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E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more


Chapters

0:0 Bestie intros + Vegas recap!
4:1 Sacks donation strategy, Biden's uncomfortable truth, mental acuity concerns, fantasy picks for president!
30:43 Debt ceiling agreement, US debt situation, is USD dominance in trouble?
71:34 Book banning follow-up
79:10 Nvidia going for a vertically integrated monopoly in AI hardware
86:31 Biden's fall, populism in both parties

Transcript

freeberg punchy now. punchy office a punch drug salty freeberg reminds me of a story for this weekend. Okay, we're waiting in line to go to the encore beach club to see Kygo. And I go me and freeberg are at the back of the line. Everybody else has gotten through all you guys are filtering into the booth.

I go was tight. And he said, So I put up my phone. That's all I have my key card. He takes out a phone his key card, a small bag of the salt and vicar salted pistachios. Oh, he travels. He will leave home without his little bag of pistachios.

And they're like, no food in the guy says no food in the club. Now and he goes, What do you mean no food? This is in a bag. It's like it's just pistachios. Just pistachios. They get in an argument back and forth back and forth. He's like, I'm gonna take a stand.

This is outrageous. I said freeberg Come on, let's just go. So we go inside. This is where he takes a stand. And then he's like, Can you believe it? They took my fucking pistachios like these are my pistachios. Tilted easily. And then and then on the way out. He's like, if I see that guy, this is a fucking curb your enthusiasm skit right here.

Where's my pistachios? salty pistachios. I was walking through the casino later eating the pistachios. I fell in love with freeberg this weekend. I had so much fun with this fucking Oh, my god. He's so he was he was living his best life in the clinic. Show the bigger picture.

Nick just zoom out so you can see Oh, there I am. Yeah, right next to him. There's me look at how huge my ass looks. God. That's a lot of that's a lot of s. That is a show that look at that huge dumper. Wow. That's incredible. And what's going on with those?

Those underwear? Who's good is that Jekyll's? That's my dad. But I think it's just the t shirt. I think it's just the t shirt. You obviously stopped the Ozempic sideways. I'm still sideways. 175 right back on to you. Nope, no, you stopped the Ozempic and it came right back.

Vegas was so fun. I gotta say I gotta shout out to those guys that run that Delilah joint. I think that's like the best new restaurant. It's a really great place. A little loud. I wish we just go like one notch lower on the volume for the world. Good scene.

Once you hit 50 all the clubs are too. Rain Man David with us again on the all in podcast the architect himself. Crazy hair doesn't care. David Sachs. Friedberg is committing suicide in the bottom of a pool. Apparently he just cannot take all the adulation and inside. That's a leaving Las Vegas scene.

Exactly. That's you leaving Vegas down 150 dimes, which you could have given to DeSantis like Sachs did. And hot off of his wonderful weekend. The afterglow of Vegas. Chamath Polly. We went to Vegas to play cards. It was a wonderful weekend. We had a great time. Everybody bonded. A lot of laughs were had wonderful time.

Wonderful, wonderful time. I got into craps. I was never a craps guy. But I had a great was Jay Callen craps. Oh my god. I got 40 I had a 40 die roll run. It was incredible. There's something about that game that is like super addicting to me. Oh, when you just go on a 40 die roll.

I think craps really is one of the best gambling games ever created. So exciting. It's so exciting. It's so exciting. It's like hitting the hard ways. And then the feature bets feature bets. Features are such leaky bets. No, but when they hit they're just so far when they hit they just all the dopamine gets released loved it.

I spiked aces for the max bet. It was like, Oh, I saw that you put 500 on it. Yeah, they only let me bet 500 but I bet 31 to one on aces hit it. Table went crazy when that 15 dimes were pushed. Speaking about pushing 150 dimes, Sachs you've been getting a lot of press for being the architect.

I saw some stories. Let me ask you a question. Total fake news. All fake news. We know that everybody's emailing me to try to get answers about you. I just see see you on this but the press has been trying to cover your role architecting the Ron DeSantis presidential.

We talked about last week. What's the color? Well, the press wants to know what 150 dime skis is. They can look it up in the Urban Dictionary. I think that would be easier. Let me ask you a question about your giving strategy or your donation strategy. I noticed that you're donating to RFK for president and you're donating to Ron DeSantis.

Are you donating to any other president? And why are you betting both sides of the aisle? This is confusing to me. How about you want to one side to win? I mean, I've already explained this on previous pods. I don't know the answer. What's the the simplest way to understand my political giving is just to watch the all in pod.

And I always end up describing who I'm supporting, and why and which causes on the pod first. And then I back it up, I put my money where my mouth is. So there's no mystery. There's no like backroom deals going on. It's just me writing checks and support of things I've almost always really talked about on the pod.

Okay, so what about this question of betting both sides? So you're betting for both teams in a basketball series? Like, I don't know, I don't understand that. Well, I've said that it's not competitive. At this point, I've said that I would support RFK Jr. For the Democratic Party nomination, and I support the Sanchez on the Republican side.

There's no contradiction, I guess, if they both made it to the general, then I'd have a real dilemma. But let's face it, they're both underdogs in their lane. Okay, it'd be a high class problem to have if it ended up being a DeSantis Kennedy race instead of a Biden Trump repeat.

Well, I mean, I've played blackjack with you, you do play multiple hands at once. So I guess this does. This does track. It's not enough action for you to just play one hand. I don't really see a contradiction there. Right now. There's a Trump DeSantis race going on. And there's a Biden Kennedy race going on.

Okay, now you hold a lot of fundraisers. tomas and I are actually doing an event for Bobby Kennedy. Soon in the next two weeks. Got it. Let's go to you tomorrow. Well, I think it's important to just acknowledge an uncomfortable truth. And I come at it from a person who's independent.

I'm not registered Democrat or Republican, but I've donated millions of dollars to the Democrats in the last couple of cycles. But I'm concerned about Joe Biden's mental acuity. And recently, when you look at how the White House behaves, the thing that I'm worried about is that there's almost like this sensation that there's a shadow government that's actually running the country.

And we didn't elect any of those people. And this is nothing to say anything bad about Janet Yellen, or Jeff Zients, or anybody else. But I think it's very important to acknowledge that, you know, other presidents have typically seen turnover in the highest ranks of government every two years or so.

And there's been incredible consistency. Now, one could say, well, that's a good thing. The other side of it is, well, that's what allows more vibrancy in government and to make sure that the President remains always in charge. And so I think it's very important in this moment, where we have a president who's 82 odd years older, however old he is.

We need to have a chance the American public to re underwrite his mental acuity. And I think that's a judgment that we should all be allowed to make. And I think the fairest way to do that is to feel the candidate who can be on the debate stage with him, and who can actually just go toe to toe on the critical issues so that we as an American electorate can decide for ourselves, where does this issue land?

Is he mentally super sharp and ready to go for another four years, in which case a lot of folks will support him? Or is this a moment where we actually need to be very responsible at the future of the country and not create some puppet government situation? I don't think it's funny that we have this weekend at Bernie's like mean that goes around about him.

This is the President of the United States is the most important person in the world. We can't be in a situation where like, that is a 30% probability that people joke about. So my support of Bobby Kennedy is in part because what I've heard from him, I find intriguing.

But the more important thing is, somebody needs to be in the arena on the democratic side, and put to test this mental acuity construct here and get us to an answer. Because otherwise, I am worried that there's a bunch of folks that were not elected, who are actually running the government and I'm not sure how much Biden actually knows or doesn't know.

And I want to know the answer to that question. I think everybody wants to know the answer and feels like Democrats would like a different candidate. That's what the polling is showing to be, you know, put on the field here. And there is the issue of he's had the fewest number of news conferences, we don't get to hear from him directly, which then fuels I think, this perception Friedberg, that he's in cognitive decline, and perhaps the cognitive decline has increased.

Republicans love to, and the right love to, you know, make these images of him confused on stage, who knows if he's actually confused, or if those are being selectively edited. But it certainly doesn't look good. When you don't put the person out there to face the music. And to take hard questions.

I can't imagine he would do very well in a town hall or in an extended number of debates. And so this is the thing that I find truly scary is, if the guy can't make it through the debates, and he can't debate RFK and 10 other people, and he can't do news conferences, and we haven't heard directly from him or had him like face some really hard questioning.

He had he did one thing on MSNBC or CNN, and it was so pathetically sycophantic. And it looked like it was highly edited. I kind of like that the host who did it up, pull up her name in a minute. I forgot her name right now. She's actually pretty good.

She's kind of funny. And she's kind of insightful, but she just so through softball to softball. Is there an age, Sultan of science that we should have a cognitive test for? For office in your mind? I don't have an opinion on that. You don't? On an age? I mean, yeah, like, should we or should we have a cognitive test?

A cognitive test? We cognitively test the President of the United States for office. Like, there's also a thing which I'm often saying is that when you hold debates, and you do town halls, and you do rallies, then that is a cognitive test. You'll see, you'll be able to take the cognitive measure by seeing how quick on their feet they are.

But if Biden doesn't debate anybody, we won't see it. And right now, they're saying they won't debate Kennedy. So that tells you right there that they're afraid of something. I just want to reiterate this. This is the single most important person in the world, in the single most important job.

If it breaks your brain in a moment like this, to not be partisan and think what would you do if it was the other side? I just think you're like an unpatriotic rube. And you're gonna get tricked. I'm not saying you Jason, I'm saying anybody that thinks that I'm in your camp, I want to see him debate.

Yeah, especially if the Ukraine war is still going on, because we're that close to being in a direct shooting war with Russia, which could lead to a nuclear war. So you need somebody to be contained, I'll be more worried about the relationship is contained. I think it's escalated. I don't think it's contained, it's escalating.

