back to indexBogleheads® on Investing Podcast 076: Meir Statman talks about his new book, A Wealth of Well-Being
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Welcome everyone to Bogleheads on Investing, episode number 76. Today our special guest 00:00:16.320 |
is Mare Stotman, a professor of finance at Santa Clara University who focuses on behavioral finance 00:00:23.120 |
and attempts to understand how investors make decisions. He's the author of two books, 00:00:27.840 |
"What Investors Really Want" and recently released "A Wealth of Well-Being." 00:00:43.040 |
Hi everyone, my name is Rick Ferry and I am the host of Bogleheads on Investing. 00:00:47.360 |
This episode, as with all episodes, is brought to you by the John C. Bogle Center for Financial 00:00:54.080 |
Literacy, a non-profit organization that is building a world of well-informed, capable, 00:00:59.600 |
and empowered investors. Visit the Bogle Center at boglecenter.net where you will 00:01:05.360 |
find a treasure trove of information, including transcripts of these podcasts. Today our special 00:01:11.520 |
guest is Professor Mare Stotman. He is a professor of finance at Santa Clara University and his 00:01:17.280 |
research focuses on behavioral finance as he attempts to understand how investors make financial 00:01:23.040 |
decisions and how these decisions are reflected in the financial markets. Professor Stotman's 00:01:29.120 |
research has been published in numerous academic and professional journals and has won many awards. 00:01:34.720 |
His first book, published in 2011, was titled "What Investors Really Want" and his recent book, 00:01:42.000 |
"A Wealth of Well-Being, a Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance," digs into the third generation 00:01:48.880 |
of behavioral finance, which widens the lens and brings in many other aspects of life when making 00:01:56.160 |
financial decisions that may not lead to more money, but it leads us to what Professor Stotman 00:02:03.840 |
calls a portfolio of well-being. So with no further ado, let me introduce Professor Mare 00:02:10.160 |
Stotman. Welcome to the Bogle Heads on Investing podcast. Well, I'm delighted to be with you, Rick. 00:02:15.920 |
I've been following your work for many years. You've written a couple of fine books. The latest 00:02:21.920 |
one will be the topic of our discussion in a few minutes, but before we get to that, you have a 00:02:29.440 |
very interesting upbringing. And before I even get to you, could you tell me about your parents? 00:02:38.480 |
Well, my parents were teenagers in Poland in 1939 when the Nazis invaded and they were on the 00:02:48.320 |
eastern part of Poland. And so refugees, Jewish refugees that were escaping the atrocities would 00:02:58.000 |
stop by. And so they understood that they better go or bad things will happen. And so they crossed 00:03:06.960 |
the river, the River Bug, traveled and lived in Siberia and then down to Uzbekistan, which is 00:03:16.800 |
where they met and got married. And I was born in a displaced persons camp, which is a polite word 00:03:24.960 |
for a refugee camp in 1947. And we came to Israel in 1949. And the funny thing, there were so many 00:03:35.040 |
families who were identically situated that it seems like it's just a normal thing. 00:03:41.200 |
Your upbringing was in Israel when the country was being formed. 00:03:45.120 |
Indeed. And of course, when you're a child, you know, just one environment, and that is 00:03:51.440 |
your particular neighborhood in your particular country. And so in the 1950s, as I was growing up, 00:03:59.680 |
there was rationing, food was rationed. So you had to have a coupon in addition to 00:04:06.320 |
money. And so my dad was managing grocery stores. And so we had a bit of better access to food. It 00:04:22.080 |
is a childhood like, like any childhood, it has its own peculiarities. 00:04:27.840 |
So then you ended up going to Hebrew University and getting your undergraduate degree. 00:04:33.760 |
Indeed, yeah, my undergraduate degree, and then I continued immediately, 00:04:39.440 |
in fact, combined it with an MBA. So that was the late 60s. And I was in the building 00:04:47.520 |
that housed the economics department. And so I studied economics, statistics, and then finance. 00:04:53.440 |
And in the building right next to me was the psychology department. And I would go there from 00:05:02.800 |
time to time to earn pocket money by participating in experiments. And I just found out later that 00:05:11.600 |
Kahneman and Tversky were doing their revolutionary work right then. But I never heard their names 00:05:18.080 |
from my professors. I had no idea what they were doing, which tells you about how 00:05:26.000 |
standard economics and standard finance in particular were at the time. 00:05:32.640 |
Very small, and very narrow, and really kind of proud of being narrow. 00:05:39.040 |
So then you decided to come here to the US and go to Columbia University to get your PhD. 00:05:46.080 |
That is right. Yeah, I had a boring job as a financial analyst. And so I took that leap. 00:05:54.320 |
By then I was married. In fact, we were expecting a baby. But I never really 00:06:00.160 |
thought about it in units of risk. I just felt compelled to move on. 00:06:05.200 |
You've had a wonderful career. Before we get to your books, I want to talk about the generations 00:06:12.960 |
of behavioral finance. You talk about the beginning of it all being standard finance, 00:06:20.080 |
which were this idea that, well, people were rational and everything they did were very 00:06:24.240 |
computer-like, immune to emotion. Everybody did math perfectly, and no one made mistakes. 00:06:30.880 |
This was the thinking of standard finance before we actually get into the first generation of 00:06:37.520 |
behavioral finance. So talk about that way of thinking. 00:06:40.720 |
At the beginning of the 1980s, I became familiar with the work of Kahneman and Tversky. 00:06:45.360 |
My colleague, Hersh Shefrin, did some work that had to do with mental accounting and 00:06:50.960 |
self-control with Dick Thaler. And so we kind of got together. And as we were speaking about 00:06:57.200 |
self-control and mental accounting, I remembered my experience in New York in 1973, '74, 00:07:05.600 |
soon after we arrived, where the energy crisis came and Con Edison, the utility company of New York, 00:07:14.400 |
had to pay more for the oil they were buying. And they could not raise their rates fast enough 00:07:22.400 |
because they are regulated. And so they had to cut the dividend. And the shareholder meeting 00:07:28.720 |
was really raucous. And some people rushed to the stage trying to do harm to the chairman. 00:07:37.760 |
And so later on, I got the transcript of that meeting. And it was absolutely fascinating. 00:07:46.080 |
So Miller Modigliani, part of rational finance, standard finance, said, 00:07:51.840 |
