back to indexChris Voss: FBI Hostage Negotiator | Lex Fridman Podcast #364
Chapters
0:0 Introduction
0:59 Negotiation
6:50 Reason vs Emotion
21:45 How to listen
30:35 Negotiation with terrorists
32:43 Brittney Griner
34:21 Putin and Zelenskyy
41:41 Donald Trump
48:52 When to walk away
53:6 Israel and Palestine
60:45 Al-Qaeda
66:15 Three voices of negotiation
74:40 Strategic umbrage
77:46 Mirroring
80:57 Labeling
88:24 Exhaustion
90:38 The word "fair"
93:34 Closing the deal
95:32 Manipulation and lying
97:26 Conversation vs Negotiation
108:45 The 7-38-55 Rule
112:45 Chatbots
122:7 War
123:39 Advice for young people
00:00:11.800 |
feel like they've gotten everything they can. 00:00:26.000 |
We're talking about feelings, kidnappers' feelings. 00:00:34.320 |
The following is a conversation with Chris Voss, 00:01:04.860 |
- The toughest part is if it looks bad from the beginning. 00:01:21.500 |
what makes you think that this is going to be difficult? 00:01:26.080 |
- If they wanna make it look like they're negotiating, 00:01:30.840 |
al-Qaeda in Iraq was executing people on camera 00:01:38.440 |
And they wanted to make it look like they were negotiating. 00:01:45.280 |
Iraqi women out of the jails in Iraq in 72 hours, 00:01:50.360 |
That was one of the demands in one of the cases 00:01:54.960 |
Now, first of all, even if we'd have been willing, 00:01:59.120 |
it wouldn't have been able to happen in 72 hours. 00:02:02.080 |
So is it an impossible ask from the beginning? 00:02:26.680 |
you're working with family members, you're coaching people. 00:02:32.540 |
or if they're not directly in touch with family members, 00:02:34.580 |
the other thing that Al-Qaeda was doing at that time was, 00:02:42.180 |
but then not leaving their phone number, if you will. 00:02:49.380 |
They're asking you to do something you can't do, 00:02:52.100 |
they're not giving you a way to talk to them. 00:02:56.420 |
and discuss with the family how you're gonna approach things. 00:03:02.000 |
So a bunch of cases like that in that timeframe. 00:03:15.000 |
And there were a number of people that were killed 00:03:16.440 |
in that timeframe before the tide finally got turned, 00:03:19.240 |
and it was hard dealing with the families at the time. 00:03:32.400 |
Their channel of choice tells you an awful lot. 00:03:39.860 |
then that means there's people they're trying to appeal to. 00:04:03.320 |
Is there, how do you enumerate, not enumerate, 00:04:09.160 |
- Yeah, that's like beauty seen in the eye of the beholder. 00:04:13.300 |
So that was the first lesson on any hostage negotiation, 00:04:22.420 |
One of the things, especially in your conversation 00:04:29.080 |
another thing I really liked about that conversation, 00:04:36.160 |
And you released it on my birthday, I appreciate that. 00:04:54.440 |
collaboration in your company with the bad guys. 00:04:59.600 |
Now, the nice thing about kidnapping for ransom, 00:05:18.320 |
So, and again, I'll keep drawing business analogies. 00:05:29.480 |
and then there's what the employer can pay you. 00:05:31.840 |
Now, maybe the market price of the job market's 150 grand. 00:05:36.960 |
Employer can pay you 120, but it's a great job. 00:05:44.680 |
Like I'd work minimum wage to follow him around. 00:05:57.700 |
These are all things that the bad guys are good, 00:06:19.320 |
feel like they've gotten everything they can. 00:06:33.520 |
We're talking about feelings, kidnappers' feelings. 00:06:53.040 |
I just talked yesterday with a guy named Sam Harris. 00:07:11.600 |
- Empathy is somewhere between useless and erroneous 00:07:29.760 |
And then secondly, how do people actually make up their minds? 00:07:36.080 |
I'm gonna go with how people make up their minds. 00:07:37.860 |
You make up your mind based on what you care about, period. 00:07:49.880 |
You see some guy swimming out off the coast of the ocean 00:08:12.380 |
You're gonna leave a bad taste in your mouth, 00:08:15.980 |
So you're making up your mind on every circumstance 00:08:28.700 |
which it was never meant to be sympathy, ever. 00:08:37.120 |
I keep getting etymology and entomology mixed up. 00:08:39.740 |
Etymology being, right, where words came from, 00:09:21.260 |
and I first started collaborating with Harvard, 00:09:29.940 |
Still the best chapter on empathy I've ever read anywhere. 00:09:37.020 |
Bob was the head of the program on negotiation. 00:09:39.360 |
He's also agreed to be interviewed for a documentary 00:09:43.420 |
about me and my company that hasn't been released yet, 00:09:46.780 |
but it should be released sometime this year. 00:09:57.180 |
"Not agreeing or even liking the other side." 00:10:02.180 |
Don't even gotta like 'em, don't gotta agree with 'em. 00:10:04.720 |
Just straight understanding where they're coming from 00:10:16.740 |
And if sympathy or compassion or agreement are not included, 00:10:24.260 |
when I was getting ready to sit down and talk to you, 00:10:47.960 |
I saw an article that was very dismissive of Russia 00:10:51.400 |
that said, "Russia's basically Europe's gas station." 00:11:05.300 |
is via an industry that the entire world is trying to quit. 00:11:10.140 |
The whole world is trying to get out of fossil fuels. 00:11:19.160 |
the people that you've taken responsibility for 00:11:21.140 |
are gonna die alone in the cold and the dark. 00:11:28.860 |
with where he's coming from or any of his means. 00:11:31.260 |
But how does this guy see things in his distorted world? 00:11:35.860 |
You're never gonna get through to somebody like that 00:11:38.780 |
in a conversation unless you can demonstrate to them 00:11:54.420 |
So terrorist case, New York City, civilian court. 00:11:59.420 |
Terrorism does not have to be tried in military tribunals. 00:12:18.520 |
The guy that was on trial had the credentials 00:12:28.760 |
We'd sit down with them, Arab Muslims, Egyptians, mostly. 00:12:39.580 |
of American governments for the last 200 years 00:12:57.460 |
But I'd showed them that I wasn't afraid of their beliefs. 00:13:10.860 |
And I never had to say, here's why you're wrong. 00:13:15.940 |
Every single one of them that testified, that's empathy. 00:13:18.380 |
Not agreeing with where the other side is coming from. 00:13:24.060 |
But common vernacular is it's sympathy and it's compassion. 00:13:29.820 |
- And there's a gray area, maybe you can comment on it, 00:13:35.980 |
helps make that empathy more effective in the conversation. 00:13:48.180 |
doesn't quite form a strong of a bond with the other person. 00:14:05.140 |
about your actual beliefs, at least in that moment. 00:14:07.980 |
Even if that signaling is not as deep as it sounds. 00:14:12.980 |
But at first, basically patting the person on the back 00:14:56.860 |
and I try to act like I'm not on the opposite side 00:15:24.140 |
As a human being, I wanna see you survive and thrive, 00:15:33.980 |
I got more than enough reason for saying that. 00:15:46.780 |
I'm not interested in you taking it out of my hide. 00:16:03.940 |
or how much you get paid or how much you make off this car. 00:16:17.400 |
That you don't need me to act like I'm on your side 00:16:37.440 |
There is some Zoom level at which you do want to say 00:16:50.520 |
Not we Slavic people, we Europeans, but we human beings. 00:16:59.620 |
Several years ago, and his name has evidently been mud now, 00:17:13.240 |
I have absolutely no idea if any of it's true. 00:17:18.040 |