And as of yesterday, there seems to be some conflagration between Kosovo and Serbia that's kicking up. So all of a sudden, we're talking about a totally different European land war. And we have fiscal instability. We're about to talk about it today. But the home market could implode in the United States, the commercial real estate market has already imploded.

There's all this complexity. And I think that the idea that you can't demand the most important person in the world to be on top of their game, I just think that that's outrageous. You expect the best player in the NBA to be elite, right? Yes, of course. Yes, they have to get good sleep.

They have to have good fitness. They're measuring every single dimension of an NBA players life. They measure their sleep now their diet, their shooting percentages, everything. And we're not doing that for the president states, by the way, the MSNBC host who got the one interview I've seen with Biden in years was Stephanie rule.

Are you HLE from 11th hour? Well, they give them the questions. That's how she gets the interview. Have you seen that like Biden has these cute cards when he goes with the podium, and literally it's got the questions and it says who to call on. So they script the whole thing.

That's a stack. That's a stack deck. But Trump did that as well. If you remember, in fairness, nobody gave him the questions. He said a PR the McEnany lady. She had a huge binder and she would flip to the talk. My point is that's okay. We never did the same thing with the stance.

What are you talking about? Didn't you pick the first five speakers? First five questions were people you knew. You said that he didn't stack the deck. Jason, come on, stop. We didn't have a script. You pick the first five speakers. My point is not a press conference. That's an introductory event.

That's someone announcing Okay, fine. Whatever. Same thing. You're no, it's not. No, no, no, we're talking about a White House press conference. And he goes up to the podium. And secretly when they zoom in on the camera, they're seeing that literally he knows who to call on and what the question is going to be.

So in other words, the media is cooperating with the Biden administration for access, for access, and they're giving him the questions. All right, anyway, let's let's move on. I think it's very important to just acknowledge that you're trying to normalize it by comparing it to completely different kind of event.

I am saying that is something I never did that with Trump. They never give Trump the questions. He loves to mix it up. I mean, that's winning. That's how you know he's still mentally fit. I mean, a mentally unfit Trump would be a scary proposition. You may or may not like his personality or temperament, but no one is accusing him of being not.

No, he's sharp or having dementia. I think it's important to get on the record. I don't think we are saying that he is unfit to be president. I think at least what I'm saying is, we have a right to underwrite the president every four years. And on this dimension, this is the biggest issue that I see with Biden.

And I'm concerned in the lack of turnover in the White House. And I want to know that he is actually in charge day to day and making the decisions versus a shadow government. That's all I want to know. And I want to see him live on the debate stage.

So that he can validate. Yeah, he is firmly on the controls. 100% of Americans want this. The only people who don't want it is people who are in power, who are part of his group. That's not 100%. There's a I'm talking about America's who vote. They all want to see him debate is I don't think I don't know anybody who doesn't want to see a vibrant debate.

So I think this is something the Democratic Party needs to the Democratic Party needs to rethink their stance on this, put them out there, put them on the field, up or down, left or right, he has to debate at least three, four debates in the primaries, you know, earn a slot.

It'll do real damage to the Democrats if Bobby Kennedy gets a ton of steam. And they ignore him. I'll give you a different example of how Bobby's being roadblocked, which is when you go to 538.com. And you look at you know, Nate does a great job of pulling up all of the polling that happens from all of the polling agencies.

There are many instances where the democratic fields won't even include him when they ask him questions. And so there is definitely a concerted effort here. And I think it's not that I don't want Joe Biden to win. I think he's, he could be fantastic. Again, I voted for him.

And I think that if he's mentally sharp, and his hands are on one of the chances, you think he's sharp, Chama? No, I'm saying, I don't know. I know. I want to know for myself, what do you think the chances are? I don't mean just using logic here. I think they could be pretty good, actually, you know, there's a lot of like, if you look at Buffett, he's 92.

He's sharp as attack mongers 96. He's sharp as attack. I think that if you live reasonably well, and Biden's got some great things working for him, he's he's been a T total of his whole life. So all the things that would have caught up with you in your 80s Biden has avoided.

So from a health perspective, he has the best chance of being on top of his game. Can he be physically frail? I don't care about that. You know, that happens to everybody. So I think it's important to disambiguate those two. And so it is very easy to tell when you're standing on a debate stage, hell, you can sit on the debate stage, I don't care.

But I want you to be able to explain what you think, in a way that's cogent and coherent. And you walk away thinking, I feel safer with him with his hands on the controls here. Saks, what do you think? Is he? What do you think the chances are? He's sharp as a tack?

He's not in cognitive decline? He's not. We know that. The question is whether he can serve at all. Should people have to take a cognitive test? You think that would be a good improvement? Look, I think the debates the cognitive test, but the Senate and stuff like that, because it does seem like people are the voters are the cognitive test.

Okay, the problem is when the media is cooperating with the candidate by not asking them tough questions, or even we're sharing the questions with them to give voters a false impression of how strong they are. I mean, look, the media's job is to be fundamentally antagonistic with the people in power not to cooperate with them.

Here's something super intriguing that happened this week. Jamie Dimon has hinted at running for office. Bill Ackman made a case for him to run for president in 2024. This is getting a lot of steam all of a sudden people are talking about it on CNBC. And it's trending on Twitter.

On Wednesday, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon made some comments about potentially running for office in the future quote, I love my country. And maybe one day I'll serve my country in one capacity or another. He's 67 years old. He didn't know that Bill Ackman tweeted his support for diamond running as a dam against Biden.

Ackman put out a number of compelling points. Diamond is one of the world's most respected business leaders. That's true. politically centrist pro business pro free enterprise all true, supportive of well designed social programs and rational tax policies that can help the less fortunate, smart, thoughtful, pragmatic knows how to bring opposing parties together highly respected by right left and center.

I think that's also true. superbly managed JP Morgan through every crisis, quote, no bullshit straight talking charismatic leader with an enormous grasp of the world's issues, and how to address them. Tomorrow, I'll just ask it to you plainly. If you had three choices, or four choices, Trump, to Santas, Biden, and the Jedi, Jamie Dimon stack rank those for us rank them.

Who do you got? Who do you vote for? Those are your four choices? Probably Jamie Dimon one. Okay. Santa's too. Okay. And Trump and Biden. It's a bit of a tie. Bit of a tie. Garbage, garbage. Okay. Not garbage, garbage. Don't Don't say that. But okay, it's a bit of a time.

I mean, it's two people that nobody wants to vote for, it seems wants to run. I personally believe that the era of septuagenarians and octogenarians should come to an end in terms of their ability to run this country. I want that transition. Now, Jamie is 67. So but he's still much younger than these two other guys.

And again, I go back to yours is a lot. It's a lot and vitality, energy. This matters. And I think that he is a very competent, economic, rational actor. So it would be interesting to see. I mean, look, the reality is, if I had to be really honest with you, I think that what we should do is keep chipping away at the establishment and how they pick candidates, it's going to be a slow process.

But I think in 10 or 15 years, the real thing that we should all do is if there's enough citizen journalism, that we should really just change the Constitution, so that we can allow people that have been here for 25 plus years that have paid all their taxes that have followed all the rules to run for president.

And then we could actually just we could vote Elon in and just have him clean it up the way he's cleaning up everything else. Honestly, why not just do that? I mean, who would who would not want that? sacks, let me ask you to stack rank and then we'll get to the change in the Constitution issue, which is that is a hell Mary.

How would you rank those four? I think that we have run out of topics to talk about if Bill Ackman's latest political brain fart is a major topic of conversation. I think this is inspiring. You guys put Trump in office, the GOP put Trump in office, he's the outsider is outsider lunatic.

And you can't even consider Jamie Lemon, you're laughing at that. And you put Trump in office, you guys put Trump in office, and you're gonna do it again. You mean you guys listen to GOP? Okay, look, party. Here's the part about this conversation that sort of makes sense. Two thirds of the country says that they are uninspired and in fact fatigued by the idea of having a repeat of the same choice that four years ago, everybody wants a different choice.

So I get this like fantasy basketball drafting thing that we're trying to do here. Okay. The reason why I call it a brain fart. And I look, Bill's a really smart guy. I'm not dragging him. But in order to win the presidency, you have to get the nomination of a major party.

And the problem with all this like fantasy drafting is that you're trying to draft people who are anathema to the party that you're trying to get them the nomination from. And Trump was able to get the nomination, the Republican Party, Jamie Dimon would have to get the nomination, the Democratic Party, that's not going to happen.

And it does remind me of Bloomberg. Remember, Bloomberg spent $100 million on his campaign in late Yeah. In a way, he spent a lot of money, and he made it to the first question of the first debate. Remember what happened? Elizabeth Warren said that this is a billionaire who talks about he didn't fight, he laid down, he rolled over, she like ended him with one question, one debate.

So my point is that you got to be able to get the nomination of a major party. And actually, I think neither party could nominate a banker right now. I mean, if you saw what happened around the whole banking crisis, that I think still going on in slow motion.

I mean, the amount of animosity both towards the banks that went under, and the idea of, you know, potentially bailing them out, and then also the animosity towards JP Morgan, when it actually bought First Republic. I mean, both parties have such a strong populist wing in them right now that I think you could never get.

Yeah, the head of the number one bank in the US to be their candidate. You're completely wrong. I think in this case, respectfully, I mean, he could run as an independent as well. And although you know, you like to think or it seems like you're proposing that things are going to be as they always were, Trump shows a wild card and then people forget Ross Perot, you know, he got 19% of the popular vote, he hit 20 million votes to Bush's 40 million, and Clinton's 44.

