back to indexTrump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Chapters
0:0 Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company
2:15 Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser
18:40 House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next?
41:36 The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades
53:4 Crypto Corner with Chamath
64:15 State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering
80:10 Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records
97:36 Are we seeing an AI correction?
00:00:00.000 |
All right, everybody. As you know, there was a big verdict 00:00:04.680 |
that came out today in the Trump trial in New York City. However, 00:00:08.680 |
it came right after we were taping. So enjoy this episode. 00:00:11.880 |
And then at the end, we'll go around the horn and get quick 00:00:15.400 |
reaction from each of the besties on what they think of the 00:00:18.040 |
Trump guilty verdict in the New York hush money trial. And a 00:00:23.000 |
little update on the market close and tech stocks tanking 00:00:26.480 |
and after our trading stick with us, man, what a week I've had. 00:00:34.000 |
What kind of week have you had? You know, I got to, you know, 00:00:40.320 |
I've always been a fan of Howard Stern. And his agent Don Buckwell 00:00:44.600 |
called me and saw the show last week. This is all true. And they 00:00:49.320 |
said they want to start a production company. So I started 00:00:51.360 |
a production company and I've already got my first show. I've 00:00:54.680 |
signed my first show the pilot. What is the show? Well, here it 00:00:58.680 |
What you are witnessing is real. These are not actors. The cases 00:01:08.280 |
are real. Both parties have agreed to settle their disputes 00:01:12.520 |
here. J Cal production. The Rain Man's court. Yeah. On today's 00:01:21.280 |
show. Shama guilty of first degree unbuttoning. Freedberg 00:01:26.520 |
accused of plastic perjury. Jason appealing his grifting 00:01:30.960 |
conviction. Throwing the book felonious Fauci. Welcome to the 00:01:39.040 |
Hot water burn baby. Nice. That's really good. It's the 00:01:41.640 |
first show from Jacob judge, then what does that make you? Are 00:01:44.800 |
you like the bailiff? Like kind of like the host? Yeah. Who does 00:01:50.480 |
American Idol? Right? Ryan Seacrest. I'm like gonna be the 00:01:54.000 |
new Ryan Seacrest. That's what they envisioned for me. And 00:01:58.000 |
There's a lot of news. My inbox is blowing up. I went over to 00:02:19.400 |
threads to see what was going on over there. And I got absolutely 00:02:21.720 |
savage. Threads is like all the hall monitors left one school 00:02:26.160 |
like if they took the four hall monitors from every school in 00:02:28.960 |
the country and you put them all in one place. That's like 00:02:34.000 |
Zuckerberg's Twitter revenge killer that he created, but all 00:02:39.320 |
the journalists and woke folks went there. And then all the 00:02:42.080 |
conspiracy theories took over x and Twitter and like, freedom of 00:02:45.840 |
speech in one place and then the hall monitors in the other but 00:02:48.480 |
my lord, the inbound I'm getting sacks on apparently you're 00:02:51.600 |
having a party this Thursday and a couple of people are coming a 00:02:56.400 |
soiree. What's happening to my birthday party? Oh, yeah. Okay. 00:03:00.120 |
So there's a little soiree happening. sacks enlightening 00:03:17.680 |
Yeah, we're hosting an event for the ones once and future 00:03:20.840 |
president 45 and 45 soon to be 47. Who's week as I saw from 00:03:26.260 |
your own polling data that you tweeted this morning, Jason, 00:03:28.680 |
God, it's so dark. It's so dark. He's I mean, the betting markets 00:03:32.740 |
are just basically they they seem to have already made their 00:03:35.960 |
decision the betting markets right in the betting markets. 00:03:38.480 |
They're not always right, but they were wrong actually about 00:03:42.880 |
And polling historically has underestimated Trump support 00:03:46.960 |
because people have been reluctant to say they're 00:03:50.000 |
supporting him for some reason. So yeah, things are looking very 00:03:53.480 |
positive for for Trump right now. But in any event, we're 00:03:55.680 |
hosting a fundraiser for him. And he said that he wants to 00:04:01.640 |
come on the all in pod at some point. So we just need to 00:04:03.720 |
schedule that. And by the way, we did this for let's not 00:04:07.680 |
forget, we did this for RFK, Jr. Yeah, he appeared on the pod, we 00:04:10.960 |
did a fundraiser for him. We did it for vague Ramaswamy came on 00:04:14.600 |
the pod, we did a fundraiser for him. We did it for Dean Phillips. 00:04:18.840 |
And Chris Christie came on, although I don't think we 00:04:22.680 |
technically did a fundraiser, but we would have. And we've 00:04:26.320 |
asked President Biden, and we have not heard back. And when we 00:04:29.720 |
say we, sorry, let me just ask, parse that out. So first of all, 00:04:33.320 |
who's we and Chamath, would you host a fundraiser for Biden as 00:04:36.800 |
Absolutely. Look, here's the thing. I am an a political 00:04:40.480 |
person who has to make a difficult decision every four 00:04:43.320 |
years. And I think most of us are like that. I don't think 00:04:46.320 |
it's so easy to wake up in the morning and say, Oh, I'm clearly 00:04:49.720 |
a Republican, or I'm clearly a Democrat, there's parts of both 00:04:53.280 |
sides that appeal to me. And so you have to make these reason 00:04:56.680 |
decisions. And then that gets even more complicated, right. So 00:05:00.480 |
the most important thing for me is get as many people on in a 00:05:04.960 |
position to tell their version of the truth, so that you can 00:05:09.080 |
see an unfiltered version of that truth and decide for 00:05:12.000 |
yourself. So I was really blown away when I heard Dean Phillips, 00:05:17.640 |
and Bobby and I thought there's parts of both of those platforms 00:05:21.400 |
that I agree with, there's parts that I disagree. And the same 00:05:23.840 |
thing happened when I sat down with Vivek, I thought that I 00:05:26.200 |
wouldn't agree with much I ended up agreeing with a lot. There's 00:05:29.320 |
a lot of stuff that Trump in hindsight, again, as I've said 00:05:31.640 |
before, that he did, which was really helpful to America. And 00:05:35.480 |
one big thing, which had he done, frankly, sets up our 00:05:39.520 |
children, which is these hundred year bonds and defraying the 00:05:42.840 |
cost of all of this indebtedness far out into the 00:05:45.520 |
future. So there's many things. And I think there's things that 00:05:49.160 |
Biden has done that I think we'll look back and say, those 00:05:51.520 |
were good things that he did. And then there are things in the 00:05:53.520 |
future, or today that I think that we could disagree with as 00:05:56.240 |
well. So the point is, I would like this place to be a place 00:06:02.280 |
where impartiality rules where we can be on all sides of an 00:06:06.600 |
issue and just decide what makes the most sense after looking at 00:06:09.760 |
the facts. And I would like four years from now, every major 00:06:13.720 |
political candidate for president to look at all in as 00:06:16.960 |
the first place. And I think if we can earn that trust and have 00:06:20.760 |
the integrity to allow all sides to tell a fair story, that is 00:06:24.440 |
going to be a really powerful thing, and an artifact to leave 00:06:28.360 |
Well, in fact, RFK believes that we shot him out of a cannon is I 00:06:32.560 |
think what he said or something and that that we got the sort of 00:06:35.520 |
candidacy going Vivek, I think also kind of debuted here in a 00:06:38.920 |
major way. To be clear, all in isn't hosting the fundraiser 00:06:41.760 |
sacks you and Chamath are I'm not donating, I'm not going 00:06:45.960 |
freebird. You're not donating. I don't know if you're going or 00:06:48.360 |
not. Did you tell me you're not going? You're not donating or 00:06:51.000 |
going? Got it. Okay, you wave to Sam. And so I don't know what 00:06:56.160 |
donates up local Canada's individual choice that each 00:06:59.120 |
person's got to decide if they want to do it. Right? Americans, 00:07:02.360 |
we can do that. Yeah, if you're willing to open your pocketbook, 00:07:05.320 |
which I know Jason's on something that you're inclined 00:07:07.280 |
to do very often. I mean, I, I don't, I'm not big into 00:07:10.760 |
politics. And the idea of giving money to politicians to me, not 00:07:14.520 |
my thing. You know, I have I'd rather invest in the next 00:07:16.480 |
startup, to be totally honest, if I'm going to put 50k towards 00:07:18.880 |
something or God forbid 250k. For me, I'll put that in a 00:07:22.200 |
startup. That's what I like to do. But you know, everybody's 00:07:24.720 |
different. And, you know, for the people who are asking me to 00:07:27.480 |
not be friends with sacks anymore, I'm going to be friends 00:07:30.320 |
with sacks forever. We love each other besties, and he can have a 00:07:34.080 |
different opinion than me. I'm getting totally absolutely 00:07:37.280 |
crucified, that I'm supporting Trump. And how could I be 00:07:40.320 |
friends with sex? Go yourself, sex is my friend, we can have a 00:07:43.360 |
difference of opinion on some topics. Good for you to deal 00:07:46.200 |
with that is good. Learn something. Sorry. Good for you. 00:07:49.560 |
Sorry, I'll just say I've heard the same thing. And I told 00:07:52.200 |
friends and others that have reached out. Why are you 00:07:55.800 |
associating yourself with people that are doing a fundraiser for 00:07:58.880 |
Trump? And I said exactly because I think it's really 00:08:02.040 |
important that people can have different political interests, 00:08:06.160 |
different points of view, different beliefs, and still be 00:08:09.360 |
friends and still have a conversation. If we can model 00:08:12.240 |
that in any way, I think it moves the needle because this 00:08:15.840 |
whole thing where you only speak with only hang out with only 00:08:18.760 |
talked to only have dinner with people that you agree with, I 00:08:21.440 |
think is exactly what got us in the mess that we're in today. 00:08:24.120 |
People need to have a broader perspective. So well said, and 00:08:27.680 |
I said, and I'll support you guys with whatever, in terms of 00:08:31.120 |
like being your friends, I'm not going to ever judge you guys in 00:08:33.440 |
terms of what you believe in or choose to do. We've said this 00:08:36.440 |
before. But you know, in the end, what do you have, you have 00:08:39.920 |
your family, you have your children, you have your friends, 00:08:43.240 |
and hopefully you have work that gives you some purpose. And in 00:08:46.120 |
all of that, if there are random people that are judging you for 00:08:49.240 |
one thing, they'll eventually judge you for another thing. And 00:08:52.000 |
that is not a path to any sort of contentment. I've donated to 00:08:55.400 |
Bobby Kennedy, I've donated to the Democrats massively, and 00:08:59.760 |
I'll donate to Donald Trump. And if there's an opportunity to 00:09:03.720 |
talk to President Biden, and really understand where he's at, 00:09:07.520 |
I donate to him as well. And so the point is that I would like 00:09:11.760 |
to be an organizing principle. And I would like to replace 00:09:17.120 |
today, the places that I don't trust to organize, and give 00:09:22.040 |
unfiltered access to knowledge. And those things are the 00:09:24.360 |
mainstream media. And so I'm willing to put my resources 00:09:27.360 |
behind being that organizing principle. And I think having a 00:09:30.600 |
broad cross section of friends who have different political 00:09:33.120 |
beliefs, is actually a useful thing for a lot of these 00:09:36.000 |
candidates. Because as it turns out, most people are sort of in 00:09:39.800 |
the middle. And most people in any given election can be 00:09:43.800 |
persuaded one way or the other. So the most important thing that 00:09:46.440 |
we could do is get all of them, give all of them an opportunity 00:09:50.320 |
to really tell an unfiltered version of their truth, and then 00:09:54.240 |
let the chips fall where they may, that is the right thing to 00:09:56.880 |
do for America. That's what democracy means. So this kind of 00:09:59.920 |
like cajoling and bullying, in either side, I find really 00:10:07.880 |
What's amazing is, I mean, I really haven't gotten any 00:10:10.640 |
blowback. You know, there was a question about people asked me, 00:10:13.680 |
have you gotten blowback from this thing? And no, not really. 00:10:16.720 |
I mean, other than the reporter knocking on my door and that 00:10:19.000 |
kind of stuff, but people really same. It hasn't really created 00:10:23.400 |
blowback. And I think you guys are getting more blowback. And 00:10:26.160 |
that's an indication of sort of the cowardly response to it, 00:10:30.280 |
which is, you know, it's like a cancellation tactic, we're going 00:10:33.560 |
to try and like, go behind your back and ostracize you instead 00:10:37.320 |
of even telling you to your face what you think. And I think the 00:10:41.200 |
reason why they're doing that is because quite frankly, there's a 00:10:43.440 |
lot of preference falsification going on in Silicon Valley. I 00:10:46.760 |
know there's a lot of people in Silicon Valley. 00:10:54.520 |
Nobody is excited about, okay, nobody's excited about Biden 00:10:59.400 |
right now. So the only question is, do they hold their nose and 00:11:02.560 |
vote for him? Or do they vote for Trump? Or do they vote for 00:11:04.960 |
Bobby Kennedy? But there's a lot of people who I do think support 00:11:09.640 |
Trump. And look, we've a b tested this, right? It'd be 00:11:12.800 |
different if we didn't have four years of Biden, four years of 00:11:15.720 |
Trump, there's a lot of people who can look back and say that 00:11:18.880 |
the AB test we ran indicates Trump. So I know there's going 00:11:22.720 |
to be a lot of people who support Trump, but they don't 00:11:24.760 |
want to admit it. And I think that we have this event is going 00:11:28.040 |
to break the ice on that. And maybe it'll create a preference 00:11:30.600 |
cascade, where all of a sudden it becomes acceptable to 00:11:34.120 |
acknowledge the truth. And which is a lot of people support 00:11:37.640 |
Trump. And it's not just this, it's also Steve Schwarzman came 00:11:40.600 |
out, I think Bill Ackman's on the edge of coming out for 00:11:43.960 |
Trump. So there's a lot of people who are now like 00:11:47.080 |
flipping. And I think it could really start to cascade on 00:11:50.240 |
itself. I think the thing that hasn't happened yet is we 00:11:53.240 |
haven't actually now started to talk about the contours of a 00:11:57.000 |
handful of policy things where there is some deep diversion 00:12:01.400 |
where these candidates are diverging from each other. And I 00:12:05.360 |
think that that's going to be really interesting to see how 00:12:08.400 |
much people value that differentiation. I'll give you 00:12:11.680 |
an example, which is President Trump in the last few weeks has 00:12:15.600 |
become incredibly pro crypto. Now, the contours of that, I 00:12:20.600 |
think we need to define right. But the question is, is a pro 00:12:24.000 |
crypto environment, especially in a world where we think that 00:12:27.520 |
there's just going to be continued dollar debasement, an 00:12:30.560 |
important issue, an unimportant issue, or a thing that is a 00:12:35.280 |
small issue today, but that will be critical for us in 20 and 30 00:12:39.320 |
years to get right. That's an example. And there's a handful 00:12:42.920 |
of these other things that I think that now we have a chance 00:12:45.280 |
to really double click on, where there really is some 00:12:47.880 |
differentiation amongst the three presidential candidates. 00:12:50.920 |
And I think that's healthy as well. And so it's important, 00:12:53.360 |
again, get their specific thoughts on the record, so that 00:12:57.280 |
we can really figure this out. And I think that over these next 00:13:00.720 |
few months, I think it's going to be important to do that. So I 00:13:04.400 |
hope President Biden also comes on the pot quite honestly, and 00:13:07.080 |
come on the allows us to ask him the hard questions. And I hope 00:13:12.160 |
Bobby comes back on actually, and I think Bobby will if we ask 00:13:14.600 |
him just to tighten up where he's at now, a few months. 00:13:18.400 |
But yeah, there's definitely a lot of great follow up 00:13:20.080 |
questions. I would love to interview Trump. I'll ask him 00:13:22.160 |