if you don't get a dividend from the company, you create homemade dividend by selling a few shares. 00:07:58.320 |
Did not occur to anyone at the meeting. Why? Because it violates the rule of keeping income 00:08:09.200 |
separate from capital and don't dip into capital. And selling shares to create those homemade 00:08:16.400 |
dividends was verboten because it was dipping into capital. You know, those kinds of experiences-- 00:08:24.640 |
Models. I mean, they were just mathematical models everybody followed. And everybody 00:08:30.320 |
Yeah. But the problem with any science comes when you have theory and then when you have 00:08:37.360 |
observations and they don't match. And so natural tendency in finance is to dismiss the evidence. 00:08:44.640 |
My natural evidence is to dismiss the theory. So your evidence there was these people are 00:08:50.480 |
rushing the stage because they're upset. And this then becomes, in a way, a representation 00:08:56.800 |
of the first generation of behavioral finance, where you say people are irrational, bumbling 00:09:02.800 |
behavior, so forth, and cognitive issues and emotional. And so you call it the first generation 00:09:12.080 |
That is right. The thing was that we said, here is rational behavior. You should dip into capital. 00:09:17.920 |
Here is actual behavior. People don't dip into capital. So they are not maximizing wealth. Now, 00:09:25.120 |
the goal in standard finance is to maximize wealth. The goal is described in the first 00:09:30.960 |
generation of behavioral finance was also to maximize wealth, but saying that people make 00:09:37.360 |
mistakes because they are irrational. So, for example, they don't dip in the capital. They 00:09:42.880 |
trade too much. They think that they know the future because they know the past. And the whole 00:09:49.520 |
panoply of cognitive errors that I'm sure your listeners and you know very well. 00:09:56.080 |
Most of the stuff that we hear about in the media is about this first generation 00:10:00.720 |
of behavioral finance. We don't really even hear the second generation of it and then the third 00:10:06.800 |
generation, which is what your book is about. So now that we're through all these cognitive 00:10:11.280 |
errors and emotions and so forth of the first generation of behavioral finance, 00:10:15.360 |
you talk in your book about the second generation of behavioral finance. And there is where, hey, 00:10:21.920 |
look, people are irrational. I mean, they are emotional. They are normal. That's how people 00:10:27.120 |
are. And there are other reasons why people do what they do with their money besides 00:10:34.160 |
creating more money out of it. Talk about the movement from the first generation, 00:10:38.320 |
just an irrationality to the fact that, no, actually people are being rational. 00:10:45.280 |
Normal, normal. That's the right word, normal. 00:10:47.120 |
Yeah, the word is normal, neither rational nor irrational. People are normal. And just look at 00:10:54.480 |
other products and services and ask yourself what it is that people want. Now, watches are a nice 00:11:02.960 |
example. A $50 watch by Skagen is going to show you precise time. A $10,000 watch by Philippe 00:11:15.280 |
Patek will also show you the right time. So why is it that people buy those luxury 00:11:21.760 |
watches? To say that they are irrational is really too much. It is perfectly normal because I say 00:11:29.360 |
people care about utilitarian benefits that show me the right time. Money is good for buying 00:11:38.080 |
groceries, but they're also expressive and emotional benefits. I am a wealthy man, 00:11:46.000 |
wealthy enough to afford this watch. It is beautiful, gives me a sense of pride that I can 00:11:53.600 |
do that. And then I was thinking, why is it that we think about financial securities and 00:11:59.120 |
financial services as being different from all other products and services? And I said, 00:12:06.000 |
it is really not different. And so the title of that book that I wrote presenting it was 00:12:12.800 |
What Investors Really Want. Exactly. I just held up your book. This is where this book came from, 00:12:20.160 |
published in 2011. It came from this idea of the second generation of behavioral finance, 00:12:26.720 |
where you say, let's talk about what is it that investors really want. Yes, they do want money, 00:12:32.640 |
but they also want other things. Yes. Again, it is really important to me. I am using myself as 00:12:40.320 |
a laboratory and I'm looking at experiences and they tell me things. So I remember speaking 00:12:46.880 |
before a presentation in Montreal years ago with an investor, friends of the Hebrew University, 00:12:54.320 |
and I said something about mutual funds. And he said, I am into hedge funds. 00:13:00.080 |
And so what did he just tell me? He told me that he is a wealthy man. He didn't brag, you know, 00:13:08.080 |
that is right. But he wanted to send a signal to you to send the signal. And he did. To me, 00:13:14.960 |
it's kind of funny. But but it is really an important observation that people think about 00:13:22.400 |
securities as they think about watches and restaurants, meal and all of the other things. 00:13:29.360 |
And so I said, well, let's look at those other things. You know, people hate regret, 00:13:34.800 |
so they hold on to their losers because selling a loser, a paper loss makes this loss real. 00:13:45.440 |
And now they feel the pain of regret. It makes you a loser. 00:13:49.280 |
And exactly. Yeah. How was I so stupid? It's ridiculous. And, you know, you have to see that. 00:14:01.200 |
I mean, I know I am actually taking a lot of risk in the sense that I'm buying 00:14:06.000 |
index funds that go up and down by many thousands each day. But I'm very sensitive to regret. 00:14:14.480 |
When I put money, I get annoyed. So, you know, interesting that you talk about index funds 00:14:20.560 |
because in the sense of utilitarian, emotional and expressive. OK, so I mean, there is definitely a 00:14:30.400 |
utilitarian benefit to index funds. You get your fair share of market return, which we know from 00:14:36.800 |
many, many, many studies, many of them going back decades. But that's better than what most people 00:14:42.960 |
get when they try to outperform the market by using active management or trying to pick stocks 00:14:47.760 |
themselves. But it does not provide an expressive benefit. You're going to be the most boring person 00:14:55.280 |
at a cocktail party by getting up the, oh, yes, I own the total stock market index fund. 00:15:00.080 |
It is a very utilitarian product, but it's not very emotional. It's not very expressive. Now, 00:15:08.000 |
it may be expressive to people who really understand investing and say, yeah, you're 00:15:11.200 |
smart to buy index funds, but unless they know that, you know, typical people at a party you 00:15:17.520 |
