back to index2023-11-17_Friday_QA
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Today on Radical Personal Finance is live Q&A. 00:00:43.400 |
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building a plan for financial freedom in 10 years or less. 00:00:57.560 |
On this Friday, after a long hiatus, we have a live Friday Q&A show. 00:01:03.320 |
If you're new around here, each and every Friday in which I can arrange the appropriate 00:01:18.400 |
recording technology, then I record a live Friday Q&A show. 00:01:27.120 |
It gives me a chance to connect with you on a deeper level, answer questions, comments, 00:01:30.720 |
you get to bring up topics that I might not bring up, answer questions in a more interesting 00:01:34.560 |
way and get a little bit of personalized insight and advice. 00:01:38.960 |
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Support the show on Patreon and that will give you access to one of these Friday Q&A 00:01:56.560 |
I'll notify you in advance and you can call in and talk about whatever you like. 00:02:05.160 |
I think the sort of high level picture of what I wanted to ask was what mental models 00:02:12.480 |
and tools and decision making frameworks do you use for somewhat open ended, hard to define 00:02:21.080 |
things like which job should I be applying for, which of these jobs that I applied for 00:02:25.440 |
should I take or buying used cars, I feel like is similar. 00:02:30.480 |
So the specifics of my situation, my medium term goal is to move from a onsite technician 00:02:38.760 |
role company I'm with to a completely remote non technician role going from hourly to salary. 00:02:46.920 |
I was I started working down that path a few months ago and then they completely closed 00:02:57.560 |
However, there is there still doing internal hiring for other hourly roles. 00:03:03.760 |
And so I do have the option to take or to apply for and or take some slightly higher 00:03:14.720 |
My intermediate term goal is I'd really like to get away from like I'd like to do something 00:03:22.480 |
I've been in the same role for several years. 00:03:24.640 |
I'm not finding it challenging or stimulating the schedules got less appealing, etc, etc. 00:03:31.280 |
I also think I'm not like I'm not going to get any more qualified to move up doing the 00:03:38.240 |
And I could go do six months or a year, whatever of some other role and be more qualified for 00:03:49.560 |
So then I find that I spend a lot of time and mental energy saying, well, you know, 00:03:57.000 |
Do I like a better than B is, you know, schedule freedom more important to me or is challenge 00:04:04.520 |
And I don't think there's necessarily a right answer there. 00:04:08.120 |
But how would you think through when I'm like, I would be happy to take a high schedule freedom 00:04:13.760 |
job with lower responsibility and do something else different. 00:04:18.080 |
But I'd also be happy to take a more challenging, less schedule freedom job. 00:04:22.280 |
And I don't know what my I just find I get sort of bogged down trying to decide which 00:04:36.000 |
In some ways, it would be nice if there were just a narrow focus. 00:04:38.960 |
I've always admired people who always knew exactly what they wanted. 00:04:43.000 |
They're sure that they they're sure they want to do this thing. 00:04:45.960 |
It's very clear to them and they're on track and and and, you know, we're going to go and 00:04:53.600 |
Unfortunately, that's not generally been my experience. 00:04:56.560 |
And I think that's not an experience for many of us. 00:05:07.760 |
Here are the models that I find to be most useful. 00:05:13.760 |
The first one, I think just comes down to vision is I have discovered this to be the 00:05:19.840 |
most powerful is simply that if your vision is clear, if your goals are clear, that makes 00:05:25.680 |
decision making relatively simple and straightforward. 00:05:31.960 |
But the first question I ask myself is, am I having trouble deciding because I'm genuinely 00:05:37.960 |
having trouble deciding or am I having trouble deciding because I don't know what I want? 00:05:43.980 |
It's probably just as frustrating for me to say, well, get clear on what you want as it 00:05:50.280 |
But the point is simply that a job or any decision in life is going to, you know, what 00:05:56.520 |
car you buy, etc. is going to be driven by your vision. 00:06:00.440 |
And let me give a couple of examples from people that I have known. 00:06:04.760 |
There have been people that I have known whose primary goal, their primary vision was to 00:06:13.300 |
And in order to do that, they set themselves off on the career path that was most likely 00:06:20.920 |
Sometimes that came with very heavy consequences to their social life. 00:06:26.240 |
Sometimes that came with very heavy consequences to their family life. 00:06:30.020 |
Sometimes that came with very heavy consequences to their health, etc. 00:06:32.940 |
But eventually they wind up succeeding and making a lot of money. 00:06:36.720 |
In my circles, I've known a lot of people who have prioritized other things. 00:06:43.840 |
And so, you know, I knew one man who he, for a decade of his life, he worked, he was a 00:06:49.400 |
highly qualified engineer, had no problem there, but he worked, actually for more than 00:06:53.600 |
a decade, he worked a half-time job so that he could homeschool his children. 00:06:58.760 |
His wife was there, but he wanted to do the homeschooling of the higher level subjects, 00:07:04.600 |
That undoubtedly cost him hundreds and hundreds of thousands of dollars, both in current wages 00:07:09.640 |
and in opportunity cost of investment growth, etc. 00:07:13.200 |
But he had a vision of what he was trying to build that caused him to go in that direction. 00:07:18.240 |
I've known men who had a vision of wanting to be able to work with their children. 00:07:22.720 |
And so, instead of taking a corporate job where they wouldn't be allowed to see their 00:07:26.680 |
family, they chose a pathway that allowed them to work with their family. 00:07:34.760 |
And so they would go off and chase adventure, etc. 00:07:38.000 |
And so it seems to me pretty obvious that your vision will drive your job choices in 00:07:45.920 |
I, myself, my vision of freedom and control over my time, control over what I want to 00:07:54.120 |
say, control over what I want to do, etc., has driven each and every one of my decisions. 00:07:59.100 |
And there's been many times when faced with a decision that I've said, "Well, am I going 00:08:07.160 |
And I realized, "Well, Joshua, is your vision still that you want freedom or honesty or 00:08:13.300 |
Or is your freedom that you want to make more money? 00:08:14.800 |
You'd probably make more money if you took this path." 00:08:16.760 |
And generally, I find that if I'm clear on my vision, then things fill in. 00:08:21.560 |
Let's use a vehicle analogy to make it clearer, right? 00:08:24.800 |
Your vision of what you want to do with the vehicle drives your choice. 00:08:30.520 |
The choice of whether you buy a pickup truck or whether you buy a sports car is driven 00:08:35.240 |
by your vision of how you imagine yourself driving it. 00:08:38.400 |
The vision of whether you buy a nice big Jeep that you're going to take off-roading every 00:08:43.280 |
weekend or overlanding every weekend up in the mountains is different than your vision 00:08:47.360 |
of buying a little two-seater to get you around in the city. 00:08:50.080 |
Your vision of a new car versus an old car is driven by – or sorry, your decision of 00:08:54.120 |
a new car versus an old car is driven by your vision. 00:08:57.640 |
And so, one of the things I've noticed in financial counseling over many years now is 00:09:01.440 |
that when somebody doesn't know what to do, my best work is not generally going to be 00:09:08.800 |
to tell them what to do but rather to try to help them get clear on what they want by 00:09:14.360 |
sometimes laying out alternatives, suggesting courses of action. 00:09:18.100 |
Sometimes I'll suggest a course of action and just see how they respond or react to 00:09:22.480 |
Sometimes you want them to kind of glom onto an idea and say, "Yes, I really want this. 00:09:28.240 |
Sometimes you want them to just recoil from an idea and that recoiling from a certain 00:09:35.340 |
And so, I believe that if you're having trouble knowing what to do, then generally speaking 00:09:41.440 |
the most fruitful area of focus is to say, "What kind of vision do I have?" 00:09:51.840 |
Or, "There's multiple things I could be happy with or I could be contented with multiple 00:09:56.640 |
So there I think that one of the things that we want to play with is the vividness of a 00:10:04.600 |
And so, I have found for me one thing that's been helpful is to just take an idea, and 00:10:13.120 |
I'm an idea guy so I can manipulate images and ideas in my head very easily. 00:10:17.280 |
But I'll take an image and I'll just blow it up and I'll say, "What if I were hyper 00:10:22.760 |
This is one of the things that caused me to leave financial planning in the formal sense 00:10:36.200 |
I took my current more standard job and I said, "What if I'm hyper successful at this?" 00:10:43.680 |
And I imagined myself as a managing partner of a big firm with the money and the schedule 00:10:50.880 |
And I said, "Okay, now I know what that looks like." 00:10:53.280 |
Then I took my – I checked out what does failure at that mean, but I wasn't worried 00:10:59.120 |
Then I took my alternative path and I said, "What if I'm hyper successful at the alternative 00:11:04.720 |
And I sketched out what that would mean and then I said, "What if I'm a complete failure 00:11:10.740 |
