is because I have my minimum payment, it has to be paid of $900. But then I can 00:23:11.260 |
choose to put in what is my extra payment. So what additional amount can I pay every 00:23:16.100 |
month? Now, if I don't pay any additional amount, and I just pay these debts off on 00:23:22.100 |
their -- and I just pay these debts off, but I pay a level $900, I'm still going to be 00:23:26.740 |
out of debt faster. By the way, one disclaimer, I'm going to round some of these numbers to 00:23:31.780 |
hopefully make them easier to hear on the podcast. So if there's a -- if it's $768, 00:23:37.060 |
I'll just say $800. So I'm going to round a little bit to make the points. But you can 00:23:42.260 |
again, you can calculate these out exactly to the dollar if you want to. So if you just 00:23:46.380 |
pay the $900 payment every month, then you'll pay that for the first 62 months. And then 00:23:53.060 |
after 62 months, the first two payments will be paid off. And then the full balance of 00:23:57.420 |
the $900 will be moved over to the third payment. And it'll take a total of 69 months to pay 00:24:02.460 |
off these debts under the terms that I have put them in here. So 69 months to take care 00:24:09.140 |
of this. So that's just under six years to pay off the debt. Now, if you increase your 00:24:13.020 |
monthly payment -- and so let's start with the monthly payment of $1,000 a month. If 00:24:16.940 |
you put $1,000 a month in here, then it shortens things out. So let's start with an avalanche 00:24:21.580 |
method. An avalanche of the highest interest rate -- let's start with the snowball method 00:24:25.420 |
actually, which would be the lowest balance first. So if you're paying a snowball payment 00:24:30.140 |
of $1,000 a month, so it's an extra $100 on top of the $900 of initial minimum monthly 00:24:36.420 |
payments, the first debt would be paid off. That would be the student loan, starting with 00:24:40.420 |
the $10,000 balance. That would be paid off in 58 months. And you would pay a total of 00:24:45.060 |
$11,536 of interest. Then the car loan would be paid off at 60 months. So that would be 00:24:51.500 |
-- you'd pay off the $15,000 balance and pay a total of $3,300 of interest. And then the 00:24:56.860 |
credit cards would be paid off in 61 months. And you would pay off the balance of $20,000, 00:25:02.540 |
and you would pay a total interest of $10,765. So the total interest paid would be $15,604.53. 00:25:12.580 |
Now if you switch this and you say, "Okay, so I'm paying $15,600 of interest under the 00:25:18.500 |
snowball method. What if I take exactly the same terms and I make it -- I'm going to continue 00:25:24.540 |
to pay $1,000 a month, but I go ahead and put it at the highest interest rate first?" 00:25:30.220 |
Well now I'm going to pay the credit cards first. And I'm going to have that paid off 00:25:35.060 |
in 47 months, and then the car loan's in 52, then the student loan's in 59. My total interest 00:25:40.300 |
paid would be $13,462. So you would pay a lower interest rate, $13,462. So if you subtract 00:25:51.180 |
-- I'll just do $13,460 from $15,600, you can see that under the snowball method, you 00:25:59.660 |
would pay an additional $2,000 of interest. So the snowball method is $2,000 of interest 00:26:06.940 |
payments, more expensive. And then the amount of time that it would take to pay off these 00:26:11.900 |
debts, if you looked at it, it would be a total of 59 months under the snowball method 00:26:17.260 |
and a total of -- let's see here -- 61 months -- excuse me -- a total of 59 months under 00:26:22.540 |
the avalanche method, so highest interest rate first, and a total of 61 months under 00:26:26.820 |
the snowball method. So under this scenario, if you were working on this plan, you would 00:26:32.020 |
say, "Well, there's not that -- I mean, to me, when the first debt is paid off in 58 00:26:38.140 |
months under the snowball method, and then the avalanche method, the first one has paid 00:26:44.780 |
off -- the debt has paid off in 47 months, then here the clear winner would be to do 00:26:50.020 |
the avalanche under this scenario." Now, I want to be fair to Dave Ramsey. This is not 00:26:55.700 |
his method. Dave Ramsey's method, if you listen to his show and absorb what he says, his method 00:27:01.940 |
is you should have a target payoff of being able to pay off your debts in basically around 00:27:08.220 |
two years -- one year, two years, three years. And his goal for doing that, what he would 00:27:13.380 |
say is sell the car, get rid of that $15,000. Now you've dropped your balance from -- total 00:27:19.180 |
balance is from $45,000 to $30,000, and then sell a bunch of other stuff and just make 00:27:24.060 |
sure that you're on a plan, get an extra job, make sure you're on a plan to get things paid 00:27:28.660 |
off in about two to three years. So that would be his plan. So let's figure out what would 00:27:35.100 |
be the cost under this scenario if we did it that way. So I'm going to up my monthly 00:27:39.140 |
payment, and let's just see how -- I'm going to keep my strategy under the snowball, and 00:27:42.900 |
I'm going to up my monthly payment to $2,000. Well, now if I up my monthly payment to $2,000, 00:27:48.820 |
which would be $1,100 higher than my minimum payments of $900, now under the snowball method, 00:27:54.300 |
