back to indexNatalya Bailey: Rocket Engines and Electric Spacecraft Propulsion | Lex Fridman Podcast #157
Chapters
0:0 Introduction
1:46 Intelligent life in the universe
5:47 Life in our solar system
7:52 Humans on Mars
11:26 Robots vs human in space exploration
12:20 AI in space
16:25 How rocket engines work
21:42 How ion engines work
26:5 How colloid engines work
35:3 Material science
37:52 Nuclear powered rocket engines
42:51 Electric propulsion out in space
46:18 Satellites
51:12 Photo of Earth from the Moon
52:50 Humans on Mars
55:12 Propulsion without fuel
63:7 How to build a rocket company
70:5 SpaceX and commercial spaceflight
74:38 Advice to startup founders
81:13 Book recommendations
89:31 Meaning of life
00:00:00.000 |
The following is a conversation with Natalia Bailey, 00:00:02.840 |
a rocket scientist and spacecraft propulsion engineer 00:00:06.000 |
previously at MIT, and now the founder and CTO 00:00:13.200 |
space propulsion engines for satellites and spacecraft. 00:00:22.000 |
but rather the engines that move us around in space 00:00:29.120 |
Monk Pack, low carb snacks, Four Sigmatic mushroom coffee, 00:00:45.400 |
And if you wish, click the sponsor links below 00:00:48.100 |
to get a discount and to support this podcast. 00:00:51.320 |
As a side note, let me say something about Natalia's story. 00:01:12.480 |
in artificial intelligence, science, and engineering. 00:01:15.600 |
Amid the meetings and the papers and the career rat race 00:01:24.680 |
Sadly, we're on Earth for only a very short time. 00:01:27.680 |
So let's have fun solving some of the biggest puzzles 00:01:32.120 |
If you enjoy this thing, subscribe on YouTube, 00:01:34.520 |
review it on Apple Podcasts, follow on Spotify, 00:01:41.820 |
And now, here's my conversation with Natalia Bailey. 00:01:50.820 |
the big existential question of whether there is 00:02:30.440 |
I'm a little discouraged that we haven't yet been in touch. 00:02:39.560 |
- It's also possible that they have been in touch 00:02:42.200 |
and we just haven't, we're too dumb to realize 00:02:51.320 |
that they may be communicating at a time scale 00:02:54.600 |
Like their signals are in a totally different time scale 00:02:57.800 |
or in a totally different kind of medium of communication. 00:03:19.560 |
Like the nature of our consciousness and intelligence itself 00:03:24.120 |
- And like being able to ask the questions themselves. 00:03:32.440 |
whether aliens exist might be the very medium 00:03:38.600 |
- So some, this like collective emergent behavior 00:03:48.720 |
- 'Cause maybe that's how we would communicate. 00:03:50.600 |
If you think about it, if we were way, way, way smarter, 00:03:53.480 |
like a thousand years from now, we somehow survive, 00:03:58.360 |
In a way that's like, if we broadcast the signal, 00:04:13.040 |
That would have a signal, an effect on the most possible, 00:04:19.240 |
the highest number of possible civilizations, 00:04:36.320 |
where they don't have to have the capability to hear it. 00:04:40.240 |
It like forces the message to have an impact. 00:04:43.760 |
My train of thought has never gone there, but I like it. 00:04:47.600 |
And also somewhere in there, I think it's implied 00:04:51.520 |
that something travels faster than the speed of light, 00:05:04.000 |
Sort of you work on the engineering side of things. 00:05:23.760 |
just life on Mars or on Europa or something like that. 00:05:32.960 |
I mean, it's the whole reason I went into the field I'm in 00:05:37.960 |
is to contribute to building the body of knowledge 00:05:54.360 |
but currently living, but also no longer living, 00:05:59.840 |
as some people suspect, basic microbial life. 00:06:03.560 |
- I'm not so sure about in our own solar system. 00:06:10.320 |
if we somehow contaminated other things as well. 00:06:21.360 |
- Like do you think about the Drake equation much of like-- 00:06:23.960 |
- That was what, yeah, what got me into all of this, yeah. 00:06:28.480 |
- Yeah, 'cause one of the questions is how hard is it 00:06:34.280 |
Like if you have a lot of the basic conditions, 00:06:36.280 |
not exactly like Earth, but basic Earth-like conditions, 00:06:41.600 |
And if you find life on Mars or find life on Europa, 00:06:55.600 |
And that like immediately, that would be super exciting 00:06:58.840 |
'cause that means there's like trillions of planets 00:07:04.680 |
- Though of all the planets in our solar system, 00:07:12.440 |
if we didn't find it on another planet in our solar system. 00:07:17.040 |
- True, and again, that life could look very different. 00:07:27.400 |
but their intelligence is carried out over a time scale 00:07:34.680 |
of human civilization, and we're just like too dumb 00:07:46.520 |
Yeah, it's not in the monolith in the Utah desert. 00:07:57.240 |
- I think SpaceX and Elon Musk will be the ones 00:08:01.360 |
that get the first human setting foot on Mars, 00:08:12.640 |
Maybe we'll inflate his timeline a little bit, 00:08:25.060 |
to get humans living there in a more permanent way, 00:08:28.800 |
I have a glib answer, which is when we can invent 00:08:34.760 |
a time machine to go back to the early Cold War, 00:08:38.600 |
and instead of uniting around sending people to the moon, 00:08:45.760 |
So really, I say that because there's nothing 00:08:48.920 |
truly scientifically or technologically impossible 00:09:00.920 |
and those are the obstacles, I think, to that. 00:09:10.720 |
you have to start thinking about the kind of rules 00:09:16.600 |
And speaking of the Cold War, who gets to own the land? 00:09:21.180 |
You start planting flags, you start to make decisions. 00:09:25.720 |
And like SpaceX says this, it's probably a little bit trolly 00:09:30.080 |
but they have this nice paragraph in their contracts 00:09:34.340 |
where it talks about that human governments on Earth 00:09:39.340 |
or Earth governments have no jurisdiction on Mars. 00:09:46.720 |
The rules, the Martians get to define their own rules. 00:09:50.240 |
It sounds very much like the founding fathers 00:09:53.900 |
for this country, that's the kind of language. 00:10:02.120 |
and it makes you think perhaps that needs to be leveraged. 00:10:07.120 |
You have to be very clever about leveraging that 00:10:10.040 |