And what I found is that I was more excited about even being a failure at the alternative 00:11:16.400 |
path than I was about being hyper successful at the known path. 00:11:23.580 |
So amplifying and differentiating them is, I think, sometimes useful. 00:11:30.380 |
And this leads me to the next one, which is regret. 00:11:35.320 |
Is that I think a lot of times you should ask yourself, "Which choice am I going to 00:11:44.920 |
So that word regret, I think, touches at a core emotion that for many of us is a very 00:11:52.200 |
off-putting emotion that we don't want to experience. 00:11:55.540 |
But we can understand it a little bit if we engage with it. 00:11:59.640 |
So here I think of – let's say you're in college and you say, "Well, I could stay 00:12:03.980 |
up late and I could study for this exam and get an A or a B, or I could go to this concert 00:12:12.000 |
Well, what am I more likely to regret in the future?" 00:12:18.340 |
If this A or the B on this exam is the thing that's going to mean you either flunk out 00:12:23.660 |
of college or suffer some massive problem versus being very successful in college, then 00:12:31.400 |
But generally speaking, you probably have things mostly in hand and the fear of regret 00:12:36.440 |
is just something to illustrate to you that I should go with my friends. 00:12:45.160 |
I find, at least for me, the fear of regret is – and actually the emotion of regret. 00:12:50.920 |
I try to discipline the emotion of regret because it's kind of a worthless emotion 00:12:55.680 |
We all make the best choices at the time with the information that we have. 00:13:01.240 |
If in hindsight later we would make a different decision, we can't blame ourselves for that 00:13:05.480 |
or engage in this feeling or emotion of regret. 00:13:08.480 |
After all, we did the best we could with the information that we had. 00:13:11.040 |
All we can do is go on and make a different decision in the future. 00:13:13.280 |
So I don't like the actual feeling of regret, but I like harnessing thinking about the fear 00:13:17.680 |
of regret as a way of identifying the differences between things. 00:13:22.640 |
So vision, regret, consequences is the next one. 00:13:28.240 |
I would just say – I wish I had a better, beautiful name for this – but there are 00:13:32.200 |
some consequences – and here I'm mostly thinking about negative, although they can 00:13:37.040 |
be both positive and negative – there are some consequences that I'm willing to accept. 00:13:41.920 |
So for example, losing money, losing some amount of money, I'm willing to accept it. 00:13:47.340 |
Losing a grade or failing a class or something, I'm willing to accept that. 00:13:51.160 |
Death, doing something that could result in death, I'm not really willing to accept 00:13:57.840 |
Divorce, not willing to do something that's going to result in that as a consequence. 00:14:05.040 |
I'm willing to consider bankruptcy as a reasonable consequence if the benefit of success 00:14:11.200 |
is big enough, but in general, if something's going to wipe me out, you generally don't 00:14:17.840 |
And bankruptcy has a different impact depending on where you are. 00:14:23.520 |
If you're 20 years old and you didn't have a fortune or you're 30 years old and you 00:14:27.560 |
hadn't made a fortune yet and you pursue something and you wind up bankrupt, big deal, 00:14:32.880 |
On the other hand, if you've got $100 million in the bank and you're 50 years old, the costs 00:14:37.920 |
of going bankrupt at that time are much more significant. 00:14:41.200 |
And so you'll consider the costs on a varying way. 00:14:46.120 |
I guess the final one is one that I've said publicly many times, but I haven't heard 00:14:53.000 |
anyone say it except I can cite where I learned it, but it just comes from Stephen Covey's 00:14:59.100 |
But over the years as I thought about decision-making through the lens of practicing that habit 00:15:05.480 |
of always going for a win-win or no deal outcome, I realized that in decision-making, making 00:15:13.680 |
decisions where you have one good option and a lot of bad options is easy because you just 00:15:20.580 |
The only thing that's hard about decision-making is either when you have multiple good options 00:15:30.300 |
So how can you change a decision from having multiple good options to having one great 00:15:39.060 |
Or sorry, one option that's – you need to have clear disparity of your decisions. 00:15:46.620 |
You're trying to choose – and so if you have decisions that are kind of similar, then 00:15:51.340 |
you have to figure out how to make them different from each other so that you can differentiate 00:15:57.300 |
Because at the time at which you have a good option or a great option as contrasted against 00:16:03.260 |
non-good options, then your decision will now be easy. 00:16:06.900 |
So even if you have multiple good options or multiple bad options, the process is the 00:16:13.900 |
Pathway number one is you can look deeper at those decisions until you can understand 00:16:23.140 |
more clearly what the costs and benefits of a decision are. 00:16:28.060 |
So you can say, "Well, if I go down option A, yeah, I might only be making – yeah, 00:16:33.740 |
I might be making 20% less on day one, but that's going to put me in a pathway to make 00:16:47.180 |
If I go down option A, there's a good chance I might lose my job entirely, but option B 00:16:52.980 |
is a much safer thing and I don't want to be without a job, so I'm going to stick 00:16:57.800 |
So we try to amplify the attributes of a decision in some way until in our mind with our own 00:17:10.220 |
kind of punch card, the decisions are now different. 00:17:14.480 |
And this is why I think you'll see people who have some maturity, they'll often just 00:17:21.200 |
You meet a guy who's an entrepreneur through and through and he can't imagine going back 00:17:25.800 |
to the world of an employee because he values opportunity and freedom and flexibility, et 00:17:31.840 |
cetera, more than he values perceived stability, safety, security. 00:17:36.480 |
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On the other hand, there are guys who look at it and say, "Absolutely not. 00:18:10.680 |
I value stability, safety, security, and my weekends off and my evenings off, et cetera, 00:18:16.200 |
much more than I value the opportunity to go big or go bust." 00:18:20.280 |
And so it's just a matter of playing with the options until for you yourself, they are 00:18:28.440 |
What if you're looking at three options and they're still kind of all feel the same way? 00:18:31.880 |
There's three cars and they're still kind of all feel the same way. 00:18:34.680 |
Well then I think you look for another option and you just sit tight and you drive the car 00:18:39.720 |
you're driving until something comes along that's markedly better or until the circumstances 00:18:44.560 |
in your life change and things are markedly better or different in some way. 00:18:50.200 |
And so as you go through life, things will change and things will change for you. 00:18:55.640 |
And so just sitting tight and waiting either until there's a new option that's a lot better 00:19:01.640 |
or something has changed so that you're now in a different situation and can perceive 00:19:10.680 |
I think that that is all of the models that come to mind right off the bat. 00:19:17.640 |
They're probably imperfect, but those are the best ones that I've used over the years. 00:19:22.440 |
I think maybe I didn't quite get this out of my question. 00:19:26.800 |
Specifically with, so as far as a big picture vision, I think I'm in a much better place 00:19:32.080 |
than I pretty much ever have been of where I want to be three to five years from now. 00:19:37.440 |
And I have an idea of like, the ideal thing that I would like to do to get there is make 00:19:42.760 |
a transition to this remote job, kind of change my career path, right? 00:19:53.000 |
And if I could just be applying internally, which is easy, and I have time for at the 00:19:57.640 |
That's why I like, you know, I can do that while I'm at work. 00:20:00.160 |
And no one questions me sitting over there job shopping on my company computer, you know, 00:20:09.960 |
And if I could be doing that and finding out, can I just do that immediately? 00:20:14.440 |
Like I kind of think I can, then, or am I actually not qualified for these jobs yet? 00:20:23.580 |
But that like, there's no, none of those jobs available right now. 00:20:29.360 |
And it's the the time bound and lots of uncertainty, sort of a, I'm at the base of the cliff. 00:20:37.480 |
My goal is to climb to the top of the cliff, I could go left, or I could go right. 00:20:41.920 |
How do you weigh, you know, which one is going to be the easier path sort of thing? 00:20:47.560 |
I could, like specifically this situation, probably in three weeks be working at a job 00:20:53.680 |
that isn't really an improvement over what I'm doing is not super interesting to me, 00:20:59.920 |
but has a decent amount of downtime that I could spend on development work, right? 00:21:03.760 |
Like there's corporate trainings I could take, there's cross functional projects I could 00:21:08.120 |
volunteer for, etc, etc, that I could have time to do things that weren't in my core 00:21:17.200 |
But that would be a decent way to prepare myself. 00:21:20.240 |
Or I can hold out and keep trying for the really hard jobs that I'm barely qualified 00:21:26.320 |
for, you know, I'm a good candidate, but there's somebody else that's just as good and more 00:21:31.640 |
And that might take me months to land one of those jobs, which is that job would move 00:21:44.560 |
