back to indexEverything_Financial_Radio_interview_with_Dennis_Tubbergen
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Welcome to the Everything Financial Radio program. 00:00:44.340 |
Everything Financial Radio is brought to you each week 00:00:50.340 |
Each week we talk to a guest expert on the program 00:00:54.980 |
and we talk about what's going on out there in the markets 00:00:58.580 |
and in the economy that will affect you and your money. 00:01:02.460 |
This week, returning to the Everything Financial Radio program 00:01:29.380 |
Carl, let's give the listeners maybe that aren't aware 00:01:34.760 |
a bit of a background or a bit of an overview 00:01:39.020 |
as to the role of federal spending on medical care 00:01:47.300 |
and just kind of outline the topic for the listeners. 00:01:54.700 |
Medical spending is divided into two main parts 00:02:02.640 |
and Medicaid, which is for people that don't have any money 00:02:20.220 |
on veterans' medical costs is extremely small. 00:02:23.200 |
You can't find it in the budget in terms of percentages. 00:02:30.900 |
last fiscal year was about 37% of all of the money 00:02:37.580 |
When people in the political sphere talk about entitlements, 00:02:47.660 |
And they do this for a reason, because first off, 00:02:50.860 |
it makes the number much bigger and looks more difficult. 00:02:59.400 |
but which was anticipated by the people that wrote the law, 00:03:03.840 |
which is why you pay a 13% payroll tax approximately, 00:03:09.440 |
They knew that there would be a large group of people 00:03:14.820 |
and therefore the system had to run a surplus 00:03:19.120 |
but that those people would eventually all pass away 00:03:27.560 |
Medicare has a very small tax, so about 2.5%. 00:03:36.440 |
So when you take those programs and you put them together, 00:03:38.780 |
you take one that has temporary issues but is solvent 00:03:42.280 |
because there is enough money that has been put aside 00:03:53.420 |
"because you'll end up having to throw granny down the stairs." 00:04:01.120 |
our federal government has operated for the last 30 years, 00:04:04.100 |
and nobody on either side of the political aisle, 00:04:14.100 |
in the last two years have been growing in expense 00:04:54.620 |
will go from $1,300 billion, that's $1.3 trillion, 00:05:00.720 |
to $1,800 billion before the next president's term ends, 00:05:06.560 |
At that point, we will be blowing a $400 billion a year 00:05:13.560 |
because the growth of revenue last fiscal year 00:05:24.440 |
so at 9% growth, I'm just throwing some numbers out there, 00:05:27.920 |
that means spending will double in eight years 00:05:36.280 |
this takes up 70-some percent of the federal budget? 00:05:51.100 |
I mean, are we headed for more money printing, 00:06:03.440 |
- Well, money printing does not solve the problem 00:06:06.180 |
because you can print money, but you can't print value. 00:06:12.180 |
is what you're doing here is transferring value 00:06:17.660 |
The people to whom the value is being transferred 00:06:24.900 |
the Aetna situation where they attempted to buy Humana. 00:06:36.280 |
"Well, we're losing all the Obamacare exchanges." 00:06:40.480 |
The problem is that Aetna and Humana together, 00:06:48.960 |
So if you have a $1,300 billion annual expense line item, 00:06:56.400 |
a combined operating margin that's in the 9%, 10%, 12% area, 00:07:01.000 |
but their revenue, the total amount of money they take in 00:07:08.500 |
that this is somehow responsible for the issue. 00:07:12.700 |
health insurance companies in the United States. 00:07:25.780 |
and turn it into a $300 product in the United States 00:07:35.600 |
filling up your suitcase full of these things, 00:07:37.300 |
and bringing them back and selling them for $30, 00:07:44.600 |
And there is a body of law that's over 100 years old, 00:07:48.600 |
15 United States Code, that says that any act 00:08:06.020 |
But we have never, never in the history that I can find, 00:08:10.160 |
indicted a drug or pharmaceutical or hospital management 00:08:13.620 |
or a healthcare manager or a health insurance executive 00:08:23.240 |
we are chatting today with Mr. Carl Denninger. 00:08:35.780 |
