back to index500K Subscriber Livestream! | All-In Podcast
00:00:00.000 |
going live. Hello everybody. Testing one, two. Testing one, two. Oh my god. Here we go. Sup, 00:00:10.240 |
Kevin. All right. All right. We are live. We're live. Hey to our audience. Live on YouTube. 00:00:18.720 |
Let me make sure. Turn off some. One moment while I turn off. Somebody's got their sound on. Okay. 00:00:29.840 |
Everybody's got their sound off. And we are live here on the YouTube. Welcome everybody. 00:00:35.680 |
Am I hearing somebody? No. Yeah, someone has their sound on. Chamath, is that you, Jason? 00:00:45.200 |
Chamath, you're live. Say hi. Hey, what's up everybody? 00:00:59.600 |
I am watching you guys here, and then I have it streamed here. 00:01:03.280 |
But I don't see it live. It's not live. It's actually delayed. It's definitely my other 00:01:09.200 |
computer. It's on a 20 second delay. Yes, we're on a 20 second delay. Oh, it's on a 20 second 00:01:13.360 |
delay. Is that your decision, Nick, for cancellation purposes? No. You can press 00:01:19.680 |
the button at any time. If you say something that's worth canceling. All right. Let me open 00:01:23.920 |
the show properly. Here we go. In three, two. All right, everybody. Welcome to the all in live 00:01:32.560 |
stream, celebrating 500,000 subscribers on the YouTube. Do us a favor. Give us a thumbs up, 00:01:41.840 |
and go ahead and tweet and share. We've got about 250 thumbs up. This is how you break 00:01:48.160 |
the algorithm. If you give a thumbs up, we're now at 400 thumbs up, 3,000 people watching. 00:01:53.040 |
We want to get the number of thumbs up to match the number of people watching live. 00:01:56.880 |
What does that do? It breaks the algorithm, and then it shares the show with everybody. 00:02:01.040 |
Go ahead and tweet it. We have taken questions for the last, I don't know, three days. Producer 00:02:06.800 |
Nick put the stream up early. With me today, of course, your chairman dictator, Chamath 00:02:14.560 |
Palihapitiya, and the rain man, yeah, David Sachs. At some point, the queen of quinoa, the prince of 00:02:23.840 |
panic attacks, the sultan of science will join us. For now, we're sitting here in the afterglow of 00:02:30.240 |
the Trump interview. Where is the quinoa button? Nobody knows. Nobody knows. We've sent a group out 00:02:37.360 |
for the queen of quinoa, and nobody knows where he is. Did you send somebody to Sweet Greens 00:02:44.960 |
or the organic vegan aisle at Whole Foods? Absolutely. It's starting already, man. You 00:02:52.720 |
show up late. You're going to get barbecued. All right. Let's kick us off here with a little 00:02:58.080 |
of the afterglow. Sachs, I understand that you got a phone call this weekend. 00:03:06.320 |
Fill the audience in. Oh, God, please don't start giving us tips. 100% do not do that. I see 00:03:11.280 |
somebody just gave a $10 tip. Do not give us any tips. Don't do that. What is that? That's real 00:03:16.640 |
money? Yeah. This is like a thing on YouTube, I guess. Only the people who are subscribers to the 00:03:22.480 |
channel can be in the chat, but you can also give what's called a super chat. Dan, Danthacrypto, 00:03:32.080 |
gave us a $10 super chat, and then that puts their little logo and their chat up on the top, 00:03:37.440 |
but I don't think we want you guys to send us money. Please don't do that. 00:03:40.800 |
Oh, top chat. Oh, plus 11 likes. Wow. Yeah. It's just a way for you to get a little bit more play, 00:03:47.840 |
but just please don't tip us. Stop. Don't. Sachs, fill us in. Oh, looks like Dave has entered. 00:03:55.920 |
Should we let Dave in or no? He's in. We'll admit him. He's in. Okay. Oh, no. Here we go. Stefano 00:04:01.680 |
now has given us a $5.99 pound. I guess he's from... Oh my God. Here he is. How are you doing 00:04:10.160 |
there, buddy? We are live on YouTube right now, by the way. We are? Yeah, we are. How do I see 00:04:16.000 |
what people are saying? Click to go to YouTube. You have to go to YouTube. You have to go to 00:04:21.520 |
YouTube and click on the link, but then you have to turn off the volume. Okay. I see. What's going 00:04:27.040 |
on? Well, apparently we have 1,600 thumbs up and 4,412 people watching live already. Everybody go 00:04:38.720 |
ahead and give us a thumbs up. Please do not do... Hank, I just told you guys, do not give us super 00:04:44.800 |
chats. Hank Lieber just gave us a $20 super chat. God damn it. Stop it. Atomics Woosh gave us a $10 00:04:52.240 |
super chat. Stop giving super chats. I'm telling you now. No, we're doing that to the Trump 00:04:56.000 |
campaign. All tips will go to... No. For the Humane Society of the United States. 00:05:02.320 |
Oh, look at this guy trying to score points. How about it goes towards my PC12? How about we do 00:05:07.520 |
that? Goes to PC12. All right, everybody. Are you reading questions, Jacob? 00:05:12.000 |
Oh God. Bill just gave us a $99 super chat. Stop giving money to us. 00:05:21.360 |
All right. So I hope this doesn't blow up in your lap, but Sax, give us what happened post the Trump 00:05:31.120 |
thing. You got a special phone call this weekend? Yeah. Yeah. The president called to say that he 00:05:36.960 |
enjoyed the experience and to thank us. And he even said, "Even thank your co-hosts who aren't 00:05:43.280 |
fans of mine." He wanted to say hi to you guys too. Oh, okay. Is he talking about me or talking 00:05:48.480 |
about Freebo? Well, I said to him that even... He said the two liberals. 00:05:53.680 |
Well, I said that even my co-hosts who aren't fans of his had to admit he did a good job. 00:06:02.080 |
And he said, "Well, tell them I said hi too." Oh, okay. So you're saying that 00:06:06.320 |
to us with the president. Got it. Okay. Thank you. Chamath, why did you say that Trump did do a good 00:06:11.360 |
job? He and I really like each other. In fact, I think of all of us, he called me last November. 00:06:20.320 |
That's how this whole thing started, if you remember. No, he called Chamath a friend. 00:06:27.200 |
And well, he said, "One of the other guys is a friend." And then he says, 00:06:32.160 |
"Say hi to the other two as well." Oh, all right. Well, thank you, President Trump. 00:06:36.480 |
Look, he liked the experience. And what he told me is that he's heard nothing but positive things. 00:06:42.960 |
Everyone he runs into or talks to says that they saw him on the pod. And I think it's very weighted 00:06:49.680 |
towards business people. So when he meets with business people, they're all like, "Oh, I just 00:06:53.920 |
saw you on the All In pod." So he said, "We have a big hit on our hands." He said, "We're like TV 00:07:01.920 |
stars now." That's incredible. Imagine if we didn't have to push sand uphill with some of these 00:07:07.440 |
folks. Trying to do the obvious things. I mean, it's unbelievable, you guys. Unbelievable. Easy 00:07:14.880 |
to admit in hindsight, no? Well, let's go around the horn here. We are now a couple of days post 00:07:21.120 |
the interview. I'm curious, Chamath, with a little bit of time between the interview, I'm sure a ton 00:07:27.360 |
of feedback, what do you think were the most important moments of that interview for the 00:07:34.880 |
audience, for Americans, and for the voting public? Well, I thought you saw somebody that was, 00:07:44.720 |
frankly, very presidential. I think he took all questions and internalized what he wanted to say, 00:07:53.360 |
and gave his version of the facts where we didn't interrupt, we didn't cajole, we didn't 00:08:01.040 |
pander. We asked the question, and then we stopped, and we allowed 00:08:07.360 |
the former president and someone running for current president to speak his mind, 00:08:13.600 |
and put it on the record in a way that people can listen to and go back to. I think that that's 00:08:18.880 |
really the most important thing. The second most important thing is that I really want this 00:08:25.600 |
platform to become a place that can convene these kinds of thoughtful conversations. It takes a lot 00:08:33.040 |
of investment, frankly, upfront. I think it takes a lot of effort. I'm just glad that we were able 00:08:41.120 |
to get it over the finish line. I feel like we really accomplished something important, 00:08:45.760 |
so I feel really good about the whole thing. Bruber, I'm sure you got some good feedback. 00:08:50.400 |