Sort of the A B, which is a little better, which is a little worse, I got to decide now 00:21:48.640 |
which one do I spend time on that sort of thing. 00:21:51.360 |
So then I think that if you go through all of that stuff that I said, you just flip a 00:21:59.560 |
And so I would apply for the jobs and I would set a time bound. 00:22:03.200 |
So meaning I would say, all right, I'm the sounds like the ideal path would be to get 00:22:09.000 |
the higher, better job that I'm not sure if I'm qualified for. 00:22:14.040 |
The first thing I would do is go and find somebody who is in that job or who is over 00:22:19.160 |
that job and take that person for lunch or sit down in the office and just ask for a 00:22:28.580 |
What do I need to do to be qualified for it and how can I qualify myself? 00:22:32.880 |
And find out if there's a reasonable pathway to qualification for that. 00:22:37.200 |
And in most cases, if you just simply go to somebody who's in that job and you say, I 00:22:42.640 |
want your job, how can I be, or probably slightly better, I want to be your co-worker. 00:22:50.120 |
Can you tell me what I would need to do to become qualified? 00:22:54.920 |
If a guy is working as a secretary in an attorney's office and he wants to become a paralegal, 00:23:01.200 |
then all he's got to do is ask a paralegal how to do it and a few months later he can 00:23:06.040 |
If a guy is working as a paralegal and he wants to be a lawyer, all he's got to do is 00:23:09.200 |
ask a lawyer how to become a lawyer and in a few years he can be a lawyer. 00:23:12.840 |
If a guy is a lawyer and he wants to become partner, all he's got to do is go to partner 00:23:16.640 |
and ask him, what do I need to do to become partner and then do the stuff. 00:23:20.440 |
And so qualifications are things that can be achieved fairly quickly generally and the 00:23:25.320 |
process of being ambitious and going and asking for what those necessary qualifications are 00:23:30.840 |
is often an important step in bringing yourself to the notice of those who are around. 00:23:35.120 |
And so whoever is involved in that department or in that job, etc, then I would systematically 00:23:44.680 |
Everyone knows, I mean employers want people who want to have the job and it's hard to 00:23:49.720 |
find people with motivation and so I think that shows motivation, etc. 00:23:53.560 |
Now if you find out that there's a reasonable pathway to that, then just focus on qualifying 00:24:01.960 |
And if you can be qualified for that within say, I don't know, three months, six months, 00:24:06.480 |
whatever your timeline is and then looking forward you look at it and say, alright six 00:24:13.120 |
Meanwhile I'm going to start going out and doing my how are you's and who are you's around 00:24:17.080 |
the company so that the people in that department know me and I'm going to apply for every one 00:24:22.040 |
and I'm going to hand deliver my application and I'm going to send a box of chocolates 00:24:25.840 |
and say, listen did you get my application, I really want this job. 00:24:30.760 |
That showing that you want a job and you want it more than another person is a really good 00:24:39.720 |
If those qualifications however are beyond your window of time and you look at it and 00:24:44.520 |
say, it's probably going to take me two or three years to get there and I'm not actually 00:24:48.320 |
going to be qualified for the job without three years and that's not my timeline, then 00:24:54.880 |
At the end of the day it really doesn't matter what choice you make because if you make the 00:24:59.920 |
choice and it turns out to be the so-called wrong choice, now you'll know that it was 00:25:05.760 |
the wrong choice and you would pivot back quickly. 00:25:08.760 |
And I think that it's more important to be speedy with making decisions so that you can 00:25:13.480 |
gain actual data from the marketplace or from the job experience itself rather than to sit 00:25:19.880 |
and to think and to think and to think and to think. 00:25:25.360 |
Again we want to avoid anything that could be completely destructive to us but as long 00:25:29.640 |
as we're avoiding wipe out, just make a decision and go on. 00:25:32.800 |
And as soon as you make the decision, you'll probably know within very short order whether 00:25:38.080 |
it was the right decision or the wrong decision because now you're not dithering about trying 00:25:49.760 |
I have gone out and reached out and spoken to hiring managers and I think maybe my issue 00:25:55.960 |
with this particular decision is I think I'm very on the cusp of I'm looking at jobs that 00:26:01.200 |
I am qualified for but there are likely many likely to be more qualified applicant than 00:26:07.080 |
I've had that on a couple of the jobs I've been turned down for already. 00:26:12.040 |
We would have been very happy to hire you but this guy was three quarters of a percent 00:26:15.320 |
better or one manager told me they basically literally said they flipped a coin and I lost. 00:26:25.640 |
So as far as any details of that, you're on the right track. 00:26:29.480 |
I would just add go from there and make sure that you're expressing your desire because 00:26:36.240 |
if things are that close, I mean you know as well as anyone, if you were hiring someone 00:26:41.720 |
to work beside you, you would want someone who really wants the job and so express the 00:26:46.640 |
desire and try to do that in a stronger way in addition to just the straight out qualifications. 00:26:54.080 |
Kyle in the state of Washington, welcome to the show. 00:27:07.720 |
Hey Josh, I appreciate you hosting the session today. 00:27:16.600 |
Overall I think my wife and I have done a pretty good job in regards to accumulating 00:27:20.920 |
that we're focusing on income and reducing expenses but one area I have to give myself 00:27:31.840 |
As a father with two younger kids, I've got a six-year-old and a nine-year-old, I want 00:27:42.400 |
The obstacle I have is that I think from a family and value standpoint we have people 00:27:50.880 |
within our circle that we would be comfortable raising the children if something happened 00:27:59.080 |
But my challenge is I think as part of that conversation figuring out who to be an executor 00:28:08.280 |
on our estate, talking finances, I would say that some of the family dynamics that would 00:28:16.640 |
I don't think they realize maybe what we've been able to accomplish and trying to one, 00:28:25.600 |
clean up our estate but also be sensitive to not creating other problems while I'm alive. 00:28:32.440 |
I don't know if you have any advice on where to start or maybe how to approach it. 00:28:38.960 |
Do you know, if you were sitting in a lawyer's office, do you know what you want to happen 00:28:47.720 |
Do you know how that would come about legally speaking? 00:28:51.320 |
Philosophically, I don't know how to do it in practice but I think my kids are too young 00:28:58.760 |
to, I would assume to directly inherit anything but if somebody would have to step in and 00:29:06.120 |
raise them to maturity in our absence, I'd want them to obviously have the resources 00:29:12.840 |
funding to be able to do that where I wasn't creating a burden on somebody else. 00:29:17.880 |
And then obviously any kind of surplus or excess be left to our children. 00:29:24.160 |
So I'm going to do something that always makes guys like me nervous which is to be prescriptive 00:29:29.640 |
or just give suggestions without actually polling you for details of your estate and 00:29:36.840 |
So I am not a lawyer and this is not legal advice because a proper advisor would ask 00:29:43.680 |
you a lot of questions about what you own, what you want to accomplish, etc. 00:29:46.800 |
But what I sense happens a lot of times on this topic of estate planning is simply that 00:29:52.600 |
because it is so under discussed, then people don't actually know what their options are. 00:30:01.280 |
So I'm going to give you what I think is probably about the right solution for about 80% of 00:30:06.840 |
young parents in situations perhaps like yours. 00:30:11.560 |
It's not the right solution in all situations but it's the right solution for about 80% 00:30:18.360 |
Basically if you have a decent amount of assets and those assets can be created based on investments 00:30:26.100 |
that you've made, those assets can be created just purely on life insurance that you have. 00:30:30.320 |
It's not unusual for a young father to have $3 million of life insurance. 00:30:34.840 |
That's a lot of money and your kids can't inherit it so you need an estate plan for 00:30:39.120 |
And so if you've got a few million bucks or you're on your way to a few million bucks 00:30:42.320 |
but you don't have anything that's super sticky, for example you don't own a business that 00:30:48.680 |
you're a 50% interest in or something like that that requires specific planning about 00:30:53.040 |
what would happen to the shares of the business or you're not a part of a family trust of 00:30:58.240 |
some kind or a family business is passing down, etc. 00:31:01.720 |
You've just got some money, you've made some good financial decisions, you've accumulated 00:31:05.040 |
money, it's spread across a variety of normal assets. 00:31:07.880 |
You have equity in your house, you have vehicles, you have 401k accounts and other retirement 00:31:12.720 |
accounts, you've got some physical assets, you've got some insurance and you've got some 00:31:16.420 |
other investment properties and things like that. 00:31:20.600 |
Let's assume that there's no special needs involved, etc. 00:31:23.160 |
What I think makes, and you're young, there's no reason to expect that you're going to die, 00:31:26.660 |