It is not unprecedented. And we are in a really struggling time. You started this off by saying that Democrats should draft Jamie diamond. Now you're saying I'm fine. I don't know what he was independent. There's no movement to draft the top banker in the country. Like, where do you see this reality star like Trump in?

Okay, that was the wildcard of all wildcards. He ran, he ran in one of the two major parties and he hit a nerve. I know that's my point. So now tell me about Ross Perot. Tell me about Ross Perot. And how did he hit 20 million votes? And isn't the world much different right now because of media because of people going direct?

We're talking I mean, Chamath just proposed Elon. If you're proposing Elon, I'm proposing a constitutional amendment so that competent people, sure, who are not in the country. Now, if you've lived here for 25 years, or 30 years, you've created hundreds of thousands of jobs and paid 10s of billions of taxes.

The idea that you are less fit than half these politicians to run for president is insane. Okay, that well, that's a different question. What do you think about that? Do you think we should change the Constitution allow non nationals to run for president? Not don't stop saying non nationals.

It's gross. It's like, well, you know, it's people that weren't necessarily born here. But if you've lived your whole life, you're the majority of your life and you've built value for America and helped it when all of a sudden, you're less capable of being president. That's absolutely not true.

Oh, I didn't say it was I'm describing what the Constitution is. Somebody who's not born called the Schwarzenegger amendment because you know, when he was governor of California, there were people who wanted him to run for president. But look, it's too hard to change the Constitution. That's a very difficult process.

So do I think that's going to happen? No. Would you be in favor of that? And under what circumstances do you think that it's about saying we should change that? He's emphatic, we should change it in fact. So what do you think? It's not a pressing issue for me.

I'd rather have a balanced budget amendment. I'd rather the president have a line item veto to control spending if you want to blow up the government and cut it down to size and impose the ideals of liberalism, true liberalism, free speech, well controlled borders, but good immigration, etc, etc.

I feel like there are lots of people who could do that. And the only difference is, they were accidentally not born here, except they've created more value in America than most Americans that were born here. That's crazy. Actually be foreign born national would be the most accurate term. Great.

Whatever, whatever, whatever dumb term, I'm just using the ones in the Constitution, the government is sorry, Jama for using accurate terms. I'll try to use less accurate terms in the future. So back to Jamie, Jamie Dimon, nobody here is questioning whether he is a supreme competent executive, fully grant that he's done an amazing job.

Taking JP Morgan, it was ready the biggest he's made it even bigger. How is that possible? Whether that's a good thing? I'm saying we got to stop the banks from getting bigger. Yeah, whether that's a good thing for the country, ultimately is a different question. Yeah, no one questions his competence and his expertise.

But again, I see no groundswell for him in either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, or even as an independent because again, it doesn't fit the populist mood of the country right now. Got it. So that's your pragmatic, like path to victory. But let me ask you about competence, then because maybe I can frame the question get a better answer out of you.

That's what I thought I was answering when you said who's more competent? I mean, you guys interpret my questions. How have you like you interpreted in terms of competence? sacks interpreted the question of pragmatical ability to getting into office. But let's ask sacks the question. And I'll ask you pragmatically unless sacks the question of competence.

In terms of competence, I gave you like four people, right? Is he the most competent person to run the country right now? No, I you think the Santa is more competent than him. I think that of all the major candidates who actually have a realistic shot. DeSantis is the most supremely competent as an executive.

He's run the state of Florida. He did it during COVID, which was a major crisis. We all saw what happened. All of our friends were leaving California because California had lockdowns, schools were closed, we had the worst learning loss of any state small businesses were going under our toddlers had to wear these stupid, pointless cloth masks to school when they finally Jamie reopen.

Hold on. So DeSantis kept Florida open. They had a great economy. It's number one in job creation, investment, people moving there heard the speech balance the budget. And that's why he was able to grow his majority from under 1% when he first got elected to 20 points. So you believe he would be more qualified than Jamie dime?

Sat at your mouth? Yeah. He's actually been tested in a political realm. Got it. You see, you think that is the better test? I disagree. And I think probably the number one thing you have to do to be effective politically, is to be able to understand when the media, the mainstream media and all their fake experts are wrong.

Because that's why the country's in such a mess. We keep listening to all these fake experts who are wrong about everything, including COVID. Did Trump do a good job as president in your mind? He listened to the fake experts. He had Fauci in there. So you don't think Trump did a good job as president on COVID?

He listened to Fauci too much. But okay, because Trump was an outsider. And you seem to think he did a good job as president. And a lot of Republicans do. So that's my point. He was an outsider. You love putting words in my mouth and characterizing. I'm, I'm asking you a good job in ways that I never quite said, okay, I'm just asking you, I think I think that Trump did a number of good things in office.

For example, he kept us out of foreign wars. And I think the economy was pretty good until COVID. But yeah, he had no political. I would say they were like two big Achilles heels. One was, we had huge deficits and debt during Trump. And the other was, once COVID happened, he listened to Fauci.

And Fauci was driving the train during COVID. And hold on gave us the lockdowns. And then Trump never fired Fauci. And on Trump's last day in office, He gave him a medal. Insane. Insane. And just so everybody remembers, June 16, 2015, Ben Carson and businessman Donald Trump tied in fourth place with 5%.

So things can change. And now Trump is swinging wildly at DeSantis saying that DeSantis was worse than Cuomo on COVID. Oh, gosh, I really do not want to relitigate that. That's the last thing I want to relitigate is COVID. Man, we got bigger fish to fry. DeSantis, I think, has been doing really well over the last week, because Trump has been making all these wild attacks on him.

And DeSantis has been responding. So now like they're they're really punching at each other. It's really interesting. Let's pivot to the debt ceiling real quick here. The House voted overwhelmingly to pass the debt ceiling agreement 314 to 117. It's in the hands of the Senate can be passed by the time you're listening to this.

Some Republicans think the spending didn't go far enough. No shocker there. But Speaker McCarthy called it a first step projected the bill would reduce budget deficits by 1.5 trillion over the next decade. Some highlights, non defense spending flat in 2024 at 704 billion only increases 1% in 2025 and aims to limit federal budget growth to 1% for the next six years.

For since 30 billion in unspent COVID relief money. That seems logical fully funds medical care for veterans. That seems like a good idea. reallocates 20 billion from the IRS over the next two years to put towards non defense programs. That's that crazy idea to hire 80,000 or something IRS agents pauses on student loan repayments will now end in August.

We've talked about that on the show. Biden student loan forgiveness plan will be settled in the Supreme Court. Some stats on us debt, put up two charts here and then I'll get free birch position because he's very passionate about this US annual surplus or deficits through end of year 2022.

See those great years. I think those are the democratic calm Clinton years. Did ran it up. Well done Clinton, US national debt, end of year 2022. My Lord 32 getting close to 32 trillion US annual federal spending up around breaking six trillion a year and tax revenue by deficit here.

You have it go to that the red chart. This is the our national debt. This is a upside down hockey stick. So this is what's concerning about it is we're going exponential on this thing. The problem with this, just to reframe it once again for the 100,000 time. Wait a sec.

Wait, this red chart isn't this free birds losses in Vegas this weekend. I think that's, oh, no, that's our collective losses in Vegas this weekend. I think we did the math. This group was accounted for 10 minutes, 10 minutes of Vegas is blackjack revenue for the year. So good job, everyone.

Good job, people. Everybody in Vegas is now completed their q3 quarter targets early. So the problem, obviously, with mounting debt is the interest payments on the debt cause you to take out more debt. And there's a tipping point where it becomes insurmountable. And there are many people sounding the alarm that we may be entering that point that in order to fund the interest obligations on the debt, we need to take out more debt.

And then there's more interest payments, and therefore there's more debt and it just keeps getting bigger and bigger. And so this chart I'm sharing here is actually from the federal government's GAO, the government accountability office, which acts almost like an independent accounting and forecasting body trying to provide some outlook on the fiscal condition of the federal government.

And this is an analysis I think they put out a few weeks ago, showing that as of the fiscal year 22, 8% of the overall federal budget was going towards interest spending by fiscal year 25. It'll be 26%. And then net interest spending will need to grow to half of the budget.

But if you go to the other side, why don't you say that? Why don't you say the years because it's important to know what years they're talking about. 2051 2096 is what they're showing. This is a long window. Yeah, I get it. But let me show you this chart.

Just pull up the first chart. So this is our federal government's interest payments per year. And so this is how much the government pays on interest for the debt. By the way, most of the debt is getting refinanced now at the higher interest rates, because a lot of this debt was sitting in Zerp era since 2008.

But as the debt has to get refinanced, and more debt is taken on to fund the interest payment obligations, the interest payment actually starts to mount more significantly. And that's what we've seen in the last two fiscal years in particular. Now when you take this chart, and you overlay how much we spend on defense.

So here's defense spending. We are, I think, as of this month or last month now spending more, the federal government is spending more on interest payments on the federal debt than they are on national defense. Whether we believe we are spending money on national defense in a smart way or in an accountable way, or whether these are good strategic priorities and good strategic decisions.

The fact remains that at some point here, our ability to actually fund the programs that we want to fund, whether they're social security, Medicare, or defense, the major cost outlays for the federal government, it's going to get further hindered, and continually more hindered by the fact that these interest payments are climbing so significantly.

If you go to the third chart, I think it kind of provides the final point, which is social security. And we're very quickly seeing interest payments mount to the point of where social security spending lays. And when that happens, obviously, as you guys know, everyone talks about that as being the golden program, the right and the left, the Democrats and the Republicans simply will not touch social security, from a policy perspective from a getting elected perspective, but the economic and arithmetic reality is running up against them, which is that the interest payments on the debt are starting to threaten our ability to fund social security and Medicare.