more questions. I'll respect him as President 45. And as a 00:13:25.240 |
candidate. So for people who like, are like you have Trump 00:13:27.960 |
derangement syndrome, like, that's just like a childish 00:13:31.160 |
thing to say, I disagree with his policies. I'll ask him 00:13:33.680 |
questions. Hey, why don't you support EVs? Like, that's a 00:13:36.680 |
valid question to ask him? Why is he anti EV? He said all these 00:13:39.560 |
crazy things about EVs. And then apparently, he's courting you on 00:13:42.200 |
privately. I don't know if that's true or not. But you 00:13:44.920 |
know, there's there's hard questions, and I'm sure he'll 00:13:46.760 |
answer them. And he's more than capable of doing 00:13:49.360 |
I'm excited for me. I'm really excited for President Trump to 00:13:52.840 |
And for me, I'll be totally honest. I think the Democrats 00:13:56.640 |
have to wake up for a second and just like take the temperature 00:13:59.960 |
of the room, like read the room, Democrats, you have put up a 00:14:03.240 |
candidate that nobody wants his policies on the border and some 00:14:06.920 |
other issues are not, you know, in sync with the majority of the 00:14:10.440 |
country. At some point, the Democrats just have to take a 00:14:13.200 |
deep look in the mirror. James Carville is doing a bunch of 00:14:15.920 |
we're doing and say, we feel that a bad candidate who's too 00:14:18.560 |
old, and people don't believe will stand up to scrutiny of 00:14:22.600 |
like, say, being on the all in pot for two hours, or in the 00:14:25.360 |
debates, or with a hostile interview, or any of those 00:14:28.400 |
possibilities. And so I think if that's the case, we really need 00:14:33.040 |
to have the Democrats think deeply about maybe fielding a 00:14:37.280 |
different candidate. And I believe that's what's going to 00:14:38.880 |
happen in the next 30 to 60 days. So I'm predicting this to 00:14:41.840 |
be a switcheroo. 100% I mean, if you just really think there's a 00:14:48.880 |
switcheroo? I have no idea. Could be Gavin, it could be 00:14:51.160 |
anybody, anything's possible. I think Trump's going to demolish 00:14:53.800 |
him in the debate. I think he'll sink to 30% in the polls. And 00:14:58.920 |
then the Republicans are going to find out I'm sorry, the 00:15:01.040 |
Democrats will find a way to give him a graceful out and then 00:15:03.320 |
they'll field somebody else. When's the first debate? June 00:15:06.680 |
17. I respond to that. I saw your tweet, basically saying 00:15:09.640 |
something very similar, that Democrats need to wake up and, 00:15:12.920 |
you know, recognize the situation they're in. I think 00:15:16.280 |
this is a case of once you've made your bed, you have to 00:15:19.640 |
sleep in it. Look, the Democrats have set the table pursuing 00:15:24.640 |
certain policies for the last three and a half years. We've 00:15:27.520 |
had an open border, we had so much spending that it fed into 00:15:31.400 |
this inflation with jacked up interest rates. We had Ukraine 00:15:35.640 |
become the central obsession of focus of our politics, which 00:15:39.480 |
blew up and Biden's face with the whole summer counter 00:15:42.640 |
offensive. I mean, I could go on you have the hostility to 00:15:46.000 |
crypto, which they're now trying to desperately backpedal on but 00:15:48.680 |
you had three years of Elizabeth Warren and Gensler basically 00:15:52.400 |
making crypto the enemy. And now all of a sudden, we're at first 00:15:55.720 |
and go at that like 10 yard line. And you're all of a sudden 00:15:57.920 |
saying, well, just read the room and make all these changes. You 00:16:01.200 |
can't. You know, I don't think people are gonna be fooled by 00:16:04.000 |
that. We've a b tested this thing. We've had three and a 00:16:07.600 |
half years of Biden, four years of Trump. Who do you like 00:16:10.680 |
better? And we're what how many months are we from pulling the 00:16:16.600 |
Never too late. I'm telling him to do it. Don't take sacks as 00:16:20.120 |
advice. He is a hardcore person who wants to win desperately 00:16:23.320 |
take Jay cows advice field another candidate. The worst 00:16:26.440 |
thing the Republicans could ever deal with is a great candidate 00:16:30.320 |
who can speak and who's nimble on their feet because I think 00:16:33.520 |
people are looking for a choice that's not these two 00:16:35.560 |
individuals. I'm not going to say I'm anti Trump. I'm not 00:16:38.480 |
gonna say I'm anti why don't you support Bobby Kennedy, then? I 00:16:41.240 |
don't think he's gonna have the platform behind him to get 00:16:44.400 |
enough votes. I think the Democrats need to immediately 00:16:46.880 |
this month in June, do the switcheroo. And if they do, I 00:16:50.800 |
think they went in the lens. They had their chance. They had 00:16:53.160 |
their chance. They could have gone for Bobby. They drove Bobby 00:16:56.360 |
out of the party. That's not your only reason. You didn't 00:16:59.320 |
start as an independent. He started I know by his last 00:17:01.920 |
name, Democrat, Democrat. You got it. Phillips. Yeah, Dean 00:17:05.640 |
Phillips took the chance. Yeah. And of course, he was pushed 00:17:08.400 |
out, not of the party, but basically ostracized. They had 00:17:12.600 |
I think you know, if I want to be a strategist, this is just a 00:17:16.040 |
conspiracy theory. I don't want to go to like, tinfoil hat 00:17:18.400 |
corner. I think the Democrats as cynical as it sounds, we're 00:17:21.440 |
waiting to see what happens with this Trump trials conviction 00:17:24.640 |
what you call lawfare, what other people call fair use of 00:17:27.280 |
the law. And then they are going to see how he does in the 00:17:30.800 |
debates. That's why they moved the debate up in June. And I 00:17:33.240 |
think they know to pull the plug on this if it gets too far gone. 00:17:37.600 |
And they have the ability to do that. Because all he's got to 00:17:39.560 |
say is, you know what, I'm feeling old. And I want us to 00:17:44.160 |
win. And I'm going to slot somebody else in. But listen, 00:17:48.080 |
Yeah, let me translate what you just said, which is the 00:17:50.520 |
Democrats hope to put Trump in jail using lawfare. And when 00:17:53.640 |
that fails, they realize that they're going to lose the 00:17:55.840 |
election to him. And they've got a big problem. So they're going 00:17:58.040 |
to try some desperate strategy to find a new candidate, but 00:18:02.800 |
Thank you for repeating. And I think the only disagreement we 00:18:08.120 |
might have there is, I would agree like there's lawfare in 00:18:10.840 |
two of the cases. And I think two of the cases, I think are 00:18:13.760 |
should be pursued. But you know, we can intelligent people, as we 00:18:17.480 |
said at the start of this can agree to disagree about it. And 00:18:20.240 |
I think you should all take if you're a listener says podcast, 00:18:22.920 |
you're smart. If you're here, you're smart. You're not 00:18:25.280 |
listening to two hour podcasts. With us going this deep on 00:18:28.720 |
issues if you're not a brilliant, smart, and attractive 00:18:31.640 |
individual. So let's get to the docket. President. Yes, that's 00:18:36.200 |
what I just said. He heard brilliant and attractive and 00:18:38.400 |
was here. All right, listen, I, I hate to go into another 00:18:43.000 |
controversial topic. But the four of us were all on fire 00:18:47.520 |
about this. Apparently, the COVID-19 investigation is 00:18:52.240 |
leaning towards a massive cover up. There's a subcommittee 00:18:56.160 |
going on right now, the world's not paying attention to 00:18:58.680 |
this. But I think some savvy people are, especially over on 00:19:02.080 |
x is a lot of great journalists who are doing incredible 00:19:05.360 |
investigative work. Let me just catch everybody up in the 00:19:07.880 |
audience real quick here and get the best is involved. Over the 00:19:10.320 |
past year and a half, how subcommittee has been focused on 00:19:13.360 |
the origins of COVID-19. And they've been investigating the 00:19:16.840 |
NIH is ties with gain of function research in Wuhan. The 00:19:20.760 |
subcommittee was painted early on. It's like this is angry 00:19:23.560 |
Republicans, this is about mask mandates, it was like highly 00:19:26.400 |
politicized, but it's actually turned out to be very effective 00:19:29.520 |
bipartisan investigation, we'll get on, we'll get in on that in 00:19:33.680 |
a minute. But so far, most of the investigation is focused on 00:19:37.480 |
nailing down this timeline of communication between NIH 00:19:40.360 |
officials, and an organization called Eco Health Alliance. This 00:19:44.320 |
is a nonprofit that's focused on infectious disease research. Now, 00:19:48.400 |
these committee videos online will pay you play on in a 00:19:51.440 |
moment. But through funding in the NIH, the Eco Health 00:19:55.440 |
organization was awarded research grants to various labs. 00:19:58.320 |
This included the Wuhan Institute of virology, the 00:20:01.920 |
infamous one, Eco Health violated terms of its grants by 00:20:05.600 |
failing to report that gain of function experiments were being 00:20:09.240 |
conducted in Wuhan, Eco Health was supposed to report any 00:20:12.720 |
experiment that exhibited characteristics leading it to 00:20:14.800 |
being 10 times more infectious. But when that happened, it failed 00:20:18.520 |
to disclose this research to the NIH. And on May 17, a deputy 00:20:22.120 |
director of the NIH acknowledge that the agency funded gain of 00:20:25.680 |
function research in Wuhan via Eco Health. This is the key 00:20:30.240 |
because Fauci initially denied this during his 2021. Senate 00:20:35.080 |
hearing, Fauci said, quote, I totally resent the lie you are 00:20:38.000 |
now propagating in response to questions from Rand Paul about 00:20:40.720 |
the lab leak theory. So Fauci either didn't know or relied 00:20:44.000 |
under oath. Let me pause there for a second. There's a lot more 00:20:47.080 |
to the story. But when you hear this sort of setup, Friedberg, 00:20:51.160 |
our sultan of science, in this initial setup, what rings 00:20:55.760 |
concerning to you true to you, and then we'll go on and play 00:20:58.800 |
some clips of this testimony, which is pretty wild. 00:21:01.360 |
I don't think that pre emergence of the pandemic that there was 00:21:09.120 |
In other words, their funding of this was not done to create a 00:21:13.120 |
pandemic. It might have been a mistake in hindsight. But 00:21:16.080 |
yeah, for many years, particularly following the 00:21:18.840 |
original SARS pandemic, there was a lot of conversations 00:21:22.320 |
around how do we get in front of the next pandemic? How do we 00:21:25.200 |
figure out what's coming? And how do we prepare for it? And 00:21:28.960 |
there was a lot of research that was launched to try and resolve 00:21:32.960 |
that key question. This is like the movie 12 monkeys. You guys 00:21:37.720 |
ever see that movie? It's like, does the effort to try and stop 00:21:44.600 |
the problem cause the problem? I think that for my point of view, 00:21:47.680 |
there's a very high probability that there was some leak. That 00:21:53.320 |
meant that the work that was going on to try and get in front 00:21:55.920 |
of the next pandemic and understand what we could do to 00:21:57.840 |
prepare ourselves and what vaccines can be developed and so 00:22:00.240 |
on, actually led to the pandemic. So then when that 00:22:02.920 |
happens, how do you respond when you're sitting in that seat? 00:22:05.280 |
That's, that's the key question that I think this committee is 00:22:08.680 |
uncovering. Do you think there was a cover up? Freeberg? What 00:22:11.000 |
is your intuition on that? Yeah, I think that these guys 00:22:13.320 |
definitely didn't want. I think what they were trying to do was 00:22:16.520 |
prevent that from being the focal point and protect their 00:22:18.960 |
own asses at the same time. Do you think they should go to jail? 00:22:21.760 |
I don't know the extent of it yet. It'd be good to get more 00:22:24.800 |
information from this. Yeah. So let me queue up those next 00:22:26.920 |
details. Because I will say this guy that gave testimony last 00:22:29.600 |
week, where he was like, deliberately changing the names 00:22:32.000 |
of people in the email, Anderson, and he put the dollar 00:22:34.200 |
sign, right, so that you couldn't find that email when 00:22:36.920 |
you did a FOIA search. He knew what he was doing. He knew. I 00:22:40.680 |
don't understand how you could say this wasn't nefarious. This 00:22:44.160 |
whole thing was nefarious from top to bottom. 00:22:46.200 |
Well, yeah, let me queue this up here, Saxon, then get your Why 00:22:48.960 |
are you exonerating it? Hold on, let me queue it up. Right. So we 00:22:51.560 |
started to see some consequences and accountability. Last week, 00:22:55.000 |
the US Department of Health cut all funding to EcoHealth in 00:22:58.240 |
response to the committee's investigation. They disbarred 00:23:00.640 |
its president, Peter Daszak. Daszak, yeah. Daszak. And so we 00:23:05.760 |
don't have direct evidence to be clear that the pandemic was the 00:23:08.320 |
result of a lab leak. And, you know, just even saying the lab 00:23:15.240 |
The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab 00:23:19.200 |
leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and 00:23:25.240 |
Let's go to that in just one second. And thankfully, this 00:23:28.480 |
isn't going to get our YouTube channel shut down because we 00:23:31.360 |
have freedom of speech back a little bit. But this is where it 00:23:34.920 |
gets really interesting. Emails were written as EcoHealth with a 00:23:40.480 |
tilde, that's that little squiggly line, instead of an O. 00:23:43.760 |
And they would spell Anderson with a dollar sign in the E. 00:23:48.880 |
Christian Anderson, in this example, is a biologist who was 00:23:52.400 |
reportedly awarded 9 million in grants from the NIH two months 00:23:54.960 |
after publishing a paper claiming didn't COVID did not 00:23:57.480 |
come from a lab. And so let's get to some of these clips. 00:24:01.120 |
Here's a clip of Fauci's former top advisor, David Morin's 00:24:05.320 |
getting grilled in the hearing. And I'll play two clips, and 00:24:09.800 |
On October 25, 2021, another scientist wrote, quote, David is 00:24:13.800 |
concerned about the privacy of text and other messages from his 00:24:17.120 |
cell phone to you and me because he has been using a government 00:24:20.160 |
phone. This came from Tony, end quote. Sir, did you ever have any 00:24:24.240 |
conversations with Dr. Fauci regarding using personal phone 00:24:30.600 |
I don't remember it. It's possible. You know, I probably 00:24:33.720 |
wouldn't have remembered and I don't remember it. 00:24:35.320 |
On January 18, you testified that you did not have any 00:24:39.480 |
conversations with Dr. Fauci regarding EcoHealth. On October 00:24:43.120 |
25, 2021, you wrote, quote, Peter, from Tony's numerous 00:24:48.920 |
recent comments to me, they're trying to protect you, end 00:24:52.880 |
quote. You meaning EcoHealth and Dr. Dasik. Dr. Morin, did you 00:24:58.400 |
ever have any conversations with Dr. Fauci regarding EcoHealth? 00:25:02.480 |
Well, the ones you just mentioned, I don't have any 00:25:08.600 |
All right, so we're on the no recollection train. And then 00:25:11.000 |
I'll give this final clip here. This is unbelievable, Sachs. 00:25:15.320 |
Currently, there's a FOIA leader, lady, Freedom of 00:25:18.080 |
Information Act lady, working at NIH to train and help and mentor 00:25:23.480 |
people on how to avoid having their communications. These are 00:25:28.600 |
people who we work who work for us. And she's the FOIA lady at 00:25:35.200 |
And as you've said, you previously testified that you 00:25:38.080 |
did not delete any federal records. But on February 24, 00:25:41.520 |
2021, you wrote, quote, I learned from our FOIA lady here 00:25:45.040 |
how to make emails disappear after I'm FOIA'd, but before the 00:25:48.200 |
search starts. So I think we are all safe. Plus, I deleted most 00:25:52.240 |
of those earlier emails after sending them to Gmail, end 00:25:55.360 |
quote. And the next day on February 25, 2021, you wrote, 00:25:58.560 |
quote, but I learned the tricks last year from an old friend, 00:26:01.800 |
Marge Moore, who heads our FOIA office and also hates FOIAs, 00:26:07.040 |
end quote. Yes or no? Is Marge Moore the FOIA lady you're 00:26:11.320 |
She was at the time. I believe she's retired since then. 00:26:14.680 |
Did the NIH FOIA office instruct you on how to delete emails or 00:26:20.440 |