it's just a matter of covering your bases, having a will, etc. 00:31:31.420 |
The basic thing that you want to do is have two things accomplished. 00:31:36.900 |
Number one, you want to designate the ideal person that you want to be the guardian for 00:31:45.860 |
your children and hopefully there would be a few. 00:31:54.740 |
If my wife and I are dead, I want this person to raise my children, to be the guardian of 00:32:00.340 |
If that person is unavailable or unwilling, I want this person. 00:32:03.340 |
If that person is unavailable or unwilling, I want this person. 00:32:06.440 |
Just know that guardianship, you cannot force guardianship in your will, but what you can 00:32:12.980 |
do is make it very clear what your desires and intentions are and that has a lot of weight 00:32:18.020 |
with the court and a lot of weight with anybody who would be the guardian of your children. 00:32:22.540 |
So you're trying to establish who you would want to be the guardian of your children and 00:32:26.100 |
you're trying to make that clear so that your children can be raised according to your and 00:32:34.420 |
The second thing that you are trying to do is to make sure that your children are provided 00:32:40.020 |
for financially, both while minors and also according to your wishes as adults. 00:32:47.780 |
So if your children were adults, it would be no problem, you could just leave your money 00:32:51.480 |
to them or of course if you could establish certain restrictions in a trust, etc. 00:32:57.120 |
But the basic problem is that you've got a six-year-old and a nine-year-old and they're 00:33:01.140 |
legally incompetent to inherit money, especially a lot of money. 00:33:05.380 |
And so you need somebody to care for the money and so thus you're going to need some kind 00:33:10.820 |
of trust and you're going to need a trustee to care for the money. 00:33:15.500 |
And that trustee can be the same person who is the guardian, but it doesn't have to be 00:33:23.280 |
And so what I think works well for most people in your situation is simply this. 00:33:29.020 |
You decide who the guardian of your children would be. 00:33:33.160 |
And if you have multiple people, then you could put them in order of your preference, 00:33:38.500 |
Then you decide who do I trust that would love, that loves those children and absolutely 00:33:48.620 |
And it doesn't have to be the guardian, but who do I trust would fight for those children's 00:33:53.180 |
And you can designate that person as the trustee of what's going to be your family trust. 00:33:59.420 |
Now in some cases I think it works nicely to have a co-trustee. 00:34:03.580 |
So I don't want to go, I don't want to say what exactly I have done, but I'll just say 00:34:10.180 |
that in many cases if the guardian of your child is a co-trustee with someone else who's 00:34:19.580 |
not caring for the children, but who's someone else who is competent to be able to just provide 00:34:26.020 |
supervision and make sure the children are being cared for, then that can be a nice safeguard. 00:34:31.200 |
Then what you do is you go to your lawyer and you have your lawyer write a will for 00:34:35.620 |
you, and inside of your will you're going to create a testamentary trust. 00:34:41.140 |
This is a trust that only comes into being upon your death, when your last will and testament 00:34:49.140 |
So all the trust documents are there, but it doesn't exist, it's not funded, it's just 00:34:54.660 |
And then in that testamentary trust you simply designate the trustee or the co-trustees for 00:35:02.340 |
your assets, and you direct that the trustee or the co-trustees are to distribute money 00:35:09.180 |
from the trust for the support of your children and for their education and maintenance and 00:35:18.020 |
And I think that if you have a trustee that you are confident in, then you want to give 00:35:25.720 |
So in my own trust I have it written with a wide degree of latitude. 00:35:29.740 |
I trust my trustee, I've chosen someone that I believe will do the best, and so I want 00:35:34.460 |
to give that person a wide degree of latitude. 00:35:38.060 |
And there's plenty of money there in the trust, so they don't have to shortchange it. 00:35:43.180 |
But the idea is that you want the guardian to know that the guardian can care for the 00:35:48.820 |
children and there's going to be ample financial resources to compensate the guardian for his 00:35:57.660 |
So the children are not a financial burden on his finances. 00:36:01.140 |
And then the children are going to be properly cared for, they're going to have everything 00:36:03.780 |
they need covered for education, health, maintenance, and support. 00:36:07.540 |
And then you can decide the trust terms, but what I think makes a lot of sense is give 00:36:13.380 |
the trustee ample control to distribute for education and for maintenance and support, 00:36:21.580 |
and then set a time, something like around the age of 30, for full disbursement of all 00:36:27.020 |
of the trust funds directly to the beneficiary, directly to your children. 00:36:32.300 |
Then once you have that trust, then all you do is you simply go through all of your assets 00:36:37.900 |
and you title as the beneficiary of all of your assets that have beneficiary designations 00:36:45.300 |
the trust established under the will of your name. 00:36:48.340 |
And then any other assets will be handled by the will itself, and you'll direct that 00:36:56.100 |
And then direct, you don't have to direct, but you can just give the trustee the right 00:37:03.940 |
And then, so you would say the trustee of course can sell my real estate, et cetera, 00:37:07.900 |
the family home, all of this stuff can be sold, all of the money can be put into the 00:37:13.420 |
And then separate from that, you just write your own letter of intent, and just write 00:37:19.220 |
your letter of instructions or letter of understanding to the trustee. 00:37:23.260 |
And this is not a binding, a legally binding thing, but is basically your way of saying, 00:37:27.900 |
"Hey, if I died today on November 17, 2023, then I think it would make the most sense 00:37:34.180 |
for my house to be sold and for our rental house to be sold, but I don't think it would 00:37:40.300 |
make a lot of sense for this raw land that we have over there to be sold." 00:37:44.920 |
So I would suggest that you as a trustee that you continue to own the land, but you go ahead 00:37:48.460 |
and sell these other houses and turn them into cash. 00:37:50.860 |
Then five years from now, you just go ahead and print up a new letter and say, "Hey, I 00:37:54.260 |
think now it's time that that raw land would actually be sold because of such and such." 00:37:58.340 |
And again, you would probably sell it yourself if you thought it was time to be sold. 00:38:01.600 |
But you can write any kind of instructions like that that you want, and you can update 00:38:06.460 |
And then your last kind of tool in the tool belt is if you feel you need it, if you're 00:38:11.060 |
not sure who to designate as trustee or as co-trustee, then just simply hire a professional 00:38:16.980 |
trustee and/or designate a professional trustee in your kind of third line of succession or 00:38:26.420 |
And so you can just hire a professional trustee who will be the steward of the accounts. 00:38:31.580 |
And the fees are reasonable, and you'll know that there's a professional who's looking 00:38:38.740 |
And at the end of the day, if any of the people, the individuals that you have selected are 00:38:44.260 |
not willing to serve, then that's taken care of. 00:38:51.700 |
That something like something would be helpful for you? 00:39:00.160 |
When it comes to a professional trustee, would that typically be somebody that a law firm 00:39:07.380 |
could refer me to, or where do you go looking for someone of that? 00:39:13.540 |
So you have all these big firms you've heard of, or maybe like Northern Trust or Bessemer 00:39:20.220 |
There's these trust companies that quite literally, this is what they do. 00:39:24.300 |
They are professional trustees, professional money managers, et cetera. 00:39:28.140 |
It doesn't have to be one of those big expensive firms, but it will often be somebody who does 00:39:39.180 |
It can be a financial advisor, or it can be somebody who actually does this as a job. 00:39:46.800 |
But yes, your lawyer will have, when you sit with your lawyer and you say, "Could you recommend 00:39:52.780 |
Your lawyer will have a long list of people that he works with that he can confirm and 00:39:55.980 |
say, "Hey, this would be a great person for you to consider." 00:39:58.900 |
And actually, it doesn't have to be specified in the documents. 00:40:02.780 |
You just indicate that there needs to be a professional trustee, and then the people 00:40:07.260 |
who are involved with your estate, your executor, et cetera, they'll go through the process 00:40:11.980 |
of finding a professional trustee to serve if your previous trustees are unwilling to 00:40:18.540 |
So it doesn't need to be on retainer or anything. 00:40:24.900 |
>>Josh: In my trust, I have this person as primary co-trustees, these two people. 00:40:31.100 |
I have the guardian of my children and another trusted person as co-trustees at the first 00:40:40.900 |
So here's always this balance with legal documents. 00:40:45.460 |
The legal document is not actually necessary if you're dealing with people who are trustworthy. 00:40:53.460 |
But if you're dealing with people who are untrustworthy, the legal document is not sufficient 00:41:00.460 |
So the legal document in some sense is pointless because trustworthy people will do the right 00:41:05.620 |