he was always a gentleman to me and was very generous. 00:17:20.740 |
When he'd get into conversations with people, 00:17:24.800 |
he'd always say, "Let's look at 10 years from now 00:17:28.440 |
"where we could both be in a phenomenal place together. 00:17:38.460 |
- Yeah, and then I saw him do it in simulations. 00:17:42.460 |
I was teaching at USC, and we were at a function together, 00:17:46.780 |
and a gentleman at the time told me who he was, 00:17:53.460 |
"Hey, how about coming and talking to my class at USC?" 00:18:03.860 |
And he said, "What do you want me to talk about?" 00:18:05.780 |
And I said, "Look, dude, just from your success here, 00:18:10.980 |
"Either I'm gonna agree or I'm gonna disagree 00:18:20.740 |
Every single time, he'd go to pick a point in the future 00:18:23.860 |
where we're both happy 10 years, 20 years from now, 00:18:49.380 |
let's pick a point in the future that we're both good with, 00:19:00.380 |
people make their decisions based on a vision of the future. 00:19:05.400 |
I think there's a Hindu temple in the United States 00:19:13.700 |
that the Hindu temples were in India 1,000 years ago, 00:19:22.900 |
for a place in paradise, a vision of the future. 00:19:25.300 |
What you will go through today if the future portends 00:19:30.220 |
what you want, you'll go through incredible things today. 00:19:35.900 |
- So you have to try to paint a vision of the future 00:19:40.020 |
that the person you're negotiating with will like. 00:19:44.980 |
- Let's find out what their vision of the future is, 00:19:51.340 |
- You know, if we can collaborate together, at all, 00:19:56.540 |
to help you to that point, and integrity's my currency, 00:20:01.120 |
I'm not gonna lie to you, which gets back before 00:20:04.580 |
did I lie to you about whether or not I'm on your side. 00:20:11.020 |
That's not gonna stop us from being together in the future. 00:20:19.860 |
- So going back to world leaders, for example, 00:20:23.460 |
whether it's Vladimir Zelensky or Vladimir Putin, 00:20:39.020 |
or are you displaying understanding from the beginning? 00:20:41.340 |
I don't think it stops you from being adversarial. 00:20:44.180 |
There was a thing about Mnuchin's chapter in his book, 00:20:49.180 |
The Tension Between Empathy and Assertiveness. 00:21:08.180 |
He's drawing people in, because his entire chapter 00:21:11.840 |
is that empathy puts you in a position to assert, 00:21:19.820 |
And that's why, again, I think it was written for lawyers. 00:21:29.480 |
in terms of sequencing and priority of listening, 00:21:46.140 |
How do you truly listen to another human being? 00:21:56.160 |
And as soon as you start trying to anticipate 00:21:59.580 |
where somebody's going, you're dialed in more. 00:22:05.940 |
either you're congratulating yourself for being right, 00:22:09.260 |
or when suddenly they say something that surprises you, 00:22:23.460 |
you know, we named the book "Tactical Empathy." 00:22:37.260 |
First, it was experienced as hostage negotiators, 00:22:48.220 |
Heavy, heavy, heavy, heavy on the neuroscience. 00:22:50.580 |
And so then emotional intelligence calibrated 00:23:00.000 |
And I'll talk about it from a layman's perspective, 00:23:02.300 |
and to even say we is an arrogant thing, you know, 00:23:08.300 |
I'm scooping up as much of it as I can as a layman. 00:23:17.460 |
People will argue with you as to what the wiring is 00:23:24.460 |
and all of that, but the brain is basically 75% negative. 00:23:29.460 |
As a layman, I make that contention, number one. 00:23:31.820 |
Number two, the best way to deactivate negativity 00:23:37.100 |
And I could say, look, I don't want you to be offended 00:23:58.240 |
and you're gonna be like, oh, that wasn't that bad. 00:24:04.620 |
by calling out the negativity, deactivate it, 00:24:06.940 |
and then a number of neuroscience experiments 00:24:11.500 |
by calling out negativity, deactivating the negativity. 00:24:18.980 |
that this is, ahead of time, that this is going to hurt. 00:24:29.300 |
and then having a person that it was being inflicted upon, 00:24:47.440 |
where anger arose in the guests I spoke with. 00:24:56.220 |
That's like leaning into it and going into the depths, 00:25:01.740 |
'cause that's going to the depths of some emotional, 00:25:09.700 |
that I'm not sure I wanna explore that iceberg 00:25:32.180 |
Negotiation ultimately is looking for closure and resolution. 00:25:36.500 |
I think general conversations like this is more exploring. 00:25:45.900 |
like if I had to put a goal for this conversation, 00:25:53.640 |
So that gives you freedom to not call out the elephant 00:25:59.500 |
You could be like, all right, let's go to the next room, 00:26:13.260 |
You used two words, and closure was one of 'em. 00:26:32.820 |
It's why we say yes, I say yes is nothing without how. 00:26:36.840 |
And yes, at its very best, is only temporary aspiration. 00:26:56.820 |
before I came in today. - You're doing pretty good. 00:27:34.420 |
and this is just, you meet people that are interesting. 00:27:42.760 |
is just exploring the mind of an interesting person. 00:27:47.740 |
- Sometimes there's a homeless person outside of 7-Eleven. 00:28:00.900 |
As I've been leafing through the different choices 00:28:03.500 |
of the podcast, the young lady that OnlyFans, 00:28:08.300 |
and the sex workers, that's a fascinating human being. 00:28:12.340 |
Like, I wanna know what makes that person tech at 1,000%. 00:28:16.180 |
- The fascinating thing about her is her worldview 00:28:21.380 |
and that's always interesting to talk to a person 00:28:23.420 |
who just is happy, flourishing, but sees the world 00:28:28.380 |
and the set of values she has is completely different. 00:28:43.380 |
the word I was looking for before was abundant. 00:28:57.060 |
- So then, if I'm happy, optimistic, abundant, 00:28:59.980 |
I got a worldview, and then you run into somebody 00:29:03.740 |
and they're happy, and they think it's abundant too. 00:29:06.940 |
And you're like, what is going on in your head? 00:29:12.380 |
- And the pie grows, which is useful for kinda negotiation 00:29:20.260 |
there's a kinda feeling like we're both gonna win here. 00:29:24.860 |
We live in a world where both people can win. 00:29:26.940 |
- Yeah, and in point of fact, that's the case. 00:29:29.140 |
Although a lot of people want us to think otherwise, 00:29:46.660 |
The optimistic guy got eaten by a saber-toothed tiger. 00:30:00.820 |
'Cause the difference between survival and success mindset, 00:30:08.180 |
So where do we switch, or how do we stay switched 00:30:15.280 |
- Yeah, somewhere we stopped being eaten by saber-toothed 00:30:19.180 |
tigers and started building bridges and buildings 00:30:25.140 |
We started to experience, we got enough data back 00:30:27.820 |
to collaborate, and we stopped listening to our amygdala 00:30:52.820 |
Presidential Directive, NSPD, at the time it was NSPD 12, 00:30:57.100 |
which basically said, "We won't make concessions. 00:31:08.380 |
and I had been intimately involved with the signing, 00:31:17.420 |
and he didn't inherit it from somebody else, he signed it. 00:31:21.900 |
And I'm in Colombia, and the number two in the embassy says, 00:31:26.900 |
"Last night on TV, the President of the United States said 00:31:32.540 |
"Are you calling a President of the United States a liar?" 00:31:36.220 |
