back to index2022-08-25_Student_Loan_Debt_Cancelation
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If you are looking for an exciting role in customer service, food service, or retail, 00:00:07.520 |
Get started in a role that offers competitive wages, consistent schedules, and fast-tracked 00:00:12.560 |
management while you work in a vibrant, exciting environment where security is a priority. 00:00:25.380 |
Big news from the United States for those who have student loans. 00:00:28.560 |
It seems probable, based upon yesterday's announcement by President Biden, it seems 00:00:33.000 |
probable that if you have student loans, federal student loans, and if you earn under $125,000 00:00:38.480 |
per year, that some portion, up to 10, or in some cases $20,000 of your loans, will 00:00:43.600 |
be reduced, forgiven, canceled by the federal government. 00:00:47.760 |
Welcome to Radical Personal Finance, the show dedicated to providing you with the knowledge, 00:00:50.520 |
skills, insight, and encouragement you need to live a rich and meaningful life now while 00:00:54.460 |
building a plan for financial freedom in 10 years or less. 00:00:56.960 |
My name is Joshua Sheets, and today we're going to talk about this student loan news. 00:01:00.400 |
First, I want to go over what it actually means, a fact sheet of what's actually happening, 00:01:06.200 |
what the government says it's going to do, what are the rules for qualifying. 00:01:10.400 |
We'll talk a little bit about planning ideas. 00:01:12.200 |
Are there some financial planning ideas that you can implement or things that you can do 00:01:16.800 |
to make sure that you get the most government money that you can? 00:01:20.720 |
And then number three, we'll talk about general response and reaction to this. 00:01:24.960 |
What does this mean in terms of a social context, a political context? 00:01:29.840 |
What does this mean for people who have paid off their loans, et cetera? 00:01:32.720 |
So let's begin by reading the fact sheet published at whitehouse.gov. 00:01:36.800 |
Fact sheet, President Biden announces student loan relief for borrowers who need it most. 00:01:41.840 |
A three-part plan delivers on President Biden's promise to cancel $10,000 of student debt 00:01:50.280 |
President Biden believes that a post-high school education should be a ticket to a middle 00:01:55.560 |
But for too many, the cost of borrowing for college is a lifelong burden that deprives 00:02:02.080 |
During the campaign, he promised to provide student debt relief. 00:02:04.720 |
Today, the Biden administration is following through on that promise and providing families 00:02:08.800 |
breathing room as they prepare to start repaying loans after the economic crisis brought on 00:02:16.200 |
Since 1980, the total cost of both four-year public and four-year private college has nearly 00:02:25.840 |
Pell Grants once covered nearly 80 percent of the cost of a four-year public college 00:02:29.520 |
degree for students from working families, but now only cover a third. 00:02:33.960 |
That has left many students from low and middle income families with no choice but to borrow 00:02:41.280 |
According to a Department of Education analysis, the typical undergraduate student with loans 00:02:50.520 |
The skyrocketing cumulative federal student loan debt, $1.6 trillion and rising for more 00:02:55.680 |
than 45 million borrowers, is a significant burden on America's middle class. 00:03:00.780 |
Middle class borrowers struggle with high monthly payments and ballooning balances that 00:03:05.360 |
make it harder for them to build wealth like buying homes, putting away money for retirement, 00:03:12.480 |
For the most vulnerable borrowers, the effects of debt are even more crushing. 00:03:16.580 |
Nearly one-third of borrowers have debt but no degree. 00:03:19.440 |
According to an analysis by the Department of Education of a recent cohort of undergraduates, 00:03:24.120 |
many of these students could not complete their degree because the cost of attendance 00:03:29.560 |
About 16 percent of borrowers are in default, including nearly a third of senior citizens 00:03:34.360 |
with student debt, which can result in the government garnishing a borrower's wages 00:03:40.960 |
The student debt burden also falls disproportionately on black borrowers. 00:03:45.560 |
Twenty years after first enrolling in school, the typical black borrower who started college 00:03:50.660 |
in the 1995-96 school year still owed 95 percent of their original student debt. 00:03:58.400 |
Today, President Biden is announcing a three-part plan to provide more breathing room to America's 00:04:02.920 |
working families as they continue to recover from the strains associated with the COVID-19 00:04:09.480 |
This plan offers targeted debt relief as part of a comprehensive effort to address the burden 00:04:14.040 |
of growing college costs and make the student loan system more manageable for working families. 00:04:21.360 |
The President is announcing that the Department of Education will provide targeted debt relief 00:04:26.160 |
to address the financial harms of the pandemic, fulfilling the President's campaign commitment. 00:04:31.720 |
The Department of Education will provide up to $20,000 in debt cancellation to Pell Grant 00:04:35.640 |
recipients with loans held by the Department of Education and up to $10,000 in debt cancellation 00:04:44.800 |
Borrowers are eligible for this relief if their individual income is less than $125,000 00:04:53.100 |
No high-income individual or high-income household in the top 5 percent of incomes will benefit 00:05:00.240 |
To ensure a smooth transition to repayment and prevent unnecessary defaults, the pause 00:05:05.680 |
on federal student loan repayment will be extended one final time through December 31, 00:05:14.460 |
Borrowers should expect to resume payment in January 2023. 00:05:19.560 |
Make the student loan system more manageable for current and future borrowers by cutting 00:05:23.880 |
monthly payments in half for undergraduate loans. 00:05:27.220 |
The Department of Education is proposing a new income-driven repayment plan that protects 00:05:31.160 |
more low-income borrowers from making any payments and caps monthly payments for undergraduate 00:05:36.320 |
loans at 5 percent of a borrower's discretionary income—half of the rate that borrowers must 00:05:44.560 |
This means that the average annual student loan payment will be lowered by more than 00:05:48.200 |
$1,000 for both current and future borrowers. 00:05:52.080 |
Fixing the broken Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program by proposing a rule that borrowers 00:05:58.760 |
who have worked at a non-profit in the military or in federal, state, tribal, or local government 00:06:03.880 |
receive appropriate credit toward loan forgiveness. 00:06:07.480 |
These improvements will build on temporary changes the Department of Education has already 00:06:10.640 |
made to PSLF, under which more than 175,000 public servants have already had more than 00:06:20.640 |
And protect future students and taxpayers by reducing the cost of college and holding 00:06:25.620 |
schools accountable when they hike up prices. 00:06:29.400 |
The President championed the largest increase to Pell Grants in over a decade, and one of 00:06:33.720 |
the largest one-time influxes to colleges and universities. 00:06:37.720 |
To further reduce the cost of college, the President will continue to fight to double 00:06:40.880 |
the maximum Pell Grant and make community college free. 00:06:45.120 |
Meanwhile, colleges have an obligation to keep prices reasonable and ensure borrowers 00:06:50.760 |
get value for their investments, not debt they cannot afford. 00:06:56.360 |
This Administration has already taken key steps to strengthen accountability, including 00:07:00.680 |
in areas where the previous Administration weakened rules. 00:07:05.800 |
The Department of Education is announcing new efforts to ensure student borrowers get 00:07:13.180 |
And provide targeted debt relief, fulfilling the President's campaign commitment. 00:07:16.960 |
To address the financial harms of the pandemic for low- and middle-income borrowers and avoid 00:07:20.660 |
defaults as loan repayment restarts next year, the Department of Education will provide up 00:07:25.280 |
to $20,000 in loan relief to borrowers with loans held by the Department of Education, 00:07:30.520 |
whose individual income is less than $125,000 for married couples and who received a Pell 00:07:43.120 |