There's many more charts we could pull up to highlight this, the Republicans in announcing the debt deal this week, made a lot of proclamations about it being a win and showed how we were able to reduce spending by $2 trillion. I think the statement they made the deal cuts $2.1 trillion in spending over the six year life of the bill and one and a half trillion dollars in statutorily mandated savings over the next two years, $2.1 trillion over six years, remember, we're talking about a seven million $7 trillion per year budget.

So that's $42 trillion over those six years, we're cutting 2 trillion of 42. So it's a 5% impact to start. It's a start. But what leverage do they have now? And I think that census Friedberg that they actually did decide to make cuts. And that feels to me and we did predict here that they would get this done.

Does feel to me like this is some amount of progress, right? I mean, do you feel good about it or indifferent? Friedberg? I think you guys know, I think that there's, we have to tackle the structural problem of revenue spending interest rates. Those are like, very big numbers that are challenging each other, chipping away at the spending doesn't quite get us there.

And, you know, it doesn't seem like there's a clear path here. Even you know, the argument that RFK made when he came on our show, RFK Jr. made when he came on our show, that cutting military spending would have an impact. I mean, you guys see military spending is already starting to get overtaken by the interest payment spending.

So does that really move the needle? I think it's going to be an economic reality that all programs are going to need to be cut back in order to fund the debt obligations, or we're going to see massive inflation. Not do you feel I guess, my question was, do you feel like this was a good step or a good signal that maybe the government is, and our representatives are getting the message that they need to make some cuts at some point, I don't think that there's any way to provide the necessary fiscal security for the federal government, without bipartisan unitary support around the objective, which is to get to a balanced budget and to reduce the overall debt and interest payment obligations.

And if you can't start from that point, it's this push and pull over what programs get cut, but I want more money being spent. I want to have a pipeline. I want to you're not super enthused by this. I thought it was a positive step. Chamath, you have talked about refinancing the debt, putting the hundred year trillion dollar coin, whatever we wind up doing refinancing this on a long arc 50 year 100 year arc.

What does this debt ceiling, reconciliation or whatever, we're going to call it, but they came to some sort of agreement here signal to you, you predicted they would get through this pretty easily. So yeah. Boring, nothing burger, nothing, move on. Okay. So, would you buy 100 year bond from the federal government?

If I was a foreign government? Yes. What interest would you need to get paid on that? To take that on? Probably one to 2%. One to 2% for 100 years? Yeah. So it would be downside protection, you just feel like this is a secure place to put some amount of money.

This is how any, any country with a turbulent currency would make this decision. And you could actually get close to zero. I think that when we had Zerp, you probably could have charged a negative interest rate, because you would have effectively been charging countries, third world developing countries, even first world countries that just wanted a protective mechanism against their currency volatility, they would have probably paid you just like today, you can get BOJ debt.

That's negative yielding. So it's no longer negative, but it's still probably in the realm of one, one and a half percent. It's nothing if you just do the math, it's nothing. And this is why I don't understand why everybody just gets their underwear in a bunch here. Okay, non gender underpants, put the red chart up there.

Nothing. It's a nothing. It's a nothing. It's a nothing. It's a hockey stick. Nothing means nothing. I think you guys see here is an accelerating problem. Yeah, cut revenue, the debt is getting bigger and bigger at the same time that foreign governments and investors in general don't want to fund our debt.

So therefore, interest rates will rise, our interest costs will keep going on why interest rates are going up? Well, if they're going up, because the Fed is raising rates of inflation, but at the same time, that's happening. Foreign governments are not as interested in having dollar reserves and US Treasuries said who does demonstrated by what you look at the foreign reserves of these countries, these sovereigns, they are much less interested in holding us treasuries for China, starting with China and all the BRICS countries, foreign reserves are up.

These guys are banking us dollars like nobody's business. I don't think so. I think it's been going down since 2008. I'll find you a chart. Yeah, maybe from 2008. I don't know from the great financial crisis at the absolute depths. But what I'm saying is that in general, the anchor currency for governments and central banks has been will be and will likely be in the future, the United States dollar.

And we get back to the circular argument, which is, I don't think it's possible for politicians to cut expenses. So I am just an advocate for cutting revenue, because I do think it's the simplest way to force people because the next time they go through these machinations and all this theater around a debt ceiling, they'll just have less revenue to play with.

And it'll just become a harder and harder and harder problem. Meanwhile, I do think that you have to take the ball where it lies and take these 24 or $30 trillion and refinance it well out into the future and make a bet on us exceptionalism and us GDP. And if you don't want to believe it, don't fucking be here.

Move to some other country where you think it's so much better and go do it there. But tomorrow, what if the market's not there? What if the buyers are not there and you're wrong? Sure. I mean, you know what an asteroid could hit the earth in the next day, we could talk about all kinds of long tail consequences.

But there is there you have to be able to probably wait these things and then spend your time thinking about the things that are more probabilistic, and be able to compartmentalize the anxiety of the less probabilistic things. So I think that could there be a scenario where there is no interest?

Sure. Is there one? No, because you see every day the government's in the market doing auctions, and there is a robust demand for United States government debt. And until there isn't, this argument is specious. And all I would tell you is just keep trying. Put out more try a 45 euro bond and see how it feels like try a 50 year you don't have to do 100.

If it makes you too anxious, that's fine. Let me just ask you at some point, if the market isn't there, the buyers are not there, then you know, but let's just go through the analysis, because I know that you think it's it's a zero chance. But if it's as low probability, do you agree that the severity is high, that the significance of that being the case, I don't again, I am not going to give an iota of breath to a long tail five sigma outcome, it is a waste of time.

Okay, because it occupies I don't tell you why I don't do it, it occupies my mind share, which takes away from me figuring out how to make money and win on the field today. So I have, you know, I wake in a 24 hour day, okay, just to give you a sense of it, I sleep for eight, you know, I'm eating for another one or two, all this bullshit, I have four or five hours a day of useful thinking time.

And I try to think of the belly of the probable. And I try to compartmentalize these dumb long tail sigma events, because it distracts me from making money and winning. I actually try to think about long tail sigma events that could make me money. This isn't one of them.

So I just don't spend time thinking about it. I could be totally wrong. Pull up this totally wrong. Pull up this chart work for me so far. And I'm going to stick to what works guys. Saxe has been on Google for five minutes. He's got something for you tomorrow.

Go ahead. You should stick to the investing strategy that works for you. I'd like to talk about the status of US treasuries. So if you look here, this is total foreign treasury holdings as percent of marketable treasury securities. So it's gone down from the mid 50s to the low 30s since 2008 2009 as a percentage so foreign governments don't want our treasuries as much as they used to starting with China, they are diversifying into other currencies and gold.

And there are a bunch of good reasons for that. By the way, this comes from a blog, which is really interesting. It's a crypto guy named Arthur Hayes. And this is actually a pretty interesting piece called exit liquidity. He writes interesting pieces on the banking system and de dollarization.

He's got a little bit of a doomer thesis with respect to the US dollar. And obviously he's pro Bitcoin, his views are sort of similar to apologies. But in any event, I think one of the points he makes that's really interesting is that if you're to zoom out 30,000 feet, and think about the regime that we had during let's call it the unipolar moment where China and the United States were strong trading partners, and we had this close relationship with them.

The way the global economy worked is that China would sell goods to the United States, they would have huge trade surpluses. And then they would take those dollars, and they'd use some of them to buy raw materials like energy that was called the petro dollar. And then they would take other dollars their surplus and instead of repatriating at home, they would have to have then convert that money into RMB and brought it home.

They didn't do that that actually would have increased the value of their currency thereby making their exports less attractive. This is why they are accused of currency manipulation, they took their surplus dollars and bought us assets, mainly us treasuries. So we had this trading relationship with China, I think everyone understands the physical world side of that trading relationship where you had us manufacturing jobs got exported to China, they basically made everything a lot of cheap goods came into the US, they had a trade surplus.

What I think people don't understand is that a huge part of that trade surplus was used to finance us deficits and debt. And so you had this like cozy relationship between us, elites, US politicians and China, where they got to rack up these huge deficits, the government got to spend a lot of money.

And China would fund it very cheaply. But now that's all ended that stopped, because we're basically starting to decouple from China. So China doesn't want to do its business in dollars if they don't have to, obviously, for the products they sell at the US, they'll take dollars, but they're already trying to do as many transactions as they can.

Buying oil, for example, or energy in RMB. I don't want to dispute this chart, because this chart is true. But it's a small part of how the entire puzzle works. And so this is a Bitcoin maximalist, who cherry picks a few data points to try to make a point.

But if you look at the IMF data, and I put it to you in the group chat, you can't just look at us Treasury securities, you have to look at actual absolute dollar reserves. And when you look at that over time, it hasn't fluctuated that much. And so for all the dopes that don't understand how this shit works, it's not just securities, it's actually also money.

And the actual amount of US dollar money hasn't changed that much gone between 60 and 70%. So it's just and so sure, I just find this argument, again, one of these long sigma arguments that are anxiety riddled, and I just don't want to waste my time thinking about it, because it'll distract me from winning on the field today.

You got to be able to block things out if you want to be a capital allocator. I agree. But an interesting discussion nonetheless. I don't think these things are just noise. I think you're seeing a trend. I mean, look how many headlines are about the BRICS countries getting together and starting to transact in currencies other than dollars.