And I remember thinking, like, all right, so, 00:31:42.140 |
and that's not on the document that he signed. 00:31:44.740 |
So I said, look, I'm familiar with what he's signed, 00:31:54.220 |
but that's always been the soundbite that everybody likes. 00:32:01.780 |
we negotiate with them all the time, number one. 00:32:03.780 |
And number two, like, every President has made 00:32:11.340 |
Like, Obama released five high-level Taliban leaders 00:32:18.100 |
from Guantanamo in exchange for an AWOL soldier 00:32:27.140 |
And that's putting terrorists back on the battlefield. 00:32:33.260 |
by putting 5,000 terrorists back on the battlefield. 00:32:36.700 |
So we haven't had a President that has stuck to that 00:32:40.620 |
since people started throwing that out as a soundbite. 00:32:45.100 |
Forget terrorists, but the global negotiation, 00:32:55.980 |
Is there a way to do that negotiation successfully? 00:33:04.020 |
and that there should be no second-class citizens ever. 00:33:16.260 |
your government should not abandon you ever, ever. 00:33:26.780 |
They were desperate to make a deal at a bad time. 00:33:30.820 |
than prisoner swaps earlier and turned them down. 00:33:44.620 |
Now governments wanna make those kind of deals, 00:33:49.660 |
'cause that was basically a political negotiation. 00:33:52.260 |
You're putting 5,000 Taliban back on a battlefield. 00:33:54.940 |
That ain't negotiating with another government. 00:33:57.500 |
You're putting five of them back on a battlefield. 00:33:59.340 |
That ain't negotiating with another government 00:34:00.900 |
that's directly contradicting this thing that you claimed, 00:34:04.860 |
Now was the Brittany Griner thing a bad deal? 00:34:09.300 |
If I was in the middle of it, it would have been better, 00:34:13.180 |
- Yeah, there's some technical aspects of that negotiation. 00:34:15.860 |
What do you think is the value, just to linger on it, 00:34:29.060 |
It's, for me personally, given my life stories, 00:34:37.460 |
and I'm returning back to that area of the world 00:34:42.180 |
- Volodymyr Zelensky said he doesn't want to talk 00:34:48.660 |
Do you think they could get in a room together 00:34:52.820 |
and say you were there in a room with Putin and Zelensky, 00:34:57.820 |
and Biden is sitting in the back drinking a cocktail, 00:35:09.820 |
to find peace in this very tense geopolitical conflict? 00:35:22.940 |
Now, who's getting them together, under what circumstances, 00:35:25.900 |
and how many times are you getting them together? 00:35:44.020 |
and then the documentary continues through Trump, 00:35:55.860 |
and these guys do not want to talk to each other, 00:36:01.460 |
the mere thought of being on the same planet with Arafat 00:36:10.780 |
and they started seeing each other as human beings, 00:36:15.180 |
that there was enough room on the planet for 'em, 00:37:01.420 |
- Yeah, heard and understood, that's powerful. 00:37:22.060 |
so the book's really a collaboration between me, 00:37:41.700 |
"is you're triggering a subtle epiphany in somebody." 00:38:16.340 |
it says oxytocin inclines people to tell the truth. 00:38:22.900 |
All right, so you feel deeply understood by me, 00:38:44.900 |
and I got you feeling more satisfied so you want less. 00:38:55.620 |
and great negotiators, there's walls built up, 00:39:06.780 |
You should work towards that kind of empathy. 00:39:16.060 |
and really talking, whether privately or publicly, 00:39:32.300 |
of this kind of conversation, you forget there's cameras. 00:40:05.500 |
That's like a deep, deep intimacy that happens. 00:40:09.800 |
'cause we get asked this in a Black Swan group all the time, 00:40:23.100 |
Like you and I, I see you from the waist up right now. 00:40:38.760 |
- Usually, that's usually where I go, but anyway. 00:40:43.900 |
- I'm glad we're both at ridiculous sentences. 00:40:55.500 |
that we don't have the instrumentation to define yet. 00:41:00.980 |
I think there's an actual energetic feel that changes. 00:41:11.740 |
- Yeah, I would love to figure out what that is. 00:41:22.700 |
Zoom and Microsoft, everybody was trying to figure out 00:41:26.900 |
I'm trying to understand how to replicate that 00:41:28.940 |
because it sure is not fun to travel across the world 00:41:31.700 |
just to talk to Snowden or Putin or Zelensky. 00:41:35.180 |
I'd love to do it over Zoom, but it's not the same. 00:41:50.040 |
Well, first you would give him a that's right, probably. 00:42:08.940 |
'Cause if you can't, first, that's right especially, 00:42:11.300 |
like if you can't appreciate what that really means, 00:42:16.420 |
- So those two words are really important to you. 00:42:29.200 |
Like it's dead on, it hit the target, it's a bullseye. 00:42:37.180 |
especially between my son and I a lot, like what happens? 00:42:48.140 |
Donald Trump is the poster child of what it means 00:42:51.900 |
because Donald Trump's an address in an audience, 00:43:14.260 |
And it's what people say when they're bought in 00:43:24.820 |
that Donald Trump's followers are bonded to him, 00:43:34.340 |
Because when he first started to run for president, 00:43:41.420 |
Nobody in the Republican Party is gonna like him. 00:43:51.020 |
They're not gonna like Trump 'cause he's from New York 00:43:55.780 |
and he's a son of a wealthy real estate mogul 00:44:10.500 |
are never gonna accept this guy based on common ground. 00:44:19.580 |
Do you think Donald Trump is a good negotiator? 00:44:28.340 |
all right, so I started following Donald Trump 00:44:32.260 |
I'm a last century guy, he's a last century guy. 00:44:38.460 |
was a friend of mine, a close friend of mine, 00:44:41.700 |
and in 1998, I threw a fundraiser in his apartment 00:44:57.300 |
And I've watched his track record in negotiation history, 00:45:02.220 |
which is exactly his track record with North Korea. 00:45:08.540 |
What was the deal that he made with North Korea? 00:45:10.940 |
See, your answer is the same as everybody else's. 00:45:16.140 |
Well, I remember it started out with a lot of fanfare, 00:45:26.400 |
so marketing-minded presentation of the message. 00:45:30.320 |
If he doesn't cut the deal in a short period, 00:45:37.520 |
because there was so much fanfare at the beginning. 00:45:40.120 |
Now, at the beginning, him even opening that dialogue 00:45:50.280 |
of the United States that is willing to sit down 00:45:55.680 |
When every other president, all their advisors are saying, 00:46:01.620 |
"You cannot dignify him by responding to him directly." 00:46:08.060 |
inherits a can of worms that has been simmering 00:46:16.860 |
where nobody else was capable of opening a dialogue, 00:46:32.860 |
If you're a narcissist, does that help you or hurt you? 00:46:37.500 |
- Is there a more popular term these days than narcissist? 00:46:47.180 |
- Yeah, it's lost meaning for you a little bit? 00:46:49.220 |
- Yeah, and first of all, most psychological terms, 00:47:00.220 |
'cause psychology, at best, is a soft science. 00:47:10.620 |
or neuroscience, the guys that I'm impressed with these days 00:47:23.620 |
Do you get 'em all together and they all agree? 00:47:26.860 |
But also, the interesting thing about psychology 00:47:28.660 |
is each individual person is way more complicated 00:47:32.300 |
than the category psychology tries to create. 00:47:36.820 |
The moment you classify somebody as a narcissist 00:47:39.500 |