thing and untrustworthy people will probably try to do the wrong thing regardless of what 00:41:13.020 |
But what the legal document does is it gives formal power to certain people and to the 00:41:18.980 |
court to make sure that there's sanctions in place if people act wrongly. 00:41:26.740 |
And so I want to give maximum latitude to the guardian of my children. 00:41:32.200 |
But I also want there to be a legal sanction there, somebody else who is involved, who 00:41:41.340 |
And I want the court to be able to hold those persons responsible for acting in the best 00:41:47.500 |
So that's why we have the court documents in place, is they just provide a legal mechanism 00:41:54.660 |
that somebody can be prosecuted, control can be done, legal documents can be created, etc. 00:42:01.140 |
And those people have the right to do that with the document. 00:42:06.940 |
And then just one last clarification for the execution on this. 00:42:11.420 |
In naming the trust a beneficiary, that would be a secondary beneficiary, right? 00:42:21.340 |
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And so usually you and your wife will have a mirror will and testament, mirror will and 00:42:59.340 |
So all of the provisions of it will be the same except flipped. 00:43:03.220 |
And then all of the primary beneficiaries on all of your accounts will be your wife. 00:43:08.020 |
She will have all of your money if you're dead, and she'll take care of the children. 00:43:12.820 |
And then it's only the trusts only come into action if both you and your wife die simultaneously 00:43:20.200 |
or within short order and she hasn't changed the affairs. 00:43:30.900 |
And so to cover myself and to be professionally appropriate, like this is just a general outline. 00:43:39.460 |
Your lawyer's job is to engage in more specific fact finding, more specific discussion of 00:43:46.500 |
appropriate options for you, deal with any specific relationships and things like that 00:43:55.100 |
But a lot of times you're just confused because you don't know what the options are. 00:43:58.580 |
And what I've described I think is probably the best option for about 80% of people in 00:44:04.980 |
And I want to say quickly and clearly, this will be different when you're 60 years old. 00:44:09.420 |
Things will be very different when you're 60 years old. 00:44:11.180 |
You have a different set of considerations, et cetera. 00:44:13.300 |
But for young parents who are just saying, "I know I need to get a will because I want 00:44:16.300 |
to establish the guardianship of my children, but I don't know how to do it and I ought 00:44:19.420 |
to know something about it," what I've described will I think work about 80% of the time. 00:44:27.700 |
Man, I got so nervous I just hung right up on you. 00:44:42.740 |
I've got some pretty kindergarten-y stuff to ask in comparison today. 00:44:47.620 |
I periodically go to your Twitter and scroll through a month or two of your posting, and 00:44:54.100 |
I just have a Twitter account to read you and a handful of other folks. 00:44:59.940 |
But I've got a handful of what I hope could be rapid fire questions. 00:45:10.900 |
A handful of Q&A shows ago, a guy called and was worried about AI being the next nuclear 00:45:21.460 |
And your guy, Jack Spierko, had an episode on... 00:45:25.300 |
Kind of right after I heard him expresses his fears. 00:45:33.860 |
And if your enemy has a weapon and you don't have that weapon to be able to utilize in 00:45:38.140 |
the same fashion as your enemy, then you're doing yourself a disservice. 00:45:41.940 |
So instead of sticking your head in the sand and ostriching away from it, you should turn 00:45:51.940 |
You try looking at things positively, and I thought that was a good way to... 00:45:55.860 |
It's a pessimistic view still, but it's a good way to wrap your head around what the 00:46:00.660 |
real threats are is by learning what it is and getting involved. 00:46:15.780 |
One thing you posted about human foot-shaped footwear. 00:46:20.660 |
There was some guy on there that was putting up all these different shoe brands. 00:46:25.820 |
I'm a similar height to you, and I think we have the same size foot. 00:46:33.380 |
And I'm curious what kind of shoes you're finding that are good for your feet. 00:46:37.740 |
Right now I'm using an Ultra because it's the only company I can find that makes a shoe 00:46:49.580 |
I have tried to buy them a couple times, and due to the size of my feet, they're just not 00:46:57.020 |
Except for one that I think you – I assume you probably just mentioned that I've been 00:47:03.740 |
My embrace of the kind of barefoot shoe thing is simply involved just primarily trying to 00:47:13.740 |
And so I try to do all of my walking, do my 10,000 steps barefoot. 00:47:19.580 |
I try to do my running and my sprints barefoot. 00:47:22.380 |
I try to just be barefoot more and more, and I don't have currently any barefoot shoes. 00:47:28.940 |
I have been intending to get more deeply into it, like getting the toe spacers and the toe 00:47:35.740 |
Since I don't live in the US, I can't get that stuff easily. 00:47:38.220 |
If I were in the United States, I would have the whole stuff. 00:47:40.340 |
But because I have to plan ahead and buy it all and pick it up when I go into the US, 00:47:45.420 |
then it's just one of those things that just hasn't been a big priority. 00:47:49.040 |
So mostly I just try to be barefoot as much as I can, and then the rest of the time I 00:47:57.460 |
I've wanted to get my children into – kind of the same actionable thing with my children 00:48:03.820 |
is that I just try to encourage them to be barefoot most of the time. 00:48:07.780 |
And I don't have a whole suite of barefoot shoes for them. 00:48:11.820 |
Primarily the cost, like you go out and you think about paying 80 bucks, 60 bucks, 70 00:48:19.020 |
bucks times five every time you need shoes, and then three months later they've outgrown 00:48:25.420 |
And so I've just mostly just encouraged my children to be barefoot. 00:48:30.900 |
So I'm not a purist on that topic, though the barefoot stuff makes a lot of sense to 00:48:36.620 |
Yeah, I know my kid uses his shoes for bike breaks. 00:48:38.780 |
It's pretty hard to justify a hundred-dollar bike break like that. 00:48:51.380 |
So you've talked about in the past working out a more healthy prepper menu. 00:48:55.780 |
And I think about this, you know, we have food if we need it, and it's not the greatest. 00:49:01.860 |
And you know, we don't feel great when we eat it as a family. 00:49:06.060 |
Typically we don't eat beans and rice all the time. 00:49:09.340 |
And you know, is there any place you would go? 00:49:12.660 |
I know you say you've been out of that kind of for a while. 00:49:14.980 |
But you know, aside from buying a great big freeze dryer and making my own, you know, 00:49:23.540 |
Eat versus donate, I guess, is my question there. 00:49:29.220 |
You know, if I'm just going to have these beans and rice laying around, do I just donate 00:49:32.940 |
them every five years and buy new beans and rice and I end up never touching it? 00:49:38.760 |
So I would say I think I kind of think of this as a barbell strategy in the world of 00:49:47.140 |
First I think there's a scale and by scale I mean a continuum. 00:49:56.180 |
And it seems like a lot of people want to get the best thing for all circumstances and 00:50:05.700 |
So if you want, for example, the cheapest prepper food, the cheapest prepper food is 00:50:11.820 |
going to be to buy bulk wheat, bulk corn, bulk beans and bulk rice to get mylar bags, 00:50:18.580 |
seal them up yourself and set them away in five gallon buckets. 00:50:23.060 |
That's going to be your cheapest way to get huge amounts of calories stored for the long 00:50:28.900 |
The problem is that the majority of us don't eat that ever, like really ever. 00:50:34.060 |
And so one of the challenges, it's always been a challenge with preparedness food, has 00:50:39.060 |
been teaching people how to even use this stuff. 00:50:41.620 |
I did it once as an experiment I guess with like wheat berries and making a wheat berry 00:50:48.020 |
But the classic thing with wheat berries is people don't have a grinder, nobody bakes 00:50:54.940 |
So yeah, it's bulk calories but there's a whole skill set associated with actually acquiring 00:51:00.980 |
The technological revolution for long term storage food has been the freeze dried food. 00:51:13.140 |
They at least have calories and they last for 30 years. 00:51:16.340 |
The problem with the freeze dried food is usually the cost, that they're substantially 00:51:20.620 |
more expensive than just stocking up on calories. 00:51:23.740 |
And so you have to ask yourself, am I the kind of guy who has the money that I can just 00:51:28.300 |
go and buy freeze dried food and set it away for 30 years and forget about it? 00:51:33.140 |
Or am I the kind of guy who needs to develop the skills so that I can't solve with money? 00:51:38.140 |
I have frequently recommended with private consulting clients, guys who, I'm not saying 00:51:43.140 |
you're a centimillionaire, but there's a lot of guys who just need to go to Costco and 00:51:48.500 |
buy a pallet and spend $8,000 or $10,000 and buy a pallet of freeze dried food from Costco 00:51:55.460 |
or whatever it is and just literally buy the freeze dried food, put it in a dark room in 00:52:04.020 |
Now is that true preparedness in the sense that you've learned how to be self-reliant 00:52:08.220 |
and self-sufficient for a 30 year great collapse? 00:52:11.220 |
No, but it's a tremendously valuable insurance policy and the cost of it over the next 30 00:52:18.300 |