to create a little bit of a Cold War feeling. 00:10:14.800 |
It seems like we humans need a little bit of a competition. 00:10:25.480 |
Or can the pure pursuit of science be enough? 00:10:43.920 |
to get us onto another planet in a permanent way. 00:10:48.000 |
Financially, I just don't know if the private sector 00:10:54.160 |
I don't wish that there is some catastrophe coming our way 00:11:09.160 |
- Yeah, there is for, we'll talk about satellites. 00:11:11.320 |
There's probably a lot of business models around satellites 00:11:29.720 |
and looping back to something we said earlier, 00:11:33.400 |
I don't know that getting humans off this planet 00:11:37.840 |
and spreading bacteria is what we're supposed 00:11:48.720 |
And I'm probably an unusual person for thinking that 00:11:53.720 |
in my industry because humans want to explore. 00:11:59.400 |
But I almost wonder, are we putting unnecessary obstacles, 00:12:20.360 |
- What do you think is the role of AI in space? 00:12:22.880 |
Do you, in your work, again, we'll talk about it 00:12:25.640 |
but do you see more and more of the space vehicles, 00:12:30.640 |
spacecraft being run by artificial intelligence systems? 00:12:41.000 |
- Yeah, I don't have a lot of color to the dreams 00:12:51.200 |
it's hard for humans to even make a trip to Mars, 00:13:01.680 |
again, I'm probably unusual in having these thoughts 00:13:05.920 |
but perhaps be able to generate more knowledge 00:13:09.440 |
and understand more if we stop trying to send humans 00:13:13.000 |
and instead, I don't know if we're talking about AI 00:13:23.840 |
but maybe sending a Petri dish or two of like stem cells 00:13:50.080 |
I mean, I'm sure we'll eventually send a spacecraft 00:13:53.680 |
with efficient propulsion like some of the stuff you work on 00:13:57.600 |
out that travels just really far with some robots on it 00:14:07.760 |
and then there'll just be this floating spacecraft 00:14:13.920 |
That's a sad thought, like this lonely spacecraft 00:14:20.600 |
- Well, it depends-- - That's a possible future. 00:14:27.200 |
Another way to look at it is we've preserved, 00:14:29.640 |
it's like a little time capsule of knowledge, DNA, 00:14:41.400 |
- So you also mentioned that you wanted to be an astronaut. 00:14:50.840 |
and then we might wanna be sending robots up there, 00:14:53.880 |
you wanted to be a human that goes out there. 00:15:12.440 |
would you like to vacation on Earth or vacation on Mars? 00:15:23.560 |
first of all, I like working in labs and doing experiments 00:15:28.520 |
and I wanted to go to like the coolest lab, the ISS, 00:15:39.680 |
but you know, there will be others, I'm sure. 00:15:44.720 |
- Yes, I think by 2025, it's not going to be in use anymore. 00:15:52.000 |
that are going to be putting up stations and things. 00:15:55.360 |
- So it's primarily like a research lab, essentially. 00:15:58.160 |
- A research lab in space, that's a cool way to say it. 00:16:03.720 |
And now, though, my risk profile has changed a little bit. 00:16:20.460 |
We have our troubles, but overall, it's pretty nice. 00:16:28.560 |
How does a rocket engine work, or any kind of engine 00:16:31.980 |
that can get us to space or float around in space? 00:16:36.840 |
- The basic principle is conservation of momentum. 00:16:40.540 |
So you throw stuff out the back of the engine 00:16:47.500 |
and that pushes the rocket and the spacecraft 00:16:51.040 |
So there are two main types of rocket propulsion. 00:16:56.040 |
The one people are more familiar with is chemical 00:17:03.500 |
And that's what's used for launch and is more televised. 00:17:23.700 |
and that's funneled out the back through a nozzle, 00:17:26.800 |
directed out the back, and then that momentum exchange 00:17:32.420 |
- Is there an interesting difference between liquid 00:17:38.740 |
So chemical just means that the release of energy 00:17:48.220 |
And the other main category is electric propulsion. 00:18:00.700 |
And in this case, the stuff you're pushing out the back 00:18:13.820 |
and you force them out the back of the spacecraft 00:18:16.180 |
using either an electrostatic field or electromagnetic. 00:18:30.140 |
What's the difference maybe in the challenges of each, 00:18:39.280 |
the use cases of each and how they're used today, 00:18:48.220 |
Anything interesting about the two categories 00:18:51.480 |
Besides the chemical one being the big sexy flames and-- 00:19:07.000 |
So it's been around since 400 BC or something like that. 00:19:11.080 |
So that, even the big engines are quite well understood. 00:19:15.040 |
I think one of the last gaps there is probably, 00:19:27.400 |
Are modeling abilities kind of fall apart there 00:19:40.560 |
into lots of different interdisciplinary fields of science 00:19:47.760 |
And that's quite complex, but we have pretty good models 00:19:55.200 |
But that's, I think one of the last unsolved pieces. 00:20:00.200 |
And really the kind of what people care about there 00:20:11.680 |
of instantaneous thrust, but it's not very fuel efficient. 00:20:20.000 |
So that's where people spend a lot of their time 00:20:33.700 |
It's very hot, which is good if it heats the gases, 00:20:36.340 |
but bad if it melts the rocket and things like that. 00:20:40.680 |
So there's always a lot of work on heating and cooling 00:20:48.680 |
I find it like much more refreshingly poorly understood. 00:21:02.200 |
we spent 90% of the class on chemical propulsion 00:21:07.880 |
And the professor said, "We only sort of understand 00:21:20.120 |
which is probably one of the most straightforward 00:21:41.480 |
- First of all, can you actually zoom out even more? 00:21:57.740 |
There's the two most kind of conventional types 00:22:12.920 |
And then there are also some other types of plasma engines, 00:22:19.220 |
but that don't fit into those two categories. 00:22:22.000 |
So just kind of other plasma like a VASIMR engine, 00:22:27.640 |
And then those are probably the main three categories 00:22:33.820 |
Oh, and then of course the category of engine 00:22:36.500 |
that I work on, which has a lot of similarities 00:22:39.460 |
to an ion engine, but could be considered its own class 00:22:45.620 |
Okay, so what is an ion propulsion ion engine? 00:22:48.980 |