So you get the idea of the White House's press relief and propaganda piece there. 00:07:51.060 |
U.S. Department of Education, Biden-Harris Administration announces final student loan 00:07:56.160 |
pause extension through December 31, and targeted debt cancellation to smooth transition to 00:08:07.900 |
Well, let's read from the Wall Street Journal, "Student Loan Forgiveness, Who Qualifies for 00:08:12.500 |
a Student Loan Forgiveness Plan and What It Means for Borrowers. 00:08:15.180 |
Millions of Americans with student debt stand to get relief. 00:08:18.540 |
President Biden's student loan plan will reduce or wipe out the debt of millions of 00:08:23.660 |
The plan eliminates up to $10,000 in federal loan debt for individual borrowers with annual 00:08:28.060 |
incomes of under $125,000 or couples who earn less than $250,000. 00:08:34.480 |
Many borrowers will be eligible for total forgiveness up to $20,000 if they received 00:08:39.300 |
Pell Grants, a form of federal financial aid awarded to students from low-income households. 00:08:45.500 |
"We're in unprecedented territory," said Scott Buchanan, executive director of the 00:08:54.500 |
The plan is expected to benefit the majority of the more than 43 million people in the 00:08:57.660 |
United States who hold a total of $1.6 trillion in student loan debt." 00:09:07.540 |
You're eligible for $10,000 in relief if you earn less than $125,000 a year or $250,000 00:09:14.260 |
The income limit applies to gross adjusted income from 2021 or 2020. 00:09:20.860 |
People who received federal Pell Grants in college will also be eligible for up to $20,000 00:09:26.040 |
Around 6 in 10 borrowers with any federal loans also received a Pell Grant, according 00:09:31.380 |
And Pell Grant recipient graduates hold about $4,500 more in debt than other graduates, 00:09:41.060 |
The timing remains uncertain, but the Education Department has promised more details in the 00:09:44.860 |
weeks ahead, at minimum before student loan payments resume in January 2023. 00:09:50.460 |
Do I need to take action to receive debt relief? 00:09:54.260 |
Wait until you receive a notification from your loan servicer, Mr. Buchanan said. 00:09:58.500 |
Beware of any friendly-sounding phone calls or suspicious-looking emails from addresses 00:10:04.180 |
It's a very complicated process and it's going to take months to effectuate, he said. 00:10:08.180 |
Don't do anything until you see something happen to your account. 00:10:11.140 |
Meanwhile, double-check the information you've already shared with your loan servicer and 00:10:17.080 |
If you've recently moved or changed any contact information, you're going to want to make 00:10:20.420 |
sure that they have the most up-to-date addresses, said Mark Kantrowitz, a student loan expert. 00:10:32.960 |
If you owe less than $10,000 on your loan, or $20,000 for those who received Pell Grants, 00:10:37.780 |
then congratulations, you'll now be student debt-free. 00:10:40.820 |
President Biden's plan will wipe out the debt of around 15 million borrowers. 00:10:45.180 |
Is the pause on student loan payments extended? 00:10:48.300 |
Before today's announcement, loan payments were expected to resume on August 31. 00:10:51.780 |
Now, borrowers will see the pause extended through the end of the year. 00:10:55.300 |
Interest accrual and collections remain on pause as well. 00:11:01.100 |
Yes, an individual student is limited in how much money they can take out on federal loans, 00:11:05.660 |
but through the parent plus and grad plus programs, families can borrow the total cost 00:11:09.160 |
of attendance, including room and board and other expenses. 00:11:12.600 |
This forgiveness applies to federal loans for both undergraduate and graduate programs 00:11:16.600 |
as well as to parent plus loans, White House officials said. 00:11:23.220 |
Debt forgiveness is often treated as income on taxes, but unfortunately for borrowers, 00:11:31.080 |
this canceled student debt is federally tax exempt, as seen in other federal student debt 00:11:38.080 |
Under existing state laws, in as many as 13 states, student loan forgiveness could count 00:11:42.220 |
as taxable income on state income tax returns, according to Jared Wolsak, blah blah blah. 00:11:50.220 |
As of the end of last year, fewer than 1.2% of borrowers continued making payments on 00:11:54.360 |
their student loans, Mr. Kantrowitz said, but some of the borrowers took advantage of 00:11:58.280 |
the two plus years of optional, interest-free payments to wipe out their debt entirely. 00:12:04.280 |
This measure won't apply to balances that have already been paid off. 00:12:14.000 |
So that's the facts of what you need to know. 00:12:22.240 |
For here I want to go directly to Jeff Levine, CPA, PFS, and CFP, who is an extremely prolific 00:12:34.760 |
Wonderful Twitter account, works with Michael Kitsis as one of his financial planning nerds. 00:12:38.680 |
So let's go with Jeff's discussion on planning opportunities, one of the best financial planners 00:12:48.280 |
So for many, the headline news from today is the potential forgiveness of a substantial 00:12:53.460 |
In general, maximum debt forgiveness is limited to $10,000 per borrower, except for a Pell 00:13:01.440 |
It's not $10,000 plus $20,000 if you got a Pell grant. 00:13:06.080 |
It's $10,000 plus $10,000 more for a total of $20,000. 00:13:10.840 |
I've seen that misreported several times today. 00:13:13.920 |
Debt of Pell grant only boosts max loan forgiveness for undergrad. 00:13:21.360 |
Pell grants themselves don't generally have to be repaid. 00:13:24.700 |
So it's not that the extra money is for Pell grant repayment, it's extra forgiveness on 00:13:29.580 |
loans because the person also got a Pell grant, which tend to go to lower income households. 00:13:36.180 |
Now let's talk about who qualifies for this relief. 00:13:39.080 |
Most taxpayers with federal loans will be eligible for the relief, but as income exceeds, 00:13:43.880 |
certain levels, the forgiveness is eliminated. 00:13:47.000 |
It sounds simple enough, but there's actually a lot here to consider. 00:13:53.160 |
Filing as joint or head of household, you have $250,000 limit. 00:14:05.160 |
Unclear, but I'd suspect it's going to be AGI, Adjusted Gross Income, which is the type 00:14:11.600 |
of income that income-driven repayment plans start with. 00:14:15.320 |
What year or years are the income limits in reference to? 00:14:22.760 |
If in at least one of those years an individual's income was below their applicable threshold, 00:14:30.240 |
Side note, the administration sort of has to do it that way. 00:14:33.360 |
They're using the pandemic emergency as the justification for forgiving the debt legally. 00:14:41.000 |
I'm not totally sure, but it certainly appears so, which sort of creates some strange inequities. 00:14:47.200 |
In retrospect, you'd be way better off earning $124,000 in 2020 and 2021 and getting $10,000 00:14:54.720 |
of forgiveness than if you had earned $125,000. 00:15:01.760 |
Sadly, for most people, there is no real planning that can be done. 00:15:06.120 |
Whatever their income was in those years, it was. 00:15:10.000 |
But that's not to say there aren't at least some planning opportunities out there. 00:15:15.440 |
First, business owners who have not yet filed their 2021 tax returns may want to give serious 00:15:21.600 |
thought to beefing up retirement contributions. 00:15:25.240 |
Even if it means giving more to employees than normal, getting AGI low enough to qualify 00:15:41.360 |
On the income side of things, all the forgiven debt will be tax-free at the federal level. 00:15:47.120 |
Things are dramatically more complex at the state level. 00:15:52.580 |
State has no tax, conforms to federal rules, or has its own exception. 00:15:56.180 |
Some states, which don't currently have an exception, will create one, and instill others 00:16:03.920 |
Kevin Cant has a good article on this, but I would anticipate more changes before year 00:16:09.680 |
Okay, on to which loans qualify and which don't. 00:16:12.200 |
In general, federal student loans qualify for relief. 00:16:18.080 |
Parent PLUS loans are eligible for forgiveness. 00:16:21.600 |
Relevant income is that of the borrower, parent, and appears to have no impact on a child's 00:16:28.240 |
So in theory, a parent could have $10,000 of parent PLUS loans forgiven, and the childhood 00:16:34.760 |