All right, Sachs. There's your red meat. Smoking guns 00:26:24.280 |
Please give me a couple of minutes to kind of lay out what 00:26:27.760 |
happened here. Okay, so Fauci knew very early, as early as 00:26:33.560 |
February 1 of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak. The 00:26:37.480 |
scientists said so. All they had to do was look under a 00:26:39.240 |
microscope and see the furon cleavage site, which is not 00:26:42.920 |
naturally occurring. It's something that was added, 00:26:46.080 |
basically bioengineered to the virus in order to make it more 00:26:49.240 |
transmissible in humans. So they knew right away that this 00:26:53.760 |
somehow came from a lab leak. And Fauci and Collins said in 00:26:59.120 |
emails that they were going to begin a brutal takedown in order 00:27:02.960 |
to conceal this fundamental truth of the lab leak from the 00:27:05.640 |
public. Now, why would Fauci need to conceal this? Because he 00:27:09.000 |
had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter 00:27:13.680 |
Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, 00:27:17.120 |
gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. 00:27:20.680 |
Moreover, Fauci was personally responsible for reversing an 00:27:24.600 |
Obama-era decision to prohibit gain-of-function research 00:27:28.240 |
because it was so risky. Fauci wrote op-eds justifying 00:27:33.320 |
gain-of-function research. He wrote a paper in 2012, which was 00:27:36.640 |
actually quite candid about the risks of gain-of-function. He 00:27:39.880 |
describes the kind of lab leak that could occur in the type of 00:27:44.320 |
virus that could escape from a lab because of gain-of-function. 00:27:48.960 |
But then he says that's a risk worth taking. So this is 00:27:52.200 |
somebody who funded the Wuhan lab. He funded gain-of-function 00:27:55.720 |
research. He was personally responsible for lifting the ban 00:27:58.880 |
on gain-of-function research. He had a lot of reasons to want to 00:28:02.560 |
hide the fact that COVID was engineered in a lab and was lab 00:28:07.840 |
leak. And so we know that even before this conspiracy to 00:28:12.040 |
basically defraud the FOIA request, that Fauci had done 00:28:15.440 |
things like organize that letter to the Lancet, which smeared and 00:28:19.400 |
demonized scientists who were trying to tell the truth, saying 00:28:22.800 |
that the so-called zoological theory was nonsense, this had to 00:28:26.280 |
be from a lab. He was doing things like this. And now we 00:28:29.320 |
have this added piece, which is this longtime colleague of 00:28:33.440 |
Fauci and Collins at NIH, Dr. David Morens, developed a 00:28:37.760 |
strategy for evading FOIA requests that would expose the 00:28:40.600 |
truth. He did this by deleting government emails, which is a 00:28:43.400 |
crime, by using private email to conduct government business, 00:28:46.520 |
which is also a crime, and then strategically misspelling names 00:28:49.640 |
and titles to frustrate the FOIA searches. And then the craziest 00:28:54.000 |
part is that Morens foolishly detailed his schemes in emails 00:28:58.760 |
that Fauci would have seen that Fauci was on the distribution 00:29:01.840 |
list stuff. So he has no plausible deniability. 00:29:04.360 |
It's literally like they're like, here's how we can avoid 00:29:08.800 |
You have to see the FOIA piece within the overall picture here, 00:29:13.720 |
which is Fauci from the get go was lying about the origins of 00:29:20.440 |
COVID in order to cover up his role in funding this type of 00:29:25.520 |
research. Yes. And there was a comprehensive effort by people 00:29:29.920 |
at NIH, likely at Fauci's direction, to again, not just 00:29:37.760 |
who were on the offensive, in addition to trying to cover 00:29:41.960 |
People like Jay Bhattacharya, who then got censored and banned 00:29:46.560 |
By the way, who is a Stanford professor was banned for 00:29:51.280 |
speaking up Chamath, let's zoom out here and start thinking 00:29:54.160 |
strategy and theories of what's going on here. I have my own, 00:29:58.640 |
but I'm curious to hear yours first as we go around the horn 00:30:02.080 |
I would like to make four points, I think that kind of 00:30:05.320 |
summarize my view of this, I think what happened here needs a 00:30:09.720 |
really clear accounting, because the implications are far greater 00:30:15.880 |
than I think people realize. And I think why maybe the four of us 00:30:18.960 |
have have always been tugging on this little thread is because 00:30:22.560 |
each of us instinctively understood that. So the first is, 00:30:26.960 |
if you just look at the macro economic consequences of what 00:30:31.840 |
COVID did, and our reaction, we broke the seal of having 00:30:36.760 |
absolutely no accountability on massive spending, right? So there 00:30:41.080 |
are subsidies, there are kickbacks, there are government 00:30:43.720 |
programs that now number in the trillions of dollars a year 00:30:46.760 |
incremental to what we were going to spend if things were 00:30:50.960 |
the status quo. And the problem is that in Freiburg has talked 00:30:54.760 |
about this really eloquently in the past, it's creating a 00:30:56.920 |
massive debt issue that us and our children and our 00:30:59.840 |
grandchildren will have to deal with. If we had responded to 00:31:03.320 |
this pandemic differently, those issues would not have occurred. 00:31:06.720 |
If we had just kept the economy open, because we understood what 00:31:11.120 |
was going on. We would not have reacted the way that we did. And 00:31:15.480 |
we would not have nearly as much debt as we had. And we would not 00:31:18.200 |
have made it okay for politicians to spend trillions 00:31:21.080 |
of dollars. That is a direct consequence of our reaction to 00:31:25.080 |
COVID, not COVID itself. The second is we caused billions of 00:31:29.720 |
people all around the world to take immaturely tested drugs. 00:31:33.800 |
They were called vaccines, we found out that they were modestly 00:31:38.560 |
effective at best. And then some of them were designed in some 00:31:42.600 |
ways to manipulate our DNA. And we just don't know what the 00:31:45.600 |
long term impacts will be. We see some small issues of 00:31:48.800 |
myocarditis, we see other issues of all cause mortality. But the 00:31:53.840 |
point is, we just don't know. And that would not have happened 00:31:57.200 |
had we not rushed to force people to stand in the line and 00:32:01.040 |
get a jab in order to get back to their normal life. That was a 00:32:03.840 |
direct consequence, not of COVID. But of a reaction. The 00:32:08.520 |
third is what we're realizing right now is that we had this 00:32:12.840 |
power drunk apparatchik. And this is similar to the quote 00:32:17.680 |
that Mike Pompeo made, when he took over the CIA. What he found 00:32:23.880 |
and he said this after when he left was, there were people on 00:32:27.600 |
the top floor of the CIA building, the seventh floor of 00:32:30.440 |
the Pentagon, that fundamentally believed that it wasn't the 00:32:34.680 |
Democrats nor the Republicans that ran the country, but it was 00:32:37.400 |
them. And I see a similar level of arrogance here, which is this 00:32:42.400 |
belief that they know better. And so what they did was they 00:32:47.160 |
committed the greatest sin, which is where the cover up is 00:32:50.760 |
way greater than the crime. And they created a setup where all 00:32:55.600 |
of these things were amplified by their prestige, their 00:33:00.480 |
perceived scientific knowledge. But what they were really doing 00:33:04.160 |
was keeping critical information to themselves, and then trying 00:33:07.720 |
to cover it up, Jason, that is so unacceptable when you think 00:33:11.360 |
of the broad consequences of what happened. And that's what 00:33:13.440 |
needs to get documented. And I do think there needs to be some 00:33:19.120 |
I think as well said, and you know, just looking at it, I 00:33:22.000 |
think we are now at the part point of this conversation and 00:33:25.480 |
investigation, we can say this is not a bipartisan, this is an 00:33:27.760 |
issue. And everybody knew like, we had these conversations on 00:33:31.880 |
this very podcast, the public knew something didn't seem right 00:33:34.920 |
about this. And if you just think about this from first 00:33:37.200 |
principles of what occurred here, just what occurred here. 00:33:40.920 |
Freeberg, we funded gain of research to create these 00:33:47.320 |
super viruses that what I think other people could just as 00:33:50.960 |
equally call a bio weapon with the Chinese. Now, we're supposed 00:33:55.080 |
to be arch rivals here were like these competitors. And then when 00:34:00.400 |
it came out, and it leaked, and of course, I don't think it was 00:34:03.280 |
released on purpose. When it came out, the people who work 00:34:08.360 |
for us and we trust with our family safety, who funded this 00:34:12.760 |
in order to save their own reputations to cover their 00:34:16.280 |
asses, then lied about it. And then, like, as you said, sex, 00:34:20.240 |
perfectly, they were on the offensive. These people were 00:34:24.720 |
not elected by anybody. That's right. These people work for us. 00:34:28.640 |
And they failed us. This is a crime against humanity of the 00:34:33.360 |
greatest cause. People committed suicide, people died, because 00:34:38.360 |
they had depression, our kids lost two years of school, this 00:34:42.280 |
generation has lost their education. And now we have 00:34:45.920 |
burdened them with billions, hundreds of billions of dollars 00:34:49.880 |
in debt from this. This is trillions, trillions, trillions, 00:34:53.480 |
10s. This is a failure of leadership. It is a crime. And 00:34:58.640 |
when people said prosecute Fauci, they were like, you're 00:35:01.360 |
being hysterical. This is ridiculous. These people need to 00:35:04.320 |
be prosecuted. If you hit this stuff, from a FOIA request, you 00:35:10.080 |
need to go to jail. There needs to be accountability here. I 00:35:13.160 |
think what they did to society, our children in the future, I 00:35:18.120 |
Imagine what happened in the situation room or the equivalent 00:35:21.040 |
wherever the President of the United States, all these world 00:35:24.400 |
leaders were coalescing to try to make decisions in that 00:35:28.800 |
period. They all looked at this quote unquote expert, they 00:35:32.200 |
pointed at Fauci and said, lead us out. And so do we not think 00:35:36.960 |
that at any point he was thinking, how do I do this in a 00:35:39.560 |
way where I have no fingerprints? Clearly the answer 00:35:42.080 |
is, in fact, he was leading from a position of how will I not 00:35:45.240 |
have any fingerprints on this? And so do we did we get the best 00:35:49.120 |
advice? on the margin? I think it's pretty fair to say we 00:35:52.800 |
could not have gotten it because he was too conflicted. He was 00:35:55.880 |
figuring out how to cover up what happened, as opposed to 00:35:59.280 |
just own it and then help the world get out of it. 00:36:01.840 |
Yeah, I mean, talk about like incinerating your entire career 00:36:05.800 |
legacy. But putting that aside, the morality of covering this 00:36:10.320 |
up. And, you know, so then you have to think trauma. And this 00:36:13.560 |
is why I was like, what is the strategy? What goes through 00:36:15.800 |
somebody's mind when they decide to do a cover up this level? Is 00:36:19.320 |
it just fear of getting caught, and their lives being in their 00:36:23.120 |
mind ruined, and they're going to do this incredible cover up? 00:36:25.880 |
I actually think that they thought this would become a 00:36:29.680 |
globally destabilizing moment between the United States and 00:36:33.320 |
China. And that there could be revolutions. Now, I know that 00:36:37.600 |
this is now sounding really conspiracy theory. But if you're 00:36:39.960 |
sitting there, and you're like, what if the public finds out we 00:36:43.120 |
created this, and their grandparents died from it, and 00:36:47.120 |
their kids didn't go to school because there'll be riots in the 00:36:49.600 |
street. But if enough time passes, maybe there's not riots 00:36:53.200 |
in the street. Well, you know what, this is something that is 00:36:55.920 |
just so abhorrent. That I mean, people need to really be held 00:37:00.620 |
accountable. freeberg your thoughts. What would you guys do 00:37:03.240 |
if you're sitting in a policymaker seat today? And 00:37:06.760 |
you're being offered by scientists, this ability to go 00:37:10.320 |
and figure out what the next big virus will be, and start to make 00:37:13.960 |
plans for getting in front of it by understanding the biology of 00:37:16.880 |
these viruses by seeing where they're going to evolve to, and 00:37:19.960 |
by trying to get in front of the next pandemic so that we can 00:37:22.820 |
protect the population? Do you guys support that sort of 00:37:26.800 |
research? And what are the questions you ask? So let's, you 00:37:29.200 |
know, rewind 15 years, pretend Fauci doesn't get to make those 00:37:32.340 |
decisions. You guys are the policymakers. And folks say SARS 00:37:35.780 |
just happened. We want to do this research. We want to figure 00:37:38.700 |
out how to get free to do and how do you how do you answer 00:37:41.340 |
There's a really simple. There's a really simple question 00:37:43.820 |
of anybody who's watched any kind of science fiction or knows 00:37:46.300 |
the history of this kind of research, which is don't do this 00:37:49.620 |
in a population center. And what how will you prevent it from 00:37:52.980 |
breaking out? Like, literally, that's job one, if you're going 00:37:56.380 |
to, even if you're not going to, like, literally, every science 00:38:01.000 |
fiction film, it's so it's like, put it on an island. And there's 00:38:04.060 |
an island off Long Island where they keep these things. I forgot 00:38:06.960 |
the name of it is Plum Island or something. We'll look it up. 00:38:09.560 |
Yeah. And by the way, there, there are internal NIH emails 00:38:13.640 |
that suggest that COVID leaked from a level two facility, they 00:38:17.560 |
call it BSL two, which does not operate with the top level 00:38:21.920 |
biohazard safeguards. So they knew the Wuhan lab was not at 00:38:25.300 |
the level of safeguards that it should have been. But look, I 00:38:28.360 |
would go deeper and say that why would you do this kind of 00:38:31.300 |
research at all? I mean, you are deliberately manipulating viruses 00:38:35.360 |
in order to make them transmissible in humans. This was 00:38:38.500 |
a bat virus that was not transmissible to humans. It was 00:38:42.960 |
bioengineered, they add the furin cleavage site to allow it 00:38:47.640 |
Yeah. So sex, I am going to push back because that is not 00:38:51.600 |
conclusively true. What you're saying is something that some 00:38:54.560 |
people have claimed, but there are other scientists, including 00:38:57.440 |
papers published recently in the Lancet, and other like pretty 00:39:00.600 |
reputable, like medical journals and research journals that 00:39:03.680 |
indicate that the evolution seen in the fear include cleavage 00:39:06.560 |
site can be traced back to an evolutionary origin, not 00:39:09.660 |
necessarily to a human engineered origin. So I want to 00:39:11.900 |
just make that clear that that is a possibility. Okay, I'm not 00:39:14.560 |
dismissing it. But I'm not supporting the other side. I'm 00:39:16.800 |
saying we have work to do to figure this out. Okay, to be 00:39:19.400 |
It's a possibility that's so remote. I mean, look, I heard 00:39:23.040 |
Professor Jeffrey Sachs talking about this in a recent 00:39:25.380 |
interview, and he went through the whole history. So there's 00:39:27.420 |
like 200 of these coronaviruses in this like class or category. 00:39:32.200 |
And there's not one furin cleavage site among any of them. 00:39:44.600 |
Let me punch up your question for a bird. Because if you have 00:39:46.840 |
your question is, what should you do? I want to ask you guys, 00:39:49.720 |
what do you do? So like, forget about Oh, there's bad guys, 00:39:52.080 |
Fauci is a bad guy, like, what do you do to protect the world 00:39:56.480 |
Number one, you don't do this type of gain of function 00:39:59.160 |
research. Number two, if you are going to do it, you don't do it 00:40:01.900 |
at a level two facility like the Wuhan lab. Number three, when the 00:40:06.920 |
virus leaks from the lab, you don't basically lie about and 00:40:10.760 |
conduct a cover campaign that smears reputation of honest 00:40:14.280 |
scientists. Number four, when you're hauled into the Oval 00:40:18.280 |