years will become totally negligible as compared to the peace of mind. 00:52:22.540 |
And so I think that if, as long as someone is not completely broke, that freeze dried 00:52:27.900 |
food, substantial quantities of it, just bought from any of the large number of excellent 00:52:36.660 |
And of course you should do a little bit of practice with it, buy some, use some, etc. 00:52:41.860 |
But that's your fast way to spend money to solve the problem. 00:52:45.300 |
The flip side is I think you have the standard thing of a deep pantry. 00:52:50.660 |
That's not that hard to do of just buying a little bit extra of the stuff that you do 00:52:54.700 |
and that's not going to get you to years of preparedness, but it will get you to a few 00:53:02.580 |
And then for health food, I think the secret is chest freezers and lots of frozen meat 00:53:07.660 |
and frozen other stuff as well, but frozen meat. 00:53:12.300 |
And so if you have a couple of extra chest freezers and you have a generator and some 00:53:16.560 |
way of keeping those freezers going, then that's where I think your deep stock of health 00:53:22.700 |
I consider meat to be the primary health food. 00:53:25.620 |
I could exist completely healthily on nothing except meat and meat has the unique benefit 00:53:31.620 |
of lasting for quite a long time frozen and we can use it regularly from a frozen state. 00:53:38.220 |
And so if you just have an extra chest freezer or a couple of extra chest freezers and you 00:53:43.700 |
have some fuel source to keep them going, so some guys will have one propane chest freezer 00:53:48.480 |
and one electric chest freezer with a generator to power it or some version like that, then 00:53:56.420 |
And if you've got $5,000 worth of meat in your freezer, you've got a couple of months 00:54:00.580 |
of stuff, of food, of high quality health food. 00:54:08.220 |
And I think that with those two things put, actually I guess I said three things, but 00:54:11.940 |
those three things put together, a stock of freeze dried food set aside somewhere that 00:54:16.700 |
you're probably never going to touch, it's going to sit there and 45 years from now it's 00:54:21.580 |
And then a deep pantry that's a few months worth and then a good supply of meat in the 00:54:25.780 |
freezer, you've got great health food that's going to last you for a long time. 00:54:32.740 |
My friend Stephen Harris has this info product that he sells on how to preserve eggs for 00:54:39.260 |
And so you go and have buckets full of eggs preserved in a, I think it's a lime solution 00:54:45.700 |
Like all the stuff works, but a lot of that, that pepper stuff just becomes a hassle. 00:54:49.920 |
And so what I've described is the lowest hassle for a medium cost. 00:54:53.340 |
And I think that works for a lot of people, the beans and the corn and all that I think 00:55:01.580 |
So if somebody has the energy to go and do that, great, you can order a lot of that stuff 00:55:06.620 |
pre-prepared if you know how to, if you know how to use it. 00:55:10.060 |
The other thing that makes, that I think makes sense is just if you're, if you're uniquely 00:55:14.380 |
concerned about a crisis, then just go and stock up more of it. 00:55:18.700 |
And so the classic one that I recommend is just corn. 00:55:22.100 |
You know, you can, Harris is the one who taught me all the corn stuff, but he does all this 00:55:27.780 |
stuff with corn, teaches you how to use it and make food with it and whatnot. 00:55:34.660 |
If there's a, if there's some kind of thing that you're worried about, then just have 00:55:38.260 |
on your mental checklist, first place I'm going to go is tractor supply and I'm going 00:55:41.500 |
to get 30 bags of feed corn and that 30 bags of feed corn is going to last you through 00:55:45.940 |
the, you know, for a couple of years with no special preservation, no buckets and mylar 00:55:53.300 |
But it gives you the ability to feed your neighbors and feed your neighborhood. 00:55:55.940 |
And if, if, if you don't use it, then the cost is so cheap that you're out a few hundred 00:56:03.420 |
So I think that, you know, I don't have 50 gallon, five gallon buckets of stuff in my 00:56:09.220 |
If I lived in a place where I could have it, I would probably want it. 00:56:12.500 |
But I think that I think of it like a barbell strategy, a stock of freeze dried stuff, a 00:56:17.380 |
heavy pantry and heavy meat in the refrigerator. 00:56:20.180 |
That's the health food for virtually all things. 00:56:22.420 |
And the real reality is the idea of not being able to buy food for years at a time is, is 00:56:31.260 |
And so for many people, especially in the United States, you know, food shortages, crises, 00:56:36.580 |
things like that, they're going to be short to medium term things. 00:56:40.660 |
And you can, and it's not that nothing is available. 00:56:43.920 |
It's just that maybe not everything that you previously used was available. 00:56:48.100 |
So as Spirico used to point out, if you've got three months worth of food storage, realistically 00:56:53.860 |
that three months could probably be pretty easily turned into six months just with stocking 00:57:02.300 |
You're not, we're not, we're not going to live in a, in a world in which today everything 00:57:07.780 |
We sit in our homes and eat nothing but stored food for three years and then emerge like 00:57:12.220 |
Just not, I can't, I can't come up with an event in which that actually is the case. 00:57:21.700 |
And I, we're already kind of doing that, right? 00:57:22.980 |
I mean, that's a heavy pantry in a freezer full of food is, is just a cost effective 00:57:29.100 |
And so, yeah, like you say, adding to the barbell is a good, good way to go about it. 00:57:39.860 |
I read a lot of Peter Zahan's books at your recommendation probably five, six months ago. 00:57:46.260 |
For some investment questions that I had and I'm looking, having difficulty finding counter 00:57:54.460 |
And I'm curious if you, who, who have you read that carries a lot of weight in that 00:58:00.540 |
space and may or may not agree fully with what Mr. Zahan has proposes probably in our 00:58:11.180 |
And then I'll stop with the rapid fire stuff. 00:58:12.820 |
The most interesting one was that I saw Zahan himself say that he had, was doing a debate 00:58:20.780 |
I haven't seen the, I haven't seen any video or audio of that, but I would look forward 00:58:30.260 |
So the problem, here's the problem I have with Zahan. 00:58:34.500 |
I kind of feel like he is a, an enormous cheerleader of the United States. 00:58:41.860 |
And I kind of feel like he's on the CIA payroll because as somebody said to me, like, you 00:58:47.460 |
know, the stuff he says, the stuff he says is basically an American politician's wet 00:58:53.060 |
You know, it's like rah, rah, rah, US is so well positioned, everywhere else is terrible 00:58:59.740 |
So I kind of have this feeling that, especially given his background, you know, being involved 00:59:04.620 |
in those circles and, and his work in DC and his work in years past, I almost feel like 00:59:10.980 |
he's got a nice check that clears every month from the CIA or from the, some, you know, 00:59:16.780 |
So that he just keeps saying nice things about the United States. 00:59:20.040 |
But the problem is that he backs all this stuff up with data and I can't find a, a compelling 00:59:31.540 |
There are a few people who ideologically don't agree with him. 00:59:36.260 |
Zion basically waves his hand and discounts anything kind of culture related. 00:59:42.260 |
He's very dismissive of, of anything culture war related. 00:59:48.620 |
And I think, you know, fine that to a degree, like certainly geography is probably more 00:59:55.060 |
important than culture in many cases, but you know, culture wars often turn into actual 01:00:05.060 |
But I feel like that's a weak point that he just kind of glosses over that and doesn't 01:00:11.260 |
I find it interesting and slightly maddening how he never talks about, he doesn't spend 01:00:18.540 |
much time in any of his books talking about structures of government. 01:00:24.240 |
Is there actually benefit in the, the, the concept of, of a democratic republic, an experiment 01:00:32.100 |
in, in, you know, liberty and ordered liberty like the United States is, or was just all 01:00:37.820 |
I, I wish he would deal with that a little bit, but, but I don't have, there are not 01:00:42.820 |
a lot of people who, who just, who, who derive data. 01:00:48.140 |
Most of the time I look for his haters and most of the time it's just an emotional reaction. 01:00:51.940 |
And I, so this is a rambling way of saying I can't cite a single name specifically that, 01:00:59.700 |
that I would say is, is kind of someone who is writing in contra to him. 01:01:06.300 |
Now I have not looked in the last few months, maybe something has been developed in the 01:01:11.100 |
What I do think is interesting is to spend some time imagining the world on the other 01:01:22.100 |
And so I've always thought that the writers of, hold on, let me look, have you ever read 01:01:28.300 |
The Sovereign Individual with James David, here we go, come on, auto correct doing its 01:01:39.860 |
So there's a book, it's 15 years old, called The Sovereign Individual, Mastering the Transition 01:01:44.480 |
to the Information Age by James Dale Davidson and Lord William Reese Mogg. 01:01:50.400 |
It's an old book, but I think it's still a timely book. 01:01:53.660 |
And one of the things that, that as a primary lens of analysis that those authors use is 01:02:08.500 |
And the basic point, it's a hefty, hefty book, so it's hard for me to summarize it, but one 01:02:16.020 |