or depressed or bipolar or insane in any kind of way, 00:47:44.460 |
for some reason, you give yourself a convenient excuse 00:47:48.060 |
not to see them as a complicated human being, 00:48:11.300 |
that, again, wants to be understood and heard. 00:48:15.080 |
And that's the only way you can have that conversation. 00:48:39.380 |
But you said, we were talking about terrorists 00:48:49.100 |
- There's where Alice in Wonderland right now. 00:48:51.740 |
Is there something about walking away of not negotiating? 00:48:59.940 |
- All right, so it depends upon whether or not 00:49:02.780 |
you're doing it with integrity or a tactic to start with. 00:49:06.820 |
And then also, hostage negotiators are successful 00:49:16.060 |
Which means that the 7% of the time is gonna go bad. 00:49:27.100 |
But a phrase that he used over and over and over again 00:49:33.300 |
was this is gonna be the best chance of success, 00:49:37.060 |
And then something went bad, and I remember thinking like, 00:49:39.380 |
well, best chance of success is no guarantee of success. 00:49:47.380 |
If you got no shot at success, then don't negotiate. 00:49:58.540 |
it's a sin to take a long time to not get the deal. 00:50:14.340 |
Gary was very much into clusters of behavior. 00:50:26.400 |
Which meant if you start seeing this stuff show up, 00:50:34.660 |
from the very beginning and adjust accordingly. 00:50:37.180 |
And it's the same way in business and personal life. 00:50:40.420 |
I'm talking to the head of a marketing company 00:51:02.380 |
that he finally had to confront a potential client 00:51:08.740 |
And he said, "How do you think I handle this?" 00:51:20.940 |
And you should have walked away sooner than you did. 00:51:24.340 |
Because this guy was playing you the whole time. 00:51:39.260 |
Confront people on their behavior in a respectful way. 00:51:44.140 |
- And signal that you're willing to walk away. 00:51:51.220 |
I mean, it's scary 'cause you don't want to really walk away. 00:51:55.820 |
- Well, this gets core values, your view of reality. 00:51:59.980 |
If it's an abundant world, it's not scary to walk away. 00:52:03.500 |
If it's a finite world with limited opportunities, 00:52:19.300 |
- It could be walking away from a lot of money. 00:52:27.920 |
- Yeah, well, but if they're not gonna let the hostage out. 00:52:32.840 |
- Suicide by cop, they ain't letting them go. 00:52:48.080 |
If they were there to, if they're on a killing journey, 00:52:58.840 |
and the actions that they're currently engaged in 00:53:08.600 |
you mentioned Israel, Palestine, the Middle East. 00:53:17.280 |
And from that hope, is there some advice you could lend? 00:53:26.880 |
And also, when I got my, after I left the FBI, 00:53:35.400 |
probably not gonna remember who Rodney Dangerfield was. 00:53:53.200 |
So I went back to school after I left the FBI. 00:54:10.000 |
"both sides want a better life for our kids." 00:54:13.080 |
Which is this version that I was telling you earlier 00:54:35.400 |
which is why they still engage in interactions, 00:54:45.120 |
on either side, there are few straight players 00:54:52.560 |
But they want a better future for their kids. 00:54:56.460 |
You get people to agree that you want a better future 00:54:58.220 |
for your kids, now you can start talking about, 00:54:59.580 |
"Well, how do we work our way back from that?" 00:55:02.180 |
And then, all right, so we got a mutual point in the future. 00:55:25.580 |
And of course Hamas is putting rockets in the UPI office, 00:55:29.220 |
or the AP office, whichever press office it was there. 00:55:52.380 |
that when Israel hits 'em, they're gonna look really bad. 00:56:10.040 |
"These are all turning into screaming matches. 00:56:14.380 |
I said, "All right, cool, we'll go on, we'll do it." 00:56:36.460 |
And you gotta continue to state the other side's position 00:56:58.560 |
you had to state the other side's position first, 00:57:07.940 |
We wanted to show people that you can have conversations 00:57:11.300 |
that do not devolve into screaming matches with vitriol, 00:57:20.460 |
to the destruction of the other side just first. 00:57:23.620 |
See if you can outline where they're coming from. 00:57:30.860 |
people, which part of the reason I liked Clubhouse, 00:57:34.220 |
'cause you get to hear voices from all sides, 00:57:56.980 |
the people that were speaking on behalf of the Israelis 00:58:15.380 |
"No, no, no, no, no, you can go there, just not yet. 00:58:18.340 |
"Before you go there, you can say that all you want. 00:58:21.440 |
"Before you go there, you've gotta try to articulate 00:58:35.140 |
to try to see the other side's perspective and articulate it. 00:58:42.980 |
which was really the point that we were trying to make. 00:58:51.500 |
that's like a voice app where you can be anonymous. 00:58:57.620 |
but regular people who can also be anonymous. 00:59:02.200 |
If it works there, that's really interesting. 00:59:08.700 |
don't have them even steel man the other side. 00:59:51.300 |
it's the birth of Israel, for you it's the Nakba. 01:00:00.100 |
carrying keys to the front door of the house they abandoned. 01:00:19.900 |
while the Nazis threw the Jews off a building. 01:00:50.600 |
What's a difficult case that just stands out to you? 01:00:58.880 |
- Well, the stuff we went through with Al-Qaeda 01:01:10.340 |
The hardest part about that was working with family members 01:01:14.840 |
and not deceiving them about the possibility outcome. 01:01:25.000 |
- Yeah, empathy, learning empathy the hard way. 01:01:28.680 |
And then being able to take it up to higher levels. 01:01:36.640 |
and is a business partner, his name is Jonathan Smith, 01:01:38.840 |
he pointed out to us that there's a shoe-ha-ree concept. 01:01:56.720 |
Ha is when you've done the repetitions enough times, 01:02:07.200 |
You're seeing the same things show up in other places. 01:02:09.860 |
And at the re-level, you're still in the discipline, 01:02:19.840 |
And you don't realize that you're making up your own rules. 01:02:25.960 |
And if somebody asks you where you learned that, 01:02:28.520 |
you'd probably say, "My sensei taught it to me. 01:02:39.280 |
We did this once because there's a bunch of people 01:02:42.560 |
that we coach, business people that are scared 01:02:50.040 |
One of these guys, Michael, we're interviewing him 01:02:53.240 |
for a social media posting about two years ago. 01:02:56.360 |
And Michael says, "Yeah, you gotta gather data 01:03:07.480 |
And he goes, "I don't know, I heard it from you, I think." 01:03:27.920 |
I'm just calling out the elephant in the room. 01:03:39.640 |
And I'm saying you sound, or it sounds like you are, 01:03:43.560 |
'cause that's the basic karate kid wax on, wax off approach. 01:03:51.080 |
that'll tell you empathy doesn't work at home. 01:03:54.840 |
You're getting ready to talk to your significant other 01:04:13.360 |
'cause her reaction is, "You made me angry, bozo. 01:04:18.880 |
"Can you act like you're an innocent third party 01:04:21.200 |
"or that you were independent of how I feel bad?" 01:04:27.460 |
the high level is, "This is probably gonna make you angry." 01:04:36.580 |
I knew how they felt before I walked in the door. 01:04:51.440 |
who are in the business of chopping people's heads off, 01:04:56.440 |
I can't walk into them and go like, "You sound angry." 01:05:16.360 |