Office in response to this once in a century pandemic, you don't 00:40:22.400 |
pretend like you're America's doctor, and you have all the 00:40:25.560 |
answers. And in fact, you're the guy who created this problem. 00:40:29.400 |
You own it. There's an idea you own it. And you know what, like 00:40:33.840 |
the question really embedded in your question freeberg, I think 00:40:37.440 |
is, is gain or is there any argument to doing gain of 00:40:40.480 |
function? If so, how? And then is there any reason to research, 00:40:44.720 |
you know, the bat dung or whatever material they get it 00:40:47.800 |
from, you know, from those caves and take it out of the caves? I 00:40:51.120 |
could see the latter trim off of like, hey, this existed nature, 00:40:54.520 |
you study it on an island somewhere far away from 00:40:57.120 |
everybody with massive controls. The gain of function seems like 00:41:01.080 |
it literally feels like the speech from Jurassic Park, like, 00:41:04.160 |
I think it's not would you took place on an island for a reason. 00:41:09.080 |
There were many scientists who are opposed to gain function 00:41:11.160 |
research, they thought it was unduly risky and didn't have 00:41:13.520 |
offsetting benefits. And that is exactly why Obama banned it very 00:41:17.520 |
good decision. To me, this whole idea that we need to amplify 00:41:23.960 |
these viruses in order to find out what would happen if this 00:41:27.680 |
happened naturally is insane. You didn't have this during until 00:41:31.160 |
you created it. Yes, this is not this is nuts. 00:41:34.840 |
Greg, there are there are examples we know, I'll just 00:41:38.400 |
point to two. Let's just say the attempted overthrow of the 00:41:42.000 |
Ukrainian government in 2014. You can go back to Iran 00:41:46.360 |
contrast yet another example. And you can add gain of function 00:41:49.480 |
research now, which is again, I'll just go back to when there 00:41:54.160 |
are these lifelong bureaucrats that believe they're above the 00:41:57.800 |
law, that there's this sensation that they can pull the levers of 00:42:02.600 |
power silently behind the scenes, because they know better. 00:42:06.400 |
And then what they're doing, as you guys said, is they are 00:42:11.200 |
controverting the desires of the people. So whether you like 00:42:15.120 |
President Obama or not, he's duly elected by the people. And 00:42:18.440 |
when he says this isn't allowed, it shouldn't be allowed. And 00:42:22.440 |
when you instantiate chaos and wars and all of this other 00:42:27.080 |
stuff, overthrows and all of these other places that then 00:42:29.680 |
create all these long tail effects. They're not done with 00:42:34.120 |
really America support, they're done by a small group of people 00:42:37.200 |
who think they know better. And I think that we've created that 00:42:40.680 |
kind of a problem that needs to get fixed. And so I think that 00:42:45.240 |
there, this has to be an example where you can make them an 00:42:48.360 |
example, because otherwise it will keep happening. And there 00:42:51.440 |
are other parts of the American bureaucracy, where people are 00:42:55.320 |
in charge of very critical and important decisions. And I 00:42:58.760 |
suspect 99% of them are good, earnest, honest people doing the 00:43:03.520 |
right thing for America. But it's just the law of large 00:43:06.960 |
numbers, there will be one or two, and all it takes is one or 00:43:09.960 |
two, who get drunk with that power. And so unless that 00:43:13.600 |
there's a check and balance on that dynamic, we'll have more 00:43:17.320 |
issues of this. And as the world gets more sophisticated, and we 00:43:21.440 |
rely more on experts, I hate to say this, guys, but you have to 00:43:25.240 |
be more skeptical of experts. As much as you think an expert is 00:43:29.120 |
an expert, you have to fight the tendency of saying I'm going to 00:43:32.160 |
abdicate all of my intellect onto you and you decide, yeah, I 00:43:37.280 |
think you have to find a way of just gut checking. And SAC said 00:43:40.960 |
this critical thing. If I was the President of the United 00:43:43.600 |
States in a pandemic, I didn't need the COVID to teach me this 00:43:47.920 |
example. But if I'm trying to solve a very technical and hard 00:43:51.760 |
engineering problem, what I always do is I bring a cross 00:43:55.280 |
section of people in a room. Typically, some of them have to 00:43:59.200 |
have disagreeing opinions, and I make them intellectually fight 00:44:03.040 |
it out. And my job is to observe. And in that I apply my 00:44:07.680 |
judgment. I'm not nearly as smart as them. I'm not nearly 00:44:10.400 |
technically as trained as them. But that is a process that 00:44:13.440 |
works. And I'm just questioning, it couldn't have happened here. 00:44:16.320 |
Because as SAC said, if you basically bury the reputations 00:44:20.160 |
of the folks that are pushing back, you could never bring them 00:44:22.880 |
inside the room in the oval and have a conversation with them 00:44:25.920 |
and say, Hey, Jay Bhattacharya, give us the red team version of 00:44:29.920 |
what you think is happening. Yeah. And that is a real 00:44:34.800 |
Let me build on a point Chamath made, which is, I think we have 00:44:38.880 |
to ask the question, what type of government do we really have? 00:44:41.440 |
You know, we call ourselves a democracy, but are you a 00:44:45.120 |
democracy when the elected leaders come and go, and the 00:44:49.280 |
really powerful bureaucrats running the government running 00:44:52.000 |
these agencies stay for decades and decades. And if the 00:44:55.600 |
president disagrees with their policy, they can just wait them 00:44:58.320 |
out. Fauci wanted to do gain of function research, maybe, by the 00:45:02.640 |
way, at the behest of God, we don't know could have been a 00:45:04.880 |
bio weapon or bio defense program. There's a lot more to 00:45:08.160 |
this that we don't even know about yet. In any event, it's 00:45:11.200 |
clear he was passionately committed to funding gain of 00:45:14.640 |
function research. He just waited for his opportunity and 00:45:17.840 |
implemented as well. Victoria Nuland in the State Department, 00:45:21.760 |
passionately committed to basically bringing Ukraine into 00:45:24.800 |
NATO, and using that to essentially provoke a regime 00:45:29.280 |
change operation in Russia. Again, she just had to wait for 00:45:33.120 |
her opportunity to basically keep pushing these policies for 00:45:36.240 |
decades. These are the people who are really running the 00:45:38.800 |
government. How would you change it? We have to turn these 00:45:42.080 |
things over these organizations or get rid of them. 00:45:44.080 |
We talk about term limits for politicians, maybe we actually 00:45:46.480 |
need to turn the limits for the administrative apparatchik that 00:45:51.840 |
Right. It's called the deep state, right? You ever hear the 00:45:54.240 |
expression deep state sounds conspiratorial. It's not, it's 00:45:56.880 |
just the permanent bureaucracy. We elect a president, but but 00:46:00.560 |
how many people does the President actually appoint a 00:46:02.720 |
couple 100? You're 99.9% of the people running the government 00:46:09.120 |
Well, and then I'll just say here, I want to give a shout out 00:46:11.520 |
to the journalists, Catherine bond and Catherine bond and 00:46:15.440 |
Emily comp, I know that people also have no faith in 00:46:18.480 |
journalists. These are two journalists, I think you could 00:46:20.240 |
have tremendous faith in and we're going to win Pulitzer's 00:46:22.880 |
because they've been doggedly pursuing this. And you have to 00:46:25.040 |
wonder why this is not the top story on the news networks and 00:46:30.000 |
why this isn't the head of, you know, the New York Times or the 00:46:33.360 |
Washington Post, like there needs to be much more coverage 00:46:36.800 |
Yeah, because the Trump takes every headline. 00:46:40.400 |
Yeah. I don't think it has anything to do with Trump. I 00:46:42.480 |
think it's got everything to do with the fact that the New York 00:46:44.240 |
Times was covering for Fauci. Fauci has been there. Fauci has 00:46:48.480 |
been there for decades. He is a major source of the New York 00:46:51.840 |
Times, just like he was a major funder of grant programs, right. 00:46:55.200 |
So there's a lot of people who have developed a dependency on 00:47:00.240 |
for information, you think access journalism is what's 00:47:03.840 |
There's no question. Times was covering for this. The New York 00:47:08.080 |
Times definitely promoted the idea that anyone pushing the 00:47:11.280 |
lab leak theory was somehow conspiracy theorist or not. 00:47:15.200 |
And you have to lay on top of all this acts. It's a political 00:47:18.880 |
They were pushing that whole crazy wet market theory. 00:47:25.680 |
We needed Jon Stewart to dismantle the pangolin theory. 00:47:29.840 |
You know, in relation to that, these wet markets have spread 00:47:33.360 |
massive viruses and, you know, all kinds of things. And they do 00:47:38.480 |
need to be, there was like a UN report on like, hey, we have to 00:47:41.680 |
upgrade because people have to stop doing live markets. 00:47:45.520 |
I think it was a logical theory to pursue to the end point of 00:47:49.440 |
eliminating it because they around Wuhan, there are a lot of 00:47:53.120 |
these wet markets. It is completely conceivable that a 00:47:55.920 |
person who was in that lab went to a wet market and it spread 00:47:59.680 |
via the wet market. This is why we need a full investigation, 00:48:02.320 |
folks, because all these theories could come together. 00:48:04.880 |
And there are more cards to turn over, which one of you 00:48:07.760 |
alluded to, like, who knows what the turn in the river are 00:48:10.960 |
going to be here? Like, what did China know? What did our 00:48:14.160 |
government and China know? Maybe they are making bioweapons. 00:48:17.600 |
Maybe they're doing even worse stuff that we don't know about. 00:48:20.720 |
Maybe there's all kinds of rogue programs that are being that 00:48:23.280 |
are occurring here. That's why we need to keep digging and 00:48:25.920 |
digging. The American public must hold these people 00:48:29.200 |
accountable. And they need to tell us who else was involved. 00:48:33.680 |
Because if Fauci is involved, and this guy's involved, there's 00:48:38.160 |
There's many crazy parts of this. But I think maybe the 00:48:40.160 |
craziest part of the whole thing is that when the pandemic 00:48:43.200 |
happens, and the elected government of the United States, 00:48:46.800 |
the President needs to pull in the resources to manage a 00:48:49.840 |
policy response, who do they pull in? Fauci, the guy who 00:48:53.280 |
created the problem. It's kind of like when they have Newland 00:48:56.400 |
be our chief diplomat in the State Department, and she's 00:48:58.720 |
fomented the coup in Kiev in 2014. It's again, these, these 00:49:04.000 |
bureaucrats are doing the exact opposite of what they're 00:49:06.640 |
supposed to be doing. They're not being honest. Yes. But I 00:49:11.120 |
think to answer your question, what do we do about it? I think 00:49:13.040 |
we just got to clean out the stables here. Yeah, I think we 00:49:15.680 |
just got to disband some of these government departments. 00:49:18.000 |
Why do we have so many this whole alphabet soup of three 00:49:20.320 |
letter agencies? I think Vivek Ramaswamy had the right idea. 00:49:23.920 |
Let's just get rid of a bunch of these things. 00:49:25.680 |
zero based budget, the whole government start over. Yeah, 00:49:29.520 |
and just go right through each one. Like if and you know what, 00:49:32.000 |
it should be a bipartisan issue. But there's so much money 00:49:34.480 |
involved. This is one of the challenges in the capitalist 00:49:36.400 |
system. Is there so much money, there's so much grift to go 00:49:38.880 |
around that when something like this happens, and there's an 00:49:42.320 |
opportunity to I don't know, make a vaccine and, you know, 00:49:46.160 |
put a couple of billion dollars into this lightspeed thing, 00:49:49.120 |
which was a great idea. Seemingly, everybody lines up, 00:49:52.480 |
okay, yeah, sure, we'll get involved. We'll take some of 00:49:54.080 |
that money. Yeah, buy a billion shots from us. President Trump 00:49:57.200 |
was really on to this, because he's the one that really coined 00:49:59.520 |
the term the deep state and went after it. And if you think 00:50:02.400 |
about the other side, right, the people that are there, it must 00:50:06.640 |
be very discomforting to hear because a lot of those people 00:50:09.840 |
are folks that worked hard, tried to go to good schools, get 00:50:13.520 |
educated, and join an infrastructure to move a country 00:50:18.320 |
forward, because they believe in the country and the values 00:50:20.160 |
sounds like a noble, noble mission, right? But over long 00:50:23.680 |
periods of time, most people come and go. And then there's a 00:50:27.440 |
small cohort of folks that sort of end up ossifying and running 00:50:31.600 |
the top parts of this permanent bureaucracy. And I think Saks is 00:50:35.840 |
right, they start to observe just the simple principle that 00:50:39.200 |
all these folks come and go yet, I'm still around. President 00:50:45.600 |
undersecretary goes, the secretary of this comes in, then 00:50:48.720 |
they go. And so they start to believe that they're really in 00:50:52.320 |
charge. And that's where the deep state idea comes from. 00:50:55.840 |
At least we're in a democracy where these hearings are 00:50:59.680 |
occurring. I just want to give kudos to in addition to those 00:51:02.800 |
two journalists, to the people on this subcommittee, who are 00:51:06.080 |
doing it in a bipartisan way. And they will be and they're 00:51:09.440 |
being relentless. I think that's the honorable thing to do. I 00:51:12.560 |
encourage them and those investigative journalists to be 00:51:15.600 |
And kudos to Rand Paul, too. Remember when he was 00:51:19.440 |
profiling courage, people were like, this guy's a loon. 00:51:23.680 |
To your point about what does this mean for our democracy, I 00:51:26.240 |
want to just bring up the Semaphore article where they 00:51:28.560 |
polled young people, and young voters, they despair over US 00:51:33.280 |
politics, they describe the United States as a dying empire 00:51:36.240 |
led by bad people. I mean, after what we've learned about COVID, 00:51:40.720 |
and I would argue also the whole background to not wrong or is 00:51:45.040 |
this right? Exactly. Their intuition is their intuition is 00:51:48.400 |
right. Yeah, from the mouths of babes. I mean, it bad is I mean, 00:51:52.320 |
if they covered this up, in the way it's looking like I would 00:51:55.680 |
call this behavior, not bad. I'd call it evil, because it was 00:51:58.400 |
premeditated. And then the point is, we're supposed to have this 00:52:01.760 |
check and balance from the media. But when the media is 00:52:04.480 |
complicit, because they like to be in those halls of power, 00:52:07.040 |
that's where that's where these feelings come from. I think the 00:52:09.840 |
latest stat that I saw is I think more than 52% of 00:52:13.040 |
Americans now believe that the mainstream media is 00:52:16.240 |
untrustworthy. And that's a really terrible place to be, 00:52:19.120 |
which means you're basically where do you get through, you're 00:52:21.840 |
consuming something that's just fundamentally not true. 00:52:23.920 |
I mean, burn it down. I mean, that's the conclusion any 00:52:26.480 |
logical person would come to is just burn it down. This makes no 00:52:30.000 |
sense that they would try and cover this up. The right thing 00:52:32.160 |
for Fauci to do is say, hey, listen, we didn't do gain of 00:52:35.360 |
function. You know, under Obama, we did do it here. It's 00:52:40.000 |
obviously been a mistake. We need to never do it again. And 00:52:42.880 |
here's the roadmap to make sure that we protect people from the 00:52:45.520 |
next one. Thank God this one didn't kill children the way 00:52:47.840 |
it's killing all people. And by the way, this is gonna crack 00:52:50.560 |
open. I encourage you all to be vocal about this and to watch 00:52:53.760 |
on Monday, because Dr. Fauci is scheduled to appear in a 00:52:57.120 |
hearing for the same sub committee and that is going to 00:53:00.400 |
be explosive and live streamed on YouTube. We'll put the link 00:53:03.440 |
in the show notes. Since we're in the don't trust anybody and 00:53:07.440 |
have your own sovereignty, and we're in libertarian moment. 00:53:10.160 |