- Okay, so in an ion engine, you have an ionization chamber 00:22:54.340 |
and you inject the propellant into that chamber. 00:22:57.660 |
And this is usually a neutral gas like xenon or argon. 00:23:12.300 |
And everything's just moving around very randomly in there. 00:23:16.660 |
And the whole goal is to have one of those electrons collide 00:23:35.020 |
and now you have a charged xenon or argon ion 00:23:46.180 |
will happen to make it to this downstream electric field 00:23:50.600 |
that we set up between two grids with holes in them. 00:23:53.900 |
And in terms of area, the same amount of those ions 00:23:58.220 |
also make runs into the walls and lose their charge. 00:24:01.700 |
And that's where some of the inefficiencies come in. 00:24:04.500 |
But the very lucky few make it to those holes in that grid. 00:24:11.260 |
and you apply a voltage differential between them. 00:24:17.160 |
And a charged particle in an electric field creates a force. 00:24:21.280 |
And so those ions are accelerated out the back of the engine 00:24:24.960 |
and the reaction force is what pushes the spacecraft forward. 00:24:29.720 |
If you're following along and tallying these charges, 00:24:42.040 |
And for our purposes here, the spacecraft is neutral. 00:24:49.000 |
and hit the spacecraft because it's a positive beam. 00:24:51.560 |
So you also have to have an external cathode producer 00:24:58.800 |
that pumps electrons into that beam and neutralizes that. 00:25:07.800 |
- What temperature are we talking about here? 00:25:09.800 |
So in terms of like the chemical base engines, 00:25:19.160 |
I mean, is that an interesting thing to talk about 00:25:22.120 |
in a sense that, is that an interesting distinction 00:25:25.240 |
or is the heat, I mean, it's all gonna be hot? 00:25:30.240 |
especially for some of these smaller satellites 00:25:35.320 |
So it's important because you have the plasma, 00:25:39.280 |
but also those high energy electrons are hot. 00:25:42.360 |
And if you have a lot of those that are going into the walls, 00:25:48.200 |
So I'm having trouble remembering off the top of my head. 00:26:02.640 |
Not move the temperature. - No, not recommended. 00:26:07.720 |
- So the same rocket people that came up with 00:26:28.180 |
if you're going to be using electric propulsion. 00:26:35.740 |
particularly ionic liquids, which is what we use, 00:26:42.500 |
And if you have ions and you put them in a field, 00:26:48.280 |
but part of being able to leverage that technique 00:26:52.560 |
is being able to kind of manipulate those liquids 00:26:56.600 |
on a scale of nanometers or very few microns. 00:27:01.280 |
So the diameter of a human hair or something like that. 00:27:05.320 |
And in the '50s, there was no way to do that. 00:27:12.900 |
And then with silicon, MEMS, computer processors, 00:27:17.900 |
and when foundry started becoming more ubiquitous 00:27:29.260 |
and was like, "Hey, actually there's now a way 00:27:31.620 |
"to build this and bring this other technique to life." 00:27:39.920 |
the ions out of those liquids is you put the liquid 00:27:57.100 |
It's when the electric field pressure that's pulling on it 00:28:01.220 |
exactly balances the liquid's own restoring force, 00:28:06.940 |
So you have this balance and the liquid assumes a cone 00:28:14.840 |
the radius of curvature goes to zero right at the tip. 00:28:22.980 |
right at the tip of a sharp object would go to infinity 00:28:33.240 |
And instead of the electric field going to infinity 00:28:37.460 |
and maybe like generating a wormhole or something, 00:28:54.620 |
- You can do it with different types of liquids. 00:29:02.060 |
from their neighbors and if it has enough surface tension 00:29:06.540 |
so that you can build up a high enough electric field. 00:29:25.180 |
What's the size of this cone that generates the ions? 00:29:27.660 |
- So if you have a cone that's emitting pure ions, 00:29:31.300 |
the, I can't remember if it's the radius or diameter, 00:29:39.180 |
of that cone is something like 20 nanometers. 00:29:49.760 |
- Hence the only being able to do it recently. 00:29:52.980 |
- So this is all controlled by a computer, I guess. 00:30:04.020 |
- So the kind of main trick to making this work 00:30:20.260 |
It makes sure that we know where the ion beams are forming 00:30:25.280 |
to let them actually leave instead of hitting, right? 00:30:29.420 |
- But it also reduces the actual field we have to, 00:30:33.020 |
the voltage we have to apply to create that field 00:30:36.820 |
if we can already give the liquid a tip to form on. 00:30:41.460 |
And those tips we form have radii of curvature 00:30:45.260 |
on the order of probably like single microns. 00:30:50.940 |
So we are working at a little bit larger scale, 00:30:55.700 |
and the electric field can be focused at that tip, 00:30:57.980 |
then the tiny little cone can form on top of that. 00:31:08.740 |
whatever that happens. - From the bottom, yeah. 00:31:13.580 |
- And then liquid forms on top on that structure. 00:31:17.060 |
And then you somehow make it like super sharp, the liquid, 00:31:24.900 |
And then we've applied that field to get those ions 00:31:31.660 |
- That's awesome, and there's like a bunch of these? 00:31:39.620 |
that you have some nanometer cones on the table here. 00:31:59.460 |
And we're working on increasing that by a factor of four 00:32:12.340 |
- So that thing, 'cause I think I've seen pictures of you 00:32:14.460 |
with like a tiny thing in your hand, that must be the, 00:32:26.140 |
What's not shown in that picture is the propellant tank 00:32:31.140 |
so we can keep supplying more and more of the liquid 00:32:36.800 |
And then we also provide a power electronic system 00:32:40.620 |
that talks to the spacecraft and turns our device on and off. 00:33:04.900 |
So we're kind of like a subset of colloid, yes. 00:33:07.500 |
- What aspects of this, you said that it's been full 00:33:52.940 |
are the boundary between, you know, you have, 00:34:03.020 |
And if you're looking at the molecular scale, 00:34:19.220 |
and some of that energy is going into the bonds 00:34:21.760 |
and making it vibrate and doing weird things to it. 00:34:30.460 |
the beam has some behaviors as this beam of ions 00:34:34.740 |
and there's a big gap between what are those, 00:34:42.260 |