We've had a little bit of time, and I saw you were reading a lot of the press hits, 00:08:55.280 |
and we were talking about that on the back channel. Coming out of it, what do you think 00:08:59.280 |
the important moments were, and what do you think the public, what resonated with the public? 00:09:07.120 |
I don't know. I think people just like a long-form conversation with all these guys from 00:09:11.920 |
Vivek to Ian Phillips to RFK Jr. to Chris Christie having Trump on. I hope Biden will come on. The 00:09:20.560 |
long-form format, I think, gives everyone a much more authentic and genuine experience with the 00:09:28.480 |
person that they're thinking about or considering in the voting. All the wrappers around who this 00:09:33.840 |
person is can be suspended for a minute and maybe just hear a little bit from their mouth directly 00:09:38.720 |
about the issues and allow all the judgment to happen outside of that context. Let them speak, 00:09:46.320 |
and let's hear the voice of the person that is running. I'd love to do more of that. I think 00:09:50.960 |
it's super helpful to hear the long-format discussions. I've heard so many people, 00:09:55.200 |
by the way, reach out to me about Jared Kushner's interview on the show that they were so surprised 00:09:59.520 |
how different he came across relative to what they've read about him and heard about him. 00:10:03.760 |
He's never done much long-form until the show, and that made a real difference for people. I'm not 00:10:10.480 |
saying anything positive or negative one way or the other. I just think the format's great. I hope 00:10:14.320 |
we can do more of it. Then you can judge if you think they're full of shit or you think they're 00:10:18.240 |
legit. Sax, a lot of back and forth and people perhaps saying the Trump administration walked 00:10:26.320 |
back President Trump's comments on green cards for anybody with a college degree. He said, 00:10:35.840 |
"You staple it right to degree." There was a comment, I guess, from somebody on the staff, 00:10:40.400 |
"Hey, but these are going to be super vetted." I guess the cynical folks were saying, "Oh, 00:10:47.280 |
he walked it all back." I didn't see it as a full walk back. I saw it as, "Yeah, 00:10:51.280 |
probably be thoughtful." We don't want to let somebody hack the education system to get a green 00:10:56.800 |
card if they're in fact a terrorist or something. What did you think about that exchange? I think 00:11:01.040 |
that's the one that got covered the most in the media. Well, I think that what they were talking 00:11:06.880 |
about was adding some sort of vetting process because if you allow every single college or 00:11:12.320 |
university, even second or third rate ones to give unlimited green cards, which is basically 00:11:17.440 |
citizenship to anybody, they could turn into diploma mills that are used purely to circumvent 00:11:24.560 |
the normal citizenship rules. So I get that concern. There has to be some sort of vetting 00:11:29.120 |
process. There probably does need to be some sort of limit on the number. There probably does need 00:11:35.440 |
to be a real skills requirement. There probably does need to be a limit on which kind of institutions 00:11:41.280 |
have this power because you can't just give the entire immigration system over to our colleges 00:11:47.760 |
and universities to run. Yeah, maybe not University of Phoenix. Yeah. So look, I think there are 00:11:52.240 |
legitimate concerns about the ways in which a proposal like this could be abused. But 00:11:57.440 |
does that mean that everything Trump said was invalid? I don't think so. I think that Trump 00:12:03.360 |
expressed the right sentiments and the right values, which is we want the best and brightest 00:12:09.120 |
to be able to come over to the United States. We want to create the dream team here. We want to 00:12:14.400 |
have high skill immigrants. I mean, he said all the right things there. And I think it's just a 00:12:19.360 |
matter of figuring out how do you actually implement that policy. But I think he overall 00:12:24.480 |
helped himself on that question, especially in the tech community. Yeah, that was the most positive 00:12:29.920 |
feedback I got was, hey, thanks for asking that question and pushing him on it because it matters. 00:12:36.320 |
And I think there were a couple other questions I thought were really important. You know, 00:12:40.080 |
one of the one that you asked that turned out to be very important was the one on abortion. 00:12:43.760 |
And he was extremely explicit and clear that he would not support a national abortion ban. 00:12:49.520 |
Just yesterday, we got our first, the All in Pod became context for our first community note, 00:12:55.680 |
correcting the vice president and maybe the president too, because Kamala Harris was out 00:13:00.720 |
on X yesterday claiming that Trump would impose a national abortion ban if he were to win a second 00:13:07.440 |
term. I think it's really clear that he does not support that. And so people were taking that clip 00:13:16.240 |
from our show and putting it on there. I tweeted that clip. So I think that was very important. I 00:13:21.440 |
think it's another example of Trump helping himself with that interview. By the way, 00:13:25.920 |
he could have given the wrong answer too, you know. There are people who don't like that answer, 00:13:31.440 |
but we think it's the right answer. And I think it's the right answer for him electorally, 00:13:35.600 |
but he gave the right answer. Chances of him coming back, Sax? 00:13:39.360 |
I think they're pretty good. I'm pretty good. Just one other question I want to point out. So 00:13:44.400 |
I think the other piece of news, and I think it really should have been far bigger news, was 00:13:48.400 |
when I asked him about Ukraine, and he said that NATO expansion had played a major role in provoking 00:13:54.000 |
the war. Nigel Farage in the UK, who's running for prime minister on the Reform Party, came out the 00:14:01.200 |
very next day and said the exact same thing. And there was a huge firestorm in the UK press because 00:14:07.280 |
they're even more belligerent and bellicose over there. I mean, they are like spoiling for a war. 00:14:13.680 |
And there was an absolute pandemonium in the UK press over Farage saying that. But there's 00:14:20.400 |
abundant evidence that Farage is correct, and there's abundant evidence that Trump is correct. 00:14:25.680 |
And I think that the two of them saying this now, almost at the same time, I think that Trump saying 00:14:30.960 |
it first actually helped make it acceptable for Farage to say it. But I think both of them now 00:14:37.360 |
saying it after a lot of academics have said it, Jeffrey Sachs, John Mearsheimer. I think that, 00:14:45.360 |
just to finish the point, I think that it could now break open this debate over Ukraine and help 00:14:53.040 |
us to get to a peace solution. All right. I remain undecided. I would 00:14:57.360 |
like to ask Trump a couple more questions. I felt like the interview flowed really nicely, 00:15:01.360 |
and I appreciate President Trump coming on. I would love to have President Biden come on as 00:15:06.880 |
well. I don't know if that's going to happen. But let's get to your questions. A couple of 00:15:11.600 |
housekeeping notes here. We will be having another All In Meetup. You can go to more than 50 meetups 00:15:21.520 |
that are happening around the world on Thursday, July 11th. Go to allinpodcast.co/meetups. Allin 00:15:27.600 |
podcast.co/meetups to join or host an event. Nick will drop the links in the YouTube chat. 00:15:35.200 |
And as for the summit, quick housekeeping before we get to your questions. We are holding back a 00:15:43.760 |
couple of hundred tickets for scholarships. Am I correct, Friedberg? Anything you want to 00:15:47.120 |
let people know about the summit before we get to questions? 00:15:49.600 |
It's going to be amazing. It's going to be awesome. We have some really great speakers. We 00:15:54.880 |
want to try and announce everyone together, which we'll do in a couple of weeks. But we did just 00:15:59.120 |
open up 200 more tickets, which we were holding back. So the first batch all sold out. We have 00:16:05.760 |
200 left. If you go to allinpodcast.co or allinsummit, I actually don't know. 00:16:14.960 |
