back to indexMark Cuban: Shark Tank, DEI & Wokeism Debate, Elon Musk, Politics & Drugs | Lex Fridman Podcast #422
Chapters
0:0 Introduction
0:54 Entrepreneurship
15:48 Shark Tank
26:13 How Mark made first billion
52:24 Dallas Mavericks
57:49 DEI debate
93:42 Trump vs Biden
96:4 Immigration
105:37 Drugs and Big Pharma
121:38 AI
125:49 Advice for young people
00:00:00.000 |
the person who controls the algorithm controls the world. 00:00:04.580 |
And if you are committed to one specific platform 00:00:17.960 |
- The following is a conversation with Mark Cuban, 00:00:25.000 |
investor and star of the series "Shark Tank," 00:00:27.760 |
longtime principal owner of the Dallas Mavericks, 00:00:41.680 |
with the likes of Elon Musk and Jordan Peterson. 00:00:47.880 |
please check out our sponsors in the description. 00:00:58.640 |
heard a lot of pitches privately and on "Shark Tank." 00:01:13.160 |
Somebody who's agile because as you learn new things 00:01:18.660 |
you have to be able to adapt and make the changes. 00:01:23.920 |
because no business has ever survived without sales. 00:01:27.820 |
And as an entrepreneur who's creating a company, 00:01:34.280 |
and you're just dying and excited to tell people about it, 00:01:44.320 |
about putting myself in the shoes of another person 00:02:00.760 |
I'll bring 'em to your house and drop 'em off to streaming. 00:02:04.280 |
Why do we need streaming when we have TV and radio? 00:02:07.200 |
Well, you can't get access to your TV and radio 00:02:10.680 |
So we kind of break down geographic and physical barriers 00:02:19.360 |
In a simplistic approach, we buy drugs and sell drugs, 00:02:30.600 |
- Trust in an industry that's highly lacking in trust. 00:02:35.080 |
- Okay, so what's the trick to selling garbage bags? 00:02:41.640 |
I guess a good question to ask, are you born with it 00:02:47.360 |
I mean, because selling garbage bags door to door 00:02:54.880 |
You know what the answer is going to be, right? 00:02:56.640 |
Can I just drop them off for you once a week, 00:03:08.240 |
- I don't remember, but it's pretty close to 100%. 00:03:13.880 |
'Cause who's gonna say no to a 12 year old kid 00:03:17.500 |
But typically my career where I've started companies, 00:03:20.280 |
it's to do something that other people aren't doing, 00:03:23.720 |
whether it was connecting PCs and to local area networks 00:03:28.780 |
And the salesmanship was walking into a company 00:03:44.280 |
And so you didn't have to be a born salesperson 00:03:49.080 |
but you have to be able to be willing to put in the time 00:03:57.680 |
in like how you solve the puzzle of communicating 00:04:03.640 |
- Yeah, I mean, there's skill from the perspective 00:04:10.440 |
of any type of business and it'll take me two seconds 00:04:16.000 |
And I think that's probably my biggest skill, 00:04:18.840 |
being able to just drill down to what the actual need is, 00:04:21.960 |
if any, and then from there being able to say, 00:04:32.840 |
And is that a business that I can create and make money from? 00:04:37.720 |
makes money in the present and then figure out 00:04:39.880 |
is there a way to make more money in the future 00:04:57.720 |
My dad used to say, "We don't live in the world 00:04:59.760 |
"we were born into," which is absolutely true. 00:05:02.560 |
If you're not a voracious consumer of information, 00:05:08.520 |
and no matter what your sales skills or ability are, 00:05:18.400 |
Got up, went to work every morning at seven o'clock, 00:05:21.240 |
came back five or six, seven o'clock, exhausted. 00:05:35.320 |
to pass on to myself and my two younger brothers 00:05:42.240 |
so as I got into business, he would just say, 00:05:48.120 |
"Neither one of my parents had gone to college. 00:05:55.560 |
you know, he worked at a company called Regency Products 00:05:59.920 |
and he would bring me there to sweep the floors. 00:06:01.800 |
Not because he wanted me to learn that business, 00:06:06.760 |
I mean, he lost an eye in an accident at work, 00:06:34.320 |
you know, with me at a Mavs game, maybe a little bit, 00:06:43.360 |
Because I was always on the go, go, go, go, go, 00:06:51.040 |
trying to get to the point where I had independence. 00:06:55.500 |
either you're speeding up and getting on the train 00:06:59.440 |
at the next station, but let's go where you go. 00:07:06.480 |
- Yeah, always, 'cause I hated firing people, 00:07:12.180 |
the salesperson in me always wanted to come out ahead, 00:07:19.560 |
who had no problem with it, so I always delegated that. 00:07:26.000 |
and they're not quite there, and you have to decide, 00:07:29.960 |
are they going to step up and grow into the person 00:07:34.840 |
And in that gray area is probably where you have to fire. 00:07:37.920 |
- Was hard, yeah, for sure, because, you know, 00:07:40.240 |
there is obviously a failure somewhere in the process. 00:07:49.220 |
I think 99% of the people I've ever interviewed 00:07:52.380 |
I've wanted to hire, because in my mind it was like, 00:07:55.780 |
okay, I can figure out how to make this person work, right? 00:08:08.860 |
I see the beauty in people and which is a great way 00:08:11.860 |
to live life, but when you're running a company, 00:08:14.540 |
- It's different, and you got to know what you're good at 00:08:17.340 |
I was good at, you know, I was a ready, fire, aim guy, 00:08:21.420 |
and I always partnered with people who were very anal 00:08:23.900 |
and perfectionist, because where I could just go, 00:08:25.980 |
go, go, go, go, go, they would keep me inside the baselines. 00:08:39.620 |
It really depends on your personal circumstances. 00:08:49.000 |
So there was no downside. - Started at the bottom. 00:08:50.880 |
- Yeah, there was no downside for me starting a business, 00:08:55.660 |
when we started MicroSolutions, and, you know, 00:08:58.320 |
I'd just gotten fired, and it was like, look, 00:09:02.900 |
I'm gonna just start going to some of my prospects 00:09:06.540 |
that I had at my job and ask them to front the money 00:09:12.420 |
and found this company, Architectural Lighting, 00:09:16.420 |
That allowed me to buy software and have 50% margins, 00:09:19.620 |
and, you know, that's how I started my company. 00:09:25.340 |
- Yeah, I mean, you've gotta be in a position 00:09:27.880 |
You know, I get emails and approached by people 00:09:29.900 |
all the time, you know, what kind of business should I start 00:09:32.780 |
that tells me you're not ready to start a business, right? 00:09:34.900 |
Either you're prepared and you know it or you don't. 00:09:37.140 |
You know, in the United States, with the American Dream, 00:09:40.820 |
everybody kind of always looks at themselves and say, 00:09:47.420 |
And then you go through this process of saying, 00:09:49.740 |
okay, you know, you talk to your friends or family, 00:09:52.840 |
And then almost always, oh, it's a great idea, right? 00:09:55.000 |
Then you go on Google and you say, oh my God, 00:09:57.460 |
no one else is doing it without thinking, you know, 00:10:01.260 |
trying the same thing, but okay, it's on Google. 00:10:20.100 |
okay, maybe I'm comfortable, maybe I have responsibilities. 00:10:28.480 |
you have to be able to deal with the consequences 00:10:39.580 |
You've got to save money, you can't just walk. 00:10:44.540 |
But on the other side of the coin, if you've got nothing, 00:10:52.020 |
But in many cases, the decision, as you're talking about, 00:10:57.620 |
that's providing some degree of comfort already. 00:11:00.580 |
So I suppose when you're sleeping on the floor 00:11:03.180 |
and there's six guys, it's a little bit easier. 00:11:06.380 |
Particularly when you get fired and you don't have a job, 00:11:08.540 |
you know, and you're looking at bartending at night 00:11:11.400 |
And so it wasn't hard for me, but to your point, 00:11:19.900 |
you'll save the money, you'll give up, you know, 00:11:22.620 |
whatever it is you need to give up to put the money aside. 00:11:26.460 |
If you have obligations, you'll put in the work 00:11:30.100 |
to learn as much as you can about that industry 00:11:32.660 |
so that when you start your business, you're prepared. 00:11:35.460 |
And you can always, you know, at night, on weekends, 00:11:38.540 |
whenever you find time, lunch, start making the calls 00:11:41.260 |
to find out if people will write you a check, you know, 00:11:43.620 |
transfer you money to buy whatever it is you're selling. 00:11:47.900 |
you can put yourself in a position to succeed. 00:11:50.060 |
It's where people just think, okay, you know, Geronimo, 00:11:57.420 |
- But sometimes that's like the way you do it though. 00:11:59.420 |
- There's always examples of any situation or scenario. 00:12:04.980 |
- Yeah, but if you're going into a new business, 00:12:07.900 |
unless you're really, really, really, really, really lucky. 00:12:10.060 |
And that competition is not gonna just say, okay, 00:12:15.820 |
to how you're gonna deal with that competition. 00:12:25.140 |
and act on that dream of starting a business? 00:12:39.900 |
creating a business gives you the greatest potential upside 00:12:56.140 |
if they pull it off, the law will protect them. 00:13:01.620 |
There's always, yeah, us versus other countries. 00:13:11.240 |
that when he was vice president, he had put together. 00:13:14.060 |
And we had gone up there, a bunch of us from "Shark Tank" 00:13:17.900 |
to talk to young entrepreneurs from around the world. 00:13:25.380 |
"and the one thing that separates us is entrepreneurship. 00:13:28.740 |