Let's go to our crypto correspondent. It's crypto 00:53:15.600 |
It's part of my production company. I'm not doing crypto 00:53:20.720 |
corner with your mouth. I'll be next week's call, though. I 00:53:23.280 |
thought it would be good to talk about crypto. For a couple of 00:53:26.720 |
reasons. One is because we just had the having at the end of 00:53:31.200 |
April, when this happened. The having is where just for folks 00:53:34.800 |
that don't know the way that bitcoins are created is by 00:53:37.360 |
solving these complex mathematical algorithms that 00:53:39.600 |
take a lot of time and energy and, and money. And when you 00:53:43.120 |
solve it, you get rewarded with some number of Bitcoin. And 00:53:47.680 |
roughly every four years, that reward gets cut in half. It's 00:53:51.920 |
called a having. And this week, I saw somebody who reminded me 00:53:58.480 |
all of this and I just want to give this guy a proper shout 00:54:00.560 |
out. So his name is Wences Casares and Wences in Silicon 00:54:04.560 |
Valley, I would say really was agent zero of Bitcoin. He was 00:54:08.000 |
the one in 2010 that introduced it to me. I remember he reminded 00:54:12.640 |
me of the story. Actually, we were at orange hummus. And he's 00:54:16.000 |
like, he's Argentinian. Great. He's a great so I'm going to 00:54:18.080 |
try to copy his accent. You're not to buy the Bitcoin. So I 00:54:22.160 |
heard the story. I fell in love with it. I remember I called my 00:54:24.880 |
family office. I'm like, buy me a million of these things. And 00:54:26.800 |
he was like, or a million dollars worth. And he was like, 00:54:29.920 |
Are you crazy? And I was like, No, there's just a little 00:54:32.000 |
appetizer. We'll get to the main main course. Anyways, he has 00:54:36.080 |
done a phenomenal job of understanding and proselytizing 00:54:38.880 |
Bitcoin. And I want to thank him because he really put me on 00:54:42.960 |
to this. But he mentioned something to me when I saw him a 00:54:46.240 |
couple days ago, which is you should really look at the 00:54:49.280 |
pattern of Bitcoin after a having. And so I was really 00:54:54.000 |
curious. And so I had a guy on my team, Quentin put this 00:54:57.360 |
together. So Nick, let me just let's go to the first page. So 00:55:01.120 |
why is this interesting? So here's a little Bitcoin price 00:55:03.360 |
analysis for you guys. So there's been a couple of having 00:55:06.560 |
cycles that have happened. And I asked him to go back and look 00:55:10.880 |
at the price performance one month after having three months, 00:55:15.200 |
six months, nine months, 12 months, and 18 months after 00:55:18.160 |
having. And what you notice is that there are these moments, 00:55:24.240 |
initially, where essentially, when you go through a Bitcoin 00:55:27.760 |
having, people are sort of reassessing what's happening. 00:55:31.120 |
And they're trying to figure it out. That's sort of what I would 00:55:33.920 |
say is happens in the first month, and roughly what also 00:55:36.480 |
happens in the first three months. But then within six 00:55:40.720 |
months to a year and 18 months of these things, there are these 00:55:43.920 |
crazy price appreciation cycles that happen. So that's what 00:55:49.040 |
this page shows, which is, you know, 18 months after the first 00:55:53.680 |
having the Bitcoin price returned 45 x, after the second 00:55:59.680 |
having it returned almost 28 x. And after this third having it 00:56:04.960 |
returned almost an eight x, which is really incredible 00:56:08.640 |
returns in such a short period of time, if you go to the next 00:56:10.960 |
page. And so if you if you graph that this is what it starts to 00:56:14.000 |
show, which is what is this price performance after each of 00:56:16.560 |
these having cycles? Now, why is that interesting? Well, it's 00:56:19.840 |
interesting, because on top of this having which, theoretically, 00:56:24.800 |
if history is a guide, we should see some price 00:56:29.680 |
appreciation. Obviously, the other thing that's happened is 00:56:32.160 |
we've commercialized Bitcoin. And we talked about this sort of 00:56:34.880 |
as my big prediction for 2024, which is these ETFs are really 00:56:39.920 |
going to allow Bitcoin to cross the chasm and habits, sort of 00:56:43.280 |
central key moment, right. And so if you apply the averages, 00:56:47.760 |
and again, these are just averages, they're by no means 00:56:50.160 |
predictions, okay, so I just want to qualify that these are 00:56:52.720 |
just not financial advice, not financial advice. These are just 00:56:55.360 |
we took these and we applied it to the price of Bitcoin. And if 00:56:59.840 |
you go to the next page, you start to see what could happen 00:57:04.800 |
if you just take the average of the last few cycles. So because 00:57:08.080 |
the first cycle was so extreme, and you start to just doing 00:57:11.840 |
cycle two and three here, to be clear, just the averages of 00:57:14.480 |
cycle two and three. And what you start to see is some really 00:57:17.680 |
meaningful appreciation. And when I talked to once is about 00:57:22.960 |
this, how he explained it, which I which makes a lot of sense to 00:57:25.840 |
me is there are a lot of countries that will never look 00:57:31.040 |
at Bitcoin credibly, even if they support it, the US may be 00:57:34.080 |
one of those, but there's an increasing body of countries 00:57:36.640 |
that will become dual currency. And they will look at their 00:57:41.680 |
local currency, and then they will look at Bitcoin. And they 00:57:44.720 |
will say both of these two things are needed. One, when 00:57:47.760 |
you're transacting on a daily basis for random goods and 00:57:50.400 |
services. And two, when you need to buy a permanent asset that 00:57:54.160 |
needs to have residual value, you'll use something like BTC. 00:57:58.000 |
And I think that's a very powerful concept. And if you 00:58:01.600 |
look at what this price chart could indicate is that if this 00:58:07.520 |
thing starts to get to these levels of appreciation, it is 00:58:10.720 |
going to completely replace gold and start to become 00:58:14.000 |
something that has transactional utility for hard 00:58:17.840 |
assets. And I think if you marry that with this worry that 00:58:21.520 |
some folks have about dollar debasement, you start to see 00:58:25.440 |
some really interesting opportunities. So I just thought 00:58:27.600 |
that this was a interesting thing that he that he here's 00:58:31.200 |
our disclaimer, interesting thing that he put me on. I 00:58:33.200 |
thought I'd share that with you. I'll publish this on 00:58:34.800 |
Twitter. But that's your crypto corner for the year, folks. 00:58:38.160 |
I think it's really interesting how the crypto community is 00:58:40.800 |
getting organized into basically a lobby to advocate for its 00:58:45.920 |
interest, because it's the biggest lobby in America. Did 00:58:48.320 |
you know that they've been so targeted over the last few 00:58:50.640 |
years, because Gensler and Warren have been on a crusade to 00:58:55.760 |
basically make crypto illegal or drive it offshore? Well, 00:58:59.040 |
every action has a equal and opposite reaction. And now the 00:59:02.400 |
crypto people have basically had a political awakening and 00:59:05.440 |
realize they have to get involved in the political 00:59:07.280 |
system. Yeah, this is a matter of defense, self defense. 00:59:13.680 |
Well, not like that. I mean, like, I mean, he was dropping 00:59:17.680 |
money on everybody. Yeah. Did you hear this? Did you hear this 00:59:21.040 |
rumor that he was doing that to basically push for regulatory 00:59:24.000 |
capture? Remember? Yeah, I think it's a point. Did you guys hear 00:59:28.480 |
this? Did you guys hear this rumor that SPF was going to put 00:59:31.760 |
a billion dollars into the election and convince Tom Brady 00:59:34.800 |
to run as a Republican? And give don't give the billion to 00:59:37.600 |
Trump. Oh, sorry, give the billion to Trump. He was gonna 00:59:40.000 |
give Trump a billion to not run. Okay. And then get Tom Brady 00:59:44.320 |
run. I mean, this person had delusions of gravity. He thought 00:59:46.720 |
he was a Jedi Knight. And he's like, literally in Jabba's 00:59:50.240 |
palace right now. I don't know what this I mean, what a lunatic 00:59:52.640 |
he was. I mean, talk about delusions of grandeur sacks. 00:59:55.840 |
This guy thought he would just drop a billion dollars and 00:59:59.360 |
convince somebody not to run for government. I think we're 01:00:02.000 |
gonna I think we're gonna get a regulatory, you know, back to 01:00:04.720 |
the young people we talked about in the previous story. I think 01:00:07.920 |
the reason they're attracted to crypto is because it doesn't 01:00:10.880 |
have government control. And since if you don't trust the 01:00:13.040 |
government, and you see the government over and over and 01:00:15.760 |
over again, cover things up or the grift or make decisions that 01:00:19.600 |
are not in your generation's best interest, why wouldn't you 01:00:22.560 |
opt out of their financial system? And you know what, 01:00:25.040 |
there's a lot of them. And they have they're getting organized 01:00:27.520 |
to your point, sacks. I think we're going to have a crypto 01:00:30.400 |
framework. And it's worth probably five points in this 01:00:34.960 |
election. What do you think sacks? How many points is being 01:00:37.280 |
the pro crypto candidate worth in this election? 123 points of 01:00:41.040 |
votes, four points, it's got to be hard to show up, it'll be 01:00:46.000 |
it'll be it could be 500 basis points. I mean, young people do 01:00:49.440 |
not show up to vote because there isn't an issue that they 01:00:51.680 |
care about. Correct. But there's 50 million Americans that own 01:00:54.800 |
crypto 5050. Okay, so if 10% of them are like, let's say that's 01:00:59.920 |
their show. That's 5 million votes. No, no, no. There's a 01:01:03.920 |
there's a plausible case where 40 million of those folks show 01:01:07.520 |
up because you're talking about a structural part of their 01:01:10.560 |
wealth creation. Right. So for example, like, you know, Biden, 01:01:13.760 |
President Biden talked about giving people a head start by 01:01:16.320 |
eliminating their debt. That's a narrow issue. And the reason 01:01:19.760 |
it's a narrow issue, there's just as many people that don't 01:01:22.000 |
have debt, and just as many people that paid off their debt, 01:01:24.080 |
and it creates a lot of haves and have nots. Right. And 01:01:28.320 |
there's all these rules around who will get the debt relief, 01:01:30.960 |
etc. You end up touching four or 5 million people, maximum. But 01:01:36.320 |
if there are 50 million people who have now decided to have at 01:01:39.280 |
least the hedge against the establishment, and the 01:01:44.400 |
traditional financial system, and you are threatening to take 01:01:48.720 |
that wealth away, yeah, I could see how 80% of those folks show 01:01:52.240 |
up to the ballot box and say, All right, which one of you will 01:01:54.800 |
just leave me alone? And if the answer is President Trump, and 01:01:57.440 |
they're all going to vote for President Trump, I think this is 01:01:59.600 |
like such a great issue for political candidates to embrace. 01:02:04.000 |
And it's such a simple framework, I've said it a dozen 01:02:06.960 |
times, create a sophisticated investor test, let 1000 flowers 01:02:11.280 |
bloom, people can make whatever crypto projects they want. But 01:02:13.760 |
to buy it, you just have to take a simple test like a driver's 01:02:17.520 |
license, so that you don't risk your entire net worth or 01:02:21.120 |
whatever. If you do, you're an informed buyer of crypto, just 01:02:24.160 |
make a sophisticated investor test. And let's move on to mock 01:02:27.280 |
just since we're in crypto corner before we leave crypto 01:02:29.280 |
corner, when is my ape going to be worth money again, when will 01:02:32.000 |
my ape go back on? Never. So my apes not coming back. Okay, so I 01:02:36.560 |
guess I shouldn't have done that. All right. How's sax coin 01:02:41.600 |
doing? We had sex point and we had went crazy, but that was a 01:02:45.920 |
pump and dump scheme that we had nothing to do with I will never 01:02:48.880 |
sell you a coin. Until I do. I just want to let everybody know 01:02:52.640 |
that if you get a DM from me, I am not selling j coin until you 01:02:57.680 |
hear it first. I would literally do an angel investing coin 01:03:02.160 |
immediately if there was a framework for it would be the 01:03:05.040 |
greatest idea ever to have like a j coin and I could just like 01:03:07.760 |
put it into startups that people could buy and sell it and be 01:03:09.760 |
like this ongoing evergreen venture. Where's my J now? 01:03:14.720 |
I love dows and I love I love the idea of an angel investing 01:03:19.040 |
coin but man, startup coin would be brilliant. Yeah, the Jason 01:03:22.880 |
coin is basically at zero it man it it was worth the sound is 01:03:27.440 |
down to eight grand. Yeah. anything to do with sax coin 01:03:30.800 |
either but I was more amused by it than anything else. Yeah, 01:03:33.920 |
well, my friend decided to tell everybody he was gonna buy some 01:03:43.680 |
It's hilarious. I have some. I've only we've only bought 01:03:47.600 |
crypto twice. We have some doge which I bought during like our 01:03:52.720 |
doge phase a couple years ago. And then my wife presently bought 01:03:57.840 |
Bitcoin, you know, at a very low price when everybody was 01:04:00.880 |
talking around it around Thanksgiving. And my heart 01:04:04.480 |
Bitcoin went phenomenal. And my doge is at break even now. So 01:04:09.680 |
I've spent two years just on the pendulum. But who knows maybe 01:04:13.040 |
those become a thing again. I love doge. All right, we have a 01:04:16.240 |
bellwether of sorts here. Salesforce dropped more than 20% 01:04:19.200 |
after reporting earnings. We should talk about the state of 01:04:22.480 |
SaaS software as a service if you're not in the industry. 01:04:25.680 |
Salesforce had its worst day in the markets in nearly 20 years 01:04:29.680 |
on Thursday. And that's when we take this. It was about $40 01:04:33.040 |
billion in market cap or as we say in the industry to figmas on 01:04:36.560 |
Wednesday, Salesforce missed q1 revenue estimates for the first 01:04:39.280 |
time since 2006. Revenue was up 9.1 billion 11% year over year, 01:04:44.640 |
but about 40 million below Wall Street expectation. So they're 01:04:47.760 |
doing great. But Wall Street is concerned for a reason we'll get 01:04:52.000 |
into what that is net income was 1.5 billion seven X year over 01:04:55.920 |
year because they've been doing a lot of cuts over their free 01:04:58.400 |
cash flow 6 billion up 43%. Profits are up huge because if 01:05:02.800 |
you remember those activist investors came in and had 01:05:05.600 |
Benioff, really rethink the structure of the business and 01:05:09.280 |
the footprint of the business, but guidance for q2 down. 01:05:12.720 |
Salesforce projecting 7% growth relatively low for them. 01:05:16.960 |
Freeberg, you and I were talking about this, like, what are your 01:05:20.240 |
thoughts here on what's happening in the markets, and 01:05:25.120 |
then we had the side discussion, which we didn't dock it, but I 01:05:28.400 |
think it's worth bringing up here and dovetailing, which is, 01:05:30.640 |
it does seem like the consumer, which is an enterprise story, 01:05:34.720 |
but the economy is cooling off consumers, I think are running 01:05:38.720 |
out of money, the Yolo economy is finally, I think, at its end. 01:05:46.400 |
Well, I think the key question to your point, is there a macro 01:05:49.840 |
economic reason for a slowdown in their business, they're 01:05:53.040 |
forecasting for this next fiscal year, revenue growth of only 01:05:58.160 |
eight to 9%. And for this next quarter, it's basically a flat 01:06:02.240 |
revenue quarter relative to the past quarter. So for this 01:06:06.000 |
fiscal year, 38 billion of top line revenue, 9 billion of 01:06:10.400 |
operating cash flow. And with the market cap coming down by 01:06:14.080 |
20%, the stocks at a $200 billion valuation. So it's 01:06:17.440 |
trading it, you know, call it roughly 20 times their operating 01:06:21.200 |
cash flow forecast with sub 10% revenue growth. And that's 01:06:25.040 |
basically where treasuries trade, right? Because treasury 01:06:27.440 |
yields for 30 year treasury, you can get 4.7% today. 01:06:32.960 |
you know, that's about 20 x, right. So that's about where the 01:06:35.600 |
multiple is on this Salesforce stock. So I think it really begs 01:06:38.720 |