Summit.allinpodcast.co. You can submit an application. We are going to have- 00:16:21.040 |
Is the scholarship form up yet or we're going to put that up in a couple of weeks? 00:16:24.320 |
Okay. So we're going to put that up last minute, I guess. All right. Let's get to your questions, 00:16:30.240 |
everybody. Once again, give a thumbs up for your squad. Hit the subscribe button, 00:16:34.080 |
share it on your socials, and let's get started. Here's a great question for all the besties. 00:16:41.920 |
Dave's Dynamite asks, "Who is your dream guest for the show?" Who is your dream guest 00:16:48.960 |
for the show, Chamath Palihapitiya? Dream guest. 00:16:53.840 |
Oh, nice. Really nice. He would be extraordinary. Sax, your dream guest came on last week, 00:17:00.800 |
so I'll just ask you, who is your second dream guest to come on the pod? 00:17:03.920 |
Well, I'd like Biden to come on the pod and submit to the same type of questioning that Trump did. 00:17:09.440 |
Okay. At this moment in time, you say Biden. That was going to be my answer as well. 00:17:13.680 |
Freeberg, tell us which fictional science fiction character from Dune you would most 00:17:22.880 |
Great question, J. Cal, but my answer is Javier Millet. 00:17:30.400 |
I think Javier Millet represents the salvation of the West. I think that much of the West is headed 00:17:41.760 |
in a direction that he's, I think, described well, which he generally calls socialist policies 00:17:51.120 |
that negatively impact productivity and progress. Argentina learned that lesson hard and over a long 00:17:59.680 |
period of time, and he has kind of Superman-like gone around the world, flying seven times around 00:18:06.960 |
the earth in reverse time, and tried to revitalize that country and that economy. He's gotten foreign 00:18:14.400 |
dollars to go back into Argentina. He's run a government surplus. Unemployment is declining. 00:18:20.560 |
All the benefits of having free markets and having capitalism drive progress for everyone 00:18:26.160 |
seems to be playing out in a very short period of time in Argentina. I think that he kind of 00:18:31.520 |
represents the next phase of what could be a nasty decade or two ahead. 00:18:38.160 |
You know, now that I think about it that we're talking about world leaders, 00:18:41.040 |
MBS, Xi Jinping, should be incredible guests as well, huh, Chamath? 00:18:47.280 |
Yeah. I think there's a decent chance we'll get at least one of them. 00:18:53.360 |
All right. There you have it, folks. All right. Minesh Deva asks us, "How do you view AI 00:19:00.560 |
and how it will influence your kids' education?" Saks, I know you're super involved in this, 00:19:08.480 |
so what are your thoughts? You have three kids, by the way. 00:19:11.600 |
Well, I think the way that AI is going to influence education is that you could create 00:19:17.120 |
highly customized AI tutors. And so I think the revolution could be that every kid can now receive, 00:19:26.000 |
again, specialized, bespoke, custom education as opposed to being on an assembly line. 00:19:31.760 |
I mean, the way that we make education today is the same way that we make, you know, 00:19:36.560 |
Fords or McDonald's hamburgers, right? It's a big assembly line where you create a large batch 00:19:43.440 |
and you just move it forward. And some people need to go at a different pace. Some people 00:19:48.800 |
need to go slower. Some people need to go faster. Some people need to be on a completely different 00:19:54.240 |
type of conveyor belt. And you don't get any of that right now. And with AI, you have the ability 00:20:00.800 |
to cost-effectively deliver, again, a highly customized education experience for every 00:20:06.000 |
child. So I think that's where it's going, but it's going to take several years to play out. 00:20:11.520 |
Yeah. And this is referred to in the industry as adaptive learning, if you want to go 00:20:15.200 |
take a look at that. Chamath, your thoughts on AI and our kids' future? I'll expand the question a 00:20:20.080 |
bit, not just education, but how will it impact our children's career choices and lives generally? 00:20:27.520 |
Wow. I mean, I think that the nature of work is going to change really profoundly. 00:20:38.000 |
And I think that right now we have not equipped people to take advantage of it. So 00:20:46.160 |
the things that are known knowns, to use the Donald Rumsfeld quote, will be automated away. 00:20:53.040 |
Unknown knowns will also be automated away, because that's just about computational horsepower. 00:21:00.880 |
So any job that you did that's formulaic will get replaced probably by a robot. And any job 00:21:08.240 |
where you're making guesses, but the answer can be inferred or known, that job will go away as 00:21:13.920 |
well. So what's left over? I think it's judgment, where you have to express some error rate. And 00:21:21.440 |
that's acceptable, because the job requires you to judge something, and people like that. 00:21:25.440 |
Now the question is, how do you train kids to have judgment? And this is where I think we 00:21:30.560 |
have really let kids down. Where does judgment come from? It comes from experience. Where does 00:21:35.360 |
experience comes from? It only comes from failure. Where does failure come from? It comes from a 00:21:41.440 |
culture that celebrates resilience and says, go take these risks, go try some stuff. It's actually 00:21:48.160 |
really good that it didn't work. Let's talk about why. Instead, if you live in a world that's all 00:21:53.360 |
about coddling folks and microaggressions and window dressing, the kid won't be resilient. 00:22:00.640 |
The kids don't take risks. And then there's just a parade of terribles that leave these people 00:22:06.160 |
inexperienced and without judgment. And then I think the computers just run over these folks. 00:22:11.760 |
I have been giving this a lot of thought as well. And I have been having my daughters go to the 00:22:17.840 |
store on their own with money to buy stuff and doing all this kind of resilient, adventurous 00:22:24.320 |
activities with them, having them take risks, do dangerous things, or what maybe helicopter 00:22:29.680 |
parents would think are dangerous things. Because all that's going to be left, if you can get the 00:22:33.680 |
answer to any question, if everybody's a good painter, writer, photographer, designer, coder, 00:22:39.760 |
what's left? Taking risks, to your point, Shamath, and having grit, and maybe being a great 00:22:44.480 |
communicator and a great leader. Freeberg, are you thinking about this at all, AI's impact and 00:22:50.160 |
how it's impacting how you parent your children? I think it's just finding leverage. The transitions 00:23:02.800 |
that are possible with every technology frontier in human history have been ones of leverage where 00:23:09.200 |
the human role can scale up. And does it really matter if you know how to do good handwriting 00:23:15.200 |
when everyone's typing? Does it really matter if you know how to type if everyone's dictating? 00:23:20.480 |
And what can you really do that differentiates you at that new up level? And I think that's 00:23:27.280 |
really important to think about. I think a lot of people transition from a world of 00:23:32.480 |
labor to design, like you become architects and what the implications of that and how to 00:23:41.520 |
be successful in that environment is how I would think about re-education and how I would think 00:23:46.080 |
about motivating success. Fantastic. Okay. Ted Zhang asks, "Been watching the podcast for years 00:23:51.520 |
now. As a 23-year-old out of college, what are your pieces of advice for getting into bigger rooms 00:23:57.520 |
with more intelligent, smarter, well-connected, and able individual sacks?" You were part of the 00:24:02.960 |
PayPal mafia. You got yourself in the room, part of the Stanford community as well. What's your 00:24:09.840 |
best advice here for Ted who's looking to get into the room where it happens? 00:24:13.680 |
You're on mute, Sax. It's year four of post-pandemic, 00:24:20.000 |
kids still on mute. Okay. I think I would just generalize the advice 00:24:25.120 |
a little bit more and just say that the advantage that a young person has is that you have the 00:24:33.120 |
ability to be obsessed in a way that when you get older, it's harder to be. That as you get older, 00:24:39.360 |