loans were taken for could have up to $20,000 of their own debt forgiven. 00:16:40.680 |
On the flip side, parents with $30,000 total parent PLUS loans, split evenly across three 00:16:46.480 |
kids would appear to qualify for only $10,000 of forgiveness. 00:16:51.400 |
Graduate school loans are also eligible for forgiveness, up to $10,000. 00:16:56.800 |
One thing that's not clear is how FFEL program loans will be treated. 00:17:01.320 |
I strongly suspect that federally owned loans will be eligible for relief, but that privately 00:17:10.660 |
This is, objectively, an incredibly unfair result for those whose FFEL program loans 00:17:18.680 |
Essentially, luck of the draw is determining who's getting a $10,000 break. 00:17:28.000 |
Student debt of active students is also eligible for relief, provided loans were funded by 00:17:35.560 |
Important point, if the student was claimed as a dependent, you need to use the parent's 00:17:40.480 |
Finally, how do you actually get forgiveness? 00:17:43.120 |
Well, for many it will essentially be automatic because the Department of Education already 00:17:49.600 |
For everyone else, a "simple" application will be made available by year-end. 00:17:52.960 |
Okay, moving on to other aspects of the announcement. 00:17:56.440 |
Prior to today, the current 0% interest rate and moratorium on federal student loan payments 00:18:03.780 |
But per today's announcement, we will have another. 00:18:05.760 |
I think this may be #5 just during the Biden era, with several before under Trump. 00:18:10.200 |
Extension, this time until December 31, 2022. 00:18:14.120 |
What's different this time is it appears to be the end of the line. 00:18:17.360 |
Both the White House's fact sheet and President Biden directly in his address made clear this 00:18:28.040 |
Last item we'll dig into for tonight is the administration's plan for a new income-driven 00:18:34.380 |
There are already 5 of these things and now we're going to add a 6th. 00:18:39.240 |
Added complexity is the downside, the upside is the new IDR, income-driven repayment plan, 00:18:44.000 |
will offer material improvements for many borrowers, including new baseline for non-discretionary 00:18:49.040 |
protected income of 225% of the federal poverty line income, currently 150% in most instances, 00:18:56.640 |
maximum annual payments of 5% of discretionary income for undergraduate loans, and 10% for 00:19:01.520 |
graduate loans, currently 10-20% depending on the program. 00:19:05.600 |
Note borrowers with both loan types will have a weighted average maximum loan payment calculated. 00:19:12.240 |
Balances won't increase as long as monthly payments, including $0 payments due to lower 00:19:18.720 |
Remaining balances will generally be forgiven after 20 years of payments, but where the 00:19:22.700 |
original balance was $12,000 or less, substitute 10 for 20 years. 00:19:29.480 |
One last point to make in light of today's announcements, please remember that there 00:19:32.680 |
is currently a special opportunity with respect to the PSLF program. 00:19:37.120 |
In short, there's a limited amount of time during which individuals can apply for waivers 00:19:42.640 |
to have prior payments that would not normally count towards forgiveness considered for that 00:19:50.160 |
The PSLF program isn't limited to $10,000 of debt. 00:19:53.560 |
It can make all of an individual's qualified student debt disappear after 10 years of qualified 00:20:01.560 |
For more info, it gives a link to studentaid.gov/announcements. 00:20:06.240 |
And so that is the current planning information. 00:20:12.000 |
So there's not much you can do, but if you can reduce your income through things like 00:20:18.400 |
additional retirement contributions or something else to reduce your adjusted gross income 00:20:23.360 |
for 2021 below the applicable limit, then possibly that will make you eligible for the 00:20:33.240 |
So now let's pivot to some commentary on the topic, kind of more broadly from an economic 00:20:38.480 |
perspective, from an ethical perspective, etc. 00:20:47.140 |
There's not a lot that you can do to change this. 00:20:50.720 |
It's being done by executive order, by executive fiat. 00:20:55.240 |
So the first thing that will be interesting to see is if this actually goes through. 00:20:59.000 |
An announcement is one thing, but this is legally probably on pretty thin ice. 00:21:04.920 |
It's my understanding that the president is seeking to do this under the emergency 00:21:18.160 |
That's why everything's kind of wrapped up in yes, 2020, 2021 numbers, etc. 00:21:25.800 |
I'm not a qualified commentator on that particular topic, but it's certainly on thin ice. 00:21:32.600 |
And I think that it very clearly, if it's not technically illegal, if it's not challenged, 00:21:38.880 |
and again, I have no reason to know one way or the other, it certainly violates the basic 00:21:44.520 |
structure of American politics and the structure, the basic idea of constitutionality. 00:21:52.640 |
The American president is not supposed to have powers to unilaterally choose to come 00:22:00.360 |
into office and wave his magic wand and give money to a certain class of people and take 00:22:04.960 |
money away from another certain class of people to do that. 00:22:08.160 |
So whether it's actually held up by a court debate of some kind, whether it happens or 00:22:14.400 |
And this is very clear and obvious, even from the politicians' mouths themselves. 00:22:18.120 |
You can go and you can find plenty of quotes of leading democratic politicians simply saying, 00:22:24.160 |
"Yeah, the president doesn't have the authority to do this." 00:22:27.520 |
Let me read to you directly from Speaker Pelosi's words. 00:22:30.800 |
I'm reading from speaker.gov/newsroom/72821-2, which is a transcript of the Pelosi Weekly 00:22:43.600 |
And the question says, the question says, sorry, I went up to find the, here we go. 00:22:57.640 |
Question, there's been a lot of back and forth between the administration and Democrats here 00:23:01.560 |
on Capitol Hill about student loans and canceling student loan debt. 00:23:06.160 |
Each have said, "Well, the president can do this by executive order." 00:23:09.240 |
The president said, "Oh, let's do it by legislation." 00:23:12.040 |
Could you explain why the administration and Democrats in Congress pushing for this or 00:23:17.360 |
And I mean, it would seem there's not the votes to pass the bill. 00:23:26.040 |
It's so refreshing to get a question on substance and process, but not responding to whatever. 00:23:32.120 |
People think that the president of the United States, is this more on the subject than you 00:23:37.960 |
People think that the president of the United States has the power for debt forgiveness. 00:23:42.960 |
He can postpone, he can delay, but he does not have that power. 00:23:49.680 |
And I don't even like to call it forgiveness because that implies a transgression. 00:23:54.240 |
It's not to be forgiven, just freeing people from those obligations. 00:23:58.200 |
So the question of who gets forgiven, to use the term of art that is out there, is a debate. 00:24:03.240 |
Do we use whatever money there is for the broadest base of support of those with more 00:24:08.280 |
people with even less debt or fewer people with more debt? 00:24:13.040 |
But the difference between the president, the president can't do it. 00:24:20.040 |
But the president can only postpone, delay, but not forgive. 00:24:26.480 |
And that said, following up, what would be the parameter? 00:24:29.120 |
And what would be fair to those who have incurred major debts, repaid them, or are still working 00:24:37.420 |
And then if, say, something were to go through, say, okay, this group had to pay and this 00:24:47.880 |
I do think that what the president is putting forth, and build back better in terms of opportunity 00:24:51.760 |
for all Americans, whether they go to college or not, you know, they may not even aspire 00:24:58.900 |
But we do want to give them vocational training or other opportunities so they can reach their 00:25:05.440 |
But it is, it's not one that we're going to solve right here and now. 00:25:09.360 |
But you, you, that would be an attitude that people would have. 00:25:14.400 |
Suppose your family was not, your child just decided they want to, at this time, not want 00:25:19.780 |
But you're paying taxes to forgive somebody else's obligations. 00:25:25.640 |
We want all of our kids to reach their fulfillment. 00:25:28.000 |