"We're the most entrepreneurial country in the world, 00:13:33.300 |
And when you look at the origin of the biggest companies 00:13:39.860 |
there's an American origin story somewhere behind there. 00:13:43.100 |
And I think that just gets perpetuated on itself. 00:13:49.640 |
We see examples of the Jeff Bezos of the world, 00:13:54.340 |
And those are the types of people we want to copy. 00:14:27.340 |
is immediately matched with distrust and criticism 00:14:33.500 |
because you can go back just 12 years, right? 00:14:36.980 |
Traditional media dominated, let's just say, through 2012. 00:14:45.720 |
but they still had some breadth and depth to them. 00:14:50.780 |
and everybody gets to play in their own sandbox 00:14:53.740 |
and share opinions with people who think just like them. 00:15:02.820 |
And I think that's where celebrating entrepreneurs 00:15:09.420 |
There were always people who were progressive 00:15:12.700 |
or millionaires are bad, depending on the time period. 00:15:15.580 |
But you didn't really see it on an ongoing basis, right? 00:15:21.180 |
It wasn't going to be in the front page of the newspaper. 00:15:26.380 |
and someone talked about it, or you read a magazine 00:15:31.100 |
this progressive movement or that progressive movement, 00:15:36.820 |
But now, all of that is front and center in social media. 00:15:51.180 |
- Well, I mean, that's the whole reason I do Shark Tank. 00:15:52.860 |
- That's true, that show celebrates the entrepreneur. 00:15:56.260 |
- It's the only place where every single minute 00:15:58.260 |
of every single episode, we celebrate the American dream. 00:16:02.500 |
And the reason I do it is we tell the entire country 00:16:07.740 |
We're amazing advertising for the American dream 00:16:12.620 |
But every time somebody walks onto that carpet 00:16:19.060 |
that sends a message to every kid who's watching, 00:16:23.980 |
that if they can do it from Ketchum, Idaho, you can do it. 00:16:30.700 |
and have all of America see it, you can do it. 00:16:41.620 |
"Yeah, I started watching you when I was five or 10 00:16:47.260 |
And so, I think we're being, it celebrates it 00:16:51.460 |
and we convey it and I don't think it's going away, 00:16:59.780 |
is obviously horrible, just the guts to step up. 00:17:09.540 |
I mean, 'cause like some of the best business ideas 00:17:12.220 |
are probably maybe even you and Shark Tank will laugh at. 00:17:21.780 |
and then sometimes we'll just motivate people 00:17:28.020 |
There's been great success stories that we said no to. 00:17:30.540 |
- What stands out as like a memorable business 00:17:35.300 |
What's the best one that stands out in memory? 00:17:41.380 |
There's stupid ones and we haven't had any world class 00:17:47.340 |
or world changing earth shattering ones, right? 00:17:49.940 |
Because those aren't gonna apply to Shark Tank. 00:17:55.660 |
So we typically get businesses that need some help 00:17:59.500 |
But there's ones I've passed that I wish like Spike Ball. 00:18:03.020 |
So it's just rebounding net that you can put on the beach 00:18:06.060 |
and you have these yellow balls and you play a game of, 00:18:08.940 |
it's just competitive game, but they're killing it. 00:18:16.140 |
And it was a fun game that I wish I had done a deal with. 00:18:24.340 |
and they wanted to create leagues, Spike Ball leagues, 00:18:32.540 |
- So you have to kind of have this gut feeling 00:18:35.200 |
of will this scale, will this click with people? 00:18:56.100 |
- Yeah, and I guess the question you're trying to see, 00:19:03.500 |
will the promise materialize into a big thing? 00:19:09.540 |
'Cause it's all relative to the entrepreneur. 00:19:16.380 |
And there was nothing outrageously special about it. 00:19:19.700 |
I didn't see it becoming a $100 million business. 00:19:22.100 |
I thought it could become a two, three, $5 million business 00:19:27.840 |
And six months after the show aired, she called me up. 00:19:31.580 |
She goes, "Mark, I've got a million dollars in the bank. 00:19:37.320 |
"Put aside money for your taxes and go back to work." 00:19:40.940 |
And so it doesn't have to be a huge business. 00:19:42.660 |
It's just gotta be one that makes the entrepreneur happy. 00:19:48.700 |
- Do a lot of the entrepreneurs overvalue business? 00:19:52.100 |
Yeah, I mean, that's the nature of it, right? 00:19:54.500 |
I mean, and that's really where the biggest conflicts 00:20:06.480 |
and they had this scraper for cat's tongues, right? 00:20:14.900 |
- You know, and they had this insane valuation, 00:20:17.260 |
and it was on because it was corny and fun TV, 00:20:29.980 |
- So how do you determine the value of a business, 00:20:33.580 |
whether it's on "Shark Tank" or just in general? 00:20:42.260 |
and I want to buy 10% of that company for $100,000, 00:20:53.780 |
in after-tax cash flow that they're able to distribute. 00:21:03.220 |
that's how much after-tax cash they have to generate 00:21:09.020 |
Or the other option is, do I see this business 00:21:15.860 |
or do they have something specific about them 00:21:19.060 |
that some other company would want to acquire? 00:21:28.700 |
- And how do you know if a company's gonna be acquired? 00:21:41.980 |
- And how do you know if they can generate the money? 00:21:46.340 |
- Yeah, I mean, can the person sell, you know? 00:21:57.140 |
She can look at a person and hear them talk for 20 minutes 00:21:59.820 |
and know, can that person do the job and do the work? 00:22:02.660 |
- Can you tell if they're full of shit or not? 00:22:14.860 |
in terms of their understanding of the market 00:22:34.420 |
that come on there and it's a cure for cancer 00:22:37.920 |
or there's this latest fad that increases your core strength 00:22:46.140 |
I'm just gonna bounce, I'm gonna pound on them, right? 00:22:52.840 |
Because they know all of America is going to see it 00:23:05.460 |
Do you have to be ambitious and set aside reality 00:23:10.480 |
at some level to think that you can create a company 00:23:13.000 |
that could be worth 10, 100, a billion dollars, right? 00:23:19.820 |
But I think if you're delusional, that works against you. 00:23:26.660 |
You've got to execute, you've got to produce. 00:23:32.060 |
And you can say, this is where I want to get to 00:23:33.980 |
and that's my mission or this is my driving principle. 00:23:36.940 |
But you still got to execute on the business plan 00:23:40.780 |
- Yeah, you have to be kind of two-brained, I guess. 00:23:44.540 |
when you're thinking about the specifics of the product, 00:23:53.660 |
- Yeah, I mean, 'cause if you can't do the basics, 00:23:55.440 |
you're not gonna be able to do the bigger things. 00:23:56.760 |
And at the same time, you've got to be able... 00:24:00.260 |
that I always try to remind any that I work with on 00:24:05.740 |
Our product is bigger, faster, cheaper, this or that, 00:24:21.020 |
if you do A, B or C, they're gonna try to do C, D and E, 00:24:24.300 |
right, and you better be prepared for that to come 00:24:26.580 |
because otherwise they're out of business too. 00:25:07.060 |
and you go out there and you sell whatever it is, 00:25:17.420 |
that you haven't been able to read the market. 00:25:30.780 |
which is like iterative development of the thing. 00:25:41.100 |
Your product, your sales pitch, your advertising, 00:25:57.140 |
that you have to be agile and adapt and change. 00:26:02.860 |
it feels like business model can evolve really quickly too, 00:26:13.060 |
- Speaking of which, how did you make your first billion? 00:26:36.900 |
to be able to listen to Indiana University basketball games, 00:26:41.980 |
And he was like, look, when we would listen to games, 00:26:45.500 |
we would have somebody in Bloomington, Indiana 00:26:49.380 |
and then we would have a speakerphone in Dallas, 00:26:55.300 |
because there was no other way to listen to it. 00:26:57.460 |
So I was like, okay, my first company, MicroSolutions, 00:27:00.260 |
I'd written software, done network integration, 00:27:05.780 |
And so I was like, okay, let's give it a try. 00:27:23.940 |
and we started going to radio stations and TV stations 00:27:33.820 |
to Broadcast.com in 1998, which was audio and video, 00:27:38.820 |
and became the largest multimedia site on the internet, 00:27:47.860 |
in the history of the stock market at the time. 00:27:55.540 |
and I owned right around 30% of the company, give or take. 00:28:00.340 |
And so after taxes, that's what got me there. 00:28:05.100 |
you're making it sound easy, but you wrote code, 00:28:09.660 |
but still, in the early days of the internet, 00:28:12.380 |
how do you figure out how to create this kind of product 00:28:16.340 |
of just audio at first and then video at first? 00:28:18.900 |
- A lot of iterations, right, like you talked about. 00:28:22.060 |
We started in the second bedroom of my house, 00:28:32.980 |
and then started using different file formats 00:28:43.180 |
so that the audio, you can listen to the audio 00:28:48.580 |
So you were trying to figure out how to do it. 00:28:50.260 |
It would buffer, it was, yeah, it wasn't good, 00:28:53.380 |
- But it was good enough 'cause it's the first kind of-- 00:28:55.380 |
- Yeah, because there was no other competition, right? 00:29:01.540 |
And then there were some third-party software companies, 00:29:14.180 |
where literally we would set up a server right next to it. 00:29:18.740 |
I had a $49 radio, the highest FM radio that I could find. 00:29:23.740 |
And we take the output of the audio signal from the radio 00:29:27.740 |
with these two analog cables, plug it into the server, 00:29:31.300 |