I can pay off my debts in 27 months. It would be the longest one paid off, 27 months. So 00:28:00.460 |
I'm paying them off, and my total interest at $2,000 -- if I can make $2,000 level payments 00:28:05.940 |
towards my $45,000 debt, in 27 months I will have paid off all of the debts, and I'll pay 00:28:11.700 |
a total of $7,494.42 of interest under the snowball method. If I do it under the avalanche 00:28:19.540 |
method, then my total interest payments would be $4,986.27. So again, that interest savings 00:28:32.180 |
that I would enjoy by paying this in the highest interest rate first, I would save $2,508 of 00:28:40.340 |
interest. Well, let's look under this scenario. Let's look and see if I would be able to harness 00:28:44.760 |
the power of the big wins, the quick wins. Under the avalanche method, I would have my 00:28:51.260 |
first debt paid off in 14 months, and under the snowball method, I would have my first 00:28:55.620 |
debt paid off in 9 months. So I would look at that, and I would say, "Am I going to be 00:28:59.660 |
extra motivated by having that student loan payment paid off, $10,000, and have that paid 00:29:04.860 |
off in 9 months, or am I still going to be motivated to do this for 14 months?" But under 00:29:10.500 |
the avalanche method, I have my full debt paid off in 25 months versus 27 months. So 00:29:16.900 |
I got five months. I had my first debt paid off five months sooner, but it took me two 00:29:21.740 |
months longer under this scenario. So which was better for me? Now again, I want to be 00:29:27.820 |
fair about this. I have constructed this chart using three loans, and I've made my highest 00:29:34.620 |
credit card balance have the highest interest rate. Then my medium-sized car loan, $15,000, 00:29:39.580 |
have an 8% interest rate, and then my student loans have $10,000 balance, have a 6% interest 00:29:44.540 |
rate. So I don't think I'm constructing a straw man here. I think this is an accurate 00:29:50.060 |
analysis, but I have tilted the odds in the favor of this math to illustrate how the math 00:29:54.900 |
would work. So this would be the Dave Ramsey plan, because I am paying $2,000, and I have 00:30:00.900 |
my debts paid off in 27 months. So this would be under the snowball. But to me, this would 00:30:07.500 |
be a good example. If this were the scenario that someone were facing, this would be a 00:30:11.620 |
good example where I would say, "Save the $2,500 of interest and make sure that you 00:30:18.260 |
pay off the credit cards first, because 14 months versus nine months, is that really 00:30:23.020 |
going to make a difference?" Now, again, if somebody had a $300 debt, well, yeah, get 00:30:28.100 |
rid of the $300 debt. That would make a lot of sense to me. But this is why it's so difficult 00:30:34.220 |
to -- why we have these stupid arguments in the finance world, when they can be quickly 00:30:40.620 |
-- like, we have these stupid arguments about what's better, and you go and you read these 00:30:43.820 |
comment threads of thousands of comments. Well, this method worked for me. It's great 00:30:47.500 |
that it worked for you, but sit down and calculate it. Use the spreadsheet and calculate your 00:30:51.820 |
method and figure out what it is for yourself. You're an adult. You can sit down, and you 00:30:57.940 |
can say, "I think that I need some behavior modification." Let me give an example. It 00:31:03.620 |
is not stupid, if you're going to go on a diet, to go around your house and say, "I'm 00:31:07.820 |
going to throw out all the junk food out of my house, so that I don't have it sitting 00:31:11.860 |
there and facing me." It's not stupid. You don't have to say, "I'm supposed to be this 00:31:18.240 |
mature adult who doesn't give into temptation." I think that'd be pretty smart. Recognize 00:31:23.400 |
these behavioral cues and recognize your situation. So understand it, and then harness the power 00:31:30.140 |
of behavior modification. You don't have to go through these things. You can harness the 00:31:36.420 |
power of behavior modification for yourself. So don't run from it. Don't just say, "I've 00:31:41.700 |
got to be coldly rational." We're not coldly rational people. We're human beings. We're 00:31:45.740 |
emotional human beings. But run the spreadsheet and actually do the math and figure out what 00:31:51.180 |
your actual better scenario would be. So this would just be an example of snowball versus 00:31:57.940 |
avalanche. Now, if I change something, I could change any of these variables and adjust the 00:32:04.260 |
interest rate. In fact, I thought about doing that, but I think actually it would just be 00:32:07.740 |
two numbers heavy for me to go through. I thought about making some alternative spreadsheets 00:32:13.140 |
of different scenarios and showing how these things vary. But the key, I would just say, 00:32:18.140 |
is do your own math. And I don't want to belabor the point. I think you get it. Do your own 00:32:21.900 |
math. Interest rates do matter. Like it or not, interest rates do matter. You can't just 00:32:29.740 |
say it's all about behavior modification and it's all about--and it's--and ignore the interest 00:32:34.940 |
rates. Oh, I guess you could say whatever you want. I think it's dumb to say it's all 00:32:39.140 |
about behavior modification and interest rates don't matter. And I think it's equally dumb 00:32:43.100 |