So Carl, it seems to me that being a free market capitalist, 00:08:42.820 |
there's probably four of us left on the planet now. 00:08:50.700 |
- Free markets fixes the problem immediately, 00:08:54.600 |
because if you could fly to France and fill your, 00:09:01.080 |
where you can buy Epipens without a prescription, 00:09:07.840 |
and fill your suitcase full of them and come back, 00:09:11.860 |
and Mylan would sell exactly zero of them for $300 00:09:17.260 |
The pricing disparities that exist across all of medicine, 00:09:24.400 |
Pharmaceuticals happens to be the really easy one 00:09:27.140 |
to go after, but it's not just there, it's everywhere, 00:09:34.100 |
is because laws and regulations have been put in place 00:09:41.780 |
So if we solve this problem, if we just said, 00:09:44.460 |
"Okay, look, if you guys can either cut this out 00:09:47.920 |
"and voluntarily agree that these are all going to go away, 00:09:53.920 |
then the cost of medical care in this country 00:09:56.260 |
would come down by anywhere between 50 and 80%. 00:10:05.640 |
as a percentage of GDP in socialist countries, 00:10:08.140 |
but capitalism is more efficient than socialism 00:10:14.240 |
back into the game, we'd see a decrease of about 80%, 00:10:28.660 |
30 years ago, 40 years ago, for example, birth of a baby, 00:10:32.900 |
you would find, and you inflate that by the CPI, 00:10:35.780 |
you would find that you could go to a hospital 00:10:48.720 |
It's probably about where you actually see things end up. 00:10:54.120 |
- Well, Carl, we've got just a couple minutes left 00:11:01.700 |
I mean, when you look at where the political contributions 00:11:09.800 |
and it comes from pharmaceutical companies, number two. 00:11:17.140 |
- Well, that's the fact, but there's nowhere in those laws 00:11:31.340 |
in the political sphere that some indictments 00:11:34.800 |
ought to be issued tomorrow, and you're gonna be met 00:11:36.740 |
with guffaws and all sorts of things like this. 00:11:40.140 |
The problem is, from a political point of view 00:11:45.280 |
if we don't do this, the federal government's budget 00:11:48.420 |
will collapse, and when you take what the Federal Reserve 00:11:53.760 |
and you add on to that the impact on bond ladders 00:11:56.720 |
and pension funds and other defined benefit plans, 00:12:00.900 |
not only will the federal government's budget collapse, 00:12:04.300 |
but the pensions of every firefighter, teacher, 00:12:10.400 |
are going to go with it within the next 10 years. 00:12:13.580 |
So we either do this, or you're going to have 00:12:24.280 |
- Well, our guest today is Mr. Carl Denninger. 00:12:32.700 |
His book, Leverage, How Cheap Money Will Destroy the World, 00:12:35.500 |
will be the topic of conversation in the next segment 00:12:38.000 |
with Carl when Everything Financial Radio returns. 00:12:45.380 |
♪ Money for nothing and your chance to breathe 00:12:49.540 |
- Welcome back to the Everything Financial Radio program, 00:13:00.360 |
Carl's book, Leverage, How Cheap Money Will Destroy the World, 00:13:12.840 |
You had talked about the fact that within the next 10 years, 00:13:16.440 |
if we don't fix this problem, pensions will collapse. 00:13:22.780 |
I mean, we've already seen the beginning of that. 00:13:30.060 |
has Fed policy with low, artificially low interest rates, 00:13:41.600 |
- The Federal Reserve has exacerbated the problem. 00:13:44.400 |
They, of course, have nothing to do with antitrust law 00:13:49.100 |
but what they have done is destroyed the return 00:13:53.680 |
that bond investors can earn in reasonably safe securities, 00:14:15.100 |
any company that has an actuarial kind of exposure, 00:14:18.540 |
in other words, a pension company, you retire at 65, 00:14:29.380 |
And in order to match that duration of expected expense, 00:14:36.720 |
So one piece of them, 120 of them, comes to maturity. 00:14:43.120 |
Next year, and on and on throughout the expected duration. 00:14:54.760 |
5% of your portfolio gets replaced with bonds 00:15:03.680 |
but the yield on those certificates might be cut in half 00:15:21.600 |
so it's a tiny little piece, it's a 20th, okay? 00:15:29.960 |