encode it, and make it available from audionet.com. 00:29:44.340 |
And I'd say, okay, we've got this radio station, 00:29:52.980 |
And if you're in an office or you're outside of Dallas, 00:29:58.580 |
And now you can listen to these things on demand. 00:30:10.180 |
so we could literally go out and buy CDs and host them 00:30:13.820 |
and just let people listen to whatever music. 00:30:16.020 |
And we went from 10 users a day to 100 to 1,000 00:30:32.500 |
- Well, radio and TV, anything, any content at all. 00:30:37.500 |
- Wherever I could, everything that was public domain, 00:30:52.460 |
we would put online so people could listen to it. 00:30:59.940 |
Definitely didn't have a TV, but you had a PC, 00:31:12.620 |
what just exploded because whoever's sitting next to you, 00:31:18.820 |
And then in early '98, we started adding video 00:31:24.180 |
and we had ended up with thousands of servers. 00:31:28.980 |
and just pulling together all those pieces to make it work. 00:31:44.900 |
and to communicate with your worldwide employees, 00:31:47.980 |
what they would do is they would go to an auditorium 00:31:53.540 |
and then they would have people go to theaters 00:31:56.900 |
or ballrooms and hotels that had satellite downlinks, 00:32:07.540 |
When you can do it, pay us a half a million dollars, 00:32:17.420 |
we charged them $2 million or whatever to do that. 00:32:20.660 |
When Motorola announced a new phone or a new product, 00:32:34.860 |
- And there was some selling there with the corporations. 00:32:40.740 |
They wanted to be perceived as being leading edge, 00:32:49.260 |
Like at which point do you get more engineers? 00:32:51.220 |
How much did you understand could do yourself? 00:32:54.540 |
And then also, once you can't do it all yourself, 00:33:00.500 |
to understand enough to hire the right people 00:33:10.340 |
- Yeah, from putting together a multicast network 00:33:13.500 |
to software to just all these different things. 00:33:20.680 |
Because as we were growing, trying to keep up the scale, 00:33:23.540 |
and literally we're buying off-the-shelf PCs, 00:33:26.420 |
and then server cards as the technology advanced, 00:33:35.460 |
to do an analysis of how to distribute server resources. 00:33:48.300 |
they released the audio of their interviews of him 00:33:54.700 |
And we literally, I knew at that point in time 00:34:03.500 |
that were doing Chicago Cubs baseball, right? 00:34:06.820 |
You know, and just make all these on-the-fly decisions 00:34:09.020 |
because there was no, we didn't have the tools 00:34:12.700 |
But yeah, it was all technology-driven and marketing. 00:34:16.380 |
- The acquisition by Yahoo, can you tell the story of that? 00:34:20.220 |
But also in the broader context of this internet bubble. 00:34:30.020 |
we were the largest media site on the internet 00:34:36.380 |
we would be 10X YouTube relative to the competition 00:34:40.860 |
And so, it became obvious to Yahoo, AOL and others 00:34:47.500 |
And we had the infrastructure, sales, all that stuff. 00:35:45.900 |
But then he started asking me all kinds of questions 00:35:48.380 |
about all these technologies that I understood 00:35:56.400 |
let's say, systems integrators in the country. 00:36:00.320 |
we were the largest IBM token ring installer in the country. 00:36:07.520 |
I mean, so anyway, so these Wall Street bankers 00:36:10.720 |
or analysts rather that were the big analysts of the time 00:36:14.300 |
would call me up 'cause they would ask my broker, 00:36:17.040 |
what does he know about this product, this product? 00:36:18.560 |
And I knew 'em all, what was working and not working, right? 00:36:21.240 |
And so the ones that work, I say that it's working. 00:36:24.840 |
They say something, the stock would go up 20 bucks, right? 00:36:29.320 |
you need to, you know this better than they do. 00:36:34.160 |
and this was in 1990 and was just killing it. 00:36:37.800 |
I was making 80, 90, 100% a year over those next four years 00:36:44.080 |
and asked to use my trading history to start a hedge fund, 00:36:56.760 |
I already had a lot of experience trading stocks 00:36:59.400 |
and I had seen different bubbles come and go, 00:37:08.440 |
and then they came straight down after the hype 00:37:23.740 |
where stocks get really frothy and go straight down. 00:37:27.480 |
And I knew that because all of what I had was in stock, 00:37:30.880 |
I needed to find a way to collar it and protect it. 00:37:33.400 |
So understanding stocks and trading and options 00:37:38.640 |
we went and shorted an index that had Yahoo in it. 00:37:42.040 |
And so the law at the time was you couldn't short 00:37:45.160 |
any indexes that had more than 5% of that stock in it, 00:37:51.880 |
And so I took pretty much 20 some million dollars, 00:37:55.600 |
everything I had at the time, and I shorted the index. 00:37:59.680 |
'cause it's based on your estimation that this is a bubble. 00:38:04.840 |
- Sure, so the foundation of this kind of thing 00:38:09.160 |
- Yeah, I mean, how much money do I need, right? 00:38:13.120 |
oh, I think it can go up higher, higher, higher. 00:38:14.720 |
I went on CNBC, and I told 'em what I had done, 00:38:19.720 |
and they were like, and Yahoo stock had gone up 00:38:26.200 |
And one of the guys, Joe Kernan, was on there. 00:38:28.200 |
Don't you feel stupid now that Yahoo stock has gone up 00:38:32.780 |
I'm like, yeah, I feel real stupid sitting on my jet. 00:38:36.480 |
- But, so, I mean, there is some fundamental way 00:38:43.600 |
- And I'd seen it before, right, like I just said. 00:38:45.760 |
And so what I did was we put together a collar 00:38:50.080 |
And as it turned out, when the market just cratered, 00:38:54.640 |
And over the next two, three years, whatever it was, 00:38:58.360 |
it converted to cash, paid my taxes, et cetera. 00:39:05.120 |
it was called one of the top 10 trades of all time. 00:39:07.640 |
And what was even more interesting out of that period, 00:39:12.920 |
and I had asked him to see if there was a way 00:39:16.720 |
to trade the VIX, right, the volatility index. 00:39:24.920 |
that we were working with to try to create this 00:39:32.720 |
- Well, it's not trivial to understand that it's a bubble. 00:39:35.560 |
I mean, you're kind of lessening your insight 00:39:39.240 |
into all this by saying you just didn't wanna be greedy. 00:39:41.760 |
But you still have to see that it's a bubble. 00:39:49.320 |
But it wasn't so much Yahoo, it was just the entire industry. 00:39:53.320 |
Back then, like we're looking at the magic seven 00:40:03.320 |
and people would just start talking about internet stocks. 00:40:13.480 |
And people aren't even trying to make operating cap profits. 00:40:16.200 |
They're just trying to leverage the frothiness 00:40:23.080 |
you don't see any IPOs right now for that matter. 00:40:25.440 |
So, you know, I don't think we're in a bubble now, 00:40:27.560 |
but back then, yes, I thought we were in a bubble, 00:40:29.760 |
but that wasn't really the motivating factor. 00:40:35.880 |
- No, because we're not seeing funky AI companies 00:40:40.040 |
If all of a sudden, we see a rush of companies 00:41:01.140 |
and he was like, "Oh yeah, it's going up, up, up." 00:41:03.840 |
And I'm like, yeah, we're not quite there yet, 00:41:11.120 |
- You said that becoming a billionaire requires luck. 00:41:19.280 |
yeah, I'm definitely going to be a billionaire. 00:41:21.640 |
You can, you know, if I had to start all over, 00:41:24.160 |
could I start a company that made me a millionaire? 00:41:25.840 |
Yeah, 'cause I know how to sell, and I know technology, 00:41:27.880 |
and I've learned enough over the years to do that. 00:41:35.360 |
But a billion, just something good has got to happen. 00:41:40.360 |
- Timing, you know, the internet stock market 00:41:42.240 |
was going nuts right when we started, you know? 00:41:44.840 |
And that certainly, I couldn't predict or control. 00:41:52.640 |
AI's been around a long, long, long, long time. 00:42:02.680 |
that they were going to get to that cost-effectiveness 00:42:04.860 |
where, you know, you could create models and train them, 00:42:08.840 |
and although it's expensive, it's still doable. 00:42:13.440 |
we had ASICs, right, for custom applications, 00:42:18.640 |
but GPUs were more for gaming and then crypto mining. 00:42:27.000 |
- So I think luck being essential to becoming a billionaire 00:42:34.980 |
First of all, I personally think that everything good 00:42:37.660 |
that's ever happened to me is because of luck. 00:42:46.180 |
that you're like, they seem to have done a lot of, 00:42:53.180 |
It seems like he did a lot of really interesting, 00:43:01.660 |
But he was really able to raise money, right? 00:43:08.080 |
because they weren't making, they weren't profitable. 00:43:13.960 |
where it was possible to raise all that money. 00:43:16.680 |
I mean, what about somebody you get sometimes feisty with 00:43:21.840 |
But we couldn't even look at Zuck and Bill Gates 00:43:25.520 |
- Look, Zuck was just trying to get laid, right? 00:43:30.920 |
- That's the foundation of human civilization. 00:43:40.460 |
Apps didn't take off in 2007 when the iPhone came out. 00:43:45.820 |
And if you were there with the right app at the right time. 00:43:58.060 |
and kids in school all needed computers or laptops. 00:44:00.640 |
If he had tried to do something like that, you know, 00:44:03.880 |
five years earlier, I mean, he was too young, 00:44:05.400 |
but, you know, five years earlier or five years later, 00:44:08.280 |