to say it's all about interest rates and behavior modification doesn't matter. Both of these 00:32:48.620 |
are important. So we've got to integrate these into the plan. And remember, just because 00:32:54.060 |
something worked for you doesn't mean it's necessarily the same thing that everyone else 00:32:58.140 |
should do. It's okay if something worked for you. It's okay for me to say, "I choose to 00:33:03.340 |
do this because this aligns with my goals." And it's okay for you to say, "I have different 00:33:09.860 |
goals." So just recognize, you know, we're all adults. We have one life to live. Let's 00:33:14.180 |
live it and not worry about trying to make everyone else. Just because something worked 00:33:18.180 |
for us doesn't mean that's what everyone else should do. If I sound a little bit passionate, 00:33:22.780 |
it's because I am. Because I labored under this kind of construct for years of just this 00:33:29.260 |
personal finance dogma, "This is the right way. This is the right way." Someday I'll 00:33:33.180 |
tell my story on a show. But I mean, Dave Ramsey was a huge influence in my life. I 00:33:36.540 |
got out of debt because I read his book, Total Money Makeover. And man, it was a brilliant 00:33:42.180 |
behavior modification book for me. And I owe him a debt of gratitude for that. I would 00:33:46.540 |
love to -- I've never met him. I would love to shake his hand and just say, "Thank you." 00:33:51.100 |
That's awesome. But the problem is that it was totally destructive for me to take and 00:33:55.300 |
apply that same thing to everything else, that same thing that worked for me in the 00:34:00.060 |
financial planning world. And it took me years to learn, "Wait a second. I've got to be a 00:34:04.580 |
little bit -- I've got to have a little bit more finesse with this." And then I just -- the 00:34:12.740 |
dogma is not necessary. We've got to find a way to implement the -- to bring in the 00:34:20.740 |
reality of behavior modification and inspiration without this like divisive, "This is the only 00:34:28.020 |
right way." Why don't we teach -- that's what I'm trying to do. Why don't we teach people 00:34:31.020 |
to think about it and be adults and think about and create your own plan instead of 00:34:36.060 |
saying, "This is what you've got to do because this is right." Run the math. We ought to 00:34:39.340 |
run the math on every single situation. And yes, we are doing math. And yes, personal 00:34:45.460 |
finance is about finance. It's also about personal behavior and we -- but we are doing 00:34:51.020 |
math. This does matter. So I want to go on and hopefully that's not too -- hopefully 00:35:00.460 |
that's not too -- I'm not bitter. It's just -- the answer is every -- the answer in every 00:35:06.420 |
situation will reveal itself when you actually sit down and create a spreadsheet or get out 00:35:10.980 |
a calculator and calculate it. And this is the weakness is that a lot of times as financial 00:35:17.380 |
people who are interested in finance, we're not taking the time to learn how to calculate 00:35:21.500 |
this stuff. And so we spout what we've heard other people say that makes sense without 00:35:27.420 |
sitting down and saying, "Let me challenge it." And if we would challenge people, you 00:35:30.780 |
know, don't ever take -- if I do a financial plan for you, don't ever just take it at face 00:35:34.180 |
value. Challenge it. You need to understand what's going on in it and I need to be able 00:35:37.740 |
to defend it. And if we would learn to challenge things instead of just simply saying, "My 00:35:42.260 |
guru says such and such," we may have a slightly better situation. We may have better teachers 00:35:48.660 |
because we hold them accountable. We may hold our politicians accountable instead of lying 00:35:52.540 |
every day and saying what they're doing and then they just do something else. And we may 00:35:57.100 |
actually have a better situation if we would increase our knowledge a little bit and increase 00:36:02.160 |
our capacity and our ability. And in a world where with a quick Google search we can turn 00:36:07.300 |
up a spreadsheet then we just enter everything in and say, "Let me calculate it," this would 00:36:11.620 |
be an amazingly -- this is a valuable thing to do. So let's calculate it. Moving on. Terms. 00:36:18.260 |
Interest rates matter. Amounts matter. But terms matter. So in my simplified example, 00:36:25.140 |
I have a credit card, a car loan, and a student loan. But here's where you have to kind of 00:36:30.300 |
look and say, "What are the actual terms of these debts?" And I cry sometimes when I see 00:36:35.320 |
people make serious errors in paying off their debts. Serious errors. So remember, I said 00:36:42.920 |
that this -- the whole debt conversation is predicated upon the idea of what's the alternative 00:36:48.820 |
use of the dollar and the alternative use of the dollar being consumption. So yes, if 00:36:52.460 |
you're going between consumption versus debt payments, you're probably better off paying 00:36:56.020 |
off the debts. But what if this is not the question? What if the alternative use of the 00:36:59.960 |
dollar is not consumption? What if the alternative use of the dollar is investment? Well, now 00:37:04.200 |
we got to look at the terms of the debts and factor this in and we need to do a slightly 00:37:08.760 |