go to or whatever, we're not maybe not know that. So, yes, it makes you feel better because 00:15:22.240 |
of the utilitarian benefit of index funds, but it doesn't give you that emotional and expressive 00:15:27.600 |
benefit. That is right. Now, you actually said it along the way. It actually brings me expressive 00:15:34.720 |
and emotional benefits, knowing that I am smart, that this is really the right thing to do. And 00:15:40.240 |
this is what I teach my students. And they come at it from the perspective that you have to analyze 00:15:47.520 |
the stocks that you are analyzing and so on. And, you know, I say always in every trade there is an 00:15:56.400 |
idiot. And if you don't know who it is, you are in trouble. And I use the analogy of tennis that 00:16:03.040 |
has been used before, but in a different way. I say people trade thinking that they are playing 00:16:09.600 |
tennis against the practice wall. That is easy. And I say, wait a minute, you know, there's a 00:16:15.760 |
fellow at the other side of the net, and he is possibly an insider, possibly a professional 00:16:23.680 |
tennis player. In the analogy, don't do that. Just stand there. But this is not where it ends. 00:16:30.960 |
You have continued with your thinking and continued with your research, and you've gotten to a 00:16:36.640 |
different level beyond this second generation of behavioral finance. And you've gone to a third 00:16:43.040 |
generation where people are still normal, but that this idea of normal is explicit in describing 00:16:51.120 |
life well-being. So here's where you're bringing the idea of well-being into the equation. 00:16:58.480 |
My goal, which was not something that I followed exactly, but at least in hindsight, I can see 00:17:06.160 |
I'm trying to expand the circle of finance. Cognitive errors still are there, and it makes 00:17:12.720 |
sense to avoid them. People view investment with those utilitarian, expressive, and emotional 00:17:19.040 |
benefits. But then you ask, what is it all about? And it is about well-being. Money is a way station 00:17:26.960 |
for well-being. We need financial well-being for life well-being, but it is not enough. I mean, 00:17:34.160 |
everybody knows that, but there is a lot of literature by sociologists and psychologists 00:17:42.160 |
and economists about well-being, about life well-being, but it is not known to people in 00:17:48.320 |
finance. And so what they did was to say, here are the domains of well-being, and here are some 00:17:56.640 |
stories that illustrate those dry academic studies. Just think about society, which is one 00:18:03.520 |
of the domains. Right now, half the country is happy and half the country is sad about the 00:18:08.880 |
relation. So we should really expand that circle of finance to include all of it. 00:18:14.080 |
So you wrote a book. The latest book is called A Wealth of Well-Being, A Holistic Approach to 00:18:21.360 |
Behavioral Finance, which penetrates into a different level, the third generation. I spent 00:18:27.760 |
a lot of time reading it. I have to say there was a few times in here when I'm reading it, I'm saying, 00:18:33.760 |
oh, you can't say that. You're not allowed to say that. 00:18:37.040 |
It's true, but you're not allowed to say it. That's how a lot of this book was, and we're 00:18:44.480 |
going to go through some of those things. And so just for the listeners' sake, you may not agree 00:18:48.880 |
with everything that Mayer brings out in his book, but you have to agree that it's true for 00:18:54.400 |
a lot of people. It may not be true about you, but it's true for a lot of people. 00:18:59.200 |
I really bet you scratch your head. It's like, wow, he's actually saying things that are taboo. 00:19:04.000 |
You're not supposed to talk about. It's all part of this idea of well-being. And you talk about 00:19:10.640 |
well-being as though there were three types of well-being. There's experienced well-being, 00:19:18.880 |
evaluative well-being, and then meaning. Experienced well-being, what is that? 00:19:26.640 |
So experienced well-being is the emotions that you have at the moment. Are you happy? Are you sad? 00:19:33.440 |
Are you bored? Are you frustrated? Now, it is important, even in the long term or in the 00:19:40.320 |
aggregate, because if you're anxious because your income is low and you know that the car 00:19:48.240 |
is on its last legs, and if it breaks down, you will not be able to get to work, and then you're 00:19:55.200 |
going to lose your job, this really gets anxiety not just at one moment. It really is a continuous 00:20:04.960 |
feeling. The same with sadness. And occasional sadness is okay, but sadness that is continuous 00:20:14.160 |
becomes depression, becomes really something that is much more serious. And so this is 00:20:21.360 |
experienced well-being. Evaluative well-being is about a question that is as simple as how would 00:20:29.600 |
you rank your own life if you were to rank it from a zero, which is the worst possible life, 00:20:37.440 |
to 10, which is the best possible life? Are you a six, a seven, an eight, or a nine? And for that, 00:20:44.880 |
you have to think not just about how you feel at this very moment, but where are you? How are you 00:20:50.800 |
doing relative to 10 years ago? How are you doing relative to your comparison group, your co-workers, 00:20:58.080 |
and so on? And meaning kind of goes beyond that to answer a question such as do you agree when I say 00:21:07.440 |
my life has meaning? I know why I was put on this earth. That really is also part of that sense of 00:21:16.640 |
well-being. And so you can see that they are not the same and there are sometimes conflicts between 00:21:24.720 |
them. You can enjoy experience well-being when you are young using drugs, having many women, 00:21:33.680 |
but later on you find yourself old and with no one to help you. So you can enjoy one kind 00:21:42.240 |
and then suffer in the other. - So we're going to go through the book. I mean, it's full of 00:21:47.600 |
information. You have to go back and sometimes reread things a few times to really comprehend. 00:21:55.600 |
This was way beyond a happiness book. I mean, there are a lot of happiness books out there. 00:21:59.280 |
It kind of incorporates happiness, but it's much deeper than that. And it has to do with finance 00:22:05.120 |
and how money intertwines with different well-beings that we're trying to achieve. 00:22:13.360 |
We start out at the beginning of the book talking about four kinds of capital. There's financial, 00:22:21.280 |
social, cultural, and personal. So we know what financial capital is, but when you talk about 00:22:27.760 |
capital in the name of social, cultural, and personal, how do you use the word capital when 00:22:33.440 |