you know, or Friendster might have been the ultimate, 00:44:19.640 |
but there's like the details of how the product is built, 00:44:29.560 |
of that opportunity and the kismet of it all, right? 00:44:35.600 |
there weren't others trying the same thing, right? 00:44:51.600 |
Because it wasn't like, whether it was Google or Facebook, 00:44:57.040 |
It wasn't bootstrapping it that got them there. 00:45:16.720 |
same idea, same person, same execution and nothing. 00:45:31.900 |
- Yeah, I mean, scale is, the only delta is scale. 00:45:34.500 |
We're not all blessed with the access to the tools 00:45:46.980 |
Everybody defines the success in their own way. 00:45:56.620 |
People always say, well, when you get that kind of money, 00:46:15.720 |
there's a good chance you're still gonna be miserable 00:46:19.200 |
- That's a pretty good definition of success, by the way. 00:46:26.780 |
- You know, we talked about my dad, my parents. 00:46:47.820 |
we're awful, we don't have this, we don't have that. 00:46:51.060 |
You know, we celebrated the things we did have, 00:46:53.420 |
and never knew about the things we didn't have, you know? 00:46:57.220 |
And so I think, you know, you have to be able 00:47:05.700 |
Some people can do it, and some people can't. 00:47:13.500 |
- The struggle, even the struggle, like with your dad, 00:47:16.420 |
the really, really hard work can be a fulfilling experience, 00:47:22.380 |
because the struggle leading up to then seeing your kids. 00:47:31.700 |
Seeing three kids go to college, be successful, 00:47:39.460 |
he really made me realize is the most valuable asset 00:47:46.580 |
I wanted to retire, because I wanted to experience 00:47:49.560 |
everything that I possibly could in this life. 00:47:51.820 |
And, you know, he got joy from us, I get joy from my kids. 00:47:55.440 |
And that's the most special thing you ever can have. 00:48:07.380 |
- One of the bigger ones on the financial side, 00:48:20.020 |
- You know, I always try to look at mistakes, 00:48:23.380 |
as opposed to things you did to, you know, the negative. 00:48:29.900 |
'cause it is illustrative of like how to know 00:48:40.420 |
- So the backstory of that is Bill Gurley came to me 00:48:53.660 |
And so I invested and spent a lot of time with Travis. 00:48:57.820 |
And it's funny, 'cause back then, that was like 2006, 00:49:00.720 |
I was an investor at Box.net with Aaron Levy, 00:49:08.060 |
but there were three of 'em where there'd be emails 00:49:13.580 |
and they'd all gone to have astronomical success, right? 00:49:23.760 |
as kind of stealing bandwidth from the internet providers 00:49:30.040 |
And so, you know, what Travis did with that, though, 00:49:33.640 |
was great, you know, he convinced gaming companies 00:49:36.160 |
who wanted to do downloads of the clients for those games 00:49:58.200 |
I said, you're gonna, and he showed me his budgets, 00:50:06.280 |
And I'm like, your biggest challenge is gonna be 00:50:16.640 |
designated for marketing to get all that done. 00:50:34.080 |
that seems like there's a lot of complexity involved, 00:50:59.320 |
the best thing about you is you'll run through walls 00:51:02.560 |
The bad thing about you is you'll run through walls 00:51:15.040 |
And it's kind of a fascinating success story with Uber is. 00:51:20.360 |
He had too big an ambition, which cost him in the end, 00:51:25.480 |
but just in terms of being able to stick it out with them. 00:51:28.380 |
But that's what makes him a great entrepreneur. 00:51:44.360 |
who worked as our general counsel at Broadcast.com, 00:51:51.440 |
So yeah, they had a smart, smart, smart, smart team. 00:52:00.440 |
all the things that annoy you about this world, 00:52:02.480 |
like they're inefficient and just seem like-- 00:52:18.600 |
It didn't seem like you could do this at a large scale. 00:52:20.840 |
- Monetize it, yeah, but he did, more power to him. 00:52:28.200 |
in the NBA team Dallas Mavericks for 285 million. 00:52:46.240 |
- I had this big tall guy named Dirk Nowitzki 00:52:54.480 |
there was the turnaround on the business side 00:52:56.720 |
and then there was the turnaround on the basketball side. 00:53:02.280 |
whatever it takes to win, that's what we're going to do. 00:53:15.400 |
than we do developing the most important assets 00:53:20.920 |
and hire like 15 different development coaches, 00:53:28.120 |
but it sent the message that we were going to do 00:53:33.840 |
And once the guys believe that winning was the goal 00:53:39.800 |
as opposed to just making money, attitudes change, 00:53:45.400 |
- So the assets of the business here are the-- 00:53:56.160 |
And I really didn't know the answer immediately, 00:54:03.880 |
thought we were in the business of basketball. 00:54:06.040 |
We were not, we were in the experience business. 00:54:08.440 |
When you think about sporting events that you've been to, 00:54:12.560 |
you don't remember the home runs or the dunks, 00:54:17.080 |
Oh, it was my first day with a girl who's now my wife, 00:54:21.200 |
and he threw up on the person in front of us. 00:54:23.720 |
You know, my dad took me, my aunt, my uncle took me. 00:54:32.880 |
that what happened in the arena off the court 00:54:35.840 |
was just as important as what happened on the court, 00:54:39.120 |
Because if mom or dad are bringing the 10-year-old, 00:54:50.560 |
I would say NBA, nothing but attorneys, right? 00:54:53.120 |
Because they had no marketing skills whatsoever. 00:54:55.240 |
And to their credit, they realized that was a problem 00:55:00.560 |
- So part of the selling is you're selling the team, 00:55:27.440 |
because the tickets tend to be a little bit cheaper 00:55:32.320 |
And so you hear kids screaming the entire game. 00:55:34.880 |
And the parents are thrilled to death, right? 00:55:39.680 |
because they got to see basketball, an NBA game, 00:55:44.240 |
And you know, if it turns out to be a close game 00:55:53.880 |
you're commiserating with people you've never seen before. 00:55:55.960 |
That's such a unique experience that's unique to sports. 00:56:01.760 |
- I have to say, like, just going to that game 00:56:11.600 |
Yeah, the energy in a stadium is completely different 00:56:21.200 |
You feel it and you see, like, I'm from Pittsburgh, 00:56:27.640 |
But in an arena, the energy level is just indescribable. 00:56:32.640 |
- So how much of it is the selling the tickets in person, 00:56:41.320 |
do you get any of the cut for what's shown on TV? 00:56:50.800 |
or a network broadcaster like ABCC, ESPN, TNT, whatever. 00:57:00.880 |
turning a team around? - It keeps fans connected. 00:57:02.760 |
Look, when the team is doing really well, it's easy, right? 00:57:05.480 |
There's more viewers, everybody's more excited. 00:57:07.720 |
And when you're not, there's still gonna be hardcore fans 00:57:11.280 |
and general fans and kids that like to watch the game. 00:57:19.120 |
Like, I mean, clearly, you're part of the legend 00:57:23.040 |
of the team because you're literally there going wild. 00:57:26.680 |
- Yeah, screaming, yeah, the whole game, right? 00:57:35.440 |
And for whatever reason, that's where I let out 00:57:45.840 |
And amplifying that as much as we can is important. 00:57:56.060 |
What to you is the essence of the disagreement there? 00:58:14.280 |
And so I have total respect for whatever choices he makes, 00:58:27.920 |
particularly somebody who's got a platform themselves. 00:58:35.240 |
and it's just de facto racist and this stuff, 00:58:40.400 |
I have no problem, you know, sharing my opinion. 00:58:43.100 |
And, you know, if he disagrees, okay, he can disagree. 00:58:50.160 |
And it's fun to engage, but he doesn't really engage. 00:58:54.160 |
You know, he just comes back with snark comments, 00:58:57.880 |
- Yeah, in your comments, well, you do a bit of snark too, 00:59:02.820 |
- But you're pretty, let's say, rigorous in your response. 00:59:15.560 |
that represents a large number of people, and it's great. 00:59:18.400 |
I mean, that's what's, it's really beautiful. 00:59:24.640 |
what to you is the good and the bad of DEI programs? 00:59:29.320 |
D is diversity, and that means you just expand 00:59:34.480 |
to people who you might not otherwise have access to. 00:59:38.160 |
You know, to look where you didn't look before, 00:59:45.840 |
And the E in equity means when you hire somebody, 00:59:53.000 |
The I in inclusion is when you've hired somebody 00:59:57.040 |
and they may not be typical, if you will, right? 01:00:00.680 |
You show 'em some love and give 'em the support they need 01:00:04.760 |
and feel comfortable and confident going to work. 01:00:10.360 |
When it's implemented, implemented poorly, perhaps, 01:00:20.640 |
do you see that it can result in essentially racism 01:00:24.640 |
towards Asian people and white people, for example? 01:00:40.160 |
like some discrimination that's happened in the past. 01:00:42.640 |
So it's not quota-based, and I think that's really 01:00:45.900 |
just kind of a straw man that people put out there. 01:00:50.860 |
Now, does that mean that there aren't DEI programs 01:00:54.760 |
There are everything that's implemented poorly 01:01:07.220 |
But that's the beauty of capitalism in a free market, 01:01:11.760 |
or mostly free market, where if you make these choices, 01:01:19.200 |
You're not gonna be able to hire the best people. 01:01:21.420 |
You're not gonna execute on your business plans 01:01:33.100 |
So when I'm in a different group of people off of X, 01:01:49.100 |
There's no human being that is 100% objective. 01:01:54.100 |