To the extent that they want to go to college, we do not want them to be prohibited from 00:25:33.520 |
I've had high school students come in here and say, with their grades, they're able to 00:25:37.320 |
be accepted in the Ivy League here and there. 00:25:39.320 |
But their family's economic situation does not enable that to happen. 00:25:42.840 |
Because they have to stay close to home to work to be part of the family situation. 00:25:46.800 |
So what we'd like to do is have an economy that is fair, that gives opportunity and does 00:25:50.640 |
not hold anybody back because of financial reasons. 00:25:53.700 |
And again, how some people may view the relieving people of this obligation has to be viewed 00:25:57.360 |
in a fair way where we have something that gives opportunity. 00:26:09.480 |
So that is a verbatim reading of the question answer from Speaker Pelosi of just over one 00:26:18.380 |
So legally speaking, the president is on very thin ice here. 00:26:25.840 |
Of any branch of government, I have the most faith in the judicial branch, but I don't 00:26:31.940 |
So time will tell whether some legal challenge comes, whether this happens or not. 00:26:37.440 |
I think what Speaker Pelosi pointed out though, there is at the core though of what is really 00:26:51.000 |
There are many people who have student debt who are very happy that their student debt 00:26:55.000 |
will be reduced by again up to potentially $20,000. 00:26:59.520 |
And I hope, it's my earnest and sincere hope that for those people who have their debt 00:27:04.120 |
reduced, that it will enhance their financial opportunity and that they will be able to 00:27:13.280 |
I hope that they'll be able to make wise decisions with their money. 00:27:16.680 |
I hope they'll use that money that they were granted with great fortune, and I hope that 00:27:21.640 |
they'll take it and they'll invest it back into their communities, into their societies. 00:27:26.560 |
And I hope that they will be grateful for the forgiveness that was given to them. 00:27:31.960 |
I think for many of us, it's hard to think that $10,000 or $20,000 was going to change 00:27:39.400 |
It doesn't seem like that much money to most of the listeners of Radical Personal Finance. 00:27:45.560 |
It is a substantial amount of money and it may provide some very welcome relief for them. 00:27:51.000 |
And so I hope that this cancellation helps them and helps them to improve and solidify 00:28:02.640 |
We do want for a strong and stable society, we want to have maximum financial stability 00:28:11.760 |
Now it is clearly a naked political move to do this at this particular time. 00:28:20.700 |
And so I think it's fair to simply accept that as being self-evident and not worry too 00:28:29.580 |
In the modern age, we elect politicians to take money from other people and give it to 00:28:35.880 |
That's basically what we do and we shuffle them all around. 00:28:39.040 |
And that has long-term effects on the basic nature of a society and of a government, but 00:28:44.680 |
the politicians are simply doing what the politicians need to do. 00:28:47.920 |
Politicians are very worried about midterm elections and so this needed to happen now 00:28:52.160 |
so that there would be some hint of justification due to the COVID policies. 00:28:57.900 |
But it also needed to happen now so that they can potentially get some political breath 00:29:03.780 |
prior to midterm elections coming up fairly soon. 00:29:07.380 |
On the other hand, this will give the Republicans political fodder to talk about what the Democrats 00:29:15.020 |
I think very clearly it's causing a lot of people to feel upset if you've done things 00:29:21.380 |
I read you two personal text messages that I received from friends of mine within about 00:29:29.420 |
And one friend says this, "Paid off all of my wife's law school student loans this summer 00:29:36.920 |
Now that I'll be paying off everyone else's loans too, I'm just grateful that I have a 00:29:42.720 |
And then another friend wrote to me completely unsolicited and said this, "My mom co-signed 00:29:51.200 |
on my sister's useless gender studies degree and it put my mom in a really bad financial 00:29:56.180 |
She ended up paying it off in a lump sum a few months ago to save on interest, dropping 00:29:59.580 |
$40,000 or so, and planning on my sister paying her back. 00:30:03.520 |
If she waited a few more months, she would have saved $10,000 or $20,000. 00:30:10.300 |
Obviously, multiple mistakes were made, but Biden is not helping." 00:30:17.060 |
I'm sure that there are many other people who have done that. 00:30:19.420 |
And this is one of the biggest problems with the biggest moral and ethical and even civilizational 00:30:29.400 |
That people who do the right thing, people who behave responsibly, often feel like they 00:30:36.300 |
And people who do the wrong thing, those who behave irresponsibly, who take out too much 00:30:41.220 |
in student loan debt, or who don't make alternative decisions, it feels like they get all the 00:30:48.660 |
And this is one of my biggest long-term concerns with basically the fabric of our civilization. 00:30:58.740 |
Let me give one kind of wide-ranging example and we'll come back to politics. 00:31:02.940 |
I'm convinced myself that one of the things that sows more discord at the heart of our 00:31:12.580 |
The idea that the basic function of government is to take from some people and give to others, 00:31:18.260 |
and that politicians get to decide who we take from and who we give to. 00:31:22.220 |
And this puts a deep level of distrust in society. 00:31:24.780 |
Let me use an example I mentioned in passing. 00:31:27.060 |
I recently was talking about immigration, and I mentioned that I myself would prefer 00:31:32.900 |
that the government have no immigration laws hindering the flow of non-criminal persons 00:31:40.320 |
Let me define a couple of terms there for just a moment so you understand my opinion, 00:31:44.500 |
and you'll see why the welfare state is important. 00:31:50.420 |
Number one, I have a hard time seeing why any government entity has the right to say 00:31:59.960 |
What gives somebody the moral right, what gives a government official the moral right 00:32:04.900 |
to deny someone else the ability to travel on its borders? 00:32:09.020 |
I don't see that as a moral right, it's just simply a right of force. 00:32:12.300 |
Whoever has the force can make whatever rules they want. 00:32:14.860 |
But more importantly, I think government bureaucrats are stupid. 00:32:19.080 |
And I can't possibly understand how anybody could think a government bureaucrat could 00:32:23.300 |
figure out the appropriate number of people to live in one country, or to admit a certain 00:32:33.260 |
And so we need to issue 100,000 visas for people in this occupation, we need to do this 00:32:43.780 |
They're stupid and they're incompetent, and they're stupid and incompetent whether they're 00:32:47.180 |
in the USSR, or whether they're in the CCP, or whether they're in the USA. 00:32:52.580 |
Government bureaucrats are stupid and incompetent. 00:32:56.260 |
And every government bureaucracy is bloated, expensive, and an absolute waste and drain 00:33:03.860 |
The US Immigration Department, from personal experience with many friends, is the stupidest 00:33:09.060 |
perhaps of all immigration departments in the world. 00:33:12.240 |
The most dysfunctional, horrifically performing. 00:33:16.060 |
Some people have visas at sale right through. 00:33:18.460 |
I recently met some immigrants from France who had come into the United States, and they 00:33:24.340 |
had applied for the lottery, they had to get out of France, they didn't feel like it was 00:33:28.940 |
They applied for the US Green Card lottery, they were granted, and basically a few months 00:33:33.740 |
they were given access to the United States and everything worked. 00:33:38.000 |
When I compare that to the dozens of stories that I've personally known of people who've 00:33:41.600 |
waited years and years and years and years and years and years, while in various forms 00:33:47.940 |
I want to give credit where credit is due, it worked for at least one person. 00:33:52.100 |
So I don't think that a government agent is smart enough, or in any way informed enough, 00:33:57.260 |
to have an idea about how many people, how many workers should be able to come into a 00:34:01.500 |
country or how many people should be allowed to come in under a certain kind of visa. 00:34:07.460 |