They're gonna feel abandoned by their government. 01:05:21.380 |
They're gonna be scared and they're gonna be angry 01:05:24.580 |
because they feel the government abandoned them. 01:05:28.440 |
Now, there in point of fact, is this an accurate statement? 01:05:32.260 |
That their loved one voluntarily went into a war zone 01:05:40.380 |
Are the facts that the government abandoned them? 01:05:47.280 |
But that doesn't change how they felt in a moment. 01:05:50.520 |
And I'd walk into a house and I'd go, "I know you're angry. 01:05:58.180 |
"And I know you feel the United States government 01:06:23.320 |
I mean, you got like a New Yorker way about it. 01:06:36.000 |
Do you feel that language barrier in communication? 01:07:07.080 |
we're all basically the same blank slate when we were born. 01:07:13.000 |
Everybody's limbic system works pretty much the same way. 01:07:16.520 |
People are driven by the same sorts of decisions. 01:07:31.400 |
All making those same decisions based on those same things. 01:07:38.040 |
and I tailor my approach, which is what empathy is, 01:07:51.120 |
if you live in the South, yeah, maybe I'm a New Yorker, 01:07:54.720 |
or I'm somebody from LA, or somebody from Chicago. 01:08:01.920 |
but as soon as I start dialing in on how you see things, 01:08:08.060 |
- What about the three voices you talk about? 01:08:12.500 |
The different voices you can use in that communication? 01:08:15.020 |
- Right, the assertive voice, direct and honest. 01:08:29.280 |
To quote Bono, I stand accused of what I've said, 01:09:08.780 |
- So decision trees, I'm a computer scientist, 01:09:12.260 |
so I like mathematical, systematic ways of seeing the world. 01:09:35.340 |
I mean, there's an affect that a city can have. 01:09:39.300 |
- And New York's Northeast, not just New York, 01:09:43.500 |
but the Northeast is a little more the affect of the area, 01:09:57.740 |
- Accommodator, smiling, optimistic, hopeful. 01:10:00.620 |
I'm a thousand percent convinced that the phrase 01:10:04.180 |
hope is not a strategy is designed at people's frustration 01:10:09.180 |
over a third of the population being accommodators 01:10:21.860 |
on the surface, they're very relationship oriented. 01:10:24.180 |
They tend to appear to be very positive, and they are, 01:10:29.500 |
- And the idea is you can adopt these three voices. 01:10:34.740 |
Analysts are often mistaken for accommodators, 01:10:43.580 |
analysts are more introspective, more analytical. 01:10:55.380 |
they notice that accommodators make more deals 01:11:00.580 |
They also notice that there's a higher failure rate 01:11:05.460 |
and they think about it, they catch on faster 01:11:26.340 |
An analyst will snipe you from a thousand yards out 01:11:36.380 |
- But how has assertiveness, the assertive voice 01:11:43.340 |
The assertive voice is almost always counterproductive. 01:11:48.500 |
It feels like getting hit in the face with a brick. 01:12:06.300 |
was a good negotiator and that he was extremely stubborn, 01:12:11.220 |
and perhaps the right term for that would be assertive, 01:12:15.700 |
Is there some value to holding strong to principles? 01:12:43.980 |
typically we do an exercise called 60 seconds or she dies. 01:12:56.020 |
I'll give you the four real world constraints, 01:12:59.040 |
and then you're gonna try and negotiate me out of the bank. 01:13:03.520 |
now the first voice that I always use in that exercise 01:13:23.540 |
I just feel like I'm being direct and honest and clear. 01:13:55.200 |
Your fight flight mechanisms all kick into gear, 01:14:04.460 |
So if I wanna make a great long-term deal with you, 01:14:23.740 |
Me making you feel attacked will always hurt me. 01:15:12.660 |
- There's never enough wonderful things to say 01:15:48.620 |
- Well, he sort of taught me how to think about data 01:15:53.140 |
and also from different books that he's turned me onto. 01:15:57.940 |
He's really helped me think about this stuff. 01:16:06.740 |
There were simulated negotiations with college students. 01:16:12.580 |
A simulated negotiation with a college student, 01:16:24.220 |
if they didn't come to a deal at all, that they failed. 01:16:31.500 |
and then they walk away of a pretend situation. 01:16:40.060 |
Do you sit down and come to an agreement in 45 minutes 01:16:44.660 |
'cause there's the implementation of the deal, 01:16:50.300 |
So the data is flawed based on the way it was collected. 01:16:56.340 |
And all data is flawed, as you know, as a scientist. 01:16:59.380 |
You just gotta be aware of what the flaws are 01:17:01.100 |
and decide whether or not that destroys the study. 01:17:10.940 |
The data that says that strategic umbrage works 01:17:20.300 |
- Getting mad, scaring the other side into a deal. 01:17:34.500 |
It's nice to hear that empathy is the right way 01:18:27.380 |
In EQ, emotional intelligence is a skill you can build 01:18:44.140 |
But when I find somebody that loves to mirror, 01:18:46.700 |
I'll always ask them, "How'd you score on IQ?" 01:19:11.420 |
and focuses on different components of the conversation. 01:19:40.420 |
You can, yeah, there's a lot of ways to signal that, 01:19:42.980 |
but mirroring is probably just this trivial little hack. 01:19:54.100 |
And he would say my name a lot throughout the conversation. 01:19:59.100 |
He would be like, "Well, you have to understand, Lex, 01:20:08.140 |
"And I wonder if that key, if everyone has that key, 01:20:11.660 |
"that could be a name, just using people's name 01:20:20.660 |
It can be extremely powerful with someone who's genuine, 01:20:32.580 |
is meant to encourage you as opposed to exploit you. 01:20:38.140 |
- And the people that are really into exploiting 01:20:44.300 |
- So you have to be, you have to avoid using the things 01:20:47.740 |
that people that are exploiters, manipulators use, 01:20:57.940 |
- What's labeling that you mentioned, the thing you like? 01:21:07.540 |
Labeling is hanging a label on an emotion or an affect, 01:21:19.780 |
when a person's being angry and you put a label on it? 01:21:26.560 |
Is it possible that that will lead to escalation 01:21:47.540 |
and go down to the bank and make the deposit. 01:21:49.500 |
Let's say I'm talking to somebody who works in my company. 01:21:53.980 |
I need you to get on the phone with this person 01:21:57.900 |
And they go, sounds like you want me to talk to this person. 01:22:32.740 |
And the label indicates that you're not listening. 01:22:46.540 |
he just wants to take the skills and make his deals 01:23:19.100 |
And then he says to the guy behind the counter, 01:23:26.860 |
I just shot down everything that you just said. 01:23:29.100 |
If anything, it sounds like we're never gonna make a deal. 01:23:32.300 |
But he tried to use this label for manipulation. 01:23:35.900 |
Now, the guy didn't get mad on the other side, 01:23:38.460 |
but it's like, clearly this dude is not listening to me. 01:23:45.140 |
almost like hacks, like techniques you can use, 01:23:53.780 |
you can be able to just sit there and listen. 01:24:02.460 |
Or like, you're both sitting there chilling with a drink, 01:24:07.100 |
There's a moment, the silence makes you kind of zoom out, 01:24:15.800 |
or some kind of like chess game of negotiation, 01:24:19.820 |
I don't know, there's some intimacy to the silence. 01:24:25.480 |
and just let the other person sit there in silence 01:24:33.420 |