you're talking about cultural capital, and social capital, and personal capital? 00:22:38.720 |
- So financial capital is straightforward. We're talking about that, and this is known to all the 00:22:44.240 |
people who know their finances. And it is the notion that the more money you have in income or 00:22:51.440 |
wealth, the higher your well-being, as simple as that. Social capital really has to do with the 00:22:58.960 |
circle of friends. Do you have many close friends? Do you have some close friends, but many 00:23:05.680 |
who are distant, but still will help you? So for example, that classmate from college 00:23:13.680 |
may be a CEO right now, and you have lost your job. It is okay for you to call and say, "Hey, 00:23:22.000 |
buddy, I've lost your job. Do you have any leads for me?" So you can see that in different strata 00:23:30.320 |
of society, there are different kinds of social capital. Among the poor, it might be, "Hey, I need 00:23:38.240 |
to go to the doctor. I cannot afford an Uber. Can you give me a ride?" These are the kinds of things 00:23:44.960 |
that you have. And so people in the working class usually have a narrower set of friends, but kind 00:23:53.280 |
of deeper friends. The elite have some close friends, but they have many of those contacts 00:24:01.120 |
that can help them in many ways. Cultural capital has to do with just knowing what is okay and what 00:24:09.600 |
is not. It is about knowing what is okay to say and what is not. Coming from Israel with one culture 00:24:18.560 |
to the United States with another, of course, I was on my toes, knowing that I'm in a different 00:24:24.720 |
culture. Can you speak about baseball? Can you speak about the opera? All of these are part of 00:24:31.760 |
cultural capital. And then personal capital, you can think about character. Are you conscientious? 00:24:38.800 |
Do you find saving easy or difficult? Are you tall? Are you handsome? People who are tall, 00:24:47.280 |
men who are tall and handsome, find it advantageous at work situations, at interviews, 00:24:53.840 |
and with women. The more of that personal capital, and it has to do with gender, it has to do with 00:24:59.520 |
race, with all the other things that make you a person or nationality. Just being an American 00:25:07.920 |
is advantageous relative to many other countries. You are going to visit a country in Europe, 00:25:15.040 |
you don't need a visa, whereas somebody from another country might need it. 00:25:20.240 |
It's interesting that we talk about capital in that way, outside of money. Talk about it 00:25:26.320 |
with your friends, social capital and what they can help you with, cultural capital. I was in 00:25:32.240 |
the Marine Corps, so immediately when I talked to somebody who's in the Marine Corps, we have 00:25:35.680 |
a connection. I don't have to have known them, they may not have been a friend, but 00:25:39.120 |
we were associated in that way. And then personal, nationality and all that. But these are all 00:25:45.440 |
actually, when you think about it, it is capital in a way. And since you're a behavioral finance 00:25:52.880 |
person, it's not just about money, but it's about total human capital. And so in your ideas of 00:26:00.080 |
investing, sometimes we do things that may not benefit us financially, but it does fall under 00:26:06.160 |
cultural or social or personal, where it does make sense to do them that way. Is that the idea? 00:26:14.320 |
Yeah, that is the general idea. And you can see also when you say risk, you say, 00:26:21.360 |
what is your risk tolerance? And so immediately people think about those investment questionnaires 00:26:28.560 |
and where are we going to put you on the very insufficient frontier. But in fact, 00:26:33.520 |
the risk that can bring the most rewards are career risks. That is, for me, it was coming 00:26:42.480 |
from Israel to study for the PhD, not knowing what comes next. Will I complete my PhD? Will 00:26:50.240 |
I get the job? I took that risk and it worked well. And now I invest in a kind of modest risk, 00:26:56.880 |
just well-diversified portfolio of index fund. And so we have to, again, broaden the notion of 00:27:04.080 |
what returns are and what risk is. So returns, you have utilitarian returns and expressive 00:27:12.160 |
returns and emotional returns, and you have the kinds of risks that I just talked about. 00:27:18.320 |
And it applies to many domains. I like to say, the biggest risks in life are not in the stock 00:27:24.720 |
market. If you want real risk, get married. If you want real risk, have children. People laugh 00:27:32.640 |
because the point is really obvious. And yet when we talk about risk, somehow we shun that to the 00:27:39.600 |
side instead of realizing that that really belongs in the center. You know, quite frankly, I didn't 00:27:46.880 |
think about how finance gets expanded into all these other areas, but you explain it all in 00:27:52.240 |
your book. And so financial capital has an interesting spot. Not only is it important for 00:27:57.280 |
income, wealth, it feeds into these other types of capital. You can afford an education if you have 00:28:06.560 |
money. You can afford to live in a neighborhood that has better schools. As you said, you could 00:28:13.840 |
afford to pay people to cut your lawn rather than you having to cut your own lawn. The interesting 00:28:18.640 |
thing though about financial capital, and you do bring this out quite a bit, is there are negatives 00:28:23.680 |
to this. There's a downside to trying to get more money and growing your wealth. And it has to do 00:28:29.840 |
with keeping up with the Jones. It actually creates stress. It takes away from well-being. 00:28:36.480 |
So explain that whole concept. So we are interested in our own income and wealth, 00:28:42.800 |
how we are doing personally and how are we doing relative to our comparison group. Neighbors, 00:28:49.760 |
if you really associate with them, but not if you don't associate with them. But of course, 00:28:54.320 |
co-workers you must associate with and family you must associate with. And so they become 00:29:00.240 |
your comparison group. And people care about how they are doing, but they also care and sometimes 00:29:09.920 |
even more about how they are doing relative to their comparison group. If Mr. Jones got a $100,000 00:29:18.480 |
bonus and Mr. James got a $200,000, the first feels miserable because he got just $100,000. 00:29:28.320 |
And we say, "Hey, buddy, $100,000 is pretty good money." But their aspiration or their comparison 00:29:36.720 |
is with somebody else and they think that they deserve that or that is what they aspire. 00:29:43.680 |
And meanwhile, while they don't have it, they feel frustrated, they feel sad and so on. In the book, 00:29:50.560 |
I tell about studies of very wealthy families in New York and Manhattan. So here's a woman whose 00:30:01.600 |