Unfortunately, what you've just done is built a loss, 00:15:49.660 |
And because you could buy a new bond at a higher yield, 00:16:00.440 |
So the pension manager can't sell the old ones 00:16:03.440 |
and replace them, because they just crystallize to the loss. 00:16:12.920 |
he's stuck with it for another, you know, 14 years, 00:16:15.840 |
where he's going to be earning this sub-return 00:16:34.920 |
in terms of the distortion that the Fed has put on. 00:16:37.560 |
This is not something that was just a one or two year thing 00:16:59.240 |
Now how are you going to make those two numbers match? 00:17:10.580 |
And Carl, we've got about three and a half minutes 00:17:13.680 |
Moving ahead, what do you expect Fed policy will be? 00:17:18.640 |
Are they in a situation where they're going to continue 00:17:20.880 |
to raise interest rates, or is that just a bunch of talk? 00:17:30.320 |
about taking pain now to avoid worse pain later. 00:17:36.260 |
The impact on pension funds is easily projectable 00:17:41.520 |
and predictable, and it's a function of arithmetic. 00:17:44.960 |
The impact on the budget, however, is tomorrow. 00:17:51.160 |
the interest on the $17 trillion in national debt, 00:17:54.280 |
most of which has been rolled down into the short end, 00:18:02.380 |
And the relatively small amount of interest expense 00:18:15.680 |
of the federal budget deficit at the same time. 00:18:21.360 |
the only place that there's enough money to do it 00:18:32.360 |
I think they're going to be forced to do it eventually, 00:18:35.920 |
but my fear is that they're gonna sit on this decision 00:18:38.240 |
for another few years until it gets to the point 00:18:49.480 |
at a degree that nobody's going to be able to cover. 00:18:58.400 |
Every currency around the world now is a fiat currency, 00:19:01.800 |
and certainly, when you look at what's going on 00:19:08.280 |
You know, there's certainly a lot of stress on currencies 00:19:19.180 |
The thing that I think is always so interesting 00:19:30.660 |
And so what people really ought to be talking about 00:19:34.700 |
is value, not dollars or pesos or francs or euros or yen, 00:19:46.760 |
to attempt to tip the trade balance in their favor, 00:20:06.200 |
within the political and economic sphere today. 00:20:13.400 |
is that if you see something get out of control 00:20:17.940 |
you could very easily see a quarter of the wealth 00:20:24.980 |
That wouldn't be hard to imagine happening at all. 00:20:30.780 |
His book, "Leverage, How Cheap Money Will Destroy the World." 00:20:49.280 |
- You are listening to the Everything Financial 00:20:53.900 |
radio program brought to you by PLP Services. 00:21:13.260 |
on the best way to maximize your social security benefits. 00:21:19.500 |
these decisions have never been more important. 00:21:23.000 |
In fact, when you take a look at 10 years ago 00:21:25.380 |
and the types of yields you could get on your money 00:21:30.200 |
if you could get an extra three, four, five, 10, 00:21:32.900 |
or even $12,000 from social security every year 00:21:38.860 |
think about how much capital you'd have to have 00:21:42.420 |
at today's low interest rates to do the same thing. 00:21:44.980 |
With that end in mind, we'd like to invite you 00:21:53.440 |
We've got one coming up on Thursday, September 8th 00:21:56.200 |
at Stonewater Country Club out in Caledonia Township. 00:22:05.600 |
Both events begin at 6 p.m. and conclude at 7.30 p.m. 00:22:11.740 |
The meeting is free, the information is free, 00:22:20.180 |
or to register is visit socialsecurityradio.com. 00:22:24.580 |
The website again is socialsecurityradio.com. 00:22:37.020 |
Joshua is the host of the very popular podcast 00:22:53.340 |
about a topic that you discussed on your podcast of late 00:23:08.420 |
Now that's a very compelling and provocative topic. 00:23:14.380 |
And maybe to get started, define if you would, rich life. 00:23:19.220 |
I think that maybe has a little bit different definition 00:23:31.140 |
is to get people to define it for themselves. 00:23:33.940 |
So I have some definitions that are important to me. 00:23:42.640 |
And what I'm confronting is, especially for you and me, 00:23:45.660 |