more rational analysis. And so this is where -- I mean, this is what in my experience rich 00:37:15.880 |
people do. You need to think about this. So let me give you some ideas that generally 00:37:19.280 |
are not talked about. First of all, don't just look at the interest rate. Look at the 00:37:24.040 |
fact of is the interest deductible or not? Deductibility matters. Deductibility matters. 00:37:32.320 |
Now, you may or may not be deducting it. So for example, home mortgage interest deduction, 00:37:36.120 |
you may indeed be taking a standard deduction on your taxes and not deducting your home 00:37:39.840 |
mortgage interest. However, that's not the only thing that's deductible. Are you deducting 00:37:44.840 |
your student loan interest? Are you deducting this as a business interest? First of all, 00:37:50.320 |
don't be dumb and ever borrow money that's not deductible. And I say it again, don't 00:37:55.520 |
be dumb and ever borrow money that's not deductible. Listen to my show and I'll teach you all the 00:37:59.160 |
ways to borrow money that's deductible, but don't ever -- this is why the gap between 00:38:05.480 |
the rich and the poor gets bigger, is that poor people borrow for consumptions. They 00:38:09.600 |
borrow on a credit card at a high interest rate and it's non-deductible interest. They 00:38:13.360 |
borrow on a car and it's a high interest rate and it's non-deductible interest. And they 00:38:17.880 |
borrow on a house, but their income is such and the house is so low as far as the amount 00:38:23.640 |
of interest that they're paying on the house payment, that they're better off just taking 00:38:26.800 |
the standard deduction. They'd be better off just renting probably, most of the time. And 00:38:31.360 |
so you're wasting this deduction. So -- but wealthy people would say, well, let me make 00:38:36.960 |
sure that I'm borrowing and if I'm borrowing it's going to be on a business credit card, 00:38:40.280 |
so therefore my interest would be deductible. If I'm borrowing and paying interest on a 00:38:44.120 |
car loan, let me make sure that at least some portion of that car loan is being paid by 00:38:49.040 |
business, so that it's deductible. And let me make sure that my home mortgage, if I'm 00:38:53.080 |
going to go ahead and do that out, let me make sure that I go ahead and maximize that 00:38:56.640 |
deduction. So I don't think it's -- I wouldn't -- I don't think it's smart to go into debt 00:39:01.560 |
for the purpose of deduction, but if you're going to go into debt, make sure that you're 00:39:04.440 |
going to deduct it. And don't -- and let -- and this stuff matters. And this is a major, major 00:39:10.240 |
factor in financial planning. You've got to look at the deductibility of the interest. 00:39:17.240 |
Now, give me an example, okay? The mortgage is the simple one. If you are deducting your 00:39:23.760 |
mortgage, you would run the analysis. If you are deducting your mortgage interest, you 00:39:28.200 |
would run the analysis and see, you know, for example, are you close to the standard 00:39:31.840 |
deduction line? If you're close to the standard deduction, you can just use the standard deduction 00:39:35.480 |
instead of itemizing your deductions, that would be fine. You may choose to go ahead 00:39:40.120 |
and pay off the mortgage. But you may, if you're in a higher tax bracket, there's no 00:39:46.960 |
question of the fact that if you can subsidize -- let the tax code subsidize your mortgage 00:39:53.120 |
interest, that can be a substantial savings. If you're in a marginal bracket of 25, 28, 00:39:58.920 |
30-something percent, then the -- a 30 percent discount on your interest can be a substantial 00:40:07.200 |
interest deduction. If you go from 4 percent, that drops you down to 3 percent. That's a 00:40:11.360 |
substantial savings as far as allowing the tax code to subsidize you. What about something 00:40:17.520 |
like if you're going to borrow money for a business -- if you're going to borrow money 00:40:22.600 |
on a car and you do that in your business versus not? Let's say that you're self-employed. 00:40:27.080 |
Look at the savings that you have with the deductibility of business interest versus 00:40:30.520 |
not. Let's say that you have purchased a car and your interest rate is 5 percent on your 00:40:38.720 |
loan. Hopefully you got good credit and you can get it much lower than that. But let's 00:40:42.880 |
just say 5 percent for an easy example. If you're in a marginal bracket -- I'm just going 00:40:47.240 |
to use 28 percent. Let's say you're in a 28 percent marginal bracket and you're self-employed. 00:40:52.120 |
So you're also paying -- I'll just use self-employment taxes instead of employment taxes because 00:40:58.160 |
they're just simpler. So you're paying 15.3 percent of self-employment taxes. So your 00:41:03.800 |
savings on that loan is 15.3 percent plus 28. So you have a 43 percent discount on that 00:41:12.680 |
interest rate because of the fact that you are able to deduct the interest. So if your 00:41:18.360 |
interest rate were 5 percent, then you would lower that by 43 percent and that's what your 00:41:23.120 |
effective interest rate is. That's a substantial discount. You've got to factor that in because 00:41:30.480 |
when you can get a 43 percent savings on your interest rate and if you can borrow money 00:41:35.320 |