And it's also, there's very, very, very few jobs 01:02:00.460 |
that can be determined on a purely quantitative basis. 01:02:06.060 |
How do you tell one janitor from the other who's the best? 01:02:11.100 |
How do you tell one salesperson that you're hiring 01:02:19.780 |
And yes, there's discrimination against any group, 01:02:24.780 |
white, Asian, black, green, orange, whatever it may be. 01:02:29.900 |
But I truly believe that there's far more discrimination 01:02:33.420 |
against people of color than there are people who are white. 01:02:55.320 |
But in the recent years, there was a correction, 01:03:04.580 |
where DEI programs at universities, at companies, 01:03:08.980 |
are often, when they're not doing their job well, 01:03:14.340 |
because when you criticize them within the company 01:03:16.740 |
or so on, they have a very strong immune system. 01:03:25.460 |
it seems like it's very easy to be called racist. 01:03:32.740 |
So you're getting into the culture of organizations 01:03:38.820 |
and accepting any type of criticism, put aside DEI. 01:03:43.820 |
When I criticized the referees at the NBA, I got fined. 01:03:56.160 |
If I'm in a major company and I'm publicly criticizing 01:04:00.260 |
or even internally criticizing a sales plan or a product, 01:04:07.220 |
Or like there was a Google engineer that got fired 01:04:15.220 |
Wasn't DEI related, but it was saying something publicly 01:04:26.980 |
within an organization because you think there's a problem 01:04:37.960 |
Then, you know, leadership has got to make a decision. 01:04:51.460 |
that conservatives are being silenced in organizations now, 01:05:10.540 |
Put aside universities, for one, in corporate America. 01:05:14.260 |
When I talk to people in corporate America about DEI, 01:05:18.260 |
they always start talking about ideology, right? 01:06:04.140 |
And I'll be like, well, who's forcing you to do this? 01:06:08.020 |
You see it, don't, didn't you see the Harvard thing, 01:06:12.060 |
I'm like, I've never had anybody try to push me 01:06:17.340 |
I'm not trying to tell other people you have to do this. 01:06:22.340 |
And so where companies have made their business choices, 01:06:28.500 |
they may feel they're being discriminated against. 01:06:30.900 |
There was something I just read in the Wall Street Journal 01:06:34.660 |
had a company interview 2 million people, right? 01:06:46.340 |
felt like it was wrong that they were doing a great job. 01:06:53.420 |
going through the hassle of trying to explain to this person 01:07:00.180 |
yet the people still thought they were doing a great job 01:07:02.340 |
despite being told they're not doing a good job, right? 01:07:04.740 |
So I see that as being an analogous to all this, 01:07:24.540 |
And if you just feel like I can't speak up because of it, 01:07:31.700 |
and that doesn't comport well with DEI programs, 01:07:39.740 |
Either that's gonna come up in your performance review, 01:07:43.100 |
HR or your boss is going to have to address it in some way. 01:07:48.780 |
and then decisions are going to have to be made. 01:07:55.140 |
Somebody is gonna have to communicate with you. 01:08:07.900 |
And when I talk to people in positions of authority 01:08:10.180 |
within organizations and ask them who's forcing them 01:08:22.060 |
- It is true for conservatives, but in general, 01:08:29.060 |
And there's a degree to which is this woke ideology 01:08:42.020 |
is they don't highlight a lot of the positive progress 01:08:44.340 |
that's been made in the positive version of the word woke 01:08:48.300 |
in terms of correcting some of the wrongs done in the past. 01:08:55.740 |
a lot of them will say, there's no propaganda here, 01:08:58.860 |
there's no censorship and all that kind of stuff. 01:09:06.460 |
It does seem difficult to criticize DEI programs, 01:09:14.600 |
They're this monster that infiltrates everything. 01:09:17.060 |
But it is difficult and it requires great leadership. 01:09:20.000 |
- So where have you criticized it and been condemned? 01:09:31.780 |
I really wanna point my finger at the failure of leadership 01:09:43.540 |
The problem to me is DEI's defense mechanism, 01:09:55.580 |
So the vision, the ideal of DEI is a beautiful ideal. 01:10:01.100 |
- Well, maybe it's 'cause I'm an entrepreneur 01:10:02.500 |
when I see an ideal that you try to implement it 01:10:11.920 |
I can see an argument for the ideology in a university. 01:10:14.480 |
I can see, you look at the amount of money spent on it. 01:10:36.580 |
that they're not well-run organizations across the board. 01:10:44.060 |
I haven't waded into DEI in universities at all. 01:10:50.220 |
But at the same time, like I read Christopher Ruffro's book 01:10:53.020 |
where he talks about the genealogy of wokeism and ideology, 01:11:07.340 |
that's not the word he used, to try to counter that DEI. 01:11:16.720 |
to the whole conservative movement right now, right? 01:11:21.520 |
Where it's centralized and the Republican candidate 01:11:32.080 |
and a lot of the underpinning of the whole DEI conversation 01:11:45.400 |
So Elon tweeted, "The fundamental axiomatic flaw 01:11:51.320 |
"is that the weaker parties always right, in parentheses, 01:11:57.680 |
And you responded at length, but the beginning is, 01:12:01.140 |
"The fundamental axiomatic flaw of the anti-woke mind 01:12:04.960 |
"is that it allows groups with historical power 01:12:07.360 |
"to play the victim by taking anecdotal examples 01:12:10.720 |
"and packaging them into conjured conspiratorial ideology 01:12:14.580 |
"that threatens to up and the power structures 01:12:35.660 |
There's power in DEI and there's shitty people 01:12:48.220 |
- Yeah, I mean-- - Because I'm not gonna argue 01:12:52.300 |
And I'm not gonna tell you that they need to be spending 01:12:57.300 |
20 some million dollars a year on DEI positions. 01:13:03.220 |
Do I look at the Harvard and North Carolina decision 01:13:11.140 |
No, because I think having a diverse student body 01:13:21.480 |
But I'm not running a university so it's not my choice. 01:13:24.360 |
Maybe at some point in the future I will, but not now. 01:13:51.280 |
- Yeah, I mean, everybody was black or whatever, 01:13:54.360 |
- George Washington was black, Nazis were black. 01:13:57.600 |
- So why is it when that came out, it was a big uproar, 01:14:04.700 |
One of the people who are trying to fuck with me. 01:14:10.680 |
- Yeah, but he pointed out to Elon that Grok, 01:14:16.360 |
Elon's AI was woke when it answered certain questions. 01:14:21.320 |
And other people have pointed out other things to Elon 01:14:24.280 |
about Grok, whatever, however it's pronounced, 01:14:44.320 |
and then they dox the guy who was the product manager 01:14:51.600 |
and then they go back and look at his old tweets, right? 01:14:56.680 |
and very DEI supportive and that's the end of the world. 01:15:07.240 |
that trust that Google search has as objective as possible 01:15:18.880 |
- Yeah, see, you're over, you're giving them too much power. 01:15:22.640 |
And maybe I'm not recognizing the power, right? 01:15:33.320 |
if you put in keto gummies, Shark Tank keto gummies, 01:15:39.500 |
into Google, it would show up with scammy ads, 01:15:48.980 |
from elderly people asking me why the gummies weren't working 01:15:53.980 |
and why the companies were charging all this money 01:15:58.140 |
on a month-by-month basis when they tried to cancel. 01:16:14.780 |
The distance didn't happen once over one week, 01:16:29.140 |
within the google.com domain, it would show one page. 01:16:32.980 |
If you were outside of Google, it would show another. 01:16:34.980 |
And it took us looking at it at the same time 01:16:38.680 |
Meaning that there's a lot of technology problems 01:16:41.460 |
- They're super complex, and we could talk about it forever 01:16:45.420 |
The criticism towards Google, towards other companies, 01:17:02.340 |
- Yeah, but they've got billions of customers 01:17:05.700 |
the free market stops with artificial intelligence, 01:17:15.880 |
will ignore their own best financial interest, 01:17:26.960 |
And Elon's not allowed to make those same mistakes, 01:18:03.120 |
- It's still a bias that resonates with people-- 01:18:06.160 |
- That's the way neural networks work, though, right? 01:18:15.880 |
- But, well, no, so like the black George Washington 01:18:20.880 |
is a correction on top of the foundation model 01:18:28.260 |
One of the big criticisms of all of the models, frankly, 01:18:34.880 |
is they're like trying to be really conservative 01:18:44.320 |
- It's brand new, and we know what happens, right? 01:18:46.960 |
And they do it on the front end with prompts, 01:18:50.640 |
with the neural networks that are underneath them, right? 01:18:55.620 |
and that's why there's gonna be millions of models 01:19:10.480 |
there's a left-leaning ideology within the companies, 01:19:18.600 |
- Yeah, that's where the market corrects it, right? 01:19:23.520 |
because everybody you know is going to test it. 01:19:27.760 |
well, not first came out, after Google bought them, 01:19:30.380 |
there used to be different commands you could give it, 01:19:34.760 |
right, there were prompt commands that you could give it, 01:19:40.840 |
that got loaded before they kicked it off, right? 01:19:58.800 |
But people on the outside are gonna check for that now, 01:20:01.560 |
right, it's almost like the new bug contest, right, 01:20:06.040 |
And then on the inside, if it's all left-leaning 01:20:11.440 |
because most conservatives won't wanna work there then, 01:20:20.040 |