the question on, you know, is there a macro economic force 01:06:41.440 |
where the enterprise is spending less? Because of, you know, a 01:06:46.240 |
revenue slowdown in the economy, which we saw in the latest GDP 01:06:49.840 |
report, that's number one, that could be driving this and will 01:06:52.000 |
affect ultimately the multiple for all these enterprise SaaS 01:06:54.880 |
companies. Or number two, is there a shifting underway in the 01:06:58.400 |
SaaS business model, that the premium that SaaS companies were 01:07:01.760 |
able to charge in the pricing model on a per seat basis, and 01:07:04.400 |
the dollars that they're able to charge per employee or per user 01:07:07.680 |
is so significant, relative to what that enterprise can build 01:07:13.200 |
themselves now, with the commoditization available to 01:07:16.880 |
them under this new era of AI, and the ability to build tools 01:07:20.400 |
internally, or the ability for competitors to emerge with 01:07:23.920 |
significantly underpriced alternatives, because they can 01:07:26.640 |
use generative AI to make software that can compete. And 01:07:30.720 |
then there's this other question, because Salesforce has 01:07:32.800 |
been leaning in heavily on the generative AI capabilities that 01:07:36.640 |
they're offering their customers. And it seems like the 01:07:39.920 |
question is, are enterprises waiting to see the value of that 01:07:43.520 |
generative AI service capability? Is it worth paying 01:07:46.480 |
for today? Should I wait and see? Or is it actually 01:07:49.120 |
indicating that there's a big commoditization and generative AI 01:07:51.840 |
underway? Okay, meaning why do we have to pay Salesforce a 01:07:54.240 |
bunch of money when I can use some open source third party 01:07:58.640 |
So Chamath, Freyberg presented two options here, one of them, 01:08:02.080 |
macroeconomic slowdown, the other one, hey, software, you 01:08:06.320 |
know, belt tightening is happening inside the enterprise 01:08:08.240 |
and it's cheaper to make. So maybe we have a deflationary 01:08:12.080 |
kind of situation inside companies, I guess this is 01:08:15.360 |
adjacent, that last part of his theory is adjacent to the 8090 01:08:18.960 |
mission you're on with your new startup. And maybe this is this 01:08:22.800 |
is an or or an end in your mind, Chamath, is it both these 01:08:25.280 |
things? But sorry, before you answer, the third point I made 01:08:27.680 |
was that generative AI might Yes. And the third point may not 01:08:31.120 |
be a product line, it may not be enough to charge for given all 01:08:33.920 |
the open source tools. Yes. And there's a big question mark 01:08:36.080 |
about the AI new software, will people pay for it? So Chamath 01:08:41.120 |
I think that if you look at what happened before, we had 01:08:45.600 |
a cycle where very large monolithic software was 01:08:52.080 |
replaced by the SAS vendors, and Salesforce led that charge. 01:08:55.520 |
And they led the many ways the definition of the cloud. So 01:08:58.800 |
that was amazing. That was this one big cycle. And before that, 01:09:03.440 |
that monolithic, those monolithic software vendors were 01:09:06.560 |
replacing like mainframes and very archaic stuff. This is sort 01:09:11.120 |
of this third disruptive cycle, we're going to go through a 01:09:14.480 |
process of ripping and replacing these legacy products. And so 01:09:20.400 |
Jenny, I is just a, an enablement layer that allows you 01:09:23.920 |
to deliver functionality to people. And I think what you're 01:09:28.160 |
going to find is that it allows you to deliver that 01:09:30.240 |
functionality at much, much cheaper. To your point, that's 01:09:32.480 |
the whole point of 8090. We, you know, we always joke with 01:09:35.280 |
Salesforce going to get 8090. Yeah, because you can deliver 01:09:38.480 |
80% of the features at a 90% discount pretty easily today. 01:09:43.280 |
And what you can't deliver today will get much, much easier 01:09:46.480 |
in a year and two years and three years, for sure in 10 01:09:50.320 |
years. So I think what the market is voting with their 01:09:55.760 |
dollars, is that these large, lumpy monolithic software 01:09:59.360 |
companies that need big 50 $100 million customers, they're not 01:10:06.240 |
going to find them soon, because those customers will realize 01:10:09.200 |
that you could get, you know, what Friedberg said, what you 01:10:11.840 |
need for 10 million, or 5 million, or 1 million, or 500,000. 01:10:16.960 |
And in some cases free. And so the cost structure of your 01:10:21.040 |
organization makes no sense. And so you're going to have to 01:10:24.160 |
go through this very complicated cycle of recycling, you know, 01:10:27.440 |
the business model, which unfortunately will mean tons of 01:10:30.320 |
layoffs. And that's not a today thing. But over these next five 01:10:33.840 |
and 10 years, that's probably what's going to happen. And it 01:10:37.040 |
doesn't mean Salesforce is a bad company. It's just that it is 01:10:40.080 |
on the wrong side of the life cycle. And the odds are 01:10:44.640 |
overwhelmingly such that a bunch of small companies will flood 01:10:48.960 |
this opportunity and provides cheaper, smaller, more flexible 01:10:53.360 |
Saks, obviously, you made your bones in the SaaS business over 01:10:56.720 |
the last two decades, at least. What are your thoughts here on 01:11:00.400 |
the challenges? I just interviewed Owen McCabe from 01:11:04.640 |
intercom, and he says he thinks the seat model is going to 01:11:07.280 |
change. And obviously, if there's less people at companies, 01:11:10.000 |
there's less seats. And that may be a headwind that you just 01:11:13.600 |
can't win against. So maybe a consumption model has to happen 01:11:16.240 |
or a different pricing model. But what are your thoughts on 01:11:18.640 |
what's happening at Salesforce, and then open the aperture there 01:11:22.000 |
and tell us what you think is going to happen in terms of how 01:11:24.720 |
corporations either decide to make that, you know, build or 01:11:30.000 |
Well, I think it's pretty amazing that Salesforce lost 01:11:33.760 |
something like 40 billion of market cap because of a revenue 01:11:38.000 |
mess of 40 million. You know, it's amazing how these relatively 01:11:41.920 |
small in percentage terms, misses in revenue earnings drive 01:11:50.320 |
Yeah. I mean, look, my view is that I don't have a strong view 01:11:55.200 |
about the stock, but my sense is probably a buying opportunity. 01:11:59.040 |
I mean, I think Salesforce is still a great company. Mark 01:12:01.280 |
Benioff is a great CEO. He's always positioned the company to 01:12:06.080 |
chase after whatever the current thing is. So obviously, he was 01:12:09.840 |
one of the first to realize that software was headed to the 01:12:14.560 |
cloud, evangelize for the cloud. Then when the social networking 01:12:19.840 |
revolution happened, he launched Chatter, which was a 01:12:22.320 |
competitor to my product Yammer back then. But he was ahead of 01:12:25.440 |
the curve on social and the enterprise. Then it was big data 01:12:29.040 |
and they launched Einstein. Now they've got AI and they're going 01:12:32.800 |
to be doing a bunch of different things there. So my guess is 01:12:36.320 |
he's going to figure out how to take advantage of this AI trend 01:12:40.160 |
for the company. They're not going to miss it. They're not 01:12:42.480 |
going to get caught totally flat footed. So you look, I don't 01:12:46.800 |
have a super strong point of view on it as an investment, but 01:12:51.600 |
What about the bigger picture? Open the aperture there with 01:12:54.480 |
the Salesforce and pricing and how many people work at these 01:12:58.000 |
companies. And then if the per seat model is the model, and 01:13:00.720 |
then people are going to have less humans working at companies 01:13:03.520 |
and do more with less, how does that mean for SAS writ large? 01:13:06.800 |
I'm honestly not worried about the per seat model. I mean, the 01:13:09.600 |
point of a pricing plan should be to align revenue expansion 01:13:16.480 |
with ROI, meaning the more value that a customer gets from 01:13:20.080 |
your product, the more they're willing to pay. And you just 01:13:23.200 |
need some proxy for measuring that seats are a good proxy. 01:13:27.520 |
It's a good way to measure how much value the customer is 01:13:30.320 |
getting out of your product, because the more seats they're 01:13:32.080 |
buying, the more value they must be getting. Yes, you could do 01:13:35.040 |
it some other way. You could basically meter data usage. You 01:13:38.880 |
could meter API usage. Sure. Those models will work for other 01:13:43.600 |
kinds of companies, but I don't think there's going to be a huge 01:13:48.560 |
Look, I think the bigger issue here is that their forecast was 01:13:54.080 |
soft, right? They are forecasting what sub 10% revenue 01:13:58.560 |
growth, they're going to and this is why the stock got 01:14:01.520 |
punished. And I'm seeing that a bunch of SAS companies are kind 01:14:05.760 |
of hurting today. Now in the wake of this, they're down like 01:14:08.480 |
5%, not 20. But so I wonder if what the market is wondering is 01:14:14.720 |
whether there's a more general slowdown that we're on the 01:14:17.920 |
precipice of I don't think that that explains 40 to 20% drop in 01:14:22.240 |
a day. I think typically these public market investors 01:14:26.000 |
internalize a bunch of fears, and they don't execute on those 01:14:31.440 |
fears. And then when given an opportunity, they just barf it 01:14:34.480 |
all out, because it's like now it's acceptable. And so to your 01:14:38.160 |
point, David, like it was such like a, an insignificant revenue 01:14:42.320 |
miss, so as to not even be important, quite honestly. But 01:14:45.280 |
the reason it's down 20% is I think folks have internalized 01:14:48.480 |
different set of risks. And then they've found an escape hatch 01:14:52.160 |
where they have plausible deniability for selling. That's 01:14:54.400 |
just what a lot of public market investors do. I don't think 01:14:56.880 |
it's a coincidence that we just had the GDP forecast revised 01:15:00.560 |
down for the latest quarter. What was it? It's down to like 01:15:03.920 |
1.4% something. Yeah, we talked about this last week, because 01:15:07.520 |
it's this number is fake. The economy is looking pretty soft 01:15:10.800 |
right now. Which is, I guess a good jumping off point, which 01:15:15.600 |
is do what do we think is happening here with the economy 01:15:19.280 |
and then interest rates, because the whole goal here was to get 01:15:22.080 |
us under, you know, get us close to 2%, get rid of the free 01:15:25.280 |
handle, at least in terms of interest going up and maybe get 01:15:29.120 |
the consumers to not be spending so much money, which is crazy to 01:15:33.360 |
think about or maybe get more people laid off and have the 01:15:35.440 |
unemployment not so low. Remember when everyone was 01:15:37.920 |
talking about soft landing? Yeah, the reason why they were 01:15:40.640 |
having that conversation is because the Fed jacked up 01:15:43.440 |
interest rates really suddenly from roughly zero to five, five 01:15:46.800 |
and a half percent. And it works that has an impact on 01:15:49.920 |
people's consumption, because debt is much more expensive. So 01:15:53.840 |
again, it's it's where to buy a house harder to buy a car, 01:15:56.320 |
anything you need to finance gets much harder. It took a long 01:16:00.080 |
time for this to work its way through the economy. But I think 01:16:02.080 |
we're finally seeing it now. I think we're I think that's 01:16:04.400 |
exactly right. I think we're here when you see that three 01:16:06.400 |
handle, like, does it go down? You know, it's very interesting 01:16:08.960 |
about the 2% target, I went down the rabbit hole to try to 01:16:11.600 |
figure out that 2% target. Like, I was like, who came up 01:16:15.040 |
with 2% as a number, like, why isn't it three or 2.5? Or 1.5? 01:16:18.320 |
Or one? It's a guy in New Zealand who was, you know, came 01:16:21.280 |
up with what he thought was a good target 2%, the world 01:16:23.440 |
adopted it. So going back to our conversation about experts. 01:16:27.280 |
Yeah, he just really admits it. He's just like, yeah, I just 01:16:29.920 |
thought 3% seemed like the right number wasn't too high, wasn't 01:16:33.120 |
too low. And it's kind of healthy to have things go up in 01:16:35.840 |
price, because that means the economy is growing. It's just a 01:16:39.360 |
random target 2% was his gut. Incredible, right? 01:16:42.720 |
Incredible. Yeah, I mean, if you look at this, we are at what 01:16:48.080 |
is it 3.6% annualized CPI inflation and 1.3% annualized 01:16:55.920 |
GDP growth and a 4.7% 30 year treasury yield. This is I don't 01:17:01.440 |
know what else is more definitional of stagflation. The 01:17:05.120 |
economy is not growing prices are going up and the cost of 01:17:09.840 |
Someone's got to give and then also if they keep raising taxes, 01:17:13.840 |
well, it's like their plans are then affluent people are going 01:17:17.520 |
to be trying to protect their assets and who's they I'm just 01:17:21.600 |
thinking like a politician like if a politician were to raise 01:17:24.800 |
taxes dramatically, but I don't want to I don't want you to 01:17:28.960 |
have Biden derangement syndrome here sacks. Okay, well, I can 01:17:31.760 |
promise you this. I don't think Trump's gonna raise taxes, but 01:17:34.480 |
I know he has the trifecta. Absolutely, absolutely. That's 01:17:38.160 |
why I'll see you Thursday night with my $50,000 check. I can't 01:17:40.960 |
wait to be there. Yeah, it's gonna easily be paid for by my 01:17:44.240 |
tax cut. Just to jump back for a second on the point. So you 01:17:48.560 |
know, Salesforce faces these challenges, but it's still led 01:17:51.200 |
by Mark Benioff. Absolutely. That dude's tremendous. And if 01:17:54.960 |
you look at the performance of the average public company, 01:17:58.880 |
regardless of the sector that that business operates in, that 01:18:02.800 |
is run by a hired CEO versus run by a founder CEO. Yeah, the 01:18:06.880 |
founder public companies that have that have gone public 01:18:10.320 |
achieved a $10 billion market cap and are still founder run as 01:18:15.120 |
the CEO from their outperform nearly any index you look at. 01:18:19.360 |
And this is I think like a really key point you could 01:18:23.600 |
probably put together I think some people have done this put 01:18:25.520 |
together a founder portfolio, but I wouldn't count out Benioff 01:18:29.920 |
just because of some of the stuff that we've talked about 01:18:32.080 |
as founders, founders, founders can and will maneuver their way 01:18:37.600 |
to success. That is the hunger of let's do our let's do our 01:18:40.800 |
draft. The one founders you should not bet against which 01:18:45.440 |
founder would you least want to short Chamath your first in the 01:18:49.040 |
draft? What do you got? Who would you not want to bet 01:18:51.600 |
against? Worst person to bet against? Sorry, what do you 01:18:56.640 |
mean? Like founders? Any entrepreneur in history know 01:19:00.480 |
what happened when people tried to short you on they got 01:19:02.640 |
incinerated barbecue sauce. Okay, you got you picked you on 01:19:05.360 |
the draft then it's number one. You got? Yeah, that's easy. I 01:19:09.040 |
would pick you too. Okay, but we can't pick somebody out. 01:19:11.360 |
That's why it's a draft here. We took you and I gotta take the 01:19:13.440 |
next person. It could be anybody doesn't have to be alive 01:19:15.840 |
doesn't have to be in position right now. Who would I say? 01:19:20.720 |
Sorry? What's what founder least likely to short? An 01:19:24.800 |
entrepreneur you least want to short? Well, there you are. 01:19:28.160 |
Listen, there's yours. Hold on. Now free break. You get to go 01:19:31.120 |
in the draft. Yeah, I don't know the I mean, all these 01:19:33.760 |
founders. I don't know how to pick one. I mean, what are you 01:19:35.520 |
going to go with? Yeah, I'm going to go with go with Bill 01:19:41.040 |
Gates. What he's not always talking. No, I said it could be 01:19:46.080 |
any time period of time. Yeah, now that you know the stock 01:19:48.400 |
performance. What are you talking about? I just think even 01:19:50.880 |
in the next. You're gonna go out on a limb and say that was 01:20:00.320 |
Bill Gates was doing his legendary run. I wouldn't have 01:20:03.040 |
shorted it. I also wouldn't short Michael Jordan or LeBron 01:20:06.400 |