under reasonable terms, you've got to factor that in. That does matter. So you've got to 00:41:40.840 |
look at that. And let's say under this scenario -- and here's why I bring it in in the debt 00:41:45.720 |
scenario. In this scenario, if you're advising a client, if you're a financial planner, or 00:41:49.800 |
if you're just advising -- you're just coaching yourself, if you have an asset that has a 00:41:55.520 |
loan on it under the business loan and you have personal debt, then this is going to 00:42:01.640 |
dramatically affect your specific debt payoff plan. And you better prioritize that -- I 00:42:09.960 |
would recommend that you prioritize that personal debt over and above the business debt and 00:42:16.920 |
continue to enjoy the subsidy on your business debt. It exists for a reason. Remember, Congress 00:42:22.480 |
-- all this stuff exists for a reason. You're supposed to be being incentivized to go out 00:42:27.480 |
and borrow money to expand your business. So why not take advantage of that? Now, you 00:42:31.640 |
may still want to pay off that debt. If you get to the point where you say -- again, I'm 00:42:36.720 |
not arguing today what debts you should pay off and shouldn't pay off. I'm just arguing 00:42:40.080 |
about the order. And that if somebody has -- if you're doing this snowball thing where 00:42:45.560 |
you've got -- I've got a car loan in my business over here that is a small amount. I've got 00:42:51.760 |
to put that first. No. Focus on the deductibility of the debt versus the non-deductibility. 00:42:59.880 |
Focus on the actual makeup of the interest. So, for example, is this fixed interest or 00:43:04.120 |
not? So take a look and figure out what you should actually choose to do under the interest. 00:43:12.020 |
So is the interest rate fixed or is it not? And depending on what the makeup is of your 00:43:16.320 |
debt, you may have different options. I would heartily suggest if you can ever refinance, 00:43:21.640 |
always look to refinance your debt. Now, again, you need to do the math to make sure that 00:43:26.520 |
it's in your best interest. So if there's a cost to refinancing the debt at a lower 00:43:30.320 |
rate -- so, for example, let's say that you're surfing credit card balances and they say 00:43:35.320 |
we'll allow you to do a balance transfer to a lower interest rate, but we're going to 00:43:38.920 |
charge you a percentage of the balance. Because you're actually doing math and not just blindly 00:43:44.300 |
following someone else's plan, look at your spreadsheet and calculate and see how much 00:43:53.080 |
is this actually going to be worth it. By the time the debt's paid off, am I actually 00:43:55.800 |
going to save on interest? So always try to figure out can I surf the interest around? 00:44:00.380 |
And sometimes you may choose to refinance variable interest rates over to fixed interest 00:44:05.400 |
rates, and you may choose to refinance fixed interest rates over to variable interest rates. 00:44:10.200 |
Sometimes a fixed rate mortgage will make sense. Sometimes a variable rate mortgage 00:44:13.360 |
will make sense. Sometimes -- just look at this and figure out the interest rates. Look 00:44:19.760 |
at the fact of is this a secure debt or not? So if I had two equal debts, let's say that 00:44:24.920 |
I had a credit card balance of $20,000 and let's say that I had a car balance of $20,000, 00:44:32.080 |
and if I were sitting there looking at them and if they had equivalent interest rates, 00:44:36.160 |
which is a big if, because a lot of times a credit card balance, especially if someone 00:44:39.480 |
has poor credit, will have a much higher interest rate than a car loan. But let's assume I have 00:44:43.480 |
good credit and I have a 0% credit card and I have a close to 0% car loan or something 00:44:51.060 |
like that, then I personally would consider paying off the secured debt first. Because 00:44:57.580 |
in doing planning for disasters, if I wind up in a situation where I lose my job or if 00:45:02.880 |
I wind up in a situation where I have a business shortfall for six months or if I wind up in 00:45:07.440 |
a situation where I get sued or I face financial trouble, I want to make sure that I don't 00:45:14.980 |
lose my car. And so I'd rather have a paid-off car and have a credit card balance, and then 00:45:19.620 |
if I fall behind on my payments, then I just say, "Sorry, I've done my best, but I can't 00:45:24.020 |
do any better." I'd rather have a paid-off car than a paid-off credit card. So think 00:45:28.420 |
about that and look at your situation. Now, if my credit cards are at 18%, variable interest 00:45:33.980 |
rates, and my car loan is affixed at 3%, I probably would choose not to do that because 00:45:39.960 |
the cost is much too high as far as the interest, so I'd go ahead and pay off the credit cards 00:45:44.220 |
first. But this is why you have to look at your actual situation. I would look at, is 00:45:48.780 |
this debt bankruptable or not? So if worse came to worse and I were forced to declare 00:45:53.460 |
bankruptcy, which I think is a very important aspect of financial planning that we don't 00:45:59.020 |
do, risk management planning, do bankruptcy planning. What if the worst came to worst, 00:46:03.300 |
my teenage daughter hit somebody and it was her fault and I got sued and I didn't have 00:46:08.460 |