And I trust the wisdom of the crowds and supply and demand far more than I trust a government 00:34:17.140 |
Why is anti-immigrant sentiment so high in the United States and in many places around 00:34:22.580 |
Well, I think at its core, one of the reasons the anti-immigrant sentiment is high is not 00:34:36.180 |
I think the United States of America is, at least in my experience, the least racist place 00:34:40.700 |
in the world that I've ever had the privilege of traveling. 00:34:43.300 |
There may be other places, but in actuality, it's the least racist place that I have been 00:34:49.660 |
So Americans don't generally care about the color of the skin or where their neighbors 00:34:55.020 |
It's not a matter of xenophobia, why the immigrant sentiment is... the anti-immigrant sentiment 00:35:05.100 |
And the idea is, true or not, the idea or the impression that people have is, "Well, 00:35:10.660 |
those immigrants come here, they don't pay taxes, they go to the hospital, they get free 00:35:14.660 |
hospital care, they get free education, they get free this, free that, free government 00:35:18.740 |
money of all kinds, and they take advantage of the system." 00:35:22.300 |
So when I ask people who are virulently anti-immigration if they would feel the same way if there were 00:35:28.340 |
no welfare state, so far, my experience has been that unanimously no. 00:35:33.740 |
People recognize that other people are people and they can do it, but they feel they're 00:35:38.340 |
They feel like immigrants are a burden on the system and that too much money goes to 00:35:45.620 |
Now set aside whether that's actually true or not. 00:35:49.980 |
The point is that I think you can have one or the other. 00:35:52.620 |
You can either have an open border or you can have a welfare state, but you can't have 00:36:00.020 |
Because if you have an open border and you have a welfare state, then you open yourself 00:36:03.620 |
up to people taking advantage of those programs excessively of the worst kind and you drive 00:36:11.060 |
So as long as you can have a welfare state, you have to have strict restrictions on immigration. 00:36:17.300 |
So bring that to the modern day and bring it back to student loans. 00:36:21.940 |
I think this is one of the big issues that is fundamentally bubbling and causing massive 00:36:27.040 |
division among the American population, among the American citizenry. 00:36:31.580 |
People are angry about the idea that something is being taken from them and given to someone 00:36:44.620 |
And again, with those government programs, because governments are seeking to try to 00:36:50.700 |
shore up the weakest among us, but because governments can't discriminate based upon 00:36:56.740 |
merit and virtue, you wind up with crazy proposals like this particular proposal. 00:37:04.980 |
And responsibility is now a vice rather than a virtue. 00:37:09.980 |
There are many, many, many, many people who have been given wise counsel regarding college 00:37:17.580 |
There are many people who have chosen to not go to college because they didn't feel like 00:37:21.700 |
they were ready for college and they didn't see the point of spending money on a program 00:37:26.560 |
that was on something that wasn't a good fit for them. 00:37:30.100 |
There are many people who chose to go to less expensive colleges because that was what they 00:37:36.060 |
There were many people, there have been many people who have chosen to go to colleges that 00:37:43.180 |
to stretch out their college so they could work their way through, to take a manageable 00:37:46.660 |
course load, etc. in order to avoid student debt. 00:37:49.620 |
And then there have been many, many graduates who have graduated from school with student 00:37:54.380 |
debt and who have worked diligently to pay off their student loans. 00:37:58.080 |
And all of those people feel now like they were the chumps. 00:38:04.940 |
And yet those were the people who behaved responsibly. 00:38:09.660 |
And the people who feel really smart right now are those who had student loans, who strung 00:38:15.060 |
out their student loans, who didn't pay them back. 00:38:18.740 |
And by the way, that was in many cases, it was a very smart thing to do not to pay your 00:38:21.740 |
student loans debt but debts back because of deferred payments, because of income-based 00:38:27.220 |
repayment plans, because of low interest rates, etc. guaranteed by the federal government. 00:38:30.660 |
There are many people though who, the people who feel smart are fundamentally those who 00:38:37.340 |
Now you know of course, right, you know that a certain portion of the people really need 00:38:46.740 |
Even if you're gnashing your teeth about this policy, you're glad for those people. 00:38:52.300 |
But this kind of decision is basically the expression of the stupidest kind of government 00:39:03.820 |
It's also an expression of stupidity because it's the government, the federal government 00:39:09.660 |
itself that seeded the miscalibrations in the college marketplace due to these federal 00:39:22.380 |
So I started with the White House's press release and right in the front part of the 00:39:28.540 |
government propaganda piece, the government says, and I quote, "Since 1980, the total 00:39:34.580 |
cost of both four-year public and four-year private college has nearly tripled, even after 00:39:42.220 |
Well, it has to do with the entire system of student loans and the way that the government 00:39:47.100 |
guaranteed the money, student loans not being bankruptable, and then colleges going after 00:39:56.060 |
And so they seeded the crisis, they created the problem in and of themselves, and now 00:40:01.320 |
they're offering the solution to the problem. 00:40:03.640 |
But what's the other solution with the problem? 00:40:05.660 |
Well, an estimate by the Wharton School says that the total cost of this particular program 00:40:13.260 |
will be somewhere between $305 billion and $980 billion. 00:40:17.660 |
Clearly a large range, but this right here, forgiving debt in a time of significant inflation, 00:40:25.100 |
this right here will produce a dramatic economic boost that will drive inflation even more. 00:40:35.540 |
Even if it's a trillion dollars, is that noticeable? 00:40:39.460 |
But having money forgiven frees up now that money for other things, and it's going to 00:40:45.740 |
I'm reminded of the classic story that we love so much to tell. 00:40:51.860 |
It may be just apocryphal at this point in time, but I believe it's true of when the 00:40:56.300 |
Indian government—it's the classic story of unintended consequences. 00:41:02.500 |
The story goes that there was a town in India, a city in India somewhere, that had too many 00:41:11.500 |
They decided that they would offer a reward to people who would go out and bring cobras 00:41:18.180 |
in for killing cobras so they could reduce the cobra population. 00:41:23.060 |
They set a reward amount, making up numbers, $50 per cobra to bring people in, and people 00:41:31.020 |
Well, people brought cobras in, the government paid the money, paid the money, paid the money, 00:41:38.260 |
And what they quickly came to understand was that people had seen an opportunity to make 00:41:43.340 |
some free money by raising cobras, and so they were actually breeding cobras and creating 00:41:47.820 |
more cobras so that they could go and get free money. 00:41:51.300 |
Well, of course, the government politicians reacted and said, "Well, this can't work," 00:41:57.100 |
So now you had people who were breeding cobras. 00:41:59.920 |
What do you think they did with all those cobras? 00:42:02.180 |
Set them loose on the street, and now after the well-intentioned program, you wind up 00:42:09.740 |
So again, I think it's probably true, but I've never verified it. 00:42:13.880 |
So regardless of whether it's a true story or not, it drives the point. 00:42:19.940 |
You can easily understand how that would happen because you have now, because it flies. 00:42:25.700 |
The story illustrates what we know of as incentives, incentives to behavior. 00:42:29.920 |
So the government creates a program and says, "Everyone needs to go to college," and after 00:42:34.600 |
World War II, figuring out how do we get people in college and improve the productivity of 00:42:38.740 |
our workforce, we come out with the GI Bill, and then later we start to see the growth 00:42:48.040 |
So then you have the federal student loan program. 00:42:50.000 |