you get more responsibilities, you have family, you want more breadth in your career. I think 00:24:44.480 |
when you're young, you have the ability just to focus on a particular area, be really obsessed 00:24:49.920 |
with it. It's a magical thing. It's a superpower that younger people have that it gets hard to 00:24:57.680 |
maintain that level of focus as you get older. I would lean into that. I would say find something 00:25:05.120 |
that you're excited enough about to be obsessed with. That's my generic career advice. 00:25:11.920 |
Chamath, you came out of nowhere to find yourself in the room where it happens at AOL, 00:25:22.720 |
room where it happens in Ventureland and at Facebook. You've done it a couple of times. 00:25:28.160 |
How does Ted get into the room where it happens? Well, I think Ted needs to 00:25:33.520 |
embrace the idea that his life is going to be made of chapters. I think that some chapters will work, 00:25:45.360 |
some chapters won't work. Some chapters will work incredibly well. Some chapters will be benign 00:25:52.880 |
in his life. You have to just take a shot as best as you can when the shot presents itself. 00:26:02.960 |
The reason why I say this is that if you view your life as a series of chapters, 00:26:09.840 |
the real problem is going to be everybody else because they're going to want to define you by 00:26:14.560 |
one chapter. That's because it allows them to compartmentalize their shitty life. 00:26:20.880 |
You have to be very careful in not allowing the expectations of other people to drag you down. 00:26:26.480 |
You should live eight or nine careers. You should try seven or eight or 10 or 15 different things in 00:26:35.760 |
your life. I've had many chapters from cashier at Burger King to entrepreneur to executive to 00:26:44.400 |
rank and file worker to investor, all of it. Not one is more important than the other. 00:26:51.280 |
The only people that will try to make you feel good or bad about any one chapter are the ones 00:26:57.040 |
that are just completely impotent and on the sidelines and they can't get out of their own 00:27:02.400 |
way. Just view your life as a series of chapters and just try your best. Don't be afraid to take 00:27:07.760 |
risk. You're saying also don't over-index on other people's opinion. I think that's something you and 00:27:12.000 |
I have talked about. You fell victim to that maybe a little bit in your career, you said? 00:27:16.080 |
Well, I just think people will try to pull you in a cul-de-sac because they themselves are frozen. 00:27:20.080 |
All right, Friedberg. Ignore the haters. Focus on your craft and your skills. 00:27:28.560 |
Friedberg, I know that you've been torn, 1989 era, reputation era, lover era. What's your 00:27:34.800 |
favorite Taylor Swift era at this point? I know you've gone back and forth. 00:27:38.800 |
What? I'm talking with you. I'm telling you the Taylor Swift era is as if you would know- 00:27:44.160 |
I don't know. Well, what is Taylor Swift's era? I don't know this stuff. 00:27:48.240 |
Reputation era. People are just obsessed with Taylor Swift. It's crazy how much people are 00:27:53.920 |
obsessed with Taylor Swift. Did you guys see that Travis 00:27:56.400 |
Kelsey went on stage and Wembley with her? I did see that. 00:28:00.240 |
I hope he didn't try to sing. No, but he did dance and it was pretty good, 00:28:03.440 |
I thought. That's got to be a lot of pressure to go there in front of 100,000 people and not 00:28:08.720 |
totally be two left feet. He did a good job, I thought. 00:28:11.120 |
No, but any advice? If you saw what he was wearing at the 00:28:15.280 |
Super Bowl, you know that he doesn't mind making a fool of himself. 00:28:18.160 |
She's a star. She's such a star. I would like to go to the Aeros store just to 00:28:24.880 |
soak it in, right? Just to check it out. Same. I wouldn't mind going to it either. 00:28:28.880 |
There's a 50/50 chance I go to it in Milan. Oh, let me know the date. 00:28:34.960 |
Doesn't she perform for like three or four hours? I mean, these things are- 00:28:38.320 |
That's the thing, it's the Aeros store. It's a whole thing. 00:28:40.800 |
That is a long performance. And I guess people don't get sick of it. 00:28:45.360 |
What's the total revenue on this thing? I would get sick of four hours. 00:28:47.760 |
It's like two billion, three billion, right? It's like an insane haul. 00:28:51.920 |
And she owns all the equity? It's like a good quarter. 00:28:59.040 |
InVideo went up that much since we started the live stream. 00:29:04.560 |
All right, your donations as you know today, if you do a super chat, all those donations go to 00:29:08.480 |
the Haktua Fund to help her find a new job. Thank you to everybody donating. 00:29:13.760 |
Is it true the Haktua lady got, or the girl got fired? 00:29:16.480 |
The woman? I don't know. This is just a rumor, but I mean, it's kind of taken over everything 00:29:23.120 |
No, I saw something. I don't know if it's true or not, but I saw online that apparently she 00:29:26.560 |
was a preschool teacher and they didn't like- I mean, I thought she was funny. 00:29:34.720 |
What is the big deal? Why are people so like uptight? 00:29:36.960 |
I don't know. Apparently some people think she might be a bad influence on their 00:29:40.480 |
preschool age kids. I don't buy it. Oh my God. No, I don't buy it. 00:29:43.040 |
She's an adult. It's an adult kind of goofy thing. Stop with this pandering. Look at this- 00:29:46.960 |
Okay, so here's the deal. My wife was really upset because I made it sound like I wasn't 00:29:52.080 |
happy with these two dogs. Here they are when they showed up off the street. 00:29:59.200 |
My IQ rating is going up. In Italian, they're called Bastardini. 00:30:03.680 |
Yeah, this is a Bastardini. This is a little Italian Bastardini. 00:30:06.800 |
No, that's a Bastardino. Two of them are Bastardini. 00:30:09.600 |
Oh, is that Bastardino Carpaccio? Is that what you had the other day? The Bastardino? 00:30:20.400 |
Oh, is there any more of this or no? Next question. 00:30:22.960 |
All right. Oh, I'll just give that person, Ted, to Sax's point about getting focused 00:30:28.960 |
on your career. When you do find the one thing you love, building your social media around that, 00:30:34.000 |
your entire online identity, whether you have a podcast yourself, or you make TikTok videos, 00:30:39.760 |
or your socials, blogs, Substack, Beehive, whatever your jam is, just really get focused 00:30:46.000 |
on one thing that you can excel in. I've given this advice multiple times, and doing spec work 00:30:50.480 |
and showing that you're doing work in the world independent of getting paid is a very powerful, 00:30:55.440 |
very powerful tool. We've seen that over and over again with the all-in creators, 00:30:59.120 |
so don't be afraid to just do work online and share it with the world around your passion. 00:31:05.120 |
Okay, let's take another question from the audience here. We got the 26-year-old. Nick, 00:31:13.520 |
you are also pulling in questions. Producer Nick is pulling in questions 00:31:16.640 |
from the audience in real time, correct? Yes. 00:31:19.920 |
Yes, Nick. Okay. Let's see. This is Dominic McDermott. "What experience and habit systems 00:31:28.800 |
from your childhood contributed to making you the skilled individuals you are today?" 00:31:33.280 |
Sax, anything from the rough and tumble childhood you had in the South of America? 00:31:40.400 |
He's not from the South. He is from the South. 00:31:45.440 |
That's not true. Yeah, I grew up in Tennessee. 00:31:48.400 |
I mean, well, we moved there when I was five years old. I mean, I was originally from South 00:31:51.360 |
Africa, and then my family moved to Tennessee when I was five. As I look back, I read a lot 00:31:56.640 |
when I was a kid, and I didn't really think of myself as an outlier in that department when I 00:32:02.000 |
was younger, but now I realize that I clearly was, and by today's standards, it would be a huge 00:32:08.320 |
outlier. Kids today, you just can't get them to read. There's just too many entertainment options 00:32:13.280 |
or too addicted to screens. It's actually kind of depressing. I read a lot when I was a kid. 00:32:22.240 |
Well, it's more like if I got interested in something, I would go down the rabbit hole 00:32:27.840 |
and just kind of read about it until I completely exhausted that. I remember, 00:32:32.240 |