family income is $2 million a year and her wealth is many times that. You would think that she is in 00:30:10.720 |
seven heaven, but she says, "I think that we are about average because we know so many people who 00:30:18.400 |
have chauffeurs and private planes." And I look at it and you say, "Whoa." Just being upgraded to 00:30:27.440 |
business class is a big deal to me. I speak with a lot of people who live in California and work in 00:30:36.160 |
the tech industry and their net worth's in their early 40s or sometimes 5, 6, 7 million and they 00:30:44.160 |
own a home worth 2 million and they feel poor relative to the people around them. And I said, 00:30:50.640 |
"If you were in any other place except where you are, you'd be wealthy." 00:30:54.800 |
The thing is that as we age, the nice thing about aging, you learn to just shrug and say, 00:31:02.880 |
"You know, so Joe has more money than me. Big deal." Really knowing when enough is one of bogus. 00:31:10.880 |
That is true. And as you age, it is easier to do that. When you are young, it is good 00:31:19.280 |
that your aspirations exceed your situation. That is why you strive to get good grades. This is why 00:31:28.080 |
you strive to rise at work. But when you are getting to be beyond middle age, all of those 00:31:35.760 |
things, if you are lucky, you stop searching for more money. It is something that I think that you 00:31:42.320 |
acquire as you age more. At least I know I have, because I know you have used yourself as an 00:31:48.560 |
example here. I think so. I think that competitive spirit of earlier years where it was really 00:31:57.200 |
make you perhaps even mad that somebody else won a lottery or somebody else got a promotion. 00:32:04.720 |
Now you say, "Good for him." You say, "I am doing just fine." Be happy with what you have. 00:32:12.560 |
You did point this out in your book, that as people accumulate a lot of wealth, their other 00:32:18.800 |
spheres go down. In other words, instead of relying on family to do things for you, 00:32:27.200 |
you can now go out and buy that. Instead of family helping you raise your children, well, 00:32:33.760 |
you can just take them to daycare. It narrows your other types of well-being that you have 00:32:40.800 |
around family, social. Well, yes. You can see that. When I got married, I was 22. Now that my 00:32:51.280 |
bride was 21. My parents and Nava's parents got together to decide how much each pair of 00:33:01.680 |
parents is going to contribute to the young couple to get them going, to get a down payment 00:33:07.760 |
on a house. Well, it was not easy to get bank loans at that time for things like that, and 00:33:15.920 |
credit cards really did not exist. My parents had a bit more than Nava's parents, but Nava's parents 00:33:23.120 |
borrowed some money because they wanted to match what my parents offered. They borrowed some of 00:33:28.960 |
that money from relatives, zero interest, and they paid it back when they could. For that, 00:33:35.360 |
you have to have social capital that is more than I'll just charge it on my car. 00:33:42.560 |
You can see that if I need to go someplace and my car is broken, well, I just order an Uber, 00:33:49.600 |
but somebody who has less money finds Uber pretty expensive. They're going to wait until 00:33:56.080 |
their neighbor is going in the same direction and they'll get a ride from that person. Well, 00:34:02.400 |
if you're going to do that, then you better maintain good relations with that neighbor. 00:34:08.340 |
You can see how those things that have to do with money and status affect things that have to do 00:34:15.280 |
with, say, friendship. What do you do if you are a young person and a good friend from college 00:34:22.400 |
is now getting married and she's going to have her wedding in Hawaii and she invites you? Well, 00:34:28.800 |
you might not have the money for airfare and a hotel in addition to a gift. 00:34:33.760 |
Some brides accept it and grooms accept it, and some see that as betrayal of friendship. 00:34:41.120 |
So you can see how money, even when it comes to friendship, can create those kinds of frictions. 00:34:48.000 |
The next part that you talk about is saving and spending. You talk about a life balance 00:34:52.320 |
between spending now and saving, yet you constantly say in the book that it is really 00:34:59.280 |
hard to find this balance because it requires a whole set of tools, mental accounting, self-control, 00:35:08.560 |
and that is very hard. A lot of people say, "Just find a balance in life, Mir, and you'll be happy. 00:35:13.360 |
Everything will be good." But what you're saying is, hey, finding a balance is not easy. 00:35:17.760 |
It is not easy, and it is good that we have some institutional arrangements that make it a bit 00:35:24.000 |
easier. God knows, just imagine that we didn't have Social Security. Think about the people who 00:35:29.200 |
say, "Just give me my Social Security money and I'll invest it the way I want. I'll do better 00:35:35.600 |
than the bureaucracy." Well, suppose that you put it in Bitcoin and it goes down. Now you are living 00:35:41.680 |
in the street. What then? And so it is good that we have the government do Social Security. It's 00:35:47.200 |
good that corporations offer 401(k). Finding the balance is indeed difficult, and many times we 00:35:56.000 |
make mistakes in our early years by spending too much. And in our later years, and that is really 00:36:02.480 |
one that strikes me, people find it difficult to spend. People have plenty of wealth, 00:36:11.440 |
but they have gotten used to the notion that saving is not just for the future. Saving makes 00:36:18.480 |
them feel good now. Saving makes them feel virtuous. When I wrote about it some years ago 00:36:25.200 |
in the Wall Street Journal, I got so many touching responses of people telling me, 00:36:30.960 |
"One, you are describing me. Second, now that I read that, I went out and I bought myself some 00:36:38.320 |
fancy golf clubs or hi-fi speakers or whatever it is, knowing that I can afford it." 00:36:46.400 |
You wrote, "If it makes you happy, if it truly makes you happy, you should 00:36:50.320 |
buy it as long as you can afford it." I do want to say one thing, though. Again, 00:36:54.800 |
this is controversial. You are not a big fan of the FIRE movement, 00:36:58.800 |
Financial Independence Retire Early. You say, "No, they're in a way pushing the wrong idea." 00:37:05.680 |
Well, this idea of retirement as nirvana sounds really ridiculous to me. I'm 77 and I'm still 00:37:15.280 |
working. Do I have to? No. Financially, I can retire, but teaching and scholarship is my 00:37:24.240 |
vocation. It provides meaning to my life that I will not get just from having leisure. It really 00:37:33.440 |
makes no sense to divide life into those two parts. One, you work like a horse with overtime, 00:37:42.320 |