James, Steph Curry, definitely wouldn't get bet against him. 01:20:09.840 |
All right, everybody breaking news today in the law being 01:20:12.800 |
fair. I'm sorry today in lawfare depending on your view 01:20:16.160 |
Trump was found guilty on all 34 felony charges. You can choose 01:20:20.720 |
your own framing here. Some say it's election interference. 01:20:23.680 |
Some people are referring to this as the hush money porn 01:20:26.560 |
star case. Other people are calling it the deep state 01:20:28.720 |
lawfare case. The jury deliberated for about a day and 01:20:32.640 |
a half. Trial lasted six weeks, include testimony from 20 01:20:36.960 |
witnesses. Key moment seems to have been Trump's CFO 01:20:40.240 |
Weisselberg, who's I think in jail right now for other 01:20:42.960 |
charges, outlining the terms of the payments to Michael Cohen, 01:20:48.720 |
the disgraced lying attorney who recorded Trump's 01:20:52.400 |
conversations. And that's I think all I can tell you about 01:20:59.040 |
this, except for maybe the sentencing is coming up. It's 01:21:02.960 |
going to be July 11, which is but four days before the RNC. 01:21:07.520 |
Clearly a sad day for America. I'm not sure if anybody on the 01:21:11.760 |
panel has any opinions on the Trump verdict, but let's just 01:21:15.520 |
randomly start with you, David. Any thoughts on Trump being 01:21:22.640 |
Well, first of all, in terms of understanding this case, I 01:21:25.680 |
think it's important to understand that both Merrick 01:21:28.240 |
Garland's DOJ and former Manhattan DA Cyrus Vance, they 01:21:32.240 |
looked at this case, they looked at these charges, and they 01:21:34.640 |
passed on bringing this case. Alvin Bragg, who's a Soros 01:21:38.960 |
funded DA, he won a hotly contested race to succeed Vance 01:21:43.280 |
by pledging to get Trump. And that's why he brought this case. 01:21:46.880 |
And in order to bring these charges, he had to use a 01:21:50.720 |
creative legal formula that turned a misdemeanor charge of 01:21:54.640 |
falsifying business records, a charge that would have been 01:21:57.200 |
passed the statute of limitations into a felony by 01:22:00.720 |
claiming it was in the service of a second crime. But he never 01:22:04.080 |
named exactly what that crime was, or proved that it happened. 01:22:08.080 |
And I think it's safe to say that a case like this, which is 01:22:10.400 |
novel and creative and torturous, would never have been 01:22:14.880 |
brought against anybody but Trump. Now, there's about five 01:22:18.800 |
different grounds for appeal on this. Number one, the judge is a 01:22:21.920 |
Biden donor with a daughter who works for Biden. Number two, 01:22:25.280 |
prejudicial and irrelevant evidence was admitted that 01:22:28.320 |
should have been excluded, including Stormy Daniels 01:22:30.640 |
testimony. Number three, Trump was not able to call his expert 01:22:34.080 |
in election law, former head of FEC, Bradley Smith. Number 01:22:38.240 |
four, the prosecution never named the second crime. And then 01:22:42.480 |
number five, the judge let the jury pick from a range of 01:22:45.360 |
options for what the second crime might be, including tax 01:22:49.200 |
crimes, which no evidence was presented, and federal election 01:22:52.000 |
crimes, which the court had no jurisdiction. So, my guess is 01:22:55.680 |
that at the end of the day, this case is going to get tossed on 01:22:58.080 |
appeal, but that's probably going to happen after the 01:23:00.480 |
election, after November 5th, and Democrats now have what they 01:23:04.000 |
wanted. They wanted to get out of this case four words, 01:23:07.440 |
Donald Trump convicted felon, and you're going to be hearing 01:23:10.560 |
that phrase, convicted felon repeated ad nauseum from now 01:23:14.160 |
until November 5. And I think that's the whole point of this 01:23:18.640 |
No, I mean, it felt like this was always a win win trial for 01:23:22.560 |
Trump if he gets convicted, then, you know, the conversation 01:23:28.880 |
that we're hearing now, you know, this was an unfair 01:23:30.960 |
conviction. How could they do this? This is lawfare. And if he 01:23:35.840 |
doesn't get convicted, they tried to burn him at the stake. 01:23:40.000 |
How could they try and do that? Clearly, he's innocent. He was 01:23:42.240 |
made innocent. So, you know, it never really struck me as being 01:23:46.240 |
a smart, I'm not a political guy, but the political calculus 01:23:49.120 |
just seemed off on this entirely. It certainly wasn't 01:23:52.240 |
clear what they were trying to accomplish. Either way, Trump 01:23:55.440 |
looks good. And I think we saw tonight reports that his 01:23:59.680 |
website for making donations crashed. A lot of people started 01:24:03.840 |
making public statements on Twitter that are not typically 01:24:07.360 |
Republican donors, that they're donating a lot of money to 01:24:10.320 |
Donald Trump coming out of this. And so it is clearly infuriating 01:24:13.440 |
a lot of people that as Saks points out, you know, something 01:24:17.280 |
that some people are considering to be, you know, a bookkeeping 01:24:19.920 |
or accounting crime has turned into 34 felony convictions. It 01:24:23.760 |
feels unfair, it feels like the wrong decision. And it's going 01:24:27.520 |
to infuriate people because people worry about the quality 01:24:29.840 |
of the justice system. Anyone who's sitting in the middle, as 01:24:32.640 |
an independent or an undecided, I think it is much more likely 01:24:36.000 |
that they're going to have sympathy for Donald Trump coming 01:24:40.720 |
I think that if you went into this, looking to confirm your 01:24:45.840 |
hatred of President Trump, you you were the one that was given 01:24:51.360 |
red meat. And I think that if you were undecided, or pro 01:24:56.880 |
President Trump, you probably found more reason to support him 01:25:00.720 |
for all the reasons that Friedberg said. The thing that's 01:25:04.320 |
unique about this specific trial, that I found rather 01:25:09.120 |
interesting, was the diversity of people who just couldn't 01:25:14.480 |
understand what this trial was about, whether it was Bill Barr, 01:25:18.880 |
who worked for him, but was not a huge fan of his nor was, you 01:25:23.120 |
know, Trump, or vice versa, right, to an Alan Dershowitz to 01:25:28.720 |
Cyrus Vance, you had Democrats and Republicans and 01:25:31.680 |
independents, legal scholars, legal experts, some who like 01:25:37.200 |
President Trump, some who did not, some who got along with 01:25:39.520 |
him, some who did not, some who fought with him, some who did 01:25:41.680 |
not, some who got fired by him, some who did not. And they were 01:25:46.080 |
all categorically confused about what this whole thing was 01:25:48.800 |
about. I'm not legally well versed enough to understand what 01:25:53.920 |
it was. So as a layman, you then tend to go to this next 01:25:58.640 |
obvious thing, which is you have to bucket this decision as 01:26:02.400 |
here are some experts, and what they know is better than what I 01:26:07.760 |
know. And we talked about this earlier on the pod today, when 01:26:10.720 |
it came to Fauci, and it turned out to not be so true. Or you go 01:26:14.320 |
to this other place where are there systems of government 01:26:17.760 |
that can be convoluted and turned in the favor of the 01:26:21.840 |
majority who's in power against someone that they feel is a 01:26:26.160 |
threat. And we've talked about that as well, with respect to 01:26:28.480 |
how some of these governmental institutions have targeted some 01:26:31.600 |
of our friends. So I think that we're in a very precarious 01:26:36.640 |
moment where the systems of governments in the United States 01:26:42.080 |
are a little bit more fragile than they were the moment. 01:26:44.560 |
Okay, if people are wondering what the case is actually about 01:26:48.560 |
falsifying business records, this is a pretty serious crime, 01:26:51.600 |
in New York City. Basically, when people don't keep correct 01:26:56.080 |
records, when they're committing crimes, this is taken seriously 01:27:00.400 |
in New York, because it is the financial capital of the world. 01:27:02.960 |
They've got a long history, whether it's, you know, Bernie 01:27:07.040 |
Madoff, Enron, etc, of pursuing these, I don't know why this 01:27:12.000 |
didn't get communicated well to the public. But there were 01:27:16.400 |
obviously tons of business records falsified here. And they 01:27:19.920 |
basically admitted to it, Michael Cohen had pleaded 01:27:22.080 |
guilty to it already. And so it really feels like a 01:27:25.920 |
misdemeanor. And then to understand what happened after 01:27:30.080 |
that, there is a law in New York, as Saks correctly pointed 01:27:34.320 |
out on top of the falsifying of business records, which New York 01:27:36.880 |
takes deadly seriously. And they put this in every indictment 01:27:40.240 |
when people do it because they want the accountants, lawyers, 01:27:43.840 |
CFOs to behave themselves and not cheat the public. The 01:27:49.200 |
election interference also taken very seriously in New York, 01:27:51.600 |
there's been tons of cases, again, typically minor things, 01:27:55.200 |
but people who do things like try to stuff ballots, etc. And 01:28:00.160 |
so you put those two together. If you do falsifying, if you 01:28:04.800 |
falsify business records, and you do it as part of a second 01:28:07.360 |
crime, which he did, which he was convicted of, then you get 01:28:10.800 |
these penalties. So that is the explanation of the case. That 01:28:14.160 |
was why he was found guilty. It's pretty easy to figure this 01:28:17.520 |
all out. If you don't know all this, it's because you didn't 01:28:19.760 |
take the time to read anything about the case. In terms of the 01:28:24.160 |
basic heuristics of it, which I think is because people are 01:28:27.680 |
burned out on this. Trump has committed so many misdemeanors 01:28:31.440 |
and crimes over time that we're kind of used to it. And you 01:28:34.480 |
know, my personal take on it, and I'll just leave it at this 01:28:37.360 |
is I think it's going to be a speeding ticket. I do think it's 01:28:40.400 |
going to get overturned. I think Trump has done this his 01:28:43.200 |
whole career. I lived in New York, all these real estate 01:28:46.720 |
guys were doing all these kind of like little ticky tacky 01:28:49.760 |
cheating things. And I do think that this was politically 01:28:54.560 |
motivated. What was the second crime, Jacob, you if you 01:28:57.280 |
understand election interference, election, what is 01:29:00.720 |
that you're not allowed to interfere with election. So the 01:29:03.280 |
theory here, which the you know, the jury unanimously voted in 01:29:09.680 |
front of in over the six or seven weeks, election 01:29:14.720 |
interference was because Trump was in dire straits. He after 01:29:21.840 |
the access Hollywood tape came out that weekend, when he 01:29:26.160 |
admitted to assaulting women, the grab them by the blank came 01:29:30.080 |
out. His team, in this case, admitted including his 01:29:34.880 |
assistant, Michael Cohen, Alan Weisselberg, and of course, the 01:29:38.320 |
guy from the National Enquirer, Pecker, all of them agreed, 01:29:42.560 |
testified, and just were completely honest that this 01:29:46.720 |
payment and the reason they bought these people off was 01:29:50.480 |
because they were scared that it would reduce his chances of 01:29:55.200 |
being elected. They were in panic mode. They all testify to 01:29:58.400 |
that. The jury found that they committed these crimes, the 01:30:02.960 |
falsifying of business records in order to save his election 01:30:05.920 |
chances. So that is the legal concept. This legal concept was 01:30:10.160 |
available to everybody for the last you know, since it's been 01:30:13.200 |
filed in the New York Times, anybody who doesn't read these 01:30:17.600 |
basic things and comments on this case is just a partisan who 01:30:21.200 |
doesn't want to accept the reality that these are actual 01:30:24.320 |
legal concepts that are completely valid. Now, I do 01:30:27.520 |
think despite all of that, and me making it abundantly clear to 01:30:31.600 |
anybody that you don't want people falsifying business 01:30:33.840 |
records, and you also don't want anybody interfering in 01:30:37.120 |
elections, I do think it was politically motivated. So you 01:30:39.600 |
got to keep two things in your mind at the same time. It's 01:30:42.480 |
politically motivated. Trump commits crimes regularly often, 01:30:46.720 |
but they don't want to reverse you just said it was going to 01:30:49.520 |
be reversed on appeal. So if you're so confident it's a 01:30:52.080 |
crime, then why do you also say it's going to get reversed? 01:30:54.000 |
Yeah, because I think well, I'll let me restate that. I 01:30:57.440 |
think he's going to get a speeding ticket. I don't think 01:30:59.520 |
the case is going to reverse. I think there's going to be some 01:31:01.440 |
sort of a pardon now that this is a state kind of situation. 01:31:04.320 |
So it wouldn't be Biden who would pardon it, it would be 01:31:06.320 |
the the governor. And I think what's going to happen is 01:31:09.840 |
somebody like Trump, Teflon Don, he's called that for a 01:31:12.800 |
reason. He gets away with it every time he's rich, he's 01:31:15.440 |
powerful, like all rich and powerful people, you have to 01:31:18.080 |
really do something heinous to wind up in jail. So I think 01:31:20.480 |
it's going to be a speeding ticket. I do think the the 01:31:23.520 |
documents cases, that one is a pretty legitimate one with 01:31:27.360 |
obstruction. And I do think the election interference, those 01:31:30.160 |
are the two he should be really worried about, because if he is 01:31:32.320 |
found guilty on those, those are legit. But I do think this 01:31:35.920 |
country is going to need to come together. I hate to be the 01:31:37.840 |
bigger person here. But I do think the company, the country 01:31:40.960 |
needs to get together and get us to new candidates. And we 01:31:44.560 |
can't be having this lawfare and politically motivated 01:31:48.640 |
lawsuits every time somebody loses or they're afraid of 01:31:51.440 |
losing an election. But let me ask you a question, Jason, 01:31:55.120 |
you're a you're a you're a famous, successful person. And 01:31:58.480 |
over the next 10 or 20 years, the odds are pretty good, 01:32:00.720 |
you'll be more famous, more successful, say more Chema, 01:32:04.800 |
do you feel? Do you feel the less the same or more? Okay, 01:32:09.680 |
you have to say less same or more. Okay, somebody in 01:32:12.480 |
government doesn't like what you're up to. After today, are 01:32:16.400 |
you less the same or more in terms of the risk that the laws 01:32:22.720 |
I think we're kind of in the same area. I think there's 01:32:26.800 |
always been politically motivated prosecutions that 01:32:30.080 |
have occurred. That's part of, you know, the flaw in our legal 01:32:33.120 |
system. And I do think appeals, pardons exist as the the 01:32:37.360 |
relief valve for those things. And I think for rich and 01:32:39.920 |
powerful people with great representation, they always get 01:32:42.320 |
off unless they've done something incredibly, 01:32:44.880 |
incredibly heinous. And I don't think this is incredibly 01:32:47.600 |
heinous. And so when it's framed as simply, oh, it's a 01:32:52.000 |
porn star, he banged the porn star, who cares? It was 01:32:55.600 |
consensual, and she got to pay off or maybe she was extorting 01:33:00.560 |
him, even, you know, I don't know if those details were ever 01:33:03.520 |
determined, if you could frame it as extortion or not. I think 01:33:07.600 |
none of that matters. Like this, this falsifying business 01:33:10.640 |
records thing is just something they did, they should just own 01:33:15.600 |
it, they should have just pled it out. And it should have 01:33:18.560 |
probably never been escalated to the next level with the 01:33:21.920 |
election interference. I thought that was a little bit of 01:33:23.600 |
a stretch, but not that much escalated because Alvin Bragg 01:33:29.040 |
And that's the only way you could get it from a misdemeanor 01:33:31.760 |
Yeah, exactly. So I think that is part of the 01:33:35.440 |
I know you're really giddy about this, Jake, how I can hear 01:33:39.760 |
No, I'm not. Honestly, I wish you're doing. No, sorry, sex, 01:33:44.560 |
you don't get to say I'm giddy. I'm not going to tell you how 01:33:46.640 |
you feel. You don't get to tell me how I feel. I actually am 01:33:48.960 |
sad for America. I'm sad for America. That Trump and Biden 01:33:56.640 |