I think in like 10th or 11th grade, I learned about Darwin, and I had never been exposed to 00:32:38.960 |
that before. And so I ended up reading, the teacher recommended Stephen Jay Gould and Richard 00:32:48.960 |
Dawkins as other authors that I might want to read if I was interested in the subject matter. 00:32:53.440 |
I ended up reading every single book by Richard Dawkins, every single book by Stephen Jay Gould, 00:32:58.960 |
not one of them, like all of them. And at the time, this is what I was interested in, so that's 00:33:04.480 |
why I read it. But looking back, that was clearly an outlier behavior. 00:33:08.800 |
Must have been tough for you when Tucker told you that all that Darwin stuff was 00:33:12.240 |
actually not true. It must have been tough. It must have been heartbreaking, in fact. 00:33:18.000 |
Chamath, anything from your childhood on the rough and tumble streets in Canada 00:33:26.320 |
Yeah, I mean, the Venn diagram is growing up on welfare and 00:33:31.920 |
getting beat mercilessly by my dad. It turned out to be incredible, incredibly valuable. 00:33:37.760 |
Okay, there you have it, folks. If you can get your parent to beat you, 00:33:44.240 |
Well, no, and be on welfare. I think those two- 00:33:46.640 |
And be on welfare, yeah. Freeberg, you led a charmed Nepo baby life. Tell us, 00:33:51.280 |
how did that inform all this great success you've had? 00:33:55.520 |
You pass? He does not want to talk about his childhood. You did that three hours this week 00:34:01.920 |
I left home early. I was 15 years old when I moved out of my home and went to college. 00:34:06.000 |
I was on the road, so I was eager to move on. 00:34:10.000 |
Okay, so the trauma is real. We'll leave it at that. You know what I learned? I've learned 00:34:15.040 |
you've got to run in a pack and your safety in numbers when you grow up in Brooklyn. 00:34:21.440 |
I have no fear of getting in any kind of an altercation or fight. I do think 00:34:30.240 |
like I did learn to have a thick skin and be tough growing up in a bar in Brooklyn. 00:34:37.440 |
I'll leave it at that. All right, let's take another question here. Let's see. 00:34:47.440 |
I mean, I can't follow it. They're too fast. And please, stop giving us superchats. 00:34:50.480 |
There's like live trolling. Yeah, live shout outs. It's super interesting. 00:34:55.680 |
Stop giving superchats. Stop giving money to us. 00:34:58.640 |
How much money have we collected so far? I can't even keep track of it. It's just 00:35:02.400 |
there's like a hundred people have given any amount of money. 00:35:04.800 |
Where does that money go, J. Cal? How are you going to grift that? 00:35:06.560 |
I'm trying to figure that out. I'm trying to figure out how to get that money into my- 00:35:10.400 |
Nick, how do you make sure J. Cal can't get his rubby paws on that money? 00:35:13.440 |
Nick, can you see how much money it's been total so far? 00:35:18.560 |
I just want to know, is it like half an arm of the sweater? Is it like most of the sweater? 00:35:24.320 |
Is it all the sweater? I just want to get a sense of it. 00:35:29.040 |
I think we're about a quarter way through it, but I see a couple of hundies in here. 00:35:32.720 |
Some people gave Brandon gave a 50, Bill gave a 99. 00:35:36.160 |
I mean, people are giving hundies and stuff like that. It's just absurd, but- 00:35:39.520 |
Well, for a thousand dollars, you can buy the sweater. 00:35:45.840 |
Wait, you want to prioritize superchat questions? 00:35:47.920 |
I mean the zipper. I mean the zipper. Sorry, not the sweater. 00:35:49.600 |
Yeah, sure. Yeah, absolutely. We're going to give all this money- 00:35:52.320 |
Yeah, get the superchat, guys, to say something. 00:35:56.080 |
Anybody who gives money will do their question. 00:35:59.600 |
$1. Frank Jimenez just gave a dollar trying to sneak in. 00:36:02.400 |
You can't sneak into the Velvet Rope for a dollar, bro. 00:36:07.520 |
I just gave the woman at Balthazar a $1 tip for a table. It's not how it works, kid. 00:36:19.520 |
$20 from Alex Thomas. How is the all in tequila business coming along? 00:36:23.280 |
And will you allow your fans and community to invest? 00:36:26.080 |
Wait. Hold on. Wait. I think that we should answer this on behalf of Sachs, 00:36:29.680 |
because Sachs has been doing this. And every now and then, it's like an Easter egg. 00:36:34.000 |
He texts into the group chat an update. I am not a tequila drinker, but I will say 00:36:38.800 |
it looks totally fucking amazing. I can't wait. And I don't drink tequila, and I cannot wait. 00:36:50.560 |
It's really incredible. I mean, what you have done is really incredible. 00:36:54.400 |
I saw the bottle and the packaging, and my pee pee got hard. I'm just leaving it at that. 00:36:58.800 |
It's incredible. I mean, where are you in this whole thing? 00:37:02.560 |
It's going to make more money than anything else we're going to do ever. 00:37:05.040 |
Is it manufacturable, Sachs? That design? Are you going to be like, "Hey, don't reveal too much." 00:37:10.880 |
Yes, it's good. It's good. It's good. It's happening. It's happening. Everything's on track. 00:37:15.680 |
It's one of the most beautiful designs I've ever seen. 00:37:18.080 |
We're hopefully going to unveil it at the All In Summit. 00:37:22.880 |
If you're at the Summit, you'll be able to pre-order it. 00:37:37.760 |
It tastes better than what is the thing that you said that's really, really good? 00:37:42.160 |
Well, we're taste testing against Class Visual Ultra, which is $3,000 a bottle or whatever. 00:37:56.400 |
Sachs, you just drink, you sip tequila with like an ice cube in it. Is that how you do it? 00:38:00.720 |
But you would never use this tequila to make like a margarita, right? 00:38:07.360 |
You'd want to use like a Blanco or something and a margarita. 00:38:15.200 |
So this has been aged in a barrel for five years. 00:38:25.040 |
I mean, some people will drink it neat, but that's way too hot in my opinion. 00:38:29.600 |
But you want to water down a little bit with some ice. 00:38:35.120 |
That's how Sachs and I, when we would hang at the battery, we'd do that. 00:38:39.040 |
Sachs came in into the whole mashugana of this enterprise. 00:38:46.080 |
Give me a quarter million dollars in this LLC and everybody shut the fuck up. 00:38:53.040 |
Everybody shut the fuck up and he brought it. 00:39:05.440 |
What is one thing that makes each of you most optimistic? 00:39:08.560 |
Can we allow, sorry, can we allow anybody that's given beyond a certain, like the 50 bucks, 00:39:21.600 |
Why, Nick, can you tell who's given at least 50 bucks or more? 00:39:24.160 |
If they've done that, which we don't want them to do, let them at least pre-order a 00:39:30.000 |
Yes, if you donate $50, we'll get your name and you'll get to pre-order a bottle. 00:39:35.360 |
Someone sent $100 and said, "This is for the zipper." 00:39:39.120 |
We have a very wealthy audience listening right now. 00:39:43.600 |
What is one thing that makes each of you most optimistic? 00:39:45.360 |
Nick, get his name so that we can give him a chance to- 00:39:49.040 |
What is one thing that makes each of you most optimistic and motivated about the rest of 00:39:56.400 |
I have my advisory board meeting for my legacy venture funds, and I was going to write this 00:40:05.760 |
It's hard actually to post a PDF in an ex post. 00:40:10.160 |
You can do it in Substack a lot easier, but this was the first quarter since Q1 of '22 00:40:18.720 |
where I have not had a meaningful drawdown in my portfolio. 00:40:24.800 |
So before I was more optimistic at the beginning of January, not knowing where valuations would 00:40:30.400 |
be, because a lot of these valuations in all these private companies are not obviously 00:40:35.360 |
They're set by third-party firms pricing new rounds or valuation firms that comp it to 00:40:40.640 |
the public markets, which are still depressed. 00:40:42.240 |
Saks tweeted about this today about, I think, GitLab, which is like a nutty valuation. 00:40:47.600 |
But despite all of that, that portfolio, that section of social capital has stabilized. 00:40:55.760 |
And that was really heartening for me to see that. 00:40:58.960 |
So I'm actually just excited that we're beginning the process of rebounding, which if you think 00:41:03.280 |