with God knows what else, spend close to nothing, and then you have the riches of free time forever. 00:37:51.200 |
It does not work. More than that, it really is quite risky because you don't know what will 00:37:56.640 |
happen. You retire at 40. You think that you have a million dollars or two or three and that is 00:38:04.240 |
going to last you, but the market is not cooperating and so on. You might find yourself in a situation 00:38:11.120 |
that is really hard. Balance is that. Just be reasonable. You don't have to work yourself to 00:38:18.640 |
death. There is such a thing as family and leisure and all of that, but don't divide your life into 00:38:25.840 |
those two compartments. Remember that retirement can be pretty boring. You also talk a lot about 00:38:32.560 |
overdoing it where you can become a miser. Becoming a miser is not good. It actually 00:38:40.160 |
lowers your well-being. Even though you have more money, more wealth, it actually lowers 00:38:45.760 |
your well-being. That's what I found from this letter. When you give permission to spend and 00:38:50.720 |
you say, "Hey, you can spend without trouble," it really is going to enhance your well-being. 00:38:59.360 |
If you don't want to spend it on yourself, how about spending it on your kids, on your grandkids, 00:39:04.960 |
on the community if you have this extra money? There are people who are poor in your 00:39:11.040 |
neighborhood close or far. Won't you get some higher well-being if instead of being the richest 00:39:17.920 |
man in the cemetery, you get to share your wealth while you're alive? You can say in a way that 00:39:24.960 |
they are self-explanatory, they are common sense, but many people don't have that common sense. 00:39:32.400 |
When I had an example in one of my articles in The Wall Street Journal about buying lattes at 00:39:39.040 |
Starbucks, and yes, of course, if you save it and you invest it, you're going to have so much more 00:39:45.600 |
when you're 65. I say, "Well, you spend that same amount on diapers for your baby. Surely, 00:39:52.400 |
you're not going to have your baby at 65." There are some things where you have to ask yourself, 00:40:00.560 |
"How much is it worth now? How much will it be later?" I'm not suggesting that people spend a 00:40:07.280 |
lot of time thinking about it, but you have to develop something like an intuition about it that 00:40:13.360 |
is going to guide you right. My mom would say, "Spend money, but don't waste it." 00:40:19.600 |
Yeah, and this is all into the realm of well-being, how we feel, who we are, and being a miser where 00:40:27.360 |
you never spend money and you don't give money to your children who need it because you don't 00:40:32.640 |
want to spoil them. I hear that all the time. It's like, "Yeah, I don't see how if your children are 00:40:37.760 |
in their mid-30s and they're, say, they're married, struggling at work, and maybe not having 00:40:43.840 |
kids yet because they need to work, and yet people still won't help their kids. They say, 00:40:51.520 |
"Oh, well, I don't want to ruin them." It's an interesting mindset that some parents have. 00:40:55.520 |
I think it really is part of cultural capital. As I said, that is in Israel, 00:41:03.680 |
my parents and Nava's parents gave us money when we needed it with a warm hand. 00:41:09.680 |
How people grow to be reasonable or spend for it, we don't really precisely know. 00:41:18.960 |
There's a chapter you have on investing, and I think we're in line with the Boglehead's idea 00:41:23.680 |
that don't try to think that just because you have a PhD in molecular biology that you can 00:41:31.360 |
go out and pick stocks. You just use index funds. You have your own three-fund portfolio. 00:41:38.320 |
We have something in the Boglehead's called the three-fund portfolio. Well, you have your 00:41:41.360 |
own three-fund portfolio, which is a world equity fund, a bond market index fund, total bond market 00:41:48.960 |
index fund, and a money market fund, which is really a simple portfolio. We actually call that 00:41:54.400 |
a two-fund portfolio because we leave the money market emergency money out. But it's interesting 00:41:59.520 |
that that's the same concept that you came to in all of your work. 00:42:02.960 |
Yeah. Keep it simple, stupid. It's still a good banter for investments. The total stock market 00:42:12.240 |
fund has more than 3,000 stocks. If you ask me what are their names, I might know two or three 00:42:20.320 |
dozen. Do I know their financials? Of course not. I just buy a diversified portfolio, and I assume 00:42:28.720 |
that eventually it is going to do well. I have to really get out of the minds of my students 00:42:38.400 |
that doing analysis of stocks is going to get them extra. I always ask, who is the idiot on 00:42:46.240 |
the other side of the trade? As much as you know, being an engineer, working in biotechnology, 00:42:53.760 |
there are people who, one, have inside information. Even if they don't have inside information, 00:42:59.440 |
they know this company and industry inside out. This is their day job. Why do you think that 00:43:05.920 |
you're going to be able to beat them? Whenever I feel like trading, I ask myself this question, 00:43:11.680 |
and then I sit tight. One more thing about investing before we move on, 00:43:16.080 |
because I don't want to dwell on investing that much. I want to get to all these other things, 00:43:19.120 |
is that you talk about asset allocation. As you get older and you realize you have more money than 00:43:26.720 |
you need, that this idea of reducing your exposure to equity may not be what you want to do, because 00:43:35.200 |
you have more money than you're going to need. You're going to be now saving for your children or 00:43:42.960 |
charity. Therefore, maintaining that higher equity allocation gives you satisfaction, 00:43:50.480 |
gives you more well-being. It makes a lot of sense. I like to say that you want two things 00:43:57.120 |
in life. One is not to be poor, and the other is to be rich. Roughly speaking, you can say that 00:44:04.000 |
bonds are for not being poor, and stocks are for being rich. If you have enough such that you ask 00:44:12.240 |
yourself, what if the stock market goes down by 50% or 60% or 70%, will you still be okay? 00:44:20.240 |
The answer is yes. Then you can have a portfolio that is still allocated mostly to stocks and then 00:44:28.160 |
leave it again for family, for charity, for all good things. Now we're going to get into some 00:44:34.160 |
really interesting stuff. We went through the finance stuff, the saving, investing, and financial. 00:44:40.000 |
Now we're going to get into some parts of the book that, wow, can you really say that? It has 00:44:45.920 |
to do with dating and marriage and widowhood and divorce, parents, children, elderly parents, 00:44:53.360 |