You have lots and lots of new colleges created. 00:42:58.040 |
Because the government says, "We'll guarantee the loans for you, and your students can't 00:43:04.140 |
So you create massive new numbers of college, massive levels of college enrollment. 00:43:11.000 |
Some of those colleges, very high-priced, and in many cases flat-out abusive in terms 00:43:21.180 |
You have virtually no obstacles to young people signing their life away, borrowing tons of 00:43:27.300 |
It's as simple as a signature for most of us. 00:43:29.560 |
And so you have then the colleges increasing tuition commensurate with that. 00:43:34.180 |
And then you have this incredible civilizational push saying that everybody should go to college. 00:43:40.020 |
Clearly false, as I have detailed in other discussions. 00:43:44.140 |
Most people are not suited for the academic life of college. 00:43:47.540 |
And so then you have people go to college, many of them drop out. 00:43:52.140 |
They don't have a college degree, but now they have debt. 00:43:56.580 |
"Well, we're going to come along and we're going to cancel student loans." 00:43:59.340 |
It's just one dumb policy after another, and a dumb policy leading to another dumb policy. 00:44:04.060 |
And that's what happens when you have this kind of system, when people are relieved of 00:44:12.060 |
If lenders were not guaranteed by the federal government laws that student loans are not 00:44:18.700 |
bankruptable, then bankruptcy would have wiped out so many of the student loans, the most 00:44:24.380 |
And because they're not bankruptable, that hasn't solved it. 00:44:27.420 |
And bankruptcy is a much better policy for getting rid of debt, of toxic debt, because 00:44:36.260 |
bankruptcy trains the lender and the borrower to be more careful and more discerning. 00:44:50.780 |
It's just one thing among many, but it's a disaster because it sows these seeds. 00:44:55.260 |
And I'll give you an example from my own life of how this affects people. 00:45:01.260 |
Anybody who's listened to more than a few of my podcasts knows that I'm not, very few 00:45:06.300 |
people would classify me as an unopinionated guy. 00:45:09.140 |
I have my convictions, I have my opinions, and I do my best to be clear on them and then 00:45:13.060 |
to try my best to live in accordance with them, imperfectly as we all do, but I try 00:45:20.780 |
When I was younger, I believed very strongly in the idea of personal responsibility, taking 00:45:28.140 |
care of yourself, taking care of yourself and not being a burden on the system. 00:45:34.020 |
I believed very strongly in being a kind of person who was a producer and a contributor 00:45:41.100 |
I believed strongly that it was morally right for me to take care of myself. 00:45:47.500 |
And so the practical expression of this was that in 2008, when I was laid off from a job 00:45:56.740 |
in 2008, but I myself, even though I was laid off from a job and a layoff and I would have 00:46:02.060 |
qualified for unemployment payments, I thought, "Well, I don't need the money. 00:46:09.700 |
I don't need the money and I don't want to be the kind of guy who takes a government 00:46:14.300 |
I actually am genuinely worried about ever becoming the kind of guy who takes a government 00:46:17.980 |
handout because I'm worried about what that would do to my character. 00:46:20.180 |
I don't know that I'm a strong enough person to resist the weakness of my character if 00:46:25.940 |
I wound up becoming the kind of guy who would take a government handout. 00:46:32.820 |
I spent some time, spent my own money, later wound up getting another job. 00:46:37.620 |
Four years later, I was doing financial planning and I'm watching all of these people who were 00:46:42.940 |
getting extended unemployment payments under the 2008, all of the response to the 2008-2009 00:46:55.100 |
And I vividly remember I was sitting at somebody's apartment in Juneau Beach, Juneau Beach, Florida, 00:47:02.180 |
And I was meeting with this lady who had moved down from New York and she had gotten laid 00:47:10.540 |
And I'm sitting there doing financial planning and she's going to the beach every day, literally 00:47:13.660 |
going to the beach every day, and she's enjoying the extended unemployment. 00:47:17.380 |
And she had milked her unemployment payments until the very last end of the number. 00:47:24.060 |
I forget what it was, 52 weeks or something, all of the extensions. 00:47:27.860 |
She's like, "Yeah, my unemployment is going to run out in two months so I'm going to have 00:47:31.620 |
to figure out what I'm going to do and probably start looking for a job sometime soon." 00:47:37.580 |
And I thought to myself, "Joshua, you schmuck. 00:47:50.420 |
What did your little kind of moral crusade accomplish for anybody? 00:47:57.540 |
You would have been better off taking unemployment, milking it as long as possible, substituting 00:48:02.100 |
with your own savings, do whatever is necessary to have the minimum action necessary to file 00:48:10.020 |
And take the money and do something fun, right? 00:48:15.420 |
And I promised myself from then on, "I'm never going to do that again. 00:48:21.140 |
And so I've been self-employed and a business owner since then so I've never had the opportunity 00:48:28.300 |
But I've done podcasts here on Radical Personal Finance about how to get laid off from your 00:48:32.260 |
job so you get unemployment insurance, unemployment payments. 00:48:35.780 |
And then also, of course, there is the factor that I understood finally that it was just 00:48:40.620 |
an insurance program and if you get it laid off, take it. 00:48:46.660 |
And I really feel guilty about it because I still believe in the power of self-reliance. 00:48:50.460 |
I still actually worry that if I ever got laid off and had a legitimate unemployment 00:48:58.140 |
claim that if I started to get free government money or free insurer money, then it would 00:49:07.780 |
But since that time when I realized I was a chump, I've told people, "Take all the money 00:49:19.820 |
But it's a major – hypocrisy is not the right word – discontinuity in my opinions. 00:49:27.660 |
But basically, I look at it and many people do. 00:49:31.820 |
If we're all going to do this, then let's just burn it all down. 00:49:34.220 |
Screw the concept of self-reliance and taking care of things. 00:49:37.500 |
Let's just all get our money and, hey, bring the end on faster and then we'll figure 00:49:44.580 |
And yet millions – many people, I would guess – lots of people – I don't know 00:49:48.740 |
the number – lots of people are looking at this news and they're feeling the exact 00:49:53.820 |
And that's – I'm really – I think that's really dangerous for the American psyche because 00:49:58.500 |
the American citizenry is one that has been traditionally built upon these concepts of 00:50:04.260 |
self-reliance, upon the concepts of independence, on the concepts of taking care of yourself 00:50:11.620 |
Oftentimes Europeans look on and they wonder, "Why doesn't the United States have as 00:50:19.660 |
Here's the United States, the only country in – the only advanced developed country 00:50:22.460 |
in the world that doesn't have government healthcare, etc." 00:50:25.100 |
Well, it's because this is a fundamental part of the fabric of the United States. 00:50:29.680 |
And so – but that fabric is being destroyed. 00:50:38.020 |
I don't think it's the thing any more than the bush bucks of sending out money or 00:50:43.580 |
cash for clunkers or any of these other boneheaded programs that they come up with. 00:50:48.540 |
They're not the thing that leads, but it's all just – it's death by a thousand cuts. 00:51:01.420 |
When you recognize that the government's going to send you stimulus money during a 00:51:04.620 |
pandemic and you recognize that you can get – file for free programs or free money, 00:51:10.780 |
you feel like a chump if you don't take advantage of it. 00:51:15.660 |
And it changes the culture over generations and it has a long-term impact. 00:51:25.180 |
If you want to be free out of it, you could do what I've done, which is one of the reasons 00:51:29.860 |
why I pursued what I did with the whole internationalization stuff. 00:51:35.700 |
I think it's important to guard your own character. 00:51:38.700 |
I think it's important to recognize that relying on this stuff is really dangerous. 00:51:46.540 |
Relying on government money makes you a slave. 00:51:49.220 |