Yeah, you know what, those are very cherry picked as well. And you said before, you don't trust the press. So you trust the press on these headlines, all of a sudden, I don't think that that's actually I don't think anyone's disputing the fact that China and Saudi Arabia and China and Brazil are doing energy transactions in R and B I think it's very tiny.

They're doing or putting all their money into venture capital in the West, private equity in the rest real estate in the West, the Middle East. That's where they're, that's where they're focusing their energy. There's a different issue. Look, no one is disputing the fact that China and the BRICS countries more generally are trying to create a trading block that is not dependent on the US dollar.

I think they are gradually the same rattling. It's like, I think they're trying to just let the US know like, hey, we have other options here. And I think it's China just trying to it's China on their heels, trying to make deals with other folks trying to pursuing their self interest, which is not to be dependent on a dollar that's been weaponized and controlled by the US politically, you can be sure that Saudi UAE and the entire voting bloc in the Middle East are shipping their money West not East.

I think you have a very accurate assessment of what China wants, but it doesn't mean it's going to happen. And I think you have to make a bet. What do you think it's going to happen or not? I bet it's not going to happen. And I think the reason I said this before is China is in a demographic time bomb.

And that will dominate everything else that is a country that is in floating and they're anti capitalist, they're anti capitalism. No, no, I'm going to say that they are capitalists. I'm not going to make these judgments. But I'm going to tell you practically speaking is they are demographically imploding.

They do not have enough people, the country will be halved by the death rate and the lack of birth rate by 2300. Okay, so in another 70 odd years, that is a problem that is going away. And that is just mathematical. And if you just again, you just have to take a deep breath, look at the data and just extrapolate and you see, this is not a problem.

China is not a problem. China has real problems. There's no question about it. They've got demographic problems. They've got problems in the banking system. They've got a real estate bubble, startup problems. There are questions about whether the leadership now is turning away from the capitalism that got them to this point.

So there's no question that China has problems. But you want to talk about trends. There is a major trend in the world right now where you again, the BRICS countries, Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and you can put Saudi Arabia in that bucket and a lot of other countries, they are looking to diversify off of the dollar.

I'm not saying that the dollar is going to stop being the world's reserve currency, because I agree with you that there's no ready replacement at hand. But they are trying to do as many transactions they can off of the dollar. And they do not want to hold treasuries like they did 10 or 15 years ago.

I don't transactions off the very loaded statement. I don't think that statement is true. What are you talking about? This is like major. No, they tried to do one trade, China and Saudi and China and no, Saudi and China talked about it, and they didn't do it. They talked about Yeah, I would like to see on that not just a couple of headlines, because I think everybody wants to know what are you talking about?

It was the data, the Brazil thing happened, but I think it was a small trade, David. Yeah, that's what Yeah, that's exactly your first you're saying it didn't happen. And now you're saying, I'm saying the Saudi Arabia, China thing did not happen. Your statement was they're trying to do as many transactions as possible off the dollar.

I don't think they're trying to do as many transactions off the dollar. I don't have never seen any actual data. You don't know support is making shit up. No, you're forcing the dollar. Of course, they want to get off the dollar if they can't. No, I think Jason saying you're right, what they want to do, but what they are doing China is what he's debating.

They're trying to sending their money west. I don't think they're trying to send it. I don't think that's all. Hold on a second. You're right that Saudi Arabia is investing in the US. They're, I'd say, highly diversified. That's a little different than what China is doing. Yes, we are in agreement.

China wants to get people off the US dollar. China's in decline. China's got big issues. We all agree on that. The Middle East has a lot of cash. I think if they're going to decide what to do with it, they'll appease China to have a solid relationship to ship oil there.

But I think China's the number one customer now. China's the number one customer. And their hearts are in the West. That's where they're going to take China's money. There's been a giant local realignment. Haven't you noticed? I think the realignment is The Chinese just negotiated The Middle East becoming westernized and being accepted in the West and moving towards an investor in the West in technology.

That's actually the trend. The Chinese just negotiated or approached Mao between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Did you notice that? That's a fine idea. I'm just talking about where they're putting these things are all connected. Where are they putting their chips? I think what you've explained and I think we're in agreement.

They'll sell their oil to China, then what do they do with the bag? They take that same bag, and they want to put it towards it's even worse. Again, the thing is, even if you settle a trade in the yuan, I think you guys keep forgetting this key thing, which is the yuan is pegged to the US dollar.

So it is a proxy dollar. So if you really want to decouple, you first have to let this currency free float. They have no desire to let them do that, especially in a moment where they're economically imploding internally. So again, you go back to the circular argument where everything goes back to the dollar.

So yes, they're saber rattling sacks. I acknowledge what you're saying. I think you're totally right that they would love a free floating currency. The Chinese would love Chinese and they want that free floating currency to not be pegged to the dollar. But right now, they have kept it pegged to the dollar.

So I just do that. And it says not it says, I just googled is you on peg to USD and it says the Chinese yuan is not pegged to the US dollar was pegged from 94 to 2005. But in 2005, China made its currency a floating exchange currency. It is not a floating currency.

Yeah. And then do you trust that? Yeah, who's highly manipulated? I agree with that. But I don't think it's pegged. It's not a floating currency. It is not a free floating currency. China controls the exchange rate between themselves and the US dollar. Let's move on. I think we've covered this.

It'd be actually one thing that might be interesting reality, you have no basis for declaring that things like the moves that China is making with Brazil and Saudi Arabia, you're just declaring that to be fake news. Nobody's saying fake news. We're saying it's happening. But it's probably minor. And it's probably more described.

What's your basis for believing that? Because we have no evidence to prove that it's occurring. We just have a couple of headlines and some small. But I mean, where is it? I mean, all we're seeing is the the, the money in Saudi Arabia is they're selling oil to China, correct, they're doing deals there, then they're taking that money.

And then they want to invest it in the West. Who are you talking about? The other thing to keep in mind is that the Saudi real is pegged as well to the US dollar. And that's been there since I think the mid 80s. So China's is a very opaque, manipulated currency market where they keep the dollar yuan spread quite fixed.

On the other side, Saudi has kept the same peg 3.75 to the dollar since the mid 80s. So again, it all just goes back to the US dollar. It's all proxies for the dollar. So there's some symbolic value, I suppose, in trading in yuan. But everything goes back to the dollar, because that's what it's measured in.

So it's not I suppose it's not symbolic, what's happening is deeply geopolitical, you've got a couple of things going on. One is that the US has now instituted sanctions on over 40 countries. Moreover, the whole world saw that in the case of Russia, we froze their foreign reserves, and basically seized the property of their oligarch.

So if you're an oligarch in the Middle East, you think you want to keep all of your money on all of your reserves in dollars, you understand that the dollar has been weaponized as a political instrument in the United States. That's just a fact. So you're going to look to diversify, you're going to look to put your money in gold, you're going to look to put your money in other currencies.

Is there like I said, a currency at hand that's ready to be a replacement for the US dollar? No, and it can't be the one they don't have an open capital. Where would you diversify if you were the CIO? Where would you diversify? Well, what I would do if I were the Secretary of the Treasury of China, is I would say that, okay, for the exports, the US we're going to keep getting dollars, and we'll do something with those dollars.

But for everybody else, we're going to try and do as many transactions and RMB as possible. But what about the sellers of oil to China? What would they do? They get RMB. So you would tell them to keep the trades that we're talking about. You tell them to hold RMB over us and euro.

China is seeking to pay Saudi Arabia and Brazil. If you're the CIO, I do understand it. I do understand. What I'm asking you is, let me ask you a question. Would you as CIO of Saudi or UAE, would you want to keep RMB? Would you want to keep euros or US dollars?

Where would you want to keep your money? And the question is, if they sell that, would they want to keep it in RMB? I don't think they would want to keep the one honestly, to answer your question, I want to put it in gold. That's right. I would I put it in gold.

Okay, here's what China is proposing. Okay. They're saying to Saudi Arabia and Brazil, we're going to pay you for your oil in RMB. And then you are going to take the RMB. And you can buy our products. Yeah, because again, we make everything we're the factory of the world.

And if you still have a surplus, after that, you can settle that surplus in gold. Because Beijing has a very liquid, you know, gold exchange market. They're giving them. That's what they're proposing. Here's your gift cards. Spend gift cards, two data points on this axe that I just read.

It's in this Barron's article that I included, Nick, you may just want to link to it in the show notes, which I thought was pretty good swift, which is sort of like the international payments backbone, the share of yuan transactions briefly rose above 3%. In 2022, that was the peak, and it's now off 26%, down to about 2.2%.

So actually, the share of yuan transactions has actually been shrinking in the last year. And then the second is that what this article states, which is interesting is that all the belt and road loans that China gave into all these developing countries in Africa, the Africans were like, we don't want this you want and so they just dollar swapped.

And so now the BRI loans are all serviced in US dollars as well. So all the trillions of dollars China spent. I'm just saying that again, I'm not judging their own alternative swift. We weaponize swift as well. So swift is still 98% of the of the world of how it works.

All I'm saying is, I just like to look keep things simple. I think the US dollars here for a while, I think that debt suck. I would love to have no deficits. But I also think these numbers are roughly like we're playing plus or minus on the margin two to 300 basis points.

We talked about that last week. And so I want to keep my brain open to the simple, obvious things like you know, selling. That's what it's come to is CPG for you. trumath. You're like, it's a downmarket CPG guy. Now. Yeah, that's where trumath focused. Why don't you pull freeberg into this debate?

I have one more that's what I was about to do. I'm a doctor doom. Go ahead. Dr. So I think I'm a doctor doom. I'm just Dr. reality, or at least I try to be I don't know, like there was a deal, you know, China had a big visit with Brazil in March, we talked about it briefly, I shared a couple of these articles that covered the transactions, they signed $10 billion of trade agreements and cooperative agreements, all of which were meant to settle in yuan.