so that we can understand the beam performance of the engine. 00:34:45.780 |
- Is that a theory question or is it an engineering question? 00:34:50.140 |
We're, Axion is a startup and we're more in the business 00:34:54.380 |
of building and testing and observing and characterizing 00:34:59.380 |
and we're not really diving much into that theory right now. 00:35:03.060 |
- Okay, zooming out a little bit on the physics, 00:35:06.340 |
I apologize for the way too big of a question, 00:35:13.320 |
as more of sort of an engineering endeavor, right? 00:35:16.760 |
But from a perspective of physics in general, 00:35:19.760 |
science in general, or the side of engineering, 00:35:24.760 |
like beautiful and captivating and inspiring idea 00:35:35.640 |
I keep butting up against material science questions. 00:35:40.640 |
So I, over the past 10 years, I feel like every problem 00:35:51.300 |
if you dig deep enough, you end up in material science land, 00:36:05.760 |
when we have to move the propellant from the tank 00:36:12.840 |
and you're getting into wetting and surface energies. 00:36:17.920 |
- Yeah, I mean, if you look further, it's quantum too, 00:36:31.920 |
to material science, there's so much we don't understand 00:36:42.720 |
And then more broadly, I remember when I learned 00:36:47.640 |
that the same equation that describes flow over an airfoil 00:36:52.640 |
is used to price options, the Black-Scholes equation, 00:36:57.440 |
and I was like, and it's just a partial differential 00:37:00.880 |
equation, but that kind of connectedness of the universe, 00:37:05.880 |
I don't want to use options pricing and the universe 00:37:15.300 |
- Yeah, the patterns that mathematics reveals 00:37:17.840 |
seems to echo in a bunch of different places. 00:37:25.080 |
I think, through definitely living in a simulation, 00:37:30.400 |
- Is using, I don't know, is using shortcuts to program it. 00:37:34.400 |
Like, they didn't, they're just copying pieces 00:37:38.240 |
- Yeah, think of something new or just paste from over there. 00:37:42.800 |
- My conclusion from that was, I'm gonna go interview 00:37:56.040 |
what's an interesting difference between a propulsion 00:37:59.280 |
of a rocket from Earth, when you're standing on the ground, 00:38:03.000 |
to orbit, and then the kind of propulsion necessary 00:38:06.880 |
for once you get out to orbit or to deep space 00:38:12.800 |
- Yes, the reason you can't use an engine like mine 00:38:19.000 |
to get off the ground is, you know, the thrust it generates 00:38:32.200 |
that acceleration, you can still reach speeds 00:38:40.920 |
An interesting direction I think we need to go 00:38:46.600 |
as humans exploring space is the power supplies 00:38:51.800 |
for electric propulsion are limiting us in that, 00:38:55.980 |
you know, solar panels are really inefficient 00:38:58.920 |
and bulky and batteries, I don't know when anybody's 00:39:07.840 |
And nuclear power, we could have a lot more powerful 00:39:14.160 |
electric propulsion systems, so they would be 00:39:16.560 |
extremely fuel efficient, but more instantaneous thrust 00:39:20.080 |
to do more interesting missions if we could start 00:39:25.240 |
- So like something that's powered, nuclear powered, 00:39:32.680 |
- But is in a small enough container that could be launched? 00:39:36.400 |
- Yeah, so I mean, as a world, we do launch spacecraft 00:39:53.880 |
and so they're really only suitable for some of the much 00:39:59.840 |
So that's one issue, but then it's a whole like 00:40:06.280 |
- I heard, I think Elon described, or somebody, 00:40:09.760 |
but I think it was Elon that described the eVTOL, 00:40:13.240 |
like electrical vertical takeoff and landing vehicle. 00:40:17.600 |
So basically saying rockets, obviously Elon is interested 00:40:22.560 |
But he said that rockets can't, in the near term, 00:40:27.560 |
it doesn't make sense for them to be electrical. 00:40:30.320 |
What, do you see a world where the rockets that we use 00:40:39.460 |
- It's possible, you can produce the thrust levels you need, 00:40:43.640 |
but you need this, a much bigger power supply. 00:40:47.280 |
- Like nuclear. - I think that would be nuclear. 00:40:49.200 |
And the only way people have been able to launch them at all 00:40:52.400 |
is that they're in a 100 times redundancy safe mode 00:40:57.040 |
while they're being launched, and they're not turned on 00:41:00.640 |
So if you were to actually try to use it on launch, 00:41:03.760 |
I think a lot of people would still have an issue with that, 00:41:11.000 |
It seems like people, like everybody that works 00:41:18.320 |
- And yet we are, seem to be, I mean, based on the history, 00:41:31.200 |
about this particular power source is drastically inaccurate. 00:41:35.520 |
But that's a fascinating idea that we would use nuclear 00:41:39.600 |
as a source for our vehicles, and not just in outer space. 00:41:44.200 |
That's cool, I'm gonna have to look into that. 00:41:46.960 |
- Well, just last year, Trump eased up a little bit 00:41:50.920 |
on the regulations, and NASA, and hopefully others, 00:42:02.320 |
- Is that a hope for you, to explore different 00:42:04.760 |
energy sources that the entirety of the vehicle 00:42:07.720 |
uses something like, the entirety of the propulsion systems 00:42:13.040 |
for all aspects of the vehicle's life travel is the same, 00:42:18.040 |
or electric, is it possible for it to be the same? 00:42:20.400 |
Like, the colloid engine being used for everything? 00:42:24.280 |
- You could, and you would have to do it in the same way 00:42:29.520 |
where once you've used up an engine, or a stage, 00:42:34.520 |
you let it go, because there's really no point 00:42:37.540 |
So I wouldn't necessarily wanna use the same engine 00:42:41.120 |
for the whole thing, but the same technology, I think, 00:42:49.360 |
- The power source, that's really interesting. 00:42:52.480 |
and its current use cases, what's the use case 00:43:01.600 |
- Sure, so chemical engines are still used quite a bit 00:43:06.600 |
once you're in orbit, but that's also where you might 00:43:12.480 |
and what people do with them, and this includes 00:43:16.760 |
the ion engines, and Hoth thrusters, and our engine, 00:43:24.040 |