I looked at – when the PPP program came out during the pandemic, I looked at it and 00:51:57.700 |
Again, I have this long, festering wound from 2008, 15 years now. 00:52:01.700 |
I'm like, "I just – I never get any free government money. 00:52:05.900 |
And like, "Here's a program that seems tailor-made for me." 00:52:08.900 |
But I looked at it and I said, "I'm not getting in bed with the government." 00:52:14.740 |
Like, "I don't want those people in my life." 00:52:21.140 |
And it's the same thing with all the government money, right? 00:52:23.300 |
The government money, all of the Title IX money is made that – it's destroyed the 00:52:29.620 |
It's made that all the colleges are beholden to the government because they take government 00:52:35.260 |
So I think that you can strengthen yourself and say, "I'm not taking your money. 00:52:39.700 |
I'm taking – I'm not going to take your money. 00:52:41.940 |
Therefore, I'm not going to be accountable to you. 00:52:54.420 |
I guess the last point I would make is let's talk about a couple of practical effects. 00:52:59.260 |
One of the things that bothers me so much about this is it's extremely classist. 00:53:06.300 |
Who benefits from this particular government action? 00:53:16.220 |
Who are the people who have student loan debt? 00:53:19.740 |
They are people who have gone out and gotten accepted to a college and started to go to 00:53:24.860 |
that college and didn't pay for it fully out of their own pocket. 00:53:29.780 |
Whether they graduated or not, they're people who did that. 00:53:32.060 |
So what that means is you have a certain class of person that has student loans. 00:53:38.980 |
It's either someone who is accepted to college or somebody who has a college education. 00:53:50.100 |
It's a government program, so it's coming out of taxpayer dollars, the general fund. 00:53:55.460 |
Of course, those taxpayer dollars are fundamentally provided primarily by the top 5 to 10% of 00:54:02.620 |
wealthy earners, income earners in the United States who pay most of the taxes. 00:54:07.860 |
So you could argue that it's a classist thing where you're taking money from the richest 00:54:12.800 |
people and you're giving it to basically the middle class college educated people. 00:54:17.140 |
The problem is the average citizen in the United States doesn't see himself as a taker. 00:54:23.100 |
The average citizen in the United States sees himself as contributing. 00:54:26.580 |
Even if it's a mere, you know, two cents, he still sees himself, "I pay my taxes. 00:54:32.420 |
Remember that most people don't conceive of how much money they pay in taxes. 00:54:37.500 |
They don't know where to find it even on the tax form. 00:54:40.240 |
And so this means that the lower class people, not college educated, not going to college, 00:54:48.360 |
are now feeling like money is being taken from us and our taxes. 00:54:53.620 |
We pay our taxes and being used to pay for the middle class college elite. 00:54:58.980 |
And there's also a very strong correlation that Democratic voters tend to be college 00:55:06.020 |
educated people predominantly, while Republican voters vary more, but more non-college educated 00:55:22.820 |
people with student loans to be progressive Democrats, to be liberals. 00:55:27.720 |
And so you wind up with this class competition. 00:55:30.060 |
And at its core, I think this is one of the most destructive long-term trends. 00:55:35.660 |
Why do we have people bemoan and wail and moan and are upset about the division that 00:55:49.780 |
Class distinctions on any basis, but it's a continual thing. 00:55:59.500 |
The cancer goes deeper, the cancer goes deeper, the cancer goes deeper. 00:56:02.980 |
And more and more people see themselves as divided people across the board. 00:56:09.020 |
One of the things that bothers me the most, the Ten Commandments, God said, "Thou shalt 00:56:18.340 |
Coveting means wanting desperately something that someone else has. 00:56:23.400 |
And there's an implication that you want it to the point where you just go out and take 00:56:34.460 |
Well, it means you didn't earn it for yourself. 00:56:35.860 |
You want your neighbor's wife, so you go and you take your neighbor's wife. 00:56:39.600 |
You want your neighbor's money, so you go and you take your neighbor's money. 00:56:42.780 |
Well, modern politics, basically redistributional politics, has rewarded broad-scale covetousness. 00:56:52.660 |
And those who engage in it the most feel very good about it, right? 00:56:56.300 |
They feel good because we're going to take from those people and we're giving to give 00:57:01.580 |
But covetousness, just like any sin, covetousness is a cancer, where the longer it goes, the 00:57:08.140 |
The worse it gets, the more it destroys the host. 00:57:11.980 |
Go and read a book like Alexis de Tocqueville's Democracy in America, and you'll see an extraordinarily 00:57:23.100 |
And you say, "What was different about 1850 versus 2022? 00:57:31.700 |
And again, we need to be cautious against a golden era fallacy. 00:57:41.100 |
But I think at its core, one of the things that is a cancer in our society is this concept 00:57:47.260 |
of covetousness, this concept of continually, "I'm going to take from them, give to those 00:57:53.060 |
And I want political power so I can decide who gets taken from and who gets given to." 00:57:57.360 |
And it's just a battle that goes on and on and on and on. 00:58:03.420 |
At its core, I don't think this is something that needs to be. 00:58:09.020 |
Let me close with just a more neutral observation. 00:58:16.700 |
I'm convinced, before I go there, I should make two more points because they're important 00:58:25.780 |
Why is student loan debt the debt that should be forgiven versus any other debt? 00:58:34.600 |
If you really want to relieve people's debt, why not pay off their cars? 00:58:41.380 |
If you really want to relieve poor people's obligations, why not pay off their credit 00:58:47.220 |
Why is student loan debt the debt that's being canceled? 00:58:52.540 |
Number one, the federal government is involved in student loan lending. 00:58:55.900 |
So in terms of administering the cancellation of a debt, then obviously it's easier for 00:59:02.300 |
the Department of Education to administer the cancellation of the repayment of federally 00:59:07.580 |
guaranteed student loans than it is to pay off credit cards. 00:59:15.900 |
Obviously, as we've seen with the stimulus money, they can just put money right in your 00:59:22.780 |
Why not just put money right in the bank account and say, "We're going to give everybody $10,000"? 00:59:29.660 |
The other obvious answer is, "Well, we need smart people to go to college." 00:59:35.420 |
I think this is clearly what most people would say. 00:59:37.500 |
It's like, "Well, we want to reward people who've gone to college and have developed 00:59:40.660 |
their education and who've enhanced themselves. 00:59:47.420 |
And again, I don't think that that fits the basic idea of not creating classism, because 00:59:56.220 |
the kinds of people who can go to college and the kinds of people who can get a college 01:00:01.500 |
And in theory, that college degree should be paying off. 01:00:03.580 |
There's one of the memes that's going around the internet right now that says, "If your 01:00:06.860 |
college degree isn't good enough for you to pay it off, then why should I have to pay 01:00:15.740 |
So it seems strange to me that we would engage in paying off student loans because people 01:00:22.220 |
who have gone to college are, by definition of our day, the most privileged people. 01:00:30.940 |
Why not just send out—if we're going to do a stimulus, why not just send $10,000 to 01:00:34.220 |
everybody and tell everyone to pay down their debt? 01:00:37.180 |
And I think you see that these programs, like, I don't—to me it seems obvious. 01:00:42.540 |
Either—why not—or—I'm stammering because I'm not trying to go too deeply into negative 01:00:53.460 |
politics, but it's just—it's such a naked political gambit. 01:00:59.860 |
If you want to—if you want to relieve the poorest among us, then relieve them directly. 01:01:07.580 |
This is why perhaps one of the best programs has been the earned income credit on the taxes. 01:01:13.540 |
It's a direct way of giving people who are working, doing things virtuous, working, but 01:01:21.380 |
The earned income tax credit has been a wonderful tax credit. 01:01:24.460 |
So if you're going to practice redistributionist politics, why not practice it in a way that's 01:01:29.700 |