is in the mainstream financial planning culture, 00:23:53.500 |
and living a rich life as something that happens 00:23:55.620 |
a long time in the future when we're old and gray 00:23:58.200 |
and retired and when we have millions of dollars. 00:24:04.980 |
than it is to wait until we're old and retired. 00:24:07.300 |
And I think oftentimes we miss the aspects of riches. 00:24:23.740 |
isn't best represented by a brand new Mercedes 00:24:26.900 |
in the driveway or a big, fancy luxury home on the water. 00:24:30.180 |
Financial freedom is usually represented by choices. 00:24:33.020 |
And I came to the conclusion that you could get there, 00:24:35.680 |
meaning you could get to a place of having control 00:24:38.000 |
over your choices much faster than you could get 00:24:46.140 |
into material aspects and immaterial aspects. 00:24:50.500 |
But just as an example, I think most listeners 00:24:59.620 |
than the richest person in the world 75 years ago. 00:25:09.740 |
that's perfectly suited to their ideal body temperature. 00:25:18.580 |
for the richest person in the world 75 years ago 00:25:21.980 |
or how cold it would have been in some places 00:25:25.780 |
And yet when's the last time you heard somebody 00:25:31.380 |
and convenience of a climate controlled environment 00:25:51.740 |
That's a luxury that the richest person in the world 00:25:58.940 |
and we grumble about the fact that our car isn't brand new 00:26:13.180 |
and define that by saying control over choices, 00:26:29.500 |
because we are so stuckered in to a losing game 00:26:44.140 |
the feelings of richness are often evoked by your choice. 00:26:49.020 |
I can live a rich life by having an afternoon free 00:26:56.740 |
And so what I think people want from being rich is control. 00:27:05.820 |
They want control over the choice of their activities. 00:27:19.660 |
to something that does allow you that control. 00:27:24.760 |
And I consider myself at this point in time financially free. 00:27:31.300 |
I'm working towards it, but I'm not there yet. 00:27:48.740 |
I don't accept a lot of external calendar appointments 00:27:51.980 |
on my schedule, so I have control over when I do my work. 00:27:56.280 |
And that gives me a tremendous amount of freedom. 00:27:58.820 |
Now, it's not the freedom that's ultimately best enjoyed 00:28:10.620 |
But having that control to choose work that's meaningful 00:28:17.860 |
that life is composed primarily of our experiences 00:28:28.940 |
And most people, when they get to the end of their life, 00:28:49.780 |
And in your case, as I was listening to you explain 00:28:58.860 |
that's probably something that many of our listeners 00:29:17.540 |
about how great running their own business is. 00:29:24.980 |
I think every business owner has had the opportunity, 00:29:32.420 |
man, I wish I could just go back to the world of employment. 00:29:35.260 |
I don't recommend that everybody become an entrepreneur. 00:29:39.860 |
So be sure that it's something that you want. 00:29:45.220 |
and there are going to be some costs and some drawbacks. 00:29:50.780 |
and you need to recognize what you're giving up. 00:29:54.100 |
But the transition to entrepreneurship is relatively simple. 00:29:56.660 |
You find something that the marketplace is going to value 00:30:02.180 |
and then you build a business model behind it 00:30:05.260 |
You can also and should also pay very careful attention 00:30:08.380 |
to some of the formal technical financial planning techniques 00:30:10.860 |
that we teach in order to make it a good transition. 00:30:16.580 |
when you're completely broke and deeply in debt. 00:30:28.100 |
I think the best way for most people to approach transition 00:30:34.020 |
start a business on the side on a part-time basis. 00:30:36.460 |
That way you're not putting too much risk on the side gig. 00:30:41.580 |
where you can see some clear and measurable things 00:30:45.980 |
to a point where it's able to support yourself, 00:30:47.900 |
then go ahead and start pursuing that transition 00:30:51.340 |
- So when we talk about entrepreneurship, Joshua, 00:31:04.780 |
I interviewed Mr. Gerald Salente of Trends Research Institute 00:31:10.380 |