there's going to be a bunch of cuts in the back half of this year and into next year, 00:41:06.800 |
these next 18 months are going to be okay for the private markets. 00:41:13.440 |
We tend to price those things forward by that amount, if not more. 00:41:17.760 |
So I think that valuations are in a decent place, at least looking at the numbers. 00:41:22.400 |
Saks, anything you're looking forward to back half of the year? 00:41:27.840 |
Well, I think daddy's coming home to the White House. 00:41:33.760 |
But on a personal level, I guess I'm excited about working on Glue. 00:41:43.280 |
So we did a limited release behind a waitlist, and we're onboarding, 00:41:54.320 |
And then as we do that, we discover more needs and issues. 00:41:57.440 |
We knock off those feature requests, and then we take the next 40. 00:42:02.240 |
And so we're just doing this systematically until we can go GA, general availability, 00:42:06.880 |
where there'll be no waitlist, everyone can just sign up. 00:42:08.800 |
And we're kind of racing towards that date over the next two to three months. 00:42:13.840 |
Freeberg, anything that you're looking forward to? 00:42:19.520 |
I'm looking forward to the election being over so we can stop talking about politics, number one. 00:42:22.880 |
Number two is I'm building a business at O'Halo. 00:42:27.200 |
I am very excited every day with the progress we make. 00:42:32.960 |
We are signing deals with customers and partners. 00:42:36.720 |
Every milestone is exciting when you're building something new and novel. 00:42:40.480 |
And seeing it work in the market, it's pretty awesome. 00:42:43.440 |
So that to me is just like, you know, and there's such a long runway ahead. 00:42:49.760 |
And there's all these great problems to solve. 00:42:57.360 |
It'll be great for the election to get resolved. 00:43:00.800 |
I am super excited about, hmm, am I super excited about back after the year? 00:43:12.800 |
And I am super excited about some of the companies we're investing in. 00:43:18.160 |
Chamath, to your point, I think the bottoming out has occurred and we're starting to see 00:43:22.320 |
a lot of secondary offers come in for shares in some of our Fund 1, 2, and 3 companies, 00:43:32.240 |
Those are the ones that have more time to bake. 00:43:36.480 |
Now, some of them are lowball offers where people are offering half off the peak valuation, 00:43:42.080 |
And there was no bid for, what, 18 months on any of these companies or with the exception 00:43:52.240 |
I mean, so I think there's a huge gap right now between public and private valuations. 00:43:55.760 |
So I retweeted Jason Lemkin this morning, which Chamath referred to, 00:44:03.440 |
I mean, this is a company that's got $700 million of ARR. 00:44:06.320 |
It's valued at about $6.9 billion, so 10 times ARR. 00:44:10.000 |
Scoring 30% year over year, which means it's going to add over $200 million of ARR over 00:44:19.360 |
So basically, all of its existing customers are expanding about 30% every year, which 00:44:25.040 |
Expand that, show more, just for the rest of the stats. 00:44:28.960 |
If you click show more, you can see the rest of Jason Lemkin's tweet. 00:44:46.960 |
And then if you look at private markets, the last two companies that I talked to, which 00:44:52.320 |
are exciting companies, they're at 10 million of ARR, and they want billion dollar valuations. 00:45:01.040 |
And I don't know if they're going to get that. 00:45:02.400 |
Like, it may land at $800 or $900 million, but still, they want 80, 90, 100 times ARR 00:45:09.360 |
Now, they're growing a lot faster than 30% year over year, but are they really going 00:45:13.520 |
to be growing faster than 30% when they're at $700 million of scale, or even $100 million 00:45:21.760 |
So there's still a very big gap between public and private valuations. 00:45:25.520 |
Or the question is, which of these would you rather invest in? 00:45:29.040 |
I mean, a company that's totally de-risked, it's already public, it's fully liquid, and 00:45:38.080 |
I mean, buying a basket of pretty fast-growing SaaS companies at 10 times ARR seems like 00:45:46.160 |
a fairly attractive strategy to me right now. 00:45:48.000 |
We just had our first private equity firm come into one of our companies. 00:45:53.760 |
Actually, it's happened twice now in the last year. 00:45:57.120 |
Private equity kind of crossover funds, asking to buy a percentage of a company and kind 00:46:03.040 |
So I think that's a sign, perhaps, of a healthy market where you have many options of what 00:46:11.280 |
And some venture funds are choosing to maybe buy out companies and act more like private 00:46:16.000 |
equity because they see maybe a better opportunity. 00:46:19.840 |
But there's a lot of venture money out there still, huh, Zach? 00:46:24.160 |
People are looking to find that 10 million, 20 million ARR company and place a bet. 00:46:31.200 |
Let's take another question, Nick, from the audience. 00:46:33.040 |
And what's the record right now in terms of donations? 00:46:36.960 |
Because this is all going to go to charity, folks. 00:46:42.000 |
There are some coming in in different kinds of currencies that I have to convert manually. 00:46:52.000 |
Respectfully, how much for the Laura Piana chamath?" 00:46:55.040 |
No, this is a sweater that I got from the team at Louis Vuitton because they asked me 00:47:05.360 |
"At the level of money and power you all have as a group, how do you think about your 00:47:17.920 |
And I think that that is a really, really terrible way to live your life. 00:47:22.080 |
There have been in humanity about 100 billion people that have ever lived. 00:47:29.040 |
And if you took a sampling of a random thousand people and said, "Who do you remember from 00:47:37.280 |
the overlap of the same five or 10 people would be almost universal, which is to say 00:47:43.200 |
that 100 billion minus five people are not going to be remembered. 00:47:47.920 |
And so this goal of trying to be remembered, I'm not sure accomplishes much. 00:47:52.960 |
I think what's important is just to make sure that you don't have a lot of regrets and that 00:47:58.800 |
when you have the chance to try something fun or try something memorable or challenging 00:48:04.320 |
because you thought you would get something out of it, you did it, as opposed to, "How 00:48:08.960 |
will people judge me for this and how will I be written?" 00:48:17.760 |
There's a decent chance your grandkids may not even know you. 00:48:28.640 |
I just think this whole legacy thing is nuts. 00:48:35.520 |
Let's get those thumbs ups to 4,000 and let's break the algorithm. 00:48:40.560 |
Freebird, are you thinking about your legacy much these days? 00:48:51.920 |
It seems like it's not something you should be preoccupied with too much. 00:48:57.280 |
I mean, look, you want your kids to be happy. 00:49:12.640 |
Other people's judgment of you, like some article or book or your Wikipedia link? 00:49:21.120 |
Maybe you'd think you might project into older people. 00:49:25.920 |
I think about having great experiences and optimizing great experiences with my family, 00:49:31.840 |
my friends, and then business partners who I kind of optimize for family and friends. 00:49:36.960 |
And I had two great experiences this past week. 00:49:39.600 |
I went to Disney on Saturday with our friend Jason Chang and went to Club 33, 00:49:47.760 |
which was like a wonderful, fun experience to go in that private club. 00:49:50.960 |
And then I pinched myself because I could afford to have a VIP tour guide. 00:49:56.640 |
where you just get taken around the park and you jump on the rides. 00:50:07.840 |
I think it must have been what hell looks like. 00:50:16.080 |
And I thought it was just the most horrendous, horrible experience ever. 00:50:25.360 |
Another question from our amazing audience, your donations. 00:50:28.240 |
Anybody who donates here is going to have their donation given to charity. 00:50:38.720 |
Do you see an opportunity for the intersection of blockchains and AI? 00:50:52.720 |
Forget the currencies for a second, but what is a blockchain? 00:50:59.840 |
It's an incredibly accurate, highly distributed state machine. 00:51:03.600 |
That could be valuable if you wanted to do highly distributed inference. 00:51:10.240 |
So if these AI applications get to scale, I think one of the most important problems 00:51:18.400 |
Because if all those models run on AWS and somehow you can take down AWS, 00:51:22.320 |