not related to student loans and student debt? 01:01:32.980 |
Why are we sending money to the smartest people who were able to successfully get into college 01:01:39.180 |
and the people who society calls the most privileged? 01:01:45.680 |
If you take the logic of why we want to send money to people who have a student loan instead 01:01:52.300 |
of other classes of people, if you take it to its extension, I think you're going to 01:01:55.820 |
see why ultimately government colleges are going to be tuition-free for everybody. 01:02:02.140 |
And I have no idea, I'm just making up a number, but I would say 10 years, 15 years maybe, 01:02:08.140 |
And again, I'm totally making it up, I have no logical argument to support that number. 01:02:11.120 |
But here's why, and I read it to you in the White House's press release. 01:02:17.320 |
One of the other initiatives that the Biden press release writer said here, and I quote, 01:02:27.880 |
"We want to protect future students and taxpayers by reducing the cost of college and holding 01:02:32.080 |
schools accountable when they hike up prices," and skipping down, "to further reduce the 01:02:36.860 |
cost of college, the president will continue to fight to double the maximum Pell Grant 01:02:44.800 |
So that's the current arena, the current frontier of this battle, is to make community 01:02:55.480 |
Well, I think, myself, my opinion is, yeah, either community college should be free or 01:03:04.900 |
And since there's only a tiny fringe minority of people who think that ending the government 01:03:09.600 |
school system is actually a good idea, then the most likely answer is make community college 01:03:18.240 |
free and make four-year colleges free and make every other college free all the way 01:03:25.400 |
And to me, this seems like where we're most likely to end up practically in the United 01:03:31.280 |
Number one, there's ample historic precedent for this. 01:03:36.260 |
There's ample precedent all across Europe, higher education institutions are tuition-free, 01:03:46.440 |
And in fact, in many European countries, those universities are tuition-free to anybody who 01:03:52.960 |
can apply, have the appropriate academic credentials to be admitted, and can come from anywhere 01:04:00.900 |
For years, I've followed the most famous as Germany, that Germany will allow any international 01:04:06.640 |
student who can come, have appropriate academic qualifications, test scores, et cetera, to 01:04:11.800 |
come and attend their universities tuition-free. 01:04:14.120 |
There are several Scandinavian countries, I mean, many European countries offer this. 01:04:20.080 |
The question is whether the instruction is done in English or whether it's in a local 01:04:24.440 |
So often, the language barrier can often be substantial for people who are not from that 01:04:30.080 |
region to go to a school, unless they offer more English instruction. 01:04:36.920 |
And I think this is probably where we wind up in the United States as well. 01:04:40.640 |
I don't see any moral difference or any real, any like philosophical difference between 01:04:48.400 |
having government school paid for from K through 12 versus government school paid for from 01:04:59.480 |
There's, as I see it, there's no real difference. 01:05:03.160 |
So eventually, it seems to me likely that we'll wind up with tuition-free government 01:05:08.680 |
universities, and then we'll wind up with a, the continuation of private universities 01:05:15.560 |
competing in the private market for students where there were tuition paid programs. 01:05:22.240 |
I mean, you know, my libertarian utopia doesn't exist. 01:05:28.940 |
So having tuition-free universities, fine, you know, fine. 01:05:32.360 |
It's just, it's better than, better than incentivizing people for taking out debt than 01:05:38.960 |
And again, if we're going to have government K through 12, then why not government 13 to 01:05:44.560 |
I think the good thing about that kind of university system is that it can eliminate 01:05:50.600 |
some of the people going to college who shouldn't go to college. 01:05:55.600 |
Because entry into those universities, into government, into free government, tuition-free 01:06:01.240 |
government universities is screened based on academic qualification, although I have 01:06:11.400 |
So I'm making an opinion that's unsupported by data here. 01:06:14.680 |
I'm expressing an observation or an opinion that's unsupported by data. 01:06:18.240 |
I think that means that there's more of a likelihood of the people being in those university 01:06:25.980 |
One of the biggest problems of the American college system has been the, because of all 01:06:33.680 |
the free money, there have been schools that have dramatically lowered entrance requirements 01:06:42.640 |
And those are the people who've been the most hurt by it. 01:06:47.200 |
They can't get into a good college, and so they wind up going to a next door college 01:06:58.400 |
They can't cut it for the reasons I talked about in an episode a couple months ago of 01:07:07.760 |
They're not good at sitting in classes and producing what the teachers want. 01:07:12.720 |
They leave without a college degree but heavily saddled in debt. 01:07:16.280 |
Those are the people who have been very deeply hurt by the current system in the United States. 01:07:21.100 |
So if you change that system and you eliminate the tuition requirements, at least for government 01:07:25.440 |
universities, and you screen people based upon academic qualifications, then the people 01:07:32.060 |
who get in are likely to be suited for the academic life. 01:07:39.480 |
And then if they're not and they drop out two years later, at least they're not harmed 01:07:45.080 |
They had to pass the rigorous academic entry exams and then they're not harmed by it. 01:07:51.220 |
So I hope that that just caused you to think. 01:07:57.140 |
But again, I see this as a dramatic philosophical discontinuity. 01:08:05.740 |
And I think that human beings, being their core logical beings, who are able to understand 01:08:13.820 |
and see logic, I think that if there's a discontinuity, eventually people will go to their actual 01:08:26.100 |
And so to me it just hasn't made sense for years why there should be a fundamental distinction 01:08:32.340 |
between government schools for K-12 and government schools for 13-16. 01:08:37.940 |
There's ample precedent from countries all around the world, where even very high levels 01:08:44.220 |
I worked with a doctor from Mexico one time who was providing some eye care for me. 01:08:53.340 |
And this doctor, she said, she told me she had $50 a semester cost to go to medical school 01:09:02.340 |
And so there's precedent all around the world for even the highest levels of universities 01:09:12.060 |
And since I don't expect there to be any kind of dramatic move, at least not now, not for 01:09:17.740 |
a long time, I don't expect there to be a dramatic move of people saying, "Let's get 01:09:20.860 |
rid of government schools," then I think it's more likely we go in this direction. 01:09:29.720 |
At its core, even though you feel like a chump, I think try to take... if you paid your loans, 01:09:37.540 |
try to appreciate the fact that you proved to yourself that you were the kind of person 01:09:42.420 |
who could borrow money and repay it successfully. 01:09:45.620 |
That shows the kind of person you are, and appreciate that. 01:09:49.020 |
If you are having some of your debts relieved and having some of your student loans reduced, 01:09:56.180 |
Take the money and go and use it to increase your family stability, invest it in your community, 01:10:09.380 |
But in the future, both of those people, both of you, whichever one of those you are, you 01:10:15.740 |
need to still continue to plan, because things are going to change rapidly in the coming 01:10:22.220 |
And at its core, the character qualities and virtues of being self-reliant, caring for 01:10:31.100 |
yourself, planning ahead, of being prudent, those are the things that truly will ultimately 01:10:38.180 |
And you want to develop those character qualities. 01:10:40.140 |
Otherwise, you're at the mercy of a broken political system. 01:10:46.380 |
So that's what you need to know about the current wave of legislation, the current news. 01:10:52.180 |
Hope that's helpful for you, and I'll be back with you very soon. 01:10:55.420 |
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