the proper insurance and I were forced into bankruptcy by my lawsuit? Well, is my debt 00:46:13.580 |
bankruptable or not? So here the example would be a student loan is not bankruptable, whereas 00:46:20.620 |
a credit card balance probably would be, especially if that credit card balance were a business 00:46:25.060 |
credit card or a car loan would depend. So a personal loan probably would be bankruptable 00:46:32.140 |
or another loan would be bankruptable. So if I were looking and let's assume that in 00:46:40.620 |
my plan I have a student loan balance at an equivalent interest rate of a credit card 00:46:46.940 |
balance, then I may choose to go ahead and pay off the student loans knowing that, again, 00:46:52.740 |
same thing, the credit card is unsecured and it's bankruptable, whereas the student loan 00:46:57.380 |
is also unsecured but it's not bankruptable. So I guess, I don't know, technically that 00:47:02.380 |
wouldn't be unsecured, but it is secured in a sense. They can always come after you for 00:47:06.900 |
that amount of money. Or if I were looking and I was saying I've got a mortgage that 00:47:11.460 |
I'm interested in paying off and this mortgage has a similar interest rate to a car loan, 00:47:19.020 |
then I may consider going ahead and choosing to pay off the mortgage more quickly because 00:47:23.180 |
at least in my state we've got great bankruptcy protection laws because then I wind up in 00:47:27.540 |
a situation where my house would be debt free and this would be a valuable aspect of my 00:47:33.380 |
asset protection planning. So, I mean, does this matter? I think it does. 00:47:39.540 |
You know, I've worked with various physician clients and I would say if I had – again, 00:47:44.580 |
depends on the terms. You've got to look at the terms and you've got to run the math. 00:47:47.820 |
Would I be willing to pay off a 3 percent fixed rate mortgage on a house in a scenario 00:47:53.140 |
where I were facing 18 percent credit cards – 18 percent interest on my credit cards? 00:47:59.060 |
No, I probably wouldn't. And I probably actually wouldn't – and I wouldn't prioritize 00:48:02.140 |
paying off the house. I'd prioritize fully funding retirement plans which are also credit 00:48:06.540 |
or protected. So – but you've got to factor this in. Consider it. 00:48:13.380 |
Consider can I refinance this debt? So again, if you know that you have credit card debt 00:48:20.780 |
and it has small balances but you know that you're able – because you have a good 00:48:25.580 |
credit score, you're able to refinance the debt and keep it on zero percent credit cards 00:48:29.480 |
under the terms and you're expecting that you're going to be able to refinance that, 00:48:32.900 |
then you may go ahead and prioritize the student loans that you can't easily refinance at 00:48:37.540 |
the higher rate. That to me would be an important thing to consider and always be looking to 00:48:41.860 |
say what can I refinance here, what can I refinance there. 00:48:46.220 |
What are the – one thing I forgot to mention, I wanted to mention on kind of the – is 00:48:50.660 |
this debt secured or not. What about things like 401(k) loans or life insurance loans? 00:48:56.980 |
I would prioritize repaying a 401(k) loan or I would prioritize repaying a life insurance 00:49:02.240 |
loan before I would prioritize paying an unsecured credit card because again, same type of thing. 00:49:09.920 |
My 401(k) loan, if I had a 401(k) loan or if I were working with a client who had a 00:49:13.560 |
401(k) loan which they're not a good plan, I would recommend not pursuing that path. 00:49:18.120 |
But people pursue it and it's there for a reason. 00:49:20.480 |
So if you have a 401(k) loan, I would recommend prioritizing the repayment of that so that 00:49:27.580 |
you can restore the balance of the account to the investment earnings so that you could 00:49:32.540 |
be protected in case you lose your job and so that you can restore the asset protection 00:49:36.820 |
nature of the 401(k) and again, look at the terms. What are the terms of the 401(k) loan 00:49:42.180 |
versus the credit cards? But I would much rather do that or pay back a life insurance 00:49:45.940 |
loan that I'm being charged interest on by the life insurance policy. I'd much rather 00:49:50.980 |
pay that back and restore that balance and restore that in a creditor-protected world 00:49:57.300 |
than pay back a credit card that I have at 2.99% first. I mean, I would do that first. 00:50:05.200 |
And then the last thing would be what is the makeup of this debt? Is this consumer debt 00:50:09.060 |
or is this investment debt? And now again, I recognize that many people who are listening 00:50:14.580 |
to financial shows or reading financial blogs, kind of at the initial level of financial 00:50:22.540 |
awareness is get rid of consumer debt. But consumer debt is not the same thing as investment 00:50:28.860 |
debt. So look for a way to refinance things and take advantage of investment debt. So 00:50:36.260 |
if I had consumer debt that I couldn't figure out a way to refinance and keep it as consumer 00:50:42.060 |
debt, then I would go ahead and I would look at doing a margin loan on a stock account. 00:50:47.780 |
And then I could -- or depending on what assets I have and depending on how it's structured 00:50:52.660 |
and depending on the terms of the loan. But if I can take out a margin loan on a taxable 00:50:58.380 |