now all of a sudden your app isn't available. 00:51:27.360 |
It's also a problem for countries that may want to use these clouds. 00:51:30.480 |
So then all of a sudden you say, "Well, I need to have it distributed." 00:51:34.160 |
Well, then if you can only distribute it across three hyperscalers, 00:51:39.200 |
So then you go to a place which is like it needs to be highly distributed. 00:51:42.640 |
But if you run inference in a highly distributed compute environment, 00:51:45.920 |
then all of a sudden you need to have an extremely accurate state machine 00:51:50.080 |
that can then thread all these things back together. 00:51:56.160 |
but there hasn't been any real attempts to figure that out yet. 00:51:58.640 |
But if there was such a project that did that, 00:52:02.240 |
now then it creates a bunch of other issues around like NVIDIA lock-in and stuff, 00:52:08.720 |
You'd need to be able to extract it so it could run on CPUs in a really powerful way 00:52:16.240 |
Well, one of the problems that crypto solves with respect to AI 00:52:20.880 |
is helping you know what's authentic or real versus what's fake. 00:52:26.320 |
Because with AI, you're not going to know what's real anymore. 00:52:29.920 |
I mean, AI can create a perfect forgery of everything, 00:52:37.440 |
I think crypto will be the way that AIs pay each other. 00:52:40.880 |
Clearly, they're going to pay each other in some sort of analog way. 00:52:43.280 |
Balaji has some really interesting thoughts about this. 00:52:46.240 |
I'd refer you to some of his tweets about it. 00:52:49.680 |
Yeah, I'm just hoping we see a great regulatory environment 00:52:54.160 |
for these crypto projects in the coming years. 00:52:57.920 |
That might be one of Trump's most brilliant maneuvers 00:53:01.600 |
in this past election cycle is to pick up the mantle of regulation. 00:53:05.600 |
My gosh, Nick, how many bottles of tequila have we just pre-sold here? 00:53:19.200 |
Well, I mean, I'm sorry to tell people this, but it's going to be very limited. 00:53:22.560 |
I think we're only going to produce about 1,000 cases, which is 6,000 bottles. 00:53:26.080 |
8,000 tops, I would say, because there's only so much 00:53:30.000 |
five-year-old juice that we can get for the drink, because normally tequila aren't aged. 00:53:38.480 |
Well, these folks are taking the time to show up, and they're donating. 00:53:42.800 |
But we're going to get first shot attendees at the Olin Summit. 00:53:48.880 |
And the people who just donated $50 or more, I guess. 00:53:54.560 |
We've got time for maybe two more questions here. 00:54:01.440 |
What is one book you would recommend that transformed how you think $100? 00:54:05.280 |
I'm going to search for meaning, Victor Frank. 00:54:30.640 |
I did like Atlas Shrugged, but I don't know if it transformed my thinking. 00:54:46.160 |
Freeberg, you got a book that transformed your life? 00:54:48.560 |
I put it in the Summit gift bag, I think, last year. 00:54:53.760 |
Zen Mind, Beginner's Mind by Suzuki, which is basically a compilation of the Dharma lectures 00:55:00.720 |
by the founder of the SF Zen Buddhism Institute. 00:55:03.600 |
All the lectures are all about sitting Zen, like Buddhist meditation, sitting Zen meditation, 00:55:12.080 |
but the thinking is so broadly applicable around how the human brain has a tendency 00:55:18.400 |
to always seek things, this continuing drive of desire. 00:55:22.640 |
And if you can let go of that drive of desire, much of your perception of reality changes. 00:55:27.360 |
And the second is dualistic thinking, where you think about everything as one or the other. 00:55:31.280 |
Everything in the universe, everything that we think about is in or out, this or good or bad. 00:55:37.280 |
And I think, for me, changing one's point of view on those two aspects of how the human 00:55:44.000 |
brain kind of natively associates the universe within which we live can have a huge impact 00:55:56.960 |
And you can read it a million times and always get something new out of it. 00:56:10.080 |
On Rogan's podcast, Neil deGrasse Tyson made predictions for 2050. 00:56:14.000 |
Examples, the human space program will fully transition to a space industry 00:56:17.280 |
supported not by tax dollars, but by tourism. 00:56:19.840 |
We develop a perfect antiviral serum and cure cancer. 00:56:22.320 |
Do you have any predictions for 2050 plus tequila? 00:56:32.160 |
Artificial superintelligence will be here long before that. 00:56:34.960 |
And then the problems and the questions it answers are going to be mind-blowing. 00:56:40.800 |
We might figure out the origins of the universe by that time. 00:56:48.240 |
I mean, there are questions that humans have a really hard time with. 00:57:12.560 |
Your $200 would have been worth 18 million if you put it in the S&P. 00:57:17.840 |
When you get out that far, you're basically just talking about science fiction, right? 00:57:22.160 |
Well, I mean, if we went back to 2000, Sax, if you said we'd have flying cars in 2000, 00:57:29.520 |
I mean, Archer and Joby are running sorties right now. 00:57:33.120 |
Yeah, but that's not what people meant when they said that. 00:57:35.120 |
There's like prototypes, but this hasn't transformed society. 00:57:41.360 |
They said we'd have self-driving cars and Waymo just opened up. 00:57:48.880 |
Like a robot that works around the house that does kind of the 80% of the human toil. 00:58:04.800 |
I mean more like it does the gardening, it does the dishes, it does the vacuum cleaning. 00:58:25.440 |
There are two key technologies that I think are long range that I've talked a lot about. 00:58:29.440 |
We had a conversation last year on the summit about fusion, fusion-generated power, which 00:58:36.480 |
that's kind of a timeframe where we should be kind of, if it works right at production scale, 00:58:44.720 |
And the other one is aging reversal, which there's a tremendous amount of research. 00:58:50.240 |
And we will be talking about at the All In Summit this year. 00:58:52.480 |
We're going to have an amazing conversation about the research that's gone on in reversing 00:58:56.720 |
aging, which I think we've talked about in the past is fundamentally driven. 00:58:59.840 |
It looks like from epigenetic errors in cells, so not DNA errors like was originally theorized, 00:59:06.240 |
but like the molecules that sit on top of the DNA that turn genes on and off in a cell. 00:59:11.600 |
And when that becomes unbalanced, the cells start to dysfunction, organs dysfunction. 00:59:17.920 |
And there's now a set of systems and molecules that we can apply to cells to reverse that and 00:59:22.080 |
actually reset the molecules that sit on the DNA. 00:59:26.480 |
And there are many billions of dollars that have gone into this research. 00:59:31.520 |
And what I've heard in non-public discussions is that this is like looking like it could 00:59:44.080 |
One of the things that I'll also just say on this is like, I think that there's this 00:59:48.400 |
intersection between AI and biology that unlocks like a really like incredible paradigm for 00:59:55.440 |
how humans can create things and make things on earth where you could say, I want a molecule 01:00:02.320 |
or protein that will go in and find this specific cancer cell for me. 01:00:07.680 |
And then you can actually render that protein, apply it to a patient, and it can immediately 01:00:12.720 |
wipe out that particular target where the AI resolves to the molecule that's needed 01:00:17.360 |
or the genetic structure that's needed to make, let's say, a plant that can grow on 01:00:21.520 |
I want to make a plant that can grow on Mars. 01:00:26.000 |
You produce it, you ship it to Mars, and you start growing plants in the really weird 01:00:31.040 |
So I think that by 2050, we have these kind of intersections that enable some of that 01:00:37.200 |
Hey, give us that McHale question if you can. 01:00:58.480 |
You can do a super chat where you give money, and your chat gets highlighted in the top 01:01:06.560 |
So we could, for the next one, turn on memberships, and people will pay $1 a month, $10 a month 01:01:19.520 |
What are some of the ethical dilemmas that you faced in your careers, and how have you 01:01:24.880 |
What about some ethical dilemmas you've seen from the startups you've invested in? 01:01:28.880 |