There's, even if your only goal was to just stay 00:43:29.320 |
in your orbit and not move for the life of your mission, 00:43:42.600 |
There are other perturbations that can throw you off a bit, 00:43:55.960 |
or perhaps lower their orbit to take a higher resolution 00:44:09.480 |
whether that's burning it up, but if you're in geo, 00:44:13.560 |
you want to push it higher into graveyard orbit. 00:44:19.360 |
- So low Earth orbit, and then geosynchronous orbit, 00:44:24.720 |
- Yeah, so those satellites are at like 40,000 kilometers, 00:44:29.360 |
so if they were to try to push their satellites back down 00:44:33.840 |
to burn up in the atmosphere, they would need, 00:44:40.600 |
So instead, they push them higher, where it'll take 00:44:46.840 |
So we're also cluttering that higher bit up as well, 00:44:50.240 |
but it's not as pressing as LEO, which is low Earth orbit, 00:44:54.160 |
where more of these commercial missions are going now. 00:44:57.000 |
- How hard is the collision avoidance problem there? 00:44:59.320 |
You said some debris and stuff, so how much propulsion 00:45:03.280 |
is needed, how much is the life of a satellite 00:45:05.840 |
just like, oh crap, trying to avoid little things 00:45:10.480 |
of the recent rules of thumb I heard was per year, 00:45:23.520 |
- Yeah, but it's not zero, and it takes a lot of planning 00:45:28.520 |
and people on the ground, and none of that really, 00:45:37.640 |
- Yeah, and then we have a lot of folks taking advantage 00:45:42.960 |
so they're launching them up without the ability 00:45:49.160 |
- And three times a year, that could become affordable 00:45:51.600 |
if it's like, if it gets hit, maybe it won't be damaged 00:45:57.680 |
- Affordable in that instead of launching one satellite, 00:46:05.080 |
but the problem is that one good-sized satellite 00:46:17.880 |
- So do you see a world where, like in your sense, 00:46:22.360 |
in your own work and just in the space industry in general, 00:46:25.760 |
do you see that people are moving towards bigger satellites 00:46:28.160 |
or smaller satellites, is there going to be a mix? 00:46:32.840 |
what does it mean for a satellite to be big and small? 00:46:37.120 |
- So big, the space industry prior to, I don't know, 00:46:42.120 |
1990, I guess the bulk of, the majority of satellites 00:47:01.840 |
by high school students, so that's very different, 00:47:07.440 |
Big satellites will, I think they're here to stay, 00:47:12.320 |
at least as far as I can see into the future, 00:47:15.640 |
for things like broadcasting, you want to be able 00:47:32.040 |
so if you have an aperture on your satellite, 00:47:36.640 |
that's different, so it's always gonna be the size 00:47:44.280 |
but if you need a resolution and you're at an altitude, 00:47:46.600 |
that kind of sets the size of your telescope. 00:47:49.160 |
But because of Moore's Law, we are able to do 00:48:00.320 |
and opening up access to space to more and more people. 00:48:11.880 |
the smallest common form factor can fit a softball inside. 00:48:21.360 |
But then there are some companies working on fractions 00:48:27.200 |
like IOT type applications, so it's very low, 00:48:41.280 |
- What do you do with a small satellite like that? 00:48:44.040 |
- You can track a ship going across the ocean, 00:48:48.360 |
like if you need to, if you're just pinging something, 00:48:58.800 |
- No, those are just letting fall out of the sky. 00:49:08.960 |
- Anything that's bigger than probably about 20 kilograms, 00:49:13.120 |
anything that needs to stay up for more than a year, 00:49:16.440 |
or anything somebody spent more than like 100K to build 00:49:46.000 |
and then it's kind of also applied as a blanket term 00:49:49.880 |
for anything that's not a school bus-sized satellite. 00:49:52.960 |
So we need to get our jargon straight in the industry. 00:49:56.360 |
- So what, do you see a possible future where, 00:50:00.040 |
you know, there's a few thousand satellites up there now, 00:50:04.520 |
do you see a future where there's like millions 00:50:13.000 |
which just seems like where the natural trajectory 00:50:26.360 |
one is imaging and the other is communication. 00:50:54.120 |
you know, you're limited by your transponders and so on. 00:50:58.680 |
So to serve more people, you actually need more satellites 00:51:05.000 |
our data consumption and things are going these days, 00:51:08.840 |
yeah, I can see tens of thousands of satellites. 00:51:15.360 |
- So I've recently watched this documentary on Netflix 00:51:38.840 |
- Probably some of the photos taken from the moon. 00:52:44.040 |
and then you see the moon, and then you see the moon. 00:53:17.160 |
I think when the Declaration of Independence was signed 00:53:31.040 |
- Oh, that's an interesting way to think of it. 00:53:46.960 |
- Yeah, because from a psychological perspective, 00:54:07.320 |
Like you're in a very tight and closed space with people 00:54:10.600 |
and it's just a really stressful environment. 00:54:13.440 |
How do you select the kind of people that will go? 00:54:17.560 |
And I just wanna show up when there's some rules. 00:54:26.080 |
I'm more worried about the psychological difficulties. 00:54:39.880 |
It's exciting to define the direction of a new, 00:54:42.680 |
like how often do we not just have a revolution 00:54:46.240 |
to redefine our government as smaller countries 00:55:02.600 |
we have now the technology that can enable pure democracy, 00:55:12.840 |
So we talked about two different forms of propulsion, 00:55:18.040 |
So the chemical based, that's doing pretty well. 00:55:26.960 |
that might sound like science fiction right now, 00:55:36.040 |
Or maybe even within the space of even just like, 00:55:43.960 |
is there like breakthroughs that might 10X the thing, 00:55:58.920 |
now a startup or a researcher comes up with some contraption 00:56:07.280 |
you know, we've been talking about conservation of momentum, 00:56:12.840 |
mass times velocity forward. - So there's usually mass. 00:56:16.120 |
And you have to, you know, carry that up with you 00:56:19.680 |
or find it on an asteroid or harvest it from somewhere 00:56:29.760 |
And I, you know, unless there are new types of physics, 00:56:34.760 |
I don't know how we do it, but it comes up often. 00:56:48.000 |