account and use that to pay off my consumer debt, then now I've converted that from a 00:51:03.220 |
non-deductible consumer debt over to a deductible debt, which is deductible against my growth 00:51:09.100 |
in my investment account. So that helps to offset my taxes on any gain in my taxable 00:51:16.060 |
account. So there's a variety of ways of looking at this. And again, I just would plead that 00:51:22.420 |
we do a better job of thinking it through. So I think those are the primary things that 00:51:28.860 |
I wanted to communicate today. I hope this show is interesting. And I hope that this 00:51:32.500 |
can provide some ideas. And these are just ideas that I've thought of over the years 00:51:35.940 |
as I've looked at client situations. And again, my major premise is that we will be far better 00:51:42.460 |
served by individually looking at client situations or individually looking at our friend's situations 00:51:49.540 |
or people that we're helping with their money rather than just simply saying, "This is what's 00:51:55.480 |
always right." It is useful to teach things through. It is useful to teach, "Here's what 00:52:03.020 |
a snowball method would be. Here's what an avalanche method is." And sometimes I forget 00:52:07.140 |
because I have gotten astonished many times in working with clients. And I think, "Why 00:52:12.940 |
are you doing this?" When I see people doing the little extra here in their method, I just 00:52:18.580 |
think, "Why are you doing this?" But I can help those people and you can help those people. 00:52:24.420 |
Sit down and help build out a spreadsheet. And the last thing I love about this spreadsheet, 00:52:28.380 |
I encourage you, if you've never done this for yourself or if you've never played with 00:52:31.620 |
these numbers, go to the link in the show notes and download the spreadsheet and put 00:52:35.620 |
some numbers in and play with some scenarios because you need to play with the scenarios 00:52:39.740 |
to see the cases in which a snowball would make sense and an avalanche would make sense. 00:52:43.620 |
You want to calculate what is the actual interest that's paid. I've done this sometimes for 00:52:50.620 |
clients and I've done lots of these spreadsheets. And many times, the makeup of the debts and 00:52:57.420 |
the amount of interest that is--and the interest rates, you look at it and say, "Look, you've 00:53:02.700 |
got an extra $332 of interest if you pay the highest interest rate first instead of the 00:53:07.900 |
lowest balance first." You absolutely, in my opinion, in that scenario, you should go 00:53:11.900 |
with the lowest balance and you should make sure you harvest this behavioral win. On the 00:53:16.620 |
other hand, look at it and say, "How can I harvest the behavioral win? How can I harvest 00:53:22.780 |
the interest rate savings? And how can I keep these other factors in mind that I've mentioned 00:53:27.340 |
of the terms of the debt?" And what the thing I like about this spreadsheet, you can put 00:53:32.100 |
it in as in a custom order. So you would enter in, "Okay, I'm going to do this one, this 00:53:36.020 |
one, then this one, then this one," and then you can compare it to your baseline, whatever 00:53:39.700 |
your baseline is. If your baseline is highest interest rate first, and you can see, "Here's 00:53:43.100 |
how many months to pay this off. Here's how this will work. And here's how I can really 00:53:48.220 |
answer this. I can really--you know, here's what my total cost will be." So play with 00:53:53.500 |
the numbers. I hope that you enjoy this chart if you've never found one like this. It's 00:53:56.820 |
the most useful one because it's the most visible. Quick tip for you, make sure you 00:54:01.580 |
look at the first page, which is the calculator, and the second page, which is the payment 00:54:05.660 |
schedule. And the nice thing about the payment schedule is you can add in additional payments 00:54:10.820 |
using the debt payoff nomenclature. This would be called debt snowflakes. So you can say, 00:54:15.540 |
"Okay, let's assume that I have an extra Christmas bonus of a thousand bucks. What if I pay a 00:54:21.940 |
one-time extra bonus of a thousand bucks on Christmas?" And you can plop that in on the 00:54:25.900 |
second sheet of this chart, which is the payment schedule. And I find that to be a really useful 00:54:31.260 |
tool. And I guess the last thing is--that I have is I find this--I have found this chart 00:54:37.380 |
to be incredibly motivating for clients and motivating for me as well. And paying off 00:54:42.260 |
debt can be very motivating for people when they can see how it works. Debt is such a--paying 00:54:47.540 |
off debt is such a tangible, powerful goal. This is why it's so actionable, is because 00:54:54.060 |
it's such a tangible goal. You know there is a clear finish line. Getting wealthy is 00:54:59.780 |
less of a powerful goal because there's--what's the finish line? What's the number? And that 00:55:04.700 |
number changes all the time and that's why it's so powerful to harness this behavior 00:55:09.420 |
modification of paying off debt. I don't think ultimately paying off debt is necessarily 00:55:13.860 |
going to make someone happy because you still got to figure out the lifestyle factors. But 00:55:18.420 |