Yeah, I've had maybe two of these situations happen where people were, let's say, I'll 01:01:37.840 |
just make this a composite, but over 400 investments we've done. 01:01:42.080 |
We had maybe two instances where people were doing things that would be illegal, and we 01:01:50.800 |
had to, in both cases, I had to sit with the founders and said, listen, I can't be on the 01:01:57.040 |
board of this company if you're going to do this kind of things. 01:01:58.960 |
And in both cases, I gave them the option to return our money at par, last valuation. 01:02:03.840 |
And yeah, I resigned from the board and took our money back. 01:02:10.240 |
You got to be very careful because somebody does something where they're not upfront or 01:02:17.200 |
completely honest, and they sell shares in a company. 01:02:21.040 |
You got to be really vigilant, especially if you found out about it and you're on the 01:02:24.660 |
Somebody asked whether Chamath Hawke-- how do you pronounce this? 01:02:36.640 |
Chamath has Hawke Tua'd some of my wine right on the damn floor. 01:02:43.040 |
If he doesn't think the wine that's been served is good enough, he'll just dump it on the 01:02:48.080 |
He took the glass and he poured it out on the floor. 01:02:50.640 |
It was a nice aged burgundy, too, if I remember. 01:03:03.540 |
There's actually a question about wine, Chamath, if you want to answer it. 01:03:08.000 |
John Knab asked, and this was a pre-submitted one, "I'd like to know what Old World and 01:03:12.320 |
New World wines are each of the besties favorites?" 01:03:16.800 |
--how do you know what a good glass of wine is or something like that? 01:03:20.960 |
Well, I really think it comes down to your own personal taste. 01:03:25.760 |
Merlot gets shat upon a lot by fake intellectuals, but it creates some of the best wines possible. 01:03:34.480 |
As an example, if you were to go into the Old World, there's something you've probably 01:03:44.800 |
But if you go to Italian old-growth Merlot, like Masetto, that's probably $1,000 to $3,000. 01:03:52.960 |
So enormously, just an order of magnitude cheaper. 01:03:56.480 |
It is incredible and pound-for-pound better than Petrus. 01:04:00.000 |
And if you put it against it in a blind tasting, you would prefer the Masetto over the Petrus. 01:04:07.280 |
I think it means that there is a lot of people that just want to demonstrate they can spend 01:04:10.480 |
money, and that's dumb, because I think there's just a lot of incredible wine that's much 01:04:15.440 |
Then if you go all the way down to like, for example, last summer, I gave these guys some 01:04:20.560 |
of this, but the most incredible white burgundy I have found is Charles Boussaint, 80 euros 01:04:32.160 |
It's running circles around Cocherie, which are thousands of dollars. 01:04:35.600 |
So you've got to try a lot, and you've got to go with what tastes good, and who cares 01:04:42.320 |
By the way, I will pre-reveal this, but I think I told you guys this, but Joshua and 01:04:46.560 |
I, so my sommelier and I, we just filed for a liquor license. 01:04:49.600 |
And so when we get it, we will be allowed to buy wine wholesale. 01:04:55.760 |
So we are becoming, because honestly, the wine is so marked up, and we were like, well, 01:05:02.800 |
if we have our own liquor license, and we have our own storefront, so we got a storefront, 01:05:06.320 |
we're going to be able to buy and import wine at wholesale prices. 01:05:10.080 |
What's your favorite five to $10 bottle, Chema? 01:05:13.520 |
Like when you go to Trader Joe's, what do you really like to explore? 01:05:19.440 |
No, but you have a, you already gave an 80 euro bottle, so it's a $100 bottle. 01:05:26.240 |
If you can find a Charles Busson white burgundy, it's incredible. 01:05:29.840 |
Pallmeyer is a couple of hundred bucks, consistently excellent. 01:05:32.720 |
In the new world, if you want to spend sort of between that five to 700, Colgan, Sloan, 01:05:43.600 |
A hundred acres is probably my favorite Napa wine, and it's not the most expensive. 01:05:47.280 |
I mean, it's expensive to be sure, but it's not in the Harlan category or Screaming Eagle. 01:05:53.440 |
And Screaming Eagle's like two or three thousand. 01:05:56.080 |
A hundred acres is like 500 bucks, and I think it's the best Napa wine. 01:05:59.520 |
And I like Colgan too, and I like Schrader as well. 01:06:03.120 |
There's a guy named Sean Thackeray, who is a kind of, he passed away two years ago, I think. 01:06:13.920 |
He made all these crazy California wines, but he had this theory that it wasn't just about 01:06:20.560 |
representing the varietal or representing the particular plot, but he really wanted 01:06:26.560 |
to create a story and an essence from the wine. 01:06:30.720 |
He created a custom label, and he would go out and he would source grapes, and he would 01:06:34.080 |
test all the grapes at different vineyards, and he would do like a multivariety wine that 01:06:41.520 |
And then he threw out all of the conventional French wisdom on how do you make good wine, 01:06:46.480 |
and he went back to all of these Franciscan monks books, and he translated them from 01:06:50.480 |
Latin on how do you make amazing wine, where you like leave the grapes out and let them 01:06:55.120 |
breathe for a night and live under the moon after you harvest them. 01:07:01.440 |
One is champagne, and if you have a chance to buy an incredibly good bottle of single 01:07:07.440 |
grape Chardonnay champagne, I encourage you all to do it. 01:07:11.120 |
Don't buy the blends, but if you can get a bottle of Salon or get a bottle of Paul Roger, 01:07:18.400 |
these things are unbelievable, and the Franciscans used to make it. 01:07:23.520 |
The methods are different, because in the French model, it's like you crush as soon 01:07:26.480 |
as you harvest, and like a lot of the guys you mentioned earlier, they'll harvest at 01:07:30.240 |
three in the morning so that the berries are still cool when they start to crush. 01:07:33.440 |
But Thackeray and the Franciscans, they'll like let the grapes start to ferment naturally 01:07:36.880 |
out in the sun in the open before they even do the crush. 01:07:43.360 |
His label is called Pleiades, and he's got like an amazing kind of... 01:07:49.840 |
But he's gone now, so all this stuff you got to buy. 01:07:54.320 |
Well, I'll second just on the cheaper, say under $100 bottles of wine, I'll second Jamal's 01:08:02.160 |
These are white wines that come from the burgundy region. 01:08:06.000 |
If you drink Napa whites, they have a lot of sugar in them, so they either taste like 01:08:16.640 |
When you start drinking white burgundies, they're just much more complex. 01:08:20.880 |
They have a lot of minerality from that region. 01:08:26.800 |
They're more floral sometimes and just very crisp and refreshing, especially for the summer. 01:08:32.640 |
That's a really nice bottle of wine to drink on a hot summer day. 01:08:37.360 |
Let's do this next live chat when we're outdoors and we could have some just nice chilled wine. 01:08:44.720 |
This has been an amazing hour plus with the besties for hitting 500,000 subs. 01:08:51.520 |
8,000 of you live, thousands of thumbs up, thousands of dollars in donations to charity. 01:08:58.480 |
I think that's going to be the J-Cal PC24 Pilatus Fund. 01:09:06.560 |
When are we going to do the next one of these? 01:09:09.440 |
We're going to do a million subscriber party in Vegas. 01:09:14.400 |
We're going to do a million subscriber party in Vegas. 01:09:18.800 |
But between then and now, maybe we'll announce another one of these. 01:09:21.520 |
Maybe every 100,000 or 200,000 subs, we'll do this again. 01:09:36.160 |
For your chairman, dictator, Chamath Palihapitiya. 01:09:59.280 |
I have a chief commercial officer role that I'm spending a lot of time on right now. 01:10:10.480 |
Why don't you make like a cantaloupe size russet potato for steakhouses? 01:10:14.960 |
I think people would go wild for that, you know? 01:10:18.880 |
Put it in the middle of the table, slice it open. 01:10:26.720 |
You could also make French fries that are the size of like a lightsaber. 01:10:46.880 |
Is our audience still there or have they left? 01:10:50.160 |
They're winding down because we're winding down. 01:10:51.680 |
They are winding down, but it's still 6,700 people in the live. 01:11:11.360 |
And if you, yeah, because we'll just make sure that you get on the list.