Okay, great. Well, maybe I'm just detecting enthusiasm in 01:34:01.760 |
You're presenting these documents on the screen that are 01:34:04.480 |
basically from Alvin Bragg's case, it's all you're doing is 01:34:07.120 |
repeating his theory of the case, which I must say is 01:34:11.280 |
extremely tortured. And it's novel. I don't think a case like 01:34:14.800 |
this ever been brought. And if you are going to bring a case 01:34:17.360 |
against a former president, it should be for something more 01:34:20.640 |
than ticky tacky type stuff, stuff that you yourself admit is 01:34:24.240 |
politically motivated. It's obvious. Bragg was out to get 01:34:28.080 |
Trump. This is a campaign strategy. You have to bend the 01:34:32.240 |
law into a pretzel to create the case that you're describing. 01:34:36.560 |
Listen, you know, I think Trump will continue to do these. 01:34:39.360 |
He's had these long before he was in public office. He got 01:34:42.160 |
tons of speeding tickets like this, he'll get them after he's 01:34:44.640 |
out of office. He's always committed crimes. He's always 01:34:46.720 |
done what this reminds me of is, you remember Ken Starr and 01:34:50.240 |
what they went after Bill Clinton for with the whole 01:34:52.080 |
Monica Lewinsky thing? Sure. And when that star report 01:34:55.040 |
dropped, you know, and then hundreds of pages of 01:34:57.120 |
legalities, and they described all the prurient behavior and, 01:35:01.440 |
you know, amazing amounts of detail. At the end of the day, 01:35:04.320 |
the American people looked at it and decided that maybe 01:35:08.400 |
there's a tawdry element to this, but it's personal 01:35:10.800 |
behavior. And after some period of time, Clinton's popularity 01:35:15.440 |
rebounded, and he actually gained seats in the midterms 01:35:17.840 |
because the Republicans overplayed their hand. Yeah, 01:35:19.920 |
totally. And I think in a similar way, it's very clear to 01:35:23.120 |
me. And in fact, you've already said this is politically 01:35:25.280 |
motivated. And they basically have taken some sort of 01:35:28.720 |
bookkeeping error that was a misdemeanor that was passed the 01:35:32.720 |
statute of limitations. And they've combined it again with 01:35:35.360 |
this very novel legal theory about somehow committing 01:35:38.320 |
fraud in the election, which, by the way, was not actually 01:35:40.880 |
proven in the case. And as part of the jury instructions, 01:35:44.800 |
again, the judge allowed the jury to have a multiple choice 01:35:50.640 |
on what the second crime was, which is what a lot of legal 01:35:53.440 |
experts think will become the basis for appeal. So again, 01:35:56.960 |
this whole case was tortured, it was politically motivated. I 01:36:01.040 |
would go so far as to say it's a sham. It's an outrage. And I 01:36:04.320 |
think people are reacting as though it's an outrage. And 01:36:06.880 |
again, if you're going to bring a case, not just against a 01:36:09.360 |
former president, but the current front runner to be the 01:36:12.640 |
next president, it better be something important. Not this 01:36:17.440 |
ticky tacky thing that the way you describe it as being 01:36:20.720 |
ticky tacky. Why even waste the public's time with this? Why 01:36:24.000 |
even spend all the money pursuing this? I think I told 01:36:26.880 |
you why be? Yeah, no, Donald Trump convicted felon. That's 01:36:30.240 |
the reason why the media wants that talking point. And by the 01:36:33.600 |
way, if you want to make a switcheroo and get a different 01:36:35.440 |
candidate than Joe Biden, that's not going to happen now 01:36:37.920 |
because Democrats in the media think that this is their 01:36:41.920 |
salvation. They know the running candidate. It's not 01:36:44.640 |
going to be. The obstruction case and the January 6th case, 01:36:48.400 |
that is, those are legit cases. They should have just gone 01:36:50.800 |
after those because those are the ones that are completely 01:36:52.720 |
legit. But here we are. The Democrat party knows the 01:36:55.920 |
running candidate who can't debate, who can't put two 01:36:58.320 |
sentences together, who can barely find his way off a stage, 01:37:01.920 |
whose policies are coming home to roost. The economy, like we 01:37:04.560 |
talked about on the show, is slowing down very rapidly. His 01:37:08.080 |
foreign policy is a disaster. But they think that somehow this 01:37:11.680 |
is going to be his salvation is being able to say that Donald 01:37:16.080 |
Trump is a felon. That's their plan. And I think at the end of 01:37:20.320 |
the day, this is probably not going to work. All right, there 01:37:22.720 |
you have it, folks. There's your quick hot take around the 01:37:25.440 |
horn with your bestie on Trump being convicted by a jury in 01:37:30.320 |
New York today. He'll be sentenced on July 11th, and 01:37:34.720 |
we'll see what happens there. The market also, after we talked 01:37:38.320 |
about Salesforce, a bunch of the SAS companies took a dive in 01:37:42.080 |
the after hours. Freeberg, any thoughts there? Because we 01:37:44.640 |
quickly are not just SAS, but also Dell. And in particular, 01:37:48.880 |
Dell reported their stock is down 20% after hours. So I do 01:37:52.960 |
wonder if there is a slow reckoning underway right now in 01:37:56.000 |
technology. That's as we talked about in the show, a function of 01:38:00.240 |
both kind of an economic slowdown. So enterprises making 01:38:02.880 |
fewer investments, but they were they clearly called out the 01:38:06.320 |
increased cost associated with AI. So they are spending quite 01:38:10.320 |
a lot and their, their cogs on AI systems is much higher. And 01:38:15.040 |
so they're showing I mean, cash burn. And I think this is a 01:38:18.160 |
point you must been talking for a while. It's unsustainable, 01:38:20.640 |
guys. I've been saying this now for a month. So let's just be 01:38:22.960 |
precise again. You cannot spend this kind of money and show no 01:38:26.960 |
incremental revenue potential. So while this is incredible for 01:38:30.960 |
Nvidia, the chicken is coming home to roost. Because if you do 01:38:35.120 |
not start seeing revenue flow to the bottom line of these 01:38:37.760 |
companies that are spending $26 billion a quarter, the market 01:38:42.480 |
cap of Nvidia is not what the market cap of Nvidia should be. 01:38:45.360 |
And all of these other companies are going to get 01:38:47.680 |
punished for spending this kind of money. Now, Dell is a unique 01:38:50.720 |
example in the sense that I actually think it's a 01:38:52.480 |
beneficiary of spend. And I think that it will build data 01:38:56.080 |
centers. And it will actually do well in the move to AI because 01:39:00.560 |
it's a very smartly positioned pick and shovels provider. But 01:39:05.760 |
the threshold question is, where are all these newfangled 01:39:08.960 |
things that we're supposed to see that justifies $100 billion 01:39:12.160 |
of chip spending your $200 billion of energy spend $100 01:39:17.200 |
billion of all this other stuff, guys, this is, we're now 01:39:20.320 |
spending $750 billion. This is on the order of a national 01:39:26.800 |
transfer payment. And we've seen nothing to show for it except 01:39:30.400 |
that you can mimic somebody's voice. And you can make like a 01:39:34.880 |
I mean, making a developer 30 or 40% more efficient, that's 01:39:39.440 |
actually legit. But I will say I didn't get either. No, that's 01:39:43.200 |
total. No, no, that's happening in startups right now. I'm 01:39:46.000 |
seeing startups with four developers do what just a couple 01:39:48.800 |
of years ago, they would need a to do there. And that's the 01:39:50.960 |
premise of your company. I think that developers can go faster 01:39:54.480 |
with these tools that these are, yes, but these are aspirational 01:39:57.200 |
things. When you take a, for example, a 30,000 person 01:40:00.320 |
company, it is not true that those engineers now are now all 01:40:03.920 |
of a sudden, as productive as 130,000 employees, it's not even 01:40:07.440 |
true that 1000 employee company is as productive as a 4000 01:40:11.200 |
person company. And the reason is for one very specific thing. 01:40:15.200 |
Even as all of these next generation, next generation 01:40:18.160 |
models get released, the practical threshold problem is 01:40:21.280 |
when you introduce a completely new way of doing things into an 01:40:26.800 |
existing workforce, what happens is people push back. And even in 01:40:30.000 |
the companies that I own, where I could theoretically mandate, 01:40:32.320 |
you must use these tools, because I am the owner of this 01:40:34.960 |
company. It doesn't happen. And so I think what you're really 01:40:39.840 |
seeing, Jason is a few people embrace it. Those people may be 01:40:43.280 |
50 to 100% more productive. But when you blend that into the 01:40:46.880 |
entire workforce, it's still a single digit percentage, which 01:40:49.840 |
means the productivity gains are nominal. Yeah, I think it's a 01:40:53.040 |
fair point. Because I'm forced to spend Yeah, again, $750 01:40:57.760 |
billion a year, it doesn't all hang together yet. 01:41:01.120 |
Yeah, I agree. There's going to be a bit of a gap there. And I 01:41:04.880 |
am biased, because I see startups, which are always 01:41:07.200 |
looking for the most resourceful way to do things. And you're 01:41:09.360 |
talking about large enterprises, which are slow to adopt, right? 01:41:12.320 |
So I think we're both to be right here. Yeah. 01:41:14.720 |
You get around the innovators dilemma by saying, guys, you 01:41:17.520 |
need to be AI first, from the outset, which a startup can do 01:41:21.120 |
because they can, they can recruit people that, for example, 01:41:24.240 |
with 8090, same thing, you must use these tools. For example, we 01:41:27.840 |
are not allowed to have any administrative staff. Everything 01:41:30.880 |
is done by an agent or workflow. But that's because we're a new 01:41:34.160 |
company, and we can make those decisions. But somebody who is 01:41:37.520 |
an established company, I suspect that these that these 01:41:41.200 |
gains are nominal at best, yet the spend is outrageous, and it 01:41:45.360 |
gets okay. And when it catches up with you, when you report, I 01:41:48.960 |
think the market is sort of like, I think the first, you 01:41:52.480 |
know, the general statement might be made that perhaps the 01:41:55.520 |
first AI mini bubble is bursting a bit. And particularly with 01:42:00.400 |
respect to the accelerated expectations that public market 01:42:04.080 |
investors had for public market technology stocks, that perhaps 01:42:07.680 |
now is the time for a bit of a reckoning, that perhaps this 01:42:10.400 |
isn't going to happen at the same margin level, or the pace 01:42:13.040 |
that folks had modeled. And this is going to cause a bit of a 01:42:15.920 |
setback. I think pace is a very good point you're making. I also 01:42:19.040 |
think that with the GDP slowdown that we've seen report that just 01:42:22.000 |
came out this week, with a sub 2% US GDP growth, we are seeing 01:42:26.160 |
an economic slowdown underway, there is going to be reduced 01:42:28.560 |
spending, there is going to be reduced conversion of enterprise 01:42:31.040 |
customers to buy anything. And so that is going to dramatically 01:42:35.360 |
affect the market, we're looking at 5% 30 year treasury rates, 01:42:38.480 |
which means that you are going to see multiple compression, 01:42:41.040 |
that's going to happen across the market for tech stocks. So 01:42:44.400 |
this could be the beginning of what I think might be a slow 01:42:46.480 |
contraction. One thing I just want to make sure I'm not a 01:42:49.120 |
market. One thing to me, I do have some information on the 01:42:52.400 |
Dell stuff. One thing to keep in mind is they had like a 30% 01:42:55.920 |
run up, or 20% run up, at least since NVIDIA CEO praise them, 01:43:03.280 |
and like, I guess all these meme stock people's just jumped in. 01:43:06.560 |
So I think it's just like a little ticky tacky correction 01:43:09.600 |
back to the ticky tacky. sacks any final thoughts here on AI 01:43:12.880 |
before we all leave to go to our you know, Trump celebrations 01:43:22.240 |
maybe the market doesn't like the US becoming a banana 01:43:27.040 |
I can still be friends with you guys. All right, everybody for 01:43:34.960 |
who's you guys? Oh, you guys? I was talking to those guys. 01:43:40.160 |
All right, for two months, two missing buttons. We'd like to 01:43:44.720 |
encourage everybody to enjoy their summer. Three buttons are 01:43:47.760 |
coming on we got short shorts. I got my shorts. Oh, God, that's 01:43:52.800 |
so pasty white. I gotta get my sunglasses. The over under on 01:43:56.240 |
when Chamath goes for the third button is Jan is June 25. So 01:43:59.680 |
June 25 in the betting markets right now for the third button. 01:44:03.680 |
Love you guys. We'll see you all next time on the world's 01:44:07.440 |
greatest podcast. Bye bye. Let your winners ride. Rain Man 01:44:14.320 |
David Sachs. We open source it to the fans and they've just gone 01:44:30.960 |
besties are my dog taking a notice your driveway. 01:44:35.760 |
We should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy 01:44:44.080 |
because they're all just useless. It's like this like 01:44:45.920 |
sexual tension that they just need to release somehow. 01:44:50.960 |
Okay, last year at the All in Summit, we had a wonderful talk 01:45:09.680 |
by Jenny just and they have a very cool program called power 01:45:13.760 |
poker. They're holding a 2024 summer bootcamp and tournament 01:45:18.000 |
for women only. So for the ladies out there, if you want to 01:45:20.960 |
learn how to play poker, just like the besties and Jenny just 01:45:23.680 |
you can join this four week training class, get unlimited 01:45:26.880 |
playing time you play in a tournament, I'm going to come 01:45:28.960 |
and play in one of the sessions. But here's the great 01:45:31.520 |
part. We donated a ticket because we think it's worth 01:45:34.320 |
encouraging women to join the poker community. And so there's 01:45:38.080 |
a $7,500 All in Summit 2024 ticket at stake. There's only 80 01:45:42.080 |
80 spots. Go ahead and join at poker power.com slash summer 01:45:45.920 |
dash bootcamp poker power.com slash summer dash bootcamp. It's 01:45:49.280 |
going to fill up quick and a number of the women who work at 01:45:51.760 |
my venture firm launch have joined and they're looking 01:45:54.320 |
forward to learning poker again 80 spots. I think they charge 100 01:45:57.280 |
bucks to just make sure you show up and there's an All in 01:45:59.600 |
Summit ticket there for you. You can actually see the video 01:46:02.000 |
of this podcast on YouTube, youtube.com slash at all in or 01:46:06.640 |
just search all in podcast and hit the alert bell and you'll 01:46:10.320 |
get updates when we post and we're going to do a party in 01:46:14.080 |
Vegas. My understanding when we hit a million subscribers and 01:46:17.360 |
look for that as well. You can follow us on x x.com slash the 01:46:21.600 |
all in pod. Tick tock is all underscore in underscore talk 01:46:25.920 |
Instagram, the all in pod. And on LinkedIn, just search for the 01:46:29.600 |
all in podcast. You can follow chamath@x.com slash chamath. And 01:46:33.840 |
you can sign up for a sub stack at chamath.substack.com I do 01:46:37.600 |
free bird can be followed at x.com slash free bird and Ohalo 01:46:40.880 |
is hiring click on the careers page at Ohalo genetics.com 32 01:46:45.760 |
Okay, everybody follow sacks at x.com slash David Sachs and 01:46:49.280 |
check out saxes slack killer glue at glue.ai I'm Jason 01:46:54.800 |
Calacanis. I am x.com slash Jason. And if you want to see 01:46:58.560 |
pictures of my bulldogs and the food I'm eating, go to 01:47:01.200 |
instagram.com slash Jason in the first name club. You can listen 01:47:05.120 |
to my other podcast this week in startups to search for it on 01:47:08.240 |
YouTube or your favorite podcast player. We are hiring a 01:47:11.040 |
researcher apply to be a researcher doing primary 01:47:14.400 |
research and working with me and producer Nick working in data 01:47:17.360 |
and science and being able to do great research, finance, etc. 01:47:21.360 |
All in podcast.co slash research. It's a full time job 01:47:24.480 |
working with us the besties and really excited about my 01:47:28.080 |
investment in Athena go to Athena. Wow. See no wow.com and 01:47:33.280 |
get yourself a bit of a discount from your boy j cow. 01:47:36.800 |
You know, wow.com. We'll see you all next time on the all in