grandparents, siblings, all the family stuff. We're going to start out with dating and marriage. 00:44:58.240 |
You find that there is a strong link between marriage and well-being. We could all agree on 00:45:05.120 |
that, but I want to get to the controversial stuff. Here's what you said. Marriage enhances 00:45:11.600 |
well-being more for men than women because women have the household chores to do, 00:45:20.080 |
and they have childbearing duties while men benefit from the social support of women. 00:45:27.200 |
You're not supposed to say this, Mayor, that we get more out of it in a way 00:45:34.160 |
than women do. Our well-being, men's well-being, are benefited more than women's well-being 00:45:40.800 |
from marriage. Yeah. Well, I think some of it has to do with housework, and even in 00:45:46.880 |
couples that profess equality, that tends to fall on women more than men. But also, 00:45:55.360 |
perhaps even more important, women have more friends, more social capital than men. 00:46:02.960 |
When women are widowed, they usually have some circle of friends that is going to be there 00:46:09.760 |
to support them. When men find themselves in that situation, once their wife dies, 00:46:17.520 |
they realize that the only social contact they had was through their wives, and now they feel 00:46:24.880 |
entirely lost. You can see how that social capital really matters and why it is important for men to 00:46:35.600 |
develop friendships that are reasonably deep, such that you find yourself in a situation where you're 00:46:43.520 |
not entirely alone. I tell a story about a man who lost his wife, and he was reluctant to accept 00:46:51.920 |
invitations to go to dinner with friends who were in his situation. Eventually, he did, and now he 00:46:59.280 |
is kind of in a community of people like him. They have dinner together, and they can lean on each 00:47:06.480 |
other, if not financially, surely emotionally. I just think this is a great example of social 00:47:12.560 |
capital, because it's true. I see it. I live in an over-55 community, and the whole purpose of the 00:47:18.640 |
over-55 community is sort of to bring people together. Men can go play golf or play pickleball 00:47:25.200 |
or whatever, and they develop their own groups, their own social groups. I think it is helpful 00:47:31.040 |
when somebody in our group's wife passes away. They have the social network in these over-55 00:47:38.400 |
communities that you may not have in other places. When I was reading that, it just became very clear 00:47:42.960 |
to me that, "Gee, I'm living in a place like this, where we're kind of practicing that." 00:47:47.200 |
But let me move on to divorce. Sometimes things don't work out. What you say is that a lot of 00:47:55.360 |
times, divorce occurs because there wasn't well-being before people got married. In other 00:48:01.600 |
words, marriage doesn't solve that. If your well-being is low before you get married, 00:48:06.960 |
the higher probability that you're going to get divorced. Can you explain how all that works? 00:48:11.360 |
Yeah. People who have higher well-being are more likely to attract a mate. They're more optimistic, 00:48:19.040 |
for example. They smile more. You see that in marriage. Now, of course, there are going to be 00:48:25.120 |
bumps in every marriage, but being dour and sour is not really a good recipe. But it is important 00:48:33.920 |
to know that sometimes it is two good people, two people who can enjoy high well-being. They're just 00:48:41.600 |
not matched right. So divorce, even with kids, might be a better solution than just living there 00:48:51.280 |
together for the sake of the kids. The kids get the point. In many cases, if it was obvious that 00:49:00.000 |
parents don't get along when they divorce, kids, in fact, are relieved that they don't have to 00:49:06.640 |
witness that stress every day and they can go to the home of mother and a home of father and have 00:49:14.800 |
a better time than when they are together. And so there are really many stories and they go in 00:49:20.960 |
different directions and people have different views as to what to do. For some people, it is 00:49:27.760 |
you're married, you have kids, you better stay together if they are minor. Other people say, 00:49:34.240 |
no, it just does not make sense for us. We can go our separate ways, take care of our kids, 00:49:43.040 |
both financially and emotionally, and go on with our lives. And so I think that what will happen 00:49:50.480 |
to readers of the book is that they're going to see themselves in some of the stories and some of 00:49:56.720 |
the stories will strike them as being strange, but that's good because it kind of prompts thinking 00:50:02.560 |
and you know that you're not alone. And perhaps once you reflect on it, I believe that people 00:50:09.440 |
can change, you know, people can improve their well-being. That's exactly what happened to me 00:50:15.040 |
as I was reading through the book. There were some things that just turned me the wrong way. I said, 00:50:19.680 |
I don't believe that. That's not what I would do. But then there were some things, oh, that's me, 00:50:24.400 |
you know. And what you do in the book though is you say, you know, it's not like I'm right and 00:50:29.520 |
that other person is wrong. That's not what it is. What enhances my well-being and what enhances that 00:50:36.240 |
other person's well-being? And what might enhance somebody else's well-being can be completely 00:50:40.000 |
different than what enhances my well-being, but we try to keep everybody within our own 00:50:45.200 |
belief system. And the book really opens that up in many different ways. So it's much more than a 00:50:51.920 |
finance book, but it does all relate to finance. As you were saying, you know, if you have one 00:50:58.960 |
person in a relationship who's a spendthrift or worse, they hide spending and hide debt from the 00:51:05.280 |
other spouse. I mean, this is going to eventually blow up. So really interesting observations that 00:51:11.920 |
you put way beyond basic behavioral finance that we'd read about. You know, we have a lot of 00:51:17.040 |
parental advice in the book. A lot of it has to do with what we call helicopter parent, kind of the 00:51:22.000 |
phrase. They want their children to be involved in all these things and don't realize that that 00:51:26.640 |
actually takes away from the child's well-being. You wrote that they feel much more stressed with 00:51:32.160 |
the extracurricular activities that they're involved in than they do just with their school 00:51:37.280 |
work. And how trying to help your child can actually be hurting your child because you're 00:51:43.600 |
putting too much stress on them. I mean, that portion wasn't about finance, but I found it all 00:51:47.360 |
very interesting and it all does fall together with your well-being, your child's well-being, 00:51:52.880 |