You can have a different company that competes 01:20:23.880 |
My worry is that it kind of becomes like two different worlds 01:20:32.920 |
So where does this go is the question, right? 01:20:39.980 |
I've been in so many PC revolutions, right, or evolutions 01:20:48.440 |
Now we don't even talk about porn being an issue 01:20:59.120 |
We don't even think that's a negative anymore. 01:21:02.840 |
And now it's become very where your politics on Twitter. 01:21:07.840 |
But again, as you extend that and things grow, 01:21:12.840 |
as AI models become more efficient and trainable 01:21:27.000 |
and millions of models and not just foundational models. 01:21:32.120 |
maybe it'll be copy-pasta where you can just cut and paste 01:21:36.480 |
and create your own model and train it yourself. 01:22:09.640 |
That's what I think is gonna happen with AI as well, 01:22:11.500 |
because I think brands, there's no way the Mayo Clinic 01:22:26.860 |
- Yeah, I mean, that's a very hopeful message, 01:22:38.280 |
Sometimes you get into this very painful things. 01:22:47.400 |
where the ideological thing just builds on itself. 01:22:52.920 |
You know, there's 27. - Twitter is not real world, 01:22:56.720 |
But you could still have a nation captured by an ideology. 01:23:06.520 |
always at tension with each other, dividing the populace. 01:23:10.560 |
And in the process of doing that, figuring stuff out. 01:23:18.280 |
- You know, and that's fair and that's right. 01:23:21.720 |
telling you everything you wanna know, right? 01:23:28.840 |
people in Russia don't think invading Ukraine, 01:23:37.360 |
who think it's the best thing that ever happened, right? 01:23:45.880 |
- Right, right, 'cause that's exactly what Putin said. 01:23:48.280 |
And you know, we don't have one uniform media outlet, 01:23:56.440 |
Even though people like to talk about mainstream media 01:23:58.960 |
as being the source of a lot of the friction, 01:24:01.000 |
there is no such thing as mainstream media anymore. 01:24:03.360 |
You know, Fox is the biggest cable news channel 01:24:09.720 |
and they call everybody else mainstream media. 01:24:12.280 |
You know, it's insane the things that we accept 01:24:22.760 |
and what is the line of tolerance for free speech. 01:24:35.800 |
Now, God help us if we ever get to that point here, 01:24:44.080 |
And if you are committed to one specific platform 01:24:53.200 |
then whoever controls the algorithm or the programming there 01:24:59.040 |
And I think that's where our biggest problem has been. 01:25:14.280 |
and either you're part of the team or you're not. 01:25:18.840 |
It's not woke ideology because I never felt any pressure 01:25:25.000 |
and, you know, including diversity, equity, and inclusion. 01:25:28.320 |
And I've never forced anybody or told anybody to do it. 01:25:37.280 |
I mean, if you look at Dylan McDermott, right? 01:25:41.180 |
If there was a way to gauge the number of impressions 01:25:44.800 |
that she had, right, and where they sourced from, 01:25:50.080 |
that 90% plus of the impressions and discussions 01:25:53.720 |
of Dylan McDermott were on right-leaning media. 01:25:57.200 |
- Several things, actually, let's even go there. 01:26:03.760 |
- That's a guy whose name I couldn't think of, yeah. 01:26:05.680 |
- So the topic there was the gender transition 01:26:10.400 |
Hugh, can you explain the nature of the beef? 01:26:12.560 |
I mean, it's an interesting claim you're making 01:26:20.360 |
- Yeah, just the point is that if you looked at impressions, 01:26:25.240 |
you're curious about impressions and who sees them, right? 01:26:34.360 |
I'd bet 90% or more were in conservative media. 01:26:44.020 |
And if it weren't for Kid Rock shooting at Dylan McDermott 01:26:53.160 |
- Yeah, but most of the people that care about censorship 01:26:57.520 |
So most people that care about Putin suppressing speech 01:27:08.840 |
The criticism that Jordan Peterson could provide, 01:27:12.560 |
I guess he said that Dylan Mulvaney popularized 01:27:21.240 |
They can affect, there's a very serious life-changing process 01:27:42.840 |
where he might get 50 some thousand views or likes, right? 01:27:50.680 |
I've never seen any evidence that Dylan McDermott 01:27:54.800 |
influenced people to transition their gender. 01:27:58.360 |
As he transitioned to her, it was documented on TikTok 01:28:03.840 |
And again, when you go back and look at the views 01:28:21.520 |
there to be a trend of, especially when you feel 01:28:35.560 |
you would gender transition without meaning to do that. 01:28:42.840 |
That's the worry they have. - Yeah, but that's 01:28:45.680 |
To think that all the things that have to happen 01:28:56.360 |
find it cool, or in the moment, expedient, if you will, 01:29:05.120 |
But to go through the actual physical transition, 01:29:08.440 |
I don't remember what the numbers were that I read, 01:29:16.360 |
were from JAMA, which is a medical association, 01:29:25.560 |
went down, but the bigger point is there are no numbers 01:29:32.480 |
so there's no way to know if the assertion is true, 01:29:41.000 |
But you can say that about any social media influencer, 01:29:44.360 |
right, you know, people are, kids are dying because, 01:29:51.800 |
accuse Trump of potentially influencing people 01:29:55.360 |
to, you know, inject bleach into their veins. 01:30:01.880 |
to say that because, you know, Trump says it, 01:30:06.680 |
and then they find somebody who actually did, 01:30:08.760 |
and it's like, oh, it must be true, you know, 01:30:12.600 |
I just, I'm just not buying it that there aren't 01:30:20.760 |
And I, and for me, to me, you should have to wait 01:30:24.560 |
until you're 18 to actually have any surgery to transition, 01:30:31.520 |
then you can have a conversation with your doctor. 01:30:33.680 |
But you're suggesting that everybody in that process 01:30:42.480 |
that the doctor, the sociologist, the psychologist, 01:30:45.800 |
all the people involved, the hospital where the surgery 01:30:48.640 |
is happening, the insurance company that's paying for it, 01:31:02.720 |
- Pressure to operate, so think about all the people 01:31:07.720 |
- It's not complicit like evil complicit, it's more-- 01:31:15.720 |
they won't perform abortions because of state law. 01:31:18.880 |
In Alabama, they stopped IVF treatment immediately 01:31:27.280 |
To think that they're not gonna pay attention 01:31:30.440 |
to the possible consequences of being the hospital 01:31:37.080 |
operating rights there, and not be aware of the risks 01:31:44.000 |
They're risking their entire business and livelihood 01:31:49.800 |
that this 14-year-old boy who wants to be a girl 01:31:58.400 |
- In America, yes, but if we look at humans in general, 01:32:19.440 |
and that humans are able to commit atrocities 01:32:31.920 |
is committing an atrocity, you can be sort of 01:32:35.040 |
the good German, and human nature is such that you can-- 01:32:49.120 |
When you feel like there's nationalism, patriotism, 01:32:54.160 |
The moms of the kids sent to Ukraine who didn't come back 01:33:15.680 |
I think that human nature, self-preservation, 01:33:29.640 |
- Yeah, well, that comparison is almost always, 01:33:34.080 |
Comparison between anything and the Holocaust. 01:33:39.080 |
but once you bring up Hitler, the conversation ends. 01:33:46.420 |
So continuing on fun exchanges between you and Elon, 01:33:51.400 |
you said if they were having Biden's last wake 01:34:06.280 |
with five seconds to live or upon being reelected, 01:34:10.440 |
Earth would plunge into a 1,000 years of darkness, 01:34:15.020 |
That's basically quoting you, but in a caricature. 01:34:21.000 |
while I have your attention, wanted to say thank you. 01:34:35.040 |
And in parentheses, my limit is 300 years of darkness. 01:34:42.760 |
if we just stick on Biden and Trump for a sec, 01:34:52.880 |
there hasn't been any turnover in his cabinet at all. 01:35:02.960 |
or while he was vice president in particular, 01:35:20.160 |
unless there's a financial relationship involved. 01:35:26.040 |
- The dynamics of the team is important to you. 01:35:27.880 |
- If you're gonna be the most powerful person in the world, 01:35:32.600 |
And that's not to say Biden hasn't made a lot of mistakes. 01:35:37.600 |
I mean, immigration, the border, is a horrific mistake. 01:35:44.560 |
And I don't like the fact that he doesn't admit his mistakes 01:35:51.600 |
The position of commander in chief and president, 01:36:04.600 |
- What do you think about the immigration situation? 01:36:08.840 |
sort of the theory is that the reason it's happening 01:36:15.320 |
is because they would be able to illegally vote. 01:36:21.300 |
- Yeah, you can't be an illegal immigrant and vote. 01:36:24.160 |
And now, in a lot of states, because of the conservatives, 01:36:26.980 |
they've passed laws saying you have to show identification. 01:36:39.240 |
- Yeah, but of course, that story really worries me, 01:36:46.280 |
for questioning the legitimacy of an election. 01:36:49.360 |
- I remember going to the debate with Trump in 2016, 01:37:16.080 |
and Roy Cohn was the ultimate deny, deny, deny, 01:37:21.280 |
And you can see almost everything Roy Cohn ever did 01:37:25.240 |
in the same way that Donald Trump approaches things. 01:37:27.720 |
- But given how drastic the immigration situation is, 01:37:36.600 |
And in red states, they're gonna be checking every ID. 01:37:40.680 |
They're gonna be making sure that's not the case, 01:37:46.200 |
In the swing states, they're still gonna be checking 01:37:49.040 |