They ask me a question, I sit there in silence. 01:24:35.540 |
That's a big, feels like a big intimate thing. 01:24:44.540 |
until they've experienced that, are afraid of it. 01:24:51.060 |
for whatever reason, I'm really comfortable with silence. 01:24:53.820 |
I think because I've experienced its effectiveness. 01:24:56.780 |
And also my son, Brandon, he's the king of dynamic silence. 01:25:20.020 |
But the other two types are natural wiring against it, 01:25:30.900 |
Again, sorry, I realize it's more complicated than that. 01:25:42.140 |
So when you go silent, they're scared to death you're furious. 01:25:51.900 |
The assertive thinks they use the analyst when silent, 01:26:03.940 |
you're thinking or, and I love your description, 01:26:12.220 |
'Cause I'm actually gonna factor that into trying to get, 01:26:27.140 |
and experience silence and see how it works for 'em. 01:26:29.780 |
- Yeah, it's nerve-wracking, which is why it's intimate. 01:26:36.700 |
Are we gonna sit here for 10 seconds and count? 01:26:43.420 |
and realize through data that there's intimacy to it. 01:27:02.100 |
But he hung out with other people, with friends, 01:27:08.140 |
He just hung out, and he said it was really intimate. 01:27:14.660 |
They just sat there and enjoyed time together. 01:27:20.100 |
It's a thing to try, maybe, with people in your life. 01:27:24.620 |
Like, as an experiment, don't say anything the entire day. 01:27:38.780 |
but more active as part of regular, everyday life. 01:27:49.260 |
So, for example, creating the illusion of control. 01:27:53.780 |
- Yeah, it's principally by asking what and how questions. 01:28:04.300 |
That was really the way, when the book was first written, 01:28:08.680 |
that we really thought about what and how questions. 01:28:11.320 |
Is it giving the other side the illusion of control? 01:28:18.200 |
I mean, it triggers deep thinking, it wears people down. 01:28:27.240 |
Is that ultimately what-- - You gotta be careful 01:28:34.560 |
One of my negotiation heroes, a guy now who's, 01:28:38.800 |
unfortunately, suffering from dementia and Alzheimer's, 01:28:43.140 |
John Domenico Pico is the UN hostage negotiator 01:28:46.000 |
that got all the Western hostages out of Beirut in the '80s. 01:28:49.200 |
And he wrote a book called "Man Without a Gun." 01:28:55.240 |
At this point in time, I don't think he has any memory 01:29:07.940 |
Political negotiations, that could be Johnny, 01:29:35.080 |
The Iranian government had tremendous trust in him 01:29:48.860 |
And which the other side would often find exhausting. 01:30:04.760 |
often exhaustion will tamp down negative emotions. 01:30:07.440 |
The real trick is really getting negative emotions 01:30:28.280 |
whatever the chemistry you're triggering in your brain, 01:30:32.700 |
- I think so, long-term, for long-term success, absolutely. 01:30:46.080 |
- It's usually used, it's most frequently used as a weapon. 01:30:54.240 |
It's what people say when they feel backed into a corner 01:30:57.880 |
and they can't come up with any legitimate reason 01:31:01.840 |
as to why they're being backed into a corner. 01:31:10.240 |
So consequently, when somebody starts dropping it, 01:31:20.280 |
They can't explain it, but they feel defensive. 01:31:23.440 |
And saying, "Hey, look, I've given you a fair offer," 01:31:37.080 |
are gonna use it on you to knock you off your game. 01:31:40.080 |
The NFL strike probably now, it's been a good 10 years ago, 01:31:56.160 |
the owners were not opening their books to the players. 01:32:18.840 |
and it was justified by what was in your books, 01:32:26.680 |
that, well, the owners gave the players a fair offer 01:32:33.280 |
And now that different people on a player's side 01:32:35.880 |
are going like, "Yeah, maybe they have given us 01:32:38.000 |
"a fair offer, it caused people to be insecure 01:32:46.200 |
And it almost always comes up in every negotiation. 01:32:48.640 |
It's shocking the number of times it comes up. 01:32:55.560 |
- So usually it's a signal of a not a good place 01:33:13.800 |
either in their gut, or they know they got a bad position, 01:33:33.080 |
- Big ridiculous question, but how do you close the deal? 01:33:47.600 |
- You gotta pivot to agreed upon implementation 01:33:59.880 |
no more into question, is it a ridiculous idea 01:34:02.440 |
if I share with you some ideas of how to proceed? 01:34:29.680 |
talented, I mean, he's ridiculously talented. 01:34:47.360 |
I mean, Brandon started learning how to negotiate 01:34:55.040 |
you know, since he could make complete sentences, 01:34:56.680 |
even before he could make complete sentences. 01:35:08.780 |
and now he's gonna be an affiliated licensee, 01:35:13.680 |
He's pretty much gonna end up doing very much, 01:35:16.080 |
he's gonna open his entrepreneurial opportunities 01:35:20.800 |
to do whatever he wants and not have his dad say no. 01:35:48.940 |
So manipulation is like, what am I trying to do to you? 01:36:10.880 |
If my compliment is genuine, that's not manipulation. 01:36:24.280 |
that are the dumbest looking things I've ever seen. 01:36:43.320 |
Lying is just a bad idea for a variety of reasons. 01:36:56.760 |
- Secondly, they could be luring you into a trap 01:37:01.000 |
Thirdly, the chances are they're gonna find out 01:37:11.760 |
are gonna be way higher than what you had in the first place. 01:37:19.560 |
the harder it is to maintain that reputation. 01:37:25.700 |
So what's the, we can just return to that question. 01:37:29.120 |
What's the difference between a good conversation 01:37:34.480 |
Can we, because I think just reading your work, 01:37:41.120 |
there's a sense I have that the thing we're doing now 01:37:55.280 |
of the value of empathy is extremely important. 01:38:06.420 |
I mean, I ruled in here, not having any expectations, 01:38:12.180 |
other than to have an interesting conversation. 01:38:19.700 |
that you were asking me and what interests you. 01:38:27.100 |
something I'm gonna take away as a learning point 01:38:33.820 |
I suppose a negotiation is when we're both aware 01:38:39.060 |
- Right, there's no problem in the room to solve, 01:38:49.500 |
- How do you train to become better at negotiating? 01:39:03.780 |
I mean, decide what kind of negotiating resonates with you. 01:39:14.860 |
picking up girls at a bar, what are we talking about? 01:39:18.100 |
For some people, that's high stakes practice. 01:39:24.260 |
What are the basic tools of great negotiation? 01:39:40.620 |
or how accurate your read is to get better at it. 01:39:52.340 |
or the person behind the airline counter at the airport. 01:40:11.940 |
One of my favorite labels to throw out on somebody, 01:40:17.420 |
I might look at somebody who looks distressed 01:40:20.540 |
So several years ago, I'm at the counter at LAX. 01:40:27.300 |
Well, I'm waiting in line to get to the counter. 01:40:30.300 |
And a lady behind the counter is clearly making it a point 01:40:33.980 |
to not meet my eyes so that I don't approach. 01:40:38.160 |
And she looks, and so, you know when you're next in line 01:40:42.980 |
and they're making sure that you don't meet eyes. 01:40:49.580 |
So I walk up and as soon as I approach the counter, 01:40:56.940 |
And she goes, "No, no, no, how can I help you?" 01:41:01.140 |
Now I'm practicing, but I also know it made her feel better. 01:41:07.340 |
I wanna look for people who are having a tough day. 01:41:22.140 |