Brazil's kind of made the statement that they're going to start to settle in local currency. And, you know, they're doing this multilateral trade program globally, with partners where they're going to trade and transact in local currencies, they're not set to the dollar, they're not fixed to the dollar. And I think that's just part of a general movement.

I don't think it's about, hey, we got to get off the dollar as soon as possible. But I think it's about we could diversify. And there are other stable economies around the world, they might be having, you know, demographic issues or various economic issues. But gosh, man, don't we all Europe, China, the US, everyone's got debt problems, demographic problems, over leverage problems, growth problems.

And fundamentally, I don't think that there's as safe a haven as there has been historically. And as a result, I think a lot of these governments and a lot of the business leaders in these countries are very much open to doing transactions in multiple currencies. And that's the beginning of the end, it's the beginning of a set of transactions that isn't about, hey, we're all getting against the dollar, it's over, let's crush the dollar.

It's like, we're just going to do trades and other currencies. No big deal. Beginning of the end. Doctor Do. All right. Shout out. It's the end of the dominance, right? It's the end of you every talking about the end of the dominance and China imploded during that same time period.

So I forgive me, I still believe in American exceptionalism. From American exceptionalism. When there's another article from Bloomberg bricks, this is from April 24. All of a sudden, this guy loves the mainstream draws membership bids from 1984. Listen, Jake, I'm fine. If you want to say this is fake news, go for it.

Are you saying it's just funny? Believe it's fake news? No, I need information about the world. When they write an article about me, that's completely made up. I'm going to call it fake news. Why are you treating like every press article is like the same. That makes no sense.

By the way, it does make sense for the bricks to expand, right sacks, because it's like if NATO was purely an economic organization, that's probably what bricks evolves into over time. And it makes a ton of sense for them to do it. They're creating a competing China setting up an alternative to the IMF.

They've got this alternative to the IMF that they're setting up. That's not dollar denominated. And they've got seven nations in this thing. Now. It's it's, you know, and by the way, Jason, when I say the beginning of the end, I don't mean the end of the world or the end of the US, the US will continue to be the innovation hub of the world, the US will continue to have freedom and civil rights that no that no other country can parallel.

The US is an incredible place to live better than anywhere else on earth. But the economic status of the US given how we have spent money, and how we continue to operate our federal government with this extraordinary deficit and debt spiral problem means that other people have to be protective of their currencies and their assets in a way that's thoughtful.

It doesn't necessarily mean it's all over and everything, but the dominance you said beginning was has had economically, you can already see this in all the trade barriers and tariffs that are going up the decoupling that's going on. Look, the United States set up a system of global free trade, basically in 1945.

And we had a bipolar world with we have the Soviets and you and in America, but the Soviets basically opted out because they were communists, they had their own system, but it wasn't a compelling economy. Then we had the unipolar world. So basically, for, you know, over half a century, we had this completely open system where there were no trade blocks in the world.

Now we are seeing the rise of trade blocks with multi polarity. Yes, the US is pursuing a contradictory policy because on the one hand, yeah, hold on, the here's the contradiction. On the one hand, we run these massive deficits and debts. So we are a debtor nation who needs to make its debt attractive to debt holders or our interest rates going to keep going up.

Okay, so that's on the one hand. On the other hand, we are doing things like weaponizing the dollar and weaponizing swift and imposing sanctions and engaging in geopolitical fights that are highly antagonistic to the nations that are would be holders of our debt. So one of those two things has got to give either we reduce our debt and our deficits and the need we're remember we're not this is not a stable situation.

We continue to issue what is it somewhere between one and 2 trillion a year to government debt. So we have to constantly find more and more money out in the world to support our debt at the same time that we're weaponizing the dollar in the financial system so that these sources of global capital don't want to participate.

And I agree with sex. This is why I think the disappointment to me is that there isn't bipartisan recognition of this being as severe as a war. It is the sort of thing that the government that both parties need to get behind and say, let's figure out a path to solving this problem.

This is the objective. We've got to get our fiscal affairs in order. And then all the other stuff, the social stuff, the policy stuff we can fight about we can argue about later. But we have to put some gas in the tank, we have to be able to drive where we want to go.

And we can't drive right now. Here's what I'll say to you, Friedberg. Since you said the beginning of the now maybe it's a poor choice of words. It's not the end. You said don't miss Yeah, but but don't miss dollar dominance in global trade. Okay, I disagree with you.

I think dollar dominance will continue for some time. Jay, are you disputing that the world is becoming more multipolar? Do you think we're still living in unipolarity? No, and nor do we need to live in unipolarity for America to still be the champions. We still are winning at a pace that nobody else is.

Space, energy, cars, AI, we're probably going to win chips. And we're going to probably win material science and batteries. And we're obviously going to win biotech. We're winning in every one of these categories. We're the clear winner. The only thing we're not the clear winner in is factories and mass producing schlocky stuff that's sold on Amazon.

China's completely imploded. And the Middle East is taking their last 20 or 30 years of capital, and they're investing it in the West in space, energy, cars, AI, chips, basic materials, batteries, all the stuff that's happening here on our shores, we are in the most winning position we've probably ever been in as a country.

We took a bad beat, we spent too much money, we got a dysfunctional government, we got a culture wars, we got a lot of bad stuff distracting us. But the truth is, when you look at brass tacks, when you look at innovation, we're winning on almost every dimension. We're just a little caught up in the fog of culture wars.

And you know, thinking that we're going to be dominant and perfect in terms of our budget, we do have to fix our budget. We all agree on that. But we are winning. And China is currently stalled out. And it's because of freedom. It's because we support because of the basic human freedoms we have.

You two guys are Dr. Doom. This is so stupid. I'm hopping off. I'm done with this. Just strike my shit out of this episode. Is there anything else you want to talk about today? Because I'm done. This is gonna be done. I'd love to talk about Nvidia. But I don't know if you guys I'm sick of being characterized as Dr.

Doom. J. Cal, it's fucking stupid. We want to have a real conversation about it. Instead of your like, but what I said, I'm not fucking extreme. I'm not I'm trying to have like, an actual discipline conversation about where things are going. It's not black and white. It's not about Oh my god, the US is gonna win.

Everyone's gonna lose. It's not a win lose situation. We cannot afford to continue to spend the way we're spending with our federal government. That's it. I agree with that. We have to solve that problem winning on all these other dimensions. So why are we winning? It's not the conversation.

Why is the federal government is different from us innovation? There's a difference. The federal government, these are the voters, voters elect to tax and spend. And voters elect people to create a system that can legally go in and take assets and spend assets and borrow money. And we've done it in an extent now that is becoming almost a runaway train.

It is a problem. We saw the negative red chart that sacks had you pull up several times that has nothing to do with us dominance and fucking electronics and chips and biotech, and all this other sort of stuff. We have a problem with how we spend money at the federal level.

I agree with that. I agree. That's the conversation. I believe that the dominance that we have in entrepreneurship and every one of these categories is what will pull us out of this. The free enterprise system is a wonderful system that produces a lot of good prosperity for America. Okay, that's great.

I agree with that. And it remains to be seen if China can sustain its remarkable economic growth that's had over the last few decades. So that remains to be seen. However, the United States is behaving like a late stage empire. And that is separate from the system that got us here.

We have unsustainable fiscal deficits, we spend way too much money that we don't have. We have an uncontrolled southern border, our cities are in decline. We've got hundreds of 1000s of people living on the streets. Have you seen it? We look like a third world country. There's three or four crimes.

That's we are we're all we're meddling in countries all over the world engaging in wars or proxy wars. We are behaving like a late stage empire. So J Cal, it's true that the United States has a wonderful system. And that's what got us here to me, it got us to unipolarity, we were the world's only superpower.

But now we're in a world in which other countries are rising to, it's more multipolar, agreed, and whether we continue, our dominance will depend on whether we make the right decisions right now. And right now we are not making the right decisions. Adding 2 trillion to the debt in peacetime a year makes no sense.

Yeah, you're a little ran. It's like Wile E. Coyote, going off the cliff, and pretending like if he just doesn't look down, there's nothing to worry about. I have said from the beginning, we need to get spending under control. But I am also incredibly enthusiastic about how we're performing in innovation and capitalism right now.

It is off the charts how well this country is doing on those dimensions. Chamath, you have any thoughts? While we wrap up the same? No, I think we ended up conflating a bunch of issues into one. I'll just say what I've said before, which is that the United States is kind of the simplest, safest bet and that these decisions are made on a relative basis.

China, unfortunately, for them have has a huge demographic problem that will diminish them economically. And you're already starting to see it, but it's going to get really exacerbated in the next 10 or 15 years. That's just the mathematical reality for a country that has literally zero immigration and no solution.

Europe is not in a very great situation. And the only place that's really firing on all cylinders is India. But it has a long way to go to build the infrastructure that can really scale and make it as predictable as United States. Could it do it? I think so.

But it's going to take a long time that, you know, 50 60 100 years of investment. So I don't know, I just kind of like try to simplify for myself, I think the US will be fine. I think the dollar will be fine. I don't think it's right to spend this much.

But I think that politicians are incapable of cutting expenses. And so I would like to cut their revenues. That's it. It's a great discussion. freeberg. Yeah, I don't think you are. I don't think you understand what the audience actually wants to hear. This is actually the core of the of the debate that we just had.

Well, just do what Friedrich asked you, which is just to play his clip in his words. And then I have right here. I think that the Saudi China trade if this happens, and oil is sold in one is the beginning of I think the end of the assumption that the US dollar is a global reserve.