your family well-being. And you said this portfolio of well-beings, which of course 00:51:57.040 |
includes your children's well-being. Many things, many things that surprised me that I found 00:52:03.280 |
fascinating. And I think that readers will find them fascinating as well. That is why is it that 00:52:09.920 |
there is this big fascination now with getting the kids into an Ivy League college. I've lived in 00:52:17.360 |
this country for 50 years. It was not like that. I studied at Columbia, but it was not because of 00:52:25.200 |
its prestige. It's because they offered me the financial aid that was necessary. So what is 00:52:33.520 |
going on? Economists try to figure it out. Sociologists try to figure it out. I kind of 00:52:40.480 |
bring it together to make sense of it. And perhaps people can get kind of advice from that. I have 00:52:47.680 |
many neighbors. It seems like all my neighbors are from India, highly educated people, many 00:52:54.400 |
of them engineers. And they come from a culture where graduating from a top university is a big 00:53:02.240 |
thing. In the US, it is a thing. And it is big, but it's not as big. You can do well even if you 00:53:11.920 |
graduate from a second or third level college. Just understanding that and presenting it. And 00:53:18.880 |
I talk about it with those neighbors. And they begin to understand how this country is different. 00:53:27.280 |
>> You talk about how the US, it's where you go to college that matters, whereas in Canada, 00:53:32.800 |
it's what you study in college that matters. A little different culture. 00:53:37.440 |
>> Exactly. So in some cultures, I know a couple of colleague of mine was originally from Korea, 00:53:45.200 |
and his wife is from Sweden. In Korea, it is really very important where you graduate from. 00:53:52.640 |
In Sweden, it's not. When you put those cultures side by side, you say, 00:53:57.040 |
"Why are they different?" And make some judgment as to which of them is better, 00:54:02.480 |
which of them enhances well-being better than the other. 00:54:05.600 |
>> It doesn't mean that you're going to have more well-being as a student graduating from 00:54:10.880 |
one of those prestigious universities and then going and getting a job, that that job is going 00:54:17.040 |
to give you any more satisfaction or any more well-being than if you didn't take that path. 00:54:20.880 |
And that's what I found very interesting about a lot of the research that you're doing. 00:54:25.120 |
Many of you get into elderly parents as well in the sandwich generation. 00:54:30.160 |
And that grandparents, because I am one, I have eight grandkids, 00:54:32.960 |
love being a grandparent, but to have the grandchildren come and live with us and for 00:54:38.240 |
us to raise them, it actually probably for us would diminish our well-being as opposed to just 00:54:44.960 |
seeing the grandkids and taking care of them once in a while, which would increase our well-being. 00:54:48.160 |
But then you have a situation with money where maybe you have a divorced daughter who ends up 00:54:55.680 |
moving in with you with the child. The divorced daughter has to go to work and you end up taking 00:54:59.680 |
care of the child. It does tie into money in many ways. It would diminish our well-being, 00:55:04.960 |
but it's not something we would admit. You're not going to say to your daughter, 00:55:09.520 |
"Well, yeah, I'll take care of your kid and take care of you, but I don't want to." 00:55:14.000 |
It's true, but people normally wouldn't say it. 00:55:18.480 |
I wouldn't say it to my daughter. Yeah, I would do it, and I would at least pretend that I'm 00:55:24.320 |
cheerful about it. That is important. But of course, it does make a difference. Having a 00:55:32.160 |
disabled child reduces the well-being of their parents. These are facts. And sometimes when you 00:55:38.880 |
say that to people, they feel like you are hurting their feelings. 00:55:45.200 |
Judging them. Except when I say, "Well, I have a disabled daughter, so I'm speaking from where you 00:55:52.160 |
are. I'm not trying to be condescending to you. To the contrary, I'm trying to be empathetic to you 00:55:57.760 |
and say, 'I know how you feel. I am in your shoes, and here's how we manage.' That is, 00:56:05.600 |
we take from domains that are plentiful, like having another daughter who loves her older 00:56:12.960 |
sister and supports her, and having that increase the well-being of all of us. 00:56:19.120 |
You have a chapter on health. People who have more money generally have more health because 00:56:24.800 |
they can afford it. They can afford to go to a doctor if they're not feeling well. They can 00:56:29.280 |
afford to spend the time playing pickleball rather than working three jobs. They can afford 00:56:34.880 |
a personal trainer, so their health is better. Money and health are related, and it's all related 00:56:41.840 |
to well-being. Of course, you have a long chapter on work, and this is a really interesting chapter. 00:56:47.760 |
If you think that getting the next promotion is going to make you feel better, you should 00:56:52.880 |
read this chapter because it may be the opposite. It's such a fascinating book to get into religion 00:56:59.520 |
and society, nationalities, culture, just things that we could talk about for days. 00:57:05.280 |
I look at well-being as a portfolio, a portfolio of those domains. There is money, of course, 00:57:12.240 |
at the base of it, but there is family and work and religion and society and all of that, 00:57:19.200 |
and people allocate more of their well-being to one of the others, and some domains have 00:57:26.480 |
bumps in them, a kid that is disabled or a kid that does not do what parents would have hoped, 00:57:33.920 |
a work that is not satisfying, and so on. I think that the art of life, well-being, 00:57:39.760 |
is the art of the portfolio. You know that you're going to have some stocks that are going to be 00:57:46.080 |
dogs, but that's why you diversify because you don't know it ahead of time, and the same applies 00:57:52.880 |
here. These are the things that come out of my life, and when I speak to others, 00:57:58.960 |
their experiences are similar. And I know we've run out of time, 00:58:03.280 |
but I want to thank you so much for being a guest on "Bogleheads on Investing" today. 00:58:08.320 |
Well, thank you, Rick, and I hope that people who listen will enjoy it. 00:58:13.280 |
This concludes this episode of "Bogleheads on Investing." Join us each month as we interview 00:58:19.360 |
a new guest on a new topic. In the meantime, visit boglecenter.net, bogleheads.org, the 00:58:25.520 |
Bogleheads Wiki, Bogleheads Twitter, the Bogleheads YouTube channel, Bogleheads Facebook, 00:58:30.640 |
Bogleheads Reddit. Join one of your local Bogleheads chapters and get others to join.