and the space between them is on the order of these, 00:56:50.960 |
like the wavelength of these ephemeral vacuum particles 00:56:54.680 |
that pop into and out of existence or something, 00:56:57.080 |
I may be confusing multiple types of propellant-less forces, 00:57:07.520 |
and could be something that we use eventually. 00:57:19.920 |
I think in March or something was called the M-Drive. 00:57:28.860 |
to generate microwaves into this resonant cavity 00:57:36.160 |
So they went straight from this really loose concept 00:57:42.920 |
And sure, on their thrust balance, they saw thrust 00:57:45.240 |
and different researchers built it and tested it 00:57:54.080 |
but what they said was that this inside the cavity, 00:58:01.920 |
but the speed of light changed inside the cavity. 00:58:17.360 |
built the device, tested it, got the same thrust, 00:58:19.800 |
then unhooked it, flipped it backwards and turned it on, 00:58:22.880 |
but got the same thrust in the same direction again. 00:58:25.360 |
And so they're like, "This is just an interaction 00:58:29.020 |
"some of the chamber or something like that." 00:58:37.240 |
if we could figure out how to do it, but I don't know. 00:58:51.840 |
- Yeah, so hook that up to the nuclear power supply. 00:58:58.160 |
But still in terms of speed, in terms of trying to, 00:59:01.960 |
so there's recently, already I think been debunked 00:59:25.680 |
it'd be kind of cool if there's life out there, alien life, 00:59:30.340 |
but it'd be really cool if we could fly out there and check. 00:59:37.020 |
and do you think about what kind of propulsion 00:59:39.360 |
would allow us to travel close to the speed of light, 00:59:42.160 |
or half the speed of light, all those kinds of things 00:59:44.640 |
that would allow us to get to Proxima Centauri 00:59:49.380 |
- You know, there's the project Breakthrough Starshot. 00:59:55.640 |
- That's looking at sending those tiny little chip sets. 01:00:04.160 |
and then while they're still relatively close to the Earth, 01:00:12.800 |
to accelerate them fast enough to get there in 20 years. 01:00:19.400 |
like it's crazy sounding, but it can actually pull it off. 01:00:24.120 |
because there are a lot of different aspects. 01:00:33.160 |
No part of that project is possible right now, 01:00:45.480 |
being like us inventing new propulsion systems entirely. 01:00:53.960 |
or are they completely out there in the impossible? 01:00:57.240 |
- Well, we're going to quickly leave the realm 01:01:15.240 |
and then we'd have to like harness a lot of suns to do that. 01:01:20.240 |
Or, you know, it's just that math doesn't quite work out, 01:01:30.560 |
I believe that, you know, we're missing something, 01:01:34.080 |
whether it's, you know, dark matter or other dimensions, 01:01:51.280 |
- Yeah, I feel like we're missing lots of things 01:02:01.800 |
- Yeah, right, well, I can speak with confidence 01:02:06.280 |
that we don't know what the hell we're doing. 01:02:14.800 |
that we've like got most of the picture down. 01:02:20.960 |
it feels like that we might not even be getting started 01:02:31.360 |
that would allow us to travel to space much, much faster. 01:02:38.280 |
that are much more commonplace that we can't explain, 01:02:48.440 |
just things like, oh, the electron was here with this energy 01:02:51.560 |
and now it's here with this energy and it's just tunneling. 01:02:55.680 |
But so I, you know, we're missing a lot of the picture. 01:02:59.920 |
to, you know, use your same question from earlier, 01:03:09.680 |
just like we've been talking about Axion Systems. 01:03:13.120 |
- It's a, would you say a space propulsion company? 01:03:25.740 |
From like a propulsion company from one person, 01:03:35.300 |
and actually, you know, take it to a successful product? 01:03:40.300 |
- Yeah, well, I think the early stage is quite, 01:03:48.540 |
when you work in rocket science, but straightforward. 01:03:51.900 |
When you're working on something, you know, sexy, 01:03:53.980 |
like an ion engine, it's more straightforward to raise money 01:04:04.660 |
is very important throughout, is a really exciting vision, 01:04:09.660 |
because when everything, you know, goes to crap, 01:04:13.320 |
you need that to get people getting themselves out of bed 01:04:16.620 |
in the morning and thinking of the higher purpose there. 01:04:33.840 |
and can bring in a lot of people that, you know, 01:04:49.400 |
It's like asking, like, how do you make friends? 01:04:57.880 |
Like how, in terms of the people you've connected with, 01:05:27.860 |
but also giving back to it as much as possible 01:05:48.880 |
having weird, uncomfortable conversations with people, 01:06:01.200 |
and then being able to call on them later because of that. 01:06:16.800 |
and, you know, we talk about aliens or things like that. 01:06:24.480 |
I think is really important, but a genuine one. 01:06:28.240 |
And let's see, other ways to build a rocket company, 01:06:41.520 |
And even more than we ever thought we'd need to 01:06:44.160 |
as far as what we needed to price our systems at. 01:06:53.040 |
they've been paying 20, 25 million in adjusted dollars 01:06:58.200 |
And seeing that now people are going to wanna pay 01:07:28.480 |
of basically forcing people to ask the question, 01:07:36.040 |
- This can lead to like big problems, I would say, 01:07:53.840 |
Like they've driven the cost of everything down so much 01:07:57.120 |
that there's literally no room for innovation, 01:08:10.520 |
one of the first successful new car companies 01:08:24.380 |
that people fall in love with the look and so on, 01:08:35.840 |
And that's a big problem for rocket space too, 01:08:41.220 |
you can't afford to innovate and to try out new things. 01:08:44.120 |
And that's definitely true with the ion engine, right? 01:08:54.660 |
Do you, by the way, see SpaceX as a competitor? 01:09:09.120 |
and I see them as one day, not too long from now, 01:09:18.700 |
I think you just have to do things in an unconventional way. 01:09:23.120 |
So bringing silicon MEMS manufacturing to propulsion, 01:09:34.920 |
They have one guy that's been making their ion engines 01:09:38.360 |
for 20 years, like bespoke pieces of jewelry. 01:09:41.800 |