he pointed out that actual real income is down 00:31:15.180 |
for the average American over the last 18 years. 00:31:17.980 |
And even according to the US Department of Labor 00:31:25.620 |
median household income is down over the last five years. 00:31:28.500 |
So this is becoming really almost a necessity 00:31:42.140 |
what advice would you give them to go acquire those skills? 00:31:45.140 |
- The key advice that people in that situation need 00:31:59.900 |
wherein we've primarily been taught the concept 00:32:02.420 |
that if you just get a good job, everything will be fine. 00:32:05.820 |
But there are a number of pressures and stresses 00:32:08.260 |
that are collaborating to make that no longer the case. 00:32:11.580 |
If you notice how many of the unemployment roll, 00:32:16.420 |
did many of them disappeared after the 2008 recession, 00:32:19.380 |
many of those jobs have not come back and will not come back 00:32:22.100 |
and the pressure is only gonna get more and more intense. 00:32:31.940 |
I feel bad for many of the people who are working hard, 00:32:36.420 |
striking and trying to pressure for what they call 00:32:39.460 |
a living wage, increases in the minimum wage. 00:32:56.580 |
and comfortable with ordering our food through a computer 00:33:01.020 |
So the key mindset is not looking to say, what can I get? 00:33:05.340 |
That's the mindset that leads to me striking and advocating 00:33:08.460 |
and trying to get people to give me more money. 00:33:11.740 |
The mindset of an entrepreneur is looking to, 00:33:15.940 |
And so the first thing to do is to look around where you are 00:33:20.260 |
that I have the capability to offer to somebody else 00:33:25.380 |
That's the fundamental transformation of entrepreneurship. 00:33:31.180 |
and ask yourself, can I do what other people do? 00:33:36.860 |
in my neighborhood, they've been off on summer vacation 00:33:43.100 |
And there's three young men, eight years old, one, 00:33:45.380 |
nine years old, the other, and 10 years old, the third. 00:33:47.820 |
And they came by my house, knocked on my door, 00:33:53.220 |
They're using my hose, their bucket, their soap, 00:34:05.740 |
That's the fundamental basis of entrepreneurship 00:34:12.940 |
and then asking them, would you be willing to pay me? 00:34:18.140 |
that you have the skills and capabilities of doing. 00:34:22.900 |
going to have the capacity to do comprehensive financial 00:34:33.860 |
that somebody might be willing to buy, you offer that. 00:34:39.420 |
Then you go back and you try to develop additional business 00:34:43.500 |
Car washing business, I kind of took these young guys 00:34:46.140 |
under my wing and I'm trying to counsel them and give them 00:34:49.780 |
Here are some additional products that you can offer. 00:34:52.340 |
You're offering a basic wash, but what about a basic wash 00:34:57.980 |
So you need to go out and get a vacuum, acquire the tools, 00:35:11.100 |
think it's something that we can all relate to. 00:35:15.300 |
if I lost all of my business, I would go and now consider 00:35:20.100 |
Because that's something that I can go and I can sell. 00:35:23.620 |
I can ask people if they'd like their car washed. 00:35:33.280 |
to what's something I can provide to the marketplace, 00:35:35.860 |
then your mindset will open up the opportunities to you. 00:35:39.780 |
Well, we are chatting today with Joshua Sheets. 00:35:50.700 |
When everything financial radio continues, stay with us. 00:35:56.740 |
(SINGING) Money, money, money, money, money, money. 00:36:04.700 |
This is the Everything Financial radio program, 00:36:12.940 |
that I conducted with Mr. Joshua Sheets a while ago. 00:36:24.020 |
I thought I would share it with you once again. 00:36:29.940 |
I have the pleasure of chatting today with Joshua Sheets. 00:36:33.580 |
Joshua is the host of the podcast, Radical Personal 00:36:39.660 |
And we're chatting today with Joshua about how 00:36:45.260 |
And on your podcast, Joshua, you talked about the fact 00:36:58.460 |
Our listeners, I'm sure, would love to hear that. 00:37:01.940 |
This show, I just finished this series of three shows 00:37:05.420 |