'cause they know Trump is gonna sue the shit out of him 01:37:56.720 |
people will take those self-preservation steps 01:38:01.520 |
There's still enough people who believe in this country 01:38:08.560 |
of what some conservatives are saying and doing, 01:38:12.360 |
the underpinning of it is that their fellow citizens 01:38:18.920 |
anything that serves the best interest of this country. 01:38:27.120 |
- I just worry about, I don't care about Trump or Biden. 01:38:38.600 |
- But it's just, it's very functional, right? 01:38:41.800 |
Either they get across, there's 1,000 different ways to, 01:38:47.320 |
to enter the United States of America undetected, right? 01:38:50.320 |
And the South border where it's the easiest and the worst. 01:38:53.080 |
And Biden needs to take steps to reduce that. 01:39:05.480 |
And I think if I had to guess, and this is just a guess, 01:39:08.800 |
that when they looked at the initial statistics 01:39:13.600 |
they thought there was room for more immigrants, 01:39:20.520 |
that in a world where the birth rate is flat to declining, 01:39:29.040 |
And immigrants typically don't have a higher crime rate 01:39:34.040 |
or anything than indigenous American citizens. 01:39:37.800 |
Indigenous isn't the right word, but American citizens. 01:40:02.760 |
- And the immigrants is what makes this country great 01:40:09.400 |
that are already been in this country for a while 01:40:12.440 |
and are killing it, like PhD students and all this. 01:40:16.200 |
- That's not what Donald Trump wants, though. 01:40:21.880 |
when it comes to talking about all of these things 01:40:25.960 |
When it's right versus left, my team versus your team, 01:40:34.440 |
The hard part, and why I like this conversation, 01:40:36.600 |
is how do you distinguish hyperbole versus reality? 01:40:56.000 |
And then all of a sudden, your country has changed. 01:41:01.680 |
And yes, you always have to be on top of that to make sure. 01:41:05.480 |
But a lot of that comes from lack of leadership, right? 01:41:11.840 |
"All right, Republicans, that's all hyperbole, 01:41:15.840 |
"Democrats, you fucked up on immigration, right? 01:41:21.080 |
"Here's where you made these mistakes, own it." 01:41:29.680 |
And then, you know, and there's nobody who says, 01:41:34.720 |
"We're gonna try to get balance on the Supreme Court." 01:41:37.280 |
There's just, there's no leadership that's doing it. 01:41:41.200 |
It's not about the ideology of woke, it's not the, 01:41:50.080 |
it's really frustrating that if you don't like Trump, 01:41:58.320 |
If you don't like Biden, he's senile lizard person. 01:42:18.080 |
But he, you know, if you look at his followers, 01:42:24.000 |
If you look at the people he engages with positively, 01:42:40.640 |
And so you see what you see because of what he says. 01:42:46.360 |
but there could be a lot of influential people on Twitter 01:42:51.320 |
that influence the algorithm and all that kind of stuff. 01:42:53.720 |
I do feel it's not even about ideology or where you lean. 01:42:57.320 |
It's about, like, the algorithm not prioritizing drama. 01:43:27.600 |
I don't know if that's, to the degree that's true, 01:43:38.680 |
There's a clustering of people based on interest. 01:43:47.320 |
has the most neighbors who, in turn, have their neighbors 01:43:54.800 |
So, like, if you don't give a shit about Elon, 01:43:57.440 |
you're not gonna- - And you're not following him. 01:44:02.320 |
When you get a break, just create a Burner account 01:44:04.520 |
on Twitter and see who they recommend to you. 01:44:15.160 |
and suggest this person, this person, and this person. 01:44:19.840 |
- Yeah, there should be transparency around that, for sure. 01:44:23.880 |
He knows there's transparency, and he knows the impact. 01:44:26.480 |
That's why when I say take yourself out of the algorithm, 01:44:31.480 |
that changes, I think, the output of the algorithm. 01:44:39.080 |
- He wasn't, but still, like even like the Kim, 01:44:41.160 |
well, the Kim Kardashian accounts, whatever, right? 01:44:43.880 |
I don't, it wasn't open source to Elon's credit. 01:44:48.280 |
It is now, so I couldn't see it to know, right? 01:44:50.960 |
So I didn't get the sense one way or the other 01:44:52.640 |
of one element being dominant over the other. 01:44:56.880 |
that left-leaning was more dominant back then. 01:45:06.560 |
Sometimes anecdotal data really frustrates me. 01:45:09.600 |
It frustrates me primarily because of how sexy it is. 01:45:28.160 |
There's something to be gained from seeing them. 01:45:30.320 |
There's a signal there, but how representative 01:45:37.440 |
- All right, so as I mentioned, cost plus drugs. 01:45:49.480 |
And lack of transparency leads to lack of trust. 01:45:52.520 |
And when you can't trust the healthcare system 01:45:54.760 |
other than maybe your doctor, that's a broken system. 01:46:04.320 |
- So the thing we're trying to solve for is trust. 01:46:14.740 |
if it's one of the 2,500 and growing that we carry, 01:46:17.920 |
we will first show you our cost, what we actually pay for it, 01:46:24.000 |
then we'll show the pharmacy fill fee and shipping, 01:46:41.120 |
comparing our pricing to CMS and ours being cheaper, 01:46:50.280 |
And so just that transparency alone has had an impact 01:47:04.320 |
But what do the so-called middlemen companies, 01:47:24.440 |
And they know in an industry that's completely opaque, 01:47:31.080 |
and nobody gets to see what they're doing in detail. 01:47:34.240 |
And so the first thing when you sign a contract 01:48:05.320 |
- The cost isn't transparent, the markup isn't transparent. 01:48:14.720 |
and they took the step to leave the big three PBMs 01:48:28.600 |
Where depending on the volume of medications you buy, 01:48:30.980 |
they'll kick back to you a percentage of them. 01:48:39.360 |
they were getting underpaid every single year. 01:48:47.480 |
And it is the number one revenue drug in the country. 01:48:52.340 |
And there's also a biosimilar, multiple biosimilars, 01:49:04.660 |
And after rebates, depending on the size of the company, 01:49:08.080 |
it'll be anywhere from three to $6,000 a month. 01:49:13.000 |
to prescribe that biosimilar Usimri and you pay $594. 01:49:16.960 |
But those big three PBMs won't allow their clients 01:49:20.600 |
to get Usimri because they don't get a rebate on Usimri. 01:49:25.600 |
So they'd rather keep a drug on their formulary, 01:49:34.380 |
they'd rather keep a drug and exclude another 01:49:46.460 |
with the usual language that so deeply exhausts me, 01:49:51.280 |
but I was wondering if there's any truth to it. 01:49:55.800 |
Employers, unions, health plans, and government programs 01:49:58.800 |
work with CVS Caremark precisely because we deliver for them 01:50:06.000 |
and broad pharmacy access through our true cost, 01:50:10.080 |
cost vantage, and choice formulary initiatives. 01:50:26.020 |
we'll give you our price list of all 2,500 plus drugs. 01:50:38.860 |
It's so bad, in fact, if you do business with them right now 01:50:44.940 |
meaning how many people use Humira that we're paying, 01:50:50.500 |
unless you really, really scream and yell at them 01:50:52.460 |
and then they'll charge you and take six months to get it. 01:51:01.360 |
They wouldn't give it to us until like six months later, 01:51:05.500 |
but and then they charge us for it as well, our own data. 01:51:10.020 |
you've said that CEOs don't understand healthcare coverage 01:51:24.260 |
bigger companies that self-insure 'cause we self-insured. 01:51:30.420 |
I finally said, okay, it's time for me to understand 01:51:37.680 |
a lot of these companies use employee benefits consultants. 01:51:48.700 |
And they were just sending us to the companies 01:52:03.460 |
our prescription deal that goes through the PBMs 01:52:09.860 |
And I took a list of, this was early on in Cost Plus drugs, 01:52:17.980 |
that the Mavericks also had purchased, right? 01:52:22.220 |
And it turns out we spent $169,000 with that PBM, 01:52:36.060 |
Then I looked at the insurance side of things, right? 01:52:38.260 |
We self-insure, so there weren't premiums per se. 01:52:41.500 |
But we were getting charged $17.15 per employee per month 01:52:45.900 |
just to use the network that they put together for us, 01:52:53.020 |
that won't charge us to put together these networks? 01:53:00.780 |
are also responsible for determining what claims, 01:53:13.600 |
but before they'll say they'll pay for the drug 01:53:39.100 |
And so I didn't realize those were the intricacies 01:53:42.940 |
of how my health or where my healthcare dollars went. 01:53:48.860 |
because that's not a core competency that they need. 01:53:51.020 |
And the CFOs, that's not their core competency. 01:53:59.000 |
but they spend most of their prescription drug-related time 01:54:11.920 |
and before the doctor will do a surgery or do whatever, 01:54:55.940 |
And it's because these big CEOs don't understand it 01:55:19.300 |
- Yes, because it's the wellness of your employees 01:55:41.300 |
and your doctor wasting their time doing the same thing 01:55:44.100 |
to get authorization for a surgery or a medication. 01:55:48.980 |
- What made you decide to step into this cartel-like 01:55:56.220 |
- So I got a cold email from a Dr. Alex Hosch-Miyansky, 01:56:11.900 |
because it happens all the time that things aren't available. 01:56:16.560 |
We should do something on a much bigger scale. 01:56:25.620 |
and he increased the price of this drug Daraprim. 01:56:39.400 |
this has to be an incredibly inefficient market. 01:56:41.800 |