So bringing things to what you're trying to innovate 01:09:46.800 |
to make them, in our case, more cost-effective 01:09:52.520 |
- I like the idea of somebody putting out ion engines 01:10:05.720 |
- But in general, just on the topic of SpaceX, 01:10:08.980 |
2020 has seen some difficult things for human civilization. 01:10:14.920 |
And it's been a lot of, first of all, it's an election year. 01:10:17.840 |
There's been a lot of drama and division about that. 01:10:25.880 |
There's been obviously a virus that's testing 01:10:37.000 |
which is SpaceX and NASA doing the first commercial 01:10:49.640 |
What is that, did you get to watch that launch? 01:11:06.680 |
We played it outside on a big screen at our place. 01:11:20.720 |
So it felt very casual, but maybe that was a good, 01:11:25.240 |
This is the era of commercial, crude missions. 01:11:34.000 |
What's his name, Chris Hadfield, playing guitar. 01:11:37.800 |
It's more, it's a different flavor to it of-- 01:12:00.400 |
It's so cool that it's such a commonplace thing 01:12:08.160 |
you don't even realize that astronauts are coming 01:12:10.600 |
and going all the time, you know, splashing back down. 01:12:20.960 |
I love, love, love that we finally have that capability 01:12:27.780 |
And it's just really exciting to see the private sector 01:12:44.140 |
for commercial things and getting that started. 01:12:55.840 |
- Do you like the kind of the model of competition 01:13:01.440 |
I guess that's how it works is like they're providing 01:13:20.800 |
is a little bit kind of straddles commercial and science. 01:13:25.800 |
So I think it's good, but I do in general feel like 01:13:37.160 |
And I think our pace is too slow there for my liking, 01:13:44.880 |
Okay, so did you have, I mean on the cost thing, 01:13:48.560 |
do you feel like NASA was a little too bureaucratic 01:13:52.600 |
in a sense, like too slow, too heavy cost-wise 01:13:57.600 |
in their effort, like when they were running things 01:14:20.600 |
we're just kind of at the very starting point 01:14:23.520 |
of space exploration and science and understanding. 01:14:28.520 |
So we should be spending more money there and not less. 01:14:32.360 |
And other countries are starting to spend more and more, 01:14:35.000 |
and I think we'll fall behind because of that. 01:14:44.600 |
but you have quite a bit of knowledge of just in general, 01:14:54.400 |
Is there advice that you can give to somebody, 01:15:10.100 |
- Yes, I would say, you know, like I mentioned earlier, 01:15:15.060 |
but make sure the vision is something that, you know, 01:15:21.580 |
and that you can rally other people around you to achieve. 01:15:26.580 |
'Cause I see a lot of folks that sort of cared 01:15:32.460 |
about something or saw a window of opportunity 01:15:35.180 |
to do something and, you know, startups are hard 01:15:38.660 |
and more often than not, just being opportunistic 01:15:44.980 |
all the really crappy things that are going to happen. 01:15:48.860 |
- So the vision just helps you psychologically 01:15:51.300 |
to carry through the hardships, for you and the team. 01:15:58.580 |
in getting into entrepreneurship, I would say, 01:16:01.220 |
you know, stay as close to like first principles 01:16:04.260 |
and fundamentals as you can for as long as you can. 01:16:08.840 |
Because really understanding the problems, you know, 01:16:12.040 |
if it's something scientific or hardware related, 01:16:15.080 |
or even if it's not, but having a deep understanding 01:16:18.560 |
of the problem and the customers and what people care about 01:16:22.680 |
and how to move something forward is more important 01:16:26.400 |
than taking all of the entrepreneurship classes in undergrad. 01:16:39.320 |
Like basically rethinking what you thought initially 01:16:46.520 |
that you can stick in the same direction for long enough? 01:16:50.560 |
- So our, you know, our guiding star hasn't changed at all. 01:16:59.320 |
within that we flip flop on so many things all the time. 01:17:16.720 |
Or do you stay head down and focus on, you know, 01:17:30.280 |
and there are a lot of factors, but that's a hard one. 01:17:33.600 |
And I think one other piece for the aspiring founder, 01:17:38.600 |
spending a lot of time and effort on the culture 01:17:56.560 |
or executives that companies purposefully carve out time 01:18:00.920 |
and acknowledge that, yes, this is going to take a lot 01:18:06.440 |
And then, but you see them after the fact trying to repair 01:18:09.440 |
the, you know, bro culture or whatever else is broken 01:18:16.400 |
but just to be aware of it from the beginning is important. 01:18:19.520 |
- Right, I guess it should be part of the vision 01:18:31.880 |
and then just slap an HR person onto trying to fix it. 01:18:35.120 |
Like it has to be thoughtful from the beginning. 01:18:40.920 |
Don't leave HR to HR people, but I'll just leave it at that. 01:18:55.360 |
- Yes, but so overlooked. - Culture is so important. 01:19:11.200 |
And I was like, no, that's not how that works. 01:19:18.280 |
So you have to do a lot of like introspection 01:19:20.920 |
and self work to not end up with a shitty culture. 01:19:27.640 |
but it's supposed to relationship with two people. 01:19:32.480 |
- And you communicate so much indirectly by who you are. 01:19:49.960 |
And when I see somebody in the context of work, especially, 01:19:54.600 |
when I see somebody who I know can do a much better job 01:20:01.360 |
I can lose my shit in a way that's like Steve Jobsian. 01:20:05.680 |
And you have to think about exactly the right way 01:20:09.960 |
to lose your shit if you're going to, or if at all. 01:20:23.240 |
if you're going to say like, I'm going to be the kind 01:20:25.240 |
of person that allows this and pays the cost of it, 01:20:27.960 |
but you can't just think it's not gonna have a cost. 01:20:30.800 |
- Yes, this was like the first thing I worked on 01:20:33.480 |
with my leadership coach was how not to just snap at people 01:20:46.640 |
That was the first step because it was gonna take longer 01:20:51.800 |
- And then she, I'm actually a lot better at it now. 01:20:58.880 |
think calm and take breaths before responding. 01:21:03.360 |
And there were all sorts of these little things we did. 01:21:13.200 |