That's all. Yeah, that's what you said. That was your prediction. That you said in the beginning of the end, you said it twice. So if you don't believe it's the beginning of the end, it's fine. The US dollar as a global reserve. Yes, you believe that that it's the US dollar will not be the global reserve.

You said it twice. Yeah. And I just think that will be will remain the global reserve for a lifetime. That's a fundamental difference. Let's move on. Yes. I'm reticent to bring up the culture wars, but these have become prominent. So maybe we could have a meta discussion about these.

There are three things going on. One, we touched on the book banning, I'm using air quotes there. And there's been a lot of feedback that's come in since then. Just to follow up briefly on it. Books are not exactly being banned. It's a much more granular and nuanced issue.

There was a bill 1467 that happened that Ron DeSantis did sign. This said that parents reasonably should get to see what's being put into classrooms. And as you might suspect, this is being done at a very local level. When you put all that control at the local level, you will have different constituents, banned books that maybe shouldn't be.

Some of them are obvious ones that were too graphic that I think most parents would agree shouldn't be in a school library. Other ones were horror books or young adult books, you can look at all this stuff, just search for pen and books report, pen America. And if you there are instances of books that shouldn't be banned, being banned and instances of books that we'd all agree on, but it is not exactly book banning.

It's letting each of the school districts make their own decisions. And they're not going to make perfect decisions when you put them out in the edges. So just to make that super clear, I think you're right to focus on the terminology here, because this is a question of what is put in the school library, that's it.

So that's not a ban. Right? A ban would be if you couldn't purchase the book for yourself or your kids. Any parent can buy any book they want in Florida. We do have an issue, I think, with the curriculum, where really important classic books are being removed from the curriculum for political reasons, mainly in California, books like to kill a mockingbird or a huck.

That was weird. They're being removed because they're being accused of being racist, even though the whole point of those books is to, I think, call it out, call it out and teach kids about racism. So there's a lot of stupid things happening from the left in terms of removing books from the curriculum, which I think is a much bigger deal than removing books from a school library.

There's also things happening with like, you know, Ian Fleming's James Bond books being rewritten, like posthumously because to sex, accused of sexism, or raw dolls books are being posthumously edited. So like books are literally being rewritten in a way that their authors never intended that is positively Orwellian. That really is.

That's really bad. That's really wrong. Now on this on this this thing. I mean, look, this is this is getting to the level now of being a hoax. One of the stories going around is that there was this book of poetry, this totally innocuous book of poetry that was being banned in Florida.

And I wanted to say, yeah, so I wanted to find out the truth of it. Well, as it turns out, like you said, J. Cal, this is in Miami Dade school district. A decision was made. This is not by DeSantis is made at the level of individual schools, which are voted on and their parents on the school boards.

So it's going to just follow the demographics and whatever that local community is. Right. So basically, what happened is this, this book of poetry was literally moved from the elementary school library to the middle school library. That's what happened. But all of a sudden, this was spun on social media, and by the mainstream media as if DeSantis had banned this book of poetry, to the point where Miami Dade school district had to put out a tweet correcting this.

So never banned or removed. It was just moved from one library to another. For me, I think this is a super interesting point, David, where you and I are in agreement, you and I are both for freedom of speech, and we're big advocates of that. And then there are decisions.

And you could reasonably make this decision, hey, let the parents decide. Great. When you let the parents decide, you have to take into account that these school boards could be hijacked by different groups of people, or they could be very small, monocultures of, you know, little towns or cities.

Here's the list, by the way, if anybody wants to look at this, you could actually look at the very granular list, Pan-America keeps an index of all these, I put the thing in the chat here, and you'll see things in left, right, everybody in between. Some places are banning all the LGBTQ books, some are banning the critical race books or books by people of color, other ones are banning, you know, the James Bond novels, etc.

So it's it's a free for all of parents executing their rights at a very local level. And, you know, I guess if you want parents to have a say in their schools, it's going to be slightly imperfect and variable. But it's not like there is censorship going on, I guess, in some ways, the political question is, do you allow government bureaucrats to dictate to parents what their kids are going to see or have access to?

And I don't think that's viable. I mean, look, parents could take their kids out of the school and homeschool them if they wanted. Yes. So at the end of the day, so they have that right. So why would you deny parents the right to determine what's in the school library?

And it does seem like all of this goes by the way, some of these books that have been removed are actually Lord. Yeah, Lord of the Flies will probably get removed because they don't like somebody being labeled fat piggy. No, oh, I just lost the weight. Take it easy.

No, no, I'm saying right. Like there are some great books that were written in an age where, you know, you just say things in a certain way that aren't meant to be offensive. But these books are very powerful. And I don't know about you guys, but I had a bunch of books that I read when I was younger, that had a huge impact on me.

And then I don't want I don't want those books getting removed from the curriculum. You're right, Lord of the Flies, incredible, killer mockingbird, those are all important books that I read as part of the curriculum. But all we're talking about, I think is this even this very minor issue of what's in the library, obviously, the parents should get to decide.

And some of the things that have been removed from the library are pretty out there. Like, for example, there was one book that was educating kids on like, how to get a grinder date, which they're not even supposed to be able to do right, like grinders for 18 and up.

There are other topics that, like suicide and harm and other ones. When do you introduce that to a child? Is that something that's third grade or, you know, a suicide discussion? When should that reasonably occur? This is a crazy question, but I'll ask it to you guys. I would rather Lord of the Flies be removed from a library than edited because then at least there's a different place where you can get your original book.

Oh, for sure. The idea of editing a book is so insane. It's so mind control. Yeah, it's really bad. That idea is very, very bad because you're reading something thinking that this is what the author intended. And all of a sudden, it's manipulated by some rando false expert under some guys that you had no decision making in that's really bad.

What's really I think, important of this discussion is what's how the press frame something how politicians frame them and then how they're actually executed on the ground can be very different. So this has become a Rorschach test for what cause you back. And when you actually look at just the list, you'll see people in California, people in Colorado banning quote unquote banning or just not including certain books in libraries.

It's parents having age old debates about when do you introduce certain topics to your kids? That's your job as a parent. What happens in the library is going to be variable. Alright, Nvidia is going for vertical integration, they unveiled their GPU CPU superchip called Grace Hopper after the Navy Admiral, obviously, Nvidia grace, GPU uses 72 arm universe v2 CPU cores, whatever that means.

The CPU can deliver up to 370 square on a spec crate 2017 in base, whatever that means. I'm sorry, I'm not familiar with all the benchmark. Is the peak of humor on the show? Listen, we're talking about Pentium chips. I could have kept up here. But I haven't kept up with this since the 90s.

We're talking about the Intel inside Pentium chips. Yes, I could. I did keep up with chip stuff. I'm sure. Yeah, yeah, no, I mean, when we got past gigabit, I stopped. I think what's really interesting here is this is a really important moment. We're like that design that Grace Hopper design, which is basically a massive system on chip.

It's an entire rig. It's a GPU and CPU and memory and interconnects. This is like them going for the jugular. This is what's crazy in a moment like this, like that is basically them trying to create an absolute monopoly. Because if you have these rigs, and these rigs are the most capable for learning, and you have their SDK CUDA, which is becoming the de facto software layer now that you use to write to their h 100s, or Grace Hopper when it's available, and the 100s, that could create a level of lock in that I think people should be thinking about.

So if you're the hyperscalers, like Amazon and Google and Microsoft, what is your reaction to this? If you're Facebook, what is your reaction to this? And I think it's really important because if these guys continue to innovate at this scale, you're not going to have any alternatives. And it comes it goes back to like what Intel looked like back in the day, which is an absolute straight up monopoly, except the difference is that even when you wrote something to Intel CPUs, you could actually run it on an AMD processor, and it would work with no changes.

But that's not necessarily the same. So if you go from an A 100 to something else, an FPGA, or some other silicon, you have to translate the model. And so it's very important to understand that there's no extensibility here. So like if Nvidia continues to drive this quickly and, and continues to execute like this, it's a one and done one company monopoly in AI at the hardware layer.

And I think that that people are probably thinking about how to blunt that competitive outcome. But that's what I took away from that, from that announcement from them, which is like, they are ready to go for the juggler here in what looks like the most important market that's emerged in like what do you think about the valuation to math trading at 200 times or 50 times?

I'm in your camp. The simple thing about price to equity ratios is if you take the price equity ratio, and you invert it, that's your implied earnings price earnings, price earnings, or and you invert it, that's your yield, right. And so Nvidia is yielding at these prices, I think it's somewhere like two to two and a half percent, which is less than and it's almost half of a typical two year bond.

And so when you have a yield that that's low, you have to see it just grow absolutely massively. But there's this principle in capitalism, which is in order to grow like that, you're generating so much profit, that competitors look at it and say, Hold on, you don't deserve that much profit, I'm going to take some of that.

Your profits, my opportunity, your margins, my opportunity. I think that your margin is my opportunity is exactly what happens. So I think what I'm waiting for freeberg is like in the next two quarters, if AMD, Facebook, Google, Microsoft and Amazon don't announce something substantive, there's a very good chance that Nvidia runs away with this.

And I think that that's very problematic. But in that case, that price is cheap. My bet, though, it's a different version of your bet, but we get to the same outcome is that I don't think that that's going to happen, because it's just too important. And so I think that everybody other than Nvidia wants vendor diversity, right, you don't want to get locked into one person, or one set of hardware, or one cloud, you know, one SDK, you don't want that nobody wants that, except Nvidia, and Nvidia shareholders.