And so the question is, why is he able to do it? 01:56:49.380 |
And so can we start a company that is fully transparent 01:56:52.100 |
with our costs, our markup and our selling price? 01:56:57.140 |
And so we went for it and it took off immediately. 01:56:59.920 |
I mean, you read a press release from a company saying, 01:57:14.580 |
I mean, I'm sure they're very good at playing games. 01:57:24.420 |
- I mean, and the whole industry is an arbitrage, 01:57:29.300 |
And so we don't work with those biggest companies. 01:57:31.140 |
The biggest companies with the most dominant control, 01:57:33.900 |
it's very insulated and very controlled, like you said. 01:57:36.900 |
We work outside them, we won't work with them. 01:57:42.660 |
because they've told a lot of the big brand manufacturers 01:57:53.020 |
- Yeah, it is dark, but we'll get past that, right? 01:57:55.260 |
Because there's a downstream impact of all this 01:57:58.060 |
in the rebates and the greediness of those big three PBMs. 01:58:02.100 |
When you go to a local pharmacy here in Austin, right? 01:58:05.980 |
And let's just say you have a friend here, right? 01:58:20.540 |
The pharmacy first buys that drug for probably that price, 01:58:26.900 |
Then there's probably a copay by the patient, 01:58:33.900 |
the local pharmacy has for that brand medication is $550. 01:58:38.720 |
Where it gets really fucked up is those big three PBMs, 01:58:59.980 |
they're going out of business left and right. 01:59:04.480 |
yes, with corporate employer insurance, that happens, 01:59:11.940 |
It happens all the time with those, almost with every script. 01:59:17.340 |
in these community pharmacies going out of business. 01:59:30.420 |
tens of thousands of them are going to go out of business 01:59:41.260 |
And all that business is gonna get transferred 01:59:46.680 |
So they're working with us to come up with programs 01:59:49.180 |
that are very supportive of independent pharmacies. 01:59:52.160 |
And that's gonna allow us to break the cartel 01:59:56.800 |
not to allow them to be so vertically integrated 02:00:03.640 |
- Is there other aspects of the healthcare industry 02:00:05.560 |
that could use this kind of transparency and revolutionizing? 02:00:10.560 |
- Yeah, so what we're gonna do with our own healthcare, 02:00:15.260 |
of selling healthcare or anything like that or operating. 02:00:29.700 |
Whatever pricing we get, we're gonna post them all. 02:00:31.940 |
So that every company who's our size or even bigger 02:00:39.460 |
the big three insurance companies and the big three PBMs. 02:00:46.500 |
they have to use consultants who are getting paid 02:00:48.500 |
by those big three, you know, those big companies, 02:00:54.300 |
And so now that transparency will overcome that. 02:00:56.740 |
- And you're using your, how should I say it, 02:00:59.860 |
celebrity, your name, to kind of push this forward. 02:01:02.620 |
- Yeah, it's the only company I've ever put my name on. 02:01:04.060 |
- It's weird that people aren't getting into the space. 02:01:09.900 |
there's not like a big, you know, you look at tech, 02:01:12.580 |
there's like these, like, CEOs are open and public 02:01:25.480 |
- No, because it's a big business, and most people, 02:01:34.240 |
And I'd make, you know, money and buy a sports team. 02:01:39.600 |
You've gotten a little bit of an argument about open source. 02:01:51.620 |
- So like all that discussion we've been having 02:01:53.580 |
about like Google and so on, one of the solutions- 02:01:56.580 |
Meaning that Meta's doing open source, right? 02:02:03.400 |
But it's just a business decision for everybody else. 02:02:08.280 |
- Right, and even Google's open sourcing some of the models. 02:02:12.120 |
- Because they're all, that's a very incestuous industry 02:02:15.120 |
where, you know, the people all work together at some level. 02:02:21.800 |
You know, it's like the early days of streaming 02:02:28.320 |
and you get one smart or two, a couple smart people 02:02:42.300 |
- Open sourcing is a smart business decision. 02:02:45.780 |
I mean, Google's pioneering that with TensorFlow 02:02:55.260 |
there was digital computing which was a dominant player 02:02:58.700 |
and they thought, and IBM to a certain extent, 02:03:02.280 |
thought that they wouldn't be subject to a problem 02:03:14.800 |
they wouldn't use off the shelf software, right? 02:03:17.380 |
So for a digital equipment mainframe or an IBM mainframe, 02:03:27.720 |
There was, you know, MS-DOS and then Windows, 02:03:29.980 |
things that were off the shelf that every PC could use. 02:03:32.300 |
And that changed how people thought about software. 02:03:36.740 |
where it's going to be as models become more efficient 02:03:44.700 |
I think there'll be more reasons to open source. 02:03:51.300 |
and a lot of different diversity of approaches 02:03:57.340 |
what kind of products they create, all of that. 02:03:59.700 |
Vinod compared the danger of that to the Manhattan Project. 02:04:08.820 |
- No, no, I think I'm not an AI fatalist at all, right? 02:04:15.580 |
And, but it's not to say that there isn't a lot 02:04:25.060 |
I'm a big believer that there's going to be millions 02:04:42.620 |
with this thing called mixture of experts, right? 02:04:44.780 |
Where you connect things and people can take their expertise 02:04:52.860 |
and retain it in a way that they want to retain it. 02:04:59.460 |
And I told this to people at a couple of big companies 02:05:04.060 |
Branding is so important in the healthcare space, 02:05:08.580 |
if, you know, for hospitals, you know, the Mayo Clinics, 02:05:13.780 |
And I don't think they're just gonna give up their expertise 02:05:16.220 |
to some, you know, main singular model, you know, 02:05:20.540 |
and say, okay, you know, whatever expertise we have 02:05:26.900 |
or, you know, so-and-so's version of Med is open source. 02:05:30.420 |
I just don't, there's just, that would be business suicide. 02:05:36.580 |
have their own models and update them as they go 02:05:40.380 |
- Yeah, and yeah, make money from the expertise. 02:05:43.100 |
- You have to. - Don't give away the expertise. 02:05:47.620 |
and all that kind of stuff and you want to own that growth. 02:06:01.020 |
You know, find the things that you can enjoy. 02:06:09.040 |
I get emails from 13, 15-year-old kids, right? 02:06:15.740 |
I'm like a 15, you feel like you're being held back. 02:06:19.100 |
But just be curious 'cause you don't have to have the answers. 02:06:24.060 |
I'm a hardcore believer that everybody has something 02:06:35.500 |
And the hard part is just finding what that is 02:06:38.100 |
and in some places having resources to enable it. 02:06:41.300 |
But be curious so you can find out what it is. 02:06:50.040 |
for TRAN programming and I cheated on it, right? 02:06:52.740 |
I mean, it wasn't until I got a job at Mellon Bank 02:07:00.460 |
that I realized, oh, this is interesting to me 02:07:02.980 |
And that's what got me a job selling software 02:07:10.460 |
until you go out and experience different things. 02:07:25.580 |
because something's gonna click at some point. 02:07:33.060 |
- One thing to mention is sometimes it's difficult 02:07:38.580 |
might not be conducive or might not be of help 02:07:45.900 |
In fact, in my own life, the society was such 02:07:57.060 |
- I think interviewing done pretty well for you. 02:07:59.660 |
there was a thing where I saw the beauty in people. 02:08:07.780 |
So you can call it empathy, all that kind of stuff. 02:08:23.140 |
it was a very hard mathematics, science, and so on. 02:08:27.100 |
And I didn't notice that, whatever that was in me. 02:08:32.780 |
You have to try to find your way and see what that's useful. 02:08:35.460 |
And others around you might not always notice it, 02:08:57.060 |
- 'Cause I had sold microsolutions and I wanted to travel. 02:09:10.860 |
But it was interesting to me and I bring it up 02:09:12.980 |
because they didn't know what the word profit meant, right? 02:09:17.980 |
But at the same time, I would go around and meet people 02:09:40.940 |
And so you just never know when and how and when 02:09:48.060 |
- That spark is really important to comment on 02:09:52.240 |
I think the system kind of suppresses that spark somehow. 02:09:57.580 |
As you said, you saw the natural entrepreneurship, 02:10:04.180 |
once you grow up in both of the nations I mentioned. 02:10:14.820 |
- There would have been no reason for me to go over 02:10:22.540 |
- You know, it's gonna be interesting with Ukraine 02:10:42.580 |
What gives you hope about the future of humanity? 02:10:48.820 |
just talking to them and seeing their spirit, 02:10:54.660 |
And obviously we're blessed as can be, right? 02:11:02.040 |
but from 13, 14, 15-year-old kids around the world, 02:11:21.300 |
that spark in kids' eyes that there's something bigger 02:11:30.100 |
you know, climate and any other number of things, 02:11:45.700 |
They see the opportunity for making the world better. 02:11:49.220 |
It's cool to see young people in their eyes, that dream. 02:12:01.020 |
One of the things I do, I said, okay, let's look around. 02:12:17.500 |
So when you walk out and when I make them do, ask yourself, 02:12:24.300 |
- Thank you for that beautiful, hopeful message. 02:12:32.940 |
but you're also an important person in this world. 02:12:45.660 |
please check out our sponsors in the description. 02:12:48.220 |
And now let me leave you with some words from Oscar Wilde. 02:13:02.900 |
Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.