Okay, so people love it when we talk about books. 01:21:22.400 |
that had an impact on your life and you might recommend? 01:21:30.640 |
- Yes, so I've been a voracious reader all my life. 01:21:50.440 |
So I think the first one that stands out to me is, 01:21:54.440 |
it's a novel, "Tender is the Night" by Fitzgerald. 01:22:04.040 |
So I'm not sure why it has like such an important place 01:22:32.600 |
is like the beginning of my adult reading life 01:22:39.060 |
And I do feel like they seem intimidating maybe. 01:22:45.340 |
And then I realized that they're all just like love stories. 01:23:09.700 |
It made like that whole world less intimidating to me 01:23:17.140 |
- People should have just approached the classics. 01:23:37.420 |
So he's a physicist, I think at Cambridge or Oxford. 01:23:48.740 |
he has a lot more like formalism and physics rigor around. 01:24:01.080 |
you know, like memes and DNA as ultimate meme, 01:24:10.580 |
the concept of infinity and objective beauty, 01:24:15.580 |
but he has a really strong grounding in physics. 01:24:22.620 |
- Yeah, so that was very mind opening to me to read that. 01:24:33.540 |
And then I've had some other really great connections 01:24:36.380 |
with people because I had read it and so had they. 01:24:39.940 |
- I like how you turn even that book into a love story. 01:24:50.620 |
- And okay, the third series is, it's just, it's Harry Potter. 01:24:59.740 |
I haven't read Harry Potter, I'm really sorry. 01:25:07.380 |
but just Harry Potter, just haven't gotten to it. 01:25:15.300 |
- I always feel like I have to justify my fandom. 01:25:21.420 |
The first three books came out when I was 10, 01:25:25.060 |
so I went along this journey with Harry age-wise. 01:25:28.980 |
And I read them all, like nine or 10 times, all seven books. 01:25:33.980 |
And I think anything that just keeps you reading 01:25:41.540 |
And I have lulls where I don't feel like reading anything, 01:26:05.700 |
the official story of the naming of the company 01:26:09.700 |
is that Axiom is like a concatenation of accelerate and ion, 01:26:14.700 |
but it actually came from Accio, the summoning charm. 01:26:18.860 |
And then we just added an N, and it was perfect. 01:26:33.460 |
out of his dorm room when he's battling a dragon 01:26:38.180 |
So he says the spell, and the broomstick comes to him. 01:27:03.860 |
So I'm actually the same way in terms of the habit of it. 01:27:12.620 |
But I have found myself struggling a little bit too, 01:27:16.620 |
because I listen to a lot of audio books now, 01:27:19.140 |
I've struggled to then switch back to reading seriously. 01:27:30.580 |
and have the time to actually focus on the reading, 01:27:38.980 |
But there's a huge value to just reading long form still. 01:27:42.700 |
- Yeah, and my husband was never that into fiction, 01:27:50.580 |
you learn a lot of empathy through reading fiction. 01:27:56.780 |
- Well, yeah, that's kind of what, yeah, yeah. 01:28:09.740 |
and it's nice 'cause it's like much more efficient. 01:28:28.780 |
we read so much, 'cause we see the places in our mind, 01:28:32.540 |
and I'm like, it's basically like we're watching a movie, 01:28:37.060 |
And she's like, I prefer watching Frozen with popcorn, 01:28:45.260 |
But yeah, there's some power to the imagination, right? 01:28:53.260 |
'cause it's the words and the world that's painted 01:29:02.580 |
it like mixes up in there in the way we build up that world 01:29:13.340 |
Yeah, that's different than watching a movie. 01:29:19.220 |
and then you're like, that's not at all how I imagined it. 01:29:23.660 |
- Well, we kind of brought this up in terms of 01:29:31.740 |
Let me ask the big, you're friends with Manolis, 01:29:59.820 |
without thinking of these existential questions. 01:30:08.380 |
Yeah, we've touched on a lot of the different pieces 01:30:23.260 |
the meaning isn't anymore just to be like a Petri dish 01:30:31.380 |
and where survival and reproduction are the main objectives. 01:30:36.380 |
And maybe it's because now we're able to answer these, 01:30:40.780 |
ask those questions, that's maybe the turning point. 01:30:52.380 |
And so if we're taken out by an asteroid or something, 01:30:57.180 |
I think that it will have been a meaningful endeavor 01:31:09.620 |
and the next civilization isn't starting over again. 01:31:17.260 |
That's, I always, yeah, I resonate with that, 01:31:27.660 |
sort of information and knowledge searchable. 01:31:31.700 |
I always loved, I was donated, as people should, 01:31:53.940 |
I'm sure there's a Wikipedia page about ion engines, 01:32:00.220 |
- Like it's, I don't know, that's incredible. 01:32:02.420 |
And obviously that can be preserved pretty efficiently, 01:32:07.780 |
the human civilization is all like burning up in flames 01:32:11.500 |
as there's this one USB drive slowly traveling out. 01:32:20.460 |
that one lonely spacecraft, it just means Wikipedia. 01:32:24.900 |
And then it will have been a civilization well spent. 01:32:31.700 |
- Through like one little discovery at a time 01:32:35.020 |
is one of, is a core aspect to the meaning of it all. 01:32:46.060 |
an explanation I'm happy with yet for how it's connected, 01:32:48.940 |
but evolving beyond just the survival piece too, 01:32:53.940 |
I think like we touched on the emotional aspect, 01:32:59.420 |
something in there about cooperation and, you know, love. 01:33:04.180 |
And so I, in my day to day, that just boils down to, 01:33:11.340 |
or improving the human condition and being kind. 01:33:19.900 |
So I'm pretty at peace with that as the meaning right now. 01:33:34.140 |
You work on such an exciting engineering field. 01:33:40.140 |
21st century will be remembered for is space exploration. 01:33:43.140 |
So this is super exciting space that you're working on. 01:33:58.420 |
Monk Pack Low Carb Snacks, Four Sigmatic Mushroom Coffee, 01:34:08.260 |
So the choice is snacks, caffeine, knowledge, 01:34:14.620 |
And if you wish, click the sponsor links below 01:34:16.860 |
to get a discount and to support this podcast. 01:34:20.480 |
And now let me leave you with some words from Carl Sagan. 01:34:24.260 |
All civilizations become either spacefaring or extinct. 01:34:28.820 |
Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.