So my bet is in the next two quarters, you start to see some real action so that folks start to have to balance their forecasts, where it's not just 100% Nvidia, but it's Nvidia plus plus plus. And that's sort of what I would bet. Because it just seems like logical and right, because I, otherwise it would it would be pretty derelict of these hyperscalers to just throw their hands in the air and just give the whole market to them.

And it would be derelict of AMD. The other thing that's happening is, and you know, AMD is AMD is a great memory solution. But they really don't have a deterministic AI chip. And I think that Lisa Sue needs to get needs to act decisively here and build something announced something by something, but she needs to be really aggressive here.

If you look at the language models, a lot of them are taking less and less CPU GPU to actually build them. So this has been like a bit of a race or competition on hugging face. I showed the leaderboard on another episode, maybe two episodes ago, but I've been talking to some of the people who are doing these language models to math and they said there's massive inefficiency.

And so yeah, and by the way, the other thing I mentioned, J kal is also happening, which is like the freeberg you talked about this atomization of these models is happening, I think even faster than when you first brought that up. Yeah, so what took two or $3 million last year is now taking $200,000 just through software improvements and code improvements, crazy.

And now they're thinking a number of the other thing people are coming to is because of so much what's the term hallucinations that people are using because of the hallucinations, people are making narrower models that are deeper in legal or just, you know, stack overflow, just core or just a vertical and core.

They take less GPU, but they get better results because you've constrained the data set. And that's resulting in, you know, better outcomes. So I think this could also be where maybe people don't need as much GPU or CPU at the same time, so many people are going after it.

So that could flip where the demand could actually decrease because of software efficiencies or hitting some benchmark that's reasonable enough. What do you think? freeberg? Look, I think as performance improves, as cost declines, like any economic model, there's a pretty nonlinear relationship with demand. So we'll find new ways to apply this technology.

I think the demand is only going to go nonlinear. Having this happening is people are starting to build like mosaic ml. They're building cloud independent models. So you can take the same model build it on your own proprietary personal cloud, not educate chat GPT for not educate barred, but do it with your own model.

And then you can move it from reduction and fine tuning seems to like, get to the point that we can run these things on small machines, cheaply, quickly. And it just, it'll change the it'll change the applications. You're saying run inference cheaper, not run training, run inference. That's right.

No, this is not good. Biden just had a big fall on stage at the US Air Force Academy graduation. Oh, no. I think he'll be okay. But whoa, it's not like he fell off the stage. He just tried. Oh, it doesn't doesn't look good. But he could have broke something.

Well, hope he's okay. I hope he's okay. Yeah. I mean, we just had this whole talk about it. Yeah. I mean, it's just again, I think like physical like these kinds of physical things are, are normal. And I think people need to be much more empathetic about that kind of stuff.

I mean, he was riding a bike over the summer last year. I remember. And you look great. FDR was in a wheelchair. So I don't care about that. All I care about is mental acuity. Yeah, me too. Okay. By the way, I want him to be well enough to run because I'm scared of some of the other democratic candidates they might put up same.

Like, I don't want to get a president of Newsom. Or President Harris. I mean, I don't think Biden is very good. But I think he's better than Harris or Newsom. Biden drops out who's the lead candidate in your mind? Okay. Really? Wow. I would prefer RFK to Biden. But I think what will happen if Biden drops out is we'll get a flood of establishment democrat candidates in the race.

Newsom, maybe JB Pritzker, Harris, for sure. There's a lot of differences between the left and the right. But the one similarity is that there's a large amount of voters in both of those blocks who don't fundamentally like these establishment candidates. And I think that that sentiment is exactly the same.

And so you know, you can have a pro Trump wave on the right, just like you could have a pro RFK wave on the left. And they are solidified by the same idea, which is, I think you're going to see more and more outsiders have a chance through the nomination process to get in.

I think the Democratic Party will stop it. I mean, they should Bernie Sanders. Remember that? It was Sanders against Clinton. And they, they shipped him. They rigged the primary against him. Let's use that word. Oh, labeled are just labeled the episode. No, but look, I mean, the the establishment has in the Democratic Party has a huge influence over the outcome because they control the superdelegates, right?

They'll never wouldn't do some supercharged the Republican base. I mean, being like a coastal elite. And what's happened with San Francisco and LA, I think that just drives out the Trump voters in a massive way that I said, like over a year ago, I thought that the wow, that 2024 would be a Newsome to Santa's race.

I still think there's like a 10 20% chance of that. Wow, that would be wild. Be wild. Maybe 10%. What about Joe Manchin? What's the story there? Anybody have any insights on Joe Manchin? We had a phenomenal dinner at my house last week. He is so wait, charming. Okay, so what do you know this?

What are you talking about? I don't know if you publicly disclosed it. Well, it's already happened. We had a we had a fabulous dinner. And he met a lot of people here. And he's amazing. Did sacks come to that? And Heather, and Heather's amazing. Heather's amazing to his daughter, who she ran, I think was my land pharmaceutical, incredible executive.

Joe Manchin would jump in. Yeah. You think trauma matches fabulous. If Biden wasn't in Joe Manchin would jump in. You think? I don't know. I don't want to speculate any on anything like that. But I think he's I think he's an amazing American patriot. Is that your guy? freeberg?

Would you go Joe Manchin? Because he wants to control spending? I don't know. I don't know. I'll tell you one of the reasons why I like RFK Jr. Is that there's so many issues that he is deviating from Democratic Party orthodoxies in favor of free speech, and against censorship.

He's in favor of civil liberties and against this, like massive surveillance state that we've created. And on foreign policy wants to end all the crazy wars. And I would say that of all the candidates I've heard, he understands the situation in Ukraine the most deeply. Now, both Trump and dissenters have called for a ceasefire.

And that's good. And I think RFK would work towards a ceasefire to the RFK Jr. goes deeper and explains how the whole situation Ukraine came about. And so he understands it very deeply. All right, folks, they have it. Another episode of the online podcast for the dictator, the architect David Sachs.

And I will call him Kingmaker. No, he's I'm sorry. Kingmaker. I like architect. Okay, Kingmaker. Sure. Kingmaker. News. You like architect or King? It's crazy. The whole thing was just like made up. But I know but as a nickname, which one does your name? What do you prefer? architect?

Do you prefer? Okay, what are the articles say? Kingmaker? articles of Kingmaker I said architect. I think architect is more Svengali ish. The articles about a call that never happened sickness with a person you don't know with a person I don't know. Right? Okay, that aside, what? What nickname would you like us to use going forward?

Kingmaker? The whole article was made up. Yes. Putting that aside, architect. Can I go with Kingmaker? I like Kingmaker. I like architect. But it's silly. Mr. Secretary, please tell us which one. Yeah. Secretary of State. Look, I'm I'm a I'm a mid level donor. Mid at best. You're mad.

Mid. Reddit subreddits are going crazy right now. And then influencer I'm mid at best. So I'm a secretary of state. I'm mid mid. However, there it's true that there are very few podcasters you probably donate anything. You could be Yeah. Henry Kissinger and Madeline Albright. highest ranking foreign born citizens to lead.

Yes, I think that you would be an exceptional Secretary of State. I'm just gonna put that you could be Secretary of State cabinet. I think you would kick ass. Because you have the intellectual firepower to actually not get bamboozled on this stuff. You'd hold your ground. You know, actually, I think was pretty good on on foreign policy doesn't get any credit was was Jared Kushner.

I was listening to an interview with him. And this happened like eight months ago. And he was describing the whole situation in Ukraine. And he says very clearly, that he and Trump understood that bringing Ukraine into NATO was a red line for the Russians, and they never went there.

So they armed Ukraine, but they were very careful to not make any statements about Ukraine coming into NATO. He understood that that was a serious provocation. I'll post the interview in the chat. But it was with I think Gerard Baker for the Wall Street Journal. So Jared understood the situation better than most of these, you know, foreign policy elite establishment types who don't understand how their actions can be perceived as provocative by the other side.

Well, he, he sure secured the bag after getting out of that gig. 2 billion. And he got the Abraham Accords done. And now, binds his flush out down the toilet because he's alienated the Saudis so much they've gone to the Chinese. I mean, the fact that there's flights between Israel and the Middle East nations now and they seem to have a common.

It's pretty awesome. Me in I don't think you understand how much Biden has alienated the Saudis. Shake, bind, wouldn't shake the man's hand. What was the point of that? I'm not in favor of buying. What was that like a fist bumpers? pre negotiated fist bump? Yeah, it's a little how insulting is that the one thing I loved about Trump was he was willing to meet with anybody.

My idea of foreign policy is meet with as many people as possible, as often as possible, and not go to war, I would meet with Kim Jong Un, Putin, Xi Jinping on the regular, every country we should be with, because that's how progress gets me not meeting with him is, yeah, I mean, it's not a reward.

I think there's a part of this military industrial complex that believes a meeting with the President is a reward or an endorsement of the worst things anybody's ever done. It's not, it's a meeting to try to make the world safer, or to try to build common ground. And so that is not me or Jim Cramer, however, you want to try to frame it.

It's intelligent. And I'm for intelligent foreign policy, which is talking to people. Let's talk about some people who said yes to come to all in summit. Let's just do a quick speaker. I gotta go. I love you guys. I love you. Yeah, fuck this. I'm done with this shit.

Freeberg. I love you. Thank you. See you tonight. Total Sip Lord. Rain Man David Satterthwaite. And it said we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it. Love you. I'm Queen of quinoa. Going on. Besties are dog taking a notice your driveway. We should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy because they're all just like this like sexual tension that they just need to release somehow.

What you're about to be what we need to get mercy is our dog. Oh, man. Oh, man. Oh, man. Oh, man. I'm going on. ♪ I'm only human ♪