And he's just kinda got an indifferent look on his face. 01:41:26.220 |
And he kinda goes, I could see from his body language, 01:41:35.860 |
You know, he felt seen, but I missed and I'm practicing. 01:41:48.300 |
- Very, very, very analytically said, thank you. 01:41:58.420 |
Does the same apply to just conversation in general? 01:42:05.740 |
They have insecurities, they have anxiety about conversation. 01:42:13.340 |
Is that you basically do the same kind of practice, 01:42:21.820 |
What's the best conversation you've ever been in? 01:42:33.300 |
as conversation that changed you as a person, maybe? 01:42:36.460 |
- Well, there's probably been a lot of them along the way. 01:42:38.940 |
I mean, but one that I remember on a regular basis, 01:42:44.940 |
But when I was in the Bureau, I'm at Quantico, 01:42:49.540 |
There's another guy from New York, a buddy of mine named Lionel. 01:42:53.660 |
And we're both trying to decide whether or not 01:42:55.620 |
we wanna be trying to get into profiling or negotiation. 01:43:05.340 |
and we're talking about several things, and he labels me. 01:43:12.420 |
And I'd been talking about my family quite a few things. 01:43:17.500 |
And he said to me, and I never said this directly, 01:43:22.380 |
But he said to me, "It sounds like your family's 01:43:26.140 |
And I can remember in a moment, like this feeling, 01:43:32.140 |
I mean, what he said just drew together everything 01:43:35.180 |
that I'd been saying, and nailed the essence of it. 01:43:42.520 |
So a couple years later, I'm on a suicide hotline. 01:43:53.980 |
Guy calls in on a hotline, and I could tell the dude 01:44:00.140 |
And he goes, "You know, I'm just trying to put a lid 01:44:16.140 |
And he came down a little bit, and he was a guy 01:44:24.540 |
And he's gonna go on a car trip with his family 01:44:26.360 |
the next day, and he knew that on the car trip, 01:44:31.900 |
And so the night before, he's twisting himself into knots. 01:44:34.740 |
And he's laying out everything that he's done 01:44:37.880 |
to try to beat paranoia, and how much his family's 01:44:43.580 |
And he's going on a car trip with the family, 01:44:47.140 |
'cause they're gonna take him to see a doctor. 01:44:49.860 |
And so I hit him with the same thing that my buddy 01:44:59.500 |
And then he started ticking off all the things 01:45:20.020 |
So those two conversations, which are overlapping 01:45:22.260 |
conversations, those two things really stick out 01:45:25.700 |
- Do those things, through all the different negotiations 01:45:28.220 |
and conversations you've had, do they kinda echo 01:45:38.220 |
- Because when you empathize with other human beings, 01:45:42.820 |
And so you can start to pick little phrases here and there 01:45:49.180 |
that you've heard from others, little experiences. 01:45:52.580 |
They were all about, like we all want to be... 01:46:20.900 |
So you kind of see yourself basically just saying 01:46:25.720 |
the same things to connect with another human being. 01:46:28.660 |
- Yeah, there aren't that many different things 01:46:35.220 |
There just aren't that many of them, regardless. 01:46:38.420 |
And so yeah, you're looking for it to manifest itself 01:46:45.540 |
And you're willing to take a guess on whether or not 01:46:56.040 |
To me and to other people that do kinda interviews 01:47:04.740 |
- 'Cause I really care about empathy as well. 01:47:07.620 |
Is there a kind of, is a lifelong journey in this process? 01:47:11.140 |
- Yeah, well I would advise you to take that approach, 01:47:15.340 |
You care about it, you're very curious about it. 01:47:18.420 |
You see it as a lifelong journey, you're fascinated by it. 01:47:26.280 |
And you definitely do see it as a lifelong journey, 01:47:32.060 |
if I can acquire this, then I can manipulate people. 01:47:34.300 |
- No, I mean, I fall in love with people I talk to. 01:47:37.020 |
There's a kinda deep connection and it lingers with you, 01:47:45.020 |
the more you get to fall in love with them ahead of time. 01:47:47.540 |
They think you get to really understand, not understand, 01:47:56.260 |
- Appreciate, but also become deeply curious. 01:48:02.120 |
but you start to see, like Alice in Wonderland, 01:48:04.380 |
you start to see that there's all this cool stuff 01:48:07.200 |
you can learn if you keep interacting with them. 01:48:09.700 |
And then when you show up and you actually meet, 01:48:12.140 |
you realize it's like more and more and more and more. 01:48:28.060 |
- Yeah, it reminds me that I'm gonna die one day. 01:48:36.140 |
But then it makes the moment more delicious, you know, 01:48:44.680 |
I just wanna, I completely forgot I wanted to ask you 01:48:57.140 |
That 7% of a message is conveyed from the words used, 01:49:00.420 |
38% from the tone of voice, and 55% from body language. 01:49:17.980 |
and discussed it in terms of that it wasn't the message, 01:49:29.700 |
And so it's been extrapolated heavily by people like me 01:49:42.860 |
What I've seen regularly is people that communicate verbally 01:50:05.860 |
Those that communicate principally in writing, 01:50:09.820 |
the meaning of the words are much more important to them. 01:50:14.180 |
So they're deeply uncomfortable with seven being the words. 01:50:19.860 |
'Cause the content, the words, the meaning of the words, 01:50:27.860 |
So I, first of all, I 1000% believe it's an accurate ratio, 01:50:34.100 |
not what the ratio of those three things are, 01:50:36.900 |
it's what's the message when they're out of line? 01:50:39.820 |
Like what's the message when the tone of voice 01:50:46.460 |
You got a problem if their tone does not match their words. 01:50:51.060 |
- And that's hard to really put a measure on exactly. 01:51:18.980 |
It's not just, you could say it's the tone of voice, 01:51:29.580 |
I'm like, I'm imagining some amorphous being, right? 01:51:38.740 |
- Well, and so you may be thinking of a funny story 01:51:41.060 |
'cause we were talking about your buddy Elon before. 01:51:45.140 |
that I'd interacted with some of the senior executives. 01:52:01.860 |
and a guy on the other end of the line says something, 01:52:21.220 |
and they all go to him, "Wait, wait, wait, wait, 01:52:22.780 |
they can't see your look on your face right now. 01:52:25.300 |
'cause the guy on the other side is dying right now. 01:52:46.980 |
I don't know if you're following along the developments 01:52:57.020 |
and effective and impressive chatbots, essentially, 01:53:03.420 |
and they're becoming more and more human-like. 01:53:09.640 |
that AI will be able to be better negotiators than humans? 01:53:18.020 |
- Well, so definition of better versus less flawed. 01:53:22.340 |
Like, you know, chatbots have been out there for a long time 01:53:33.900 |
'cause they were doing a negotiation chatbot. 01:53:38.460 |
First of all, I said, "Why are you talking to us?" 01:53:43.380 |
we already spoke to the people that are teaching, 01:53:48.620 |
and the rational approach to negotiation just doesn't work. 01:53:56.520 |
But we're showing in around about 80% of the interactions 01:54:01.520 |
a higher success outcome with these chatbots. 01:54:23.380 |
So if you were talking to somebody that was never upset 01:54:27.540 |
then you're gonna have a higher success rate. 01:54:34.020 |
- So the natural ability of a chatbot to be positive 01:54:39.020 |