it certainly can be--is an important step on the road to get there. And I hope you like 00:55:26.980 |
this--I hope you like this chart. I found that when I've done this for clients and given 00:55:30.780 |
it to them and allow them to play with the numbers. And what I do, just a final quick 00:55:35.260 |
tip is I go through the cash flow statement and I say, "Okay, look." And I use this side 00:55:41.340 |
by side with the cash flow statement. In many ways, this debt spreadsheet, if someone is 00:55:45.740 |
in debt, this--I view this as kind of a third statement, a statement of liabilities if you 00:55:50.740 |
want to be precise. And what we do is we go through the cash flow statement and we mark 00:55:56.500 |
some changes. And we say, "Okay, if you were going to adjust this area of your cash flow, 00:56:00.460 |
okay, you're going to--let's say that, you know, a simple one, you're going to cut your 00:56:03.460 |
cell phone bill. Okay, you're going to cut your cell phone bill, then you're going to 00:56:06.340 |
make this change and so therefore there's an extra 50 bucks. And so now if we go from, 00:56:11.220 |
you know, $2,000 of payments, we go to--or an extra $100 a month, that would be easier. 00:56:15.260 |
So now we go to $2,100 of payments. Then in my little scenario I've got sitting in front 00:56:19.900 |
of me, at $2,000 a month using the snowball, then this person was out of debt in 27 months. 00:56:26.940 |
At $2,100 a month, then this is out of debt in 25 months. And so now we can figure out 00:56:32.460 |
the opportunity cost and we can bring it into an opportunity cost and say, "Would you rather 00:56:37.580 |
have the fancier cell phone with the--and pay the extra $100? Would you rather be out 00:56:42.420 |
of debt two months sooner and save--" Let's see what's the difference, $7,100 of interest 00:56:47.060 |
versus--let's look here, versus $7,494 of interest and save the $300 of interest and 00:56:54.340 |
be out of debt with the balance two months sooner. And there's no right or wrong, you 00:56:57.980 |
know, it's all a matter of choices. We all have tradeoffs, we all have choices and this 00:57:01.940 |
is life. We're adults, we can choose for ourselves what we prefer. In one answer, one scenario, 00:57:07.780 |
the question may be, "Yes, I would prefer that." And the other question may be, "No." 00:57:11.420 |
And now we have some numbers that we can put behind it. And these numbers, I think, are 00:57:16.460 |
valuable. So that's our show for today. I hope you enjoyed it. I hope I didn't come 00:57:20.180 |
across--I hope I didn't come across as too strong. I really am a nice guy and I'm not--I 00:57:24.740 |
just--I guess I'm just sharing, you know, some of the things that I have learned and 00:57:30.100 |
working with clients. I just--I want to--I want us to raise the level of our advice for 00:57:35.060 |
ourselves and for others. Let's take it up a notch. Let's get a little more professional. 00:57:38.940 |
Let's understand a little bit more. And if someone gets motivated just by a debt snowball, 00:57:44.220 |
that's awesome. But at some point--but I just hate to see people make mistakes that cost 00:57:49.540 |
them because they don't know how to calculate the impact. You know, when I see somebody 00:57:54.260 |
cash out a 401(k), pay the penalty in interest and do this to pay off a debt that's low interest 00:58:00.540 |
rate, I just look at it and I say, "Arr, did you actually run the cost of that?" If you 00:58:05.140 |
did and you made that decision, it's your money. But man, that's an expensive decision 00:58:09.660 |
sometimes. And look at the lost power of the money that you would have had, the lost compounding 00:58:14.260 |
that you would have had if you had done it, if you had continued, you know, if you continued 00:58:18.660 |
on the plan. So, hopefully this is a useful resource for you. I wanted to create it as 00:58:23.740 |
something I could point people to so that they're helping--so that you can kind of guide 00:58:27.780 |
yourself through what order should I pay things off. I hope it's a useful resource for you. 00:58:32.460 |
That's it for today. Thank you for those of you who are leaving reviews for me. I would 00:58:36.260 |
ask you, please, if you haven't done so, I would just solicit--if any of this information 00:58:40.340 |
has been helpful or if you've enjoyed it, I would solicit a review in iTunes from you 00:58:44.740 |
or Stitcher or whatever you're listening on. I would just--that would help me so much and 00:58:48.500 |
I would appreciate that. So, I just ask you for that and I would say thank you. Also, 00:58:52.540 |
if you're not subscribed to the show for the show notes, come on by the blog at radicalpersonalfinance.com, 00:58:57.780 |
enter your email address that I won't spam you. I would just send you the show notes 00:59:01.820 |
every day so that way you can see the full show notes of the show and you can understand 00:59:06.380 |
what the show will be out and you can see if it's something that you're interested--see 00:59:08.980 |
about and you can see if it's something that you're interested in or not. So, come on by 00:59:12.780 |
the blog, leave me a comment, shoot me an email, let me know what you thought of the 00:59:15.220 |
episode. Today was radicalpersonalfinance.com/32 and I am out. Enjoy your Thursday. 00:59:34.660 |
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