And it came because I've done over 350 episodes 00:37:08.740 |
And the tagline of my show is how to live a rich life 00:37:11.860 |
now while building a plan for financial freedom 00:37:25.540 |
in order to live a lifestyle of financial freedom 00:37:29.020 |
and that there are many paths to financial freedom. 00:37:38.620 |
how to be a multimillionaire in 10 years or less, 00:37:40.740 |
although I believe that is possible for many people. 00:37:47.700 |
independent of the need to work in 10 years or less, 00:37:49.940 |
although I believe that is possible for many people. 00:37:54.780 |
And the reason is that in my work as a financial planner, 00:37:57.160 |
I noticed that so many people get so focused on only being 00:38:06.580 |
You don't have to wait until then to experience 00:38:15.260 |
on some of the aspects of financial freedom today. 00:38:18.020 |
So I cover the basic aspect of financial freedom. 00:38:21.580 |
For example, having your income higher than your expenses. 00:38:25.740 |
If you have your income higher than your expenses, 00:38:28.820 |
then to a great degree, you are financially free, 00:38:32.180 |
just simply because you have more money coming in 00:38:35.260 |
Now, even better, if you could have that income coming in 00:38:44.100 |
or through a business that's appropriate to you, 00:38:46.180 |
now you've got an even higher degree of freedom. 00:38:56.060 |
He wants the hardest and worst job in the world, 00:39:00.100 |
Well, why is he trying to get one of the hardest jobs 00:39:09.940 |
Because they've found an occupation that fits them 00:39:20.340 |
If you're debt free, that gives you a huge degree 00:39:22.860 |
of financial freedom, gives you choices over your life. 00:39:27.020 |
that in 10 years or less, you probably can build a plan 00:39:30.100 |
for financial freedom, complete financial freedom. 00:39:39.340 |
you can be financially independent in about a decade. 00:39:44.180 |
No, but many people can do that and are doing that. 00:39:51.060 |
to decrease your expenses and save a lot of money. 00:39:53.660 |
There are thousands of people all around the US 00:39:56.660 |
If you don't believe me, I'll send you to the forums 00:40:01.700 |
If you need to have that multimillion dollar approach, 00:40:20.500 |
depending on what you're trying to accomplish, 00:40:29.260 |
to enjoy the fruit of a rich life now or financial freedom. 00:40:35.060 |
>> And Joshua, you made just a very basic point. 00:40:39.820 |
In fact, I wrote a book called "Finding Financial Freedom" 00:40:44.700 |
The first thing you have to do is get to a point 00:40:46.180 |
that your income is higher than your expenses. 00:40:49.180 |
And it might be interesting to talk about the fact 00:40:51.180 |
that sometimes it's easier to increase income 00:40:59.660 |
Expenses, for many people, are so loose and sloppy 00:41:04.580 |
But for many people, they're already being very careful, 00:41:06.820 |
and all they need to do is adjust their income. 00:41:13.260 |
And Zig told the story about how they had done a test 00:41:33.900 |
In the other ad, they offered some six-figure numbers, 00:41:42.220 |
for the $40,000 a year job than the $120,000 a year job. 00:41:56.320 |
from all kinds of opportunities that are available to them 00:41:59.360 |
in their current job or transitioning to a different job 00:42:07.980 |
>> Well, we're going to have to leave it there. 00:42:11.380 |
He's host of the podcast, "Radical Personal Finance." 00:42:22.980 |
a couple of free Social Security maximization workshops 00:42:32.040 |
and conclude at 7.30 p.m. with a free dinner. 00:42:35.380 |
The meeting is free, the information is free, 00:42:43.720 |
on the best way to collect your Social Security benefits, 00:42:50.140 |
by visiting the website socialsecurityradio.com. 00:42:54.500 |
The website, once again, is socialsecurityradio.com. 00:43:09.980 |
you'll find us at Boulder Creek Golf Club in Belmont. 00:43:16.840 |
and conclude at 7.30 p.m. with a complimentary dinner. 00:43:23.100 |
once again, the website is socialsecurityradio.com. 00:43:33.400 |
you can visit the website everythingfinancialradio.com 00:43:44.100 |
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