is just going to give you a higher success rate. 01:54:43.220 |
- Yeah, and they're not gonna get mad and argue with you. 01:54:51.220 |
Chatbot is designed to come back with a smiley face. 01:54:54.900 |
- You say to a person, "Your price is too high." 01:55:05.780 |
because they're becoming more and more human-like. 01:55:31.320 |
"Look, I'm sorry, that just doesn't work for me." 01:55:44.100 |
with setting boundaries without being negative, 01:56:00.940 |
I'm seeing a flawed human that has underneath it a temper, 01:56:49.800 |
- But I guess what I'm saying is to be a good negotiator, 01:56:52.080 |
you have to have the capacity to be a bad person 01:56:58.760 |
- See, I think you just gotta have the capacity 01:57:04.700 |
'Cause I think it's hard for me to trust a person 01:57:13.380 |
if you don't have any flaws, I can't trust you. 01:57:16.500 |
- Yeah, well, first of all, it's a lie, right? 01:57:21.740 |
So, you have to have a self-awareness about that, 01:57:28.900 |
I just think humans, intelligent, effective humans, 01:57:38.220 |
So, it makes me think about what is actually required 01:57:52.960 |
What is it that makes humans special at chess and Go, games, 01:57:56.280 |
which AI systems are able to beat humans at now? 01:58:00.000 |
What is it that makes them effective at negotiation? 01:58:15.620 |
is exceptionally difficult problem for robots. 01:58:25.900 |
We have so much common sense reasoning built in. 01:58:48.480 |
- Because a lot of that we just learn as babies. 01:59:00.840 |
And negotiation, to me, is super interesting. 01:59:03.560 |
'Cause negotiation is not, it's about business, 01:59:06.520 |
it's about geopolitics, it's about running government. 01:59:24.440 |
That seems like AI, in the future, could be better at that. 01:59:35.640 |
and debate each other, and yell at each other on Twitter. 01:59:39.320 |
Maybe you have to have the red and the blue teams 01:59:48.400 |
Maybe AI systems will not be able to do that, 01:59:51.040 |
and figure out the full mess of human civilization. 01:59:55.960 |
Well, I mean, the two thoughts that I had along the way 01:59:58.240 |
was, I mean, anytime you're talking about systems, 02:00:18.320 |
Now, the remaining percentage, whatever it is, 02:00:22.720 |
does it require the human interaction, and what's required? 02:00:32.440 |
that there's a case to be made in the creative world, 02:00:35.720 |
that some of the best thinking came out of conflict. 02:00:42.220 |
You know, their admiration for some of the Beatles' 02:00:47.200 |
best music came when they were fighting with each other. 02:00:53.200 |
which is, I believe, from the album "Octoon Baby," 02:00:57.840 |
I mean, they were on the verge of breaking up. 02:01:03.600 |
And then when I was in the crisis negotiation unit, 02:01:17.320 |
And then when we had a change in the guy who was in charge, 02:01:22.560 |
the guy who was in charge took me off to the side, 02:01:34.800 |
And he said, "You know, Vince said the same thing to me." 02:01:37.600 |
And I'm like, "So if we don't have a problem fighting, 02:01:49.160 |
you rack your brains as to why someone is so dug in 02:02:00.120 |
- There's something about conflict, even drama, 02:02:02.840 |
that might be a feature, not a bug of our society. 02:02:06.800 |
- Do you think there will always be war in the world? 02:02:11.400 |
- So there will always be a need for negotiators 02:02:25.160 |
What's your intuition about human nature there? 02:02:27.880 |
- Yeah, just because we're basically 75% negative. 02:02:43.480 |
But somebody said something to us that stuck. 02:03:02.840 |
what kind of opportunity they were given afterwards, 02:03:18.600 |
- You know, like, how do you get at that two lines of code 02:03:27.880 |
at the wrong moment and planted in your brain? 02:03:32.760 |
getting that out, even a majority of people on Earth 02:03:35.440 |
getting that out of their heads is really small. 02:03:37.840 |
- What advice would you give to a young person today 02:03:42.880 |
about how to have a career they could be proud of or a life? 02:03:49.720 |
trying to figure out their way in this world. 02:03:51.960 |
- It's probably a take on a cliche of do what you love. 02:04:02.400 |
and pursue your ideals and stick to 'em when it costs you. 02:04:08.480 |
Like, a guy I admire very much, Michael McGill, 02:04:20.120 |
"Core values are what you stick to that costs you money." 02:04:32.860 |
Now, when I was in the FBI, I worked really hard at, 02:04:37.040 |
you know, the number one core mission of the FBI 02:04:39.440 |
is to protect and defend the American people. 02:04:41.680 |
So I could pursue that value at all times, which I did, 02:05:01.120 |
When did you fall in love with whatever this process is 02:05:09.620 |
- I think it was in a conversation on the suicide hotline 02:05:18.120 |
When I thought, I can have that significant of an impact 02:05:22.360 |
on another human being in this short of a period of time. 02:05:28.560 |
- How hard is it to talk somebody off the ledge? 02:05:37.080 |
How do you have that kind of deeply philosophical, 02:05:43.120 |
deeply psychological, and also practical conversation 02:05:46.360 |
with somebody and convince them they should stick around? 02:05:49.400 |
- Well, it's more clearing the clutter in their head 02:05:58.160 |
That was what volunteering on a suicide hotline 02:06:01.360 |
Just let me see how quickly I can clear out the clutter 02:06:05.000 |
in your head, if you're willing to have it cleared out. 02:06:07.820 |
Like, did you call here 'cause you were actually 02:06:18.360 |
So, are you willing to clear the clutter in your head? 02:06:35.520 |
And if you step back, very few people that commit suicide 02:07:06.220 |
a guy named Mark Pollack, a born great athlete, 02:07:18.360 |
He's about helping people thrive and live great lives. 02:07:22.960 |
Like, Mark was born, he was a spectacular athlete. 02:07:34.220 |
and then he fell out a window in a tragic experience. 02:07:38.000 |
Like, if there was ever a dude that was saying, 02:07:43.400 |
You know, and if there's any doubt in my mind, 02:07:45.160 |
something worse happens to me every few years. 02:07:48.040 |
But Mark's about being alive and inspiring other people. 02:07:58.280 |
or it's the way they're interpreting the world. 02:08:02.740 |
Like, can you help clear that clutter in their head? 02:08:25.520 |
- Well, I have very strong religious beliefs. 02:08:43.840 |
I don't think any religion's got it nailed, exactly. 02:08:46.400 |
Again, I keep mentioning, I'm kind of a Bono Christian. 02:08:53.120 |
And I'm gonna butcher it, but my belief in Jesus 02:08:58.840 |
is what I've got after Christianity leaves the room. 02:09:08.460 |
that my life was a gift and there's a purpose here. 02:09:14.360 |
that I woke up in the morning 'cause he still had 02:09:18.440 |
- And you have gratitude for having the opportunity 02:09:24.520 |
- Well, you do one heck of a good job at living those days. 02:09:33.080 |
Thank you for just everything you've done today 02:09:39.080 |
You're a great listener, you're a great conversationalist. 02:09:42.160 |
It's just an honor to meet you and to talk to you. 02:09:46.120 |
- Thanks for listening to this conversation with Chris Voss. 02:09:49.760 |
To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors 02:10:05.200 |
Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.