of their biggest points is they talk about how the logic of violence is basically an 01:02:27.300 |
And they describe how in different phases, based upon this transition, based upon the 01:02:38.380 |
tools of violence, et cetera, you have different phases. 01:02:41.420 |
And I have, years ago, flippantly I used to say, oh, the nation state is only a temporary 01:02:50.540 |
thing, but I didn't have a clear alternative for it. 01:02:57.460 |
And it's something that we're so accustomed to thinking of the nation state as supreme 01:03:03.500 |
that it's very hard for us to even visualize something other than the nation state. 01:03:09.300 |
The whole concept of the nation state is so built into our mode of thinking, and it's 01:03:14.500 |
done that way by those who want to see the nation state continue. 01:03:20.140 |
They're trying to keep it going, so they want it to be. 01:03:22.780 |
But the point of the nation state is that it's only a solution for certain things at 01:03:30.580 |
And I'm desperately flipping to try to get my copy of The Sovereign Individual open so 01:03:34.260 |
I can read to you something from it, because it talks about the stages. 01:03:42.020 |
And so here is, I'll just read slightly from the introduction, because they do a good job 01:03:53.860 |
The theme of this book is the new revelation of power, which is liberating individuals 01:03:58.400 |
at the expense of the 20th century nation state. 01:04:01.860 |
By the way, again, this book was written in 2000, released in 2000, so more than 15 years, 01:04:10.140 |
Innovations that alter the logic of violence in unprecedented ways are transforming the 01:04:17.660 |
If our deductions are correct, you stand at the threshold of the most sweeping revolution 01:04:23.820 |
Faster than all but a few now imagine, microprocessing will subvert and destroy the nation state, 01:04:30.140 |
creating new forms of social organization in the process. 01:04:33.320 |
This will be far from an easy transformation. 01:04:36.300 |
The challenge it will pose will be all the greater because it will happen with incredible 01:04:40.100 |
speed compared with anything seen in the past. 01:04:44.080 |
Through all of human history, from its earliest beginnings until now, there have been only 01:04:59.340 |
Now looming over the horizon is something entirely new, the fourth stage of social organization, 01:05:08.140 |
Each of the previous stages of society has corresponded with distinctly different phases 01:05:15.980 |
As we explain in detail, information societies promise to dramatically reduce the returns 01:05:21.540 |
to violence in part because they transcend locality. 01:05:27.260 |
The virtual reality of cyberspace, what novelist William Gibson characterized as "a consensual 01:05:33.620 |
hallucination" will be as far beyond the reach of bullies as imagination can take it. 01:05:39.640 |
In the new millennium, the advantage of controlling violence on a large scale will be far lower 01:05:44.500 |
than it has been at any time since before the French Revolution. 01:05:53.580 |
When the payoff for organizing violence at a large scale tumbles, the payoff from violence 01:06:01.580 |
Violence will become more random and localized. 01:06:08.260 |
Another logical implication of falling returns to violence is the eclipse of politics, which 01:06:16.220 |
There is much evidence that adherence to the civic myths of the 20th century nation-state 01:06:22.460 |
The death of communism is merely the most striking example. 01:06:25.780 |
As we explore in detail, the collapse of morality and growing corruption among leaders of Western 01:06:32.660 |
They are evident that the potential of the nation-state is exhausted. 01:06:36.480 |
And many of its leaders no longer believe the platitudes they mouth, nor are they believed 01:06:42.100 |
So I would read the whole book to you if I could, but it's a great book and I would 01:06:47.500 |
But it's, I think, one of the more interesting comments on this. 01:06:52.380 |
And I think that if you haven't read it, this is a good time to read it, because the predictions 01:07:02.980 |
And what's interesting to me is that when I consider the changes that have happened 01:07:08.160 |
in society, in my experience of it, it very much reflects some of these macro trends that 01:07:19.380 |
Reese and whatever his name is, predicted way back in the year 2000. 01:07:26.280 |
And it's left me, and I think a lot of people, with a great deal of uncertainty. 01:07:32.140 |
And so I've been talking recently publicly about why I left the United States. 01:07:36.880 |
And it's been a very strange emotional process for me, because I identified deeply with what 01:07:46.980 |
And I watched my country completely change and transform. 01:07:50.760 |
And I've observed that there are a couple of things that have happened. 01:07:54.720 |
But there are some people, most people, have just simply changed their politics, their 01:08:03.620 |
In the 20 years that I've been paying attention to politics, there has been almost a complete 01:08:09.820 |
flip-flop on so many issues between right-wing and left-wing people. 01:08:16.900 |
Obviously, there's distinctions between the political parties. 01:08:20.960 |
But the Republicans of today don't believe what the Republicans of a decade ago said 01:08:26.820 |
And the Democrats of today don't believe what the Democrats of a decade ago believed. 01:08:34.500 |
Because I thought I understood politics, and then politics completely transformed underneath 01:08:39.180 |
And to me, it makes more sense that some of these things are happening in terms of these 01:08:44.300 |
And a lot of them are being driven by the information age and the information revolution. 01:08:48.560 |
And so to me, the sovereign individual has been always a useful pathway through that. 01:08:56.340 |
And yet it deals with things that Zion doesn't talk about. 01:09:00.380 |
He basically assumes static, continual change. 01:09:04.860 |
He doesn't, in his analysis, I haven't seen any integration of dynamic events. 01:09:18.140 |
He uses politics and geography as his primary. 01:09:23.140 |
Demographics and geography are his big tools. 01:09:25.940 |
But I think that there needs to be some conversation about the nation state itself, and are there 01:09:32.220 |
So if I were having dinner with him, that's what I would ask him about. 01:09:37.100 |
He just hasn't written about it, nor have I found him talking about it. 01:09:40.260 |
So if I were interviewing him, or if I were having dinner with him, those are the things 01:09:48.100 |
My wife and I were talking about that very thing. 01:09:51.820 |
How do you reconcile the leader of the communist world coming to California and everybody going 01:09:59.180 |
and shaking hands with the guy versus what if we didn't do business with them? 01:10:04.780 |
What does that look like with our culture the way it is? 01:10:07.300 |
Who starts the manufacturing back up if we quit doing business entirely? 01:10:13.580 |
Those type of questions are really hard to answer. 01:10:19.180 |
There's these big gaping, maybe not big gaping gaps in his logic or what he decides to analyze, 01:10:29.540 |
I don't see anybody dropping big chunks of what he's missed in front of me. 01:10:37.500 |
I think it's good to look and obviously try and if it's something you agree with, turn 01:10:45.980 |
And if you're just trying to learn, then you should do the same thing. 01:10:52.060 |
There are other people, just to be clear, there are other people who write on some of 01:10:59.820 |
I think Tim Marshall's book, Prisoners of Geography, I put that into our homeschool 01:11:07.060 |
My son, my eldest, just read that last semester. 01:11:12.380 |
I've been reading a couple of Jared Diamond's books. 01:11:16.020 |
I read his book Crisis a couple years ago, and I'm in the process of reading Guns, Germs, 01:11:27.540 |
Ian Bremmer has some books that are on my list. 01:11:34.820 |
Friedman, Zeyhan used to work for Friedman, and I like Friedman's stuff. 01:11:43.140 |
So those are interesting, you know, it's an interesting space. 01:11:47.580 |
It's a very unique space, that idea of predicting the future, because you can pretty much say 01:11:56.260 |
I respect Zeyhan enormously for his defense, robust defense with good data of his events. 01:12:05.340 |
But I continue to believe, I believe that number one, people can change, and number 01:12:11.500 |
two, I believe that God is in control, sovereignly ordering things according to his macro plan. 01:12:18.500 |
So that religious dimension is an element that certainly Zeyhan gives no accounting 01:12:29.900 |
We finished the rest of your questions, or do you have anything else? 01:12:36.900 |
These tweets, Fred, sometimes you put up, there was a really good one about this guy 01:12:42.940 |
who was smoking a lot of pot, and then he chronicled how he'd quit and all the effects 01:12:49.980 |
that it had on him and his family, and it was fantastic. 01:12:53.220 |
And I wanted to share it with everybody I knew that picks the pipe up, and man alive, 01:13:06.800 |
When you start getting attention, it's overwhelming. 01:13:10.940 |
It's funny because I guess some people like going viral. 01:13:14.460 |
I've gone viral twice, and both times I've ended up deleting the threads because it was 01:13:21.020 |
just so uncomfortable to be the subject of a firestorm. 01:13:25.300 |
It's so different than anything that you are accustomed to. 01:13:31.540 |
And so if there's anything good, you always have to save it and screenshot it of the stuff 01:13:38.460 |
I am fascinated with that issue, and I have been rethinking – with the issue of marijuana 01:13:47.700 |
I'm really interested – I've been kind of trying to figure out what do I believe 01:13:56.980 |
When I was younger, I was like, "Well, of course drugs should be criminalized." 01:14:03.140 |
Then I got into the libertarian stuff, and it's like, "Well, who's harmed, et cetera?" 01:14:08.780 |
And then you look – one of the things that's been interesting is that since in my lifetime, 01:14:14.340 |
when most of those – we've watched – the whole trend has been towards legalization 01:14:20.260 |
of marijuana broadly, and more important than legalization, broad-scale acceptance of marijuana, 01:14:27.340 |
and then also legalization of many other drugs. 01:14:29.780 |
I have a hard time saying anything good about anything that's happened in the United States 01:14:35.180 |
You travel across the country, and I mean, it's a hellscape in many places, and it's 01:14:42.100 |
You go to the deep south and some of these towns that have been just destroyed, you look 01:14:45.500 |
at all the stuff that's happened right now with the fentanyl crisis, et cetera, and it's 01:14:51.300 |
And so I certainly don't hold to the libertarian position anymore. 01:14:57.140 |
I keep my mouth shut generally, but it's fascinating to watch. 01:15:01.020 |
And just this week, speaking of interesting things, just this week I was watching – there's 01:15:06.420 |
been some video come out of a recent thing that Peter Hitchens, the UK columnist, did. 01:15:16.460 |
You know Peter Hitchens, Christopher Hitchens' brother? 01:15:27.300 |
Peter is his brother, and Peter is equally fiery, but in a totally different way. 01:15:32.740 |
He's a Christian, but most of his stuff is political. 01:15:36.080 |
So he signed up for this thing where they put him into prison, and it was for a TV show, 01:15:44.020 |
but they sent him to prison for three days in like a mock environment for him to experience 01:15:49.140 |
And so there was this video of him that was widely seen where he's sitting there debating 01:15:55.320 |
a bunch of ex-cons who were in this prison experiment with him, and he's saying how 01:15:59.600 |
he believes that marijuana is the most dangerous drug. 01:16:03.500 |
And I find this very fascinating because I have come to hate marijuana because of the 01:16:11.360 |
destruction that it wreaks on the people of destroying their ambition, etc. 01:16:17.680 |
But I've kind of swallowed the line that, okay, at the end of the day it's probably 01:16:24.760 |
And so just this week I was saying I need to read what Hitchens has written on this 01:16:27.880 |
and see what he cites because it was just a fascinating argument that we're having 01:16:33.160 |
And I guess to me the biggest frustration to me has been the widespread acceptance of 01:16:40.440 |
marijuana and drugs in our society because I've watched it happen. 01:16:44.520 |
I have a friend of mine who is kind of a semi-retired 60-something guy, and he was always an ambitious 01:16:54.200 |
He was a professional athlete at one time, go-getting business guy. 01:16:57.260 |
He was kind of a conservative, not super-political, but conservative anti-pot kind of guy. 01:17:04.540 |
He started smoking pot, and now he just smokes pot every day. 01:17:07.980 |
And it just seems like such a waste to me that we allow that stuff to destroy the potential 01:17:13.580 |
But thankfully I don't have to make any public policy on it. 01:17:16.780 |
- Yeah, people aren't very honest about what it really does, I don't think. 01:17:22.180 |
If you do that or do some beer, well, I'll tell you there's a big difference." 01:17:26.540 |
People start out their day and end their evening with that stuff. 01:17:37.420 |
I'm going to have to start screenshotting if I want to share stuff like that. 01:17:53.740 |
I listened to everything you ever said and then I bring up these little tiny things way 01:17:58.700 |
So I don't expect you to remember, but you talked about, "Hey, I hurt my back and it 01:18:04.180 |
And I decided I can't be depressed about this. 01:18:12.420 |
I went from blue collar to white collar to blue collar and I hurt my back and I read 01:18:19.940 |
And I'm just curious, I read Dr. Stuart McGill's books and wrote her book. 01:18:25.420 |
He's got some really expensive books and I thought I got what I needed from his main 01:18:31.540 |
And Robin McKenzie, he's out of New Zealand and he wrote some treat your own back stuff. 01:18:37.060 |
And there's some other folks, but I'm just curious what you did or what you read or if 01:18:41.020 |
you did anything or if you just kind of laid around and got better. 01:18:45.860 |
Being six foot seven and a half inches tall, you and I kind of are in the same boat. 01:18:50.420 |
Eventually you're going to tweak your back and you got to be strong. 01:18:55.820 |
I do not have any chronic pain of any kind, including back pain. 01:19:00.760 |
The tweaking the back story, again, you'd probably go in a long time, but I remember 01:19:05.320 |
distinctly when I was, I think it was 26 years old and it was the first time I hurt my back. 01:19:18.720 |
I was serving, I was setting up a, I can't remember what the holiday was. 01:19:22.880 |
It was doing breakfast omelets on the beach for all my friends. 01:19:25.920 |
I hosted this big party on the beach in Florida and I was setting up my omelet station to 01:19:31.960 |
make omelets and I leaned down to pick up something from the ground, nothing heavy at 01:19:36.080 |
all and I tweaked my back and I couldn't move. 01:19:39.080 |
And I went home and spent the next two days sitting in the recliner and it was, what was 01:19:44.760 |
shocking about it is I've always enjoyed robust physical health, which is an enormous blessing. 01:19:50.500 |
And when you enjoy robust physical health without fighting for it, you take it for granted. 01:19:56.280 |
And when it's taken away from you, you all of a sudden stopped taking it for granted. 01:20:01.360 |
And so that experience was what opened my eyes to the incredibly difficult experience 01:20:10.000 |
One other time I tweaked my back and then I, over the last couple of years, I have this 01:20:16.140 |
occasional neck pain that happened for some reason. 01:20:19.840 |
And so I visit the chiropractor about once a month and as long as I do that, I don't 01:20:25.760 |
All of my research into back pain indicates to me that the vast majority of it is due 01:20:32.440 |
And so the most important thing to do is to strengthen the back and stretch it. 01:20:39.000 |
I had a neighbor when I was growing up, redneck neighbor, who was injured. 01:20:44.080 |
He was a diesel mechanic and he was injured, bunch of messed up discs and whatnot. 01:20:47.880 |
They put him on total disability and he endured pain for a long time. 01:20:53.240 |
And then finally one day he walked out on his back porch and he said, "I'm going to 01:20:58.400 |
And he reached up and he grabbed one of the rafters on his back porch and he just started 01:21:03.080 |
And he hung and he hung and he hung and he hung. 01:21:05.040 |
And he cured himself of his back pain just by hanging on his back porch every day. 01:21:09.280 |
And so as best I can understand, the majority of back pain should be treated by strengthening 01:21:16.720 |
the back, which is probably lifting heavy weights and all of the stabilizing muscles, 01:21:23.160 |
But strengthening the back with appropriate exercises is the key to avoiding back pain. 01:21:28.840 |
And so I've realized that you're a fool if you take your health for granted and I'm doing 01:21:35.080 |
everything I know to do and everything I'm able to do to be one who's actively building 01:21:40.560 |
And as Mark Ripito says, "I want to be hard to kill." 01:21:43.880 |
So stronger people are more useful in general and harder to kill. 01:21:52.360 |
See, I was writing down the names of the books because whenever I call you, I always blank 01:21:56.760 |
But I forget I bought that guy's book too, The Hanging from the, oh, what's his name? 01:22:01.960 |
Anyhow, yeah, there's a guy that he's a proponent of hanging for shoulder to avoid shoulder 01:22:07.840 |
But I started doing that and I found it helped me back out quite a bit too. 01:22:14.760 |
And then you get laid up by part of an omelet bar. 01:22:19.040 |
I mean, it's really, yeah, it could take the wind out of your sail. 01:22:23.040 |
Yeah, but I just thought I'd ask because you're a big reader. 01:22:29.760 |
Makes life easy for me when you call me up and throw me softballs. 01:22:32.440 |
So thank you very much and happy Thanksgiving to you. 01:22:36.360 |
And with that, we close down today's Friday Q&A podcast. 01:22:42.320 |
Remember that if you would like to be here for one of these Friday Q&A shows, all you 01:22:45.360 |
need to do is go to patreon.com/radicalpersonalfinance, sign up, support the show on Patreon. 01:22:57.840 |
Today we only have three calls, plenty of time for everybody. 01:22:59.960 |
Sometimes we get more, sometimes less, but I would love to have you on next week's show. 01:23:04.440 |
As we go, remember that I'm heavily promoting my international events right now. 01:23:09.580 |
Most importantly, the event in Panama that we're hosting in January. 01:23:12.160 |
This weekend I'm getting on the phone with my partners of that to wind up all those decisions 01:23:20.560 |
Go to expatmoney.com/radical, link in the show notes today. 01:23:27.120 |
And then if you're interested in some of the internationalization stuff that I've been 01:23:32.120 |
Internationalskateplan.com is the course that I sell. 01:24:03.600 |
We've locked in low prices to help you save big store wide. 01:24:06.920 |
Look for the locked in low prices tags and enjoy extra savings throughout the store.